Photovoltaic

Recent momentum

-67%

2 papers in the last 28 days · 0.0% of indexed attention

Twelve weeks of publication activity for this topic as it is defined today.

Weekly history

Recent digests

What was published in this topic, kept on the site without email delivery.

Period ending 2026-09-21

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Photovoltaic.

Period ending 2026-09-07

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Photovoltaic.

29 papers

Latest in Photovoltaic

Sep 14, 2026stat.AP

Nationally Consistent, Locally Incomplete: A Bayesian Remote-Sensing Audit of Rooftop Photovoltaic Registries

Tracking the energy transition requires reliable statistics on renewable deployment. Rooftop photovoltaics (PV) are especially hard to track, owing to their decentralised nature, and the resulting inaccuracies in official statistics are known but not quantified. Remote sensing offers an independent way to identify rooftop PV systems. We introduce a Bayesian framework to estimate the ground-truth rooftop PV capacity from remote sensing detections, turning an imperfect detector into an uncertainty-aware measurement instrument. Applied to France, the corrected detections estimate a capacity of 4.03 GWp [3.96--4.11] (99% credible interval) of rooftop PV below 36 kWp, matching the transmission system operator's connection data within 3.3% nationally, while identifying local under-reports of up to 61% of local capacity. We also document and quantify a significant truncation bias in French rooftop PV open data. Beyond France, the approach paves the way for more reliable estimates of rooftop PV capacity worldwide.
Gabriel Kasmi, Yves-Marie Saint-Drenan, Laurent Dubus +1
Sep 1, 2026cs.LG

Reinforcement Learning and Rule-Based Peer-to-Peer Pricing in Residential PV-BES Communities

This paper compares rule-based and learning-based pricing mechanisms for peer-to-peer (P2P) electricity trading in residential photovoltaic communities. The rule-based benchmarks comprise bill-sharing as an ex post allocation mechanism, the mid-market rate, and supply-demand-ratio pricing. The reinforcement-learning (RL) formulation is implemented through a Deep Q-Network and evaluated under multiplier-based and learnable SDR-shaped pricing, with a fixed-parameter SDR variant as a non-learning control. Performance is assessed through community savings together with complementary financial and operational indicators. In the base PV-only configuration, the rule-based benchmarks outperform the best RL policy. With battery energy storage, evaluated for the RL policies only, community savings under the best RL policy increase from EUR 734.23 to EUR 978.52. Across the learning-based modes and in both configurations, SDR-shaped pricing outperforms the multiplier-based parameterization considered. The results indicate that rule-based pricing remains highly competitive wherever the two families are compared directly, and that storage substantially improves the learning-based outcomes under this accounting, while the distribution of benefits remains heterogeneous across households.
Pablo Benalcazar, Maciej Kalka, Wilian Guamán +1
Aug 13, 2026cs.CV

A Generative Approach for Improving Multi-Label Defect Classification in Photovoltaic Modules

This paper addresses the challenge of multi-label defect classification in electroluminescence (EL) images of photovoltaic (PV) cells. Training models on images where multiple defects co-occur creates learning ambiguity, making it difficult to disentangle visual features for specific defect types, a problem compounded by the scarcity of examples for individual classes. To tackle this, we introduce Generative Defect Isolation (GDI), utilizing the LaMa inpainting model with Fast Fourier Convolutions to remove selected defects and generate realistic, single-defect training samples. Extensive experiments on Vision Transformer (ViT-S, ViT-L) and EfficientNetV2-L architectures demonstrate that GDI significantly outperforms baselines. The performance gains are most pronounced in low-data scenarios; class-wise analysis shows substantial improvements, boosting the F1-Score for rare defect classes by up to 63.6%. Furthermore, GDI effectively resolves learning ambiguity from co-occurring defects, yielding a 26% reduction in such co-occurring classification errors. Our work establishes GDI as an effective method for maximizing the value of existing segmentation datasets and sets a new performance benchmark for multi-label classification in this domain.
Abdul Mueez, Yogesh S. Rawat, Shruti Vyas
Aug 11, 2026cs.CV

Evaluating Semantic and Spatial Guidance for Foundation Model Segmentation of Small-Scale PV in Remote Sensing Imagery

Spatio-temporal PV data are essential for understanding adoption processes in off-grid regions, yet such data remain largely unavailable. Automated segmentation of remote sensing (RS) imagery offers a promising solution; yet, residential PV systems remain challenging targets because of their small size and sparse distribution, resulting in severe target-background imbalance. Vision-language foundation models (FMs) provide a data-efficient paradigm through prompt-based semantic and spatial guidance, but the relative contribution of different prompt types remains unclear. We systematically evaluate SAM3 for small-scale PV segmentation in RS imagery by comparing textual, geometric, and hybrid prompting, under varying supervision levels, training strategies, spatial resolutions, and imaging conditions. Multi-temporal aerial imagery from a large off-grid rural region serves as a study site, with findings validated across three additional datasets. Prompting strategy emerged as the dominant factor governing model behavior. Textual prompting consistently produced the lowest performance and showed the greatest sensitivity to supervision and imaging conditions. In contrast, spatial guidance substantially improved both segmentation accuracy and robustness. Hybrid prompting achieved the highest accuracy and stability, indicating that semantic and spatial guidance provide complementary information. Most performance gains were achieved with only a few hundred annotated samples, demonstrating strong data efficiency. Transfer learning had limited overall impact, with only modest improvements observed for textual prompting under limited supervision. Overall, our findings establish prompting strategy as a key determinant of SAM3 adaptation, robustness, and generalization, highlighting the potential of promptable FMs for scalable PV mapping in data-constrained off-grid regions.
Roni Blushtein-Livnon, Tal Svoray, Osher Rafaeli +4
Aug 9, 2026cond-mat.mtrl-sci

Temperature-Driven Sequential Modeling for the Prediction of Annual Power Conversion Efficiency Profiles of Organic Photovoltaic Materials: Douala Case Study

Organic photovoltaic (OPV) materials are promising candidates for distributed solar energy in tropical regions, yet existing virtual screening tools report static power conversion efficiency (PCE) values at standard testing conditions (STC) that fail to capture the temperature-driven performance degradation experienced under real deployment conditions. Here we introduce a Climate-Native computational framework that forecasts the annual PCE profile of OPV donor molecules under geographically realistic operating conditions. The framework combines GFN2-xTB molecular dynamics with an equivariant graph neural network surrogate (268268 Neyman-stratified CEP molecules; 120,600120,600 training geometries; 1050×\sim 1050\times speedup over explicit quantum chemistry) and sequential deep learning models trained on annual time series anchored in NASA POWER climate data for Douala, Cameroon, and validated by zero-shot transfer to Yaoundé and Maroua. Applied to 30,000\sim 30,000 molecules from the Harvard Clean Energy Project (CEP) and validated against 350350 HOPV15 experimental device measurements, the framework demonstrates that sequential models trained on full molecular dynamics trajectories outperform time-averaged baselines (35%35\%-48%48\% relative MAE improvement over static baselines), confirming that thermal conformational dynamics carry information beyond mean geometry. We further introduce a seasonal stability score that reranks OPV candidates by performance consistency under tropical conditions, identifying molecules whose deployment suitability differs substantially from their static PCE ranking.
Steve Cabrel Teguia Kouam, Rockefeller Rockefeller, Raoult Dabou Teukam +4
Aug 3, 2026cs.CV

STC-Net: Electroluminescence-Based Solar Cell Crack Segmentation for Power Loss Estimation

Accurate crack assessment in electroluminescence (EL) images is important for photovoltaic (PV) reliability analysis, yet existing segmentation methods often fail to capture the thin, elongated, and structurally constrained nature of crack defects. This paper proposes a Solar Topology Crack Network (STC-Net) that incorporates edge priors, spectral priors, and a boundary-topology refinement module to improve crack continuity and boundary preservation. The framework further extends segmentation to power-loss estimation by deriving a crack-associated inactive-area proxy from the predicted masks. Experiments on the PVEL-S dataset show that STC-Net achieves 95.98 MIoU, 98.01 MDice, and 98.00 MAcc during training, and 72.52 MIoU and 80.16 MDice on unseen test samples. These results demonstrate that STC-Net provides accurate crack localization while offering a practical link between EL-based defect segmentation and PV degradation assessment.
Shanaka Ramesh Gunasekara, Akila Eranda Devanarayana, Imasha Guruge +2
Jul 27, 2026cs.CV

OpenPVMapper: A Multi-source, Nationwide Database of Rooftop Photovoltaic Systems in France

Rooftop photovoltaic (PV) systems account for the vast majority of PV grid connections, yet no open, comprehensive, installation-level dataset of these systems exists: public registries aggregate data only above a capacity threshold, and remote sensing-based detection efforts, while extensive, are typically confined to a single method, a limited geographic scope, or a single point in time. We introduce OpenPVMapper, a nationwide, multi-source database of rooftop PV installations in mainland France, built by aggregating and reconciling complementary sources: a deep learning-based detection pipeline deployed on nationwide aerial imagery, OpenStreetMap and a probabilistic building-level detection dataset. The resulting database contains 1,135,850 installations, totaling approximately 15.01~GWp of installed capacity, each documented with its provenance, detection method, and, where available, a manual validation flag. Manual review of a stratified sample of 1,862 installations places the database's overall precision at approximately 74--75%, with corroboration across independent sources bringing a substantial, quantified precision gain. By aggregating independent sources rather than relying on any single detection method, OpenPVMapper reaches a level of confidence beyond what any one source could provide on its own, while remaining extensible to further sources as they become available. It is released under an open (CC-BY) license alongside the full source code used to build it.
Gabiel Kasmi
Jul 27, 2026cs.RO

Distributed Coordination for Resilient Multi-UAV Remote Sensing: A Photovoltaic Inspection Case Study

Deploying multiple UAVs for remote sensing enables proportional reductions in mission time, but realizing these benefits requires the fleet to coordinate at runtime: distributing sensing targets, responding to platform failures, and recovering from degraded data quality. In inspection campaigns, where mission value depends on complete coverage and the usability of every capture, a centralized ground-station coordinator is a single point of failure: a lost link or station fault leaves sensing gaps that cannot be filled without operator intervention. We propose the \textbf{SwarmLink}, an inter-agent communication infrastructure that non-invasively extends any existing aerial framework with peer-to-peer coordination capability, without modifying the host system. We apply it to photovoltaic plant inspection as a representative large-scale sensing campaign, extending Aerostack2 with a distributed auction that unifies initial sensing-target allocation, platform-failure recovery, and data-quality-triggered reassignment into a single runtime mechanism. All three disruption scenarios reduce to the same re-auction over remaining targets and active platforms, requiring zero modifications to the Aerostack2 core and no ground-station involvement during the mission.
Guillermo GP-Lenza, Miguel Fernandez-Cortizas, Martin Molina +1
Jul 14, 2026physics.ao-ph

Robustness of Deep Learning Models for PV Power Forecasting under NWP Forecast Errors: A Spatiotemporal and Physically Interpretable Analysis

Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables. Existing evaluations, however, often rely on perfect forecast assumptions or simplistic perturbations that do not reflect these characteristics. This study presents a physically constrained robustness evaluation framework based on simulation, using virtual PV power as a controlled response variable to isolate the propagation of input uncertainty from confounders at the plant level. Six representative machine learning and deep sequence models, including PatchTST, GRU, N-HITS, and LightGBM, are evaluated under dynamic NWP perturbations with heteroscedasticity modulated by clear-sky conditions and Erbs reconstruction that preserves radiation consistency. The results show that sequence models provide stronger noise filtering and temporal resilience than a strong tabular baseline under medium to high disturbance regimes. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Integrated Gradients (IG) further support a feature reallocation tendency at the case level, in which predictive reliance shifts from corrupted future forecasts toward more stable historical observations and deterministic physical priors. A Pareto analysis of accuracy under clean conditions, robustness, and computational latency then translates these findings into engineering implications for robustness assessment and model selection under forecast uncertainty.
Dandan Chen, Yan Zhao, Xuepeng Chen
Jul 10, 2026eess.IV

Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture for Solar PV Panel Fault Classification

The rapid expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems has increased the need for reliable and scalable fault classification, as manual inspection is impractical at scale. Thermal infrared (IR) imaging provides a non-contact solution for identifying PV faults; however, accurate classification remains challenging due to class imbalance, limited texture information, and subtle thermal differences. In this work, we investigate the applicability of Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture (JEPA) for thermal IR PV fault classification across various scenarios and propose JEFFNet (JEPA-EFFicientNet), a multibranch architecture that combines JEPA-based self-supervised representation learning with EfficientNetV2-S-based supervised convolutional feature extraction. JEFFNet fuses semantic representations from a JEPA-pretrained Vision Transformer with convolutional features from EfficientNetV2-S, enabling complementary feature learning. JEFFNet is evaluated on two public thermal IR datasets, PVF-10 and InfraredSolarModules (ISM), for both multiclass and derived binary (healthy/faulty) classification. On PVF-10, JEFFNet achieves an F1-score of 93.2193.21 and an accuracy of 94.3394.33 in the 10-class task, and an F1-score of 97.5397.53 and an accuracy of 96.4196.41 in the derived 2-class task. On ISM, JEFFNet achieves an F1-score of 72.6072.60 and an accuracy of 83.8883.88 in the 12-class task, and an F1-score of 94.6994.69 and an accuracy of 94.7894.78 in the derived 2-class task. JEFFNet also uses only 108.6M parameters versus 205.91M for GEPFNet, a 47.2% reduction. These results demonstrate that combining self-supervised semantic and supervised convolutional features provides an effective, parameter-efficient solution for thermal IR PV fault classification. The source code is publicly available at https://github.com/Azimi2kht/JEFFNet
Seyyedhamid Azimidokht, Mehdi Monemi, Abdelhak Kharbouch +4
Jun 30, 2026cs.AI

Smart charging of large fleets of Electric Vehicles: Independent Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning approaches

The electrification of transportation through electric vehicles introduces new challenges for power grid management, such as increased peak demand, voltage fluctuations, line overloads, and the integration of variable renewable energy sources. To enable efficient integration of EVs while minimizing costs for users and avoiding network overloads, implicit coordination between EVs is required. This work compares two independent multi-agent reinforcement learning approaches for optimizing such decentralized EV charging: contextual combinatorial bandits and policy gradient algorithms. Using a realistic simulation environment with autonomous agents making decisions based on local environmental information (including price signals, state-of-charge, and temporal constraints), we evaluate their performance across varying congestion levels, and mixed-strategy configurations with heterogeneous agent groups under dynamic electricity pricing derived from real photovoltaic production data.
Xavier Rate, Eloann Le Guern, Raphaël Féraud +8
Jun 14, 2026cs.NI

Hidden Degradation Costs in Energy-Cost-Only HEMS Optimisation: Study on Battery and PV Sensitivity

Residential battery energy storage systems (BESS) are increasingly deployed alongside photovoltaic (PV) generation to reduce household energy costs under volatile time-of-use (TOU) tariffs. Model predictive control (MPC) is a widely adopted optimisation strategy for home energy management systems (HEMS), typically formulated to minimise net energy cost, subject to physical and operational constraints. However, battery degradation is rarely embedded in the optimisation objective, meaning its cost is unquantified and aggressive; high-cycle-count strategies could incur significant losses once deployed to physical systems. This paper presents a receding-horizon mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) baseline for a UK residential HEMS, using demand data from the REFIT dataset. A 3 by 3 sensitivity study is conducted across three battery sizes and three PV array sizes, with post-hoc degradation cost estimated using the Naumann stress model and rainflow cycle counting. Results show that degradation remains constant for each battery size and can exceed energy cost savings by up to 1,060 %. These results demonstrate that energy-cost-only optimisation systematically underestimates the true system cost, motivating a degradation-aware control formulation.
Dawood Butt, Nandor Verba
Jun 11, 2026cs.LG

A green solvent screening tool for emerging materials via uncertainty aware, transformer enhanced transfer learning

Accurate prediction of solubility remains a central challenge across materials science and sustainable chemistry. In particular due to emerging technologies like organic and hybrid photovoltaics, batteries, and catalysis, solvent usage is expected to increase significantly within the coming years. Therefore, substituting solvents with greener alternatives is vital. This is where machine learning can have substantial impact. However, the limited data on critical parameters of solubility significantly constraints machine learning efficacy. In this work, we transfer a pre-trained foundational model on QM9 targets to our application with minimal data requirements. Additionally, the pipeline integrates uncertainty quantification, allowing the user to gauge the confidence of the predictions. As baseline, we succeed in predicting the Hansen solubility parameters and Dielectric Constant for which extensive databases exist. Importantly, we achieve high model performance on additional targets, such as Gutmann Donor and Acceptor numbers, where the available data is extremely limited. Overall, we augment data on solubility descriptors by orders of magnitude with high quality predictions. For effective dissemination, we deploy easy-to-use, easily integrateable with high throughput labs, customizable tool for ranking and screening possible solvent substitutes. Finally, we rediscovered known green solvent alternatives and proposed new candidates proving its relevance for finding eco-friendly solvents.
Ioannis Kouroudis, Simon Ternes, Zhaosu Gu +5
Jun 5, 2026cs.LG

Time series Foundation Models based on Physics-Informed Synthetic Histories for Cold-Start Photovoltaic Forecasting

At commissioning time, Photovoltaic (PV) operators must forecast production before target-site observations are available, limiting the direct use of standard supervised forecasters. This cold-start setting is addressed with a zero-shot pipeline that generates a synthetic production history from plant metadata and meteorological covariates, enabling time-series foundation models (TSFMs) to forecast through inference-time conditioning. Five TSFMs are benchmarked against classical baselines under strict Cold-Start Baseline, Real Feedback, and Self-Forecast Feedback strategies. The evaluation spans 440440 PV sites across four datasets and diverse climate regimes. Covariate-aware foundation models outperform baselines by approximately 1.72×1.7-2\times: TabPFN-TS achieves the lowest error under Real Feedback (MAE 0.5140.514, RMSE 0.7210.721 kWhkWh kWp1{kWp}^{-1} d1{d}^{-1}), while Chronos-2 is most robust under Self-Forecast Feedback. Performance is largely insensitive to the synthetic-history source, indicating that accuracy is driven more by the availability of plausible temporal context than by the specific generator.
Lorenzo Longarini, Alessandro Rongoni, Simone Silenzi +2
Jun 1, 2026cs.AI

Explainable Data-driven Deep Reinforcement Learning Methods for Optimal Energy Management in Buildings

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources into power systems, particularly in buildings equipped with photovoltaic (PV) panels and energy storage systems, introduces significant complexity in energy systems. Volatile power generation, varying electricity tariffs, and increased entities, e.g., PV systems, and heat pumps, have increased the complexity and made the system harder to operate. This leads to the demand for additional control and optimization routes including data-based controls, such as reinforcement learning. While deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has emerged as a promising solution to optimize building operations in dynamic and ever more complex environments, its black-box nature impedes user trust and practical adoption. This paper presents a framework for explainable deep reinforcement learning (XRL) applied to energy management in residential buildings. We demonstrate its usage on both synthetic data but also on real-world data from the Living Lab Energy Campus (LLEC) at KIT. We train and compare both on-policy and off-policy DRL agents on an expanded state space that incorporates real-time measurements (demand, PV generation, battery power, state of charge), external signals (dynamic electricity price, local weather data), calendrical and holiday indicators, and forecasts for demand and price. Our experimental results indicate that on-policy algorithms, particularly Advantage Actor Critic (A2C) and Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO), outperform off-policy methods in terms of cumulative rewards and policy stability. To explain these models, we employ post-hoc interpretation techniques to elaborate the learned control policies. Our findings demonstrate that the XRL framework not only reduces electricity costs through optimal battery management, but also provides transparent, actionable insights into the agent's decision-making process.
Hallah Shahid Butt, Qiong Huang, Gökhan Demirel +6
May 27, 2026stat.ML

Decision-focused learning for optimal PV-Battery scheduling

The use of residential photovoltaics has increased dramatically in recent years. With battery systems becoming more affordable, the optimal operation of a photovoltaic-battery system can bring significant savings to households. Optimal control requires correct forecasts of underlying parameters, such as photovoltaic power generation, to schedule the battery. While forecasting models have become increasingly accurate due to algorithmic advances and data availability, accuracy is typically measured in generic metrics which might not align with the downstream application. This study proposes a decision-focused learning framework that integrates optimization and prediction by training a Long Short-Term Memory photovoltaic energy forecaster on the downstream optimal scheduling of a battery system. The proposed methodology is compared against a standard two-phase approach. Across a 14-month evaluation period, the decision-focused method reduced average electricity costs across twenty buildings by 3.6% when normalized against performance bounds defined by a perfect forecast and a baseline of no optimization. Critically, this financial improvement was achieved despite the model exhibiting a root mean squared error of 19.9%, significantly higher than the decoupled model's 8.2%. Warm-starting the decision-focused model further improves results, lowering average cost by approximately 8%, while also mitigating the negative impact on statistical accuracy (root mean squared error of 13.7%). The findings are statistically significant at the 0.001 level across the twenty households and for each household individually. These results demonstrate that aligning forecast models with optimization goals is key for achieving cost advantages in PV-battery systems. Future research should replicate these findings on other datasets, alternate forecasting models and alternate optimization algorithms.
Joris Depoortere, Hussain Kazmi, Johan Driesen
May 27, 2026cs.CV

Inpainting-Style Conditional Diffusion for Multivariable Time Series Forecasting

In this paper, we propose a novel conditional diffusion-based framework for multivariable time-series solar power forecasting. The proposed method reformulates temporal PV data as structured two-dimensional representations (images) using a sliding-window patch construction, enabling the application of Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models (DDPM) within a unified spatiotemporal learning paradigm. A key contribution of this work is the formulation of solar forecasting as an inpainting problem, where future time steps are treated as missing regions to be reconstructed. This is achieved through a mask-based conditional diffusion mechanism, in which historical observations are preserved as conditioning context while the target (future) region is progressively corrupted and subsequently recovered via reverse diffusion. The model learns to generate coherent future sequences conditioned on observed data, effectively performing time-series inpainting. To fully utilize all available features and ensure compatibility with U-Net architectural constraints, a zero-padding strategy is introduced to construct fixed-size inputs. The model is trained using a supervised denoising objective to predict injected noise, enabling accurate iterative reconstruction during the reverse process. Extensive experiments conducted on benchmark PV dataset, including GEFCom2014, demonstrate that the proposed approach achieves high forecasting accuracy, particularly for short-term horizons. The results highlight the effectiveness of integrating diffusion-based generative modeling with an inpainting formulation for robust, flexible, and high-fidelity solar power forecasting.
Kourosh Kiani, S. M. Muyeen
May 27, 2026eess.SP

Project SPARROW and the Future of Conservation Technology

Global biodiversity is declining at unprecedented rates, yet the tools available to monitor and protect ecosystems remain limited by constraints in power, connectivity, and accessibility. We present SPARROW, a hardware and software open-source platform that integrates solar energy, edge artificial intelligence, and satellite communication to enable continuous, autonomous biodiversity monitoring in remote environments. Each SPARROW node combines a low-power Graphics Processing Unit (GPU) with modular visual, acoustic, and environmental sensors, performing on-device deep learning inference and transmitting summarized results through Low-Earth-Orbit (LEO) satellite or Global System for Mobile Communications (GSM) networks. We deployed SPARROW across tropical, temperate, and montane ecosystems in Colombia, Peru, Tanzania, and the United States, where it sustained 24/7 operation under variable environmental conditions and collected more than two million images and acoustic recordings in the first 190 days. The system demonstrated robust real-time classification and adaptive power management, achieving full autonomy without on-site human intervention. By integrating renewable energy, on-edge AI, and open-source design, SPARROW lowers the technical and financial barriers to ecological monitoring and establishes a scalable foundation for a distributed, intelligent network of sensors, an emerging "Internet of Living Things" for planetary biodiversity monitoring.
Juan M. Lavista Ferres, Carl Chalmers, Bruno Demuro Segundo +14
May 18, 2026cs.CV

Learning Long-Term Temporal Dependencies in Photovoltaic Power Output Prediction Through Multi-Horizon Forecasting

The rapid global expansion of solar photovoltaic (PV) capacity-reaching a record 597 GW in 2024-highlights the urgent need for robust forecasting models to mitigate the grid instability caused by the intermittent nature of solar irradiance. While deep learning-based direct forecasting using ground-based sky images (GSI) has emerged as a dominant approach, existing literature is often constrained by single-architecture evaluations and an exclusive focus on single-horizon (point) prediction. This paper proposes a transition from traditional single-horizon estimation toward a multi-horizon forecasting framework, leading to an architecture-independent improvement in accuracy. We hypothesize and demonstrate experimentally that joint optimization over a sequence of future values allows deep neural networks to better capture latent inter-step temporal dependencies by avoiding precocious convergence of the network in terms of both weight gradients and filter diversity. Leveraging this architecture-independent improvement that integrates sequential sky imagery with historical PV generation data, we evaluate the models' abilities to predict power output across multiple discrete future time steps simultaneously. Our methodology is validated through a comparative analysis across diverse deep learning architectures. The results demonstrate that this multi-horizon approach significantly enhances predictive accuracy and robustness across the entire forecast horizon while maintaining computational parsimony. By achieving superior performance with negligible overhead compared to single-horizon models, this work provides a scalable and efficient solution to improve the resilience of modern power grids.
Sumit Laha, Ankit Sharma, Hassan Foroosh
May 18, 2026cs.LG

LEAP: A closed-loop framework for perovskite precursor additive discovery

Efficient discovery of precursor additives is essential for improving the performance of perovskite solar cells, yet the large chemical space makes conventional trial-and-error screening inefficient. We develop LEAP(LLM-driven Exploration via Active Learning for Perovskites), an expert-in-the-loop closed framework that couples a domain-specialized large language model(LLM) with active learning for iterative additive prioritization. The LLM is trained to extract mechanism-relevant knowledge from the perovskite additive literature and to represent candidate molecules through interpretable descriptors, which are further integrated into a Bayesian optimization workflow for uncertainty-aware prioritization under low-data conditions. Benchmark results on unseen literature show that the domain-specialized model outperforms general-purpose models in mechanism-consistent reasoning. Experimental validation in an expert-in-the-loop proof-of-concept study suggests improved additive prioritization across three screening rounds, leading to average device PCEs of 20.13% and 20.87% for the later-round 6-CDQ- and 2-CNA-treated devices, respectively, compared with 19.25% for the control, with a champion PCE of 21.32%. These results provide preliminary evidence that literature-grounded mechanistic descriptors, when coupled with Bayesian optimization and expert feasibility review, can support mechanism-aware additive prioritization in perovskite photovoltaics.
Xin-De Wang, Zhi-Rui Chen, Ze-Feng Gao +3
May 16, 2026cs.LG

Privacy-Preserving Generation Fraud Detection for Distributed Photovoltaic Systems: A Solar Irradiance-Fused Federated Learning Framework

The wide adoption of residential photovoltaic (PV) systems introduces new challenges for generation fraud detection (FD). Unlike traditional electricity theft detection, which focuses on electricity consumption-side behavior, PV generation fraud detection (PVG-FD) is complicated by the inherent intermittency and uncertainty of PV generation. The distributed nature of PV systems poses further challenges for centralized PVG-FD approaches due to scalability and privacy concerns. This paper develops a privacy-preserving distributed PVG-FD framework based on federated learning (FL). In this framework, a utility company manages multiple household communities, where each of which is equipped with a local detector. The framework integrates a novel detection model architecture with privacy-preserving global collaboration. Each community's local model fuses PV generation and weather data via a co-attention mechanism to detect discrepancies critical for PVG-FD. The FL framework enables cross-community collaboration by aggregating model parameters and prototypes, leveraging global knowledge sharing with local refinement while preserving privacy. It also uses prototype alignment to address class imbalance by enhancing fraud sample representation. Extensive experiments on a real-world residential PV dataset validate the effectiveness of the developed method and demonstrate that it outperforms state-of-the-art FL methods across various scenarios. The results also show its scalability across varying community sizes and strong robustness to class imbalance.
Xiaolu Chen, Chenghao Huang, Yanru Zhang +1
May 15, 2026cs.CL

Optimized Three-Dimensional Photovoltaic Structures with LLM guided Tree Search

We present a case study for how AI coding systems can be used to generate novel scientific hypotheses. We combine a generic coding agent (Google's AntiGravity) with an LLM-driven tree search algorithm (Empirical Research Assistance / ERA) to autonomously generate high-efficiency three-dimensional photovoltaic (3DPV) structures that overcome losses limiting flat solar panels at mid-latitudes. These structures operate by presenting favorable angles to the sun throughout the day, and for illustrative purposes we focus on optimizing performance for a single solar day. Our workflow begins by using AntiGravity to reproduce calculations \cite{bernardi2012solar} showing that 3DPV can have energy densities much higher than stationary flat PV panels. We use these initial designs as the starting point for large scale tree search, where we seek improved solutions and score them for their diurnal yield. The initial tree search leads to nominally more efficient solutions, yet they are caused by algorithmic reward hacking, arising from non-physical design features such as structurally levitating disconnected tiers and exploitations of the discretizations in the optics solver. To counteract this, we develop a workflow where the coding agent iteratively patches the physics engine with constraints to eliminate reward hacking. With reward-hacking eliminated, ERA discovers a series of designs with various constraints and improved performance, including optimal designs with different fixed collector areas, optimizing zenith tracking and avoiding self shadowing. Combining coding agents with tree search (ERA) provides a powerful platform for scientific discovery, for problems whose solutions can be empirically evaluated with a score function.
Michael P. Brenner, Lizzie Dorfman, John C. Platt
May 9, 2026cs.CL

A Quantum Inspired Variational Kernel and Explainable AI Framework for Cross Region Solar and Wind Energy Forecasting

Reliable short horizon forecasting of solar and wind generation is a structural prerequisite of any modern power system yet most published forecasters are tuned and evaluated on a single climatic regime and most algorithmic novelty has been concentrated either on classical recurrent networks or on monolithic foundation models that combine forecasting and explanation We develop a four stage hybrid framework that separates these concerns The first stage acquires hourly generation irradiance and surface weather records through public application programming interfaces The second stage trains three classical baselines autoregressive integrated moving average gradient boosted regression trees and a two layer long short term memory network and produces a strong point forecast together with a residual error series The third stage corrects the residual through a quantum inspired variational kernel built on a six qubit hardware efficient ansatz with three repeated entangling layers The fourth stage uses generative artificial intelligence strictly as an explainability layer that reads the measured benchmark numbers and produces a structured natural language interpretation Across three regions drawn from open public archives Iberian solar North Sea wind and a mixed Texas trace the proposed configuration stays within one percentage point of the strongest classical baseline on the in domain forecasting task and the quantum inspired kernel separates calm and stormy weather regimes with a Fisher discriminant ratio approximately fifteen fold higher than a tuned radial basis kernel
Pavan Manjunath, Thomas Prufer
May 4, 2026cs.AI

AI and Open-data Driven Scalable Solar Power Profiling

Solar photovoltaic (PV) deployment is expanding rapidly, yet detailed, up-to-date information on the spatial distribution and capacity of rooftop PV remains limited. This paper presents an open, scalable framework for detecting solar panels from open data and generating city-level solar power profiles. We leverage foundation vision AI models to detect solar panel geometries from open-source satellite imagery. This avoids manual data labeling and case-specific model training while maintaining robustness across heterogeneous imagery. Detected solar panels are converted into georeferenced polygons, yielding spatially explicit and incrementally extensible inventories. By integrating open weather data, we translate panel footprints into regional solar power profiles. The framework reduces dependency on proprietary imagery, manual labeling, and closed-source models, and offers a transparent and scalable approach for solar planning and analysis. We released the data and an API resulted from this work. For any user-specified building location, our API retrieves aerial imagery, detects rooftop solar panels, and returns georeferenced polygons. This empowers researchers and developers to scan user-defined areas to build solar panel maps and associated solar production profiles, thus facilitating advanced analysis like distributed solar production integration, local power flow optimization, energy tariff design, and infrastructure planning.
Shiliang Zhang, Sabita Maharjan, Damla Turgut
Apr 26, 2026cs.CV

SolarFCD: A Large-Scale Dataset and Benchmark for Solar Fault Classification in Photovoltaic Systems

The increasing global deployment of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems needs robust, scalable, and automated inspection technologies capable of detecting a wide range of panel flaws under a variety of operating situations. The lack of large-scale, multi-modal, publicly available annotated datasets is a major obstacle preventing advancement in this field. We introduce SolarFCD, an extensive dataset of solar panel defects created by methodically combining and reconciling three publicly accessible datasets covering two imaging modalities: RGB/Drone images and Thermal Infrared. The dataset consist of 4,435 images arranged under four unified defect classes such as: healthy images, Surface Obstruction, structural fault, and electrical fault. The dataset was divided into training, validation, and test splits at an 80:10:10 ratio through methodical label mapping, near-duplicate removal, and targeted augmentation of minority classes. Sixteen classification architectures from five design families were trained and assessed on the dataset to provide repeatable benchmark baselines. With an accuracy of 86.68%, precision of 88.65%, recall of 88.62%, and F1-score of 88.17%, ResNet101V2 performed the best overall. Per-class results showed balanced detection across all four defect categories within a narrow performance band of less than 1.2 percentage points. To promote open and repeatable research in automated PV inspection and solar energy operations and maintenance, the dataset, annotation files, and baseline code are made openly available.
Misbah Ijaz, Saif Ur Rehman Khan, Abd Ur Rehman +4
Apr 23, 2026cs.CV

Forecasting Solar Energy Using a Single Image

Solar panels are increasingly deployed in cities on rooftops, walls, and urban infrastructure. Although the panel costs have fallen in recent years, the soft costs of installing them have not. These soft costs include assessing the illumination (irradiance) of a panel, which is typically performed using a 3D model that fails to capture small nearby structures that impact the irradiance. Our approach uses a single image taken at the panel's location to forecast its irradiance at any time in the future. We use visual cues in the image to find the camera's orientation and the portion of the sky visible to the panel in order to forecast the irradiance due to the sun and the sky. In addition, we show that the irradiance due to reflections from nearby buildings varies smoothly over time and can be forecasted from the image. This approach enables assessing the solar energy potential of any surface and forecasting the temporal variation of a panel's irradiance. We validate our approach using real irradiance measurements in urban canyons. We show that our approach often yields more accurate irradiance forecasts compared to conventional irradiance-based transposition methods and 3D model-based simulations. We also show that a single spherical image can be used to find the best fixed orientation of a panel. Finally, we present Solaris, a device to capture the image seen by a panel in a variety of urban settings.
Jeremy Klotz, Shree K. Nayar
Apr 13, 2026cs.CV

Towards Automated Solar Panel Integrity: Hybrid Deep Feature Extraction for Advanced Surface Defect Identification

To ensure energy efficiency and reliable operations, it is essential to monitor solar panels in generation plants to detect defects. It is quite labor-intensive, time consuming and costly to manually monitor large-scale solar plants and those installed in remote areas. Manual inspection may also be susceptible to human errors. Consequently, it is necessary to create an automated, intelligent defect-detection system, that ensures continuous monitoring, early fault detection, and maximum power generation. We proposed a novel hybrid method for defect detection in SOLAR plates by combining both handcrafted and deep learning features. Local Binary Pattern (LBP), Histogram of Gradients (HoG) and Gabor Filters were used for the extraction of handcrafted features. Deep features extracted by leveraging the use of DenseNet-169. Both handcrafted and deep features were concatenated and then fed to three distinct types of classifiers, including Support Vector Machines (SVM), Extreme Gradient Boost (XGBoost) and Light Gradient-Boosting Machine (LGBM). Experimental results evaluated on the augmented dataset show the superior performance, especially DenseNet-169 + Gabor (SVM), had the highest scores with 99.17% accuracy which was higher than all the other systems. In general, the proposed hybrid framework offers better defect-detection accuracy, resistance, and flexibility that has a solid basis on the real-life use of the automated PV panels monitoring system.
Muhammad Junaid Asif, Muhammad Saad Rafaqat, Usman Nazakat +2
Feb 10, 2026cs.MA

PeroMAS: A Multi-agent System of Perovskite Material Discovery

As a pioneer of the third-generation photovoltaic revolution, Perovskite Solar Cells (PSCs) are renowned for their superior optoelectronic performance and cost potential. The development process of PSCs is precise and complex, involving a series of closed-loop workflows such as literature retrieval, data integration, experimental design, and synthesis. However, existing AI perovskite approaches focus predominantly on discrete models, including material design, process optimization,and property prediction. These models fail to propagate physical constraints across the workflow, hindering end-to-end optimization. In this paper, we propose a multi-agent system for perovskite material discovery, named PeroMAS. We first encapsulated a series of perovskite-specific tools into Model Context Protocols (MCPs). By planning and invoking these tools, PeroMAS can design perovskite materials under multi-objective constraints, covering the entire process from literature retrieval and data extraction to property prediction and mechanism analysis. Furthermore, we construct an evaluation benchmark by perovskite human experts to assess this multi-agent system. Results demonstrate that, compared to single Large Language Model (LLM) or traditional search strategies, our system significantly enhances discovery efficiency. It successfully identified candidate materials satisfying multi-objective constraints. Notably, we verify PeroMAS's effectiveness in the physical world through real synthesis experiments.
Yishu Wang, Wei Liu, Yifan Li +8
Sep 13, 2025cs.RO

Autonomous Close-Proximity Photovoltaic Panel Coating Using a Quadcopter

Photovoltaic (PV) panels are becoming increasingly widespread in the domain of renewable energy, and thus, small efficiency gains can have massive effects. Anti-reflective and self-cleaning coatings enhance panel performance but degrade over time, requiring periodic reapplication. Uncrewed Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) offer a flexible and autonomous way to apply protective coatings more often and at lower cost compared to traditional manual coating methods. We present a quadcopter-based system, equipped with a liquid dispersion mechanism, designed to automate such tasks. The localization stack only uses onboard sensors, relying on visual-inertial odometry and the relative position of the PV panel detected with respect to the quadcopter. The control relies on a model-based controller that accounts for the ground effect and the mass decrease of the quadcopter during liquid dispersion. We validate the autonomy capabilities of our system through extensive indoor and outdoor experiments.
Dimitri Jacquemont, Carlo Bosio, Teaya Yang +7