Overview

System identification uses observations of a system, often alongside controlled inputs, to infer how it changes over time and how it will respond to new conditions. Approaches range from ARX and state-space or subspace methods to sparse equation discovery with SINDy, Koopman operators, neural ODEs, and physics-structured models such as Hamiltonian networks; Bayesian and active-learning methods help choose experiments and quantify uncertainty. These tools support prediction and control in settings including robotics, industrial processes, physical experiments, and systems observed through video. A central challenge is that accurate prediction on observed data does not guarantee that the underlying laws or parameters are identifiable, especially with sparse, noisy, partial, or weakly excited observations.

Latest papers

157 papers19 papers in the last four weeks, down 10% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.

May 18, 2026

Data-Driven Dynamic Modeling of a Tendon-Actuated Continuum Robot

Developing dynamic models for tendon-driven continuum robots is challenging due to their nonlinear, high-dimensional, and friction-dominated dynamics. This paper presents a comparative study of data-driven system identification methods, including N4SID, ARX, and SINDYc, for modeling a tendon-actuated continuum robot with rolling joints developed at CERN. Despite the high number of joints of the robot, experimental analysis reveals that a two-degree-of-freedom dynamic model can accurately capture the system dynamics, owing to strong kinematic dependencies between the joints. The models are validated against experimental data, and used in the design of a model predictive controller, demonstrating their feasibility for real-time control.
May 17, 2026

PRIME: Physically-consistent Robotic Inertial and Motion Estimation for Legged and Humanoid Robots

Humanoid and legged robots interact with the environment through intermittent contacts, making accurate motion estimation fundamentally dependent on reasoning about contact dynamics. However, standard sensing pipelines-whether based on onboard proprioception with Extended Kalman Filters (EKFs) or external motion capture systems-recover only kinematics, while contact forces, contact timing, and inertial parameters remain unobserved. As a result, purely kinematic reconstructions often violate rigid-body dynamics, particularly during contact-rich motions. To enable accurate motion estimation from onboard kinematics in real-world deployment, we propose PRIME (Physically-consistent Robotic Inertial and Motion Estimation), a Maximum A Posteriori (MAP) formulation that refines measured kinematics and actuator commands into a dynamically consistent trajectory while jointly estimating frictional contact forces and physically consistent inertial parameters. Our approach incorporates differentiable contact dynamics with smoothed complementarity constraints and an Anitescu-style friction model, yielding a smooth optimization problem that remains tractable across versatile contact transitions. We evaluate PRIME on contact-rich locomotion with quadrupedal robots and the Unitree G1 humanoid, demonstrating improved trajectory consistency and accurate inertial parameter identification. Beyond improving state estimation and feedback control with calibrated inertial parameters, PRIME produces force- and contact-annotated motion reconstructions from real robots in deployment, which can be used to provide high-quality data for downstream learning applications, including large-scale behavior modeling and robot foundation models.
May 16, 2026

SSTL: Self-Sensing Tendon Loop for Hysteresis Modeling and Compensation in Tendon-Sheath Mechanisms

Flexible endoscopic robots enable minimally invasive access through natural orifices, but their control accuracy is limited by configuration-dependent hysteresis in the tendon-sheath mechanisms (TSMs). Tendon-sheath friction and tendon elasticity induce a systematic discrepancy between the proximal actuation input and distal output, and this discrepancy varies with the insertion tube configuration. To address this challenge, this paper proposes the Self-Sensing Tendon Loop (SSTL), a double-pass tendon loop routed through the insertion tube and wrapped around a distal pulley, and returned to the proximal end. The loop structure allows both the input and output tensions of the SSTL to be measured proximally, thereby providing an input-output tension profile without requiring distal force or fiber-optic sensors. Because the SSTL shares the same routing path as the actuation TSM, the two TSMs exhibit strongly correlated hysteresis behaviors. From the SSTL tension profile, a learning-based mapping estimates the configuration-dependent hysteresis parameters of the actuation TSM, which are then used by a feedforward controller to compensate for actuation hysteresis. We validate the proposed method by tracking actuation tendon tension under three different insertion tube configurations. Across sinusoidal and random trajectories, the proposed method reduces average RMSE by 88.1% compared with the uncompensated baseline, achieving 97.8% of the performance of direct identification, which requires direct measurement of the input and output tension profile of the actuation TSM.
May 15, 2026

Identify Then Project: Contrastive Learning of Latent Dynamics from Partial Observations with Port-Hamiltonian Structure

Identifying latent state representations and dynamics is essential when direct modeling in observation space is infeasible, particularly under partial and high-dimensional observations. In such settings, representation learning and physics-aware modeling are inherently coupled. We study this problem for latent port-Hamiltonian systems, a structured class encompassing both conservative and dissipative dynamics. We propose a two-stage identify-then-project framework. First, a contrastive teacher learns continuous-time latent dynamics from partial observations. Then, a student projects the identified teacher representation and dynamics onto a port-Hamiltonian submanifold via a learned affine chart, yielding a physically consistent realization. As a conceptual counterfactual, we also consider a single-stage variant that jointly learns latent identification and port-Hamiltonian structure, but find it to be less reliable, motivating the proposed two-stage teacher-student framework. We show theoretically that affine projection is the natural bridge between the affine gauge of contrastive latent identification and the port-Hamiltonian systems. Empirically, we demonstrate that the proposed two-stage approach preserves the teacher's dynamics while enforcing physical structure, and performs more reliably than the single-stage alternative, particularly in dissipative regimes and high-dimensional visual settings.
May 15, 2026

A Reproducible and Physically Feasible Dynamic Parameter Identification Framework for a Low-Cost Robot Arm

This paper presents a reproducible and physically feasible dynamic parameter identification framework for CRANE-X7, a low-cost robot arm driven by modular smart actuators. To improve practical identifiability, products of inertia are removed according to approximate link symmetry, reducing the rigid-body model from 65 to 39 base parameters. Identification motions are hand-designed from structured single-joint and adjacent-joint primitives under practical joint-range limits. The proposed pipeline combines preprocessing, inverse-dynamics-regressor-based ordinary least squares (OLS), conditional semidefinite-programming (SDP) projection for feasibility recovery, and closed-loop input error (CLIE) refinement. Candidate solutions from 40 structured trajectories are analyzed in a common principal component analysis (PCA) space to select a statistically central representative model. Because statistical centrality alone does not ensure physical acceptability, the selected model is finally screened by an all-pose positive-definiteness audit of the inertia matrix and, when necessary, corrected by a localized post-CLIE SDP rescue step. Experiments show that the parameter cloud becomes progressively more concentrated from OLS to SDP and CLIE, while the final accepted model preserves high predictive accuracy on held-out validation motions. These results demonstrate a practical route to statistically coherent and physically feasible dynamic models for low-cost robot platforms.
May 14, 2026

A Novel Schur Decomposition-Based Weight Projection Method for Stable State-Space Neural-Network Architectures

Building black-box models for dynamical systems from data is a challenging problem in machine learning, especially when asymptotic stability guarantees are required. In this paper, we introduce a novel stability-ensuring and backpropagation-compatible projection scheme based on the Schur decomposition for the state matrix of linear discrete-time state-space layers, as well as an alternative pre-factorized formulation of the methodology. The proposed methods dynamically project the quasi-triangular factor of the state matrix's real Schur decomposition onto its nearest stable peer, ensuring stable dynamics with minimal overparameterization. Experiments on synthetic linear systems demonstrate that, despite a marginal increase in computational complexity, the method achieves accuracy and convergence rates comparable to those of state-of-the-art stable-system identification techniques. Furthermore, the lower weight count facilitates convergence during training without sacrificing accuracy in stacked neural-network architectures with static nonlinearities targeting real-world datasets. These results suggest that the Schur-based projection provides a numerically robust framework for identifying complex dynamics on par with the state of the art while satisfying strict asymptotic-stability requirements.
May 14, 2026

Randomized Atomic Feature Models for Physics-Informed Identification of Dynamic Systems

We present a physics-informed framework for system identification based on randomized stable atomic features. Impulse responses are represented as random superpositions of stable atoms, namely damped complex exponentials associated with poles sampled inside a prescribed disk. Identification is then cast as a convex regularized least-squares problem with optional linear, second-order-cone, and KYP constraints. The approach generalizes random Fourier and random Laplace features to the damped, nonstationary regime relevant to engineering systems while retaining modal interpretability and scalable finite-dimensional computation. The main analytic point is an operator-theoretic Disk-Bochner viewpoint: positive measures over stable poles generate positive-definite kernels with a radius-dependent shift defect, while a converse scalar disk moment representation for an arbitrary kernel is characterized by subnormality of the canonical shift. We prove this statement, establish an RKHS-to-l1 embedding, show that sampled poles induce a valid finite atomic gauge, discuss random-feature convergence, and state sparse-recovery guarantees conditionally on the restricted-eigenvalue properties of the realized disk-Vandermonde or input-output design matrix. We also connect the normalized transfer function problem to Nevanlinna-Pick interpolation and LFT set-membership. The framework directly encodes stability margins, modal localization, DC-gain bounds, monotonicity, passivity, relative degree, settling-time targets, and time/frequency-domain error bounds. Numerical comparisons illustrate how physically meaningful priors can compensate for poor excitation and improve constrained impulse-response recovery in an under-informative data setting.
May 13, 2026

MPINeuralODE: Multiple-Initial-Condition Physics-Informed Neural ODEs for Globally Consistent Dynamical System Learning

Neural ordinary differential equations (Neural ODEs) often fit training trajectories while generalizing poorly to unseen initial conditions and long horizons. We propose MPINeuralODE, which combines a soft physics-informed residual with a Multiple-Initial-Condition (MIC) multiple-shooting curriculum whose ingredients are structurally complementary: the physics term anchors the vector-field magnitude on the support that MIC enlarges. We evaluate along three axes: out-of-sample error, long-horizon stability, and Hamiltonian drift, which together expose whether the learned dynamics recover the underlying vector field. On Lotka-Volterra, MPINeuralODE achieves the lowest out-of-sample and long-horizon MSE among data-driven methods, with a 24% reduction over the baseline Neural ODE, while essentially matching the PINN ablation on Hamiltonian drift.
May 12, 2026

Identifying the nonlinear string dynamics with port-Hamiltonian neural networks

Hybrid machine learning combines physical knowledge with data-driven models to enhance interpretability and performance. In this context, Port-Hamiltonian Systems (PHS), which generalize Hamiltonian mechanics to describe open, non-autonomous dynamical systems, have been successfully integrated with neural networks under the name Port-Hamiltonian Neural Networks (PHNNs). While the ability of PHNNs to identify Hamiltonian ordinary differential equation (ODE) systems has already been demonstrated, their application to learning Hamiltonian partial differential equation (PDE) systems remains largely unexplored. This limitation restricts their use in musical acoustics, where instruments are typically modeled as distributed parameter systems governed by PDEs. In this work, we demonstrate how to learn the nonlinear string dynamics from data in a physically-consistent framework through a PHNN extension to PDEs. By constructing structured neural network architectures based on PHS, we can recover both the Hamiltonian governing the string and the dissipation affecting it. This approach outperforms baseline, non-physics-informed methods in terms of both accuracy and interpretability. Numerical experiments using synthetic data demonstrate the ability of the proposed PHNN model to identify and emulate the nonlinear dynamics of the system.
May 12, 2026

Support-Safe Variational Hybrid Filtering for Contact-Mode and Sparse-Law Recovery

Contact-rich robot dynamics are hybrid: a single observation can match several latent states and contact regimes (free, impact, stick--slip). A standard amortized filter that places no probability on a feasible contact transition will permanently lose the branch the robot actually follows. We introduce VHYDRO, a variational hybrid dynamics learner that prevents this branch loss. At each step, VHYDRO mixes the learned proposal with a feasible transition law before sampling and importance weighting, ensuring that every transition retained by the model-feasible carrier remains covered. VHYDRO jointly infers a continuous latent state and a discrete contact mode, and fits a sparse port-Hamiltonian law to each recovered regime. On top of this, three guarantees connect: support coverage stabilizes filtering, the stabilized filter concentrates the discrete contact posterior on coherent regimes, and mode-pure segments admit sparse port-Hamiltonian recovery. The recovery error separates cleanly into filtering, derivative, mode-impurity, and physics-residual parts. Three empirical findings track the same mechanism. Under heavy occlusion the support-safe filter stays usable while a non-defensive proposal collapses. On ManiSkill demonstrations and on four Sawyer/BridgeData task families the discrete state forms temporally coherent contact-regime segments that the discrete state yields a stronger joint profile across ARI, change-point F1, and segment purity than post-hoc and mode-free baselines. On hybrid systems with known equations the mode-conditioned sparse fit recovers the active physical terms; purely predictive baselines do not.
May 12, 2026

Limits of Learning Linear Dynamics from Experiments

Learning governing dynamics from data is a common goal across the sciences, yet it is only well-posed when the underlying mechanisms are identifiable. In practice, many data-driven methods implicitly assume identifiability; when this assumption fails, estimated models can yield spurious predictions and invalid mechanistic conclusions. Classical identifiability guarantees for controlled linear time-invariant (LTI) systems provide sufficient conditions -- controllability and persistent excitation -- but leave open whether identifiability holds when these conditions fail, and which parts of the system remain identifiable without full identifiability. We show that the experimental setup, i.e., the realized initial state and control input, dictates a fundamental limit on the information recoverable from the observed trajectory. We develop a geometric characterization of this limit and derive a closed-form description of all systems consistent with the experimental setup. Crucially, we prove that even when the full system is not identifiable, the restricted dynamics on the subspace reachable by the experiment remain uniquely determined.
May 11, 2026

MaD Physics: Evaluating information seeking under constraints in physical environments

Scientific discovery is fundamentally a resource-constrained process that requires navigating complex trade-offs between the quality and quantity of measurements due to physical and cost constraints. Measurements drive the scientific process by revealing novel phenomena to improve our understanding. Existing benchmarks for evaluating agents for scientific discovery focus on either static knowledge-based reasoning or unconstrained experimental design tasks, and do not capture the ability to make measurements and plan under constraints. To bridge this gap, we propose Measuring and Discovering Physics (MaD Physics), a benchmark to evaluate the ability of agents to make informative measurements and conclusions subject to constraints on the quality and quantity of measurements. The benchmark consists of three environments, each based on a distinct physical law. To mitigate contamination from existing knowledge, MaD Physics includes altered physical laws. In each trial, the agent makes measurements of the system until it exhausts an allotted budget and then the agent has to infer the underlying physical law to make predictions about the state of the system in the future. MaD Physics evaluates two fundamental capabilities of scientific agents: inferring models from data and planning under constraints. We also demonstrate how MaD Physics can be used to evaluate other capabilities such as multimodality and in-context learning. We benchmark agents on MaD Physics using four Gemini models (2.5 Flash Lite, 2.5 Flash, 2.5 Pro, and 3 Flash), identifying shortcomings in their structured exploration and data collection capabilities and highlighting directions to improve their scientific reasoning.
May 11, 2026

ASIA: an Autonomous System Identification Agent

Over the years, research in system identification has provided a rich set of methods for learning dynamical models, together with well-established theoretical guarantees. In practice, however, the choice of model class, training algorithm, and hyperparameter tuning is still largely left to empirical trial-and-error, requiring substantial expert time and domain experience. Motivated by recent advances in agentic artificial intelligence, we present ASIA, a framework that delegates this iterative search to a large language model acting as an autonomous coding agent. Building on existing agentic platforms, ASIA closes the loop between hypothesis, implementation, and evaluation without human intervention, requiring only a plain-English description of the identification problem. We conduct an empirical study of ASIA on two system identification benchmarks and analyse the agent's search behaviour, the architectures and training strategies it discovers, and the quality of the resulting models. We also discuss the potential of the approach and its current limitations, including implicit test leakage, reduced methodological transparency, and reproducibility concerns.
May 10, 2026

ASACK : Adaptive Safe Active Continual Koopman Learning for Uncertain Systems with Contractive Guarantees

Koopman operator theory provides a powerful framework for representing nonlinear dynamics through a linear operator acting on lifted observables, enabling the use of linear control techniques for nonlinear systems. However, Koopman models are typically learned from data and often degrade in performance under model uncertainty and distributional shifts between training and deployment. Although several works have explored online adaptation to address this issue, many rely on neural network-based updates that introduce significant computational overhead and lack formal safety guarantees, limiting their suitability for real-time and safety-critical robotic applications. In this work, we propose a unified framework for continual adaptive Koopman learning that enables safe and efficient online refinement of learned models during task execution. An autoencoder-based Koopman model is first learned offline and subsequently refined online through a contractive adaptation law, which provides theoretical convergence guarantees under distributional shifts and model uncertainty. To improve data efficiency and accelerate model refinement, the adaptation mechanism is integrated with an active learning strategy that drives the system to collect informative data while accomplishing task objectives. The resulting control problem is formulated as a nonconvex optimization problem incorporating both active learning objectives and safety constraints. We further derive theoretical bounds on model approximation error and show how these bounds can be incorporated within a robust Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework to provide formal safety guarantees. The proposed approach unifies learning, excitation, and safety within a single control framework without sacrificing real-time feasibility. Extensive simulation and experimental studies demonstrate superior performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
May 8, 2026

Recovering Physical Dynamics from Discrete Observations via Intrinsic Differential Consistency

Recovering continuous-time dynamics from discrete observations is difficult because local supervision (e.g., pointwise regression targets, derivative approximations, or equation residuals) loses fidelity as the observation interval grows. We replace local supervision with a global structural constraint: any flow representing autonomous dynamics must satisfy the semi-group property under time translation. We train a time-conditioned secant velocity field whose deviation from this property, which we call Symmetry Rupture, serves two purposes. As a training regularizer, it confines the hypothesis space to flows that compose consistently across temporal scales. As an inference oracle, it lets the solver select the largest step size that preserves internal consistency, replacing the local truncation error that conventional adaptive solvers depend on. On the diffusion-reaction benchmark under time-informed inference, our method reduces rollout RMSE by 87% while using 5x fewer function evaluations than a Neural ODE baseline. In the more demanding direct auto-regressive setting, where the model must predict distant future frames without intermediate temporal cues, our adaptive solver allocates compute based on local geometric complexity -- maintaining the lowest rollout RMSE on two of three PDE benchmarks while baselines either diverge or require up to an order of magnitude more function evaluations to remain stable.
May 8, 2026

Active Embodiment Identification with Reinforcement Learning for Legged Robots

We present an active embodiment identification method for legged robots that jointly learns information-seeking behavior and explicit embodiment prediction. Using a history-augmented URMA architecture, the method infers joint-level and global embodiment parameters through interaction with the environment in simulation across different morphologies.
May 8, 2026

A Behavioral Framework for Data-Driven Modeling of Nonlinear Systems in Vector-Valued Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces

We generalize Jan Willems' behavioral approach to a class of discrete-time nonlinear systems in a vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Apart from linear time-invariant systems, this class covers nonlinear systems modeled by Volterra series and their autoregressive variants, as well as systems admitting Hammerstein-type state-space realizations. We apply the proposed framework to the problem of data-driven modeling of such systems, i.e., when simulation or control objectives for an unknown system are carried out without an explicit system identification step. To that end, we link the behavioral approach to two data-driven modeling methods in a vector-valued RKHS: (1) minimum-norm interpolation and (2) subspace identification.
May 4, 2026

ZNO: Stable Rational Neural Operators in the Z-Domain for Discrete-Time Dynamics

We introduce the Z-Domain Neural Operator (ZNO), a causal neural operator whose layers are stable low-rank multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) rational filters parameterized directly in the zz-plane. ZNO addresses a limitation of existing operator learning methods, many of which are primarily tailored for continuous-time problems, while a large class of system-identification problems is intrinsically discrete-time. The zz-domain form expresses stability as a unit-disk pole constraint and makes learned discrete-time poles directly readable. The model combines low-rank channel mixing, smooth stable pole reparameterization, causal recurrence, and an optional short finite impulse response (FIR) branch in a single zz-domain rational recurrent layer. Across controlled discrete system-identification experiments, ZNO's advantage is most evident when the target dynamics are stable rational systems with lightly damped poles near the unit circle. Under matched parameter budgets, ZNO is not uniformly dominant; however, with validation-selected configurations, the same architecture can achieve the lowest mean error across the controlled tasks. A five-bin difficulty sweep over near-unit-circle / long-memory dynamics shows that ZNO has the lowest mean error across memory regimes, from short (approximately 10 steps) to long (approximately 100-200 steps). On five public nonlinear system-identification benchmarks, ZNO is competitive with neural operator and state-space baselines, achieving the lowest mean error on benchmarks whose dynamics align with stable rational discrete-time filters, while classical or state-space baselines remain preferable on some systems. These results position ZNO as a strong model for stable rational discrete-time dynamics, especially in near-unit-circle and long-memory regimes, but not as a universal replacement for specialized system-identification methods.
Apr 29, 2026

AutoREC: A reinforcement learning platform for equivalent circuit model generation

This paper introduces AutoREC, an open-source Python platform for developing, training and evaluating reinforcement learning (RL) agents that automatically generate equivalent circuit models (ECMs) from electrochemical impedance spectroscopy (EIS) data. Although ECMs are widely used to interpret EIS measurements, their identification typically relies on manual trial-and-error, requiring domain expertise and limiting scalability, particularly in autonomous experimental pipelines such as self-driving laboratories. In AutoREC, ECM generation is formulated as a Markov decision process in which an RL agent sequentially modifies a circuit topology based on the current state, available actions and feedback from the resulting model. The platform supports an end-to-end workflow encompassing EIS preprocessing with selectable impedance representations, agent setup and training, ECM generation for new measurements and visualization-based evaluation and analysis of agent decision-making. AutoREC implements a configurable Double Deep Q-Network agent with prioritized experience replay and a dedicated deadloop mitigation strategy for navigating the complex circuit-generation action space efficiently. To demonstrate the platform, we trained a representative agent on 1350 synthetic spectra from five reference circuit families, evaluated it on 150 held-out synthetic spectra and applied it to 32 previously unseen experimental spectra from battery, corrosion, oxygen evolution reaction and CO2 reduction systems. These case studies illustrate the end-to-end capabilities of AutoREC while revealing challenges associated with experimental complexity and limited training-data coverage. The demonstrated agent serves as a reference implementation; AutoREC provides an extensible foundation through which users can develop and evaluate agents tailored to their specific electrochemical systems and research objectives.
Apr 28, 2026

Co-Learning Port-Hamiltonian Systems and Optimal Energy-Shaping Control

We develop a physics-informed learning framework for energy-shaping control of port-Hamiltonian (pH) systems from trajectory data. The proposed approach co-learns a pH system model and an optimal energy-balancing passivity-based controller (EB-PBC) through alternating optimization with policy-aware data collection. At each iteration, the system model is refined using trajectory data collected under the current control policy, and the controller is re-optimized on the updated model. Both components are parameterized by neural networks that embed the pH dynamics and EB-PBC structure, ensuring interpretability in terms of energy interactions. The learned controller renders the closed-loop system inherently passive and provably stable, and exploits passive plant dynamics without canceling the natural potential. A dissipation regularization enforces strict energy decay during training, thereby enhancing robustness to sim-to-real gaps. The proposed framework is validated on state-regulation and swing-up tasks for planar and torsional pendulum systems.
Apr 27, 2026

Conditional Score-Based Modeling of Effective Langevin Dynamics

Stochastic reduced-order models are widely used to represent the effective dynamics of complex systems, but estimating their drift and diffusion coefficients from data remains challenging. Standard approaches often rely on short-time trajectory increments, state-space partitioning, or repeated simulation of candidate models, which become unreliable or computationally expensive for high-dimensional systems, coarse temporal sampling, or unevenly sampled data. We introduce a data-driven calibration method based on a novel relationship between the coefficients of a stochastic reduced model and the conditional score of the finite-time transition density, defined as the gradient of the logarithm of the transition density with respect to the initial state. The resulting identity expresses derivatives of lagged correlation functions as stationary expectations over observed lagged pairs involving this conditional score and the unknown model coefficients. This formulation allows the drift and diffusion structure to be constrained directly from finite-lag statistics, without differentiating trajectories, partitioning state space, or repeatedly integrating candidate reduced models during calibration, yielding a least-squares fitting problem over stationary lagged pairs. We validate the approach on three systems of increasing complexity: an analytically tractable Cox--Ingersoll--Ross diffusion, a two-dimensional nonequilibrium diffusion with affine multiplicative noise, and a periodic soft-spin stochastic Landau--Lifshitz chain. Across these tests, the inferred models preserve the invariant statistics while reproducing finite-lag dynamical correlations. The framework provides a scalable route for learning stochastic reduced-order models from data that reproduce prescribed statistical and dynamical properties.
Apr 26, 2026

Hamiltonian Graph Inference Networks: Joint structure discovery and dynamics prediction for lattice Hamiltonian systems from trajectory data

Lattice Hamiltonian systems underpin models across condensed matter, nonlinear optics, and biophysics, yet learning their dynamics from data is obstructed by two unknowns: the interaction topology and whether node dynamics are homogeneous. Existing graph-based approaches either assume the graph is given or, as in αα-separable graph Hamiltonian network, infer it only for separable Hamiltonians with homogeneous node dynamics. We introduce the Hamiltonian Graph Inference Network (HGIN), which jointly recovers the interaction graph and predicts long-time trajectories from state data alone, for both separable and non-separable Hamiltonians and under heterogeneous node dynamics. HGIN couples a structure-learning module -- a learnable weighted adjacency matrix trained under a Hamilton's-equations loss -- with a trajectory-prediction module that partitions edges into physically distinct subgraphs via kk-means clustering, assigning each subgraph its own encoder and thereby breaking the parameter-sharing bottleneck of conventional GNNs. On three benchmarks -- a Klein--Gordon lattice with long-range interactions and two discrete nonlinear Schrödinger lattices (homogeneous and heterogeneous) -- HGIN reduces long-time energy prediction error and trajectory prediction error by six to thirteen orders of magnitude relative to baselines. A symmetry argument on the Hamiltonian loss further shows that the learned weights encode the parity of the underlying pair potential, yielding an interpretable readout of the system's interaction structure.
Apr 23, 2026

Wiggle and Go! System Identification for Zero-Shot Dynamic Rope Manipulation

Many robotic tasks are unforgiving; a single mistake in a dynamic throw can lead to unacceptable delays or unrecoverable failure. We introduce Wiggle and Go!, a two-stage framework for zero-shot rope manipulation: a brief, safe wiggle action is observed to predict descriptive rope parameters, which then conditions a trajectory optimizer for zero-shot goal-conditioned execution. Unlike prior dynamic rope manipulation methods that require large real-world datasets or iterative real-world refinement, our identification module is task-agnostic, supporting diverse manipulation policies without retraining. We achieve a 3.55,cm average accuracy on 3D target striking in real using rope system parameters in comparison to 15.29,cm for uninformed baselines, and over 50% success on multi-objective lobbing and draping tasks. Predicted parameters transfer to unseen motions with 0.95 Pearson correlation between simulated and real rope dynamics, indicating that the identification module generalizes across the task corpus. Project website: https://wiggleandgo.github.io/
Apr 23, 2026

CLT-Optimal Parameter Error Bounds for Linear System Identification

There has been remarkable progress over the past decade in establishing finite-sample, non-asymptotic bounds on recovering unknown system parameters from observed system behavior. Surprisingly, however, we show that the current state-of-the-art bounds do not accurately capture the statistical complexity of system identification, even in the most fundamental setting of estimating a discrete-time linear dynamical system (LDS) via ordinary least-squares regression (OLS). Specifically, we utilize asymptotic normality to identify classes of problem instances for which current bounds overstate the squared parameter error, in both spectral and Frobenius norm, by a factor of the state-dimension of the system. Informed by this discrepancy, we then sharpen the OLS parameter error bounds via a novel second-order decomposition of the parameter error, where crucially the lower-order term is a matrix-valued martingale that we show correctly captures the CLT scaling. From our analysis we obtain finite-sample bounds for both (i) stable systems and (ii) the many-trajectories setting that match the instance-specific optimal rates up to constant factors in Frobenius norm, and polylogarithmic state-dimension factors in spectral norm.
Apr 22, 2026

Fourier Weak SINDy: Spectral Test Function Selection for Robust Model Identification

We introduce Fourier Weak SINDy, a minimal noise-robust and interpretable derivative-free equation learning method that combines weak-form sparse equation learning with spectral density estimation for data-driven test function selection. By using orthogonal sinusoidal test functions inspired by their prevalence in Modulating Function-based system identification, the weak-form sparse regression problem reduces to a regression over Fourier coefficients. Dominant frequencies are then selected via multitaper estimation of the frequency spectrum of the data. This formulation unifies weak-form learning and spectral estimation within a compact and flexible framework. We illustrate the effectiveness of this approach in numerical experiments across multiple chaotic and hyperchaotic ODE benchmarks.
Apr 19, 2026

Machine Learning Hamiltonian Dynamical Systems with Sparse and Noisy Data

Machine learning has become a powerful tool for discovering governing laws of dynamical systems from data. However, most existing approaches degrade severely when observations are sparse, noisy, or irregularly sampled. In this work, we address the problem of learning symbolic representations of nonlinear Hamiltonian dynamical systems under extreme data scarcity by explicitly incorporating physical structure into the learning architecture. We introduce Adaptable Symplectic Recurrent Neural Networks (ASRNNs), a parameter-cognizant, structure-preserving model that combines Hamiltonian learning with symplectic recurrent integration, avoiding time derivative estimation, and enabling stable learning under noise. We demonstrate that ASRNNs can accurately predict long-term dynamics even when each training trajectory consists of only two irregularly spaced time points, possibly corrupted by correlated noise. Leveraging ASRNNs as structure-preserving data generators, we further enable symbolic discovery using independent regression methods (SINDy and PySR), recovering exact symbolic equations for polynomial systems and consistent polynomial approximations for non-polynomial Hamiltonians. Our results show that such architectures can provide a robust pathway to interpretable discovery of Hamiltonian dynamics from sparse and noisy data.
Apr 16, 2026

xFODE: An Explainable Fuzzy Additive ODE Framework for System Identification

Recent advances in Deep Learning (DL) have strengthened data-driven System Identification (SysID), with Neural and Fuzzy Ordinary Differential Equation (NODE/FODE) models achieving high accuracy in nonlinear dynamic modeling. Yet, system states in these frameworks are often reconstructed without clear physical meaning, and input contributions to the state derivatives remain difficult to interpret. To address these limitations, we propose Explainable FODE (xFODE), an interpretable SysID framework with integrated DL-based training. In xFODE, we define states in an incremental form to provide them with physical meanings. We employ fuzzy additive models to approximate the state derivative, thereby enhancing interpretability per input. To provide further interpretability, Partitioning Strategies (PSs) are developed, enabling the training of fuzzy additive models with explainability. By structuring the antecedent space during training so that only two consecutive rules are activated for any given input, PSs not only yield lower complexity for local inference but also enhance the interpretability of the antecedent space. To train xFODE, we present a DL framework with parameterized membership function learning that supports end-to-end optimization. Across benchmark SysID datasets, xFODE matches the accuracy of NODE, FODE, and NLARX models while providing interpretable insights.
Apr 16, 2026

xFODE+: Explainable Type-2 Fuzzy Additive ODEs for Uncertainty Quantification

Recent advances in Deep Learning (DL) have boosted data-driven System Identification (SysID), but reliable use requires Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) alongside accurate predictions. Although UQ-capable models such as Fuzzy ODE (FODE) can produce Prediction Intervals (PIs), they offer limited interpretability. We introduce Explainable Type-2 Fuzzy Additive ODEs for UQ (xFODE+), an interpretable SysID model which produces PIs alongside point predictions while retaining physically meaningful incremental states. xFODE+ implements each fuzzy additive model with Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (IT2-FLSs) and constraints membership functions to the activation of two neighboring rules, limiting overlap and keeping inference locally transparent. The type-reduced sets produced by the IT2-FLSs are aggregated to construct the state update together with the PIs. The model is trained in a DL framework via a composite loss that jointly optimizes prediction accuracy and PI quality. Results on benchmark SysID datasets show that xFODE+ matches FODE in PI quality and achieves comparable accuracy, while providing interpretability.
Apr 15, 2026

Diffusion Sequence Models for Generative In-Context Meta-Learning of Robot Dynamics

Accurate modeling of robot dynamics is essential for model-based control, yet remains challenging under distributional shifts and real-time constraints. In this work, we formulate system identification as an in-context meta-learning problem and compare deterministic and generative sequence models for forward dynamics prediction. We take a Transformer-based meta-model, as a strong deterministic baseline, and introduce to this setting two complementary diffusion-based approaches: (i) inpainting diffusion (Diffuser), which learns the joint input-observation distribution, and (ii) conditioned diffusion models (CNN and Transformer), which generate future observations conditioned on control inputs. Through large-scale randomized simulations, we analyze performance across in-distribution and out-of-distribution regimes, as well as computational trade-offs relevant for control. We show that diffusion models significantly improve robustness under distribution shift, with inpainting diffusion achieving the best performance in our experiments. Finally, we demonstrate that warm-started sampling enables diffusion models to operate within real-time constraints, making them viable for control applications. These results highlight generative meta-models as a promising direction for robust system identification in robotics.
Apr 10, 2026

Stability Enhanced Gaussian Process Variational Autoencoders

A novel stability-enhanced Gaussian process variational autoencoder (SEGP-VAE) is proposed for indirectly training a low-dimensional linear time invariant (LTI) system, using high-dimensional video data. The mean and covariance function of the novel SEGP prior are derived from the definition of an LTI system, enabling the SEGP to capture the indirectly observed latent process using a combined probabilistic and interpretable physical model. The search space of LTI parameters is restricted to the set of semi-contracting systems via a complete and unconstrained parametrisation. As a result, the SEGP-VAE can be trained using unconstrained optimisation algorithms. Furthermore, this parametrisation prevents numerical issues caused by the presence of a non-Hurwitz state matrix. A case study applies SEGP-VAE to a dataset containing videos of spiralling particles. This highlights the benefits of the approach and the application-specific design choices that enabled accurate latent state predictions.