Directed Acyclic Graph

Causal discovery from observational data is fundamental to statistics and machine learning, yet determining causal direction without interventions necessitates structural assumptions. Existing identifiability research primarily focuses on continuous variables under additive noise models, often neglecting mixed datasets containing ordinal scales, counts, and continuous measurements. This paper investigates causal discovery in Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) where nodes follow either an ordinal distribution (via an ordered logit model) or a regular one-parameter exponential family distribution. We prove that the edge direction between an ordinal and an exponential family node is distributionally identifiable for generic parameter values. Our findings generalize previous Ordinal-Poisson results to the broader exponential family. Computationally, we introduce a score-based exhaustive search and a masked continuous optimization framework using DAGMA for larger graphs. Numerical results validate the theory, recovering edge orientations within a Markov equivalence class that are unidentifiable under classical structural equation models.

The integration of graphs with Goal-Conditioned Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning (GCHRL) has received increasing attention, as graphs naturally encode task hierarchies for effective subgoal sampling. However, existing methods often overlook intrinsic connectivity information, failing to fully leverage the underlying topology for efficient learning. Most graph-based GCHRL methods use the graph as a stochastic sampling tool rather than as an environmental model that encodes connectivity and state-accessibility information. This limitation is particularly acute in quasimetric environments, where the inherent asymmetry of state transitions poses a fundamental challenge to stable policy learning and robust path planning. In this paper, we address these problems by introducing a state connectivity model designed to predict pairwise state connectivity strength in asymmetric environments. We transform these connectivity strengths into scalar auxiliary dense rewards, providing continuous guidance across multiple hierarchical levels. We demonstrate that our proposed framework, Graph-Guided Quasimetric Dense Reward (G2QDR), can theoretically be integrated into any existing GCHRL architecture, and the state connectivity model is efficiently implemented via a neural network trained on a directed state graph generated during exploration. Empirical results across a wide range of sparse reward environments indicate that, in general, G2QDR can enhance the performance of baseline GCHRL approaches with acceptable computational overhead.

This paper addresses the problem of translating natural-language routing rules written by business administrators into executable workflow graphs for enterprise contact centers. Each target is a directed acyclic graph (DAG) of conditional actions with parallel branches, hit-first fallback chains, and per-branch Boolean predicates, encoded in the JSON dialect of a commercial routing platform. We show that neuro-symbolic decomposition enables lower-cost, non-reasoning large language models to generate complex workflow DAGs at production-relevant quality without expensive extended-reasoning models. Our central diagnostic is an emission-density bottleneck: on a 635-rule benchmark of manufactured synthetic data, models select the correct graph nodes with high accuracy but increasingly misconfigure attributes and Boolean grouping as the number of interdependent nodes emitted in one pass grows. We therefore move combinatorial graph construction from the model into a deterministic compiler driven by a compact intermediate representation, with a learned registry-selection front end that focuses generation on relevant vocabulary. Across four models, the full system reaches approximately 89% LLM-judge validity, approximately 90% exact-match condition accuracy, and 99-100% valid JSON while using roughly half the per-rule prompt tokens of a monolithic prompt. On GPT-5.3-chat, the method improves judge validity by 24 percentage points and achieves statistical equivalence to a reasoning model's out-of-the-box quality, although an approximately 8-point frontier gap remains. We also present a deployment path and transferable lessons for structured-generation applications.

Chain of Thought (CoT) lifts the expressive ceiling of bounded-depth Transformers, with characterizations tying the number of CoT steps to circuit complexity classes. What remains largely missing are concrete instantiations with explicit, depth-bounded constructions, and the traversal procedures such characterizations presuppose. We close this gap for branching complexity. We give CoT realizations of depth-first search (DFS) and of Dijkstra algorithm, the latter subsuming breadth-first search, by unique hard-attention decoders of at most two layers, and use them as a shared computational substrate: reusing the DFS decoder yields the Strahler number of an $n$-vertex tree in $2n-1$ steps with four layers, and reusing the Dijkstra decoder yields its width in $n-1$ steps with three. Since computing the Strahler number of a binary tree given as a term is \textsf{NC\textsuperscript{1}}-complete, and our constructions handle arbitrary $n$-ary trees without layer normalization or positional encodings, this is a non-trivial witness for the linear-step regime of the CoT hierarchy. Exploiting the classical bijection between ordered trees and Dyck paths, itself realized by our DFS construction, which emits the path as it traverses, we give independent constructions for both measures on the path representation.

Smooth acyclicity constraints answer whether a weighted support is a DAG, whereas structure learning asks which support change should be made. Existing analyses establish degeneracy for particular constraint formulas but do not isolate what follows from smooth exactness itself. At a DAG boundary, we show that minimal cycle completions generate a squarefree monomial ideal containing every restricted Taylor jet of an exact representation. If the smallest completion has $q$ edges, the first possible response has order $q$ for a vector residual and $2q$ for a nonnegative scalar. Exponentially many constant-scale cyclic manifolds exhibit the same lack of ranking away from the boundary for NOTEARS and DAGMA. We derive the exact selection time for an isolated cycle. When $Ψ'(h)\asymp h^ν$, the feasibility-only time is $T_0(\varepsilon)=Θ(\varepsilon^{-(2ν+1)})$; a score margin changes the leading dynamics at scale $T_0^{-1}$ for $ν>0$, while $ν=0$ has a logarithmic boundary layer requiring $γT_0\log(1/\varepsilon)\to0$. Experiments verify this law, and a truth-free separation statistic predicts selection time on 320 official NOTEARS/DAGMA trajectories (Spearman $-0.52$ and $-0.66$, permutation $p<10^{-4}$). For finite samples, a parent-set confidence family and forced-opposite queries certify skeleton and unshielded-collider labels shared by every population optimum of a frozen score. Across 320 runs, every regret bound covers an independent oracle-score audit. None of 3,042 certified skeleton or 2,396 collider labels disagrees with the oracle-score optimum, although 4.4% and 5.5%, respectively, disagree with the generating graph. These results separate DAG feasibility, score-based support selection, and causal identification.

When a student must learn concepts connected by prerequisite dependencies, when does the order of instruction matter, and what does it cost to find the best one? We study instructional sequencing as a stochastic shortest-path problem in which attempting a concept succeeds with a state-dependent probability and failure leaves the learner state unchanged. We first prove that this stochasticity can be eliminated exactly: the problem collapses to a deterministic shortest-path problem on the lattice of prerequisite order ideals, preserving optimal values and actions. The collapse removes stochastic complexity but not combinatorial complexity: optimal sequencing remains NP-hard -- via reduction from feedback arc set in tournaments -- even with no prerequisite edges, unit costs, uniform binary nonnegative transfer, and success probabilities at least $1/2$. Hardness is not uniform: when realizable transfer preferences remain jointly acyclic with the prerequisites, any topological order of the residual joint graph is optimal, and fixed prerequisite width yields polynomial-time exact dynamic programming. A computable diagnostic, $mΔ$, bounds the value of sequencing before optimization. On 70,893 interactions from an introductory CS course, the diagnostic certifies a doubly easy regime -- little value to optimize and little space to search -- while constructed transfer instances realize the challenging regime, where myopic sequencing suffers large regret yet exact A* with a consistent heuristic expands only linearly many states on that family.

Causal Discovery (CD) from observational data faces two fundamental challenges. First, purely statistical methods often lack the power to resolve structural ambiguities in low-sample regimes. Second, although LLM-assisted hybrid approaches improve structure recovery through semantic reasoning, the influence of that reasoning on individual edge decisions remains largely opaque. Consequently, existing hybrid methods fail to satisfy a fundamental requirement: explaining why a particular edge is included or excluded in the learned directed acyclic graph (DAG). This is critical in real-world applications, where no ground-truth DAG exists and every structural decision must be independently justified. We formalize this requirement as decision traceability, requiring every inferred edge to be supported by auditable statistical evidence, Markov Blanket consistency, or explicit domain reasoning. We propose GENESIS, an explainable hybrid CD framework that decomposes graph construction into interpretable decision points. GENESIS first identifies and scores three-node structural motifs, including chains, forks, and colliders, to establish transparent structural priors, then progressively refines the graph by integrating these priors with observational evidence, invoking domain knowledge only when statistical evidence is insufficient. By design, every edge decision is resolved through an auditable source of evidence. Experiments show that GENESIS achieves 100% decision traceability across all settings, establishing explainability as a first-class objective in causal discovery. Despite this additional requirement, GENESIS consistently outperforms purely statistical CD methods on the majority of benchmark datasets across all sample regimes in terms of Structural Hamming Distance (SHD), while achieving performance comparable to state-of-the-art LLM-assisted approaches.

While signed-directed graphs have been studied using linear Laplacians in the design of graph neural networks, relatively little research has focused on developing non-linear Laplacian operators for such networks. We introduce a non-linear Laplacian operator specific to signed and directed networks (NLSD). This non-linear operator extends the concepts of the signed Laplacian for signed graphs and the Laplacian for directed graphs. The NLSD calculates node-specific potentials based on features More precisely, if the potential discrepancy is not aligned with the edge direction, we ignore it (and vice versa) leveraging message-passing techniques only across edges where potential discrepancies align with the edge's direction. Utilizing this novel operator, we propose an efficient spectral GNN framework (NLSD-GNN). We conducted comprehensive evaluations focusing on node classification and link prediction, examining scenarios involving signed, directional, or both types of information. Our findings reveal that this spectral GNN framework not only integrates signed and directional data effectively but also achieves superior performance across diverse datasets.

Coding agent infrastructure is shifting from harness engineering toward loop engineering as coding agents are deployed for sustained long-horizon software development. Existing benchmarks often center on localized tasks or end-state outcomes, offering limited insight into sustained execution. We introduce LOOPSBENCH, a long-horizon benchmark for loop engineering in coding agent evaluation. Each task is a dependency DAG over separately testable development units with source-evidenced prerequisite edges. LOOPSBENCH comprises 112 tasks from authentic sources spanning 8 programming languages and 9 domains. Its flow-aware runtime releases tests along the ready frontier and retains completed nodes as regression obligations. We evaluate frontier coding agents paired with widely used loop implementations. The strongest configuration, Opus-4.7 with Claude Code and outer continuation, resolves 25.00% of tasks. Recorded plans recover only part of the source-recovered prerequisite DAG, and regression events remain visible across the evaluated loop profiles. We open source the benchmark data and code, including all tasks, more than 5,300 development units, and executable tests, at microsoft/Loopsbench.

Data quality profiling -- computing missing-value rates, duplicate fractions, outlier densities, and functional-dependency violations -- is foundational for data-centric AI pipelines, yet exhaustive scans over millions of rows are prohibitively slow for near-real-time monitoring. Progressive sampling is the standard alternative; the open question is which strategy best preserves profile fidelity at scale. We benchmark nine sampling strategies -- blind (random uniform, geometric, Yamane, cluster) and proxy-guided (Metropolis-Hastings, DAG, stratified by column type or quality score, importance-weighted) -- on three real-world datasets (NYC 311, NYPD arrests, UCI Adult; up to 500K rows), an IoT sensor stream (2.3M rows), two ultra-large real datasets including Ultra-Marathon Running (up to 7.4M rows), and synthetic data scaled to 5x10^6 rows. Contrary to the assumption sharpens estimates, blind representative samplers dominate uniformly. At a 5% budget, random uniform achieves 0.49% mean relative error on NYC 311; DAG-guided MCMC yields 19.5% (approx. 40x worse), and across all real datasets DAG is 11-49x worse (Wilcoxon W=0, p=0.002, n=9 pairs). Cluster sampling matches random uniform (MRE 0.110 vs. 0.111); proxy-guided methods share DAG's failure mode (MRE 0.20-0.35). At scale, random uniform is near-linear (O(N^{0.964})) while DAG is super-linear (O(N^{1.272})), running 28--47x slower on ultra-large data with 6x worse accuracy. The root cause is an IQR proxy mismatch: proxy-guided samplers over-pursue numeric outliers, while quality defects concentrate in categorical columns invisible to the proxy. The actionable finding: representativeness, not domain knowledge, determines sampler quality -- schema-free random uniform or cluster sampling suffices for production-grade quality profiling at scale.

Pearl's structural causal model (SCM) framework, built on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) and the do-calculus, is the dominant formal language for causal reasoning. Yet it carries two structural restrictions: every relationship must be pre-specified as a directed causal edge, and feedback cycles are forbidden. This paper examines two classes of phenomena that strain these restrictions. First, symmetric physical and economic constraints, the ideal gas law being the canonical case, carry no intrinsic causal direction. Direction emerges only under intervention, and which variable is solved for must be specified as part of the intervention. We formalize such constraints as causal zeros within an Extended Causal Model by adding an activation operator, subject to local solvability and graph-admissibility conditions. Second, for the class of finite-propagation state-space systems considered here, we treat apparent instantaneous cycles as artifacts of suppressed time and ground both causal zeros and feedback in Causal Differential Equations (CDEs). In these, the transient regime is a time-unrolled acyclic causal process, and causal zeros arise as the defining functions of attracting equilibrium manifolds; periodic and chaotic attractors define further regimes of the same dynamics, treated through attractor-relative intervention. We give the extended do-calculus, identifiability conditions, counterfactual semantics, and open problems.

Causal discovery from observational tabular data remains fundamentally challenging, primarily due to the heterogeneity of underlying causal mechanisms and the high-dimensional combinatorial search space of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs). In this paper, we propose \textbf{DAG-FM}, a novel foundation model architecture that amortizes causal discovery. Unlike direct matrix prediction, DAG-FM decomposes the causal discovery process into two auto-regressive stages using two specialized Transformer-based sub-modules: a leaf-node predictor and a parent-node predictor. To effectively model complex row-column interactions, we adopt a robust tabular interaction block to output feature-wise representations. Crucially, to handle diverse and unknown Functional Causal Model (FCM) assumptions in real-world scenarios, we introduce Mixture-of-Leaf-Experts (MoLE), allowing the model to dynamically route and adapt to identifiable mechanism families. Through an iterative inference algorithm, DAG-FM seamlessly extracts causal orderings and constructs valid DAGs. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DAG-FM achieves state-of-the-art performance on both synthetic benchmarks and complex real-world datasets, significantly outperforming traditional classical algorithms and recent foundation models in both accuracy and scalability.

Many real-world processes can be represented as compositions of functions along a directed acyclic graph (DAG). In causal modelling, these correspond to the underlying mechanisms; in engineering, to multiple fidelity levels; and in gene-regulatory networks, to transcription factors. These functions are partially observed across the DAG, with noisy and heterogeneously sampled measurements, posing significant challenges for reconstruction, uncertainty propagation, and inference. To tackle these challenges, we place priors over functions and naturally arrive at Deep Gaussian Processes over DAGs. We theoretically study their prior-collapse behaviour, and the effect of graph topology and intermediate observations on the preservation of information. We obtain almost-sure lower bounds on the asymptotic frequency of depths at which the distinction between inputs is preserved, identify broad kernel classes for which these hold, and prove an observation by \cite{dunlop2018} on the role of input connections. We offer a structured variational approximation that retains graph dependencies, preserves compositional uncertainty, and captures the explaining-away behaviour of colliders. Finally, we empirically validate our theoretical results and our methodology, and model a latent-collider DAG, a protein signalling network, and a multi-fidelity heavy-ion collision emulation task, attaining state-of-the-art performance while recovering low-fidelity contributions and yielding interpretability of the simulator hierarchy.

Recovering the exact directed acyclic graph (DAG) in linear non-Gaussian acyclic models with latent confounders (LvLiNGAM) remains a challenging problem. Although LvLiNGAM is identifiable only up to an observational equivalence class, each equivalence class is characterized by a unique sparsest DAG. Recovering the sparsest DAG from finite samples, however, remains difficult. Although existing methods are asymptotically consistent, they do not provide an explicit finite-sample procedure for recovering the unique sparsest DAG, nor do they handle models with an arbitrary number of latent confounders. In this paper, we propose a finite-sample method for recovering the sparsest DAG without imposing any restriction on the number of latent confounders. Simulation studies and real-data analyses demonstrate that the proposed method achieves superior finite-sample performance compared with existing approaches.

Continuous optimization methods for learning Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) operate on weighted adjacency matrices and are therefore limited to pairwise causal relationships. We propose a framework for learning Directed Acyclic Hypergraphs (DAHGs) from observational data, capturing joint parental influences that pairwise models cannot represent. Our approach rests on three components: (i) a generalized linear structural equation model (SEM) with multiplicative interaction terms whose non-zero weights correspond one-to-one with directed hyperedges; (ii) a weighted adjacency tensor representation whose acyclicity is characterized via nilpotency under the tensor t-product; and (iii) a differentiable acyclicity constraint derived through the Fourier decomposition of the t-product, which reduces tensor nilpotency to slice-wise matrix nilpotency and enables least-squares learning via the augmented Lagrangian method.

LLM agents can write code and call tools, but reliable bioinformatics work requires long-horizon interaction with workflow software, typed data objects, provenance, and biological checks. We study this setting through Galaxy workflow execution. The agent must explore task data, construct or adapt an executable workflow DAG, bind inputs and dataset collections, monitor execution, debug failures, and validate biological outputs. We propose Process-Reward Tactic Evolution, a Galaxy-based training framework that turns verified workflow rollouts into reusable \tactics. During training, agents practice on curriculum-organized Galaxy tasks in Agent Gym; process verifiers score workflow construction, software interaction, execution, and biological correctness; successful and failed traces are distilled into a tactic library. At inference, the trained executor, Process-Reward Tactic Evolution, uses this library to execute held-out peer reviewed Galaxy workflow converted BioWorkflow Bench and BioAgent Bench tasks in isolated environments. The paper evaluates whether process-supervised tactic accumulation improves long-horizon bioinformatics workflow completion, biological correctness, and execution efficiency over no-memory and reflection-style baselines.

Enterprise AI aims to move toward continuous event monitoring, detection, and action across specialist agents, yet existing multi-agent systems largely assume discrete request-response workflows and remain underexplored at enterprise scale. We evaluate DAG Plan and Execute and ReAct across 208 production-derived enterprise scenarios spanning Persona (<10 agents), Department (20-80), and Enterprise (200) scales, and introduce a Task Manager for continuous operation via priority inference, related-event merging, and preemption. Results show that scale, not task complexity, dominates orchestration performance: both architectures perform well at small scale but degrade at enterprise scale as agent discovery noise becomes the primary bottleneck, with simple tasks degrading more sharply than complex ones. DAG Plan and Execute offers higher precision and structured parallelization at smaller scales, but its higher overhead worsens at enterprise scale; ReAct is more robust by handling failures incrementally. The Task Manager reduces high-priority queue latency by 14-75% and improves related-event correctness by over 20 percentage points at enterprise scale.

Shapley value-based feature attribution methods face challenges in scenarios involving complex feature interactions and causal relationships, even when a causal structure is provided. Existing methods typically adopt a node-centric view, attributing importance solely to individual features. Consequently, they often fail to simultaneously capture the externality and exogenous influence of features, leading to unreasonable interpretations. To overcome these limitations, we propose a novel feature attribution method called DAG-SHAP, which is based on edge intervention. DAG-SHAP treats each feature edge as an individual attribution object, ensuring that both externality and exogenous contributions of features are appropriately captured. Additionally, we introduce an approximation method for efficiently computing DAG-SHAP. Extensive experiments on both real and synthetic datasets validate the effectiveness of DAG-SHAP. Our code is available at https://github.com/ZJU-DIVER/DAG-SHAP.

Coordinating heterogeneous multi-robot systems (MRS) for complex, long-horizon tasks requires both flexible high-level reasoning and efficient execution-time scheduling. Existing LLM-based approaches struggle to balance reasoning efficiency and execution flexibility. Flat sequential plans are efficient to generate but overlook parallel execution opportunities, while repeated LLM reasoning introduces high latency, and offline schedules may unnecessarily keep robots idle due to fixed execution orders. This paper presents OSDAG, a novel framework that resolves this trade-off by employing a Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) as the central representation for multi-robot coordination, coupled with constraint-aware online scheduling. The LLM is typically invoked once as a semantic parser that decomposes a natural-language instruction into a dependency-annotated task graph encoding precedence relations, together with robot capability and resource-feasibility constraints. A lightweight online scheduler then dynamically dispatches dependency-ready tasks to their assigned robots as soon as they become idle, exposing available parallelism while preserving correctness. Experiments across five benchmark scenarios demonstrate that OSDAG achieves $5-15\times$ faster reasoning time than dialogue-based methods, reduces makespan by up to $38\%$ over sequential baselines, and maintains competitive success rates. Both simulation and real-world experiments on human-robot collaboration tasks validate the effectiveness and practicality of the proposed approach for efficient multi-robot coordination. The website and resources are available at http://thanhnguyencanh.github.io/LLM_DAG4MultiRobot

This paper proposes a collapsible method for estimating causal effects that maintains the estimator's consistency before and after marginalization over some variables in completed partially directed acyclic graphs (CPDAGs). We first introduce the estimate collapsibility for CPDAGs and characterize the minimal collapsible sets as strong d-convex hulls. An efficient algorithm is devised to obtain such sets in DAGs and is generalized to CPDAGs. Then, we combine the graph reduction procedure with the IDA framework. Finally, experiments and empirical analysis show the effectiveness of the collapsibility for causal estimations in CPDAGs. Code is available at https://github.com/Jamyang-D/strongly-convex.

Modern image-analysis pipelines often convert images into structured semantic variables, such as facial attributes, object concepts, and scene descriptors. Learning directed dependencies among these variables can produce interpretable visual semantic graphs, but continuous directed acyclic graph learning is limited by the cost of enforcing acyclicity. We present polyDAG, a polynomial acyclicity framework for efficient continuous causal discovery in visual semantic graphs. polyDAG replaces the matrix-exponential acyclicity constraint with a finite polynomial trace constraint and proves that the new constraint is zero exactly for acyclic graphs. We further derive a geometric-series implementation that avoids the explicit summation loop while preserving the same acyclicity condition. Experiments on synthetic Erdos-Renyi graphs and CelebA facial visual attributes show that polyDAG improves efficiency and structure recovery. Averaged over the revised synthetic protocol with d in {100, 200, 500}, polyDAG reduces mean structural Hamming distance from 318.4 to 285.4 and improves mean F1 score from 0.725 to 0.756. At 100 nodes, the geometric variant runs in 3.44 seconds compared with 5.16 seconds for the exponential baseline, corresponding to a 33.4 percent speedup. Code and data are publicly available at https://github.com/wenhaoz-fengcai/polyDAG.

Data-driven causal relationship identification is pertinent to advancing understanding of complex systems both within and beyond science. Bayesian networks offer a probabilistic method for modelling generic causal relationships via directed acyclic graphs (DAGs). However, typical techniques for constructing Bayesian networks rely on optimization, which can be ill-suited for learning causal relationships because the underlying data may admit multiple chains of causation. More data-faithful representations of causal relationships would provide frameworks for constructing multiple causal maps that are consistent with the variability that is inherent in underlying data. Here, we show that entropy-based inference generates atlases of plausible causal relationships that are consistent with underlying data. On simulated noisy data of 2- and 20-node linear structural equation models, we sample a maximum-entropy ensemble of graphs that allow us to quantify the inherent structural ambiguity in underlying causal relationships. Our method shows that "optimized" DAGs can contain causal artifacts are not consistent across equivalently accurate topologies.

Mixed-combinatorial nonlinear programming (MCNLP) problems arise in many engineering design and planning applications, e.g., due to categorical, component, and geometric design choices, as well as joint task and motion planning. Traditional representations of combinatorial spaces, such as integer or binary encoding, often introduce spurious relations, increase dimensionality, and require additional compatibility constraints. Instead, this paper draws on recent developments in robot planning and vehicle/network routing domains that aim to learn search heuristics over combinatorial spaces using graph neural networks (GNNs). More specifically, this paper presents a first-of-its-kind structured abstraction of the combinatorial space by learning a mapping from an undirected fully connected graph of combinations to a directed graph indicating improvement directions using an Edge Field Graph Network (EFGN). To demonstrate the utility of this new way of abstracting the combinatorial space in solving MCNLPs, we adopt a recent optimization framework that purely searches over the non-combinatorial (e.g., continuous) variables and retrieves the best-suited combination for each candidate design by using the abstraction model, akin to a recommender system. The presented direction-aware abstraction model provides a potentially more scalable and interpretable retrieval of combinations compared to the original recommendation system in that framework. For evaluation, the proposed method is integrated with a well-known particle swarm optimization and genetic algorithm solvers on three benchmark nonlinear problems with varying numbers of combinations and variables. Compared to baseline solvers using indexified combinations, the GNN-based recommender consistently achieves better mean optimum values and robustness across multiple runs.

Off-policy evaluation estimates how a target policy would perform using data collected by a different behavior policy, which is crucial when online testing is costly or risky, such as in recommendation or healthcare. Standard importance sampling reweights each logged trajectory, but it can treat details of the generation process as meaningful even when the evaluation target ignores them: for example, an autoregressive slate recommender may generate an ordered sequence of items while the reward and downstream estimator depend only on the unordered slate. This creates nuisance variance and a computational gap, since exact unordered slate propensities require summing over all generation orders. We introduce a quotient-DAG view that merges histories equivalent for evaluation and assigns weights using target-to-behavior forward-flow ratios on the merged graph. For slate recommendation under a set-sufficient next-item interface, this yields Forward-DP, a subset-DAG dynamic program that computes exact unordered propensities without factorial enumeration. The resulting propensity primitive enables practical propensity-based evaluation and model selection for context-dependent autoregressive slate loggers.

Large reasoning models (LRMs) achieve strong mathematical reasoning performance in English, but remain much less reliable in many low- and medium-resource languages. This gap is often explained as a failure to understand non-English problem statements. We show that this view is incomplete: even when the problem is given in English, controlling the model's reasoning language can substantially reduce accuracy, suggesting that language also affects reasoning execution itself. To study this effect, we introduce DATG, a Directed Acyclic Trace Graph framework that maps reasoning traces to language-independent mathematical anchors and dependencies. This allows us to align target-language traces with reference DAGs and measure whether they cover required mathematical nodes, respect dependency edges, and avoid harmful mathematical actions. Experiments on the Qwen3 series across 12 languages show that non-English reasoning often suffers from reduced anchor coverage and weaker dependency fidelity, especially in low-resource languages. Motivated by this diagnosis, we propose Loop-Retry and Formula-Retry, two simple test-time controls targeting DATG-exposed failure modes, and show that they consistently improve target-language reasoning performance in low-resource languages.

We study the contradiction graphs associated with binary concept classes. For a class $H \subseteq \{0,1\}^X$, the order-$m$ contradiction graph $G_m(H)$ has as vertices the $H$-realizable labeled sequences of length $m$, with two vertices adjacent when the two sequences assign opposite labels to some common domain point. Our main result is that the single graph $G_m(H)$ determines the threshold predicate $\mathrm{VCdim}(H)\ge m$. Consequently, the full sequence $(G_m(H))_{m \ge 1}$ determines the exact VC dimension and, in particular, detects finite versus infinite VC dimension, answering a question posed by Alon et al. (2024).

In complex multivariate systems, interactions among variables are defined by dependency structures, often encoded as directed acyclic graphs ($\text{DAGs}$). However, dependency structures can vary across subjects, and ignoring this structural heterogeneity introduces bias and obscures subpopulation-specific dependencies. To address this, we propose Directed Acyclic Graph-based Dependency Clustering via Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (DAG-DC-ADMM), a unified framework built upon Structural Equation Modeling (SEM) that jointly learns cluster assignments and cluster-specific dependency structures. We encode acyclicity via a smooth constraint and integrate a groupwise truncated Lasso fusion penalty (gTLP) to cluster subjects based on their structural similarity. This yields a nonconvex optimization problem that incorporates sparsity, acyclicity, and structural consensus constraints. We address the nonconvexity by using the augmented Lagrangian method and solve it with an adapted version of the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM) for difference-of-convex programs. For certain graph structures, such as upper triangular adjacency matrices, our algorithm is guaranteed to converge to a Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) point. Experiments demonstrate that our method recovers cluster-specific causal dependency structures with a high true positive rate and a low false discovery rate. This capability enables the robust discovery of heterogeneous dependencies across subjects where the subpopulation label is unknown.

Industrial LLM agent systems often separate planning from execution, yet LLM planners frequently produce structurally invalid or unnecessarily long workflows, leading to brittle failures and avoidable tool and API cost. We propose \texttt{SPIN}, a planning wrapper that combines validated Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) planning with prefix based execution control. \texttt{SPIN} enforces a strict DAG contract through \texttt{_validate_plan_text} and repair prompting, producing executable plans before downstream execution, and then evaluates DAG prefixes incrementally to stop when the current prefix is sufficient to answer the query. On AssetOpsBench, across 261 scenarios, \texttt{SPIN} reduces executed tasks from 1061 to 623 and improves \emph{Accomplished} from 0.638 to 0.706, while reducing tool calls from 11.81 to 6.82 per run. On MCP Bench, the same wrapper improves planning, grounding, and dependency related scores for both GPT OSS1 and Llama 4 Maverick.

Is monolithic scaling the only path to AGI? This paper challenges the dogma that purely scaling a single model is sufficient to achieve Artificial General Intelligence. Instead, we identify Agentic AI as a necessary paradigm for mastering the complex, heterogeneous distribution of real-world tasks. Through rigorous theoretical derivations, we contrast the optimization constraints of monolithic learners against the efficiency of Agentic systems, progressing from simple routing mechanisms to general Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG) topologies. We demonstrate that Agentic AI achieves exponentially superior generalization and sample efficiency. Finally, we discuss the connection to Mixture-of-Experts, reinterpret the instability of current multi-agent frameworks, and call for greater research focus on Agentic AI.

Tool-augmented language models can extend small language models with external executable skills, but scaling the tool library creates a coupled challenge: the library must evolve with the planner as new reusable subroutines emerge, while retrieval from the growing library must remain within a fixed context budget. Existing tool-use and skill-library methods typically treat tools as flat or text-indexed memories, causing prompt cost to grow with library size and obscuring the typed, compositional structure of executable code. We propose CoCoDA, a framework that co-evolves the planner and tool library through a single code-native structure: a compositional code DAG. Nodes are primitive or composite tools, edges encode invocation dependencies, and each node stores a typed signature, description, pre/post-condition specification, and worked examples. At inference time, Typed DAG Retrieval prunes candidates by symbolic signature unification, ranks survivors by descriptions, filters them by behavioral specifications, and disambiguates with examples, keeping expensive context materialization on progressively smaller candidate sets. At training time, successful trajectories are folded into validated composite tools, while the planner is updated with a DAG-induced reward that credits composites by their primitive expansion size. We provide theoretical results showing retrieval cost reduction, sublinear retrieval time, compositional advantage under the shaped reward, monotone co-evolution under conservative updates, and DAG well-formedness. Across mathematical reasoning, tabular analysis, and code task benchmarks, CoCoDA enables an 8B student to match or exceed a 32B teacher on GSM8K and MATH and consistently improves over strong tool-use and library-learning baselines.

Episodic memory allows LLM agents to accumulate and retrieve experience, but current methods treat each memory independently, i.e., evaluating retrieval quality in isolation without accounting for the dependency chains through which memories enable the creation of future memories. We introduce MemQ, which applies TD($λ$) eligibility traces to memory Q-values, propagating credit backward through a provenance DAG that records which memories were retrieved when each new memory was created. Credit weight decays as $(γλ)^d$ with DAG depth $d$, replacing temporal distance with structural proximity. We formalize the setting as an Exogenous-Context MDP, whose factored transition decouples the exogenous task stream from the endogenous memory store. Across six benchmarks, spanning OS interaction, function calling, code generation, multimodal reasoning, embodied reasoning, and expert-level QA, MemQ achieves the highest success rate on all six in generalization evaluation and runtime learning, with gains largest on multi-step tasks that produce deep and relevant provenance chains (up to +5.7pp) and smallest on single-step classification (+0.77pp) where single-step updates already suffice. We further study how $γ$ and $λ$ interact with the EC-MDP structure, providing principled guidance for parameter selection and future research. Code is available at https://github.com/jwliao-ai/MemQ.

Public attitudes toward artificial intelligence are heterogeneous, ordinally measured, and poorly captured by any single dependency graph. Existing ordinal structure learners assume a shared directed acyclic graph (DAG) across all respondents; recent heterogeneous ordinal graphical-model approaches focus on subgroup discovery rather than confirmatory cluster-specific DAG estimation; and latent profile analyses discard dependency structure entirely. We introduce a heterogeneous ordinal structure-learning framework combining monotone Gaussian score embedding, Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) complexity discovery via a truncated stick-breaking prior, and confirmatory fixed-K estimation with cluster-specific sparse DAG learning. The key methodological insight is a discovery-to-confirmation workflow: the nonparametric stage calibrates plausible archetype complexity, while inner-validated confirmatory refitting yields stable, interpretable structural estimates. On the 2024 Pew American Trends Panel AI attitudes survey, Wave 152 (W152) survey, (N = 4,788, 8 ordinal items), the confirmatory K*=5 model reduces holdout transformed-score mean squared error (MSE) by 25.8% over a single-graph baseline and by 4.6% over mixture-only clustering. A controlled tiered semi-synthetic benchmark calibrated to W152 structure validates recovery across difficulty regimes and transparently reveals failure modes under stress conditions.

Conversational Aspect-based Sentiment Quadruple Analysis (DiaASQ) needs to capture the complex interrelationships in multiple rounds of dialogues. Existing methods usually employ simple Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN), which introduce structural noise and fail to consider the temporal sequence of the dialogues, or use standard RoPE, which implicitly captures relative distances in a flat sequence but cannot clearly separate the token-level syntactic order from the utterance-level progression, and may suffer from the Distance Dilution problem. To address these issues, we propose a new framework that combines Thread-Constrained Directed Acyclic Graph (TC-DAG) and Discourse-Aware Rotary Position Embedding (D-RoPE). Specifically, TC-DAG filters out cross-thread noise based on thread constraints, maintains global connectivity through root anchoring, and incorporates the temporal sequence of the dialogues. D-RoPE aligns multi-layer semantics using dual-stream projection and multi-scale frequency signals, captures thread dependencies using tree-like distances, and alleviates the token-level Distance Dilution problem by incorporating utterance-level progressions. Experimental results on two benchmark datasets demonstrate that our framework achieves state-of-the-art performance.

We study networked binary classification on a directed acyclic graph (DAG) where each agent observes only a subset of the feature columns of a shared dataset. Agents act sequentially along the DAG: each receives prediction columns from its parents (if any), augments its local features with these columns, fits a logistic predictor by minimizing binary cross-entropy (BCE), and forwards its prediction column to its outgoing neighbors. We ask whether this sequential distributed training procedure achieves information aggregation, meaning that some agent attains small excess loss compared to the best logistic predictor trained with access to all feature columns. This question was studied for linear regression under squared loss by Kearns, Roth, and Ryu (SODA 2026). Extending their guarantees to classification is nontrivial because their analysis relies on quadratic structure that does not directly transfer to BCE with a logistic link. We analyze the resulting sequential logit-passing protocol and prove: (i) an excess loss upper bound of $O(M/\sqrt{D})$ on depth-$D$ paths under the condition that every $M$ contiguous subsequence of $M$ agents collectively observe all features, and (ii) a close lower bound showing instances with excess loss of at least $Ω(k/D)$ where $k$ is the dimension of the feature space. Together, these results identify network depth as a fundamental bottleneck for information aggregation in networked logistic regression.

We study sequential interventions under prerequisite constraints. In this setting, admissible intervention sequences are paths in the ideal lattice of a finite prerequisite poset rather than unconstrained action strings. We give an exact local-to-global theory of order sensitivity on this state space. First, we prove that any two admissible paths with the same endpoints differ by a finite sequence of elementary diamond swaps. Second, for edge-additive path valuations, we show that path-independence is equivalent to vanishing diamond curvature, yielding an endpoint potential with a canonical Möbius parameterization on the ideal lattice. Third, we prove that a local diamond field is induced by an edge-based path model if and only if it satisfies cube consistency, with uniqueness after fixing a reference-tree gauge. Under reduced-state longitudinal assumptions, supported reference paths identify reference-path scores, whereas local order effects require two-sided support of both orders on each diamond. These results yield exact planning consequences, including an order-insensitivity bound and dynamic programming on the truncated ideal lattice.

This paper addresses the Variable Gapped Longest Common Subsequence (VGLCS) problem, a generalization of the classical LCS problem involving flexible gap constraints between consecutive solutions' characters. The problem arises in molecular sequence comparison, where structural distance constraints between residues must be respected, and in time-series analysis where events are required to occur within specified temporal delays. We propose a search framework based on the root-based state graph representation, in which the state space comprises a generally large number of rooted state subgraphs. To cope with the resulting combinatorial explosion, an iterative beam search strategy is employed, dynamically maintaining a global pool of promising candidate root nodes, enabling effective control of diversification across iterations. To exploit the search for high-quality solutions, several known heuristics from the LCS literature are utilized into the standalone beam search procedure. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first comprehensive computational study on the VGLCS problem comprising 320 synthetic instances with up to 10 input sequences and up to 500 characters. Experimental results show robustness of the designed approach over the baseline beam search in comparable runtimes.

Synthetic tabular data generation addresses data scarcity and privacy constraints in a variety of domains. Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Network (TabPFN), a recent foundation model for tabular data, has been shown capable of generating high-quality synthetic tabular data. However, TabPFN is autoregressive: features are generated sequentially by conditioning on the previous ones, depending on the order in which they appear in the input data. We demonstrate that when the feature order conflicts with causal structure, the model produces spurious correlations that impair its ability to generate synthetic data and preserve causal effects. We address this limitation by integrating causal structure into TabPFN's generation process through two complementary approaches: Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG)-aware conditioning, which samples each variable given its causal parents, and a partially directed acyclic graph (PDAG)-based strategy for scenarios with partial causal knowledge. We evaluate these approaches on controlled benchmarks and six CSuite datasets, assessing structural fidelity, distributional quality, and Average Treatment Effect (ATE) preservation. Across most settings, DAG-aware conditioning improves the quality and stability of synthetic data relative to vanilla TabPFN. Under partial causal knowledge, the oracle partially directed acyclic graph (oracle-PDAG), which orients only the edges into the colliders, shows moderate gains, while the benefit of a Completed Partially Directed Acyclic Graph (CPDAG) discovered from data depends on how well the causal structure is recovered. These results indicate that reliable causal structure, even partial, can be injected into TabPFN at inference time, without parameter updates, to improve synthetic data quality.

Modern AI agents increasingly rely on search infrastructure to execute complex, neuro-symbolic reasoning workflows. These workflows often compile into deeply nested, non-monotonic Boolean queries over text fields. However, standard query evaluation strategies over inverted indices face severe theoretical limits when handling these structures. Stateful iterator models (Document-at-a-Time) are structurally bounded by $\text{NC}^1$ formula evaluation, suffering a worst-case $O(2^{|Q|})$ exponential blowup in query complexity when unrolling re-convergent logic. Conversely, recursive materialization models (Term-at-a-Time) incur an $Ω(|U|)$ space complexity penalty (the Universal Scan) when evaluating logical negation over the document universe. In this paper, we establish the theoretical boundaries of executing complex logic natively over an inverted index. We formalize a retrieval language ($\mathcal{L}_R$) based on Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and prove that its evaluation problem is strictly \textbf{$\mathbf{P}$-Complete}. To make evaluation tractable, we introduce \texttt{ComputePN}, a deterministic, sparsity-aware evaluation algorithm. By decoupling logical negation from universe-scale materialization via a novel Positive-Negative dual representation, and utilizing native DAG memoization, \texttt{ComputePN} strictly bounds evaluation time to $O(|Q| \cdot |U_{\mathit{active}}|)$. This approach successfully evaluates $\mathbf{P}$-Complete queries natively over the index, avoiding both the combinatorial tree-expansion bottleneck and the universal scan penalty, laying the formal foundation for computational retrieval.