LLM Reasoning
LLM: Large Language Model
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68 papers in the last four weeks, up 143% on the four weeks before. 0.7% of all new papers.
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While many studies of Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning capabilities emphasize mathematical or technical tasks, few address reasoning about social concepts: the abstract ideas shaping social norms, culture, and institutions. This understudied capability is essential for modern models acting as social agents, yet no systematic evaluation methodology targets it. We introduce SCRuB (Social Concept Reasoning under Rubric-Based Evaluation), a framework designed for this setting of task indeterminacy. Our goal is to measure the degree to which a model reasons about social concepts with the depth and critical rigor of a human expert. SCRuB proceeds in three phases: prompt construction from established sources, response generation by experts and models, and comparative evaluation using a five-dimensional critical thinking rubric. To enable generalization of the pipeline, we introduce a Panel of Disciplinary Perspectives ensemble validated against independent expert judges. We release SCRuBEval (n=4,711 evaluation prompts) and SCRuBAnnotations (300 expert-authored responses and 150 expert comparative judgments from 45 PhD-level scholars). Our results show that frontier models consistently outperform human experts across all five rubric dimensions. Across 1,170 pairwise comparisons, expert judges ranked a model response first in 80.8% of judgments and preferred model responses overall 74.4% of the time. Ultimately, this study provides the first expert-grounded demonstration of evaluation saturation for social concept reasoning: the single-turn exam-style format has reached its ceiling for models and humans alike.
Measuring Black-Box Confidence via Reasoning Trajectories: Geometry, Coverage, and Verbalization
Reliable confidence estimation enables safe deployment of chain-of-thought (CoT) reasoning through text-only APIs. Yet the dominant black-box baseline, self-consistency over K samples, is linearly expensive and ignores the geometry of the trace. We propose a black-box trajectory-confidence score: we embed a CoT as a sliding-window trajectory and measure its convergence to external answer anchors with a one-parameter softmax. The method needs no logits, hidden states, or supervised calibrators. Across six (benchmark, reasoner) settings on MedQA-USMLE, GPQA Diamond, and MMLU-Pro with Gemini 3.1 Pro and Claude Sonnet 4.6, fusing this score with coverage and verbalized-confidence channels at K=4 yields Pareto improvements over self-consistency at K=8 in 6/6 settings (median AUC 0.78 vs 0.71, deltaAUC=+0.075). A fixed-pick control (+0.060) and E5 cross-embedder replication rule out answer switching and single-vendor artifacts. Geometry peaks in the penultimate window across benchmarks and reasoners, and inverts at the terminal window on GPQA Diamond. Three unscaffolded regimes separate black-box confidence into a judge-mediated Coverage prior (C), within-trace Geometry (G), and a conditional Verbalization channel (V). Across 18 benchmark x reasoner x proposer settings, C and G provide independent signal in 18/18 and 16/18, while V contributes residual signal in 6/18. Swapping the judge from GPT-5-mini to Claude Sonnet 4.6 leaves G-only AUC unchanged (|delta|<=0.013) and shifts C-only AUC by at most +/-0.02 (kappa=0.82). Fusion beats the best single channel in 17/18 settings (median AUC 0.78, max 0.92).
Rethinking RL for LLM Reasoning: It's Sparse Policy Selection, Not Capability Learning
Reinforcement learning has become the standard for improving reasoning in large language models, yet evidence increasingly suggests that RL does not teach new strategies; it redistributes probability mass over solutions the base model already contains. In this work, we ask: if RL merely steers the model toward paths it already knows, is the RL optimization loop itself necessary? Through token-level analysis across multiple model families and RL algorithms, we find that RL's beneficial footprint is a sparse, predictable correction concentrated at high-entropy decision points where the model is uncertain which branch to take. Only 1--3% of token positions are affected, the promoted token always lies within the base model's top-5 alternatives, and targeted corrections at those few positions causally recover a large fraction of RL's accuracy gain, while random corrections fail. The base model's own entropy identifies these positions without any RL-trained model, and the entire correction is low-dimensional, representable in a tiny fraction of model parameters. These findings reframe reasoning improvement as sparse policy selection, not capability acquisition. We translate this insight into ReasonMaxxer, a minimal RL-free method that applies contrastive loss only at entropy-gated decision points, using a few hundred base-model rollouts and no online generation. Across three model families, six scales, and six math reasoning benchmarks, ReasonMaxxer matches or exceeds full RL performance while requiring only tens of problems and minutes of single-GPU training, a reduction in training cost of roughly three orders of magnitude.
Post-Reasoning: Improving the Performance of Non-Thinking Models at No Cost
As the widespread adoption of Large Language Models (LLMs) accelerates, token consumption from intermediate reasoning traces increasingly contributes to inference latency and operational cost. Recent studies suggest that many real-world tasks require little to no explicit reasoning, with additional reasoning sometimes even degrading performance. In this work, we propose Post-Reasoning, a simple yet effective approach that improves instruction-tuned models by conditioning them to justify their answers after generating the final response. By design, it enables the final answer to be obtained without additional latency or token cost, while still improving performance through simple instruction augmentation. We evaluate Post-Reasoning across 117 model--benchmark settings spanning 13 open and proprietary models, 4 model families, and 9 diverse reasoning and knowledge-intensive benchmarks, including AMC, HMMT, GSM8K, GPQA, MMLU-Pro, and BIG-Bench Hard. Post-Reasoning improves performance in over 88.19% of evaluated settings, achieving a mean relative improvements of 17.37%. Furthermore, we propose supervised post-reason tuning, which further improves performance in over 91.11% of evaluated settings, and exceeds the prompt-based post-reasoning baseline by an average of 8.01%, demonstrating that post-reasoning can be effectively internalized through training. Ultimately, Post-Reasoning establishes a new performance ceiling for direct-answer capabilities.
Novelty-based Tree-of-Thought Search for LLM Reasoning and Planning
Although advances such as chain-of-thought, tree-of-thought or reinforcement learning have improved the performance of LLMs in reasoning and planning tasks, they are still brittle and have not achieved human-level performance in many domains, and often suffer from high time and token costs. Inspired by the success of width-based search in planning, we explore how the concept of novelty can be transferred to language domains and how it can improve tree-of-thought reasoning. A tree of thoughts relies on building possible "paths" of consecutive ideas or thoughts. These are generated by repeatedly prompting an LLM. In our paper, a measurable concept of novelty is proposed that describes the uniqueness of a new node (thought) in comparison to nodes previously seen in the search tree. Novelty is estimated by prompting an LLM and making use of embedded general knowledge from pre-training. This metric can then be used to prune branches and reduce the scope of the search. Although this method introduces more prompts per state, the overall token cost can be reduced by pruning and reducing the overall tree size. This procedure is tested and compared using several benchmarks in language-based planning and general reasoning.
Logic-Regularized Verifier Elicits Reasoning from LLMs
Verifiers are crucial components for enhancing modern LLMs' reasoning capability. Typicalverifiers require resource-intensive superviseddataset construction, which is costly and faceslimitations in data diversity. In this paper, wepropose LOVER, an unsupervised verifier regularized by logical rules. LOVER treats theverifier as a binary latent variable, utilizinginternal activations and enforcing three logical constraints on multiple reasoning paths:negation consistency, intra-group consistency,and inter-group consistency (grouped by thefinal answer). By incorporating logical rulesas priors, LOVER can leverage unlabeled examples and is directly compatible with any offthe-shelf LLMs. Experiments on 10 datasetsdemonstrate that LOVER significantly outperforms unsupervised baselines, achieving performance comparable to the supervised verifier(reaching its 95% level on average). The sourcecode is publicly available at https://github.com/wangxinyufighting/llm-lover.
Hypothesis generation and updating in large language models
Large language models (LLMs) increasingly help people solve problems, from debugging code to repairing machinery. This process requires generating plausible hypotheses from partial descriptions, then updating them as more information arrives. Yet how LLMs perform this form of inference, and how close it is to optimal, remains unclear. We study this question in the number game, a controlled setting in which a learner infers the hypothesis supported by a few positive integers, such as : a rule like powers of 2 or an interval like numbers near 20. We measure the posterior over hypotheses using three complementary probes: posterior prediction, hypothesis evaluation, and hypothesis generation. We then compare LLM behavior with an optimal Bayesian model and human behavior, and test whether the same posterior is expressed across probes. LLMs are often well described by a two-parameter Bayesian fit, but with systematic offsets: by default they show a strong-sampling assumption that creates an implicit Occam's razor, favoring narrower hypotheses, while thinking mode shifts them toward greater prior reliance. We also find a robust evaluation--generation gap: LLMs select more correct hypotheses during hypothesis evaluation but generate simpler, more rule-like hypotheses. Finally, this Bayesian-with-bias pattern does not extrapolate. Models can behave as if they hold rule-like hypotheses over observed examples, yet generalize poorly to parts of the hypothesis domain not covered by those examples. Our results highlight a limitation of LLMs as general problem solvers, especially for scientific inference, where hypotheses must go beyond the data.
ReFlect: An Effective Harness System for Complex Long-Horizon LLM Reasoning
Current reasoning paradigms for LLMs include chain-of-thought, ReAct, and post-hoc self-critique. These paradigms rely on two assumptions that fail on long-horizon, multi-stage tasks. As a result, errors accumulate silently across reasoning steps, leaving an open question: can a reasoning system effectively detect and recover from its own failures? We present ReFlect, a \emph{harness} system for LLM reasoning that creates standalone error detection and recovery logic as a deterministic wrapper around the model. Controlled experiments across 6 reasoning domains show that prompt-level self-critique produces formulaic templates that flag no issues in 90 of 100 audited reflection blocks, and the investigated LLMs wrongly accept a wrong answer in at least 76% of cases. Our ReFlect harness achieves task success rates ranging from 41% on gpt-4o-mini to 56% on Claude Sonnet 4.5 across six models spanning small and frontier scale, with per-model gains over Direct CoT ranging from +7 pp on Qwen2.5-72B to +29 pp on Claude Sonnet 4.5, and additionally raises SWE-bench patch-structural quality from 0% (Direct CoT) to between 82% (Qwen2.5-72B) and 87% (GPT-4o). Notably, the harness gain is inversely proportional to the model's Direct CoT task success rate (the fitted slope is -1.69 with r=-0.76): each pp lost in baseline success rate is mechanically recovered by 1.69 pp of harness gain. We spot that adding structured reasoning state and operators yields only 15.0--18.7% pair-mean on Llama-3.3-70B and Qwen2.5-72B because models at this scale cannot reliably populate the state its operators require. ReFlect is model-agnostic, training-free, and operates entirely at inference time.
Decodable but Not Corrected by Fixed Residual-Stream Linear Steering: Evidence from Medical LLM Failure Regimes
Can linearly decodable failure signals in LLM hidden states be leveraged to correct those failures? We investigate this classification-correction gap via Overthinking (OT)--a stable behavioral regime (Jaccard >= 0.81, 94% inter-annotator agreement) in medical QA where models answer correctly under resampling yet fail in extended chain-of-thought. OT is linearly decodable at 71.6% balanced accuracy (p < 10^{-16}). Yet five families of fixed linear steering (29 configurations, n=1,273) all yield Delta ~= 0, with identical null results cross-architecture (Qwen2.5-7B) and cross-domain (MMLU-STEM). Three convergent lines of evidence suggest representational entanglement: the OT direction has 85-88% overlap with task-critical computation (specificity ratio <= 0.152); non-targeted shared-direction steering damages accuracy (-12.1pp); and LEACE concept erasure damages accuracy (-3.6pp, p=0.01), while 10 random erasures produce Delta=+0.3pp. The per-instance probe-steering correlation is r=-0.002 (p=0.97). Positively, the same probe enables selective abstention (held-out AUROC=0.610, exceeding all five uncertainty baselines, p=0.009): decodable failure structure supports post-generation reliability estimation even when the fixed linear steering family cannot exploit it for correction.
Formalizing Latent Thoughts: Four Axioms of Thought Representation in LLMs
We introduce an axiomatic evaluation framework for latent thought representations in LLMs, comprising metrics that are independent of downstream benchmark scores and reveal representational failures that benchmark accuracy masks. Existing evaluations conflate representation quality with model capacity. Therefore, failures cannot be attributed to the representation rather than to the model that processes it. We formalize four functional axioms (Causality, Minimality, Separability, and Stability) and define a quantitative measure for each, computed directly on the representation independently of downstream accuracy. We audit open-weight LLMs across 23 reasoning tasks (e.g., Spatial Reasoning, Factual QA). We find that no candidate satisfies all four axioms simultaneously, that the representations distinguish task type reliably but cannot distinguish between two questions within the same task, and that the representations encode little information beyond what is already present in the input embedding. The failure is consistent across dense, reasoning-distilled, and RL-trained model families, indicating that the gap is structural rather than a property of model size or training procedure.
G-SHARE: A Guideline-Based Structured Reasoning Framework for Human-Factor Event Diagnosis
Human-factor event diagnosis is essential for learning from operational events in nuclear power plants, yet its quality depends strongly on expert interpretation of narrative reports and guideline-based reasoning.Existing data-driven or one-shot large language model approaches often lack structured reasoning, have limited alignment with formal diagnostic guidelines, and may generate logically inconsistent conclusions. To address this issue, this study proposes G-SHARE, a guideline-based structured reasoning framework that operationalizes the CNNP nine-step human-factor event diagnosis guideline into a multi-stage diagnostic pipeline.The framework consists of evidence extraction, stepwise diagnostic reasoning, and post-hoc consistency repair, enabling explicit use of report evidence, intermediate rationale generation, and logical validation of diagnostic outputs. A dataset of real human-factor event reports was constructed from Chinese nuclear industry sources, and a gold-standard subset annotated by domain experts was used for evaluation. Results show that G-SHARE substantially outperforms one-shot prompting and traditional machine learning baselines, with the strongest version achieving the best overall accuracy and macro-F1. Ablation results further indicate that structured reasoning and consistency enforcement are critical to robust diagnosis, especially under weak prompting conditions. The findings demonstrate the value of transforming expert diagnostic guidelines into auditable reasoning workflows, providing a practical pathway for intelligent human-factor analysis in safety-critical industries.
Agentic Retrieval-Augmented Generation for Financial Document Question Answering
Financial document question answering (QA) demands complex multi-step numerical reasoning over heterogeneous evidence--structured tables, textual narratives, and footnotes--scattered across corporate filings. Existing retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) approaches adopt a single-pass retrieve-then-generate paradigm that struggles with the compositional reasoning chains prevalent in financial analysis. We propose FinAgent-RAG, an agentic RAG framework that orchestrates iterative retrieval-reasoning loops with self-verification, specifically engineered for the precision requirements of financial numerical reasoning. The framework integrates three domain-specific innovations: (1) a Contrastive Financial Retriever trained with hard negative mining to distinguish semantically similar but numerically distinct financial passages, (2) a Program-of-Thought reasoning module that generates executable Python code for precise arithmetic rather than relying on error-prone LLM-based mental computation, and (3) an Adaptive Strategy Router that dynamically allocates computational resources based on question complexity, reducing API costs by 41.3% on FinQA while preserving accuracy. Extensive experiments on three benchmark datasets--FinQA, ConvFinQA, and TAT-QA--demonstrate that FinAgent-RAG achieves 76.81%, 78.46%, and 74.96% execution accuracy respectively, outperforming the strongest baseline by 5.62--9.32 percentage points. Ablation studies, cross-backbone evaluation with four LLMs, and deployment cost analysis confirm the framework's robustness and practical viability for financial institutions.
How Does Thinking Mode Change LLM Moral Judgments? A Controlled Instant-vs-Thinking Comparison Across Five Frontier Models
We evaluate whether enabling provider-exposed reasoning mode changes moral judgments within the same model checkpoint. Across 100 moral-judgment scenarios and five frontier reasoning-trained LLMs (Claude Sonnet 4.6, GPT 5.5, Gemini 3 Flash, DeepSeek V3.1, and Qwen3.5 397B), aggregate binary-verdict agreement remains high and statistically indistinguishable between instant and thinking modes (Krippendorff's alpha = 0.78 vs. 0.79). However, disagreement is concentrated in 21 model-disputed scenarios, where instant-mode agreement is near chance (alpha = 0.08). On these scenarios, reasoning directionally narrows cross-model disagreement, increasing mean pairwise agreement from 5.4 to 6.7 out of 10. Reasoning also reduces demographic-judgment inconsistency in three of five models and does not increase it for any model. Across all five model families, reasoning changes self-labeled ethical frameworks more often than binary verdicts.
NoisyCausal: A Benchmark for Evaluating Causal Reasoning Under Structured Noise
Causal reasoning in natural language requires identifying relevant variables, understanding their interactions, and reasoning about effects and interventions, often under noisy or ambiguous conditions. While large language models (LLMs) exhibit strong general reasoning abilities, they struggle to disentangle correlation from causation, particularly when observations are partially incorrect or irrelevant information is present. In this work, we introduce NoisyCausal, a new benchmark designed to evaluate causal reasoning under structured noise. Each instance is generated from a ground-truth causal graph and contextualized with a natural language scenario by injecting controllable forms of noise, such as irrelevant distractors, value perturbations, confounding, and partial observability. Moreover, we propose a modular reasoning framework that combines LLMs with explicit causal structure to address these challenges. Our method prompts the LLM to extract variables, construct a causal graph from context, and then reformulates the reasoning task as a structured prompt grounded in this graph. Rather than relying on statistical patterns alone, the LLM is guided by symbolic structure, enabling more interpretable and robust inference. Experimental results show that our method significantly outperforms standard prompting and reasoning baselines on NoisyCausal. Furthermore, it generalizes well to external benchmarks such as Cladder without task-specific tuning. Our findings highlight the importance of combining causal abstractions with language-driven reasoning to achieve faithful and robust causal understanding in LLMs.
The Counterexample Game: Iterated Conceptual Analysis and Repair in Language Models
Conceptual analysis -- proposing definitions and refining them through counterexamples -- is central to philosophical methodology. We study whether language models can perform this task through iterated analysis and repair chains: one model instance generates counterexamples to a proposed definition, another repairs the definition, and the process repeats. Across 20 concepts and thousands of counterexample-repair cycles, we find that, although many LM-generated counterexamples are judged invalid by both expert humans and an LM judge, the LM judge accepts roughly twice as many as humans do. Nonetheless, per-item validity judgments are moderately consistent across humans and between humans and the LM. We further find that extended iteration produces increasingly verbose definitions without improving accuracy. We also see that some concepts resist stable definitions in general. These findings suggest that while LMs can engage in philosophical reasoning, the counterexample-repair loop hits diminishing returns quickly and could be a fruitful test case for evaluating whether LMs can sustain high-level iterated philosophical reasoning.
SERE: Structural Example Retrieval for Enhancing LLMs in Event Causality Identification
Event Causality Identification (ECI) requires models to determine whether a given pair of events in a context exhibits a causal relationship. While Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong performance across various NLP tasks, their effectiveness in ECI remains limited due to biases in causal reasoning, often leading to overprediction of causal relationships (causal hallucination). To mitigate these issues and enhance LLM performance in ECI, we propose SERE, a structural example retrieval framework that leverages LLMs' few-shot learning capabilities. SERE introduces an innovative retrieval mechanism based on three structural concepts: (i) Conceptual Path Metric, which measures the conceptual relationship between events using edit distance in ConceptNet; (ii) Syntactic Metric, which quantifies structural similarity through tree edit distance on syntactic trees; and (iii) Causal Pattern Filtering, which filters examples based on predefined causal structures using LLMs. By integrating these structural retrieval strategies, SERE selects more relevant examples to guide LLMs in causal reasoning, mitigating bias and improving accuracy in ECI tasks. Extensive experiments on multiple ECI datasets validate the effectiveness of SERE. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/DMIRLAB-Group/SERE.
When to Think, When to Speak: Learning Disclosure Policies for LLM Reasoning
In single-stream autoregressive interfaces, the same tokens both update the model state and constitute an irreversible public commitment. This coupling creates a silence tax: additional deliberation postpones the first task-relevant content, while naive early streaming risks premature commitments that bias subsequent generations. We introduce Side-by-Side (SxS) Interleaved Reasoning, which makes disclosure timing a controllable decision within standard autoregressive generation. SxS interleaves partial disclosures with continued private reasoning in the same context, but releases content only when it is supported by the reasoning so far. To learn such pacing without incentivizing filler, we construct entailment-aligned interleaved trajectories by matching answer prefixes to supporting reasoning prefixes, then train with SFT to acquire the dual-action semantics and RL to recover reasoning performance under the new format. Across two Qwen3 architectures/scales (MoE Qwen3-30B-A3B, dense Qwen3-4B) and both in-domain (AIME25) and out-of-domain (GPQA-Diamond) benchmarks, SxS improves accuracy--content-latency Pareto trade-offs under token-level proxies such as inter-update waiting.
Do LLMs have core beliefs?
The rise of Large Language Models (LLMs) has sparked debate about whether these systems exhibit human-level cognition. In this debate, little attention has been paid to a structural component of human cognition: core beliefs, truths that provide a foundation around which we can build a worldview. These commitments usually resist debunking, as abandoning them would represent a fundamental shift in how we see reality. In this paper, we ask whether LLMs hold anything akin to core commitments. Using a probing framework we call Adversarial Dialogue Trees (ADTs) over five domains (science, history, geography, biology, and mathematics), we find that most LLMs fail to maintain a stable worldview. Though some recent models showed improved stability, they still eventually failed to maintain key commitments under conversational pressure. These results document an improvement in argumentative skills across model generations but indicate that all current models lack a key component of human-level cognition.
Measuring AI Reasoning: A Guide for Researchers
In this paper, we offer a guide for researchers on evaluating reasoning in language models, building the case that reasoning should be assessed through evidence of adaptive, multi-step search rather than final-answer accuracy alone. Under an evaluation-oriented definition, reasoning requires selecting intermediate steps and halting according to input-dependent conditions, which we formalize as a search-like procedure. We show that single forward passes in scalable architectures are structurally limited in their ability to realize such variable-depth computation, motivating intermediate decoding and externalized reasoning traces as appropriate evaluation interfaces. Central to our argument is that final-answer accuracy alone is an insufficient measure of reasoning, because it provides little ability to diagnose or debug the underlying processes that produce individual solutions in frontier models. We therefore argue for a shift toward process-based evaluation, in which reasoning is assessed through the faithfulness and validity of intermediate reasoning traces as first-class evaluation targets.
The Model Knows, the Decoder Finds: Future Value Guided Particle Power Sampling
A recurring pattern in "reasoning without training" is that base LLMs already assign non-trivial probability mass to correct multi-step solutions; the bottleneck is locating these modes efficiently at inference time. Power sampling provides a principled way to bias decoding toward such modes by targeting p_theta(x)^alpha with alpha > 1, but practical approximations must account for future-dependent correction factors that determine which prefixes remain promising. We introduce Auxiliary Particle Power Sampling (APPS), a blockwise particle algorithm for approximating the sequence-level power target with a bounded population of partial solutions. APPS propagates hypotheses in parallel using proposal-corrected power reweighting and refines their survival through future-value-guided selection at resampling boundaries. This redistributes finite compute across competing prefixes rather than committing to a single unfolding path, while providing a direct scaling knob in the particle count and predictable peak memory. We instantiate the future-value signal with short-horizon rollouts and also study an amortized variant that replaces rollouts with a lightweight learned selection head. AMore broadly, APPS improves the accuracy--runtime trade-off of training-free decoding, further supporting the view that inference-time power approximation can recover gains often attributed to post-training.
The Reasoning Trap: An Information-Theoretic Bound on Closed-System Multi-Step LLM Reasoning
When copies of the same language model are prompted to debate, they produce diverse phrasings of one perspective rather than diverse perspectives. Multi-agent debate (MAD), and more broadly closed-system reasoning where agents iteratively transform each other's outputs, tends to preserve answer accuracy while degrading the reasoning behind those answers. We name the multi-agent case the Debate Trap and the broader phenomenon the Reasoning Trap, offering a programmatic theory of evidence-grounded reasoning failure.The framework has three parts: (i) SFS (Supported Faithfulness Score), a claim-level metric verifying decomposed atomic claims against provided evidence (decomposer-invariant rankings: Spearman rho=1.0); (ii) EGSR (Evidence-Grounded Socratic Reasoning), replacing adversarial argumentation with evidence-grounded inquiry; (iii) Theorem 1 (DPI Bound): under standard MAD, the chain E -> O^0 -> O^1 -> ... is Markov, and the Data Processing Inequality implies E[I(E;O^{t+1})] <= E[I(E;O^t)]. Three companion results -- open-system recovery (Theorem 2), EGSR accumulation (Lemma 2), and vote-aggregation floor (Proposition 1) -- partition multi-step LLM reasoning by its information-theoretic relationship to E. Across 16 conditions on SciFact (300 claims) and FEVER (1,000 claims), DebateCV (C13) preserves 88% of baseline accuracy while SFS drops 43%; majority-vote MAD (C15) reduces SFS to 1.7% of baseline (p < 10^{-6}, d = -0.96); EGSR recovers 98%. An R6 cohort study (Korean n=10x30 FEVER; English n=3x200 SciFact) finds inter-rater Fleiss kappa <= +0.018 with 0.8-1.4 Likert intra-rater shifts across language and domain -- the human agreement that faithfulness metrics have been calibrated against is not itself stable. We offer one falsifiable conjecture: any closed-system reasoning protocol preserving Theorem 1's Markov structure is, in expectation, subject to the same DPI bound.
Evaluating LLMs on Large-Scale Graph Property Estimation via Random Walks
With the rapidly improving reasoning abilities of Large Language Models (LLMs), there is also a rising demand to use them in a wide variety of domains. This brings about the need to carefully evaluate the limits of the capabilities of these models with various tests and benchmarks. Graph structures are ubiquitous in real-world data, and are often used to represent and analyze relationship patterns within data. Many benchmarks have already been proposed in the graph literature to test the reasoning ability of LLMs to follow and execute graph algorithms. However, due to the limited context length of LLMs, these benchmarks consist of very small graphs. In real-world data, the size of graphs can be significantly larger, and in many cases, not fully accessible. In this paper, we examine a class of problems that arises with very large graphs having limited accessibility. We propose a large graph benchmark dataset, EstGraph, and introduce four distinct tasks designed to estimate large graph properties. We evaluate the reasoning abilities of LLMs on these tasks using a wide variety of graph datasets. In addition, we provide task-specific prompt constructions based on random walk sampling of large graphs (up to millions of nodes) that effectively convey sufficient information to LLMs within the limits of context length.
Verbal-R3: Verbal Reranker as the Missing Bridge between Retrieval and Reasoning
The conventional Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) paradigm of injecting raw retrieved texts into the Large Language Model (LLM)'s context often results in suboptimal integration of retrieved information. This paper proposes to bridge retrieval results and the LLM's reasoning ability through Verbal Annotations, analytic narratives that explicitly articulate the logical connection between a search query and retrieved contexts. Our empirical investigation reveals the potential of Verbal Annotations to substantially enhance the LLM's ability to generate accurate, contextually-grounded responses. Motivated by this finding, we introduce Verbal-R3, a novel agentic RAG framework that consists of a Generator and a Verbal Reranker. The Generator performs iterative retrieval and reasoning, while the Verbal Reranker returns relevance scores and Verbal Annotations to guide the reasoning and answering process of the Generator. The inference process of Verbal-R3 is further refined through relevance-guided test-time scaling, which efficiently allocates test-time compute for effective trajectory expansion. Verbal-R3 achieves state-of-the-art performance on complex Question Answering benchmarks, validating the effectiveness of the proposed framework.
Reasoning emerges from constrained inference manifolds in large language models
Reasoning in large language models is predominantly evaluated through labeled benchmarks, conflating task performance with the quality of internal inference. Here we study reasoning as an intrinsic dynamical process by examining the evolution of internal representations during inference. We find that inference-time dynamics consistently self-organize into low-dimensional manifolds embedded within high-dimensional representation spaces. we find that such geometric compression, although pervasive, is not sufficient for stable or reliable reasoning. Instead, effective reasoning dynamics emerge within a constrained structural regime characterized by three conditions: adequate representational expressivity, spontaneous manifold compression, and preservation of non-degenerate information volume within the compressed subspace. Models outside this regime exhibit characteristic pathological inference dynamics. Based on these insights, we introduce a unified, label-free diagnostic computed solely from internal dynamics. These findings suggest that reasoning in LLMs is fundamentally governed by geometric and informational constraints, offering a complementary framework to benchmark-centric assessment.
When Less is Enough: Efficient Inference via Collaborative Reasoning
In this work, we introduce DUET (Dual-model Efficient Two-stage inference), a collaborative inference framework in which a capable model and a lightweight model work together to solve a task. Relying on a single large model to perform end-to-end reasoning and prediction often incurs substantial inference cost. In contrast, DUET decomposes inference into two stages: the capable model produces a reasoning signal, and the lightweight model interprets this signal to generate the final answer, allowing reasoning-intensive computation to be handled by the capable model while non-reasoning-intensive components are delegated to the lightweight model without sacrificing task performance. To achieve this objective, we propose a length-penalized joint training objective that encourages the capable model to transmit only the information that is sufficient for the lightweight model to solve the task. As a result, DUET maintains strong reasoning performance with substantially lower inference cost than end-to-end inference using a large model alone, saving up to 60% of the large model's output tokens on challenging reasoning benchmarks, including AIME and GPQA.
When LLMs Stop Following Steps: A Diagnostic Study of Procedural Execution in Language Models
Large language models (LLMs) often achieve strong performance on reasoning benchmarks, but final-answer accuracy alone does not show whether they faithfully execute the procedure specified in a prompt. We introduce a controlled diagnostic benchmark for procedural execution, where models are given a step-wise arithmetic procedure and two numeric inputs, and must return the final computed value. Complexity is varied through procedure length and look-back dependencies over intermediate variables. Average first-answer accuracy drops from 63% on 5-step procedures to 20% on 95-step procedures. Generation-level analysis shows that failures often involve missing answers, premature answers, self-correction after an initial error and under-executed traces. These findings suggest that apparent reasoning ability can mask substantial weaknesses in faithful long-horizon procedural execution.
Decouple before Integration: Test-time Synthesis of SFT and RLVR Task Vectors
SFT and RLVR represent two fundamental yet distinct paradigms for LLM post-training, each excelling in distinct dimensions. SFT expands knowledge breadth while RLVR enhances reasoning depth. Yet integrating these complementary strengths remains a formidable challenge. Sequential training can cause catastrophic forgetting, and joint optimization often suffers from severe gradient conflicts. We analyze SFT and RLVR through the lens of task vectors and reveal three structural properties behind these failures: a 30* magnitude disparity, 45* sign interference, and heterogeneous module-wise update distributions. These findings show SFT and RLVR are difficult to integrate directly, but they also suggest that the two paradigms modify partly complementary components of the model. Motivated by these observations, we propose Decoupled Test-time Synthesis (DoTS), a post-hoc framework allows SFT and RLVR checkpoints to be trained independently and synthesizes their capabilities only at inference time via task vector arithmetic, without updating model parameters. To reduce interference, DOTS applies selective sparsification with norm-preserving rescaling. It then uses Bayesian optimization on a small set of unlabeled queries to search for combination coefficients on the Pareto frontier of consistency and perplexity. Empirically, \ours matches or exceeds the performance of training-based SFT--RLVR integration methods across multiple mathematical reasoning benchmarks, incurring only 3% of the computational cost. When applied to stronger post-trained checkpoints, DOTS surpasses SOTA models and generalizes to out-of-domain benchmarks without re-tuning. Code is available at https://github.com/chaohaoyuan/DoTS.
Impact of Task Phrasing on Presumptions in Large Language Models
Concerns with the safety and reliability of applying large-language models (LLMs) in unpredictable real-world applications motivate this study, which examines how task phrasing can lead to presumptions in LLMs, making it difficult for them to adapt when the task deviates from these assumptions. We investigated the impact of these presumptions on the performance of LLMs using the iterated prisoner's dilemma as a case study. Our experiments reveal that LLMs are susceptible to presumptions when making decisions even with reasoning steps. However, when the task phrasing was neutral, the models demonstrated logical reasoning without much presumptions. These findings highlight the importance of proper task phrasing to reduce the risk of presumptions in LLMs.
Assert, don't describe: Linguistic features that shift LLM reasoning about animal welfare
Animal-welfare advocates produce a lot of writing, and increasingly that writing trains the language models that millions of people then ask about animal welfare. Using vocabulary-matched stance-contrast probes on a held-out animal-welfare benchmark, we measure how each of ten linguistic features changes Llama-3.2-1B's preference for pro-animal-welfare reasoning when used as fine-tuning data. Eight of the ten features produce statistically significant shifts. Seven move the model toward stronger pro-animal-welfare reasoning: assertive certainty, explicit moral vocabulary, emotion words, evaluative claims, narrative structure, depicted harm severity, and immediate temporal framing. Two move it the other way: hedged language and concrete sensory description both dilute the pro-animal-welfare stance. First-person perspective has no statistically significant effect. The practical recommendation for anyone writing animal-welfare text that may end up in LLM training corpora: assert a position rather than describe a scene neutrally. The features that shift the model are the ones that make the writer's position explicit; the features that dilute it hold animal-welfare content but withhold stance.
Retrieval-Augmented Reasoning for Chartered Accountancy
The inception of Large Language Models (LLMs) has catalyzed AI adoption in the finance sector, yet their reliability in complex, jurisdiction-specific tasks like Indian Chartered Accountancy (CA) remains limited. The models display difficulty in executing numerical tasks which require multiple steps while also needing advanced knowledge about legal regulations and the method of scaling their operations is not feasible in settings which have limited access to resources. We present CA-ThinkFlow as a parameter-efficient Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) framework which operates with a 14B, 4-bit-quantized reasoning model, 14B-DeepSeek-R1, and a layout-aware Docling extraction system which maintains document structure during extraction. CA-ThinkFlow uses a basic RAG method which automatically adds retrieved information into the prompt, while it depends on the model's built-in Chain-of-Thought (CoT) functions to create context and produce correct answers. The system we developed system operates at performance levels which match large proprietary models when we tested it on the multi-level CA-Ben benchmark, achieving Scholastic Reliability Coefficient (SRC) results which equal 68.75% of GPT-4o and Claude 3.5 Sonnet. The framework shows high efficiency and strength in handling parameters, but essential reasoning abilities fail to process complex regulatory texts which exist in fields such as Taxation.