Financial Services
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8 papers in the last four weeks, up 60% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.
Latest papers 75
We show that net demand for liquidity by algo strategies is identifiable from its trade and price history alone, with no knowledge of its signal or optimization problem. An exact multi-period regret decomposition implies that the sign of this statistic classifies a linear strategy as a net liquidity consumer or provider, recovering the Kyle (1985) informed-trader/market-maker dichotomy from observables alone. Under an AR(1) cost process, the same statistic equals the product of strategy size and the squared Roll (1984) implied spread, making the correction a direct proxy for prevailing illiquidity. Extending to endogenous price impact and aggregating across N correlated strategies yields a liquidity-balance condition whose violation produces welfare loss scaling as N squared, a closed-form fire-sale externality. We calibrate to CRSP equity data (2016-2025), tracking implied spreads through the COVID-19 and 2022 rate-shock episodes, with an estimator computable in O(Tnd) time.
LLM-Based Examination of Eligibility Criteria from Securities Prospectuses at the German Central Bank
Verifying the eligibility of securities as collateral is a key responsibility of the German Central Bank. However, manually verifying these assets against legal and financial criteria within lengthy, semi-structured, and often bilingual prospectuses is a resource-intensive task. While previous efforts utilized traditional Named Entity Recognition (NER) for information extraction, these methods can struggle with OCR noise, linguistic variance, and rigid span-based constraints, and the need for manually annotated training data for each relevant annotation type. In this paper, we present the first case study applying Large Language Models (LLMs) to the eligibility examination process, shifting the paradigm toward a generative Information Extraction pipeline. Our approach decomposes the task into extraction, normalization, and interpretation, allowing for greater flexibility in handling noisy text and interleaved German-English content. We further introduce a value-based evaluation methodology using LLM-as-a-judge, which offers a more semantic assessment than location-based metrics. Our results demonstrate that LLM-based systems achieve high precision (up to 91%) in document-level eligibility, exhibiting a conservative operating profile that minimizes false acceptance.
FinRED: An Expert-Guided Benchmark Generation and Evaluation Framework for Financial LLM Red-Teaming
Existing safety benchmarks target general adversarial scenarios but miss finance-specific risks. Financial LLMs face regulatory compliance violations, fraud facilitation, and systemic trust erosion that require targeted evaluation. We introduce FinRED, an expert-guided red-teaming framework for financial LLM safety evaluation developed with financial experts. FinRED uses a novel two-level taxonomy mapping global standards (e.g., FATF and EU DORA) to threats ranging from regulatory evasion to complex fraud, integrated with a scalable pipeline that converts real financial documents into context-rich red-teaming Behavioral Prompts (seeds) through an expert-defined schema. Rigorous expert validation confirms seed plausibility and realism for meaningful LLM safety evaluation. We also provide an expert-validated, finance-specific rubric that goes beyond disclaimer checks, aligns more closely with human experts than static one-size-fits-all rubrics, and reduces critical false negatives from 28 to 12. Aligned with internationally adopted risk-management and information-security standards (e.g., ISO/IEC 27001), FinRED is deployed in South Korea's Financial Security Institute (FSI) regulatory sandbox for generative AI security evaluation in real financial services. To mitigate dual-use risks, the dataset, generation pipeline, prompt template, and evaluation framework are gated for qualified researchers at https://github.com/selectstar-ai/FinRED-paper and https://huggingface.co/datasets/datumo/FinRED.
DeXposure-Claw: An Agentic System for DeFi Risk Supervision
Decentralized finance exposes supervisors to fast-moving, networked credit risks. General-purpose LLM agents fit this setting poorly: they over-read weak evidence and recommend high-stakes interventions, while existing evaluations offer no regulator-aligned way to measure the resulting false alarms. We introduce DeXposure-Claw, a forecast-grounded agentic supervision system that routes LLM decisions through structured evidence: (1) DeXposure-FM, a graph time-series foundation model, forecasts future exposure networks; (2) deterministic monitors and stress scenarios then turn those forecasts into typed alerts, attribution signals, and scenario evidence; and (3) data-health and confidence gates constrain escalation before DeXposure-Claw emits auditable supervisory tickets with rationales. We further develop DeXposure-Bench, a six-axis evaluation harness, whose decision axis scores tickets against a regulator-aligned absolute-loss ground truth and an explicit false-intervention rate. Experiments on five years of weekly real data fully support our system. Code is at https://github.com/EVIEHub/DeXposure-Claw.
MortarBench: Evaluating Mortgage Loan Origination Agents
Loan origination is the process by which a lender creates a new loan, from application and underwriting through approval and funding. This process serves a critical role in evaluating the eligibility and level of risk posed by an applicant. Recently, firms have begun using mortgage loan agents to augment human loan officers, despite a lack of any public benchmark. To fill this gap, we present MortarBench, a loan origination agent benchmark. MortarBench uses a financial data synthesis and mutation pipeline to generate examples with broad edge case coverage that match real-world distributions and questions. We find that state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs) perform poorly, with closed-source models achieving at most 77.1% exact match accuracy. We also discover systematic biases in LLM perception of foreignness related to non-English names. Noting these weaknesses, we introduce CRIT, a confidence calibration framework. Our method increases accuracy to 80.5% while improving risk management steering and reducing bias.
FinBalance: A Multi-Document Accounting Reconciliation Benchmark
Existing financial-NLP benchmarks mostly evaluate prepared artifacts such as filings, tables, or extracted values. Real accounting begins earlier: source documents must be reconciled into cited journal entries, aggregated into a balance sheet, and checked for contradictions. We introduce FinBalance, a multi-document accounting reconciliation benchmark built from source-document bundles across eight industries, three period types, and five difficulty levels. Human-authored business scenarios, accounting policies, tax/FX treatments, document schemas, distractors, and inconsistency templates are composed by a deterministic generator whose ledger produces journal entries,balance sheets, and 23 inconsistency-code labels. On a 710-record evaluation split, six contemporary LLMs reach at most 46% exact final-balance-sheet accuracy. Four models show a 26-41 pp gap between BS_exact, the model's reported balance sheet, and BS_recon, the balance sheet obtained by replaying its entries through our ledger. Models often recover numerically plausible entries but fail to bind them to supporting documents and aggregate them consistently. Citation-pressure prompting barely changes document-linking errors, while ledger-feedback ablations substantially improve reported balance sheets and expose inconsistency-detection trade-offs. Expert finance reviewers validate the benchmark design and labels.
Post-Quantum Secure Federated DeFi for Inclusive Banking
Recent advances in error-corrected qubits have accelerated the timeline for practical quantum computing. It poses a threat to cryptographic primitives used to secure financial systems, government infrastructure, communication networks, and DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystems. This paper introduces a post-quantum secure federated DeFi framework that enables inter-bank collaboration to improve the inclusivity of individuals underserved by local lenders due to limited financial histories. Multiple banks contribute encrypted information batches to a virtual server, where lattice-based Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) enables end-to-end homomorphic computation. The server fuses local data-driven probabilistic assessments, expert beliefs, and verifiable evidence generated by the NASA-IBM Prithvi Geospatial Foundation Model (GFM), in encrypted format. Decentralized technologies are employed to ensure tamper-proof evidence and auditable accountability for all encrypted data exchanges between institutions and the server. The framework is tested on agricultural lending decisions for rural borrowers in Virginia.
TRUST-SCF: Transformer-based Risk Understanding and Scoring for Transactional Supply Chain Finance
Supply Chain Finance (SCF) and LendTech platforms need credit scoring systems that respond to evolving transaction behavior, repayment delays, and active exposure. We propose TRUST-SCF, a transformer-based framework for transaction-level risk prediction and dynamic credit scoring. Each user history is represented as a sequence of transaction tokens containing utilization, repayment delay and transaction position. The main contributions are: (1) a financially aligned attention bias that combines utilization similarity and recency, enabling the model to compare repayment behavior under comparable exposure conditions; (2) continuous repayment-delay prediction in a log-transformed target space, reducing the influence of extreme delays while improving sensitivity to short-delay behavior and (3) a label-efficient credit-scoring pipeline in which the final credit score is not trained using any explicit external credit-score label, but is instead derived from predicted delay, potential risk over simulated utilization, actual unpaid exposure, and nonlinear calibration. Experiments on real transaction data from more than 300,000 transactions show that TRUST-SCF improves delay prediction over sequential baselines and produces scores that are strongly associated with future repayment behavior. These results suggest that TRUST-SCF is a practical framework for adaptive credit scoring and transaction-level risk mitigation in SCF and LendTech environments.
How Small Can You Go? LoRA Fine-Tuning 270M-8B Models for Merchant Information Extraction in Financial Transactions
Merchant information extraction turns noisy financial transaction descriptors into structured fields at production scale. Our deployed LoRA-fine-tuned LLaMA3.1-8B reaches 96.95% F1, but its memory and throughput motivate smaller replacements. We evaluate 23 retained fine-tuning runs plus a separately trained production reference, spanning Gemma3 (270M--4B), Qwen3.5 (0.8B--4B), Aya3.35B, and LLaMA3.1-8B across LoRA ranks, prompts, training templates, and serving environments. A rank-8 LLaMA fine-tune reaches 96.75% F1, only 0.20 points below the rank-32 production reference. Qwen3.54B with JSON-Only prompting reaches 96.60% F1 and strict record-level exact match of 91.67%, with a lower inverse-throughput time estimate than the rank-8 8B model. Qwen3.5~0.8B reaches 94.75% F1, and Qwen Think and Nothink templates differ by less than 0.004 F1. Across 14 Databricks endpoints, mean F1 change from local evaluation is ; Aya is the only family with a 2.7--5.1 point decline. These results show that compact fine-tuned models can preserve most extraction accuracy, but model selection must account for prompt choice, throughput, and serving-stack behavior.
Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Accounting Information Systems and Fraud Detection in Nigeria's Financial Services Sector: The Moderating Role of Natural Language Processing
The rapid digitalisation of financial systems has improved operational efficiency and financial inclusion while simultaneously increasing exposure to sophisticated forms of cyber-enabled fraud and electronic financial misconduct. Conventional auditing systems, which largely depend on retrospective verification and rule-based monitoring, increasingly struggle to address the complexity and speed of modern financial crime. Consequently, financial institutions are progressively adopting Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled Accounting Information Systems (AIS) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) technologies to strengthen fraud detection, continuous auditing, and institutional monitoring. This study examined the influence of AI-enabled AIS on auditing and fraud detection effectiveness within Nigeria's financial services sector while additionally evaluating the moderating role of NLP. Anchored on the Fraud Diamond Theory and the Technology Acceptance Model, the study adopted a quantitative cross-sectional survey design. Primary data were collected from 186 professionals across banking, insurance, and FinTech institutions in Nigeria. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics, multiple regression, and hierarchical moderated regression techniques. The findings revealed that AI-enabled AIS significantly improves auditing and fraud detection effectiveness, particularly through prevention, detection, data analysis, and investigative capabilities. The results further indicated that NLP positively moderates the relationship between AI-enabled AIS and auditing effectiveness by improving semantic interpretation and analytical explainability. The study concludes that AI-enabled AIS and NLP are increasingly important for strengthening fraud governance, regulatory accountability, and institutional trust within emerging digital financial environments.
Compliance-Scored Best-of-N Guardrail Orchestration for Multimodal Document Generation in Payments Dispute Defense
High-stakes enterprise document generation, including financial dispute narratives, compliance notices, and audit summaries, demands schema correctness, policy compliance, and low-latency operation at scale. Prior to a unified guardrail layer, production systems often stitched together separate PII redaction, content moderation, and format validation steps, leading to fragmented logic, slower request paths, and higher operational cost. We present a guardrail orchestration layer for text and image inputs that couples multi-candidate generation with an explicit compliance score used for early exit. The framework runs configurable parallel generation heads, scores candidates against weighted guardrails including PII detection, content moderation, schema constraints, and domain rules, and returns the best-scoring output with selection metadata. The available operational readout reports 5 attempts within 20 seconds and 91 percent compliance. For payments dispute defense summaries, we analyze aggregate operational scenario readouts rather than a randomized A/B test. Variable cohorts show higher count win rates than controls overall, 301/659 versus 536/1548, corresponding to +11.0 percentage points with 95 percent confidence interval [6.6, 15.5] and p < 0.001, and for adjusted item-not-received cases, +7.5 percentage points with 95 percent confidence interval [0.2, 15.7] and p = 0.045. Fraud and local evidence-ranking deltas are directionally positive but not statistically significant from the aggregate count data. We also report reviewer-calibrated Responsible-AI evidence-quality signals from 770 generated-evidence reviews and a 70-case OCR slice, and document the reproducibility boundary through the request interface, scoring logic, pseudocode, and operational evidence boundary.
Artificial Intelligence in Ship Finance: Applications, Opportunities, and a Case Study in AI-Augmented Loan Origination
Ship finance is a data-intensive and document-heavy segment of asset-based lending, requiring the integration of financial, technical, contractual, and regulatory information from heterogeneous and largely unstructured sources. Increasing environmental regulation and ESG reporting requirements are adding further complexity to underwriting and loan-origination processes. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI), particularly large language models (LLMs), create new opportunities for processing and analysing such information. This paper reviews potential applications of AI in ship finance, with a particular focus on LLM-based systems for document comprehension, information extraction, and workflow automation. We present ShipFinance.ai, a modular agentic architecture to support loan application workflows in ship finance. The proposed system combines an LLM-based extraction module, financial analysis components, external maritime data services, and a controlled document-generation module with a chatbot interface to support the preparation of standardized financing applications. The paper discusses the key challenges for using such models in production. We argue that AI-assisted systems can support maritime finance professionals in managing increasingly complex information and reporting requirements.
Extending the UXR Point of View Pyramid: A Generative AI-Augmented Methodology for Human-Centred AI Systems
Rising household debt and cost-of-living pressures in the United Kingdom have intensified the role of AI-driven financial technologies in mediating credit assessment, repayment structuring, and debt support services. These systems increasingly shape consequential financial decisions, yet they operate within complex socio-technical environments characterised by regulatory constraint, algorithmic opacity, and heightened vulnerability risk. User Experience Research (UXR) Points of View (PoVs) are critical in translating heterogeneous research evidence into strategic direction for product and governance decisions. However, the existing UXR PoV framework was not designed for AI-mediated financial systems where interpretability, fairness, and accountability are central. This paper extends the UXR PoV pyramid into an AI-augmented methodological framework for Human-Centred AI debt management technologies in the UK financial services context. We formalise (1) an AI-Augmented PoV Pyramid, (2) a structured prompt architecture for synthesis and hypothesis generation, and (3) an AI-enabled Playbook Card system that embeds Generative AI into UXR workflows while preserving traceability and ethical oversight. Generative AI is positioned not as an analytic authority, but as an epistemic support mechanism subject to human validation and regulatory awareness. By grounding the framework in debt management technologies, including affordability assessment, repayment planning, and financial stress prediction systems, this work advances UXR methodology for high-stakes financial AI environments and contributes to the evolution of responsible, AI-powered UXR practice within the CHI community.
Paper Agents, Paper Gains: An Empirical Analysis of DeFi Investment Agents
DeFi investment agents, systems that use AI for autonomous on-chain trading, have attained over USD 3 billion in combined token valuations since late 2024. We survey over 1,900 AI-tagged crypto projects, filter to investment-focused agents, and curate 10 representative projects spanning strategy and observability dimensions. We then conduct a deep-dive architectural analysis of two prominent agent frameworks, ElizaOS and Virtuals Protocol, and a quantitative on-chain performance analysis of 11 Solana-based agent treasuries with publicly attributable trading activity, covering 925,323 token holders. We find that current deployments remain early and heterogeneous: (1) in our sample, many projects do not yet provide clear evidence of autonomous trade execution, and developer interviews suggest that many visible deployments remain basic API integrations; (2) agent treasuries retain over USD 30M in paper gains while token holders collectively lost USD 191.7M, with the top 1% of wallets capturing 81.4% of all gains (USD 1.81B); (3) token valuations are weakly connected to treasury fundamentals, with market-cap-to-AUM ratios exceeding 10,000x versus below 1x for established DeFi protocols; and (4) aggregate user gains peaked at USD 2.4B before declining to net losses, with median returns negative on every platform and tokens declining 93% on average from all-time highs. We interpret these outcomes as characteristic of a permissionless, first-generation market in which open infrastructure enables rapid experimentation but also allows naive or speculative agents to launch before robust standards for autonomy, performance, and stakeholder alignment emerge. We therefore propose a maturity framework along three dimensions: autonomous execution, risk-adjusted profitability, and stakeholder alignment, to characterize the gap between current deployments and future investment-grade agent systems.
MimirRAG: A Multi-Agent RAG Framework for Financial Data Retrieval with Metadata Integration
Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems offer a promising approach to reduce hallucinations and improve answer accuracy in large language models (LLMs), a requirement for reliable, financial analysis where answers must be grounded in verifiable evidence from filings rather than generated from model priors. However, designing RAG systems that extract meaningful insights from mixed financial documents and integrate into analyst workflows remains challenging. This paper introduces MimirRAG (Metadata-Integrated Multi-Agent Information Retrieval), a multi-agent RAG system developed iteratively to address these challenges. MimirRAG features a modular pipeline encompassing structure-preserving parsing of PDF filings, table-aware chunking, metadata extraction, agent-based retrieval with query planning and hybrid search, validation, and context-aware generation with numerical reasoning support. Our ablation study identifies three key technical enablers for effective financial RAG: metadata integration, table-aware chunking, and an agentic workflow. MimirRAG was evaluated quantitatively using FinanceBench and qualitatively through expert validation with four financial analysts. The system achieved 89.3% accuracy on FinanceBench, outperforming the original benchmark baselines. Expert feedback highlighted that successful deployment also requires calibrated trust, comprehensive data integration, and user personalization. We conclude that combining multi-agent RAG architecture with human-centric design principles can improve the extraction of meaningful insights in financial analysis.
Innovations in Cardless Artificial Intelligence Banking: A Comprehensive Framework for Cyber Secure and Fraud Mitigation using Machine Learning Algorithms
The advent of cardless artificial intelligence (AI) banking heralds a paradigm shift in the financial landscape, offering users unprecedented security and convenience. This paper outlines a comprehensive framework designed to enhance cybersecurity, introduce auto-generated virtual cards, and mitigate fraud risks within cardless AI banking systems. The framework envisions a future banking architecture that employs AI-powered data cryptography to create secure virtual cards for seamless transactions. By emphasizing secure communication channels, it ensures the integrity of financial activities among banking systems, cardholders, and third-party vendors. AI-based authorization methodologies play a pivotal role in authenticating each transaction while proactively identifying potential fraud, demonstrating the framework's efficacy in fortifying cardless AI banking security. The initial approach, featuring an AI-driven, feature-based banking system, ensures the generation of virtual cards with encrypted data, minimizing information exposure and reducing fraud risks. Integrating a machine learning algorithm adds an additional layer of protection against potential fraudulent activities. In conclusion, the proposed framework establishes a holistic cybersecurity and fraud-mitigation paradigm for cardless AI banking systems. Its implementation empowers financial institutions to address security concerns associated with traditional banking, paving the way for a future banking landscape that is not only fraud-resistant but also secure and convenient for users.
Beyond Semantic Similarity: A Two-Phase Non-Parametric Retrieval Workflow for Corporate Credit Underwriting
Corporate credit underwriting requires analysts to extract actionable evidence from long, heterogeneous financial documents spanning hundreds of pages and multiple languages. Standard Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) pipelines optimize for semantic similarity, which frequently surfaces passages that are topically related but lack decision utility, a problem we term the similarity-utility gap. We propose a two-phase non-parametric retrieval architecture that separates high-recall candidate retrieval from high-precision utility ranking. The first phase combines lexical and dense multilingual retrieval to construct a broad candidate pool. The second phase applies an adaptive retrieval controller that filters candidates using query intent and document structure signals, followed by an LLM-as-a-Judge utility scoring mechanism that ranks passages by analytical usefulness rather than semantic proximity. A context-aware extraction module preserves structural fidelity across narrative text and complex financial tables. The system is deployed entirely on-premise to satisfy enterprise data governance requirements. Evaluated on a multilingual corpus of proprietary financial documents with analyst-curated relevance labels, the system significantly outperforms naive retrieval baselines. In production deployment across more than 800 credit analysts, document review time was reduced from several hours to approximately three minutes, demonstrating the practical value of utility-aware RAG architectures for document-intensive decision-support workflows.
Auditing Discriminatory Patterns in Mortgage Lending Through Association Rules and Fair Binning
Mortgage lending in the United States exhibits persistent racial and gender disparities. We investigate whether standard data preprocessing steps, specifically attribute binning, amplify these disparities in downstream pattern mining. Using 103,481 cleaned mortgage applications from the HMDA 2023 dataset (Chicago metropolitan area), we build a three-stage pipeline: (1) a PySpark data cleaning and binning pipeline that implements both standard equal-frequency binning and the epsilon-biased fair binning algorithm from Asudeh et al. [1], (2) FP-Growth association rule mining that compares denial patterns under both binning regimes, and (3) K-Means clustering with a per-cluster disparate impact audit. Our standard binning shows 9.63% racial bias in income discretization, consistent with the 8-10% reported in prior work. Fair binning with seven race groups is infeasible at epsilon=0.03 and only succeeds at epsilon=0.08 with a Price of Fairness of 29.4%. FP-Growth reveals that high debt-to-income ratio is the dominant denial predictor (67.2% confidence, 2.81 lift), while racial bias does not appear as explicit high-support rules. However, K-Means clustering followed by a disparate impact audit flags 10 out of 45 cluster-group pairs, showing that Black applicants face significantly higher denial rates than White applicants even among financially similar groups.
Herculean: An Agentic Benchmark for Financial Intelligence
As AI agents improve, the central question is no longer whether they can solve isolated well-defined financial tasks, but whether they can reliably carry out financial professional work. Existing financial benchmarks offer only a partial view of this ability, as they primarily evaluate static competencies such as question answering, retrieval, summarization, and classification. We introduce Herculean, the first skilled benchmark for agentic financial intelligence spanning four representative workflows, including Trading, Hedging, Market Insights, and Auditing. Each workflow is instantiated as a standardized MCP-based skill environment with its own tools, interaction dynamics, constraints, and success criteria, enabling consistent end-to-end assessment of heterogeneous agent systems. Across frontier agents, we find agents perform relatively well on Trading and Market Insights, but struggle substantially on Hedging and Auditing, where long-horizon coordination, state consistency, and structured verification are critical. Overall, our results point to a key gap in current agents in turning financial reasoning into dependable workflow execution in high-stakes financial workflows.
FIND: Toward Multimodal Financial Reasoning and Question Answering for Indic Languages
Financial decision-making in multilingual settings demands accurate numerical reasoning grounded in diverse modalities, yet existing benchmarks largely overlook this high-stakes, real-world challenge, especially for Indic languages. We introduce FinVQA, a benchmark for evaluating financial numerical and multimodal reasoning in multilingual Indic contexts. FinVQA spans English, Hindi, Bengali, Marathi, Gujarati, and Tamil, and comprises 18,900 samples across 14 financial domains. The dataset captures diverse reasoning paradigms under realistic constraints, and is structured across three difficulty levels (easy, moderate, hard) and four question formats: multiple choice, fill-in-the-blank, table matching, and true/false. To address these challenges, we propose FIND, a framework that combines supervised fine-tuning with constraint-aware decoding to promote faithful numerical reasoning, robust multimodal grounding, and structured decision-making. Together, FinVQA and FIND establish a rigorous evaluation and modeling paradigm for high-stakes multilingual multimodal financial reasoning.
Beyond Task Success: Measuring Workflow Fidelity in LLM-Based Agentic Payment Systems
LLM-based multi-agent systems are increasingly deployed for payment workflows, yet prevailing metrics, Task Success Rate (TSR) and Agent Handoff F1-Score (HF1), capture only final outcomes or unordered routing decisions. We introduce the Agentic Success Rate (ASR), a trajectory-fidelity metric that compares observed and expected agent execution sequences at the transition level, decomposing performance into Transition Recall and Transition Precision. Applied to the Hierarchical Multi-Agent System for Payments (HMASP) across 18 LLMs and 90,000 task instances, ASR reveals that 10 of 18 models systematically skip a confirmation checkpoint during payment checkout, a deviation invisible to both TSR and HF1, while 8 models enforce the checkpoint perfectly. Notably, GPT-4.1 exhibits hidden workflow shortcuts despite achieving perfect TSR and HF1, while GPT-5.2 achieves perfect ASR. Prompt refinements and deterministic routing guards guided by ASR diagnostics yield substantial TSR improvements, with gains up to +93.8 percentage points for previously struggling models, demonstrating that trajectory-level evaluation is essential in regulated domains.
FinRAG-12B: A Production-Validated Recipe for Grounded Question Answering in Banking
Large language models (LLMs) are rapidly being adopted across various domains. However, their adoption in banking industry faces resistance due to demands for high accuracy, regulatory compliance, and the need for verifiable and grounded responses. We present a unified, data-efficient framework for training grounded domain-specific LLMs that optimizes answer quality, citation grounding, and calibrated refusal under real-world deployment constraints. First, we describe a data generation pipeline that combines LLM-as-a-Judge filtering, citation annotation, and curriculum learning with only 143M tokens. The resulting 12B model achieves high answer quality outperforming GPT-4.1 on citation grounding, with a modest citation tradeoff versus the untuned base. Second, we propose a calibrated refusal mechanism: training on 22% unanswerable examples yield a 12% "I don't know" rate, substantially improving over the base model's unsafe 4.3% rate while avoiding GPT-4.1's over-refusal (20.2%). Third, we present an end-to-end methodology spanning from data curation to quantized serving. The system is deployed at 40+ financial institutions, achieving a 7.1 percentage point improvement in query resolution (p < 0.001). Additionally, the model delivers 3-5x faster responses at 20-50x lower cost compared to GPT-4.1.
A Meta Reinforcement Learning Approach to Goals-Based Wealth Management
Applying concepts related to zero-shot meta-learning and pre-training of foundation models, we develop a meta reinforcement learning approach (denoted MetaRL) that is pre-trained on thousands of goals-based wealth management (GBWM) problems. Each GBWM problem involves a multiple year scenario over which the investor looks to optimally choose an investment portfolio each year and choose to fulfill all, some, or none of the different financial goals that arise each year. These choices seek to maximize the expected total investor utility obtained from the fulfilled financial goals. By eliminating separate training and optimization for each new investor problem, the MetaRL model in inference mode produces near-optimal dynamic investment portfolio and goal-fulfilling strategies for a new GBWM problem within a few hundredths of a second. This delivers expected utilities that are, on average, 97.8% of the optimal expected utilities (determined via Dynamic Programming). These results are remarkably robust to capital market regime changes, even when training uses only one capital market regime. Further, the MetaRL approach can enable solving problems with larger state spaces where Dynamic Programming becomes computationally infeasible.
Intent2Tx: Benchmarking LLMs for Translating Natural Language Intents into Ethereum Transactions
The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) offers a transformative interface for Web3, yet existing benchmarks fail to capture the complexity of translating high-level user intents into functionally correct, state-dependent on-chain transactions. We present \textsc{Intent2Tx}, a high-fidelity benchmark featuring 29,921 single-step and 1,575 multi-step instances meticulously derived from 300 days of real-world Ethereum mainnet traces. Unlike prior works that rely on synthetic instructions, \textsc{Intent2Tx} grounds natural language intents in real-world protocol interactions across 11 categories, including diverse long-tail Decentralized Finance (DeFi) primitives. To enable rigorous evaluation, we propose an execution-aware framework that transcends surface-level text matching by employing differential state analysis on forked mainnet environments. Our extensive evaluation of 16 state-of-the-art LLMs reveals that while scaling and retrieval-augmentation enhance logical consistency and parameter precision, current models struggle with out-of-distribution generalization and multi-step planning. Crucially, our execution-based analysis demonstrates that syntactically valid outputs often fail to achieve intended state transitions, highlighting a significant gap in current "reasoning-to-execution" capabilities. \textsc{Intent2Tx} serves as a critical foundation for developing autonomous, reliable agents in intent-centric Web3 ecosystems. Code and data: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Intent2Tx_Bench-97FF .
Compliance-Aware Agentic Payments on Stablecoin Rails
Agentic payment systems extend delegated action to financial transfers, but scaling them on stablecoin rails in regulated settings requires safeguards that remain effective when humans are not continuously in the loop. We present a compliance-aware architecture that combines x402-style, signature-based payment authorisation and relayed execution with programmable compliance embedded as an on-chain guardrail via a policy wrapper and policy manager coordinating modular checks. By enforcing compliance at the point of execution, rather than as a separate off-chain workflow, the approach preserves low-friction settlement when conditions are satisfied, records transaction-linked on-chain attestations, and supports structured resolution when requirements are pending.
The Price of Agreement: Measuring LLM Sycophancy in Agentic Financial Applications
Given the increased use of LLMs in financial systems today, it becomes important to evaluate the safety and robustness of such systems. One failure mode that LLMs frequently display in general domain settings is that of sycophancy. That is, models prioritize agreement with expressed user beliefs over correctness, leading to decreased accuracy and trust. In this work, we focus on evaluating sycophancy that LLMs display in agentic financial tasks. Our findings are three-fold: first, we find the models show only low to modest drops in performance in the face of user rebuttals or contradictions to the reference answer, which distinguishes sycophancy that models display in financial agentic settings from findings in prior work. Second, we introduce a suite of tasks to test for sycophancy by user preference information that contradicts the reference answer and find that most models fail in the presence of such inputs. Lastly, we benchmark different modes of recovery such as input filtering with a pretrained LLM.
One Size Fits None: Heuristic Collapse in LLM Investment Advice
Large language models are increasingly deployed as advisors in high-stakes domains -- answering medical questions, interpreting legal documents, recommending financial products -- where good advice requires integrating a user's full context rather than responding to salient surface features. We investigate whether frontier LLMs actually do this, or whether they instead exhibit heuristic collapse: a systematic reduction of complex, multi-factor decisions to a small number of dominant inputs. We study the phenomenon in investment advice, where legal standards explicitly require individualized reasoning over a client's full circumstances. Applying interpretable surrogate models to LLM outputs, we find systematic heuristic collapse: investment allocation decisions are largely determined by self-reported risk tolerance, while other relevant factors contribute minimally. We further find that web search partially attenuates heuristic collapse but does not resolve it. These findings suggest that heuristic collapse is not resolved by web search augmentation or model scale alone, and that deploying LLMs as advisors requires auditing input sensitivity, not just output quality.
ComplianceNLP: Knowledge-Graph-Augmented RAG for Multi-Framework Regulatory Gap Detection
Financial institutions must track over 60,000 regulatory events annually, overwhelming manual compliance teams; the industry has paid over USD 300 billion in fines and settlements since the 2008 financial crisis. We present ComplianceNLP, an end-to-end system that automatically monitors regulatory changes, extracts structured obligations, and identifies compliance gaps against institutional policies. The system integrates three components: (1) a knowledge-graph-augmented RAG pipeline grounding generations in a regulatory knowledge graph of 12,847 provisions across SEC, MiFID II, and Basel III; (2) multi-task obligation extraction combining NER, deontic classification, and cross-reference resolution over a shared LEGAL-BERT encoder; and (3) compliance gap analysis that maps obligations to internal policies with severity-aware scoring. On our benchmark, ComplianceNLP achieves 87.7 F1 on gap detection, outperforming GPT-4o+RAG by +3.5 F1, with 94.2% grounding accuracy ( vs. human judgments) and 83.4 F1 under realistic end-to-end error propagation. Ablations show that knowledge-graph re-ranking contributes the largest marginal gain (+4.6 F1), confirming that structural regulatory knowledge is critical for cross-reference-heavy tasks. Domain-specific knowledge distillation (70B 8B) combined with Medusa speculative decoding yields inference speedup; regulatory text's low entropy ( bits vs. general text) produces 91.3% draft-token acceptance rates. In four months of parallel-run deployment processing 9,847 updates at a financial institution, the system achieved 96.0% estimated recall and 90.7% precision, with a sustained analyst efficiency gain. We report deployment lessons on trust calibration, GRC integration, and distributional shift monitoring for regulated-domain NLP.
Towards Event-Aware Forecasting in DeFi: Insights from On-chain Automated Market Maker Protocols
Automated Market Makers (AMMs), as a core infrastructure of decentralized finance (DeFi), uniquely drive on-chain asset pricing through a deterministic reserve ratio mechanism. Unlike traditional markets, AMM price dynamics is triggered largely by on-chain events (e.g., swap) that change the reserve ratio, rather than by continuous responses to off-chain information. This makes event-level analysis crucial for understanding price formation mechanisms in AMMs. However, existing research generally neglects the micro-structural dynamics at the AMMs level, lacking both a comprehensive dataset covering multiple protocols with fine-grained event classification and an effective framework for event-aware modeling. To fill this gap, we construct a dataset containing 8.9 million on-chain event records from four representative AMMs protocols: Pendle, Uniswap v3, Aave and Morpho, with precise annotations of transaction type and block height timestamps. Furthermore, we propose an Uncertainty Weighted Mean Squared Error (UWM) loss function, which incorporates the block interval regression term into the traditional Time-Point Process (TPP) objective function by weighting the uncertainty with homoscedasticity. Extensive experiments on eight advanced TPP architectures demonstrate that this loss function reduces the time prediction error by an average of 56.41% while maintaining the accuracy of event type prediction, establishing a robust benchmark for event-aware prediction in the AMMs ecosystem. This work provides the necessary data foundation and methodological framework for modeling the discreteness and event-driven characteristics of on-chain price discovery. All datasets and source code are publicly available. https://github.com/yosen-king/Deep-AMM-Events
A Wasserstein GAN-based climate scenario generator for risk management and insurance: the case of soil subsidence
According to the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (2025), the average annual cost of natural catastrophes increased from 70--80 billion USD between 1970 and 2000 to 180--200 billion USD between 2001 and 2020. Reports from organizations such as the IFOA and the WWF highlight the need for the insurance sector to adapt to this rapidly evolving context by developing medium- to long-term strategies that go beyond the one-year horizon of prudential regulations such as Solvency II. This paper introduces an artificial intelligence framework based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (Conditional GANs) to generate future spatio-temporal trajectories of climatic indices. The approach focuses on the Soil Wetness Index (SWI), a key indicator used in France to assess drought severity. Drought accounts for approximately 30% of the indemnities paid under the French natural catastrophe insurance scheme. The proposed model, SwiGAN, simulates plausible drought propagation patterns up to 2050 for a region of France particularly exposed to this hazard. By generating realistic sequences of SWI maps, SwiGAN provides insights into drought dynamics under climate change scenarios and supports the design of adaptive risk management and insurance strategies. The methodology is also generalizable to other climate-related perils and actuarial applications such as economic scenario generation.