Disasters

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86 papers

Latest in Disasters

May 19, 2026cs.AI

Can Large Language Models Revolutionize Survey Research? Experiments with Disaster Preparedness Responses

Survey research faces mounting structural challenges: declining response rates, sample bias, block-wise missingness among at-risk respondents, and AI-assisted fraudulent completions in online panels. Large language models (LLMs) have been proposed as a remedy, yet rigorous evaluations across the full survey workflow remain scarce, particularly in disaster contexts where data quality matters most. We present and evaluate a five-stage framework for LLM integration covering questionnaire design, sample selection, pilot testing, missing-data imputation, and post-collection analysis, using the 2024 Hurricane Milton preparedness survey of Florida residents (n=946) as a shared empirical testbed. We introduce a Protection Motivation Theory (PMT)-constrained co-occurrence knowledge graph and develop seven LLM configurations spanning zero-shot inference, retrieval-augmented baselines, and novel theory-informed variants. Our proposed Anchored Marginal Theory-Informed LLM (A-TLM) outperforms all three classical imputation baselines (IPW/MI, MICE+PMM, missForest) on RMSE under disaster-relevant block-wise MNAR conditions (S4 RMSE 1.439 vs. 1.496 for the next-best), while achieving near-zero signed bias (-0.121) where the random-forest imputer produces the largest absolute bias (-0.631). Organizing retrieval around PMT causal structure and integrating all evidence in a single model call outperforms unstructured retrieval and staged sequential inference (MAE 0.993 vs. 1.097 for standard RAG). We document that near-zero aggregate bias can mask opposing subgroup errors and propose subgroup-stratified bias auditing as a reporting standard. A retrieval-constrained knowledge-graph chatbot demonstrates that hallucination is architecturally manageable through grounded refusal.
Yan Wang, Ziyi Guo, Christopher McCarty
May 18, 2026cs.CL

How Loud Rumbles Hit Newsstands: A Data Analysis of Coverage and Spatial Bias in German News about Landslides Around the World

Landslides often hit newsstands due to their destructive and potentially fatal effects. News are a valuable source of information for creating or enriching disaster databases and for expediting media-based studies of the dynamics of media attention. To accomplish that, news datasets must be filtered, geolocated and validated. This paper focuses on how landslides around the world are reported in German newspapers. We analyse almost 55k news articles about 4.5k news events in a 25-year period, compare it with external measures of countries' susceptibility to landslides and provide insights, e.g. the overreporting of Southern and Western Europe, to foster further studies on inequalities in media attention to international disasters.
Brielen Madureira, Andreas Niekler, Marc Keuschnigg +1
May 16, 2026cs.LG

OPTNet: Ordering Point Transformer Network for Post-disaster 3D Semantic Segmentation

Post-disaster damage assessment requires rapid and accurate semantic segmentation of 3D point clouds to identify critical infrastructure such as damaged buildings and roads. Early Point Transformers (e.g., PTv1, PTv2) relied on computationally expensive neighbor searching (k-NN) and Farthest Point Sampling (FPS). To improve efficiency, recent architectures like Point Transformer V3 (PTv3) adopted static serialization methods, such as Hilbert curves or Z-order, to organize unstructured points for window-based attention. However, these fixed orderings are not optimal for capturing the complex geometry of disaster scenes. In this paper, we propose OPTNet (Ordering Point Transformer Network), which introduces a learnable Point Sorter module. OPTNet utilizes a self-supervised ordering loss to dynamically predict an optimal permutation that maximizes the locality of the attention mechanism. We evaluate our method on the 3DAeroRelief dataset, significantly outperforming state-of-the-art baselines.
Nhut Le, Ehsan Karimi, Maryam Rahnemoonfar
May 15, 2026cs.HC

SLIP & ETHICS: Graduated Intervention for AI Emotional Companions

AI emotional companions face a safety-rapport paradox: restrictive safeguards can damage supportive alliance, while permissive systems risk user harm. We present SLIP (Staged Layers of Intervention Protocol), a four-stage graduated methodology deriving interventions (none, soft, hard) from structured qualitative indicators -- affect intensity (a) and narrative dynamism (m) -- alongside ETHICS (Emergent Taxonomy for Human-AI Interaction Context Signals), a "signals not labels" taxonomy. An evaluation combining a small-scale production deployment (N=68 entries, 10 users, 10 weeks) with a synthetic persona battery (N=91, 5 behavioral-risk profiles) achieved 0% false positives for the flow persona and showed expected escalation patterns in crisis-oriented personas. However, initial results showed that 8 consecutive days of high-energy elevation produced zero interventions (0/8), exposing a boundary where the "do not pathologize" principle conflicts with safety. A subsequent three-model stress test demonstrated that increased model capability improves detection from 0/8 to 6/8 while preserving 0/10 flow false positives in the largest model. Read as preliminary, these findings position graduated intervention as a design direction for navigating -- not resolving -- the safety-rapport tension in affective computing.
Minseo Kim
May 12, 2026cs.CL

The Algorithmic Caricature: Auditing LLM-Generated Political Discourse Across Crisis Events

Large Language Models (LLMs) can generate fluent political text at scale, raising concerns about synthetic discourse during crises and social conflict. Existing AI-text detection often focuses on sentence-level cues such as perplexity, burstiness, or token irregularities, but these signals may weaken as generative systems improve. We instead adopt a Computational Social Science perspective and ask whether synthetic political discourse behaves like an observed online population. We construct a paired corpus of 1,789,406 posts across nine crisis events: COVID-19, the Jan. 6 Capitol attack, the 2020 and 2024 U.S. elections, Dobbs/Roe v. Wade, the 2020 BLM protests, U.S. midterms, the Utah shooting, and the U.S.-Iran war. For each event, we compare observed discourse from social platforms with synthetic discourse generated for the same context. We evaluate four dimensions: emotional intensity, structural regularity, lexical-ideological framing, and cross-event dependency, using mean gaps and dispersion evidence. Across events, synthetic discourse is fluent but population-level unrealistic. It is generally more negative and less dispersed in sentiment, structurally more regular, and lexically more abstract than observed discourse. Observed discourse instead shows broader emotional variation, longer-tailed structural distributions, and more context-specific, colloquial lexical markers. These differences are event-dependent: larger for fast-moving, decentralized crises and smaller for formal or institutionally mediated events. We summarize them with a simple event-level measure, the Caricature Gap. Our findings suggest that the main limitation of synthetic political discourse is not grammar or fluency, but reduced population realism. Population-level auditing complements traditional text-detection and provides a CSS framework for evaluating the social realism of generated discourse.
Gunjan, Sidahmed Benabderrahmane, Talal Rahwan
May 12, 2026cs.AI

Can LLM Agents Respond to Disasters? Benchmarking Heterogeneous Geospatial Reasoning in Emergency Operations

Operational disaster response goes beyond damage assessment, requiring responders to integrate multi-sensor signals, reason over road networks, populations and key facilities, plan evacuations, and produce actionable reports. However, prior work largely isolates remote-sensing perception or evaluates generic tool use, leaving the end-to-end workflows of emergency operations underexplored. In this paper, we introduce Disaster Operational Response Agent benchmark (DORA), the first agentic benchmark for end-to-end disaster response: 515 expert-authored tasks across 45 real-world disaster events spanning 10 types, paired with expert-verified, replayable gold trajectories totaling 3,500 tool-call steps. Tasks span five dimensions that cover the operational disaster-response pipeline: disaster perception, spatial relational analysis, rescue and evacuation planning, temporal evolution reasoning, and multi-modal report synthesis. Agents compose calls from a 108-tool MCP library over heterogeneous geospatial data: optical, SAR, and multi-spectral imagery across single-, bi-, and multi-temporal sequences (0.015-10m GSD), complemented by elevation and social vector layers. We comprehensively evaluate 13 frontier LLMs on our benchmark, revealing three persistent challenges: 1) disaster-domain grounding exposes unique failure modes (damage-semantic grounding, sensor-modality mismatch, and disaster-pipeline composition); 2) agents are doubly bottlenecked by tool selection and argument grounding, where gold tool-order hints improve accuracy by only 1.08-4.40%, and alternative scaffolds yield at most a 3.24% gain; 3) compositional fragility scales with trajectory length, the agent-to-gold gap widening from 7% to 56% on long pipelines. DORA establishes a rigorous testbed for operationally reliable disaster-response agents.
Junjue Wang, Weihao Xuan, Heli Qi +7
May 12, 2026cs.CV

Instruct-ICL: Instruction-Guided In-Context Learning for Post-Disaster Damage Assessment

Rapid and accurate situational awareness is essential for effective response during natural disasters, where delays in analysis can significantly hinder decision-making. Training task-specific models for post-disaster assessment is often time-consuming and computationally expensive, making such approaches impractical in time-critical scenarios. Consequently, pretrained multimodal large language models (MLLMs) have emerged as a promising alternative for post-disaster visual question answering (VQA), a task that aims to answer structured questions about visual scenes by jointly reasoning over images and text. While these models demonstrate strong multimodal reasoning capabilities, their responses can be sensitive to prompt formulation, which can limit their reliability in real-world disaster assessment scenarios. In this paper, we investigate whether structured reasoning strategies can improve the reliability of pretrained MLLMs for post-disaster VQA. Specifically, we explore multiple prompting paradigms in which one MLLM is used to generate task-specific instructions that serve as Chain-of-Thought (CoT) guidance for a second MLLM. These instructions are incorporated during answer generation with varying degrees of in-context learning (ICL), enabling the model to leverage both explicit reasoning guidance and contextual examples. We conduct our evaluation on the FloodNet dataset and compare these approaches against a zero-shot baseline. Our results demonstrate that integrating instruction-driven CoT reasoning consistently improves answer accuracy.
Armin Zarbaft, Ehsan Karimi, Nhut Le +1
May 12, 2026cs.CL

Large Language Models for Causal Relations Extraction in Social Media: A Validation Framework for Disaster Intelligence

During disasters, extracting causal relations from social media can strengthen situational awareness by identifying factors linked to casualties, physical damage, infrastructure disruption, and cascading impacts. However, disaster-related posts are often informal, fragmented, and context-dependent, and they may describe personal experiences rather than explicit causal relations. In this work, we examine whether Large Language Models (LLMs) can effectively extract causal relations from disaster-related social media posts. To this end, we (1) propose an expert-grounded evaluation framework that compares LLM-generated causal graphs with reference graphs derived from disaster-specific reports and (2) assess whether the extracted relations are supported by post-event evidence or instead reflect model priors. Our findings highlight both the potential and risks of using LLMs for causal relation extraction in disaster decision-support systems.
Ujun Jeong, Saketh Vishnubhatla, Bohan Jiang +3
May 11, 2026cs.CL

Speech-based Psychological Crisis Assessment using LLMs

Psychological support hotlines provide critical support for individuals experiencing mental health emergencies, yet current assessments largely rely on human operators whose judgments may vary with professional experience and are constrained by limited staffing resources. This paper proposes a large language model (LLM)-based framework for automated crisis level classification, a key indicator that supports many downstream tasks and improves the overall quality of hotline services. To better capture emotional signals in spoken conversations, we introduce a paralinguistic injection method that inserts identified non-verbal emotional cues into speech transcripts, enabling LLM-based reasoning to incorporate critical acoustic nuances. In addition, we propose a reasoning-enhanced training strategy that trains the model to generate diagnostic reasoning chains as an auxiliary task, which serves as a regulariser to improve classification performance. Combined with data augmentation, our final system achieves a macro F1-score of 0.802 and an accuracy of 0.805 on the three-class classification task under 5-fold cross-validation.
Terumi Chiba, Yang Luo, Ziyun Cui +2
May 11, 2026cs.CV

DA-SegFormer: Damage-Aware Semantic Segmentation for Fine-Grained Disaster Assessment

Rapid and accurate damage assessment following natural disasters is critical for effective emergency response. However, identifying fine-grained damage levels (e.g., distinguishing minor from major roof damage) in UAV imagery remains challenging due to the degradation of texture cues during resizing and extreme class imbalance. We propose DA-SegFormer, a damage-aware adaptation of the SegFormer architecture optimized for high-resolution disaster imagery. Our method introduces a Class-Aware Sampling strategy to guarantee exposure to rare damage features, and it integrates Online Hard Example Mining (OHEM) with Dice Loss to dynamically focus on underrepresented classes. In addition, we employ a resolution-preserving inference protocol that maintains native texture details. Evaluated on the RescueNet dataset, DA-SegFormer achieves 74.61% mIoU, outperforming the baseline by 2.55%. Notably, our improvements yield double-digit gains in critical damage classes: Minor Damage (+11.7%) and Major Damage (+21.3%).
Kevin Zhu, William Tang, Raphael Hay Tene +3
May 8, 2026cs.AI

LLM-guided Semi-Supervised Approaches for Social Media Crisis Data Classification

Semi-supervised learning approaches have been investigated as a means to enhance the analysis of social media data in disaster management contexts. In this work, we present the first empirical evaluation of large language model (LLM) guided semi-supervised learning for crisis related tweet classification. We compare two recent LLM assisted semi-supervised methods, VerifyMatch and LLM guided Co-Training ( LG-CoTrain), against established semi-supervised baselines. Our results show that LG-CoTrain significantly outperforms classical semi-supervised approaches in low resource settings with 5, 10 and 25 labeled examples per class, achieving the highest averaged Macro F1 across events. VerifyMatch achieves competitive performance while also demonstrating strong calibration properties. As the number of labeled examples increases, the performance gap narrows and Self Training emerges as a strong baseline. We further observe that compact semi-supervised models can, in some cases, outperform very large LLMs operating in zero-shot settings. This finding highlights the potential of transferring knowledge from LLMs into smaller and more deployable models through LLM guided semi-supervised learning, offering a practical pathway for real world disaster response applications. Our project repository on Github is here.
Jacob Ativo, Bharaneeshwar Balasubramaniyam, Anh Tran +4
May 8, 2026cs.AI

The Limits of AI-Driven Allocation: Optimal Screening under Aleatoric Uncertainty

The rise of machine learning has shifted targeted resource allocation in policy and humanitarian settings toward algorithmic targeting based on predicted risk scores. This approach is typically cheaper and faster than traditional screening procedures that directly observe the latent vulnerability status through physical verification. Yet, even access to the true conditional vulnerability probability cannot eliminate misallocation: aleatoric uncertainty over individual vulnerability status is irreducible, and probabilistic targeting inevitably misallocates some resources. In this work we study how screening and algorithmic targeting should be optimally combined in a two-stage allocation framework where a screening stage observes true outcomes for a subset of units before a final allocation stage assigns the resource under a fixed coverage budget. We show that the optimal strategy screens units at the margin of algorithmic allocation, while directly targeting the highest-risk units. Furthermore, we empirically characterize when screening and algorithmic targeting act as complements or substitutes: efficiency gains from screening grow as the aleatoric uncertainty in the population increases. We illustrate our framework with applications in income-based social protection programs and humanitarian demining in Colombia, where the tension between screening costs and allocation efficiency is operationally consequential.
Santiago Cortes-Gomez, Mateo Dulce Rubio, Carlos Patino +1
May 6, 2026cs.CV

Zero-Shot Satellite Image Retrieval through Joint Embeddings: Application to Crisis Response

Semantic search of Earth observation archives remains challenging. Visual foundation models such as CLAY produce rich embeddings of satellite imagery but lack the natural-language grounding needed for intuitive query, and full contrastive training of a remote-sensing CLIP-style model requires paired data and compute that are unavailable at global scale. To allow natural language querying at global scales, we present GeoQuery, a zero-shot retrieval system that sidesteps data and compute constraints through a two-stage semantic and visual search, leveraging a natural language embedding of a subset (proxy) of global data. Rather than training a joint encoder, we generate language descriptions for a 100k proxy subset of global Sentinel-2 tiles and optimise the description-generation prompt so that distances in the resulting text-embedding space correlate with distances in the frozen CLAY visual-embedding space. Queries are resolved in two stages, with a text-similarity search over the proxy subset followed by a visual nearest-neighbour search over worldwide CLAY embeddings On 76 disaster-location queries covering UK floods, US wildfires, and US droughts, GeoQuery achieves 31.6% accuracy within 50,km, with the strongest performance on floods (50% within 50,km) where terrain features are well captured by RGB embeddings. Deployed within a crisis response system called \ECHO{}, GeoQuery identified vulnerable areas during Brisbane's 2025 Cyclone Alfred, with downstream flood simulations reproducing historical patterns. Prompt-aligned proxies offer a practical bridge between EO foundation models and operational retrieval when full contrastive training is out of reach.
James Walsh, William Fawcett, Grace Colverd +1
May 6, 2026cs.CL

The Newsworthiness of Brazilian Distress: A Peak Analysis on Time Series of International Media Attention to Disasters in Brazil

Media coverage influences disaster response, yet the drivers of international media attention to local events remain unevenly understood. Brazil offers a compelling case: some of its natural and technological disasters occasionally hit the international headlines. However, systematic analyses of what makes these events be discussed abroad are still missing. Addressing this gap requires representative, validated and country-specific news datasets. This paper presents a peak analysis of 2k news about Brazilian fires and landslides in German newspapers from 2000 to 2024. Using time series segmentation to detect news event peaks, we examine the extent to which they can be temporally aligned with observations in national and global disaster databases.
Brielen Madureira, Andreas Niekler, Marc Keuschnigg +1
May 5, 2026cs.CV

Survey on Disaster Management Datasets for Remote Sensing Based Emergency Applications

Recent natural disasters have highlighted the urgent need for efficient data-driven approaches to disaster management. Machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) techniques have shown considerable promise in enhancing the key phases of disaster management including mitigation, preparedness, detection, response, and recovery. A critical enabler of successful ML or DL based applications in remote sensing, however, is the accessibility and quality of annotated datasets. With the growing availability of high-resolution imagery from unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and satellites, computer vision and remote sensing algorithms have become essential tools for rapid detection, situational assessment, and decision-making in disaster scenarios. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of publicly available image-based datasets relevant to ML/DL-based disaster management pipelines. Emphasis is placed on datasets that support computer vision and remote sensing tasks across all phases of disaster events including pre-disaster, during, and post-disaster. The goal of this work is to serve as a centralized reference for researchers and practitioners seeking high-quality datasets for rapid development and deployment of remote sensing-driven disaster response solutions.
Alain P. Ndigande, Josiah Wiggins, Sedat Ozer
May 5, 2026cs.CL

Are LLMs Ready for Conflict Monitoring? Empirical Evidence from West Africa

As LLMs enter conflict monitoring, understanding systematic distortions in their outputs is critical for humanitarian accountability. We evaluate four vanilla open-weight models Gemma 3 4B, Llama 3.2 3B, Mistral 7B, and OLMo 2 7B and two domain-adapted models, AfroConfliBERT and AfroConfliLLAMA, on Nigeria and Cameroon conflict-event classification against ACLED, a gold-standard dataset with multi-stage verification. We find a bifurcated divergence in normative directionality. Open-weight models exhibit statistically significant False Illegitimation bias: Gemma misclassifies to 18.29% of legitimate battles as civilian-targeted violence while making zero False Legitimation errors. By contrast, AfroConfliBERT and AfroConfliLLAMA achieve near-directional neutrality, with Legitimization Bias differences indistinguishable from zero. Yet domain adaptation does not eliminate actor-based selection bias. Both adapted models show statistically significant actor bias comparable to vanilla LLMs; in Nigeria, state actors are legitimized 36.5% more often than non-state actors in identical tactical contexts. Open-weight outputs are also fragile to geography-specific lexical framing: delegitimizing phrases produce flip rates up to 66.7% in Cameroon and 34.2% in Nigeria, while perturbations salient in one context may not matter in another. Error trace profiling shows models mask normative bias through unfaithful rationale confabulations. In contrast, AfroConfliBERT and AfroConfliLLAMA are largely robust, with near-zero flip rates across perturbation categories. Overall, current models are not ready for unsupervised deployment in conflict monitoring. We call for fairness-aware fine-tuning to reduce actor-based selection bias, mandatory adversarial robustness evaluation against lexical manipulation, and context-specific human-in-the-loop oversight calibrated to regional difficulty.
Hoffmann Muki, Olukunle Owolabi
May 5, 2026cs.CL

Geolocating News about Extreme Climate Events: A Comparative Analysis of Off-the-Shelf Tools for Toponym Identification in German

Determining the geolocation of extreme climate events and disasters in texts is a common problem in climate impact and adaptation research. Named-entity recognition (NER) tools are typically used to identify a pool of toponyms that serve as candidate event locations. In this study, we conduct a comparative analysis of three off-the-shelf NER tools, namely Flair, Spacy and Stanza. We describe and quantify differences between their outputs for German news articles and evaluate them extrinsically based on three methods to determine the country where events took place. We show how their contrasts are propagated into downstream tasks and can yield distinct decisions about a document's geographical focus, which, in turn, can impact conclusions about countries' prominence in German media.
Brielen Madureira, Mariana Madruga de Brito, Andreas Niekler
May 1, 2026cs.CY

Unbox Responsible GeoAI: Navigating Climate Extreme and Disaster Mapping

As climate extreme and disaster events become more frequent and intense, Geospatial Artificial Intelligence (GeoAI) has emerged as a transformative approach for large-scale disaster mapping and risk reduction. However, the purely mechanical, performance-driven deployment of GeoAI models can result in amplifying inherent spatial inequalities, preventing effective emergency decision-making, and producing severe environmental carbon footprint. To unbox the concept of responsible GeoAI, this position paper examines its emerging role, e.g., in climate extreme and disaster mapping, from a critical GIS perspective. We address the nexus of responsible GeoAI into four interrelated theoretical dimensions, specifically Representativeness, Explainability, Sustainability, and Ethics, with examples from climate extreme and disaster mapping. Moreover, targeting at the operational practice, we then propose a conceptual governance Model of responsible GeoAI that categorizes its governance practices into Data, Application, and Society scopes. Last, this position paper aims to raise the attention in the broader GIS community that the future of climate resilience relies not just on building better algorithms, but on fostering a governance ecosystem where GeoAI is deployed responsibly, ethically, and sustainably.
Hao Li, Steffen Knoblauch
Apr 29, 2026cs.CL

Translating Under Pressure: Domain-Aware LLMs for Crisis Communication

Timely and reliable multilingual communication is critical during natural and human-induced disasters, but developing effective solutions for crisis communication is limited by the scarcity of curated parallel data. We propose a domain-adaptive pipeline that expands a small reference corpus, by retrieving and filtering data from general corpora. We use the resulting dataset to fine-tune a small language model for crisis-domain translation and then apply preference optimization to bias outputs toward CEFR A2-level English. Automatic and human evaluation shows that this approach improves readability, while maintaining strong adequacy. Our results indicate that simplified English, combined with domain adaptation, can function as a practical lingua franca for emergency communication when full multilingual coverage is not feasible.
Antonio Castaldo, Maria Carmen Staiano, Johanna Monti +2
Apr 29, 2026cs.CV

Seamless Indoor-Outdoor Mapping for INGENIOUS First Responders

In several applications it is desired to have 3D models not only from the outdoor spaces but also from inside the building. In the context of First Responder enhancement in large scale natural and man-made disasters, a method is presented to achieve this goal with a high degree of automation. Therefore an autonomously flying aerial mapping system is combined with a person-carried indoor positioning system. Automatically recognized markers (AprilTags) are geo-referenced by the aerial system and their coordinates are sent to the ground-based system. By looking at the AprilTags before entering the building, the ground-based system is registered to world coordinates. Without the further need of any global positioning, it creates a point cloud from the indoor spaces that fits with the point could from the aerial view. This allows a co-visualization of both point-clouds as a seamless indoor-outdoor 3D model in real time.
Jürgen Wohlfeil, Henry Meißner, Adrian Schischmanow +4
Apr 24, 2026cs.CV

ChangeQuery: Advancing Remote Sensing Change Analysis for Natural and Human-Induced Disasters from Visual Detection to Semantic Understanding

Rapid situational awareness is critical in post-disaster response. While remote sensing damage assessment is evolving from pixel-level change detection to high-level semantic analysis, existing vision-language methodologies still struggle to provide actionable intelligence for complex strategic queries. They remain severely constrained by unimodal optical dependence, a prevailing bias towards natural disasters, and a fundamental lack of grounded interactivity. To address these limitations, we present ChangeQuery, a unified multimodal framework designed for comprehensive, all-weather disaster situation awareness. To overcome modality constraints and scenario biases, we construct the Disaster-Induced Change Query (DICQ) dataset, a large-scale benchmark coupling pre-event optical semantics with post-event SAR structural features across a balanced distribution of natural catastrophes and armed conflicts. Furthermore, to provide the high-quality supervision required for interactive reasoning, we propose a novel Automated Semantic Annotation Pipeline. Adhering to a ``statistics-first, generation-later'' paradigm, this engine automatically transforms raw segmentation masks into grounded, hierarchical instruction sets, effectively equipping the model with fine-grained spatial and quantitative awareness. Trained on this structured data, the ChangeQuery architecture operates as an interactive disaster analyst. It supports multi-task reasoning driven by diverse user queries, delivering precise damage quantification, region-specific descriptions, and holistic post-disaster summaries. Extensive experiments demonstrate that ChangeQuery establishes a new state-of-the-art, providing a robust and interpretable solution for complex disaster monitoring. The code is available at \href{https://sundongwei.github.io/changequery/}{https://sundongwei.github.io/changequery/}.
Dongwei Sun, Jing Yao, Kan Wei +6
Apr 20, 2026cs.LG

Bridge-Centered Metapath Classification Using R-GCN-VGAE for Disaster-Resilient Maintenance Decisions

Daily infrastructure management in preparation for disasters is critical for urban resilience. When bridges remain resilient against disaster-induced external forces, access to hospitals, shops, and residences via metapaths can be sustained, maintaining essential urban functions. However, prioritizing bridge maintenance under limited budgets requires quantifying the multi-dimensional roles that bridges play in disaster scenarios -- a challenge that existing single-indicator approaches fail to address. We focus on metapaths from national highways through bridges to buildings (hospitals, shops, residences), constructing a heterogeneous graph with road, bridge, and building layers. A Relation-centric Graph Convolutional Network Variational Autoencoder (R-GCN-VGAE) learns metapath-based feature representations, enabling classification of bridges into disaster-preparedness categories: Supply Chain (commercial logistics), Medical Access (emergency healthcare), and Residential Protection (preventing isolation). Using OSMnx and open data, we validate our methodology on three diverse cities in Ibaraki Prefecture, Japan: Mito (697 bridges), Chikusei (258 bridges), and Moriya (148 bridges), totaling 1,103 bridges. The heterogeneous graph construction from open data enables redefining bridge roles for disaster scenarios, supporting maintenance budget decision-making. We contributed that (1) Open-data methodology for constructing urban heterogeneous graphs. (2) Redefinition of bridge roles for disaster scenarios via metapath-based classification. (3) Establishment of maintenance budget decision support methodology. (4) k-NN tuning strategy validated across diverse city scales. (5) Empirical demonstration of UMAP superiority over t-SNE/PCA for multi-role bridge visualization.
Takato Yasuno
Mar 16, 2026cs.CV

DamageArbiter: A Multimodal Arbitration Framework for Disaster Damage Assessment from Street-View Imagery

Analyzing street-view imagery with computer vision models offers a promising approach for rapid, hyperlocal disaster damage assessment, but existing approaches typically rely on black-box pre-trained vision models, which lack interpretability and reliability. This study proposes DamageArbiter, a multimodal disagreement-driven arbitration framework designed to improve the accuracy and reliability of street-view-based damage assessment. DamageArbiter leverages the complementary strengths of unimodal and multimodal models and employs a lightweight logistic regression meta-classifier to arbitrate cases in which model predictions disagree. Using 2,556 post-disaster street-view images, paired with manually generated or large language model (LLM)-generated text descriptions, we systematically compared DamageArbiter with fine-tuned unimodal (image-only and text-only) models and CLIP-based multimodal models in terms of classification performance and overconfidence errors. Results show that DamageArbiter improved accuracy to 75.85% and the Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) to 0.6188, compared with the best-performing text-only baseline (63.07% accuracy, 0.4126 MCC), image-only baseline (74.33% accuracy, 0.5947 MCC), and CLIP baseline (74.22% accuracy, 0.5915 MCC). The overconfidence analysis further reveals that DamageArbiter substantially reduced the overconfidence error from 70.58% for the best-performing baseline, the image-only ViT model, to 16.45%. Overall, this study demonstrates that accuracy alone is insufficient for evaluating disaster damage classification models and highlights the importance of measuring overconfidence errors as part of model reliability assessment. DamageArbiter thus offers a more reliable framework for rapid, hyperlocal disaster damage assessment from street-view imagery.
Yifan Yang, Lei Zou, Wenjing Gong +6
Date pendingcs.CL

Expert-Level Crisis Detection in Mental Health Conversations

Real-world crisis intervention is inherently conversational, yet existing research largely focuses on static texts. When applied to multi-turn dialogues, current models exhibit significant performance degradation, struggling to track risk signals that emerge as context evolves. To address this gap, we introduce CRADLE-Dialogue, a clinician-annotated benchmark for turn-level crisis detection in conversational settings. The dataset features 600 dialogues with multi-label annotations across clinically grounded risks, including suicide ideation, self-harm, and child abuse, distinguishing past from ongoing risk. We further propose an Alert-Confirm evaluation protocol that distinguishes early warning signals (Alert) from turns where a specific crisis becomes explicitly identifiable (Confirm), reflecting the clinical need to intervene before risk becomes explicit. Experiments show that identifying when risk emerges is much harder than recognizing that it exists: models achieve only mid-40% to high-60% Micro F1. Additionally, we release a synthetic training corpus and a 32B-parameter model that substantially outperforms existing open-source models and achieves competitive or superior results against proprietary models across turn-level, dialogue-level, and confirm-only evaluation settings.
Grace Byun, Abigail Lott, Rebecca Lipschutz +3
Date pendingcs.CL

GeoSense-AI: Fast Location Inference from Crisis Microblogs

This paper presents an applied AI pipeline for real-time geolocation from noisy microblog streams, unifying statistical hashtag segmentation, part-of-speech-driven proper-noun detection, dependency parsing around disaster lexicons, lightweight named-entity recognition, and gazetteer-grounded disambiguation to infer locations directly from text rather than sparse geo-tags. The approach operationalizes information extraction under streaming constraints, emphasizing low-latency NLP components and efficient validation against geographic knowledge bases to support situational awareness during emergencies. In head-to-head comparisons with widely used NER toolkits, the system attains strong F1 while being engineered for orders-of-magnitude faster throughput, enabling deployment in live crisis informatics settings. A production map interface demonstrates end-to-end AI functionality---ingest, inference, and visualization---surfacing locational signals at scale for floods, outbreaks, and other fast-moving events. By prioritizing robustness to informal text and streaming efficiency, GeoSense-AI illustrates how domain-tuned NLP and knowledge grounding can elevate emergency response beyond conventional geo-tag reliance.
Deepit Sapru
Date pendingcs.CV

SAFER-Activities: A Dataset for Smart Assessment of Fall Events and Routine Activities

Smart healthcare monitoring systems require precise action recognition to ensure well-being and timely intervention in critical situations such as falls, particularly for mobility-challenged individuals. Existing datasets are often clip-based, lacking the frame-level detail needed to recognize actions online, as they unfold. To address this, we introduce SAFER-Activities, a dataset for fall detection and physical activity monitoring, with a dedicated subset for wheelchair use scenarios. It comprises over 66 hours of video data captured by multiple cameras, with 85,310 action instances and frame-level annotations for 30 action classes. We benchmark action recognition on SAFER-Activities with 2D and 3D skeleton models, RGB models with frozen backbones, and multimodal fusion strategies, and evaluate on in-lab, out-of-distribution, and cross-dataset test sets. Skeleton-based models generalize best under domain shift; fusing frozen RGB features with the skeleton stream improves in-domain recognition over the baseline CNN1D, most clearly on the wheelchair subset, but degrades out of distribution. Cross-dataset and qualitative evaluations confirm that models trained on SAFER-Activities transfer well to unseen environments and external fall data. To support research on robust fall detection and activity monitoring, we release the dataset and code at https://safer-activities.github.io/.
Diwas Lamsal, Pramod Wickramatilake, Jednipat Moonrinta +2