Roadmap

Recent momentum

-100%

0 papers in the last 28 days · 0.0% of indexed attention

Twelve weeks of publication activity for this topic as it is defined today.

35 papers

Latest in Roadmap

Aug 11, 2026quant-ph

A Quantum Roadmap for Softmax Attention: Exact Born-Rule Analogs for Softmax Attention on the Probability Simplex

The attention mechanism forms the foundation of many modern AI models such as the Transformer. In one subclass of problems where attention is used, inputs and outputs are bound to the probability simplex so that all outputs sum to one. In this setting, softmax attention admits an exact, component-by-component quantum realization. Attention scores are Hadamard-test statistics on block-encoded projections of amplitude-encoded inputs. The exponential softmax is the interior of a cosine-squared family generated by Born-rule measurement under an exact bijection, whose boundary expresses sparse attention with exact zeros at finite parameter values. The softmax temperature is a repetition count where post-selected measurement rounds realize discretized inverse temperature exactly. Value aggregation is a deterministic column-loading channel that dilates the column-stochastic value matrix. The gated residual is the preparation angle of a single ancilla, with the additive identity at a mixing angle of π/2. Every learnable parameter is a rotation-gate angle. The composed layer is exact in the infinite-shot limit with one measure-and-reload step per attention score; a fully-coherent variant is ε-approximate via quantum singular value transformation in the infinite depth limit. The algebraic core is machine-checked in Lean 4.
Eric A. F. Reinhardt, Adam J. Hauser
Aug 11, 2026cs.AI

Tree-of-Ideas: Automated Research Ideation via Cross-Trajectory Reasoning over Scholarly Evolution

Effective research ideation requires moving beyond a static understanding of prior work to trace how research problems and solutions evolve across the literature. Existing methods either treat papers as unstructured context or model scholarly evolution as isolated citation chains, overlooking interactions among research trajectories. We propose Tree-of-Ideas (ToI), a two-stage framework. EvoTrace reconstructs branching scholarly trajectories from citations, tracking evolving methods, resolved problems, and gaps. EvoAgent then reasons across trajectories to identify convergent problems and complementary solutions, generating grounded research ideas. Across six AI research topics, ToI achieves the highest score among automatic methods (6.27 vs. 5.36 for the strongest baseline on a 10-point scale), with strong Novelty (6.36) and Groundedness (7.00). Also, its score approaches that of human-paper references (6.29), demonstrating the value of cross-path evolutionary reasoning.
Xun Li, Yiying Yang, Pengtao Li +8
Aug 6, 2026cs.CL

Scaling Inherently Interpretable Language Models

Interpretability is often treated as a tax on capability: language models are trained as opaque systems, then explained after the fact, with methods whose reliability is difficult to establish. In this work, we challenge this premise. Rather than reverse-engineering a model, we make interpretability a constraint of the training pipeline, optimized alongside the language modeling objective. Across three orders of magnitude of compute, on both autoregressive and diffusion language models, interpretability scales with capability rather than against it. Surprisingly, model representations become more disentangled and aligned with human-understandable concepts with scale. We instantiate the training-time recipe with Steerling-8B, a diffusion language model with a causal attention mask. For any group of generated tokens, Steerling-8B attributes the output to relevant input tokens, human-understandable concepts, and training data. This enables closed-loop intervention: diagnose an output through its concept or feature attribution, retrieve similar training data, and correct the behavior through concept steering without retraining. Steerling-8B remains competitive with open peer models trained on substantially 2-16x more compute, suggesting a different scaling paradigm: interpretability can be designed into training, and it improves with scale.
Guide Labs Team, Andreas Madsen, Aya Abdelsalam Ismail +7
Aug 1, 2026cs.RO

StochSIPP: Safe Interval Path Planning in Stochastic Dynamic Environments

Safe navigation under uncertain time-dependent blockage requires anticipating observations before committing to motion. We present StochSIPP, an exact contingent planner for temporal roadmaps with uncertain edge and vertex statuses revealed locally during execution. StochSIPP uses SIPP to generate certified-safe macro-actions that terminate at the next observation or the goal, and bounded AND/OR search over a cached action--observation graph to select actions for every reachable observation outcome. Optimistic and robust SIPP relaxations provide admissible lower and upper bounds for bounded AND/OR search. When every interval declared deterministically safe is truly safe, sensing is exact, and execution follows the planned timing, the resulting policy is provably collision-free. With correct independent probabilities and complete action and outcome generation, it minimizes expected arrival time within the roadmap and horizon. Experiments on controlled roadmap instances show that StochSIPP preserves the observed success of safe fixed-path baselines while reducing arrival time, and solves gated scenarios in which conservative fixed-path planners return no plan. A scalability study further reveals rapid growth as the number of simultaneously observed uncertain statuses increases.
Ajith Kemisetti, Shahaf S. Shperberg, Yoonchang Sung
Aug 1, 2026cs.SE

Artificial Intelligence and Modeling & Simulation: An Overview

Artificial intelligence (AI) and Modeling & Simulation (M&S) are increasingly intertwined, reflecting converging research needs across both communities, rapid technological advances such as the rise of generative AI, and the growing availability of data and computational resources. This report provides a structured overview of the intersections of AI and M&S. The relationship goes both ways: AI can support, augment, or even replace components of simulation studies, while simulations can serve as data generators, training environments, and evaluation platforms for AI. We organize this landscape along the stages of M&S from model specification and input modeling to execution, experimentation, verification and validation, and output analysis. Selected studies at each stage illustrates how techniques such as Large Language Models have reshaped simulation practices, while highlighting limitations and open challenges. This report also provides a conceptual roadmap that helps readers navigate a rapidly changing ecosystem.
Niclas Feldkamp, Philippe J. Giabbanelli, Istvan David
Jul 24, 2026cs.AI

A Roadmap to Impactful Pluralistic Alignment Research

Pluralistic value alignment---the goal of building AI systems that represent and serve diverse human values and perspectives---has emerged as an active research agenda. Yet, there's no public evidence that it has shaped the training or evaluation of the AI systems people actually use. We audit the public behavior documents and evaluations of frontier labs, finding none name pluralism as a goal, and as of this writing, no clear indication that production models are explicitly trained or tested for it. This goes against the primary motivations and goals of pluralistic alignment, which revolve around making a positive difference in the models serving billions of users worldwide. We argue that the pluralistic alignment research community should focus on supporting impact and adoption in deployed, widely-used AI systems. We provide evidence for the adoption problem, present three main reasons behind it, and discuss three corresponding areas for future research to address it: 1. The primary justifications for pluralistic alignment so far have been normative or speculative. We need studies showing empirically how pluralistic AI benefits users or society. 2. The pluralistic alignment research community has not settled when pluralistic behavior is warranted or what pluralism ideally looks like in practice. We need to establish a concrete goal for developers to operationalize. 3. Current methods trade off against other desiderata of LLMs in ways that are largely unmeasured, and existing metrics are not "hill-climbable." We need trade-off-aware evaluations and methods that meet the requirements of production systems. This paper serves as a collective call to action for the pluralistic alignment researchers: progress requires moving beyond normative justification toward empirical foundations, a concrete account of ideal pluralistic behavior, and practical methods and evaluations built for adoption.
Elinor Poole-Dayan, Jillian Fisher, Atoosa Kasirzadeh +3
Jul 13, 2026cs.DC

Toward Trustworthy Autonomous Science: A Two-Year Community Roadmap

One year ago, the AISLE roadmap argued that autonomous laboratories operated as isolated islands and proposed a grassroots network organized around five critical dimensions. The field has since moved faster than anticipated. Multi-agent systems have produced experimentally validated hypotheses, self-driving laboratories have grown more interoperable and orchestrated, reasoning-trained and domain foundation models have raised the capability ceiling, and the Genesis Mission has placed autonomous experimentation at the center of U.S. federal science strategy, with industry emerging as a primary actor. Progress has met a sobering counter-current, including a corrected flagship discovery result, benchmarks showing that agents which rival experts on closed-ended questions still complete only a fraction of open-ended research, and fabricated citations surfacing at leading venues. We read this as the defining tension of the field. Producing a candidate discovery is no longer the hard part, but verifying it is, and this asymmetry now limits autonomous science more than raw model capability. We update the roadmap around seven dimensions, revisiting the original five and elevating two former cross-cutting concerns, trust, verification, and reproducibility, and safety, security, and governance, to first-class status. We assess the original milestones (M1 through M14) as achieved, partially achieved, reframed, or open, add four new milestones (M15 through M18), and scope the path forward to a two-year horizon. The first year concentrates on interfaces, protocol adoption, and the scaffolding of verification, and the second targets federation, zero-trust coordination, and governance. Throughout, we position the grassroots network as the interoperability fabric that lets national programs, international initiatives, and commercial platforms connect rather than re-silo.
Rafael Ferreira da Silva, Milad Abolhasani, Peter Beaucage +25
Jul 13, 2026cs.RO

From World Action Models to Embodied Brains: A Roadmap for Open-World Physical Intelligence

Artificial general intelligence ultimately requires agents that can reason and act in the physical world. Action models, vision-language-action policies, and world models have advanced this goal, while World Action Models (WAMs) are particularly promising because they connect candidate interventions with predicted consequences. However, progress remains fragmented: models use incompatible action spaces and prediction targets, datasets and tasks follow different conventions, and runtime systems expose limited interfaces for reuse and evaluation. We review the evolution toward WAMs and organize these limitations into three coupled gaps: model roles and representations, objectives and standardization, and system composition. Building on this analysis, we propose a co-evolution roadmap for physical intelligence centered on the \emph{embodied brain}, a long-term model target for integrating multimodal context, comparing candidate interventions, and issuing state-transition or capability requests rather than direct actuator commands. WAMs provide promising prototypes for its predictive functions, while a physical harness grounds model outputs through tools, controllers, verification, and trace logging. Shared contracts align heterogeneous models, data, tasks, and embodiments, and closed-loop post-training converts verified interaction into reusable experience. Together, these components define a modular physical-intelligence stack for adaptive and self-improving embodied agents.
Yuanzhi Liang, Xufeng Zhan, Haibin Huang +2
Jul 11, 2026cs.AI

IdeaTrail: Full-Process Agent Trajectories for Scientific Ideation

Scientific ideation unfolds over multiple stages, including literature search, paper reading, tool use, claim checking, cross-paper synthesis, brainstorming, rejection of weak directions, and iterative writing. Yet most existing resources capture isolated components or final artifacts rather than the process connecting them. We introduce IdeaTrail, a dataset of 1,170 multi-turn trajectories for scientific ideation and proposal generation. Each trajectory follows a research process from evidence gathering to either idea selection or proposal construction, jointly recording tool use, acquired evidence, intermediate artifacts, and reasoning. IdeaTrail is synthesized from human-selected research papers and proposal artifacts through a Generator--Advisor loop. The Generator produces the visible sequence of actions, observations, and artifact edits, while the Advisor uses the full generation context to check grounding, causal order, naturalness, and leakage from hidden targets. This reverse-to-forward design keeps trajectories aligned with real scientific artifacts while retaining the uncertainty, evidence use, and staged convergence characteristic of research practice. IdeaTrail provides both reusable process supervision and a general recipe for constructing scientific-research-agent data.
Hengquan Guo
Jul 8, 2026cs.CY

Towards Agentic AI Governance: A Preliminary Assessment

Artificial intelligence is rapidly evolving from generative systems to agentic AI capable of autonomously planning and executing tasks. Widely characterized as the Year of Agentic AI, 2025 marked accelerated development and deployment, introducing new ethical and governance challenges. This paper presents a systematic review of the emerging literature on agentic AI governance. Our analysis identifies features that distinguish agentic AI from traditional systems and why it warrants targeted governance attention. We synthesize prevailing governance priorities, proposed mechanisms, and stakeholder roles shaping this evolving domain. As an initial scholarly effort, this review lays the preliminary groundwork for developing a structured roadmap to guide responsible and adaptive agentic AI governance.
Mubarak Raji, Masooda Bashir
Jul 7, 2026cs.AI

A Definition and Roadmap for World Models

World models -- internal simulators that learn the structure and dynamics of an environment -- have become one of the most actively debated concepts in AI. From model-based reinforcement learning and video generation to embodied robotics and ultimately, physical AI, researchers across AI subfields are building systems that they call "world models", yet there is no consensus on what a world model fundamentally is, what it should predict, or how it should be built. This perspective article provides a scientific definition of world models, discussions of their key technical aspects, and a staged roadmap for developing effective world models.
Xinyuan Chen, Haoyu Guo, Shi Guo +10
Jul 5, 2026cs.IR

Autonomous Information Seeking: A Roadmap for Agentic Recommender Systems

The rapid integration of large language model-based agents into recommender systems has driven a shift from static, ranking-based pipelines toward autonomous and interactive systems that can reason, plan, and act. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of this emerging landscape by introducing a unified taxonomy grounded in the level of autonomy and three core paradigms of agentic recommender systems: agent-assisted recommendation, agent-as-recommender, and agent-as-user-simulator. The autonomy framework organizes existing methods along increasing capabilities in proactivity, context awareness, interaction flexibility, and adaptivity. Building on this framework, the survey analyzes how each paradigm adopts different agentic architectures and how agents enhance key components such as profiles, memory, tool use, workflows, and optimization mechanisms. We further examine evaluation methodologies for agentic recommendation, covering automated metrics, LLM-based judging, and simulation-based assessment, and discuss their limitations in capturing reasoning quality, user experience, and system behavior. Beyond existing evaluation protocols, we further discuss unresolved issues in evaluating agentic recommender systems, including trajectory-level assessment, agent contribution analysis, and calibration of user simulation. Lastly, the survey outlines open challenges in lifelong user modeling, contextual abstraction, multimodal alignment, controllability, trustworthiness, privacy, scalability, and efficiency. Together, these analyses establish a unified foundation for understanding the current progress of agentic recommender systems and highlight promising opportunities for developing more autonomous, reliable, and human-aligned recommendation agents.
Xinyu Lin, Yashar Deldjoo, Sunhao Dai +7
Jul 2, 2026cs.RO

GigaWorld-1: A Roadmap to Build World Models for Robot Policy Evaluation

Evaluating embodied robot foundation models remains a critical bottleneck; unlike large language models efficiently assessed via digital benchmarks, robotic policies require slow, costly real-world rollouts limited by hardware and human supervision, which has driven interest in world models as surrogate policy evaluators, yet the key properties that make a world model reliable for policy assessment remain poorly understood. This work presents a systematic study of world models for robotic policy evaluation and introduces WMBench, a benchmark constructed from real-robot teleoperation data and matched policy rollouts covering diverse manipulation tasks to enable controlled comparisons across model families, action encodings, rollout horizons, and evaluation metrics. Using WMBench, we analyze 7 video world models, 4 action representation schemes, and over 324,000 simulated policy rollouts paired with real robot executions, further enriching our analysis with large-scale community submissions from the CVPR 2026 GigaBrain Challenge, curated synthetic trajectories, and a training videos spanning more than 12,000 hours. Our experiments deliver three core insights: evaluator quality is dominated by long-horizon, action-faithful rollout consistency rather than short-term visual realism; pretraining gains stem not only from data scale but from balancing general world knowledge with robot-specific controllability; and architectural choices including action encoding, memory design, and evaluator-focused post-training strongly determine alignment with real-world robot behavior. Drawing on these results, we derive a practical design roadmap and realize it in \textit{GigaWorld-1}, a world model specially optimized for policy evaluation, and we fully release our code, models, datasets, and toolkits to advance scalable evaluation research for embodied foundation models.
GigaWorld Team, Angyuan Ma, Boyuan Wang +24
Jul 1, 2026cs.AI

AI Native Games: A Survey and Roadmap

Generative AI now enables games to produce dialogue, quests, characters, images, and worlds at runtime. Yet generation alone does not make a game AI-native, nor does it guarantee playability. This paper defines AI-native games by whether runtime generative AI is constitutive of the core loop: if the AI component were removed or trivially replaced, the central form of play would collapse or become fundamentally different. This counterfactual criterion separates AI-native games from AI-augmented games and adjacent boundary artifacts. Using this definition, we screen candidate artifacts and analyze 53 publicly available AI-native games and prototypes. We introduce a dual-axis G/N taxonomy: the G-axis captures player-facing game type, while the N-axis captures the dominant AI mechanic that makes generative AI indispensable to play. The corpus is concentrated around language-forward designs, especially narrative adventure, epistemic interaction, and generative narrative, while categories such as semantic adjudication, multi-agent simulation, generative construction, and relationship/companion play remain less represented. We argue that the central design problem is organizing semantic openness into stable gameplay. AI-native design depends on mechanical invariants: goals, rules, state, feedback, pacing, and player agency that make open-ended AI outputs interpretable and consequential. We conclude with a roadmap for controllable generation, AI-as-mechanic design, multimodal and multi-agent systems, inference economics, evaluation, safety, and regulation.
Zhiyue Xu, Fandi Meng, Kaijie Xu +3
Jun 20, 2026cs.RO

OpenHLM: An Empirical Recipe for Whole-Body Humanoid Loco-Manipulation

Whole-body humanoid loco-manipulation requires coordinating the robot's entire kinematic chain. However, most existing systems typically decouple the upper and lower bodies into separate controllers, limiting such coordination and yielding behaviors similar to those of a wheeled dual-arm platform. In this paper, we ask what it takes to build a whole-body native vision-language-action (VLA) model that maps language and pixels directly to all of the humanoid's degrees of freedom. We conduct a systematic empirical study organized as a roadmap of one-variable-at-a-time experiments across three phases: whole-body teleoperation, VLA model design, and heterogeneous co-training. Our study yields several intriguing findings: a joint-based whole-body teleoperation interface outperforms alternatives that only partially expose the humanoid's degrees of freedom; a VLA pretrained on static and wheeled dual-arm platforms transfers surprisingly well to a humanoid's full action space; and co-training with HuMI, the humanoid analog of UMI, extends the policy to new objects and instructions without additional whole-body teleoperation on those targets. Following this roadmap yields OpenHLM, an open-source recipe for whole-body humanoid loco-manipulation. In a challenging long-horizon task that spans a wide vertical range of the humanoid, OpenHLM outperforms two state-of-the-art humanoid VLA baselines (GR00T N1.6 and Ψ0Ψ_0) using less than half the total demonstration time. Our code, training data, and model checkpoints are available at [https://openhlm-project.github.io/].
Yingdong Hu, Haodong Zhu, Boyuan Zheng +6
Jun 15, 2026cs.CL

Follow the Latent Roadmap: Navigating Revocable Decoding for Diffusion LLMs with Anchor Tokens

Diffusion Large Language Models (dLLMs) offer a promising avenue for parallel generation but face a trade-off between decoding speed and quality. While revocable decoding strategies attempt to mitigate errors by verifying and remasking tokens, they typically operate within a mixed-quality context. This leads to two critical failures: \textit{Error Propagation}, where new tokens absorb toxic information from erroneous context, and \textit{Local Error Reinforcement}, where errors mutually reinforce each other to evade detection. To alleviate these challenges, we propose ASRD (Anchor Supervised Revocable Decoding), a training-free framework that operates within the embedding space. ASRD explicitly decouples the decoding context into trusted \textit{Anchor Tokens}, which are identified via temporal consistency, and uncertain candidates. Leveraging a dynamic Anchor Tokens Cache, we introduce two complementary mechanisms: (1) Anchor-Guided Generation, which injects entropy-weighted anchor signals into masked positions to implicitly rectify attention toward the reliable global skeleton; and (2) Anchor-Perturbed Verification, which applies orthogonal perturbations to uncertain candidate tokens, destabilizing and remasking errors driven by fragile local consensus. Extensive experiments on math and coding benchmarks demonstrate that ASRD outperforms recent remasking baselines, achieving accuracy improvements of up to 6.4% while accelerating inference throughput by up to 7.2×\times.
Yizhen Yao, Qinglin Zhu, Runcong Zhao +4
Jun 13, 2026cs.HC

Sensory Restoration via Brain-Computer Interfaces: A Unified 2 x 2 Framework and Convergence Roadmap

Millions of individuals worldwide suffer from sensory and communication deficits caused by neurodegenerative diseases, stroke, or trauma. Brain-computer interfaces (BCIs) offer a promising avenue for sensory and motor restoration. However, the scientific literature remains highly fragmented between invasive neuroprosthetics and non-invasive electrophysiological decoders, with a lack of consistent terminology and comparison metrics. This chapter proposes a unified 2 x 2 framework categorizing BCIs along two axes: degree of invasiveness (invasive vs. non-invasive) and signal direction (afferent sensory-IN vs. efferent sensory-OUT). We define and distinguish the paradigms of restoration, substitution, and augmentation. Furthermore, we outline a structural roadmap for the convergence of these modalities over near-, medium-, and long-term horizons, focusing on physical limits and the integrative role of machine learning foundation models.
Xuan-The Tran
May 26, 2026cs.RO

GE-Sim 2.0: A Roadmap Towards Comprehensive Closed-loop Video World Simulators for Robotic Manipulation

We introduce GE-Sim 2.0 (Genie Envisioner World Simulator 2.0), a closed-loop video world simulator for robotic manipulation. Building on the action-conditioned video generation framework of Genie Envisioner, GE-Sim 2.0 is re-trained on thousands of hours of real-world robot data spanning teleoperation, contact-rich interaction, and on-robot policy deployment, substantially improving action-following fidelity and trajectory coverage. On top of this foundation, three new modules close the loop from video simulation to policy learning: a state expert that decodes proprioceptive state from video latents to support next-chunk prediction by downstream VLA policies; a world judge that scores generated rollouts against task instructions, yielding machine-verifiable success signals and rewards in place of manual inspection; and an acceleration framework that delivers a 25-frame rollout in 2.3 seconds on a single H100, with up to 4* frame skipping at inference for long-horizon evaluation. GE-Sim 2.0 tops the public WorldArena leaderboard at only 2B parameters, outperforming both dedicated robotic world models and closed-source general video generators, and policies trained against its rollouts and rewards translate into measurable real-world gains, establishing GE-Sim 2.0 as a practical platform for scalable evaluation and closed-loop learning of manipulation policies.
Boxiang Qiu, Liliang Chen, Yue Liao +12
May 26, 2026cs.AI

Darwin Mobile Agent: A Roadmap for Self-Evolution

The goal of artificial intelligence is to create agents capable of general, adaptive behaviour in open-ended environments. Guided by the "Bitter Lesson", we argue that the most effective path toward this goal is to systematically remove human priors and allow intelligence to naturally emerge through interaction with a "Big World" that is orders of magnitude more complex than the agent itself. We propose the mobile Graphical User Interface (GUI) as a practical proxy for such a world and introduce Darwin Mobile Agent, an open-source infrastructure designed as a foundation for autonomous reinforcement learning in this domain. This framework addresses the data-collection bottleneck in real-world mobile interactions by using an asynchronous agent-environment loop across parallel cloud-phone instances. We further propose a conceptual roadmap to systematically remove human priors from three fundamental pillars of a self-evolving agent: task curricula, outcome verification, and memory management. We validate that the Darwin infrastructure provides the stability and scalability required for the first stage of this roadmap: policy optimisation in the GUI domain. This work establishes the practical and theoretical foundation necessary to move toward truly autonomous, self-evolving GUI agents.
Daniel Beechey, Derek Yuen, Jianheng Liu +5
May 25, 2026cs.CV

Toward Native Multimodal Modeling: A Roadmap

Multimodal modeling represents a vital step from modality-agnostic reasoning toward world modeling. While early approaches predominantly rely on late-fusion that assembles encoders and frozen language backbones with output heads, recent efforts have shifted the paradigm toward native multimodal modeling (NMM) with the intrinsic integration of modalities for superior multimodal performance. Despite its potential, the design space of native architectures remains insufficiently defined. In this paper, we present the community with a formalized roadmap for this transition. Specifically, we formally define the architectural nativity, distinguishing mid-fusion and early-fusion from non-native paradigms. We further organize the existing native models through the lens of input-output duality into three categories: (i) Multi-to-Text for cross-modal comprehension with text-only output; (ii) Multi-to-Target for scenario-oriented generation, e.g., image, audio and video generation, and (iii) Multi-to-Multi for unified modeling with symmetric input-output. We deliver a comprehensive and industrial-grade investigation into the transition toward the definitive NMM framework, where understanding and generation seamlessly coexist within a unified transformer paradigm. We systematically unpack the end-to-end pipeline from industrial perspectives from architectural coordination, massive data curation, to full-stack training recipes, inference & deployment, and the comprehensive evaluation for truly native modeling.
Siyu An, Junru Lu, Junnan Dong +18
May 18, 2026cs.AI

AI for Auto-Research: Roadmap & User Guide

AI-assisted research is crossing a threshold: fully automated systems can now generate research papers for as little as $15, while long-horizon agents can execute experiments, draft manuscripts, and simulate critique with minimal human input. Yet this productivity frontier exposes a deeper integrity problem: under scientific pressure, even frontier LLMs still fabricate results, miss hidden errors, and fail to judge novelty reliably. Studying developments through April 2026, we present an end-to-end analysis of AI across the complete research lifecycle, organized into four epistemological phases: Creation (idea generation, literature review, coding & experiments, tables & figures), Writing (paper writing), Validation (peer review, rebuttal & revision), and Dissemination (posters, slides, videos, social media, project pages, and interactive agents). We identify a sharp, stage-dependent boundary between reliable assistance and unreliable autonomy: AI excels at structured, retrieval-grounded, and tool-mediated tasks, but remains fragile for genuinely novel ideas, research-level experiments, and scientific judgment. Generated ideas often degrade after implementation, research code lags far behind pattern-matching benchmarks, and end-to-end autonomous systems have not yet consistently reached major-venue acceptance standards. We further show that greater automation can obscure rather than eliminate failure modes, making human-governed collaboration the most credible deployment paradigm. Finally, we provide a structured taxonomy, benchmark suite, and tool inventory, cross-stage design principles, and a practitioner-oriented playbook, with resources maintained at our project page.
Lingdong Kong, Xian Sun, Wei Chow +17
May 18, 2026cs.AI

Evidence-Grounded Frontier Mapping and Agentic Hypothesis Generation in Nanomedicine

Nanomedicine research spans delivery chemistry, immunology, imaging, biomaterials, and disease-specific translational science, yet its conceptual design space remains fragmented across a large and heterogeneous literature. To date, artificial intelligence in nanomedicine has focused primarily on property prediction and formulation optimization, with much less attention to evidence-grounded discovery support at the level of research direction selection. We introduce pArticleMap, a literature-mapping and research-hypothesis-generation system that combines article embeddings, similarity-graph analysis, sparse frontier extraction, structured evidence-pack retrieval, and an audited large-language-model (LLM) workflow for grounded ideation. Rather than forecasting future concept co-occurrence, pArticleMap targets low-density article-level bridge regions and cluster interfaces, then generates and scores citation-grounded hypotheses with large language models in an agentic setup. We evaluate the system with a retrospective realization benchmark (generate later literature under a historical cutoff) and a blinded human reader assessment layer across cue-conditioned nanomedicine tasks. Across 4 selected retrospective bundles, pArticleMap generated ideas and selected task-retained hypotheses (winner ideas) under the benchmark protocol. For task-level retained hypotheses, a pooled gold recovery rate of 10.8% was obtained, with a recall@10 of 15.9% and a future-neighborhood rate of 61.0%, indicating that the system often reached the correct forward-looking neighborhood (paper ideas) even without exact paper-level recovery. Human-agent agreement is modest overall, indicating that internal scoring is useful as a support signal but does not replace expert judgment. These results position pArticleMap as a conservative, evidence-grounded research assistant for nanomedicine.
Christiaan G. A. Viviers, Koen de Bruin, Mirre M. Trines +6
May 15, 2026cs.SE

RoadmapBench: Evaluating Long-Horizon Agentic Software Development Across Version Upgrades

Coding agents are increasingly deployed in real software development, where a single version iteration requires months of coordinated work across many files. However, most existing benchmarks focus predominantly on single-issue bug fixes from Python repositories, with coarse pass/fail evaluation outcomes, and thus fail to capture long-horizon, multi-target development at real engineering scale. To address this gap, we present RoadmapBench, a benchmark of 115 long-horizon coding tasks grounded in real open-source version upgrades across 17 repositories and 5 programming languages. Each task places the agent on a source-version code snapshot and provides a multi-target roadmap instruction requiring it to implement the functionality introduced in the target version, with a median modification of 3,700 lines across 51 files. We conduct a systematic evaluation on thirteen frontier models and find that even the strongest, Claude-Opus-4.7, resolves only 39.1% of tasks, while the weakest achieves merely 5.2%, in stark contrast to existing bug-fix benchmarks, suggesting that long-horizon software development remains a largely unsolved problem.
Xinbo Xu, Ruihan Yang, Haiyang Shen +13
May 15, 2026cs.NI

Operator-Controlled 6G: From Connectivity Infrastructure to Guaranteed Digital Services

Sixth-generation mobile networks (6G) are approaching a structural inflection point. Five generations of vendor-led architectures have left operators procuring and operating networks they do not own, on platforms they cannot modify, with AI layers they cannot audit. This paper argues that 6G must reverse this trajectory by reordering operator priorities: Control First, Customer First, Business First, Operations First, and Technology Last. Technology should serve operator control, customer outcomes, monetizable guarantees, and software-driven operations, not dictate them. Two contributions operationalize this thesis. The "6G Control Compact" defines a three-layer ownership taxonomy--own, federate, and consume--that allocates architectural sovereignty according to strategic value. The "Guarantee Economy" defines a five-tier, outcome-priced commercial model that converts operator control into enforceable service-level objectives. The framework is grounded in operational evidence from Rakuten Mobile, the world's first national-scale, fully cloud-native, fully Open RAN deployment, which reached full-year EBITDA profitability in FY2025. It is aligned with the ITU-R IMT-2030 framework, 3GPP 6G use cases and service requirements, NGMN recommendations, ETSI standards, O-RAN Alliance and AI-RAN Alliance specifications, IOWN Global Forum sustainability metrics, Linux Foundation initiatives, and leading industry and academic programs. A three-phase roadmap covering 2025-2027, 2027-2029, and 2029-2032 and beyond, together with seven stakeholder-specific calls to action, translates the architecture into industry commitments. The central claim is that Rakuten Mobile's deployment demonstrates the feasibility of operator-controlled 6G. Decisions made during 2026-2028 will determine whether 6G becomes a platform for guaranteed digital services or another vendor-dependent infrastructure cycle.
David Soldani
May 14, 2026cs.CL

The Scientific Contribution Graph: Automated Literature-based Technological Roadmapping at Scale

Scientific contributions rarely develop in isolation, but instead build upon prior discoveries. We formulate the task of automated technological roadmapping as extracting scientific contributions from scholarly articles and linking them to their prerequisites. We present the Scientific Contribution Graph, a large-scale resource containing 6 million detailed scientific contributions extracted from 655k open-access papers spanning computer science, medicine, biology, physics, chemistry, and other sciences, and connected by 36 million prerequisite edges. We further introduce scientific prerequisite prediction, a scientific discovery task in which models predict which existing technologies can enable future discoveries, and show that contemporary models are rapidly improving on this task, reaching 0.48 MAP when evaluated using temporally-filtered backtesting. We anticipate technological roadmapping resources such as this will support scientific impact assessment and automated scientific discovery.
Peter A. Jansen
May 14, 2026cs.CL

SciPaths: Forecasting Pathways to Scientific Discovery

Scientific progress depends on sequences of enabling contributions, yet existing AI4Science benchmarks largely focus on citation prediction, literature retrieval, or idea generation rather than the dependencies that make progress possible. In this paper, we introduce discovery pathway forecasting: given a target scientific contribution and the prior literature available at a specified time, the task is to (1) identify the enabling contributions required to realize it and (2) ground each in prior work when such prior work exists. We present SciPaths, a benchmark of 262 expert-annotated gold pathways and 2,444 silver pathways constructed from machine learning and natural language processing papers, where each pathway records enabling contributions, roles, rationales, and prior-work groundings or unmapped decisions. Evaluating frontier and open-weight language models, we find that the best model reaches only 0.189 F1 under strict semantic matching, with core methodological dependencies hardest to recover. Prior-work grounding improves substantially when gold enabling contributions are provided, showing that decomposition quality is a major bottleneck for end-to-end pathway recovery. SciPaths therefore shifts evaluation toward a missing capability in scientific forecasting: reasoning backward from a target contribution to the enabling scientific building blocks and prior-work dependencies that make it feasible.
Eric Chamoun, Yizhou Chi, Yulong Chen +4
May 6, 2026cs.SE

Accountable Agents in Software Engineering: An Analysis of Terms of Service and a Research Roadmap

AI coding assistants and autonomous agents are becoming integral to software development workflows, reshaping how code is produced, reviewed, and maintained. While recent research has focused mainly on the capabilities and impacts of productivity of these systems, much less attention has been paid to accountability: who is responsible when agents generate, modify, or recommend code? In practice, accountability is defined through the Terms of Service (ToS) and related policy documents that govern the use of AI-powered development tools. In this vision paper, we present a comparative analysis of the Terms of Service for widely used AI coding assistants and agent-enabled development tools. We examine how these documents allocate ownership, responsibility, liability, and disclosure obligations between tool providers and software developers, and we identify common patterns and divergences between providers. Our analysis reveals a consistent tendency to shift responsibility for correctness, safety, and legal compliance onto users, as well as substantial variation in how providers address issues such as indemnification, data reuse, and acceptable use. Based on these findings, we argue that existing policy frameworks are poorly aligned with increasingly agent-mediated and autonomous software development workflows. We outline a research roadmap for accountable agents in software engineering, identifying challenges and opportunities for modeling responsibility, designing governance artifacts, developing tooling that supports accountability, and conducting empirical studies of developers' perceptions and practices.
Christoph Treude
May 4, 2026cs.SE

Causal Software Engineering: A Vision and Roadmap

Software engineering increasingly involves making high-stakes decisions under uncertainty, using signals from code, field data, and socio-technical processes. Recent AI-driven support (e.g., anomaly detection, predictive analytics, AIOps, as well as LLM-based agents) has amplified engineers' ability to detect patterns and synthesize content and recommendations, but many critical questions are interventional or counterfactual: What is the expected impact of changing a load-balancing strategy? Would an outage have been avoided under a different release plan? Correlational models answer "what tends to co-occur"; they struggle to answer "what would happen if we act." We propose Causal Software Engineering (CSE) as a future paradigm in which causal models and causal reasoning systematically inform activities across the software lifecycle, augmenting existing practices with explicit assumptions, uncertainty-aware effect estimates, and counterfactual diagnosis. We outline (i) a causal-first workflow view spanning development and operations, (ii) a staged roadmap for tools and organizational adoption, and (iii) an evaluation and benchmark agenda for measuring progress.
Roberto Pietrantuono, Luca Giamattei, Stefano Russo +2
Apr 30, 2026cs.CL

RoadMapper: A Multi-Agent System for Roadmap Generation of Solving Complex Research Problems

People commonly leverage structured content to accelerate knowledge acquisition and research problem solving. Among these, roadmaps guide researchers through hierarchical subtasks to solve complex research problems step by step. Despite progress in structured content generation, the roadmap generation task has remained unexplored. To bridge this gap, we introduce RoadMap, a novel benchmark designed to evaluate the ability of large language models (LLMs) to construct high-quality roadmaps for solving complex research problems. Based on this, we identify three limitations of LLMs: (1) lack of professional knowledge, (2) unreasonable task decomposition, and (3) disordered logical relationships. To address these challenges, we propose RoadMapper, an LLM-based multi-agent system that decomposes the research roadmap generation task into three key stages (i.e., initial generation, knowledge augmentation, and iterative "critique-revise-evaluate"). Extensive experiments demonstrate that RoadMapper can improve LLMs' ability for roadmap generation, while enhancing average performance by more than 8% and saving 84% of the time required by human experts, highlighting its effectiveness and application potential.
Jiacheng Liu, Zichen Tang, Zhongjun Yang +8
Apr 22, 2026astro-ph.IM

Planetary Exploration 3.0: A Roadmap for Software-Defined, Radically Adaptive Space Systems

The surface and subsurface of worlds beyond Mars remain largely unexplored. Yet these worlds hold keys to fundamental questions in planetary science - from potentially habitable subsurface oceans on icy moons to ancient records preserved in Kuiper Belt objects. NASA's success in Mars exploration was achieved through incrementalism: 22 progressively sophisticated missions over decades. This paradigm, which we call Planetary Exploration 2.0 (PE 2.0), is untenable for the outer Solar System, where cruise times of a decade or more make iterative missions infeasible. We propose Planetary Exploration 3.0 (PE 3.0): a paradigm in which unvisited worlds are explored by a single or a few missions with radically adaptive space systems. A PE 3.0 mission conducts both initial exploratory science and follow-on hypothesis-driven science based on its own in situ data returns, evolving spacecraft capabilities to work resiliently in previously unseen environments. The key enabler of PE 3.0 is software-defined space systems (SDSSs) - systems that can adapt their functions at all levels through software updates. This paper presents findings from a Keck Institute for Space Studies (KISS) workshop on PE 3.0, covering: (1) PE 3.0 systems engineering including science definition, architecture, design methods, and verification & validation; (2) software-defined space system technologies including reconfigurable hardware, multi-functionality, and modularity; (3) onboard intelligence including autonomous science, navigation, controls, and embodied AI; and (4) three PE 3.0 mission concepts: a Neptune/Triton smart flyby, an ocean world explorer, and an Oort cloud reconnaissance mission.
Masahiro Ono, Daniel Selva, Morgan L. Cable +23
Apr 21, 2026cs.AI

Overcoming the Impedance Mismatch: A Theoretical Roadmap for Fusing Foundation Models and Knowledge Graphs

Modern artificial intelligence remains fundamentally divided between the continuous, probabilistic spaces of Foundation Models and the discrete, deterministic structures of Knowledge Graphs. While Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) attempts to connect them by serializing graph data into text, we argue this lexical bridging is merely a superficial patch. In this paper, we formalize the underlying structural and geometric friction as the \textit{Impedance Mismatch}. By categorizing current neuro-symbolic integration strategies into a three-tiered hierarchy, we demonstrate that neither surface-level prompt injection nor continuous representation alignment can preserve the strict logical motifs required for reliable multi-hop reasoning. We define the specific mathematical limits, such as the Lexical Bottleneck and Topological Collapse, that show current architectures will eventually hallucinate or conflate semantic nodes. To achieve true semantic fusion, we propose a rigorous theoretical roadmap. We advocate for natively internalizing discrete symbolic structures through Structured Residual Streams, utilizing Vector Symbolic Architectures for latent sub-graph injection, and performing model updates via Orthogonal Subspace Editing. This actionable framework paves the way for models that seamlessly fuse the precision of symbolic logic with the expressivity of parametric memory.
Sahil Rajesh Dhayalkar
Apr 19, 2026q-bio.NC

NeuroAI and Beyond: Bridging Between Advances in Neuroscience and ArtificialIntelligence

Neuroscience and Artificial Intelligence (AI) have made impressive progress in recent years but remain only loosely interconnected. Based on a workshop convened by the National Science Foundation in August 2025, we identify three fundamental capability gaps in current AI: the inability to interact with the physical world, inadequate learning that produces brittle systems, and unsustainable energy and data inefficiency. We describe the neuroscience principles that address each: co-design of body and controller, prediction through interaction, multi-scale learning with neuromodulatory control, hierarchical distributed architectures, and sparse event-driven computation. We present a research roadmap organized around these principles at near, mid, and long-term horizons. We argue that realizing this program requires a new generation of researchers trained across the boundary between neuroscience and engineering, and describe the institutional conditions: interdisciplinary training, hardware access, community standards, and ethics, needed to support them. We conclude that NeuroAI, neuroscience-informed artificial intelligence, has the potential to overcome limitations of current AI while deepening our understanding of biological neural computation.
Anthony Zador, Jean-Marc Fellous, Terrence Sejnowski +28
Apr 17, 2026cs.LG

MidSteer: Optimal Affine Framework for Steering Generative Models

Steering intermediate representations has emerged as a powerful strategy for controlling generative models, particularly in post-deployment alignment and safety settings. However, despite its empirical success, it currently lacks a comprehensive theoretical framework. In this paper, we bridge this gap by formalizing the theory of concept steering. First, we establish a link between steering and affine concept erasure, proving that the standard approach for removing unwanted behaviors is a special case of LEACE (a closed-form method for affine erasure). Next, we formulate a principled theoretical framework for concept switching, LEACE-Switch, and characterize the assumptions under which it provides an optimal affine solution. Building on this analysis, we then introduce MidSteer (Minimal Disturbance concept Steering), a more general affine framework for concept manipulation that relaxes these assumptions and enables directed, minimal-disturbance transformations. We demonstrate that MidSteer performs favorably across a range of tasks, modalities, and architectures, including vision diffusion models and large language models.
Tatiana Gaintseva, Andrew Stepanov, Ziquan Liu +4
Sep 7, 2025cs.SE

Agentic Software Engineering: Foundational Pillars and a Research Roadmap

Agentic Software Engineering (SE 3.0) represents a new era where intelligent agents are tasked not with simple code generation, but with achieving complex, goal-oriented SE objectives. To harness these new capabilities while ensuring trustworthiness, we must recognize a fundamental duality within the SE field in the Agentic SE era, comprising two symbiotic modalities: SE for Humans and SE for Agents. This duality demands a radical reimagining of the foundational pillars of SE (actors, processes, tools, and artifacts) which manifest differently across each modality. We propose two purpose-built workbenches to support this vision. The Agent Command Environment (ACE) serves as a command center where humans orchestrate and mentor agent teams, handling outputs such as Merge-Readiness Packs (MRPs) and Consultation Request Packs (CRPs). The Agent Execution Environment (AEE) is a digital workspace where agents perform tasks while invoking human expertise when facing ambiguity or complex trade-offs. This bi-directional partnership, which supports agent-initiated human callbacks and handovers, gives rise to new, structured engineering activities (i.e., processes) that redefine human-AI collaboration, elevating the practice from agentic coding to true agentic software engineering. This paper presents the Structured Agentic Software Engineering (SASE) vision, outlining several of the foundational pillars for the future of SE. The paper culminates in a research roadmap that identifies a few key challenges and opportunities while briefly discussing the resulting impact of this future on SE education. Our goal is not to offer a definitive solution, but to provide a conceptual scaffold with structured vocabulary to catalyze a community-wide dialogue, pushing the SE community to think beyond its classic, human-centric tenets toward a disciplined, scalable, and trustworthy agentic future.
Ahmed E. Hassan, Hao Li, Dayi Lin +4
Date pendingcs.CL

Predicting Startup Exit from Textual Descriptors - A Computational Linguistics Framework

This study shows that textual descriptors alone can predict early-stage startup success, defined as Exit, without relying on contextual, financial, or human capital variables. Using venture capital-curated datasets covering 7,419 startups over 20 years, the research isolates text-based framing variables and engineers 850 features through startup narrative mapping. Data subsets and vector embeddings are evaluated for statistical significance, followed by supervised machine learning experiments across six models. LightGBM achieved the highest predictive performance (F1 = 0.48), while textual descriptors alone achieved F1 = 0.30, confirming the standalone predictive value of founder narratives. Feature analysis shows that optimized densities of hyping markers, including adjectives, jargon, and buzzwords, are associated with higher Exit probability, whereas excessive statement or name length reduces it. The study also introduces a quantifiable Hyping Score for venture capital applications, demonstrating that startup framing provides measurable signals for predicting Exit under conditions of high information asymmetry.
Alberto M. G. Saruggia, Sebastien Germano