Uncertainty-Aware Fusion

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Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Uncertainty-Aware Fusion.

Period ending 2026-09-14

2 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Uncertainty-Aware Fusion.

27 papers

Latest in Uncertainty-Aware Fusion

Sep 15, 2026cs.RO

Exact Fusion and Coordinated Exploration in Multi-Robot Active Inference

Robot teams that learn a common environment model exchange belief summaries and plan by the expected information gain of their actions. Under conjugate exponential-family beliefs the shared belief is counted once per robot at two points: at fusion, the product of local posteriors counts the common prior nn times, and at planning, every robot scores its plan under the same belief and the team converges on the same unknown. Both errors are removed by adding evidence increments to the shared natural parameter, realized increments at fusion and expected increments at planning. The expected increment of a committed teammate gives the next robot its conditional gain; corrected gains sum to the joint gain, the redundancy removed equals the total correlation of the planned observation streams, and sequential commitment keeps the 1/21/2 greedy guarantee. The expected increment is exact for Gaussian beliefs with fixed sampling paths and for Dirichlet beliefs under the novelty approximation of discrete active inference, whose team objective has a closed concave form within an explicit bound of the exact mutual information, and fails for finite hypothesis classes, where a short exact enumeration replaces it. Experiments on cooperative RockSample, foraging, and field monitoring show that fusion correction leaves exploration redundancy unchanged, anticipated evidence removes it, and sequential commitment recovers most of the value of centralized joint planning at cost linear in the team size.
Peng Wu, Mohsen Imani, Amidu Kamara +3
Sep 7, 2026cs.CV

Harnessing CLIP and DINO: An Uncertainty-Aware Cascaded Fusion Network for Generalizable Deepfake Image Detection

The growing realism and accessibility of manipulated and generated faces threaten the trustworthiness of digital media. To detect such forgeries, deepfake detectors based on vision foundation models have shown promising performance, but they typically rely on a single pretrained representation and are prone to overfitting to particular training distributions. To improve generalization to unseen forgeries, we propose UCF-Net, an uncertainty-aware cascaded fusion network that harnesses CLIP's language-aligned semantic priors and DINO's self-supervised visual-structure priors. UCF-Net extracts hierarchical features across Transformer depths, uses layer-wise expert aggregation to adaptively combine each encoder's multi-level cues, and performs weighted fusion of the resulting representations based on entropy-derived uncertainty. We further consolidate public deepfake datasets into a unified benchmark of approximately 4M images and construct a separate cross-generator evaluation set with over 8K face images from eight recent generators. On the unified benchmark, UCF-Net achieves the best mean AUC among the evaluated methods in both in-domain and cross-domain evaluations. On the cross-generator set, it adapts effectively with limited target-domain data, although zero-shot transfer remains challenging.
Xuechao Zou, Yi Zhou, Kai Li +4
Aug 30, 2026cs.CV

Null-Space Diffusion Restoration with Adaptive Uncertainty-Guided Fusion for Ultrasound Speckle Reduction

Ultrasound B-mode imaging commonly suffers from speckle noise and artifacts, requiring a delicate balance between contrast, resolution, and preservation of anatomical structures. Although recently developed despeckling methods have achieved some progress, supervised learning approaches remain fundamentally limited by the ground truth paradox, which arises from the absence of noise-free, ground truth reference images in in vivo scenarios. Existing unsupervised diffusion-based methods typically enforce data consistency directly in the nonlinear log-compressed domain, which can disproportionately amplify background artifacts when mapped back to the envelope domain. To overcome these limitations, we propose an uncertainty-guided null-space diffusion (UGNS) framework, a novel label-free solution that enforces consistency correction on a stabilized positive-envelope proxy obtained via inverse log compression. The proposed UGNS introduces several technical novelties: (a) extraction of a structural prior in the stabilized envelope domain to produce a robust signal envelope that preserves anatomical structure, (b) development of an adaptive range-null reconstruction mechanism that uses an adaptive weight mask to preserve tissue regions via range-space projection, and (c) introduction of uncertainty-guided fusion in an adaptive way to mitigate sampling variability. Extensive and comparative experiments were conducted using the PICMUS benchmark and in vivo datasets. The results demonstrate that UGNS achieves competitive generalized contrast-to-noise ratio (gCNR) values across diverse datasets. In addition, it is successfully validated that UGNS effectively suppresses speckle noise while preserving fine spatial resolution. Code is available at https://github.com/yousirong/UGNS.git.
Juneyong Lee, Jaeyoung Choi
Aug 13, 2026cs.SD

HybridSB-MoE: Dual-Domain Schrödinger Bridges with Scene-Adaptive Expert Routing for Speech Enhancement

Generative speech enhancement faces three gaps: spectral models capture harmonic structure but often disrupt phase, waveform models preserve phase but miss harmonics, and Schrödinger Bridges (SB) shorten transport from noise to clean speech but leave inference cost only loosely tied to training. We propose HybridSB-MoE, a dual-domain framework that fills these gaps through three contributions unified by a single asymmetric design principle. (i) Asymmetric uncertainty fusion: The spectral path captures epistemic uncertainty via expert disagreement, while the waveform bridge models aleatoric variance through stochastic dynamics. We fuse them asymmetrically, allowing the mixing weight to adapt to distinct error regimes rather than average predictions. (ii) Heterogeneous MoE with top-k=2 routing across five distinct architectural archetypes, where architectural diversity makes the epistemic signal indicate which inductive bias fails rather than small perturbations among similar experts. (iii) Discretization bound (Theorem 1): path-consistency and trajectory regularizers together bound the K-step bridge sampling error in 2-Wasserstein distance at rate K-alpha, making small-K inference an objective-level guarantee rather than an empirical claim. On VoiceBank+DEMAND, HybridSB-MoE outperforms diffusion- and SB-based baselines at their step budgets while remaining competitive with consistency-distilled few-step methods.
Zhengyi Lu, Aswini Sivakumar, Jie Hu +1
Aug 10, 2026cs.CV

FaLCon: Facet-Anchored Retrieval with Late Consensus for Sim2Real Text-Based Person Anomaly Search

Text-based person anomaly search requires retrieving real-world pedestrian images from detailed natural-language descriptions using models trained primarily on synthetic data. This Sim2Real setting is particularly challenging because visually similar candidates may differ only in subtle actions, object interactions, or appearance attributes, while applying multimodal large language models to the entire gallery is computationally expensive. We propose an anchor-constrained coarse-to-fine retrieval framework that combines global semantic matching with fine-grained verification. First, each query is represented by its original caption, a structured concatenation, and several semantic facets. Heterogeneous vision-language retrievers are then integrated through robust per-query score calibration and soft claim-aware fusion. Full and concatenated captions serve as anchors to preserve candidate recall, whereas appearance, action, and object facets provide bounded corrective evidence. The resulting candidate pool is further refined by a discriminative Qwen3 reranker and two complementary semantic verification modules based on anomaly-aware cloze completion and multi-agent evidence reasoning. Finally, an uncertainty-gated consensus module adaptively reweights the three experts on ambiguous queries. Experiments on the PAB benchmark show that the proposed soft claim-aware retrieval achieves 86.44% mAP@10, substantially outperforming individual retrieval backbones. The complete framework further improves performance to 95.41% mAP@10, 94.44% R@1, and 99.09% R@5. These results demonstrate that preserving strong global retrieval while restricting expensive semantic reasoning to a small candidate pool is effective for fine-grained Sim2Real person anomaly search. Our code will be available on Github.
Hieu Dinh Trung Pham, Phuong Huu Vu Tran, Thuan Duc Mai +6
Aug 10, 2026cs.AI

CRUISE: Vision-Language Model-Guided Uncertainty-Aware Cross-Modal Sensor Fusion for Robust Autonomous Driving

Modern autonomous vehicles are equipped with multiple sensors, such as cameras, LiDAR, and radar, for comprehensive environmental perception. However, robust cross-modal feature fusion remains a critical challenge, as the reliability of each sensor varies significantly across diverse real-world driving conditions, including poor visibility and adverse weather. While uncertainty quantification (UQ) mitigates this issue by allowing models to prioritize reliable signals, existing uncertainty-aware fusion methods typically rely on simple feature-level uncertainty estimates and thus often fail to generalize effectively in complex, out-of-distribution scenarios. To address this limitation, we propose CRUISE, a novel uncertainty-aware cross-modal sensor fusion framework. CRUISE integrates a vision-language model (VLM)-guided UQ module that generates fine-grained, pixel-level uncertainty estimates. By leveraging the VLM's rich prior knowledge and superior contextual reasoning, our approach provides a highly informative guide for the fusion process. Furthermore, we introduce a dynamic adaptive mechanism that explicitly models and captures cross-modal dependencies, ensuring the framework fully exploits the inherent complementary nature of multi-sensor inputs.
Junyao Wang, Yulin Xu, Yu Li +2
Aug 9, 2026cs.CV

Semi-Dense Matching Uncertainty Is Not Just Local Confidence

Reliable semi-dense matching is essential for modern geometric vision systems. Designed under a coarse-to-fine paradigm, it achieves an optimal balance between performance and computational cost. However, existing methods often struggle to provide well-quantified uncertainties, where catastrophic coarse-assignment failures are ignored, leading to truncated error distributions and severely misjudged geometric estimations. In this paper, we propose a lightweight, post-hoc overall uncertainty estimation framework that introduces a two-component calibrated Laplace mixture model with only 9 learnable parameters. The objective is to explicitly capture both the sharp local refinement noise and the broader tail of coarse-assignment failures. We introduce the Coarse-success posterior Refit (CoRe) method, a geometric refitting module that utilizes the posterior probability of coarse-assignment success as soft correspondence weights. Extensive experiments show that our method consistently improves downstream geometric accuracy across various pretrained-only matchers and robust estimators with minimal computational overhead. Our code is available at https://github.com/khoavpt/Probabilistic-matching.
Khoa Hoang, Hoang-Tuan Nguyen, Huong Ninh +2
Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

MIDAS: Mutual Information Disentanglement with Uncertainty-Aware Fusion for Incomplete Multimodal Sentiment Analysis

Most existing multimodal sentiment analysis approaches assume access to complete multimodal inputs. However, real-world applications frequently encounter incomplete or corrupted modalities, posing a critical challenge. Although several methods have been proposed to tackle this issue, they mainly rely on data imputation and heuristic coordination constraints, which fail to effectively extract and leverage task-relevant information from the incomplete multimodal data. To address this challenge, we propose a unified framework termed Mutual Information Disentanglement with uncertainty-Aware fuSion (MIDAS), which effectively restructures multimodal representations under incomplete conditions. MIDAS adopts a variational modeling strategy to represent each modality with multivariate Gaussian latent variables and further decomposes them into shared and exclusive factors. To obtain reliable representations, we design a minimax objective that minimizes the mutual information between shared and exclusive spaces for stable disentanglement, while maximizing the mutual information among shared spaces across modalities to enhance semantic alignment. In addition, an uncertainty-aware fusion mechanism is introduced, where posterior variance is leveraged as a reliability indicator to adaptively weight latent features during fusion, ensuring robust integration even when modalities are incomplete. Extensive experiments on three widely used datasets show that MIDAS achieves strong and consistent performance gains over competitive baselines across a wide range of incomplete settings, demonstrating its effectiveness and robustness for incomplete data scenarios.
Yuhua Wen, Yingying Zhou, Qifei Li +4
Aug 3, 2026cs.SD

Uncertainty-Aware Crossmodal Fusion for Classification of Animal Behavior

Artificial intelligence offers substantial potential for acoustic monitoring of animals, from welfare assessment in precision livestock farming to wildlife conservation and ecological research, where vocalizations can indicate health, stress, and social states earlier and at lower cost than manual observation. However, recordings in these settings are obtained under uncontrolled conditions, including environmental noise, reverberation, overlapping calls, and sensors that degrade without notice. As a consequence, automated classification of animal vocalizations remains challenging, and the two dominant acoustic representations show complementary limitations: raw waveforms preserve temporal microstructure but degrade under clipping and reverberation, while log-Mel spectrograms capture harmonic organization but lose phase information and are sensitive to broadband noise. To address these challenges, we propose Uncertainty-Aware Fusion (UAF), a dual-stream framework that estimates Gaussian uncertainty for each representation and fuses them via uncertainty weighting. This mechanism assigns greater weight to the more confident representation with no reliability labels required. In a cross-species, identity-based evaluation excluding all individuals seen during training, UAF (mean pooling) achieves 59.4% accuracy / 39.7% macro F1 on the 17-class SoundWel pig vocalization benchmark and 73.1% accuracy / 71.5% macro F1 on the 3-class DogBark dataset, outperforming static-concatenation fusion by 15.7% and 20.4% relative macro F1, respectively. Ablations over four temporal aggregation strategies show that uncertainty fusion, rather than the temporal characteristics of animal calls, is the primary driver of the performance gain.
Ehsan Yaghoubi, Florian Haselbeck
Aug 2, 2026cs.MA

Imprecise Belief Fusion Improves Multi-agent Social Learning

In social learning, agents learn not only from direct evidence but also through interactions with their peers. We investigate the role of imprecision in such interactions and ask whether it can improve the effectiveness of the collective learning process. To that end we propose a model of social learning where beliefs are equivalent to formulas in a propositional language, and where agents learn from each other by combining their beliefs according to a fusion operator. The latter is parametrised so as to allow for different levels of imprecision, where a more imprecise fusion operator tends to generates a more imprecise fused belief when the two combined beliefs differ. In this context we describe both difference equation models and agent-based simulations of social learning under a variety of conditions and with different initial biases. The results presented suggest that for populations with a strong initial bias towards incorrect beliefs some level of imprecision in fusion can improve learning accuracy across a range of learning conditions. Furthermore, such benefits of imprecision are consistent with a stability analysis of the fixed points of the proposed difference equation models.
Zixuan Liu, Jonathan Lawry, Michael Crosscombe
Jul 12, 2026cs.AI

MRUF: Multi-granularity Routing with Uncertainty-Aware Fusion for Robust Multimodal Sentiment Analysis

Multimodal sentiment analysis relies on language, visual, and acoustic cues, but utterance-level modality quality may vary due to occlusion, background noise, motion blur, or imperfect transcripts, causing conventional fusion to over-trust unreliable modalities. We propose MRUF, a reliability-aware fusion method that combines multi-granularity routing with uncertainty-aware calibration. MRUF summarizes sentiment-relevant representations, performs subspace- and modality-level routing, and supervises modality routing with leave-one-out error increases to estimate utterance-level modality importance. It further predicts modality-wise uncertainty and refines modality gates through inverse-variance reweighting, while modality-invariant contrastive alignment stabilizes the shared representation space. Experiments on CMU-MOSI and CMU-MOSEI under aligned and unaligned settings show consistent improvements over strong baselines, and mechanism analysis verifies that modalities with higher predicted uncertainty receive lower fusion weights.
Haoran Ma, Yinfeng Yu, Liejun Wang
Jul 8, 2026cs.CV

PUF: Plug-and-Play Uncertainty-Aware Fusion for Online 3D Scene Graph Generation

Online 3D scene graph generation builds a persistent, structured representation of a scene by incrementally fusing 2D observations into a global 3D graph. Existing online methods treat this fusion as a fully deterministic pipeline, where we identify three sources of uncertainty that are overlooked: observation, 2D model, and 3D representation. We propose PUF: a Plug-and-play, Uncertainty-aware, and training-free Fusion framework. Scene graph node association is reformulated as a probabilistic likelihood over semantic and spatial factors, replacing binary accept/reject gates. Dirichlet evidence accumulation distributes class and relationship evidence across plausible candidates proportional to association likelihood. An optional class-conditional prior completes edges for sparsely or never co-observed object pairs. We instantiate PUF with both a 3D Gaussian and a 3D voxel backend and observe consistent improvements, demonstrating its ability to generalize across different representations. Experiments on the 3DSSG and ReplicaSSG benchmarks show that our method substantially outperforms existing approaches while maintaining real-time latency. These results establish uncertainty-aware fusion as a principled and effective paradigm for online 3D scene understanding. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/yyyyangyi/PUF.
Yi Yang, Myrna Castillo, Bodo Rosenhahn +1
Jul 6, 2026cs.CV

RUFNet: Query-Guided Support Mask Refinement and Uncertainty Fusion based on Hybrid Mamba for Few-Shot Brain Tumor Segmentation

Few-shot brain tumor segmentation remains challenging due to noisy support masks, inter-patient variations between support and query images, and the lack of pixel-wise confidence estimation. This study proposes RUFNet, a Hybrid Mamba-based few-shot framework that combines support mask refinement with uncertainty-aware posterior fusion. To preserve support-query dependencies with manageable cost, RUFNet adopts a Hybrid Mamba interaction backbone with linear complexity. To reduce support-mask noise, an Attention-Guided Mask Refinement module (AGMR) uses query features to recalibrate support masks and improve prototype consistency. To handle ambiguous predictions, an Uncertainty-Aware Posterior Fusion module (UAPF) estimates pixel-wise variance and adaptively balances few-shot predictions with query-aligned priors. On the Brain Tumor Segmentation Challenge (BraTS) 2020 dataset, RUFNet achieves Dice coefficients of 84.3% and 86.1% in the 1-way 1-shot and 1-way 5-shot settings, respectively, outperforming the compared state-of-the-art methods. These results suggest that Hybrid Mamba interaction, mask refinement and uncertainty modelling can improve the robustness of few-shot medical image segmentation. The official implementation code is available at https://github.com/hdy6438/RUFNet.
Dongyi He, Xiangkai Wang, Binbing Xu +5
Jun 23, 2026cs.LG

Enhancing Clinician Decision-Making via Uncertainty-Aware Multi-Expert Fusion for Stroke Rehabilitation

Tailoring stroke rehabilitation requires assessing how movements are organized, not merely if they succeed. Currently, this assessment is a rate-limiting bottleneck. Instruments like the Action Research Arm Test (ARAT) compress rich behavioral observations into single ordinal endpoints, discarding the movement-quality details that distinguish recovery from compensation. Automated alternatives typically chase accuracy on noisy, single-observer labels to output opaque scores - a technology-centric approach that rarely reaches clinical practice. To address this, we present xAARA: an engine designed to augment rather than replace clinical judgment. From multi-view video, xAARA returns ARAT assessments with calibrated uncertainty and explanations across task, movement-phase, and movement-quality levels. Treating clinical scoring as an ill-posed inference problem, xAARA composes 692 calibrated multimodal models via a Dynamic Bayesian Network with entropy-based gating. It qualifies results against clinical validity rules and defers low-confidence cases. In 105 stroke survivors (788 exercises), xAARA achieved 94.2% task accuracy (Cohen's kappa=0.934) and 81.3% movement-phase accuracy (kappa=0.727), reducing predictive uncertainty by 96.1% compared to single-clinician scoring. For subjective cases, it matched at least one rater 100% of the time and never returned out-of-range scores. Four independent clinicians validated the assessments and indicated willingness to adopt the system. We argue that principled uncertainty quantification and clinician-aligned explainability are the critical bridges moving automated assessment from technical demonstration to a deployable clinical tool.
Tamim Ahmed, Thanassis Rikakis
Jun 22, 2026cs.CV

UECP: Uncertainty-Enhanced Collaborative Perception

Collaborative perception serves as a pivotal solution to enhance the perception capability of individual agents in autonomous driving, where a core challenge lies in seeking reliable evidence to quantify and weight the contribution of each participating agent. Existing methods typically rely on a confidence map, which is co-trained with the detection head, but it is inherently correlated with the detection results and thus fails to provide unbiased physical evidence. Furthermore, how to deeply integrate evidence into the cooperative fusion process remains an open question. To address these issues, this paper first proposes an uncertainty map, a physically grounded and unambiguous metric for evaluating perception quality. This map is directly supervised by real-time sensor signals, i.e., LiDAR point density, ensuring decoupling from detection noise and thereby providing physical scenario-aware evidence for weighting agent contribution. Based on this map, we develop the Uncertainty-Enhanced Collaborative Perception (UECP) framework, centered on the Uncertainty-Aware Pyramid Fusion (UAPF) module. UAPF uses a coarse-to-fine strategy, with two key components: Uncertainty-Weighted Downsampling (UWD) for high-fidelity feature preservation, and Uncertainty-Guided Residual Fusion (UGRF) to reinforce ego features, suppressing noise and ensuring robust fusion. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets show UECP outperforms state-of-the-art methods in effectiveness and robustness by embedding the uncertainty map into fusion. Code will be publicly available.
Kang Yang, Tianci Bu, Peng Wang +3
Jun 22, 2026cs.CV

Learning Stable Canonical Worlds for Novel View Synthesis and Beyond

Feed-forward Gaussian splatting (FFGS) facilitates real-time novel view synthesis, yet current methods often remain tied to view-dependent predictions. As more input views are added, they may accumulate noisy or redundant evidence instead of converging to a stable scene representation. In this paper, we introduce CanonicalGS, a feed-forward pipeline that maps cluttered multi-view observations into a stable, scene-centric representation. CanonicalGS first extracts view-centric evidence from depth, semantic features, and uncertainty estimates, and then aggregates this evidence in a canonical latent world using uncertainty-aware fusion. By emphasizing reliable observations while suppressing uncertain or redundant ones, CanonicalGS produces representations that scale more effectively for novel view synthesis and transfer to downstream visual perception tasks. Experiments show up to a 2.52.5 dB improvement in peak signal-to-noise ratio for synthesizing novel views and an 11%11\% gain in semantic segmentation accuracy.
Xiaoyu Xu, Jian Zou, Sheyang Tang +3
Jun 21, 2026cs.CV

HiMatch-AD: DINOv3-driven Hierarchical Matching for Training-free Medical Anomaly Detection

Anomaly detection is essential for medical image analysis, where pathological regions often appear as rare deviations from normal anatomical structures. While training-based methods have achieved promising performance, they require task-specific optimization and extensive normal data, which limits scalability across modalities and institutions. Training-free approaches offer greater flexibility by leveraging pretrained visual representations, yet existing methods typically rely on simple nearest-neighbor retrieval and naive aggregation strategies, which may fail to capture hierarchical semantics and ignore the reliability of multiple anomaly responses. In this work, we propose HiMatch-AD, a DINOv3-driven hierarchical matching framework for training-free medical anomaly detection. Our method first retrieves semantically relevant normal references via dual-branch matching that jointly considers global CLS-token similarity and patch-level representations. Hierarchical anomaly maps are then generated across multiple transformer stages by comparing clustered normal features with query representations. To robustly aggregate anomaly responses, we introduce a unified uncertainty-based fusion mechanism that adaptively weights maps according to their reliability. The entire framework operates without any task-specific training. Extensive experiments on the BMAD benchmark, including brain MRI, liver CT, and retinal OCT datasets, demonstrate that HiMatch-AD consistently outperforms both training-based and DINO-based state-of-the-art methods, which highlights the effectiveness of multi-level matching and uncertainty-aware fusion for scalable medical anomaly detection.
Jiayu Huo, Jingyuan Hong, Meng Zhou +2
Jun 20, 2026cs.LG

Neural Conjugate Aggregation: Identifiable Unsupervised Multi-Sensor Regression under Heterogeneous Sensor Bias

We study regression-based data fusion under uncertainty, where multiple noisy and biased measurement sources are available but ground-truth labels are absent during training. This setting arises in sensor networks, simulation ensembles, and scientific monitoring systems where supervision is costly or infeasible. We propose the Neural Conjugate Aggregation Model (NCAM), a hierarchical Bayesian framework that combines neural networks with conjugate Gaussian inference for unsupervised multi-source fusion. NCAM learns source-specific bias and reliability conditioned on contextual covariates, yielding an analytically tractable posterior over a latent target variable with decomposed epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty. Structural non-identifiability is resolved through sensor anchoring and variance regularization, enabling stable and interpretable posterior aggregation. To complement Bayesian uncertainty with finite-sample guarantees, we integrate locally adaptive Monte Carlo conformal prediction, producing heteroscedastic prediction intervals with coverage guarantees under exchangeability assumptions. Experiments on synthetic and real-world air-quality datasets demonstrate improved predictive accuracy and well-calibrated uncertainty compared to unsupervised baselines, including mean aggregation, probabilistic PCA, and Kalman filtering.
Muhammed Faruk Aytin, Zehra Demir, Alper Ünal +2
Jun 4, 2026cs.CV

Architecture-Adaptive Uncertainty Fusion for Deepfake Detection

Deepfake detection systems achieve near-perfect accuracy on benchmarks, yet forensic deployment demands reliable prediction uncertainty. Existing uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods rely on single sources and ignore that optimal uncertainty composition varies across architectures. We propose Correlation-Optimized Fusion (COF), an architecture-adaptive framework that fuses five complementary uncertainty sources -- epistemic, aleatoric, calibration, conformal, and distributional -- by maximizing Pearson correlation between fused uncertainty scores and prediction errors via constrained optimization on the probability simplex. COF requires no model modifications and only 42 s of weight optimization, compared to 20--45 h for a 5-model Deep Ensemble. Evaluation across eleven architectures on FaceForensics++ reveals a fundamental trade-off: under matched train/evaluation protocol, non-linear methods achieve approximately 5--6% higher in-domain correlation than COF (mean r = 0.438), but this reverses under distribution shift. On CelebDF, COF outperforms Random Forest in 9/11 architectures with up to 7.3x higher correlation (MaxViT-B: r = 0.249 vs. 0.034); RF degrades 85% cross-domain to r = 0.071, whereas COF retains substantially more signal (74% drop to r = 0.116). Cross-dataset evaluation on CelebDF and DFDC reveals catastrophic generalization failure across all methods: in-domain correlations of 0.41--0.47 collapse to near-zero externally (mean degradation 90.7%), with seven of eleven architectures exhibiting uncertainty inversion. These results establish COF as a practical, interpretable framework for controlled-distribution deployment and identify domain-adaptive UQ as the central open challenge for forensic deployment.
Ritesh Sharma, Mohammad Ghasemigol, Yuichi Motai
May 23, 2026cs.CV

Robust Fuzzy Multi-view Learning under View Conflict

Trusted multi-view classification aims to deliver reliable fusion for accurate predictions and has recently attracted substantial attention in both academia and industry. However, existing TMVC methods typically assume strict alignment across different views during both training and testing phases, which is often impractical in real-world scenarios. This limitation motivates us to revisit TMVC and extend it to a more challenging setting: how to mitigate the impact of view conflict (VC) during both training and inference. To tackle this setting, existing TMVC methods suffer from three critical limitations: underestimated uncertainty, misleading decisions, and overfitting to VC. To address these issues, this paper proposes a novel Robust Fuzzy Multi-View Learning (R-FUML) framework grounded in Fuzzy Set Theory. Specifically, R-FUML models network outputs as fuzzy memberships to quantify category credibility and uses an entropy-based method for reliable multi-view fusion. To this end, we present a Robust Multi-view Fusion (RMF) strategy that accounts for both view-specific uncertainty and inter-view conflicts, thereby alleviating the adverse impacts of VC on decision-making. To identify and conquer VC during training, we further design a Robust Learning Against VC (RLVC) framework. RLVC isolates conflicting samples by leveraging neural networks' memory effects and then retrains the model by applying a penalty to these conflicting views. Extensive experiments across eight public datasets demonstrate that R-FUML consistently outperforms 15 state-of-the-art baselines in robustness and uncertainty estimation. The code will be released upon acceptance.
Siyuan Duan, Yuan Sun, Dezhong Peng +3
May 17, 2026cs.CL

BELIEF: Structured Evidence Modeling and Uncertainty-Aware Fusion for Biomedical Question Answering

Biomedical question answering often requires decisions from retrieved literature whose relevance, quality, and support for candidate answers are uneven. Most retrieval-augmented large language model (LLM) methods feed this literature to the model as flat text, leaving evidence reliability and remaining uncertainty largely implicit. We propose BELIEF, a structured evidence modeling and uncertainty-aware fusion framework for closed-set biomedical question answering. Rather than treating retrieved documents as undifferentiated context, BELIEF converts them into evidence objects that record clinical attributes, source quality, question relevance, support strength, and the associated candidate hypothesis. These evidence objects provide a shared basis for two complementary reasoning paths. The symbolic path constructs reliability-weighted basic probability assignments based on Dempster--Shafer (D-S) theory over a finite answer space and performs uncertainty-aware symbolic evidence fusion to estimate belief and residual uncertainty. The neural path uses the same structured evidence for LLM-based semantic inference, while a reliability-aware arbitration module reconciles the symbolic and neural outputs according to belief strength, uncertainty, evidence reliability, and semantic consistency. Experiments on PubMedQA, MedQA, and MedMCQA with five general-purpose LLM backbones show that BELIEF obtains the best result in 25 of 30 backbone--dataset--metric settings. Comparisons with biomedical-domain models indicate that BELIEF is competitive on MedQA and MedMCQA, while specialized biomedical pretraining remains advantageous on PubMedQA. Ablation, complementarity, uncertainty-stratified, and cost analyses further show that BELIEF improves retrieved-evidence utilization by making evidence structure, path disagreement, and decision uncertainty explicit.
Chang Zong, Hao Ning, Siliang Tang +2
May 13, 2026cs.RO

Uncertainty-Aware 3D Position Refinement for Multi-UAV Systems

Reliable real-time 3D localization is essential for multi-UAV navigation, collision avoidance, and coordinated flight, yet onboard estimates can degrade under GNSS multipath, non-line-of-sight reception, vertical drift, and intentional interference. This paper presents a decentralized, lightweight 3D position-refinement layer that improves robustness by fusing each Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV)'s local estimate with neighbor-shared state summaries and inter-UAV range or proximity constraints. The method performs uncertainty-aware neighborhood fusion by weighting each UAV's prior according to its reported covariance and weighting neighbor constraints according to link quality, ranging uncertainty, and a learned trust score. To support practical deployment, the framework explicitly handles cold start and temporary localization loss by inflating or substituting weak priors, allowing trusted neighborhood constraints to bootstrap and stabilize estimates until absolute sensing recovers. To mitigate the impact of faulty or malicious participants, each UAV applies a local range-consistency check, smoothed over time, to down-weight or exclude neighbors whose reported positions are incompatible with observed inter-UAV distances. Simulation experiments with 10 UAVs in a 3D volume show that the proposed refinement substantially reduces mean localization error during cold start, remains competitive after local estimators stabilize, and maintains lower error as the fraction of malicious nodes increases compared with fusion without trust. These results suggest that the approach can serve as a practical resilience layer for swarm operation in challenging environments.
Hosam Alamleh, Damir Pulatov
May 12, 2026cs.CV

4DVGGT-D: 4D Visual Geometry Transformer with Improved Dynamic Depth Estimation

Reconstructing dynamic 4D scenes from monocular videos is a fundamental yet challenging task. While recent 3D foundation models provide strong geometric priors, their performance significantly degrades in dynamic environments. This degradation stems from a fundamental tension: the inherent coupling of camera ego-motion and object motion within global attention mechanisms. In this paper, we propose a novel, training-free progressive decoupling framework that disentangles dynamics from statics in a principled, coarse-to-fine manner. Our core insight is to resolve the tension by first stabilizing the camera pose, followed by geometric refinement. Specifically, our approach consists of three synergistic components: (1) a Dynamic-Mask-Guided Pose Decoupling module that isolates pose estimation from dynamic interference, yielding a stable motion-free reference frame; (2) a Topological Subspace Surgery mechanism that orthogonally decomposes the depth manifold, safely preserving dynamic objects while injecting refined, mask-aware geometry into static regions; and (3) an Information-Theoretic Confidence-Aware Fusion strategy that formulates depth integration as a heteroscedastic Bayesian inference problem, adaptively blending multi-pass predictions via inverse-variance weighting. Extensive experiments on standard 4D reconstruction benchmarks demonstrate that our method achieves consistent and substantial improvements across principal point-cloud metrics. Notably, our approach shows competitive performance in robust 4D scene reconstruction without requiring fine-tuning, suggesting the potential of mathematically grounded dynamic-static disentanglement.
Ying Zang, Xuanyi Liu, Yidong Han +9
May 10, 2026eess.IV

Uncertainty-Guided Dual-Domain Learning for Reliable Skin Lesion Segmentation

Accurate skin lesion segmentation is vital for dermoscopic Computer-Aided Diagnosis. However, visual ambiguity and morphological irregularity often defeat spatial modeling, necessitating multi-domain architectures. Existing paradigms frequently overlook the active use of prediction uncertainty, leading to deterministic frameworks that suffer from blind cross-domain fusion and overfit to label noise. To address these issues, we propose the Uncertainty-Guided Dual-Domain Network (UGDD-Net). UGDD-Net introduces a novel "Glance-and-Gaze" mechanism to transform uncertainty into an active guiding signal. Specifically, the Uncertainty-Guided Bi-directional Feature Fusion (UGBFF) module uses pixel-level uncertainty to modulate spatial-spectral interactions. The Uncertainty-Guided Graph Refinement (UGGR) module constructs a topology-aware graph to propagate reliable semantic consensus and refine uncertain nodes. Finally, the Uncertainty-Guided Margin-Adaptive Loss (UGML) enforces strict constraints on confident pixels while relaxing penalties on uncertain ones to improve statistical calibration. Extensive experiments on ISIC2017, ISIC2018, PH2, and HAM10000 datasets demonstrate that UGDD-Net achieves state-of-the-art performance, especially on "Hard Samples". Our uncertainty maps align with expert inter-observer variability, providing robust interpretability for human-machine collaborative diagnosis.
Duwei Dai, Caixia Dong, Guowei Dai +6
Apr 23, 2026cs.CV

UAU-Net: Uncertainty-aware Representation Learning and Evidential Classification for Facial Action Unit Detection

Facial action unit (AU) detection remains challenging because it involves heterogeneous, AU-specific uncertainties arising at both the representation and decision stages. Recent methods have improved discriminative feature learning, but they often treat the AU representations as deterministic, overlooking uncertainty caused by visual noise, subject-dependent appearance variations, and ambiguous inter-AU relationships, all of which can substantially degrade robustness. Meanwhile, conventional point-estimation classifiers often provide poorly calibrated confidence, producing overconfident predictions, especially under the severe label imbalance typical of AU datasets. We propose UAU-Net, an Uncertainty-aware AU detection framework that explicitly models uncertainty at both stages. At the representation stage, we introduce CV-AFE, a conditional VAE (CVAE)-based AU feature extraction module that learns probabilistic AU representations by jointly estimating feature means and variances across multiple spatio-temporal scales; conditioning on AU labels further enables CV-AFE to capture uncertainty associated with inter-AU dependencies. At the decision stage, we design AB-ENN, an Asymmetric Beta Evidential Neural Network for multi-label AU detection, which parameterizes predictive uncertainty with Beta distributions and mitigates overconfidence via an asymmetric loss tailored to highly imbalanced binary labels. Extensive experiments on BP4D and DISFA show that UAU-Net achieves strong AU detection performance, and further analyses indicate that modeling uncertainty in both representation learning and evidential prediction improves robustness and reliability.
Yuze Li, Zhilei Liu
Mar 27, 2026cs.LG

Context-specific Credibility-aware Multimodal Fusion with Conditional Probabilistic Circuits

Multimodal fusion requires integrating information from multiple sources that may conflict depending on context. Existing fusion approaches typically rely on static assumptions about source reliability, limiting their ability to resolve conflicts when a modality becomes unreliable due to situational factors such as sensor degradation or class-specific corruption. We introduce C2^2MF, a context-specfic credibility-aware multimodal fusion framework that models per-instance source reliability using a Conditional Probabilistic Circuit (CPC). We formalize instance-level reliability through Context-Specific Information Credibility (CSIC), a KL-divergence-based measure computed exactly from the CPC. CSIC generalizes conventional static credibility estimates as a special case, enabling principled and adaptive reliability assessment. To evaluate robustness under cross-modal conflicts, we propose the Conflict benchmark, in which class-specific corruptions deliberately induce discrepancies between different modalities. Experimental results show that C2^2MF improves predictive accuracy by up to 29% over static-reliability baselines in high-noise settings, while preserving the interpretability advantages of probabilistic circuit-based fusion.
Pranuthi Tenali, Sahil Sidheekh, Saurabh Mathur +3
Date pendingcs.LG

Are Independently Estimated View Uncertainties Comparable? Unified Routing for Trusted Multi-View Classification

Trusted multi-view classification typically relies on a view-wise evidential fusion process: each view independently produces class evidence and uncertainty, and the final prediction is obtained by aggregating these independent opinions. While this design is modular and uncertainty-aware, it implicitly assumes that evidence from different views is numerically comparable. In practice, however, this assumption is fragile. Different views often differ in feature space, noise level, and semantic granularity, while independently trained branches are optimized only for prediction correctness, without any constraint enforcing cross-view consistency in evidence strength. As a result, the uncertainty used for fusion can be dominated by branch-specific scale bias rather than true sample-level reliability. To address this issue, we propose Trusted Multi-view learning with Unified Routing (TMUR), which decouples view-specific evidence extraction from fusion arbitration. TMUR uses view-private experts and one collaborative expert, and employs a unified router that observes the global multi-view context to generate sample-level expert weights. Soft load-balancing and diversity regularization further encourage balanced expert utilization and more discriminative expert specialization. We also provide theoretical analysis showing why independent evidential supervision does not identify a common cross-view evidence scale. Extensive experiments on 14 datasets and comparisons with 15 recent baselines demonstrate that TMUR consistently improves both classification performance and reliability. Code is available at https://github.com/YilinZhang107/TMUR.
Yilin Zhang, Cai Xu, Haishun Chen +2