Optimal Sample Complexity

Generalization is a critical property of data-driven models, particularly deep learning models deployed in safety-critical applications. Robustness-based generalization bounds have gained attention as a principled way to link robustness properties to generalization performance, often in a data-dependent manner. However, most existing bounds suffer from vacuousness in practical settings, yielding loose upper bounds that greatly exceed the actual error rates and limiting their usefulness for real-world evaluation. While this issue is often attributed to the uncertainty term, a substantial part of the problem originates from the robustness term itself, particularly for the 0-1 loss. Existing approaches typically treat the robustness term as a global measure, ignoring its variation across different sub-regions of the input space. In this work, we propose a generalization bound that addresses this limitation by scaling the robustness term according to the number of stable and unstable samples within each sub-region. Our bounds incorporate both data- and model-dependent factors while maintaining practical relevance (yielding tighter upper bounds on true error). Experiments on models trained on the ImageNet dataset show that our bounds remain consistently non-vacuous and achieve the tightest estimates among existing methods, closely aligning with empirical performance across a range of robust deep neural networks.

While there is an extensive body of work characterizing the sample complexity of discounted cumulative-reward MDPs, finite sample analyses for average-reward MDPs have been limited, and most existing works rely on restrictive assumptions such as ergodicity or access to a generative model. In this work, we establish the first finite sample complexity guarantees from a single trajectory for weakly communicating average-reward MDPs. To this end, we study the dynamics of a single trajectory in weakly communicating MDPs and based on this analysis, we develop novel model-free methods. Notably, our value-based and policy-based methods provide finite sample complexity guarantees of $\widetilde{O}(1/\varepsilon^2)$ and $\widetilde{O}(1/\varepsilon^4)$ from a single trajectory in weakly communicating MDPs, respectively. Furthermore, we introduce the first model-free method that requires no prior knowledge of problem-dependent quantities for communicating MDPs.

In the data selection problem, the objective is to choose a small, representative subset of data that can be used to efficiently train a machine learning model. Sener and Savarese [ICLR 2018] showed that, given an embedding representation of the data and suitable geometric assumptions, heuristics based on $k$-center clustering can be used to perform data selection. This perspective was further explored by Axiotis et. al. [ICML 2024], who proposed a data selection approach based on $k$-means clustering and sensitivity sampling. However, these methods rely on the assumption that the dataset exhibits intrinsic geometric structure that can be effectively captured by clustering, whereas many modern datasets instead possess global algebraic structure that is better exploited by low-rank approximation or principal component analysis. In this paper, we introduce a new data selection framework based on low-rank approximation and residual-based sampling, formulated through the lens of row subset selection and loss-preserving coreset construction. Given an embedding representation of the data satisfying mild regularity conditions, which can be interpreted as algebraic or angular notions of Lipschitz continuity, we show that it is possible to select a weighted subset of $\tilde{O}\left(k + \frac{1}{\varepsilon^2}\right)$ data points whose average loss approximates the average loss over the full dataset within a $(1+\varepsilon)$ relative error, up to an additive $\varepsilon Φ_k$ term, where $Φ_k$ denotes the optimal rank-$k$ approximation cost of the embedding matrix. We complement these theoretical guarantees with empirical evaluations, demonstrating that on a range of real-world datasets, our data selection approach achieves improved performance over prior strategies based on uniform sampling or clustering-based sensitivity sampling.

In this work, we tackle the following question: Can neural networks trained with gradient-based methods achieve the optimal computational-statistical tradeoff in learning Gaussian single-index models? Prior research has shown that any polynomial-time algorithm under the statistical query (SQ) framework requires $Ω(d^{s^\star/2}\lor d)$ samples, where $s^\star$ is the generative exponent representing the intrinsic difficulty of learning the underlying model. However, it remains unknown whether neural networks can achieve this sample complexity. Inspired by prior techniques such as label transformation and landscape smoothing for learning single-index models, we propose a unified gradient-based algorithm for training a two-layer neural network in polynomial time. Our method is adaptable to a variety of loss and activation functions, covering a broad class of existing approaches. We show that our algorithm learns a feature representation that strongly aligns with the unknown signal $θ^\star$, with sample complexity $\widetilde{O} (d^{s^\star/2} \lor d)$, matching the SQ lower bound up to a polylogarithmic factor for all generative exponents $s^\star\geq 1$. Furthermore, we extend our approach to the setting where $θ^\star$ is $k$-sparse for $k = o(\sqrt{d})$ by introducing a novel weight perturbation technique that leverages the sparsity structure. We derive a corresponding SQ lower bound of order $\widetildeΩ(k^{s^\star})$, matched by our method up to a polylogarithmic factor. Our framework, especially the weight perturbation technique, is of independent interest, and suggests potential gradient-based solutions to other problems such as sparse tensor PCA.

Rank-based selection in dynamic environments acts on order information that becomes stale while it is being used. Tournaments, elitism, truncation, and Pareto selection may therefore consume rankings that no longer match the current fitness order, while full re-evaluation competes with search for the same budget. This paper formulates the missing information layer as a data-structure problem. A hidden total order on $n$ items drifts by adjacent transpositions, while a maintainer receives one truthful pairwise comparison per step and must answer rank queries continuously. We introduce the comparison patrol, a constant-time maintained-order structure using $3n+O(1)$ words, one comparison per update, deterministic verification-age bounds, and per-item displacement certificates. We prove lower bounds showing that oblivious and location-oblivious maintainers incur expected Kendall error $Ω(\min(α,1)n)$, and show that the patrol operates at the same order. A bump invariant yields exact self-stabilization after drift-free corruption: if the maximum rank overstatement is $L$, recovery takes at most $L$ aligned cycles and cannot finish before $L-1$. This gives a deterministic shock-recovery calculus and a crossover with full rebuild near $L\approx \log_2 n$. The maintained order is then transferred to evolving planar maxima and to evolutionary selection rules, giving deterministic bounds for truncation, tournament, elitist, and two-objective Pareto decisions under drifting fitness. Experiments up to $n=65{,}536$ audit the certificates, recovery laws, equilibrium behavior, and equal-budget dynamic evolutionary loops, identifying when certified local rank maintenance outperforms global re-evaluation and when it should hand over.

We study a \emph{max-risk} objective for active learning in a multi-group mean estimation $d$-armed bandits: a learner adaptively allocates a budget of $T$ samples across $d$ groups to minimize the worst-case uncertainty index $\max_{k\in[d]}σ_k^2/n_k$, where $σ_k$ is the standard deviation of the distribution of arm $d$, and $n_k$ is the number of times arm $d$ is sampled. We develop a local minimax framework and prove the first general lower bound for this objective, valid for any finite-variance hypothesis class. The bound separates difficulty into three orthogonal factors: a \emph{budget} term, a \emph{heteroscedasticity} index measuring how unevenly the uncertainty is spread across arms, and a model-dependent complexity measure, the \emph{Variance Local Curvature} ($\mathrm{VLC}$), which captures how much information a local change of variance creates inside the hypothesis class. For smooth classes, the $\mathrm{VLC}$ is a reparametrization of a variance--Fisher information, with closed-form values for common families. Benchmarking against the strongest available upper bound shows near-optimality up to logarithmic factors in broad regimes, and pinpoints a systematic gap in highly heterogeneous instances. Our proof introduces two key ingredients: a loss-induced $\ell_1$ geometry on the decision space, and a representation-based instance generator that reduces hard-instance construction to an explicit random matrix calculation.

We study Online Convex Optimization (OCO) over a convex set $K\subseteq \mathbb R^d$, where in each round $t$ the learner selects $x_t\in K$ and then observes a convex loss $f_t:K\to[0,1]$, with the goal of minimizing regret to the best fixed decision in hindsight. We introduce a unified probing model that generalizes two recent lines of work: sublinear best-expert queries in the experts setting, and pairwise (comparison-based) feedback available every round in OCO. In our framework, the learner has a budget of $k\le T$ pairwise probes; on a probed round it may query two points and learn which one has smaller loss. Our main result shows that even a sublinear and noisy probe budget can provably improve worst-case regret in the full feedback OCO regime. With $k$ $δ$-noisy pairwise probes, we obtain: $\text{Reg}_T \le O\left(\min\left\{\sqrt{dT\ln T},\; \frac{dT\ln T}{k|1-2δ|}\right\}\right)$, which is tight (up to logarithmic factors in $T$) across $T$, $k$ and $δ$. Specifically regarding the noise parameter $δ\in [0,1]$, the regret guarantee smoothly degrades as the oracle response approaches a coin flip, i.e., $δ$ is close to $\frac{1}{2}$. When applying the same techniques to a finite $K$ for the prediction with $d$ experts setting, the resulting rates are instead completely tight in all parameters, including $d$. Our analysis gives a streamlined treatment of pairwise probing in OCO by quantifying the benefit of probing via a variance reduction effect, combined with a second-order (variance-based) analysis of Continuous Exponential Weights.

Non-Euclidean optimisation methods with matrix-valued updates, such as Muon and Scion, have recently shown strong empirical performance for training Transformer models, yet their theoretical advantages over Euclidean methods remain poorly understood. We address this gap in the heavy-tailed non-convex regime, where stochastic gradients have bounded $p$-th central moments, $p \in (1,2]$. We show that certain non-Euclidean methods achieve optimal sample complexity under stronger stationarity measures, while Euclidean methods incur additional dimension-dependent costs. As a consequence, for $m \times n$ matrices, Muon finds an $\varepsilon$-stationary point in nuclear norm within $\mathcal{O}\left(\min\{m, n\} \frac{Δ_1 L}{\varepsilon^2} \left(\frac σ\varepsilon \right)^{\frac p {p-1}}\right)$ samples, absorbing heavy-tailed noise without extra dimension dependence, unlike Euclidean methods. We further prove this sample complexity, including its dimension dependence, is optimal for all first-order methods under nuclear-norm stationarity. Experiments on large language models support our theory. Surprisingly, our results suggest that other Schatten geometries beyond the spectral geometry of Muon can perform competitively in certain settings.

Variational Inference (VI) is a fundamental inference technique in Bayesian machine learning for approximating complex posterior distributions. Traditional VI often relies on the mean-field factorization, which can inadequately capture true posterior complexity. Recent advancements have leveraged neural networks to model implicit distributions, offering increased flexibility. However, the practical constraints of neural network architectures still produces inaccuracies. In this paper, we propose a method called Implicit Variational Rejection Sampling (IVRS), which integrates implicit distributions with rejection sampling to improve the posterior approximation. Our method uses neural networks to construct implicit proposal distributions, and rejection sampling with a discriminator network that estimates the density ratio between the implicit proposal and the true posterior for refining the approximation. Towards this end, we introduce the Implicit Resampling Evidence Lower Bound (IR-ELBO) as a metric to characterize the resampled distribution's quality and derive a tighter variational lower bound. Experimental results demonstrate that our method outperforms traditional variational inference techniques.

We study the sample complexity of learning in average-reward weakly-coupled Markov decision processes (WCMDPs) and Restless Bandits (RBs) under a generative model. Naive reduction to a tabular MDP leads to high complexity bounds as the state-action space is exponentially large in the number of arms $N$. By exploiting the weakly coupled structure, we show that near-optimal policies can be learned with sample and computational complexities that are polynomial in $N$. Specifically, we analyze the plug-in approach, which applies an efficient planning algorithm to an empirical model estimated from data. For fully heterogeneous WCMDPs, we establish the first finite-sample PAC guarantee with polynomial complexity and an $O(1/\sqrt{N})$ optimality gap. For homogeneous RBs, we further prove that a smaller optimality gap is achievable under mild structural assumptions. A primary technical contribution of our work is a novel Lyapunov-based analysis framework. Unlike classical approaches that rely on the difficult-to-control bias function, our framework uses an explicitly constructed Lyapunov function along with a drift transfer technique between the true and empirical models. A key step of independent interest in our framework is a fine-grained perturbation analysis for the underlying linear programming (LP) relaxation, which provides a general tool for analyzing LP-based policies and weakly-coupled systems.

Finding the shortest program that generates a sequence is uncomputable, and for six decades that fact has been mistaken for a wall around finding any generating program. It is not a wall but a price, and this paper measures it. For every algorithm that learns about a candidate program only through its score, a class spanning Levin search, evolutionary methods, simulated annealing, and the cross-entropy method, we define the coupling width of a search problem and prove an unconditional worst-case lower bound, exponential in that width with base one less than the domain size. From it follows a conservation law: structural knowledge injected into a search trades one for one against the search it removes, and their sum can never fall below the length of the program sought. Levin's 1973 upper bound and the lower bound proved here are the two ends of one conserved quantity, closing on each other as the instruction set grows. The only escape is to read a candidate's structure rather than its score, and its price, which we prove for generic targets, is incompleteness. A deterministic engine built on this theory recovers a generating program, certified by compressing its data and predicting an unseen continuation, for 2,383 of 3,914 sequences across four independent populations, including 244 of the 256 elementary cellular automata, with measured discovery cost rising along program length more than an order of magnitude inside the score-oracle worst case.

We study the $(μ+1)$ EA on the Binary Value function BinVal. We show that it needs at most $O(μ\log μ\cdot n \log n)$ function evaluations to find the optimum when $μ= o(n/\log n)$. This substantially improves upon the recent upper bound of $O(μ^5 n \log(n/μ^4))$ by Krejca, Neumann and Witt. Our results hold for several mutation operators including standard bit mutation. In particular, our bound implies that the $(μ+1)$ EA is at most a factor $O(\log μ\cdot \log n)$ slower on BinVal than on OneMax.

We introduce a theoretical framework for analyzing federated learning in a generative setting through a teacher-multiple interacting students scenario, in which each student receives a distinct realization of the data, either through a different noise corruption or by accessing a different subset, possibly of varying size. Using theoretical tools in equilibrium disordered system, we analytically show that interactions among students systematically enhance learning performance: highly noisy students require fewer samples to recover the underlying pattern, while low-noise students achieve a larger overlap with the ground-truth signal. We derive the optimal Bayesian conditions for teacher recovery as functions of the sample complexity, noise level, and interaction strength, and validate these predictions through numerical simulations. The resulting dynamics can be mapped onto equilibrium sampling in a Restricted Boltzmann Machine with a structured hidden layer, providing a principled theoretical understanding of how interactions improve distributed generative modeling.

A central principle in quantum machine learning is that an ansatz should be expressive enough to represent the quantum data of interest. Yet, the expressibility is statistically meaningful only insofar as it can be learned from finitely many copies of an unknown quantum state. In this work, we develop an information-theoretic Occam theory for quantum data generated by finite-size quantum circuits. For the class $S_{n,G}$ of $n$-qubit pure states preparable with at most $G$ two-qubit gates, a metric-entropy argument gives the realizable sample law $\widetildeΘ(G/ε^2)$ in the circuit-limited regime. For an arbitrary source $\hatρ$, we introduce the best $G$-gate approximation error $d_G(\hatρ)$ and the approximate circuit complexity $C_η(\hatρ)$. We prove an agnostic quantum Occam theorem: with $M$ copies, one can learn up to the best $G$-gate approximation error plus a statistical penalty $\widetilde{O}(\sqrt{G/M})$. We then remove the need to know $G$ in advance through an adaptive model-selection theorem whose oracle inequality selects the circuit complexity justified by the data. Matching lower bounds yield a sample-supported expressibility law: at trace-distance accuracy $ε$, $M$ samples can support only $G_{\rm supported} \simeq Mε^2$ gates, up to logarithmic factors and tomography saturation at $2^n$. Thus, the circuit complexity becomes an adaptive statistical resource rather than a static promise. Our framework turns bounded circuit complexity into a model-selection principle for quantum machine learning.

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) combine machine learning with physical laws to solve differential equations. While existing results provide rigorous \emph{a posteriori} upper bounds for PINN prediction errors, complete certification also requires complementary lower information in order to obtain computable two-sided error enclosures. In this paper, we derive computable \emph{a posteriori} lower bounds for PINN errors in ordinary differential equations on suitable certified state-space domains under a localized strong monotonicity condition. We combine these estimates with complementary localized upper bounds under a one-sided Lipschitz condition, which is weaker than the global Lipschitz assumption used in previous work and can yield sharper upper error bands. The resulting bounds depend only on the neural-network approximation, the ODE residual, and local monotonicity and growth constants, and therefore do not require access to the exact solution. For linear time-invariant and time-varying systems, we further derive explicit formulas in terms of the minimal and maximal eigenvalues of the symmetric part of the system matrix. We also discuss the distinction between soft and hard enforcement of initial conditions in PINNs and explain why exact enforcement can make the scalar lower certificate uninformative. To recover nontrivial lower information in the linear setting, we use a signed-residual finite-probe certificate based on coordinate unit vectors. We also formulate a certificate-informed training strategy in which the propagated upper certificate is used as an auxiliary regularizer, while lower certificates remain post-training diagnostics. Altogether, the proposed framework provides rigorous and practically computable error certificates for PINN approximations of ODEs, while making explicit the domains and model classes for which the assumptions can be verified.

This paper studies efficient online algorithms for multinomial logistic bandits (MLogB), where the feedback distribution over $K+1$ outcomes follows a multinomial logistic model of $d$-dimensional action vectors. A representative UCB-type algorithm, OFUL-MLogB, achieves a regret bound of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(Kd\sqrt{T})$, but still requires $\mathcal{O}(K^3d^3)$ time and $\mathcal{O}(K^2d^2)$ space per round due to parameter estimation and optimistic reward construction, which is prohibitive in high-dimensional settings. To address this limitation, we propose EOFD-MLogB, which integrates frequent directions matrix sketching into OFUL-MLogB. By maintaining a low-rank SVD sketch of the accumulated Hessian, constrained online Newton updates in parameter estimation and $Kd \times K$ spectral-norm computations in the reward bonus are reduced to one-dimensional root-finding tasks and $K \times K$ eigenvalue computations, respectively. This yields dominant per-round time complexity $\mathcal{O}(Kd(m+K)^2)$ and space complexity $\mathcal{O}(Kd(m+K))$, where $m \ll d$ is the sketch size. We further prove a regret bound of $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(Δ_T(Kd\lnΔ_T+m)\sqrt{T})$, where the sketching error factor $Δ_T$ is controlled by the $m$-truncated spectral tail of the Hessian. Thus, when the Hessian is approximately low-rank, the regret is close to that of OFUL-MLogB. Experiments validate the computational efficiency and competitive performance.

We study the task of density estimation, where we hope to accurately estimate a probability density from $n$ samples. A textbook method for density estimation in total variation distance is the minimum-distance estimator approach, where we conclude both the algorithm and the analysis merely from bounding the VC dimension of a particular concept class (the so-called Yatracos class). While this technique has originally yielded sharp guarantees primarily for total variation distance, in this work we extend the minimum-distance estimator approach for learning within Hellinger distance. Our main observation is that we may produce an analogous recipe for Hellinger (where we only require bounding the VC dimension of a related concept class) by drawing connections to recent results yielding reverse data processing inequalities. This recipe is flexible enough to accommodate fast algorithms originally designed for total variation distance; by modifying the approach of Acharya et al. (2017) we conclude the first near-linear time algorithm for learning classes including univariate mixtures of log-concave densities and mixtures of Gaussians (with arbitrary variances), with near-optimal sample complexity.

Efficiently sampling from a complex probability distribution is a fundamental problem which has become increasingly pertinent in recent years with the rise of generative AI, as sophisticated sampling procedures from LLMs have been proposed to solve challenging reasoning problems. The efficacy of such sampling algorithms is limited, however, by the relationship between the LLM and the particular sampling task at hand, which has motivated the framework of test-time training (TTT). TTT works by updating a model's weights in response to partial generations and reward feedback received at inference time, thus adapting to the particular problem. In this work, we propose a formalization for TTT as the problem of producing a sample from a given probability measure $μ^\star$ belonging to a known class ${F}$ of distributions, given an oracle $\hat μ$ which yields approximate density estimates for $μ^\star$. This is closely related to the problem of reducing sampling to approximate counting studied in seminal works of Jerrum, Valiant & Vazirani (1986) and Jerrum & Sinclair (1989): namely, when ${F}$ is the class of all distributions, it coincides exactly with the aforementioned counting-to-sampling reduction. In this paper, we first show a quadratic lower bound on the query complexity of sampling from $μ^\star$ given query access to $\hat μ$ (for sufficiently large classes ${F}$), thus showing that the random walk approach proposed by Jerrum & Sinclair (1989) and refined by Hayes & Sinclair (2010), is optimal. This answers an open question posed by Hayes & Sinclair. We then show that this lower bound can be circumvented if the size of ${F}$ is bounded appropriately. As we discuss, this latter result can be viewed as an abstraction of TTT, and thus represents a starting point for the development of a principled theoretical framework for TTT.

We introduce Bellman-sufficient information complexity for minimax analysis of sequential decision problems. A Bellman-sufficient state retains enough of the history to close the controlled recursion, while an index $Y=χ(Ω)$ specifies the decision-relevant information being charged. The upper bound is a log-penalized Bellman program; the lower bound is a Bellman--Fano comparison along an algorithm-dependent reference trajectory. If the two values match at a common localization scale and the stated admissibility, calibration, and growth conditions hold, they form an information-risk sandwich. UCB, E2D, and AMS/EBO control or relax the upper Bellman bracket in different ways. For the main application, we give a negative answer to a widely studied form of the GP--UCB minimax-optimality question. For every $0<α<1/4$, we construct one bounded continuous kernel whose minimax regret is $Θ(T^{1-α})$ along an infinite sequence of horizons, while two globally calibrated GP--UCB rules incur linear regret under one fixed truth. An epochwise finite-marginal action-index AIR Bellman policy, implemented through robust AIR/AMS/EBO control, attains the minimax order. The construction separates realized information from the cost of uniform optimism: many low-value directions inflate the exploration multiplier and change the trajectory. Through the canonical RKHS feature map, it also yields a finite-horizon polynomial minimax separation for the specified maximal-information-calibrated LinUCB rule. A reproducible experiment illustrates the mechanism.

We study the problem of learning a drifting concept in the presence of Massart noise. In this framework, an online learner has access to a history of independent samples whose labels are noisy versions of a target concept that may change from round to round. The goal is to output, in each round, a hypothesis with small prediction error. We study the complexity of this learning problem for the fundamental class of margin-separable linear classifiers (halfspaces). On the positive side, we give a computationally efficient learner achieving error $η+ \tilde O(Δ^{1/3}/γ)$, where $η$ upper bounds the Massart noise rate, $Δ$ is the drift rate, and $γ$ is the margin. Interestingly, in the realizable setting, an adaptation of our techniques yields an efficient learner with an improved error rate over prior work. On the lower-bound side, we provide formal evidence of an information-computation tradeoff, strongly suggesting that our algorithm's performance is essentially optimal. Specifically, while the information-theoretically optimal error scales with $Δ^{1/2}$, we prove that $Δ^{1/3}$-scaling is unavoidable for low-degree polynomial tests, even in the special case of random classification noise.

We study the task of agnostically learning general (as opposed to homogeneous) ReLUs under the Gaussian distribution with respect to the squared loss. In the passive learning setting, recent work gave a computationally efficient algorithm that uses $poly(d,1/ε)$ labeled examples and outputs a hypothesis with error $O(opt)+ε$, where $opt$ is the squared loss of the best fit ReLU. Here we focus on the interactive setting, where the learner has some form of query access to the labels of unlabeled examples. Our main result is the first computationally efficient learner that uses $d polylog(1/ε)+\tilde{O}(\min\{1/p, 1/ε\})$ black-box label queries, where $p$ is the bias of the target function, and achieves error $O(opt)+ε$. We complement our algorithmic result by showing that its query complexity bound is qualitatively near-optimal, even ignoring computational constraints. Finally, we establish that query access is essentially necessary to improve on the label complexity of passive learning. Specifically, for pool-based active learning, any active learner requires $\tildeΩ(d/ε)$ labels, unless it draws a super-polynomial number of unlabeled examples.

Quantum Circuit Born Machines (QCBMs) offer a natural approach to generative machine learning by leveraging the Born rule. Recent work has provided a method to classically train QCBMs with Instantaneous Quantum Polynomial (IQP) circuits via the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) loss. Despite the assumed intractability of sampling from IQP circuits classically, their expectation values can be computed classically, enabling training of these IQP QCBMs. However, quantum machine learning (QML) models have various other challenges, including trainability issues caused by exponential concentration or barren plateaus. While these issues have been explored for parameters sampled from a uniform distribution, little work has been done to rigorously treat the use of arbitrary Gaussian initialization schemes. This work leverages Stein's lemma and Lipschitz concentration bounds for Gaussian random variables to provide an analytical lower bound of the variance of the gradient and a probabilistic concentration bound of the deviation of the gradient from its mean. It discusses strategies to either avoid or encourage exponential concentration, as well as the conditions under which barren plateaus are more likely to occur.

We tightly characterize the VC dimension of depth-$L$ Transformers with a total of $W$ parameters, mapping an input sequence of length $T$ to a single output, establishing an upper bound of $O(L W \log (T W))$ and a nearly matching lower bound of $Ω(L W \log (T W / L))$. We further tightly characterize the sample complexity of chain-of-thought learning using such a Transformer, showing teacher forcing (i.e. selecting a predictor consistent with the entire chain-of-thought on training data) learns with sample complexity $O\left(L W \log \left(\left(T+T^{\prime}\right) W\right)\right)$ and that any learning rule that uses chain-of-thought data requires at least $Ω\left(L W \log \left(\left(T+T^{\prime}\right) W / L\right)\right)$ examples, where $T$ is the input length and $T^{\prime}$ is the number of autoregressive steps.

Recent research has developed practical, parallelizable first-order methods for large scale linear programming, but performance is highly dependent on hyperparameter selection. We derive generalization guarantees for hyperparameter tuning within (cu)PDLP, a state-of-the-art first-order LP solver designed for modern hardware. First, we pin down the behavior of PDHG, the primal-dual hybrid gradient algorithm that underlies PDLP, as a function of its step size and primal weight, leading to linear sample complexity guarantees for learning those parameters. We then conduct a structural analysis of PDLP, which augments PDHG with several specialized techniques like preconditioning, adaptive step sizes, averaging, adaptive restarts, and smoothed primal weight updates. Our analysis captures the behavior of the solution trajectory as a function of the hyperparameters and leverages recent advances in data-driven algorithm design to obtain polynomial sample complexity guarantees for learning those hyperparameters. Finally, we conduct proof-of-concept experiments that demonstrate the need for data-driven PDLP parameter tuning. Our results showcase the versatility of the data-driven algorithm design toolkit for principled hyperparameter tuning within solver-grade implementations of complex modern optimization algorithms.

Multi-objective shortest-path (MOSP) algorithms traditionally rely on single-valued heuristics (SVHs), which associate each state with a single admissible cost vector. While SVHs provide safe lower bounds, they fail to capture the trade-off structure of the Pareto frontier and often yield weak search guidance. Multi-valued heuristics (MVHs) address this limitation by mapping states to sets of cost estimates, enabling a richer approximation of possible trade-offs. Modern MOSP algorithms are highly dependent on dimensionality reduction (DR) techniques to efficiently perform dominance checks. However, integrating MVHs with DR introduces subtle correctness challenges. We show that naively combining DR with MVHs destroys the ordering invariants required for DR, leading to unsound and incomplete search. To address this issue, we develop the first theoretical frameworks for safely integrating MVHs with DR. First, we introduce $\text{NAMOA}^*{\text{dr}\text{-}\text{mvh}}$, a theoretical baseline that restores search correctness by enforcing heuristic consistency. Recognizing the practical limitations of this approach, we then introduce our primary contribution, $\text{L}\text{-}\text{NAMOA}^*{\text{dr}\text{-}\text{mvh}}$. This algorithm employs a "lazy," optimistic approach to DR, preserving exact correctness with only an admissible MVH by dynamically detecting and repairing local ordering violations. Across a range of benchmarks, $\text{L}\text{-}\text{NAMOA}^*{\text{dr}\text{-}\text{mvh}}$ matches or improves over state-of-the-art MOSP algorithms, and achieves speedups of over 10x in instances where the additional guidance provided by the MVH translates into stronger pruning.

Robust Subspace Recovery (RSR) aims to identify an underlying d-dimensional subspace from a dataset heavily corrupted by outliers. Complexity-theoretic results establish a threshold for the problem's computational hardness based on the dimension-scaled signal-to-noise ratio (DS-SNR): the problem is SSE-hard when the DS-SNR is strictly less than 1, and solvable via practical algorithms when it is greater than 1 under general position assumptions. However, the exact behavior of practical algorithms at the critical boundary DS-SNR = 1 has remained unknown. This work resolves the behavior of Tyler's M-estimator (TME) at this critical boundary, consequently establishing a sharp phase transition. Specifically, we prove that TME converges exactly to the true subspace for DS-SNR \geq 1 under a new stability condition, which is less restrictive than the general position assumptions used in prior literature. Our analysis utilizes a decomposition of the TME iterates within a majorization-minimization framework.

This paper establishes a theoretical framework for the uniform convergence of smoothly activated deep neural network (DNN) estimators. While standard ReLU networks achieve minimax-optimal rates in the $L^2(P)$ norm for various nonparametric regression tasks, we establish a theoretical lower bound demonstrating that least-squares ReLU estimators can suffer from the curse of dimensionality in their uniform convergence behavior. Motivated by the need for reliable uniform guarantees in downstream tasks requiring worst-case reliability, we address this limitation by analyzing smoothly activated DNNs (smooth DNNs), encompassing both feedforward and residual structures. We establish novel pseudo-dimension bounds, non-asymptotic approximation guarantees, and Hölder-norm bounds for the approximators of these models. Leveraging these results, we derive non-asymptotic uniform convergence rates for smooth DNN estimators across multiple statistical contexts, including Huber, least-squares, quantile, and logistic regression. We prove that smooth DNNs can mitigate the {curse of dimensionality} in uniform convergence by adaptively exploiting the low-dimensional hierarchical composition structure of the target function. Supported by both simulation studies and a real-world application, our results position smooth DNNs as a theoretically grounded and practically viable alternative to ReLU networks for statistical learning tasks requiring uniform guarantees.

We study the deterministic first-order oracle complexity of finding $ε$-stationary points in smooth nonconvex optimization when the objective satisfies higher-order smoothness assumptions. While the classical $ε^{-2}$ rate is optimal under only Lipschitz gradients, higher-order smoothness leads to accelerated first-order upper bounds, most notably the $ε^{-7/4}$ rate under Lipschitz Hessians and the $ε^{-5/3}$ rate under Lipschitz third derivatives. The matching lower bounds, however, have remained open. We resolve this gap by proving a new dimension-free first-order lower bound for higher-order smooth nonconvex functions, valid for every finite smoothness order. In particular, our construction gives a matching $Ω(ε^{-7/4})$ lower bound in the Hessian-Lipschitz case and a matching $Ω(ε^{-5/3})$ lower bound in the third-order-smooth regime. The hard instance is based on a \emph{block-chain} mechanism that enforces blockwise oracle revelation while preserving the smoothness structure needed for the scalar hard instance. The lower-bound construction was discovered with the assistance of ChatGPT 5.5 Pro and subsequently verified by the authors.

Large-scale hyperparameter optimization (HPO) in automated machine learning (AutoML) consumes substantial computational resources, raising growing concerns about scalability and energy efficiency. Existing methods use prior information heuristically to accelerate both black-box and multi-fidelity settings, but they lack a characterization of how prior informativeness quantitatively reduces sample complexity. In this work, we provide the first distribution-dependent sample complexity bounds for multi-fidelity HPO with priors through the formal lens of fixed-budget best-arm identification. By modeling priors directly over arm means as configuration performance, we derive explicit, distribution-dependent error bounds that quantify the relationship between priors and evaluation budget. Our analysis shows that informative priors, which concentrate probability mass on near-optimal arms, yield reductions in the number of required evaluations, whereas baseline performance is recovered with uninformative or misleading priors. We conduct proof-of-concept experiments on a synthetic benchmark and on LCBench, a common multi-fidelity HPO benchmark for deep learning, to confirm our theoretical results, achieving up to 90% budget reduction while retaining solution quality. Together, our results provide a principled foundation for prior-guided and compute-efficient green AutoML.

The robustness of deep neural networks is crucial for safety-critical deployments, yet existing evaluation methods are often attack-dependent and lack interpretability. We propose a principled, attack-agnostic robustness metric based on the spectral norm of the Fisher Information Matrix (FIM), which quantifies the worst-case sensitivity of the model's output distribution to input perturbations. Theoretically, we establish that the FIM equals the variance of the input Jacobian and derive closed-form spectral bounds for common architectures, including VGG, ResNet, DenseNet, and Transformer, providing the first theoretical robustness ranking. To enable scalable evaluation, we develop efficient algorithms, including power iteration and Hutchinson-based estimation, that support both white-box and black-box settings. Extensive experiments across multiple datasets, including CIFAR, ImageNet, and medical images, and across multiple architectures show a strong correlation between our metric and adversarial vulnerability. Our framework serves as an interpretable diagnostic tool that complements attack-based evaluations, offering insights into architectural sensitivity and guiding the design of more robust models. Code is available at: https://github.com/franz-chang/SRP/.

We show every multi-group learner in the transductive setting may incur a multiplicative penalty in its error rate on some group relative to the error rate achievable in the single-group setting, and the penalty can increasing linearly with the number of groups, up to roughly the square-root of the sample size. This stands in stark contrast to optimal multi-group learners in an analogous (group-realizable) statistical setting, where the penalty is always at most logarithmic in the sample size and independent of the number of groups.

The framework of robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs) allows the design of reinforcement learning agents that satisfy performance guarantees under worst-case transition dynamics. Traditional RMDPs consider discrete-time dynamics and recently, sample-efficient policy gradient algorithms have been considered in this context. This paper investigates policy gradient algorithms within a continuous-time RMDP framework. Policy gradients and adversarial gradients are derived using pathwise and adjoint-based formulas for stochastic and ordinary differential equations. We propose double-loop optimisers to obtain linear convergence in the oracle-based setting and an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{1}{ε^2})$ sample complexity in the sample-based setting in an analysis which also derives novel tools for the framework of undiscounted total cost MDPs. Additionally, we propose mean-field optimisers as distributional optimisers with an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{1}{K})$ oracle-based convergence rate and an $\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\frac{N^2}ε)$ sample complexity under $N$-particle approximation. The effectiveness of continuous-time policy gradient algorithms is confirmed for both optimisers on continuous-time RMDPs with neural ordinary differential equation dynamics.

Informed sampling techniques accelerate sampling-based motion planners by focusing the search on promising regions of the state space, yet most existing methods rely on Euclidean heuristics that become inadmissible under configuration-dependent Riemannian metrics. While scalar eigenvalue bounds restore admissibility by uniformly scaling the Euclidean distance, they discard the directional structure of the metric, producing overly conservative informed sets. We propose a matrix-valued admissible heuristic that exploits the Loewner order on symmetric positive definite matrices to compute the tightest constant lower bound on the metric tensor while preserving its full directional structure. The Cholesky factorization of this bound defines a linear map to an isotropic Euclidean space in which the Riemannian informed set reduces to a standard prolate hyperspheroid, enabling direct, rejection-free sampling using existing algorithms. Experiments on manipulation tasks with a 6-DoF UR5, 7-DoF Franka, and 14-DoF PR2 under three distinct Riemannian metrics show that our heuristic produces consistently tighter informed sets than both the Euclidean and scalar eigenvalue bounds, accelerating convergence across multiple state-of-the-art asymptotically optimal planners.

Optimal transport (OT) provides a principled framework for mapping between probability distributions. Despite extensive progress, applying OT to large-scale data remains computationally demanding, and the resulting pointwise transport plans are often difficult to interpret. We introduce Optimal Mixture Transport (OMT), a scalable framework that shifts the transport paradigm from individual samples to mixtures of subpopulations, reformulating the transport problem as a strictly biconvex optimization with a unique global minimizer. We further establish theoretical guarantees on the stability of the OMT map, showing that bounded perturbations of the underlying distributions lead to bounded changes in the transport plan. By formulating subpopulations as exponential-family distributions, OMT decouples computational complexity from the sample size, scaling solely with the number of mixture components. We demonstrate the effectiveness and practicality of OMT on a wide range of synthetic benchmarks and real-world datasets, including image data and large-scale single-cell RNA sequencing measurements.

We study exact community recovery in the two-community stochastic block model on $n$ vertices under limited and noisy access to network data. The learner may query a noisy neighborhood oracle that reveals each true neighbor of a queried vertex independently with fixed probability and never returns non-neighbors, subject to a finite query budget. We consider both oracle-only access and a combined model where the learner also observes a single subsampled copy of the underlying graph. For oracle-only access, balanced uniform querying gives a sharp non-adaptive benchmark: when each vertex is queried the same integer number of times, the observations reduce to an SBM with attenuated edge probabilities and the Abbe-Bandeira-Hall exact-recovery threshold applies. We show that this benchmark is not adaptively optimal: a two-stage adaptive strategy succeeds with $n+o(n)$ queries in a regime where balanced uniform querying requires $m n$ queries for some $m>1$. With an additional subsampled graph, we prove a sublinear-query adaptivity gap: balanced data-independent uniform querying with a sublinear budget does not improve over the subsampled graph alone, whereas adaptive querying can target a small set of uncertain vertices and achieve exact recovery. Thus adaptive data acquisition can strictly improve the information-theoretic limits of exact recovery.

Pre-training has become a fundamental paradigm in modern machine learning, with one of its key empirical benefits being reduced downstream sample complexity as the scale of pre-training data increases. However, existing theoretical frameworks for pre-training do not fully explain this phenomenon. In this paper, we introduce complexity minimization, a novel meta-representation learning framework designed to enable theoretical analysis of this scaling behavior, which learns representations by evaluating the downstream model complexity best suited to each domain and minimizing the worst-case such complexity across source domains. Our end-to-end theoretical analysis, spanning pre-training through downstream regression, shows that this framework provably captures this scaling behavior; in particular, we show that the error rate of few-shot adaptation improves as the amount of meta-training data grows. Empirically, we demonstrate that incorporating complexity regularization into existing meta-learning methods consistently improves downstream sample efficiency.

Machine unlearning is motivated by legal and user-facing requirements to remove the influence of individuals' data from trained models, such as the right to be forgotten. Prior work has developed algorithms and error bounds for unlearning in smooth strongly convex stochastic optimization but the fundamental statistical cost of unlearning has remained unclear. We nearly resolve this problem by proving upper and lower bounds on the excess population risk of approximate $(\varepsilon, δ)$-unlearning; our bounds are tight up to a condition-number factor. For mean estimation over the unit ball, our upper and lower bounds match. In fact, our algorithm achieves $\varepsilon$-unlearning, which implies a notable separation between differential privacy and unlearning: $(\varepsilon, δ)$-unlearning has no statistical advantage over pure $\varepsilon$-unlearning. The optimal rate is the usual sampling error plus an unlearning penalty that interpolates between the retraining from scratch rate and an exponentially smaller term as $\varepsilon/d$ grows, where $d$ is the dimension of the model. The retraining penalty dominates the sampling error for large unlearning requests. In particular, retraining from scratch is information theoretically optimal up to $\varepsilon \lesssim d$. On the other hand, for $\varepsilon \gg d$ and large unlearning requests, our $\varepsilon$-unlearning algorithm offers an exponential accuracy improvement over retraining the model from scratch and differentially private baselines.

We ask: when do Bayesian model averaging (BMA) weights over decision trees carry sufficient epistemic information to justify committed exploitation of the averaging distribution? We answer this question in closed form for Bayesian decision trees (BDTs) with Dirichlet-Multinomial leaf models and a Catalan-exponential tree-size prior (Schetinin&Jakaite, 2025), establishing a complete non-asymptotic theory of rational commitment thresholds.

Communication overhead is a crucial bottleneck in scalable distributed learning. While existing methods aim to efficiently utilize data points, such as Local SGD, Minibatch SGD, and their accelerated variants, they still exhibit communication-round complexity that scales with the total number of samples $N$. In this paper, we introduce Local MixVR, a distributed framework that integrates local updates with variance-reduction techniques to mitigate local noise. We show that Local MixVR is the first distributed method to eliminate the dependence of communication complexity on $N$, achieving a complexity that scales only with the number of workers $M$. In common regimes where $M<O\left(N^{1/4}\right)$, Local MixVR outperforms the state-of-the-art Minibatch Accelerated SGD baseline, bridging a long-standing gap in distributed optimization and establishing a new paradigm for communication-efficient training.

Median-of-means (MoM) is a powerful technique that theoretically enables near sub-Gaussian finite-sample rate for parameter estimation when the underlying data distribution is heavy-tailed (e.g., assumed to have only two first finite moments). A recent work has extrapolated this technique to median-of-\textit{randomized}-U-Statistics (MoRU) and median-of-\textit{incomplete}-U-Statistics (MoIU) for estimating expectations of heavy-tailed pairwise kernels. In \citet{pmlr-v97-clemencon19a}, a concentration rate that scales like $O(n^{-1/2})$ with sample size has been proven for MoRU. However, despite the computational advantage of the latter, the analysis of finite-sample bound for MoIU remains a significant theoretical challenge. As noted by the authors, a straightforward application of McDiarmid's inequality yields a loose bound of order $O(n^{-1/4})$. In this work, we prove a finite-sample concentration bound for the MoIU estimator that scales as $O(n^{-1/2})$ with respect to the sample size using a delicate convex decomposition approach. Furthermore, we show that our proof can be seamlessly extended to geometric median in multivariate settings. Using a Serfling-type argument, we extrapolate our results into a regime where data pairs are selected without replacement across blocks, breaking the usual block-wise independence condition. Then, using a Bernstein-type treatment for U-Statistics, we tighten the dependency of our bounds on the margin $τ$ from $O(τ^{-3/2})$ achieved in the previous work to $O(τ^{-1})$. Finally, we proved an anti-concentration inequality that is applicable for all median estimators presented in this work to demonstrate that $M\le O(n)$ is an intrinsic restriction on block sizes.

Selection bias is a common and often unavoidable aspect of real-world data that challenges the generalizability of machine learning models. When models trained on biased data are deployed in the broader target population, poor model generalization may lead to real harm, particularly in high-risk settings such as healthcare. This risk highlights the need for practitioners to reliably assess model generalizability prior to deployment. However, existing methods for predicting model performance rely on unrealistic access to the target distribution or knowledge of the selection mechanism causing bias. To address these limitations, we propose a novel upper bound on the worst-case model performance on the target population under the realistic setting where the selection mechanism and the target population data are only partially observed. We demonstrate the validity and practical utility of our method through experiments on fully synthetic data, semi-synthetic data derived from the All of Us Research Program, and real-world selection bias in MIMIC-IV. Our work offers a principled and practical tool to estimate the impact of selection bias in an otherwise intractable setting, thereby enabling practitioners to build safer and more generalizable models in healthcare and beyond.

When many reinforcement-learning policies achieve near-optimal return, a post-hoc auditor may have to distinguish among many behaviorally distinct but return-equivalent policies. We formalize this phenomenon through an occupancy-measure analogue of Rashomon capacity: the metric entropy of the near-optimal occupancy region, computed relative to an audited deployment class. Because occupancy measures identify behavior only up to occupancy equivalence, we formulate auditing at the occupancy-class level and distinguish exact local-query oracles from noisy sample-query oracles. Our main exact-query result is conditional: if the audited class contains a $2/H$-separated near-optimal packing whose local signatures are $b$-sparse, then exact local-query auditing requires $Ω(M/b)$ queries; when the packing realizes deployment-class capacity and $b=O(1)$, this becomes $Ω(2^{\Hopt^\cF(\eps)})$. We give a finite discounted hidden-branch MDP attaining this bound and show the exact Bayes success law. For noisy hidden-trigger testing, we prove a mixture lower bound of order $M/β$, where $β$ is the per-sample KL signal, yielding $Ω(2^{\Hopt^\cF(\eps)}/(ρ^2Δ^2))$ for capacity-order packings with $β=O(ρ^2Δ^2)$. We also provide a static target-recognition information lower bound, a transcript-compatible oracle-cover verification upper bound, and a canonical occupancy regularizer whose regularized audited capacity collapses when a trusted reference occupancy is available. Controlled benchmarks distinguish positive sparse-signature instances from high-capacity negative controls where exact auditing is easy, and map the noisy-trigger law to post-processed continuous-control and visual-RL auditing regimes.

Bagging-based ensembles, most notably Adaptive Random Forests, are among the strongest performers for learning from data streams. A common denominator across these methods is their reliance on Hoeffding Trees as base learners, which grow decision trees incrementally by testing whether a candidate split is significantly better than its alternatives using concentration inequalities. Despite their empirical success, existing variants lack valid statistical guarantees. Current analyses rely on fixed-sample concentration bounds, while split decisions are made using data-dependent stopping rules, which invalidates their guarantees and can drive the probabilty of incorrect splits to one. We introduce a principled alternative based on anytime-valid inference. Our method provides: (i) anytime-valid control of false splits under arbitrary data streams, including non-stationary settings; (ii) finite commitment time under a predictive advantage; and (iii) under stationary i.i.d. data, risk is monotone decreasing and strictly improves at every split. Empirically, we evaluate both standalone trees and their use within Adaptive Random Forests on non-stationary streams. Our method improves performance while producing substantially smaller trees.

This paper studies how efficiently deep ReLU neural networks can approximate and learn smooth functions. When the error is measured in $L^p([0,1]^d)$ norm and the approximator is a network with width $W$ and depth $L$, recent works have proven the supper approximation rate $\mathcal{O}((WL)^{-2s/d})$ for Besov space $\mathcal{B}^s_{q,r}([0,1]^d)$ under the Sobolev embedding condition $s/d>1/q-1/p$. In order to overcome the curse of dimensionality in this rate, we extent this result to anisotropic and mixed smooth function classes. We establish the approximation rate $\mathcal{O}((WL)^{-2\tilde{s}})$ for anisotropic Besov space $\mathcal{B}^{\boldsymbol{s}}_{q,r}([0,1]^d)$ with anisotropic smoothness $\boldsymbol{s}=(s_1,\dots,s_d)$ under the embedding condition $\tilde{s} > 1/q-1/p$, where the mean smoothness $\tilde{s} = (\sum_{i=1}^d s_i^{-1})^{-1}$. For mixed smooth Besov space $\mathcal{MB}^s_{q,r}([0,1]^d)$ with mixed smoothness $s>1/q-1/p$, we show that the approximation rate $\mathcal{O}((WL)^{-2s})$ holds up to logarithmic factors. Using these results, we also derive approximation bounds for the composition of anisotropic Besov functions. As an application, it is shown that deep ReLU neural networks can achieve minimax optimal rates up to logarithmic factors for a wide range of smooth function classes.

We present improved bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These include minimax bounds in expectation and high-probability tail bounds. We resolve some of the open questions posed in Kontorovich and Painsky (JMLR, 2025) -- including a fully empirical version of the tightest risk bound they presented and identifying the form of the worst-case extremal distribution. Encouraging empirical results are reported as well.

We consider the problem of universal transductive online classification with a possibly unbounded label space. This setting considers online learning, with the sequence of instances (without labels) known to the learner in advance. We say a concept class $\mathcal{H}$ is learnable if there is a learning algorithm $\mathcal{A}$, such that for every realizable sequence, the number of mistakes made by $\mathcal{A}$ grows at most sublinearly with the number of predictions. We characterize the learnability of this setting and show that there are only two possible optimal rates for the learnable classes: either bounded or increasing logarithmically. We introduce a new combinatorial structure, called ``Level-Constrained-Littlestone-Littlestone (LCLL) tree'', which, along with the indifference property, characterizes the learnability. We also extend the learnability result to the agnostic case and the case where only the stochastic process that generates the instance sequence is known.

We study language generation in the limit under bounded memory. In this task, a learner observes examples from an unknown target language one at a time and must eventually output only new valid examples. Prior work assumes access to the entire history, a strong assumption since realistic algorithms retain limited past information. Classical work in learning theory shows memory constraints dramatically alter learnability; we extend this to language generation. First, we study memoryless generators. Under a mild enumeration restriction, every countable collection of infinite languages remains generable without memory. Without this restriction, we exactly characterize when memoryless generation is possible. For finite collections, we characterize the optimal minimax density achievable by memoryless generators -- the best density guaranteed against any collection of a given size. This combinatorial bound relies on Sperner's theorem and symmetric chain decompositions. We further show that a sliding window of the last $W$ examples does not improve this worst-case density, whereas allowing it to store $b$ adaptively chosen past examples improves the achievable density for every $b \geq 1$. Finally, we revisit identification in the limit, where the learner must converge to a single correct hypothesis for the target language. We focus on its incremental variant, where the learner remembers only its previous guess. Here, although exact identification fails on a collection of just three languages, a mild relaxation requiring convergence to an ``approximate'' version of the target is achievable for every finite collection. These results show bounded memory affects these tasks differently: generation remains achievable for every countable collection, while density and identification are confined to finite collections, with guarantees weakening as the collection grows.

Score-based diffusion models have demonstrated remarkable empirical success in learning high-dimensional distributions, particularly those exhibiting low-dimensional and multi-modal structures. However, theoretical understanding of their statistical efficiency remains limited. Existing theories typically rely on strong regularity assumptions, such as uniformly bounded densities or globally smooth score functions, which fail to capture such intrinsic structures. In this work, we study the sample complexity of diffusion models for learning distributions supported on a union of low-dimensional subspaces. Assuming that the data distribution within each subspace is subgaussian, we show that diffusion models require at most $\widetilde{O}(\varepsilon^{-k \vee 2})$ samples to achieve $\varepsilon$ error in 1-Wasserstein distance, where $k$ is the intrinsic dimension. This near-optimal convergence rate depends only on the intrinsic dimension and significantly improves upon prior theoretical guarantees that suffer from the curse of dimensionality. Notably, our analysis applies to a broad collection of distributions without imposing smoothness, bounded-density, or log-concavity assumptions. Overall, our results show that diffusion models can statistically adapt to intrinsic low-dimensional structure while naturally accommodating multi-modal data, offering a rigorous theoretical justification for their success in complex high-dimensional learning tasks.

Modern statistical learning theory and deep learning characterize generalization primarily in terms of continuous capacity control (e.g., norm-based regularization, margin maximization, low-rank bias). While highly successful in continuous domains, deep learning consistently fails to extrapolate exact algorithmic or discrete algebraic rules, reflecting a missing inductive bias toward algorithmic complexity minimization. We propose the Cayley-table completion as the canonical testbed for this missing bias, serving as the discrete algebraic counterpart to matrix completion. Just as matrix factorization combined with weight decay yields an implicit geometric bias toward low linear rank, recent results demonstrate that operator-valued tensor factorizations paired with a flatness prior yield an implicit algorithmic bias toward exact discrete associativity. We pose the open problem of establishing formal exact recovery bounds for Cayley-table completion, and challenge the community to generalize continuous flatness priors to autonomously discover broader discrete algorithmic axioms without combinatorial search.

This work investigates theoretically the interplay between interpolation and aggregation in regression. We establish that the $γ$-graph dimension characterizes learnability for a broad class of natural aggregation procedures. Furthermore, we prove that an extremely simple aggregation procedure, combining three interpolating hypotheses via the median, is optimal among all these aggregation procedures, and is strictly more powerful than proper learning. Finally, we show that some hypothesis classes are learnable only by aggregating infinitely many hypotheses or by using non-interpolating aggregation rules (which may predict outside the range of their inputs), and any finite interpolating aggregation fails to achieve even trivial performance.

We study contextual bandits in the stochastic i.i.d.\ setting, where a learner observes contexts drawn from an unknown distribution, selects actions from a finite set $A$, and aims to identify an approximately optimal policy from a given class based on bandit feedback. Motivated by bandit multiclass classification with zero-one rewards, we focus on the \emph{$s$-sparse} setting in which, for every context, the reward vector has $L_1$-norm at most $s \ll |A|$. Our main result is the design of algorithms that, with high probability, output an $ε$-optimal policy compared to policy class $Π$ using $\tilde{O} ((s/ε^2 + |A|/ε)\log |Π|/δ)$ samples. We extend this bound to general Natarajan classes and complement it with a matching lower bound (up to logarithmic factors), thereby closing a substantial gap left by prior work (Erez et al., 2024, 2025), which incurred an additional $Θ(|A|^9)$ dependence. We obtain these results via two complementary approaches. First, we analyze contextual bandits through the lens of contextual decision making with structured observations, designing an exploration-by-optimization algorithm whose sample complexity is governed by the \emph{decision-estimation coefficient} (DEC; Foster et al., 2021, 2022). We show that, with $s$-sparse rewards, the induced model class admits a sharp DEC bound that scales with $s$ and directly yields the optimal rate. Since this approach is largely information-theoretic and involves solving complex min-max optimization problems, we also develop a second, more specialized algorithmic method based on a low-variance exploration technique. This approach leads to concrete, tractable algorithms and naturally extends to contextual combinatorial semi-bandits, leading to improved sample complexity guarantees for bandit multiclass list classification.

Reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to improve the policy (denoiser) of diffusion large language models (dLLMs), while being hindered by the intractability of the policy likelihood. A dominant and efficient family of methods replaces the likelihood in standard RL with its evidence lower bound (ELBO), estimated from randomly masked sequences. Despite being well aligned with pre-training, these approaches introduce bias through training--inference mismatch by using the ELBO as a likelihood surrogate, which can degrade performance. In this work, we propose Guided Denoiser Self-Distillation (GDSD) to directly distill the denoiser of dLLMs from an advantage-guided self-teacher, derived from the closed-form optimum of reverse-KL regularized RL. GDSD matches the dLLM's denoiser logits to the teacher's via a normalization-free objective, which reduces RL to likelihood-free self-distillation and thus bypasses the TIM biases. Recent ELBO-based methods emerge as instances of applying different distillation divergences, but with diagnosable pathologies that GDSD avoids. On planning, math, and coding benchmarks with LLaDA-8B and Dream-7B, GDSD consistently outperforms prior state-of-the-art ELBO-based methods with a more stable training reward dynamics, achieving test-accuracy improvements of up to $+19.6\%$. These results suggest that direct denoiser self-distillation, without relying on an ELBO likelihood surrogate, can provide a more stable and effective RL procedure for dLLMs. Code is available at https://github.com/GaryBall/GDSD.

Many real-world classification tasks require predicting multiple labels per instance, necessitating the optimization of complex evaluation metrics such as the $F$-measure and Jaccard index. While the Empirical Utility Maximization (EUM) framework is natural for these population-level metrics, existing theoretical results are largely limited to asymptotic Bayes-consistency. In this paper, we develop principled learning algorithms for optimizing a broad class of generalized metrics within the EUM framework, grounded in the stronger notion of $H$-consistency. Our key contribution is the design of novel surrogate loss functions for multi-label learning that admit provable $H$-consistency bounds, enabling optimization with non-asymptotic guarantees tailored to the hypothesis class and finite samples. Crucially, we prove these combinatorially formulated surrogates decompose exactly, operating in strictly $O(l)$ time without approximations. Building on this foundation, we introduce MMO (Multi-Label Metric Optimization), a new family of algorithms for optimizing generalized linear-fractional metrics. We validate our approach through extensive experiments, demonstrating robust scalability and superior performance over state-of-the-art continuous baselines on large-scale datasets (MS-COCO, Reuters-21578) in high-sparsity, deep learning regimes. Our results offer both theoretical rigor and practical effectiveness for general multi-label metric optimization.

Parity functions are fundamental Boolean operations with critical applications across machine learning, cryptography, and error correction. Yet, learning high-dimensional parity functions poses significant challenges: in a general setting, standard neural network architectures typically require exponential sample complexity, making gradient-based optimization intractable for large number of inputs $N$. We demonstrate that compact product-based neural architectures combined with stochastic data sparsity (Bernoulli inputs with $p_e \leq 1/N$) and appropriate hyperparameter choice enable efficient parity learning, with theoretical guarantees of convergence. Experiments validate our theory across dimensions up to $N = 100{,}000$, with empirical evidence showing optimal hyperparameter choices for $p_e$ and learning rate $α$, as well as polynomial complexity scaling laws. This work establishes fundamental connections between architectural inductive bias and data sparsity, opening new possibilities for neural arithmetic, structured reasoning, binary neural networks, and machine learning applied to automated protocol discovery.

Reinforcement learning with multinomial logistic (MNL) function approximation has become an important framework due to its flexibility and broad applicability. While existing studies have established regret guarantees under worst-case analysis, they do not capture how performance depends on the variability of the interaction between the learner and the environment. In this paper, we develop a new theoretical analysis for MNL-based Markov decision processes that yields explicit variance-adaptive regret bounds. Our algorithm is computationally efficient and achieves the instance-wise optimal rate of regret, narrowing the gap between upper and lower bounds. Our numerical experiments validate that our method learns optimal policies more efficiently than conventional approaches.

Emotional Support Dialogue Systems (ESDSes) are increasingly evaluated and trained with LLM-simulated seekers. However, such simulated seekers often behave as cooperative, average-case users who disclose clearly, respond constructively, and accept support within a few turns. This can lead to overly optimistic evaluation and obscure whether ESDSes can handle difficult help-seeking interactions. In this work, we study ESDS evaluation under worst-case interactions, where seekers are hard to help due to low engagement, resistance, limited self-disclosure, emotional volatility, or rigid negative interpretations. We first conduct an expert simulation study with eight experienced counselling professionals, who simulate difficult seekers, interact with existing Chinese ESDSes, provide scale ratings, and participate in semi-structured interviews. Based on this study, we derive worst-case seeker behaviours and identify key limitations of current systems. We then propose a worst-case evaluation framework consisting of an LLM-based worst-case seeker simulator and four worst-case-oriented metrics: Deep Emotional Understanding, Guided Exploration, Balanced Emotional Support, and Authentic and Grounded Support. Evaluating 17 systems, we find that nearly all models suffer substantial performance drops under worst-case interactions. Large general-purpose LLMs are generally more robust than specialised ESDSes, but even the strongest models struggle to sustain engagement and improve seekers' emotional states. Finally, we show that worst-case simulation can also generate useful training data, improving the robustness of smaller models.

We study efficient differentially private algorithms for estimating monotone statistics, i.e., statistics that are monotone under the addition of new observations. The starting point for our investigation is subsample-and-aggregate: a classical paradigm that partitions the dataset into blocks, estimates the statistic on each block, and then privately aggregates the estimates. While practical and generically applicable, this approach is quite data-hungry. We improve upon this framework for the class of monotone statistics -- compared to subsample-and-aggregate, our algorithms save a factor of $t$ in sample complexity and pay a factor of $e^t$ in running time, where $t>0$ is a tunable parameter. We complement our results with a query-complexity lower bound, showing that our algorithms are essentially optimal for this task. As an application, we obtain improved results for private eigenvalue estimation, private loss estimation, and privately estimating a single parameter of a high-dimensional model, e.g., in linear regression.

We study the query complexity of sampling from high-dimensional Gaussian distributions using gradient information. In the standard oracle model, exact gradients expose only matrix-vector products with the precision matrix, leading to polynomial approximation barriers and a characteristic $\sqrtκ$ dependence on the condition number. We show that this barrier disappears when the sampler is allowed to query \emph{smoothed scores}, namely gradients of the logarithms of the Gaussian-convolved densities. For a Gaussian target with precision matrix $Λ$, a smoothed-score query at noise level $τ$ gives access to the resolvent $(Λ+τ^{-1}I)^{-1}$. Combining geometrically spaced noise levels with sinc-quadrature rational approximation, we obtain a sampler with $q=O\!\left(\bigl(\logκ+\log(e\sqrt d/δ_{\rm TV})\bigr)\log(e\sqrt d/δ_{\rm TV})\right)$ smoothed-score queries for total variation error $δ_{\rm TV}$, improving the condition-number dependence from $\sqrtκ$ to logarithmic. We also study finite-bit gradient oracles. Using coordinatewise quantization of the transformed smoothed-score answers and a final dithering step, we obtain a sampling scheme whose total communicated gradient information is polylogarithmic in $κ$; in particular, for fixed dimension and accuracy, the bit complexity is $O(\log^2κ)$. To complement these upper bounds, we introduce a channel-synthesis, or reverse-Shannon, converse technique for sampling lower bounds. This converts total-variation simulation guarantees into communication requirements and yields an $Ω(\logκ)$ lower bound on the required gradient information. Together, these results identify smoothed scores as a provably more informative oracle for sampling and give nearly matching upper and lower bounds for its finite-bit complexity.

We study the problem of computationally efficient proper agnostic learning of multidimensional concept classes under the Gaussian distribution. In this setting, given i.i.d. labeled samples from an unknown distribution over $\mathbb{R}^d \times \{\pm 1\}$ whose marginal on $\mathbb{R}^d$ is Gaussian, the goal is to output a hypothesis from a target class $\mathcal{F}$ whose 0-1 loss is within $ε$ of that of the best classifier in $\mathcal{F}$. We give the first efficient proper agnostic learning algorithm for arbitrary Boolean functions of $K$ halfspaces under Gaussian marginals. Our algorithm runs in time $d^{O(K^2 \log(1/ε)/ε^2)} + (K/ε)^{O(K^3/ε^{2.5})}$. Prior to our work, the only known algorithm for $K \geq 2$ was brute-force search, with run-time exponential in $d$. Moreover, the dependence of our run-time on the dimension $d$ matches that of the best known improper learning algorithm, namely $d^{\widetilde{O}(K^2/ε^2)}$. For the special case of a single halfspace ($K=1$), the best previous run-time was $d^{O(1/ε^4)} + (1/ε)^{O(1/ε^6)}$. Our algorithm improves this to $d^{O(1/ε^2)} + (1/ε)^{O(1/ε^{2.5})}$. Once again, the dependence on $d$ matches that of the best known improper algorithm, namely $d^{O(1/ε^2)}$. Furthermore, the dependence of our run-time on the dimension $d$ is essentially optimal in the statistical query model.

This short note presents a dimension-independent subgaussian concentration bound for Gaussian vectors under coordinate-wise nonlinear mappings. Discovered by Gemini 3.5 Flash, this result applies to any bounded function under a well-conditioned covariance. We apply this tool to answer a question of Simone Bombari on sign-quantized linear maps $Y = \text{sgn}(Wx)$.