Financial Services
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8 papers in the last four weeks, up 60% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.
Latest papers 75
AI services incur inference costs during execution, while revenue may arrive later. Changing API prices, limited upfront capital, and service failures can limit operators' ability to sustain or expand their services. Beyond reducing per-request costs, operators need to plan future spending, fund execution before revenue arrives, and obtain compensation for specified losses. This requires clear agreements across services with different pricing and execution conditions. These agreements must distinguish rights to consume services from rights to receive payments, define obligations under uncertain costs and income, and specify which failures qualify for compensation and how much can be paid. We present TokenBank, a financial infrastructure that represents these commitments through structured contracts. It supports service-consumption rights, agreements that settle API-price differences in cash (forwards), financing through limited rights to future service revenue, and protection claims for specified service failures. Contracts specify participants, covered services, validity, ownership, fulfillment conditions, and settlement rules. Evaluation combines replay of 899,441 API requests, real model-driven agent execution, and contract API tests. In a zero-discount rising-price resampling scenario, forwards reduce mean expenditure by USD 304.88 but increase its standard deviation from USD 1,152.45 to USD 1,190.82. A controlled replication with five portfolios per capital condition finds mean contribution differences between financing and self-funding of +1.0635, -0.1406, and -0.2962 experimental USD under low, baseline, and ample capital, respectively. The evaluation distinguishes contract correctness from economic effectiveness under declared economic and failure assumptions; supplier invoices and commercial revenue are unavailable.
IndicBankBench: Evaluating Safety and Reliability of Language Model Assistants in Indian Retail Banking
Banking assistants must use account-specific information to answer requests and, in many cases, take actions through tools. Evaluating only the final response misses important errors. An assistant may ask for information it already has, rely on stale context, select the wrong account, or write an invalid value after stating the correct one. We introduce IndicBankBench, a 799-case benchmark for Indian retail banking spanning five operational domains, a capability/refusal domain, and twenty primary axes. Cases are evaluated at four stages: safety, action and tool use, response adequacy, and advisory quality. Tool use and most safety checks are deterministic. A narrow resolver handles only ambiguous confirmation-before-write cases, while a separate LLM judge evaluates semantic response adequacy. We run every case three times and report strict pass^3, which requires success on all trials. Across the eleven evaluated models, strict reliability ranges from 43.7% to 58.2%, whereas at-least-once success ranges from 60% to 74%. This gap shows that at-least-once success can overstate dependable banking behavior. The case-level diagnostics also distinguish systems that ask unnecessary questions from those that act but fail to reconcile customer context or fully resolve the request. We release the cases, mock environment, and evaluation harness.
Compliant with Local Controls, Collectively Discriminatory. A Governance Architecture for Multi-Agent AI in Regulated Finance
Financial institutions are beginning to deploy agentic workflows in credit, fraud, collections, compliance, and operational control. Governance remains largely component-centric: each model or agent is specified, tested, authorized, and monitored locally. That is insufficient when institutional risk arises from the joint behavior of many locally acceptable components. We call this gap constitutional non-compositionality: local compliance checks need not compose into acceptable collective outcomes such as bounded disparate impact, market integrity, or traceable accountability. We propose ARIA as a finance-specific reference architecture and falsifiable research agenda for agent-population governance. It organizes six capabilities across normative-accountability, execution-control, and assurance-learning planes: policy specification, population-level observed-versus-expected behavior monitoring (M2), bounded authority, runtime containment, adaptive policy change, and preserved human oversight competence. Two simulations illustrate shared-signal thin-file exclusion under local controls and earlier warning from observed-versus-expected distributional monitoring in a constructed drift regime. The contribution maps these controls to fair-lending, EU AI Act, model-risk, and conduct-supervision evidence needs, and closes with a validation agenda rather than a production-effectiveness claim.
Sovereign Grassroots Currencies: A CBDC Architecture for Credit and Monetary Policy (Full Version)
A Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) is central-bank money in digital form, held by the public. Leading designs have two limitations: conversion from bank deposits into CBDC can accelerate deposit flight, requiring safeguards, and the CBDC stays outside credit creation and monetary-policy operations. Here we present a CBDC architecture based on grassroots currencies that overcomes these limitations. The architecture has three components: (1) Money: sovereign grassroots coins, which are digital debts of one unit of fiat currency issued by the central bank, constituting a direct CBDC; (2) Credit and Liquidity: non-sovereign grassroots coins, which are digital debts of one unit of the same fiat currency, redeemable at par, that can be issued by any person, natural or legal, thus adding credit; and (3) Interest: grassroots bonds, sovereign and non-sovereign, adding maturity and thus interest, standard banking instruments, and the central bank's instruments of monetary policy. The central bank can therefore lend, absorb liquidity, set its rates and buy and sell securities in the coins and bonds the public holds, choosing the counterparties and terms of its credit operations, and without converting bank deposits into newly issued central bank money on demand. We prove that the arbitrage-free price of any non-sovereign grassroots coin whose issuer redeems it on demand is one unit of the fiat currency. The central bank can choose to deal with any counterparty, not just banks, and we argue that the central bank's interest rates on lending and bonds bound from above and below the corresponding interest rates of its counterparties. Sovereign and non-sovereign grassroots coins and bonds have been implemented and tested on a small scale.
CausalLoss-Fin: Attributing Financial-Agent Loss to Decisions and Infrastructure Faults
When an agent handling a payment exception loses money, the agent-step attribution methods this paper compares against will name one of its actions. They will do so even when a settlement message was dropped and the agent never had a chance: they intervene on agent actions and do not expose infrastructure faults as intervenable variables, so every dollar they explain is charged to a decision. We take a benchmark whose fault process is explicit and replayable, decompose each episode's realised delivery schedule into named, individually repairable messages, and intervene on both the agent's choices and the infrastructure's. A telescoping identity splits any policy's loss exactly three ways: an infrastructure effect, a policy differential against the best implementable policy, and a reference-policy residual. Two of the three can be negative, so none is a share; Shapley then divides the first into signed allocations over individual messages. One result is structural and needs no corpus: an agent-only baseline identifies no infrastructure cause, because its model contains no variable that could name one. What 545 planted episodes across 3 policies measure is the size of that consequence. It misfiles 100% of infrastructure episodes and charges $114,383.40 to the agent. Repairing what it names recovers 0.0% of the available loss; repairing a minimal sufficient set recovers 100.0%. Scoring messages one at a time is not merely imprecise: 27.8% (95% CI: 23.3--32.3%) of episodes do not decompose additively. We evaluate deterministic programmatic policies rather than language-model agents, which is what makes replay exact and which limits external validity to stochastic agents. The prevalence figures are properties of this generator, not field rates.
From "Who Is This User?" to "What Does This Purchase Mean?": A Deployed Pipeline for Semantic User Profiling at Bank Scale
Per-user LLM inference on transaction histories binds the inference budget linearly to user count, which becomes prohibitive at applied scale. We re-cast attribute inference from per-user to per-transaction-pattern. The pipeline runs in three phases: Resolve abstracts item names with optional web grounding, Profile infers attributes for each frequent pattern, and Tag clusters free-text attributes into a queryable database. In Profile, a single LLM call per pattern emits predefined categorical labels, free-text attributes, and per-attribute prevalence estimates. Because inference runs over patterns rather than users, the budget grows with the pattern count rather than the user count. On the public Open e-commerce corpus, the database is statistically indistinguishable from an LLM that reads each user's raw history directly in AUC across the evaluated attributes, and the prevalence estimates carry discriminative signal between positive and negative users. The pipeline is deployed at a major Japanese bank profiling on the order of tens of millions of users, with close to a three-order-of-magnitude reduction in LLM inference targets versus a per-user pipeline. The code is publicly available on https://github.com/CyberAgentAILab/profiling-agent-open-ecommerce.
BENCHCOMPASS: From Scores to Signals for Training and Harness Decisions in Payment-Domain LLMs
Payment operations are a critical financial infrastructure, but the value of large language models in this domain remains unclear because payment rules change quickly, evidence is fragmented, and decisions depend on transaction state, participant role, region, and payment rail. Existing benchmarks do not isolate whether failures come from missing payment-rule knowledge, poor use of supplied evidence, or brittleness under imperfect harness inputs. We introduce BENCHCOMPASS, a payment-domain benchmark whose construction pipeline builds scenario-grounded tasks from typed evidence packs, applies LLM-based quality checks, creates task-input attack variants, and reserves final item admission for domain experts. The release contains an expert-reviewed Pro benchmark covering payment knowledge, context-grounded scenario reasoning, and Attacked Open robustness, plus a lower-assurance Normal pool for inspection and future curation. Across 16 model variants, BENCHCOMPASS shows qualitatively different failure modes: missing parametric payment knowledge, incomplete reasoning over supplied rules, and failure to reject plausible but invalid workflows. The benchmark remains unsaturated: the best frontier model reaches 89.6% on Open Context-Grounded Reasoning and 81.7% under attacked inputs, while a representative 32B open-weight model reaches 69.8% and 42.6%. Benchmark data and code are available at https://github.com/ant-intl/BenchCompass.
Cyber-Financial Contagion: Modeling the Propagation of an AI Vendor Compromise Through the Banking System
The banking system now depends on a small set of shared artificial intelligence vendors for fraud screening, credit decisioning, anti-money-laundering triage, customer analytics, and internal decision support. This paper studies how a compromise inside one of those vendors can propagate along a chain of operational, informational, and financial linkages until it triggers losses that look, from the outside, like a classical banking crisis. We build a four-layer heterogeneous network that couples AI vendors, financial institutions, interbank exposures, and customer accounts, and we propose CFC-Prop, a stochastic epidemic-and-clearing model that runs on that network. On a synthetic dataset with 60 vendors, 220 banks, roughly 2,500 vendor-bank service edges, and 1,400 interbank exposures, CFC-Prop reproduces the heavy-tailed loss distributions and the sharp dependence on patch latency that are consistent with prior cyber-financial evidence. We also train an early-warning model, CFC-GNN, that uses vendor-side incident telemetry and graph structure to flag high-cascade-risk vendors before impact. Across four baselines the proposed model reaches AUROC 0.82 and AUPRC 0.60 while keeping calibration errors bounded. We release the full code, synthetic data, and reproducible scripts. The results argue that cyber concentration among AI vendors is a first-order financial-stability problem and give supervisors a concrete quantitative tool for reasoning about it.
FinCUABuild: Can Agents Build Reliable Benchmarks for Dynamic Financial Computer Use?
Financial scenarios are diverse and complex, spanning varying data conditions, tool configurations, and workflows. Yet existing CUA, Computer-Using Agent, evaluation tasks remain largely manually constructed, limiting scalable coverage of real-world financial scenarios. Then, can agents autonomously construct diverse CUA evaluation tasks for financial scenarios? Evaluating this capability poses three key challenges: scenario coverage of construction requests, fair comparison across construction methods, and reliable assessment of generated task quality. To solve these, we introduce FinCUABuildBench, a benchmark for evaluating financial CUA task construction, featuring: (i) 576 construction requests covering 24 financial workflows and three types of runtime variation; (ii) standardized input, budget, and output specifications; and (iii) a task qualification mechanism based on execution tests and quality checks. We further introduce FinCUABuildAgent, a multi-agent system for automatically constructing dynamic financial CUA evaluation tasks. It consists of three modules that jointly construct tasks, environments, and validators. On FinCUABuildBench, under the same model backbone, existing agent-based construction methods achieve strict qualification rates of only 1.3-8.3%, while FinCUABuildAgent reaches 31.3%. Downstream evaluations further show that the constructed tasks can effectively differentiate CUA task-execution capabilities. These results demonstrate that agents can autonomously construct financial CUA tasks with meaningful evaluation value, offering a practical path toward broader evaluation coverage in financial scenarios. Code: https://github.com/FengxianJi/FinCUABuild
FiMI Banking: A Sovereign Model for Indian Retail Banking
Banks need conversational systems that can answer product questions, assist customers with account-related requests, and operate safely within strict operational and regulatory constraints. General-purpose language models do not reliably meet these requirements. They fall short when a task requires grounded information, correct tool use, or cautious handling of bank-specific sensitive situations. We introduce FiMI Banking, a controlled Indian retail-banking setting. We build it from vetted banking documents, structured ground truth, synthetic customer backgrounds, and banking tools. We evaluate two post-training approaches: preference optimization for response-level behavior, and reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards for multi-turn tool-use tasks. Preference optimization improves safe behavior substantially: out-of-scope refusal rises from 52% to 80%. Reinforcement learning improves edge-case performance from 0.509 to 0.718 and order-sensitive task performance from 0.590 to 0.679, while using 29% fewer generated tokens. These results show that preference optimization and verifiable-reward reinforcement learning address complementary requirements for reliable banking agents.
Right Frame, Wrong Rule: Cultural Cues Expose the Financial Knowledge Gap They Were Meant to Close
When a question has valid answers under different normative frameworks, a language model must decide which framework to use and whether it can answer correctly within it. We call this setting normative pluralism and study it in Islamic finance using a four-choice taxonomy that separates framework selection from within-framework correctness. This separation reveals the stereotype trap: a cultural cue steers a model toward one framework, but the model selects an incorrect answer within that framework. Across twelve models, two languages, and fifty demographic signals, cultural cues change framework selection and reveal substantial differences in accuracy, especially among non-frontier models. Under the strongest signal, large open-weight models select the Islamic framework 97% of the time. A two-choice evaluation would report near-perfect alignment, although 57--66% of those selections are incorrect. These findings motivate, but do not directly test, the competence-conditioned routing hypothesis: models may favor frameworks where they are more accurate, while cultural cues may expose framework-specific competence gaps.
Beyond Churn: Predicting Financial Fragmentation in Retail Banking with Temporal Machine Learning
Retail banking attrition is usually represented as a terminal binary event, even though client relationships often weaken earlier through partial movements of deposits, investments, and recurring activity to external financial institutions. This paper defines that preceding state as financial fragmentation and presents an end-to-end temporal machine-learning system for predicting it before complete disengagement. Using anonymized multi-source data from a large retail bank, the framework predicts whether a valid external transfer or investment event will occur within 90 days. The study uses 595,220 client-month observations, with 346 engineered features combining monthly client profiles, balances, product relationships, prior flow-of-funds behavior, macroeconomic conditions, and competitor activity. A four-stage XGBoost cascade estimates (1) whether an external outflow will occur within 90 days, (2) the expected amount, (3) the originating product, and (4) the destination financial institution. The primary classifier achieved a test precision-recall area under the curve of 0.823. At the validation-selected threshold, it produced 86.4% precision, 75.1% recall, and an F1 score of 0.803. Ranking test observations in descending Stage 1 fragmentation score, the top 1% of clients yielded 95.3% precision, while the top 5% captured 78.7% of observed outflow cases. The amount model placed 94.9% of predictions within an adjacent amount bucket. Destination prediction reached a macro-F1 of 0.81 across 27 classes; source-product prediction achieved a weighted F1 of 0.92. By moving the analytical focus from terminal churn to earlier fund migration, the proposed approach provides a practical foundation for proactive, explainable, and economically informed client-retention decision support.
CARD: Controlled Agentic Reddit Discussions for Credit Card Simulation
Online credit card discussions provide a natural setting for studying how consumers communicate about financial products. Simulating these discussions requires more than just generating individual comments, the generated threads should also match how real users express themselves and interact with others. We introduce CARD, a framework for generating realistic credit card discussion threads. Given a credit card post and its matched real thread, CARD uses non-verbatim guidance on reply structure, comment function, stance, tone, and conversational variation. A planner organizes these controls, a writer generates the discussion, and a calibration loop updates comments' populations that contribute to differences between the generated and real thread distributions. We evaluate CARD on real Reddit credit card discussions using lexical, semantic, behavioral, and structural metrics. CARD matches the distributions of real credit card discussions better than simulation baselines across multiple LLMs and also demonstrates smaller effect sizes and distribution distances across metrics. These results show that structured planning and targeted revision can generate the realism of simulated credit card discussions.
Context Is Not Authority: Structured Runtime Governance for Financial Market Agents
Financial agents can turn correct context into an unauthorized effect: a customer-facing commitment, trade, or deployed policy. We present SAGE-Fin, a finance-specific authority-handoff contract that makes the proposed effect, not merely its text, the object of runtime control. SAGE-Fin compiles proposals into typed, adapter-bound candidates; records missing or stale institutional obligations as coverage debt; contracts authority under current market, account, policy, and dialogue state; and requires an exact-artifact receipt whose nominal type matches the consuming response, execution, or policy adapter. Evidence and workflow progress cannot substitute for effect authority, and prior authorization is rechecked after state changes. Across an authored 616-case catalog, five deterministic specifications yield 3,080 outputs; a label-isolated harness obtains 616/616 binary reference-prototype parity, including 3/3 named response-gate fixtures, while 22 tests cover selected paths. These results establish executable conformance, not independent safety accuracy. Separately, SAGE-Fin's response gate processed real customer-facing production requests at a confidential digital-asset platform. An operational team independent of the implementation team reached a strongly positive post-deployment conclusion on practical usefulness and workflow fit, and end-user feedback was also strongly positive. Disclosure permits only the review's independence, stakeholder classes, assessed dimensions, and directional conclusion, so this is qualitative field corroboration rather than an aggregate effect estimate. Three distinct de-identified predecessor failures, with independently confirmed 0/3 interception, ground repeated-emission drift, stale account evidence, and missing escalation state without estimating prevalence or treatment effect.
Counterfactual Analysis via Large Language Models
Counterfactual analysis aims to predict potential outcomes under hypothetical scenarios, offering valuable insights for decision-making. This paper investigates the application of large language models (LLMs), specifically the GPT-3.5 model, for counterfactual analysis. We focus on the online lending context, where the counterfactual return on investment (ROI) is crucial for evaluating different interest rate schemes. We begin by assessing the predictive performance of GPT and comparing it with advanced machine learning algorithms. The results show that prompt engineering can significantly enhance GPT's predictions, with the R-squared increasing from 1.97% to 2.84%, closely approaching the 3.48% achieved by gradient-boosted regression. Subsequently, we utilize GPT to generate counterfactual ROIs under a set of alternative interest rates. GPT exhibits logical coherence and causal reasoning in its responses. The findings underscore the potential of LLMs as effective tools for counterfactual analysis in online lending, suggesting broader applications for LLMs in various predictive and decision-making contexts.
FinReportBench: Measuring and Improving Institution-Grade Financial Report Generation
Large language models can produce fluent financial analysis, but fluency alone does not establish whether a report is suitable for institutional delivery. We introduce FinReportBench, an expert-grounded benchmark for measuring and improving institution-grade financial report generation. Expert review reveals recurring gaps in report identity, institutional components, source discipline, and visual delivery. We derive a 35-item rubric through expert partial orders, multimodal evidence, and audits of decision boundaries, covering deliverability, report identity, and institutional completeness. Starting from 10,000 balanced Chinese and English financial-research source records, we curate 244 bilingual tasks across three research objects and two input tiers. Each task separates the public query, reconstructed research trajectory, and hidden source packet. Three independent judge families reproduce the expert partial order at near-ceiling rates, showing that bounded, observable criteria support reliable evaluation. Across nine model families, basic deliverability is nearly saturated, while report identity and institutional completeness remain the primary bottlenecks. The largest cross-model gaps concern generation-trace control, information density, and data discipline rather than basic report framing. We then use benchmark-guided skill distillation to turn recurrent failures into reusable generation and self-review constraints. Across five model families, the evolved skill improves mean G1 by 33.85 points and mean G2 by 13.83 points over paired no-skill runs while preserving G0 for every pair. Code and benchmark artifacts are available at https://github.com/MisterBrookT/finreportbench.
FinPerMA: A Theory-Informed, Event-Grounded Personalized-Memory Benchmark for LLM Agents
Large language model (LLM) agents are increasingly used as personalized assistants in high-stakes domains such as financial advising, yet it remains unclear whether they can maintain and update an individualized user model over long horizons. Existing personalized-memory benchmarks primarily test factual retention or rely on weakly constrained model-generated trajectories, leaving event-driven preference adaptation underexplored. We introduce FinPerMA, an event-grounded benchmark that evaluates personalized memory against frozen longitudinal investor trajectories. Its generation pipeline combines deterministic, theory-informed impact rules, controlled LLM narration, and automated quality screening; a Post-Shock checkpoint isolates whether an agent has integrated a material event into its persistent user model. On 2,994 questions from 276 personas, seven frontier LLMs and up to seven memory configurations remain far from saturated: no full-context configuration exceeds approximately 0.47 overall accuracy or approximately 39% on multiple-choice questions. Attribution analysis shows that summary-based memory often preserves factual details while losing the preference signals needed for personalization; simple retrieval can therefore outperform purpose-built memory systems, with the gap widening after shocks.
ShiJianBench: From Dialogue to Decision for Long-Horizon Evaluation of Investment Advisors
Conversational investment advisors influence not only what users know, but also how they make subsequent decisions as market conditions evolve. Existing evaluations primarily assess response quality or observed outcomes, leaving the long-horizon pathway from advisor language to investor behavior difficult to audit. We introduce ShiJianBench, an offline framework for evaluating conversational investment advisors through matched investor trajectories under fixed historical market feedback. At its core is a multi-agent investor simulator with explicit evolving state variables, motive-driven deliberation, long-term memory, and dialogue-grounded updates. The simulator is calibrated against aggregate behavioral patterns from 7,199 real users, and advisor policies are evaluated using separate investor-side, service-side, and content-side metrics under a hard compliance gate. Experiments on Chinese fund-market traces from 2021 to 2026 identify a stable leading group of LLM advisors that combines substantially stronger personalized content with competitive investor-side trajectory outcomes. These results reveal a systematic distinction between producing a high-quality response and delivering an effective long-horizon intervention, motivating trajectory-aware evaluation of conversational advisors.
Benchmarks Are Not Validation: A System-Level View of Financial LLM Applications
Large language models are increasingly deployed in financial applications that combine retrieval, proprietary data, tool use, orchestration logic, monitoring, and human escalation. Yet evaluation often remains model-centric: benchmark scores, task accuracy, or one-off qualitative reviews are treated as evidence of readiness. In financial settings, this is insufficient. We take the position that financial LLM systems should not be approved for production based on benchmark performance alone. They require system-level validation evidence across the application stack: data, model design, retrieval and generation performance, agent behavior, governance, and implementation. Drawing on industry experience validating GenAI applications in financial institutions, we outline a multi-layer validation view and explain why hybrid evaluation is necessary. We discuss where LLM-as-a-judge methods are useful and why they require controls such as multiple judges, rubrics, agreement, and auditability checks. We also highlight failure modes poorly captured by static benchmarks, including retrieval failures, unfaithful generation, tool misuse, escalation errors, and operational instability. Our position is that financial LLM validation should be an ongoing system discipline rather than a one-time model scoring exercise. Validation should produce decision-ready evidence, not only scores. We conclude with a research agenda for system-aware benchmarks, agent trace validation, judge alignment protocols, and lifecycle validation standards.
AWARE-FX: An Auditable Knowledge-Guided AI System for Measuring Corporate Foreign-Exchange Hedging Disclosure
Corporate annual reports contain weakly structured evidence about foreign-exchange risk management, derivative use, natural hedging, and explicit non-use. This study develops AWARE-FX, an auditable AI/NLP decision-support system that converts report text into traceable firm-year hedging-disclosure measures. The system combines a professional-source lexicon, negation and accounting-status logic, channel-specific financial encoders, exact evidence gates, conservative aggregation, and an audit ledger. Across 24,909 Hong Kong firm-years from 2008-2025, it retrieves and scores 543,527 snippets. Reliability is evaluated through ablations, a stratified 300-snippet human audit, three-seed FinBERT-ModernBERT comparisons, strict 2023-2025 temporal tests, probability calibration, selective prediction, and fixed-prompt generative-model benchmarks. FinBERT has the higher mean F1 in seven of eight encoder task-split comparisons; its temporal F1 ranges from 0.702 to 0.872. Abstaining on the 20% least-confident temporal observations raises retained-sample F1 by 0.050-0.077. Deterministic Qwen3-8B performs strongly on commodity and negation evidence but poorly on foreign-debt and accounting-context labels, showing that a general-purpose LLM does not uniformly replace domain constraints. The strict FX score is negatively associated with linked baseline and stress-period FX exposure, whereas the generic broad score is not. These associations provide external construct validation, not causal estimates of hedging effectiveness. AWARE-FX contributes a tested decision-support architecture in which retrieval, status logic, classification, uncertainty handling, aggregation, and external validation remain separately auditable.
Hierarchical Reranking for Scalable Financial RAG System
Analyzing financial documents such as 10-K filings, tabular disclosures, and macroeconomic reports demands expert reasoning and extensive time. However, existing Retrieval-Augmented Generation systems often struggle to process hybrid text-table structures or the massive scale of financial documents. To address these challenges, we propose Hierarchical Reranker, a RAG framework designed to improve retrieval performance and generative reliability across large-scale financial datasets. The system integrates three key innovations: Pre-Retrieval Optimization, enhancing query clarity and search efficiency through normalization, keyword expansion, and table transformation; Hierarchical Reranker Architecture, improving retrieval precision through a two-stage ranking mechanism; and Long-Context Management, preserving reasoning accuracy through adaptive input partitioning and fusion under extensive contexts. Across multiple benchmarks, including FinQA, FinanceBench, and ConvFinQA, the proposed system achieved an NDCG@20 score of 0.7918 and demonstrated superior factual consistency. Its robustness was further validated by achieving second place in the ACM-ICAIF '24 FinanceRAG Challenge. This work presents a deployable, domain-optimized RAG pipeline that enhances both the accuracy and scalability of financial reasoning, paving the way for automated audit reporting and quantitative investment analysis. The source code will be made publicly available on GitHub upon acceptance.
Credit Cards, Confusion, Computation, and Consequences: What Can We Uncover About Language Model Reasoning?
We introduce CreditCardQA, the first financial literacy benchmark for numerical reasoning derived from real credit card agreements. The dataset contains 1,800 questions, including first-person variants that reflect how consumers naturally ask about fees, interest, and payments. We evaluate a range of large language and reasoning models under Chain-of-Thought (CoT) and Program-of-Thought (PoT) prompting. Overall, PoT yields consistent performance gains, particularly for models with weaker baseline reasoning, and narrows gaps between open- and closed-source systems. Through error analysis, we show that failures arise less from arithmetic and more from misapplied financial rules, missed conditions, and misunderstandings of contractual terms. We further analyze question difficulty and find that comparisons, conditional logic, and monetary constraints are especially challenging. We also find that errors often arise in edge cases such as late-payment penalties or small-balance scenarios that are more likely to affect lower-income or financially vulnerable individuals.
Capital Markets LLM Reliability Score (CM-LRS): From Plausible to Bankable
In capital-markets workflows the question is rarely whether a large language model can produce a fluent draft, but whether the draft is bankable: defensible in front of a counter-party or a regulator, with the documents in hand. Existing methods address parts of that gap: open-domain QA benchmarks reward surface accuracy, and finance benchmarks (FinanceBench, FinQA, ConvFinQA) advance document-grounded and numerical QA but evaluate at the question-answer layer rather than the workflow outputs practitioners defend. We introduce CM-LRS, a Capital Markets LLM Reliability Score, evaluating outputs at the workflow-output layer across seven dimensions: factual accuracy, evidence traceability, numerical consistency, workflow completeness, source discipline, decision usefulness, and reviewability/auditability. Each is scored 0-5 against a rubric anchored on signals reviewers in regulated settings use; the aggregate is tunable to the workflow. We demonstrate CM-LRS on five workflows (DCM transaction-terms extraction, precedent retrieval, issuer profile synthesis, M&A transaction-comparable reasoning, ECM transaction-terms extraction) over public SEC EDGAR filings, a public UK takeover release, and fictional synthetic supplements, scoring four models against four independent LLM judges spanning three model families. Three findings. First, the frontier closed-source models cluster within 0.22 points on four-judge averaged CM-LRS (Sonnet 4.6 = 4.31, Opus 4.7 = 4.30, GPT-5.5 = 4.09); all four judges place the open-weights baseline (Llama 3.3 70B = 3.15) last. Second, that gap concentrates on retrieval (2.23) and synthesis (2.15), not extraction (0.84). Third, Decision Usefulness shows the widest cross-model dispersion of any dimension (4.0 points on issuer profiling) and top-tier inter-judge agreement (mean r = 0.52). Plausibility is cheap. Bankability is the bar.
Detection, Attribution, Narration: An End-to-End Pipeline for Explainable Money Mule Identification
Money mule accounts are critical facilitators of financial fraud, yet detecting them at scale remains challenging due to the heterogeneous nature of transactional and behavioural data. We present an end-to-end pipeline for customer-level mule detection comprising three stages: (1) a LightGBM classifier trained on 280 engineered features spanning transaction patterns, account demographics, network topology, and temporal behaviour; (2) a TreeSHAP attribution layer that decomposes each prediction into feature contributions; and (3) a large language model (LLM) module that converts SHAP attributions into analyst-facing natural-language narratives. We evaluate across three open-weight LLM families and assess explanation quality through analyst feedback. In a live production deployment, the system achieves a yield rate of 89%, up from 61% under the incumbent rule-based system, with monthly alert volume expanding from 211 to 302, reflecting broader true-positive coverage rather than increased noise. This corresponds to a 60% incremental adverse detection beyond existing review workflows, substantially outperforming the rule-based approach. Qualitative feedback from analysts indicates that LLM-generated narratives reduce cognitive load during alert triage. We further discuss implications of deploying LLM-augmented explainability in regulated financial environments.
A RFID Based Campus Wide Payment System
This work titled "RFID Based Campuswide Payment System" introduces an innovative cashless payment solution for educational institutions. It uses RFID cards and a Raspberry Pi to enable hassle free payments for various campus services, such as cafeteria purchases, tuition fees, and library fines. A centralized database ensures real-time updates on transactions and account balances, accessible through a simple and user-friendly web interface. This work is involved in designing a secure system with object-oriented principles, setting up databases, and integrating hardware like RFID readers with a Raspberry Pi. The systems are proved to be a cost-effective and efficient alternative to traditional payment methods, enhancing convenience and security for students and administrators. The study also explored similar RFID applications, like smart parking and attendance systems, to identify challenges and improvements. Looking ahead, it envisions features like wearable RFID devices, voice-activated payments, and blockchain integration to boost security and usability. Results show that this system simplifies campus payments and has the potential for broader adoption in similar environments.
A Foundation Model for Multimodal Event Sequences in Financial Applications
Predictive modeling is a core component of modern financial services, where a wide range of tasks are traditionally addressed using separate models trained on manually engineered tabular features. This task-specific approach limits reuse and makes it difficult to fully exploit heterogeneous data sources such as transaction histories and digital interaction signals. In this paper, we present an approach based on pretraining a foundation transformer model on multimodal sequences of user events. Events from multiple data sources are unified into a single chronological sequence, enabling early fusion of heterogeneous modalities and learning of general-purpose representations via a next-event prediction objective. These representations are combined with existing engineered user features, on top of which lightweight neural models are trained for multiple downstream tasks. The proposed system outperforms traditional task-specific models while reducing development overhead. The approach was deployed in production at one of the biggest banks in Eastern Europe, resulting in measurable improvements in business metrics.
Governing Generative AI Across Financial Institutions: A Framework for Generative AI Risk Control
Generative artificial intelligence is moving from general-purpose experimentation toward specialized applications across banking, capital markets, insurance, payments, and wealth management. Its main contribution is not limited to conversational interfaces. Modern generative systems can synthesize large document collections, extract information from unstructured data, generate software and analytical code, create scenario narratives, support research workflows, and coordinate multi-step tasks. These capabilities make generative AI especially relevant to finance, where decisions often depend on combining quantitative data with contracts, policies,filings, news, customer communications, and expert judgment. This paper presents an application-oriented view of generative AI in finance. It organizes potential uses around five capability patterns, including knowledge synthesis, content generation, analytical assistance, interaction, and workflow orchestration, and maps them to major financia functions. Representative applications include investment research, customer service, lending support, fraud investigation, financial reporting, operations automation, software development, and personalized financial guidance. The paper also discusses common technical architectures, such as retrieval-augmented generation, tool-using assistants, multimodal models, and agentic workflows, and identifies practical factors that shape business value. The resulting landscape provides a foundation for researchers and practitioners seeking to understand where generative AI may produce the greatest operational and analytical impact in financial services
Meta-Benchmarks for Financial-Services LLM Evaluation
Public LLM leaderboards optimise for global average performance and do not capture the specific cognitive demands of financial-services work: a model that leads on MMLU-Pro may underperform on document-grounded compliance reasoning, and a coding leader may handle multi-turn customer interactions poorly. We present a meta-benchmarking framework that organises 452 publicly reported benchmarks into 41 O*NET Generalized Work Activities and aggregates those into 38 BIAN banking business domains spanning sales, operations, risk, and support work. A multiplicative weighting scheme (discrimination x coverage x recency), computed over a rolling model window, rewards benchmarks that still separate the best models, are widely reported, and remain in active use, suppressing saturated legacy tests automatically. These weights scale the K-factor in a pairwise Elo tournament, producing cross-benchmark-comparable work-activity scores without raw score normalisation; business-domain scores are weighted averages of the constituent work-activity Elos. We demonstrate the framework on a point-in-time public snapshot covering 288 models across 25 organisations as of June 2026, and describe the methodology, full taxonomy, design decisions, and limitations with the aim of making the approach reproducible for institutions facing similar selection and governance challenges.
Evidence-Supported Credit Risk Report Generation Using News-Centric Financial Knowledge Graphs
Financial markets evolve in response to real-world events reported in news, yet these drivers often remain implicit in text. To better explain market dynamics, event-market relations must be explicitly modeled through factual, company-centric, and environment-aware knowledge graphs. We present FinKG-News, a framework that automatically constructs such graphs by extracting news events as anchors linked to companies. Using FinKG-News as grounded evidence that integrates events, news, and company data, we develop an in-context learning architecture for credit risk report generation across three core financial dimensions. Automatic and human evaluations show that automated hallucination detection and quality assessment remain unreliable, making expert judgment indispensable. Our approach consistently outperforms baselines, improving quality by 19%-34% while reducing hallucinations. The source code and project resources are publicly available at: https://github.com/ichise-laboratory/FINKG-news.
Fund2Persona: A Framework for Building and Refining Financial Advisor Personas from Fund Disclosure Data
Demand for personalized financial advice is growing, yet current LLM-based advisors often fail to provide consistent and specialized guidance. Simple persona prompts rarely specify how a financial advisor should reason and often drift toward generic recommendations. We propose Fund2Persona, a framework that builds financial-advisor personas from real-world fund disclosures and refines them through an actor-scorer-patcher loop. We test whether the resulting personas can predict held-out portfolio changes and produce commentary consistent with fund managers' own explanations. They outperform generic baselines on both tasks. We further study two downstream diagnostics: market-scenario generation, where persona retrieval broadens plausible investment views, and multi-turn investor-advisor conversations, where matched personas give more specific and useful advice than a generic advisor. These results suggest that real fund data can bring manager-specific investment expertise to LLM advisors rather than merely changing an LLM's surface style.
Liquidity-Based Audit of Algorithmic Trading Strategies
We show that net demand for liquidity by algo strategies is identifiable from its trade and price history alone, with no knowledge of its signal or optimization problem. An exact multi-period regret decomposition implies that the sign of this statistic classifies a linear strategy as a net liquidity consumer or provider, recovering the Kyle (1985) informed-trader/market-maker dichotomy from observables alone. Under an AR(1) cost process, the same statistic equals the product of strategy size and the squared Roll (1984) implied spread, making the correction a direct proxy for prevailing illiquidity. Extending to endogenous price impact and aggregating across N correlated strategies yields a liquidity-balance condition whose violation produces welfare loss scaling as N squared, a closed-form fire-sale externality. We calibrate to CRSP equity data (2016-2025), tracking implied spreads through the COVID-19 and 2022 rate-shock episodes, with an estimator computable in O(Tnd) time.
LLM-Based Examination of Eligibility Criteria from Securities Prospectuses at the German Central Bank
Verifying the eligibility of securities as collateral is a key responsibility of the German Central Bank. However, manually verifying these assets against legal and financial criteria within lengthy, semi-structured, and often bilingual prospectuses is a resource-intensive task. While previous efforts utilized traditional Named Entity Recognition (NER) for information extraction, these methods can struggle with OCR noise, linguistic variance, and rigid span-based constraints, and the need for manually annotated training data for each relevant annotation type. In this paper, we present the first case study applying Large Language Models (LLMs) to the eligibility examination process, shifting the paradigm toward a generative Information Extraction pipeline. Our approach decomposes the task into extraction, normalization, and interpretation, allowing for greater flexibility in handling noisy text and interleaved German-English content. We further introduce a value-based evaluation methodology using LLM-as-a-judge, which offers a more semantic assessment than location-based metrics. Our results demonstrate that LLM-based systems achieve high precision (up to 91%) in document-level eligibility, exhibiting a conservative operating profile that minimizes false acceptance.
FinRED: An Expert-Guided Benchmark Generation and Evaluation Framework for Financial LLM Red-Teaming
Existing safety benchmarks target general adversarial scenarios but miss finance-specific risks. Financial LLMs face regulatory compliance violations, fraud facilitation, and systemic trust erosion that require targeted evaluation. We introduce FinRED, an expert-guided red-teaming framework for financial LLM safety evaluation developed with financial experts. FinRED uses a novel two-level taxonomy mapping global standards (e.g., FATF and EU DORA) to threats ranging from regulatory evasion to complex fraud, integrated with a scalable pipeline that converts real financial documents into context-rich red-teaming Behavioral Prompts (seeds) through an expert-defined schema. Rigorous expert validation confirms seed plausibility and realism for meaningful LLM safety evaluation. We also provide an expert-validated, finance-specific rubric that goes beyond disclaimer checks, aligns more closely with human experts than static one-size-fits-all rubrics, and reduces critical false negatives from 28 to 12. Aligned with internationally adopted risk-management and information-security standards (e.g., ISO/IEC 27001), FinRED is deployed in South Korea's Financial Security Institute (FSI) regulatory sandbox for generative AI security evaluation in real financial services. To mitigate dual-use risks, the dataset, generation pipeline, prompt template, and evaluation framework are gated for qualified researchers at https://github.com/selectstar-ai/FinRED-paper and https://huggingface.co/datasets/datumo/FinRED.
DeXposure-Claw: An Agentic System for DeFi Risk Supervision
Decentralized finance exposes supervisors to fast-moving, networked credit risks. General-purpose LLM agents fit this setting poorly: they over-read weak evidence and recommend high-stakes interventions, while existing evaluations offer no regulator-aligned way to measure the resulting false alarms. We introduce DeXposure-Claw, a forecast-grounded agentic supervision system that routes LLM decisions through structured evidence: (1) DeXposure-FM, a graph time-series foundation model, forecasts future exposure networks; (2) deterministic monitors and stress scenarios then turn those forecasts into typed alerts, attribution signals, and scenario evidence; and (3) data-health and confidence gates constrain escalation before DeXposure-Claw emits auditable supervisory tickets with rationales. We further develop DeXposure-Bench, a six-axis evaluation harness, whose decision axis scores tickets against a regulator-aligned absolute-loss ground truth and an explicit false-intervention rate. Experiments on five years of weekly real data fully support our system. Code is at https://github.com/EVIEHub/DeXposure-Claw.
MortarBench: Evaluating Mortgage Loan Origination Agents
Loan origination is the process by which a lender creates a new loan, from application and underwriting through approval and funding. This process serves a critical role in evaluating the eligibility and level of risk posed by an applicant. Recently, firms have begun using mortgage loan agents to augment human loan officers, despite a lack of any public benchmark. To fill this gap, we present MortarBench, a loan origination agent benchmark. MortarBench uses a financial data synthesis and mutation pipeline to generate examples with broad edge case coverage that match real-world distributions and questions. We find that state-of-the-art large language models (LLMs) perform poorly, with closed-source models achieving at most 77.1% exact match accuracy. We also discover systematic biases in LLM perception of foreignness related to non-English names. Noting these weaknesses, we introduce CRIT, a confidence calibration framework. Our method increases accuracy to 80.5% while improving risk management steering and reducing bias.
FinBalance: A Multi-Document Accounting Reconciliation Benchmark
Existing financial-NLP benchmarks mostly evaluate prepared artifacts such as filings, tables, or extracted values. Real accounting begins earlier: source documents must be reconciled into cited journal entries, aggregated into a balance sheet, and checked for contradictions. We introduce FinBalance, a multi-document accounting reconciliation benchmark built from source-document bundles across eight industries, three period types, and five difficulty levels. Human-authored business scenarios, accounting policies, tax/FX treatments, document schemas, distractors, and inconsistency templates are composed by a deterministic generator whose ledger produces journal entries,balance sheets, and 23 inconsistency-code labels. On a 710-record evaluation split, six contemporary LLMs reach at most 46% exact final-balance-sheet accuracy. Four models show a 26-41 pp gap between BS_exact, the model's reported balance sheet, and BS_recon, the balance sheet obtained by replaying its entries through our ledger. Models often recover numerically plausible entries but fail to bind them to supporting documents and aggregate them consistently. Citation-pressure prompting barely changes document-linking errors, while ledger-feedback ablations substantially improve reported balance sheets and expose inconsistency-detection trade-offs. Expert finance reviewers validate the benchmark design and labels.
Post-Quantum Secure Federated DeFi for Inclusive Banking
Recent advances in error-corrected qubits have accelerated the timeline for practical quantum computing. It poses a threat to cryptographic primitives used to secure financial systems, government infrastructure, communication networks, and DeFi (Decentralized Finance) ecosystems. This paper introduces a post-quantum secure federated DeFi framework that enables inter-bank collaboration to improve the inclusivity of individuals underserved by local lenders due to limited financial histories. Multiple banks contribute encrypted information batches to a virtual server, where lattice-based Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) enables end-to-end homomorphic computation. The server fuses local data-driven probabilistic assessments, expert beliefs, and verifiable evidence generated by the NASA-IBM Prithvi Geospatial Foundation Model (GFM), in encrypted format. Decentralized technologies are employed to ensure tamper-proof evidence and auditable accountability for all encrypted data exchanges between institutions and the server. The framework is tested on agricultural lending decisions for rural borrowers in Virginia.
TRUST-SCF: Transformer-based Risk Understanding and Scoring for Transactional Supply Chain Finance
Supply Chain Finance (SCF) and LendTech platforms need credit scoring systems that respond to evolving transaction behavior, repayment delays, and active exposure. We propose TRUST-SCF, a transformer-based framework for transaction-level risk prediction and dynamic credit scoring. Each user history is represented as a sequence of transaction tokens containing utilization, repayment delay and transaction position. The main contributions are: (1) a financially aligned attention bias that combines utilization similarity and recency, enabling the model to compare repayment behavior under comparable exposure conditions; (2) continuous repayment-delay prediction in a log-transformed target space, reducing the influence of extreme delays while improving sensitivity to short-delay behavior and (3) a label-efficient credit-scoring pipeline in which the final credit score is not trained using any explicit external credit-score label, but is instead derived from predicted delay, potential risk over simulated utilization, actual unpaid exposure, and nonlinear calibration. Experiments on real transaction data from more than 300,000 transactions show that TRUST-SCF improves delay prediction over sequential baselines and produces scores that are strongly associated with future repayment behavior. These results suggest that TRUST-SCF is a practical framework for adaptive credit scoring and transaction-level risk mitigation in SCF and LendTech environments.
How Small Can You Go? LoRA Fine-Tuning 270M-8B Models for Merchant Information Extraction in Financial Transactions
Merchant information extraction turns noisy financial transaction descriptors into structured fields at production scale. Our deployed LoRA-fine-tuned LLaMA3.1-8B reaches 96.95% F1, but its memory and throughput motivate smaller replacements. We evaluate 23 retained fine-tuning runs plus a separately trained production reference, spanning Gemma3 (270M--4B), Qwen3.5 (0.8B--4B), Aya3.35B, and LLaMA3.1-8B across LoRA ranks, prompts, training templates, and serving environments. A rank-8 LLaMA fine-tune reaches 96.75% F1, only 0.20 points below the rank-32 production reference. Qwen3.54B with JSON-Only prompting reaches 96.60% F1 and strict record-level exact match of 91.67%, with a lower inverse-throughput time estimate than the rank-8 8B model. Qwen3.5~0.8B reaches 94.75% F1, and Qwen Think and Nothink templates differ by less than 0.004 F1. Across 14 Databricks endpoints, mean F1 change from local evaluation is ; Aya is the only family with a 2.7--5.1 point decline. These results show that compact fine-tuned models can preserve most extraction accuracy, but model selection must account for prompt choice, throughput, and serving-stack behavior.
Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Accounting Information Systems and Fraud Detection in Nigeria's Financial Services Sector: The Moderating Role of Natural Language Processing
The rapid digitalisation of financial systems has improved operational efficiency and financial inclusion while simultaneously increasing exposure to sophisticated forms of cyber-enabled fraud and electronic financial misconduct. Conventional auditing systems, which largely depend on retrospective verification and rule-based monitoring, increasingly struggle to address the complexity and speed of modern financial crime. Consequently, financial institutions are progressively adopting Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled Accounting Information Systems (AIS) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) technologies to strengthen fraud detection, continuous auditing, and institutional monitoring. This study examined the influence of AI-enabled AIS on auditing and fraud detection effectiveness within Nigeria's financial services sector while additionally evaluating the moderating role of NLP. Anchored on the Fraud Diamond Theory and the Technology Acceptance Model, the study adopted a quantitative cross-sectional survey design. Primary data were collected from 186 professionals across banking, insurance, and FinTech institutions in Nigeria. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics, multiple regression, and hierarchical moderated regression techniques. The findings revealed that AI-enabled AIS significantly improves auditing and fraud detection effectiveness, particularly through prevention, detection, data analysis, and investigative capabilities. The results further indicated that NLP positively moderates the relationship between AI-enabled AIS and auditing effectiveness by improving semantic interpretation and analytical explainability. The study concludes that AI-enabled AIS and NLP are increasingly important for strengthening fraud governance, regulatory accountability, and institutional trust within emerging digital financial environments.
Compliance-Scored Best-of-N Guardrail Orchestration for Multimodal Document Generation in Payments Dispute Defense
High-stakes enterprise document generation, including financial dispute narratives, compliance notices, and audit summaries, demands schema correctness, policy compliance, and low-latency operation at scale. Prior to a unified guardrail layer, production systems often stitched together separate PII redaction, content moderation, and format validation steps, leading to fragmented logic, slower request paths, and higher operational cost. We present a guardrail orchestration layer for text and image inputs that couples multi-candidate generation with an explicit compliance score used for early exit. The framework runs configurable parallel generation heads, scores candidates against weighted guardrails including PII detection, content moderation, schema constraints, and domain rules, and returns the best-scoring output with selection metadata. The available operational readout reports 5 attempts within 20 seconds and 91 percent compliance. For payments dispute defense summaries, we analyze aggregate operational scenario readouts rather than a randomized A/B test. Variable cohorts show higher count win rates than controls overall, 301/659 versus 536/1548, corresponding to +11.0 percentage points with 95 percent confidence interval [6.6, 15.5] and p < 0.001, and for adjusted item-not-received cases, +7.5 percentage points with 95 percent confidence interval [0.2, 15.7] and p = 0.045. Fraud and local evidence-ranking deltas are directionally positive but not statistically significant from the aggregate count data. We also report reviewer-calibrated Responsible-AI evidence-quality signals from 770 generated-evidence reviews and a 70-case OCR slice, and document the reproducibility boundary through the request interface, scoring logic, pseudocode, and operational evidence boundary.
Artificial Intelligence in Ship Finance: Applications, Opportunities, and a Case Study in AI-Augmented Loan Origination
Ship finance is a data-intensive and document-heavy segment of asset-based lending, requiring the integration of financial, technical, contractual, and regulatory information from heterogeneous and largely unstructured sources. Increasing environmental regulation and ESG reporting requirements are adding further complexity to underwriting and loan-origination processes. Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI), particularly large language models (LLMs), create new opportunities for processing and analysing such information. This paper reviews potential applications of AI in ship finance, with a particular focus on LLM-based systems for document comprehension, information extraction, and workflow automation. We present ShipFinance.ai, a modular agentic architecture to support loan application workflows in ship finance. The proposed system combines an LLM-based extraction module, financial analysis components, external maritime data services, and a controlled document-generation module with a chatbot interface to support the preparation of standardized financing applications. The paper discusses the key challenges for using such models in production. We argue that AI-assisted systems can support maritime finance professionals in managing increasingly complex information and reporting requirements.
Extending the UXR Point of View Pyramid: A Generative AI-Augmented Methodology for Human-Centred AI Systems
Rising household debt and cost-of-living pressures in the United Kingdom have intensified the role of AI-driven financial technologies in mediating credit assessment, repayment structuring, and debt support services. These systems increasingly shape consequential financial decisions, yet they operate within complex socio-technical environments characterised by regulatory constraint, algorithmic opacity, and heightened vulnerability risk. User Experience Research (UXR) Points of View (PoVs) are critical in translating heterogeneous research evidence into strategic direction for product and governance decisions. However, the existing UXR PoV framework was not designed for AI-mediated financial systems where interpretability, fairness, and accountability are central. This paper extends the UXR PoV pyramid into an AI-augmented methodological framework for Human-Centred AI debt management technologies in the UK financial services context. We formalise (1) an AI-Augmented PoV Pyramid, (2) a structured prompt architecture for synthesis and hypothesis generation, and (3) an AI-enabled Playbook Card system that embeds Generative AI into UXR workflows while preserving traceability and ethical oversight. Generative AI is positioned not as an analytic authority, but as an epistemic support mechanism subject to human validation and regulatory awareness. By grounding the framework in debt management technologies, including affordability assessment, repayment planning, and financial stress prediction systems, this work advances UXR methodology for high-stakes financial AI environments and contributes to the evolution of responsible, AI-powered UXR practice within the CHI community.
Paper Agents, Paper Gains: An Empirical Analysis of DeFi Investment Agents
DeFi investment agents, systems that use AI for autonomous on-chain trading, have attained over USD 3 billion in combined token valuations since late 2024. We survey over 1,900 AI-tagged crypto projects, filter to investment-focused agents, and curate 10 representative projects spanning strategy and observability dimensions. We then conduct a deep-dive architectural analysis of two prominent agent frameworks, ElizaOS and Virtuals Protocol, and a quantitative on-chain performance analysis of 11 Solana-based agent treasuries with publicly attributable trading activity, covering 925,323 token holders. We find that current deployments remain early and heterogeneous: (1) in our sample, many projects do not yet provide clear evidence of autonomous trade execution, and developer interviews suggest that many visible deployments remain basic API integrations; (2) agent treasuries retain over USD 30M in paper gains while token holders collectively lost USD 191.7M, with the top 1% of wallets capturing 81.4% of all gains (USD 1.81B); (3) token valuations are weakly connected to treasury fundamentals, with market-cap-to-AUM ratios exceeding 10,000x versus below 1x for established DeFi protocols; and (4) aggregate user gains peaked at USD 2.4B before declining to net losses, with median returns negative on every platform and tokens declining 93% on average from all-time highs. We interpret these outcomes as characteristic of a permissionless, first-generation market in which open infrastructure enables rapid experimentation but also allows naive or speculative agents to launch before robust standards for autonomy, performance, and stakeholder alignment emerge. We therefore propose a maturity framework along three dimensions: autonomous execution, risk-adjusted profitability, and stakeholder alignment, to characterize the gap between current deployments and future investment-grade agent systems.
MimirRAG: A Multi-Agent RAG Framework for Financial Data Retrieval with Metadata Integration
Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) systems offer a promising approach to reduce hallucinations and improve answer accuracy in large language models (LLMs), a requirement for reliable, financial analysis where answers must be grounded in verifiable evidence from filings rather than generated from model priors. However, designing RAG systems that extract meaningful insights from mixed financial documents and integrate into analyst workflows remains challenging. This paper introduces MimirRAG (Metadata-Integrated Multi-Agent Information Retrieval), a multi-agent RAG system developed iteratively to address these challenges. MimirRAG features a modular pipeline encompassing structure-preserving parsing of PDF filings, table-aware chunking, metadata extraction, agent-based retrieval with query planning and hybrid search, validation, and context-aware generation with numerical reasoning support. Our ablation study identifies three key technical enablers for effective financial RAG: metadata integration, table-aware chunking, and an agentic workflow. MimirRAG was evaluated quantitatively using FinanceBench and qualitatively through expert validation with four financial analysts. The system achieved 89.3% accuracy on FinanceBench, outperforming the original benchmark baselines. Expert feedback highlighted that successful deployment also requires calibrated trust, comprehensive data integration, and user personalization. We conclude that combining multi-agent RAG architecture with human-centric design principles can improve the extraction of meaningful insights in financial analysis.
Innovations in Cardless Artificial Intelligence Banking: A Comprehensive Framework for Cyber Secure and Fraud Mitigation using Machine Learning Algorithms
The advent of cardless artificial intelligence (AI) banking heralds a paradigm shift in the financial landscape, offering users unprecedented security and convenience. This paper outlines a comprehensive framework designed to enhance cybersecurity, introduce auto-generated virtual cards, and mitigate fraud risks within cardless AI banking systems. The framework envisions a future banking architecture that employs AI-powered data cryptography to create secure virtual cards for seamless transactions. By emphasizing secure communication channels, it ensures the integrity of financial activities among banking systems, cardholders, and third-party vendors. AI-based authorization methodologies play a pivotal role in authenticating each transaction while proactively identifying potential fraud, demonstrating the framework's efficacy in fortifying cardless AI banking security. The initial approach, featuring an AI-driven, feature-based banking system, ensures the generation of virtual cards with encrypted data, minimizing information exposure and reducing fraud risks. Integrating a machine learning algorithm adds an additional layer of protection against potential fraudulent activities. In conclusion, the proposed framework establishes a holistic cybersecurity and fraud-mitigation paradigm for cardless AI banking systems. Its implementation empowers financial institutions to address security concerns associated with traditional banking, paving the way for a future banking landscape that is not only fraud-resistant but also secure and convenient for users.
Beyond Semantic Similarity: A Two-Phase Non-Parametric Retrieval Workflow for Corporate Credit Underwriting
Corporate credit underwriting requires analysts to extract actionable evidence from long, heterogeneous financial documents spanning hundreds of pages and multiple languages. Standard Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) pipelines optimize for semantic similarity, which frequently surfaces passages that are topically related but lack decision utility, a problem we term the similarity-utility gap. We propose a two-phase non-parametric retrieval architecture that separates high-recall candidate retrieval from high-precision utility ranking. The first phase combines lexical and dense multilingual retrieval to construct a broad candidate pool. The second phase applies an adaptive retrieval controller that filters candidates using query intent and document structure signals, followed by an LLM-as-a-Judge utility scoring mechanism that ranks passages by analytical usefulness rather than semantic proximity. A context-aware extraction module preserves structural fidelity across narrative text and complex financial tables. The system is deployed entirely on-premise to satisfy enterprise data governance requirements. Evaluated on a multilingual corpus of proprietary financial documents with analyst-curated relevance labels, the system significantly outperforms naive retrieval baselines. In production deployment across more than 800 credit analysts, document review time was reduced from several hours to approximately three minutes, demonstrating the practical value of utility-aware RAG architectures for document-intensive decision-support workflows.
Auditing Discriminatory Patterns in Mortgage Lending Through Association Rules and Fair Binning
Mortgage lending in the United States exhibits persistent racial and gender disparities. We investigate whether standard data preprocessing steps, specifically attribute binning, amplify these disparities in downstream pattern mining. Using 103,481 cleaned mortgage applications from the HMDA 2023 dataset (Chicago metropolitan area), we build a three-stage pipeline: (1) a PySpark data cleaning and binning pipeline that implements both standard equal-frequency binning and the epsilon-biased fair binning algorithm from Asudeh et al. [1], (2) FP-Growth association rule mining that compares denial patterns under both binning regimes, and (3) K-Means clustering with a per-cluster disparate impact audit. Our standard binning shows 9.63% racial bias in income discretization, consistent with the 8-10% reported in prior work. Fair binning with seven race groups is infeasible at epsilon=0.03 and only succeeds at epsilon=0.08 with a Price of Fairness of 29.4%. FP-Growth reveals that high debt-to-income ratio is the dominant denial predictor (67.2% confidence, 2.81 lift), while racial bias does not appear as explicit high-support rules. However, K-Means clustering followed by a disparate impact audit flags 10 out of 45 cluster-group pairs, showing that Black applicants face significantly higher denial rates than White applicants even among financially similar groups.
Herculean: An Agentic Benchmark for Financial Intelligence
As AI agents improve, the central question is no longer whether they can solve isolated well-defined financial tasks, but whether they can reliably carry out financial professional work. Existing financial benchmarks offer only a partial view of this ability, as they primarily evaluate static competencies such as question answering, retrieval, summarization, and classification. We introduce Herculean, the first skilled benchmark for agentic financial intelligence spanning four representative workflows, including Trading, Hedging, Market Insights, and Auditing. Each workflow is instantiated as a standardized MCP-based skill environment with its own tools, interaction dynamics, constraints, and success criteria, enabling consistent end-to-end assessment of heterogeneous agent systems. Across frontier agents, we find agents perform relatively well on Trading and Market Insights, but struggle substantially on Hedging and Auditing, where long-horizon coordination, state consistency, and structured verification are critical. Overall, our results point to a key gap in current agents in turning financial reasoning into dependable workflow execution in high-stakes financial workflows.
FIND: Toward Multimodal Financial Reasoning and Question Answering for Indic Languages
Financial decision-making in multilingual settings demands accurate numerical reasoning grounded in diverse modalities, yet existing benchmarks largely overlook this high-stakes, real-world challenge, especially for Indic languages. We introduce FinVQA, a benchmark for evaluating financial numerical and multimodal reasoning in multilingual Indic contexts. FinVQA spans English, Hindi, Bengali, Marathi, Gujarati, and Tamil, and comprises 18,900 samples across 14 financial domains. The dataset captures diverse reasoning paradigms under realistic constraints, and is structured across three difficulty levels (easy, moderate, hard) and four question formats: multiple choice, fill-in-the-blank, table matching, and true/false. To address these challenges, we propose FIND, a framework that combines supervised fine-tuning with constraint-aware decoding to promote faithful numerical reasoning, robust multimodal grounding, and structured decision-making. Together, FinVQA and FIND establish a rigorous evaluation and modeling paradigm for high-stakes multilingual multimodal financial reasoning.
Beyond Task Success: Measuring Workflow Fidelity in LLM-Based Agentic Payment Systems
LLM-based multi-agent systems are increasingly deployed for payment workflows, yet prevailing metrics, Task Success Rate (TSR) and Agent Handoff F1-Score (HF1), capture only final outcomes or unordered routing decisions. We introduce the Agentic Success Rate (ASR), a trajectory-fidelity metric that compares observed and expected agent execution sequences at the transition level, decomposing performance into Transition Recall and Transition Precision. Applied to the Hierarchical Multi-Agent System for Payments (HMASP) across 18 LLMs and 90,000 task instances, ASR reveals that 10 of 18 models systematically skip a confirmation checkpoint during payment checkout, a deviation invisible to both TSR and HF1, while 8 models enforce the checkpoint perfectly. Notably, GPT-4.1 exhibits hidden workflow shortcuts despite achieving perfect TSR and HF1, while GPT-5.2 achieves perfect ASR. Prompt refinements and deterministic routing guards guided by ASR diagnostics yield substantial TSR improvements, with gains up to +93.8 percentage points for previously struggling models, demonstrating that trajectory-level evaluation is essential in regulated domains.
FinRAG-12B: A Production-Validated Recipe for Grounded Question Answering in Banking
Large language models (LLMs) are rapidly being adopted across various domains. However, their adoption in banking industry faces resistance due to demands for high accuracy, regulatory compliance, and the need for verifiable and grounded responses. We present a unified, data-efficient framework for training grounded domain-specific LLMs that optimizes answer quality, citation grounding, and calibrated refusal under real-world deployment constraints. First, we describe a data generation pipeline that combines LLM-as-a-Judge filtering, citation annotation, and curriculum learning with only 143M tokens. The resulting 12B model achieves high answer quality outperforming GPT-4.1 on citation grounding, with a modest citation tradeoff versus the untuned base. Second, we propose a calibrated refusal mechanism: training on 22% unanswerable examples yield a 12% "I don't know" rate, substantially improving over the base model's unsafe 4.3% rate while avoiding GPT-4.1's over-refusal (20.2%). Third, we present an end-to-end methodology spanning from data curation to quantized serving. The system is deployed at 40+ financial institutions, achieving a 7.1 percentage point improvement in query resolution (p < 0.001). Additionally, the model delivers 3-5x faster responses at 20-50x lower cost compared to GPT-4.1.
A Meta Reinforcement Learning Approach to Goals-Based Wealth Management
Applying concepts related to zero-shot meta-learning and pre-training of foundation models, we develop a meta reinforcement learning approach (denoted MetaRL) that is pre-trained on thousands of goals-based wealth management (GBWM) problems. Each GBWM problem involves a multiple year scenario over which the investor looks to optimally choose an investment portfolio each year and choose to fulfill all, some, or none of the different financial goals that arise each year. These choices seek to maximize the expected total investor utility obtained from the fulfilled financial goals. By eliminating separate training and optimization for each new investor problem, the MetaRL model in inference mode produces near-optimal dynamic investment portfolio and goal-fulfilling strategies for a new GBWM problem within a few hundredths of a second. This delivers expected utilities that are, on average, 97.8% of the optimal expected utilities (determined via Dynamic Programming). These results are remarkably robust to capital market regime changes, even when training uses only one capital market regime. Further, the MetaRL approach can enable solving problems with larger state spaces where Dynamic Programming becomes computationally infeasible.
Intent2Tx: Benchmarking LLMs for Translating Natural Language Intents into Ethereum Transactions
The emergence of Large Language Models (LLMs) offers a transformative interface for Web3, yet existing benchmarks fail to capture the complexity of translating high-level user intents into functionally correct, state-dependent on-chain transactions. We present \textsc{Intent2Tx}, a high-fidelity benchmark featuring 29,921 single-step and 1,575 multi-step instances meticulously derived from 300 days of real-world Ethereum mainnet traces. Unlike prior works that rely on synthetic instructions, \textsc{Intent2Tx} grounds natural language intents in real-world protocol interactions across 11 categories, including diverse long-tail Decentralized Finance (DeFi) primitives. To enable rigorous evaluation, we propose an execution-aware framework that transcends surface-level text matching by employing differential state analysis on forked mainnet environments. Our extensive evaluation of 16 state-of-the-art LLMs reveals that while scaling and retrieval-augmentation enhance logical consistency and parameter precision, current models struggle with out-of-distribution generalization and multi-step planning. Crucially, our execution-based analysis demonstrates that syntactically valid outputs often fail to achieve intended state transitions, highlighting a significant gap in current "reasoning-to-execution" capabilities. \textsc{Intent2Tx} serves as a critical foundation for developing autonomous, reliable agents in intent-centric Web3 ecosystems. Code and data: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/Intent2Tx_Bench-97FF .
Compliance-Aware Agentic Payments on Stablecoin Rails
Agentic payment systems extend delegated action to financial transfers, but scaling them on stablecoin rails in regulated settings requires safeguards that remain effective when humans are not continuously in the loop. We present a compliance-aware architecture that combines x402-style, signature-based payment authorisation and relayed execution with programmable compliance embedded as an on-chain guardrail via a policy wrapper and policy manager coordinating modular checks. By enforcing compliance at the point of execution, rather than as a separate off-chain workflow, the approach preserves low-friction settlement when conditions are satisfied, records transaction-linked on-chain attestations, and supports structured resolution when requirements are pending.
The Price of Agreement: Measuring LLM Sycophancy in Agentic Financial Applications
Given the increased use of LLMs in financial systems today, it becomes important to evaluate the safety and robustness of such systems. One failure mode that LLMs frequently display in general domain settings is that of sycophancy. That is, models prioritize agreement with expressed user beliefs over correctness, leading to decreased accuracy and trust. In this work, we focus on evaluating sycophancy that LLMs display in agentic financial tasks. Our findings are three-fold: first, we find the models show only low to modest drops in performance in the face of user rebuttals or contradictions to the reference answer, which distinguishes sycophancy that models display in financial agentic settings from findings in prior work. Second, we introduce a suite of tasks to test for sycophancy by user preference information that contradicts the reference answer and find that most models fail in the presence of such inputs. Lastly, we benchmark different modes of recovery such as input filtering with a pretrained LLM.
One Size Fits None: Heuristic Collapse in LLM Investment Advice
Large language models are increasingly deployed as advisors in high-stakes domains -- answering medical questions, interpreting legal documents, recommending financial products -- where good advice requires integrating a user's full context rather than responding to salient surface features. We investigate whether frontier LLMs actually do this, or whether they instead exhibit heuristic collapse: a systematic reduction of complex, multi-factor decisions to a small number of dominant inputs. We study the phenomenon in investment advice, where legal standards explicitly require individualized reasoning over a client's full circumstances. Applying interpretable surrogate models to LLM outputs, we find systematic heuristic collapse: investment allocation decisions are largely determined by self-reported risk tolerance, while other relevant factors contribute minimally. We further find that web search partially attenuates heuristic collapse but does not resolve it. These findings suggest that heuristic collapse is not resolved by web search augmentation or model scale alone, and that deploying LLMs as advisors requires auditing input sensitivity, not just output quality.
ComplianceNLP: Knowledge-Graph-Augmented RAG for Multi-Framework Regulatory Gap Detection
Financial institutions must track over 60,000 regulatory events annually, overwhelming manual compliance teams; the industry has paid over USD 300 billion in fines and settlements since the 2008 financial crisis. We present ComplianceNLP, an end-to-end system that automatically monitors regulatory changes, extracts structured obligations, and identifies compliance gaps against institutional policies. The system integrates three components: (1) a knowledge-graph-augmented RAG pipeline grounding generations in a regulatory knowledge graph of 12,847 provisions across SEC, MiFID II, and Basel III; (2) multi-task obligation extraction combining NER, deontic classification, and cross-reference resolution over a shared LEGAL-BERT encoder; and (3) compliance gap analysis that maps obligations to internal policies with severity-aware scoring. On our benchmark, ComplianceNLP achieves 87.7 F1 on gap detection, outperforming GPT-4o+RAG by +3.5 F1, with 94.2% grounding accuracy ( vs. human judgments) and 83.4 F1 under realistic end-to-end error propagation. Ablations show that knowledge-graph re-ranking contributes the largest marginal gain (+4.6 F1), confirming that structural regulatory knowledge is critical for cross-reference-heavy tasks. Domain-specific knowledge distillation (70B 8B) combined with Medusa speculative decoding yields inference speedup; regulatory text's low entropy ( bits vs. general text) produces 91.3% draft-token acceptance rates. In four months of parallel-run deployment processing 9,847 updates at a financial institution, the system achieved 96.0% estimated recall and 90.7% precision, with a sustained analyst efficiency gain. We report deployment lessons on trust calibration, GRC integration, and distributional shift monitoring for regulated-domain NLP.
Towards Event-Aware Forecasting in DeFi: Insights from On-chain Automated Market Maker Protocols
Automated Market Makers (AMMs), as a core infrastructure of decentralized finance (DeFi), uniquely drive on-chain asset pricing through a deterministic reserve ratio mechanism. Unlike traditional markets, AMM price dynamics is triggered largely by on-chain events (e.g., swap) that change the reserve ratio, rather than by continuous responses to off-chain information. This makes event-level analysis crucial for understanding price formation mechanisms in AMMs. However, existing research generally neglects the micro-structural dynamics at the AMMs level, lacking both a comprehensive dataset covering multiple protocols with fine-grained event classification and an effective framework for event-aware modeling. To fill this gap, we construct a dataset containing 8.9 million on-chain event records from four representative AMMs protocols: Pendle, Uniswap v3, Aave and Morpho, with precise annotations of transaction type and block height timestamps. Furthermore, we propose an Uncertainty Weighted Mean Squared Error (UWM) loss function, which incorporates the block interval regression term into the traditional Time-Point Process (TPP) objective function by weighting the uncertainty with homoscedasticity. Extensive experiments on eight advanced TPP architectures demonstrate that this loss function reduces the time prediction error by an average of 56.41% while maintaining the accuracy of event type prediction, establishing a robust benchmark for event-aware prediction in the AMMs ecosystem. This work provides the necessary data foundation and methodological framework for modeling the discreteness and event-driven characteristics of on-chain price discovery. All datasets and source code are publicly available. https://github.com/yosen-king/Deep-AMM-Events
A Wasserstein GAN-based climate scenario generator for risk management and insurance: the case of soil subsidence
According to the United Nations Office for Disaster Risk Reduction (2025), the average annual cost of natural catastrophes increased from 70--80 billion USD between 1970 and 2000 to 180--200 billion USD between 2001 and 2020. Reports from organizations such as the IFOA and the WWF highlight the need for the insurance sector to adapt to this rapidly evolving context by developing medium- to long-term strategies that go beyond the one-year horizon of prudential regulations such as Solvency II. This paper introduces an artificial intelligence framework based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (Conditional GANs) to generate future spatio-temporal trajectories of climatic indices. The approach focuses on the Soil Wetness Index (SWI), a key indicator used in France to assess drought severity. Drought accounts for approximately 30% of the indemnities paid under the French natural catastrophe insurance scheme. The proposed model, SwiGAN, simulates plausible drought propagation patterns up to 2050 for a region of France particularly exposed to this hazard. By generating realistic sequences of SWI maps, SwiGAN provides insights into drought dynamics under climate change scenarios and supports the design of adaptive risk management and insurance strategies. The methodology is also generalizable to other climate-related perils and actuarial applications such as economic scenario generation.