Late-Stage Ranker

A coding agent halfway through an issue has already read much of what a retriever ranks highest. Relevance is scored per passage, but sufficiency belongs to the set: a ranker can fill its budget with variants of one required fact and leave the decision unsupported. We formulate state-conditioned minimal sufficient evidence recovery: given a captured agent state, recover a compact evidence combination that supplies the support its next decision still lacks. SERBench measures this on 500 held-out states from 45 repositories, recording what the agent has seen and crediting only sets that cover every fact the current decision was annotated to require. MSS-Complement treats acquisition as set construction, not ranking. Three semantic calls propose a jointly sufficient set, search for what it lacks, and return 4-8 intact source units within 6,144 tokens. One configuration, fixed on calibration data, recovers a complete set for 73.0% of those states at five items and 80.6% at eight, against 61.4% and 72.4% for Qwen3 embedding with reranking. A matched control ranking by similarity alone reaches 66.6%, placing the gain in the set-level policy, not the computation. From frozen repository source with no gold-derived pool, the lead is 5.0 points. On AMA-Bench it answers from a 76.2% smaller answer prompt, with accuracy 2.08 points above that benchmark's own memory agent. Removing one required group from an otherwise complete set costs 12.3 and 11.1 points of repair-localization precision under two executors. Retrieval for agents is better posed as recovering what a decision lacks than re-ranking what an issue resembles.

On a delivery platform, personalized store ranking greatly influences what users find and order. Unlike digital-only domains, candidate stores are local and bound by real-time availability and delivery operations. One central modeling tension is between surfacing new stores for trial and preserving ranking quality for sessions with reorder intent. We present Universal Venue Ranker (UVR), a production system deployed at Wolt that pairs a bidirectional transformer encoder for sequential user modeling with a GBDT ranker integrating contextual, user, and store features. Trained across all stores and domains of a country while enforcing local delivery constraints at inference, UVR replaces four previously separate ranking models (three for restaurants, one for retail) with a single unified system. Label smoothing and trial-biased sample weighting steer the model toward new stores, lifting offline trial MRR by +12% to +30% over production while regressing reorder MRR in five of six countries. These regressions leave Global CVR, our core online metric, which blends trial and reorder sessions, statistically unchanged. We validate UVR in three consecutive A/B tests, the first two across Wolt's largest operating markets and the third spanning all operating countries and both domains. UVR V1 delivers +5.5% Merchant Trial Rate and +0.16% Global CVR over the previous production ranker; V2 adds a further +0.45% Merchant Trial Rate on top; and V3, our cross-domain unification of the restaurant and retail rankers, adds a further +1.31% Retail Merchant Trial Rate, together accounting for substantial incremental gross order value and a materially simplified serving stack.

Modern industrial ads ranking stacks are increasingly bottlenecked not by model capacity or training compute, but by the throughput of human ML iteration - the cycles of research, implementation, training, debugging, evaluation, and launch required to surface a single statistically significant improvement. A typical ranking stack contains numerous differentiated models with heterogeneous data, architectures, and infrastructure constraints, and each cycle takes days to weeks of senior engineer attention per model. As a result, techniques that have proven effective on one model diffuse into others slowly and unevenly, leaving substantial recoverable signal unexplored. We present Agentic ML Exploration (A-MLE), an autonomous LLM-agent system that systematically explores ML techniques across a portfolio of ads ranking models. A-MLE decomposes ML iteration into five stages involving hypothesis generation, exploration strategy, experiment execution, result analysis and shared knowledge substrate which are orchestrated by a single agent that invokes domain-specific skills and agentic workflows against a sandboxed execution layer, with human-in-the-loop checkpoints at each stage boundary. We deploy A-MLE across a representative set of large-scale ads ranking models and evaluate it along a tiered capability framework (tool availability, autonomous workflow execution, and open-ended exploration). We further report a controlled cross-LLM study using a fixed agent loop, which surfaces qualitative differences in execution reliability and exploration aggressiveness across the Claude Sonnet, Gemini, and GPT families. We discuss failure modes and the design choices that govern reliability. Our findings suggest that agentic exploration is a practical force multiplier for ML engineers in industrial recommenders, especially for the long tail of models that rarely receive expert attention.

We study learning a mixture of $k$ Plackett-Luce models from multi-way ranking responses from annotators that may represent heterogeneous underlying preferences. This problem has many applications in AI alignment and preference optimization. Prior work has studied mixtures of Bradley-Terry models from pairwise comparisons. However, estimating a mixture of multi-way ranking models can become theoretically unidentifiable when $k$ exceeds $m/2$, where $m$ is the ranking length. We design an efficient algorithm to address this issue by first augmenting the rankings to a larger size (e.g., generating comparisons from a base model), followed by a gradient-based estimation to reduce inference cost (in the input embedding space). With this procedure in mind, we then fit a mixture of Plackett-Luce (PL) models via an expectation-maximization-style iteration, or MoPLEx in short. We conduct extensive experiments to verify this algorithm. First, we find that the gradient-based approximation estimates true probabilities with less than 5% error on models with up to 34 billion parameters. Second, MoPLEx improves clustering and ranking accuracy by an average of 43.7% and 15.2% over baselines using a single PL model or a mixture of Bradley-Terry models, on UltraFeedback and PERSONA datasets. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of MoPLEx for tackling multi-way rankings following heterogeneous preferences through measuring alignment via gradients.

Not all clicks are equal. Industrial ads ranking decouples conversion probability into click-through rate (CTR) and post-click conversion rate (CVR), yet treats every click as the same event. In reality, users provide a free, self-generated signal of intent through their physical UI interactions. Different click types on the same ad exhibit a 4-fold difference in actual conversion rates. By conflating these signals, the standard CVR model under-predicts high-intent clicks and over-predicts low-intent ones, which is a bias masked by near-perfect aggregate calibration. We propose MARCO (Multi-intent Ads Ranking Composition Optimization), a framework that resolves this bias by decomposing each click by intent. Using the logged click type as a free behavioral label, MARCO trains per-intent CVR heads on homogeneous populations, and at serving time composes their per-intent CVR estimates under a predicted distribution over intents. Theoretically, we prove that decomposition never raises population risk, give the exact headroom under squared loss and non-negativity under the deployed loss, and show through a routing-efficiency dial how much of it reaches serving. Because the population-optimal score is unchanged, any gain is a finite-capacity estimation and calibration effect that we validated both offline and online. For deployment at scale, we further cast multi-impression, multi-click attribution as credit assignment with a bias-variance tradeoff analogous to RL return estimation, showing last-impression, first-click attribution is the low-bias, low-variance, deterministic choice under production constraints, and derive three consistency conditions enforced end-to-end at scale. Deployed at binary intent granularity, MARCO corrects per-intent calibration to approximately 100%, lifts conversions per click by +2.80%, and drives +0.98% cumulative improvement in topline metrics.

Modern recommender systems in food delivery increasingly leverage multimodal signals, including images, text, and user interaction histories, to enhance user experience, yet effective fusion of these heterogeneous modalities remains challenging, hindering both the joint modeling of multimodal signals and adaptation to evolving user intent. In mainstream two-stage approaches, the separation between content-semantic pretraining of image-text encoders and behavior-driven ranking models limits alignment between semantic understanding and user behavior patterns. To address these issues, we present GALA, a three-stage pipeline whose core innovation lies in an intermediate "generative RL alignment" stage that constructs multimodal pretraining data from user behavior and refines it via conversion-based rewards, effectively bridging the pretraining-fine-tuning gap to align with downstream objectives. GALA comprises three stages: first, behavior-aware triplet pretraining on query-image-text pairs from search logs to early capture user intent and content preferences; second, a novel intermediate stage that refines multimodal embeddings through reward-driven optimization (GRPO) to dynamically align them with user behavior and bridge the pretraining-fine-tuning gap; and finally, integration of multimodal and ID embeddings via adaptive gating with a hybrid loss, preserving multimodal contributions under long-term ID-dominant training. GALA has been deployed in the production environment at Taobao Shangou, serving over 200 million daily active users. Compared with state-of-the-art (SOTA) methods, it delivers consistent offline gains of +0.12/+0.20 AUC along with better PCOC metrics. Large-scale online A/B tests further report a 0.55 percent increase in order volume, confirming GALA's effectiveness at industrial scale and its robustness across diverse demand patterns.

Next-destination prediction in continuous-time dynamic graphs (CTDGs) commonly ranks an observed interaction against sampled negative destinations. The resulting score is conditional on both the negative distribution and the number of candidates chosen by the researcher. We show that a non-uniform negative distribution changes the Bayes-optimal ranking, while even a finite candidate set drawn uniformly can destabilize model rankings and measured module effects. Time-varying source-destination history membership and model operations that use this information directly transmit the sampler's influence to the evaluation score. We examine this mechanism using a factorial evaluation of repeated and new positives against seen and unseen negatives, a minimal scorer based solely on pair-history membership, and controlled representation interventions. Across six models on LastFM, MOOC, Reddit, and Wikipedia, at least one model pair changes relative order between the expected Uniform-20 metric and the full catalog on three of the four datasets. The measured effect of the same module also changes in magnitude and direction with the candidate-set size and training objective. These results establish that model-superiority and ablation conclusions from sampled-negative benchmarks are conditional on the stated candidate configuration. All-entity ranking evaluates every destination in a fixed catalog, eliminating negative-selection freedom and sampling variation while retaining the original CTDG scorer. We therefore recommend all-entity ranking as the primary evidence for architecture comparisons on CTDG benchmarks with an enumerable, fixed destination catalog.

Automated molecular structure elucidation from infrared (IR) spectroscopy data has seen significant advancements in recent years, but its broad applicability is limited by a reliance on pre-determined chemical formulas provided as auxiliary model inputs. This limits model predictions to isomer identification rather than full molecular structure prediction. Although transformer models have been shown to identify molecular isomers with high accuracy, their reliability for unconstrained structure elucidation is comparatively low and poorly understood. In this work, we propose and evaluate key modifications to the traditional encoder-decoder transformer. To better address the vast chemical space of the unconstrained problem, we implement a novel Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) decoder module that utilizes non-additive aggregation via linear-order statistics and the Choquet integral. We further modify the transformer to utilize these non-additive operators when aggregating spectral representations as well. Together with an auxiliary contrastive alignment loss term, these enhancements improve Top-K prediction accuracy by over 10 percentage points compared to baseline IR-only models. Through sub-structure fragment analysis of molecular predictions, we further confirm that infrared spectra encode the vast majority of relevant chemical information, implying that the higher performance of isomer-ranking models is largely due to underrepresented or overlapping absorption bands for molecules in the explored chemical space. Ultimately, by demonstrating the efficacy of automated molecular structure elucidation from measured IR spectra, this work serves to significantly broaden the utility of AI in analytical chemistry.

Recent high-resolution Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) generate thousands of visual tokens per input, leading to a visual token explosion that introduces severe latency bottlenecks. While token pruning mitigates this issue, state-of-the-art subset-optimization methods typically rely on iterative subset construction to jointly capture visual diversity and instruction relevance. As visual token counts scale, this sequential dependency introduces significant selection overhead, severely limiting the translation of theoretical FLOPs reductions into actual wall-clock speedups. To address this limitation, we propose Single-Forward Pruner (SFPruner), a structural reformulation of visual token pruning that embeds redundancy control directly into the scoring space, bypassing the need for iterative combinatorial optimization. Our non-iterative framework achieves redundancy-aware importance selection in a single forward pass through two complementary mechanisms. First, to attenuate redundancy at the covariance level, we introduce a semantics-guided ridge leverage scheme. By integrating instruction relevance and visual saliency, this mechanism suppresses dominant covariance directions and mitigates representation bias. Second, ranking-based directional masking resolves residual overlap through asymmetric similarity competition, where higher-scoring tokens explicitly suppress redundant lower-scoring alternatives via parallel tensor operations. Extensive evaluations demonstrate that our approach maintains stable selection costs, reducing the token selection process by up to 110 ms, from 112.4 ms to just 2.5 ms at 512 tokens in Qwen2.5-VL. This structural efficiency successfully translates theoretical token reductions into tangible inference speedups while preserving highly competitive performance against state-of-the-art techniques under aggressive compression.

Lead ranking in Customer Relationship Management (CRM) systems faces a persistent challenge: models achieving high offline accuracy often underperform in production. We identify three fundamental gaps responsible for this disconnect: offline-online metric mismatch, pointwise-listwise objective misalignment, and temporal distribution drift. To address these gaps, we propose SalesLoop, a reinforcement learning framework that establishes a closed feedback loop between model predictions and real-world business outcomes. Our approach introduces (1) a performance-aware reward that encodes conversion outcomes weighted by ranking position and conversion velocity, and (2) Discriminative GRPO, a listwise optimization objective that adapts Group Relative Policy Optimization to discriminative ranking models. SalesLoop improves NDCG@K by +7.9% and P@K by +15.8% over the strongest static baseline. A 160-day production A/B test at a New Energy Vehicle manufacturer, spanning 16.5M leads and 280 sales specialists across two provincial markets, validates statistically significant cumulative lift of +4.7% ($p=0.047$) and +8.7% ($p=0.002$). In production, the ranking backbone achieves Top-10% recall of 44.1% and surfaces high-intent leads at $2.3\times$ the conversion rate of specialist baselines.

Delay-risk models are usually judged by predictive accuracy. What matters in practice is narrower: with capacity to review only a few shipments, which ones should a manager check first? We evaluate whether machine learning clears a demanding no-model baseline: inspect the highest-value shipments first. Across three real supply-chain contexts: SCMS procurement, DataCo logistics, and Olist e-commerce, we use leakage-controlled rolling-origin evaluation and 1000-sample paired bootstrap confidence intervals. Ranking by predicted delay severity times known value (M1) beats severity-only ranking in all three datasets, yet it does not generally beat value sorting. At a 10% review budget, M1 minus VALUE_ONLY is -5.5 percentage points (pp) for SCMS, +10.1 pp for DataCo, and -4.9 pp for Olist. The divide is consistent with severity learnability: DataCo has R^2 = 0.27 and calibration bias of +0.01 days, whereas SCMS and Olist have R^2 of approximately -0.02 and negative calibration bias. Nested-CV cost-sensitive retraining does not deliver a stable improvement over M1. Rather than proposing a new learning algorithm, this paper presents a deployment diagnostic and evaluation protocol. Value sorting should remain a permanent benchmark, and ML should be deployed only after severity learnability and calibration have been audited and the model clears that gate under leakage-controlled rolling-origin evaluation.

Post-click conversion rate (PCVR) prediction is central to industrial recommendation, but remains challenged by the structural mismatch between sparse, unordered multi-field features and long, domain-specific behavior histories. Existing models often process these signals through separate pathways and fuse them late, weakening semantic roles and limiting cross-signal refinement. We propose RoleMix, a unified interaction architecture that represents sequential and non-sequential evidence through a shared, role-preserving token interface. Non-sequential fields are converted into explicit semantic tokens that preserve user, item, pairwise, dense, contextual, and cross-feature roles, while long behavior domains are compressed into item- and context-aware sequence-query tokens through two-stage hierarchical window attention. The resulting global, semantic, and sequence-query tokens are jointly refined by stacked UniMixing-Lite blocks for PCVR prediction. On the large-scale KDD Cup 2026 Tencent UniRec Challenge, RoleMix achieves 83.648% online AUC, outperforming the official industrial baseline by 1.953%. Ablation studies show that semantic tokenization yields the largest isolated gain, highlighting a key principle for large-scale PCVR modeling: preserving field semantics at the token-interface level is as important as scaling the interaction backbone.

This paper presents our solution to the KDD Cup 2026 Tencent UNIREC Challenge. The task requires joint modeling of multi-domain user behavior sequences and non-sequential multi-field features for target-ad pCVR prediction. We develop a Field-Aware RankMixer (FA-RankMixer) with dual-stream bilinear fusion. The model first applies target-aware DIN modules to extract user interests from multiple behavior domains. It also models recent and earlier interests separately for the longest behavior sequence. The model then forms semantic tokens based on feature fields and behavior domains and uses RankMixer blocks for cross-token interaction. A shallow MLP stream complements the deep RankMixer stream, and a group-wise bilinear module fuses their representations. Our final solution ranks ninth on the official leaderboard. Our code is available at https://github.com/PixelCookie-zyf/TAAC-2026-SeRankMixer.

Multimodal information is pivotal for e-commerce search ranking. Existing works leverage multimodal data typically by fine-tuning general Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) via collaborative signals, subsequently integrating the derived representations into ranking models as item features. Despite their efficacy, these methods face two primary limitations: (1) they rely on a single collaborative signal for MLLM fine-tuning, failing to exploit the heterogeneous signals essential for multitask ranking; and (2) they treat multimodal representations as regular item features in ranking models, underutilizing their latent potential for user behavior modeling. To address these challenges, we propose the Multiplex Multimodal Representation Model (MMRM), a unified framework that aligns MLLMs with diverse collaborative signals. By employing a shared backbone with task-specific tokens and projection layers, MMRM simultaneously learns from multiple signals and generates comprehensive multiplex item representations in a single inference pass. Furthermore, we introduce a multiplex user representation strategy in ranking models, which derives task-specific user representations via search-based behavior sequence modeling leveraging multiplex item representations. Extensive experiments demonstrate MMRM's superior efficiency and effectiveness. Notably, MMRM has been successfully deployed in the JD e-commerce search engine, yielding significant performance gains for millions of daily users.

Accurate ranking of antibody candidates according to their binding affinity is essential for therapeutic antibody discovery. However, existing methods treat affinity comparisons independently and ignore the contextual information encoded in other labeled comparisons, limiting their ability to capture antigen-specific binding landscapes. For many target antigens, a small number of experimentally characterized affinity comparisons are often available. An important question is whether the model can exploit these existing comparisons to infer antigen-specific ranking patterns that facilitate subsequent affinity ranking. This form of learning from labeled demonstrations closely resembles the paradigm of In-Context Learning, motivating us to revisit antibody affinity ranking from an ICL perspective. To this end, we propose AbICL, an ICL framework for antigen-specific antibody affinity ranking. AbICL combines a pretrained structural encoder with a context ranking head and is trained with an episodic meta-training strategy that enables the model to leverage support demonstrations for test-time adaptation without gradient updates. Experiments on the AbRank benchmark demonstrate that AbICL consistently outperforms existing ranking baselines across almost all data splits and evaluation benchmarks. Further analysis shows that the value of contextual demonstrations depends on how well they match the target inference task, and becomes increasingly pronounced under distribution shift and fine-grained affinity discrimination. These findings highlight the potential of ICL as an effective paradigm for antigen-specific antibody affinity ranking, particularly in challenging settings where a single global ranking function is insufficient.

Benchmarks of machine learning models often include many datasets, making evaluation expensive. For efficiency, it is preferable to perform evaluations on small, representative datasets instead. The selection of such subsets typically relies on heuristics and is rarely analyzed for the robustness of the resulting model rankings. We introduce a framework to perform the task of selecting datasets subsets with an evaluation of how different selection strategies preserve the global model rankings. Our framework includes bootstrap aggregation, which provides valid confidence intervals, allowing a principled comparison of selection strategies. We consider clustering, design criteria (A/D-optimality), random baselines, and greedy farthest-first (FAFI). For the latter, we derive upper bounds on selection quality in terms of ranking errors as a function of the number of selected datasets. Empirically, in time series classification (TSC, 112 datasets) and in a supplementary natural language processing benchmark derived from MTEB (57 tasks), several selection strategies improve rank preservation compared with random subsets, including simple FAFI. In contrast, in recommender systems (30 datasets), the improvement of strategies over random selection is small and typically statistically insignificant. For TSC, our best-performing strategy achieves a Spearman correlation of 0.95 with the full benchmark model rankings using only five selected datasets. Additional experiments indicate that the effectiveness of selection approaches depends on both the quality of dataset representations and the scale of the benchmarking regime.

Machine Learning (ML) techniques have been applied to various problems. However, applying ML to ML models is an unexplored direction. For this purpose, this paper considers a meta-classification of one-class classification (OCC) models, because all ML models could be approximated as OCC models. The proposal represents OCC models as normality rankings and classifies them using nearest-neighbor and ranking-correlation metrics. The experiment classifies OCC models, where classes correspond to training datasets, algorithms, and hyperparameters. The proposal achieves high accuracy when class labels are datasets. Moreover, it can classify algorithms when the training datasets contain the same class. In addition, the discussion highlights that the classification of OCC models is essentially the classification of datasets that treats multiple samples as a single input. The experiment demonstrates the classification of datasets using sleeping records. The proposed method can provide a unified solution for classifying OCC models, datasets, and rankings. Source code is uploaded to the public repository https://github.com/ToshiHayashi/ClassOCC.

Evaluating Knowledge Graph Completion (KGC) models remains challenging because standard assessment relies on isolated rank-based metrics such as MRR, Hits$@$k, and Mean Rank, which often produce conflicting model orderings across datasets. A model that leads on MRR may trail on Hits@1, and strong performance on one dataset may not generalize to another. This fragmentation hinders comparison, enables selective reporting, and obscures real progress. We reframe KGC evaluation as a Multi-Criteria Decision-Making (MCDM) problem and present a meta-analysis of seven aggregators across five tests: consistency, cross-dataset stability, metric independence, robustness under noise, and generalizability. Each test is averaged over leave-one-model-out (LOMO) and leave-one-group-out (LOGO) removals so that reliability reflects aggregator behavior across diverse model subsets. Across tail $(h,r,?)$ and relation $(h,?,t)$ prediction, Pareto-optimal analysis identifies Z-score as the most balanced aggregator, which ranks DualE highest for tail prediction and FMS (Flow-Modulated Scoring) highest for relation prediction. A test-sensitivity analysis using the same removals shows that consistency and stability are largely removal-invariant, while generalizability and independence are the most sensitive. The framework resolves evaluation inconsistencies and offers evidence-based guidance for aggregator selection and model benchmarking in KGC.

Offsite conversion rate (OCVR) prediction is an important ranking problem in computational recommendation systems. This task presents a modeling challenge: click signals are abundant and exhibit short temporal horizons, whereas conversion signals are inherently sparse, long-delayed, and frequently unattributed. Despite these statistical disparities, both signal types must inform models that operate within strict serving-latency constraints. Prior pre-training approaches address this heterogeneity with a single, undifferentiated encoder applied uniformly across both data streams. We propose DUET (Dual User Embedding Transformers), a framework that explicitly partitions user behavioral data into two domain-coherent streams -- clicks and conversions -- and pre-trains dedicated transformer encoders with architectures tailored to each stream's statistical characteristics: multi-layer self-attention for the dense click stream and interleaved cross- and self-attention for the sparse conversion stream. The resulting complementary embeddings are jointly consumed by a downstream ranker without exceeding serving-latency budgets. Evaluation demonstrates up to 0.38% normalized entropy (NE) reduction relative to the strongest baseline, and A/B test shows consistent improvements in OCVR prediction accuracy.

Knowledge graph completion (KGC) aims to predict missing facts from an observed knowledge graph (KG), playing a crucial role in a wide range of real-world applications such as drug discovery, recommender systems, and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG). Although numerous KGC models have been proposed, the evaluation of KGC remains underexplored, despite its critical role in reliably assessing model performance and selecting appropriate models for real-world applications. In this paper, we introduce two important perspectives for KGC evaluation that are overlooked by existing evaluation metrics, (P1) predictive sharpness and (P2) popularity-bias robustness. To address both perspectives, we propose a generalized evaluation framework, PROBE, which consists of a rank transformer (RT) that estimates the score of each prediction based on a desired level of predictive sharpness and a rank aggregator (RA) that determines the final evaluation score by aggregating all prediction scores according to a desired level of popularity-bias robustness. We theoretically analyze PROBE by defining six key properties for reliable KGC evaluation and prove that PROBE satisfies all the properties, while existing metrics fail to satisfy some. In particular, due to the open-world nature of KGs, an evaluation metric should preserve the relative performance of KGC models even when only incomplete facts are observed. We show that PROBE better maintains such consistency, providing a more reliable estimate of intrinsic model performance than existing metrics. Extensive experiments with six KGC models on six real-world KGs reveal that existing metrics may over- or under-estimate model performance depending on different evaluation perspectives, whereas PROBE enables a more comprehensive, flexible, and consistent evaluation of KGC models.

Pretrained models are often evaluated on multi-task leaderboards to measure their applicability in diverse contexts. However, current methods for aggregating performance across tasks into leaderboard-level rankings do not address the uncertainty and variability at the task level. While recent works have proposed interval-based model rankings, the principled aggregation of uncertainty from individual tasks to leaderboard-level rankings remains unaddressed, and variation in models' performance across tasks is frequently obscured. In this work, we introduce a hierarchical framework that constructs model rank intervals with statistical guarantees at both levels: task-level rank confidence intervals from pairwise comparisons, and leaderboard-level rank prediction intervals using a conformal approach. This enables reliable quantification of model rank for each observed task and for new potential tasks. Experiments on simulated data and the TabArena and PromptEval (MMLU) benchmarks show that our method yields statistically valid and informative intervals, enabling reliable, uncertainty-aware model ranking on leaderboards.

The ranking of recommendation algorithms is a challenging problem since model performance is sensitive to dataset characteristics such as sparsity, sequential structure, and scale. This drives a demand for a proper methodology for fair comparison between algorithms. Naive aggregation of performance metrics (e.g., averaging NDCG over benchmarks) can yield misleading rankings, undermining practical selection. To address this problem, we introduce a novel, data-driven ranking methodology based on Bradley-Terry (BT) model. We demonstrate that the obtained ranking depends on key dataset statistics. Additionally, we propose a novel metric for evaluating ranking consistency and demonstrate robustness of our ranking to incomplete data. Finally, we introduce a dataset-specific methodology for ranking algorithms on unseen datasets without running the models, relying on extensions of the Bradley-Terry framework, including BT trees and BT models with covariates.

Traditional TOPSIS derives its reference points -- the Positive Ideal Solution ($PIS$) and Negative Ideal Solution ($NIS$) -- from the observed alternative set, making rankings susceptible to misalignment with decision-maker (DM) requirements, sensitivity to outlier performances, and rank reversal. This paper proposes TOPSIS-RAD, which addresses these issues by incorporating two arrays of DM-defined reference levels. Vetoed Performance Levels ($VPL$) exclude non-viable alternatives before normalisation, preventing them from distorting the ranking frontiers. Desired Performance Levels ($DPL$) cap performances at the DM's desired level before normalisation, anchoring the $PIS$ in explicit aspirations rather than dataset extremes. Three toy examples demonstrate each mechanism: $VPL$ reshapes normalisation boundaries by removing a non-viable alternative; fixed $DPL$ frontiers stabilise rankings by limiting the influence of performances well above the desired level. The method preserves the familiar distance-based structure of TOPSIS while grounding the ranking in stable, DM-specified boundaries. Limitations and future research directions are also discussed.

Ranking in digital marketplaces is a dynamic exposure-allocation mechanism: displayed items shape discovery trajectories and success events logged by the platform to update future allocation policies. Modern ranking systems rely heavily on exposure-confounded signals (e.g. popularity estimates, CTR/CVR aggregates, and ID-based representation), because they are highly predictive under stationary demand. Yet this predictive power can become a learning shortcut: early access to exposure-dependent belief signals steers optimization toward over-reliance on them and away from exposure-independent merit signals (e.g., content-based competitiveness and semantic affinity). Consequently, the learned policy tends to entrench incumbents and degrade cold-start generalization and robustness under distribution shift. We propose Representation Curriculum (RC), a training-time intervention that temporally stages feature utilization. RC foregrounds content-based merit signals initially, then introduces exposure-dependent belief signals while anchoring the content pathway near the learned merit representation, curbing shortcut reliance on historical signals and mitigating gradient starvation on content signals. We formalize RC independently of task and hypothesis class and provide ranking-specific instantiations. In a Gaussian linear ridge setting, we derive closed-form solutions and sufficient conditions under which RC strictly reduces population risk on a cold-start target distribution, with a quantified Pareto tradeoff against source performance. Experiments on public learning-to-rank and recommendation benchmarks, and randomized online experiments in a large-scale e-commerce search system, show that RC measurably shifts reliance from historical belief signals toward content-based merit signals and yields consistent gains on cold populations with a controlled trade-off in head performance.

Sales lead conversion in high-stakes domains (e.g., automotive, real estate) differs fundamentally from e-commerce recommendation due to prolonged decision cycles and multi-stage funnels. Traditional lead scoring methods rule-based scorecards, machine learning, or pointwise CTR models face severe challenges: sparse supervision, a semantic gap in unstructured CRM logs, and inability to capture relative lead priority. While Large Language Models(LLMs) offer superior semantic understanding of customer interactions, general-purpose LLMs are ill-suited for lead ranking: they generate text rather than comparable scores, and lack alignment with the hierarchical priorities of sales funnels. We introduce an LLM-based discriminative framework for sales lead scoring, which supports joint modeling of structured CRM features and unstructured customer interactions. On top of this framework, we propose HPRO (Hierarchical Preference Ranking Optimization), which augments sales lead scoring with a hierarchical preference ranking objective. HPRO employs a margin-aware Bradley-Terry formulation to transform sparse binary labels into dense, funnel-aware preference pairs, enabling lead scoring to leverage both pointwise and pairwise supervision. Experiments on large-scale data from a leading NEV brand demonstrate state-of-the-art classification (AUC 0.8161) and ranking performance (+39.7% precision among top-ranked leads). A 132-day online A/B test validates 9.5% sales volume uplift, confirming real-world commercial impact.

Online evaluation of ranking and retrieval systems often relies on downstream monetization metrics such as app revenue or creator earnings. These metrics are typically heavy-tailed, with a small fraction of users dominating both mean and variance, leading to low statistical power and unreliable conclusions in A/B experiments -- especially under limited traffic. We present a practical framework for variance reduction in online experiments by combining post-stratification with CUPED. Our approach leverages pre-experiment covariates to improve the sensitivity of monetization experiments without requiring additional traffic. Deployed at ShareChat across ranking-driven monetization experiments, the method substantially reduces variance and improves decision stability, achieving equivalent statistical confidence with ~45% less traffic than standard metrics. We further discuss practical design choices, guardrails, and limitations, providing guidance on when post-stratification is appropriate for real-world information retrieval and Recommendation systems.

Online advertising platforms rely on machine learning models to predict click-through rates (pCTR) and conversion rates (pCVR) for auction mechanisms. We introduce a novel framework to study the interaction between recommender system model quality, auction format, and autobidder behavior. We formalize when model improvements -- defined via a refinement relation inspired by filtrations in probability theory -- lead to improvements in platform-level Evaluation Criteria Metrics (ECM) such as revenue, welfare, or liquid welfare. Our main contributions are: (1) a formal definition of model improvement based on cluster refinement, and (2) a systematic characterization of ECM monotonicity across different combinations of bidder types (tCPA, max-CPA), auction formats (first-price, second-price, VCG), and budget constraints. We show that first-price auctions with uniform bidding guarantee revenue monotonicity for tCPA bidders without budgets (via Jensen's inequality), while second-price auctions and budget constraints can break this property. We provide full numerical constructions for the non-monotonicity results. Our findings have practical implications for advertising platforms seeking to align model improvements with business outcomes.

Calibration, the alignment of predicted probabilities with true outcome frequencies, is essential for reliable decision-making. While extensively studied for classification and regression, calibration has not been formally addressed for probabilistic label ranking, where the goal is to predict a distribution over orderings of a label set. Naively treating rankings as classes ignores their structure and fails to capture important modalities such as pairwise and top-k predictions. We formalize calibration for label ranking and develop a hierarchy of notions covering full rankings, sub-rankings, and top-k rankings. We prove that full-rank calibration implies the others but not conversely, and sub-ranking and top-k calibration are incomparable. Empirically, we find popular label ranking models are often poorly calibrated, with substantial differences between sub-ranking and top-k metrics. Applying our framework to RLHF reward models, we find that calibration correlates strongly but not perfectly with benchmark accuracy, suggesting it captures a meaningful quality dimension beyond top-1 accuracy. These findings motivate future work on understanding the downstream effects of miscalibration and developing methods to correct it.

Large-scale search, recommendation, and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems typically employ a two-stage architecture: an early-stage ranker (ESR) generates a candidate set, which is subsequently re-ranked by a late-stage ranker (LSR). While there are many reinforcement learning (RL) methods for training the LSR, end-to-end training of the ESR has proven challenging. In particular, naive application of "vanilla" policy gradient (V-PG) is not scalable for candidate-set sizes relevant for practical use due to exploding variance. This issue arises because V-PG propagates the gradient to the joint probability of the candidate sets, ignoring the contribution of each specific item in the candidate set to the reward. To mitigate this issue, we propose a novel "credit-assigned" policy gradient (CA-PG), which computes gradients with respect to the probability that the target item is chosen in any candidate set, i.e. marginalizing over all candidate sets that contain it. Our theoretical analysis reveals that CA-PG significantly reduces the variance of V-PG by marginalizing over the specific composition of the candidate set, while preserving the ability to learn the correct ranking of items under a reasonably aligned LSR policy. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that CA-PG improves the convergence speed and training stability for ESRs utilizing the canonical Plackett-Luce model, especially when the candidate-set size is large.

Modern industrial recommender systems use a deep ranking model to score N candidates against the same user and context features. Standard implementations broadcast context features early in the forward pass, redundantly computing context-only operations N times per request. We present a rank-aware decomposition applicable to the dominant interaction mechanisms in modern recommender architectures-Factorization Machine (FM) pairwise products, Deep Cross Network (DCNv2) cross layers, self-attention, and fully connected (FC) projection layers-built on a single algebraic principle: any linear or bilinear operation over a rank-partitioned input admits an exact block decomposition that moves context-only computation from once-per-candidate to once-per-request, identity-equivalent to the original model. Closed-form analysis and controlled ablation verify that savings scale quadratically with the number of context features. Applied to a production DLRM-style ranker without any architectural change, the decomposition increases per-pod throughput by 87.5% (a 47% reduction in peak pod count) at identical model predictions. The identity-equivalent decomposition applies only at the first layer of cross networks and self-attention, since each layer mixes ranks in its output. To extend savings across depth, we further introduce rDCN, an architectural variant of DCNv2 that maintains rank discipline across depth and matches DCNv2 accuracy within training noise at 67% fewer total FLOPs, and sketch an analogous architectural variant for self-attention.

Modern recommender systems rely heavily on ID-based collaborative filtering: each item is represented by a unique ID embedding that accumulates collaborative signals from user interactions. Livestreaming recommendation, however, faces a unique challenge in this paradigm: a live room typically broadcasts for only tens of minutes, so its item ID remains poorly learned in a persistent cold-start state and ID-centric ranking models fail to generalize. We present FLUID, the first framework to fully retire the candidate-side item ID from a production-scale livestreaming ranker. FLUID introduces a cross-domain multimodal encoder, jointly trained on short videos and livestreams, to produce discrete hierarchical semantic codes, called LUCID, for content-based item characterization. To adapt the ranker to LUCID, FLUID further employs a staged warmup scheme: it first incorporates cold, slice-level LUCID as an independent token alongside the ID embedding, and then replaces the ID embedding with warm, room-level LUCID before online incremental training. Deployed on our industrial livestreaming recommenders with a cross-platform combined user base of over one billion globally, FLUID delivers significant online gains of +0.55% Quality Watch Duration, +2.05% Cold-Start Room Views, and +0.05% Active Hours.

Adobe Express is expanding internationally, but the US has a disproportionately large content supply and interaction volume. Learning-to-rank (LTR) models trained primarily on behavioral feedback inherit this imbalance: templates popular in US are over-served in non-US locales. This cross-locale exposure bias suppresses local content discoverability and degrades ranking quality in growth locales. We show that click-only training suppresses semantically informative localization features. Adding vision-language model (VLM) graded relevance labels as auxiliary supervision alongside clicks improves semantic alignment but does not preserve local content visibility. We propose a multi-objective framework combining behavioral supervision, VLM-derived relevance signals, and locale-aware boosting. Across five locales, the resulting model improves relevance while restoring stable localization, demonstrating the importance of disentangling exposure from semantic supervision.

With the rise in capabilities of large language models (LLMs) and their deployment in real-world tasks, evaluating LLM alignment with human preferences has become an important challenge. Current benchmarks average preferences across all users to compute aggregate ratings, overlooking individual user preferences when establishing model rankings. Since users have varying preferences in different contexts, we call for personalized LLM benchmarks that rank models according to individual needs. We compute personalized model rankings using ELO ratings and Bradley-Terry coefficients for 115 active Chatbot Arena users and analyze how user query characteristics (topics and writing style) relate to LLM ranking variations. We demonstrate that individual rankings of LLM models diverge dramatically from aggregate LLM rankings, with Bradley-Terry correlations averaging only $ρ= 0.04$ (57% of users show near-zero or negative correlation) and ELO ratings showing moderate correlation ($ρ= 0.43$). Through topic modeling and style analysis, we find users exhibit substantial heterogeneity in topical interests and communication styles, influencing their model preferences. We further show that a compact combination of topic and style features provides a useful feature space for predicting user-specific model rankings. Our results provide strong quantitative evidence that aggregate benchmarks fail to capture individual preferences for most users, and highlight the importance of developing personalized benchmarks that rank LLM models according to individual user preferences.

Ranking generative models based on the fidelity and diversity of their outputs is required to identify the best generator in a group of candidate generative AI models. To rank a group of models in a conventional centralized setting, a standard score is commonly evaluated for each involved model. The selection and design of reference-based evaluation scores have been extensively studied in centralized settings, where the reference samples are drawn from a single probability distribution. However, in practical scenarios including distributed learning contexts, reference samples are distributed across multiple clients, each potentially with a heterogeneous data distribution. In this work, we investigate the ranking of generative models in such distributed settings with heterogeneous data distributions across clients. We focus on the widely used family of kernel distance (KD) evaluation metrics. We prove that, for every kernel function, ranking models by the averaged KD scores of individual clients yields the same ordering as a centralized KD evaluation using the combined reference data from all the clients. We further extend our analysis to other popular metrics, including the Fréchet Distance (FD), for which the individual client scores could be insufficient for accurate model ranking. We present the numerical results of several experiments on standard image datasets and generative models to validate our theoretical findings regarding distributed ranking using various evaluation scores.

Attention identifies items relevant to a current query, but does not separately determine whether their value contributions support the prediction. We propose Warrant, a unified method for locating and controlling metric-facing attention contributions. Warrant identifies and exposes the item-wise contribution path that reaches the reported metric, then applies current-query-conditioned permission on that same path. Full Warrant improves the primary metric in 27 of 32 model-dataset comparisons across CTDG, MTPP, RAG, STPP, and TKG. Exact item-removal analysis in five representative settings finds near-zero correlation between attention and marginal prediction utility; even the highest-attention item reduces target utility in 43.5-54.4% of examples. Decomposition over the complete benchmark shows that the contributions of path exposure and learned permission vary by task. In a five-seed HotpotQA analysis, the opened path assigns more attention mass to distractors than to gold evidence, whereas learned permission preserves gold contributions, suppresses distractor contributions, and recovers evidence ranking in four of five seeds. These results show why attention-selected contributions must be localized and authorized again on the metric-facing path.