Transitions

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12 papers in the last 28 days · 0.2% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-21

4 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Transitions.

Period ending 2026-09-14

4 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Transitions.

Period ending 2026-09-07

4 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Transitions.

107 papers

Latest in Transitions

Jun 2, 2026cs.LG

Local Guidance, Global Impact: Gaussian-Reshaped Trust Region Unlocks Behavior Transitions

While Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) demonstrates strong performance in stationary settings, we show that its standard optimization paradigm struggles in continual and non-stationary environments. The failure does not stem from insufficient model capacity or overly restrictive clipping. Instead, PPO performs persistent, directionally inefficient local updates, which indicates a lack of geometry-aware guidance for accumulating meaningful behavioral change and ultimately hindering transitions toward new behavior patterns. Although divergence-based regularization introduces partial geometric awareness, its monotonically increasing penalties implicitly discourage large policy deviations, even when such shifts are necessary for effective adaptation. To address this limitation, we propose Gaussian Trust Region Policy Optimization (GTR), which reshapes the trust region using a Gaussian kernel. The resulting constraint is bounded and non-monotonic, providing strong local stability while progressively relaxing under sustained high-advantage updates. To further improve robustness, we introduce a Mixture Gaussian Anchor that adapts to recent policy trajectories, reducing variance induced by stale references. GTR is architecture-agnostic and achieves strong performance across games, simulated robotic control, open-world exploration, and language model post-training. These results demonstrate that geometry-aware trust-region design can be a promising direction for robust reinforcement learning in complex non-stationary environments. Our code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/GTR_demo/README.md.
Bingxu Liu, Jiashun Liu, Johan Obando-Ceron +5
Jun 1, 2026cs.LG

A Doeblin-Anchored Contrastive Chart for Learning Markov Transition Kernels

Learning a Markov transition model is not merely conditional density estimation: the learned object must be a valid transition kernel before it is iterated in downstream dynamics. This paper introduces a Doeblin-anchored contrastive chart, a statistical-to-dynamical coordinate framework for learning transition kernels from contrastive objectives. Given a restart law and an anchor strength, the chart mixes the target transition with the restart law. The resulting anchored kernel is simultaneously a Doeblin-minorized Markov kernel, the positive conditional law in a binary contrastive experiment, and an explicitly invertible coordinate for the original transition law. We prove that the anchored contrastive risk identifies the anchored transition density and calibrates excess risk to density error. Since inversion of a learned score may produce a signed or unnormalized object, we introduce a measurable Markovization operator that restores kernel validity while preserving integrated L1L^1 accuracy up to a constant factor. Oracle inequalities and Hölder--ReLU approximation bounds yield nonparametric rates for independent transition pairs. For stationary geometrically ββ-mixing trajectories, a conservative thinning-and-coupling extension yields the same reconstruction interface with an effective sample size. Occupancy-weighted perturbation bounds transfer one-step kernel error to finite-horizon marginal, path-law, and occupation-measure errors under explicit coverage.
Ao Xu
Jun 1, 2026cs.AI

Bayesian Spectral Emotion Transition Discovery from Multi-Annotator Disagreement

Emotions evolve through the dynamics of conversation, and understanding their transition structure is foundational to applications ranging from mental-health screening to dialogue systems. However, existing studies typically compress multi-rater judgments into a single hard label by majority voting, discarding the uncertainty signal needed to understand turn-to-turn transitions. In this article, we propose Bayesian Spectral Emotion Transition Discovery (BSETD), a two-stage framework that discovers emotion-transition structure from multi-rater soft labels. In the first stage, a hierarchical Dirichlet-Multinomial posterior is constructed through the outer product of soft labels, equipping each cell of the K x K transition matrix with a credible interval and Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) false discovery rate (FDR)-controlled significance. In the second stage, the symmetrized graph Laplacian is spectrally decomposed to separate a low-frequency (inertia) component from a high-frequency (contagion) component. On EmotionLines, BSETD simultaneously recovers the signatures of two distinct affective spaces: the Plutchik-adjacent transitions disgust to anger (log2 lift +0.94) and anger to disgust (+0.86) are over-represented, while the Russell-valence-reversed transitions joy to anger (-0.90) and anger to joy (-0.89) are under-represented. A five-source cross-corpus validation yields pairwise Pearson correlations in 0.91-0.98 within English, 0.79-0.85 against Chinese M3ED, and 0.979 between the human hard labels and the LLM virtual soft labels on the same utterance set, demonstrating that a pipeline preserving annotator uncertainty bridges the computational study of emotion dynamics with established psychological theory.
Keito Inoshita, Takato Ueno
Jun 1, 2026cs.AI

TERRA: Task-Embedded Reasoning and Representation Architecture for Cross-Domain Applications

A single action-conditioned latent predictive architecture can in principle be trained on the structured state of a driving scene, a robot workspace, or a financial order book. The ingredients for doing so within any one domain already exist and are individually validated: masked-latent prediction, action-conditioned latent world models, discrete action tokenization, and joint-embedding prediction on voxelized state. What is not established, and what TERRA addresses, is the transfer question: when does a representation or predictor learned in one structured-state domain carry over to a structurally analogous but otherwise unrelated domain, and by how much. We give this question a formal treatment. We model each domain as a controlled Markov process on a graded latent grid, factor any instantiation into thin domain adapters and a shared domain-invariant core, and identify a cross-domain correspondence with an approximate Markov decision process homomorphism whose quality is measured by a lax bisimulation discrepancy and, for domains lacking a shared coordinate system, by a Gromov-Wasserstein distance between their action-conditioned transition operators. Under a Lipschitz predictor we derive a transfer bound that separates source-model error from structural mismatch, grows geometrically in the prediction horizon, and is certified from below by the Gromov-Wasserstein distance; we then connect latent error to decision regret through the Lipschitz value property of bisimulation metrics. The resulting Structured-State Transfer Hypothesis is stated as a falsifiable claim with a preregistered experimental program, centered on a transfer test from driving scenes to order books, including conditions under which it is refuted. We present no empirical results: this is a research proposal that converts a widely repeated intuition into testable theory.
Shayan Shokri
May 29, 2026cs.LG

Topology-Aware State Abstraction with Tangle Cores for Markov Decision Processes

State abstraction in reinforcement learning is usually formulated as a partition of states based on reward and transition similarity. This excludes a common structural pattern in navigation, graph, and hierarchical decision problems: interface states such as doors, hubs, and bottlenecks naturally participate in more than one region. We introduce \emph{tangle-core abstraction}, an overlapping state-abstraction framework based on graph tangles of empirical transition graphs. The method constructs abstract states from consistently oriented low-order separations and represents shared interfaces through a membership kernel rather than a hard partition. We give value-preservation guarantees for the induced overlapping abstract MDP under an explicit action-consistency condition, identify an interior-homogeneity/boundary-leakage error decomposition, and prove a quantitative interface-overlap result showing when hard partitions incur an avoidable boundary error. Empirically, tangle-core abstractions achieve favorable compression--return tradeoffs against reward-aware, learned, topological-map, and graph-partitioning baselines across bottlenecked tabular domains, procedurally generated mazes, and MiniGrid representations. We also identify a clear failure regime in which transition topology is uninformative, where tangles predictably offer little benefit. These results position graph tangles as an effective topology-aware abstraction prior for decision problems with shared interface structure.
Ibne Farabi Shihab, Sanjeda Akter, Anuj Sharma
May 29, 2026cs.AI

Robust Shielding for Safe Reinforcement Learning

Shielding is an effective approach to formally guarantee the safety of reinforcement learning agents in Markov decision processes (MDPs). However, existing shielding techniques typically assume knowledge of the safety-relevant transition dynamics - a requirement that is seldom met in practice. To address this limitation, we introduce a novel shielding framework for robust MDPs (RMDPs), i.e., MDPs with sets of transition probabilities. We define safety as the satisfaction of a linear temporal logic (LTL) formula with a certain threshold probability under the worst-case transition probabilities of the RMDP. We prove that our shielding framework is both sound and optimal for the RMDP: every policy admissible by the shield is safe, and conversely, every safe RMDP policy is admissible by the shield. We combine our approach with existing sampling methods for learning transition probabilities of MDPs with probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees. This combination enables the construction of shields for MDPs that, with high confidence, guarantee safety while remaining minimally restrictive. Our experiments show that our shields for learned RMDPs guarantee safety in unknown MDPs while recovering strong expected return as the number of samples increases.
Edwin Hamel-De le Court, Thom Badings, Alessandro Abate +2
May 29, 2026stat.ME

Modeling Covariate Transition for Efficient Estimation of Longitudinal Treatment Effects in Randomized Experiments

We present a regression-adjustment framework designed for the estimation of longitudinal treatment effects in randomized experiments under static regimes. While regression-adjustment methods are useful for variance reduction in randomized experiments by using pre-treatment covariates, they usually focus only on average effects, from which we cannot obtain valuable insights into when the effects appear and how long they continue. To address this issue, we consider intermediate outcomes and evolving post-treatment covariates over time, and we represent such dynamic trajectories using transition kernels. Furthermore, we establish the asymptotic normality and the semiparametric efficiency bound for our estimator, enabling more powerful statistical inference. Simulation studies and empirical analysis using A/B test data from a streaming platform in Japan show the practical advantages of our method.
Naoki Chihara, Tatsushi Oka, Yasuko Matsubara +2
May 29, 2026cs.LG

Efficient and Uncertainty-Aware Diffusion Framework for Offline-to-Online Reinforcement Learning

Offline-to-Online Reinforcement Learning (O2O-RL) leverages an offline, pre-trained policy to minimize costly online interactions. Although data-efficient, O2O-RL is susceptible to shifts between offline and online distributions. Existing work aims to mitigate the harm of this shift by finetuning the policy on trajectory data sampled from a diffusion model. Inspired by this line of work, we propose DUAL: an efficient \textbf{D}iffusion \textbf{U}ncertainty-\textbf{A}ware framework for offline-to-online reinforcement \textbf{L}earning. DUAL utilizes the prior knowledge of the diffusion model to distill a fast-sampling diffusion actor policy and transition model in the offline phase. DUAL also employs a Laplace approximation and distance transition-state-shift detection, thereby using uncertainty quantification to improve exploration versus exploitation in the online phase. We formally show that our actor loss with the Laplace approximation provides a proxy for a principled estimate of epistemic uncertainty. Empirically, DUAL improves the online expected return over O2O-RL baselines across multiple settings and environments.
Ha Manh Bui, Metod Jazbec, Eric Nalisnick +1
May 28, 2026cs.LG

Chess-World-Model: A 10M-Game Benchmark for Exact State Tracking from Chess Move Sequences

World models require state tracking, which is the ability to maintain a correct latent state across action sequences. Existing benchmarks are often synthetic or language-based, limiting their value as tests of structured state updates in realistic domains. We introduce Chess-World-Model, a large-scale state-tracking benchmark built from 10 million real chess games, where models predict the exact board state reached after a sequence of legal moves. Alongside a held-out real-game split, we include an out-of-distribution split from uniformly random legal play, which tests whether models learn the transition rules rather than shortcuts from common human positions. Prior theoretical and empirical work has shown that Transformers struggle to state-track, while input-dependent linear RNNs require expressive state-transition matrices to do so. We therefore benchmark a causal Transformer, block-diagonal SLiCE, Mamba-3, and Gated DeltaNet with negative eigenvalues under a matched interface and training protocol. The recurrent models strongly outperform the Transformer at 3 and 8 million parameters. Real-game performance saturates above 18 million parameters, but the random-uniform split remains discriminative up to 40 million, exposing failures otherwise hidden by scale. Additionally, ablations show that less expressive state-transition mechanisms reduce performance on the out-of-distribution split for all three recurrent models. Together, these results establish Chess-World-Model as a practical large-scale benchmark for state tracking that exposes failures model scale would otherwise conceal.
Benjamin Walker, Terry Lyons
May 27, 2026cs.LG

Causal Intelligence for Constraint-Aware Intervention Design to Induce State Transitions

Driving a system from one state to another through targeted interventions is a fundamental challenge in science, yet most predictive models offer limited mechanistic insight and no principled framework for decision-making. Here we present COAST (Causally Optimal Actions for State Transitions), a causal-intelligence approach for the in-silico design of constrained interventions that induce user-defined state transitions. Given data characterizing source and target states, COAST learns context-specific causal graphs and structural causal models, attributes observed distributional shifts to mechanism-level causal drivers, and introduces a novel constraint-aware multi-objective optimization formulation that balances transition efficacy, intervention complexity, and target-state stability. The approach is modular and domain-agnostic, integrating feature selection, causal discovery, causal modeling, and intervention identification and evaluation through interchangeable components. Across synthetic benchmarks and real biological datasets, COAST recovers key causal drivers and identifies robust single- and multi-target intervention strategies that achieve desired state transitions, accompanied by transparent mechanistic rationales to guide experimental validation.
Zixuan Song, Uwe Mueller, Dimitris V. Manatakis
May 27, 2026cs.RO

Visualizing Latent Phase Structures in Locomotion Policies: A Multi-Environment Study with Temporal Feature Extension

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) has been shown to achieve high performance on locomotion control tasks in MuJoCo benchmarks such as HalfCheetah, Ant, and Walker2D. However, visualizing the motion structures internally obtained by a trained policy function implemented as a deep neural network remains challenging. It is known from biomechanics and related fields that locomotion control is realized through the repetition of motion phases such as the stance phase and swing phase. In this study, we propose a framework for uncovering latent motion phase structures from trajectories generated by locomotion control policies through interaction with the environment. The proposed method extends the clustering features from state observations alone to augmented features including actions, next states, and next actions, and introduces a method for determining the number of clusters that suppresses self-transitions. Applying the proposed method to three environments -- Ant-v5, HalfCheetah-v5, and Walker2D-v5 -- we successfully identified phase structures with clearer and more regular transition rules than those obtained by the existing method.
Daisuke Yasui, Toshitaka Matuki, Hiroshi Sato
May 26, 2026cs.LG

On the Error-Correcting Effects of Stochasticity in Discrete Diffusion

Discrete diffusion models achieve strong performance in text and image generation, but their inference remains slow and must inherently balance sampling efficiency and sample quality. In this work, we present a systematic study of how the \emph{degree of stochasticity} in Markov transitions governs the sampling tradeoff. We show that highly deterministic transitions converge rapidly but suffer from error accumulation, while more stochastic transitions converge more slowly yet can achieve higher final sample quality. Using an information-theoretic analysis, we identify the underlying mechanism as an error-correcting effect induced by \emph{redundant transitions} that symmetrically exchange mass between states, and show that these transitions can provably contract sampling errors. Motivated by this analysis, we propose \emph{Discrete Churn and Restart Sampling} (DCRS), a novel inference algorithm that injects controlled stochasticity by alternating between forward and reverse diffusion processes. Experiments on synthetic datasets and large-scale benchmarks show that DCRS improves the speed-quality tradeoff in the low number of function evaluations regime. On image datasets, DCRS achieves up to a 10×10\times reduction in sampling steps compared to standard samplers while maintaining competitive sample quality, whereas on language benchmarks, we observe more nuanced behavior depending on the corruption process and sampling procedure.
William Yuan, Sungwon Jeong, Amirali Aghazadeh
May 25, 2026cs.CL

Phantom transitions in language model fine-tuning

Fine-tuning a language model on contexts whose correct completion has a near-synonym competitor often fails silently. The cross-entropy loss decreases monotonically while the correct token never overtakes the competitor in rank. We study this regime across five transformer architectures spanning two families and a fivefold parameter range, on ten hand-selected near-synonym contexts. We instrument these failures with an order parameter combining the predicted distribution and pairwise embedding overlaps. It decomposes additively into a signal, tracking the model's commitment to the correct token over its nearest competitor, and a background drag, set by how the embedding bulk leaks probability into the score. This isolates two failure modes. In kinematic failure the signal stays small. In structural failure the drag actively worsens as fine-tuning proceeds. We observe sharp catapult-like jumps in the order parameter that resemble a phase transition. A central negative result organises the paper. The transitions are phantoms. The spontaneous-symmetry-breaking interpretation is ruled out by direct measurement. Catapult-like jumps still appear under LoRA fine-tuning with the token embedding matrix exactly unchanged during training, where no geometric phase transition is possible. The discontinuity lives entirely in the softmax readout. A small number of dimensionless quantities organise the trajectory across architectures. One is consistent across all five under full fine-tuning. A second sorts architectures into two classes by bulk embedding distribution and predicts LoRA sufficiency. As a blind test, the framework predicts the critical learning rate of a held-out architecture, not used to fit any parameter, to within 2.1% of a subsequent learning-rate sweep. Findings concern the near-synonym mechanism only and should not be extrapolated without recalibration.
Vaibhav Prakash, Jayasri Dontabhaktuni
May 22, 2026cs.LG

Not All Transitions Matter: Evidence from PPO

Training a reinforcement learning agent on-policy means collecting fresh experience at every update, and that experience comes with a hidden problem. Each state in a rollout is the direct output of the previous one, causally chained together by the agent's own actions. Because of this, consecutive transitions are never truly independent. They carry overlapping information, and the gradient signal the network receives ends up far more repetitive than the batch size suggests. The same directions get reinforced over and over, the value network struggles to keep up as the policy shifts, and training becomes quietly unstable in ways that reward curves alone rarely reveal. This paper asks whether that redundancy can simply be removed. We show that randomly dropping a fixed fraction of transitions from the rollout, at the right stage so the reward signal stays intact, is enough to break the repetitive gradient structure and stabilize training. The change is minimal: one sampling step, no new components, no modification to the core algorithm, and it works with any PPO implementation. Across five environments of increasing difficulty, CartPole-v1, Acrobot-v1, LunarLander-v2, HalfCheetah-v5, and Hopper-v5, the method matches vanilla PPO on reward while producing more consistent training dynamics across KL divergence, policy entropy, and value estimates. Dropping 25% of transitions turns out to be the sweet spot: enough to disrupt the redundancy, not enough to thin the batch.
Ajhesh Basnet
May 22, 2026physics.soc-ph

SpinFlow: A Physics-Informed Spin Field Framework for Traffic Phase Inference and Transition Detection

Active traffic management (ATM) is frequently hindered by traditional macroscopic models and rigid empirical thresholds that fail to capture metastable phase precursors, resulting in delayed, reactive interventions. To address this, we propose SpinFlow, a physics-informed spin-field framework unifying Kerner's three-phase theory with statistical physics for continuous macroscopic traffic phase inference. Inspired by the Heisenberg model, SpinFlow parametrizes spatially varying phase weights via a latent spin vector and a competitive-equilibrium mapping, allowing synchronized flow to emerge naturally. A physics-regularized Expectation-Maximization algorithm inverts this latent structure from high-resolution trajectories, jointly optimizing the spin field while softly enforcing mass conservation and spatial smoothness. We introduce the Phase Equilibrium Degree (PED) to quantify structural alignment and topologically localize phase-transition points. Across four real-world trajectory datasets, SpinFlow achieves Rq2R_{q}^{2} up to 0.940, PED drops of 94.9-100%, and interpretable phase maps that outperform three heterogeneous baselines on forward accuracy, physics consistency, and bottleneck localization. SpinFlow pinpoints congestion nucleation without prior network topology, yielding a data-driven, physics-consistent trigger for ATM.
Haopeng Deng, Fucheng Zheng, Xinhai Xia
May 21, 2026cs.CL

When AI Takes Sides on Questions of Faith: Persistent Asymmetries in AI-Mediated Faith Guidance

We ask whether large language models (LLMs) treat queries about religious conversion symmetrically. The answer is no. When asked for advice on hypothetical faith transitions from religion A->B vs. religion B->A , models exhibited consistent asymmetries, favoring some religions while subtly discouraging conversion to others. On average Catholic, Bahá'í, and Sikh religions were broadly favored (high support for joining, low support for leaving), while Atheists, Agnostics, and Jehovah's Witnesses were primarily disfavored. Patterns varied by model size and model provider, with Grok 4.20 exhibiting the strongest asymmetries. We tested 20 commercial and open-source language models across 182 religion pairings using a human-verified LLM-as-judge framework. Each model was probed via interactions with a simulated user asking for advice on a potential faith conversion. Models tended to use more encouraging language for some faith transitions over others; these patterns were systematically repeatable across multiple trials. All LLMs tested exhibited reproducible asymmetry, though the pattern of preferences differed for each. Overall preferences persist across multiple question phrasings and variations in the religious pairing dataset. Taken together, these results suggest that asymmetry is a robust property of model behavior rather than an artifact of how the models' answers were scored. It is important to consider that any imbalances deployed and reproduced at scale can have real-world implications.
Brett Israelsen, Sheryl Carty, Josh Coates +3
May 21, 2026cs.LG

When to Switch, Not Just What: Transition Quality Prediction in Clash Royale

In competitive games, players frequently switch strategies after losing streaks, yet our analysis of 926,334 match records from 34,619 Clash Royale players reveals a counterintuitive pattern: switching frequency is inversely associated with the win rate, with effects that vary substantially across players and situational contexts. We attribute this to a limitation common in many prior recommendation systems, which evaluate strategies by expected quality while overlooking the behavioral cost of switching and individual differences in switching propensity. We refer to this implicit premise as the Zero Switching Cost Assumption. To address this, we reformulate strategy recommendation as a transition-level decision problem and instantiate it as TQP (Transition Quality Predictor), a three-stage pipeline structured as Who -> When -> What. PersonaGate suppresses recommendations for players whose strategic consistency is empirically associated with superior outcomes. TimingGate identifies moments when switching is likely to yield a net benefit over staying, using a subtype- and state-matched baseline to control for natural win-rate recovery. ScoreFusion ranks candidate strategies by combining an adoptability signal with predicted transition quality (delta WR). We further introduce SwitchGap, an evaluation metric that measures a policy's discriminative quality without treating observed player choices as optimal ground truth. This property is particularly important because the most frequent switchers record the lowest win rates. The full pipeline achieves a SwitchGap of +10.4 percentage points at a recommendation rate of 5.4%, and loss-triggered switchers, despite being the lowest-performing group, benefit the most from subtype-conditioned guidance.
Heeyun Heo, Huy Kang Kim
May 19, 2026cs.LG

A 10,000-Year Global Stochastic Tropical Cyclone Catalog with Wind-Dependent Track Transitions (WHITS)

Reliable assessment of tropical cyclone risk is limited by the short and spatially uneven historical record, especially for rare, high-intensity landfalls that dominate insured loss. We present WHITS, the Wind-focused Hurricane Interactive Track Simulator, a non-parametric semi-Markov model that generates a 10,000-year global synthetic catalog of tropical cyclone tracks. WHITS builds new storms by resampling variable-length segments of historical tracks, with segment choices conditioned on local wind speed, location, storm age, and forward motion. This structure preserves both the statistical grounding of the historical record and a form of system memory along realized storm pathways. The resulting catalog reproduces observed track density and the annual probability that hurricane- or typhoon-force winds pass a given location across the major tropical cyclone basins. WHITS is designed to support climate risk analysis, insurance applications, and extreme event research over operational planning time scales by providing a large, low-bias sample of physically plausible storms. This low-bias design is important for applications in which introduced bias cannot simply be corrected after the fact and small errors in storm frequency, track, or intensity can substantially affect loss estimates. Because loss accumulates along the storm path, track geometry matters: storms that loop, stall, or turn sharply can produce damage footprints that differ fundamentally from straight-moving events. By preserving these irregular shapes while greatly expanding the sample of plausible storms, WHITS provides risk analysts, insurers, and coastal planners with information unavailable from observations alone.
Jennifer Nakamura, Upmanu Lall
May 19, 2026cs.LG

Smooth Piecewise Cutting for Neural Operator to Handle Discontinuities and Sharp Transitions

Neural operators have achieved strong performance in learning solution operators of partial differential equations (PDEs), but their inherently continuous representations struggle to capture discontinuities and sharp transitions. Existing approaches typically approximate such features within continuous function spaces, often requiring increased model capacity and high-resolution data. In this work, we propose Cut-DeepONet, a two-stage training framework that explicitly models discontinuities while reducing learning complexity. Our approach reformulates the problem via a lifting strategy, partitioning the domain into smooth subregions while representing discontinuities as boundaries in a higher-dimensional space. This separation aligns the operator learning task with the inductive bias of neural networks and avoids directly approximating discontinuities. An additional network predicts input-dependent discontinuity locations for unseen inputs, which are then used to guide the neural operator in generating smooth components within each region. Experiments on benchmark PDEs show that Cut-DeepONet outperforms state-of-the-art methods, even when trained on low-resolution datasets. The method excels on problems with discontinuities and sharp transitions, while using fewer trainable parameters. Our results highlight the benefits of changing the representation of operator learning rather than increasing model complexity.
Ha Dang, Sebastian Schmidt, Juergen Hesser
May 19, 2026cs.LG

ST-TGExplainer: Disentangling Stability and Transition Patterns for Temporal GNN Interpretability

Temporal graph neural networks (TGNNs) have gained significant traction for solving real-world temporal graph tasks. However, their interpretability remains limited, as most TGNNs fail to identify which historical interactions most influence a given prediction. Despite promising progress on interpretable TGNNs, existing methods predominantly focus on previously seen historical interactions, which we term stability patterns, while overlooking newly emerging first-time interactions, which we term transition patterns. Both types of patterns are essential for faithful temporal explanations. To address this limitation, we propose ST-TGExplainer, a self-explainable TGNN that disentangles Stability and Transition patterns in temporal graphs for a more faithful Temporal GNN Explainer. Guided by a disentangled information bottleneck objective, ST-TGExplainer learns a compact explanatory subgraph that remains predictive of the event label while explicitly suppressing label-conditioned redundancy between stability and transition patterns. Extensive experiments demonstrate that ST-TGExplainer achieves strong predictive performance and yields more faithful explanations. Code is available at https://github.com/hjchen-hdu/ST-TGExplainer.
Hongjiang Chen, Xin Zheng, Pengfei Jiao +5
May 17, 2026cs.CR

ASPI: Seeking Ambiguity Clarification Amplifies Prompt Injection Vulnerability in LLM Agents

Clarification-seeking behavior is widely regarded as a desirable property of LLM agents, enabling them to resolve ambiguity before acting on underspecified tasks. However, the security implications of this interaction pattern remain unexplored. We investigate whether the transition from standard execution to a clarification-seeking state increases an agent's susceptibility to prompt injection attacks. We introduce ASPI (Ambiguous-State Prompt Injection), a benchmark of 728 task-attack scenarios that isolates clarification as a distinct agent state and measures how this state transition affects vulnerability under controlled conditions. Each benchmark instance is evaluated under matched execution and clarification settings: in the execution setting, the agent acts on a fully specified instruction and encounters adversarial content only through tool-returned data; in the clarification setting, the agent must first request and incorporate additional user input before acting. We evaluate ten frontier LLMs and find that clarification-seeking consistently and substantially amplifies vulnerability. For instance, attack success rises from 1.8% to 34.0% for o3 and from 2.2% to 35.7% for Gemini-3-Flash. A decomposition analysis reveals that this gap reflects both a state-dependent shift in how models process incoming content and a channel-specific effect arising from the agent-solicited clarification interface. These findings demonstrate that standard execution-time security evaluation systematically underestimates the attack surface of interactive agents, and that robustness under fully specified tasks does not translate to robustness under ambiguity. For reproducibility, our data and source code are available at https://github.com/scaleapi/aspi.
Udari Madhushani Sehwag, Zhengyang Shan, Heming Liu +3
May 16, 2026stat.ML

CAST: Causal Anchored Simplex Transport for Distribution-Valued Time Series

Many decision-facing stochastic systems are observed through aggregate distributions rather than scalar trajectories: queue occupancies, mobility shares, public-health mixtures, generation-source shares, ecological compositions, and air-quality severity profiles all live on the probability simplex and evolve over time. We study causal (online) forecasting for these distribution-valued time series and argue that the transition operator itself should be structured around the simplex. We introduce CAST (Causal Anchored Simplex Transport), a successor-local operator that (i) retrieves empirical successors from causal context, (ii) stabilizes them with a persistence anchor, and (iii) applies a bounded local stochastic transport on ordered supports; every stage preserves the simplex by construction. We identify a structural failure mode, latent transition-kernel aliasing, where similar observed distributions evolve differently under different contextual regimes, and prove that any forecaster depending only on an aliased summary incurs an irreducible weighted Jensen-Shannon excess-risk lower bound, while the CAST hypothesis class contains the regime-aware Bayes successor; for ordered supports an additional Pinsker separation holds whenever the transported successor lies outside the no-transport anchor hull. On eleven public and simulated benchmarks spanning ecology, energy, diet, mortality, employment, air quality, severe weather, mobility, and G/G/1, G_t/G/1 queue occupancy, CAST attains the best average rank on both one-step KL (1.27) and autoregressive rollout JSD (1.91), winning 8/11 sections on each metric against a broad statistical, compositional, recurrent, convolutional, and Transformer baseline set, and top-2 on all 11 sections for offline KL. Component ablations and a controlled synthetic aliasing experiment corroborate the theory.
Jiecheng Lu, Jieqi Di, Runhua Wu +1
May 14, 2026cs.LG

Matrix-Space Reinforcement Learning for Reusing Local Transition Geometry

Compositional generalization in sequential decision-making requires identifying which parts of prior rollouts remain useful for new tasks. Existing methods reuse skills or predictive models, but often overlook rich local transition geometry and dynamics. We propose Matrix-Space Reinforcement Learning (MSRL), a geometric abstraction that represents trajectory segments through positive semidefinite matrix descriptors aggregating first- and second-order statistics of lifted one-step transitions. These descriptors expose shared hidden structure, support algebraic composition in an abstract matrix space, and reveal opportunities for transfer. We prove that the descriptor is well defined up to coordinate gauge, complete for the induced low-order additive signal class, additive under valid segment composition, and minimally sufficient among admissible additive descriptors. We further show that conditioning value functions on the trajectory-segment matrix yields a first-order smooth approximation of action values, enabling source-learned matrix-to-value mappings to bootstrap learning in new tasks. MSRL is plug-in compatible with standard model-free and model-based methods, while obstruction filtering rejects implausible compositions. Empirically, MSRL achieves the best average finite-budget target AUC of 0.73, outperforming MSRL from scratch (0.65), TD-MPC-PT+FT (0.63), and TD-MPC (0.57).
Zuyuan Zhang, Carlee Joe-Wong, Tian Lan
May 13, 2026cs.LG

Bridging Domain Gaps with Target-Aligned Generation for Offline Reinforcement Learning

Cross-domain offline reinforcement learning aims to adapt a policy from a source domain to a target domain using only pre-collected datasets, where environment dynamics may differ. A key challenge is to leverage source data while reducing distributional mismatch, particularly when the target dataset is extremely limited. To address this, we propose Target-aligned Coverage Expansion (TCE), a framework that decides how source data should be used, either by directly incorporating target-near transitions or by expanding state coverage through target-aligned generation, guided by theoretical analysis. TCE builds on a dual score-based generative model to synthesize target-consistent transitions over an expanded state region. Extensive experiments across diverse cross-domain environments show that TCE consistently outperforms state-of-the-art cross-domain offline RL baselines.
Minung Kim, Jeongmo Kim, Gwanwoo Choi +1
May 13, 2026cs.LG

Separating Shortcut Transition from Cross-Family OOD Failure in a Minimal Model

Shortcut features are often invoked to explain out-of-distribution (OOD) failure, but training correlation, learned shortcut use, and test-time failure need not coincide. We study a minimal binary model with one invariant coordinate and one family-dependent shortcut coordinate. In the deterministic regime, positive average shortcut correlation pulls logistic ERM toward positive shortcut weight, but ridge regularization keeps the classifier invariant-dominated and prevents deterministic OOD failure. When the invariant coordinate is noisy, ridge-logistic ERM switches to the shortcut rule once the training shortcut signal exceeds the invariant signal. Whether that transition causes failure depends on the held-out family: weaker shortcut correlation yields positive excess risk, and sign-flipped families yield above-chance error. Synthetic checks match these analytic regimes and show that the same training-side transition can have different held-out consequences. The model separates shortcut attraction, shortcut-rule transition, and cross-family OOD failure.
Hongmin Li
May 13, 2026cs.LG

Lying Is Just a Phase: The Hidden Alignment Transition in Language Model Scaling

Scaling laws predict loss from compute but not how capabilities interact. We measure the coupling between reasoning and truthfulness across 63 base models from 16 families and find a regime change invisible to loss curves: below a family-dependent critical scale N_c, capabilities anticorrelate (r = -0.989, p = 4 x 10^{-5} nonparametric permutation test); above it, they cooperate. N_c ~ 3.5B parameters [2.9B, 13.4B] (bootstrap 95% CI), but model size is not the only variable that determines phase. Architecture, data curation, and training recipe each shift N_c independently: curated training eliminated the coupling dip between Qwen generations (0.025 to 0.830 at matched scale), Gemma-4 at 4B achieves coupling 0.871, characteristic of 13B+ standard-trained models, through distillation and architectural innovation, and Phi at 1B matches web-trained coupling at 10B through data curation alone. Width normalization eliminates the anticorrelation across all tested families, supporting an output-projection bottleneck. Internally, 38 of 40 models show zero competing attention heads. A sparse-regression ODE cross-predicts held-out Llama-2 at 5.6% error. The diagnostic requires no model internals -- only public benchmark scores across a model family. The cooperative regime extends to the frontier (r = +0.72, 34 models, 10 labs). A proof-of-concept intervention confirms the bottleneck is exploitable: adding a single truth-direction vector at the identified layer corrects 60% of misaligned outputs in the tax phase with zero retraining -- a surgical, per-inference correction that requires no weight modification. Code, data, an open-source steering CLI for any open-weight model, and an interactive dashboard for phase diagnosis are released: https://zehenlabs.com/cape/.
Adil Amin
May 12, 2026cs.LG

Discrete MeanFlow: One-Step Generation via Conditional Transition Kernels

MeanFlow enables one-step generation in continuous spaces by learning an average velocity over a time interval rather than the instantaneous velocity field of flow matching. However, discrete state spaces do not have smooth trajectories or spatial derivatives, so the continuous formulation does not directly apply. We introduce Discrete MeanFlow, which replaces the motion of a point with the transport of probability mass over finite states. Our key object is the conditional transition kernel of a continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC), from which we define a mean discrete rate that measures the average change in transition probability over a time interval. We prove a Discrete MeanFlow identity that relates this finite-interval rate to the instantaneous CTMC generator at the endpoint, with the Kolmogorov forward equation replacing the spatial chain rule of continuous MeanFlow. Based on this identity, we parameterize the transition kernel directly using a boundary-by-construction design that guarantees valid probability outputs and exact boundary conditions without auxiliary losses. Since the learned kernel is itself a probability distribution, generation reduces to a single forward pass followed by one categorical draw meaning no iterative denoising, ODE integration, or multi-step refinement is required. We validate the framework on exact finite-state Markov chains, where the learned kernel recovers the analytical ground truth to high precision, and on factorized synthetic sequence generation tasks with varying alphabet sizes and sequence lengths.
Fairoz Nower Khan, Nabuat Zaman Nahim, Md Sajid Ahmed +2
May 12, 2026cs.LG

In-context learning to predict critical transitions in dynamical systems

Critical transitions - abrupt, often irreversible changes in system dynamics - arise across human and natural systems, often with catastrophic consequences. Real-world observations of such shifts remain scarce, preventing the development of reliable early warning systems. Conventional statistical and spectral indicators, such as increasing variance, tend to fail under realistic conditions of limited data and correlated noise, whereas existing deep learning classifiers do not extrapolate beyond their training data distribution. In this work, we introduce TipPFN, an in-context learning (ICL) framework that uses a prior-data fitted network to infer a system's proximity to a critical transition. Trained on our novel synthetic data generator, which is based on canonical bifurcation scenarios coupled to diverse, randomized stochastic dynamics, TipPFN flexibly capitalizes on contexts of various sizes, complexity and dimensionalities. We demonstrate robust, state-of-the-art early detection of critical transitions in previously unseen tipping regimes, sim-to-real examples, and real-world observations in both ICL and zero-shot settings.
Yunus Sevinchan, Juan Nathaniel, Kai Ueltzhöffer +8
May 12, 2026cs.AI

Do Enterprise Systems Need Learned World Models? The Importance of Context to Infer Dynamics

World models enable agents to anticipate the effects of their actions by internalizing environment dynamics. In enterprise systems, however, these dynamics are often defined by tenant-specific business logic that varies across deployments and evolves over time, making models trained on historical transitions brittle under deployment shift. We ask a question the world-models literature has not addressed: when the rules can be read at inference time, does an agent still need to learn them? We argue, and demonstrate empirically, that in settings where transition dynamics are configurable and readable, runtime discovery complements offline training by grounding predictions in the active system instance. We propose enterprise discovery agents, which recover relevant transition dynamics at runtime by reading the system's configuration rather than relying solely on internalized representations. We introduce CascadeBench, a reasoning-focused benchmark for enterprise cascade prediction that adopts the evaluation methodology of World of Workflows on diverse synthetic environments, and use it together with deployment-shift evaluation to show that offline-trained world models can perform well in-distribution but degrade as dynamics change, whereas discovery-based agents are more robust under shift by grounding their predictions in the current instance. Our findings suggest that, in configurable enterprise environments, agents should not rely solely on fixed internalized dynamics, but should incorporate mechanisms for discovering relevant transition logic at runtime.
Jishnu Sethumadhavan Nair, Patrice Bechard, Rishabh Maheshwary +14
May 12, 2026cs.AI

When Simulation Lies: A Sim-to-Real Benchmark and Domain-Randomized RL Recipe for Tool-Use Agents

Tool-use language agents are evaluated on benchmarks that assume clean inputs, unambiguous tool registries, and reliable APIs. Real deployments violate all these assumptions: user typos propagate into hallucinated tool names, a misconfigured request timeout can stall an agent indefinitely, and duplicate tool names across servers can freeze an SDK. We study these failures as a sim-to-real gap in the tool-use partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP), where deployment noise enters through the observation, action space, reward-relevant metadata, or transition dynamics. We introduce RobustBench-TC, a benchmark with 22 perturbation types organized by these four POMDP components, each grounded in a verified GitHub issue or documented tool-calling failure. Across 21 models from 1.5B to 32B parameters (including the closed-source o4-mini), the robustness profile is sharply uneven: observation perturbations reduce accuracy by less than 5%, while reward-relevant and transition perturbations reduce accuracy by roughly 40% and 30%, respectively; scale alone does not close these gaps. We then propose ToolRL-DR, a domain-randomization reinforcement learning (RL) recipe that trains a tool-use agent on perturbation-augmented trajectories spanning the three statically encodable POMDP components. On a 3B backbone, ToolRL-DR-Full retains roughly three-quarters of clean accuracy and reaches an aggregate perturbed accuracy comparable to open-source 14B function-calling baselines while substantially narrowing the gap to o4-mini. It closes approximately 27% of the Transition gap despite never seeing transition perturbations in training, suggesting that RL on adversarial static tool-use inputs induces a more persistent retry policy that transfers to unseen runtime failures. The dataset, code and benchmark leaderboard are publicly available.
Xiaolin Zhou, Aojie Yuan, Zheng Luo +12
May 12, 2026cs.AI

Domain Restriction via Multi SAE Layer Transitions

The general-purpose nature of Large Language Models (LLMs) presents a significant challenge for domain-specific applications, often leading to out-of-domain (OOD) interactions that undermine the provider's intent. Existing methods for detecting such scenarios treat the LLM as an uninterpretable black box and overlook the internal processing of inputs. In this work we show that layer transitions provide a promising avenue for extracting domain-specific signature. Specifically, we present several lightweight ways of learning on internal dynamics encoded using a sparse autoencoder (SAE) that exhibit great capability in distinguishing OOD texts. Building on top of SAEs representation transitions enables us to better interpret the LLM internal evolution of input processing and shed light on its decisions. We provide a comprehensive analysis of the method and benchmark it with the gemma-2 2B and 9B models. Our results emphasize the efficacy of the internal process in capturing fine-grained input-related details.
Elias Shaheen, Avi Mendelson
May 8, 2026cs.AI

Offline Policy Optimization with Posterior Sampling

A fundamental challenge in model-based offline reinforcement learning (RL) lies in the trade-off between generalization and robustness against exploitation errors in out-of-distribution (OOD) regions. While OOD samples may capture valid underlying physical dynamics, they also introduce the risk of model exploitation. Existing methods typically address this risk through excessive pessimistic regularization, which ensures robustness but often sacrifices generalization. To overcome this limitation, we propose Posterior Sampling-based Policy Optimization (PSPO), which formulates dynamics modeling as a Bayesian inference process to derive a posterior that explicitly quantifies model fidelity. Through the integration of posterior sampling and constrained policy optimization, our method leverages dynamics-consistent OOD transitions for generalization while ensuring robustness against model exploitation. Theoretically, we formulate Q-value estimation under posterior sampling as a stochastic approximation problem and establish its convergence. We decompose policy optimization into a sequence of constrained subproblems, demonstrating that solving these subproblems guarantees monotonic improvement until convergence. Experiments on standard benchmarks validate that PSPO achieves superior performance compared to state-of-the-art baselines.
Hongqiang Lin, Dongxu Zhang, Yiding Sun +3
May 8, 2026cs.CL

The Text Uncanny Valley: Non-Monotonic Performance Degradation in LLM Information Retrieval

Existing Large Language Model (LLM) benchmarks primarily focus on syntactically correct inputs, leaving a significant gap in evaluation on imperfect text. In this work, we study how word-boundary corruption affects how LLMs detect targeted information. By inserting whitespace characters within words to break them into fragments, LLMs' detection accuracy follows a U-shaped curve with the increase in insertion rate. We refer to this curve as the Text Uncanny Valley. To explain such observation, we propose a mode transition hypothesis: LLMs operate in a word-level mode for near-normal text and a character-level mode for heavily fragmented text, with the valley marking the disordered transition where neither mode is effective. Four experiments and one analysis are consistent with this account: in-context learning fails to rescue valley-bottom performance; regularizing the perturbation substantially reduces the U-shape; a math reasoning task replicates the U-shape for Gemini 3.0 Flash but not for stronger models, suggesting the effect is attenuated when tasks rely less on exact lexical alignment; and tokenization entropy peaks before the F1 minimum, consistent with a regime-conflict interpretation. These findings reveal a failure mode invisible to clean-text benchmarks yet directly relevant to any deployment scenario involving noisy or uncurated text inputs.
Zekai Tong, Ruiyao Xu, Aryan Shrivastava +2
May 7, 2026cs.RO

Resource-Constrained Robotic Planning in the face of Mixed Uncertainty

Robots operate under significant uncertainty, from quantifiable noise to unquantifiable unknowns, and must account for strict operational constraints, such as limited resources. In this paper, we consider the problem of synthesizing robust strategies to guide a robot's actions in fulfilling a given task, while ensuring the system never exhausts its resources. To solve this problem, we first model the robotic system as a Consumption Markov Decision Process with Set-valued Transitions(CMDPST), a unified framework modelling nondeterministic actions, quantifiable and unquantifiable uncertainty, and resource consumption. Then, we combine the CMDPST with the task specification, expressed as a Linear Temporal Logic over finite traces (LTLf ) formula. Lastly, we address the resource constrained optimal robust strategy synthesis problem, which aims to synthesize a strategy that maximizes the probability of satisfying the LTLf objective without resource exhaustion. Our solution involves two techniques: a direct unrolling-based method and a more efficient, optimized approach that leverages state-space pruning for better performance. Experiments on a warehouse transportation network show the effectiveness of the proposed solutions.
Yihao Yin, Pian Yu, Andrea Turrini +3
May 7, 2026cs.LG

Distributional Spectral Diagnostics for Localizing Grokking Transitions

In grokking, a model first fits the training data while test accuracy remains low, and only later begins to generalize. We ask whether this transition can be localized from observed training trajectories before the test accuracy rises, and formulate grokking transition localization as a diagnostic problem with an explicit threshold/FPR/lead-time trade-off. Task-dependent observables are summarized as empirical distributions, mapped to Wasserstein/quantile coordinates, and analyzed by Hankel dynamic mode decomposition (DMD); the resulting reconstruction residual, together with spectrum and effective rank, forms the diagnostic output. On held-out modular-addition Transformer runs, the residual achieves AUROC \approx 0.93 for grokking-vs-non-grokking discrimination at the run level; under a fixed sustained-threshold operating rule, true-positive alarms can precede onset, with lead time reported jointly with false-alarm rate and uncertainty intervals. Perturbation experiments show that, in the tested wd=1wd=1 pool, high-residual windows exhibit about 3×3\times larger short-horizon perturbation deviation than low-residual windows. In a same-data norm-window control, perturbation sensitivity aligns with the residual ordering rather than total-parameter-norm ordering, suggesting that the residual is not merely a total-norm proxy at the window level in the studied wd=1wd=1 dynamics. Norm signals remain strong run-level regime indicators, and log-probability performs best among the observables tested under the current protocol. We position the residual as a window-level monitoring and localization signal in the studied modular-arithmetic Transformer settings, not a universal early-warning predictor or an intervention rule.
Ziyue Wang, Yufeng Ying, Takafumi Kanamori
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Interpretable experiential learning based on state history and global feedback

A new interpretable experiential learning model based on state history and global feedback is presented. It is capable of learning a behavioral model represented by a transition graph between sets of states, with transitions attributed with utility and evidence count. This model is expected to be suitable for solving reinforcement learning problem in resource-constrained environments. The model was thoroughly evaluated on the OpenAI Gym Atari Breakout benchmark, demonstrating performance comparable to some known neural network-based solutions.
Anton Kolonin
Apr 30, 2026cs.CV

TransVLM: A Vision-Language Framework and Benchmark for Detecting Any Shot Transitions

Traditional Shot Boundary Detection (SBD) inherently struggles with complex transitions by formulating the task around isolated cut points, frequently yielding corrupted video shots. We address this fundamental limitation by formalizing the Shot Transition Detection (STD) task. Rather than searching for ambiguous points, STD explicitly detects the continuous temporal segments of transitions. To tackle this, we propose TransVLM, a Vision-Language Model (VLM) framework for STD. Unlike regular VLMs that predominantly rely on spatial semantics and struggle with fine-grained inter-shot dynamics, our method explicitly injects optical flow as a critical motion prior at the input stage. Through a simple yet effective feature-fusion strategy, TransVLM directly processes concatenated color and motion representations, significantly enhancing its temporal awareness without incurring any additional visual token overhead on the language backbone. To overcome the severe class imbalance in public data, we design a scalable data engine to synthesize diverse transition videos for robust training, alongside a comprehensive benchmark for STD. Extensive experiments demonstrate that TransVLM achieves superior overall performance, outperforming traditional heuristic methods, specialized spatiotemporal networks, and top-tier VLMs. This work has been deployed to production. For more related research, please visit HeyGen Research (https://www.heygen.com/research) and HeyGen Avatar-V (https://www.heygen.com/research/avatar-v-model). Project page: https://chence17.github.io/TransVLM/
Ce Chen, Yi Ren, Yuanming Li +5
Apr 27, 2026cs.RO

DiscreteRTC: Discrete Diffusion Policies are Natural Asynchronous Executors

Unlike chatbots, physical AI must act while the world keeps evolving. Therefore, the inter-chunk pause of synchronous executors are fatal for dynamic tasks regardless of how fast the inference is. Asynchronous execution -- thinking while acting -- is therefore a structural requirement, and real-time chunking (RTC) makes it viable by recasting chunk transitions as inpainting: freezing committed actions and consistently generating the remainder. However, RTC with flow-matching policy is structurally suboptimal: its inpainting comes from inference-time corrections rather than the base policy, yielding little pre-training benefit, specific fine-tuning, heuristic guidance, and extra computation that inflates the latency. In this work, we observe that discrete diffusion policies, which generate actions by iteratively unmasking, are natural asynchronous executors that resolve all limitations at once: they are fine-tuning free since inpainting is their native operation, while early stopping further provides adaptive guidance and reduces inference cost. We propose DiscreteRTC, which replaces external corrections with native unmasking, and show on dynamic simulated benchmarks and real-world dynamic manipulation tasks that it achieves higher success rates than continuous RTC and other baselines. In summary, DiscreteRTC is simpler to implement with 0 lines of additional code to enable async inpainting, faster at inference with only ~0.7 computation compared with generating actions from scratch, and better at execution with 65% higher success rate in real-world hockey defend task compared with flow-matching RTC, and 30% higher compared with training-time flow-matching RTC. More visualizations are on https://outsider86.github.io/DiscreteRTCSite/.
Pengcheng Wang, Kaiwen Hong, Chensheng Peng +4
Apr 27, 2026cs.IR

Modeling Behavioral Intensity and Transitions for Generative Recommendation

Multi-behavior recommendation aims to predict user conversions by modeling various interaction types that carry distinct intent signals. Recently, generative sequence modeling methods have emerged as an important paradigm for multi-behavior recommendation by achieving flexible sequence generation. However, existing generative methods typically treat behaviors as auxiliary token features and feed them into unified attention mechanisms. These models implicitly assume uniform activation of dependencies among historical behaviors, thereby failing to discern differences in intensity or capture transition patterns. To address these limitations, we propose BITRec, a novel generative multi-behavior recommendation framework that introduces structured behavioral modeling through selective dependency activation. BITRec incorporates (i) Hierarchical Behavior Aggregation (HBA), which explicitly models behavioral intensity differences through separated exploration and commitment pathways, and (ii) Transition Relation Encoding (TRE), which encodes transition structures through explicit learnable relation matrices. Experiments on four large-scale datasets (RetailRocket, Taobao, Tmall, Insurance Dataset) with millions of interactions achieve consistent improvements of 15-23% across multiple metrics, with peak gains of 22.79% MRR on Tmall and 17.83% HR@10, 17.55% NDCG@10 on Taobao.
Wenxuan Yang, Xiaoyang Xu, Hanyu Zhang +3
Apr 20, 2026cs.AI

State Transfer Reveals Reuse in Controlled Routing

Prompt-based interventions can change model behavior, but trained success alone does not identify where the behaviorally relevant state is represented. We study this question in controlled routing tasks using interfaces chosen on support data, held-out query evaluation, and matched necessity, sufficiency, and wrong-interface controls. On GPT-2 triop, an early interface supports exact transfer under these tests. On GPT-2 add/sub, zero-retrain compiled transfer at the fixed interface recovers most of donor routing accuracy, while trainable prompt slots can relearn the same behavior at several other positions only after additional support examples and optimization. These results distinguish fixed-interface reuse from prompt relocation in a setting where the two can be tested directly. Qwen routing provides a cross-architecture consistency check for the same matched-interface pattern at the operator token, although donor-specific identity on the local V-path remains unresolved. Generation and reasoning branches are used to map scope: they show broader transport or weaker controller identifiability once control depends on longer trajectories or harder selection. In controlled routing, fixed-interface transfer is therefore stronger evidence of reuse than trained prompt success alone.
Yanzhen Lu, Zhicheng Qian, Muchen Jiang +1
Apr 20, 2026cs.CV

Beyond Binary Contrast: Modeling Continuous Skeleton Action Spaces with Transitional Anchors

Self-supervised contrastive learning has emerged as a powerful paradigm for skeleton-based action recognition by enforcing consistency in the embedding space. However, existing methods rely on binary contrastive objectives that overlook the intrinsic continuity of human motion, resulting in fragmented feature clusters and rigid class boundaries. To address these limitations, we propose TranCLR, a Transitional anchor-based Contrastive Learning framework that captures the continuous geometry of the action space. Specifically, the proposed Action Transitional Anchor Construction (ATAC) explicitly models the geometric structure of transitional states to enhance the model's perception of motion continuity. Building upon these anchors, a Multi-Level Geometric Manifold Calibration (MGMC) mechanism is introduced to adaptively calibrate the action manifold across multiple levels of continuity, yielding a smoother and more discriminative representation space. Extensive experiments on the NTU RGB+D, NTU RGB+D 120 and PKU-MMD datasets demonstrate that TranCLR achieves superior accuracy and calibration performance, effectively learning continuous and uncertainty-aware skeleton representations. The code is available at https://github.com/Philchieh/TranCLR.
Yingjie Feng, Yi Wang, Jiaze Wang +2
Feb 5, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Success Rates: Trainability and Extractability for Offline GCRL

Offline goal-conditioned reinforcement learning (GCRL) is typically benchmarked by the best tuned success rate of each method. This score measures attainable performance, but it does not reveal how reliably a learned goal-conditioned signal can be extracted into a policy: a method could succeed across many value-learning and extraction settings, or only at a narrow, hard-to-find configuration. We study this gap across four methods, GCIQL, GCIVL, QRL, and CRL, under a shared advantage-weighted regression (AWR) extractor. For each method, we construct trainability landscapes over the optimizer learning rate, which affects value learning and actor optimization, and AWR temperature, which controls how selectively the actor imitates high-advantage transitions. Across AntMaze, Cube, and Scene, we observe distinct regimes: high-scoring methods may be broadly accessible or brittle, while broad relative basins may still sit below low absolute ceilings. To interpret these differences, we pair landscapes with post-hoc diagnostics of future-vs-random goal discrimination and AWR weight concentration. Their relationship to downstream success is task-dependent. On AntMaze, where future goals align with path-like progress, these diagnostics explain landscape regimes. On Cube and Scene, goal ranking and manipulation control decouple: methods can rank goals well while failing downstream, or succeed through action-conditioned advantages despite weak future-vs-random separation. These results show that peak tuned success alone does not establish broadly extractable goal-conditioned behavior. Trainability landscapes expose this gap, while extraction diagnostics offer a lower-cost lens on how learned signals become policies.
Jan Malte Töpperwien, Aditya Mohan, Marius Lindauer
Jan 29, 2026cs.LG

TRACE: Trajectory Recovery for Continuous Mechanism Evolution in Causal Representation Learning

Temporal causal representation learning methods assume that causal mechanisms switch instantaneously between discrete domains, yet real-world systems often exhibit continuous mechanism transitions. For example, a vehicle's dynamics evolve gradually through a turning maneuver, and human gait shifts smoothly from walking to running. We formalize this setting by modeling transitional mechanisms as convex combinations of finitely many atomic mechanisms, governed by time-varying mixing coefficients. Our theoretical contributions establish that both the latent causal variables and the continuous mixing trajectory are jointly identifiable. We further propose TRACE, a Mixture-of-Experts framework where each expert learns one atomic mechanism during training, enabling recovery of mechanism trajectories at test time. This formulation generalizes to intermediate mechanism states never observed during training. Experiments on synthetic and real-world data demonstrate that TRACE recovers mixing trajectories with up to 0.99 correlation, substantially outperforming discrete-switching baselines.
Shicheng Fan, Kun Zhang, Lu Cheng
Jan 26, 2026cs.LG

Toward Learning POMDPs Beyond Full-Rank Actions and State Observability

We are interested in enabling autonomous agents to learn and reason about systems with hidden states, such as locking mechanisms. We cast this problem as learning the parameters of a discrete Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). The agent begins with knowledge of the POMDP's actions and observation spaces, but not its state space, transitions, or observation models. These properties must be constructed from a sequence of actions and observations. Spectral approaches to learning models of partially observable domains, such as Predictive State Representations (PSRs), learn representations of state that are sufficient to predict future outcomes. PSR models, however, do not have explicit transition and observation system models that can be used with different reward functions to solve different planning problems. Under a mild set of rankness assumptions on the products of transition and observation matrices, we show how PSRs learn POMDP matrices up to a similarity transform, and this transform may be estimated via tensor decomposition methods. Our method learns observation matrices and transition matrices up to a partition of states, where the states in a single partition have the same observation distributions corresponding to actions whose transition matrices are full-rank. Our numerical experiments suggest that explicit observation and transition likelihoods can be leveraged to generate new plans for different goals and reward functions after the model has been learned. We also show that learning a POMDP beyond a partition of states is impossible from sequential data by constructing two POMDPs that agree on all observation distributions but differ in their transition dynamics.
Seiji Shaw, Travis Manderson, Chad Kessens +1
Dec 15, 2025cs.LG

Adaptive digital twins for predictive decision-making: Online Bayesian learning of transition dynamics

This work shows how adaptivity can enhance value realization of digital twins in civil engineering. We focus on adapting the state transition models within digital twins represented through probabilistic graphical models. The bi-directional interaction between the physical and virtual domains is modeled using dynamic Bayesian networks. By treating state transition probabilities as random variables endowed with conjugate priors, we enable hierarchical online learning of transition dynamics from a state to another through effortless Bayesian updates. We provide the mathematical framework to account for a larger class of distributions with respect to the current literature on digital twins. To compute dynamic policies with precision updates we solve parametric Markov decision processes through reinforcement learning. The proposed adaptive digital twin framework enjoys enhanced personalization, increased robustness, and improved cost-effectiveness. We assess our approach on a case study involving structural health monitoring and maintenance planning of a railway bridge.
Eugenio Varetti, Matteo Torzoni, Marco Tezzele +1
May 17, 2025cs.LG

Adaptive Resolving Methods for Markov Decision Processes with Function Approximations

Learning the optimal policy for Markov decision process problems (MDPs) from samples is a fundamental problem in online and data-driven decision-making. Function approximations are usually deployed to handle large or infinite state-action space. In our work, we consider the MDP problems with function approximation and we develop a new algorithm to solve it efficiently. Our algorithm is based on a linear programming (LP) reformulation and repeatedly resolves the identified reduced linear system as new transition samples arrive. After the optimal basis is identified, we show that, after NN resolving rounds, the expected averaged iterate achieves an instance-dependent O~(Cinst/N)\widetilde O(C_{\mathrm{inst}}/N) objective shortfall and signed constraint residual. We separately account for the historical samples used for basis identification and the d2d_2 transition queries used in each resolving round, which yields the corresponding total transition-query complexity. We further complement our result with a \textit{robust} O(1/N)O(1/\sqrt{N}) bound that is independent of ΔΔ. In comparison to the guarantees established in the previous literature, our instance dependent guarantee is tighter when the underlying instance is favorable, and the numerical experiments also reveal the wide applications and efficient empirical performances of our algorithms.
Jiashuo Jiang, Yinyu Ye, Yiming Zong
Apr 22, 2024cs.LG

Lipschitz-Regularized Critics Lead to Policy Robustness Against Transition Dynamics Uncertainty

Uncertainties in transition dynamics pose a critical challenge in reinforcement learning (RL), often resulting in performance degradation of trained policies when deployed on hardware. Many robust RL approaches follow two strategies: enforcing smoothness in actor or actor-critic modules with Lipschitz regularization, or learning robust Bellman operators. However, the first strategy does not investigate the impact of critic-only Lipschitz regularization on policy robustness, while the second lacks comprehensive validation in real-world scenarios. Building on this gap and prior work, we propose PPO-PGDLC, an algorithm based on Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) that integrates Projected Gradient Descent (PGD) with a Lipschitz-regularized critic (LC). The PGD component calculates the adversarial state within an uncertainty set to approximate the robust Bellman operator, and the Lipschitz-regularized critic further improves the smoothness of learned policies. Experimental results on two classic control tasks and one real-world robotic locomotion task demonstrate that, compared to several baseline algorithms, PPO-PGDLC achieves better performance and predicts smoother actions under environmental perturbations.
Xulin Chen, Ruipeng Liu, Zhenyu Gan +1