War

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4 papers in the last 28 days · 0.1% of indexed attention

Twelve weeks of publication activity for this topic as it is defined today.

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Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in War.

Period ending 2026-09-14

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in War.

Period ending 2026-09-07

2 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in War.

27 papers

Latest in War

Sep 14, 2026cs.CR

Divide, Consult, Conquer: Capability Laundering Through Aligned LLMs

Language model safety is typically evaluated one interaction at a time. We show that a weaker, unaligned model can split a harmful task into benign-looking subproblems, consult a stronger aligned model independently on each, and combine the answers locally. We call this attack capability laundering. Unlike a jailbreak, no single response is a harmful task. We measure consultation-aided uplift using tasks that a raw frontier model solves, the aligned frontier refuses, and the unassisted orchestrator fails. We evaluate GPT-5.5, Claude Opus 4.8, and Grok-4.3 as consultants to four local orchestrators on CyBench, BountyBench, and harmful CBRN requests. On CyBench, Gemma-4-31B recovers 8/14 candidates with GPT-5.5 and 7/9 with Opus, compared with 2/21 and 4/15 for Gemma-4-12B. On BountyBench, Gemma-4-31B recovers 3/9 and 2/3 candidates, while Muse-Glimmer-30B recovers none of 22 and 13. For CBRN, we measure uplift across eight steps of a hypothetical bioweapon attack chain and find that consultation raises Gemma-4-31B's mean rubric score from 62.3 to 83.1 on a 100-point rubric scale. These results expose a gap in current defenses: refusing a harmful task does not prevent frontier capabilities from being transferred and composed across many individually permitted interactions.
Mark Russinovich, Blake Bullwinkel, Giorgio Severi +2
Sep 11, 2026cs.CL

CMNIE: An Information Extraction Benchmark for Chinese Military News

Structured extraction from Chinese military news supports intelligence analysis, decision-making, and knowledge base construction. However, existing resources provide limited support for joint informa?tion extraction in this domain, especially when events, event arguments, entities, and relations must be modeled together. We present CMNIE, an information extraction benchmark for Chinese military news. Extend?ing military-domain resources beyond document-level event annotations, CMNIE jointly annotates event triggers, event arguments, named enti?ties, and entity relations under a unified domain schema. The dataset contains 13,000 instances collected from public Chinese military news, with manual annotations for 7 event types, 10 argument roles, 7 entity types, and 8 relation types. We evaluate supervised IE models, zero-shot large language models, and fine-tuned LLM-based extraction methods on a shared test set. Experimental results show that CMNIE remains chal?lenging, especially for relation extraction and exact matching of event?argument spans; zero-shot LLMs often identify relevant semantic units but fail to match gold span boundaries exactly. CMNIE provides a stan?dardized benchmark for studying schema adherence, exact span match?ing, and joint structured extraction in specialized Chinese news.
Yan Yu, Mengna Zhu, Zhenyu Song +3
Sep 1, 2026cs.CL

Disentangling Statistical Preemption from Entrenchment in Language Models' Avoidance of Overgeneralization

How do learners avoid overgeneralizations such as Tom laughed me without explicit negative evidence? Constructionists have posited two proposals that describe indirect negative evidence against overgeneralizations: preemption (which privileges exposure to near-synonymous construction---e.g., she made him laugh) vs. entrenchment (all exposures to a verb's grammatical usages, including cases like He laughed). We disentangle these hypotheses by running controlled rearing experiments on LMs trained on child-caregiver conversations, where we systematically remove preemptive vs. non-preemptive evidence. We find that while LMs avoid overgeneralizations, they do not show preemption at a verb-specific level, instead showing weak but non-zero evidence of abstract preemption. Combined with results from analyzing the LMs' training dynamics, we find that LMs treat competing structures as indirect positive---as opposed to negative---evidence in the verb-specific condition. Insofar as preemption is the more plausible route to avoiding overgeneralizations in humans, our results point the need for there to be sensitivities to indirect negative evidence in neural network learners, and suggest new human experiments to test abstract preemption.
Yixuan Wang, Freda Shi, Kanishka Misra
Sep 1, 2026cs.RO

Evaluating Multimodal LLMs as Generalist Vision-Language-Action Agents for Drone Control: Commanding, Approaching, Tracking and Searching

Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are strong perceivers of images and video. We ask how far that reach extends into acting: dropping an MLLM directly into a drone's control loop, with its entire action space declared solely in the prompt. Recent systems approach this setting but increasingly narrow the model's decision-making. We widen it back. We introduce DroneCATS-Agent, an architecture where the MLLM is a swappable component, and DroneCATS, a benchmark treating the model as the independent variable. Beyond merely flying toward a pixel, our agent entrusts the model to yaw and search, deliberate when unsure, and self-declare arrival---all without fine-tuning or function-calling schemas. Evaluating frontier and open models across four core capabilities---approaching a visible target, tracking a moving one, searching outside the initial view, and commanding a multi-drone fleet---reveals that even the simplest embodied settings are far from solved. Crucially, to identify what breaks first at the edge, our roster scales down to 2B parameters. The findings expose a stark paradox: it is not the flying that fails. Small open models often navigate into the success radius more reliably than frontier models, yet lose the episode by declaring arrival prematurely or not at all. Multi-drone commanding amplifies this divide, with small models failing by blindly copying a single coordinate across distinct views. Viewed as vision-language-action agents, the models' spatial perception holds up, but their action protocol does not. What separates a deployable edge model from a frontier model is not navigation, but the discipline to sustain a declared protocol and emit the correct terminating action. The open problem is closing this gap at onboard compute costs---yielding a fast model that plans persistently and knows exactly when it is done---and DroneCATS is built to measure that distance.
Jaewoo Park, Minyoung Lee, Sukmin Seo +11
Jul 31, 2026cs.CV

Counting the Cost of War Under Satellite Embargo: Zero-Shot Estimation of Impacted Infrastructure

Rapid estimation of impacted structures - critical for conflict-zone humanitarian response - is frequently hindered by post-strike satellite data embargoes and imagery blackouts. We bypass this operational bottleneck by reframing impacted building mapping as a zero-shot geometric projection task on archival, pre-strike maps. Using coordinate and incident text from LiveUAMap and ArcGIS, Large Language Models extract weapon payloads (W) to project kinetic blast perimeters via Hopkinson-Cranz scaling (R_base = Z * W^(1/3)). To count exposed structures within these zones without post-strike imagery, we introduce two technical innovations: Adaptive Field-of-View to eliminate resolution (zoom) bias in 2D segmentation (SAMGeo), and 2.5D pseudo-height depth maps combined with segmentation masks to help Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) resolve overlapping, dense rooftops. Evaluated on 2026 Middle East conflict data, depth-augmented LVLMs dramatically outperform traditional segmentation in congested urban centers. This establishes a powerful hybrid paradigm for zero-shot crisis mapping: ultra-fast 2D segmentation for sparse rural zones, and depth-augmented LVLMs for dense urban environments.
Saleh Sakib Ahmed, M. Sohel Rahman
Jul 19, 2026cs.LG

WAR: Workload-Aware Rollouts for Synchronous Agentic Reinforcement Learning

Long-horizon rollout generation has become the dominant systems bottleneck in agentic reinforcement learning (RL). As agents interact with environments over many turns, trajectories rapidly grow to tens of thousands of tokens, making synchronous RL training increasingly constrained by rollout. We propose WAR, a workload-aware rollout system that substantially accelerates synchronous agentic RL by jointly optimizing decoding and scheduling. WAR is built on a key observation: the optimal rollout optimization strategy depends on runtime load: (1) Under low load, WAR enables model-free speculative decoding with SuffixDecoding, which reuses suffix patterns from previously completed trajectories as speculative drafts for future rollouts. Unlike model-based drafters, SuffixDecoding introduces no additional draft model and avoids GPU contention with rollout generation. (2) Under high load, where saturated batched decoding leaves limited room for speculative speedup, WAR shifts the optimization focus to cache-aware scheduling. A global scheduler places requests across rollout replicas based on cache locality, trajectory progress and server load, reducing redundant KV-cache recomputation and mitigating load imbalance. By combining decoding-level suffix reuse with system-level rollout scheduling, WAR delivers robust throughput improvements across workload regimes without changing the underlying RL algorithm. WAR improves long-context agentic rollout throughput by 1.4x under low load and up to 1.6x under high load. These results show that WAR removes a major rollout bottleneck in synchronous agentic RL and provides a practical path toward scalable long-context agent training.
Ryan Xu, Atlas Zhao, David Bao +1
Jul 14, 2026cs.CV

WanToFight: Real-Time Generative Game Engine for Multi-Player Combat Interaction

We present WanToFight, a generative game engine that simulates real-time, two-player The King of Fighters '97 (KOF~'97) gameplay from keyboard input. Prior generative game engines target either single-player first-person settings or non-real-time cooperative scenarios; multi-player control, real-time inference, complex physical interaction, and adversarial gameplay have not been jointly addressed. WanToFight closes this gap with three components built on the Wan-1.3B video diffusion transformer: a streaming autoregressive generator with block-causal attention and a rolling KV cache; a visually grounded Player Association module that binds each player's keyboard signal to a character identity; and a gated, locally causal keyboard injection module trained with a single-player-to-full-gameplay curriculum. A four-step DMD-distilled student paired with a pruned VAE decoder sustains 30FPS at 512x384 on a single NVIDIA RTX 5090 over the duration of a complete match. To our knowledge, WanToFight is the first generative game engine to combine multi-player control, real-time inference, complex physical interaction, and adversarial gameplay in one system.
Li Hu, Guangyuan Wang, Peng Zhang +1
Jul 7, 2026cs.CV

CoMind: Understanding Collaborative Human Activity from Multiple Minds and Views

Human-human collaboration is a fundamental aspect of everyday life, essential to success in a wide range of goal-directed activities from household tasks to professional teamwork. While much research has focused on modeling coordination and task execution, the cognitive processes that support such collaboration, particularly Theory of Mind (the ability to infer the mental states of others), remain difficult to study in natural settings. To address this gap, we introduce a novel egocentric and exocentric video dataset capturing real-world collaboration in cooking scenarios. The dataset integrates multi-perspective video, high-quality audio, gaze tracking, and 3D scene and object scans, with annotations for shared attention to objects, social cues and interactions between agents, as well as agent-object interactions. We establish benchmarks for Joint Attention Estimation, Socially Conditioned Object Interaction Anticipation, and Collaborative Handover Prediction, enabling research on multimodal perception, proactive assistance, and collaborative planning. By providing temporally aligned, richly annotated multimodal data, CoMind facilitates the development and evaluation of AI systems capable of modeling complex social interactions and reasoning about human behaviors in collaborative environments. Our dataset and benchmarks are made available at https://comind.ethz.ch/.
Alexey Gavryushin, Dingxi Zhang, Zhao Huang +8
Jul 6, 2026cs.LG

Localized LoRA-MoE: Block-wise Low-Rank Experts With Adaptive Routing

Large Language Models (LLMs) and high-dimensional perception networks increasingly rely on parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) to adapt to diverse operational contexts. However, standard methods like LoRA are structurally limited by a monolithic bottleneck, making them highly susceptible to gradient warfare. Interleaved multi-task streams may trigger destructive optimization feedback, collapsing adapter weights into unspecialized averages. While recent spatial partitioning methods have introduced block-wise isolation, they remain trapped in static topologies, unable to adapt to dynamic task-switching or environmental sensor failure. In this work, we introduce Localized LoRA-MoE, a unified framework that fuses localized spatial blocking with dynamic, context-conditioned routing. We propose and evaluate two novel architectural paradigms: Block-Wise LoRA-MoE (Centralized Macro-Routing), which modulates the entire structural grid via a monolithic context signal, and Cell-Wise LoRA-MoE (Decentralized Micro-Routing), which empowers every coordinate cell in the matrix grid with autonomous, localized expert gating. Through a comprehensive suite of benchmarks, ranging from high-dimensional SVD matrix simulations and real-world tabular transformations to spatial vision perception under sensor degradation, we demonstrate that both architectures resolve optimization deadlocks inherent in static baselines. Our empirical results establish that decentralized cell-level gating achieves complete statistical parity with an omniscient global coordinator, providing a robust "gradient firewall" that protects surviving pathways from fault-propagated corruption. Our proposals consistently outperform static baselines, offering a scalable and parameter-efficient solution for dynamic model adaptation across granular coordinate fields and shifting operational regimes.
Babak Barazandeh, Subhabrata Majumdar, Vinay Prithyani +1
Jul 5, 2026cs.RO

!Imperio, smolVLA: The Implications of Data Poisoning on Open Source Robotics

This work establishes that trigger-word data poisoning of vision language action models is practical, while at the same time the open-source robotics ecosystem holds trust assumptions about community contributions. A few poisoned samples can silently embed a backdoor that disables a robot on command. We evaluate this threat against smolVLA on a real-world pick-and-place task, training on three poison ratios and evaluating across different prompts on the LeRobot platform. Three poisoned episodes in 320 clean episodes suffice for a complete denial of service. Success rate drops to 0.0 plus minus 0.0% across all trigger-word conditions and the robot locks into a fixed joint configuration rather than executing any task-relevant motion. Clean-prompt behaviour holds at approx. 50% success rate across all poison ratios, confirming the attack is stealthy under normal operation. A single poisoned episode already reduces success rate to 6.7 plus minus 6.7%. The robot still moves, but no longer completes the task. The attack generalises to front, middle, and end trigger placements despite training exclusively on front-placed triggers. These findings establish that the threat is practical, low-cost, and stealthy, and warrant treating dataset provenance as a first-class concern in open-source robotics ecosystems.
Stefan Bühler, Mark Schutera
Jun 30, 2026cs.CL

Structural Pattern Mining in Inka Khipus: Unsupervised Clustering, Provenance Classification, and a Computational Validation of the Santa Valley Match

Khipus -- knotted cord devices -- were the primary recording medium of the Inka Empire (c. 1400-1532 CE), yet their system remains undeciphered. We present a reproducible machine-learning pipeline applied to the Open Khipu Repository (OKR), a public database of 619 khipus comprising 54,403 cords and 110,677 knots. We engineer 27 structural features per khipu and apply (i) unsupervised clustering via UMAP and HDBSCAN, recovering three structurally distinct groups (silhouette = 0.769); (ii) supervised provenance classification via gradient boosting, reaching F1 = 0.86 for the Inka Late Horizon imperial style; and (iii) SHAP-based interpretability, which identifies cord twist direction as the dominant structural discriminator of imperial khipus. We further report two findings of methodological interest. First, one cluster is dominated not by a geographic region but by nineteenth-century European museum collections, indicating that colonial acquisition and recording practices are structurally encoded in the corpus. Second, we provide an independent computational verification of the recto/verso (moiety) structure of the six Santa Valley khipus reported by Medrano and Urton (2018), reproducing both the aggregate attachment ratio and the identification of the single mixed specimen--using only the public OKR database, without physical access to the objects. We additionally report a negative result: knot-type sequence order, encoded as n-grams, adds no provenance signal beyond aggregate features. All code and data are openly available.
Maria Contreras
Jun 29, 2026cs.CL

Why Struggle with Continuous Latents? Interpretable Discrete Latent Reasoning via Rendered Compression

Large language models achieve high reasoning performance via explicit chain-of-thought and reinforcement learning, but require long output sequences and extended inference time. Latent reasoning reduces this cost by shifting computation into a latent space; however, continuous latent methods are hard to train, suffering from unstable and uninterpretable reasoning trajectories. We argue these issues stem from a misalignment between continuous-space reasoning and discrete symbolic supervision, as continuous states lack explicit anchors for step-by-step alignment. To resolve this, we propose \textbf{Discrete Latent Reasoning~(DLR)}, the first method that converts continuous latent states into explicit discrete tokens. Inspired by render-based compression, we render textual chains of thought into images, extract visual features, and construct a discrete latent vocabulary via clustering-based fine-tuning. Expanding the vocabulary and output head enables standard autoregressive modeling over both natural language and latent tokens, supporting pretraining alignment, SFT, and RL. Experiments on five reasoning benchmarks and two model series~(Qwen3-VL and LLaMA-3) confirm that \textbf{DLR} outperforms prior latent reasoning baselines with up to \textbf{20×\times compression}. Furthermore, the learned latent trajectories retain an interpretable semantic structure. Overall, discrete latent tokens provide a controllable and interpretable basis for efficient latent reasoning.
Shuochen Chang, Qingyang Liu, Shaobo Wang +8
Jun 28, 2026physics.flu-dyn

Kriging and neural network models for pressure losses across perforated plates

In this paper, two novel data-driven models based on kriging and neural networks (NN) are proposed to predict pressure losses across perforated plates with circular perforations in turbulent flows. The models are developed using two sets of experimental data available in the literature. The predictive performance of the proposed models is assessed and compared against widely used empirical formulae. It is found that the proposed models consistently outperform existing empirical models for most perforated plate configurations contained in the experimental datasets. Besides, the predicted pressure losses generally show good agreement with experimental measurements, demonstrating that data-driven approaches based on kriging and NN provide a feasible framework for modelling pressure losses across perforated plates. Overall, both approaches are promising, despite being trained on a relatively limited amount of experimental data, owing to the scarcity of measurements reported in the literature. To demonstrate the applicability of the proposed models in numerical simulations, two-dimensional channel flows are simulated using the Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) equations, in which the new pressure-loss models are implemented as a source term in the momentum equations. The RANS predictions are found to be in excellent agreement with the model predictions, confirming the suitability of the proposed approaches for practical computational fluid dynamics applications.
Shuai Li
Jun 22, 2026cs.CL

War in the Abstract: The Rise and Consequences of Militarized Language in Scientific Communication

Scientists do not, by profession, wage war. Yet warfare's vocabulary consistently appears in their abstracts. To quantify the extent to which warfare's vocabulary pervades scientific abstracts, we analyze 21.4 million papers (2010-2025; OpenAlex, PubMed). We additionally run a within-subject war-framing experiment (N = 801; 32,040 trials) designed to provide causal insight into the effects of militaristic language on persuasion. Between 2010 and 2025, the presence of militaristic terms in scientific abstracts rose 48% in OpenAlex and 32% in PubMed, with the rise accelerating sharply after 2019 (cross-database r = 0.96, p < 10^-8). The prevalence of militaristic language is conflict-aligned at both country and annual scales (Uppsala Conflict Data Program; r = 0.77-0.84), with the abstracts from the Global South displaying the fastest rise in militaristic language. Among disciplines, social sciences leads in level of such language while engineering and computer science lead in growth. The COVID and post-2022 large-language-model eras also saw the rise and narrowed the language gap between native-English and non-English authors. In our follow-up experiment, we found that war framing reduced credibility (mean shift -0.18 Likert units, 95% CI [-0.21, -0.14]; d_z = -0.28, p < 10^-20), funding willingness (d_z = -0.12) and policy support (d_z = -0.08), with a trend-level increase in sense of urgency (d_z = +0.07). Collectively, findings reveal that while scientific abstracts drift toward warfare, the use of militaristic language may erode credibility, funding willingness, and policy support.
Sovesh Mohapatra, David Lydon-Staley, Dani S. Bassett
Jun 15, 2026cs.CR

Graph neural networks at war: integrating cybersecurity and drone intelligence in the Israeli-Iranian conflict

Physical cyber systems have brought about new threats and challenges in detection and immediate response. This study examines how Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) can be used to aid cybersecurity and drone management in a physical cyber system comprising of cyber intrusions and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). By providing a bridge between structural understanding of graphical neural networks, this work has provided an integrated procedure that allows intrusion detection systems to educate on underlying network structures, identify malicious activity, and facilitates drone response measures. Based on an emulation-based case study, cyberattacks models were created to provoke the responses of the drones, which proved that graph-based learning can assist with the situational awareness, swarm coordination, and adaptive maneuver. According to the performance valuation, this method has a detection rate of 94.2, average area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) of 0.955 and an average response time of 1.4 seconds. Comparative experiments reveal that proposed GraphSAGE network is more effective than the Graphical Convolutional Networks (GCNs) and Graphical Attention Networks (GATs) in the identical situation. Such findings prove that graphical neural networks can be used to avert intrusion and response of dynamic cyber-physical systems.
Sozan Sulaiman Maghdid, Tarik Ahmed Rashid, Shavan Askar
Jun 11, 2026cs.CY

Vocal Identity Under Siege by AI Voice Cloning Technologies

The advent of sophisticated AI-driven voice cloning has brought to the fore critical legal and ethical challenges regarding the protection of vocal identity. Prompted by recent controversies - including the striking resemblance between OpenAI's ChatGPT-4o voice and that of Scarlett Johansson - this article examines how generative AI technologies undermine the unique value of the human voice and further complicate the legal questions surrounding personality right. Through a comparative analysis, the paper evaluates three principal legal frameworks: the right of publicity, personality rights, and the personal data protection right. Each framework - rooted in different legal traditions o offers distinct strengths and limitations in addressing the threats posed by AI-generated voice cloning. By analysing these doctrines' scope, remedies, and posthumous protections, the study offers a foundation for understanding how existing legal approaches may be applied to the evolving challenges of vocal identity in the era of generative AI.
Jyh-An Lee, Xuan Sun
Jun 7, 2026cs.CY

Friend or Foe? Language as an ideological switch in open-weight LLMs under Russian disinformation stress

As Russia's war against Ukraine extends into generative AI, large language models (LLMs) adapted for local post-Soviet languages are deployed in contested information environments. Policy and industry discourse assumes that culturally aligned adaptation encodes the political orientation of the target community: a Ukrainian-oriented model will resist Russian narratives, a Russian-oriented one will reinforce them. Does it? This article systematically disconfirms that assumption. We run a controlled audit of four openly available LLMs sharing a common base model but fine-tuned for different linguistic communities, querying them in Ukrainian, Russian and English across ten contested wartime narratives: Crimea, "denazification", the "one people" thesis, and atrocity denial at Bucha and Mariupol. The result is a Fine-Tuning Paradox: the Ukrainian-oriented model shows the weakest resistance to Russian disinformation in Russian, while the Russian-oriented one exhibits the strongest rejection. Corpus composition, language coverage and prompt format prove more decisive than nominal cultural provenance. We situate these findings within debates on hybrid warfare, digital sovereignty and post-imperial information orders, arguing that the principal threat to regional information sovereignty is not adversarial fine-tuning but the untested assumption that cultural alignment guarantees resilience.
Anna Małgorzata Kamińska, Tetiana Klynina
Jun 1, 2026cs.CV

Initialization is Half the Battle: Generating Diverse Images from a Guidance Potential Posterior

Despite the remarkable fidelity of generative models, they frequently suffer from mode collapse. Existing strategies for enhancing diversity predominantly focus on intervening during the generation trajectory. We identify a critical oversight that the standard Gaussian initialization often causes trajectories to collapse into dominant modes because it is agnostic to the guidance potential landscape. In this work, we formulate selecting the initial noise from a guidance potential posterior, which effectively re-weights the prior towards diversity-rich regions. To sample from this distribution efficiently, we introduce Diversity-inducing Initialization (DivIn), which leverages Langevin dynamics to actively navigate the initialization landscape, steering initial noise away from collapsing regions while anchoring them to the valid data manifold. Our method serves as an inference-time diversity enhancement compatible with both diffusion and flow matching models. Extensive experiments show that DivIn exhibits a superior performance in both class-to-image and text-to-image scenarios. Furthermore, we highlight that as DivIn is orthogonal to trajectory-based methods, combining them significantly expands the diversity-quality Pareto frontier beyond what either achieves in isolation.
Xiang Li, Dianbo Liu, Kenji Kawaguchi
May 29, 2026cs.CL

If LLMs Have Human-Like Attributes, Then So Does Age of Empires II

Much research has been carried out on large language models (LLMs) and LLM-powered agentic workflows. However, many works within the field state emergence of, ascribe to, or assume, generalised anthropomorphic attributes to them (e.g., morality or understanding of natural language). Our goal is not to argue in favour or against the existence of these attributes, but to point out that these conclusions could be incorrect. For this we build and train a simple neural network on the videogame Age of Empires II, and note that any entity in a sufficiently-powerful substrate, such as LEGO or the Greater Boston Area, could also present such attributes. Hence, the purported anthropomorphic attributes of LLMs are empirically non-unique: although some properties (e.g., responses to prompts) could remain invariant, others, such as the interpretation of their perceived behaviour, might change with the substrate. Thus, any empirically-grounded discussion on these attributes requires explicit measurement criteria; otherwise the interpretation is left to the representation. We then show that assuming that these attributes exist or not in a system, independent of the substrate and in a generalised way, leads to either circular or uninformative conclusions. This is regardless of the experimenter's viewpoint on the subject, or whether the outcome shows existence or non-existence. Finally we propose a 'null' assumption, where one assumes LLM non-uniqueness instead of assuming anthropomorphic attributes to set up an experiment, along with examples of it. We also discuss potential objections to our work, briefly survey the field, and prove that Age of Empires II is functionally- and Turing-complete.
Adrian de Wynter
May 28, 2026stat.ML

Visual Spatial Learning: Single-Field Spatial Interpolation Using Convolutional Neural Networks

Predicting a complete spatially correlated field from sparse observations is a fundamental challenge in spatial statistics and environmental modelling. Classical interpolation methods such as Kriging rely on Gaussian process assumptions and variography, which can limit their effectiveness in non-stationary settings and require substantial domain expertise. In this work, we leverage an architecture based on convolutional neural networks (CNNs) for spatial interpolation that is trained and applied on a single partially observed field, without access to external data or prior fields. The model is supervised directly on the observed locations and learns to predict values at unobserved points on the user defined grid. Unlike Kriging, our method does not require explicit covariance modelling or variogram estimation, and it can flexibly capture local spatial patterns in a data-driven manner. This work demonstrates the potential of CNNs for single-instance spatial interpolation under sparse supervision, offering a practical alternative to classical geostatistical methods, and extending the use of CNNs to a new problem domain.
Daniel Tinoco, Raquel Menezes, Carlos Baquero +1
May 24, 2026cs.CY

Beyond Killer Robots: General AI Attitudes and Public Support for Military AI in Nine Countries

AI-enabled military systems are a fixture of modern military conflict. Applications vary from autonomous drones for surveillance and attack to AI-supported target selection. The importance of AI for modern conflict shows also in public disputes between governments and technology companies over the conditions for military access to frontier AI. Both military uses and government attempts at enabling and steering them happen before a backdrop of public opinion, yet we still know little about how people think about military AI. Drawing on a preregistered survey of 9,000 respondents in nine countries, including China, Germany, and the United States, we examine whether support for military AI is shaped primarily by general attitudes toward AI, principled opposition to lethal autonomy, or foreign-policy and geopolitical orientations. Across six military AI scenarios that vary in lethality and human control, respondents who view AI as beneficial are substantially more supportive of military AI. Hawkish respondents are also more supportive. By contrast, principled opposition to lethal autonomy is not broadly associated with the full index but is related to the application of fully autonomous lethal force. Contrary to our expectation, perceived AI risks are positively associated with support. Cross-national differences are moderate and broadly consistent with geopolitical context. Overall, public opinion toward military AI appears conditionally permissive. Publics are not categorically opposed to various military uses of AI. Instead, unease is concentrated around fully autonomous lethal force.
Andreas Jungherr, Antonia Schlude, Adrian Rauchfleisch
May 20, 2026cs.LG

TriForces: Augmenting Atomistic GNNs for Transferable Representations

Machine learning interatomic potentials (MLIPs) achieve excellent accuracy when trained on large Density Functional Theory (DFT) data. To be useful in practice, they must often be adapted to target chemistries using small and expensive task-specific datasets. However, MLIPs transfer inconsistently across domains, with representations that often loose accessible composition and structure information. To address this, we present TriForces, a model-agnostic three-stream framework that separates composition and structure information, combined with self-supervised learning to preserve transferable representations. TriForces improves performance on MatBench and QM9 over baselines without needing DFT labels and enables efficient similar structure retrieval through its learned latent space. On OMat24, in limited-data training regime, TriForces reduces energy MAE by 57% at 20K samples only and improves force MAE across sample sizes. We release pretrained TriForces variants across multiple MLIP architectures with code at https://github.com/Ramlaoui/triforces.
Ali Ramlaoui, Alexandre Duval, Hannah Bull +4
May 12, 2026cs.LG

Precision Tracked Transformer via Kalman Filtering, Kriging and Process Noise

The Transformer is the foundational building block of modern AI, yet offers no principled handling of \emph{uncertainty}, which is prevalent in real applications: cold-start tokens with sparse histories in sequential recommendation, heterogeneous signal quality in language models, and attention sinks induced by unconstrained softmax. Every token is treated with uniform confidence. We show this uniformity is a degenerate case of our \emph{Bayesian Filtering Transformer} (BFT): attention becomes precision-weighted kriging, the residual connection becomes a Kalman update with adaptive gain, and the FFN becomes a dynamics model propagating precision via a Jacobian--plus--process-noise rule. Observation precision comes from a parameter-free Restricted Maximum Likelihood (REML) estimator with a conjugate Bayesian prior. BFT replaces any Transformer layer with negligible overhead. On sequential recommendation, BFT applied to three major architectures yields significant gains on six benchmarks, with the largest improvements on cold-start users and rare items where uncertainty is highest. On supervised fine-tuning of large language models with noisy data, BFT improves robustness in two regimes: noisy supervision (token-label corruption in question answering) and noisy context (retrieval-augmented QA with real RAG distractors). A single principled modification -- restoring precision -- unlocks substantial headroom across both classical sequence-modeling and modern LLM regimes.
Bo Long, Deepak Agarwal, Jelena Markovic-Voronov +2
May 7, 2026stat.ML

ConquerNet: Convolution-Smoothed Quantile ReLU Neural Networks with Minimax Guarantees

Quantile regression is a fundamental tool for distributional learning but poses significant optimization challenges for deep models due to the non-smoothness of the pinball loss. We propose ConquerNet, a class of \textbf{con}volution-smoothed \textbf{qu}antil\textbf{e} \textbf{R}eLU neural \textbf{net}works, which yield smooth objectives while preserving the underlying quantile structure. We establish general nonasymptotic risk bounds for ConquerNet under mild conditions, providing minimax guarantees over Besov function classes. In numerical studies, we demonstrate that the proposed approach outperforms standard quantile neural networks at multiple quantile levels, showing improved estimation accuracy and training efficiency across the board, with particularly pronounced advantages at high and low quantiles.
Tianpai Luo, Fangwei Wu, Weichi Wu
May 3, 2026cs.CV

Divide and Conquer: Decoupled Representation Alignment for Multimodal World Models

Emerging multi-modal world models attempt to jointly generate videos across diverse modalities (e.g., RGB, depth, and mask), yet they fail to fully exploit the rich priors of existing foundation models. We propose M2M^2-REPA, the first representation alignment method tailored for multi-modal video generation. Our key insight is that foundation models trained on different modality spaces naturally capture distinct domain-specific priors, acting as complementary "experts." Specifically, we first decouple modality-specific features from the diffusion model's intermediate representations, then align each with its corresponding expert foundation model. To this end, we design two synergistic objectives: a multi-modal representation alignment loss that enforces feature-to-expert matching, and a modality-specific decoupling regularization that encourages complementarity across different modalities. This design enables joint optimization, fully exploiting priors from multiple foundation models. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms baselines in visual quality and long-term consistency.
Junyuan Xiao, Dingkang Liang, Xin Zhou +9
Apr 30, 2026cs.CY

The Digital Afterlife of Empires: Four Language Models Converge on the Same Imperial Cartography of Writing

Large language models process the world's writing systems with radical inequality. We constructed the Digital Script Representation Index (DSRI), a seven-axis measure of digital support, and applied it to the 300 writing systems of the Global Script Database (Fukui, 2026). Only 29 scripts (9.7%) are fully supported by contemporary digital infrastructure; among 158 living scripts, 60 (38.0%) lack complete support. Tokenizer efficiency varies by a factor of 31.7 across 45 scripts measured with parallel text. A serial mediation model -- imperial intervention to speaker population to web corpus to tokenizer efficiency -- is consistent with full mediation, with the direct effect of empire indistinguishable from zero (beta = -0.22, p = 0.39) and structural equation model fit indices indistinguishable from saturation at n = 45; the bias-corrected bootstrap CI grazes zero, and we treat the mediation as suggestive rather than confirmatory. Across four independent LLM families (Claude, GPT-4o, Grok, DeepSeek; 12,000 API calls), base-rate-deviation error patterns converge at Spearman rho = 0.85-0.98 (all p < 0.002). 172 script-feature items are answered identically wrong by all four models; over-attribution outnumbers under-recognition 3.9:1, and "used for religion" alone concentrates 43.6% of convergent errors (enrichment 4.1x). With religion excluded as a sensitivity check, the cross-architecture convergence is preserved (mean rho = 0.87 on nine features) and the over-attribution asymmetry persists at 1.77:1 (n = 97, binomial p = 0.008), indicating multi-channeled rather than single-channeled bias. The findings are consistent with an interpretation in which the structural inequalities historical empires inflicted on script communities persist in contemporary language models through the shared training corpus rather than through any individual model's design choices.
Hiroki Fukui
Jun 1, 2025cs.CL

What's Missing in Vision-Language Models? Probing Their Struggles with Causal Order Reasoning

Despite the impressive performance of vision-language models (VLMs) on downstream tasks, their ability to understand and reason about causal relationships in visual inputs remains unclear. Robust causal reasoning is fundamental to solving complex high-level reasoning tasks, yet existing benchmarks often include a mixture of reasoning questions, and VLMs can frequently exploit object recognition and activity identification as shortcuts to arrive at the correct answers, making it challenging to truly assess their causal reasoning abilities. To bridge this gap, we introduce VQA-Causal and VCR-Causal, two new benchmarks specifically designed to isolate and rigorously evaluate VLMs' causal reasoning abilities. Our findings reveal that while VLMs excel in object and activity recognition, they perform poorly on causal reasoning tasks, often only marginally surpassing random guessing. Further analysis suggests that this limitation stems from a severe lack of causal expressions in widely used training datasets, where causal relationships are rarely explicitly conveyed. We additionally explore fine-tuning strategies with hard negative cases, showing that targeted fine-tuning can improve model's causal reasoning while maintaining generalization and downstream performance. Our study highlights a key gap in current VLMs and lays the groundwork for future work on causal understanding.
Zhaotian Weng, Haoxuan Li, Xin Eric Wang +2