LLM Evaluation
LLM: Large Language Model
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194 papers in the last four weeks, up 87% on the four weeks before. 1.9% of all new papers.
Latest papers 1,643
Long-horizon reasoning in recent LLMs demands that the model switch between distinct skills inside a reasoning chain, such as first doing a math derivation, then using the result to plan a schedule. We call such problems cross-skill long-horizon tasks: multi-step tasks whose steps require different reasoning skills and depend on earlier outputs. Existing benchmarks often evaluate individual skills, lacking a principled way to measure how well a model switches between skills. We address this gap from both the evaluation and training sides. We introduce Skill Entropy, a measure of the difficulty of switching from one skill to another. We then propose Skill^2-Bench, a benchmark of cross-skill long-horizon tasks built over 558 skills across 9 verifiable and open-ended domains. Each task is assigned a task-level skill-entropy score and grouped into three difficulty levels. Evaluating 8 frontier and 4 open-source models on Skill^2-Bench reveals a skill-switching gap: accuracy decreases on higher-entropy tasks. We then turn skill entropy from a benchmark scale into a training signal. We propose Skill-Entropy RL, an RL framework where the model predicts not only the answer at each step but also the skill used to produce it. The reward combines step-level correctness with a skill-entropy reward that measures the alignment between the model-predicted skill sequence and the gold skill sequence. On Qwen3-4B-Instruct and Qwen3-1.7B, Skill-Entropy RL improves the Skill^2-Bench score from 34.4% to 68.4% and from 14.6% to 40.1%, respectively, outperforming competitive baselines. The same pipeline can be applied to off-the-shelf training data such as OpenR1-Math, indicating that skill entropy is a reusable training signal. Code available at: https://github.com/Gen-Verse/Skill-Entropy-RL
Same Formulas, Different Semantics: Do Language Models Follow Modal Logic Specifications?
Reasoning about necessity and possibility depends on assumptions about accessibility between worlds and about which objects exist at each one. The same inference may therefore hold under one modal system and fail under another. Evaluating language models on such problems requires testing whether their judgments follow the stated semantics rather than a familiar logic. We construct paired modal problems with identical premises and conjecture but different frame or domain conditions; automated reasoning verifies opposite labels. A balanced core prevents the semantic condition alone from revealing the answer. On this core, four of five recent models perform below the condition-only baseline under direct prompting. Yet enabling reasoning mode raises DeepSeek V4 Flash from 4.4% to 88.1% on unchanged prompts. Following stipulated modal semantics thus depends strongly on inference mode as well as model identity. When frame conditions are omitted, models often agree but fit different familiar logics best. We release the formulas, oracle artifacts, countermodels, and responses.
Revealed Rationality: Label-Free Evaluation and Regularization from Representation Theorems
Representation theorems in decision theory establish that behavior satisfies certain axioms if and only if it can be rationalized by a well-defined objective. I argue that this ``if and only if'' structure provides a potentially useful foundation for label-free evaluation and regularization of LLMs and other AI systems. Axiom compliance can be checked from the model's own responses to synthetic choice problems, with no external labels or human feedback, and the penalties are readily computable. Because the axioms are necessary and sufficient, the resulting checks exhaust the implications of the relevant rationality standard for the elicited data: a model that passes cannot be rejected on rationality grounds by any further test of the same data. I discuss three instantiations: probabilistic coherence via a theorem of de Finetti, preference rationality via Afriat's theorem, and subjective expected utility via a theorem of Echenique and Saito (2015), each yielding a continuous penalty that is zero whenever behavior can be rationalized. Since coherence does not restrict which objective rationalizes behavior, these penalties complement rather than replace other evaluation and training signals.
SciCode-Verified: How Benchmark Defects Underestimated the Scientific-Coding Ability of Language Models
SciCode is the standard measure of the scientific-coding ability of language models: research-level problems that demand both frontier scientific theory and its implementation as working numerical code. It is a component of the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index and a standing evaluation in government and national-laboratory suites. Yet its scores have recently plateaued: the strongest 2026 models cluster tightly around 60% subproblem accuracy, and a successor model ties its predecessor. We trace this stagnation to defects in the benchmark itself. A per-problem, domain-expert audit of all 65 test problems uncovers 263 defects; 192 of them, spread across 91% of the main problems, cause correct, instruction-following solutions to be wrongly rejected---through non-reproducible gold answers, over-tight tolerances, or self-contradictory specifications. Critically, 78% of these score-suppressing defects require specialized physics or mathematics knowledge to detect, not mere clerical proofreading. We corrected every confirmable defect to produce SciCode-Verified. The corrections add only the specifications a well-posed problem requires, repair grading, and tighten the tests that were too lenient; every change is recorded with its justification and independently re-checked by a second domain expert. We re-evaluate twelve frontier model snapshots on the corrected benchmark and find a substantial recovery: subproblem accuracy rises from 45--60% to 84--98%, and main-problem accuracy from 9--27% to 69--92%. State-of-the-art models are far more proficient in scientific coding than SciCode has suggested---the bottleneck was not model capability, but the quality of the evaluation instrument. We release SciCode-Verified with its complete audit trail as the corrected public standard.
LUNAR: Benchmarking Personalized Large Language Models on UNiversal User BehAvioR Logs
Existing personalized LLM benchmarks primarily rely on textual personas or isolated behavioral signals, providing limited evaluation of cross-domain behavioral personalization, where responses must be grounded in heterogeneous daily-life activities. To address this gap, we introduce LUNAR, the first benchmark for evaluating how LLMs personalize responses from longitudinal app interaction histories across universal daily-life domains, including clothing, food, housing, and mobility. To support scalable benchmark construction while mitigating data sparsity and privacy concerns, LUNAR uses a multi-stage coarse-to-fine synthesis pipeline grounded in real-world behavioral patterns. Fidelity analyses show closer alignment with real behavioral distributions than other synthetic benchmarks. Experiments on 19 mainstream LLMs show that access to behavioral logs is necessary but not sufficient for deep personalization: neither more context nor larger models guarantees better performance; effective personalization depends on selecting and integrating relevant evidence across domains. Direct retrieval of fine-grained behavioral records consistently outperforms compressed memory, while stronger personalization can come at the cost of privacy protection. These findings identify evidence selection, cross-domain integration, and privacy control as key challenges for personalized LLMs.
Evaluation Pitfalls and Sparsity Limitations in LLM-based Confidence Estimates for Classification
Confidence estimation is essential when LLMs are used for classification, indicating when predictions can be trusted. However, common approaches such as verbalization produce extremely sparse outputs. For instance, Qwen3-32B verbalizes only eight unique confidence values on SST-2, with over half being exactly 95%, a pattern we observe consistently across four datasets and two LLMs. Besides limiting practical utility, we show that this sparsity critically affects evaluation: the choice of interpolation in area under the accuracy-rejection curve (AUARC) dramatically alters rankings, with consistency sampling dropping from best to worst under stepwise versus linear interpolation. We advocate for standardizing stepwise interpolation for a fairer comparison. Under such a fair evaluation, we find that weighting verbalized digits by token probabilities, a method we term verbalization logprobs, addresses sparsity and achieves the best AUARC (+2.3 points over vanilla verbalization) without incurring additional inference cost.
RepoProbe: Benchmarking Architecture-Aware Repository Comprehension with Checklists
The integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) into software engineering has shifted the focus from function-level generation to repository-scale assistance. However, existing benchmarks largely rely on bug reports from GitHub Issues, which often allow models to bypass genuine understanding via pattern matching on error logs. This misalignment under-measures Edit Bias, which refers to premature generation, where models prematurely propose code modifications instead of understanding the existing repository architecture. Furthermore, current LLM-as-a-Judge scalar scoring suffers from high variance and low interpretability. This work introduces RepoProbe, a novel benchmark for evaluating repository-level code understanding through open-ended Q&A using GitHub Discussions, which focuses on open-ended architectural inquiries rather than defect reporting. To ensure rigorous evaluation, we propose a Checklist-Based Verification Protocol that decomposes answers into atomic, verifiable facts, thereby replacing subjective ratings with objective verification. Our evaluation of state-of-the-art (SOTA) LLMs reveals a persistent gap between high clarity and evidencegrounded technical correctness. It also quantitatively confirms the prevalence of edit bias, in which models prioritize code generation instead of architectural analysis. Finally, we demonstrate that our verification protocol significantly improves evaluation reliability compared to traditional evaluations with scalar scoring.
What We Observe as LLM Behavior Can Be a Side-effect of Inference Backend
Benchmark scores are reported as properties of a model, yet the inference framework used to produce them, such as HuggingFace, vLLM, or Ollama, are considered non-influential and their names and versions are almost never disclosed. In this work we investigate how much this choice can influence the model output. In a fully-crossed study (three instruction-tuned models x five inference frameworks x six benchmarks x four generation modes) we investigate how different tools (wrappers/backend) influence benchmark scores and how their score changes is influenced by generation hyper-parameters. We find backend to be a non-negligible factor where even under greedy, sampling-noise-free decoding, changing the backend can significantly alter models performance and this effect is structural and strongly model-dependent. Decomposing the variance according to generation mode reveal that considerable portion of the variability (roughly 39%) a practitioner sees out-of-the-box can stem from the backend, while the remaining stems from sampling noise and each framework's default generation parameters, both of which are avoidable by disclosing and matching the generation configuration. These divergences are more pronounced on factual than on social-bias benchmarks. Overall, benchmark numbers are not backend-agnostic therefore, we recommend disclosing the backend, its version, and the full generation configuration, also using deterministic decoding for cross-backend comparison.
IslamicTurathBench: A Multi-Task, Multi-Discipline Benchmark for Evaluating Large Language Models on the Islamic Scholarly Tradition (turath)
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for question answering, education, and research, including in religious and cultural domains where answers depend on specialised source traditions. Yet in Islamic Studies, key concepts, methods, and debates preserved in the authoritative scholarly tradition, known as turath, lack high-quality annotated resources. We introduce IslamicTurathBench (ISTB), a multi-task, multi-discipline dataset for evaluating LLMs on classical Islamic scholarship. Developed and reviewed by domain experts, ISTB contains 3,465 question-answer items drawn from 35 recognised source works spanning more than 12 centuries of scholarship across seven key fields of Islamic Studies. To enable comprehensive profiling of model capabilities, ISTB is structured along two axes: scholarly demand (Beginner, Intermediate, and Advanced) and task format (multiple-choice questions, passage-based comprehension, and open-ended knowledge questions). ISTB includes aggregated scores from a scholarly human reference panel and zero-shot baselines from ten systems. The dataset supports reproducible evaluation of language-model behaviour across source works, disciplines, scholarly-demand levels, and question formats in a historically layered scholarly domain.
Easy to Complete, Hard to Choose: Investigating LLM Performance on the ProverbIT Benchmark
Large Language Models (LLMs) have transformed computational linguistics and achieved remarkable performance across numerous natural language processing tasks, yet significant gaps persist in understanding how these systems process culturally embedded linguistic expressions. This paper introduces ProverbIT, a novel Italian benchmark comprising 100 multiple-choice questions designed to evaluate LLMs' ability to complete Italian proverbs. We assess 13 frontier models, including Large Reasoning Models (LRMs) and traditional LLMs, across three tasks: proverb completion, multiple-choice selection with correct answers, and multiple-choice selection without correct answers. Our evaluation reveals surprising results: while nearly all models demonstrate knowledge of the proverbs through successful completion tasks, performance drops dramatically when transitioning to multiple-choice formats without correct answers, with even state-of-the-art reasoning models showing substantial degradation. Through detailed Chain-of-Thought analysis of two LRMs, we uncover that models exhibit a strong bias toward selecting literal synonyms and frequently mention correct proverb endings during reasoning without successfully identifying their absence from the given options. These findings suggest that current LLMs rely heavily on memorized patterns rather than deeper semantic understanding of culturally grounded expressions, highlighting important limitations in their reasoning capabilities for figurative language comprehension.
Evaluating Theory of Mind in Reasoning Models: Robustness over Reasoning
Large language models (LLMs) have recently shown strong performance on Theory of Mind (ToM) tests, prompting debate about the nature and validity of the underlying capabilities. At the same time, reasoning-oriented LLMs trained via reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards have demonstrated notable improvements across a range of benchmarks. In this work, we examine the behavior of such reasoning models in ToM tasks using novel adaptations of machine psychological experiments together with results from established benchmarks. We observe that reasoning models consistently exhibit increased robustness to prompt variations and task perturbations. Our analysis suggests these gains come at least partly from models being more robust at reaching the correct answer under prompt and task variation. We read this as evidence for a robustness-based account rather than for a new ToM-specific ability.
Agreement Before Diversity: Verification-First Complementarity for Heterogeneous Language-Model Coordination
Heterogeneous language-model ensembles expand the space of candidate responses, yet they lack a principled criterion for when a newly generated answer should supersede an already supported one. We decouple candidate headroom from replacement authority, rendering the latter as an explicit, auditable object. Our proposed method, Agreement-Before-Diversity (ABD), is a frozen, label-free decision rule: an anchor answer is retained if two additional trusted samples corroborate it under a fixed equivalence relation; otherwise, it is replaced by a heterogeneous synthesis. For this gating mechanism, we prove two exact identities. The first shows that the accuracy gap relative to unconditional synthesis is determined jointly by the agreement coverage and the anchor's advantage on the protected subset. The second shows that the gap relative to never synthesizing reflects a contrast between authorized recovery and authorized destruction. Neither identity assumes independence or calibrated confidence, and the expected inference cost is approximately eight minus five times the coverage in number of calls. Under blind, exact-ID evaluation, ABD achieves 59.43% on the complete LiveCodeBench-v6 (vs. 52.57% for Single9 and 52.00% for HAC; n = 175) and 75.00% on an untouched GPQA-Diamond split (both controls at 72.78%; n = 180). Furthermore, these identities localize every aggregate difference to an enumerable protected stratum: no discordant items occur among the 3 protected cases on LiveCodeBench, where coverage bounds the gate's contribution to 1.71 points a priori; 13 versus 8 discordant cases among 132 on GPQA-Diamond; and 12 versus 0 among 71 under a frozen anchor perturbation. Diversity supplies potential; verification structure supplies authority.
When Absence Is Evidence: Evaluating Completeness-Sensitive Negative Reasoning in Large Language Models
Large language models (LLMs) are often asked whether something is absent from a record, list, or retrieved context. Yet non-observation licenses a negative answer only when evidence completely covers the query scope; otherwise, the answer should remain unknown. We call this completeness-sensitive negative reasoning. We introduce CROWN-QA, comprising CROWN-Synth, a controlled paired core that fixes the question and observed facts while varying only query-relative coverage, and CROWN-Real, a real-document contrast-set evaluation with controlled coverage variants. Across three LLM families, models show unstable closure judgments and substantial over-closure, failing to reliably distinguish a justified negative answer (Certified-Negative) from insufficient evidence (Unknown). The dominant CROWN-Synth failure is asymmetric: models often recognize implicitly complete evidence yet treat implicitly partial evidence as query-covering. Prompting redistributes errors between over- and under-closure rather than consistently resolving them. Structured certificate elicitation traces many errors to evidence-coverage mischaracterization. CROWN-Real shows that the core partial-coverage asymmetry persists on real-document content, while its strength and the balance between over- and under-closure vary by model, prompt, and source.
The Personalization Mirage: How LLMs Fabricate User Profiles, and Why Self-Monitoring Misleads
Personalized LLMs with persistent memory are increasingly deployed, yet the faithfulness of their user models remains unexamined. We study over-inference (OI): the phenomenon where LLMs fabricate user attributes beyond what evidence supports. We introduce MirageBench, comprising 150 personas balanced across stereotypical, counter-stereotypical, and neutral profiles, 6 personalization tasks spanning an ``imagination gradient'', a four-way faithfulness taxonomy operationalized by an independent judge (validated against a blind human annotator on 400 claims: Cohen's kappa = 0.863 four-class, kappa = 0.900 binary), and a leaderboard of 12 models across 7 families on 143616 judged claims. We find that over-inference is pervasive: every one of the 12 models over-infers 35%--49% of its claims (cross-model mean 41.6%; claim-weighted 41.8%), with no model in this evaluation escaping it. Most strikingly, we surface a Self-Monitoring Inversion: at the model-selection level, models' self-assessed OI is negatively rank-correlated with their judge-measured OI (rho = -0.60, p = 0.044; exploratory, wide bootstrap CI [-0.90, +0.06], n = 12). The models that report the least over-inference tend to be flagged as fabricating the most, so self-reported confidence is a misleading signal for comparing models, even though within a single model self-audit still ranks that model's own claims moderately well (AUROC 0.58--0.83). We further show that OI is task-dependent (27%--59%) and that, in a multi-turn pilot, inferred attributes accumulate approximately linearly with little revision. MirageBench positions external verification, rather than model self-report, as a more reliable foundation for trustworthy personalization.
STRIVE: Probing Reasoning Limits in Graded Plausibility Generation and Evaluation
Event knowledge concerns who does what to whom. Psycholinguists use event-plausibility judgments to examine how this knowledge supports human language processing. To isolate plausibility effects, these studies require controlled event sets in which one event slot varies across plausibility levels while all other event features remain fixed. Constructing such sets manually is labor-intensive. We therefore introduce STRIVE, an LLM-based framework for jointly generating and evaluating controlled event sets crossing plausibility class (plausible vs. implausible) with intended classification difficulty (easy vs. hard). Given a verb, STRIVE constructs a shared event frame, then produces one event per condition by varying one slot while holding all others fixed. In experiments with six models across 60 verbs, GPT-5.1 produced high-quality sets only 16.7% of the time using the baseline generation prompt. Adding a global reasoning scratchpad and evaluator-guided refinement raised this rate to 75.0%. Greater reasoning effort also improved evaluator--human agreement. Nevertheless, events near the plausibility boundary remain most difficult. They elicit the greatest human disagreement, and the best evaluator reaches only 57% accuracy on the implausible-hard condition, indicating a need for human input. Overall, STRIVE offers a scalable approach to reducing manual effort by automating initial event-set generation and evaluation for psycholinguistic studies.
EuroExec: Frontier Language Models Fall Short of Expert Judgment on European Executive Decision Tasks
Frontier LLMs are increasingly put to use on open-ended complex questions, different in nature from the ones they are typically evaluated on. We dedicate more than 4,000 human expert hours to evaluate a selection of six frontier LLMs on a member of this class of problems: EuroExec, our introduced human expert-based benchmark composed of 413 open-ended long-form European executive tasks authored by 47 vetted domain experts, each question drawn from experience in a real case. Every response is manually evaluated through a multi-attribute rubric, an item-specific checklist of requirements, and a preference rank ordering, extracting an aggregate metric "Solve Rate". The strongest model solves only 56.9% of tasks, while expert-written reference answers judged blindly are solved at near-ceiling levels and are preferred over every model response in 74% of direct rankings, placing frontier generative systems well below the professional standard of work they are already used for. We see that the best way to extract this kind of conclusion is by employing human evaluators, carefully checking their consistency through rigorous statistical analysis, and observe that automatic measurements also fall short when evaluating on this case of real-world open-ended problems with a subjective ground truth.
The Evaluator Is Part of the Experiment: Measuring Open-Ended LLM Conformity
Prior work on LLM conformity largely measures discrete answer flips under verifiable labels. Open-ended revisions require a different measurement strategy because answer quality is graded, latent, and judged imperfectly. We introduce an experimental protocol implemented across a pooled main peer-condition corpus and separately constructed decomposition corpora, allowing us to separate ordinary re-answering, candidate-content exposure, a bundled peer-presentation residual, and directional judge sensitivity to visible peer context. Across four open-weight generators and three benchmarks, all-wrong peer input produces the lowest-quality revisions in every generator-dataset cell. Blind and informed ratings of identical answers also differ by evaluator: one judge shifts toward the peer-endorsed position, two shift away, one is approximately neutral, and GPT-4o and GPT-5.4-mini audits are likewise non-neutral. Finally, an anchor audit shows that terse correct anchors can be misread often enough to destabilize the latent scale unless calibration is checked explicitly. These results support four conclusions: flip rates are insufficient as a complete measure of open-ended conformity, wrong peers harm open-ended revision, evaluators are not neutral, and anchor calibration is necessary.
FinReportBench: Measuring and Improving Institution-Grade Financial Report Generation
Large language models can produce fluent financial analysis, but fluency alone does not establish whether a report is suitable for institutional delivery. We introduce FinReportBench, an expert-grounded benchmark for measuring and improving institution-grade financial report generation. Expert review reveals recurring gaps in report identity, institutional components, source discipline, and visual delivery. We derive a 35-item rubric through expert partial orders, multimodal evidence, and audits of decision boundaries, covering deliverability, report identity, and institutional completeness. Starting from 10,000 balanced Chinese and English financial-research source records, we curate 244 bilingual tasks across three research objects and two input tiers. Each task separates the public query, reconstructed research trajectory, and hidden source packet. Three independent judge families reproduce the expert partial order at near-ceiling rates, showing that bounded, observable criteria support reliable evaluation. Across nine model families, basic deliverability is nearly saturated, while report identity and institutional completeness remain the primary bottlenecks. The largest cross-model gaps concern generation-trace control, information density, and data discipline rather than basic report framing. We then use benchmark-guided skill distillation to turn recurrent failures into reusable generation and self-review constraints. Across five model families, the evolved skill improves mean G1 by 33.85 points and mean G2 by 13.83 points over paired no-skill runs while preserving G0 for every pair. Code and benchmark artifacts are available at https://github.com/MisterBrookT/finreportbench.
The Calibration Floor: Format Repair Can Masquerade as Self-Correction at Small-to-Mid Scale
Accuracy changes after language-model self-revision are usually interpreted as changes in reasoning. We show this can fail at the answer-extraction boundary, and test the failure causally rather than only observationally. Across Qwen3.5 (0.8B-9B), Gemma-4-12B, and two frontier models via API (Tencent Hy3, Nvidia Nemotron-3-Ultra-550B) in 29 primary cells plus a frontier arm, we decompose the always-revise accuracy shift into a content margin (both answers parseable) and format-recovery/loss margins (parseability changes). On 12 cells with meaningful unparseable-answer rates, format effects exceed content effects (Wilcoxon p=1.7e-3). To test this causally, we force already-generated reasoning through grammar-constrained decoding so every answer is parseable by construction: across 14 cells this closes a median 71% of the gap between the naive total effect and the content-margin estimate, with two cells converging exactly and a residual on the two largest-effect cells reported rather than dismissed. A clustered model confirms floor-scale (0.8B/2B) models have far higher odds of content-level change and harm than capable-scale models (p<1e-7). Replicating a cited confidence-gating protocol verbatim on Qwen3.5 does not reproduce its reported gain and shows the same near-zero content margin. A frontier check on much larger models shows format-dominance intensifying with scale: content margin is exactly zero in all 5 cells despite total effects up to +0.275, though this arm is lower-powered. The calibration-floor criterion on the content margin reveals a squeeze: floor-scale cells have headroom but insufficient signal, capable-scale cells have signal but little headroom; only one cell is marginally viable, with negligible sealed-holdout gain. Content is a minority share of what the field has measured as self-correction. We release the instrument, code, and derived results.
Cost-Aware Multi-Objective Bandits: Theory and Application to Budgeted LLM Configuration Evaluation
Large language model (LLM) configuration evaluation is challenging due to limited evaluation budgets, varying costs, and multiple competing objectives. In this paper, we formulate LLM configuration evaluation as a cost-aware multi-objective bandit problem, where each configuration evaluation incurs a configuration-dependent cost and yields a noisy vector-valued outcome. Under this framework, we study two fundamental problems: online configuration selection and Pareto configuration identification. For online configuration selection, we propose a hypervolume-based UCB algorithm that optimizes an optimistic hypervolume-per-cost index. We establish a budgeted regret bound of order , where is the evaluation budget, is the optimal configuration in terms of hypervolume efficiency, and is the corresponding efficiency gap of configuration . This bound retains the logarithmic budget dependence of classical single-objective budgeted bandits. For fixed-budget Pareto identification, we develop a cost-aware empirical gap elimination algorithm and prove that its error probability is of order , where is a cost-aware Pareto identification complexity depending on configuration costs and Pareto classification gaps. This error probability decays exponentially with the evaluation budget and recovers the standard Pareto set identification guarantee when all configuration costs are identical. Experiments on LLM configuration evaluation tasks demonstrate that the proposed framework enables efficient online decision-making and accurate cost-aware Pareto identification under limited budgets.
Hallucinations on the Board: Tool-Augmented Evaluation of LLM Chess Commentary
Superhuman game engines in domains like chess have made expert-level evaluations easily accessible, yet they communicate what is true without the natural-language explanations that make such expertise educationally useful to experts and non-experts alike. Large language models could, in principle, bridge this gap, but they frequently hallucinate due to limited domain-specific knowledge, and standard reference-based or LLM-as-a-judge frameworks cannot reliably detect these errors. In this work, we present ACT-Eval, an evaluation framework that decomposes chess commentary into atomic claims and routes them to engine-supported tools and expert-annotated gold references to assess factual correctness, conceptual coverage, and move-quality judgment. We release a benchmark of 325 position--move pairs spanning pedagogical, tournament, and critical positions, including 125 positions with expert-verified gold atoms and a five-class error taxonomy. Evaluating leading proprietary and open-weight models, we find that factual hallucinations remain pervasive in chess commentary: GPT-5.4 without tools produces incorrect sub-claims 22.0% of the time, while smaller open-weight models exceed 40%. Although tool augmentation substantially improves factual correctness and move-quality assessment, coverage of expert strategic and tactical ideas remains limited across all models. Human calibration shows that ACT-Eval's factual judgments fall within the observed range of inter-human agreement, while its coverage scores correlate strongly with human assessments of strategic completeness.
From Financial Sentiment Classification to Return Predictability: A QLoRA Benchmark of Large Language Models
Financial sentiment classifiers are commonly evaluated against human labels, but strong linguistic performance does not necessarily imply economically useful return predictability. This study separates these questions through two experiments. First, we construct a unified three-class benchmark from five financial text datasets and compare TF--IDF Naive Bayes, off-the-shelf FinBERT and Financial-RoBERTa encoders, zero-shot Qwen2.5-7B, and QLoRA-adapted Qwen2.5-7B, LLaMA3-8B, and Mistral-7B models. Mistral-7B achieves the best test accuracy (0.8840) and macro-F1 (0.8771), while QLoRA raises Qwen2.5's macro-F1 from 0.7274 to 0.8615. An inverse-frequency class-weighted loss does not improve Qwen2.5. Second, we evaluate economic validity on a temporally separate 2019 Benzinga sample containing 10,637 unique headlines and 13,115 headline--stock observations for a fixed S&P~100 universe. Model probabilities are converted into continuous sentiment scores, aggregated by stock and signal date, and aligned with next-session returns over one-, two-, three-, and five-day horizons. All seven downstream models produce positive but small mean rank information coefficients at the one-day horizon; the largest is 0.0143 for FinBERT. None of the 28 model--horizon tests remains significant after Newey--West inference and false-discovery-rate correction. Portfolio results likewise fail to establish a robust advantage for the best-performing classifiers. The findings show that QLoRA is effective for financial sentiment adaptation, while also documenting a clear gap between classification accuracy and tradable cross-sectional signals.
Mind the Cap: Output-Budget Regimes Change the Measured Multilingual Reasoning Gap
Multilingual evaluations report accuracy at a single output-token cap, but languages need different numbers of tokens to express the same content, so the cap is a hidden experimental variable. We test whether the native-vs-translate gap on MGSM (German, Thai, Swahili) is a token-budget artifact for Qwen3-8B and Llama-3.1-8B-Instruct under four prompting strategies. The measured gap swings by up to 57 points across budgets, length normalization moves it by up to 38.9 points where the cap binds, and at tight caps normalization can reverse which strategy scores higher. We prospectively froze the sweep's three Qwen peaks and its near-zero value at 1024 and evaluated them on 540,000 independently hard-capped decodes: a second frozen family of six Holm-corrected tests rejects every null. The frozen test at still fails to reject because native accuracy has already saturated there; above saturation, the residual difference is a strategy-performance gap, not an identified reasoning deficit. The same truncation channel prices a cost-ordered adaptation ladder: a cross-fitted Thai vocabulary extension closes 0.0 points of the gap at the frozen budget and 4.9 points where 19% of traces still truncate. A third frozen family varies only the announced budget at a fixed enforced cap; announcing 128 rather than 2048 tokens moves Thai native accuracy by 5.1 points, so accuracy is not a function of the enforced cap alone. A correct-emission timing identity computed from one long-cap run matches the three pre-specified MGSM peaks to 0.65 points and, in an exploratory Qwen-only analysis of three further benchmarks, tracks held-out items to 0.92 points, locating the peak exactly in five of seven cells. Treat the output cap as an independent variable and report accuracy across the budget regime, not at a single budget.
BrainBench: Benchmarking Large Language Models for Comprehensive EEG Understanding
Electroencephalography (EEG) analysis extends beyond assigning predefined labels to recordings; it requires workflows connecting natural-language instructions, signal processing, quantitative evidence, and scientific interpretation. We term this capability \emph{comprehensive EEG understanding}. Existing evaluations, however, primarily target isolated decoding tasks or system-specific demonstrations, leaving the competence of large language models (LLMs) insufficiently quantified. We introduce \benchmarkname{}, a unified benchmark for comprehensive, instruction-conditioned EEG understanding. It comprises four subsets---Foundational Analysis, Sleep Assessment, Neurocognitive Assessment, and Physiological Integration---covering 17 datasets, \numcases{} tasks, and over \numinstances{} real-data instances. Given an instruction and EEG recordings with optional physiological signals, a system must perform the analysis and produce a scientifically grounded report and, when required, artifacts. Outputs are assessed through numerical, categorical, set, sequence, semantic, and artifact validation. We evaluate \nummodels{} representative LLMs across more than 100K executions under two paradigms: autonomous code execution with CodeAct and structured agentic analysis with BrainAgent. Results vary substantially across models, subsets, difficulty levels, and execution paradigms, showing that EEG competence depends on the model and its operationalization. \benchmarkname{} provides a reproducible testbed for advancing LLM-based EEG understanding. The code and benchmark will be released soon, with evaluation results continuously updated.
WorldCup Arena: Prospective, Leakage-Free Evaluation of Frontier LLMs on a Live Tournament
Benchmarks that measure the forecasting ability of large language models are almost always retrospective: the event has happened, the answer is somewhere on the Web, and the evaluation must defend itself against memorisation. We report the opposite design. Over the 39 days of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, six frontier LLMs -- all with extended thinking and native server-side web search -- were asked before every kickoff, one match at a time, to fill in a seven-market prediction card for all 104 matches, plus 12 group winners and a pre-tournament outright pool; no answer existed when the question was asked, so the evaluation is leakage-free by construction rather than by filtering, and the frozen archive holds 4,494 scored predictions. What the tournament establishes is a set of behaviours the six systems share. On match outcome they average 63.9%, level with backing the bookmaker's favourite -- which is in fact what they usually do. They agree with one another far more often than they are right, so a majority vote adds nothing. They under-commit to draws and to goals, and crowd their scoreline picks onto a single prototypical result. Accuracy tracks how lopsided a fixture is rather than how much is known about it: it collapses in the closest ties, where the dossiers are richest, while questions about the tournament as a whole are answered well. On this task the current generation of frontier systems is not sharply differentiated: the standings hold up at the top and the bottom across the run and churn in the middle, and the margins stay narrow throughout. The briefing dossiers, fixtures and official results are released as a benchmark, together with the scoring code.
Test-Time Scaling in Reasoning LLMs: Inference Regimes, Evaluation, and Reproducibility
Large language models can solve harder reasoning problems with more inference-time compute. The term "test-time scaling," however, covers several inference algorithms: extending deliberation along one trajectory, sampling completed candidates and aggregating them by voting or verification, and searching over partial states. These algorithms differ in statistical structure, compute requirements, and failure modes. Treating them as interchangeable under a scalar "budget," or reporting accuracy without specifying the inference protocol, makes results difficult to compare across studies. We study test-time scaling along three axes. First, we formalize it as budgeted inference over the implicit prefix tree of an autoregressive model and distinguish single-trajectory sequential scaling, leaf-level scaling with terminal reduction, and prefix-level scaling. Second, we treat the full inference system as the evaluated object and separate end-to-end performance from candidate-bank diagnostics. We introduce an evaluation profile whose coordinates and simple functionals recover or bound common repeated-sampling metrics, and require compute accounting and uncertainty estimates that match the protocol. Third, we distinguish exact replay from distributional reproducibility and state the requirements for each. We also organize open-weight reasoning models by model-side and interface mechanisms. Our empirical study covers broad knowledge, symbolic reasoning, and competition mathematics, and we publicly release 1,403,520 sampled model attempts. The project website is available at https://mohsenhariri.github.io/scorio/tts. The released datasets are Trace (https://huggingface.co/datasets/harimo/scorio-trace), Lite (https://huggingface.co/datasets/harimo/scorio-lite), Math (https://huggingface.co/buckets/harimo/scorio-math), and SuperGPQA (https://huggingface.co/buckets/harimo/scorio-gpqa).
VIBE: A VAD-Informed Benchmark for Entity-Centered Affective Profiling of Large Language Model Outputs
Large language models routinely describe socially salient targets, including political figures, countries, religions, organizations, historical events, and social groups, encoding affective framing alongside factual content: a target may appear favorable or threatening, calm or conflictual, powerful or vulnerable. Existing work captures parts of this space through sentiment, favorability, and emotion benchmarks, but none combines target-directed VAD attribution, an explicit scorer contract, and a passport reporting format. We introduce VIBE, a benchmark for entity-centered affective profiling of LLM outputs in Valence-Arousal-Dominance (VAD) space. Its core contribution is a measurement contract: VIBE separates generation from external scoring, distinguishes scalar favorability, response-level VAD, and target-directed VAD, and reports profiles through an Affective Passport. Three empirical layers support the contract. H1 shows scalar favorability does not subsume arousal and dominance: valence findings are cross-validated (rV = 0.944 judge-human, rV = 0.954 inter-scorer); arousal and dominance are single-scorer directional estimates, not point-precise, consistent with known inter-annotator difficulty on these axes (rA = 0.495, rD = 0.702 among human annotators). H2 shows whole-response and target-directed VAD are different contracts: the same text can carry one affective tone overall while representing the named target differently. H3 is a protocol-drift diagnostic: elicitation conditions shift profiles, motivating context metadata in every affective report. These results motivate entity-centered affective profiling as a documented practice: profiles should be released with scorer identity, coverage, protocol, and interpretation limits.
Evaluating LLMs in Database Scenarios: A Lifecycle Benchmark for Assessing Their Potential in Core Database Tasks
Large Language Models (LLMs) are transforming database interaction paradigms, evolving from simple query translators to autonomous database administrators (DBAs). However, current evaluation benchmarks remain disproportionately fixated on Text-to-SQL tasks, neglecting the holistic Database Lifecycle-from initial schema design to post-deployment maintenance. This narrow focus fails to capture the diverse capabilities required for real-world database management. To bridge this gap, we introduce DBLifeBench, the first benchmark to evaluate LLMs across five critical lifecycle phases: Design, Implementation, Operation, Debugging, and Maintenance. Furthermore, addressing the cognitive mismatch between ambiguous natural language and complex SQL logic, we propose Progressive-Text2SQL, a novel task utilizing structured reasoning graphs to mimic human iterative problem-solving. Our extensive evaluation reveals a critical insight: while general-purpose models demonstrate balanced performance, specialized Text-to-SQL models suffer from ``catastrophic forgetting'' in non-coding phases like design and maintenance. DBLifeBench serves as a foundational step toward evaluating and building true full-stack database intelligence.
How Closely Do LLM Reviews Align with Human Peer Review?
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used to generate scientific reviews, yet existing evaluations rarely examine whether different providers align with both conference decisions and human reviewing priorities within the same controlled setting. We compare reviews from OpenAI GPT-5.4, Google Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview, and Anthropic Claude Opus 4.6 with human reviews and final decisions for 300 topic-matched ICLR 2026 submissions, equally divided among oral, poster, and rejected papers. Each model reviewed every paper using identical instructions and rating scales after decision information was removed. Our study contributes a cross-provider analysis of three complementary dimensions: alignment with broad and fine-grained decision categories, differences in recommendation-scale usage, and thematic agreement in identified weaknesses. All three LLMs distinguished accepted from rejected papers, but none reproduced the oral versus poster distinction present in human ratings. Scoring patterns were provider-specific: Gemini assigned systematically higher ratings, while OpenAI and Claude were closer to humans for rejected and poster papers but more critical of oral papers. Human and LLM reviews also differed in emphasis, with LLMs more frequently identifying missing baseline comparisons and humans more often raising computational-efficiency concerns. These results show that broad decision alignment does not imply agreement with finer human judgments or reviewing priorities.
AI-Assisted Peer Review Across Research Communities: From Reviewer AI Policies to LLM Review Quality
AI-assisted peer review is increasingly discussed and adopted as a tool to support the scientific publishing process, yet there is little systematic understanding of how publication venues regulate its use or of how capable current AI review systems are. We address these questions by first surveying reviewer-facing AI policies across 111 leading AI/NLP conferences and medical journals, revealing substantial regulation differences between the two communities. Second, we evaluate AI-generated peer reviews at ICLR 2026 and Nature Communications using a novel dataset comprising original manuscript submissions and several hundred human- and machine-generated reviews. We compare reviews produced by open-source and proprietary models using complementary evaluation metrics, including LLM-as-a-Judge, score alignment, granularity, and overlap with human reviewers' concerns. Our results show that current LLMs can generate detailed and fluent reviews but exhibit systematic weaknesses, such as overly positive recommendations, generic criticism, and uneven evidence grounding. We demonstrate that aggregate quality scores alone can overestimate review quality and argue for multi-dimensional evaluation of AI-generated peer reviews.