Conditional Diffusion Models
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20 papers in the last four weeks, up 233% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.
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Accurate modeling of commuting flows is important for urban governance, traffic planning, and resource allocation. However, the combined influence of individual intentions, geographic constraints, and social dynamics leads to considerable heterogeneity in commuting patterns, making it difficult to develop generation models that generalize across cities. To address this issue, we propose SEDAN, a Structure-Enhanced Diffusion model conditioned on Attributed Nodes for generalizable OD matrix generation. SEDAN models a city as an attributed graph. Each region is treated as a node with demographic and point-of-interest features, and commuting flows are modeled as weighted edges. Adjacency and distance matrices are incorporated to characterize spatial structure. Based on this representation, we design a fusion mechanism within SEDAN to jointly model semantic information and spatial information. Regional semantic attributes are used to model latent travel demand through graph-transformer-based node interactions, while spatial structure is injected into the generation process as explicit constraints. The adjacency matrix guides attention weights to strengthen interactions between neighboring regions. Meanwhile, the distance matrix serves as a diffusion condition to capture spatial proximity and travel impedance. The fusion of urban semantics and spatial constraints enables SEDAN to generate OD matrices that are both behaviorally plausible and geographically coherent. Experiments on real-world OD datasets from U.S. cities show that SEDAN achieves a 7.38% improvement in RMSE over the state-of-the-art baseline, WEDAN. It also remains robust across heterogeneous urban scenarios and varying structural patterns. Our work provides an effective and generalizable solution for commuting OD matrix generation. The code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/SEDAN.
Probabilistic data quality assessment for structural monitoring data via outlier-resistant conditional diffusion model
Data quality assessment is an essential step that ensures the reliability of the subsequent structural health monitoring (SHM) tasks. This study proposes a prediction deviation-based SHM data quality assessment method using a univariate implicit auto-regressive model, enabling outlier diagnosis and data cleaning. The proposed conditional diffusion model (CDM) augments the standard diffusion model with a conditional embedding module to incorporate temporal context, quartile normalization to mitigate distribution skew, and a Huber loss to enhance robustness against outliers. Within this univariate implicit autoregressive framework, each data point is assigned an outlier probability, quantifying its degree of "outlier-ness", and a global quality evaluation score is computed to characterize the overall dataset quality. Extensive case studies utilizing operational data from real-world structures demonstrate that the proposed framework significantly improves the accuracy of data quality assessment, outperforming other strong baselines representative of clustering, isolation-based, and deep reconstruction methods. The effectiveness and robustness of the proposed framework are further demonstrated by the findings of ablation experiments and hyperparameter analysis.
Simple Self-Conditioning Adaptation for Masked Diffusion Models
Masked diffusion models (MDMs) generate discrete sequences by iterative denoising under an absorbing masking process. In standard masked diffusion, if a token remains masked after a reverse update, the model discards its clean-state prediction for that position. Thus, still-masked positions must be repeatedly inferred from the mask token alone. This design choice limits cross-step refinement. To address this limitation, this paper proposes a simple, yet effective, post-training adaptation for MDMs that conditions each denoising step on the model's own previous clean-state predictions. The resulting method, called Self-Conditioned Masked Diffusion Models (SCMDM), requires minimal architectural change, does not introduce a recurrent latent-state pathway, does not rely on an auxiliary reference model, and adds no extra denoiser evaluations during sampling. This is an important departure from partial self-conditioning approaches which requires expensive model training from scratch. In particular, the paper shows that partial self-conditioning, including the commonly used 50% dropout strategy for training self-conditioned models from scratch, is suboptimal in the post-training regime. Instead, once the model's self-generated clean-state estimates become informative, the specialization to refinement is preferable to mixing conditional and unconditional objectives. SCMDM is evaluated across multiple domains, demonstrating consistent improvement over vanilla MDM baselines, achieving nearly a 50% reduction in generative perplexity on OWT-trained models (42.89 to 23.72), alongside strong improvements in discretized image synthesis quality, small molecular generation, and enhanced fidelity in genomic distribution modeling.
GramSR: Visual Feature Conditioning for Diffusion-Based Super-Resolution
Despite recent advances, single-image super-resolution (SR) remains challenging, especially in real-world scenarios with complex degradations. Diffusion-based SR methods, particularly those built on Stable Diffusion, leverage strong generative priors but commonly rely on text conditioning derived from semantic captioning. Such textual descriptions provide only high-level semantics and lack the spatially aligned visual information required for faithful restoration, leading to a representation gap between abstract semantics and spatially aligned visual details. To address this limitation, we propose GramSR, a one-step diffusion-based SR framework that replaces text conditioning with dense visual features extracted from the low-resolution input using a pre-trained DINOv3 encoder. GramSR adopts a three-stage LoRA architecture, where pixel-level, semantic-level, and texture-level LoRA modules are trained sequentially. The pixel-level module focuses on degradation removal using loss, the semantic-level module enhances perceptual details via LPIPS and CSD losses, and the texture-level module enforces feature correlation consistency through a Gram matrix loss computed from DINOv3 features. At inference, independent guidance scales enable flexible control over degradation removal, semantic enhancement, and texture preservation. Extensive experiments on standard SR benchmarks demonstrate that GramSR consistently outperforms existing one-step diffusion-based methods, achieving superior structural fidelity and texture realism. The code for this work is available at: https://github.com/aimagelab/GramSR.
Exploring Time Conditioning in Diffusion Generative Models from Disjoint Noisy Data Manifolds
Practically, training diffusion models typically requires explicit time conditioning to guide the network through the denoising sampling process. Especially in deterministic methods like DDIM, the absence of time conditioning leads to significant performance degradation. However, other deterministic sampling approaches, such as flow matching, can generate high-quality content without this conditioning, raising the question of its necessity. In this work, we revisit the role of time conditioning from a geometric perspective. We analyze the evolution of noisy data distributions under the forward diffusion process and demonstrate that, in high-dimensional spaces, these distributions concentrate on low-dimensional hyper-cylinder-like manifolds embedded within the input space. Successful generation, we argue, stems from the disentanglement of these manifolds in high-dimensional space. Based on this insight, we modify the forward process of DDIM to align the noisy data manifold with the flow-matching approach, proving that DDIM can generate high-quality content without time conditioning, provided the noisy manifold evolves according to the flow-matching method. Additionally, we extend our framework to class-conditioned generation by decoupling classes into distinct time spaces, enabling class-conditioned synthesis with a class-unconditional denoising model. Extensive experiments validate our theoretical analysis and show that high-quality generation is achievable without explicit conditional embeddings.
Generative diffusion models for spatiotemporal influenza forecasting
Forecasting infectious disease incidence can provide important information to guide public health planning, yet is difficult because epidemic dynamics are complex. Current mechanistic and statistical approaches often struggle to capture multimodal uncertainty or emergent trends. Influpaint adapts denoising diffusion probabilistic models to epidemic forecasting. By encoding influenza seasons as spatiotemporal images in which pixel intensity represents incidence, Influpaint learns a rich distribution of disease dynamics from a hybrid dataset of surveillance and simulated trajectories. Forecasting is formulated as a conditional generation (inpainting) task from partial observations. We show that Influpaint generates realistic, diverse epidemic trajectories and achieves forecast accuracy that is competitive with leading ensemble methods in retrospective evaluation. In real-time evaluation during the 2023--2025 U.S. CDC FluSight challenges, performance improved substantially across seasons, with highly accurate but somewhat overconfident projections in 2024--2025. The best performance was achieved with a training dataset containing 30% surveillance and 70% simulated trajectories. These results show that diffusion models can capture important spatiotemporal structure in influenza dynamics and provide a flexible framework for probabilistic infectious disease forecasting.
CA-IDD: Cross-Attention Guided Identity-Conditional Diffusion for Identity-Consistent Face Swapping
Face swapping aims to optimize realistic facial image generation by leveraging the identity of a source face onto a target face while preserving pose, expression, and context. However, existing methods, especially GAN-based methods, often struggle to balance identity preservation and visual realism due to limited controllability and mode collapse. In this paper, we introduce CA-IDD (Cross-Attention Guided Identity-Conditional Diffusion), the first diffusion-based face swapping approach that integrates multi-modal guidance comprising gaze, identity, and facial parsing through multi-scale cross-attention. Precomputed identity embeddings are incorporated into the denoising process via hierarchical attention layers, resulting in accurate and consistent identity transfer. To improve semantic coherence and visual quality, we use expert-guided supervision, with facial parsing and gaze-consistency modules. Unlike GAN-based or implicit-fusion methods, our diffusion framework provides stable training, robust generalization, and spatially adaptive identity alignment, allowing for fine-grained regional control across pose and expression variations. CA-IDD achieves an FID of 11.73, exceeding established baselines such as FaceShifter and MegaFS. Qualitative results also reveal improved identity retention across diverse poses, establishing CA-IDD as a strong foundation for future diffusion-based face editing.
BiMol-Diff: A Unified Diffusion Framework for Molecular Generation and Captioning
Bridging molecular structures and natural language is essential for controllable design. Autoregressive models struggle with long-range dependencies, while standard diffusion processes apply uniform corruption across positions, which can distort structurally informative tokens. We present BiMol-Diff, a unified diffusion framework for the paired tasks of text-conditioned molecule generation and molecule captioning. Our key component is a token-aware noise schedule that assigns position-dependent corruption based on token recovery difficulty, preserving harder-to-recover substructures during the forward process. On ChEBI-20 and M3-20M, BiMol-Diff improves molecule reconstruction with a 15.4% relative gain in Exact Match and achieves strong captioning results, attaining best BLEU and BERTScore among compared baselines. These results indicate token-aware noising improves fidelity in molecular structure-language modelling.
A Scale-Adaptive Framework for Joint Spatiotemporal Super-Resolution with Diffusion Models
Deep-learning video super-resolution has progressed rapidly, but climate applications typically super-resolve (increase resolution) either space or time, and joint spatiotemporal models are often designed for a single pair of super-resolution (SR) factors (upscaling spatial and temporal ratio between the low-resolution sequence and the high-resolution sequence), limiting transfer across spatial resolutions and temporal cadences (frame rates). We present a scale-adaptive framework that reuses the same architecture across factors by decomposing spatiotemporal SR into a deterministic prediction of the conditional mean, with attention, and a residual conditional diffusion model, with an optional mass-conservation (same precipitation amount in inputs and outputs) transform to preserve aggregated totals. Assuming that larger SR factors primarily increase underdetermination (hence required context and residual uncertainty) rather than changing the conditional-mean structure, scale adaptivity is achieved by retuning three factor-dependent hyperparameters before retraining: the diffusion noise schedule amplitude beta (larger for larger factors to increase diversity), the temporal context length L (set to maintain comparable attention horizons across cadences) and optionally a third, the mass-conservation function f (tapered to limit the amplification of extremes for large factors). Demonstrated on reanalysis precipitation over France (Comephore), the same architecture spans super-resolution factors from 1 to 25 in space and 1 to 6 in time, yielding a reusable architecture and tuning recipe for joint spatiotemporal super-resolution across scales.
Conditional Diffusion Posterior Alignment for Sparse-View CT Reconstruction
Computed Tomography (CT) is a widely used imaging modality in medical and industrial applications. To limit radiation exposure and measurement time, there is a growing interest in sparse-view CT, where the number of projection views is significantly reduced. Deep neural networks have shown great promise in improving reconstruction quality in sparse-view CT, especially generative diffusion models. However, these methods struggle to scale to large 3D volumes due to several reasons: (i) the high memory and computational requirements of 3D models, (ii) the lack of large 3D training datasets, and (iii) the inconsistencies across slices when using 2D models independently on each slice. We overcome these limitations and scale diffusion-based sparse-view CT reconstruction to large 3D volumes by combining conditional diffusion with explicit data consistency. We propose Conditional Diffusion Posterior Alignment (CDPA) to enable scalable 3D sparse-view CT reconstruction. A 2D U-Net diffusion model is conditioned on an initial 3D reconstruction to improve inter-slice consistency, combined with data-consistency alignment to match measured projections. Experiments on synthetic and real Cone Beam CT (CBCT) data show state-of-the-art performance, with ablations that confirm the synergistic effects of the proposed pipeline. Finally, we show that the same principles also strengthen fast denoising U-Nets, yielding near-diffusion quality at a fraction of the computational cost.
DCMorph: Face Morphing via Dual-Stream Cross-Attention Diffusion
Advancing face morphing attack techniques is crucial to anticipate evolving threats and develop robust defensive mechanisms for identity verification systems. This work introduces DCMorph, a dual-stream diffusion-based morphing framework that simultaneously operates at both identity conditioning and latent space levels. Unlike image-level methods suffering from blending artifacts or GAN-based approaches with limited reconstruction fidelity, DCMorph leverages identity-conditioned latent diffusion models through two mechanisms: (1) decoupled cross-attention interpolation that injects identity-specific features from both source faces into the denoising process, enabling explicit dual-identity conditioning absent in existing diffusion-based methods, and (2) DDIM inversion with spherical interpolation between inverted latent representations from both source faces, providing geometrically consistent initial latent representation that preserves structural attributes. Vulnerability analyses across four state-of-the-art face recognition systems demonstrate that DCMorph achieves the highest attack success rates compared to existing methods at both operational thresholds, while remaining challenging to detect by current morphing attack detection solutions.
Cold-Start Forecasting of New Product Life-Cycles via Conditional Diffusion Models
Forecasting the life-cycle trajectory of a newly launched product is important for launch planning, resource allocation, and early risk assessment. This task is especially difficult in the pre-launch and early post-launch phases, when product-specific outcome history is limited or unavailable, creating a cold-start problem. In these phases, firms must make decisions before demand patterns become reliably observable, while early signals are often sparse, noisy, and unstable We propose the Conditional Diffusion Life-cycle Forecaster (CDLF), a conditional generative framework for forecasting new-product life-cycle trajectories under cold start. CDLF combines three sources of information: static descriptors, reference trajectories from similar products, and newly arriving observations when available. Here, static descriptors refer to structured pre-launch characteristics of the product, such as category, price tier, brand or organization identity, scale, and access conditions. This structure allows the model to condition forecasts on relevant product context and to update them adaptively over time without retraining, yielding flexible multi-modal predictive distributions under extreme data scarcity. The method satisfies consistency with a horizon-uniform distributional error bound for recursive generation. Across studies on Intel microprocessor stock keeping unit (SKU) life cycles and the platform-mediated adoption of open large language model repositories, CDLF delivers more accurate point forecasts and higher-quality probabilistic forecasts than classical diffusion models, Bayesian updating approaches, and other state-of-the-art machine-learning baselines.
MMControl: Unified Multi-Modal Control for Joint Audio-Video Generation
Recent advances in Diffusion Transformers (DiTs) have enabled high-quality joint audio-video generation, producing videos with synchronized audio within a single model. However, existing controllable generation frameworks are typically restricted to video-only control. This restricts comprehensive controllability and often leads to suboptimal cross-modal alignment. To bridge this gap, we present MMControl, which enables users to perform Multi-Modal Control in joint audio-video generation. MMControl introduces a dual-stream conditional injection mechanism. It incorporates both visual and acoustic control signals, including reference images, reference audio, depth maps, and pose sequences, into a joint generation process. These conditions are injected through bypass branches into a joint audio-video Diffusion Transformer, enabling the model to simultaneously generate identity-consistent video and timbre-consistent audio under structural constraints. Furthermore, we introduce modality-specific guidance scaling, which allows users to independently and dynamically adjust the influence strength of each visual and acoustic condition at inference time. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MMControl achieves fine-grained, composable control over character identity, voice timbre, body pose, and scene layout in joint audio-video generation.
Training-inference input alignment outweighs framework choice in longitudinal retinal image prediction
Predicting disease progression from longitudinal imaging is useful for clinical decision making and trial design. Recent methods have moved toward increasing generative complexity, but the conditions under which this complexity is necessary remain unclear. We propose that generative complexity should match the entropy of the predictable component of a task's conditional posterior, with training-inference input alignment required in all regimes. Two model-light measurements, a task-entropy analysis on raw image pairs and a posterior-concentration analysis on a stochastic model, let practitioners assess the complexity a task warrants before committing to a modeling framework. We validated this framework on a fundus autofluorescence (FAF) dataset by contrasting five conditioning configurations, sharing one architecture and training set, spanning standard conditional diffusion, inference-aligned stochastic training, and deterministic regression. Training-inference alignment produced large gains (delta-SSIM +0.082, SSIM +0.086, both p < 0.001), while the choice among aligned frameworks produced no clinically meaningful difference across evaluated metrics. Across two FAF platforms, inter-visit change was dominated by time-invariant acquisition variability rather than disease progression, and the stochastic models' posteriors collapsed to an effective point, explaining the framework equivalence. We trained a deterministic Temporal Retinal U-Net (TRU) and evaluated it on 28,899 eyes across three manufacturers and two modalities (two FAF platforms and en-face SLO), with three independent cohorts evaluated zero-shot. TRU matched or exceeded three published baselines on delta-SSIM, SSIM, and PSNR. These findings show that when disease progression is slow compared with acquisition variability, a deterministic regression model matches or outperforms more complex stochastic alternatives.
Brain-DiT: A Universal Multi-state fMRI Foundation Model with Metadata-Conditioned Pretraining
Current fMRI foundation models primarily rely on a limited range of brain states and mismatched pretraining tasks, restricting their ability to learn generalized representations across diverse brain states. We present Brain-DiT, a universal multi-state fMRI foundation model pretrained on 349,898 sessions from 24 datasets spanning resting, task, naturalistic, disease, and sleep states. Unlike prior fMRI foundation models that rely on masked reconstruction in the raw-signal space or a latent space, Brain-DiT adopts metadata-conditioned diffusion pretraining with a Diffusion Transformer (DiT), enabling the model to learn multi-scale representations that capture both fine-grained functional structure and global semantics. Across extensive evaluations and ablations on 7 downstream tasks, we find consistent evidence that diffusion-based generative pretraining is a stronger proxy than reconstruction or alignment, with metadata-conditioned pretraining further improving downstream performance by disentangling intrinsic neural dynamics from population-level variability. We also observe that downstream tasks exhibit distinct preferences for representational scale: ADNI classification benefits more from global semantic representations, whereas age/sex prediction comparatively relies more on fine-grained local structure.
ML-based approach to classification and generation of structured light propagation in turbulent media
We study the classification task of structured-light beams after propagation through a random turbulent medium. The received speckle patterns are generated by numerical simulation of a stochastic paraxial propagation model, and the classification task is formulated over a finite alphabet of 15 OAM source classes. We benchmark intensity and autocorrelation inputs using SimpleCNN and ResNet-18 as classifiers. We also quantify the effect of training-set size and receiver-window misalignment. Since additional propagated samples may be costly to obtain, we develop a class-conditioned diffusion model for generative augmentation of turbulence-degraded intensity images. The main contribution is a spectrum-aware diffusion objective: a pixel-domain loss combined with a Fourier-domain Bregman regularizer designed to preserve high-frequency speckle statistics. We prove that this hybrid objective is consistent with the posterior-mean regression target of the diffusion model and show that generated samples substantially improve low-data classification.
Emotion Diffusion Classifier with Adaptive Margin Discrepancy Training for Facial Expression Recognition
Facial Expression Recognition (FER) is essential for human-machine interaction, as it enables machines to interpret human emotions and internal states from facial affective behaviors. Although deep learning has significantly advanced FER performance, most existing deep-learning-based FER methods rely heavily on discriminative classifiers for fast predictions. These models tend to learn shortcuts and are vulnerable to even minor distribution shifts. To address this issue, we adopt a conditional generative diffusion model and introduce the Emotion Diffusion Classifier (EmoDC) for FER, which demonstrates enhanced adversarial robustness. However, retraining EmoDC using standard strategies fails to penalize incorrect categorical descriptions, leading to suboptimal recognition performance. To improve EmoDC, we propose margin-based discrepancy training, which encourages accurate predictions when conditioned on correct categorical descriptions and penalizes predictions conditioned on mismatched ones. This method enforces a minimum margin between noise-prediction errors for correct and incorrect categories, thereby enhancing the model's discriminative capability. Nevertheless, using a fixed margin fails to account for the varying difficulty of noise prediction across different images, limiting its effectiveness. To overcome this limitation, we propose Adaptive Margin Discrepancy Training (AMDiT), which dynamically adjusts the margin for each sample. Extensive experiments show that AMDiT significantly improves the accuracy of EmoDC over the baseline model with standard denoising diffusion training under 100-step evaluations. Additionally, AMDiT-enhanced EmoDC has better generalization and robustness than state-of-the-art discriminative classifiers.
Conditional Diffusion for 3D CT Volume Reconstruction from 2D X-rays
Computed tomography (CT) provides rich 3D anatomical detail but is often constrained by high radiation exposure, substantial costs, and limited availability. Standard chest X-rays are cost-effective and widely accessible, but provide only 2D projections with limited pathological information. Reconstructing 3D CT volumes from 2D X-rays could markedly increase diagnostic accessibility, yet existing methods rely predominantly on synthetic X-ray projections, limiting clinical generalization. We propose AXON, a multi-stage diffusion-based framework that reconstructs 3D CT volumes directly from real X-rays with substantially improved fidelity over existing approaches. AXON follows a coarse-to-fine paradigm: a Brownian Bridge diffusion model first captures global anatomical structure, and a ControlNet-guided refinement stage then enhances local intensity detail and anatomical realism. To alleviate the depth ambiguity inherent in 2D-to-3D reconstruction, AXON incorporates bi-planar X-ray views, enabling more accurate spatial reasoning and structural recovery. A dedicated super-resolution module further increases the spatial resolution of the generated volumes. Experiments on public and external datasets show that AXON consistently surpasses state-of-the-art approaches while generalizing across diverse clinical distributions. At our highest-resolution bi-planar setting, AXON achieves an 11.9% improvement in PSNR and an 11.0% increase in SSIM over the strongest baseline evaluated at that resolution. In the single-planar setting, it maintains a lead of 7.8% in PSNR on LIDC-IDRI, with larger margins on the external clinical dataset of 8.0% in PSNR and 16.9% in SSIM. Our code is available at https://github.com/ai-med/AXON/.
SCALE:Scalable Conditional Atlas-Level Endpoint transport for virtual cell perturbation prediction
Virtual-cell models aim to predict how cell populations respond to perturbations, but control and treated cells are measured as unpaired populations, complicating the learning of perturbation-specific effects. We present SCALE, a conditional transport model that represents cells as unordered sets and predicts treated populations without cell-level matching. A shared set-aware encoder and conditional DiT backbone learn latent transport, making endpoint supervision directly delta-aligned without an auxiliary delta objective. Across genetic, chemical, developmental and immune perturbations, SCALE recovered gene-expression changes, response directions and population structure. In CRISPR data with dominant cell-line effects, SCALE outperformed competing methods across seven metrics and maintained separation among gene-target representations rather than collapsing them into a shared region. SCALE further prioritized cytokines predicted to produce distinct immune activation and inflammatory responses. Experiments using matched PBMC samples from three donors confirmed these predicted differences. Together, SCALE enables perturbation-specific prediction from unpaired populations and supports experimental prioritization.
High-Resolution Climate Projections Using Diffusion-Based Downscaling of a Lightweight Climate Emulator
The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting. However, these models are often limited by long-term instabilities, climatological drift, and substantial computational costs during training and inference, restricting their broader application for climate studies. Addressing these limitations, Guan et al. (2024) introduced LUCIE, a lightweight, physically consistent climate emulator utilizing a Spherical Fourier Neural Operator (SFNO) architecture. This model is able to reproduce accurate long-term statistics including climatological mean and seasonal variability. However, LUCIE's native resolution (~300 km) is inadequate for detailed regional impact assessments. To overcome this limitation, we introduce a deep learning-based downscaling framework, leveraging probabilistic diffusion-based generative models with conditional and posterior sampling frameworks. These models downscale coarse LUCIE outputs to 25 km resolution. They are trained on approximately 14,000 ERA5 timesteps spanning 2000-2009 and evaluated on LUCIE predictions from 2010 to 2020. Model performance is assessed through diverse metrics, including latitude-averaged RMSE, power spectrum, probability density functions and First Empirical Orthogonal Function of the zonal wind. We observe that the proposed approach is able to preserve the coarse-grained dynamics from LUCIE while generating fine-scaled climatological statistics at ~28km resolution.
Probabilistic Wind Power Forecasting with Tree-Based Machine Learning and Weather Ensembles
Accurate production forecasts are essential for the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic forecasts of wind power generation using gradient boosting trees and an ensemble of weather forecasts. To this end, we perform a comparative analysis across three state-of-the-art probabilistic prediction methods-conformalized quantile regression, natural gradient boosting and conditional diffusion models-all of which can be combined with tree-based machine learning. The methods are validated using four years of data for all Belgian offshore wind farms. We benchmark the models against the power curve and a calibrated wake model as well as a probabilistic method using stochastic variational Gaussian process regression. The tree-based models significantly reduce the mean absolute error in comparison to the deterministic baselines. Additionally, all three methods outperform the Gaussian process baseline in probabilistic skill, while two out of the three also improve point forecast accuracy. The conditional diffusion model attains the best performance, with improvements of 5% in mean absolute error and 12% in continuous rank probability score compared to the probabilistic baseline. Last, the results indicate an average improvement in point forecast accuracy of 17% by using an ensemble of weather forecasts instead of a single provider.
Anatomically Guided Latent Diffusion for Brain MRI Progression Modeling
Accurately modeling longitudinal brain MRI progression is crucial for understanding neurodegenerative diseases and predicting individualized structural changes. Existing state-of-the-art approaches, such as Brain Latent Progression (BrLP), often use multi-stage training pipelines with auxiliary conditioning modules but suffer from architectural complexity, suboptimal use of conditional clinical covariates, and limited guarantees of anatomical consistency. We propose Anatomically Guided Latent Diffusion Model (AG-LDM), a segmentation-guided framework that enforces anatomically consistent progression while substantially simplifying the training pipeline. AG-LDM conditions latent diffusion by directly fusing baseline anatomy, noisy follow-up states, and clinical covariates at the input level, a strategy that avoids auxiliary control networks by learning a unified, end-to-end model that represents both anatomy and progression. A lightweight 3D tissue segmentation model (WarpSeg) provides explicit anatomical supervision during both autoencoder fine-tuning and diffusion model training, ensuring consistent brain tissue boundaries and morphometric fidelity. Experiments on 31,713 ADNI longitudinal pairs and zero-shot evaluation on OASIS-3 demonstrate that AG-LDM matches or surpasses more complex diffusion models, achieving highly competitive image quality and 15-20% reduction in volumetric errors in generated images. AG-LDM also exhibits markedly stronger utilization of temporal and clinical covariates (3.5-31.5x higher covariate sensitivity than BrLP) and generates biologically plausible counterfactual trajectories, accurately capturing hallmarks of Alzheimer's progression such as limbic atrophy and ventricular expansion. These results highlight AG-LDM as an efficient, anatomically grounded framework for reliable brain MRI progression modeling.
CoDi -- an exemplar-conditioned diffusion model for low-shot counting
Low-shot object counting addresses estimating the number of previously unobserved objects in an image using only few or no annotated test-time exemplars. A considerable challenge for modern low-shot counters are dense regions with small objects. While total counts in such situations are typically well addressed by density-based counters, their usefulness is limited by poor localization capabilities. This is better addressed by point-detection-based counters, which are based on query-based detectors. However, due to limited number of pre-trained queries, they underperform on images with very large numbers of objects, and resort to ad-hoc techniques like upsampling and tiling. We propose CoDi, the first latent diffusion-based low-shot counter that produces high-quality density maps on which object locations can be determined by non-maxima suppression. Our core contribution is the new exemplar-based conditioning module that extracts and adjusts the object prototypes to the intermediate layers of the denoising network, leading to accurate object location estimation. On FSC benchmark, CoDi outperforms state-of-the-art by 15% MAE, 13% MAE and 10% MAE in the few-shot, one-shot, and reference-less scenarios, respectively, and sets a new state-of-the-art on MCAC benchmark by outperforming the top method by 38% MAE. The code is available at https://github.com/gsustar/CoDi
EMFusion: Uncertainty-Aware Conditional Diffusion Model for Multivariate Narrow-band Exposure Forecasting
The rapid growth in wireless infrastructure has increased the need to accurately estimate and forecast electromagnetic field (EMF) levels to ensure ongoing compliance, assess potential health impacts, and support efficient network planning. While existing studies rely on univariate forecasting of wideband aggregate EMF data, multivariate narrow-band EMF forecasting is needed to capture the inter-operator and inter-frequency variations essential for proactive network planning. To this end, this paper introduces EMFusion, a conditional diffusion-based EMF forecasting framework that integrates diverse contextual factors, such as time of day, season, and holidays, while providing uncertainty-aware probabilistic forecasts. The proposed architecture features a residual U-Net backbone enhanced by a cross-attention mechanism that dynamically integrates external conditions to guide the generation process. Furthermore, EMFusion integrates an imputation-based sampling strategy that treats forecasting as a structural inpainting task, ensuring temporal coherence even with irregular measurements. Unlike standard point forecasters, EMFusion generates empirical probabilistic prediction intervals from the learned conditional distribution, providing uncertainty-aware probabilistic forecasting rather than simple point estimation. Numerical experiments conducted on the multivariate narrow-band EMF datasets demonstrate that EMFusion with the contextual information of working hours outperforms the baseline models with or without conditions. The proposed EMFusion outperforms the best baseline by 23.85% in continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and 13.93% in normalized root mean square error.
Early Estimation of Language to Latent Alignment in Diffusion Models
Conditional diffusion models frequently suffer from language-image misalignments. Due to the ambiguity of intermediate noise corrupted latents, assessing prompt adherence currently requires completing the entire sampling trajectory. This late-stage evaluation incurs even higher computational costs during test-time scaling strategies, such as Best-of-N (BoN) sampling, as all misaligned trajectories must finish generation before being discarded. To tackle this, we propose NoisyCLIP, a noise-aware twin-tower model that enables early language-to-latent alignment estimation. By learning a vision encoder on noise-corrupted latents, we allow the model to "see" through the ambiguity of intermediate diffusion steps. To facilitate this training, we investigate noise-data augmentation sampling strategies and introduce two new benchmark datasets: Noisy-Conceptual-Captions and Noisy-GenAI-Bench. When applied as an early-stopping criterion for BoN, NoisyCLIP at half cost matches or beats frozen CLIP at full cost. Ultimately, this transforms alignment assessment from an expensive final check into a continuous monitoring tool, drastically reducing compute costs without sacrificing semantic fidelity.
SDGIC: A Semantic Disambiguation-Guided Generative Image Compression Method for Ultra-Low Bitrates
Generative image compression has recently shown impressive perceptual quality, but often suffers from semantic inconsistency at ultra-low bitrates (bpp < 0.05), limiting its reliable deployment in bandwidth-constrained scenarios such as 6G semantic communications. This inconsistency stems from incomplete guidance information, which introduces semantic ambiguity into the generation process and may lead to natural-looking but source-inconsistent content. In this work, we propose a Semantic-Disambiguation-Guided Generative Image Compression (SDGIC) framework to constrain diffusion-based reconstruction at ultra-low bitrates. Specifically, SDGIC compresses the source image into three compact and complementary guidance streams: a concise text caption for global semantics, a highly compressed image (HCI) for dense visual evidence, and Reconstruction-Aware Semantic Residual Tokens (RSRTs) for reconstruction-relevant residual semantics that remain ambiguous under the text caption and HCI conditions. The RSRTs are directly optimized toward the downstream denoising objective, enabling them to provide source-specific semantic constraints for disambiguating diffusion-based reconstruction. To inject these three guidance streams into the generation process effectively, we design a Dual-Path Conditioned Diffusion Decoder (DPCD), which uses cross-attention for semantic conditions and ControlNet residuals for dense visual guidance. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SDGIC improves semantic consistency at ultra-low bitrates while maintaining favorable perceptual quality, with a 23.4% reduction in AFINE on the CLIC2020 dataset.
Rethinking Garment Conditioning in Diffusion-based Virtual Try-On: Decouple, Don't Denoise
Virtual Try-On (VTON) synthesizes realistic images of a person wearing a target garment, with broad applications in e-commerce and fashion. Diffusion-based dual-UNet methods achieve strong results but double the parameters by dedicating a separate network to garment conditioning. Spatial concatenation offers a simpler single-network alternative, yet both UNet- and DiT-based instantiations report that full fine-tuning is ineffective, and the community has settled for attention-only training. We ask: why does full fine-tuning fail, and can this be resolved? Through what is, to our knowledge, the first visualization study of dual-UNet reference network behavior, we identify a unifying insight: garment conditioning must be decoupled from the denoising process. Spatial concatenation violates this by embedding the garment within the denoising target, causing three conflicts: guidance leakage, gradient competition, and train-test discrepancy. We derive three design principles to restore this decoupling and implement them as a pure recipe atop a standard architecture with no modification. The resulting model, DeCo-VTON (860M params), achieves single-network state of the art, matching the dual-UNet state of the art at half the cost while being preferred in human evaluation.
Hi-DREAM: Brain-Inspired Hierarchical Diffusion for fMRI-to-Image Reconstruction via ROI Encoder and VisuAl Mapping
Reconstructing natural images from fMRI requires bridging neural activity with both the structural and semantic representations used by modern generative models. Existing diffusion-based decoders often condition on a single global fMRI embedding, which limits their ability to exploit the hierarchical organization of the visual cortex and makes the contribution of different visual areas difficult to inspect. We propose Hi-DREAM, a brain-inspired hierarchical diffusion framework that structures fMRI conditioning according to early, middle, and late visual Regions of Interest (ROI) streams. A ROI adapter converts these streams into a multi-scale cortical pyramid, and a lightweight ROI-conditioned ControlNet injects the resulting anatomy-aware priors into matched U-Net depths during denoising. Experiments on the Natural Scenes Dataset (NSD) show that Hi-DREAM achieves state-of-the-art high-level semantic reconstruction while retaining strong low-level structure. Further ablation and attribution analyses show that the proposed hierarchy-aware conditioning is effective, and that different ROI streams provide complementary, inspectable contributions to reconstruction.
CanvasComposer: Personalized Group Photo Generation via a Multi-Reference Canvas
Existing personalized image generators still struggle to preserve multiple reference identities in natural and coherent multi-human generations. To address these limitations, we present CanvasComposer, an interactive framework for personalized group photo generation. Inspired by professional image-editing software, CanvasComposer allows users to place reference subjects on a shared canvas, where each subject keeps its own RGBA cutout of the input. This multi-reference canvas preserves reference content under overlap while providing an intuitive interface for organizing multiple identities; the subjects remain separate elements on the input canvas, and the model outputs a single personalized and harmonized image. To keep this representation efficient, transparent latent pruning retains only tokens from each subject's non-transparent region, and cross-reference training mitigates copy-paste artifacts by learning to harmonize references sampled from different images. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CanvasComposer achieves coherent generation and strong identity preservation compared to state-of-the-art methods in multi-human personalized image generation. Project page: https://snap-research.github.io/canvascomposer
Multi-Channel Uncertainty-Weighted Score Matching for Conditional Diffusion in Medical UDA
Robust medical image segmentation across modalities remains challenging due to severe domain shifts and the lack of target-domain labels. While diffusion models have been explored for cross-domain generation and augmentation, target-domain conditional diffusion training typically relies on highly noisy pseudo masks; naively conditioning on a single Arg-Max pseudo-label can corrupt diffusion training and downstream segmentation. We propose UPDiff-UDA, a unified UDA framework whose core is an uncertainty-guided training objective for target-domain conditional diffusion. Given an imperfect source-trained segmenter, we use its per-pixel softmax distribution to form ranked pseudo-label maps (Arg-Max, Arg-2nd, Arg-3rd, ...). Each map yields a conditional score estimate, and we aggregate them via pixel-wise confidence weighting to obtain an uncertainty-reweighted score for score matching, improving robustness to pseudo-label noise while leveraging alternative plausible labels in uncertain regions. We further provide a theoretical justification showing that confidence-weighted aggregation follows a minimum-MSE convex-combination principle under the segmenter-induced surrogate label distribution. To improve pseudo-condition quality, we also introduce a feature-guided, low-degree-of-freedom Bézier curve adaptation to reduce appearance gaps. Experiments on multiple public datasets and modality shifts show that UPDiff-UDA generates high-fidelity labeled target-style samples for augmentation and consistently outperforms strong UDA baselines. The code for this project is available at: https://github.com/superlc1995/Multi-Channel-Uncertainty-Diffusion-UDA