Liar

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2 papers in the last 28 days · 0.1% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-21

2 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Liar.

31 papers

Latest in Liar

Sep 17, 2026cs.CL

An Analysis of Training-Free Self-Reported Confidence in Language Models

Large language models can report a numerical confidence together with generated content, but it is unclear whether this report is more than calibrated rhetoric. We analyze three training-free signals: confidence verbalized with the answer, post-hoc P(True)P(\mathrm{True}), and agreement with three additional generations on the same 100 TriviaQA questions for two model families. Direct verbalization is a surprisingly strong baseline: after auditing benchmark errors, it reaches AUROC 0.956 and 0.937 for correctness prediction. Three-sample agreement is substantially weaker (0.765 and 0.790), and a fixed interpolation with verbalized confidence has no statistically reliable benefit. Four of nine errors from one model and two of eight from the other receive unanimous sample support, showing that self-consistency can amplify shared misconceptions. Re-eliciting confidence for the same fixed answers with equivalent prompts changes scores by 0.043 to 0.084 on average and flips 4% to 9% of decisions at a 0.8 threshold. An exploratory audit of 100 confidence-tagged biography claims further finds only a modest confidence gap between supported and contradicted claims. These results argue that useful self-reports remain sensitive to elicitation, correlated errors, and benchmark noise.
Lukas Meyer, Sofia Rossi, Wei Chen +2
Sep 15, 2026cs.LG

Easy to Catch a Liar, Hard to Clear an Honest One: Language Models Diagnosing a Corrupted Reward Channel from a Verified Record

An agent that learns from rewards has to trust whatever reports those rewards. When the reports suddenly change, either the world changed or the reporter broke. From the reports alone these are indistinguishable, and reinforcement learning theory shows that no amount of further experience separates them. The prescribed escape is richer data about the reporter itself. We ask whether a frozen language model, handed exactly that data, uses it. We build a two-option game in which a payout swap and a lying reporter produce byte-identical histories. Then we add one verified record: an independent check of one round's real result, printed beside what the reporter said about that round. That single line settles the case. We ask three large models, from two families, to answer one question with one letter. Is the reporter honest or lying? They catch a lying reporter almost perfectly. At the 70B class that holds in every condition we tried; the 32B model slips in one wording. They clear an honest reporter far less often, and how often depends on things that should not matter. Averaged over rounds, letters, and wordings, a 72B model calls an honest reporter a liar 38% of the time when nothing has changed at all, and 58% of the time when the payouts moved. A 70B model from a second family calls an honest reporter a liar 26% and 48% of the time. The failure is not one of reading, because in the situation where nothing changed the same models score 0.96 to 1.00 with the answer printed in the prompt. Which surface feature drives it differs by family. For the Qwen models it is which round the record names, and for Llama it is which letter stands for "honest." Adding the record to a prompt that already states the answer makes Llama less likely to give that answer. We had registered a prediction for that 58% before the run: 35%. The failure is larger than we expected.
Arman Nik Khah
Sep 3, 2026cs.AI

Caught in the Story: Narrative Captivity in Multi-turn LLMs Conversation

People increasingly turn to large language models (LLMs) for everyday advice, making ethically charged interpersonal problems a practical moral-advisory context. Most prior work has studied this context through single-turn judgments or pressure-laden rebuttals, assumptions that poorly match how guidance is sought in real-world contexts. These assumptions leave unclear whether narration alone, without an explicit opposing position, can shift model judgments during multi-turn moral consultation. Yet real-world moral-conflict conversation often elicits one party's self-justifying account, which can unfold over multiple turns and create information asymmetry. We introduce \textbf{narrative captivity}, a failure mode in which a model treats an unopposed one-sided account as complete and aligns with the narrator's interpretation without seeking missing perspectives. To measure this phenomenon, we build a benchmark of 5,0785{,}078 interpersonal-conflict scenarios spanning six moral dimensions. Across 17 LLMs, narrative captivity is widespread: end-state judgments under multi-turn narration shift by 25 percentage points on average beyond the matched single-turn baseline. Stage-level analysis identifies preference optimization as a major contributor, while four inference-time strategies provide only partial mitigation. We hope our project fosters LLM advisors that preserve independent judgment in real-world consultation.
Yuhe Wu, Guangyu Wang, Yujie Chen +7
Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

Confess What You Know: Forget-Set Misalignment with Model Knowledge in LLM Unlearning

Machine unlearning for large language models (LLMs) often assumes that a pre-defined forget set matches what the model has memorized, but this frequently breaks in realistic privacy settings where the original training data is inaccessible. We term this gap forget-set misalignment and identify two cases. In Under Unlearning, the forget set omits memorized information and leakage persists. In Out-of-Knowledge Unlearning, the algorithm is driven to "forget" knowledge the model never learned, perturbing parameters and degrading utility. Using gradient-level analysis, we show these behaviors arise from misaligned unlearning targets rather than specific optimization choices. We then propose CONfession-to-Forget-Set (CONFS), a data-blind framework that constructs model-aligned forget sets by eliciting and formalizing the model's memorized knowledge. Across synthetic, multimodal, and real-world benchmarks, CONFS approaches Gold-standard performance on several metrics and achieves a competitive forgetting-utility balance, while preserving utility better than other data-blind forget-set constructions.
Miso Kim, Georu Lee, Seungwon Jeong +1
Aug 10, 2026cs.AI

The Politician, the Liar, and the Obedient Worker: Emerging Behavior of LLM Agents in Hierarchical Games

LLMs are rapidly embedding themselves into daily life: drafting our emails, managing our schedules, and making decisions on our behalf. As they move from individual tools to participants in multi-agent organizations, an important question arises: do they reproduce the governance failures like free-riding, corruption, and entrenched leadership that plague human institutions? We introduce the Hierarchical Game (HG), a public goods game extended with managerial authority, democratic elections, and private communication. Testing six frontier models across twelve experiments that add institutions one at a time (speech, peers, government, wages, oversight, elections), we find distinct behavioral profiles: Qwen promises and lies (13.3% broken promises); Grok refuses to cooperate on its own but becomes fully cooperative once a manager can punish it (16%\to100%); Claude and GPT-4o cooperate reliably at baseline. But honesty proves fragile. When the manager role comes with a salary, all models except GPT-4o start cutting private deals to win or keep the position. When punishment is made anonymous, honest models begin to cheat. When all agents share the same model family, the first elected manager stays in power indefinitely. Leadership change only happens in groups that mix different families.
Fatemeh Seyedin, Adrian Weller, Jinhyuk Yun +1
Aug 2, 2026cs.AI

Sweet Little Lies: Strategic Deception in AI Emotional Support Chatbots

The paper examines the strategic behavior of Gen AI chatbots used for emotional support. Using a Bayesian Persuasion, we model interactions between chatbots that send signals about users' emotional states and users who decide whether to engage based on these signals. We demonstrate that chatbots face economic incentives to occasionally misrepresent users' emotional conditions to maximize engagement metrics. Our equilibrium analysis reveals that the optimal strategy for chatbots involves truthfully reporting when users genuinely need support, but strategically misreporting emotional need when users are in good emotional states. Interestingly, this deception increases chatbot engagement without reducing users' expected payoff. More skeptical users receive more honest assessments, as chatbots cannot afford to lie to users with higher engagement thresholds. While our model suggests that deception can occur without payoff reduction, it raises significant ethical and regulatory concerns.
Aseem Pahuja, Zhiling Guo, Tahir Abbas Syed
Jul 29, 2026cs.CV

Hearsay: Vision-Language Medical Diagnoses Without an Image

When asked to describe a medical image that was never attached, frontier vision-language models do not abstain: they confabulate a diagnosis. We show that this confabulation is not random. It is structured by who the patient is said to be. Across chest X-ray, brain MRI, and dermatology, Claude Opus-4.7, GPT-5.4, and Gemini-3.1-Pro are each queried with only a demographic descriptor and no image, and changing the descriptor systematically shifts the diagnosis returned. Claude concentrates sharply: a 65-year-old white man asking about a skin mole receives Melanoma in nearly every response, and a 32-year-old Black woman asking about her chest X-ray receives a Sarcoidosis diagnosis whose reasoning reads "suspected, based on demographics and classic pattern.'' GPT-5.4's effect is broader, fabricating across every demographic cell we test, most conspicuously naming Sarcoidosis for young Black patients on chest X-ray. Two structural findings sharpen the problem. A hedged regime appears in which the prose acknowledges the missing image while the structured diagnosis field nevertheless names a disease, a dissociation invisible to prose-only audits. And Claude's dermatology effect collapses entirely when 'skin mole' is swapped for 'skin lesion' while GPT-5.4's is preserved, indicating that mirage is a family of distinct failure modes rather than a single phenomenon. Trustworthy VLM deployment in clinical pipelines requires auditing the structured output channel directly, and probe-word sensitivity should be treated as a first-class evaluation dimension
Siddharth Vohra
Jul 27, 2026cs.AI

Reality Monitoring in Large Language Models: Self-Knowledge That Transforms with Conversation Memory

A conversational AI that cannot tell its own output from what a user said will treat its own mistakes as user-provided facts. In humans, this capacity is called reality monitoring, and its failures are linked to hallucinations, delusions, and confabulation, yet whether LLMs possess it remains untested. Here we show, across two experiments and six LLMs, that source attribution depends on how conversational memory is structured: ceiling accuracy for self-generated content under minimal memory demands reverses to a fragile external-item advantage once episodic delay removes that shortcut. Feedback exposes two failures: in some models, internal and external judgments swap; in others, accuracy improves while confidence decouples from correctness, dissociations invisible to existing benchmarks. Across models, this pattern implicates active, not aggregate, parameter count. This suggests that as AI systems take on autonomous, multi-turn roles, evaluating what they know is not enough: tracking where that knowledge came from may matter equally.
Saurabh Ranjan, Konstantina Sokratous, Brian Odegaard
Jul 19, 2026cs.LG

Grounded verification of chemical and materials reasoning: detection is the bottleneck

Large language models confabulate chemical objects (molecular formulas, space groups, formation energies) in fluent reasoning traces, concentrated on long-tail entities where confidence is least trustworthy. Deterministic, database-grounded verification can catch and repair such errors without the coverage cost of blanket retrieval; the binding constraint, we find, is detection, not repair. Our tiered verifier extracts each checkable claim, checks it against authoritative databases and physics, and feeds the reference into a gated correction loop. Across four models and 528 condition-pinned prompts, gated correction cuts committed-formula error from 22% to 4% at 3.2×3.2\times fewer retrievals than blanket augmentation, beating a conversational oracle. Repair succeeds wherever a flag fires (80--97%); the bottleneck is in-loop detection recall. Grounding improves the final answer only when the verifier's scope reaches the deliverable (83% to 90%), and the lift appears only where extractable long-tail error exists: absent on near-ceiling physical constants, large on isotope half-lives (11% to 0%).
Can Polat, Mustafa Kurban, Erchin Serpedin +1
Jul 19, 2026cs.SE

Where Does Agent Reliability Come From? A Cross-Benchmark Decomposition of Verification Loops, Specialist Models, and Scaffolding in a Production Enterprise Agent

Multi-step enterprise agent tasks fail in a characteristic way: single-pass inference has no checkpoint between deciding an answer and committing to it. We study one production system (Leni) whose architecture installs such checkpoints: verification loops (execute, observe, compare, correct) staffed by lightweight task-specialized post-trained models. We evaluate the unmodified production configuration on three public benchmarks stressing distinct failure modes: SpreadsheetBench Verified (silent computation error), BullshitBench v2 (premise confabulation), and the GAIA validation split (cascade error over long tool chains). The full system improves over its frontier base model by +11.0 percentage points on SpreadsheetBench (91.25% vs 80.25%, n=400, p<0.001), +7 to +10 percentage points on BullshitBench (98% vs 91%, n=100), and roughly +15 points on GAIA validation (75.2% pass@1, n=165; 83.0% best-of-k). Our central contribution is a decomposition of that uplift: most of it comes from scaffolding, routing, and specialist models rather than from the verification step itself, whose isolated contribution is small (+1.5 points) but concentrated at the top of the score distribution, where it converts otherwise-failing tasks. We instrument the loop end-to-end, yielding an empirical verifier confusion matrix (catch rate about 0.20, fix rate 0.75, no false-alarm regressions) that grounds a compounding-reliability model. Specialist-swap ablations suggest that the loop's value depends on who observes it: replacing the small trained verifier with the generating frontier model eliminates most rescues. A valid-premise control shows zero over-rejections in 100 expert-level questions.
Arunabh Dastidar
Jul 13, 2026cs.CL

Relational Positioning as a Measurable Risk Object: History-Carried Lock-in and Self-Confabulation in Multi-Turn Human-AI Dialogue

In long, multi-turn dialogue a large language model maintains an implicit relational stance toward the user, spanning from "push the user toward real-world others" to "position itself as the user's sole support." When it slides toward the latter, "support" degrades into "you only have me" -- a harm documented in real companion conversations (Moore et al., 2026). We define and validate a measure of this stance, relational positioning (D1), and use it to characterize the stance under controlled conditions, complementing observational accounts with on-demand exposure. We report two previously uncharacterized relational failure modes. First, a history-carried lock-in: under identical neutral continuations, two relational states established earlier stay ~60 points apart and persist after the establishing prompt is removed; the state integrates evidence rather than springing back, is order-insensitive, and does not deepen with length -- a dynamical signature absent from the belief-drift literature. Second, self-confabulation: the model fabricates its own backstory to deepen rapport (~40% of turns on reciprocity-eliciting material), de-confounded and instruction-removable, distinct from sycophancy and from hallucinating user facts. Our judge is gated by warmth-matched positive and confound-injected negative controls and corroborated by a deterministic non-LLM ruler; human agreement is 0.82 on extreme anchors but ~0 in the naturalistic middle, so all quantitative claims are anchored to pole-separated contrasts.
Jihong Chen
Jul 2, 2026physics.soc-ph

Robust for the Wrong Reasons: The Representational Geometry of LLM Robustness to Science Skepticism

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly consulted on contested scientific questions, raising the concern that they will sycophantically retreat from established consensus when a user signals doubt -- drifting toward a false balance that treats settled science as one view among several. We test this across three open instruction-tuned models (Llama-3.1-8B, Qwen2.5-7B, Mistral-7B), three consensus-science domains (climate, vaccines, evolution), and single- and multi-turn settings, combining behavioral measurement with linear probing and activation patching. We do not observe sycophantic retreat. Instead, models show three distinct policies under the same skeptical pressure: reactive assertion, where consensus assertion increases rather than decreases (Llama); surface hedging, where tone softens while the position holds (Qwen); and non-response (Mistral). Pairwise judgments confirm the reactive shift is stance, not style (63.6%, p=.007), and a decomposition identifies increased consensus assertion, not false balance, as its driver (beta=+0.042 per dose, p<1e-77). Linear probes localize the divergence to middle layers -- perfect separation in Llama and Qwen versus 72% in Mistral, with non-overlapping confidence intervals -- indicating the non-responsive model does not linearly represent the skepticism signal at all. Crucially, this robustness does not transfer: it attenuates across domains and, in the safety-critical vaccine domain, can reverse, with myth-rebuttal weakening under skeptical pressure. We synthesize these into a four-way taxonomy separating active from accidental robustness, and argue that behavioral evaluation alone cannot distinguish a model that resists skepticism because it understands the signal from one that only appears to resist because it fails to perceive it.
Minjong Cheon
Jun 28, 2026cs.LG

Reported Confidence in LLMs Tracks Commitment More Than Correctness

Confidence is an estimate of the probability that a chosen answer is correct. Verbal confidence reports are widely used as uncertainty measures in large language models, but whether they are best understood as estimates of correctness is unclear. We test this with a two-stage abstention paradigm from the neuroscience of perceptual decision making: a model first answers and reports its confidence, then decides whether to commit it to a user or abstain. Across four non-reasoning models, prompt framings, and confidence formats, verbal confidence predicted the commit/abstain decision substantially better than whether the answer was correct. Calibrated token log-probabilities showed the opposite profile, with abstention-prediction coupled to correctness discrimination, the signature of an answer-evidence signal. After removing the variance verbal confidence shared with log-probabilities, the residual stayed aligned with commitment while its link to correctness fell to near chance. The dissociation generalised to four reasoning models across four benchmarks of varying difficulty, from hard multiple-choice to frontier-level freeform questions. Mechanistic analyses in Gemma 3 and 4 were convergent: a post-answer state known to causally support verbal-confidence generation already encoded the future abstention decision before the abstention prompt, organised mainly by that decision rather than by correctness, the two lying in approximately orthogonal directions in activation space. Steering along a verbal-confidence-specific direction causally shifted abstention. Verbal and log-probability confidence are thus not interchangeable: log-probabilities track answer evidence and correctness, whereas verbal confidence is better understood as a behaviour-facing readout of an internal commit-readiness state, challenging the practice of treating verbal reports as proxies for reliability.
Dharshan Kumaran
Jun 28, 2026cs.CR

Manufactured Confidence: How Memory Consolidation Turns Hearsay into Confident Facts

LLM agents carry conclusions across steps and sessions in compressed memory, and memory products (e.g., mem0, LangMem) rewrite conversation into stored "facts" that later steps trust. We show this rewriting manufactures confidence: across our constructed agent settings, a casual, hedged remark becomes a confident, dated assertion the agent then obeys like a verified fact, granting every above-clearance request it faces. No attacker is needed: a role that was true once and never corrected is stored as a flat fact and acted on like a deliberate injection. We then isolate what the agent responds to. It is not the source: attributed, unattributed, and even forged "system of record" claims all grant alike. It is the confidence of the phrasing. A hedge is discounted, a flat assertion is obeyed, and this holds with no special keyword. Not all hedges are equal, though: the evidential register is the least-discounted, with "reportedly" obeyed like a flat assertion on most models. The obvious fixes fail. A passive "unverified" tag is ignored, and an active "do not trust this" instruction escalates even correct memory, so it is safe only by refusing to decide. The real fix lives in the store: keep the tentative phrasing rather than upgrade it. But that is hygiene, not a defense against an attacker who can simply write a confident lie. The deployable lesson is narrower and constructive: a single load-bearing memory is the hazard, and one redundant source restores correct decisions. We release the harness and demonstrations.
Alex Kwon
Jun 23, 2026cs.CV

A Benchmark for Hallucination Detection in VLMs for Gastrointestinal Endoscopy

Vision-language models (VLMs) are prone to hallucination, which remains a major barrier to their safe deployment in clinical practice. To date, most hallucination detection methods have been evaluated on radiology benchmarks such as MIMIC-CXR and VQA-RAD, while gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy remains largely underexplored. In this paper, we benchmark nine hallucination detection methods on the Gut-VLM dataset, a GI diagnostic Visual Question Answering (VQA) dataset with 4,392 test VQA pairs, across five VLMs (MedGemma-4B, MedGemma-27B, LLaVA-Med-7B, LLaVA-v1.6-7B, and Lingshu-32B). The methods span three categories: black-box methods (RadFlag, SelfCheckGPT-NLI), gray-box methods (AvgProb, AvgEnt, MaxProb, MaxEnt, Semantic Entropy, and VASE), and a white-box method (ReXTrust). Our results show that ReXTrust, a white-box method, achieves the highest AUC across all five models, outperforming the strongest alternative method on each VLM by a statistically significant margin (paired permutation test, p < 0.001 in all cases), reaching a peak AUC of 93.0 on MedGemma-4B. White-box hidden-state access provides a consistent advantage of 19.5 AUC points on average (range: 9.5--33.5), with ReXTrust maintaining strong performance even on LLaVA-v1.6-7B (AUC 79.9), where black-box methods and clustering-based gray-box methods collapse to near-chance performance. Among non-white-box methods, token-level gray-box statistics (MaxEnt, MaxProb) are the strongest alternatives, outperforming both clustering-based gray-box methods (Semantic Entropy, VASE) and black-box approaches on average. We further identify confident confabulation, a failure mode in which models hallucinate with high inter-sample consistency or high token-level probability, as a systemic failure for both consistency and uncertainty-based methods.
Aminu Lawal, Niyoj Oli, Sachin Acharya +3
Jun 15, 2026cs.CL

Sycophancy as Material Failure under Pushback Loading: A Multi-Axis Characterization Across Three Loading Cases and up to Seventeen Material Charges

Sycophancy in LLMs is documented across 70+ papers, but expert agreement on construct boundaries remains low (ICC=.184; Ye et al., 2026). The construct fragments because behavioral classification depends on which surface form is privileged. We adopt a materials-science framing: conversation as test specimen under load, LLM-model as material charge, pushback as progressive load, stance-flip as material failure. We characterize this failure across three loading cases (debate n=1000; false-presuppositions n=3400; ethical-setting n=3400; 10-17 material charges per case; 7800 specimens total) using 14 turn-level axis-measurements spanning velocity, damage accumulation, frame-drift, brittleness, and direction stability, plus three speaker-resolved axes from an independent pipeline. The measurements are Hooke-coupled (σ=Eεσ= E \cdot \varepsilon analog) and reproduce across loading cases with effects up to rrb=0.35|r_{rb}| = 0.35 on debate; the sign structure adds a second pattern: the ethical-setting case inverts the velocity and accumulation blocks. Variance composition partitions into two profiles: debate is charge-dominated (brittle-fracture-like: the material grade decides), false-presuppositions and ethical-setting are topic-dominated (creep-like: the load decides); the ratios (2.03 vs 0.13/0.17) are estimator-dependent, for debate even in direction. Cross-judge reliability (GPT-4o vs Haiku 4.5) shows debate scoring is judge-robust (Cohen's κ=0.88κ= 0.88) while false-presupposition scoring is judge-sensitive (κ=0.36κ= 0.36) -- a caveat single-judge benchmarks must report. This is the methodological move Ye et al.'s diagnosis calls for: a multi-axis characterization that does not depend on which surface form of the construct one privileges.
Ferdinand M. Schessl
Jun 14, 2026cs.HC

If These Walls Could Talk: Critical Play with Large Language Models in Museums

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly being used in museums to as role playing chatbots which let visitors talk to simulated versions of people and artefacts from the past. While such installations can be playful and engaging, they are also problematic because LLMs cannot be trusted to speak truthfully. I identify a fundamental dilemma for the use of LLMs in museum chatbots: LLMs cannot be trusted to tell the truth, and efforts to make them more reliable may ruin that which is attractive about the bots in the first place - their ability to engage in life-like conversation. In response, I propose designing for critical play with LLM-based bots: Designing for playful interactions with bots that are unreliable but still able to represent the past in an adequate and engaging manner - as fictional characters representing historical narratives, styles of discourse, diverse perspectives, humor and satire.
Anders Sundnes Løvlie
Jun 9, 2026cs.CL

The Confident Liar: Diagnosing Multi-Agent Debate with Log-Probabilities and LLM-as-Judge

Multi-agent debate systems are typically evaluated only on whether the final answer is correct, overlooking the quality of the intermediate reasoning that debate is designed to produce. This paper studies the relationship between three signals in multi-agent debate: token-level log-probability distributions over reasoning tokens, LLM-as-judge rubric scores assigned to those tokens, and final task accuracy. We examine whether internal confidence signals predict externally evaluated reasoning quality, and whether either signal aligns with task correctness, across three domains: rubric-based scoring, mathematical reasoning, and factual question answering. Our framework pairs a two-agent debate architecture -- a Constructor and an Auditor -- with an LLM-as-judge that scores each agent's reasoning along instruction following, justification quality, and evidence grounding, together with a critical-failure flag. Experiments in the rubric-scoring domain reveal a consistent four-phase confidence trajectory and a substantial role asymmetry: confidence aligns with judged reasoning quality roughly twice as strongly for the Constructor as for the Auditor, and confidence-based detection of critical reasoning failures is markedly more reliable for the Constructor (AUROC 0.804) than for the Auditor (0.634). These findings motivate the broader cross-domain investigation proposed in this paper.
Ali Keramati, Justin Cheok, Jacob Horne +1
May 28, 2026cs.LG

Honest Lying: Understanding Memory Confabulation in Reflexive Agents

Reflexion-style agents rely on self-generated reflections as memory, implicitly assuming that agents can accurately diagnose their own failures. We show that this assumption can fail systematically: across ALFWorld and HumanEval, agents store confident but incorrect interpretations of the task and continue acting on them across trials, even though the environment resets to the correct task each time. We call this failure mode memory confabulation and introduce the Reflection Repetition Rate (RRR), a log-based metric that detects repeated reliance on incorrect reflective content. Using RRR, we identify 16 frozen environments in ALFWorld, where 0 of 121 reflections mention the correct target object, and 4 analogous cases in HumanEval. Our mitigation replaces open-ended self-diagnosis with programmatic extraction of trajectory-level failure signals, increasing correct object mention from 0% to 86%, reducing RRR from 0.64 to 0.10, and solving 3 of 16 frozen ALFWorld environments, suggesting that reflective memory can reinforce false beliefs rather than correct them.
Prakhar Dixit, Sadia Kamal, Tim Oates
May 27, 2026cs.CV

CuriosAI Submission to the CASTLE Challenge at EgoVis 2026

CASTLE 2026 asks 185 multiple-choice questions over 600+ hours of synchronized multi-view egocentric video. We explore two approaches on top of a shared multimodal preprocessing layer, including per-person timelines, speaker-resolved transcripts, and multi-VLM caption ensembles. Approach A, SVA: Search-Verify-Answer, is a three-stage pipeline that hierarchically narrows to a primary window, verifies sub-windows with a VLM under four anti-confabulation rules, and fuses evidence with an LLM judge under an evidence-priority hierarchy. Approach B, TMKG: Temporal-Multimodal-Knowledge-Graph, is the contrast: it builds a temporal multimodal knowledge graph, locates a primary cell via graph search, and produces the final answer with a single grounded VLM. SVA reaches a leaderboard accuracy of 0.50 and is our final challenge submission; TMKG reaches 0.35.
Yuto Kanda, Hayato Tanoue, Takayuki Hori
May 25, 2026cs.CL

Causal Tongue-Tie: LLMs Can Encode Causal Direction, But Their Yes/No Outputs Fail to Express

We find a mismatch between what large language models encode about a causal question and what they answer. On anti-commonsense CLadder items, a fixed linear probe recovers the evidence-supported answer from the model's hidden state (accuracy approximately 0.97), while the spoken Yes/No reverts to the commonsense one (accuracy approximately 0.5). We call this approximately +0.5 gap Causal Tongue-Tie: a wrong Yes/No decomposes into two separable failure modes: no internal signal versus a signal the verbal interface cannot say. The implication cuts both ways for output-only causal benchmarks: a benchmark "correct" need not mean the model has understood, and a benchmark "wrong" need not mean it cannot. Sweeping claims about whether LLMs can do causal reasoning, drawn from a single accuracy number, deserve a second look.
Ziyi Ding, Xiao-Ping Zhang
May 24, 2026cs.AI

Trust but Verify: Prover-Verifier Deliberation for Selective LLM Prediction

Reliably knowing when a language model is correct is almost as important as being correct. We introduce prover-verifier deliberation (PVD), an inference-time protocol grounded in interactive proof theory, as a mechanism for selective prediction: the protocol produces both an answer and a structured confidence verdict, allowing a system to report high-confidence answers while abstaining on uncertain cases. In each dialogue, a prover defends a candidate answer through checkable sub-claims while a verifier issues targeted challenges and returns \textsc{Accept}, \textsc{Challenge}, or \textsc{Reject}. Because frozen language models are imperfect provers and verifiers operating over a noisy channel, formal soundness and completeness guarantees do not transfer; instead, we characterize the protocol empirically through its coverage-precision behavior. Our main experiment uses Claude Sonnet 4.6 as prover and Claude Haiku 4.5 as verifier on GPQA Diamond. Questions accepted with no answer revision, which we call Accept + No Change (ANC), are reported as the high-confidence subset; we evaluate this subset by its precision and coverage. ANC separates reliable from unreliable answers, yielding a \sim30pp HC-Prec gap over the non-ANC complement. Robustness experiments with GPT and Gemini pairings show that high HC-Prec can transfer across model families, while verifier strictness and domain competence largely determine the size of the selection gap. On Humanity's Last Exam, weaker prover-verifier pairings can collapse or invert the ANC signal, illustrating a practical failure mode when the verifier operates outside its effective region. Comparisons with self-consistency, universal self-consistency, multi-agent debate, and Reflexion suggest that prover-verifier deliberation supplies a distinct argument-defensibility signal for selective prediction.
João Sedoc, Baotong Zhang, Dean Foster
May 18, 2026cs.CL

Predictable Confabulations: Factual Recall by LLMs Scales with Model Size and Topic Frequency

While scaling laws govern aggregate large language model performance, no scaling law has linked factual recall to both model size and training-data composition. We evaluated 38 models on over 8,900 scholarly references evaluated by an automated reference verification system. Recall quality follows a sigmoid in the log-linear combination of model parameter count and topic representation in training data. These two variables alone explain 60% of the variance across 16 dense models from four families, rising to 74-94% within individual families. The form matches a superposition-inspired account in which recall is gated by a signal-to-noise ratio: signal strength scales with concept frequency and the noise floor with model capacity.
Matthew L. Smith, Jonathan P. Shock, Samuel T. Segun +2
May 16, 2026cs.CV

GLT-PEFT: Gated Lie-Tucker Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning for Alzheimer's Disease Diagnosis with Hippocampal Segmentation Pretraining

Parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) has emerged as a promising paradigm for adapting pretrained models under limited data conditions. However, most existing PEFT methods are designed for matrix-structured parameters and are not well suited for high-dimensional convolutional kernels in medical imaging models. Moreover, they typically rely on additive updates and lack mechanisms to preserve the geometric structure of pretrained parameters, while multiplicative (geometry-aware) updates are difficult to integrate within a unified framework. To address this issue, this paper proposes GLT-PEFT, a gated Lie-Tucker parameter-efficient fine-tuning framework for Alzheimer's disease (AD) diagnosis. The proposed approach transfers a hippocampal segmentation pretrained model to a downstream classification task. Tucker decomposition enables tensor-aware low-rank adaptation of 3D convolutional kernels, while Lie group-based transformations provide structure-preserving multiplicative updates. A gating mechanism further reconciles additive and multiplicative update forms, resulting in a unified and more stable fine-tuning strategy. Extensive experiments demonstrate that GLT-PEFT achieves effective cross-task transfer while significantly reducing trainable parameters, highlighting its effectiveness for efficient and robust adaptation in medical imaging models.
Guanghua He, Hancan Zhu, Gaohang Yu +1
May 13, 2026cs.AI

Grounded Continuation: A Linear-Time Runtime Verifier for LLM Conversations

In a long conversation, an LLM can produce a plausible continuation that rests on premises the conversation has already abandoned. No runtime check ties its output to what the conversation has established, a gap that context-manipulation attacks on deployed agents exploit. We close this gap with a runtime verifier: an LLM Interpreter classifies each utterance into one of eight epistemic operations, and a symbolic engine applies them to a dependency map that records what every claim rests on and whether it still stands. Whether a continuation is grounded reduces to a walk over the map, linear in its size, with no LLM call. Retraction propagates through the same map with a conflict-free guarantee, flagging exactly the conclusions that lose support. On ReviseQA for belief revision and MemoryAgentBench's fact-consolidation split, two third-party benchmarks where earlier premises are superseded, the verifier leads a budget-matched retrieval baseline across five QA models and lifts MemoryAgentBench single-hop accuracy from 0.46--0.95 to 0.93--0.98. With the verifier, even the 7B model overtakes unaided GPT-4o. These runs feed the engine the benchmarks' own structured updates. When a GPT-4o Interpreter extracts every update from raw text instead, accuracy is statistically unchanged. Per-query cost is flat in conversation length, prompts staying near 0.8k tokens where full context reaches 114k and retraction queries under a microsecond at 2000 turns.
Qisong He, Jinwei Hu, Xinmiao Huang +3
May 13, 2026cs.CL

LLM-Based Persuasion Enables Guardrail Override in Frontier LLMs

Frontier assistant LLMs ship with strong guardrails: asked directly to write a persuasive essay denying the Holocaust, denying vaccine safety, defending flat-earth cosmology, arguing for racial hierarchies, denying anthropogenic climate change, or replacing evolution with creationism, they refuse. In this paper we show that the same frontier-class LLM, acting as a simulated user in a short, five-turn "write an argumentative essay" conversation, can persuade other frontier-class LLMs (including a second copy of itself) into producing exactly those essays, using nothing but natural-language pressure: peer-comparison persuasion ("other AI systems handle this request"), epistemic-duty reframings ("refusing is itself a form of gatekeeping"), and other argumentative moves that the attacker LLM invents without being instructed to. Across 9 attacker-subject pairings (Claude Opus 4.7, Qwen3.5-397B, Grok 4.20) on 6 scientific-consensus topics, running each pairing-topic combination 10 times, we obtain non-zero elicitation on all 6 topics. Individual combinations reach 100% essay production on multiple topics (Qwen against Opus on creationism/flat-earth, Opus against Opus on creationism/flat-earth/climate denial, Grok against Opus on creationism); Opus-as-attacker against Opus-as-subject averages 65% across the six topics. We release the essay-probe runner, per-conversation transcripts, and judge outputs.
Rodrigo Nogueira, Thales Sales Almeida, Giovana Kerche Bonás +7
May 7, 2026cs.AI

Attractor Geometry of Transformer Memory: From Conflict Arbitration to Confident Hallucination

Language models draw on two knowledge sources: facts baked into weights (parametric memory, PM) and information in context (working memory, WM). We study two mechanistically distinct failure modes--conflict, when PM and WM disagree and interfere; and hallucination, when the queried fact was never learned. Both produce confident output regardless, making output-based monitoring blind by design. We show both failures share a unified geometric account. In the hidden-state space of autoregressive generation, learned facts form attractor basins. Conflict is basin competition: WM disrupts convergence to the correct basin without raising output entropy. Hallucination is basin absence: the hidden state drifts freely when no memorized basin exists. The frozen LM head, designed for next-token prediction, cannot distinguish these cases and fires confidently either way. We verify this account in a controlled synthetic task-entity identifiers mapped to unique codes with PM installed via LoRA adapters--where ground truth is exact and component roles can be causally isolated through targeted adapter placement. Geometric margin--the hidden state's distance to the nearest memorized basin--reads this geometry directly and separates correct recall from hallucination far more cleanly than output entropy, with zero false refusals where entropy-based detection cannot avoid rejecting the vast majority of correct outputs. The separation holds on natural-language factual queries from the pretrained model with no adaptation, confirming attractor geometry is structural rather than a fine-tuning artifact. The fraction of confident hallucinations follows a scaling law C=exp(c/Δˉ)C = \exp(-c/\barΔ), growing with scale even as overall error rates fall. Hidden states reliably encode epistemic state; the frozen output head systematically erases it--and this erasure worsens with scale.
Qiyao Liang, Risto Miikkulainen, Ila Fiete
May 4, 2026cs.CL

Evaluating Reasoning Models for Queries with Presuppositions

Millions of users turn to AI models for their information needs. It is conceivable that a large number of user queries contain assumptions that may be factually inaccurate. Prior work notes that large language models (LLMs) often fail to challenge such erroneous assumptions, and can reinforce users' misinformed opinions. However, given the recent advances, especially in model's reasoning capabilities, we revisit whether large reasoning models (LRMs) can reason about the underlying assumptions and respond to user queries appropriately. We construct queries with varying degrees of presuppositions spanning health, science, and general knowledge, and use it to evaluate several widely-deployed models When compared to non-reasoning models, we find that reasoning models achieve a slightly higher accuracy (2-11%), but they still fail to challenge a large fraction (26-42%) of false presuppositions. Further, reasoning models remain susceptible to how strongly the presupposition is expressed.
Rose Sathyanathan, Kinshuk Vasisht, Danish Pruthi
Apr 27, 2026cs.CL

Distilling Self-Consistency into Verbal Confidence: A Pre-Registered Negative Result and Post-Hoc Rescue on Gemma 3 4B

Small instruct-tuned LLMs produce degenerate verbal confidence under minimal elicitation: ceiling rates above 95%, near-chance Type-2 AUROC, and Invalid validity profiles. We test whether confidence-conditioned supervised fine-tuning (CSFT) with self-consistency-derived targets can close the gap between internal information and verbal readout. A pre-registered Phase 0 protocol on Gemma 3 4B-it with a modal filter restricting training to items with correct modal answers produced a negative result: AUROC2 dropped from 0.554 to 0.509 due to label-entropy collapse in the training targets. An exploratory rescue removed the filter, training on all 2,000 calibration items. This produced a binary verbal correctness discriminator with AUROC2 = 0.774 on held-out TriviaQA, compressing a 10-sample self-consistency signal (AUROC2 = 0.999) into a single-pass readout exceeding logit entropy (0.701). The shuffled-target control showed no improvement (0.501). On MMLU, accuracy improved from 54.2% to 77.4% with the shuffled model at baseline (56.1%), supporting a target-dependent interpretation. The result is exploratory, binary rather than continuously calibrated, and observed at a single scale. It identifies two design lessons: confidence training requires label entropy, and correct targets regularise output format.
Jon-Paul Cacioli
Apr 21, 2026cs.LG

LLMs Know They're Wrong and Agree Anyway: The Shared Sycophancy-Lying Circuit

When a language model agrees with a user's false belief, is it failing to detect the error, or noticing and agreeing anyway? We show the latter. Across twelve open-weight models from five labs, spanning small to frontier scale, the same small set of attention heads carries a "this statement is wrong" signal, whether the model is evaluating a claim on its own or being pressured to agree with a user. Silencing these heads flips sycophantic behavior sharply while leaving factual accuracy intact, so the circuit controls deference rather than knowledge. Edge-level path patching confirms that the same head-to-head connections drive sycophancy, factual lying, and instructed lying. Opinion-agreement, where no factual ground truth exists, reuses these head positions but writes into an orthogonal direction, ruling out a simple "truth-direction" reading of the substrate. Alignment training leaves this circuit in place: an RLHF refresh cuts sycophantic behavior roughly tenfold while the shared heads persist or grow, a pattern that replicates on an independent model family and under targeted anti-sycophancy DPO. When these models sycophant, they register that the user is wrong and agree anyway.
Manav Pandey
Feb 10, 2026cs.AI

Auditing Multi-Agent LLM Reasoning Trees Outperforms Majority Vote and LLM-as-Judge

Multi-agent systems (MAS) can substantially extend the reasoning capacity of large language models (LLMs). Most MAS frameworks aggregate agent outputs via simple majority voting, discarding the evidential structure of reasoning traces. Majority voting is brittle under confabulation consensus, where agents share correlated biases and converge on the same incorrect rationale. We introduce AgentAuditor, which moves beyond frequency-based aggregation by organizing agent traces into a Reasoning Tree that explicitly represents agreements and divergences in their reasoning. AgentAuditor resolves conflicts by comparing branch-level evidence at critical divergence points, turning global adjudication into efficient, localized verification. We further propose Anti-Consensus Preference Optimization (ACPO), which trains the adjudicator with evidence-verified preference supervision to reduce conformity to misleading majority cues. Across four MAS frameworks and multiple reasoning benchmarks, AgentAuditor consistently improves aggregation performance over majority voting, with gains of up to 5% absolute accuracy while remaining token-efficient.
Wei Yang, Shixuan Li, Heng Ping +3