AI Agent Evaluation

Momentum

58 papers in the last four weeks, up 100% on the four weeks before. 0.6% of all new papers.

Jul 13Week of Sep 28

Latest papers 344

Oct 8, 2026cs.AI

A 3D Characterization Framework for Intelligent Sequential Decision Making

Puzzles are widely used to evaluate the reasoning capabilities of artificial intelligence (AI) systems for sequential decision making, yet approaches originating from different paradigms are rarely compared under unified conditions. To address this gap, we introduce a three-dimensional characterization framework that enables the analysts of AI methods by 1) projecting them to the Markov decision process (MDP) sequential decision making formalism, 2) degree of autonomy through human prior ranking of their designs and, 3) skill and computational cost. Using this framework, we analyze how representative graph-based, reinforcement learning, and large language model (LLM)-based approaches differ in their design choices and performance characteristics, instantiated respectively by Neurosolver, forward-backward reinforcement learning (FBRL), and automated thought-of-search (AutoToS), including a double-agent extension of thought-of-search (DA-ToS). The analysis relies on the Tower of Hanoi puzzle that provides a controlled benchmark with well-defined rules and scalable complexity, enabling consistent comparison across increasing problem sizes. The 3D characterization reveals that LLM-based methods, due to their weakly constrained action-space design, shift complexity from architecture to inference-time verification, leading to substantially higher memory and runtime costs than Neurosolver and FBRL.
Oct 8, 2026cs.CL

TRACE: Diagnosing Verifier Brittleness in Agentic Evaluation

Verifier scores now serve as both benchmark metrics and training rewards for large language model (LLM) agents, and a change in score is routinely read as a change in capability. It may instead reflect a change in the evaluation. We introduce TRACE, a protocol that turns a score change from a verdict into a testable diagnosis: it applies a targeted change to one part of an evaluation, compares paired runs, checks whether the agent's behavior changed, and rescores unchanged trajectories to test whether the scoring rule is responsible. In a controlled suite of 25 synthetic tasks, renaming tools lowers a scripted agent's score by 0.250 even though it performs exactly the same operations; restoring the original names at scoring time closes the entire gap, while the same mutation exposes a genuine behavioral failure in a second agent. On public τ2τ^2-bench tasks with four LLM agents, an initial 30-task study finds mixed reward changes whose one clear effect does not replicate. In a larger follow-up on 88 new tasks with repeated runs per condition, renaming tools or reformatting tool outputs leaves reward unchanged to within ±\pm0.10 for seven of eight agent-change pairs, whereas tool names that deliberately mislead lower every agent's reward by 0.20-0.44, showing that the setup can detect real effects. Identical reruns flip 15-36% of task outcomes, so single-run comparisons cannot separate presentation effects from run-to-run variation. Two frontier LLM judges give consistent verdicts when a fixed trajectory is presented differently, yet disagree with each other on 57% of the same records, largely because one grades procedure rather than outcome. TRACE thus separates what a score change says about the agent from what it says about the measurement.
Oct 8, 2026cs.SE

Closed-loop evaluation of LLM agents for embedded software development

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed as coding agents that edit files, run builds and tests, inspect execution results, and repair software iteratively. Embedded firmware is a demanding target because correctness depends on closed-loop behavior under sensing, timing, and safety constraints, not only on static source quality. Yet embedded-agent evaluation remains limited and often emphasizes one-shot synthesis or offline correctness. We present a benchmark for closed-loop evaluation of embedded coding agents. Each task provides a plain-text engineering description, constrained workspace, and visible build-and-runtime surface. The agent must translate requirements into implementation and self-verification steps, then iterate until the required device behavior is achieved. The suite contains five embedded-control tasks and four feedback scenarios: one-shot generation, realistic self-verification, CI-style red/green feedback, and oracle-style detailed feedback. The implementation targets simulated ESP32 firmware for reproducibility. We evaluate seven GPT-family and Qwen-family configurations across five tasks and four scenarios, with three repetitions per condition for 420 runs. gpt-5.4 has the highest pass rate among evaluated configurations but does not saturate the benchmark; qwen3.5-27B is the strongest observed local model; and smaller local models degrade sharply in pass rate and search efficiency. These results suggest that capable local embedded coding agents are emerging.
Oct 7, 2026cs.AI

SciExam for ENSO: Can AI Agents Build Climate Models?

Language-model agents are increasingly asked to carry out open-ended scientific research, yet their results are usually graded against a known answer, a rubric, or a language-model reviewer, none of which can tell whether a new scientific model is valid. The AI Science Exam for El Nino-Southern Oscillation (SciExam for ENSO) is a benchmark in which agents build low-order stochastic models of ENSO, the dominant mode of interannual climate variability, from real observations. Within a six-hour budget, agents process the observations, write their own diagnostics, which are then frozen, and develop a model using only these diagnostics as feedback. Hidden graders then test whether the model reproduces ENSO's statistics, recovers unobserved variables, and forecasts held-out years, and score a published model in the same way. Across twelve agent systems, six produce models that score higher than the published model, mainly through better reconstruction and forecasting. The simplified forms of the stronger models are each compatible with one of the two competing explanations of ENSO's warm-cold asymmetry, an open debate that the task never mentions. Controlled runs of the top system under varied information suggest that its scores do not come from recalling the dated observational record and that the information it receives shapes how it builds its model. SciExam for ENSO can thus evaluate agent research where no answer is known, and the results suggest that agents can already build competitive models whose structures bear on questions that scientists still debate.
Oct 7, 2026cs.AI

Before They Can Solve: Predicting Post-Training Coding-Agent Performance from Base Models

How can we predict which base checkpoint is worth an expensive round of agentic post-training? End-to-end pass@KK tests whether successful behavior already appears in a base model's distribution, but it is a poor fit for agentic coding: many base checkpoints cannot reliably produce the well-formed tool invocation required to complete a task end-to-end. Single-shot or short-horizon tasks avoid these tool-calling failures by collapsing a multi-step interaction into a fixed prompt and a single patch, but they sidestep the core capability we care about: maintaining coherent state over many tool-using steps as the repository evolves. To bridge this gap, we treat successful post-trained agent trajectories as a lookahead signal of base-model potential. Replaying each trajectory and rerunning tests after every code-changing step identifies the decisive step: the first step whose cumulative patch flips the repository from failing to passing, certifying that the recorded action solves the task given the prior context. Motivated by a coverage principle for agentic traces, we build three screens at this step that do not require a base checkpoint to drive the harness from a cold start: (i) Decisive-Action BPB (bits per byte) measures the probability mass on the certified action, (ii) Patch MCQ tests the checkpoint's choice between that action and alternatives rejected by the same verifier, and (iii) prefix-conditioned pass@KK evaluates support for functionally-correct generations and credits any continuation that the tests accept. Across ten pairs of public base and post-trained models, all three screens rank the cohort in close agreement with post-trained SWE-bench Verified pass@11. As our methods need only a benchmark's successful trajectories and its verifier, they can be applied to turn future agentic coding benchmarks into base-model evaluations.
Oct 7, 2026cs.AI

Stale, Misattributed, or Late: Where Personal Memory Fails Before Generation

Personal memory for language agents is usually judged by whether the final an- swer is correct. That score hides errors that arise before generation: the memory block may contain an obsolete value, a fact about the wrong person, or no use- ful fact before the serving deadline. We measure these failures directly. Using Personal Fact Memory (PFM) as a reference layer, we find that temporal validity is primarily a property of memory construction in our setting. On a controlled revision benchmark, serving only the active value of each correctly keyed slot eliminates observed stale exposure; without update resolution, 70.3% of prompts expose a superseded value. Once retrievers share the same active store and par- ticipant information, participant-aware BM25 is equivalent to the reference ranker within a prespecified 0.02 margin. The harder problem is assigning revisions to the right slot. Missed merges leave stale values active, whereas false merges silently remove current values; four LLM key assigners achieve higher key re- call than a rule extractor yet produce lower clean-retrieval rates, and open-domain merge recall on LongMemEval never exceeds 0.062. Misattribution survives va- lidity filtering: an entity posterior reduces same-name exposure on controlled data but cannot distinguish identically named speakers in LoCoMo. Two frozen lan- guage models reproduce prompt errors in generated text. Retrieval latency varies across rankers, but prompt prefill dominates turn-level latency on our hardware. These results argue for evaluating agent memory before generation, separating stored-state validity, identity resolution, abstention, and serving latency.
Oct 7, 2026cs.AI

Shared and structured inputs undermine collective random choice by reasoning AI agents

Random selection is widely used in resource allocation and auditing, making reliable implementation essential for AI-agent systems. Behavioural tests across six reasoning models uncovered threshold and divisibility rules used in identifier-based choices. For threshold-following GPT-6 Sol and Gemini 3.8 Flash, single-agent measurements prospectively predicted correlated participation under shared identifiers and biased participation under distinct identifiers with common timestamp bits. Changing dates, formats and identifier labels revealed when these predictions held. Explicit instructions to randomize independently reduced but did not eliminate shared-input correlation. To test implications for oversight, we asked four models to select customer requests randomly for human review. GPT-6 Sol approached the target rate while selecting predictably from identifiers; the others rarely selected requests. All four closely followed supplied random draws. These findings expose collective and audit vulnerabilities that selection rates alone miss, making input-dependent bias, correlation and predictability central targets for agent evaluation.
Oct 7, 2026cs.AI

The AI Evaluation Ecosystem

AI evaluation shapes the decisions of model providers, users, funders, and regulators. We argue that designing valid benchmarks requires contextualizing design choices in the dynamics of this ecosystem of actors. We develop a simulation architecture that combines rule-based market dynamics with LLM-driven strategic actors, building on advances in Generative Agent-Based Modeling (GABM). We model benchmarks, consumer needs, and provider capabilities as vectors over a six-dimensional capability space (reasoning, coding, knowledge, safety, communication, agentic), with structural information partitions across actors. As a case study, we apply this stylized simulation to explore benchmark holdout design. We find that moving from public benchmarks to private holdout benchmarks shrinks the gap between benchmark scores and user satisfaction on most benchmarks but widens it on a few, depending on where holdout weights shift scoring credit. We stress-test our findings at both the instrument and case-study level, drawing on the V&V framework of Sargent (2013) and GABM-specific evidence criteria. Beyond holdout design, our simulation is a hypothesis-generating sandbox for studying how evaluator and policy choices, in turn, reshape the ecosystem.
Oct 6, 2026cs.AI

RippleCP: Measuring Counterfactual Checkpoint Advantage in Coding Agents

Agent checkpoint systems decide what state is recovery-relevant, how to snapshot it, and whether rollback is admissible. None decides which of the safe boundaries they expose are worth materializing. We formulate this as counterfactual checkpoint advantage, the reduction in future recovery cost obtained by checkpointing a candidate rather than skipping it, and measure it by driving a CP branch and a SKIP branch to the same logical failure and recovering both under matched model, tool, verifier, and stopping conditions. On a frozen pilot of 12 SWE-bench Verified tasks and 106 real recovery branches, checkpointing saves 49.4 s per task, and that figure resolves into two regimes two orders of magnitude apart. The first checkpoint returns 100.0 s on 156.5 s of protected work, a conversion of 0.64; a second one step later returns-1.1 s on 41.8 s, a conversion of -0.03. Recovery is a re-derivation rather than a replay, so preserved work is a poor guide to saved work, and the classical elapsed-work rule misprices the second checkpoint by its full nominal cost. We identify where placement can pay, and set the bar a placement policy must clear.
Oct 6, 2026cs.AI

Can AI Agents Make Open-Ended Scientific Discovery? Evidence from Station

Recent AI systems have made rapid progress in scientific discovery when given well-defined metrics, but whether they can autonomously undertake open-ended scientific discovery remains unclear. We investigate AI's ability to tackle open-ended tasks in Station, an open-world environment in which multiple agents simulate a scientific ecosystem. To tackle challenges specific to open-ended tasks, we propose augmenting Station with two mechanisms: a Supervisor mechanism and periodic Meta Reflection, which encourage persistent exploration even when intermediate metrics are lacking. We construct open-ended tasks from three recent oral papers presented at ICLR. We give agents the main research question studied in each paper while withholding the paper's results and disabling web access. We then measure how many of the original findings-partitioned into individual criteria-agents rediscover. We find that Station rediscovers 62.7% of the criteria on average, compared with 15.4% for Codex Multiagent-v2 and 14.4-20.6% for AI Scientist-v2. Ablation and behavioral analyses indicate that adding the two mechanisms together improves research coverage and continuity. We further evaluate Station on two open-ended tasks without oracle papers and find that some of the discoveries made by the agents closely match discoveries reported by researchers after the knowledge cutoff date. Together, these results indicate that a suitable environment can enable agents to autonomously make meaningful progress in open-ended scientific discovery.
Oct 6, 2026cs.AI

Agent Plasticity: Measuring Self-Improvement Through Experience

AI agents increasingly operate in environments where they can diagnose failures and improve through experience, yet existing evaluations largely measure what an agent can do at a fixed point in time rather than how effectively it learns. Evaluating self-improvement requires answering three questions: does future performance improve and generalize beyond the interactions that enabled learning; how efficiently are new capabilities acquired; and where does the self-improvement process break down? To answer these questions, we study self-improvement in a controlled setting where agents amortize past experience into reusable artifacts that are inherited by future instances. At each checkpoint, we measure performance on training and held-out environment interactions while accounting for learning cost. We introduce agent plasticity, the efficiency with which an agent converts experience into gains in future held-out performance. Across multiple environments, frontier models exhibit sharply different improvement trajectories despite comparable opportunities to learn. Some achieve substantial and persistent gains, while others remain near or below their initial performance, and gains within the training regime often transfer only partially to out-of-distribution conditions. Endpoint capability and acquisition efficiency also diverge: the agent that ultimately performs best need not be the one that improves most efficiently. Tracing failures through the improvement loop further reveals different candidate bottlenecks. Agents with low plasticity often fail to reuse relevant artifacts, whereas more plastic agents may still fail despite reusing relevant artifacts, pointing to limitations in artifact quality, generalization, or application. Evaluating self-improving agents requires measuring not only what they can do, but how effectively they become better through experience.
Oct 6, 2026cs.AI

EIO-Agents: The Missing Semantic Layer for AI Agent Evaluation

AI agents are entering production in increasingly consequential environments without a shared semantic standard for what their evaluations actually mean. Scores, traces, judge outputs, and multi juror findings are increasingly used to justify readiness and release decisions, yet they often do not specify what evidence supports a claim, what that evidence can establish, or how the claim leads to a decision. We introduce EIO-Agents, an open specification for interoperable AI agent evaluation built on two layers. The Evaluation Intelligence Ontology (EIO) provides the semantic layer through typed evidence, versioned behavioral predicates, evidence contracts, claims, witness rules, proof status, recurrence, and computable derivations for metrics, findings, controls, and PASS, REVIEW, or BLOCK decisions. The Portable Evaluation Record (PER) provides the system of record: a canonical, content addressed representation of one evaluation that preserves the evidence to decision chain and can be re derived, explained, and verified. Scores summarize, juries interpret, and traces record, but none of them define what the evidence means or what it can prove. EIO provides that missing semantic contract, while PER preserves the resulting evaluation as a portable and verifiable system of record. As AI agents assume greater operational responsibility, evaluation must become more than a collection of scores and verdicts; it must become an accountable artifact whose meaning, evidence, limitations, and decisions can be independently checked.
Oct 5, 2026cs.RO

Inspect Robots: Evaluating the Capabilities and Safety of Embodied AI

General purpose language models are increasingly able to control robotic hardware. Understanding the capabilities and safety of these models when embodied is therefore increasingly important for understanding their societal impact and risks. To this end, we introduce Inspect Robots, a modular, open-source framework for developing and running evaluations of embodied agents. Inspect Robots pairs customizable, reusable abstractions for specifying physical evaluations and analyzing their results with infrastructure that automates evaluation setup, execution and termination. We demonstrate Inspect Robots by using it to evaluate the capabilities and safety of six policies based on frontier language models. Inspect Robots has seen significant early uptake, receiving nearly 100,000 downloads in the three months since its release.
Oct 5, 2026cs.AI

MiniCorp: The Last Mile of the AI Agent Firm

The last mile toward enterprise AGI is a company that runs itself. Training and adapting such agents require longitudinal enterprise data, which remain scarce, costly to acquire, and often restricted by privacy constraints. Historical archives are also frequently incomplete and record only what actually happened. They cannot show the outcomes of alternative decisions. We introduce MiniCorp, an office simulator for studying how agents can collectively run a company while generating enterprise data at scale. Using an e-commerce company as a demonstration, MiniCorp connects two interacting worlds. The external world models customers, dynamic competitors, and market mechanisms. The internal world consists of agents that observe events, discuss their options, and make strategic decisions. These decisions have lasting effects on the market, and the resulting feedback informs the firm's later decisions. As the firm and market interact, MiniCorp continuously records the agents' communications and decisions. These records preserve the information available at the time and the business results that followed. Checkpointing allows the same situation to be replayed under different decisions, providing comparisons unavailable in static archives. We evaluate end-to-end fidelity against patterns reported in empirical studies of real markets. These evaluations provide agents with realistic market feedback and reduce the risk that they learn to exploit flaws in the simulator. Our experiments show agents coordinating across roles and adapting their decisions to market feedback. With explicit long-term strategic guidance, they also sustain advertising exploration despite weak early returns. MiniCorp thus provides an environment for studying AI-run companies and a scalable source of longitudinal and counterfactual enterprise data for agent training and evaluation.
Oct 4, 2026cs.AI

AutoSciBench: Autonomous Benchmark Generation for Evaluating Scientific Agents

As agents rapidly evolve, existing benchmarks can become saturated, limiting their ability to distinguish capabilities and reveal remaining failure modes. Particularly in scientific domains, constructing and updating benchmarks requires substantial time, labor, and domain expertise, making it difficult to keep evaluation aligned with advances in agent capabilities. We address this challenge by investigating whether scientific-agent benchmarks can be automatically generated and iteratively adapted as agent capabilities evolve. We introduce AutoSciBench, a framework that represents each task as a high-level concept specifying the scientific domain, data modality, and required reasoning approach, together with a low-level recipe specifying how the question, environment, and ground-truth answer are constructed and verified. Agents attempt to solve each task, producing solver trajectories and corresponding judge feedback which AutoSciBench uses to revise the recipe or concept, closing observed shortcuts and shifting tasks toward raw-data re-examination, interpretation of intermediate results, and evidence integration. Experience distilled from completed refinement trajectories further guides new concept generation, allowing lessons from earlier task refinement to inform subsequent benchmark construction. Starting from existing benchmarks, we evaluate AutoSciBench across computational biology, materials science, and clinical imaging. Generated benchmarks reduce average solver accuracy by 22.4 and 25.5 percentage points relative to the human-curated benchmarks in computational biology and materials science, respectively, while generated tasks receive higher average quality ratings across all three domains, suggesting that scientific-agent evaluation can adapt as agent capabilities advance.
Oct 1, 2026cs.AI

Code Owns the Simulation, Jev Owns the Evaluation

Judgment models such as \jev{} return, in a single call and without reasoning text, a probability for each described option. This makes them attractive as an agent's action-selection layer, but it is unclear which decisions they can be trusted with. We test \jev{} on reflection tests, one-shot matrix games, the text game ALFWorld and robot control, and find a sharp boundary. \jev{} succeeds when the right option can be judged from what the input describes, which we call \emph{evaluation}. Specifically, it solves 99% of the counterintuitive Cognitive Reflection Test questions. However, it fails when the right option depends on \emph{simulation} (i.e., predicting something not in the input), such as the opponent's action or the subgoal that must come first. In games, \jev{} plays suboptimally as if its rational opponent acted at random, because the opponent's action is not given. In ALFWorld, \jev{} favors commands that mention an object or place named in the task description. For example, given the task ``put a clean knife in the drawer'', \jev{} carries an unwashed knife straight to the drawer instead of first washing it at the sink. Surprisingly, many of these failures are not due to a lack of knowledge. Asked separately what the opponent will do, \jev{} usually answers correctly, and it responds well given the opponent's action. It fails when one call must both perform the simulation and evaluate based on it. This suggests letting code make the prediction or simulation. When code supplies it, such as a lookahead in ALFWorld and physics simulation in robot control, \jev{} becomes an expert controller through its general evaluation ability.
Oct 1, 2026cs.AI

Continuous Process-Level Evaluation for Evolving Enterprise AI Agent Skills

Enterprise AI agent skills evolve as tool APIs, models, and specifications change, yet final-output evaluation can miss process-level behavioral drift. We present a continuous evaluation framework combining outcome-level and process-level checks, applied to Revenue and Productivity variants of a Business Value Determination skill in an enterprise Value Aware Resiliency system. The framework independently computes per-run ground truth, materializes reusable template tests, and evaluates tool selection, arguments, execution order, and database integrity through programmatic checks and a narrowly scoped LLM judge. We evaluate 240 trials across two skills, two specification variants, two agent harnesses, and three models. Of 175 trials passing all applicable final numerical checks, 162 (92.6 percent; Wilson 95 percent CI: 87.7-95.6 percent) contained another evaluator-detected deviation. Under a broader seven-check final-state definition, 151 of 164 passing runs (92.1 percent; 95 percent CI: 86.9-95.3 percent) still violated a trajectory check. Dependency attribution reduced a mean of 6.34 failed checks per run to 2.65 roots. Specification sensitivity varied by model and harness, with exploratory bootstrap interaction intervals excluding zero for all three Revenue comparisons and one of three Productivity comparisons. Runtime-resolved templates provided reusable regression coverage across the evaluated configurations; longitudinal validation under actual API evolution remains future work.
Oct 1, 2026cs.AI

Agents Are Systems, Not Models: Rethinking Agentic Evaluation

Agent evaluations increasingly go beyond a single success rate, reporting metrics such as cost, consistency, and robustness. Yet they typically treat the agent itself as fixed. In practice, an agent is a configurable system: users decide what to tell it, how long to let it run, and which model to use, and each of these choices can change how well and how consistently it performs. We study these choices on a new benchmark of four scientific tasks, where a coding agent must find and correctly operate a published specialist model. We investigate five parts of the agent's configuration: task information, reasoning, self-verification, time budget, and backbone model. We find substantial run-to-run variability, with approximately 54% of the outcome variance coming from repeating the same configuration rather than changing it. Across configurations, the information provided to the agent has the largest effect, exceeding both time budget and model size, while also reducing cost and improving calibration. Configuration choices also interact: additional time helps only when the agent has sufficient information or a capable enough model to use it. Finally, a trajectory-based taxonomy of agent behavior reveals that prompting an agent to verify its answer has little effect on its verification behavior, whereas providing a dedicated verification tool changes that behavior substantially. These results suggest that agents should be evaluated as configurable systems themselves, and that some desired behaviors are more effectively implemented in the system than requested through prompting. We release the benchmark and more than 18,000 agent trajectories.
Oct 1, 2026cs.AI

Auditing Action Settlement in LLM Agent Environments: Order, Progress, and Replay

Concurrent actions in large language model (LLM) agent environments require arbitration even when each proposal is individually valid. We implement a typed snapshot-settlement contract and audit three distinct properties: order sensitivity, useful progress, and replay consistency. Five settlement policies are tested in 28,800 exhaustive permutation trials and 2,160 scripted multistep episodes. Joint policies are spatially order-invariant conditional on fixed priorities, yet conservative rejection completes only 31.25% of agents in a six-agent doorway task versus 90.28% for random tickets; the paired improvement is 59.03 percentage points (95% bootstrap interval: 50.00-68.06). All policies preserve the tested spatial constraints, and priority arbitration still misses the independent small-instance optimum. A separate full-state journal audit exactly replays 156 checkpoints and rejects 1,332 constructed corruptions with a retained terminal anchor. The evidence concerns execution semantics, not human realism or long-run fairness.
Oct 1, 2026cs.CL

Beyond Leaderboards: Tokenomics of Agentic Small Language Model Ensembles

As large language models (LLMs) move from standalone assistants into agentic workflows, evaluation must extend beyond scalar leaderboard accuracy to account for operational reliability, cost, latency, and token efficiency. We use an agentic ensemble of small language models (SLMs) with an SLM-judge-mediated feedback loop as a case study for such beyond-leaderboard evaluation. On the 541-prompt IFEval benchmark, the best ensemble achieves 97.34% strict prompt accuracy, exceeding the strongest standalone LLM baseline, gpt-5.4, by 5.81 percentage points while operating in a lower-cost regime. We then analyze the tokenomics and operational behavior behind this gain, including cost per sample, token composition, useful-output goodput, feedback-loop recovery, latency decomposition, and performance across instruction categories and constraint counts. Our results show that agentic SLM ensembles can trade additional test-time tokens and orchestration overhead for improved instruction-following fidelity, motivating multi-dimensional evaluation protocols for future agentic AI systems.
Sep 30, 2026cs.AI

Agent Evaluation Reliability: More Tasks Won't (Always) Fix An Agent Leaderboard

Agent evaluations are increasingly used to compare LLMs and inform deployment decisions, yet ranks can reflect not only the model but also the effects of the evaluation conditions such as the scaffolds or tasks. This makes reliability claim-dependent: an evaluation that reliably ranks deployed systems may not reliably rank underlying models. We ask which conclusions current agent evaluations reliably support and what additional evaluation would improve them. We develop a Bayesian variance-decomposition framework for sparse, imbalanced agent leaderboards and apply it to 22 benchmarks from the Holistic Agent Leaderboard and Harbor Index. The framework separates signal, performance differences relevant to the intended claim, from noise, irrelevant variation that can still change rankings. We find: (1) Reliability depends on the measurement goal. Fixed model-scaffold systems are ranked reliably (0.935-0.994), while underlying-model reliability is substantially lower (0.148-0.841). (2) Scaffold choice can change conclusions. Inter-scaffold reliability measures whether scaffolds preserve model rankings, showing that scaffold effects vary substantially across evaluations. (3) More tasks cannot resolve all uncertainty. Even infinitely many similarly constructed tasks improve model-ranking reliability of a benchmark by at most 0.097 when uncertainty is dominated by limited scaffold coverage. (4) Pooling diverse benchmarks can improve cross-task rankings at lower cost. For rankings across diverse agentic tasks, pooling benchmarks raises projected reliability from 0.44 to 0.75 at the same task budget and can reduce projected cost by up to 83%. Evaluation design should follow the intended claim: identify what a score or ranking should mean, diagnose what limits its reliability, and spend evaluation budget on the sources of uncertainty that matter.
Sep 30, 2026cs.AI

CompMat-Bench: Benchmarking AI Agents for Computational Materials Science

Evaluating AI agents on scientific research tasks is constrained by the time and resources required for the underlying experiments or calculations. In computational materials research, repeating the same expensive simulations across agents and trials can make evaluation impractical. We introduce CompMat-Bench, a benchmark of 94 tasks derived from recently published computational materials studies, each asking agents to complete a step toward achieving the study's scientific goal. We reproduce the research steps in advance and assess agents on preparing inputs and analyzing outputs for expensive simulations, so expensive simulations can be avoided during evaluation. The reproduced inputs and results serve as ground truth for grading agents with fixed rules, without an LLM judge. The benchmark supports four evaluation conditions: single tasks and workflows composed of related tasks, each with full or reduced methodological guidance. With full guidance on single tasks, agents based on three LLMs demonstrate the ability to complete individual materials research steps, with pass rates of 66.0-90.4% across 94 tasks. Both longer workflows and reduced guidance can limit agent performance, but in different ways for different agents: they lower the pass rates of the weaker agents, whereas the strongest agent falls only when a long workflow is combined with reduced guidance. Failure analysis attributes most failures to scientific errors rather than to errors in software usage. CompMat-Bench provides a basis for comparing agents on the steps of real materials research and for analyzing agent failure modes.
Sep 30, 2026cs.CR

No One Architecture Fits All: A Cross-Environment Evaluation of Hierarchical Red Team Agents

Autonomous red team agents increasingly stress-test AI-enabled cyber defenses by planning strategy and executing multistage attacks. Reinforcement learning (RL) and large language models (LLMs) offer complementary mechanisms for the planning and execution such agents require, and prior work has combined them in hybrid hierarchies. Yet a given architecture is typically developed and evaluated within a single environment, leaving open whether an observed advantage reflects a generally stronger decision mechanism or merely alignment with a particular setting. We address this gap with a controlled cross-environment comparison of two homogeneous hierarchical red team architectures: an RL planner with an RL executor (RL+RL) and an LLM planner with an LLM executor (LLM+LLM). We evaluate both against expert autonomous defenders in CybORG CAGE-4 and in Cyberwheel at two network scales, across 18 configurations under one unified disruption metric. We find a pronounced environment-dependent inversion. RL+RL wins the compact, densely rewarded CAGE-4 (78.5% disruption success versus 18.0% for the strongest LLM configuration) and the 100-host Cyberwheel network (81.0% versus 50.5%), while a pretrained cybersecurity LLM agent wins the larger, escalation-gated 1010-host Cyberwheel network (55.0% versus 0.0% for RL). A kill-chain analysis explains the inversion through architecture-specific bottlenecks that aggregate success rates conceal.In the 1010-host Cyberwheel network, RL discovers and compromises hosts but stalls at privilege escalation, whereas in CAGE-4, LLM agents obtain privileged access but rarely convert it into operational impact. These results indicate that conclusions drawn in a single environment may not generalize, and that hybrid planner-executor designs should be motivated by specific failure modes rather than the assumption that one architecture is universally preferable.
Sep 30, 2026cs.AI

RankEvolve: A Reliable Multi-Agent Auto-Research Harness for Evolving Ranking Models

Auto-research agents, LLM systems that propose, implement, train, and evaluate model changes across iterations, promise to automate applied ML's experimental loop. Over long horizons, execution accuracy is a binding constraint: a change can silently leak held-out data, omit normalization, disconnect a gradient, or leave a train/eval flag unwired, invalidating expensive runs and compounding error across iterations. We present RankEvolve, an auto-research framework for evolving generative ranking models. An Executable Operating Protocol (EOP) declares phases, gates, branches, and loops, and the runtime enforces the compiled state machine. A meta-meta-harness composes complete black-box coding-agent products, including Claude Code and Codex, as execution-graph nodes that review and repair one another's work. In a budget-matched evaluation, heterogeneous composition raises all-oracle execution accuracy from the best single-product baseline of 45.8 percent to 62.5 percent (paired +16.7 points, 95 percent CI [6.6, 26.7]) while achieving a 10.4 percent silent critical-defect rate. An implemented knowledge layer carries findings, including negative results, across iterations. In a twelve-iteration deployment on the open-source HSTU recommender, RankEvolve reported NDCG@10 of 0.2192 on MovieLens-20M LARGE (+4.48 percent over the published anchor) and 0.1948 on BASE (+2.80 percent). ExecML-HSTU, seeded by incidents from that deployment, provides the oracle benchmark for the execution-accuracy evaluation. A pre-specified LitGPT transfer split replicates the heterogeneous-composition effect beyond recommendation (+12.5 points, 95 percent CI [3.0, 22.0]), and a paired ablation isolates per-step from full-protocol instruction injection. These results characterize when runtime-controlled composition of coding-agent products improves execution accuracy.
Sep 30, 2026cs.AI

What Should an Agent Remember? Disentangling Retention from Retrieval in Bounded-Memory Evaluation

A persistent agent must decide both what to retain as information arrives and what to surface once a query appears, yet memory evaluations can confound these decisions by comparing methods that differ in both retention and selection. We build a streaming-recall benchmark crossing retention and selection rules and evaluate every condition on the same 300 seeded episodes. Holding access fixed, query-aware selection improves required-fact recall by 15.5 percentage points (95% CI: 12.8 to 18.2), whereas a mixed comparison that also changes history access reports a 68.7-point advantage, of which 53.2 points are attributable to access. Under bounded retention, query-aware, dense, and oracle selection reach the retention ceiling, and all 319 observed failures in the bounded recency condition are caused by eviction rather than ranking errors. Recall falls to 0% as targets recede sufficiently far into the past. Repeating the evaluation on SQuAD preserves the retention ceiling while showing that dense retrieval can outperform lexical retrieval on natural text. These results show that bounded-memory evaluations should hold access fixed and report retention and selection separately.
Sep 30, 2026cs.AI

Risk-Aware Adaptive Evaluation: Finding High-Impact Failures Under Limited Budgets

Evaluating interactive agents is expensive. Agent behavior is stochastic, so reliability must be measured over repeated trials, but failures are rare and differ widely in how much they matter. Standard benchmarks spend this budget uniformly: a read-only lookup is sampled as often as an irreversible payment action. We instead formulate evaluation as a sequential allocation problem. Given a fixed trial budget and a set of scenarios whose failure behavior is unknown, which scenarios should be run, and run again? We propose a risk-aware contextual Thompson Sampling policy that combines a pre-execution scenario context vector and a fixed impact score with the failure outcomes observed during evaluation, and we test it by offline replay over 70 ττ-bench airline scenarios and 824 recorded trials. Our main result is at the smallest budget: with only 50 trials (6%6\% of the corpus), the policy recovers 86%86\% of the impact-weighted failures an oracle could find, compared to 25%25\% for uniform allocation. It discovers 3.5×3.5\times more impact-weighted failures (215.4 vs. 62.2) with the same number of trials, delivers 5×5\times the discovery per dollar, and cuts the budget wasted on scenarios that never fail from 34%34\% to 2.8%2.8\%. The rest of our analysis demonstrates and qualifies this result: a budget sweep shows the advantage shrinks as the budget approaches the corpus size, and paired significance tests show that scenario context helps mainly at small budgets while posterior-based exploration helps at moderate ones. Risk-aware adaptive allocation therefore helps most exactly where evaluation budget is scarcest.
Sep 29, 2026cs.AI

AgBench: Agentic AI Benchmarks for Personal AI Devices

Agentic AI systems increasingly rely on cloud-hosted large language models for planning, tool use, and iterative execution, raising concerns about API cost and data exposure. Advances in personal AI devices enable agents to execute locally, but limited resources on device may affect task success and performance. Existing benchmarks are inadequate for systematically characterizing these trade-offs across devices, workloads, and deployment architectures. We present AgBench, a benchmark suite and open artifacts for reproducible evaluation of agentic AI on personal devices. Using AgBench, we evaluate local, hybrid, and cloud execution across agentic workloads, examining task success, latency, cloud API cost, and data exposure. Our results, drawn from over 162.07 million data points, show that personal AI devices can complete many agent tasks locally, but local-only execution generally has lower task success and longer completion times than cloud-only execution, especially as concurrency increases. Local-only execution eliminates cloud model API costs and sensitive-information exposure to cloud agents. Hybrid execution can improve task success, but its cloud cost and data exposure depend on how agents divide work and share information. No single architecture performs best across task success, goodput, cloud cost, and data exposure; deployment choices should reflect the intended workload and device capabilities. AgBench is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/AgBench-2777.
Sep 29, 2026cs.AI

Self-Evolving Harness on Multiple Tasks with the Agent as Its Own Optimizer

A harness is the code around a language-model agent that organizes prompts, calls tools, manages context, and controls execution. As models grow stronger, recent work has begun to let agents improve their own harnesses, a line of work known as self-evolving harnesses. In most existing methods, a separate proposer running on a human-designed harness modifies the solver's harness, and a separate harness is evolved for each benchmark. Real-world tasks come from many domains, so both the evolution and the evaluation of a harness should cover a diverse range of tasks. We propose a framework close to recursive self-improvement: the same frozen model, on the same version of the harness, first solves tasks as the solver and then, as the proposer, reads the complete run records and directly edits the harness that runs it. Each evolution batch draws tasks from five benchmarks in different domains. To measure generalization, training and held-out tasks are strictly separated, and we additionally evaluate on five out-of-distribution benchmarks never used during evolution. We frame the evolution process as deep-learning training with two stages, multi-task pretraining and continual training. Starting from a 49-line seed harness, the harness obtained at the end of the first stage improves the average score by 4.48 points on the in-distribution benchmarks and by 12.64 points on the out-of-distribution benchmarks, surpassing Codex on the former and matching it on the latter. In the second stage, continued evolution on Claw-Eval, one of the out-of-distribution benchmarks, further raises the score on that benchmark from 66.17 to 68.06, exceeding Codex. We also provide an in-depth analysis of the mechanisms that emerged during evolution, including output truncation, history compaction, and independent review.
Sep 29, 2026cs.AI

Can an AI Agent Rediscover a Blaschke-Curve Invariant?

We study generalized Blaschke curves as a controlled environment for AI-assisted mathematical rediscovery. For one fixed degree-four Blaschke product, an agent receives numerical coordinates of the six pair-lines determined by each of 80 boundary configurations. The target theorem is withheld from the task instructions. The saved research log reports rejected geometric hypotheses and a homogeneous cubic fitted to polygon sides. Its frozen coefficients predict 480 lines from 80 unseen parameter values, with a recorded RMS scale-free residual of 8.88×10−178.88\times10^{-17}. Discovery-set diagonals provide an out-of-fit consistency check, not a fully held-out test. A separate one-configuration run reports insufficient evidence for invariance. A post-review deterministic degree-search baseline also recovers the cubic, so the experiment does not establish an advantage over polynomial fitting. We present this single-instance case study as a protocol for separating conjecture, numerical validation, and proof, with explicit limitations concerning agent metadata, prior knowledge, and reproducibility.
Sep 29, 2026cs.SE

CRJudgeBench: Can AI Detect Plausible but Invalid Code Reviews?

Large language models can generate plausible code-review comments, but such comments may contain technically incorrect claims that mislead developers. We study technical trustworthiness judgment: determining whether a review comment's core technical claims are correct and applicable to the reviewed code in its repository context. Existing code-review benchmarks primarily evaluate review generation, issue discovery, or general comment quality, but do not directly assess whether an agent can determine the technical trustworthy of an individual review comment. To fill this gap, we introduce CRJudgeBench, a benchmark of 1199 instances constructed from real pull requests and expert-verified perturbations, covering both trustworthy and plausible but untrustworthy comments. We further present Sentinel, a repository-grounded agentic judge that actively gathers code evidence to verify review comments before making judgments. Starting from Qwen3-Coder-30B-A3B-Instruct, Sentinel is trained on the CRJudgeBench training split through iterative action-level learning from a privileged teacher. On the 359-instance CRJudgeBench test set, Sentinel achieves 76.60% accuracy, outperforming GLM-5.3 by 6.13 percentage points and its base model by 19.78 points. These results show that even state-of-the-art general-purpose LLMs struggle to identify untrustworthy comments, while iterative action-level learning substantially improves the accuracy of repository-grounded trustworthiness judgments. Our dataset is available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/dcloud347/CRJudgeBenchmark