System Identification

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4 papers in the last 28 days · 0.1% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-14

2 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in System Identification.

Period ending 2026-09-07

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in System Identification.

62 papers

Latest in System Identification

Sep 15, 2026cs.RO

Optimal Excitation Trajectories for System Identification of Underwater Vehicles

In this work, we propose a structured methodology for the system identification of underwater vehicles through the design of optimal excitation trajectories. To this end, the trajectories are parameterized using Bezier curves, which ensure smooth and differentiable motion profiles while facilitating the enforcement of constraints through appropriate manipulation of the control points. An optimization problem is formulated to determine a dynamically feasible excitation trajectory that respects safety limits and maximizes the quality of the collected data, thereby enabling reliable estimation of the vehicle's dynamic parameters using least squares. The proposed methodology is experimentally validated in a laboratory water tank, where the dynamic parameters, identified from the optimized trajectory, are evaluated by predicting the vehicle's velocity through forward simulation on previously unseen trajectories.
Fotis Panetsos, Kostas J. Kyriakopoulos
Sep 14, 2026stat.ML

Learning Interaction Kernels from Collective Steady States

We propose a learning procedure for system identification in interacting particle systems from single-snapshot observations of collective behaviors, unlike existing approaches that rely on observations of trajectories. This setting leads to a fundamentally ill-posed inverse problem, which we solve by using a regularization strategy based on the empirical distribution of observed configurations, drawn from different, unobserved initial conditions. We test our learning procedure on a variety of representative models with steady-state and quasi-stationary patterns, where collective behaviors encode implicit information about the interaction mechanisms, demonstrating that our approach enables stable and accurate recovery of the underlying interaction laws, leading to faithful reproduction of the collective behavior, and in many cases even of the dynamics leading up to it.
Baoli Hao, Mauro Maggioni, Ming Zhong
Sep 8, 2026cs.LG

Tensor-Train Weak SINDy: Identifying High-Dimensional Nonlinear Dynamics

In recent years, weak-form methods have made significant advances in data-driven discovery of dynamical systems. However, in high-dimensional settings, current techniques can prove expensive in both computation and memory. In this work, we introduce TT-WSINDy, which combines techniques of the Multidimensional Approximation of Nonlinear Dynamics (MANDy) and Weak Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (WSINDy) methods, implementing requisite computations in the tensor-train (TT) format. We demonstrate that this method is able to search an exponentially-growing space of candidate functions -- performing weak-form transformation, regression, and sparsification -- without suffering from the curse of dimensionality.
Will Houser, Vanja Dukic, David M. Bortz
Sep 8, 2026cs.LG

PAC-Bayesian Bounds for Learning Partially Observed Stochastic Linear Time-Invariant State-Space Systems with Inputs and Sub-Gaussian Noise

In this paper we derive a Probably Approximately Correct (PAC)-Bayesian error bound for partially observed linear time-invariant (LTI) stochastic dynamical systems in state-space form with inputs and sub-Gaussian noise. Such bounds are widespread in machine learning, and they are useful for characterizing the predictive power of models learned from finitely many data points. The bound derived in this paper relates the expectation of prediction errors with the prediction error generated by the model on the data used for learning. In addition, we show that it can also be used to derive bounds for the parameter estimation error. In turn, this allows us to provide finite-sample error bounds for the prediction error and parameter estimation error for a wide class of system identification algorithms. Furthermore, as LTI systems are a sub-class of recurrent neural networks (RNNs), these error bounds could be a first step towards PAC-Bayesian bounds for RNNs.
Mihaly Petreczky, Mohamad Al Ahdab, John Leth
Aug 31, 2026cs.RO

A Hybrid PEM-GP Framework for Uncertainty-Aware System Identification of Quadcopters

Accurate dynamic models play a central role in achieving reliable control of quadcopters. Classical system identification methods remain widely used, mainly because of their interpretability. However, they often fail to capture important nonlinear effects, especially in small-scale aerial platforms where such effects become more pronounced. Data-driven approaches offer a different perspective. They can represent complex nonlinear dynamics more effectively, but this comes at the cost of reduced interpretability and the absence of well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. In this work, we propose a framework that combines physics-based modeling with data-driven learning, while explicitly accounting for uncertainty. A physics-based model is first identified using the Prediction Error Method (PEM), which captures the main structure of the system. The remaining dynamics are then modeled using a Gaussian Process (GP), allowing the residual behavior to be learned directly from data. This separation makes it possible to distinguish between known physical effects and unmodeled dynamics. The proposed framework is validated on a Duckiedrone-like experimental setup. The results show that the PEM-GP model achieves prediction accuracy comparable to that of a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, while additionally providing calibrated uncertainty estimates. This combination improves model reliability and supports uncertainty-aware decision-making.
Abdallah Ghoul, Ismail Khalil Bousserhane, Kadri Boufeldja
Aug 30, 2026cs.RO

System Identification of Admittance Models for Large Real-World Objects

Simulation of admittance-type models requires physically consistent dynamic models that are rarely available for off-the-shelf, everyday objects, limiting the fidelity of haptic interfaces that rely on such simulations. This paper presents the first complete workflow for producing physically consistent models of large real-world objects with various constraints and mechanisms, guaranteeing physical consistency of inertia and friction parameters. The workflow separates each object and identifies the handle and body in two stages, requiring no torque sensors at hinges, axles, or other constrained joints. Models are produced for a heavy, closer-actuated door and a wheelbarrow, representing objects of differing constraint types and model complexity. The door is modeled using four-bar linkage kinematics and a fluid dynamics-based lumped parameter model including opening, backcheck, swing, and latch zones. The wheelbarrow is modeled as a rigid body with a spherical wheel and no slip during rolling. Handle estimation RMS errors were below 0.64 N and 0.042 Nm across both objects. Door body estimation had RMS error of 2.19 Nm and wheelbarrow body estimation had RMS error of 6.77 Nm.
Nathan I. Baum, Nathaniel G. Luttmer, Mark A. Minor
Aug 13, 2026cs.LG

Sparse Orthogonal Regression Technique: A Spectral Framework for Equation Discovery, Approximation, and Integration

We develop the Sparse Orthogonal Regression Technique (SORT), a sparse spectral framework for learning orthonormal-basis expansions from noisy and irregularly sampled data. SORT estimates expansion coefficients directly from observations using L1-regularized regression, avoiding explicit quadrature or analytic inner-product evaluation. The central application is data-driven discovery of ordinary differential equations: vector fields are represented in chosen orthogonal bases and learned as sparse coefficient expansions. This provides a complementary route to symbolic regression, grammar-based discovery, and SINDy-style sparse identification by first recovering a compact spectral representation, which can later guide searches for simpler analytic forms. Across the dynamical-system experiments, SORT matches or improves upon library-based sparse-regression baselines when the basis is well adapted to the problem, and shows more stable degradation under sparse sampling, noisy derivative estimates, and representation mismatch. Specific examples illustrate why this representation is useful: if a finite library misses the problem-specific nonlinearity, the resulting model can fail. SORT is not immune to mismatch, but it shifts the problem away from brittle selection among generic terms to basis design adapted to the problem domain. The experiments also show that dominant low-order coefficients persist as model order increases, supporting order-consistent model growth. Beyond equation discovery, the same learned expansion supports nonlinear approximation and estimation of complex, high-dimensional integrals by coefficient readout. Overall, SORT provides a reusable intermediate representation for system identification, approximation, and integration, while making basis design an explicit part of the scientific modeling problem.
Sabin Roman, Ljupco Todorovski, Saso Dzeroski
Aug 8, 2026cs.LG

Adaptive Symmetry Discovery for Dynamical System Identification

Dynamical systems model trajectory data generated by fixed underlying dynamics, with applications ranging from biology to physics. Especially in scientific settings, dynamical systems are not generic but often exhibit symmetries imposed by physical laws, formalized through equivariance with respect to group actions. The identification problem concerns recovering the parameters of a system from observed trajectories. In this work, we study adaptive symmetry discovery for dynamical system identification and address how a system can be identified from a single trajectory when it is equivariant with respect to an unknown symmetry group. To this end, we first show that for known symmetries, the system can be identified from a significantly shorter single trajectory than in the generic setting, and we precisely characterize this improvement. We then consider the automatic symmetry discovery setting, proposing a method to learn the symmetry group directly from a single trajectory and incorporate it into the identification procedure, achieving the same optimal trajectory length as in the known-symmetry case. Our analysis relies on tools from group representation theory and the expander properties of Cayley graphs, and may be of independent interest for the study of symmetries in dynamical systems.
Behrooz Tahmasebi, Melanie Weber
Aug 7, 2026cs.MS

Tensor Network Kernel Machines: A JAX Framework for Machine Learning and Nonlinear System Identification

Developing nonlinear models that are both expressive and computationally efficient remains a challenge in machine learning and nonlinear system identification. Tensor network kernel machines (TNKM) address this challenge by combining nonlinear feature representations with compact low-rank tensor-network parameterizations. However, practical and extensible software frameworks for developing TNKM models remain limited. In this work, we introduce "tnkm", an open-source Python library for constructing and training TNKM models using JAX. The library provides a unified interface for combining different feature maps, tensor-network architectures, and optimization strategies, including alternating least squares and gradient-based methods. We demonstrate the capabilities of "tnkm" on nonlinear benchmark problems, showing that the implemented models achieve competitive prediction accuracy while retaining compact parameterizations and efficient training. The proposed framework facilitates reproducible development and application of tensor-network-based learning methods.
Albert Saiapin, Kim Batselier
Aug 5, 2026cs.LG

Spectral Distillation: From Nonlinear Dynamics to Linear State-Space Models

Can nonlinear dynamical systems be learned through a compact linear state-space representation, without directly solving a non-convex system-identification problem? We give a provable pipeline for doing so. Starting from observations of an unknown nonlinear dynamical system, we first learn an implicit spectral predictor using Observation Spectral Filtering (OSF), a convex method that competes with the best linear observer for the system. We then apply spectral-to-LDS distillation to convert this predictor into an explicit recurrent linear dynamical system. Our main theorem shows that the average prediction error of the distilled LDS decomposes into an exponentially-small distillation term and the OSF learning term governed by the Luenberger complexity of the best observer. The guarantee is dimension-free: it depends on observer complexity rather than on the latent dimension needed to represent the nonlinear system. To our knowledge, this yields the first end-to-end provable method for extracting a best-in-hindsight LDS representation of nonlinear dynamics through convex learning followed by provable distillation. Experiments on linear LDS benchmarks and MuJoCo behavior cloning show that the train-then-distill pipeline produces compact LDS predictors that match or outperform directly trained baselines.
Liane Galanti, Devan Shah, Shlomo Fortgang +1
Aug 3, 2026cs.AI

Physics-Informed Neural Networks for Complex Eigenfrequency Identification and Mode Structure Reconstruction of the Ground-State ITG Branch

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) combine sparse observations with physical equations, providing an important approach for modeling complex plasma processes and inferring unknown physical quantities. The steep-gradient pedestal of high-confinement-mode tokamaks is closely linked to plasma confinement and edge transport. Analyzing ion-temperature-gradient (ITG) drift waves in this region requires jointly identifying complex eigenfrequencies and reconstructing two-dimensional complex-valued mode fields. Localized high-frequency oscillations, strong real-imaginary coupling, and nonlinear coupling between the mode field and eigenfrequency challenge PINN representation and joint optimization. To address these challenges, we propose a physics-informed neural framework combining Fourier feature encoding, complex-valued feature propagation, and three-stage training. Under sparse observations and physical constraints, it jointly solves for the complex eigenfrequency and mode field of a representative ground-state ITG branch. Experiments show that the framework accurately recovers the target complex eigenfrequency and two-dimensional complex-valued mode field and outperforms representative PINN baselines. It also provides a basis for analyzing higher-order and multiple-branch drift-wave modes.
Dengdi Sun, Bingbing Zhang, Xiao Wang +5
Jul 31, 2026cs.LG

Dynamics-aware identification of governing equations from sparse and noisy data

Sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) and PDE functional identification (PDE-FIND) recover parsimonious ordinary and partial differential equations (ODEs and PDEs) from data. However, sparse and noisy temporal measurements can make derivative estimates unreliable. To address this problem, we evaluate Koopman-based upsampling techniques implemented with dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), extended DMD (EDMD), and optimized DMD. These methods learn finite-dimensional approximations of Koopman evolution on selected observables and are used to interpolate and denoise snapshots inside the observed time window before derivative estimation and sparse regression. The empirical benchmark comprises two ODE systems, Lorenz-63 and Van der Pol, and three periodic PDE systems, Burgers, Fisher-Kolmogorov-Petrovskii-Piskunov (Fisher-KPP), and linear advection-diffusion, over sparse and noisy sampling regimes. Polynomial EDMD gives the strongest ODE results, especially in coefficient accuracy. The PDE results are system-dependent: low-rank DMD-assisted reconstructions improve Burgers and advection-diffusion discovery, while the raw baseline (without upsampling) remains competitive for the Fisher-KPP data. A comparison against linear and smoothing-spline interpolation techniques shows that the selected Koopman-based preprocessors provide overall performance gains over these non-dynamical alternatives. We also demonstrate that DMD-assisted upsampling can stabilize Pareto-based non-oracle support-size selection. Overall, Koopman-based upsampling is best viewed as a dynamics-aware preprocessing step that can reduce derivative-estimation error when its observable representation and low-rank structure are appropriate for the data.
Pongpisit Thanasutives, Yoshinobu Kawahara
Jul 25, 2026cs.RO

Sling2Sim2Real: One-Shot Elastic System Identification for Non-Destructive Slingshot Policy Learning

Elastic object manipulation (EOM) involves highdimensional, nonlinear, and elastic deformations. The diverse deformation properties of elastic objects substantially expand the relevant state space, requiring extensive exploration to learn accurate manipulation policies for tasks such as slingshot manipulation. While simulation enables large-scale and safe exploration compared to costly and potentially destructive real-world trials (e.g., repeated projectile launches), accurately calibrating elastic behavior between the real world and simulation remains challenging since elastic properties are largely indistinguishable from visual observations alone. To address these challenges, we propose Sling2Sim2Real, a one-shot Real2Sim2Real framework that identifies elastic parameters from a single non-destructive interaction and enables policy learning in simulation. The framework consists of two stages: 1) a multi-start Real2Sim system identification method that exploits parameter covariance to estimate elastic properties, and 2) simulation-based policy learning followed by zero-shot Sim2Real transfer using the calibrated simulator. We evaluate Sling2Sim2Real on a slingshot manipulation task using a Franka Emika Panda arm and elastic bands with diverse physical properties across varying target distances. Experimental results demonstrate that Sling2Sim2Real achieves accurate policy learning and robust generalization while significantly reducing the amount of required real-world interaction.
Wonjae Kang, Geonwoo Kim, Minseok Song +1
Jul 22, 2026cs.LG

PG-KINN: A Physics-Informed Petrov-Galerkin Kolmogorov-Arnold Network for Solving Forward and Inverse PDEs

Physics-informed learning of partial differential equations (PDEs) has been dominated by multilayer perceptrons (MLPs), whose spectral bias and dense parameterization limit both accuracy and interpretability. Kolmogorov Arnold Networks (KANs) mitigate these limitations because their learnable spline activations are structurally aligned with the piecewise-polynomial bases of classical discretizations. However, the way a PDE is cast into a loss functional is as decisive as the choice of approximator: strong-form residual minimization requires high-order derivatives and heavily weighted losses, the energy (Bubnov-Galerkin) form is restricted to self-adjoint operators and, as we show, collapses to a trivial solution for parameter-identification problems, and boundary integral forms require a known fundamental solution. We propose PG-KINN, a physics-informed KAN built on a Petrov-Galerkin formulation in which the trial space is a KAN and the test space is an independent, compactly supported, piecewise-polynomial space evaluated with Gauss-Legendre quadrature. Integration by parts lowers the differentiation order while retaining applicability to general non-self-adjoint, nonlinear, and inverse problems; the localized test functions turn the global residual into a set of element-wise weak residuals with favorable conditioning. On a suite of benchmarks spanning crack singularities, stress concentration, Neo-Hookean hyperelasticity, inverse parameter identification in heterogeneous media, and complex geometries, PG-KINN consistently outperforms legacy MLP baselines and state-of-the-art KAN-based strong/energy/inverse formulations (PIKAN). These results position the Petrov-Galerkin coupling of KAN trial spaces and polynomial test spaces as a robust and accurate route for AI-based computational mechanics.
Amirhossein Sadr, Nima Soltani, Vahideh Moghtadaiee +3
Jul 21, 2026cs.LG

Variational meta-learning inference for low dimensional neural system identification

Deep learning has proven highly effective for nonlinear system identification, but heavily parameterized neural networks are prone to overfitting in low-data regimes and lack reliable uncertainty quantification. The recently developed manifold meta-learning framework addresses the data efficiency problem by restricting the model parameters to a meta-learned low-dimensional manifold. However, that method is purely deterministic. We propose a fully probabilistic extension of the manifold meta-learning framework, based on amortized Variational Inference, where a generative prior over the low-dimensional parameter manifold is learned. During task-specific adaptation, we combine Maximum A Posteriori estimation with the Laplace approximation to yield a mathematically grounded posterior approximation. Evaluated on a static regression task and the Bouc--Wen dynamical system benchmark, the proposed approach achieves predictive accuracy comparable to its deterministic counterpart while successfully providing calibrated uncertainty bounds in severely low-data regimes.
Matteo Rufolo, Dario Piga, Marco Forgione
Jul 20, 2026eess.SY

Online learning of neural state-space models

Recent advances in deep-learning-based nonlinear system identification have led to encoder-based estimation of neural state-space (ANN-SS) models that achieve state-of-the-art performance in offline settings by estimating initial model states from past input-output data. These methods are typically used in multiple-shooting-based offline identification, and online learning of these models remains largely unexplored. This paper presents a batch-wise learning pipeline and a direct recursive identification algorithm for subspace encoder-based ANN-SS models. We provide convergence analysis of the recursive formulation and validate its performance through extensive simulation studies. The results demonstrate that the proposed approach enables computationally efficient online adaptation with high model accuracy.
Bendegúz Györök, Tamás Péni, Maarten Schoukens +1
Jul 17, 2026math.NA

A zero-one law for one-shot system identification

Can a model be identified from one experiment? We study analytic systems that are linearly parameterized by a combination of prescribed dictionary terms, such as partial differential operators and dynamical systems. For a single input-response pair, recovery is possible exactly when the evaluated dictionary terms are linearly independent. We prove a sharp zero-one law: either no input uniquely determines the coefficients, or almost every random input sampled from a nondegenerate Gaussian measure does. This dichotomy reduces one-shot system identification to a question about degenerate inputs and provides an a posteriori certificate for any recovered model. Numerical examples recover dynamical systems, nonlinear partial differential equations, and structured matrix families from single trajectory data, while also detecting when an extra probe is necessary.
Nicolas Boullé, Diana Halikias, Samuel E. Otto +1
Jul 16, 2026cs.LG

An Introduction to Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics for Engineering Applications

Many engineering problems involve phenomena whose governing equations are poorly characterized or only partially known. Surrogate modeling techniques such as neural networks can capture the behavior of these systems, but they typically demand large training datasets that are difficult to obtain in engineering contexts and yield models with limited physical interpretability. The Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) method addresses both limitations by performing sparse regression over libraries of candidate nonlinear terms, recovering interpretable governing equations from comparatively small datasets. Although SINDy has been demonstrated extensively on canonical benchmark systems, its application to practical engineering problems is less widely documented. This tutorial introduces the SINDy method and progressively builds toward its main extensions, from noise-robust weak-form and ensembling-based variants to constrained and parametrizable formulations. The paper and the accompanying tutorial (available at https://github.com/paullililili/SINDy4Engineers) is organized in three parts: the first introduces the standard SINDy algorithm and progressively extends it, inviting readers without prior knowledge to follow each step and adapt the methods to their own problems; the remaining two parts present detailed case studies on (1) the system identification of an unmanned aerial vehicle and (2) a chaotic thermosyphon heat exchanger. Through these examples, we aim to demonstrate that SINDy is simple to implement yet flexible enough to serve as a valuable identification tool for advanced engineering applications.
Yao Cheng Li, Ana Larrañaga, Steven L. Brunton +1
Jul 14, 2026cs.LG

Quantum Port-Hamiltonian Neural Networks: Learning Conservative and Dissipative Dynamics via Measurement-Induced Nonlinearity

We introduce Quantum Port-Hamiltonian Neural Networks (Q-pHNNs), a family of parameterised quantum circuits that learn classical dynamics in a structure-preserving manner. The framework relies on the Isomorphic Hamiltonian Mapping (IHM): the skew-symmetric interconnection matrix J\mathbf{J} corresponds to unitary gate evolution, and the positive-semidefinite dissipation matrix R\mathbf{R} corresponds to Measurement-Induced NonLinearity (MINL) realised via mid-circuit measurement and classical feedforward. This ensures conservation and passivity are enforced by construction rather than penalty terms. We instantiate the IHM in four architectures: (1) a Quantum HNN that learns conservative energy manifolds and extracts Hamilton's equations exactly via the Parameter-Shift Rule; (2) a Q-pHNN using Born-rule measurement for dissipation; (3) a Q-pHNN jointly learning the energy ansatz and damping coefficient; and (4) a topology-entangled Quantum Graph Neural Network for NN-node coupled-phasor networks. Experiments on the nonlinear pendulum and damped harmonic oscillator demonstrate: (i)1.35%1.35\% relative energy drift with a symplectic integrator and scale correction; (ii)100%100\% energy monotonicity for the MINL circuit; and (iii)~12.1%12.1\% error in damping-coefficient identification from vector-field snapshots with no direct supervision on the damping coefficient.
Dibakar Sigdel
Jun 23, 2026cs.LG

Learning Dynamical Systems from Multiple Sparse Datasets: A Hierarchical Bayesian Modeling Approach

Estimating parameters of dynamical systems from sparse, noisy, and irregularly sampled data is often severely ill-conditioned. When multiple related datasets are available, they provide additional information if the shared structure and variability are properly modeled. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian framework for probabilistic meta-learning in dynamical systems, modeling dataset-specific parameters as draws from a shared population distribution. A numerical ODE solver is embedded within gradient-based MCMC to enable efficient posterior inference of the shared population and dataset-specific parameter distribution. Experiments show improved predictive performance over unpooled methods, highlighting the potential for data-efficient system identification in settings with sparse data.
Cristian Brugnara, Lea Multerer, Marco Forgione +1
Jun 19, 2026stat.ML

Orthogonal Discrepancy Kernels for Learning with Partial Physics

We introduce a semi-parametric framework for nonlinear system identification, which decouples discrepancy functions from physics-based components. Orthogonal Gaussian process regression balances sparse parameter selection (the white box) with discrepancy learning (the black box) to produce interpretable models from incomplete physics.
Swapnil Manna, Timothy J. Rogers, Lawrence Bull
Jun 18, 2026eess.SY

Eigenspace-Based Clustering for Personalized System Identification

We study the problem of system identification in heterogeneous settings, where different systems may follow distinct underlying dynamics. Existing clustered system identification approaches often rely on iterative training-based cluster assignment, which can be sensitive to learning uncertainty and model initialization. In contrast, we propose a one-shot, training-free clustering method that identifies similar systems using the structure of their locally observed data. Specifically, each system estimates a local state covariance matrix, and cluster identities are inferred by measuring the alignment between the leading covariance eigenspaces of different systems. We provide a mathematical interpretation of the proposed similarity score and develop a finite-sample analysis that characterizes how covariance estimation error induces eigenspace perturbations in terms of the underlying system dynamics. We then derive a probability bound for pairwise false merges and a global clustering success guarantee. Numerical experiments demonstrate that the proposed eigenspace-based clustering method effectively identifies systems with shared dynamics, leading to lower personalized model-estimation error compared with training-based clustering and non-clustered baselines.
Abdulmoneam Ali, Dipankar Maity, Ahmed Arafa
Jun 17, 2026eess.SP

Explicit Interaction Architectures for Dynamical Learning: A Controlled Study of Structural Inductive Bias

We investigate a structure-first approach to dynamical learning in which the organization of stateful interactions is prescribed explicitly rather than left entirely to a generic recurrent parameterization. We introduce causal recurrent units built from an ordered sequence of local, state-modulated transformations. The construction is motivated by wave-based interaction models, but the units studied here do not impose scattering, passivity, or energy-balance constraints. Because fixed recurrent dynamics, designed reservoir topologies, readout-only learning, and recurrent depth are already well established, the empirical question is deliberately narrower: does the proposed interaction organization provide a useful inductive bias under controlled computational conditions? We compare a one-layer structured model, a two-layer structured model, and a generic echo-state network (ESN), all with 12 recurrent states and the same strictly linear ridge readout. Each model family receives the same random-search budget on calibration data that are disjoint from the final test data, after which the selected hyperparameters are frozen. On a custom nonlinear identification task, the one-layer structured model attains a mean validation NMSE of 2.76 x 10^{-4}, compared with 3.19 x 10^{-4} for the two-layer model and 3.94 x 10^{-4} for the ESN. On NARMA10 the ordering reverses: the ESN attains 0.312, compared with 0.348 and 0.357 for the one- and two-layer structured models. Thus, the proposed organization can be competitive and advantageous on one task, but it is not universally superior; moreover, recurrent depth does not provide a systematic benefit under matched state dimension. The results support a task-dependent interpretation of structural inductive bias and position the present architecture as a controlled precursor to stronger wave- and system-theoretic constructions.
Augusto Sarti
Jun 15, 2026stat.AP

Regularized Machine Learning for System Identification of Ship Free-Running Manoeuvres from CFD-Based Synthetic Data: A Comparative Study

This study investigates supervised machine learning techniques for identifying ship hydrodynamic coefficients from CFD-generated data from free-running simulations. Specifically, ordinary least squares and regularized regression methods are applied to Abkowitz-type manoeuvring models. Training and validation datasets are derived from URANS simulations of zig-zag and turning circle manoeuvres, which are validated against experimental benchmark data. The analysis evaluates the effects of coefficient set size, minimum training length required for predictive model training, and manoeuvre combinations on model performance. Results demonstrate the suitability of large-angle zig-zag manoeuvres for hydrodynamic system identification, provided that multicollinearity is addressed through appropriate coefficient selection, regression models, or input data variability. Larger coefficient sets offer greater model flexibility for variable conditions but are more prone to multicollinearity. Regularized regression techniques effectively mitigate multicollinearity and notably enhance prediction accuracy, as does incorporating more diverse manoeuvring data. Among tested models, Ridge regression provided the best compromise between computational efficiency and prediction accuracy.
R. F. Suárez, J. C. Berndt, M. Abdel-Maksoud
Jun 14, 2026cs.LG

Multi-Fidelity SINDy: Sparse Discovery of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems with Fidelity-Weighted Measurements

Data from simulations and experiments are rarely noise-free and often exhibit heterogeneous levels of fidelity. Measurement uncertainty may vary across repeated observations, sensing devices, or even within a single experiment. This work addresses the problem of discovering nonlinear dynamical systems from such inhomogeneous data. We extend the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamical Systems (SINDy) framework to account for variable noise levels by combining Ensemble SINDy and Weak SINDy within a weighted regression formulation derived from generalized least squares. A statistical justification for the weighting strategy is also provided. The methodology is validated on several benchmark systems, including ordinary and partial differential equations. In addition, we show the benefit of multi-fidelity integration for forecasting the dynamics of a double pendulum system. The results confirm that the proposed approach mitigates the adverse effects of heteroscedastic noise and that repeated, low-cost, low-quality measurements can improve model recovery, in some cases matching or outperforming reconstructions obtained using only high-fidelity data.
Filippo Zacchei, Ana Larrañaga, Attilio Frangi +2
Jun 10, 2026cs.LG

How Low Can You Go? Active Learning for Sparse Model Discovery in the Ultra-Low-Data Limit

Identifying the governing equations of complex dynamical systems remains a fundamental challenge across science and engineering. While early approaches relied on empirical data and heuristics, modern data-driven methods offer greater flexibility and fewer assumptions. However, data acquisition in real-world settings is often expensive. This work addresses this challenge by introducing an active learning strategy for dynamics discovery in the ultra-low data limit. Rather than sampling randomly, our method iteratively prioritizes regions that are most informative for model identification. This approach builds on Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy), and utilizes an ensemble extension, E-SINDy, to estimate epistemic uncertainty and guide the sampling for both ordinary and partial differential equations (ODEs/PDEs). For ODEs, an exhaustive analysis is conducted on the Lorenz system across varying data budgets and noise levels. For PDEs, two systems with contrasting dynamical characteristics are examined: the Burgers' equation, where a sharp shock front creates a distinction between informative and uninformative regions, and the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation, which presents a more spatially complex sampling landscape. Across all scenarios, the proposed method accurately identifies the governing dynamics with significantly fewer data samples than random sampling.
Ana Larrañaga, Urban Fasel, Steven L. Brunton
Jun 10, 2026math.DS

Integral Formulation of QENDy for Robust Nonlinear System Identification

This manuscript proposes an integral formulation of the newly defined quadratic embedding method for identifying nonlinear systems (QENDy). In the original algorithm, trajectory data points along with their time derivatives are used. Methods for calculating time derivatives make the algorithm sensitive to noise. Our integral formulation does not use the time derivatives. This results in a more robust method to learn the dynamics.
Nikhil Saran, Sushant Pokhriyal, Stefan Klus +2
Jun 2, 2026cs.RO

Hybrid Dynamics Modeling for a Flexible 2-DoF Robotic Arm

This paper examines three approaches for modeling the dynamics of a flexible-link 2-DoF robotic arm to address unmodeled dynamics not captured by rigid-body models. Two physics informed models combine rigid-body dynamics (RBD) formulations with a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) to capture residual model errors and linkage flexibility. A kinematics-based regression model serves as a purely data-driven baseline. Using an open-source dataset, torque predictions are first estimated using Ridge regression on kinematic features, while the physicsbased baseline is constructed from published specifications, and ordinary least-squares regression is subsequently used to estimate the same parameter set directly from data. Results show that the physics-based parameters yield the poorest accuracy, while regularized and least-squares estimators align more closely with measured torques. Residual analysis and error metrics highlight the limitations of purely parametric models for flexible-link systems and underscore the value of regularization and data-driven identification, supporting developments of semi-parametric residual learning methods.
Maciek Popik, Daniel Yang, Mahdis Bisheban
May 28, 2026math.DS

Learning effective models from network dynamics data with multiple initial conditions using weak form SINDy

Social systems consist of networks of individuals who influence one another through social interactions. Studying how processes evolve on these networks can help us better understand patterns of social behavior. We study a system that couples online and offline social activity and investigate how to learn effective models directly from data using Weak Form Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (WSINDy), a method for discovering governing equations. We assess learning performance using data generated by a mean-field approximation model of a stochastic interaction process on networks and test how accurately the system can be recovered under different noise levels. Our results show that using more trajectories improves accuracy when noise is high, but only a small number of additional trajectories is needed to gain most of the benefit, with little improvement beyond that. We also learn effective ODE models from averaged stochastic data on networks. When traditional mean-field approximations fail, identifying continuum ODEs directly from stochastic processes yields efficient models that better match the data and provide deeper insight into the underlying dynamics.
Moyi Tian, Daniel A. Messenger, Vanja Dukic +2
May 26, 2026stat.AP

Data-driven sparse identification of governing PDEs via knockoff filters and multi-criteria trade-offs

We propose KO-PDE-IDENT, a data-driven framework for identifying parsimonious partial differential equations (PDEs) with false discovery rate (FDR) control. PDE discovery from noisy observations is often hindered by extreme multicollinearity among candidate terms, which causes typical sparse-regression methods to select spurious terms. To address this problem, KO-PDE-IDENT initially mines a support set of potential candidate terms via model-X knockoff filters with finite-sample FDR control, then refines and ranks the surviving PDE alternatives. The framework integrates three components. First, knockoff feature statistics are constructed by coupling 0\ell_{0}-constrained adaptive best-subset selection with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), yielding an effective and computationally efficient difference statistic. Second, a recursive feature elimination (RFE) procedure removes terms whose marginal contributions are dispensable and assesses statistical necessity through knockoff-perturbed hypothesis testing. Third, the final model selection is formulated as a multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) problem, where the optimal governing equation is the alternative that best balances a wide range of criteria such as predictive accuracy, model complexity and coefficient uncertainty. We evaluate KO-PDE-IDENT on five canonical PDEs under severe noise corruption. Empirical results show that our framework can exactly recover the true PDE structure, eliminating false discoveries while retaining all true underlying terms, with low coefficient estimation error.
Pongpisit Thanasutives, Naichang Ke, Yoshinobu Kawahara
May 26, 2026cs.LG

PIDM-DP: Physics-Informed Diffusion with Dormand-Prince Integration for Chaotic System Identification and State Reconstruction across Multiple Dynamical Regimes

Reconstructing continuous state trajectories of chaotic dynamical systems from sparse, noisy observations remains a fundamental open problem in nonlinear science. We introduce the Physics-Informed Diffusion Model with Dormand-Prince Integration (PIDM-DP), which embeds a fully differentiable 5th-order Dormand-Prince (DP-RK45) ODE integrator directly into the reverse sampling loop of a Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Model (DDPM). At each denoising step, physics residuals are back-propagated via automatic differentiation, constraining every generated trajectory to satisfy the system's governing equations to 5th-order accuracy. A linear-scheduled guidance mechanism that ramps the physics weight from zero at high noise levels to its full value near the clean-data limit prevents the gradient explosions that cause naive physics-informed approaches to fail on stiff systems with Jacobian eigenvalues of order O(103)O(10^3). Evaluated across five benchmark systems of increasing complexity 3D Lorenz, 3D Rössler, 5D Hyperchaotic, 20D Lorenz-96, and the stiff 3D Rabinovich-Fabrikant at 10% observation density with additive Gaussian noise (σ=0.05σ=0.05), PIDM-DP achieves reconstruction RMSE improvements of up to 15.4×15.4\times over an unconstrained diffusion baseline and decisively outperforms the Ensemble Kalman Filter on stiff systems where ensemble covariance collapses. On the Rabinovich-Fabrikant out-of-distribution benchmark, PIDM-DP attains RMSE 0.1097±0.02690.1097 \pm 0.0269 versus 0.9443±0.52880.9443 \pm 0.5288 (unconstrained diffusion, 8.6×8.6\times worse) and 0.3561±0.30400.3561 \pm 0.3040 (EnKF, 3.2×3.2\times worse), with p<0.001p<0.001 in paired Wilcoxon tests (N=30N = 30). Topological validation via the Rosenstein Lyapunov estimator confirms that PIDM-DP preserves the chaotic invariant measure.
Shailendra Dabral
May 21, 2026cs.AI

Meta-Learning for Rapid Adaptation in Reference Tracking of Uncertain Nonlinear Systems

In this paper, we address the problem of reference tracking for uncertain nonlinear systems. Since collecting data from the target system (i.e., the system of interest) is often challenging, our objective is to design optimal controllers using limited target system data. Meta-learning provides a promising paradigm by leveraging offline data from source systems (systems sharing structural similarities with the target system) to accelerate training and enhance control performance. Motivated by this idea, we propose a meta-learning-based control framework that tailors the implicit model-agnostic meta-learning (iMAML) algorithm to the control setting. The framework operates in two phases: an (offline) meta-training phase, where an aggregated representation is learned from source data to capture the shared system dynamics among similar systems, and an (online) meta-adaptation phase, where this representation is fine-tuned on the target system using only a few data samples and limited adaptation steps. We formulate this framework as a bi-level optimization problem and provide an efficient solution with reduced storage complexity and few approximations. The proposed framework is general, allowing various learning algorithms to be integrated. To demonstrate this flexibility, we propose two specific learning algorithms that can be incorporated into our framework based on a neural state-space model and a deep Q-network, respectively. The primary distinction between these approaches is whether explicit system identification is required. Numerical simulations and hardware experiments demonstrate that the proposed methods enhance control performance and consistently outperform baseline approaches.
Jiaqi Yan, Ankush Chakrabarty, Niklas Schmid +2
May 19, 2026cs.RO

Reinforcement Learning for Optimal Experiment Design in Parameter Identification of Mechatronic Systems

Informative excitation signals are critical for accurate system identification of mechatronic systems, yet classical system identification (SI) approaches require expert knowledge and hand-crafted signal design to respect hardware safety constraints, limiting their generalizability. We propose a reinforcement learning (RL) agent that learns optimal excitation signals for a Quanser Aero 2 testbed while autonomously enforcing safety constraints through reward shaping. Evaluated across 10 independent training seeds, our comprehensive agent achieves competitive estimation accuracy across all three identified parameters, outperforming classical baselines while incurring only 0.75% safety violations.
Julian Langschwert, Georg Schaefer, Jakob Rehrl +2
May 18, 2026cs.RO

Data-Driven Dynamic Modeling of a Tendon-Actuated Continuum Robot

Developing dynamic models for tendon-driven continuum robots is challenging due to their nonlinear, high-dimensional, and friction-dominated dynamics. This paper presents a comparative study of data-driven system identification methods, including N4SID, ARX, and SINDYc, for modeling a tendon-actuated continuum robot with rolling joints developed at CERN. Despite the high number of joints of the robot, experimental analysis reveals that a two-degree-of-freedom dynamic model can accurately capture the system dynamics, owing to strong kinematic dependencies between the joints. The models are validated against experimental data, and used in the design of a model predictive controller, demonstrating their feasibility for real-time control.
Harald Minde Hansen, Bjørn Kåre Sæbø, Kristin Y. Pettersen +2
May 15, 2026cs.RO

A Reproducible and Physically Feasible Dynamic Parameter Identification Framework for a Low-Cost Robot Arm

This paper presents a reproducible and physically feasible dynamic parameter identification framework for CRANE-X7, a low-cost robot arm driven by modular smart actuators. To improve practical identifiability, products of inertia are removed according to approximate link symmetry, reducing the rigid-body model from 65 to 39 base parameters. Identification motions are hand-designed from structured single-joint and adjacent-joint primitives under practical joint-range limits. The proposed pipeline combines preprocessing, inverse-dynamics-regressor-based ordinary least squares (OLS), conditional semidefinite-programming (SDP) projection for feasibility recovery, and closed-loop input error (CLIE) refinement. Candidate solutions from 40 structured trajectories are analyzed in a common principal component analysis (PCA) space to select a statistically central representative model. Because statistical centrality alone does not ensure physical acceptability, the selected model is finally screened by an all-pose positive-definiteness audit of the inertia matrix and, when necessary, corrected by a localized post-CLIE SDP rescue step. Experiments show that the parameter cloud becomes progressively more concentrated from OLS to SDP and CLIE, while the final accepted model preserves high predictive accuracy on held-out validation motions. These results demonstrate a practical route to statistically coherent and physically feasible dynamic models for low-cost robot platforms.
Junji Oaki, Koki Yamane, Koki Inami +1
May 14, 2026cs.LG

A Novel Schur-Decomposition-Based Weight Projection Method for Stable State-Space Neural-Network Architectures

Building black-box models for dynamical systems from data is a challenging problem in machine learning, especially when asymptotic stability guarantees are required. In this paper, we introduce a novel stability-ensuring and backpropagation-compatible projection scheme based on the Schur decomposition for the state matrix of linear discrete-time state-space layers, as well as an alternative pre-factorized formulation of the methodology. The proposed methods dynamically project the quasi-triangular factor of the state matrix's real Schur decomposition onto its nearest stable peer, ensuring stable dynamics with minimal overparameterization. Experiments on synthetic linear systems demonstrate that the method achieves accuracy and convergence rates comparable to those of state-of-the-art stable-system identification techniques, despite a marginal increase in computational complexity. Furthermore, the lower weight count facilitates convergence during training without sacrificing accuracy in stacked neural-network architectures with static nonlinearities targeting real-world datasets. These results suggest that the Schur-based projection provides a numerically robust framework for identifying complex dynamics on par with the State of the Art while satisfying strict asymptotic-stability requirements.
Sergio Vanegas, Lasse Lensu, Fredy Ruiz
May 14, 2026eess.SY

Randomized Atomic Feature Models for Physics-Informed Identification of Dynamic Systems

We present a physics-informed framework for system identification based on randomized stable atomic features. Impulse responses are represented as random superpositions of stable atoms, namely damped complex exponentials associated with poles sampled inside a prescribed disk. Identification is then cast as a convex regularized least-squares problem with optional linear, second-order-cone, and KYP constraints. The approach generalizes random Fourier and random Laplace features to the damped, nonstationary regime relevant to engineering systems while retaining modal interpretability and scalable finite-dimensional computation. The main analytic point is an operator-theoretic Disk-Bochner viewpoint: positive measures over stable poles generate positive-definite kernels with a radius-dependent shift defect, while a converse scalar disk moment representation for an arbitrary kernel is characterized by subnormality of the canonical shift. We prove this statement, establish an RKHS-to-l1 embedding, show that sampled poles induce a valid finite atomic gauge, discuss random-feature convergence, and state sparse-recovery guarantees conditionally on the restricted-eigenvalue properties of the realized disk-Vandermonde or input-output design matrix. We also connect the normalized transfer function problem to Nevanlinna-Pick interpolation and LFT set-membership. The framework directly encodes stability margins, modal localization, DC-gain bounds, monotonicity, passivity, relative degree, settling-time targets, and time/frequency-domain error bounds. Numerical comparisons illustrate how physically meaningful priors can compensate for poor excitation and improve constrained impulse-response recovery in an under-informative data setting.
Rajiv Singh, Mario Sznaier, Lennart Ljung
May 12, 2026cs.LG

EqOD: Symmetry-Informed Stability Selection for PDE Identification

Data-driven identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) relies on sparse regression over a candidate library of differential operators, where larger libraries inflate false positives under observation noise and smaller libraries risk missing true terms. We introduce Equivariant Operator Discovery (EqOD), a fully automatic method combining two library reduction mechanisms. When Galilean invariance is detected from trajectory data via a weak-form structural test, EqOD uses the symmetry-reduced library, eliminating terms that our Galilean exclusion result proves to be absent from the governing equation. Otherwise, it applies randomized LASSO stability selection guided by classical false-positive bounds. A residual-based fallback prevents degradation below the full-library baseline. On 8 PDEs at 4 noise levels, EqOD attains F1=1.000±0.000F_1 = 1.000 \pm 0.000 on Heat at 20%20\% noise, where WF-LASSO obtains 0.475±0.1810.475 \pm 0.181, official PySINDy 2.0 obtains 0.0000.000, and the WSINDy reimplementation obtains 0.7890.789. Under the strict criterion that the mean F1 difference exceeds the larger of the two standard deviations, EqOD wins 7 of 32 cells. WF-LASSO wins none, and the remaining 25 cells are ties. Across all 32 cells, EqOD outperforms PySINDy 2.0.0 in 23 of 32 cells, and all 5 PySINDy wins occur on reaction PDEs. External validation on WeakIdent and PINN-SR datasets gives F1=1.000F_1 = 1.000 on all 5 clean benchmarks. NLS, 2D, coupled-system, and cylinder-wake extensions are reported. The Galilean library reduction is proved under explicit autonomy and library assumptions. The stability-selection step is motivated by classical false-positive bounds, while formal guarantees for correlated PDE design matrices remain open.
Gnankan Landry Regis N'guessan, Bum Jun Kim
May 12, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Prediction: Interval Neural Networks for Uncertainty-Aware System Identification

System identification (SysID) is critical for modeling dynamical systems from experimental data, yet traditional approaches often fail to capture nonlinear behaviors. While deep learning offers powerful tools for modeling such dynamics, incorporating uncertainty quantification is essential to ensure reliable predictions. This paper presents a systematic framework for constructing and training interval Neural Networks (INNs) for uncertainty-aware SysID. By extending crisp neural networks into interval counterparts, we develop Interval LSTM and NODE models that propagate uncertainty through interval arithmetic without probabilistic assumptions. This design allows them to represent uncertainty and produce prediction intervals. For training, we propose two strategies: Cascade INN (C-INN), a two-stage approach converting a trained crisp NN into an INN, and Joint INN (J-INN), a one-stage framework jointly optimizing prediction accuracy and interval precision. Both strategies employ uncertainty-aware loss functions and parameterization tricks to ensure reliable learning. Comprehensive experiments on multiple SysID datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of both approaches and benchmark their performance against well-established uncertainty-aware baselines: C-INN achieves superior point prediction accuracy, whereas J-INN yields more accurate and better-calibrated prediction intervals. Furthermore, to reveal how uncertainty is represented across model parameters, the concept of channel-wise elasticity is introduced, which is used to identify distinct patterns across the two training strategies. The results of this study demonstrate that the proposed framework effectively integrates deep learning with uncertainty-aware modeling.
Mehmet Ali Ferah, Tufan Kumbasar
May 11, 2026cs.AI

ASIA: an Autonomous System Identification Agent

Over the years, research in system identification has provided a rich set of methods for learning dynamical models, together with well-established theoretical guarantees. In practice, however, the choice of model class, training algorithm, and hyperparameter tuning is still largely left to empirical trial-and-error, requiring substantial expert time and domain experience. Motivated by recent advances in agentic artificial intelligence, we present ASIA, a framework that delegates this iterative search to a large language model acting as an autonomous coding agent. Building on existing agentic platforms, ASIA closes the loop between hypothesis, implementation, and evaluation without human intervention, requiring only a plain-English description of the identification problem. We conduct an empirical study of ASIA on two system identification benchmarks and analyse the agent's search behaviour, the architectures and training strategies it discovers, and the quality of the resulting models. We also discuss the potential of the approach and its current limitations, including implicit test leakage, reduced methodological transparency, and reproducibility concerns.
Dario Piga, Marco Forgione
May 10, 2026cs.LG

Discovery of Nonlinear Dynamics with Automated Basis Function Generation

Discovering governing equations from observational data remains a fundamental challenge in scientific modeling, particularly when the underlying mathematical structure is unknown. Traditional sparse identification methods like SINDy excel at discovering parsimonious models but require researchers to specify candidate basis functions a priori, a limitation that often leads to model failure when critical terms are omitted or when systems exhibit unconventional dynamics. Purely symbolic regression approaches offer unlimited flexibility but struggle with noise sensitivity and frequently produce overly complex, unstable equations. We present AutoSINDy, a hybrid Discovery-then-Solve framework that combines the exploratory power of symbolic regression with the robust sparsity-promoting capabilities of SINDy. Our method operates in three stages: (1) PySR-based symbolic regression discovers candidate functional forms from bootstrapped data chunks; (2) a curation pipeline decomposes, expands, and filters these expressions using collinearity analysis to construct a minimal yet comprehensive library; and (3) SINDy identifies sparse governing equations from this custom-tailored library. Extensive experiments across canonical nonlinear systems demonstrate that AutoSINDy consistently recovers ground-truth equations even under high observational noise, achieving a ground-truth recovery rate of 92.8% across all trials. Compared with standard SINDy using enriched libraries and standalone symbolic regression, AutoSINDy achieves higher predictive accuracy, superior generalization to unseen trajectories, and substantially lower symbolic complexity.
Mohammad Amin Basiri, Charles Nicholson
May 8, 2026eess.SY

A Behavioral Framework for Data-Driven Modeling of Nonlinear Systems in Vector-Valued Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Spaces

We generalize Jan Willems' behavioral approach to a class of discrete-time nonlinear systems in a vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). Apart from linear time-invariant systems, this class covers nonlinear systems modeled by Volterra series and their autoregressive variants, as well as systems admitting Hammerstein-type state-space realizations. We apply the proposed framework to the problem of data-driven modeling of such systems, i.e., when simulation or control objectives for an unknown system are carried out without an explicit system identification step. To that end, we link the behavioral approach to two data-driven modeling methods in a vector-valued RKHS: (1) minimum-norm interpolation and (2) subspace identification.
Boya Hou, Maxim Raginsky
May 7, 2026cs.CV

Solving Minimal Problems Without Matrix Inversion Using FFT-Based Interpolation

Estimating camera geometry typically involves solving minimal problems formulated as systems of multivariate polynomial equations, which often pose computational challenges when using existing Gröbner-basis or resultant-based methods due to matrix inversion needed in the online solver. Here we propose a sampling-based, matrix inversion-free method that constructs the solvers using sparse hidden-variable resultants. The determinant polynomial in the hidden variable is efficiently reconstructed via inverse fast Fourier transform interpolation from sampled evaluations, avoiding symbolic expansion. Solving this polynomial yields the hidden variable, and the remaining unknowns are recovered by identifying rank-1 deficient submatrices and applying Cramer's rule. A greatest common divisor-based criterion ensures robust submatrix identification under noise. Experiments on diverse minimal problems demonstrate that the proposed solver achieves strong numerical stability and competitive runtime, particularly for small-scale problems, providing a practical alternative to traditional Gröbner-basis and resultant-based solvers.
Haidong Wu, Snehal Bhayani, Janne Heikkilä
May 6, 2026cs.RO

Robust \mathcal{H}_\infty Controller Design For INDI-Controlled Quadrotor Using Online Parameter Identification

It has recently been shown that all physical parameters of an Incremental Nonlinear Dynamic Inversion (INDI) controller can be estimated onboard a multirotor within half a second, which is fast enough to do the full identification during a throw in the air. However, a robust method to tune outer loop gains for this feedback-linearizing INDI controller depending on the model parameters is still missing. This work presents the design of a robust gain-scheduled controller for attitude control of quadrotor, using an INDI-based inner loop with online identification of its system parameters. A gain-scheduled cascaded attitude controller with a feedforward filter is synthesized for a symmetric quadrotor using signal-based H\mathcal{H}_\infty closed-loop shaping. The resulting controller exhibits good stability margins, with nonlinear simulations confirming effective tracking performance under uncertainty. Experimental evaluation is also conducted through flight tests with full online parameter identification. Even though the identified parameters during these tests are far outside the defined uncertainty range, acceptable flight performance comparable to simulation results is maintained for actuator time constants below 40 ms.
Tom Aantjes, Till M. Blaha, Spilios Theodoulis +1
May 5, 2026cs.LG

Model synthesis and identifiability analysis of stiff chemical reaction systems with inVAErt networks

We consider the problem of learning data-driven replicas for stiff systems of ordinary differential equations arising in chemical kinetics that can be evaluated with high computational efficiency. We first focus on training emulators for families of reaction equations under varying reaction rates, using conditional residual networks or long-short term memory architectures. We then apply a recently proposed data-driven framework known as ``inVAErt networks'' to address the ill-posed inverse problem of inferring reaction rates, integration time, and possibly initial conditions from a target set of species concentrations - a problem that has received relatively little attention in the literature. The proposed approach is demonstrated on chemical systems with reversible and irreversible kinetics, spanning 2 to 20 differential equations, 3 to 20 chemical species, and 3 to 25 reaction rate parameters. Relative root mean squared errors produced by the proposed emulators range from 10510^{-5} for lower-dimensional systems to 10410^{-4} and 10310^{-3} for an air pollution model and a hydrogen-air reaction system, respectively. Manifolds of non-identifiable reaction rates recovered by the proposed approach can be analytically verified for simple systems and are consistent with local identifiability analysis in higher dimensions.
Sreejata Dey, Guoxiang Grayson Tong, Jonathan F. MacArt +1
May 4, 2026cs.LG

ZNO: Stable Rational Neural Operators in the Z-Domain for Discrete-Time Dynamics

We introduce the Z-Domain Neural Operator (ZNO), a causal neural operator whose layers are stable low-rank multiple-input multiple-output (MIMO) rational filters parameterized directly in the zz-plane. ZNO addresses a limitation of existing operator learning methods, many of which are primarily tailored for continuous-time problems, while a large class of system-identification problems is intrinsically discrete-time. The zz-domain form expresses stability as a unit-disk pole constraint and makes learned discrete-time poles directly readable. The model combines low-rank channel mixing, smooth stable pole reparameterization, causal recurrence, and an optional short finite impulse response (FIR) branch in a single zz-domain rational recurrent layer. Across controlled discrete system-identification experiments, ZNO's advantage is most evident when the target dynamics are stable rational systems with lightly damped poles near the unit circle. Under matched parameter budgets, ZNO is not uniformly dominant; however, with validation-selected configurations, the same architecture can achieve the lowest mean error across the controlled tasks. A five-bin difficulty sweep over near-unit-circle / long-memory dynamics shows that ZNO has the lowest mean error across memory regimes, from short (approximately 10 steps) to long (approximately 100-200 steps). On five public nonlinear system-identification benchmarks, ZNO is competitive with neural operator and state-space baselines, achieving the lowest mean error on benchmarks whose dynamics align with stable rational discrete-time filters, while classical or state-space baselines remain preferable on some systems. These results position ZNO as a strong model for stable rational discrete-time dynamics, especially in near-unit-circle and long-memory regimes, but not as a universal replacement for specialized system-identification methods.
Xianli Zhu, Jia Yin
May 1, 2026eess.SP

Equation-Free Digital Twins for Nonlinear Structural Dynamics

Monitoring high-dimensional engineering structures in extreme environments is limited by non-stationary excitation, nonlinear structural kinematics, and stochastic forcing. Traditional model-based and black-box data-driven methods often struggle to resolve these dynamics in real time, particularly under sensor failure or partial observability. This paper introduces a rank-optimized digital twin framework based on Koopman operator theory, Hankel-matrix embeddings, and dynamic mode decomposition. By lifting operational data into a linear invariant subspace, the method enables autonomous, input-blind reconstruction of structural states without requiring a priori mass or stiffness matrices. The framework is validated on an NREL 5MW spar-buoy floating offshore wind turbine, representing a challenging coupled aero-hydro-servo-elastic system. Results show that the rank-optimized Koopman-Hankel manifold separates structural resonances from deterministic 3P rotor harmonics under colored noise, where standard subspace identification can be unreliable. A rolling-horizon virtual sensing strategy achieves high-fidelity reconstruction at critical structural hotspots, with coefficient of determination greater than 0.95 at 1 Hz data assimilation and accuracy exceeding 0.99 at higher sampling rates. By estimating a physical Lyapunov time of approximately 1.0 s, the study defines the predictability horizon associated with the system information barrier. The proposed framework provides a computationally efficient and resilient digital twin approach for real-time identification and virtual sensing of complex structural dynamics.
Mohammad Mahdi Abaei, Ahmad BahooToroody, Arttu Polojärvi +4
Apr 29, 2026cs.LG

PiGGO: Physics-Guided Learnable Graph Kalman Filters for Virtual Sensing of Nonlinear Dynamic Structures under Uncertainty

Digital twins provide a powerful paradigm for diagnostic and prognostic tasks in the monitoring and control of engineered systems; however, their deployment for complex structures remains challenged by model-form uncertainty, arising from unknown nonlinear dynamics, and by sparse sensing. These limitations hinder reliable online state estimation using either purely physics-based or purely data-driven approaches. This work introduces the Physics-Guided Graph Neural ODE (PiGGO) framework, a physics-informed, graph-based Bayesian state estimation approach in which a learned graph neural ordinary differential equation (GNODE) serves as the continuous-time state-transition model within an extended Kalman filter. The graph representation explicitly defines the system state-space, while physics-guided inductive biases encode known structural relationships and constrain the learning of nonlinear dynamics. By integrating graph-native learned dynamics with recursive Bayesian filtering, the proposed PiGGO framework enables online virtual sensing and uncertainty-aware state estimation for nonlinear systems with unknown model form, while maintaining generalisation across topologically similar structures. Numerical case studies demonstrate improved robustness to model uncertainty and measurement noise, outperforming both open-loop graph neural models and conventional filtering approaches in online prediction tasks.
Marcus Haywood-Alexander, Gregory Duthé, Eleni Chatzi
Apr 23, 2026cs.RO

Wiggle and Go! System Identification for Zero-Shot Dynamic Rope Manipulation

Many robotic tasks are unforgiving; a single mistake in a dynamic throw can lead to unacceptable delays or unrecoverable failure. We introduce Wiggle and Go!, a two-stage framework for zero-shot rope manipulation: a brief, safe wiggle action is observed to predict descriptive rope parameters, which then conditions a trajectory optimizer for zero-shot goal-conditioned execution. Unlike prior dynamic rope manipulation methods that require large real-world datasets or iterative real-world refinement, our identification module is task-agnostic, supporting diverse manipulation policies without retraining. We achieve a 3.55,cm average accuracy on 3D target striking in real using rope system parameters in comparison to 15.29,cm for uninformed baselines, and over 50% success on multi-objective lobbing and draping tasks. Predicted parameters transfer to unseen motions with 0.95 Pearson correlation between simulated and real rope dynamics, indicating that the identification module generalizes across the task corpus. Project website: https://wiggleandgo.github.io/
Arthur Jakobsson, Abhinav Mahajan, Karthik Pullalarevu +6
Apr 23, 2026stat.ML

CLT-Optimal Parameter Error Bounds for Linear System Identification

There has been remarkable progress over the past decade in establishing finite-sample, non-asymptotic bounds on recovering unknown system parameters from observed system behavior. Surprisingly, however, we show that the current state-of-the-art bounds do not accurately capture the statistical complexity of system identification, even in the most fundamental setting of estimating a discrete-time linear dynamical system (LDS) via ordinary least-squares regression (OLS). Specifically, we utilize asymptotic normality to identify classes of problem instances for which current bounds overstate the squared parameter error, in both spectral and Frobenius norm, by a factor of the state-dimension of the system. Informed by this discrepancy, we then sharpen the OLS parameter error bounds via a novel second-order decomposition of the parameter error, where crucially the lower-order term is a matrix-valued martingale that we show correctly captures the CLT scaling. From our analysis we obtain finite-sample bounds for both (i) stable systems and (ii) the many-trajectories setting that match the instance-specific optimal rates up to constant factors in Frobenius norm, and polylogarithmic state-dimension factors in spectral norm.
Yichen Zhou, Stephen Tu
Apr 22, 2026cs.LG

Fourier Weak SINDy: Spectral Test Function Selection for Robust Model Identification

We introduce Fourier Weak SINDy, a minimal noise-robust and interpretable derivative-free equation learning method that combines weak-form sparse equation learning with spectral density estimation for data-driven test function selection. By using orthogonal sinusoidal test functions inspired by their prevalence in Modulating Function-based system identification, the weak-form sparse regression problem reduces to a regression over Fourier coefficients. Dominant frequencies are then selected via multitaper estimation of the frequency spectrum of the data. This formulation unifies weak-form learning and spectral estimation within a compact and flexible framework. We illustrate the effectiveness of this approach in numerical experiments across multiple chaotic and hyperchaotic ODE benchmarks.
Zhiheng Chen, Urban Fasel, Anastasia Bizyaeva
Apr 20, 2026cs.LG

AC-SINDy: Compositional Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics

We present AC-SINDy, a compositional extension of the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) framework that replaces explicit feature libraries with a structured representation based on arithmetic circuits. Rather than enumerating candidate basis functions, the proposed approach constructs nonlinear features through compositions of linear functions and multiplicative interactions, yielding a compact and scalable parameterization and enabling sparsity to be enforced directly over the computational graph. We also introduce a formulation that separates state estimation from dynamics identification by combining latent state inference with shared dynamics and multi-step supervision, improving robustness to noise while preserving interpretability. Experiments on nonlinear and chaotic systems demonstrate that the method recovers accurate and interpretable governing equations while scaling more favorably than standard SINDy.
Peter Racioppo
Apr 20, 2026cs.LG

Balance-Guided Sparse Identification of Multiscale Nonlinear PDEs with Small-coefficient Terms

Data-driven discovery of governing equations has advanced significantly in recent years; however, existing methods often struggle in multiscale systems where dynamically significant terms may have small coefficients. Therefore, we propose Balance-Guided SINDy (BG-SINDy) inspired by the principle of dominant balance, which reformulates 0\ell_0-constrained sparse regression as a term-level 2,0\ell_{2,0}-regularized problem and solves it using a progressive pruning strategy. Terms are ranked according to their relative contributions to the governing equation balance rather than their absolute coefficient magnitudes. Based on this criterion, BG-SINDy alternates between least-squares regression and elimination of negligible terms, thereby preserving dynamically significant terms even when their coefficients are small. Numerical experiments on the Korteweg--de Vries equation with a small dispersion coefficient, a modified Burgers equation with vanishing hyperviscosity, a modified Kuramoto--Sivashinsky equation with multiple small-coefficient terms, and a two-dimensional reaction--diffusion system demonstrate the validity of BG-SINDy in discovering small-coefficient terms. The proposed method thus provides an efficient approach for discovering governing equations that contain small-coefficient terms.
Zhenhua Dang, Lei Zhang, Long Wang +1
Apr 19, 2026eess.SY

Target Parameterization in Diffusion Models for Nonlinear Spatiotemporal System Identification

Machine learning is becoming increasingly important for nonlinear system identification, including dynamical systems with spatially distributed outputs. However, classical identification and forecasting approaches become markedly less reliable in turbulent-flow regimes, where the dynamics are high-dimensional, strongly nonlinear, and highly sensitive to compounding rollout errors. Diffusion-based models have recently shown improved robustness in this setting and offer probabilistic inference capabilities, but many current implementations inherit target parameterizations from image generation, most commonly noise or velocity prediction. In this work, we revisit this design choice in the context of nonlinear spatiotemporal system identification. We consider a simple, self-contained patch-based transformer that operates directly on physical fields and use turbulent flow simulation as a representative testbed. Our results show that clean-state prediction consistently improves rollout stability and reduces long-horizon error relative to velocity- and noise-based objectives, with the advantage becoming more pronounced as the per-token dimensionality increases. These findings identify target parameterization as a key modeling choice in diffusion-based identification of nonlinear systems with spatial outputs in turbulent regimes.
Achraf El Messaoudi, Noureddine Khaous, Karim Cherifi
Apr 18, 2026quant-ph

Q-SINDy: Quantum-Kernel Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics with Provable Coefficient Debiasing

Quantum feature maps offer expressive embeddings for classical learning tasks, and augmenting sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) with such features is a natural but unexplored direction. We introduce \textbf{Q-SINDy}, a quantum-kernel-augmented SINDy framework, and identify a specific failure mode that arises: \emph{coefficient cannibalization}, in which quantum features absorb coefficient mass that rightfully belongs to the polynomial basis, corrupting equation recovery. We derive the exact cannibalization-bias formula ΔξP=(PP)1PQξ^QΔξ_P = (P^\top P)^{-1}P^\top Q\,\hatξ_Q and prove that orthogonalizing quantum features against the polynomial column space at fit time eliminates this bias exactly. The claim is verified numerically to machine precision (<1012<10^{-12}) on multiple systems. Empirically, across six canonical dynamical systems (Duffing, Van der Pol, Lorenz, Lotka-Volterra, cubic oscillator, Rössler) and three quantum feature map architectures (ZZ-angle encoding, IQP, data re-uploading), orthogonalized Q-SINDy consistently matches vanilla SINDy's structural recovery while uncorrected augmentation degrades true-positive rates by up to 100%. A refined dynamics-aware diagnostic, RQ2R^2_Q for X˙\dot X, predicts cannibalization severity with statistical significance (Pearson r=0.70r=0.70, p=0.023p=0.023). An RBF classical-kernel control across 20 hyperparameter configurations fails more severely than any quantum variant, ruling out feature count as the cause. Orthogonalization remains robust under depolarizing hardware noise up to 2% per gate, and the framework extends without modification to Burgers' equation.
Samrendra Roy, Syed Bahauddin Alam
Apr 16, 2026cs.LG

One-shot learning for the complex dynamical behaviors of weakly nonlinear forced oscillators

Extrapolative prediction of complex nonlinear dynamics remains a central challenge in engineering. This study proposes a one-shot learning method to identify global frequency-response curves from a single excitation time history by learning governing equations. We introduce MEv-SINDy (Multi-frequency Evolutionary Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics) to infer the governing equations of non-autonomous and multi-frequency systems. The methodology leverages the Generalized Harmonic Balance (GHB) method to decompose complex forced responses into a set of slow-varying evolution equations. We validated the capabilities of MEv-SINDy on two critical Micro-Electro-Mechanical Systems (MEMS). These applications include a nonlinear beam resonator and a MEMS micromirror. Our results show that the model trained on a single point accurately predicts softening/hardening effects and jump phenomena across a wide range of excitation levels. This approach significantly reduces the data acquisition burden for the characterization and design of nonlinear microsystems.
Teng Ma, Luca Rosafalco, Wei Cui +2
Apr 16, 2026cs.LG

xFODE: An Explainable Fuzzy Additive ODE Framework for System Identification

Recent advances in Deep Learning (DL) have strengthened data-driven System Identification (SysID), with Neural and Fuzzy Ordinary Differential Equation (NODE/FODE) models achieving high accuracy in nonlinear dynamic modeling. Yet, system states in these frameworks are often reconstructed without clear physical meaning, and input contributions to the state derivatives remain difficult to interpret. To address these limitations, we propose Explainable FODE (xFODE), an interpretable SysID framework with integrated DL-based training. In xFODE, we define states in an incremental form to provide them with physical meanings. We employ fuzzy additive models to approximate the state derivative, thereby enhancing interpretability per input. To provide further interpretability, Partitioning Strategies (PSs) are developed, enabling the training of fuzzy additive models with explainability. By structuring the antecedent space during training so that only two consecutive rules are activated for any given input, PSs not only yield lower complexity for local inference but also enhance the interpretability of the antecedent space. To train xFODE, we present a DL framework with parameterized membership function learning that supports end-to-end optimization. Across benchmark SysID datasets, xFODE matches the accuracy of NODE, FODE, and NLARX models while providing interpretable insights.
Ertugrul Kececi, Tufan Kumbasar
Apr 16, 2026cs.LG

xFODE+: Explainable Type-2 Fuzzy Additive ODEs for Uncertainty Quantification

Recent advances in Deep Learning (DL) have boosted data-driven System Identification (SysID), but reliable use requires Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) alongside accurate predictions. Although UQ-capable models such as Fuzzy ODE (FODE) can produce Prediction Intervals (PIs), they offer limited interpretability. We introduce Explainable Type-2 Fuzzy Additive ODEs for UQ (xFODE+), an interpretable SysID model which produces PIs alongside point predictions while retaining physically meaningful incremental states. xFODE+ implements each fuzzy additive model with Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (IT2-FLSs) and constraints membership functions to the activation of two neighboring rules, limiting overlap and keeping inference locally transparent. The type-reduced sets produced by the IT2-FLSs are aggregated to construct the state update together with the PIs. The model is trained in a DL framework via a composite loss that jointly optimizes prediction accuracy and PI quality. Results on benchmark SysID datasets show that xFODE+ matches FODE in PI quality and achieves comparable accuracy, while providing interpretability.
Ertugrul Kececi, Tufan Kumbasar
Apr 16, 2026cs.LG

SOLIS: Physics-Informed Learning of Interpretable Neural Surrogates for Nonlinear Systems

Nonlinear system identification must balance physical interpretability with model flexibility. Classical methods yield structured, control-relevant models but rely on rigid parametric forms that often miss complex nonlinearities, whereas Neural ODEs are expressive yet largely black-box. Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) sit between these extremes, but inverse PINNs typically assume a known governing equation with fixed coefficients, leading to identifiability failures when the true dynamics are unknown or state-dependent. We propose \textbf{SOLIS}, which models unknown dynamics via a \emph{state-conditioned second-order surrogate model} and recasts identification as learning a Quasi-Linear Parameter-Varying (Quasi-LPV) representation, recovering interpretable natural frequency, damping, and gain without presupposing a global equation. SOLIS decouples trajectory reconstruction from parameter estimation and stabilizes training with a cyclic curriculum and \textbf{Local Physics Hints} windowed ridge-regression anchors that mitigate optimization collapse. Experiments on benchmarks show accurate parameter-manifold recovery and coherent physical rollouts from sparse data, including regimes where standard inverse methods fail.
Murat Furkan Mansur, Tufan Kumbasar
Apr 3, 2026cs.LG

Learning Without Adversarial Training: A Physics-Informed Neural Network for Secure Power System State Estimation under False Data Injection Attacks

Power System State Estimation (PSSE) converts geographically distributed measurements into the voltage magnitudes and phase angles needed for grid monitoring and control. Learned estimators can perform this mapping rapidly, but model-aware False Data Injection Attacks (FDIAs) may corrupt their inputs while retaining AC plausibility and residual-based stealth. Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) limit candidate states through power-flow consistency; however, their robustness depends on balancing supervised and physics losses whose scales and gradient contributions evolve during training. This paper proposes a PINN that jointly learns homoscedastic uncertainty parameters and uses them to adapt the two objectives. The formulation assigns trainable log-uncertainties to the active-power, reactive-power, voltage, and angle losses while safeguarding against an underweighted physics objective. The estimator is trained only on clean steady-state data and is evaluated, without adversarial retraining, under baseline state-distortion and stricter residual-profile-matching regimes on the IEEE~118-bus system. Accuracy is measured against the uncompromised system state. Relative to a fixed-weight PINN, dynamic weighting reduces overall Mean Absolute Error (MAE) by 55%55\% while also improving voltage- and angle-estimation accuracy. The results show that learning the physics/data balance from clean data improves robustness to unseen FDIAs.
Solon Falas, Markos Asprou, Charalambos Konstantinou +1