Analytics

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12 papers in the last 28 days · 0.2% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-21

6 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Analytics.

86 papers

Latest in Analytics

May 17, 2026cs.MA

Human-Flow Digital Twin for Predicting the Effects of Mobility Introduction on Visitor Circulation

We propose a framework for predicting the effects of mobility introduction measures using a human-flow digital twin. This digital twin incorporates a multi-agent simulator that can represent how visitors choose destinations depending on factors such as their current location and the attractiveness of spots. We extract data on how visitors selected destinations with respect to measured pre-intervention human-flow data, inter-spot distances, spot attractiveness, and travel volumes, and use these data to train each agent's decision model of this simulator. The trained decision model is a function that takes a visitor's current state and surrounding environmental information as input and outputs which spot the visitor will move toward next. By expressing mobility introduction measures as changes to inter-point distances or to spot attractiveness, the framework can reproduce human flows with mobility introduction in the multi-agent simulator and thereby quantify effects such as changes in visitor counts and circulation. We evaluated the proposed method using human-flow data measured with and without introducing mobility within Wakayama Castle Park in Japan. When reproducing flows with mobility introduction using a multi-layer perceptron decision model, the cosine similarity of the spatial population distribution exceeded 0.7, confirming that the approach can replicate the flow changes caused by the mobility introduction.
Chiharu Shima, Haruki Yonekura, Fukuharu Tanaka +2
May 15, 2026cs.CL

A Generative AI Framework for Intelligent Utility Billing CO 2 Analytics and Sustainable Resource Optimisation

Distribution utilities are now expected to deliver bills that customers can actually read attach a defensible carbon number to every kWh sold and schedule load against grid stress and emissions constraints We propose an end-to-end framework that unifies four production-grade capabilities under one architectural roof a generative-AI agent that drafts each customers natural-language billing statement from structured numeric inputs under a constrained decoding policy a transformer-based forecaster that supplies the day-ahead consumption estimate with calibrated quantile bands
Pavan Manjunath, Thomas Pruefer
May 14, 2026cs.IR

Fortress: A Case Study in Stabilizing Search Recommendations via Temporal Data Augmentation and Feature Pruning

In search and recommendation systems, predictive models often suffer from temporal instability when certain input features introduce volatility in output scores. This instability can degrade model reliability and user experience especially in multi-stage systems where consistent predictions are critical for downstream decision making. We introduce Fortress, a general framework for enhancing model stability and accuracy by identifying and pruning features that contribute to inconsistent prediction scores over time. Fortress leverages historical snapshots temporally partitioned datasets capturing score fluctuations for the same entity across periods and follows a four-step process: (1) collect historical snapshots, (2) identify samples with unstable predictions, (3) isolate and remove instability-inducing features, and (4) retrain models using only stable features. While semantic features from LLMs and BERT-based models improve generalization, they often lack full query or entity coverage. Engagement-based features offer strong predictive power but tend to introduce temporal instability. Fortress mitigates this trade-off by suppressing the volatility of engagement signals while retaining their predictive value leading to more stable and accurate models. We validate Fortress on a query-to-app relevance model in a large-scale app marketplace. Offline experiments demonstrate notable improvements in prediction stability (measured by Coefficient of Variation) and classification performance (measured by PR-AUC).
Milind Pandurang Jagre, Jia Huang, Dayvid V. R. Oliveira +6
May 12, 2026cs.LG

From Heuristics to Analytics: Forecasting Effort and Progress in Online Learning

Sustained effort is essential for realizing the benefits of intelligent tutoring systems (ITS), yet many learners disengage or underuse available practice time. We introduce engagement forecasting as a supervised prediction task based on ITS logs, targeting two outcomes central to effort and learning progress: minutes practiced per week and new skills mastered per week. Using interaction log data from 425 middle-school students over a school year, we benchmark fifteen predictors including regressions, decision trees, and neural networks. We show that these feature-based models reduce mean absolute error (MAE) by 22-33% relative to heuristic baselines, including fixed-percentile rules adapted from prior work in other behavioral domains. We find that percentile heuristics systematically overpredict, whereas feature-based models better track student practice trajectories across weeks. To support explainability, we analyze feature importance and ablations, revealing target-specific patterns: effort forecasting is driven mainly by recent activity features, while progress forecasting depends more on learner-state and content difficulty signals. Finally, in a semi-structured user interview case study with eight college tutors, we examine how tutors reasoned about system-generated predictive features when setting goals with students. We find that tutors reasoned differently about effort versus progress goals in ways that mirror our pattern analysis. Together, these results establish a reproducible benchmark for forecasting weekly effort and learning progress in ITS. By making patterns of sustained effort and progress visible at a weekly timescale, engagement forecasting offers a foundation for supporting tutor-learner goal setting and timely instructional decisions.
Eric S. Qiu, Danielle R. Thomas, Boyuan Guo +2
May 12, 2026eess.SY

Grid-Orch: An LLM-Powered Orchestrator for Distribution Grid Simulation and Analytics

The power distribution engineering workforce faces a projected shortage of up to 1.5 million engineers by 2030, creating urgent demand for more accessible analysis tools. This paper introduces Grid-Orch, a framework that bridges Large Language Models (LLMs) and power system simulation through the Model Context Protocol (MCP), enabling engineers to perform complex distribution analyses via natural language. Using OpenDSS as the reference implementation, Grid-Orch provides 36 domain-specific tools across eleven categories, covering power flow, voltage analysis, quasi-static time series (QSTS) simulation, and automated optimization. A provider-agnostic LLM layer supports both cloud-hosted (Gemini, Claude) and locally deployed (Ollama, llama-cpp) models, enabling air-gapped operation for security-sensitive utility environments. Three optimization skills, capacitor placement, voltage violation analysis, and overvoltage mitigation, extend the platform beyond single-tool queries to multi-step engineering workflows. Grid-Orch is delivered as an interactive web platform with chat-based interaction, a QSTS dashboard, and feeder topology visualization, and renders simulation results inline. Workflow demonstrations show that distribution analyses formerly requiring hours of scripting, such as distributed energy resource (DER) interconnection screening, complete in under two minutes through natural language, producing numerically identical results to direct OpenDSS scripting.
Boming Liu, Jin Dong, Jamie Lian
May 12, 2026eess.SP

Enabling AI-Native Mobility in 6G: A Real-World Dataset for Handover, Beam Management, and Timing Advance

To address the issues of high interruption time and measurement report overhead under user equipment (UE) mobility especially in high speed 5G use cases the use of AI/ML techniques (AI/ML beam management and mobility procedures) have been proposed. These techniques rely heavily on data that are most often simulated for various scenarios and do not accurately reflect real deployment behavior or user traffic patterns. Therefore, there is an utmost need for realistic datasets under various conditions. This work presents a dataset collected from a commercially deployed network across various modes of mobility (pedestrian, bike, car, bus, and train) and at multiple speeds to depict real time UE mobility. When collecting the dataset, we focused primarily on handover (HO) scenarios, with the aim of reducing the HO interruption time and maintaining continuous throughput during and immediately after HO execution. To support this research, the dataset includes timing advance (TA) measurements at various signaling events such as RACH trigger, MAC CE, and PDCCH grant which are typically missing in existing works. We cover a detailed description of the creation of the dataset; experimental setup, data acquisition, and extraction. We also cover an exploratory analysis of the data, with a primary focus on mobility, beam management, and TA. We discuss multiple use cases in which the proposed dataset can facilitate understanding of the inference of the AI/ML model. One such use case is to train and evaluate various AI/ML models for TA prediction.
Mannam Veera Narayana, Rohit Singh, Deepa M. R +1
May 12, 2026cs.AI

Engagement Process: Rethinking the Temporal Interface of Action and Observation

Task completion in digital and physical environments increasingly involves complex temporal interaction, where actions and observations unfold over different time scales rather than align with fixed observation--action steps. To model such interactions, we propose \emph{Engagement Process} (EP), an interaction formalism that inherits the decision-theoretic structure of POMDPs while making time explicit in the action--observation interface. EP represents actions and observations as decoupled event streams along time, rather than updates paired at fixed decision steps. This interface captures single-agent timing issues such as deliberation latency, delayed feedback, and persistent actions, while supporting richer agent-side organization, multi-rate coordination, and compositional interaction among subsystems. Across toy, LLM-agent, and learning experiments, EP exposes temporal behaviors hidden by step-based interfaces and enables policies to adapt under explicit time costs.
Jialian Li, Yuchen Cao, Junhong Liu +5
May 10, 2026cs.LG

Simpson's Paradox in Behavioral Curves: How Aggregation Distorts Parametric Models of User Dynamics

Behavioral curve modeling -- fitting parametric functions to engagement-versus-exposure data -- is standard practice in recommendation, advertising, and clinical dosing. We show that aggregation introduces a systematic distortion: Simpson's paradox in behavioral curves. On Goodreads (3.3M users, 9 genres), individual users peak at n* approximately 11 exposures while the aggregate peaks at n* approximately 34 -- a 3x gap driven by survival bias. Amazon Electronics (18M reviews) shows a 5.3x distortion. MovieLens-25M (D approximately 1) serves as a negative control, confirming that survival bias -- not aggregation per se -- is the operative mechanism. The distortion is robust to category granularity, engagement operationalization, and classifier calibration. We develop Synthetic Null Calibration to address a 32% false positive rate in per-user classification. Our findings apply wherever individual behavioral parameters are estimated from aggregate curves under differential attrition.
Chao Zhou
May 8, 2026cs.CL

Measuring and Mitigating the Distributional Gap Between Real and Simulated User Behaviors

As user simulators are increasingly used for interactive training and evaluation of AI assistants, it is essential that they represent the diverse behaviors of real users. While existing works train user simulators to generate human-like responses, whether they capture the broad and heterogeneous distribution of real user behaviors remains an open question. In this work, we introduce a method to measure the distributional gap between real and simulated user behaviors, validated through a human study and ablations. Given a dataset of real and simulated conversations, our method extracts representations of user behavior from each conversation, quantizes them into discrete distributions via clustering, then computes divergence metrics. We provide the first systematic evaluation of 24 LLM-based user simulators on coding and writing tasks, and reveal a large distributional gap from real users that varies across model families, scales, and behavioral facets. Pairwise comparisons show that most simulators behave similarly, while a few stand apart. Combining behaviorally complementary simulators brings the resulting distribution closer to real users compared to either simulator on its own. Finally, a TF-IDF analysis of the clusters surfaces interpretable patterns of behaviors that simulators capture, miss, and hallucinate.
Shuhaib Mehri, Philippe Laban, Sumuk Shashidhar +4
May 6, 2026cs.SE

The Single-File Test: A Longitudinal Public-Interface Evaluation of First-Output LLM Web Generation with Social Reach Tracking

This paper presents an eight-week observational comparison of 68 single-file HTML generations collected across 17 public experiments in the "HTML AI Battle" project between December 10, 2025 and February 4, 2026. Four reasoning model families, GPT, Gemini, Grok, and Claude, were compared under a fixed public-interface protocol with no custom instructions, no personality tuning, and no repair prompts. Each output was evaluated from a rendered browser video using human scores and a Gemini LLM-as-a-judge layer for prompt adherence, functional correctness, and UI quality, then packaged into a standardized social-media protocol spanning X (Twitter), TikTok, and YouTube. The tracker was also used for two supervised predictive analyses: an experiment-level model for 24-hour X impressions and a generation-level model for HTML verbosity. Under this protocol, Claude was the strongest and most consistent family, leading mean performance and winning 9/17 prompts under the primary human weighted score. Longer measured reasoning time was not associated with higher quality overall. Gemini as a judge was significantly more lenient than the human evaluator on functional correctness and overall performance, while stable self-favoring bias remained unresolved. The exploratory X-impressions model remained weak under post-screen cross-validation (MAE = 46,874, R^2 = -0.377), whereas the HTML-lines model performed better, with a model-family-only baseline outperforming prompt-aware alternatives (MAE = 135.2, R^2 = 0.576). Overall, selected pre-publication technical/audio variables were not sufficient to predict 24-hour X reach, while code verbosity was driven much more by model family than by prompt wording. The comparisons remain observational and are limited by public-interface drift, access-path differences, and one primary human scorer.
Diego Cabezas Palacios
May 6, 2026cs.CV

Not Every Subject Should Stay: Machine Unlearning for Noisy Engagement Recognition

Engagement recognition datasets are typically subject-indexed and often contain noisy, subjective supervision, making post-hoc dataset revision a practical problem. Existing noisy-label and data-cleaning methods largely operate at the sample level before or during training, but do not directly address a different question: once a model has already been trained, can the influence of an entire problematic subject be removed without full retraining? We study this setting through subject-level machine unlearning as a post-hoc sanitization mechanism for engagement recognition. Starting from a baseline trained on all subjects, we rank candidate harmful subjects using a model-dependent proxy, apply a lightweight approximate unlearning update, and compare the result against an oracle model retrained from scratch on the retained subjects only. We instantiate this protocol on DAiSEE and EngageNet using Tensor-Convolution and Convolution-Transformer Network (TCCT-Net) as a fixed platform and evaluate three matched model states under the same removal scenario: baseline, unlearned, and oracle. In representative K=3 forget-set settings, the unlearned model recovers 89.3% and 92.5% of the oracle gain on EngageNet and DAiSEE, respectively, at roughly one quarter of retraining cost. Across the tested small-audit regimes, effectiveness is strongest at an intermediate forget-set size, indicating that approximate subject-level unlearning is a useful low-cost correction mechanism, but one whose benefit depends on subject selection quality and removal regime.
Alexander Vedernikov
May 5, 2026cs.CV

PriorNet: Prior-Guided Engagement Estimation from Face Video

Engagement estimation from face video remains challenging because facial evidence is often incomplete, labeled data are limited, and engagement annotations are subjective. We present PriorNet, a prior-guided framework that injects task-relevant priors at three stages of the pipeline: preprocessing, model adaptation, and objective design. PriorNet converts face-detection failures into explicit zero-frame placeholders so that missing-face events remain represented in the input sequence, adapts a frozen Self-supervised Video Facial Affect Perceiver (SVFAP) backbone through a Prior-guided Low-Rank Adaptation module (Prior-LoRA) for parameter-efficient specialization, and trains with a Dirichlet-evidential, uncertainty-weighted objective under hard-label supervision. We evaluate PriorNet on EngageNet, DAiSEE, DREAMS, and PAFE using each dataset's native evaluation protocol. Across these benchmarks, PriorNet improves over the strongest listed prior reference within each dataset's evaluation framing, while component ablations on EngageNet and DAiSEE indicate that the gains arise from complementary contributions of preprocessing, adaptation, and objective-level priors. These results support explicit prior injection as a useful design principle for face-video engagement estimation under the benchmark conditions studied in this work.
Alexander Vedernikov
May 4, 2026cs.LG

Predicting Post Virality with Temporal Cross-Attention over Trend Signals

Current models for predicting social media virality rely heavily on static textual and structural features, effectively ignoring the highly dynamic nature of trend signals. We study whether real-world attention signals can improve the prediction of social-media virality beyond what post text alone reveals. We introduce ViralityNet, an architecture that predicts Reddit post virality by fusing internal platform representations with exogenous temporal signals derived from Wikipedia pageview spikes. We frame virality as a binary classification task that accounts for differences in subreddit scale, labeling posts as viral if they exceed the 90th percentile of per-subreddit engagement and a minimum absolute score threshold. ViralityNet combines four post-level streams: title embeddings, body embeddings, structural metadata, and learned subreddit embeddings with a cross-attention block that queries a daily sliding-window trends matrix encoding the top-512 Wikipedia spike terms from the preceding seven days. Empirical results suggest that incorporating external attention signals yields consistent gains, outperforming text-only baselines by +0.015 AUC-PR and achieving an overall AUC-ROC of 0.836. Overall, we provide evidence that incorporating external attention signals yields measurable improvements over text-only baselines, highlighting the importance of real-world dynamics in shaping online virality.
Sarvagya Somvanshi, Mohan Xu, Rakhi Chadalavada +1
May 3, 2026cs.CR

Decompose to Understand, Fuse to Detect: Frequency-Decoupled Anomaly Detection for Encrypted Network Traffic

Network traffic anomaly detection represents a critical cybersecurity task, yet widespread encryption makes this task increasingly challenging. In response, image-based methods that model traffic as visual patterns have emerged as the dominant approach. However, this work pioneers the identification of a pervasive full-frequency'' characteristic and an associated limitation termed spectral mismatch'' within this paradigm. Specifically, while encrypted traffic exhibits prominent high-frequency components, mainstream reconstruction methods demonstrate an inherent bias toward learning low-frequency information. This fundamental mismatch results in incomplete representations that consequently degrade anomaly detection performance. To address this challenge, we propose FreeUp, a novel frequency-decoupled framework designed explicitly for encrypted traffic analysis. FreeUp decomposes traffic data into distinct low- and high-frequency bands, processing them through separate, dedicated branches along with a customized training strategy that ensures stable and independent frequency-specific learning. Furthermore, recognizing that simple reconstruction error proves inadequate for evaluating dual-branch architectures, we introduce an uncertainty-inspired fusion scoring mechanism. This mechanism quantifies the reconstruction uncertainty of the frequency-specific branches and dynamically integrates their outputs, yielding a more comprehensive and reliable anomaly score. Extensive experiments across multiple benchmarks demonstrate that FreeUp consistently outperforms state-of-the-art baselines. The code is available at https://github.com/ikun0124/FreeUp.
Xinglin Lian, Chengtai Cao, Ting Zhong +3
May 2, 2026cs.HC

EduGage: Methods and Dataset for Sensor-Based Momentary Assessment of Engagement in Self-Guided Video Learning

Engagement, which links to attentional, emotional, and cognitive dimensions, plays an important role in learning. In online and video-based learning environments, learners often need to regulate their own interactions with instructional materials. Measuring and reflecting on engagement can therefore support both learners and adaptive learning systems. In this study, we use wearable and camera-based sensing devices to collect physiological and motion signals, including PPG, ECG, EDA, EEG, IMU, heart rate, temperature, and eye-tracking data, to estimate learner engagement. We conducted a user study with 16 participants in a video-based learning scenario, where participants completed learning tasks and provided repeated in-situ self-reports of engagement through brief probes. We develop and evaluate a system for engagement estimation, compare different sensing modalities, and further analyze the feasibility and effectiveness of multimodal modeling for characterizing learner engagement. Across participant-based cross-validation, our model achieves an MAE of 0.81, 83.75% within-1 accuracy, 73.93% binary accuracy, and 68.45% binary Macro-F1, outperforming sensor-free, statistical, deep temporal, foundation-model, and LLM-based baselines. Our results suggest that fine-grained engagement estimation is feasible but inherently noisy, and that practical systems should prioritize lightweight combinations of behavioral and physiological signals over full multimodal instrumentation. We release the EduGage dataset, including synchronized multimodal sensor signals, probe-aligned momentary engagement labels, video metadata, quizzes, and study materials, to support reproducible research on fine-grained sensor-based engagement modeling in self-guided learning.
Zikang Leng, Edan Eyal, Yingtian Shi +3
Apr 29, 2026cs.CL

Instruction Complexity Induces Positional Collapse in Adversarial LLM Evaluation

When instructed to underperform on multiple-choice evaluations, do language models engage with question content or fall back on positional shortcuts? We map the boundary between these regimes using a six-condition adversarial instruction-specificity gradient administered to two instruction-tuned LLMs (Llama-3-8B and Llama-3.1-8B) on 2,000 MMLU-Pro items. Distributional screening (response-position entropy) and an independent content-engagement criterion (difficulty-accuracy correlation) jointly characterise each condition. The gradient reveals three regimes rather than a monotonic transition. Vague adversarial instructions produce moderate accuracy reduction with preserved content engagement. Standard sandbagging and capability-imitation instructions produce positional entropy collapse with partial content engagement. A two-step answer-aware avoidance instruction produces extreme positional collapse, with near-total concentration on a single response position (99.9% and 87.4%) and no measurable content sensitivity. This was the only multi-step instruction tested, and it produced the most extreme shortcut. The attractor position matches each model's content-absent null-prompt default. The effect replicates across both models and four academic domains. Distributional collapse and content engagement can co-occur (50% concordance between screening criteria), indicating that entropy-based screening and difficulty-based content assessment capture partially independent dimensions of response validity. Results suggest that instruction complexity can determine whether adversarial compliance uses content-aware or content-blind mechanisms in small instruction-tuned LLMs under greedy decoding.
Jon-Paul Cacioli
Apr 28, 2026cs.AI

Hierarchical Multi-Persona Induction from User Behavioral Logs: Learning Evidence-Grounded and Truthful Personas

Behavioral logs provide rich signals for user modeling, but are noisy and interleaved across diverse intents. Recent work uses LLMs to generate interpretable natural-language personas from user logs, yet evaluation often emphasizes downstream utility, providing limited assurance of persona quality itself. We propose a hierarchical framework that aggregates user actions into intent memories and induces multiple evidence-grounded personas by clustering and labeling these memories. We formulate persona induction as an optimization problem over persona quality-captured by cluster cohesion, persona-evidence alignment, and persona truthfulness-and train the persona model using a groupwise extension of Direct Preference Optimization (DPO). Experiments on a large-scale service log and two public datasets show that our method induces more coherent, evidence-grounded, and trustworthy personas, while also improving future interaction prediction.
Nayoung Choi, Haeyu Jeong, Changbong Kim +2
Apr 28, 2026cs.CL

A paradox of AI fluency

How much does a user's skill with AI shape what AI actually delivers for them? This question is critical for users, AI product builders, and society at large, but it remains underexplored. Using a richly annotated sample of 27K transcripts from WildChat-4.8M, we show that fluent users take on more complex tasks than novices and adopt a fundamentally different interactional mode: they iterate collaboratively with the AI, refining goals and critically assessing outputs, whereas novices take a passive stance. These differences lead to a paradox of AI fluency: fluent users experience more failures than novices -- but their failures tend to be visible (a direct consequence of their engagement), they are more likely to lead to partial recovery, and they occur alongside greater success on complex tasks. Novices, by contrast, more often experience invisible failures: conversations that appear to end successfully but in fact miss the mark. Taken together, these results reframe what success with AI depends on. Individuals should adopt a stance of active engagement rather than passive acceptance. AI product builders should recognize that they are designing not just model behavior but user behavior; encouraging deep engagement, rather than friction-free experiences, will lead to more success overall. Our code and data are available at https://github.com/bigspinai/bigspin-fluency-outcomes
Christopher Potts, Moritz Sudhof
Apr 26, 2026cs.CL

Your Students Don't Use LLMs Like You Wish They Did

Educational NLP systems are typically evaluated using engagement metrics and satisfaction surveys, which are at best a proxy for meeting pedagogical goals. We introduce six computational metrics for automated evaluation of pedagogical alignment in student-AI dialogue. We validate our metrics through analysis of 12,650 messages across 500 conversations from four courses. Using our metrics, we identify a fundamental misalignment: educators design conversational tutors for sustained learning dialogue, but students mainly use them for answer-extraction. Deployment context is the strongest predictor of usage patterns, outweighing student preference or system design: when AI tools are optional, usage concentrates around deadlines; when integrated into course structure, students ask for solutions to verbatim assignment questions. Whole-dialogue evaluation misses these turn-by-turn patterns. Our metrics will enable researchers building educational dialogue systems to measure whether they are achieving their pedagogical goals.
Sebastian Kobler, Matthew Clemson, Angela Sun +1
Apr 22, 2026cs.LG

Efficient Multi-Cohort Inference for Long-Term Effects and Lifetime Value in A/B Testing with User Learning

In streaming platforms churn is extremely costly, yet A/B tests are typically evaluated using outcomes observed within a limited experimental horizon. Even when both short- and predicted long-term engagement metrics are considered, they may fail to capture how a treatment affects users' retention. Consequently, an intervention may appear beneficial in the short term and neutral in the long term while still generating lower total value than the control due to users churn. To address this limitation, we introduce a method that estimates long-term treatment effects (LTE) and residual lifetime value change (ΔERLVΔERLV) in short multi-cohort A/B tests under user learning. To estimate time-varying treatment effects efficiently, we introduce an inverse-variance weighted estimator that combines multiple cohorts estimates, reducing variance relative to standard approaches in the literature. The estimated treatment trajectory is then modeled as a parametric decay to recover both the asymptotic treatment effect and the cumulative value generated over time. Our framework enables simultaneous evaluation of steady-state impact and residual user value within a single experiment. Empirical results show improved precision in estimating LTE and ΔERLVΔERLV and identify scenarios in which relying on either short-term or long-term metrics alone would lead to incorrect product decisions.
Dario Simionato, Andrea Tonon, Mingxue Wang +3
Apr 21, 2026cs.CV

A Computational Model of Message Sensation Value in Short Video Multimodal Features that Predicts Sensory and Behavioral Engagement

The contemporary media landscape is characterized by sensational short videos. While prior research examines the effects of individual multimodal features, the collective impact of multimodal features on viewer engagement with short videos remains unknown. Grounded in the theoretical framework of Message Sensation Value (MSV), this study develops and tests a computational model of MSV with multimodal feature analysis and human evaluation of 1,200 short videos. This model that predicts sensory and behavioral engagement was further validated across two unseen datasets from three short video platforms (combined N = 14,492). While MSV is positively associated with sensory engagement, it shows an inverted U-shaped relationship with behavioral engagement: Higher MSV elicits stronger sensory stimulation, but moderate MSV optimizes behavioral engagement. This research advances the theoretical understanding of short video engagement and introduces a robust computational tool for short video research.
Haoning Xue, Jingwen Zhang, Xiaohui Wang +2
Apr 21, 2026cs.CL

Detecting AI-Generated Content on Social Media with Multi-modal Language Models

Generative AI has enabled the creation of photorealistic images and videos that are increasingly disseminated on social media, often used for spam, misinformation, manipulation, and fraud. Existing AI-generated content (AIGC) detection methods face challenges including poor generalization to new generation models, reliance on single modalities, and lack of interpretable explanations. We present our pipeline that mitigates these issues by continuously curating diverse multi-modal social media data and training a compact vision-language model for detection and explanation. Our model achieves state-of-the-art detection performance on public benchmarks and demonstrates robust detection and explanation capabilities on internal social media datasets across multiple platforms. We deployed our model for post recommendation on social media platforms and observed positive downstream impacts on user engagement, demonstrating that it is feasible to perform effective AIGC detection in dynamic, real-world social media environments.
Chenyang Yang, Shen Yan, Yibo Yang +13
Apr 16, 2026cs.RO

DigiForest: Digital Analytics and Robotics for Sustainable Forestry

Covering one third of Earth's land surface, forests are vital to global biodiversity, climate regulation, and human well-being. In Europe, forests and woodlands reach approximately 40% of land area, and the forestry sector is central to achieving the EU's climate neutrality and biodiversity goals; these emphasize sustainable forest management, increased use of long-lived wood products, and resilient forest ecosystems. To meet these goals and properly address their inherent challenges, current practices require further innovation. This chapter introduces DigiForest, a novel, large-scale precision forestry approach leveraging digital technologies and autonomous robotics. DigiForest is structured around four main components: (1) autonomous, heterogeneous mobile robots (aerial, legged, and marsupial) for tree-level data collection; (2) automated extraction of tree traits to build forest inventories; (3) a Decision Support System (DSS) for forecasting forest growth and supporting decision-making; and (4) low-impact selective logging using purpose-built autonomous harvesters. These technologies have been extensively validated in real-world conditions in several locations, including forests in Finland, the UK, and Switzerland.
Marco Camurri, Enrico Tomelleri, Matías Mattamala +18
Mar 8, 2026cs.GT

A Lightweight MPC Bidding Framework for Brand Auction Ads

Brand advertising plays a critical role in building long-term consumer awareness and loyalty, making it a key objective for advertisers across digital platforms. Although real-time bidding has been extensively studied, there is limited literature on algorithms specifically tailored for brand auction ads that fully leverage their unique characteristics. In this paper, we propose a lightweight Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework designed for brand advertising campaigns, exploiting the inherent attributes of brand ads -- such as stable user engagement patterns and fast feedback loops -- to simplify modeling and improve efficiency. Our approach utilizes online isotonic regression to construct monotonic bid-to-spend and bid-to-conversion models directly from streaming data, eliminating the need for complex machine learning models. The algorithm operates fully online with low computational overhead, making it highly practical for real-world deployment. Simulation results demonstrate that our approach significantly improves spend efficiency and cost control compared to baseline strategies, providing a scalable and easily implementable solution for modern brand advertising platforms.
Yuanlong Chen, Bowen Zhu, Bing Xia +1
Sep 8, 2025cs.NE

Explainable Information Processing in Particle Swarm Optimization through Landscape and Search Behavior Analysis

Swarm-based optimization algorithms have demonstrated remarkable success in solving complex problems, yet their widespread adoption remains limited due to poor transparency in how algorithmic components influence performance. This work presents a multi-faceted explainability framework for Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) through two complementary perspectives: landscape-based and algorithmic explainability. From the landscape-based perspective, we develop a comprehensive characterization framework using Exploratory Landscape Analysis (ELA) to quantify problem difficulty, multimodality, and ruggedness, extracting ELA meta-features, dispersion measures, and information content statistics, while a machine learning approach employing Decision Tree and Random Forest classifiers enables prediction of optimal topology-specific hyperparameter configurations for unseen problems. From the algorithmic explainability perspective, we integrate IOHxplainer for temporal convergence profiling and Search Trajectory Networks (STN) for spatial navigation mapping, proposing three novel STN metrics-Connectivity Density, Fragmentation Score, and Search Efficiency-that enhance visual explainability by quantifying topology-specific search organization and transition effectiveness. Through systematic experimentation across 24 benchmark functions in multiple dimensions with Star, Ring, and Von Neumann topologies, we establish practical guidelines for topology selection and parameter configuration. Our findings uncover the black-box nature of PSO, providing greater transparency and interpretability to swarm intelligence systems. The source code is available at https://github.com/GitNitin02/ioh_pso.
Nitin Gupta, Bapi Dutta, Anupam Yadav
Date pendingcs.IR

Membership Inference Attacks on Recommender System: A Survey

Recommender systems (RecSys) have been widely applied to various applications, including E-commerce, finance, healthcare, social media and have become increasingly influential in shaping user behavior and decision-making, highlighting their growing impact in various domains. However, recent studies have shown that RecSys are vulnerable to membership inference attacks (MIAs), which aim to infer whether user interaction record was used to train a target model or not. MIAs on RecSys models can directly lead to a privacy breach. For example, via identifying the fact that a purchase record that has been used to train a RecSys associated with a specific user, an attacker can infer that user's special quirks. In recent years, MIAs have been shown to be effective on other ML tasks, e.g., classification models and natural language processing. However, traditional MIAs are ill-suited for RecSys due to the unseen posterior probability. Although MIAs on RecSys form a newly emerging and rapidly growing research area, there has been no systematic survey on this topic yet. In this article, we conduct the first comprehensive survey on RecSys MIAs. This survey offers a comprehensive review of the latest advancements in RecSys MIAs, exploring the design principles, challenges, attack and defense associated with this emerging field. We provide a unified taxonomy that categorizes different RecSys MIAs based on their characterizations and discuss their pros and cons. Based on the limitations and gaps identified in this survey, we point out several promising future research directions to inspire the researchers who wish to follow this area. This survey not only serves as a reference for the research community but also provides a clear description for researchers outside this research domain.
Jiajie He, Xintong Chen, Xinyang Fang +4