Urban Wind

Next-day wildfire prediction requires models whose forecasts can be evaluated alongside the assumptions and historical evidence used in their computation. Although deep learning can learn spatial patterns from remote-sensing data, predictive performance alone does not establish physical fidelity or operational trustworthiness. This study investigates three modular augmentations for next-day active-fire prediction: wind- and slope-conditioned attention biases, physics-feature retrieval-augmented output correction, and fire conditioned dual-stream gating. The attention biases expose prescribed directional preferences, while the retrieval module selects historical tiles using a nine-dimensional environmental and fire-state descriptor and applies a learned correction to a frozen model's logits. The modules are evaluated across five backbones on the Next Day Wildfire Spread benchmark, using staged ablations, directional audits, retrieval perturbations, calibration measures, and computational comparisons. The three-seed mean F1 score and area under the precision--recall curve (AUC-PR) of a SwinUNETR model with all three augmentations are 0.4216 and 0.3673. Then, a mixed ensemble (two augmented architectures and one non-augmented architecture) model achieves 0.4292 and 0.3790. Benefits vary across architectures, and retrieval-related improvements in AUC-PR do not consistently translate into higher F1. The constructed wind bias aligns closely with input wind, but its alignment with observed next-day fire displacement is much weaker, distinguishing prior inspectability from predictive physical fidelity. The study contributes a framework for exposing and evaluating selected domain-informed components within wildfire prediction models. Together, the results presented show that predictive performance, operational trustworthiness, and computational practicality need not be competing objectives.

This paper addresses the wind farm power maximization problem in the presence of wind direction changes. Specifically, a model-free Modified Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient with Behavior Cloning (MTD3-BC) algorithm is proposed to tackle this task through yaw control under varying wind direction conditions. MTD3-BC is an offline reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm that aims to infer good behavior from only a precollected offline dataset. Additionally, to ensure smooth and moderate yaw adjustments, a new action consistency term is introduced into the policy optimization objective. Unlike online RL methods, MTD3-BC does not require extensive interactions with a wind farm simulator during training, significantly reducing computational costs and training time. A wind tunnel experiment is conducted to validate the effectiveness of the algorithm under varying wind directions. The results demonstrate that MTD3-BC successfully mitigates wake effects, delivering farm-level power gains of approximately 10% over the baseline greedy strategy and performance on par with a data-calibrated model-based wake-steering benchmark, while requiring no wake model and only a small fraction of the training cost of online RL. To our knowledge, this is the first time an offline RL wind farm control policy has been validated and demonstrated experimentally.

Recovering unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) in maritime environments is challenging due to wind turbulence and ship-deck motion, making it a valuable test case for alternative control and learning approaches as conventional landing approaches often become unreliable. We study simulated mid-air capture of quadrotor UAVs by a ship-mounted robotic arm, learning robust cooperative control policies with Heterogeneous-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization (HAPPO) Reinforcement Learning. We train with HAPPO using a curriculum and an adversarial wind agent (HARL-AC) in NVIDIA Isaac Lab, and compare the obtained control policies against those generated through curriculum-based domain randomization and a benchmark trained on a single sea state. In-distribution evaluation on sea states $0/4/5$ shows comparable success for HARL-AC and domain randomization of up to $97.5\%$. On out-of-distribution sea states $7/8/10$, HARL-AC generalizes better, achieving up to $16\%$ higher median success rate at sea state 10, and substantially lower crash rates of up to $14\%$ compared to the domain randomization policy. Furthermore, we show that the adversarially trained policy shows more cautious behavior, slightly increasing timeouts by $<3\%$, but yields safer recovery behavior in severe, unseen conditions.

Geostationary atmospheric motion vectors (AMVs) provide the dense horizontal wind vectors (u,v) and heights ingested into data assimilation systems. Traditional AMVs track features using window-based cross-correlation and estimate heights via infrared brightness temperatures paired with numerical weather prediction (NWP) background states, creating a circular dependency that yields inaccurate heights, high computational cost, and sparse retrievals. Stereo winds from GEO-GEO and GEO-LEO geometrically resolve heights from parallax shifts across different poses, eliminating NWP dependence and improving accuracy, but they remain computationally heavy with limited coverage. In this work, we replace window-based tracking in stereo matching with deep optical flow for efficient, improved retrieval. Fine-tuning balances a self-supervised geometric residual loss with supervised radiosonde reconstruction. To eliminate multi-satellite overlap requirements, we distill the stereo teacher into a single-satellite student model. Chi-square and height uncertainties from the teacher are emulated by the student for quality assurance. The student generates winds across full-disk GEO imagery globally. Validation compares stereo and student models against radiosondes, operational AMVs, ERA5 reanalysis, and EarthCARE cloud profiles. Results through triple collocation show that stereo winds improve performance beyond operational AMVs for water vapor bands (6.2, 6.9, and 7.3 μm), wit degradation in the long-wave infrared (11.2 μm) band.

Energy feasibility under wind uncertainty is a critical safety issue for low-altitude air-ground delivery. In truck-UAV systems, UAVs complete assigned deliveries and safely return to a mobile truck or depot, while wind-induced propulsion costs vary online and are only partially observable. Existing routing methods often rely on static or deterministic energy models, which may underestimate headwind, crosswind, battery-voltage, and return-feasibility risks. This paper proposes Energy-Aware Wind-Resilient Routing (EWR), an online risk-sensitive planning framework for wind-aware and energy-safe UAV routing. The delivery environment is represented as a time-dependent directed energy graph whose edge costs are updated using delayed noisy wind estimates, payload states, and conservative uncertainty margins. Experiments using synthetic delivery graphs with replayed wind logs from a public truck-UAV delivery dataset show that EWR improves mission success rates and reduces wind-induced return failures.

Source apportionment from sparse urban air-quality sensors is an inverse problem limited by sensor placement, wind-driven transport, background variation, and noise. Known or proxy emission inventories make attribution meaningful by restricting the unknown source field to a finite set of candidate groups, but do not guarantee those groups are distinguishable from the observations. We represent time-varying source activity with a low-dimensional nonnegative temporal basis and formulate inventory-based apportionment as a wind-conditioned lagged inverse problem in which each source--basis coefficient produces a sensor-time fingerprint. After projecting out a separate low-dimensional background space, the relevant object is the projected lagged response matrix $\widetilde H_Φ$: exact identifiability at the chosen basis resolution requires its full column rank, while noise-robust attribution is controlled by its singular values, coefficient visibility, background absorption, pairwise coherence, and ray distance. We propose an identifiability-aware apportionment (IASA) framework that estimates nonnegative source--basis coefficients, reconstructs activity trajectories, and reports uncertainty and conservative grouping recommendations for indistinguishable sources. We instantiate it on a New Delhi platform built from government PM$_{2.5}$ and wind records, regulatory sensor locations, and four proxy source groups, and define controlled and observed evaluations of recovery, ambiguity, wind diversity, background stress, transport error, inventory robustness, and residual adequacy. IASA reports the attribution resolution defensible under the declared inventories, transport, background, lag, and noise rather than the most detailed possible vector.

With rising global energy demand and growing awareness of climate change and its impacts, the share of renewable energies in the global energy mix continues to grow. Unlike conventional power generation, the output of renewable energy sources cannot be controlled as consistently due to their dependence on environmental conditions. Therefore, reliable prediction of current and future energy production is essential. In this paper, we report findings from two structured literature reviews on real-world renewable energy prediction tasks: wind turbine power curve modeling and photovoltaic power prediction. For the former, we conducted a comprehensive literature review ourselves, while for the latter, we synthesize the key findings regarding frequently selected input features based on an existing survey. Across both domains, our analysis reveals that despite the large number of available monitoring and environmental variables, only limited or unsystematic methods for feature selection exist. To address this gap, we propose Cluster-based Sequential Feature Selection (CSFS), a novel, model-agnostic, clustering-based wrapper method for automatic, efficient, and reliable feature selection in renewable energy prediction pipelines. To support reproducibility and reuse, we provide an open-source implementation of CSFS on GitHub. We empirically evaluate the proposed approach on both use cases and compare it with established feature selection techniques such as wrapper-based sequential feature selection (SFS), filter-based methods, and Random Forest's embedded feature importance. The results show that the wrapper-based methods overall provide better-performing selections of features. CSFS achieves a predictive performance comparable to SFS while reducing computational cost by an average of 21%.

Circular data, representing angles or directions, are frequently encountered in computer vision, biology, geology, and meteorology. Traditional regression targets the conditional mean, which is often geometrically misleading for circular responses under multimodal, skewed, or asymmetric data structures. To address these limitations, a lightweight deep generative framework, namely ANGLE, is introduced for non-parametric distributional regression on the circle. The full conditional distribution of an angular response, given Euclidean and circular covariates, is learned through a generative map optimized via a generalized circular energy score (GCES) loss. Desirable theoretical properties, including the strict propriety of the loss and the rotational equivariance of the estimators, are established. Furthermore, both pre- and post-additive noise models are accommodated. A unified toolbox is provided for advancing previously underexplored challenges in circular statistics: extrapolation, sufficient dimension reduction, and conditional distribution equality testing. The framework's efficacy is demonstrated through extensive simulations and real-world applications. Specifically, the proposal is utilized for object pose estimation from imagery and wind direction prediction, which are integral to surveillance, autonomous vehicles, and energy systems, respectively. Superior predictive performance and robust uncertainty quantification of the proposed method in these tasks are revealed.

Small multirotor aircraft are increasingly tasked with operations in the atmospheric boundary layer, where turbulent winds comparable to the vehicle's airspeed degrade trajectory tracking and can defeat conventional feedback control. This work illustrates a two-stage learning pipeline that first estimates the local wind from onboard kinematics and dynamics and then exploits that estimate inside a reinforcement learning (RL) flight controller. The wind estimator, an attention-augmented gated recurrent network trained on thousands of simulated flights through von Karman turbulence with power-law shear and veer, recovers the horizontal wind vector with a per-flight root-mean-square error of 0.40 m/s and a direction error of 3.2 degrees on unseen wind regimes, an accuracy near the floor imposed by unresolved turbulence, and generalizes to vertical ascent profiles with a skill score of 0.861 over a constant-wind reference. A proximal policy optimization controller receiving the frozen estimator's output reduces horizontal trajectory tracking error by 48% relative to a wind-blind proportional-derivative baseline across mean winds of 4 m/s to 12 m/s, winning on 100% of evaluation episodes. A three-way ablation decomposes this improvement into a kinematic component, available without wind information, and a wind-perception component; the perception share rises with wind speed, from small in light winds toward roughly half the total benefit in strong winds, consistent with the quadratic scaling of aerodynamic drag. The controller degrades gracefully on out-of-distribution winds of 13 m/s to 15 m/s, where the baseline fails catastrophically.

Use of quadrotor UAVs for wind velocity estimation is gaining popularity in recent studies, leveraging their maneuverability, compact size and low cost. Among available approaches, model-based wind velocity estimation is most commonly used, since it relies only on onboard sensors. However, as the quadrotor is a highly nonlinear system, thus making this task challenging. This study evaluate the use of both discrete and continuous dynamic equations of the quadrotor UAV for wind velocity estimation on SE(3), rather than commonly adapted continuous or discretized form. Lie Group Variational Integrator, developed on discrete Lagrangian is used as the discrete model without any approximation or discritization. The study assess both the discrete and continuous form of the quadrotor dynamics on SE(3) using Extended Kalman filter (EKF), and Unscented Kalman filter (UKF). The quadrotor UAV performance is evaluated in both MATLAB-based numerical simulations and free outdoor flight. The numerical simulations are conducted during both hovering and trajectory-tracking flights. Results demonstrate that, by using discrete SE(3) dynamics coupled with UKF, the quadrotor achieves higher estimation accuracy while maintaining trajectory tracking, even with low-cost sensors. These findings highlight the potential of discrete quadrotor models with UKF not only for wind velocity estimation but also for other high-accuracy tasks, even when relying on low-cost onboard sensors.

In environmental monitoring as well as emergency response applications such as wildfires, wind velocity measurement is essential. Quadrotor UAVs have become popular platforms for wind velocity estimation due to their maneuverability, compact size, and cost-effectiveness. Numerous studies use the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) to estimate the wind velocity based on the quadrotor dynamic model. However, most of them use hovering quadrotors only for wind estimation, others use a near-linear trajectory to estimate near-constant velocities. Furthermore, EKF performance is constrained by its reliance on linearized approximations of the nonlinear quadrotor dynamics around current states, limiting accuracy in highly nonlinear scenarios, including windy conditions. This study proposes the use of an Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF), a nonlinear estimator to provide accurate wind estimations while maintaining the trajectory of the quadrotor UAV. The quadrotor is modeled on the Special Euclidean group SE(3) and the approach is evaluated through numerical simulations using a geometric controller to maintain quadrotor flight paths. The results indicate that as the nonlinearity of the simulation increases, the UKF consistently outperforms the EKF. This demonstrates the potential of the UKF as a reliable estimator for highly nonlinear scenarios, capable of maintaining the trajectory with minimal deviation while providing accurate wind velocity estimations.

Pedestrian-level wind prediction is essential for urban design and wind-comfort assessment, but high-fidelity simulations such as LES remain computationally expensive for rapid evaluation. This study develops a two-stage U-Net framework for efficient prediction of time-averaged pedestrian-level wind speed over realistic urban morphologies. The model is trained and evaluated using the UrbanTALES dataset, which contains realistic city configurations under different approaching wind directions. In the first stage, a baseline U-Net model (M1) predicts wind fields patch-by-patch from normalised building height and fetch information. This formulation allows application to urban domains of arbitrary size, but independent patch inference can introduce discontinuities at patch boundaries. To address this, a second U-Net model (M2) is introduced as an inpainting-based refinement model. M2 uses a larger contextual window containing the initial M1 prediction and local morphology to reduce discontinuities using neighbouring flow information. During full-field inference, M2 is applied iteratively using a Gauss-Seidel scheme until convergence. Results show that M1 captures the main spatial distribution of pedestrian-level wind speed and performs well in low- and moderate-velocity regions, although high-velocity peaks are less accurate. M2 substantially reduces patch-boundary artefacts and improves spatial coherence. Across unseen urban cases, the framework reproduces mean velocity and spatial variability reasonably well, while maximum velocities remain underestimated. Overall, the proposed framework provides an efficient and flexible surrogate model for high-resolution pedestrian-level wind prediction across realistic urban morphologies.

Sea state prediction is essential for operational maritime applications and coupled earth system modeling, yet current spectral wave models remain computationally prohibitive for many use cases, including online coupling to climate simulations and making probabilistic (ensemble-based) predictions. While deep learning has recently demonstrated strong performance in weather forecasting, existing AI-based wave models are predominantly deterministic and largely limited to bulk variables such as significant wave height, leaving probabilistic sea state estimation largely unexplored. In this work, we propose a diffusion-based generative model for global sea state estimation that conditions on a relatively long history (5 days) of global wind forcing. This generative model directly samples the complex conditional distribution of sea state without autoregressive time-stepping. Unlike prior approaches, our framework naturally extends beyond bulk variables to estimate partition-related variables and derived quantities, such as Stokes drift and mean square slope. Trained on a 30-year global WAVEWATCH-III hindcast, the model achieves substantial computational acceleration compared with numerical spectral models while delivering skillful predictions and a calibrated ensemble spread for the bulk variables. Our results suggest that diffusion-based sea state sampling offers a promising path toward probabilistic wave forecasting and efficient coupling of sea state information into broader earth system models.

Surface winds can vary substantially from one minute to the next, so there is scope for studying its variation on this fine time scale. Restricting to the month of June to minimize seasonality, this work develops a range of machine learning models for generating realistic time series of surface wind vectors at a site in Lamont, Oklahoma based on more than 30 years of high quality measurements at the minute time scale. Such a generator could be used as an input into models from a range of disciplines, notably for wind energy, but also wildfire spread and aviation, among others. The data show complex diurnal structures in both wind speed and direction that would be challenging to capture with standard time series models, so we consider a number of machine learning approaches to producing a stochastic wind generator based on time vector-quantized variational autoencoders. We consider generating a day's worth of data at a time and generating a day of wind vectors conditional on the previous day's winds. We also study methods for incorporating a discrete weather state variable in the generator. We evaluate the generators using a wide range of formal and informal methods. The best of these generators can capture many but not all of the complex features present in the observational data. In particular, the best of our approaches accurately mimic diurnal changes in wind volatility but struggle to match the observed distribution of extreme wind speeds.

Interval wind speed forecasting is essential for the efficient integration of wind energy into power systems, as it accounts for the inherent uncertainty of wind resources. This study presents a systematic literature review focused on hybrid approaches to interval forecasting of wind generation, exploring the combination of deep learning, modal decomposition, and statistical methods. To guide the paper selection, Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) was applied for topic modeling, enabling the identification of patterns and research trends. The findings emphasize that integrating hybrid models with decomposition techniques-such as Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD)-enhances forecast accuracy and reliability by narrowing prediction intervals without compromising coverage. Regarding interval construction, most studies adopt a dual-model strategy, independently forecasting the lower and upper bounds. Input data are commonly decomposed using techniques like EMD, EEMD, or VMD, which extract frequency-based components. These components serve as inputs to models such as LSTM or ELM, trained separately for each bound. This approach allows for targeted modeling of uncertainty, improving flexibility and precision, Interval quality is typically evaluated through metrics that balance coverage and interval width. The review also highlights challenges, including the lack of standardized evaluation metrics, computational complexity, and limited real-world validation. Overall, the study reinforces the value of interval forecasting for wind energy operations and offers insights for advancing model robustness and decision-making.

Collective behavior models, such as aggregation and flocking, usually assume self-propelled robots that can directly execute their desired speed and direction of motion without fundamental constraints. However, autonomous sailing robots violate this assumption. Their motion is shaped by wind-dependent propulsion, restricted headings, and spatially varying wind conditions. In particular, maneuverability is coupled to wind speed: in weak wind, sailboats may turn only slowly or not at all, whereas stronger wind enables faster turns. This introduces transient heterogeneity in speed and maneuverability across the flock. We focus on this fast-slow coordination problem in sailing robot flocks. To study this problem, we introduce SailSwarmSwIM, a reduced-order simulator for autonomous sailing robot swarms that captures wind-dependent speed and maneuverability, no-go zones, tacking behavior, and steady or gusty wind fields. To design our novel flocking technique, we start from the Couzin model and introduce a speed-weighted social interaction rule that accounts for each robot's transient motion constraints. A key result is that increasing the social influence of slower robots improves polarization and reduces close encounters. This effect arises from a balance between attraction to fast neighbors, which helps maintain movement, and cohesion around slow neighbors, which prevents the flock from fragmenting. Together, our simulator, SailSwarmSwIM, and the speed-weighted interaction rule provide a modeling framework for studying adaptive collective behavior in robotic fleets whose motion capabilities are continuously shaped by wind.

Many downstream decisions in complex terrain require fast wind estimates at a small number of user-specified locations and heights for a given forecast valid time, rather than another dense forecast field on a fixed grid. We present WindINR, a latent-state implicit neural representation framework for continuous high-resolution local wind query and sparse-observation correction. WindINR maps static terrain descriptors, a low-resolution background field, and continuous query coordinates to a high-resolution wind state through a latent-conditioned decoder. To enable rapid inference-time correction, WindINR separates reusable representation learning from sample-specific latent-state correction. During training, a privileged encoder infers a reference latent state from high-resolution supervision, a deployable latent predictor estimates an initial latent state from inference-time inputs alone, and their discrepancies are summarized into a dataset-adaptive Gaussian prior over latent corrections. At inference time, within the WindINR module, network weights remain fixed and only the latent state is updated by minimizing a regularized correction objective using sparse observations and their uncertainty. In controlled OSSEs over the Senja region, including a UAV-aided approach scenario and random-observation robustness tests, WindINR improves local high-resolution wind estimates by updating only a compact latent state rather than the full network. The corrected representation remains continuously queryable at arbitrary coordinates and, in our CPU benchmark, yields about a $2.6\times$ online-correction speedup over full-network fine-tuning, suggesting a practical interface between kilometer-scale background products, sparse local observations, and wind queries in complex terrain.

Reliable short horizon forecasting of solar and wind generation is a structural prerequisite of any modern power system yet most published forecasters are tuned and evaluated on a single climatic regime and most algorithmic novelty has been concentrated either on classical recurrent networks or on monolithic foundation models that combine forecasting and explanation We develop a four stage hybrid framework that separates these concerns The first stage acquires hourly generation irradiance and surface weather records through public application programming interfaces The second stage trains three classical baselines autoregressive integrated moving average gradient boosted regression trees and a two layer long short term memory network and produces a strong point forecast together with a residual error series The third stage corrects the residual through a quantum inspired variational kernel built on a six qubit hardware efficient ansatz with three repeated entangling layers The fourth stage uses generative artificial intelligence strictly as an explainability layer that reads the measured benchmark numbers and produces a structured natural language interpretation Across three regions drawn from open public archives Iberian solar North Sea wind and a mixed Texas trace the proposed configuration stays within one percentage point of the strongest classical baseline on the in domain forecasting task and the quantum inspired kernel separates calm and stormy weather regimes with a Fisher discriminant ratio approximately fifteen fold higher than a tuned radial basis kernel

To enable autonomous wind estimation for energy-efficient flight in small unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), this study proposes a method that estimates flight states and wind using only the low-cost essential onboard sensors required for autonomous flight, without relying on additional wind measurement devices. The core of the method includes an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) integrated with the aerodynamic model and an Adaptive Moving Average Estimation (AMAE) technique, which improves the accuracy and smoothness of the wind estimation. Simulation results show that the approach efficiently estimates both steady and time-varying 3D wind vectors without requiring flow angle measurements. The impact of aerodynamic model accuracy on wind estimation errors is also analyzed to assess practical applicability. Flight tests validate the effectiveness of the method and its feasibility for real-time onboard computation. Additionally, uncertainties and error sources encountered during testing are systematically examined, providing a foundation for further refinement.

Designing urban spaces that provide pedestrian wind comfort and safety requires time-resolved Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations, but their current computational cost makes extensive design exploration impractical. We introduce WinDiNet (Wind Diffusion Network), a pretrained video diffusion model that is repurposed as a fast, differentiable surrogate for this task. Starting from LTX-Video, a 2B-parameter latent video transformer, we fine-tune on 10,000 2D incompressible CFD simulations over procedurally generated building layouts. A systematic study of training regimes, conditioning mechanisms, and VAE adaptation strategies, including a physics-informed decoder loss, identifies a configuration that outperforms purpose-built neural PDE solvers. The resulting model generates full 112-frame rollouts in under a second. As the surrogate is end-to-end differentiable, it doubles as a physics simulator for gradient-based inverse optimization: given an urban footprint layout, we optimize building positions directly through backpropagation to improve wind safety as well as pedestrian wind comfort. Experiments on single- and multi-inlet layouts show that the optimizer discovers effective layouts even under challenging multi-objective configurations, with all improvements confirmed by ground-truth CFD simulations.

The proliferation of data-driven models in weather and climate sciences has marked a significant paradigm shift, with advanced models demonstrating exceptional skill in medium-range forecasting. However, these models are often limited by long-term instabilities, climatological drift, and substantial computational costs during training and inference, restricting their broader application for climate studies. Addressing these limitations, Guan et al. (2024) introduced LUCIE, a lightweight, physically consistent climate emulator utilizing a Spherical Fourier Neural Operator (SFNO) architecture. This model is able to reproduce accurate long-term statistics including climatological mean and seasonal variability. However, LUCIE's native resolution (~300 km) is inadequate for detailed regional impact assessments. To overcome this limitation, we introduce a deep learning-based downscaling framework, leveraging probabilistic diffusion-based generative models with conditional and posterior sampling frameworks. These models downscale coarse LUCIE outputs to 25 km resolution. They are trained on approximately 14,000 ERA5 timesteps spanning 2000-2009 and evaluated on LUCIE predictions from 2010 to 2020. Model performance is assessed through diverse metrics, including latitude-averaged RMSE, power spectrum, probability density functions and First Empirical Orthogonal Function of the zonal wind. We observe that the proposed approach is able to preserve the coarse-grained dynamics from LUCIE while generating fine-scaled climatological statistics at ~28km resolution.

Urban wind flow reconstruction is essential for assessing air quality, heat dispersion, and pedestrian comfort, yet remains challenging when only sparse sensor data are available. We propose GenDA, a generative data assimilation framework that reconstructs high-resolution wind fields on unstructured meshes from limited observations. The model employs a multiscale graph-based diffusion architecture trained on computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations and interprets classifier-free guidance as a learned posterior reconstruction mechanism: the unconditional branch learns a geometry-aware flow prior, while the sensor-conditioned branch injects observational constraints during sampling. This formulation enables obstacle-aware reconstruction and generalization to held-out mesh geometries, wind directions, and sensor configurations within the studied urban-flow setting, without retraining. We consider both sparse fixed sensors and trajectory-based observations using the same reconstruction procedure. When evaluated against supervised graph neural network (GNN) baselines and classical reduced-order data assimilation methods, GenDA reduces the relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE) by 25-57% and increases the structural similarity index (SSIM) by 23-33% across the tested meshes. Experiments are conducted on Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) simulations of a real urban neighborhood in Bristol, United Kingdom, at a characteristic Reynolds number of $\mathrm{Re}\approx2\times10^{7}$, featuring complex building geometry and irregular terrain. The proposed framework provides a scalable path toward generative, geometry-aware data assimilation for environmental monitoring in complex domains.

High-altitude balloons (HABs) are common in scientific research due to their wide range of applications and low cost. Because of their nonlinear, underactuated dynamics and the partial observability of wind fields, prior work has largely relied on model-free reinforcement learning (RL) methods to design near-optimal control schemes for station-keeping. These methods often compare only against hand-crafted heuristics, dismissing model-based approaches as impractical given the system complexity and uncertain wind forecasts. We revisit this assumption about the efficacy of model-based control for station-keeping by developing First-Order Model Predictive Control (FOMPC). By implementing the wind and balloon dynamics as differentiable functions in JAX, we enable gradient-based trajectory optimization for online planning. FOMPC outperforms a state-of-the-art RL policy, achieving a 24% improvement in time-within-radius (TWR) without requiring offline training, though at the cost of greater online computation per control step. Through systematic ablations of modeling assumptions and control factors, we show that online planning is effective across many configurations, including under simplified wind and dynamics models.

Rapid urbanization demands efficient monitoring of turbulent wind and pollutant dispersion, yet existing reconstruction and sensor placement strategies fail under realistic sparsity constraints. Here, we introduce Diff--SPORT, a diffusion-based framework that combines a generative diffusion prior with maximum a posteriori inference and Shapley-value attribution for high-fidelity flow reconstruction and optimal sensor placement. By training a diffusion prior model once over a domain, Diff--SPORT enables non-linear optimal sensor placement and near-real-time flow reconstruction from sparse measurements orders of magnitude faster than RANS or LES simulations, consistently outperforming state-of-the-art methods. The framework also extends, without algorithmic modification, to experimental passive scalar concentration dataset, a direct proxy for pollutant dispersion, measured in a 1:2400 scale water-flume model of the Beijing Haidian neighbourhood under realistic urban flow conditions. Shapley-guided sensor placement achieves up to 57% lower reconstruction error than randomly placed sensors at extreme sparsity, identifying compact and physically interpretable configurations. These results establish Diff--SPORT as a modular foundation offering a zero-shot alternative to retraining-intensive downstream strategies, supporting scalable urban flow monitoring for air quality management and resilient city design.