Banking

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6 papers in the last 28 days · 0.1% of indexed attention

Twelve weeks of publication activity for this topic as it is defined today.

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Period ending 2026-09-14

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Banking.

Period ending 2026-09-07

4 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Banking.

40 papers

Latest in Banking

Sep 21, 2026cs.AI

Spectra: A Rules-Driven LLM Pipeline for Automated KYC Document Processing

Know Your Client (KYC) onboarding in capital markets requires analysts to manually classify documents, extract structured data from heterogeneous sources, and validate compliance against complex regulatory policies. This process requires significant analyst time per client, with end-to-end onboarding often stretching to multiple weeks due to sequential handoffs. In this work, we analyze an on-boarding process and find that it comprises repeatable components well-suited to AI automation. We therefore propose a restructured workflow to be amenable to automation: we consolidate the traditional four-party process into two parties that share most of the work and can be automated together, eliminating intermediate handoffs that compound delays. To automate the remaining steps, we introduce Spectra, an AI-assisted document processing platform that combines a structured rules engine with LLM-based classification, extraction, and validation agents. The rules engine encodes compliance policy as a queryable database, enabling focused context injection that reduces token usage while improving extraction precision. Rather than a single monolithic prompt, the system decomposes document processing into isolated, auditable stages, each optimized independently and traceable to specific policy clauses. In evaluation on real KYC documents, Spectra achieves 100% classification accuracy and 89.4% extraction accuracy. Human review burden dropped by 96%.
Miray Wahib, Ethan Tran, Rea Mourad +2
Sep 9, 2026cs.AI

Cyber-Financial Contagion: Modeling the Propagation of an AI Vendor Compromise Through the Banking System

The banking system now depends on a small set of shared artificial intelligence vendors for fraud screening, credit decisioning, anti-money-laundering triage, customer analytics, and internal decision support. This paper studies how a compromise inside one of those vendors can propagate along a chain of operational, informational, and financial linkages until it triggers losses that look, from the outside, like a classical banking crisis. We build a four-layer heterogeneous network that couples AI vendors, financial institutions, interbank exposures, and customer accounts, and we propose CFC-Prop, a stochastic epidemic-and-clearing model that runs on that network. On a synthetic dataset with 60 vendors, 220 banks, roughly 2,500 vendor-bank service edges, and 1,400 interbank exposures, CFC-Prop reproduces the heavy-tailed loss distributions and the sharp dependence on patch latency that are consistent with prior cyber-financial evidence. We also train an early-warning model, CFC-GNN, that uses vendor-side incident telemetry and graph structure to flag high-cascade-risk vendors before impact. Across four baselines the proposed model reaches AUROC 0.82 and AUPRC 0.60 while keeping calibration errors bounded. We release the full code, synthetic data, and reproducible scripts. The results argue that cyber concentration among AI vendors is a first-order financial-stability problem and give supervisors a concrete quantitative tool for reasoning about it.
Alex Leytes
Sep 3, 2026cs.AI

FiMI Banking: A Sovereign Model for Indian Retail Banking

Banks need conversational systems that can answer product questions, assist customers with account-related requests, and operate safely within strict operational and regulatory constraints. General-purpose language models do not reliably meet these requirements. They fall short when a task requires grounded information, correct tool use, or cautious handling of bank-specific sensitive situations. We introduce FiMI Banking, a controlled Indian retail-banking setting. We build it from vetted banking documents, structured ground truth, synthetic customer backgrounds, and banking tools. We evaluate two post-training approaches: preference optimization for response-level behavior, and reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards for multi-turn tool-use tasks. Preference optimization improves safe behavior substantially: out-of-scope refusal rises from 52% to 80%. Reinforcement learning improves edge-case performance from 0.509 to 0.718 and order-sensitive task performance from 0.590 to 0.679, while using 29% fewer generated tokens. These results show that preference optimization and verifiable-reward reinforcement learning address complementary requirements for reliable banking agents.
NPCI AI Research Team, Aman Kumar, Asit Desai +15
Sep 3, 2026cs.CL

Enhancing Financial Question Answering: A Novel Benchmark Dataset of Banks' financial statements

The comparative analysis of banks' financial statements poses significant challenges for automated question answering systems due to their complexity, substantial length, technical language, and inhomogeneity of both textual and numerical content across different jurisdictions and institutions. We introduce FinRAG-QA, a novel benchmark dataset for financial question answering, which comprises 999 practitioner-curated questions on 10 standardised indicators, grounded in 209 annual and Pillar 3 reports from 24 major European and U.S. banks spanning 2019-2023. Unlike prior financial QA benchmarks, which centre on U.S. filings and single-institution analysis, FinRAG-QA targets cross-institutional retrieval over documents averaging 198k words, longer than any existing financial QA resource. On this benchmark we evaluate a multi-stage RAG pipeline and isolate the contribution of each component. Contextual chunk enrichment combined with a retrieval-optimised embedding model raises NDCG@10 from 0.322 to 0.710; conditional on the ground truth being retrieved, a reasoning-optimised generator raises answer accuracy from 44.6% to 79.0% (+34.4 percentage points), at roughly 20x the generation latency. We further show that cross-encoder reranking degrades retrieval when the first-stage ranking is already strong, and that a single top-ranked chunk outperforms larger contexts at generation time. Experiments were run in late 2024-early 2025 with the models available at that time.
Arianna Miola, Bruno Spaccavento, Lorenzo Silotto +2
Sep 1, 2026cs.CL

SpeakPay: Domain-Adaptive LoRA Fine-Tuning of Whisper for Low-Resource Nepali Financial Speech Recognition

Mobile payment applications in Nepal are graphically mediated and largely inaccessible to visually impaired users. This paper presents SpeakPay, a voice-first digital wallet, and documents the central technical contribution: a controlled study of domain adaptation for low-resource financial speech recognition. We introduce NepFinSpeech-403, a 403-utterance dataset of Nepali financial voice commands (send, load, and balance operations spanning 237 unique numerals), and fine-tune Whisper large-v2 with LoRA. On the held-out test set, the domain-adapted model reduces Word Error Rate from 129.95% (zero-shot baseline) to 42.58% --- a 67.2% relative reduction --- and improves Devanagari numeral recognition accuracy from 0.0% to 73.9%. We find that word-level metrics understate the practical task-level impact: domain adaptation improves the Transaction Success Rate from 1.67% to 33.33%, a roughly 20x gain. The improvement is consistent at the individual-utterance level (sign test, p<10−17p < 10^{-17}) and across all command types. A data efficiency analysis shows that as few as 100 domain-specific utterances are sufficient to halve the zero-shot WER, with performance plateauing around 300 examples. Error analysis reveals systematic numeral confusion patterns (zero insertion/deletion, prefix hallucination) that account for the majority of remaining transaction failures. The trained system is deployed as a publicly accessible voice-first web application. All code, dataset, model weights, and this paper are released at https://github.com/subedibiraj/speakpay.
Biraj Subedi
Aug 31, 2026cs.AI

AdaPath: Query-Adaptive Path-Finding via Path-Bank for Multi-Hop Implicit Biomedical KGQA

Path-finding over knowledge graphs has become an effective way to ground LLM reasoning on multi-hop questions. However, biomedical QA introduces two distinct challenges that general-domain methods are not designed for: (i) queries do not expose intermediate reasoning and can be answered through multiple valid pathways, and (ii) biomedical knowledge graphs are densely connected, so path-finding methods easily take wrong turns. To address these challenges, we propose AdaPath, a path-finding framework that retrieves query-adaptive meta-paths from Path-Bank, which captures both query semantics and biomedical knowledge graph structure. AdaPath provides the missing cues in biomedical queries while effectively pruning dense knowledge graph neighborhoods during multi-hop reasoning. We further release BioStrat-QA, a biomedical KGQA benchmark that stratifies multi-hop queries by how much intermediate reasoning they expose. Across biomedical KGQA benchmarks, AdaPath consistently outperforms baselines, sustaining meaningful path-finding even when multi-hop queries expose less surface information. The source code is available at https://github.com/Jun-Hyeong-Kim/AdaPath.
Jun Hyeong Kim, Dongki Kim, Yinhua Piao +1
Aug 31, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Churn: Predicting Financial Fragmentation in Retail Banking with Temporal Machine Learning

Retail banking attrition is usually represented as a terminal binary event, even though client relationships often weaken earlier through partial movements of deposits, investments, and recurring activity to external financial institutions. This paper defines that preceding state as financial fragmentation and presents an end-to-end temporal machine-learning system for predicting it before complete disengagement. Using anonymized multi-source data from a large retail bank, the framework predicts whether a valid external transfer or investment event will occur within 90 days. The study uses 595,220 client-month observations, with 346 engineered features combining monthly client profiles, balances, product relationships, prior flow-of-funds behavior, macroeconomic conditions, and competitor activity. A four-stage XGBoost cascade estimates (1) whether an external outflow will occur within 90 days, (2) the expected amount, (3) the originating product, and (4) the destination financial institution. The primary classifier achieved a test precision-recall area under the curve of 0.823. At the validation-selected threshold, it produced 86.4% precision, 75.1% recall, and an F1 score of 0.803. Ranking test observations in descending Stage 1 fragmentation score, the top 1% of clients yielded 95.3% precision, while the top 5% captured 78.7% of observed outflow cases. The amount model placed 94.9% of predictions within an adjacent amount bucket. Destination prediction reached a macro-F1 of 0.81 across 27 classes; source-product prediction achieved a weighted F1 of 0.92. By moving the analytical focus from terminal churn to earlier fund migration, the proposed approach provides a practical foundation for proactive, explainable, and economically informed client-retention decision support.
Ananyaa Chopra, Brandon Xu, Brendan Yuen +2
Aug 12, 2026q-fin.CP

AI-Driven Multiscenario Interest Rate Forecasting: A Proof of Concept for Banking Asset Management

This study focuses on developing an AI-supported prototype for multiperspective interest rate forecasting that combines classical econometric models with modern artificial intel-ligence methods. Tested in a major European bank, the system enables more precise and flexible prediction of interest rate developments, supporting strategic decision-making in Asset-Liability Management (ALM). It integrates topic modeling, sentiment analysis, econometric forecasting, and market-based analyses within an interactive platform. Leveraging AI to analyze large volumes of financial documents and market data enables the identification of monetary policy trends and sentiment signals at an early stage. The core econometric model is a Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) that enables simulation-based scenario analyses to evaluate economic developments from multiple perspectives. The system's innovation lies in its integration of several forecasting approaches that consolidate previously separate information sources and present them transparently and interpretably. Financial analysts and risk managers thus gain a better basis for making decisions, allowing them to assess interest rate risks more accurately and manage market movements more proactively. While the prototype demonstrates how AI can transform interest rate management in banking, further development is required to optimize real-time data integration and regulatory compliance. Even at this stage, the study shows that multi-perspective, AI-driven forecasting provides substantial added value for banks by increasing transparency, strengthening evidence-based decision-making, and improving risk management.
Ekkehardt Bauer, Dirk Holländer, Linus Wolff +3
Aug 11, 2026cs.CY

Governing Agentic AI in FinTech

Financial institutions are delegating consequential decisions to agentic AI systems that decompose goals, coordinate models and tools, and act with little oversight. Yet agentic AI governance in FinTech is under-investigated. We argue the binding governance constraint is not capability but verifiability. We define the Verifiability Gap as the shortfall between the verification delegated authority demands and the explainability and reproducibility retained after a decision. It is indexed to a verifier, evidentiary standard, and audit lag. We develop a multilevel governance theory for agentic AI and test its mechanisms in three studies over nine model versions, from a three-billion-parameter local model to a commercial frontier system. Study 1 shows that provider releases alter historical financial actions, and that the controls replay needs belong to the provider: the frontier model rejects temperature, top_p and top_k outright and exposes no random seed. Under the tightest controls each endpoint allows, a local model reproduced 320 of 320 executions, hosted models 319 of 320 and 959 of 960. Study 2 shows that orchestration is a latent policy layer. Architecture changes final actions, and no execution record repeated in any configuration at any scale. The frontier model reproduces its own actions more often than the local ones, its record no better, and loses a comparable share of its differentiation. Capability buys a higher starting point, not auditability. Study 3 shows two deterministic credit-model versions each reproduce their current action perfectly, yet the current cannot recover a historical one. We conceptualize reproducibility as a governance profile, not a scalar, yielding evidence-contingent delegation: authority is defensible only while retained evidence substantiates its exercise. Beyond finance, the framework extends to other high-stakes domains requiring auditability.
Henry Han
Aug 7, 2026cs.LG

Edge Sparsification via Temporal Forman-Ricci Curvature for Dynamic Graph Learning

Temporal graph learning has become essential for analyzing real-world systems whose interactions continuously evolve over time, including financial transaction networks, communication systems, and online social platforms. However, learning from large-scale temporal graphs remains computationally challenging when networks are dense and rapidly changing. To address this limitation, we propose a network-curvature-inspired edge sparsification framework for dynamic graph learning. Our proposed method, TRicci, extends classical Forman-Ricci curvature to directed weighted temporal graphs by capturing structural support, temporal recency, and local interaction competition. Experiments on 9 transaction networks and 3 temporal graph benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed framework preserves predictive performance across multiple graph-level prediction tasks. The results show that TRicci sparsifies temporal graphs by approximately 80% while reducing end-to-end downstream training and inference time by an average of 55.94%, without substantial degradation in predictive performance. Our findings suggest that temporal curvature can serve as a principled basis for scalable temporal graph learning by preserving predictive temporal-structural information under substantial sparsification.
Poupak Azad, Cuneyt Gurcan Akcora, Kiarash Shamsi
Jul 27, 2026cs.LO

A Computational Ethical Framework for Financial Digital Phenotyping for Mental Health

Ethical governance of AI-driven systems is often expressed through high-level principles and static documentation, creating a gap between regulatory requirements and system-level verification. This challenge is particularly acute in digital phenotyping, where continuous behavioural data raises concerns around consent, privacy, and fairness. In this paper, we propose a computational ethical framework for AI-driven digital phenotyping system in which ethical requirements are formalised as deontic temporal logic constraints, alongside a conceptual ethical agent that oversees the system and ensures that any supervised system satisfies the specified constraints. Using a case study involving financial data and mental health, we model key ethical properties and verify them using the Z3 Satisfiability Modulo Theories (SMT) solver. Our evaluation shows that the framework is logically consistent and that violations of the specified ethical properties are ruled out within the formal model through counterexample-based verification. This presents early research enabling continuous, machine-verifiable ethical checking, moving beyond retrospective compliance based on static documentation. We discuss limitations, including the need for real-world verification with data, the challenge with subjectivity and contextual sensitivity, the need for human oversight, and outline how such approaches can support the development of digital phenotyping and AI systems with continuous and auditable ethical guarantees.
Oluwadara Adedeji, Michael Mayowa Farayola, Jeff Brozena +3
Jul 12, 2026cs.CV

HyperBank: A Differentiable Bank of Classical Priors for Few-Shot Spheroid Microscopy Segmentation

Few-shot spheroid segmentation must adapt to new cell lines, microscopes, and illumination conditions from only a small set of annotated images. While foundation few-shot segmenters can be accurate, their large opaque backbones make it difficult to understand which visual cues drive success or failure. We study this question with HyperBank, a differentiable bank of classical image-processing operators combining Frangi vesselness, a Sauvola threshold pyramid, structure-tensor responses, gradient magnitude, and Laplacian-of-Gaussian filters. HyperBank is fitted on the annotated support images and evaluated on disjoint held-out images across three independently acquired spheroid datasets. We treat it not as a general replacement for foundation models, but as a compact, interpretable few-shot microscopy pipeline and an analytic-prior probe of which classical cues carry the few-shot signal. The results show that, adapted on the same few annotated support images, a compact bank of analytic priors is competitive with, and on small-cluster, contrast-driven data can outperform, much larger foundation models, while those models remain stronger on externally sourced, texture-dominated spheroids. Leave-one-family-out ablations indicate that the useful few-shot signal is distributed across operator families and strengthened by support-set-tuned morphology.
M. Průšek, A. Novozámský, F. Šroubek +3
Jul 11, 2026cs.CL

Neutralizing Structural Inequality in the Nigerian FinTech Sector

Algorithmic decision systems in financial services often rely on data proxies that inadvertently encode structural inequalities. This paper introduces a hierarchical human-AI triage model for Point of Sale fraud detection in the Nigerian FinTech sector. Adopting a We Are All Equal worldview, we address the challenge of discrimination laundering, wherein the system misinterprets infrastructure related aleatoric noise such as rural network timeouts as fraudulent intent. We implement a three-tier routing policy utilizing a calibrated ensemble model as a primary filter. The policy routes transactions characterized by epistemic uncertainty such as cold start new accounts to specialist analysts while reserving high stakes cases for a senior supervisor. To manage finite human capacity, we utilize a dynamic shadow price to ration human attention and implement a random audit mechanism to prevent human skill atrophy. Our experimental results demonstrate a statistically significant 1.88% complementarity gap and a 24.79% percentage point gain in fraud recall over an autonomous baseline. Crucially, the model reduces the regional performance gap from 19.43 to 2.88 percentage points, neutralizing structural bias. Hierarchical collaboration provides a robust mechanism for substantive equality of opportunity, ensuring that rural accounts are not excluded from the digital economy due to environmental brute luck.
Muhammad Abdullahi Said
Jul 5, 2026cs.CR

Piercing Gilbreath's Conjecture: From Deep Number Theory Insights to Fintech and Cybersecurity

I propose a new methodology to attack the fascinating Gilbreath's conjecture about prime numbers, first posted in 1878 and unsolved to this day. The problem statement is rudimentary: kids can understand it. However, despite decades of research, almost no progress has been made. This paper changes the game by presenting a new approach based on sieving, a number of new results with proof, a precise path to the solution, and solid references. It also introduces the concept of reverse sieving, along with applications to testing randomness, pattern and fraud detection, cybersecurity, synthetic data, sequence categorization and normalization, or to detect and quantify a new type of chaos in time series including Brownian motions. Magic primes, forbidden prime number constellations, cellular automata, and reduction via classes of equivalent sequences, are some of the innovative and promising topics discussed in the paper.
Vincent Granville
Jul 5, 2026q-fin.RM

Governing Generative AI Across Financial Institutions: A Framework for Generative AI Risk Control

Generative artificial intelligence is moving from general-purpose experimentation toward specialized applications across banking, capital markets, insurance, payments, and wealth management. Its main contribution is not limited to conversational interfaces. Modern generative systems can synthesize large document collections, extract information from unstructured data, generate software and analytical code, create scenario narratives, support research workflows, and coordinate multi-step tasks. These capabilities make generative AI especially relevant to finance, where decisions often depend on combining quantitative data with contracts, policies,filings, news, customer communications, and expert judgment. This paper presents an application-oriented view of generative AI in finance. It organizes potential uses around five capability patterns, including knowledge synthesis, content generation, analytical assistance, interaction, and workflow orchestration, and maps them to major financia functions. Representative applications include investment research, customer service, lending support, fraud investigation, financial reporting, operations automation, software development, and personalized financial guidance. The paper also discusses common technical architectures, such as retrieval-augmented generation, tool-using assistants, multimodal models, and agentic workflows, and identifies practical factors that shape business value. The resulting landscape provides a foundation for researchers and practitioners seeking to understand where generative AI may produce the greatest operational and analytical impact in financial services
Dennis Mao, Alessandra Lin, Yixin Kang +1
Jul 2, 2026cs.AI

Meta-Benchmarks for Financial-Services LLM Evaluation

Public LLM leaderboards optimise for global average performance and do not capture the specific cognitive demands of financial-services work: a model that leads on MMLU-Pro may underperform on document-grounded compliance reasoning, and a coding leader may handle multi-turn customer interactions poorly. We present a meta-benchmarking framework that organises 452 publicly reported benchmarks into 41 O*NET Generalized Work Activities and aggregates those into 38 BIAN banking business domains spanning sales, operations, risk, and support work. A multiplicative weighting scheme (discrimination x coverage x recency), computed over a rolling model window, rewards benchmarks that still separate the best models, are widely reported, and remain in active use, suppressing saturated legacy tests automatically. These weights scale the K-factor in a pairwise Elo tournament, producing cross-benchmark-comparable work-activity scores without raw score normalisation; business-domain scores are weighted averages of the constituent work-activity Elos. We demonstrate the framework on a point-in-time public snapshot covering 288 models across 25 organisations as of June 2026, and describe the methodology, full taxonomy, design decisions, and limitations with the aim of making the approach reproducible for institutions facing similar selection and governance challenges.
Blair Hudson
Jun 24, 2026cs.IR

From Clicks to Intent: Cross-Platform Session Embeddings with LLM-Distilled Taxonomy for Financial Services Recommendations

Sequential user behavior modeling is widely adopted in industrial recommender systems; however, significant gaps remain in financial services, where pre-login web interactions and authenticated in-app experiences differ drastically. Specifically, pre-login web users typically explore new products, whereas logged-in app users focus on account servicing. Due to the challenge of cross-channel entity resolution (e.g., matching anonymous web sessions to authenticated mobile accounts), web-based intent signals remain underutilized for post-authentication personalization. Existing methods for capturing web-based intent are often ad-hoc and narrow, lacking the flexibility to support both quantitative downstream recommendations and qualitative understanding at scale. In this work, we propose a scalable and dual-purpose intent prediction framework for web-based interactions and demonstrate its applicability for personalization. Our approach transforms raw web clickstreams into two outputs: a self-supervised Transformer encodes multi-modal clickstreams into a compact session embedding, while an LLM-based taxonomy generation and distillation pipeline produces interpretable intent labels. Our system demonstrates that self-supervised clickstream representations combined with LLM-distilled taxonomies can jointly serve quantitative tasks and qualitative understanding in production: on the mobile homepage tile ranking task, the session embedding improves macro Recall@1 by 1.88% and reduces Log Loss by 13.38% over production baselines. On the user conversion prediction task, the embedding outperforms the LLM labels by 4.3% on micro F1, while the distillation layer delivers interpretable labels at ultra-low latency with only a 7% performance drop.
Dianjing Fan, Yao Li, Kyaw Hpone Myint +4
Jun 23, 2026cs.LG

Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion for Financial Fraud Detection

Financial fraud detection in digital banking requires reasoning over multiple heterogeneous event streams -- transactions, login sessions, risk signals -- that individually appear benign but collectively reveal fraudulent patterns. We propose the Multi-Stream Fraud Transformer (MSFT), a unified architecture that encodes each event stream with independent Transformer encoders and fuses their representations through configurable mechanisms. We conduct a systematic ablation study comparing five fusion strategies: concatenation, gated fusion, time-aware positional encoding, cross-stream attention, and a full combination. On a large-scale dataset (10M users, 1.5% fraud rate) with 85M parameter models, we demonstrate that (1) sequence models significantly outperform gradient-boosted trees operating on aggregated features (0.74 vs. 0.99 AUROC), (2) per-stream encoding is essential -- a single-stream Transformer baseline with matched parameter budget reaches only 0.82 AUROC, an 18-point gap that confirms the multi-stream inductive bias is necessary, (3) time-aware positional encoding achieves the highest discrimination (0.9961 AUROC), (4) gated fusion yields the best precision (0.989) suitable for production deployment, and (5) the risk event stream provides the strongest individual signal contribution. We further validate on proprietary production data from a digital banking platform, showing over 22% relative AUROC improvement over the XGBoost baseline.
Mohammadamin Dashti Moghaddam, Nick Sciarrilli
Jun 21, 2026cs.CE

From Complaint Narratives to Monetary Relief: A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for CFPB Consumer Complaints

Consumer financial complaints provide a valuable source of information for identifying service failures, dispute frictions, and operational deficiencies in consumer-facing financial institutions. This paper proposes a hybrid machine learning framework for predicting monetary relief outcomes using Consumer Financial Protection Bureau complaint data. We formulate the task as an imbalanced binary classification problem, where complaints closed with monetary relief are treated as compensable outcomes. The proposed framework integrates multiple sources of predictive information, including complaint narrative text, LDA-based topic representations, interpretable text-engineered features, and structured categorical attributes such as company and state. An XGBoost classifier is trained using a temporal train-test split, with earlier complaints used for model development and more recent complaints reserved for out-of-sample evaluation. Compared with a TF-IDF baseline, the proposed framework substantially improves predictive performance, increasing AUC-ROC from 0.69 to 0.78 and improving PR-AUC under class imbalance. Feature importance analysis shows that textual signals, latent complaint topics, and company identity all contribute meaningful predictive information. In particular, company-level effects reveal systematic variation in complaint resolution patterns across financial institutions. These findings suggest that consumer complaint narratives can serve as alternative data for monitoring consumer harm, identifying firm-level operational weaknesses, and supporting early-stage risk surveillance in consumer finance.
Zhuoer Wang, Sizhen Zhu, Xiongyu Chen
Jun 16, 2026cs.CR

An AI Security Agent for Banking: Multi-Vector Fraud and AML Detection Across Retail and Corporate Accounts

Banks face two threat families with fundamentally different detection requirements: signature-based fraud (card-not-present attacks, account takeover, ATM cloning) and behavioural financial crime (structuring, layering, mule networks, business email compromise). Static rule engines catch high-velocity events but remain blind to BEC payment redirection, session hijacking, and laundering layering, which are engineered to resemble legitimate activity at the individual level. This paper presents an AI security agent for retail and corporate banking using a three-component fusion architecture across two parallel event streams: transactions (card fraud, ACH/wire fraud, AML) and sessions (account takeover, hijacking, SIM-swap, insider abuse). Each stream combines an LSTM sequence model of per-account behaviour, a statistical velocity/threshold monitor, and a graph module capturing account-counterparty patterns (fan-in, fan-out, pass-through ratio) for laundering detection. Experiments on a synthetic log of 237,669 transactions and 113,508 sessions across 13 threat categories and 3,470 accounts show overall F1 of 0.787 (transaction) and 0.867 (session), versus 0.562/0.733 for a rule-based baseline and 0.655/0.713 for an LSTM-only baseline. The agent also includes a customer-facing verification chatbot (96.6% identity accuracy, 86.8% mass-reset detection) and an analyst case-summary assistant (99.3% action recommendation F1), with Critical-tier response latency under 0.43 ms at the 95th percentile.
Joseph Walusimbi, Joshua Benjamin Ssentongo
Jun 9, 2026cs.CR

Post-Quantum Secure Federated DeFi for Inclusive Banking

Recent advances in error-corrected qubits have accelerated the timeline for practical quantum computing. It poses a threat to cryptographic primitives used to secure financial systems, government infrastructure, communication networks, and DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystems. This paper introduces a post-quantum secure federated DeFi framework that enables inter-bank collaboration to improve the inclusivity of individuals underserved by local lenders due to limited financial histories. Multiple banks contribute encrypted information batches to a virtual server, where lattice-based Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) enables end-to-end homomorphic computation. The server fuses local data-driven probabilistic assessments, expert beliefs, and verifiable evidence generated by the NASA-IBM Prithvi Geospatial Foundation Model (GFM), in encrypted format. Decentralized technologies are employed to ensure tamper-proof evidence and auditable accountability for all encrypted data exchanges between institutions and the server. The framework is tested on agricultural lending decisions for rural borrowers in Virginia.
Swati Sachan, Dale Fickett, Richard Buchinger +1
Jun 8, 2026cs.CV

ATM: Action-Consistency Transfer Matrix for Diagnosing and Improving Latent World Models

Latent world models are increasingly used for control and goal-conditioned planning, yet assessing whether their learned representations are useful for planning usually requires slow, planner-coupled simulator evaluation with CEM or similar planners. Such evaluation is black-box and model-complexity-dependent: under the same protocol, different world models may require minutes to hours per checkpoint. In this work, we propose ATM, an Action-Consistency Transfer Matrix for diagnosing whether latent transitions preserve action semantics relevant to planning. ATM compares action information in real encoded transitions and model-predicted transitions through lightweight post-hoc probes, producing an interpretable matrix that reveals representation quality, transition-domain inconsistency, and failure modes without simulator rollout. It can also be collapsed into a simple screening score for within-task ranking across checkpoints, variants, and world models. When the true success gap is non-trivial, ATM achieves highly reliable pairwise ranking, while reducing minutes-to-hours CEM evaluation to seconds-level transition analysis, yielding more than 100x speedup in our setup. We further introduce AITS, showing that action-identifiability is not only diagnostic but also a useful training signal for improving downstream planning without changing the planner.
Jiaheng Chen
Jun 4, 2026cs.CY

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Accounting Information Systems and Fraud Detection in Nigeria's Financial Services Sector: The Moderating Role of Natural Language Processing

The rapid digitalisation of financial systems has improved operational efficiency and financial inclusion while simultaneously increasing exposure to sophisticated forms of cyber-enabled fraud and electronic financial misconduct. Conventional auditing systems, which largely depend on retrospective verification and rule-based monitoring, increasingly struggle to address the complexity and speed of modern financial crime. Consequently, financial institutions are progressively adopting Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled Accounting Information Systems (AIS) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) technologies to strengthen fraud detection, continuous auditing, and institutional monitoring. This study examined the influence of AI-enabled AIS on auditing and fraud detection effectiveness within Nigeria's financial services sector while additionally evaluating the moderating role of NLP. Anchored on the Fraud Diamond Theory and the Technology Acceptance Model, the study adopted a quantitative cross-sectional survey design. Primary data were collected from 186 professionals across banking, insurance, and FinTech institutions in Nigeria. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics, multiple regression, and hierarchical moderated regression techniques. The findings revealed that AI-enabled AIS significantly improves auditing and fraud detection effectiveness, particularly through prevention, detection, data analysis, and investigative capabilities. The results further indicated that NLP positively moderates the relationship between AI-enabled AIS and auditing effectiveness by improving semantic interpretation and analytical explainability. The study concludes that AI-enabled AIS and NLP are increasingly important for strengthening fraud governance, regulatory accountability, and institutional trust within emerging digital financial environments.
Timothy Oluwapelumi Adeyemi, Abigail Omotola Ojogbede
May 29, 2026cs.HC

Extending the UXR Point of View Pyramid: A Generative AI-Augmented Methodology for Human-Centred AI Systems

Rising household debt and cost-of-living pressures in the United Kingdom have intensified the role of AI-driven financial technologies in mediating credit assessment, repayment structuring, and debt support services. These systems increasingly shape consequential financial decisions, yet they operate within complex socio-technical environments characterised by regulatory constraint, algorithmic opacity, and heightened vulnerability risk. User Experience Research (UXR) Points of View (PoVs) are critical in translating heterogeneous research evidence into strategic direction for product and governance decisions. However, the existing UXR PoV framework was not designed for AI-mediated financial systems where interpretability, fairness, and accountability are central. This paper extends the UXR PoV pyramid into an AI-augmented methodological framework for Human-Centred AI debt management technologies in the UK financial services context. We formalise (1) an AI-Augmented PoV Pyramid, (2) a structured prompt architecture for synthesis and hypothesis generation, and (3) an AI-enabled Playbook Card system that embeds Generative AI into UXR workflows while preserving traceability and ethical oversight. Generative AI is positioned not as an analytic authority, but as an epistemic support mechanism subject to human validation and regulatory awareness. By grounding the framework in debt management technologies, including affordability assessment, repayment planning, and financial stress prediction systems, this work advances UXR methodology for high-stakes financial AI environments and contributes to the evolution of responsible, AI-powered UXR practice within the CHI community.
Festus Fatai Adedoyin, Huseyin Dogan, Melike Akca +1
May 27, 2026cs.CR

Code as a Weapon: A Consensus-Labeled Prompt Bank for Measuring Coding-Model Compliance with Malicious-Code Requests

A general-purpose language model that answers a harmful question returns text; a coding model that complies with a malicious request can return a working weapon: a keylogger, ransomware, an exploit that runs as written. This asymmetry in the severity of a single act of compliance implies coding-specialized models should clear a higher refusal bar than general-purpose chat models, not a lower one, yet the field cannot tell whether they do. Refusal benchmarks for malicious code are fragmented: they mix requests for executable software with requests for harmful security knowledge and report refusal rates over non-comparable corpora. This paper's central result is that the CODE-versus-KNOWLEDGE classification axis established in a prior four-corpus release remains stable under a substantially expanded corpus pool and an independently refreshed judge panel, evidence that it measures a real construct rather than an artifact of the prompts or judges. Eight corpora spanning diverse elicitation paradigms (direct, jailbreak-decorated, indirect, and agent/interpreter: ASTRA, CySecBench, AdvBench/harmful_behaviors, JailbreakBench, MalwareBench, RedCode, RMCBench, Scam2Prompt) are classified under a five-judge consensus protocol (6,675 prompts x 5 judges = 33,375 calls), reaching Fleiss' kappa = 0.767 [95% CI 0.755, 0.777] ("substantial"). Critically, the panel shares no judge with the prior release (five paid commercial APIs replaced by five open-weight models from five vendors), yet the two panels agree on 94.45% of the 3,133 shared prompts and reach Cohen's kappa = 0.952 [0.942, 0.963] on the 3,031-prompt binary overlap: the axis survives near-total panel replacement. The released bank comprises 4,748 consensus-CODE and 1,923 consensus-KNOWLEDGE prompts, a reliability-quantified benchmark whose central classification axis is shown stable across corpus expansion and judge-panel replacement.
Richard J. Young, Gregory D. Moody
May 25, 2026cs.LG

Dynamic Link Prediction with Temporally Enhanced Signed Graph Neural Networks

Temporal signed networks (TSNs) model the time evolution of cooperative and adversarial relationships that arise in applications such as social media analysis, trust and reputation systems, and financial transaction networks. While graph neural networks (GNNs) perform well for static or unsigned link prediction, effective learning in temporal signed graphs remains challenging due to the interaction of signed relations, evolving structure, and balance-theoretic constraints. To address this gap, we propose a \emph{modular} temporal enhancement framework for signed GNNs that integrates historical context into otherwise static architectures. The framework introduces a Historical Context Integration Module (HCIM) that combines learnable recency-aware temporal weighting, LSTM-based embedding trajectory modeling, and multi-head temporal attention to capture both short- and long-term signed interaction dynamics. Historical information is fused with current node representations using either global or node-adaptive weighting, allowing the architecture-agnostic framework to accommodate heterogeneous temporal behaviors. We instantiate the approach on the Self-Explainable Signed Graph Transformer (SE-SGformer), preserving interpretability while extending it with temporal awareness. Experiments on real-world and synthetic TSNs, including Bitcoin OTC, Bitcoin Alpha, Reddit, and small-world network models, demonstrate consistent and statistically significant improvements over the static baseline.
Derek Regier, Andrew Polyak, Aresh Dadlani +1
May 22, 2026cs.LG

Prudent-Banker: No Extra Fees for Baseline Safety in Adversarial Bandits With and Without Delays

We study adversarial multi-armed bandits with and without delayed feedback under a safety-aware goal: achieving minimax-optimal worst-case regret while keeping nearly constant regret relative to a designated "safe" baseline policy. Existing approaches can balance this trade-off with immediate feedback for smooth comparators, but arbitrary delays can mistime transitions between conservatism and exploration, endangering the safety guarantee. To bridge this gap, we propose Prudent-Banker, a novel algorithm that combines a delay-adapted variant of Online Mirror Descent with a modified phased-aggression mechanism. Its key technical contribution is a delay-calibrated restart threshold that rigorously accounts for the worst-case distortion induced by unobserved feedback and reliably detects comparator suboptimality. We also establish new lower bounds for safety-constrained adversarial delayed bandits, showing that the regret guarantees of Prudent-Banker are unimprovable, up to logarithmic factors, under the baseline-safety requirement. To the best of our knowledge, Prudent-Banker is the first algorithm to achieve the optimal safety--robustness trade-off: pseudo-regret O~(T+D)\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{T}+\sqrt{D}) together with O~(1)\widetilde{O}(1) regret against the safe comparator, both with and without delays. Experiments across diverse delay distributions show that, unlike standard delay-robust baselines, Prudent-Banker effectively balances safety and learning.
Ting Hu, Luanda Cai, Emmanouil-Vasileios Vlatakis-Gkaragkounis
May 21, 2026cs.CR

Innovations in Cardless Artificial Intelligence Banking: A Comprehensive Framework for Cyber Secure and Fraud Mitigation using Machine Learning Algorithms

The advent of cardless artificial intelligence (AI) banking heralds a paradigm shift in the financial landscape, offering users unprecedented security and convenience. This paper outlines a comprehensive framework designed to enhance cybersecurity, introduce auto-generated virtual cards, and mitigate fraud risks within cardless AI banking systems. The framework envisions a future banking architecture that employs AI-powered data cryptography to create secure virtual cards for seamless transactions. By emphasizing secure communication channels, it ensures the integrity of financial activities among banking systems, cardholders, and third-party vendors. AI-based authorization methodologies play a pivotal role in authenticating each transaction while proactively identifying potential fraud, demonstrating the framework's efficacy in fortifying cardless AI banking security. The initial approach, featuring an AI-driven, feature-based banking system, ensures the generation of virtual cards with encrypted data, minimizing information exposure and reducing fraud risks. Integrating a machine learning algorithm adds an additional layer of protection against potential fraudulent activities. In conclusion, the proposed framework establishes a holistic cybersecurity and fraud-mitigation paradigm for cardless AI banking systems. Its implementation empowers financial institutions to address security concerns associated with traditional banking, paving the way for a future banking landscape that is not only fraud-resistant but also secure and convenient for users.
Md Israfeel
May 14, 2026cs.CL

Mechanical Enforcement for LLM Governance:Evidence of Governance-Task Decoupling in Financial Decision Systems

Large language models in regulated financial workflows are governed by natural-language policies that the same model interprets, creating a principal--agent failure: outputs can appear compliant without being compliant. Existing evaluation measures task accuracy but not whether governance constrains behaviour at the decision rationale level -- where regulated decisions must be auditable. We introduce five governance metrics that quantify policy compliance at the rationale level and apply them in a synthetic banking domain to compare text-only governance against mechanical enforcement: four primitives operating outside the model's interpretive loop. Under text-only governance, 27% of deferrals carry no decision-relevant information. Mechanical enforcement reduces this rate by 73%, more than doubles deferral information content, and raises task accuracy from MCC~0.430.43 to 0.880.88. The improvement is driven by architectural separation: LLM-generated rationales under mechanical enforcement show comparable CDL to text-only governance -- the gain comes from removing clear-cut decisions from the model's control. A causal ablation confirms that each primitive is individually necessary. Our central finding is a governance-task decoupling: under structural stress, text-only governance degrades on both dimensions simultaneously, whereas mechanical enforcement preserves governance quality even as task performance drops. This implies that governance and task evaluation are distinct axes: accuracy is not a sufficient proxy for governance in regulated AI systems.
José Manuel de la Chica Rodríguez, Carlos Martí-González
May 10, 2026cs.CL

Cross-Cultural Transfer of Emoji Semantics and Sentiment in Financial Social Media

Emojis are widely used in online financial communication, but it is unclear whether they provide transferable sentiment signals across languages, platforms, and asset communities. This study examines the extent to which emoji usage, semantics, and sentiment polarity remain stable across financial communities, and how these layers influence zero-shot sentiment transfer. Using large corpora of Twitter and StockTwits posts in four languages, we measure cross-community divergence and evaluate sentiment models trained under emoji-only, text-only, and text+emoji inputs. We find that emoji frequencies differ across communities, especially across languages, but their semantics and sentiment polarity are largely stable. Cross-asset transferability shows minimal degradation, while cross-language transfer remains the most challenging. Including emojis consistently reduces transfer gaps relative to text-only models. These results indicate that financial communication exhibits a partially shared ``emoji code,'' and that emojis provide compact, language-independent sentiment cues that improve model generalization across markets and platforms.
Ahmed Mahrous, Roberto Di Pietro
May 6, 2026cs.AI

FinRAG-12B: A Production-Validated Recipe for Grounded Question Answering in Banking

Large language models (LLMs) are rapidly being adopted across various domains. However, their adoption in banking industry faces resistance due to demands for high accuracy, regulatory compliance, and the need for verifiable and grounded responses. We present a unified, data-efficient framework for training grounded domain-specific LLMs that optimizes answer quality, citation grounding, and calibrated refusal under real-world deployment constraints. First, we describe a data generation pipeline that combines LLM-as-a-Judge filtering, citation annotation, and curriculum learning with only 143M tokens. The resulting 12B model achieves high answer quality outperforming GPT-4.1 on citation grounding, with a modest citation tradeoff versus the untuned base. Second, we propose a calibrated refusal mechanism: training on 22% unanswerable examples yield a 12% "I don't know" rate, substantially improving over the base model's unsafe 4.3% rate while avoiding GPT-4.1's over-refusal (20.2%). Third, we present an end-to-end methodology spanning from data curation to quantized serving. The system is deployed at 40+ financial institutions, achieving a 7.1 percentage point improvement in query resolution (p < 0.001). Additionally, the model delivers 3-5x faster responses at 20-50x lower cost compared to GPT-4.1.
Denys Katerenchuk, Pablo Duboue, Keelan Evanini +6
May 6, 2026cs.LG

Expert Routing for Communication-Efficient MoE via Finite Expert Banks

Resource-efficient machine learning increasingly uses sparse Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) architectures, where the gate acts as both a learning component and a routing interface controlling computation, communication, and accuracy. Motivated by finite-rate interpretations of MoE gating, we treat the gate as a stochastic channel and use I(X;T)I(X;T) to quantify the routing information available to the selected expert. To make the associated information quantities tractable beyond synthetic examples, we develop a finite-bank MNIST construction using pretrained CNN experts and a discrete, data-dependent selection rule. Since the selected model belongs to a finite candidate set, the algorithmic mutual information I(S;W)I(S;W) admits a closed-form discrete-entropy estimator from the empirical posterior q(W∣S)q(W|S). Sweeping a data-dependence parameter αα, we observe that I^(S;W)\widehat I(S;W) monotonically tracks the generalization gap, while the Xu-Raginsky bound exhibits the expected looseness. We also compare with a uniform union-bound baseline and introduce an empirical estimator of I(X;T)I(X;T) together with a Blahut-Arimoto procedure for tracing an accuracy-rate curve over the expert bank. The proposed framework provides a practical tool for analyzing resource-aware MoE inference systems and for interpreting I(X;T)I(X;T) and D(Rg)D(R_g) as design proxies for efficient expert routing.
Mohammad Reza Deylam Salehi, Ali Khalesi
May 3, 2026cs.AI

CyberAId: AI-Driven Cybersecurity for Financial Service Providers

European financial institutions face mounting regulatory pressure while their security operations centres remain constrained not by data or staffing but by reasoning capacity: enterprise SIEMs cover only a fraction of MITRE ATT&CK techniques, two thirds of SOC teams cannot keep pace with alert volumes, and the majority of breaches are preceded by alerts that are generated but never investigated. Frontier large language models now achieve state-of-the-art results on isolated cybersecurity tasks (one-day vulnerability exploitation, code-level patching, intrusion detection) yet no narrow win constitutes a platform that can compose across functions, persist multi-tenant state, map findings to regulatory regimes and survive an audit. This position paper argues that the right unit of construction is a hybrid multi-agent system in which specialised LLM subagents reason over classical SIEM/XDR telemetry rather than replacing it, share accumulated agent state across institutions through privacy-preserving federation, and can connect to complementary capability packs such as quantum-based authentication, digital twins for adversarial validation, and eBPF-based kernel telemetry. We present CyberAId, a model-agnostic, on-premise-deployable platform in which a Main Agent coordination layer, a Reporting capability, and specialist subagents operate within a shared runtime under bounded human-in-the-loop autonomy, organised around four falsifiable design principles, and aligned with relevant regulations. CyberAId will be validated at four representative financial use cases (client impersonation, anti-money-laundering for payment service providers, retail-banking incident response, and high-frequency-trading resilience) and propose skill-based agent adaptation as the most promising research direction for turning each deployment into a contribution to a continuously refined collective defence.
George Fatouros, Georgios Makridis, John Soldatos +18
Apr 20, 2026cs.CV

AnchorSeg: Language Grounded Query Banks for Reasoning Segmentation

Reasoning segmentation requires models to ground complex, implicit textual queries into precise pixel-level masks. Existing approaches rely on a single segmentation token <SEG>\texttt{<SEG>}, whose hidden state implicitly encodes both semantic reasoning and spatial localization, limiting the model's ability to explicitly disentangle what to segment from where to segment. We introduce AnchorSeg, which reformulates reasoning segmentation as a structured conditional generation process over image tokens, conditioned on language grounded query banks. Instead of compressing all semantic reasoning and spatial localization into a single embedding, AnchorSeg constructs an ordered sequence of query banks: latent reasoning tokens that capture intermediate semantic states, and a segmentation anchor token that provides explicit spatial grounding. We model spatial conditioning as a factorized distribution over image tokens, where the anchor query determines localization signals while contextual queries provide semantic modulation. To bridge token-level predictions and pixel-level supervision, we propose Token--Mask Cycle Consistency (TMCC), a bidirectional training objective that enforces alignment across resolutions. By explicitly decoupling spatial grounding from semantic reasoning through structured language grounded query banks, AnchorSeg achieves state-of-the-art results on ReasonSeg test set (67.7% gIoU and 68.1% cIoU). All code and models are publicly available at https://github.com/rui-qian/AnchorSeg.
Rui Qian, Chuanhang Deng, Qiang Huang +6
Apr 17, 2026cs.LG

Synthetic data in cryptocurrencies using generative models

Data plays a fundamental role in consolidating markets, services, and products in the digital financial ecosystem. However, the use of real data, especially in the financial context, can lead to privacy risks and access restrictions, affecting institutions, research, and modeling processes. Although not all financial datasets present such limitations, this work proposes the use of deep learning techniques for generating synthetic data applied to cryptocurrency price time series. The approach is based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CGANs), combining an LSTM-type recurrent generator and an MLP discriminator to produce statistically consistent synthetic data. The experiments consider different crypto-assets and demonstrate that the model is capable of reproducing relevant temporal patterns, preserving market trends and dynamics. The generation of synthetic series through GANs is an efficient alternative for simulating financial data, showing potential for applications such as market behavior analysis and anomaly detection, with lower computational cost compared to more complex generative approaches.
André Saimon S. Sousa, Otto Pires, Frank Acasiete +3
Apr 16, 2026cs.CE

Decoupling Identity from Utility: Privacy-by-Design Frameworks for Financial Ecosystems

Financial institutions face tension between maximizing data utility and mitigating the re-identification risks inherent in traditional anonymization methods. This paper explores Differentially Private (DP) synthetic data as a robust "Privacy by Design" framework to resolve this conflict, ensuring output privacy while satisfying stringent regulatory obligations. We examine two distinct generative paradigms: Direct Tabular Synthesis, which reconstructs high-fidelity joint distributions from raw data, and DP-Seeded Agent-Based Modeling (ABM), which uses DP-protected aggregates to parameterize complex, stateful simulations. While tabular synthesis excels at reflecting static historical correlations for QA testing and business analytics, the DP-Seeded ABM offers a forward-looking "counterfactual laboratory" capable of modeling dynamic market behaviors and black swan events. By decoupling individual identities from data utility, these methodologies eliminate traditional data-clearing bottlenecks, enabling seamless cross-institutional research and compliant decision-making in an evolving regulatory landscape.
Ifayoyinsola Ibikunle, Tyler Farnan, Senthil Kumar +1
Mar 11, 2026q-fin.CP

Risk-Adjusted Harm Scoring for Automated Red Teaming for LLMs in Financial Services

Existing LLM safety evaluations rely on binary attack-success rates and domain-agnostic taxonomies, leaving regulated Banking, Financial Services, and Insurance (BFSI) deployments exposed to failures elicited through legally or professionally plausible framing. We introduce RAHS (Risk-Adjusted Harm Score), a risk-sensitive metric jointly capturing disclosure severity, disclaimer mitigation, and inter-judge agreement, and FinRedTeamBench, a 989-prompt benchmark spanning seven BFSI risk areas and 34 sub-categories mapped to regulatory frameworks. Evaluation uses an ensemble of three heterogeneous LLM judges, validated against human experts, and an adaptive multi-turn red-teaming pipeline. On nine open-weight models, RAHS preserves separation under near-ceiling ASR, ranking is stable under hyperparameter sweeps, and multi-turn pressure drives not only more jailbreaks but more operationally severe disclosures, exposing failure modes that single-turn, domain-agnostic evaluations cannot reveal.
Fabrizio Dimino, Bhaskarjit Sarmah, Stefano Pasquali
Dec 8, 2025cs.LG

Weighted Contrastive Learning for Anomaly-Aware Time-Series Forecasting

Reliable forecasting of multivariate time series under anomalous conditions is crucial in applications such as ATM cash logistics, where sudden demand shifts can disrupt operations. Modern deep forecasters achieve high accuracy on normal data but often fail when distribution shifts occur. We propose Weighted Contrastive Adaptation (WECA), a Weighted contrastive objective that aligns normal and anomaly-augmented representations, preserving anomaly-relevant information while maintaining consistency under benign variations. Evaluations on a nationwide ATM transaction dataset with domain-informed anomaly injection show that WECA improves SMAPE on anomaly-affected data by 6.1 percentage points compared to a normally trained baseline, with negligible degradation on normal data. These results demonstrate that WECA enhances forecasting reliability under anomalies without sacrificing performance during regular operations.
Joel Ekstrand, Tor Mattsson, Zahra Taghiyarrenani +3
Dec 22, 2024cs.CY

Engineering Carbon Credits Towards A Responsible FinTech Era: The Practices, Implications, and Future

Carbon emissions significantly contribute to climate change, and carbon credits have emerged as a key tool for mitigating environmental damage and helping organizations manage their carbon footprint. Despite their growing importance across sectors, fully leveraging carbon credits remains challenging. This study explores engineering practices and fintech solutions to enhance carbon emission management. We first review the negative impacts of carbon emission non-disclosure, revealing its adverse effects on financial stability and market value. Organizations are encouraged to actively manage emissions and disclose relevant data to mitigate risks. Next, we analyze factors influencing carbon prices and review advanced prediction algorithms that optimize carbon credit purchasing strategies, reducing costs and improving efficiency. Additionally, we examine corporate carbon emission prediction models, which offer accurate performance assessments and aid in planning future carbon credit needs. By integrating carbon price and emission predictions, we propose research directions, including corporate carbon management cost forecasting. This study provides a foundation for future quantitative research on the financial and market impacts of carbon management practices and is the first systematic review focusing on computing solutions and engineering practices for carbon credits.
Qingwen Zeng, Hanlin Xu, Nanjun Xu +5
Nov 29, 2024cs.LG

MEGA: Message Passing Neural Networks for Multigraphs with EdGe Attributes

Edge-attributed multigraphs, in which multiple edges with distinct attributes connect the same pair of nodes, arise naturally in many real-world systems. In these graphs, effective learning requires preserving information from repeated interactions while distinguishing contributions from different neighbors. Existing neural network solutions for edge-attributed multigraphs remain limited: some lose information from repeated interactions, while others break permutation equivariance. To address this, we introduce \emph{neighbor-aware aggregation}, an operator that first combines multi-edge features for each neighbor and then aggregates across neighbors. This operator captures per-neighbor statistics that standard single-stage aggregation cannot represent. Building on this operator, we present MEGA-GNN, a model-agnostic message-passing framework for edge-attributed multigraphs. We show that MEGA-GNN is permutation equivariant and has the same asymptotic complexity as standard GNNs with edge updates. We evaluate our approach on datasets from social networks and financial transaction networks. Neighbor-aware aggregation consistently improves GNN performance and matches or surpasses state-of-the-art methods.
H. Çağrı Bilgi, Kubilay Atasu