Scientific ML
ML: Machine Learning
Momentum
9 papers in the last four weeks, against 2 the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.
Latest papers 82
We review the concepts of interpretability and explainability as they apply to machine learning in physics. We define interpretability as concerning the structural transparency of a model (the ability to understand or approximate its inner workings) and explainability as concerning the scientific content of a model (the ability to map it onto domain knowledge). We discuss the trade-offs each entails (interpretability vs. expressivity; explainability vs. adaptability), the contexts in which each is needed, and the intrinsic and post-hoc tools available for achieving them. Throughout, we emphasize that machine-learned models are subject to the same scientific questions as classical models, differing only in scale, and that interpretability and explainability are best understood as deliberate modeling choices rather than inherent properties. We also emphasize the importance of task specification and intervention plans as a core aspect of model design.
Machine Learning and Deep Learning for Exoplanet Detection and Atmospheric Characterization with JWST and the Upcoming Ariel Mission
The detection and atmospheric characterization of exoplanets have entered a new data-intensive era driven by the James Webb Space Telescope and the upcoming Ariel mission. Modern surveys produce millions of light curves and high-resolution spectra that overwhelm traditional pipelines, motivating the rapid integration of Machine Learning and Deep Learning methods into the exoplanet workflow. This review synthesizes the latest progress in applying ML/DL techniques to exoplanet detection (transit identification, candidate vetting, false-positive rejection) and atmospheric characterization (retrieval, detrending, cross-correlation, surrogate modelling) in the context of JWST and Ariel. We start with classical algorithms such as Random Forests and Convolutional Neural Networks, move through Transformers and Recurrent architectures, then survey modern simulation-based inference using Neural Posterior Estimation and Flow Matching Posterior Estimation with normalizing or continuous normalizing flows. We discuss benchmark efforts, including the Ariel Machine Learning Data Challenges (2019 to 2025) hosted with NeurIPS, and key JWST case studies such as the WASP-39b Early Release Science programme. Results indicate that DL approaches consistently match or exceed traditional pipelines in both speed and accuracy, while ML-driven retrievals reduce inference time from CPU-hours to seconds and can accelerate nested-sampling retrievals by factors of 3-8 without compromising Bayesian evidence. We identify outstanding challenges interpretability, calibration of uncertainties under noisy data, hybrid modelling, and the generalization of models across instruments and planet populations and outline a research roadmap spanning the JWST era and beyond into Ariel's launch in 2029.
SPADE: Structure-Prior Adaptive Decision Estimation
Physical-structure priors such as conservation laws, Hamiltonian forms, and symmetries can improve scientific machine learning when correct, but can degrade predictions when misspecified. Existing methods usually enforce a chosen structure or tune a soft penalty, without a calibrated rule for deciding whether to impose a prior, how strongly to impose it, which prior to use, or which subset of candidate laws holds. We introduce SPADE, Structure-Prior Adaptive Decision Estimation, a closed-form framework that treats this problem as shrinkage of the structure-violating block of an unconstrained estimator. SPADE uses one exact specification test and one estimand: the test decides whether the prior is supported by data, Stein-unbiased James-Stein shrinkage sets the enforcement strength with an oracle guarantee, and a gate commits to the hard prior only when the test certifies it. The same test yields consistent nested structure selection and Benjamini-Hochberg control for subset discovery in non-nested constraint families. Across a linear-subspace prior, a reservoir conservation law, and a nonlinear Hamiltonian prior on Duffing dynamics, SPADE tracks the oracle, beats a neural-network baseline, reduces correct-prior regret from to , matches cross-validation with of the solves, selects the correct structure with accuracy, and recovers partial laws with controlled false relaxation.
ReLaTS: a Reinforcement Learning-based method for dynamically determining the coupling Time Step in multi-scale simulations of self-gravitating systems
Astrophysical simulations frequently address multi-scale, multi-physics problems through subsystem decomposition, problem-tailored integration schemes, and coupling on fixed manually set timescales. Here we introduce ReLaTS, a reinforcement learning framework that dynamically selects the coupling time step to optimize the trade-off between accuracy and computational cost. We validate ReLaTS on star clusters containing a planetary system, and test the method by varying the number of stars in the cluster and the number of planets () orbiting one of them. The method finds the optimal coupling time step that balances speed and accuracy without requiring expert knowledge. In addition, the trained network operates independently of the coupled \textit{N}-body algorithms, displaying stable performance across a range of setups. We observe that the method is less reliable for cases with infinitesimal masses, as their contribution to the total energy is negligible compared to that of the massive bodies, and the network is not capable of recognizing potential errors generated while integrating them. For long-time integration of large systems, the error accumulates. The reinforcement learning algorithm, however, manages to keep the energy error below a pre-set threshold. This approach substantially reduces energy errors relative to fixed-time step baselines without substantial additional computational overhead. Once trained, ReLaTS requires no expert tuning and generalizes across diverse astrophysical domains, enabling adaptive multi-scale simulations.
Statistical Properties of Training & Generalization
Deep learning has managed to evade numerous intuitions from classical statistics to achieve unprecedented performance on a number of real-world tasks. In this article, we investigate the key features and surprises of deep learning from a physics-informed perspective, taking care to point out and justify where possible the many choices inherent in constructing a deep learning model. In particular, we review the phenomenon of neural scaling laws and discuss their interplay with the constraints and inductive biases which may be present when applying machine learning to problems in physics.
Investigating Inductive Biases for Machine Learning Emulation of Sudden Stratospheric Warmings in Idealised Isca Simulations
Machine-learning emulators are increasingly used for weather prediction and have the potential to extend skill on subseasonal-to-seasonal timescales by learning dynamically important sources of predictability. A key challenge is whether the models can exploit predictability anchors, such as stratospheric variability, that influence tropospheric circulation beyond short lead times. We test how architectural inductive bias affects emulation of sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) dynamics using paired idealised Isca simulations that differ only in an imposed wave-2 heating perturbation. Across convolutional, transformer, and graph-based architectures trained for one-step prediction, model differences are modest when the stratosphere is dynamically quiet but widen substantially when SSW-like variability is active. Our results identify explicit three-dimensional vertical coupling as a key inductive bias for machine-learning emulation of stratospheric dynamics. However, Eliassen-Palm flux diagnostics show that low forecast error does not guarantee physically faithful wave-mean-flow interaction, with coherent errors remaining in stratospheric wave-driving structure.
Modeling Doppler Shifts in Radial-Velocity Data with Deep Learning toward Earth-mass Exoplanet Detection
Detecting the tiny Doppler shifts induced by Earth-mass planets in stellar radial-velocity measurements remains extremely challenging due to stellar activity. Many deep-learning methods performing well on simulated data remain difficult to apply reliably on real stellar spectra. The aim of this work is to develop a deep-learning framework that generalizes to real, unseen spectra and improves the detectability of Earth-mass planets in radial-velocity data. We train artificial neural networks on HARPS-N solar spectra with injected planetary signals, using physics-motivated spectral representations based on flux and line-formation temperature, together with their velocity gradients. Two training strategies are explored: hold-out testing and cross-validation. Model robustness is enhanced through genetic-algorithm-based hyperparameter optimization, and predictive uncertainty is quantified using Monte Carlo dropout. Our most precise neural network model reliably retrieves, under the cross-validation strategy, the amplitudes, phases, and orbital periods of planetary signals with amplitudes greater than or equal to 25 cm/s and periods between 10 and 550 days. In addition, in all cases tested here, the successfully recovered signals correspond to the most significant peaks in the periodograms of the Doppler-shift predictions. Temperature-based spectral-shell representations consistently outperform flux-based shells. We also release doppleriann, a Python package implementing the proposed framework. Our results demonstrate that combining physically motivated spectral representations with deep learning provides a promising pathway toward the detection of Earth-mass planets in radial-velocity data from real observations, supported by a modeling framework that is both physically grounded and statistically rigorous, incorporating uncertainty quantification and optimized training strategies.
Domain-Validity-Gated Metamorphic Testing of Scientific ML Surrogates
Scientific machine-learning (SciML) surrogates approximate expensive simulations, but exact expected outputs for arbitrary inputs are unavailable (the oracle problem). Metamorphic testing checks relations across executions, yet a candidate relation is not automatically valid: its preconditions, output mapping, and the numerical floor of the scoring operator determine whether a violation is meaningful. We study how candidate metamorphic relations (MRs) can be screened for domain validity and turned into executable, oracle-free test assets for SciML surrogates. We propose (i) a domain-validity rubric that admits a candidate only when its tolerance dominates the operator's numerical floor and its preconditions hold; (ii) an MR-card executable-asset format recording source cases, transformations, metrics, tolerances, and typed relation-level verdicts; and (iii) a case-study protocol on MeshGraphNets cylinder-flow surrogates, with a claim ledger binding every result to a tracked artifact. On a MeshGraphNets checkpoint, node permutation holds to machine precision, mirror-y is a bounded out-of-distribution stress finding rather than an exact symmetry, and absolute conservation stays deferred while a reference-relative guard passes. The same readings hold across held-out trajectories, a checkpoint roster, three further architectures, and PhysicsNeMo. On a second CFD task (compressible airfoil) the predicate instead rejects incompressible continuity on physical grounds, showing it reasons about domain validity rather than running a fixed checklist. On a second PDE family, FNO Burgers and heat surrogates run full admit/reject/execute verdicts. The evidence spans two CFD tasks and a second PDE family, supporting a validity-aware bridge from candidate MRs to auditable SciML test assets that separates model-level violations from out-of-domain applications.
SciML in the Wild: A Diagnostic Study of When Structural Priors Help and When They Hurt
Scientific Machine Learning (SciML) methods such as Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (NODEs), Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs), and Universal Differential Equations (UDEs) are most effective when structural priors reflect reliable governing dynamics. We ask what happens when this assumption is violated. Using macroeconomic forecasting as a stress-test domain, we evaluate five model families, ARIMA, LSTM, NODE, PINN, and UDE, across 23 countries using sparse annual data, multiple temporal splits, and five random seeds. Our results show that none of the evaluated models achieve consistently strong forecasting performance, highlighting the difficulty of low-frequency macroeconomic prediction. However, a clear relative hierarchy emerges: less-constrained models, particularly ARIMA and NODE, consistently outperform more-constrained heuristic-prior models such as PINN and UDE. Rather than treating this as a rejection of SciML, we interpret it as a diagnostic result: structural priors can act as misregularizers when they do not match the data-generating process. We identify failure modes including prior misalignment, regime shifts, structural breaks, and optimization instability, and argue that SciML practitioners should test whether structure helps before assuming that more structure is beneficial.
Integrating gene regulatory priors into Transformer attention with scTransformer for interpretable scRNA-seq analysis
Motivation: Transformer-based models are increasingly applied to large-scale single-cell transcriptomics, showing strong performance through self-supervised learning on millions of cells. However, most existing approaches treat genes as independent features, and largely ignore prior biological knowledge, which limits interpretability and robustness. In this paper, we explore whether explicitly incorporating gene regulatory information can improve both model performance and biological insight. Results: We present scTransformer, the first Transformer-based approach that builds a priori knowledge of biological mechanisms into the model's attention patterns. By constraining information flow according to known regulatory structures, the model learns representations that are more biologically meaningful. We evaluate scTransformer on a disease-relevant single-nucleus RNA-seq dataset using supervised cell-type classification. Compared to standard Transformers, our approach improves classification accuracy, enhances separation of cell types in embedding space, and produces attention patterns consistent with known regulatory programs. Overall, our results demonstrate that embedding biological structure into Transformer models can enhance interpretability without sacrificing performance, offering a principled step toward biologically grounded foundation models for single-cell omics.
From inverse problems to neural operators: prediction, mechanism, and generalization of data-driven models
Scientists have historically relied on mathematical models based on differential equations to relate system inputs -- forces, fluxes, or heat sources -- to outputs, such as displacement, velocity, concentration, and temperature. These models rely on deep domain knowledge to determine the form of the governing differential equation, which is then calibrated with data by solving an inverse problem. In recent years, the field of Scientific Machine Learning has introduced a variety of alternative modeling strategies for physical systems. A method called Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics learns the governing equation as a sparse linear combination of terms in a user-defined library. Neural Ordinary Differential Equations construct the governing equation by taking in the state and its derivatives at the input layer of a neural network. Entirely foregoing the modeling framework of differential equations, neural operators directly learn a non-linear mapping between the system inputs and outputs. From inverse problems to neural operators, all of these modeling strategies can be conceptualized as data-driven machinery to predict a system's response over a range of inputs. It is then natural to wonder how exactly these various strategies relate to each other, and whether they can be neatly taxonomized. Drawing from the philosophical literature on scientific models, we argue that many model types have a common structure, differing only in the assumed model class of the input-output relation they define. Connecting to philosophical ideas on mechanism, and arguing that data from physical systems arises from solutions to parsimonious differential equations, we propose that only certain models are capable of mechanism discovery, and thus generalization. Our analysis is intended to unite apparently disparate modeling strategies and provide insight into their appropriate use cases.
Instrumented data for causal scientific machine learning
Scientific machine learning is limited less by model size than by the data it is trained on. Observational data records what happened but not why; template synthetic data has a known generating process but only for the simulator's template, not the case a user faces. We argue a third option is now operationally feasible: instrumented data, in which every datum carries the mechanistic model that produced it, an explicit uncertainty over that model, and an executable family of counterfactuals. Verification-and-validation (V&V) instrumented image-to-simulation pipelines are one realisation: a sensor observation becomes a fully specified, solver-backed simulation with explicit, editable parameters and a propagated aleatoric/epistemic uncertainty. The substrate is case-specific, mechanistically supervised, and supports causal interventions through Pearl's do-operator. Near-term consequences for validation, auditing, and surrogate training span computational biology, climate, materials, fluid mechanics, and medical imaging; a longer-term, falsifiable implication concerns foundation models for scientific reasoning.
Implicit Data Synthesis for Contrastive Unsupervised Data Augmentation
Scientific observations generate large quantities of unlabeled data which is laborious to hand-label, making unsupervised learning techniques valuable for processing datasets. Among these approaches, contrastive learning provides a convenient mechanism for extracting structural representations from unannotated datasets. For natural imagery, the general approach is to use a variety of data-space augmentation methods in order to generate synthetic samples; however, for scientific observations data-space perturbations can fundamentally alter the underlying data. Our proposed method is to generate contrastive samples by perturbing the network weights rather than the underlying data, thus more closely preserving the structure of the data. We demonstrate this technique using a SimCLR-based pipeline applied over radar observations of meteors, and show performance gains under matched protocols.
Synthics: Synthetic Physics-like Datasets for Machine Learning
Representative data is fundamental in machine learning, as limited data hinders generalisation. Collecting sufficient real-world samples is often infeasible. Synthetic data generation offers a practical solution, but only if the generated data faithfully reflects the structure of real observations. In this paper, a method for generating synthetic regression datasets that structurally resemble physics equations from a given equation corpus is presented. The approach uses a Bayesian Probabilistic Context-Free Grammar to capture the underlying algebraic structure of the corpus, from which novel equations are sampled. To ensure the generated inputs lie within a physically meaningful domain, the applicability domain is characterised for each equation through non-intrusive probing, also recovering inter-variable constraints. Input sampling further mimics realistic experimental conditions by drawing from random sub-ranges of the valid domain with mixed uniform and truncated normal distributions. The generated data is statistically validated against the Feynman equation corpus using Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests. The generated equations match the corpus on all of the eight studied structural features, compared to only two for an unsmoothed purely probabilistic grammar, demonstrating that the Bayesian prior is essential for structural fidelity given the size of the corpus. In a downstream hyperparameter-tuning task, a gradient-boosted regressor tuned on the synthetic data picks, on average, the 6th-best configuration out of 20 on real data, matching the result of tuning on real data itself and substantially outperforming random expression trees (10th) and noise (19th).
Reconstructing Unobservable Temperature Fields via Simulation-Aided Intelligent Sensing
Real-time monitoring of the temperature distribution within components and sub-structures is a challenging topic in many systems due to restrictions on feasible sensor locations. While machine learning (ML) proves a versatile tool in many applications, its adoption for high-resolution thermal monitoring is hindered by the availability of high-quality datasets for training. In this work, we propose a novel approach for generating datasets for industrial applications based on randomized physics-based simulations. We demonstrate the approach in a proof-of-concept hardware setup: A neural network (NN) trained only on such a synthetic dataset, is used to reconstruct the internal temperature field from sparse sensors embedded in the hardware. The NN-based reconstructions do not only outperform Kriging in robustness but also enable real-time inference, making the method suitable for online monitoring of otherwise unobservable thermal states.
DiffUNet^2: Bidirectional Conditional Diffusion for Probabilistic Scientific Spatiotemporal Modeling
Studying the spatiotemporal evolution of scientific phenomena often relies on costly simulations and experiments. Machine learning-based surrogate models reduce this cost, but most are limited to deterministic forward prediction. Scientific temporal analysis often requires both forward prediction and backward inference, while temporal evolution is not always uniquely determined, especially for the inverse problem. We introduce DiffUNet^2, a bidirectional conditional diffusion model for probabilistic scientific temporal prediction. It supports both forward and backward prediction within a shared model. We evaluate DiffUNet^2 on four scientific temporal datasets spanning fluid dynamics, chemical reaction dynamics, and material deformation, against deterministic and probabilistic baselines. Results show that DiffUNet^2 achieves strong predictive performance in both temporal directions and high probabilistic ensemble quality compared with existing baselines. To support practical scientific exploration beyond prediction, we further extend DiffUNet^2's generation ability with target-guided state editing, allowing states of interest to be specified and explored in both temporal directions.
A Geometric Lens on Physics-Aligned Data Compression
In AI for Science, physics-informed losses are increasingly used to train learned compressors for scientific data, but their rate-distortion implications remain poorly understood. At fixed bitrate, these objectives often improve preservation of a target physical observable while degrading standard reconstruction fidelity. We develop a local geometric theory showing that this tradeoff is governed by the interaction of latent-space sensitivities induced by the entropy model, the physical observable, and the distortion metric. At each operating point, these induce preferred directions along which compression noise should be suppressed, yielding an anisotropic error-allocation mechanism. When these directions are misaligned, improving the observable at fixed rate necessarily worsens standard distortion, establishing a fundamental limit on simultaneous preservation. We formalise this through a local tangent-space rate-distortion law and introduce a practical alignment diagnostic based on dominant eigenspace overlap. Experiments across scientific domains test the theory and validate that the alignment diagnostic correlates with observed data- and physics-space trade-offs.
RobustModelMaker: Coupling Bootstrap Stability Selection with Leakage-Safe Nested Cross-Validation for Scientific Machine Learning
Small-to-medium scientific datasets place machine learning pipelines under two compounding pressures. Single-run feature selection produces feature sets that change substantially under small perturbations of the training data, and any procedure that uses the same data for selection, tuning, and evaluation produces optimistically biased performance estimates. The two failure modes are routinely treated as separable, but in the regimes where scientific data live, they interact: an unstable selection inflates the variance of an already-optimistic score, and standard remedies for one rarely address the other. RobustModelMaker is a Python framework that couples bootstrap stability selection with strict nested cross-validation, performs all preprocessing and selection inside each fold, and produces a stability-tested feature subset together with a leakage-safe performance estimate. The framework supports nine algorithms across binary classification, multiclass classification, and regression. Behaviour is verified by a deterministic test suite spanning unit, performance, and reproducibility checks on three real scientific datasets comparing to three alternative selectors (ANOVA F-test, recursive feature elimination with cross-validation, and Boruta) on both predictive score and a Jaccard measure of selection stability. RobustModelMaker is competitive in score with the best alternative selector on each dataset, and occupies a position on the joint score-stability frontier that none of the alternatives match across all three task types. Two example applications, ovarian cancer biomarker discovery from the PLCO Trial and critical-temperature regression on the UCI Superconductivity Data, illustrate how the framework is used in practice and what trade-offs become visible when stability is treated as a first-class deliverable rather than an emergent property.
Cellular Sheaf Neural Operators for Structure-Preserving Surrogate Modeling of Constrained PDEs
Neural operators provide fast surrogate models for PDE simulations, but standard architectures often treat geometry and discretization as secondary to field data. Physical states are usually represented as grid-channel stacks, even when different quantities naturally belong on vertices, edges, faces, cells, boundaries, or interfaces and must satisfy compatibility constraints. We propose Cellular Sheaf Neural Operators, a discretization-aware framework for structure-preserving neural PDE surrogates. The method represents PDE states on oriented cell complexes, couples local feature spaces through learned restriction maps, and uses incidence/Hodge-informed message passing to follow computational geometry. Learned update heads pass through coboundary or flux maps, allowing selected constraints to arise from cell-complex structure rather than only from loss penalties. For magnetohydrodynamics, this yields face-based magnetic-flux updates driven by edge electromotive fields and finite-volume-style fluid updates driven by learned face fluxes and cell sources. On turbulent MHD and fusion-equilibrium surrogate tasks, the method improves structure-sensitive diagnostics, including rollout behavior, divergence control, spectral error, and equilibrium-regression accuracy. These results indicate that cellular-sheaf structure is a useful inductive bias for neural PDE surrogates in constrained multiphysics systems.
Position: Prioritize Identifying Structure, Not Complex Models, for Scientific Discovery
Modern Machine Learning (ML) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) models, especially large language models (LLMs), are increasingly used to generate scientific hypotheses and mechanistic explanations from observational data. This position paper argues that in the high-dimensional proxy regimes where modern ML excels, mechanistic learning is generically underdetermined: many incompatible mechanisms induce essentially the same observational relationships on the support of the data, so predictive success and coherent explanations are insufficient evidence of mechanism discovery. This underdetermination becomes uniquely hazardous with large language models (LLMs), which tend to collapse large equivalence classes of explanations into a single fluent narrative. This paper proposes concrete standards for ``mechanistic ML,'' and argues these norms are necessary if LLM-centered workflows are to support science rather than merely simulate it.
Data-Driven Spectral Prediction for Accelerating Large-Scale Electronic Structure Calculations
Simulating large molecular systems comprising thousands of atoms requires highly scalable methodologies. While modern Density Functional Theory (DFT) codes exhibit linear scaling, solving the associated large, sparse generalized eigenproblems remains a critical computational bottleneck on exascale architectures. In the context of the LimitX project, we propose a data-driven framework to accelerate these calculations. By shifting the machine learning target from discrete eigenvalues to the coefficients of an interpolating Chebyshev polynomial, and by comparing both all-atom and fragment-based structural representations, we successfully overcome the dimensionality constraints of large-scale spectral prediction. We investigate three machine learning models (Kernel Ridge Regression, Graph Neural Networks, and Random Forests) trained on a novel 2 TB dataset of protein dimers. The predicted spectra provide initial guesses that effectively bypass early Self-Consistent Field (SCF) iterations in BigDFT. Ultimately, these spectral predictors will be deployed to dynamically optimize upcoming rational filter-based eigensolvers, such as FrASE, which is currently in initial development.
Scientific Machine Learning for Engine Health Management and Remaining Useful Life Prediction
Engine Health Management (EHM) depends on reliable forecasting of Remaining Useful Life (RUL) and on tracking thermal indicators such as turbine gas temperature (TGT). In practice, real-world fleet data are heterogeneous and non-stationary, and point predictions alone are insufficient for risk-aware maintenance decisions. This paper presents a multi-task scientific machine learning framework for turbine prognostics that jointly predicts turbine gas temperature untrimmed (TGTU), Delta Turbine Gas Temperature (DTGT), and RUL, with quantified uncertainty in the form of prediction intervals whose empirical coverage is evaluated. A shared sequence encoder (convolutional front-end with residual bidirectional LSTM layers and attention pooling) feeds task-specific heads, including mean--variance estimation for probabilistic regression and, optionally, a survival head for threshold-based event modeling. The framework is designed to be tunable via a small set of practitioner-facing parameters (e.g., DTGT thresholding rules and RUL target construction) so that deployment can align with in-house policies and proprietary criteria. The predictive performance of the proposed framework is evaluated using both point and interval metrics, including mean absolute error (MAE), prediction interval coverage probability (PICP), mean prediction interval width (MPIW), and the coverage--width criterion (CWC). Results are reported both in aggregate and stratified by flight phase and maintenance segment to highlight operational-context effects and to support uncertainty-aware monitoring.
Unveiling Multi-regime Patterns in SciML: Distinct Failure Modes and Regime-specific Optimization
Neural networks trained under different hyperparameter settings can fall into distinct training "regimes," with consistent behavior within regimes and qualitative differences across regimes. In this paper, we study such multi-regime behavior in scientific machine learning (SciML) models through a regime-aware diagnostic framework that jointly analyzes performance, training dynamics, and loss-landscape geometry. We identify three key findings: (i) a consistent three-regime structure emerges across many standard SciML models, different constraint enforcements, and various optimizer designs; (ii) optimization effectiveness is regime-specific, with no single method performing well across all regimes; and (iii) SciML models can exhibit fine-grained failure modes that can challenge conventional interpretations of standard loss-landscape metrics. Our results provide an approach to establish a unified, task-oblivious perspective on failure modes in SciML and to inform regime-aware guidance for improving robustness. We validate these findings across widely-used SciML models, including physics-informed neural networks, neural operators, and neural ordinary differential equations, on benchmarks spanning representative ordinary and partial differential equations.
The Perception-Physics Paradox: Probing Scientific Alignment with TC-Bench
While Vision Foundation Models (VFMs) excel at predictive tasks on satellite imagery, their performance can arise from visual correlations rather than underlying structural invariants, making even perception-based out-of-distribution accuracy a poor proxy for scientific utility. As a result, models may look correct without reasoning correctly, a discrepancy we term the Perception-Physics Paradox. To address this gap, we introduce scientific alignment as an implicit objective for representation learning in scientific domains. We study a principled, testable aspect of scientific alignment through structural isomorphism, which requires latent representations to uniquely identify physical systems up to a linear reparameterization. This perspective induces a hierarchy of necessary conditions and yields a systematic probing protocol for physical and causal interpretability. To operationalize this framework, we release TC-Bench, a global, reproducible benchmark dataset with an automated construction pipeline for tropical cyclone research, and show that current VFMs rely on visual shortcuts that collapse in intense regimes, indicating that scientific alignment does not arise as a natural byproduct of scaling alone.
The Neural Compiler: Program-to-Network Translation for Hybrid Scientific Machine Learning
Scientific machine learning often requires combining known physics with unknown parameters or correction terms learned from data. Existing approaches either ignore known structure, encode it as a soft penalty, or require hand-written PyTorch code for each equation. We present The Neural Compiler, a system that translates programs written in a first-order Scheme-like expression language into frozen, differentiable PyTorch modules. These modules match the source program to floating-point precision and provide gradients through autograd. In hybrid models, the compiled module encodes known physics exactly while learned components model the unknown remainder. We evaluate the compiler across six experiment domains: Feynman physics equations, Lotka-Volterra dynamics, a damped pendulum, a one-dimensional heat equation, three-dimensional vector mechanics, and compositional generalization. Compiled modules match hand-coded PyTorch implementations numerically for single equations, showing no accuracy loss from compilation. With only 1 to 4 trainable parameters, compiled models recover physical constants to less than 1 percent error in most cases, while standard PINN baselines with more than 8500 parameters show 7 to 93 percent error. Compiled modules also compose with zero error, while neural approximations can accumulate large errors in deep composition chains. The main value of the compiler is not improved accuracy over hand-coded equations, but systematic composability: it generates correct, differentiable modules from symbolic specifications without rewriting each equation by hand. The system supports 51 primitive operations, including vector and matrix algebra, enabling PDE discretizations and hybrid scientific models. This string-in, module-out interface also provides a natural target for large language models that translate scientific descriptions into executable differentiable modules.
Hyrax: An Extensible Framework for Rapid ML Experimentation and Unsupervised Discovery in the Era of Rubin, Roman, and Euclid
The NSF-DOE Vera C. Rubin Observatory, Roman Space Telescope, Euclid, and other next-generation surveys will deliver imaging, spectroscopic, and time-domain data at scales that increasingly shift the bottleneck in astronomical machine learning (ML) projects from model design to infrastructure. We present Hyrax, an open-source, modular, GPU-enabled Python framework that supports the full ML lifecycle in astronomy: from data acquisition and training to inference and experiment comparison, with capabilities including multimodal dataset support, integrated vector databases for similarity search, and interactive two- and three-dimensional latent-space exploration for unsupervised discovery. We demonstrate Hyrax's versatility through five representative applications on real survey data: (i) unsupervised representation learning on Rubin Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) Data Preview 1 (DP1) galaxies, surfacing new merger and low-surface-brightness candidates missing from reference Euclid and Dark Energy Survey catalogs, while also isolating imaging artifacts -- all without labeled training data; (ii) hybrid density-based clustering for identifying cluster-scale gravitational lens candidates in DP1 data; (iii) multimodal early-time transient classification in the Zwicky Transient Facility leveraging light curves, spectra, images, and metadata; (iv) supervised false-positive filtering in shift-and-stack searches for distant solar system objects in the Dark Energy Camera Ecliptic Exploration Project survey; and (v) supervised detection of semi-resolved dwarf galaxies in Hyper Suprime-Cam and LSST-like imaging using synthetic source injection. Together, these results demonstrate that Hyrax provides astronomy-specific ML infrastructure that enables systematic discovery and rapid methodological iteration across next-generation astronomical surveys.
Can machine learning for quantum-gas experiments be explainable?
Virtually all aspects of many-body atomic physics are challenging: experiments are technically demanding, datasets have become enormous, and the memory and CPU requirements for classical simulation of generic quantum systems often scale exponentially with system size. Machine learning (ML) methods are already assisting in each of these areas and are poised to become transformative. Here, we focus on two specific applications of ML to cold-atom-based quantum simulators. These devices generally generate data in the form of images; we first showcase denoising of raw images and then identify solitonic waves in Bose-Einstein condensates. In both of these examples, we comment on the interplay between performance, model complexity, and interpretability.
Buffer-Parameterized Machine Learning Surrogate Models for Cross-Technology Signal Integrity Analysis and Optimization
Signal integrity (SI) analysis in printed circuit board (PCB) interconnects faces increasing complexity due to diverse integrated circuit (IC) buffer technologies, varying operating conditions, and manufacturing tolerances. Existing machine learning (ML) surrogate models for predicting SI metrics such as the inner eye contour, eye-height (EH), eye-width (EW), and transient waveform features typically rely on fixed buffer parameters, requiring costly new data generation and retraining cycles for every technology shift. This paper introduces a buffer-parameterized ML surrogate modeling methodology capable of handling cross-technology variations without retraining by treating IC buffer characteristics, e.g., clock frequency, supply voltage, rise/fall times, jitter, and internal resistors and capacitors, as dynamic model inputs alongside PCB parameters. To identify the optimal surrogate architecture for this high-dimensional space, a comprehensive benchmarking study compares tree-based methods (RFR/GBM), kernel methods (SVR/KRR), Gaussian process regression (GPR), and neural networks. The framework is subsequently validated on a complex interconnect with 44 design parameters. Results show that while anisotropic GPR excels in low-data regimes, neural networks heavily outperform other models on large datasets. Finally, the practical value of the ML surrogate models is demonstrated through a cross-technology design space exploration and optimization scenario, showcasing massive computational speedups for eye mask compliance checking compared to simulation.
Mechanism Learning: Prototype-Anchored Mechanism Inference for Scientific Forecasting
Scientific forecasting typically relies on direct state prediction, an approach that grows brittle under data scarcity, extended horizons, non-stationary dynamics, or high-dimensional complexity. While raw state trajectories are highly sensitive in these regimes, underlying local evolution rules often exhibit robust reusability. We introduce mechanism learning, a framework that forecasts future states by estimating the currently active local mechanism. Our method compresses local spatiotemporal fragments into mechanism descriptors, forming a data-driven, structured mechanism space where proximity reflects similar local evolution rules. To ground these estimates in observed data, we utilize prototype anchors, a set of representative mechanisms that sparsely cover the space of local rules. We evaluate this approach on Burgers dynamics, WeatherBench2, and Lorenz96. Empirically, the learned mechanism spaces resist collapse and maintain strong local consistency. Compared to direct prediction and other models including FNO, NODE, LSTM, and reservoir-family methods, our framework demonstrates predictive gains in fragile regimes: it significantly improves switching stability in Burgers dynamics and achieves state-of-the-art performance both under the scarce-data fixed-horizon WeatherBench2 protocol and in intermediate-complexity Lorenz96. Ablation studies and drift diagnostics confirm that these improvements are driven by finite prototype anchoring rather than sheer latent capacity. Together, these results establish mechanism learning as a principled, robust alternative to direct state prediction in forecasting complex systems.
CTF4Nuclear: Common Task Framework for Nuclear Fission and Fusion Models
The demand for clean energy is ever increasing, with new nuclear technologies presenting a complementary solution to renewable energies. However, designing and operating these systems is exceptionally difficult, given the complexity of the physical phenomena that interact to form the system dynamics. While high-fidelity simulations help to understand the non-linear, multi-physics interactions within a reactor, they are computationally expensive and rarely suitable for real-time applications. Furthermore, model-based approaches are inherently sensitive to simplifying assumptions required to derive their governing equations and parameters, leading to inevitable discrepancies with real-world measurements. In contrast, Machine Learning (ML) methods have the potential to generate reliable surrogate models which may be able to quickly predict the system's behaviour. However, the number of data-driven methods that can potentially be used for this task is large and diverse. In a safety-critical setting such as nuclear engineering, a fair comparison of different ML methods, and a clear understanding of their advantages and limitations, is of paramount importance. To address this, we introduce a Common Task Framework (CTF) for ML in nuclear engineering, building upon previous efforts in dynamical systems and seismology. This CTF considers a curated set of datasets from different nuclear and nuclear-adjacent systems. The CTF evaluates the performance of a method on 12 established metrics, alongside a new paradigm focused on system monitoring from sparse measurements only. We illustrate the framework by benchmarking standard ML baselines against these datasets, revealing current method limitations. Our vision is to replace ad hoc comparisons with standardized evaluations on hidden test sets, raising the bar for rigour and reproducibility in scientific ML for the nuclear industry.