Predictive Maintenance

Ask about this topic

Overview

Predictive maintenance studies how to use sensor readings, operating conditions, and maintenance records to detect faults, track equipment health, and estimate remaining useful life before failure. Common approaches include signal processing and statistical models, machine-learning classifiers, recurrent and Transformer-based sequence models, and physics-informed or survival models; newer work also explores self-supervision, foundation models, and federated learning when labels or shared data are limited. These forecasts can feed maintenance scheduling, risk assessment, and digital-twin or edge-monitoring systems, where uncertainty and decision costs matter alongside predictive accuracy. A central challenge is whether models and benchmarks remain reliable across machines, sites, failure modes, and noisy operating conditions, especially when data are scarce and evaluation protocols can hide leakage or poor calibration.

Latest papers

CardsList

120 papers9 papers in the last four weeks, down 25% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

Apr 11, 2026

A Multi-head Attention Fusion Network for Industrial Prognostics under Discrete Operational Conditions

Complex systems such as aircraft engines, turbines, and industrial machinery often operate under dynamically changing conditions. These varying operating conditions can substantially influence degradation behavior and make prognostic modeling more challenging, as accurate prediction requires explicit consideration of operational effects. To address this issue, this paper proposes a novel multi-head attention-based fusion neural network. The proposed framework explicitly models and integrates three signal components: (1) the monotonic degradation trend, which reflects the underlying deterioration of the system; (2) discrete operating states, identified through clustering and encoded into dense embeddings; and (3) residual random noise, which captures unexplained variation in sensor measurements. The core strength of the framework lies in its architecture, which combines BiLSTM networks with attention mechanisms to better capture complex temporal dependencies. The attention mechanism allows the model to adaptively weight different time steps and sensor signals, improving its ability to extract prognostically relevant information. In addition, a fusion module is designed to integrate the outputs from the degradation-trend branch and the operating-state embeddings, enabling the model to capture their interactions more effectively. The proposed method is validated using a dataset from the NASA repository, and the results demonstrate its effectiveness.

Yuqi Su, Xiaolei Fang

Operations Research Graduate Program, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA. · Edward P. Fitts Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, North Carolina State University, Raleigh, NC, USA.

RUL EstimationPredictive MaintenancePredictive Process Monitoring
AskPDF
Apr 9, 2026

Quantization Impact on the Accuracy and Communication Efficiency Trade-off in Federated Learning for Aerospace Predictive Maintenance

Federated learning (FL) enables privacy-preserving predictive maintenance across distributed aerospace fleets, but gradient communication overhead constrains deployment on bandwidth-limited IoT nodes. This paper investigates the impact of symmetric uniform quantization (b∈{32,8,4,2}b \in \{32,8,4,2\} bits) on the accuracy--efficiency trade-off of a custom-designed lightweight 1-D convolutional model (AeroConv1D, 9,697 parameters) trained via FL on the NASA C-MAPSS benchmark under a realistic Non-IID client partition. Using a rigorous multi-seed evaluation (N=10N=10 seeds), we show that INT4 achieves accuracy statistically indistinguishable from FP32 on both FD001 (p=0.341p=0.341) and FD002 (p=0.264p=0.264 MAE, p=0.534p=0.534 NASA score) while delivering an 8×8\times reduction in gradient communication cost (37.88KiB →\to 4.73KiB per round). A key methodological finding is that naïve IID client partitioning artificially suppresses variance; correct Non-IID evaluation reveals the true operational instability of extreme quantization, demonstrated via a direct empirical IID vs.\ Non-IID comparison. INT2 is empirically characterized as unsuitable: while it achieves lower MAE on FD002 through extreme quantization-induced over-regularization, this apparent gain is accompanied by catastrophic NASA score instability (CV,=,45.8% vs.\ 22.3% for FP32), confirming non-reproducibility under heterogeneous operating conditions. Analytical FPGA resource projections on the Xilinx ZCU102 confirm that INT4 fits within hardware constraints (85.5% DSP utilization), potentially enabling a complete FL pipeline on a single SoC. The full simulation codebase and FPGA estimation scripts are publicly available at https://github.com/therealdeadbeef/aerospace-fl-quantization.

Abdelkarim Loukili

Gradient QuantizationFederated LearningPredictive Maintenance
AskPDF
Apr 9, 2026

A Machine Learning Framework for Turbofan Health Estimation via Inverse Problem Formulation

Estimating the health state of turbofan engines is a challenging ill-posed inverse problem, hindered by sparse sensing and complex nonlinear thermodynamics. Research in this area remains fragmented, with comparisons limited by the use of unrealistic datasets and insufficient exploration of the exploitation of temporal information. This work investigates how to recover component-level health indicators from operational sensor data under realistic degradation and maintenance patterns. To support this study, we introduce a new dataset that incorporates industry-oriented complexities such as maintenance events and usage changes. Using this dataset, we establish an initial benchmark that compares steady-state and nonstationary data-driven models, and Bayesian filters, classic families of methods used to solve this problem. In addition to this benchmark, we introduce self-supervised learning (SSL) approaches that learn latent representations without access to true health labels, a scenario reflective of real-world operational constraints. By comparing the downstream estimation performance of these unsupervised representations against the direct prediction baselines, we establish a practical lower bound on the difficulty of solving this inverse problem. Our results reveal that traditional filters remain strong baselines, while SSL methods reveal the intrinsic complexity of health estimation and highlight the need for more advanced and interpretable inference strategies. For reproducibility, both the generated dataset and the implementation used in this work are made accessible.

Milad Leyli-Abadi, Lucas Thil, Sebastien Razakarivony +2

Institut de recherche technologique SystemX, Palaiseau, France · École Polytechnique, LIX, Palaiseau, France · Safran Tech, Magny-les-Hameaux, France

Predictive MaintenanceBayesian Inverse ProblemsBayesian Filtering
AskPDF
Apr 8, 2026

Smart Commander: A Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning Framework for Fleet-Level PHM Decision Optimization

Decision-making in military aviation Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) faces significant challenges due to the "curse of dimensionality" in large-scale fleet operations, combined with sparse feedback and stochastic mission profiles. To address these issues, this paper proposes Smart Commander, a novel Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning (HRL) framework designed to optimize sequential maintenance and logistics decisions. The framework decomposes the complex control problem into a two-tier hierarchy: a strategic General Commander manages fleet-level availability and cost objectives, while tactical Operation Commanders execute specific actions for sortie generation, maintenance scheduling, and resource allocation. The proposed approach is validated within a custom-built, high-fidelity discrete-event simulation environment that captures the dynamics of aircraft configuration and support logistics.By integrating layered reward shaping with planning-enhanced neural networks, the method effectively addresses the difficulty of sparse and delayed rewards. Empirical evaluations demonstrate that Smart Commander significantly outperforms conventional monolithic Deep Reinforcement Learning (DRL) and rule-based baselines. Notably, it achieves a substantial reduction in training time while demonstrating superior scalability and robustness in failure-prone environments. These results highlight the potential of HRL as a reliable paradigm for next-generation intelligent fleet management.

Yong Si, Mingfei Lu, Jing Li +4

School of Aerospace Engineering, Tsinghua University, China · College of Information and Control Engineering, Xi’an University of Architecture and Technology, China · Hangzhou International Innovation Institute, Beihang University, China +2

Hierarchical RLPredictive MaintenanceSparse-Reward RL
AskPDF
Apr 7, 2026

LoRM: Learning the Language of Rotating Machinery for Self-Supervised Condition Monitoring

We present LoRM (Language of Rotating Machinery), a self-supervised framework for multi-modal rotating-machinery signal understanding and real-time condition monitoring. LoRM is built on the idea that rotating-machinery signals can be viewed as a machine language: local signals can be tokenised into discrete symbolic units, and their future evolution can be predicted from observed multi-sensor context. Unlike conventional signal-processing methods that rely on hand-crafted transforms and features, LoRM reformulates multi-modal sensor data as a token-based sequence-prediction problem. For each data window, the observed context segment is retained in continuous form, while the future target segment of each sensing channel is quantised into a discrete token. Then, efficient knowledge transfer is achieved by partially fine-tuning a general-purpose pre-trained language model on industrial signals, avoiding the need to train a large model from scratch. Finally, condition monitoring is performed by tracking token-prediction errors as a health indicator, where increasing errors indicate degradation. In-situ tool condition monitoring (TCM) experiments demonstrate stable real-time tracking and strong cross-tool generalisation, showing that LoRM provides a practical bridge between language modelling and industrial signal analysis. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/Q159753258/LormPHM.

Xiao Qin, Xingyi Song, Tong Liu +4

Department of Computer Science, University of Warwick, Coventry, UK · Department of Computer Science, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK · Advanced Manufacturing Research Centre, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK +2

Time Series Language ModelingPredictive MaintenanceSelf-Supervised Time Series Representation Learning
AskPDF
Apr 2, 2026

Interpretable Deep Reinforcement Learning for Element-level Bridge Life-cycle Optimization

The new Specifications for the National Bridge Inventory (SNBI), in effect from 2022, emphasize the use of element-level condition states (CS) for risk-based bridge management. Instead of a general component rating, element-level condition data use an array of relative CS quantities (i.e., CS proportions) to represent the condition of a bridge. Although this greatly increases the granularity of bridge condition data, it introduces challenges to set up optimal life-cycle policies due to the expanded state space from one single categorical integer to four-dimensional probability arrays. This study proposes a new interpretable reinforcement learning (RL) approach to seek optimal life-cycle policies based on element-level state representations. Compared to existing RL methods, the proposed algorithm yields life-cycle policies in the form of oblique decision trees with reasonable amounts of nodes and depth, making them directly understandable and auditable by humans and easily implementable into current bridge management systems. To achieve near-optimal policies, the proposed approach introduces three major improvements to existing RL methods: (a) the use of differentiable soft tree models as actor function approximators, (b) a temperature annealing process during training, and (c) regularization paired with pruning rules to limit policy complexity. Collectively, these improvements can yield interpretable life-cycle policies in the form of deterministic oblique decision trees. The benefits and trade-offs from these techniques are demonstrated in both supervised and reinforcement learning settings. The resulting framework is illustrated in a life-cycle optimization problem for steel girder bridges.

Seyyed Amirhossein Moayyedi, David Y. Yang

Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Portland State University, Portland, OR 97201

Interpretability in RLPredictive Maintenance
AskPDF
Apr 2, 2026

PHMForge: Evaluating LLM Agents on Industrial Prognostics through MCP-Native, Algorithm-Grounded Tools

LLM agents are beginning to invoke industrial asset-management tools through the Model Context Protocol (MCP), yet whether they can act reliably on this substrate for safety-critical Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) is unanswered. Prior benchmarks conflate protocol fluency with reasoning, instrumentation failures with agent failures, and tool use with tool retrieval. We introduce PHMForge, an evaluation environment that closes each conflation. PHMForge ships 99 SME-authored scenarios across eight industrial asset classes spanning rotating equipment, aero-engines, and lithium-ion cells, on public datasets including NASA PCoE, served through 39 MCP-native tools wrapping published PHM algorithms (C-MAPSS, ISO~10816, Arrhenius capacity-fade models, time-series foundation models). Krippendorff's α∈[0.74, 0.82]α\in [0.74,\,0.82] on a 30-scenario stratified rotating-equipment/aero-engine sample; the battery extension is single-rater. Across three agentic frameworks and six LLM backbones, the strongest configuration reaches 80.8% pass@1, with the residual gap concentrated in orchestration and tool-sequencing errors. Crucially, an architectural ablation shows that replacing MCP execution with text-based Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) over telemetry-equivalent evidence collapses Remaining Useful Life pass-all-3 from 100% to 20% (5/5 vs.\ 1/5) on the battery class, exposing the structural limits of static retrieval for prognostic computation. Trajectory decomposition shows orchestration errors dominate failures across backbones, while schema-invalid tool calls concentrate in smaller open-weight models. Frontier LLMs are stronger at calling tools than at planning when to call them. PHMForge is open-sourced with deterministic evaluators, a public leaderboard, and a datasheet.

Yusheng Li, Tianjun Feng, Yunfeng Chen +6

Columbia University · Georgia Institute of Technology · IBM, New York

LLM Agent EvaluationAI Agent BenchmarksPredictive MaintenanceLLM Agent OrchestrationModel Context Protocol
AskPDF
Mar 30, 2026

Transformer-Based Prognostics: Enhancing Network Availability by Improved Monitoring of Optical Fiber Amplifiers

We enhance optical network availability and reliability through a lightweight transformer model that predicts optical fiber amplifier lifetime from condition-based monitoring data, enabling real-time, edge-level predictive maintenance and advancing deployable AI for autonomous network operation.

Dominic Schneider, Lutz Rapp, Christoph Ament

Advanced Technology, Adtran Networks SE, 98617 Meiningen, Germany · Faculty of Applied Computer Science, University of Augsburg, 86159 Augsburg, Germany

RUL EstimationPredictive Maintenance
AskPDF
Mar 24, 2026

MsFormer: Enabling Robust Predictive Maintenance Services for Industrial Devices

Providing reliable predictive maintenance is a critical industrial AI service essential for ensuring the high availability of manufacturing devices. Existing deep-learning methods present competitive results on such tasks but lack a general service-oriented framework to capture complex dependencies in industrial IoT sensor data. While Transformer-based models show strong sequence modeling capabilities, their direct deployment as robust AI services faces significant bottlenecks. Specifically, streaming sensor data collected in real-world service environments often exhibits multi-scale temporal correlations driven by machine working principles. Besides, the datasets available for training time-to-failure predictive services are typically limited in size. These issues pose significant challenges for directly applying existing models as robust predictive services. To address these challenges, we propose MsFormer, a lightweight Multi-scale Transformer designed as a unified AI service model for reliable industrial predictive maintenance. MsFormer incorporates a Multi-scale Sampling (MS) module and a tailored position encoding mechanism to capture sequential correlations across multi-streaming service data. Additionally, to accommodate data-scarce service environments, MsFormer adopts a lightweight attention mechanism with straightforward pooling operations instead of self-attention. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves significant performance improvements over state-of-the-art methods. Furthermore, MsFormer outperforms across industrial devices and operating conditions, demonstrating strong generalizability while maintaining a highly reliable Quality of Service (QoS).

Jiahui Zhou, Dan Li, Ruibing Jin +5

School of Software Engineering, Sun Yat-Sen University, China · Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR), Singapore · School of the Art Institute of Chicago, Chicago +1

Industrial Internet of ThingsPredictive MaintenanceRUL EstimationTime Series TransformersMultiscale Time-Series ModelingInternet of Things
AskPDF
Mar 24, 2026

A Heterogeneous Long-Micro Scale Cascading Architecture for General Aviation Health Management

BACKGROUND: General aviation fleet expansion demands intelligent health monitoring under computational constraints. Real-world aircraft health diagnosis requires balancing accuracy with computational constraints under extreme class imbalance and environmental uncertainty. Existing end-to-end approaches suffer from the receptive field paradox: global attention introduces excessive operational heterogeneity noise for fine-grained fault classification, while localized constraints sacrifice critical cross-temporal context essential for anomaly detection. METHODS: This paper presents an AI-driven heterogeneous cascading architecture for general aviation health management. The proposed Long-Micro Scale Diagnostician (LMSD) explicitly decouples global anomaly detection (full-sequence attention) from micro-scale fault classification (restricted receptive fields), resolving the receptive field paradox while minimizing training overhead. A knowledge distillation-based interpretability module provides physically traceable explanations for safety-critical validation. RESULTS: Experiments on the public National General Aviation Flight Information Database (NGAFID) dataset (28,935 flights, 36 categories) demonstrate 4--8% improvement in safety-critical metrics (MCWPM) with 4.2 times training acceleration and 46% model compression compared to end-to-end baselines. CONCLUSIONS: The AI-driven heterogeneous architecture offers deployable solutions for aviation equipment health management, with potential for digital twin integration in future work. The proposed framework substantiates deployability in resource-constrained aviation environments while maintaining stringent safety requirements.

Xinhang Chen, Zhihuan Wei, Yang Hu +3

Fault DiagnosisPredictive MaintenanceTime-Series Anomaly DetectionInterpretable Anomaly Detection
AskPDF
Mar 19, 2026

Transformer-Based Predictive Maintenance for Risk-Aware Instrument Calibration

Accurate calibration is essential for instruments whose measurements must remain traceable, reliable, and compliant over long operating periods. Fixed-interval programs are easy to administer, but they ignore that instruments drift at different rates under different conditions. This paper studies calibration scheduling as a predictive maintenance problem: given recent sensor histories, estimate time-to-drift (TTD) and intervene before a violation occurs. We adapt the NASA C-MAPSS benchmark into a calibration setting by selecting drift-sensitive sensors, defining virtual calibration thresholds, and inserting synthetic reset events that emulate repeated recalibration. We then compare classical regressors, recurrent and convolutional sequence models, and a compact Transformer for TTD prediction. The Transformer provides the strongest point forecasts on the primary FD001 split and remains competitive on the harder FD002--FD004 splits, while a quantile-based uncertainty model supports conservative scheduling when drift behavior is noisier. Under a violation-aware cost model, predictive scheduling lowers cost relative to reactive and fixed policies, and uncertainty-aware triggers sharply reduce violations when point forecasts are less reliable. The results show that condition-based calibration can be framed as a joint forecasting and decision problem, and that combining sequence models with risk-aware policies is a practical route toward smarter calibration planning.

Adithya Parthasarathy, Aswathnarayan Muthukrishnan Kirubakaran, Akshay Deshpande +5

Predictive MaintenanceEvent Time PredictionProbabilistic Time Series ForecastingTime Series Transformers
AskPDF
Mar 17, 2026

When GPUs Fail Quietly: Observability-Aware Early Warning Beyond Numeric Telemetry

GPU nodes are central to modern HPC and AI workloads, yet many failures do not manifest as immediate hard faults. While some instabilities emerge gradually as weak thermal or efficiency drift, a significant class occurs abruptly with little or no numeric precursor. In these detachment-class failures, GPUs become unavailable at the driver or interconnect level and the dominant observable signal is structural, including disappearance of device metrics and degradation of monitoring payload integrity. This paper proposes an observability-aware early-warning framework that jointly models (i) utilization-aware thermal drift signatures in GPU telemetry and (ii) monitoring-pipeline degradation indicators such as scrape latency increase, sample loss, time-series gaps, and device-metric disappearance. The framework is evaluated on production telemetry from GPU nodes at GWDG, where GPU, node, monitoring, and scheduler signals can be correlated. Results show that detachment failures exhibit minimal numeric precursor and are primarily observable through structural telemetry collapse, while joint modeling increases early-warning lead time compared to GPU-only detection. The dataset used in this study is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.19052367.

Michael Bidollahkhani, Freja Nordsiek, Julian M. Kunkel

Gesellschaft für wissenschaftliche Datenverarbeitung mbH Göttingen (GWDG) Georg-August-Universität Göttingen Göttingen, Germany

Fault DetectionPredictive MaintenanceTime-Series Anomaly DetectionHigh-Performance Computing
AskPDF
Mar 17, 2026

Learning to Predict, Discover, and Reason in High-Cardinality Event Sequences

Electronic control units (ECUs) embedded within modern vehicles generate a large number of asynchronous events known as diagnostic trouble codes (DTCs). These discrete events form complex temporal sequences that reflect the evolving health of the vehicle's subsystems. In the automotive industry, domain experts manually group these codes into higher-level error patterns (EPs) using Boolean rules to characterize system faults and ensure safety. However, as vehicle complexity grows, this manual process becomes increasingly costly, error-prone, and difficult to scale. Notably, the number of unique DTCs in a modern vehicle is on the same order of magnitude as the vocabulary of a natural language, often numbering in the tens of thousands. This observation motivates a paradigm shift: treating diagnostic sequences as a language that can be modeled, predicted, and ultimately explained. Traditional statistical approaches fail to capture the rich dependencies and do not scale to high-cardinality datasets characterized by thousands of nodes, large sample sizes, and long sequence lengths. Specifically, the high cardinality of categorical event spaces in industrial logs poses a significant challenge, necessitating new machine learning architectures tailored to such event-driven systems. This thesis addresses automated fault diagnostics by unifying event sequence modeling, causal discovery, and large language models (LLMs) into a coherent framework for event streams. It is structured in three parts, reflecting a progressive transition from prediction to causal understanding and finally to reasoning for vehicle diagnostics. Consequently, we introduce several Transformer-based architectures for predictive maintenance, scalable sample- and population-level causal discovery frameworks and a multi-agent system that automates the synthesis of Boolean EP rules.

Hugo Math

Faculty of Applied Computer Science, University of Augsburg

Fault DiagnosisPredictive MaintenanceSequence ModelingTime-Series Causal Discovery
AskPDF
Mar 14, 2026

ST-ResGAT: Explainable Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Network for Road Condition Prediction and Priority-Driven Maintenance

Climate-vulnerable road networks require a paradigm shift from reactive, fix-on-failure repairs to predictive, decision-ready maintenance. This paper introduces ST-ResGAT, a novel Spatio-Temporal Residual Graph Attention Network that fuses residual graph-attention encoding with GRU temporal aggregation to forecast pavement deterioration. Engineered for resource-constrained deployment, the framework translates continuous Pavement Condition Index (PCI) forecasts directly into the American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM)-compliant maintenance priorities. Using a real-world inspection dataset of 750 segments in Sylhet, Bangladesh (2021-2024), ST-ResGAT significantly outperforms traditional non-spatial machine learning baselines, achieving exceptional predictive fidelity (R2 = 0.93, RMSE = 2.72). Crucially, ablation testing confirmed the mathematical necessity of modeling topological neighbor effects, proving that structural decay acts as a spatial contagion. Uniquely, we integrate GNNExplainer to unbox the model, demonstrating that its learned priorities align perfectly with established physical engineering theory. Furthermore, we quantify classification safety: achieving 85.5% exact ASTM class agreement and 100% adjacent-class containment, ensuring bounded, engineer-safe predictions. To connect model outputs to policy, we generate localized longitudinal maintenance profiles, perform climate stress-testing, and derive Pareto sustainability frontiers. ST-ResGAT therefore offers a practical, explainable, and sustainable blueprint for intelligent infrastructure management in high-risk, low-resource geological settings.

Mohsin Mahmud Topu, Azmine Toushik Wasi, Mahfuz Ahmed Anik +1

Shahjalal University of Science and Technology, Sylhet, Bangladesh · University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, United States

Predictive MaintenanceSpatiotemporal GNNsIntelligent Transportation Systems
AskPDF
Mar 14, 2026

Traffic and weather driven hybrid digital twin for bridge monitoring

A hybrid digital twin framework is presented for bridge condition monitoring using existing traffic cameras and weather APIs, reducing reliance on dedicated sensor installations. The approach is demonstrated on the Peace Bridge (99 years in service) under high traffic demand and harsh winter exposure. The framework fuses three near-real-time streams: YOLOv8 computer vision from a bridge-deck camera estimates vehicle counts, traffic density, and load proxies; a Lighthill--Whitham--Richards (LWR) model propagates density ρ(x,t)ρ(x,t) and detects deceleration-driven shockwaves linked to repetitive loading and fatigue accumulation; and weather APIs provide deterioration drivers including temperature cycling, freeze-thaw activity, precipitation-related corrosion potential, and wind effects. Monte Carlo simulation quantifies uncertainty across traffic-environment scenarios, while Random Forest models map fused features to fatigue indicators and maintenance classification. The framework demonstrates utilizing existing infrastructure for cost-effective predictive maintenance of aging, high-traffic bridges in harsh climates.

Phani Raja Bharath Balijepalli, Bulent Soykan, Veeraraghava Raju Hasti

University of Central Florida, Orlando, FL, USA

Structural Health MonitoringDigital TwinsPredictive Maintenance
AskPDF
Mar 11, 2026

Domain-Adaptive Health Indicator Learning with Degradation-Stage Synchronized Sampling and Cross-Domain Autoencoder

The construction of high quality health indicators (HIs) is crucial for effective prognostics and health management. Although deep learning has significantly advanced HI modeling, existing approaches often struggle with distribution mismatches resulting from varying operating conditions. Although domain adaptation is typically employed to mitigate these shifts, two critical challenges remain: (1) the misalignment of degradation stages during random mini-batch sampling, resulting in misleading discrepancy losses, and (2) the structural limitations of small-kernel 1D-CNNs in capturing long-range temporal dependencies within complex vibration signals. To address these issues, we propose a domain-adaptive framework comprising degradation stage synchronized batch sampling (DSSBS) and the cross-domain aligned fusion large autoencoder (CAFLAE). DSSBS utilizes kernel change-point detection to segment degradation stages, ensuring that source and target mini-batches are synchronized by their failure phases during alignment. Complementing this, CAFLAE integrates large-kernel temporal feature extraction with cross-attention mechanisms to learn superior domain-invariant representations. The proposed framework was rigorously validated on a Korean defense system dataset and the XJTU-SY bearing dataset, achieving an average performance enhancement of 24.1% over state-of-the-art methods. These results demonstrate that DSSBS improves cross-domain alignment through stage-consistent sampling, whereas CAFLAE offers a high-performance backbone for long-term industrial condition monitoring.

Jungho Choo, Hanbyeol Park, Gawon Lee +2

Major in Industrial Data Science Engineering, Department of Industrial Engineering, Pusan National University, Busan, 46241, Republic of Korea · C4ISTAR IPS R&D LIG Nex1, Pangyo, 13488, Republic of Korea · Department of Data Science, Graduate School of Data Science, Pusan National University, Busan, 46241, Republic of Korea

Predictive MaintenanceAutoencoders
AskPDF
Mar 9, 2026

Explainable Condition Monitoring via Probabilistic Anomaly Detection Applied to Helicopter Transmissions

We present a novel Explainable methodology for Condition Monitoring, relying on healthy data only. Since faults are rare events, we propose to focus on learning the probability distribution of healthy observations only, and detect Anomalies at runtime. This objective is achieved via the definition of probabilistic measures of deviation from nominality, which allow to detect and anticipate faults. The Bayesian perspective underpinning our approach allows us to perform Uncertainty Quantification to inform decisions. At the same time, we provide descriptive tools to enhance the interpretability of the results, supporting the deployment of the proposed strategy also in safety-critical applications. The methodology is validated experimentally on two use cases: a publicly available benchmark for Predictive Maintenance, and a real-world Helicopter Transmission dataset collected over multiple years. In both applications, the method achieves competitive detection performance with respect to state-of-the-art anomaly detection methods.

Aurelio Raffa Ugolini, Jessica Leoni, Valentina Breschi +4

DEIB, Politecnico di Milano Via Giuseppe Ponzio 34, Milano, 20133 (Italy) · Dep. of Electrical Engineering, TU\e Groene Loper 19, Eindhoven, 5600 MB (The Netherlands) · Leonardo Labs, Leonardo S.p.A. Piazza Monte Grappa 4, Roma, 00195 (Italy)

Anomaly DetectionInterpretable Anomaly DetectionUnsupervised Anomaly DetectionPredictive Maintenance
AskPDF
Mar 8, 2026

TS-MLLM: A Multi-Modal Large Language Model-based Framework for Industrial Time-Series Big Data Analysis

Accurate analysis of industrial time-series big data is critical for the Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) of industrial equipment. While recent advancements in Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown promise in time-series analysis, existing methods typically focus on single-modality adaptations, failing to exploit the complementary nature of temporal signals, frequency-domain visual representations, and textual knowledge information. In this paper, we propose TS-MLLM, a unified multi-modal large language model framework designed to jointly model temporal signals, frequency-domain images, and textual domain knowledge. Specifically, we first develop an Industrial time-series Patch Modeling branch to capture long-range temporal dynamics. To integrate cross-modal priors, we introduce a Spectrum-aware Vision-Language Model Adaptation (SVLMA) mechanism that enables the model to internalize frequency-domain patterns and semantic context. Furthermore, a Temporal-centric Multi-modal Attention Fusion (TMAF) mechanism is designed to actively retrieve relevant visual and textual cues using temporal features as queries, ensuring deep cross-modal alignment. Extensive experiments on multiple industrial benchmarks demonstrate that TS-MLLM significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods, particularly in few-shot and complex scenarios. The results validate our framework's superior robustness, efficiency, and generalization capabilities for industrial time-series prediction.

Haiteng Wang, Yikang Li, Yunfei Zhu +3

School of Automation Science and Electrical Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China · School of Software, Beihang University, Beijing 100191, China · Hangzhou International Innovation Institute, Beihang University, Hangzhou 311115, China +3

Multimodal Large Language ModelsTime Series ForecastingPredictive MaintenanceMultimodal LearningMultimodal Fusion
AskPDF
Mar 7, 2026

AI-Driven Predictive Maintenance with Environmental Context Integration for Connected Vehicles: Simulation, Benchmarking, and Field Validation

Predictive maintenance for connected vehicles offers the potential to reduce unexpected breakdowns and improve fleet reliability, but most existing systems rely exclusively on internal diagnostic signals and are validated on simulated or industrial benchmark data. This paper presents a contextual data fusion framework integrating vehicle-internal sensor streams with external environmental signals -- road quality, weather, traffic density, and driver behaviour -- acquired via V2X communication and third-party APIs, with inference at the vehicle edge. The framework is evaluated across four layers. A feature group ablation study on a physics-informed synthetic dataset shows contextual features contribute a 2.6-point F1 improvement; removing all context reduces macro F1 from 0.855 to 0.807. On the AI4I 2020 benchmark (10,000 samples), LightGBM achieves AUC-ROC 0.973 under 5-fold stratified cross-validation with SMOTE confined to training folds. A noise sensitivity analysis shows macro F1 remains above 0.88 at low noise and degrades to 0.74 at high noise. Most critically, the pipeline is validated on real-world telemetry from five vehicles across three countries (India, Germany, Brazil), comprising 992 trips and 11 evaluable service events identified from component wear resets in the trip logs. Across six wear-driven events spanning four vehicles, the model achieves 100% detection with mean MAE of 12.2 days. A fine-tuning ablation shows the base synthetic model already achieves 6/6 binary detection; per-vehicle adaptation reduces wear-driven MAE from 25.9 to 12.2 days. SHAP analysis confirms contextual and interaction features rank among the top 15 predictors. Edge-based inference reduces estimated latency from 3.5 seconds to under 1.0 second relative to cloud-only processing.

Kushal Khemani, Anjum Nazir Qureshi

Independent Researcher, India · Rajiv Gandhi College of Engineering Research and Technology

Predictive MaintenanceMultimodal Sensor Fusion
AskPDF
Mar 5, 2026

Aura: Universal Multi-dimensional Exogenous Integration for Aviation Time Series

Time series forecasting has witnessed an increasing demand across diverse industrial applications, where accurate predictions are pivotal for informed decision-making. Beyond numerical time series data, reliable forecasting in practical scenarios requires integrating diverse exogenous factors. Such exogenous information is often multi-dimensional or even multimodal, introducing heterogeneous interactions that unimodal time series models struggle to capture. In this paper, we delve into an aviation maintenance scenario and identify three distinct types of exogenous factors that influence temporal dynamics through distinct interaction modes. Based on this empirical insight, we propose Aura, a universal framework that explicitly organizes and encodes heterogeneous external information according to its interaction mode with the target time series. Specifically, Aura utilizes a tailored tripartite encoding mechanism to embed heterogeneous features into well-established time series models, ensuring seamless integration of non-sequential context. Extensive experiments on a large-scale, three-year industrial dataset from China Southern Airlines, covering the Boeing 777 and Airbus A320 fleets, demonstrate that Aura consistently achieves state-of-the-art performance across all baselines and exhibits superior adaptability. Our findings highlight Aura's potential as a general-purpose enhancement for aviation safety and reliability.

Jiafeng Lin, Mengren Zheng, Simeng Ye +5

School of Software, BNRist, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China · Hongshen College, Chongqing University, Chongqing, China · School of Software, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China +1

Exogenous Time Series ForecastingTime Series ForecastingPredictive MaintenanceMultimodal Fusion
AskPDF
Mar 5, 2026

Retrieval-Augmented Generation with Covariate Time Series

While RAG has greatly enhanced LLMs, extending this paradigm to Time-Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) remains a challenge. This is exemplified in the Predictive Maintenance of the Pressure Regulating and Shut-Off Valve (PRSOV), a high-stakes industrial scenario characterized by (1) data scarcity, (2) short transient sequences, and (3) covariate coupled dynamics. Unfortunately, existing time-series RAG approaches predominantly rely on generated static vector embeddings and learnable context augmenters, which may fail to distinguish similar regimes in such scarce, transient, and covariate coupled scenarios. To address these limitations, we propose RAG4CTS, a regime-aware, training-free RAG framework for Covariate Time-Series. Specifically, we construct a hierarchal time-series native knowledge base to enable lossless storage and physics-informed retrieval of raw historical regimes. We design a two-stage bi-weighted retrieval mechanism that aligns historical trends through point-wise and multivariate similarities. For context augmentation, we introduce an agent-driven strategy to dynamically optimize context in a self-supervised manner. Extensive experiments on PRSOV demonstrate that our framework significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in prediction accuracy. The proposed system is deployed in Apache IoTDB within China Southern Airlines. Since deployment, our method has successfully identified one PRSOV fault in two months with zero false alarm.

Kenny Ye Liang, Zhongyi Pei, Huan Zhang +3

Tsinghua University · China Southern Airlines

Time Series Forecasting with CovariatesRetrieval-Augmented Time Series ForecastingTime Series ForecastingTime-Series Foundation ModelsPredictive Maintenance
AskPDF
Feb 28, 2026

Bi-cLSTM: Residual-Corrected Bidirectional LSTM for Aero-Engine RUL Estimation

Accurate Remaining Useful Life (RUL) prediction is a key requirement for effective Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) in safety-critical systems such as aero-engines. Existing deep learning approaches, particularly LSTM-based models, often struggle to generalize across varying operating conditions and are sensitive to noise in multivariate sensor data. To address these challenges, we propose a novel Bidirectional Residual Corrected LSTM (Bi-cLSTM) model for robust RUL estimation. The proposed architecture combines bidirectional temporal modeling with an adaptive residual correction mechanism to iteratively refine sequence representations. In addition, we introduce a condition-aware preprocessing pipeline incorporating regime-based normalization, feature selection, and exponential smoothing to improve robustness under complex operating environments. Extensive experiments on all four subsets of the NASA C-MAPSS dataset demonstrate that the proposed Bi-cLSTM consistently outperforms LSTM-based baselines and achieves competitive state-of-the-art performance, particularly in challenging multi-condition scenarios. These results highlight the effectiveness of combining bidirectional temporal learning with residual correction for reliable RUL prediction.

Rafi Hassan Chowdhury, Nabil Daiyan, Faria Ahmed +2

Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Rajshahi University of Engineering and Technology, Rajshahi, Bangladesh · Department of Aeronautical Engineering, Military Institute of Science and Technology, Dhaka 1216, Bangladesh

RUL EstimationPredictive MaintenanceRecurrent Neural NetworksResidual Learning
AskPDF
Feb 22, 2026

Prognostics of Multisensor Systems with Unknown and Unlabeled Failure Modes via Bayesian Nonparametric Process Mixtures

Modern manufacturing systems often experience multiple and unpredictable failure behaviors, yet most existing prognostic models assume a fixed, known set of failure modes with labeled historical data. This assumption limits the use of digital twins for predictive maintenance, especially in high-mix or adaptive production environments, where new failure modes may emerge, and the failure mode labels may be unavailable. To address these challenges, we propose a novel Bayesian nonparametric framework that unifies a Dirichlet process mixture module for unsupervised failure mode discovery with a neural network-based prognostic module. The key innovation lies in an iterative feedback mechanism to jointly learn two modules. These modules iteratively update one another to dynamically infer, expand, or merge failure modes as new data arrive while providing high prognostic accuracy. Experiments on both simulation and aircraft engine datasets show that the proposed approach performs competitively with or significantly better than existing approaches. It also exhibits robust online adaptation capabilities, making it well-suited for digital-twin-based system health management in complex manufacturing environments.

Kani Fu, Sanduni S Disanayaka Mudiyanselage, Chunli Dai +1

Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Florida, Gainesville, USA · School of Forest, Fisheries, and Geomatics Sciences, University of Florida, Gainesville, USA

Dirichlet Process Mixture ModelsPredictive MaintenanceBayesian Mixture ModelsBayesian Inference
AskPDF
Feb 18, 2026

Axle Sensor Fusion for Online Continual Wheel Fault Detection in Wayside Railway Monitoring

Reliable and cost-effective maintenance is essential for railway safety, particularly at the wheel-rail interface, which is prone to wear and failure. Predictive maintenance frameworks increasingly leverage sensor-generated time-series data, yet traditional methods require manual feature engineering, and deep learning models often degrade in online settings with evolving operational patterns. This work presents a semantic-aware, label-efficient continual learning framework for railway fault diagnostics. Accelerometer signals are encoded via a Variational AutoEncoder into latent representations capturing the normal operational structure in a fully unsupervised manner. Importantly, semantic metadata, including axle counts, wheel indexes, and strain-based deformations, is extracted via AI-driven peak detection on fiber Bragg grating sensors (resistant to electromagnetic interference) and fused with the VAE embeddings, enhancing anomaly detection under unknown operational conditions. A lightweight gradient boosting supervised classifier stabilizes anomaly scoring with minimal labels, while a replay-based continual learning strategy enables adaptation to evolving domains without catastrophic forgetting. Experiments show the model detects minor imperfections due to flats and polygonization, while adapting to evolving operational conditions, such as changes in train type, speed, load, and track profiles, captured using a single accelerometer and strain gauge in wayside monitoring.

Afonso Lourenço, Francisca Osório, Diogo Risca +1

GECAD, ISEP, Polytechnic of Porto, Rua Dr. António Bernardino de Almeida, Porto, 4249-015, Portugal

Fault DiagnosisOnline Anomaly DetectionPredictive MaintenanceMultimodal Sensor Fusion
AskPDF
Feb 17, 2026

Self-Evolving Multi-Agent Network for Industrial IoT Predictive Maintenance

Industrial IoT predictive maintenance requires systems capable of real-time anomaly detection without sacrificing interpretability or demanding excessive computational resources. Traditional approaches rely on static, offline-trained models that cannot adapt to evolving operational conditions, while LLM-based monolithic systems demand prohibitive memory and latency, rendering them impractical for on-site edge deployment. We introduce SEMAS, a self-evolving hierarchical multi-agent system that distributes specialized agents across Edge, Fog, and Cloud computational tiers. Edge agents perform lightweight feature extraction and pre-filtering; Fog agents execute diversified ensemble detection with dynamic consensus voting; and Cloud agents continuously optimize system policies via Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) while maintaining asynchronous, non-blocking inference. The framework incorporates LLM-based response generation for explainability and federated knowledge aggregation for adaptive policy distribution. This architecture enables resource-aware specialization without sacrificing real-time performance or model interpretability. Empirical evaluation on two industrial benchmarks (Boiler Emulator and Wind Turbine) demonstrates that SEMAS achieves superior anomaly detection performance with exceptional stability under adaptation, sustains prediction accuracy across evolving operational contexts, and delivers substantial latency improvements enabling genuine real-time deployment. Ablation studies confirm that PPO-driven policy evolution, consensus voting, and federated aggregation each contribute materially to system effectiveness. These findings indicate that resource-aware, self-evolving 1multi-agent coordination is essential for production-ready industrial IoT predictive maintenance under strict latency and explainability constraints.

Rebin Saleh, Khanh Pham Dinh, Balázs Villányi +1

Department of Electronics Technology, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Informatics, Budapest University of Technology and Economics, Műegyetem rkp. 3, H-1111 Budapest, Hungary · DataScienceWorld.Kan, Hanoi, Vietnam · Department of Computer Science, The University of Alabama at Birmingham, 1720 University Blvd, Birmingham, AL 35294 USA

Predictive MaintenanceIndustrial Anomaly DetectionOnline Anomaly DetectionMulti-Agent SystemsInterpretable Anomaly DetectionEdge ML
AskPDF
Feb 16, 2026

Triplet Feature Fusion for Equipment Anomaly Prediction : An Open-Source Methodology Using Small Foundation Models

Predicting equipment anomalies before they escalate into failures is a critical challenge in industrial facility management. Existing approaches rely either on hand-crafted threshold rules, which lack generalizability, or on large neural models that are impractical for on-site, air-gapped deployments. We present an industrial methodology that resolves this tension by combining open-source small foundation models into a unified 1,116-dimensional Triplet Feature Fusion pipeline. This pipeline integrates: (1) statistical features (x in R28R^{28}) derived from 90-day sensor histories, (2) time-series embeddings (y in R64R^{64}) from a LoRA-adapted IBM Granite TinyTimeMixer (TTM, 133K parameters), and (3) multilingual text embeddings (z in R1024R^{1024}) extracted from Japanese equipment master records via multilingual-e5-large. The concatenated triplet h = [x; y; z] is processed by a LightGBM classifier (< 3 MB) trained to predict anomalies at 30-, 60-, and 90-day horizons. All components use permissive open-source licenses (Apache 2.0 / MIT). The inference-time pipeline runs entirely on CPU in under 2 ms, enabling edge deployment on co-located hardware without cloud dependency. On a dataset of 64 HVAC units comprising 67,045 samples, the triplet model achieves Precision = 0.992, F1 = 0.958, and ROC-AUC = 0.998 at the 30-day horizon. Crucially, it reduces the False Positive Rate from 0.6 percent (baseline) to 0.1 percent - an 83 percent reduction attributable to equipment-type conditioning via text embedding z. Cluster analysis reveals that the embeddings align time-series signatures with distinct fault archetypes, explaining how compact multilingual representations improve discrimination without explicit categorical encoding.

Takato Yasuno

Anomaly DetectionPredictive MaintenanceFeature FusionEdge ML
AskPDF
Jan 16, 2026

Auditing Frozen-Encoder Anomaly Detection Across Mechanical Systems: Representation Provenance, Calibration, and Protocol Effects

This version reports a reproducibility audit of the frozen-encoder experiments presented in version 1. The numerical discrimination results are reproducible from the preserved artifacts, but their original attribution to interferometric pretraining is not supported. The released checkpoint contains a nested model state that loads without missing parameters, whereas loading the outer checkpoint dictionary leaves almost the entire EfficientNet-B0 feature stack uninitialized. Preserved embeddings labelled as interferometric have norms of order 10−1210^{-12}, matching freshly initialized EfficientNet-B0 networks and differing by more than twelve orders of magnitude from the preserved ImageNet embeddings. A second, separately preserved near-zero embedding set produces almost the same IMS 4th-test anomaly scores (r=0.987r=0.987) and record-level discrimination (AUC 0.98120.9812 versus 0.98180.9818). We therefore withdraw the causal claim that IMS performance demonstrates a morphological prior transferred from gravitational-wave instrumentation. We reanalyse the controlled IMS splits at matched observed false-positive rates and add multivariate classical signal baselines. The near-zero representations retain strong tail separation, particularly in the 2nd and 4th IMS runs, but this is now interpreted as an exploratory architecture-and-initialization effect coupled to Mahalanobis scoring. A separate PRONOSTIA audit shows that the original large warning times were induced by a lifetime-fraction baseline; under fixed-time evaluation, a ten-feature classical baseline outperforms the preserved encoder scores. These results illustrate how checkpoint provenance, finite-sample calibration, architecture, and target-domain baselines can create an appearance of cross-domain transfer. They also define the controls required before assigning physical meaning to frozen-representation anomaly scores.

Jose Sánchez Andreu

Independent Researcher, Murcia, Spain

Mahalanobis DistanceIndustrial Anomaly DetectionPredictive MaintenanceUnsupervised Anomaly DetectionAnomaly Detection
AskPDF
Jan 7, 2026

Disentangling Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Physics-Informed Neural Networks. Application to Insulation Material Degradation Prognostics

Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) provide a framework for integrating physical laws with data. However, their application to Prognostics and Health Management (PHM) remains constrained by the limited uncertainty quantification (UQ) capabilities. Most existing PINN-based prognostics approaches are deterministic or account only for epistemic uncertainty, limiting their suitability for risk-aware decision-making. This work introduces a heteroscedastic Bayesian Physics-Informed Neural Network (B-PINN) framework that jointly models epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty, yielding full predictive posteriors for spatiotemporal insulation material ageing estimation. The approach integrates Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) with physics-based residual enforcement and prior distributions, enabling probabilistic inference within a physics-informed learning architecture. The framework is evaluated on transformer insulation ageing application, validated with a finite-element thermal model and field measurements from a solar power plant, and benchmarked against deterministic PINNs, dropout-based PINNs (d-PINNs), and alternative B-PINN variants. Results show that the proposed B-PINN provides improved predictive accuracy and better-calibrated uncertainty estimates than competing approaches. A systematic sensitivity study further analyzes the impact of boundary-condition, initial-condition, and residual sampling strategies on accuracy, calibration, and generalization, and the influence of measurement noise on aleatoric uncertainty. Overall, the findings highlight the capability of Bayesian physics-informed learning to support uncertainty-aware prognostics and informed decision-making in transformer asset management by tracking aleatoric and epistemic sources of uncertainty.

Ibai Ramirez, Jokin Alcibar, Joel Pino +2

Department of Electronics and Computer Science Mondragon University Arrasate-Mondragon, 20500, Spain · CARTIF Technology Centre Valladolid, 47151, Spain · Department of Physical Chemistry University of the Basque Country (EHU)[cs.LG] Basque Centre for Applied Mathematics (BCAM) Leioa, 20018, Spain +1

Bayesian Neural NetworksUncertainty QuantificationPredictive MaintenancePhysics-Informed MLAleatoric UncertaintyUncertainty Calibration
AskPDF
Jun 24, 2025

Data-Driven Maintenance Optimization: Aligning Prognostic Learning with Decision Objective

Estimation error in machine learning prognostic models can propagate into poor maintenance decisions. We study a data-driven predictive maintenance problem coupling health-condition estimation with a joint ordering-replacement model. We show that the conventional Estimate-Then-Optimize (ETO) approach yields inconsistent, suboptimal decisions for a broad class of such problems. To bridge the gap, we propose an Integrated Estimate-Optimize (IEO) framework that directly targets maintenance cost as the prognostic learning objective, bypassing surrogate statistical accuracy metrics such as Kullback--Leibler divergence or mean squared error. Theoretically, we prove out-of-sample performance guarantees of the IEO framework under certain conditions, including i.i.d. and sliding-window data-generating processes. Computationally, we develop a training procedure combining Monte Carlo dropout, central-difference gradient approximation, and an ETO warm-start to handle discrete maintenance decisions and nonlinear costs. Experiments on the four CMAPSS subsets demonstrate that, under the nominal setting, IEO reduces mean maintenance cost by 14.8--22.7% relative to ETO and by 7.2--11.8% relative to a decision-oriented baseline, while also reducing failure rates and cost variation. These improvements are obtained despite higher prediction errors. Increasing the ratio of unplanned-downtime costs to planned-downtime costs makes this tradeoff more pronounced: IEO shifts predictions further toward RUL underestimation, accompanied by greater cost savings and fewer failures. These findings support aligning prognostic learning with maintenance objectives when imperfect predictions must guide decisions under costly unplanned downtime.

Zhuojun Xie, Adam Abdin, Yiping Fang

Laboratoire Génie Industriel, CentraleSupélec, Université Paris-Saclay

Predictive MaintenancePredict-Then-OptimizeDecision-Focused LearningRUL Estimation
AskPDF
Jun 3, 2025

FailureSensorIQ: A Multi-Choice QA Dataset for Understanding Sensor Relationships and Failure Modes

We introduce FailureSensorIQ, a novel Multi-Choice Question-Answering (MCQA) benchmarking system designed to assess the ability of Large Language Models (LLMs) to reason and understand complex, domain-specific scenarios in Industry 4.0. Unlike traditional QA benchmarks, our system focuses on multiple aspects of reasoning through failure modes, sensor data, and the relationships between them across various industrial assets. Through this work, we envision a paradigm shift where modeling decisions are not only data-driven using statistical tools like correlation analysis and significance tests, but also domain-driven by specialized LLMs which can reason about the key contributors and useful patterns that can be captured with feature engineering. We evaluate the Industrial knowledge of over a dozen LLMs-including GPT-4, Llama, and Mistral-on FailureSensorIQ from different lens using Perturbation-Uncertainty-Complexity analysis, Expert Evaluation study, Asset-Specific Knowledge Gap analysis, ReAct agent using external knowledge-bases. Even though closed-source models with strong reasoning capabilities approach expert-level performance, the comprehensive benchmark reveals a significant drop in performance that is fragile to perturbations, distractions, and inherent knowledge gaps in the models. We also provide a real-world case study of how LLMs can drive the modeling decisions on 3 different failure prediction datasets related to various assets. We release: (a) expert-curated MCQA for various industrial assets, (b) FailureSensorIQ benchmark and Hugging Face leaderboard based on MCQA built from non-textual data found in ISO documents, and (c) LLMFeatureSelector, an LLM-based feature selection scikit-learn pipeline. The software is available at https://github.com/IBM/FailureSensorIQ.

Christodoulos Constantinides, Dhaval Patel, Shuxin Lin +3

IBM · IBM TJ Watson Research Center

Question AnsweringLLM ReliabilityPredictive Maintenance
AskPDF