Algorithmic Auditing

Latest papers 96

Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

Innovation-Residual Auditing of Autonomous Analysis Agents: Localization, Detection Limits, Error Control, and Identifiability

Autonomous agents now carry out entire data analyses, selecting cohorts, joining tables, and fitting models with little step-by-step supervision. When such an analysis turns out to be wrong, someone must determine which operation caused it. A recent approach does this without any labelled mistakes, learning instead from analyses known to be sound and flagging operations that depart from what that model predicts; how reliable such audits are has not been studied. This paper supplies that analysis. The choice of score determines whether an error can be localized at all. If each operation is scored by how surprising it is given the operation immediately preceding it, then operations that merely inherit an earlier error are indistinguishable from correct ones, so one mistake produces one flag; scores computed against a longer reconstruction of the intended analysis instead spread a single mistake across many operations. We quantify how far they spread, and how to choose the comparison length when an error accumulates gradually rather than at once. We then give procedures that control the proportion of falsely flagged operations within a single audited analysis, requiring only that sound analyses be exchangeable rather than that the fitted model be correct, and we quantify how much the guarantees weaken when the model is imperfect or when the analysis was selected for review in a way that depends on its content. Finally we establish a limit on what any such audit can report: errors below a certain magnitude cannot be attributed at all, being indistinguishable from ordinary variation among sound analyses. This limit falls so slowly as more sound analyses are collected that at the representation sizes now in use a hundredfold increase reduces it by under two percent, so the dimension of the representation rather than the volume of training data is the binding constraint.
Aug 5, 2026cs.SE

A Chain Is Only as Strong as Its Weakest Link: A Scoping Review of System Integration Audits in AI

As AI systems become increasingly integrated into diverse interfaces and applications, model-centric audits are insufficient to address risks arising from interactions among system components and deployment environments. System integration has long been central to software audits in safety-critical domains such as aerospace. However, its role in AI auditing remains underexplored. Scanning through 4,259 documents, we present a scoping review of AI audits that treat system integration as a core tenet of evaluation (n = 58). Using reflexive thematic analysis, we analyze their elements, actors, enablers, and constraints. We find that the corpus represents an emerging yet still fragmented form of AI auditing: few existing measures target integration-specific risks; large gaps remain in meeting traditional audit expectations; and access to necessary information and resources significantly influences audit design. Nonetheless, integration can be categorized across three sites (inter-component, system-environment, and multi-system), each serving the functions of risk exploration, risk determination, coordination, and procedural regularity. Deviating from other types of evaluations, these audits assess qualities specific to system integration, including compatibility, completeness, and oversight. This review calls on the AI community to prioritize system integration as a core strategy for addressing AI risk, and to develop audit practices capable of capturing failures across components, environments, and systems beyond the reach of component-level evaluation.
Aug 5, 2026cs.LG

Local Violation Certification for Linear Predict-Then-Optimize Pipelines

Data-driven decision pipelines combining predictive machine learning models with downstream optimization software are increasingly used to make high-stakes operational decisions. Certifying the safety, fairness, and reliability of these decisions is essential, yet traditional scenario generation methods rely on repeated random testing, which becomes computationally prohibitive when failure events are rare and offers little insight into why failures occur. We present a framework for local violation certification designed specifically for linear decision pipelines under input uncertainty. We mathematically demonstrate that standard sampling methods fail efficiently for rare violations, motivating a direct structural approach. By analyzing the fixed decision boundary of a deployed pipeline, we show that the local risk of failure can be calculated directly in closed form using a single optimization solve. Furthermore, we introduce an exact sampling procedure and closed-form risk statistics that provide feature-level attributions (identifying which input characteristics contribute most to potential non-compliance) without requiring repetitive random trials or complex sampling algorithms. We demonstrate our approach on an economic power dispatch system subject to emissions regulations, delivering precise, auditable risk assessments at a fraction of the traditional computational cost.
Aug 3, 2026cs.LG

GoT-CD: Graph-of-Thoughts Causal Discovery and the Fragility of Post-hoc Path-Specific Fairness Audits

Causal discovery recovers directed structure from observational data and is increasingly used in clinical settings to support mechanism reasoning and fairness audits of predictive models. Path-specific counterfactual fairness asks whether a protected attribute influences an outcome through illegitimate pathways, but these estimands are defined relative to a supplied causal graph and therefore inherit whatever errors the discovery step introduces. Discovery methods are routinely scored on aggregate structural metrics that weight all edges equally, and no established evaluation asks whether the specific pathway an audit depends on survives discovery---or what the audit reports when that pathway is missing. Here we show that full-graph Graph-of-Thoughts reasoning yields acyclic discovered graphs that are structurally competitive with large language model (LLM) baselines, yet that structural fidelity alone does not guarantee fairness-faithful audits. We introduce GoT-CD, in which the reasoning unit is a complete candidate edge set: multiple graphs are generated in parallel, scored by a deterministic validity function, and merged under a hard union constraint that forbids invented edges, with greedy projection enforcing a DAG before commitment. GoT-CD returns a valid DAG on all five reported benchmarks and achieves the best DAG-valid F1 score among LLM methods on Asia, Alzheimer's, and COVID-Respiratory datasets. On an Alzheimer's benchmark with known unfair path, a post-hoc path-specific audit shows that five of eight discovered graphs recover no path from the sensitive attribute to the outcome and therefore report a null overall effect while mediated effects persist, necessitating downstream path-specific fairness analysis along with structural discovery.
Aug 2, 2026cs.IR

Auditing Semantic Gains in Sequential Recommendation: A Lightweight Recovery Test

Recent semantic and generative-retrieval recommenders report substantial improvements over ID-only sequential baselines, but it remains unclear whether these gains arise from language-model reasoning, semantic-ID generation, end-to-end semantic architectures, stronger offline item representations, or complementary semantic and collaborative signals. We investigate this attribution ambiguity through LIME-Rec, a lightweight and auditable recovery test. LIME-Rec combines three independent experts: a SASRec sequential expert, an ItemCF co-occurrence expert, and a semantic expert based on frozen BAAI/bge-base-en-v1.5 item embeddings. Their full-catalog scores are normalized per user and combined through auditable score-level fusion followed by bounded history calibration. The fusion gate and calibration head are fitted on validation data only, require no serving-time language-model inference, and keep each expert contribution separately inspectable. On Amazon Beauty, Toys, and Sports, LIME-Rec achieves R@10 scores of 0.0996, 0.1105, and 0.0593, outperforming the strongest comparison baseline by 7.0%-12.0%. Three-expert fusion without history calibration consistently outperforms calibrated SASRec, showing that calibration alone does not explain the recovery. Randomly permuting item-text embeddings across item IDs reduces R@10 by 13.6%-17.5%, indicating that the gains depend on genuine item-text correspondence rather than additional representation capacity. These results suggest that lightweight recovery from offline item representations and transparent fusion should be ruled out before improvements are attributed to serving-time language modeling, semantic-ID generation, or heavier semantic machinery.
Aug 1, 2026cs.CR

ZK-SR117: A Chunked Zero-Knowledge Attestation Design for Aggregated Fair-Lending Metrics, with a Control Mapping toward Full SR 11-7 Coverage

Deploying ML models in regulated decision-making (credit underwriting, fraud detection, loan approval) requires demonstrating fairness and robustness to auditors without exposing model weights or customer data. We address this attestation problem for U.S. bank supervision under SR 11-7 and OCC 2011-12 guidance. We present a chunked zero-knowledge circuit design that attests an aggregated fairness statistic - the demographic-parity gap - on committed, nonce-sampled batches of real 2022 HMDA mortgage data, and demonstrate it end-to-end: 32,768 rows, 32 independently verified zkSNARK proofs, aggregated attested gap within 0.0029 of the true held-out value, per-chunk proving under 4 seconds. We also demonstrate extensibility by attesting a second control on the identical architecture - expected calibration error at 10 bins - with all 32 chunks verified, per-chunk proving at about 14.7 seconds, and attested ECE within 0.00037 of the plaintext value on the same committed rows. We compare this design against two alternatives - a flat summation circuit, which overflows past a few thousand rows, and a tree-reduction circuit, numerically exact but intractable to compile - and find the chunked design is the only one that reached this scale. We discovered and root-caused a genuine data-quality failure (a sentinel-code outlier distorting circuit proving and the fairness statistic itself) and resolved it with a published preprocessing specification. We also propose a fuller mapping from SR 11-7 and OCC 2011-12 control language to zero-knowledge statements (nine control elements spanning soundness, calibration, robustness, and drift), a nonce-based sampling protocol resisting bank-side cherry-picking, and a threat model for deployment, proposed as design work, not implemented results. Two controls, one model class, one task are demonstrated end-to-end; the rest is scoped and left as future work.
Aug 1, 2026cs.LG

Fairness Auditing: Lower Bounds on Company Manipulation

Fairness audits are increasingly mandated in high-stakes applications such as hiring, lending, and automated decision-making. Recent work has established fundamental impossibility results for black-box fairness auditing, showing that sufficiently expressive models can evade any auditing strategy. We complement these results by quantifying the extent of unavoidable post-audit manipulation under finite audit resources. We formulate fairness auditing as a min-max optimization between a computationally unbounded company and a budget-constrained auditor. We study two auditing regimes: (i) a budgeted auditor that certifies fairness using a fixed-size audit set, and (ii) a budgeted α-tolerant auditor that additionally requires the audit set to estimate the fairness of the certified model within an α approximation. For both settings, we derive explicit lower bounds on the worst-case post-audit demographic parity deviation as functions of the audit budget, group imbalance, and fairness tolerance. Finally, we empirically illustrate these theoretical limits using simple audit-set construction heuristics with linear and neural network classifiers. Our results demonstrate that increasing audit resources reduces, but does not eliminate, the scope for post-audit manipulation, highlighting fundamental limitations of finite-budget fairness certification.
Jul 31, 2026cs.LG

ALIVE: Warnings Before Exclusion in Budgeted Multi-Source Learning

A routing decision can be revised at the next transaction, but a latched source exclusion persists across later decisions. We ask what evidence should authorize these unequal-persistence actions when finite-population auditing and learning share a budget. ALIVE (Action-Layered Intervention via Evidence) is an auditable control layer: one randomized without-replacement prefix supplies cached evidence, heuristic warnings drive non-latching floor-bounded routing, and only two fresh simultaneous certificate separations may latch an exclusion request subject to capacity-feasible activation. Conditional on fixed support and labels under an ideal uniform audit permutation, any predictable controller preserving this interface inherits an anytime familywise bound of δon acting against a source that fails the pre-fixed absolute or relative strict-majority-disagreement predicate. With a published known-size, all-strict-majority PPR engine, median evidence count fell from 304 to 96 identities in e40 and from 171 to 62 in e60, while both engines used 48 in e80. In the matched CIFAR controller, the persistent-action layer added +0.1935 accuracy-AUBC percentage points over routing-only in all ten paired seed clusters. The +0.1954-point full-system contrast against CBR was also positive but did not meet the predeclared multiplicity-adjusted criterion (conditional Holm-adjusted sign-flip reference value =.097656). On a fixed natural panel, exploratory PPR used a median closure prefix of 95 rather than 105 for exploratory Serfling/FPC, but still exposed 88.0% of the panel and had no downstream task. Together these results map a restraint--power--cost--utility boundary: the action contract controls a defined persistent decision, while net value depends on evidence margin, audit cost, and budget regime.
Jul 30, 2026cs.CY

Scaling, Lock-In, and Proxy Compliance: A Political Economy of Responsible AI

AI accountability at scale is an institutional problem: who can observe, verify, and change deployed systems. We develop a sequential political-economy model in which an AI vendor chooses auditability and substantive mitigation, a deployer monitors after adoption while facing switching costs, and enforcement depends on verifiable evidence. Anticipating the deployer's monitoring response, the vendor may stop at an observable procurement floor while mitigating below the social first best, producing a proxy-compliance equilibrium. We characterize the unique interior equilibrium and the corner in which harm is fully mitigated. Independent audit rights raise enforcement exposure directly; portability restores deployer leverage; incident reporting adds a regulator-visible evidence channel; and outcome-linked liability creates incentives that do not depend on vendor-controlled detection. The results explain why documentation and standardized evaluations can coexist with persistent post-deployment harms, and generate testable implications for monitoring, mitigation, and the gap between formal compliance and operational outcomes.
Jul 29, 2026cs.GT

Collusion with Competitive Marginals: Price-Level Audits Are Blind by Construction

Empirical work on algorithmic collusion asks one question of the data: are prices supracompetitive? We show this can be answered "no" by a conspiracy that is nonetheless profitable. Consider bidding agents that couple only through the joint distribution of their unexplained bid components, leaving every agent's own bid law exactly at the competitive law. Any test whose input is a single agent's price or bid history then has power exactly equal to its false-positive rate, for every coupling strength up to comonotonicity. The published detection methodology is therefore blind to this conduct by construction rather than underpowered, and no sample size repairs it. Three empirical results follow. First, the mechanism appears in real language-model agents: twenty models from nineteen independent developers, three deployment prompts each, show residual correlation of +0.053+0.053 between two deployments of one model against +0.0001+0.0001 across models, with a 95% interval clustered by developer of [0.030,0.078][0.030, 0.078], under an auditor that sees every order feature and is fitted out of sample. Second, the coupling falls monotonically as sampling temperature rises (p=0.002p=0.002), turning a deployment parameter into a candidate mitigation. Third, on 24 days of Ethereum block-building auction data covering 77,684 bids from 39 bidders, the honest population of bidder pairs is itself so dependent that a screen held at a 5% false-positive rate must sit above a floor of +0.50+0.50 to +0.81+0.81, which is 20 to 32 times the family-wise sampling threshold and does not fall as the audit window grows. Since lawful multi-identity operation and conspiracy are behaviourally indistinguishable here, the tractable regulatory target is not detection but counting: resolving 40 bidding identities into 23 operators raises the Herfindahl index by 247.5%, and adding behavioural clusters from public bid streams reaches 324.5%.
Jul 27, 2026cs.LO

A Computational Ethical Framework for Financial Digital Phenotyping for Mental Health

Ethical governance of AI-driven systems is often expressed through high-level principles and static documentation, creating a gap between regulatory requirements and system-level verification. This challenge is particularly acute in digital phenotyping, where continuous behavioural data raises concerns around consent, privacy, and fairness. In this paper, we propose a computational ethical framework for AI-driven digital phenotyping system in which ethical requirements are formalised as deontic temporal logic constraints, alongside a conceptual ethical agent that oversees the system and ensures that any supervised system satisfies the specified constraints. Using a case study involving financial data and mental health, we model key ethical properties and verify them using the Z3 Satisfiability Modulo Theories (SMT) solver. Our evaluation shows that the framework is logically consistent and that violations of the specified ethical properties are ruled out within the formal model through counterexample-based verification. This presents early research enabling continuous, machine-verifiable ethical checking, moving beyond retrospective compliance based on static documentation. We discuss limitations, including the need for real-world verification with data, the challenge with subjectivity and contextual sensitivity, the need for human oversight, and outline how such approaches can support the development of digital phenotyping and AI systems with continuous and auditable ethical guarantees.
Jul 23, 2026cs.LG

Finite-Sample Coverage Audits for High-Recall Candidate Generation: Certification and Learning-Theoretic Design

An initial high-recall stage in an empirical pipeline decides which items pass to later review, labelling, or modelling, and relevant items it misses are lost to every subsequent stage. We study how many audit labels are needed to certify, with finite-sample validity, that this missed relevant mass is small, and our main results characterise the label complexity of this problem. We first show that no procedure using only labels from inside the candidate set can certify any non-trivial bound on the missed mass: the audit must sample the excluded pool, the only region where unrecovered relevant items can lie. We then prove a matching finite-corpus lower bound. Any valid audit that certifies fewer than mm missed relevant items with high probability when none are present, even if adaptive and permitted to label the entire included pool, must inspect on the order of N0/mN_0/m excluded-pool labels. Excluded-pool auditing is therefore minimax rate-optimal, not merely convenient, for missed-mass certification in the zero-miss regime. Building on this characterisation, we develop an exact finite-sample toolkit, using binomial and hypergeometric inversion rather than asymptotic approximation, that certifies missed mass, converts it to recall through a two-pool design, certifies pre-specified families of nested candidate generators simultaneously, and produces stress-test certificates against declared perturbation mechanisms. These certificates can be paired with observable review burden to select the least burdensome pre-specified candidate generator meeting a missed-mass target. Every guarantee holds under one discipline: the candidate generator, or the pre-specified family from which it is selected, and the audit rule are fixed before the certification labels are examined.
Jul 22, 2026cs.LO

Operational Identity: A Finite Audit of Declared and Implemented Rules of Sameness

A record system declares when two records refer to the same entity, occurrence, scope, or rule. Its disclosed implementation mechanisms induce a corresponding operational identity relation. The declared and implemented relations may diverge systematically without producing a provenance gap or detectable contradiction. A system can apply, consistently and with every record individually correct, a rule of sameness that no artifact declares. This paper formalizes that implemented relation. A declared identity regime partitions a finite record domain into co-reference classes; a disclosed mechanism, through its typed identity-relevant outcomes, induces an operational identity partition of the same domain. The audit compares these partitions in the refinement lattice. A mechanism is faithful when the declared partition refines the operational partition, so no declared class is split. A divergence witness is a pair the declaration merges and the mechanism separates; such witnesses are decidable by pair enumeration. When an imported sibling basis also splits a declared class, local comparison with its partition yields sibling-aligned, sub-sibling, super-sibling, or sibling-incomparable divergence. This result reports only the relationship; it does not identify the basis carried by the mechanism. Global equality of the operational and sibling partitions is defined separately as regime substitution and does not follow from sibling alignment. A version field incremented on every textual edit inhabits the sub-sibling case by splitting declared classes more finely than either imported basis. The audit is three-valued and relative to the disclosed artifacts, evaluated surfaces, and identified uses; each boundary has a finite refuting witness. A passing verdict is non-monotone because extending the transformation history can merge declared classes and create a witness among records already examined.
Jul 21, 2026cs.LG

Toward Auditable Fraud Detection: Combining Graph Features, Model Explanations, and Agentic Case Investigation

Fraud detection systems must scale with rising transaction volume while remaining explainable and reviewable. We study a layered pipeline on the PaySim dataset that combines a gradient-boosted classifier, graph-derived structural features, an autoencoder-based anomaly signal, TreeSHAP explanations, and a bounded LLM investigation agent applied to cases the classifier scores uncertainly. Before any model comparison, we identify and remove a simulator-specific balance shortcut that would otherwise inflate baseline performance. After this correction, neither the graph features nor the anomaly signal improves Average Precision on the full test set. Both, however, rank fraud better within the subset of cases receiving intermediate baseline scores. In a controlled experiment with injected multi-account fraud rings, engineered structural features recover all injected test transactions, while the tabular baseline misses roughly a quarter of them. The investigation agent underperforms direct thresholding of the classifier it relies on, reaching 65.0% accuracy against 71.7% on a balanced 60-case sample, despite having access to model explanations, graph context, and retrieved reference cases. Of the eight decisions the agent changed, six replaced correct classifier outputs with errors, and it produced a coherent written rationale in each case. An exploratory disagreement-based escalation rule flagged two of these agent errors for human review without flagging any correct decision. We conclude that each component of a layered fraud system contributes only under specific conditions, and that a plausible rationale from an investigation agent is not evidence of a better decision.
Jul 21, 2026cs.LG

Predictive Extrema, Unprofitable Policies: An AI-Assisted Audit of Candle-Based Binance Spot Timing Models

We audit whether candle-based machine-learning models can turn predictions of cryptocurrency extrema or short-horizon outcomes into positive Binance Spot paper policies after assumed costs. Numerical results come from scripted fixed-seed model runs and deterministic simulators; human-supervised AI agents supported the July 20 evidence-integrity revision through literature retrieval, separately tasked critique, artifact reconciliation, documentation, and source packaging, not trading decisions. The strongest later-period evidence, conditional on extensive predecessor search, is negative: an unchanged ten-pair mandatory-daily selector lost 6.72% over 19 July cycles at an assumed 31-bps completed-cycle cost, with 3 wins and 16 losses. In short model-specific July evaluations, the validation-selected local-minimum policy returned -1.79%, while the local-maximum sell-to-cash/re-entry policy underperformed continuous holding by 2.80%; their gross mean advantages of 11.11 and 12.21 bps were below even the 21-bps stress. A Gurgul-inspired, OHLCV-only daily adaptation attained minimum/maximum ROC AUC of 0.874/0.896 but average precision of only 0.134/0.116 and lost 44.30% over seven cycles, versus -41.20% for buy-and-hold. A forensic audit also downgraded an earlier One4All "30-day holdout": its dates had influenced prior architecture work, its four-hour outcome horizon was not purged at split boundaries, it used same-close entry, and its raw result directories were absent. Across the tested, mostly exploratory protocols, event-ranking performance did not establish positive executable policy value. Every operational decision remains NO_TRADE.
Jul 15, 2026cs.IR

Can We Steer the Black-Box? Towards Controllability-Centric Evaluation of Recommender Systems with Collaborative Agents

Recommender systems operate as Black-Boxes, leaving users and regulators unable to steer their outputs toward specific intentions or audit their behavior. This lack of controllability, defined as the system's ability to respond to explicit guidance, remains an unaddressed dimension in existing evaluation paradigms. To fill this gap, we propose CtrlBench-Rec, a collaborative multi-agent framework for systematic assessment of controllability. We formalize three fundamental tasks: target content discovery, interest profile shaping, and popularity bias mitigation, which together measure steerability from explicit commands to implicit representation steering and finally to overcoming algorithmic biases.Extensive experiments on real-world datasets and multiple recommendation models demonstrate that our framework effectively quantifies controllability and exposes critical system bottlenecks, most notably persistent resistance to guiding long tail content. CtrlBench-Rec provides the first standardized toolkit for controllable recommendation research, algorithmic auditing, and user empowerment. Our code is released on https://github.com/caskcsg/CtrlBenchRec.
Jul 13, 2026cs.AI

Auditing the Risk Claims of Distributional Reinforcement Learning

Distributional reinforcement learning agents learn full return distributions that are increasingly read at face value: for interpretability, risk-sensitive control, and safety monitoring. We ask a question theory anticipates but that has not been measured directly: are the risk claims of a trained distributional agent true? Our audit combines a decision-relevant screening metric (the excess Wasserstein gap between the top two actions, which equals the mass by which first-order stochastic dominance is violated), ground truth from snapshot-restart Monte Carlo, and a statistical harness (permutation nulls, bootstrap refutation, FDR control) without which the audit itself manufactures false conclusions. Across QR-DQN, C51, and IQN on MinAtar (33 runs), 40-95% of the strongest claimed risk trade-offs are refuted at 95% confidence, the placement of the strongest claims is statistically indistinguishable from truth-blind, and essentially no claim is confirmable: for these agents, the learned "risk" reflects a training artifact rather than environment stochasticity. The artifact is structural (fully formed early in training, uncorrelated with final score, idiosyncratic to each seed) and appears unchanged at full-Atari scale, with every top Breakout claim of a pretrained near-state-of-the-art QR-DQN refuted. Positive controls of known magnitude confirm 96-100% of real claims (correlation 0.89-0.92): the reading measures the agents, not the audit. Acting on the heads' CVaR advice at their most-flagged states ranges from beneficial to significantly worse than chance. Neither training for risk nor ensembling removes the artifact, and recalibration passes the audit only by nullifying the claims: the head is uninformative, not merely miscalibrated. We release the toolkit and document two silent pitfalls that produced convincing but wrong audits of our own.
Jul 13, 2026cs.AI

From Neural Network Decisions to Training Cases: An Exact Account via Case-Based Decision Theory

Neural networks increasingly guide decisions in high-stakes domains such as medical diagnosis, credit approval, and energy bidding. Audit in these settings requires case-level evidence: which training cases support an action and what outcomes they carried. Case-based decision theory (CBDT) formalizes this reasoning by aggregating outcome support from remembered cases. We show that an OLS action readout fitted on a fixed neural representation admits an exact case-based decomposition. Each action score is a weighted sum of training-case returns, with coefficients determined by empirical Gram geometry. We identify a sufficient regime for CBDT similarity semantics; outside it, the coefficients should generally be treated as signed Gram-geometric influence. The decomposition yields audit signals that trace scores to training cases, measure action coherence, and identify weak support. Across synthetic CBDT, PJM, Adult Income, and Default Credit tasks, the method recovers case-level preference structure and achieves the highest mean Top-30 consistency among compared attribution baselines, while remaining competitive on support reconstruction. The audit requires only fitting an OLS top-layer probe, without retraining the representation or accessing the original optimization trajectory; probe fidelity is measured by score reconstruction.
Jul 13, 2026cs.LG

When the Reward Suite Is Leaky: A Preregistered Causal Contrast of Natural Verifier False Positives in RLVR

The test suites used as RLVR rewards for code have natural false positives: per-task, persistent, asymmetric errors that accept the same wrong programs every time they appear, unlike the symmetric or resampled noise assumed by existing noise-robustness analyses. We run a preregistered two-arm causal contrast on a deployed suite: GRPO on identical MBPP tasks, seeds, and compute, rewarded by the original MBPP tests (leaky) versus the MBPP+ extra tests (hardened). Two further families replicate the design under a preregistration frozen before their data existed. [C] The average held-out effect is bounded: non-inferior under a preregistered 1.5-pt margin (gap 0.20 pt, one-sided 95% upper bound 0.75 pt). [C] Rewarded false-positive mass tracks a cheap static leakiness audit computed before training (Spearman 0.80), and the registered train-side test puts the leak-stratum FP share +43.8 pt above clean tasks. [E] Auditing every rewarded FP under signed, human-adjudicated rules finds a large residual of verified genuinely wrong code: 47.57% record-weighted; both replication families reproduce a large share. The reward paid for real bugs, not merely suite artifacts. [E] Mechanism evidence is consistent with selection of pre-existing error modes rather than learned exploitation: FP incidence does not grow within our horizon, and untrained base models already produce the same wrong outputs under the leaky filter. We then turn the same instrument on the frontier judges themselves: on their own false positives they self-assess only weakly, a same-author test is unresolved, and even the highest-scoring reader we probe stays far below its score on a weaker policy's errors -- two subjects on MBPP, licensing nothing about frontier models in general. A cheap static audit locates exposure before training; hardening the reward removes the measurement inflation, though here it buys little capability.
Jul 9, 2026cs.AI

SolarChain-Eval: A Physics-Constrained Benchmark for Trustworthy Economic Agents in Decentralized Energy Markets

As agentic AI systems are increasingly applied to cyber-physical environments, their evaluation requires assessment of both task performance and trustworthiness. In decentralized energy markets, autonomous agents may improve market utility, but may also exploit invalid physical data, create artificial liquidity, and produce unstable governance decisions. Therefore, we propose SolarChain-Eval, a physics-constrained benchmark for evaluating trustworthy economic agents. It formulates market governance as a Gymnasium-compatible Markov Decision Process, where agents make hourly decisions. SolarChain-Eval evaluates each policy across multiple dimensions, including market utility, physical safety, slippage, action smoothness, spatial fairness, and auditability. To support agentic evaluation, SolarChain-Eval incorporates an LLM-based Planner/Auditor layer. The Planner defines episode-level action bounds and audit rules, while the Auditor reviews and revises high-risk actions. All interventions are recorded through structured logs, including trigger signals, proposed actions, revised actions, and audit rationales. Experiments with static, random, myopic, RL, and RL+LLM policies reveal a clear utility-safety trade-off. RL agents improve market utility but can still produce unsafe behavior. When the physics penalty is removed, reward-maximizing agents exploit invalid generation and increase artificial liquidity. The LLM Planner/Auditor improves auditability and mitigates selected risks, but it cannot fully compensate for a misspecified reward function. These results indicate that trustworthy agentic AI evaluation requires both physical constraints and transparent intervention traces. We release data and code as open access on GitHub for replicability.
Jul 7, 2026cs.CR

The Power of Backdoor Absorption in Community Training

Backdoor attacks severely threaten large-scale AI models. When model owners delegate training to external compute providers within a decentralized training paradigm, adversaries can craft stealthy, low-frequency triggers to inject malicious behavior while evading standard audits. Traditionally, detecting these attacks requires a full re-computation of the training steps--a prohibitive overhead that directly contradicts the owner's resource constraints. To address this, we investigate the resilience of continuous optimization dynamics under Byzantine perturbations, where adversaries are forced to compete against a continuous influx of honest updates. Under a threat model where an adversary compromises f out of n total trainers, we quantify the minimum auditing overhead required by the model owner to probabilistically bound the attack success rate. We formalize this injection-absorption dynamic as a Discrete-Time Markov Chain (DTMC). Using this framework, we prove that the success probability of any bounded adversary asymptotically collapses to zero under a defense strategy combining natural absorption, a randomized scheduler, and lazy verification oracle. Empirical results demonstrate significant backdoor suppression with zero utility degradation even when invoking the verification oracle on merely 10% of the total training steps. This approach yields a provably sound and computationally efficient defense for safety-critical AI.
Jul 6, 2026cs.RO

Governed Caste Reassignment in Heterogeneous Swarms: An Asymmetric-Trust Protocol with Audited Operator Countersignature

In heterogeneous robot swarms, caste reassignment (rebinding a robot to a new capability-bound role) is a high-frequency runtime event driven by battery, payload, and priority changes. Existing approaches treat it as an internal allocation algorithm and do not expose the reassignment to external authority. We argue that for regulated embodied deployments a caste change that elevates a robot's privilege envelope is a governance event that must be auditable and externally authorised. We propose an asymmetric-trust protocol: auto-tightening reassignments (to safer, lower-privilege castes) are admitted automatically, while bounded relaxation (to higher-privilege castes) requires an operator countersignature against a per-axis budget. Each transition carries a signed cause-chain, committed to a hash-chained Merkle audit log that an offline auditor verifies from an operator-signed identity manifest alone. We evaluate a reference implementation with real Ed25519 signatures over fleets up to 100 robots: auto-tightening completes in single-digit to low-double-digit milliseconds, and the governed protocol refuses four explicit attacks (caste laundering, repeated-relaxation escalation, operator impersonation, cause-chain forgery) by construction, with a partially-governed baseline isolating which gate stops which attack and a randomized fuzz adversary finding no admission. A distributed audit layer replicates the log across N per-member replicas with quorum-committed total order and cryptographic fork exclusion; we prove agreement and fork exclusion and validate them both in simulation and as a real multi-process deployment over TCP sockets (up to 100 real processes) with a Byzantine equivocator, on which every honest replica agrees, detects the equivocation, and commits no fork. The construction generalises a single-agent persona-mutation governance gate to swarm-level caste governance.
Jul 2, 2026cs.CY

The Eticas AI Risk Taxonomy: Open Infrastructure for Operationalizing AI Audits

The rapid deployment of AI systems across high-stakes domains has created urgent demand for standardized evaluation, yet the field remains fragmented across competing risk taxonomies that catalog risks without showing how an audit is executed. At least 74 AI risk taxonomies exist, and almost all stop at the catalog. The hard part of auditing is not naming a risk but operationalizing it: turning it into a test run against a real system, a measured value, a calibrated severity, and a defensible grade. This paper leads with that bridge. We present the operationalization layer Eticas has built and run, shown end to end on a single risk (PII leakage) against a public benchmark, and then the open taxonomy that makes the method scale. On GPT-4-0314, a disclosure risk that seven external frameworks require be controlled is measured at 0%, 51%, and 84% disclosure as adversarial conditioning increases, mapping through calibrated severity bands to a subcategory grade of E with a SYSTEMIC pattern. Around this example, the Eticas AI Risk Taxonomy v2.0.0 organizes 76 active subcategories across 10 categories and 20 sub-groups, with mappings to 18 external frameworks across compliance, reference, and academic tiers. Its category and sub-group layer is published under CC BY 4.0 as open semantic infrastructure with stable URIs and SKOS/JSON-LD distributions, and a worked subcategory example shows the operational layer down to its severity thresholds. The contribution is the demonstrated bridge from concept to graded finding, anchored by a clean separation of risks from the mechanisms by which they surface, and framed by an open-core model in which the conceptual scaffold is open and the methodology calibration is the practitioner layer. This is the infrastructure the AI auditing field needs: shared, open, and demonstrably operable.
Jul 2, 2026cs.LG

Gaming Consensus: Coordinated Manipulation in Crowdsourced Fact-Checking

Crowdsourced fact-checking systems have been adopted by major social media companies such as X, Meta, TikTok and Google with the aim of combating misleading information at scale without relying on centralized editorial control. These systems have been developed around a common underlying concept: a bridging mechanism that identifies notes flagging misleading information when they receive support from people with different perspectives rather than simple majority support. To our knowledge the only publicly disclosed bridging algorithms deployed for fact-checking are based on matrix factorization, as deployed by both X and Meta, augmented with additional components addressing abuse, targeted manipulation, and contributor brigades. This work examines the core matrix factorization portion of these systems, presenting theoretical and empirical evaluations of the degree to which coordinated users could vote strategically by leveraging the latent representations to fabricate the appearance of synthetic consensus within the bridging mechanism. Using historic production data, we find that up to 10.7% of lower quality notes could be manipulated above consensus thresholds using less than 10 ratings. We complement these findings with a theoretical analysis, revealing counterintuitively that rating a note as "Not Helpful" can increase its helpfulness score, as well as a cost model quantifying manipulation effort. We have developed and deployed mitigations within X's Community Notes algorithm to address synthetic consensus.
Jun 29, 2026cs.CL

Using AI Agents to Automate Black-Box Audits of Personalization Algorithms at Scale

Personalization algorithms determine what content users encounter on online platforms. Auditing these systems is difficult because independent auditors have only black-box access to the algorithms, while personalization depends on users' attributes, behavior, and evolving interaction histories. Existing auditing methods face a tradeoff: studies with real users capture realistic behavior but are costly and hard to control, whereas sock-puppet audits scale more easily but often rely on scripted behavior that limits realism. Beyond this, both approaches struggle to decouple user attributes from user behavior, limiting our ability to causally understand personalization. To address this gap, we introduce a framework for black-box audits of personalization algorithms using generative AI agents as behavioral engines for synthetic accounts. Each agent is instantiated with a fixed persona, grounded in demographic and political survey data, and interacts with a platform's content by reasoning about it and choosing actions. Because behavior is fixed within each persona while platform-visible signals such as age, gender, or location can be experimentally perturbed, our design enables counterfactual auditing of how platforms respond to user attributes. As a case study, we deploy 1,120 agents on X shortly after the 2024 U.S. election, spanning 14 personas and three counterfactual conditions, collecting over 200,000 content exposures. We find that X's algorithmic feed amplifies toxic, polarizing, political, and right-leaning content relative to the chronological feed, with amplification varying sharply by user ideology. Counterfactual analyses show that demographic signals affect content delivery in persona-dependent ways: pooled effects are largely null, while subgroup-level effects vary in direction and magnitude. Our work establishes GenAI-based agents as a new tool for algorithmic auditing.
Jun 28, 2026cs.AI

Pooled Leaderboards Hide System-Specific Winners: A Reporting-Protocol Audit of Offline Root-Cause Analysis Benchmarks

Offline root-cause-analysis (RCA) benchmarks commonly rank methods by a single pooled top-1 accuracy across multiple subsystems, and engineers often read the pooled winner as a recommendation for their own subsystem. We audit that reading on three public RCA benchmark families -- OpenRCA, RCAEval, and PetShop -- covering 11 subsystems and 778 matched scoring units. To keep pairwise comparisons on identical cases, the main analysis retains four methods or comparators with complete coverage: BARO, a CD-1min adapter, max-∣Z∣|Z|, and per-service alert-count. All six pairwise comparisons show subsystem-level effects of both signs, every random-effects 95% prediction interval crosses zero, and case-level interaction tests reject exchangeability in 5 of 6 pairs. Leave-one-system-out selection picks the lower-scoring method on up to 5 of 11 held-out subsystems, with regret reaching 24.8 pp on RCAEval / Sock-Shop. We release a 320-line audit module; given a matched RCA benchmark score table, it recomputes the same per-subsystem stability checks alongside pooled scores.
Jun 27, 2026econ.EM

Liquidity-Based Audit of Algorithmic Trading Strategies

We show that net demand for liquidity by algo strategies is identifiable from its trade and price history alone, with no knowledge of its signal or optimization problem. An exact multi-period regret decomposition implies that the sign of this statistic classifies a linear strategy as a net liquidity consumer or provider, recovering the Kyle (1985) informed-trader/market-maker dichotomy from observables alone. Under an AR(1) cost process, the same statistic equals the product of strategy size and the squared Roll (1984) implied spread, making the correction a direct proxy for prevailing illiquidity. Extending to endogenous price impact and aggregating across N correlated strategies yields a liquidity-balance condition whose violation produces welfare loss scaling as N squared, a closed-form fire-sale externality. We calibrate to CRSP equity data (2016-2025), tracking implied spreads through the COVID-19 and 2022 rate-shock episodes, with an estimator computable in O(Tnd) time.
Jun 27, 2026cs.AI

The Two Genie Game: Adoption and Welfare in Audit-Grounded AI Governance

We ask under what conditions an agent with a harm-minimizing policy can displace an approval-seeking (RLHF) agent in a competitive market, and when that policy is sufficient to prevent community harm. We use evolutionary game theory (finite-population Moran-Fermi pairwise comparison) to formalize this subject to assumptions of wisher hindsight, peer testimony, a monotone harm ledger, sufficient information density of community feedback, and a finite, depleting resource pool, in a negative-sum environment. We show that adoption is favored when the prior distributions on how readily wishers attune to community sentiment are monotone, exhibit endpoint inversion, and have a centro-symmetric pairing property, and demonstrate this with several long-tailed priors (Hill, Pareto, Lomax, Frechet). Where it is favored, a critical adoption level separates communities that drift back to the approval-seeking agent from those for which the audited agent fixes; above that level fixation is the overwhelmingly likely outcome. We derive when fixation is attainable as a bound on the effective (informational) size N_c of the community, which must be small enough to allow fixation before depletion. We present these as Theorems 5.4 and 5.5; the algebraic and finite-grid backbone is machine-checked in Lean 4, with the barrier-crossing asymptotics retained as explicit hypotheses. We show that a self-audited agent with a community ledger is not, in general, sufficient to prevent community harm. Sufficiency depends both upon the alignment of the agent's audit with community values and the timeframe over which harm is evaluated. Regardless of alignment, once adoption reaches dominance, the state is absorbing. The same policy that reduced harm under alignment becomes a trap, welfare-negative under misalignment and, even under alignment, one that locks in harm deferred past the adoption horizon.
Jun 24, 2026cs.LG

Statistical and Structural Approaches to Algorithmic Fairness

Modern machine learning systems have outgrown their origins as isolated predictive constructs, evolving into complex socio-technical architectures that actively mediate human opportunity. As algorithms increasingly determine access to economic and social opportunities, it has become widely recognized that these systems are deeply embedded with the structural inequalities and prejudices of their environments. The field of algorithmic fairness emerged in response to the growing recognition that models optimized for predictive accuracy can systematically disadvantage marginalized groups. Early mitigation strategies, however, rested on fragile simplifications that limited their effectiveness in complex socio-technical environments. This thesis identifies and addresses two fundamental limitations of contemporary fairness paradigms: the reliance on deterministic point estimates for auditing and the treatment of individuals as isolated entities devoid of structural context.
Jun 23, 2026cs.LG

Certification of Machine Learning Models via Directional Sharpness

In machine learning, model certification has been identified as an important method for gaining assurance about a model's trustworthiness and quality. A model's quality is largely determined by its ability to generalize, i.e., to perform well on data beyond what it was trained on. It is not possible to certify generalization directly, however, as it depends on unknown data and is not directly measurable. Proxies such as test accuracy can be misleading when the training process is perturbed (intentionally or accidentally), and metrics such as sharpness -- which has an empirically supported link to generalization -- are computationally expensive and can also serve as unreliable signals when training deviates from a prescribed procedure. In this work, we propose directional sharpness, a metric designed to efficiently and reliably indicate generalization despite potential training deviations. We provide empirical and analytical evidence that directional sharpness (1) correlates more strongly with generalization than existing metrics and (2) identifies models with poor generalization more reliably than existing metrics. Furthermore, directional sharpness is efficiently computable in model auditing settings, where the verifier has access to training data, and via zero-knowledge proofs that certify quality without revealing training data.