Multivariate Telemetry Data

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Period ending 2026-09-21

2 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Multivariate Telemetry Data.

Period ending 2026-09-14

2 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Multivariate Telemetry Data.

35 papers

Latest in Multivariate Telemetry Data

Sep 20, 2026cs.LG

Collaborative Streaming Anomaly Detection with Interactive Explanations and Ensemble Consensus

We present a collaborative streaming anomaly detection system for high-speed data streams that explicitly integrates human analysts into the decision loop. The system combines heterogeneous detectors and aggregates their outputs through a normalization-based weighted consensus, complemented by artifact-aware rules to stabilize anomaly scoring under deployment. To improve interpretability, it derives surrogate models that approximate the ensemble consensus and expose human-readable sensor conditions associated with anomalous behavior. Analysts can actively intervene by reviewing anomaly episodes, adjusting consensus behavior, and refining surrogate rules used for anomaly prediction, producing a human-adjusted ensemble. We evaluate the approach on an industrial stream with 260,000 events and 3 anomalous episodes, showing robust detection and actionable human-AI interaction.
Diogo Risca, Afonso Lourenço, Ricardo Martins +1
Sep 17, 2026cs.CL

Semantic Layer Induction from Raw Telemetry via Hierarchical LLM and RAG Abstraction

Modern applications generate massive volumes of raw telemetry data, but translating those noisy, heterogeneous event streams into actionable business insights remains a fundamental challenge. Data engineers and analysts expend substantial effort reconciling semantic discrepancies, hand-crafting parsing logics, and maintaining fragile mappings between raw data and business KPIs. In this paper, we present an end-to-end framework that fully automates the construction of a business semantic layer from application raw logs. Our approach introduces a two-stage semantic abstraction: first, high-level business features are identified via LLM inference augmented with domain-specific industry knowledge; second, fine-grained business nodes are derived through a structured pipeline comprising data refinement, hybrid retrieval, multi-stage filtering, semantic clustering, and canonical naming. Evaluation on production-scale telemetry demonstrates that our system improves human-assessed semantic quality from 50 to 80+ on a 100-point scale, reduces maintenance effort by 80%, filters out 74% of noise, and achieves 0.87 Cohen's kappa via an integrated LLM-as-Judge evaluation, enabling continuous, scalable quality assurance. Overall, our work distinguishes itself from prior work by addressing the novel problem of business semantic layer induction from raw telemetry, operating without labeled training data or manual rule engineering.
Yuanzhe Jia, Ali Anaissi
Sep 14, 2026cs.CR

A Graph-Based Approach for Mapping Kernel-Level Telemetry to MITRE ATT&CK

Mapping observed system behavior to standardized frameworks like MITRE ATT&CK is essential for threat-informed defense, but remains largely manual. Existing automated methods depend on Cyber Threat Intelligence reports, which offer only retrospective accounts of attacks. Low-level telemetry, i.e. kernel-level system calls, instead provides evidence of adversary behavior, yet its volume and complexity have limited its use for automated mapping. We present a methodology that collects kernel-level events via eBPF, correlates attacker commands into a provenance graph, and derives compact graph representations suitable for LLM-based reasoning. These representations are mapped to the MITRE ATT&CK framework using both pure LLM prompting and retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) grounded in the ATT&CK knowledge base, producing ranked technique candidates along with supporting rationales. We implement this methodology as an end-to-end pipeline, named Trace2ATT&CK and evaluate it on 347 Linux Atomic Red Team tests using locally deployed open-weights LLMs. RAG consistently improves ATT&CK mapping performance over pure prompting, while provenance graph substantially outperforms raw telemetry. These results show that local inference over graph-based behavioral descriptions can make automated ATT&CK mapping from kernel-level telemetry operationally viable, without compromising data confidentiality.
Matteo Lupinacci, Luigi Arena, Francesco Blefari +1
Sep 9, 2026cs.LG

Structure-Aware Unsupervised Anomaly Detection for Spacecraft Telemetry with Adaptive EVT Thresholding

Operational anomaly detection in spacecraft telemetry typically requires labeled historical anomalies or extended warm-up periods. These requirements are rarely met in practice. We propose an unsupervised, deployment-ready framework that produces predictions from the second month of operation without any labels, prior fault knowledge, or mission-specific tuning. The approach combines incremental monthly retraining, statistical model selection, and adaptive Extreme Value Theory (EVT) thresholding for false alarm control. On the ESA Anomalies Dataset (ESA-AD), it achieves F0.5=0.700F_{0.5}=0.700 on Mission1 and F0.5=0.698F_{0.5}=0.698 on Mission2 under strict chronological evaluation.
Óscar Alcarria, Rafael Sánchez, Javier Sempere +5
Sep 8, 2026cs.RO

Seeing is Not Believing: Breaking the Physical-to-Digital Trust Boundary in Robotics

In multi-robot collaboration, task handovers rely on downstream verifiers performing remote attestation, which inspects sensor telemetry to ensure a robot's physical behavior strictly matches its assigned task. But can this telemetry be trusted? We show that it often cannot. In this paper, we uncover a severe vulnerability in Robot Operating System (ROS) 2: by modifying a single environment variable, an adversary can execute a pre-built hook to covertly intercept and inject both telemetry and control signals before they are published. Consequently, adversaries can hijack a robot to perform dangerous tasks while spoofing downstream verifiers with synthesized fake telemetry. Worse still, by exploiting the widespread reliance on third-party Docker containers and auxiliary tools, attackers can distribute compromised packages embedded with these malicious hooks to launch such attacks easily. On a physical Franka Emika robotic arm running Secure ROS 2, our attack injects fabricated telemetry in real time with only around 3 ms of jitter, preserving temporal synchronization and hardware integrity while achieving an 87% success rate even against an AI-based detector. We have responsibly disclosed these findings to the ROS 2 development team. We prepared a demo video available at https://youtu.be/ExeiGqUrnhQ.
Leming Shen, Shikai Geng, Yuanqing Zheng +1
Aug 8, 2026cs.AI

TelemetrySuffBench: Is Agent Telemetry Sufficient for Failure-Origin Diagnosis?

Agent systems increasingly expose execution traces, yet telemetry that reveals a failure may still be inadequate for identifying where that failure originated. We introduce TelemetrySuffBench, a controlled benchmark that separates failure detection, fault-origin localization, and safe abstention under insufficient evidence. The benchmark constructs canonical multi-component traces with delayed-binding faults and renders them as paired coarse views, seven-factor telemetry masks, and exact-equal ambiguous origin pairs. We evaluate five frontier language models using unified protocols, explicit candidate sets, invalid-output accounting, subgroup analyses, and a frozen blind holdout. With full telemetry, origin-step Top-1 accuracy ranges from 33.8% to 97.2% across models. Metadata, OpenTelemetry-compatible, and OpenInference-compatible views retain 99.5% to 100% detection F1 while limiting origin-step accuracy to at most 0.5%, exposing a robust detection-localization gap. Factor ablations further show that removing decision content reduces origin-step accuracy to zero for every model, while provenance removal also causes large model-dependent losses. On rich ambiguous inputs that require abstention, evidence gating reduces unsupported unique-origin answers by 12.5 to 48.6 percentage points for three models, whereas two models still answer every case, revealing strong model dependence in safe abstention. Results on the frozen holdout reproduce the central pattern within the same generator family. These findings show that terminal status can support detection, whereas reliable causal attribution requires explicit decision-to-provenance links and abstention safeguards that remain effective across models. The dataset and benchmark implementation are available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/TelemetrySuffBench-E635/README.md.
Yuxuan Zhu, Peng Pu
Aug 7, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Foundation Models: Dimension-Aware Neural Architecture Search with Small-Data Representation Models for Cryocooler Lifetime Prediction

Large-scale pretrained time-series models achieve strong results through large-scale pretraining and task-agnostic representation learning, but they rely on abundant, diverse data that industrial and scientific domains often lack. We therefore propose the FSD-RM (Family of Small-Data Representation Models) paradigm as a practical alternative for limited, domain-specific telemetry. Rather than relying on large-scale pretraining, we focus on capacity-controlled representation learning using established encoder architectures (CNN1D, LSTM, GRU, Transformer), selected for their suitability in small-data settings and interpretability. These encoders are trained unsupervised on multivariate telemetry data and integrated into a two-stage pipeline for downstream lifetime prediction. To systematically examine architectural trade-offs under data constraints, we employ \textbf{dimension-aware neural architecture search (NAS)} to jointly optimize model capacity and input dimensionality. Experiments on cryocooler telemetry show that the proposed approach achieves competitive predictive performance while reducing training cost and model complexity. The contribution lies in combining established representation learning techniques within a coherent, NAS-driven framework tailored to small-data regimes, with explicitly defined parameter settings and design choices. The results indicate that effective representation learning can be achieved without large-scale pretraining when appropriate inductive bias and capacity control are applied.
Gregor Molan, Grafika Jati, Francesco Barchi +3
Aug 4, 2026cs.CL

Predicting Deep Neural Network Training Outcomes from Early Training Telemetry

Large hyperparameter sweeps for deep neural networks spend substantial compute on configurations that are effectively doomed from the first few epochs. We study whether a single training run's own early telemetry - per-epoch loss, training accuracy, gradient signal-to-noise ratio, weight-norm growth, and an activation-saturation snapshot - together with its sampled hyperparameters, can predict that run's eventual outcome without reference to other runs. We evaluate three prediction tasks: final test accuracy, relative performance within a domain, and training-dynamics failure, including numerical divergence. Across 23,788 training runs spanning six architecture/dataset combinations, gradient-boosted trees using only the first five epochs of telemetry achieve R^2 = 0.92-0.99 for final-accuracy regression and ROC-AUC = 0.983-0.998 for relative classification on a permanently held-out set of hyperparameter configurations. Useful prediction is already available after a single epoch. A paired ablation shows that gradient- and weight-level telemetry provides a statistically consistent improvement over loss and accuracy curves alone, although the practical gain varies by domain. Transfer is strong between similar architectures, while cross-dataset transfer is limited mainly by differences in accuracy scale rather than loss of the underlying relationship. These results suggest that early-training telemetry can provide a practical decision-support signal for compute allocation while motivating human oversight for any automated intervention.
Ranjita Naik, Anh D. Nguyen, Pankaj Kumar Singh
Aug 3, 2026cs.NI

CENTILE: A Telemetry Foundation Model Evaluated by the Decisions It Drives

Modern computing and networking infrastructure emits telemetry continuously, yet operators convert it into decisions with a separate predictor per task, entity, and horizon. One generative model, pretrained once over an operator's own event streams, could replace this fleet, an approach that already scales to high-cardinality streams in recommendation systems. However, point-forecast error on operational telemetry saturates near simple last-value baselines, so lower error alone need not improve the decisions it feeds. To close this gap, we present \sys, a generative foundation model for network and systems telemetry, evaluated by replaying the decisions its calibrated conditional quantiles drive. \sys treats heterogeneous telemetry as event-driven, irregularly timed entity streams and serves flexible forecast horizons in a single pass, requiring no future timestamps. To our knowledge, \sys is the first pretrained telemetry model to improve both HPC scheduling and network provisioning decisions under replay, its runtime estimator transferring zero-shot across months and its pretrained weights across domains from hours of target data. Extensive experiments on HPC job logs and network traffic confirm that \sys lowers the mean bounded slowdown of backfilling by up to approximately 77%77\% over deployed user estimates and roughly halves the deployed rule's violation rate. Our code is available at https://github.com/ZzZTripleZzZ/all-in-one.
Zifan Zhang, Zhichao Hou, Tingxiang Ji +1
Jul 27, 2026cs.CR

Agentic Cloud Decoys: A Deception-Driven Framework for Autonomous Intrusion Investigation

Cloud telemetry arrives at a scale that, paradoxically, makes intrusion understanding harder rather than easier. Attackers operate through legitimate identity, federated session tokens, and cloud native APIs indistinguishable from routine administration, and analysts spend an incident reconstructing context the logs already contain. We present Cloud Decoy AI Agent, a framework pairing a high fidelity cloud decoy with an autonomous language model agent that compresses the path from suspicious activity to an analyst ready report. Connecting a decoy to an agent is not a wiring exercise. The unit of investigation is the session rather than the event, and the session key is obscured by the identity layering federated credentials introduce. The agent's evidence horizon must be bounded, since an agent free to query full control plane history inherits the cost and false positive profile deception was meant to remove. And cloud telemetry is partly adversary authored, since object keys and user agent strings are attacker chosen values providers record verbatim, which makes any log to prompt path an indirect prompt injection channel that a decoy widens rather than narrows. We address the first two with a session aggregation operator over a pivot tuple drawn only from provider derived fields, and with dynamic prompt generation, a two stage prompt assembly enforcing a grounding invariant by carrying only fields the agent observed. We identify the third as an unaddressed exposure in this class of system, specify the mitigation it requires, and note our prototype does not implement it. Across ten controlled AWS S3 scenarios, nine were reconstructed completely, no report contained an assertion untraceable to an observed artifact, and latency was four to five minutes. We also state what this evaluation does not establish and name the comparisons that would settle it.
Mohan Manivannan, Dalal Alharthi
Jul 24, 2026cs.NI

Invariant Discovery for Networked Systems

Invariants, the relations expected to hold among measured signals of a network, underpin applications from verification to traffic generation, telemetry imputation, and input validation, yet writing them by hand demands rare expertise in both formal logic and networking. Automatic miners can help but fall short on two fronts: they still require the hardest input (the grammar of admissible invariants) and they learn only exact, hard'' rules, struggling with real-world approximation caused by inherent noise in data. LLMs are tools that can provide semantic reasoning over data, but are non-deterministic and opaque in their learning. Our key idea is to partition the invariant search problem into an AI-driven grammar discovery'' problem, followed by a statistics-driven ``search'' problem within the learned grammar. Taken together, this allows non-deterministic, hallucination-prone AI to help produce auditable invariants with formal guarantees. We design and implement such a system, Autogram, and evaluate it on both public and production telemetry data, recovering expert-derived invariants with high coverage and low false positives. We close with discussion on open problems on the path toward fully open-ended discovery.
Hongyu Hè, Alexander Krentsel, Sylvia Ratnasamy +1
Jul 20, 2026cs.NI

ClouDens: Operational Context-Aware Anomaly Detection for Large-scale Cloud System Monitoring

With the rapid growth of cloud computing infrastructures in scale and complexity, network monitoring for Large-scale Cloud Systems (LCSs) has become increasingly challenging, requiring automated and reliable anomaly detection to maintain service availability. Modern LCSs continuously generate telemetry logs from distributed cloud services, producing high-dimensional multivariate time series that capture system operations. Detecting anomalies in this context is difficult due to extreme dimensionality, complex dependencies among distributed components, and severe sparsity from intermittently active services. Taking these challenges into account, we first conduct an empirical study on telemetry logs from the IBM Cloud Console platform, and then propose ClouDens, an anomaly detection framework tailored to LCS monitoring that leverages operational-context attributes encoded in the telemetry log schema to improve detection accuracy and early identification of anomalies. ClouDens partitions high-dimensional telemetry logs into domain-guided subsets, constructs a context-aware graph modeling operational service dependencies, and employs Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks for forecasting-based anomaly detection. We evaluate ClouDens on the recently released IBM Cloud Telemetry Dataset and provide practical insights into designing reliable anomaly detection solutions for LCS monitoring. Results show ClouDens achieves higher NAB scores in count-based telemetry features, indicating more accurate, earlier anomaly detection with broader coverage than a GRU-based model. Our study further reveals that telemetry feature subsets, operational-context modeling, scoring strategies, and sparsity imputation all substantially influence detection performance, offering practical guidance for designing and fairly benchmarking anomaly detection approaches for LCS monitoring.
Thu T. H. Doan, Mohammad Saiful Islam, Andriy Miranskyy +3
Jul 15, 2026cs.AI

How Far Can Root Cause Analysis Go on Real-World Telemetry Data?

Identifying root causes in production microservice failures requires reasoning over large-scale, multimodal telemetry spanning metrics, logs, and traces, a problem that has proved resistant to both classical and LLM-based approaches. The OpenRCA dataset exemplifies these challenges: it is large-scale, multimodal, and lacks detailed domain knowledge, and yields consistently low accuracy across all existing methods. We show that classical causal discovery methods and existing LLM-based multi-agent systems fail to reliably identify root causes on this benchmark, and present a Structured Multi-Agent RCA pipeline that substantially outperforms existing LLM-based and classical baselines, supporting both domain-knowledge and knowledge-free operating modes. To diagnose where failures originate, we introduce a reverse reasoning agent that, given the correct answer, identifies which signals in the extracted anomalies support it and determines whether Stage~1 had access to those signals, classifying each failure as Reasoning Gap (evidence present but unused) or Data Ambiguity (evidence genuinely absent). This analysis reveals that the required evidence is present in the vast majority of failures: the bottleneck is not data access but the agent's ability to reason over it correctly. We further introduce an automated rule mining pipeline that systematically extracts discrimination rules from reverse reasoning reports, reducing reliance on manual knowledge curation. Across all configurations, model reasoning capability and domain knowledge are the primary constraints: stronger models embed more domain expertise, and explicit knowledge injection partially compensates for this gap. Reasoning performance remains practically bounded even when evidence extraction is perfect: scaffold engineering and better data pipelines alone cannot close this gap; progress requires improvements at the model level.
Athira Gopal, Ashwanth Krishnan
Jul 5, 2026physics.plasm-ph

Benchmarking Sensor Robustness in Plasma Diagnostic Models: A Systematic Evaluation on TokaMark

Plasma diagnostic models for tokamak fusion devices are almost universally evaluated on clean, complete sensor data. In practice, fusion diagnostics fail regularly: acquisition systems start late, individual sensors die, and signal dropouts cluster precisely when a plasma disruption is approaching. We present the first systematic robustness benchmark for plasma diagnostic ML using the TokaMark dataset of 11,573 MAST shots, evaluating XGBoost, LSTM, Transformer, and the TokaMark CNN baseline across six physically-grounded failure scenarios and three imputation strategies. We introduce the Robustness Score (RS) for standardized cross-architecture comparison. Our central finding is that disruption-proximate sensor failure (corruption injected in the final window timesteps) collapses sequence model performance (LSTM +212% NRMSE) while a statistical feature model remains comparatively stable (XGBoost +37%). Forward-fill imputation eliminates nearly all degradation from random dropout for sequence models (LSTM +57% to ~0%), but offers little help when the end of the window is corrupted. Shot-level alarm evaluation using ground-truth disruption timestamps reveals that LSTM alarm detection collapses to TPR=0.00 under proximate sensor failure, while mean-fill imputation recovers it to TPR=1.00, a reversal of the pattern observed in NRMSE. Plasma current emerges as the single most critical diagnostic across all architectures (+73% to +140% upon removal). Code, data, and trained checkpoints are available at https://github.com/Neerav-Gupta/tokamark-robustness.
Neerav Gupta
Jul 2, 2026cs.AI

Traceable Fault Diagnosis for Battery Energy Storage Systems via Retrieval-Augmented Multi-Agent O&M Assistant

Large-scale battery energy storage systems (BESSs) require O&M decisions that combine alarms, cell-level measurements, device topology, diagnostic tables, historical cases, and maintenance documents. Monitoring platforms can flag threshold violations, but they often cannot explain whether voltage inconsistency, resistance drift, short-circuit risk, capacity divergence, or thermal abnormality needs intervention. This digest presents a traceable BESS fault-diagnosis assistant that uses retrieval-augmented multi-agent reasoning to connect operational data, domain knowledge, visual evidence, and report generation. Reliability is improved through BESS-specific task routing, schema-constrained natural-language database access, hybrid text-image retrieval, and evidence-based answer synthesis. Preliminary internal evaluation is reported for routing, database access, and diagnostic reasoning.
Jiangdi Ru, Bing Li, Yage Huang +2
Jun 27, 2026cs.LG

An Integrated Machine Learning and Hierarchical Variance Decomposition Pipeline for Student Performance Prediction and Metacognitive Calibration on Multi-Signal Telemetry

Predicting student performance and characterizing metacognitive calibration are essential for personalization in intelligent tutoring systems. Prior research treats performance prediction, calibration error calculation, and variance decomposition as separate pipelines, preventing unified interpretation. I propose the Unified Behavioral Prediction and Calibration Analysis Pipeline (UBP-CAP), an integrated framework processing student pre-execution behavioral telemetry through three linked modules: (1) a LightGBM classifier with SHAP for binary correctness prediction, (2) formal calibration metrics (ECE, MCE, and Brier score decomposition) to evaluate metacognitive alignment, and (3) a crossed Generalized Linear Mixed-Effects Model (GLMM) for decomposing calibration deviations. I introduce the Predictive-Explanatory Divergence Index (PEDI), which quantifies structural divergence between predictive and explanatory feature profiles. Evaluated on 1,195 interaction records (27 students, 45 tasks), Logistic Regression achieves AUC-ROC = 0.903, outperforming LightGBM (0.878). Student naive ECE (0.109) significantly exceeds model ECE (0.068), confirming systematic miscalibration. The crossed GLMM yields ICCStudent = 0.123, showing calibration is situational rather than dispositional. PEDIcos = 0.081 (p = 0.327) indicates structural alignment between prediction and explanation on shared behavioral features.
Gurdeep Singh Virdee
Jun 19, 2026cs.CL

CalVerT: Augmenting Agents with Calibrated Verifier Telemetry Improves Action and Learning in Knowledge-Intensive Tasks

LLM agents in knowledge intensive question answering take retrieval and reasoning actions with incomplete knowledge about whether their current answer is uncertain, unsupported, or already complete. This produces two failure modes: committing to confident but unsupported answers, which hurts accuracy, and over-retrieving when the evidence in hand already suffices, resulting in wasted compute. To give agents a more complete picture of the state space they are operating in, we introduce calibrated verifier telemetry (CalVerT), which augments the agent's state with additional telemetry: a calibrated self-confidence score and a grounding verifier score. We show that CalVerT can improve agents in both training-free and training-based settings. On four QA benchmarks, we find that CalVerT raises F1 by triggering retrieval in cases where agents over-rely on parametric knowledge, while cutting redundant retrieval in cases where agents have sufficient context to answer. We show that CalVerT can augment existing QA frameworks without training. Moreover, CalVerT also improves trained systems: by simply augmenting an agent's state with telemetry, we observe improvements after reinforcement learning, as compared to an agent with identical training but no CalVerT telemetry.
Ashwin Vinod, Ying Ding, Elias Stengel-Eskin
Jun 17, 2026cs.LG

Detecting Hidden ML Training With Zero-Overhead Telemetry

Hardware-enabled monitoring of GPU workloads underpins many proposals for AI compute governance, but if developers can defeat monitoring mechanisms, such schemes are unworkable. We evaluate the adversarial robustness of GPU workload classification using only zero-overhead, privacy-preserving NVML telemetry: content-agnostic signals that observe physical effects of computation without accessing model weights, training data, or hyperparameters. Across 5 rounds of monitor-evader iteration, we evaluate 20 evasion strategy families on 9 GPU models spanning 4 architecture generations. We develop a classifier that achieves 98.2% binary accuracy at identifying training workloads across the whole corpus, and 43-87% accuracy against the most challenging unexpected workloads even when they are adversarially disguised.
Robi Rahman, Sabiha Tajdari
Jun 16, 2026cs.SE

Execution-bound advisory automation for agentic AI: a reproducible AIBOM-driven CSAF-VEX framework

A protocol driven framework is presented that binds SBOM and AIBOM artefacts to deterministic environment capture and structured runtime telemetry. Exploitability is computed from declared artefacts, observed activation conditions, and enforced execution policies. CSAF VEX advisories are generated from combined static and runtime evidence, cryptographically signed, and validated through deterministic replay. Evaluation uses approximately 10000 component entries across synthetic Agentic AI workloads 50 to 5000 components, incorporating OSV, GitHub Advisory, KEV, and EPSS datasets.
Petar Radanliev, Omar Santos, Carsten Maple +1
Jun 10, 2026cs.CR

Amnesia: A Stealthy Replay Attack on Continual Learning Dreams

Continual learning (CL) models often use experience replay to reduce catastrophic forgetting, but their robustness to replay sampling interference remains underexplored. Existing CL attacks alter inputs or training pipelines (poisoning/backdoors) and rarely include explicit auditable constraints, limiting realism. Here, auditability means a monitor can verify compliance from sampler-visible telemetry - e.g., logged replay index/label statistics - by checking that the realized replay class histogram stays close to a nominal baseline and that replay rate is unchanged per batch and/or over a rolling window. We study a limited-privilege insider who controls only replay index selection, not pixels, labels, or model parameters, while staying within auditable limits such as queue priorities. We introduce Amnesia, a replay composition attack that maximizes degradation under two budgets: a visibility budget delta bounding the TV/KL divergence from a nominal class histogram p0, and a mass budget f fixing the replay rate. Amnesia has two steps: (i) compute lightweight class utilities, such as EMA loss or confidence, to tilt p0 toward harmful classes; and (ii) project the tilt back into the delta-ball using efficient KL (exponential tilt) or TV (balanced mass redistribution) optimizers. A windowed scheduler enforces rolling audits. Across challenging CL benchmarks and strong replay baselines, Amnesia consistently lowers final accuracy (ACC) and worsens backward transfer (-BWT). The KL variant delivers high impact while remaining largely undetected under multiple audit schemes, including per-batch and rolling-window checks. The TV variant is more damaging but easier to detect, especially under tight per-class constraints. These results expose index-only replay control as a practical, auditable threat surface in CL systems and establish a principled impact-visibility trade-off.
Ahmed Sharshar, Naveen Kumar Kummari, Mohsen Guizani
Jun 7, 2026cs.SE

Auditable Graph-Guided Root Cause Analysis for Kubernetes Incidents

Kubernetes incidents are diagnosed reliably only when a root-cause system's reported gains come from incident evidence rather than scenario-specific shortcuts. We present Graph Traversal Agent, a graph-guided RCA agent that combines LLM reasoning with specialized tools. The model reasons over a typed evidence graph, while deterministic graph and tool operations collect evidence, bound the search, and check proposed verdicts. We map operational constraints, including read-only evidence collection, propagation-aware diagnosis, bounded execution, and independently validated verdicts, to a typed incident graph, a LangGraph traversal state machine, and a separate validation stage. On ITBench snapshots scored by one fixed qwen-plus judge, the audited system raises root-cause-entity F1 over an earlier iteration of the same system from 0.6087 to 0.9130 on a 23-scenario common subset. A prompt-level ablation separates prompt-tuned gains from gains that survive once scenario-specific hints are removed: the stripped-prompt configuration retains 0.6958 F1 on a 19-scenario subset. The surviving gain concentrates on ChaosMesh scenarios whose ground-truth root cause is the injected fault object already present in the evidence graph, so we report it as benchmark-coupled rather than broad cross-cluster RCA evidence. Lightweight checks, including same-judge comparison, prompt-level ablation, cascade-source checking, and a telemetry no-leak test, mark claims as supported, pending, or out of scope. We scope the work to ITBench OpenTelemetry-demo snapshots. Live-cluster trials served as an engineering stress test, but alert state and trace availability did not stay stable enough for controlled scoring, so we make no production-readiness or mean-time-to-repair claim.
Anastasiia Kuvshinova, Seungmin Jin
Jun 4, 2026cs.LG

Explainable Runtime Dependency Tracking for AI-RAN Conflict Monitoring

Future AI-integrated Radio Access Networks (AI-RAN) will combine open programmability with learning-enabled xApps, rApps, and control functions that act on shared parameters and key performance indicators (KPIs). For conflict monitoring, it is not enough to know which applications are deployed; the system must also know whether the parameter--KPI dependencies assumed by runtime diagnosis remain valid under the current operating regime. This paper studies a lightweight monitoring primitive for that purpose: tracking an interpretable dependency representation from streaming telemetry events. We represent active dependencies by a Boolean matrix and use Boolean matrix multiplication to check whether recent parameter-activity and KPI-response events are consistent with the current estimate. We propose a sliding-window inference procedure that reuses the estimate when it remains consistent and recomputes it when recent observations indicate structural change. The tracker is intended as an explainable signal for conflict diagnosis and slow-loop model refresh, not as an autonomous mitigation mechanism. Experiments on controlled Boolean event streams show efficient and accurate tracking under dependency changes and Boolean observation noise.
Christie Djidjev, Nicholas Kaminski
Jun 4, 2026cs.NI

DAST: A VLM-LLM Framework for Cross-Interface Anomaly Detection in O-RAN

O-RAN enables a disaggregated baseband stack with programmable functions that communicate over standardized open interfaces. The same openness that enables multi-vendor composition also expands the attack surface across logically decoupled tiers that make up the compute continuum. Among these threats, Denial-of-Service and performance-degradation attacks, which account for the majority of catalogued O-RAN threats, are particularly difficult to detect. Traditional Time-Series Anomaly Detection (TSAD) methods fail in this new regime where labelled baselines are scarce, threats evolve faster than detectors can be retrained, and the high-dimensional multivariate telemetry overwhelms monolithic inference models. To address these challenges, we present DAST, a zero-shot multi-agent framework for cross-interface anomaly detection in O-RAN that chains a three-stage VLM \rightarrow LLM \rightarrow VLM pipeline. DAST converts multivariate KPI streams into visual representations, scores textual per-interface descriptions against O-RAN domain knowledge, and verifies suspects on high-resolution heatmaps to output the problematic interfaces, the anomalous time intervals, an indicative O-RAN WG11-aligned operational impact rating and the decision rationale. We evaluate DAST on real network traces collected from an O-RAN testbed under representative performance degradation scenarios, achieving 0.910 F1-Score and 0.843 Accuracy, outperforming state-of-the-art TSAD baselines.
Francesco Spinelli, Esteban Municio, Pau Baguer +2
May 26, 2026cs.AI

Ultra-Reduced-Impact-Encased-Logging (URIEL): propose a new method for selective sustainable logging and post-harvest silvicultural treatment in tropical forest using airborne robotics systems

Tropical forests worldwide are under intense deforestation pressure driven by economic and political interests, and scientific evidence suggests this deforestation contributes to climate change. This paper proposes a novel logging method for tropical forests, Ultra-Reduced-Impact-Encased-Logging (URIEL). This new method is based on heli-logging techniques combined with intensive use of robotics and AI integrated with post-harvest silvicultural treatments performed by drones. The concept of appropriate equipment for this method was developed, dimensions were determined, details were completed in a digital proof of concept, and an effective digital simulation and economic feasibility analysis were carried out for various helicopter-timber-distance combinations. The results demonstrated that a URIEL method has high economic viability and makes it possible to virtually eliminate collateral damage to forests while maintaining ecosystem services. The main conclusion of this paper is that, despite the satisfactory scientific and technological results, the feasibility of a Uriel method depends on the integration of stakeholders intrinsic to the context: high-tech industry; political governments; certified logging companies; and native populations.
Daniel Albiero, Gelton Fernando de Morais, Daniela Han +11
May 18, 2026cs.AI

Causely: A Causal Intelligence Layer for Enterprise AI A Benchmark Study on SRE and Reliability Workflows

AI agents deployed into SRE workflows currently derive their understanding of environment state from raw observability telemetry at query time, paying a semantic-interpretation tax in tokens, latency, and inferential reliability. We propose Causely, a causal intelligence layer that maintains a structured representation of environment topology, attribute dependencies, and causal relationships that are anchroed to a ontological representation of the managed environment. Causely transforms raw telemetry into a live, queryable model providing the semantic and causal foundation AI agents require to diagnose, evaluate impact, and act safely in production. We evaluate this value proposition through a benchmark study conducted in a controlled setting with injected faults in a 24-microservice OpenTelemetry demo application. Our experiments compare four agent configurations (Claude Code, OpenAI Codex, HolmesGPT with Sonnet and Gemini backends). Experiments are run with and without access to Causely under two scenarios: an active incident and a healthy baseline. On the active-fault scenario, causal grounding reduces mean time-to-diagnosis by 63%, mean token consumption by 60%, and mean tool-call count by 78%, compressing the investigation footprint by 4.8×\times and lowering direct API cost per run by 57%; root-cause-diagnosis accuracy rises from 75% to 100%.
Dhairya Dalal, Endre Sara, Ben Yemini +2
May 17, 2026cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Causal Anomaly Detection for Lithium-Ion Battery Degradation

Reliable early detection of lithium-ion battery degradation requires health indicators that are physically interpretable and computable from routine cycler telemetry without access to the degradation region. We introduce \textsc{CausalHealth}, a framework that applies causal graph discovery and kk-nearest-neighbour transfer entropy to per-cycle voltage, current, temperature, and resistance time series, and organises twelve resulting anomaly scores into three signal-class bundles (Magnitude-shift, Predictive-residual, Complexity-entropy) -- with Isolation Forest reported separately as it falls below the bundle reliability threshold -- to characterise detection sensitivity across ten commissioning fractions (5--30,%). The Magnitude-shift class achieves 100,% detection across all seven tested cells spanning LFP (MIT--Stanford MATR) and LCO (NASA PCoE, CALCE CS2) chemistries, with a lead time of up to 402 cycles before conventional capacity-threshold failure on gradual-fade cells. A Reliability-Weighted Master Health Index (RWMHI) -- a cross-bundle fusion of five high-reliability detectors weighted by inverse coefficient of variation -- improves lead time by 15--52 cycles over the class median on long-lived cells while maintaining 100,% detection. Validation against electrochemical impedance spectroscopy on an NMC prismatic cell provides independent physical grounding: transfer entropy TE(R ⁣ ⁣V)\mathrm{TE}(R \!\to\! V) correlates with charge-transfer resistance RctR_{\mathrm{ct}} (pooled r=+0.990r = +0.990; temperature-controlled partial r=+0.898r = +0.898), and an Arrhenius analysis of both quantities yields an activation energy consistent with published NMC charge-transfer kinetics. These results are evaluated on seven cells across three benchmark datasets.
Dieter W. Heermann, Hagen Heermann
May 15, 2026cs.AI

TopoEvo: A Topology-Aware Self-Evolving Multi-Agent Framework for Root Cause Analysis in Microservices

Root cause analysis (RCA) in microservices is challenging due to (i) noisy and heterogeneous multimodal observability (metrics, logs, traces), (ii) cascading failure propagation that amplifies downstream symptoms, and (iii) non-stationary topology drift induced by autoscaling and rolling updates. Recent LLM-based RCA agents can generate tool-grounded explanations, yet they often remain topology-agnostic and suffer from \emph{symptom-amplification bias}, misattributing the root cause to salient downstream victims. We propose \textbf{TopoEvo}, a topology-aware self-evolving multi-agent framework that couples graph representation learning with structured, topology-constrained reasoning. TopoEvo first introduces \emph{Metric-orthogonal Multimodal Alignment} (MOMA), which decomposes metric embeddings into complementary subspaces and contrastively aligns logs and traces to reduce modality redundancy and sparsity, yielding stable node representations for graph encoding. It then applies \emph{Vector Quantization} (VQ) to discretize topology-enhanced states into auditable \emph{symptom tokens} with a symptom lexicon, enabling reliable retrieval and token-level evidence grounding. On top of these discrete topology cues, TopoEvo performs a multi-agent \emph{Hypothesis--Evidence--Test} (HET) workflow to explicitly verify propagation-consistent explanations and separate initiating anomalies from amplified downstream symptoms. Finally, a \emph{Self-Evolving Mechanism} refreshes hierarchical incident memory and performs conservative test-time adaptation with high-confidence pseudo-labels to maintain robustness under drift.
Junle Wang, Xingchuang Liao, Wenjun Wu
May 4, 2026cs.AI

Stable Agentic Control: Tool-Mediated LLM Architecture for Autonomous Cyber Defense

Agentic systems involved in high-stake decision-making under adversarial pressure need formal guarantees not offered by existing approaches. Motivated by the operational needs of security operations centers (SOCs) that must configure endpoint detection and response (EDR) policies under adversarial pressure, we present a tool-mediated architecture: LLM agents use deterministic tools (Stackelberg best-response, Bayesian observer updates, attack-graph primitives) and select from finite action catalogs enforced at the tool-output interface. A composite Lyapunov function machine-checked in Lean 4 with zero sorry certifies controllability, observability from asymmetric sensor data, and Input-to-State Stability (ISS) robustness under intelligent adversarial disturbance, with two corollaries extending the certificate to any controller or adversary from the catalogs. On 282 real enterprise attack graphs, the claims hold with margin. On paired offensive/defensive telemetry, a tool-mediated Claude Sonnet 4 controller reduces the attacker's expected payoff (game value) by 59% relative to a deterministic greedy baseline, with zero variance across 40 runs at four temperatures. A Claude Haiku 4.5 controller converges to suboptimal game values but stays catalog-bounded over an additional 40 runs, demonstrating that architectural stability is not dependent on the controller capability. The LLM agent's non-determinism furthers creative exploration of strategies, while the tool-mediated architecture ensures system stability.
Kerri Prinos, Lilianne Brush, Cameron Denton +5
May 3, 2026cs.CV

Hybrid Visual Telemetry for Bandwidth-Constrained Robotic Vision: A Pilot Study with HEVC Base Video and JPEG ROI Stills

Bandwidth-constrained robotic and surveillance systems often rely on a single compressed video stream to support both continuous scene awareness and downstream machine perception. In practice, this creates a mismatch: low-bitrate video can preserve motion and coarse context, but often loses the fine local detail needed for reliable object recognition and decision-making. Motivated by a hybrid architecture in which low-resolution video supports dynamic scene understanding while eventdriven high-detail regions of interest (ROIs) support close-up identification and analytics, this paper formalizes a two-channel visual telemetry scheme in which a continuous low-bitrate video stream is augmented by selectively transmitted high-detail still ROIs. This first paper does not attempt to prove the superiority of a new still-image codec. Instead, it establishes the hybrid transmission paradigm itself using a practical and reproducible codec stack: x265/HEVC for the base video stream and JPEG stills for ROI refinement. We formulate the problem as bitrate-constrained information selection for robotic vision and define an experimental protocol in which video-only and hybrid schemes are compared under matched total communication budgets. The study is designed around UAV-oriented datasets, two practical bitrate regimes, several ROI triggering policies, and object-level classification refinement on selectively transmitted ROI stills. The resulting paper lays the methodological foundation for a second-stage investigation of JPEG AI as the semantic still-image channel within the same hybrid architecture.
Natalia Trukhina, Vadim Vashkelis
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Hypergraph and Latent ODE Learning for Multimodal Root Cause Localization in Microservices

Root cause localization in cloud native microservice systems requires modeling complex service dependencies, irregular temporal dynamics, and heterogeneous observability data. We present HyperODE RCA, a unified framework that combines hypergraph attention learning, latent ordinary differential equations, and multimodal cross attention fusion for fine grained root cause analysis. The method learns higher order service interactions through differentiable hyperedge construction, captures continuous anomaly evolution from irregular observations with an ODE RNN encoder, and adaptively fuses logs, traces, metrics, entities, and events using context aware modality routing. We further improve robustness with a variational information bottleneck, temporal causal regularization, and invariant risk constraints. Experiments on the Tianchi AIOps benchmark show clear gains over strong baselines in ranking and classification performance, while preserving interpretability through learned hypergraph attention.
Xin Liu, Yuhang He, Sichen Zhao +2
Apr 27, 2026cs.CR

CAN-QA: A Question-Answering Benchmark for Reasoning over In-Vehicle CAN Traffic

The Controller Area Network (CAN) is a safety-critical in-vehicle communication protocol that lacks built-in security mechanisms, making intrusion detection essential. Existing approaches predominantly formulate CAN intrusion detection as a classification task, mapping complex traffic patterns to attack labels. However, this formulation abstracts away the temporal and relational structure of CAN traffic and misaligns with real-world forensic workflows, which require systematic reasoning about traffic behavior. To address this gap, we introduce CAN-QA, the first benchmark that reformulates CAN traffic analysis as a question-answering (QA) task. CAN-QA converts raw CAN logs into temporally segmented windows and applies deterministic rule-based templates to generate natural-language questions paired with automatically derived ground-truth answers. The resulting dataset comprises 33,128 QA pairs across 10 categories, each targeting distinct semantic and temporal properties of CAN traffic. Using CAN-QA, we evaluate large language models across both True/False and multiple-choice formats. Our results indicate that, although these models capture superficial statistical regularities, they struggle with temporal reasoning, multi-condition inference, and higher-level behavioral interpretation. Our code is available at https://github.com/Kriiiiss/CAN-QA.
Jing Chen, Abhijay Deevi, Onat Gungor +1
Apr 22, 2026cs.LG

A Hierarchical Ensemble Pipeline for Anomaly Detection in ESA Satellite Telemetry

A hierarchical ensemble pipeline is introduced to address anomaly detection in multivariate telemetry data provided by European Space Agency (ESA). The method integrates shapelet-based and statistical feature extraction, per-channel modeling, intra-channel stacking, and a final cross-channel aggregation. The pipeline is trained and validated using time-series cross-validation and two-level masking strategies to prevent information leakage. Results on the European Space Agency Anomaly Detection Benchmark (ESA-ADB) challenge demonstrate strong generalization, highlighting the effectiveness of hierarchical modeling in detecting subtle anomalies in realistic satellite telemetry.
Lorenzo Riccardo Allegrini, Geremia Pompei
Apr 21, 2026cs.LG

Do Masked Autoencoders Improve Downhole Prediction? An Empirical Study on Real Well Drilling Data

Downhole drilling telemetry presents a fundamental labeling asymmetry: surface sensor data are generated continuously at 1Hz, while labeled downhole measurements are costly, intermittent, and scarce. Current machine learning approaches for downhole metric prediction universally adopt fully supervised training from scratch, which is poorly suited to this data regime. We present the first empirical evaluation of masked autoencoder (MAE) pretraining for downhole drilling metric prediction. Using two publicly available Utah FORGE geothermal wells comprising approximately 3.5 million timesteps of multivariate drilling telemetry, we conduct a systematic full-factorial design space search across 72 MAE configurations and compare them against supervised LSTM and GRU baselines on the task of predicting Total Mud Volume. Results show that the best MAE configuration reduces test mean absolute error by 19.8% relative to the supervised GRU baseline, while trailing the supervised LSTM baseline by 6.4%. Analysis of design dimensions reveals that latent space width is the dominant architectural choice (Pearson r=0.59r = -0.59 with test MAE), while masking ratio has negligible effect, an unexpected finding attributed to high temporal redundancy in 1Hz drilling data. These results establish MAE pretraining as a viable paradigm for drilling analytics and identify the conditions under which it is most beneficial.
Aleksander Berezowski, Hassan Hassanzadeh, Gouri Ginde
Apr 16, 2026eess.SY

Towards Trustworthy 6G Network Digital Twins: A Framework for Validating Counterfactual What-If Analysis in Edge Computing Resources

Network Digital Twins (NDTs) enable safe what-if analysis for 6G cloud-edge infrastructures, but adoption is often limited by fragmented workflows from telemetry to validation. We present a data-driven NDT framework that extends 6G-TWIN with a scalable pipeline for cloud-edge telemetry aggregation and semantic alignment into unified data models. Our contributions include: (i) scalable cloud-edge telemetry collection, (ii) regime-aware feature engineering capturing the network's scaling behavior, and (iii) a validation methodology based on Sign Agreement and Directional Sensitivity. Evaluated on a Kubernetes-managed cluster, the framework extrapolates performance to unseen high-load regimes. Results show both Deep Neural Network (DNN) and XGBoost achieve high regression accuracy (R2 > 0.99), while the XGBoost model delivers superior directional reliability (Sa > 0.90), making the NDT a trustworthy tool for proactive resource scaling in out-of-distribution scenarios.
Julian Jimenez Agudelo, Paola Soto, Ayat Zaki-Hindi +5
Apr 3, 2026cs.LG

Towards Near-Real-Time Telemetry-Aware Routing with Neural Routing Algorithms

Routing algorithms are crucial for efficient computer network operations, and in many settings they must be able to react to traffic bursts within milliseconds. Live telemetry data can provide informative signals to routing algorithms, and recent work has trained neural networks to exploit such signals for traffic-aware routing. Yet, aggregating network-wide information is subject to communication delays, and existing neural approaches either assume unrealistic delay-free global states, or restrict routers to purely local telemetry. This leaves their deployability in real-world environments unclear. We cast telemetry-aware routing as a delay-aware closed-loop control problem and introduce a framework that trains and evaluates neural routing algorithms, while explicitly modeling communication and inference delays. On top of this framework, we propose LOGGIA, a scalable graph neural routing algorithm that predicts log-space link weights from attributed topology-and-telemetry graphs. It utilizes a data-driven pre-training stage, followed by on-policy Reinforcement Learning. Across synthetic and real network topologies, and unseen mixed TCP/UDP traffic sequences, LOGGIA consistently outperforms shortest-path baselines, whereas neural baselines fail once realistic delays are enforced. Our experiments further suggest that neural routing algorithms like LOGGIA perform best when deployed fully locally, i.e., observing network states and inferring actions at every router individually, as opposed to centralized decision making.
Andreas Boltres, Niklas Freymuth, Benjamin Schichtholz +2