Latest papers

20 papers1 paper in the last four weeks, down 80% on the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.

Oct 3, 2026

Semantic Causal-Factor Inference from Aviation Incident Narratives Using A Variational Autoencoder with Cosine-Similarity-Based Reconstruction

Aviation accident and incident investigations generate extensive unstructured textual information containing evidence relevant to the causes and contributing factors of safety occurrences. Automatically extracting such information is challenging because causal evidence may be distributed across long and complex investigation narratives. This study proposes a semantic causal-factor inference framework combining natural language processing with a variational autoencoder (VAE) to learn the relationship between aviation investigation narratives and expert-reported probable causes. Investigation narratives and their corresponding probable causes are transformed into numerical representations, after which the encoder maps narrative representations to a probabilistic latent space. The decoder estimates representations of the corresponding probable causes and is trained using an objective that combines Kullback-Leibler divergence with cosine-similarity-based semantic reconstruction. The framework was evaluated using 20,919 finalized U.S. National Transportation Safety Board investigation reports from 2005 to 2020. On the held-out test set, the predicted and expert-reported probable-cause representations achieved a mean cosine similarity of 0.786 (SD = 0.120). The predicted representations also yielded interpretable terms associated with causal information in the reports. The results demonstrate the potential of probabilistic latent representation learning for AI-assisted extraction of causal information from aviation safety narratives while retaining expert investigation as the basis for formal causal determination.
Sep 11, 2026

Toward a Decision-Assurance Layer for AI-Assisted Flight Planning in Air Traffic Management

Generative AI is increasingly being used informally in Air Traffic Management (ATM) for tasks such as flight plan generation, trajectory interpretation, and constraint checking. Although these tools can reduce workload and accelerate planning, their non-deterministic outputs create safety and operational risks in human-in-the-loop settings. This paper proposes the AI Trust and Assurance Layer (ATAL), a model-agnostic decision assurance architecture that evaluates whether AI-generated flight-planning outputs are sufficiently reliable for operational use. ATAL combines semantic stability under prompt variation, operational consistency of structured outputs, and normative constraint validation against domain rules, and maps these signals to a Decision Readiness Level (DRL) for human operators. An ATM-inspired experimental study shows how unsafe, inconsistent, or misleading outputs can be identified before influencing flight-plan validation or execution. Although demonstrated in aviation, the framework is also transferable to other safety-critical decision-support domains that require human oversight under regulatory constraints.
Sep 10, 2026

Uncertainty-Aware Conflict Detection Against Operator-Conditioned Weather Hazards

Strategic flight plan validation in Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) environments requires robust methods for predicting aircraft state uncertainty and detecting potential conflicts with dynamic airspace hazards. This paper presents a novel framework for uncertainty-conditioned trajectory prediction combined with polyhedra hazard representation for pre-flight conflict detection. We introduce a closed-form uncertainty estimation method that couples non-uniform rational B-spline (NURBS) curve fitting for kinematic trajectory generation with a Kalman Filter for state covariance propagation. Drawing from the Light Propagation Algorithm (LPA) paradigm, we employ a sigmoid-blended measurement noise model that captures the uncertainty reduction behavior of flight management systems approaching the required time of arrival (RTA) for waypoints. The resulting temporal uncertainty bounds are derived through a velocity-to-time variance transformation, enabling probabilistic assessment of arrival time deviations along the flight path. For hazard representation, we develop an operator-conditioned classification scheme that transforms gridded environmental data, specifically weather phenomena, into three-dimensional polyhedra volumes with intensity-based stratification. These hazard polyhedra incorporate aircraft-specific safety buffers computed from vehicle performance characteristics. Conflict detection is performed through mesh intersection algorithms operating on the spatial uncertainty tube surrounding the mean trajectory against the hazard polyhedra and temporal overlap. The framework enables the continuous strategic validation of flight plans throughout the pre-flight planning time horizon as environmental conditions evolve.
Sep 3, 2026

FLY-EVAL++: An Evidence-Driven Evaluation Protocol for Safety-Constrained Flight Prediction with Large Language Models

Evaluating large language models (LLMs) in safety-critical, physics-governed environments requires more than accuracy-based metrics, because predictions that are numerically close to the ground truth can still violate operational constraints, combine fields in physically inconsistent ways, or fail to produce usable structured outputs. Existing evaluation protocols do not measure these failure modes reliably. We propose FLY-EVAL++, an evidence-driven evaluation protocol that combines deterministic verification of protocol compliance, physical feasibility, and safety constraints with fixed rubric-guided aggregation into interpretable multi-dimensional scores. We instantiate FLY-EVAL++ for Flight Trajectory and Attitude Prediction (FTAP) by extending the PilotBench setting with history-conditioned and multi-step prediction tasks. Across 66 LLMs, safety compliance is the most discriminative dimension of model behavior: models with comparable predictive performance differ by more than 28 points in safety score, and we observe recurrent failures including safety violations under physically plausible predictions and instability in multi-step rollouts. These results show that evaluation in safety-critical domains should measure constraint satisfaction and structured validity explicitly rather than rely on accuracy-centric reporting alone.
Aug 26, 2026

Formal, Executable and Explainable Runtime Monitoring of Spoken Air Traffic Control Operational Procedures

Air traffic control procedures are executed through spoken exchanges between controllers and pilots. These interactions are essential to the safety of air transportation: failures in their execution can create severe operational hazards, as evidenced by past fatal accidents. Assessing whether an instruction has been followed requires relating what was said to the aircraft concerned, its state, and the obligations that pilots must meet. We present a runtime verification framework that monitors such procedures by checking controller-pilot exchanges, surveillance data, and onboard observations. The framework parses radio communications into events linked to the entities they concern and merges them with surveillance and onboard observations into a time-stamped trace. The ICAO-derived obligations as formalized as temporal formulas with explicit time bounds and evaluated over execution traces. Every violation is reported along with the breached obligations and the observations that support the verdict. With real traffic, the complete pipeline reaches an F1 of 0.85 against blind human-annotated violations; in 1,495 synthetic situations derived from two public corpora, the monitor logic returns the expected verdict in every case. In two historical accidents reconstructed from official investigation reports, the monitor identifies the same procedural deviations documented by the investigators.
Aug 25, 2026

Beyond Semantic Accuracy: Consequence-Aware Evaluation for Safety-Critical Language Understanding

Can language models be trusted in safety- critical operations? In such settings, strong per- formance on semantic metrics does not guaran- tee operational reliability: a misread altitude, a dropped execution condition, or a confused call- sign may score well under standard F1 yet carry sharply asymmetric operational consequences. We study this problem in air traffic control (ATC), where controller-pilot communication demands near-zero error tolerance, and use consequence-aware evaluation to test whether semantic scores misstate operational reliabil- ity. The framework is instantiated in a con- trolled diagnostic ATC benchmark grounded in aviation standards and feedback from 40 air traffic controllers across three countries. Evaluating 8 models, we uncover a system- atic semantic-safety gap: conventional scores give substantially higher performance estimates than consequence-aware evaluation, even for models that appear reliable under standard met- rics. Risk-aware fine-tuning narrows but does not close this gap, showing that consequence- aware evaluation is a necessary complement to standard NLP metrics before any real safety- critical deployment claim
Aug 21, 2026

Coverage-Driven Verification for Safety-by-Design in AI-Based Collision Avoidance Systems

Artificial Intelligence (AI) offers significant potential for future aviation systems; however, its integration into safety-critical applications requires compliance with the aviation sector's stringent safety standards. For AI and Machine Learning (ML)-based systems, the European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) emphasizes the need to demonstrate the representativeness and completeness of the Operational Design Domain (ODD) and the associated data distributions used during development and verification. Despite this requirement, a structured engineering process for defining target distributions and evaluating representativeness within ODDs remains largely unexplored. This work presents a method for representativeness assessment of AI/ML constituent ODDs in the context of aviation safety assurance. Starting from the methodical identification of suitable target distributions, a process flow is proposed that guides developers from ODD definition and parameter distribution modeling to the quantitative assessment and interpretation of coverage results with respect to EASA's learning assurance objectives. As quantitative measures, the chi-squared goodness-of-fit test is examined and found unsuitable for the large data sets arising in this setting, leading to the adoption of the Kullback--Leibler divergence and Cramér's VV for the representativeness assessment. The method is demonstrated using the example of AI-based airborne collision avoidance, employing experimental data from previous Horizontal Collision Avoidance System (HCAS) and Vertical Collision Avoidance System (VCAS) simulations. The results illustrate how statistical distribution comparison methods can support the assessment of representativeness for safety-critical AI applications and contribute toward a systematic Safety-by-Design AI engineering process aligned with emerging EASA guidance.
Aug 20, 2026

On the Applicability of Safety Nets: A Safety-By-Design Solution for Certifying Neural Networks

The integration of Artificial Intelligence (AI) in safety-critical aviation systems presents significant challenges for certification and deployment. Aviation, often regarded as the safest form of transportation, relies on numerous safety-critical systems. For future safety-critical AI-based systems, EASA requires a Safety-by-Design approach, which can be achieved by using Safety Nets that combine neural network compression with lookup tables to ensure 100 % correct runtime behavior across the discretized operational design domain. Although Safety Nets have been studied, no comprehensive study of their performance characteristics and system design trade-offs has been conducted. This work presents the first systematic analysis of the trade-off between neural network and lookup table size in Safety Nets. By systematically comparing neural networks with diverse architectures, this study identifies optimal design parameters that minimize overall storage and memory requirements while maintaining certification compliance. Results demonstrate that architectures with 3 to 5 hidden layers, each with approximately 50 to 100 nodes, combined with one-hot encoding, achieve the best balance. In these configurations, neural networks accurately represent at least 97 % of the data, while compact lookup tables handle the remaining errors. The resulting Safety Nets reduce the system size by almost three orders of magnitude, fitting within the memory budget of current avionics hardware while guaranteeing 100 % correct outputs across the entire discretized input space, as required by EASA guidelines. This work provides the first-ever open-source implementation of Safety Nets for HCAS and VCAS with replicable results, demonstrating a practical pathway toward certifiable AI-based systems in aviation and establishing Safety Nets as a viable Safety-by-Design solution for safety-critical applications.
Aug 18, 2026

Can Large Language Models Explain Flight Safety Events? A Prior-Guided Semantic LLM-based Approach

Improving flight safety with flight data requires not only accurate detection of risk events, but more importantly, clear interpretation of their underlying causes at the level of pilot control behavior. Existing explainable AI techniques, such as feature importance maps, often require considerable domain knowledge to translate them into operationally meaningful explanations. Large Language Models (LLMs), which excel at language reasoning, bring a promising solution to this issue. However, applying LLMs in this domain presents key challenges such as modal inconsistency, limited classification ability, scarcity of task-specific data for fine-tuning, and lack of domain knowledge. To overcome these challenges, we propose FlightLLM, a prior-guided semantic LLM-based approach for interpretable flight safety analysis. Specifically, we first perform feature engineering to address modal inconsistency, combining statistical descriptors with physically meaningful flight indicators. This representation is further processed by a Semantic Discretization module, which converts abstract numerical patterns into qualitative descriptions that are more compatible with language reasoning. In addition, since LLMs are not inherently strong classifiers, CatBoost is incorporated as a statistical expert, and its prediction results are injected into the prompt as prior guidance. A contrastive few-shot learning strategy is further adopted to compensate for limited data. Finally, we design structured prompts to embed aviation-specific knowledge into the inference process. Using hard landing, a representative risk event with complex causal mechanisms, as an anchor point, we evaluate FlightLLM on a dataset of 704 real-world A320 flight samples. Experimental results show that the proposed approach achieves competitive classification performance while generating direct and reasonable explanations for event causes.
Aug 17, 2026

AeroCopilotBench: Safety-Gated Evaluation of LLM Agents on Aircraft Emergency Procedures in an Executable Cockpit

Aviation knowledge question answering cannot directly assess the operational effectiveness and safety compliance of large language models throughout aircraft emergency procedures. We introduce AeroCopilotBench and its executable cockpit environment, ACOE, which define state-transition rules, task goals, and trajectory-level safety constraints based on aircraft-specific Pilot's Operating Handbooks (POHs). The benchmark comprises 12 scenario templates and 73 tasks across two aircraft types, evaluating task completion, safety compliance, execution discipline, and repeatability. Across repeated evaluations of 12 models, the highest safety-gated success rate is 72.6%. Most failed episodes achieve all critical goals but do not satisfy all remaining terminal goals. Across repeated runs, models still omit steps that they execute in other runs of the same task. Analysis of failed trajectories further reveals that some reasons for actions that conflict with the aircraft's POH recur across models. These results expose shortcomings in complete procedure execution, consistency across runs, and aircraft-specific emergency response.
Aug 5, 2026

Traceable LLM-Generated Hazard Scenarios for Operational Safety Analysis of Aviation Systems Using ASRS Reports

Operational hazard analysis of aviation system operations must consider interactions among weather, ATC actions, airspace constraints, aircraft operations, and human factors - distinct from the functional hazard assessment applied at the aircraft-system level. We present an AI-assisted approach that generates candidate hazard scenarios from NASA's Aviation Safety Reporting System (ASRS). Given a target adverse outcome, it produces a structured hypothesis as categorical factors and a narrative scenario describing an operational event sequence consistent with the structure. Each scenario includes by a plausibility score from historical co-occurrence evidence and traceability to the most similar held-out ASRS reports. We then propose a hybrid variant, conditioning narrative generation on a structured hypothesis produced via evolutionary abduction, improving correctness and reducing variability. We evaluate multiple large language models, zero-shot versus few-shot prompting, and optional fine-tuning, measuring how prompting and model choice affect the validity and realism of the generated structures and narratives.
Jul 13, 2026

A Model for Mediating Multi-Modal Human Intent into Safe Maneuvers for UAVs

Direct human interaction with autonomous UAV systems can be enabled through modalities such as speech, gestures, and graphical interfaces. However, interpreting such inputs as directly executable commands introduces safety risks in dynamic environments. Operator requests may conflict with terrain constraints, inter-UAV separation requirements, or flight-envelope limitations. In this paper, we present a requirements-governed maneuver-response model that mediates multi-modal human intent into safe UAV maneuvers by treating operator inputs as bounded maneuver requests rather than direct commands. Requested maneuvers are mapped to constrained motion primitives and processed through a structured request-evaluate-execute pipeline. Each request is interpreted with associated confidence, validated against terrain, separation, workspace, and flight-envelope constraints, and either constrained, rejected, or executed under continuous runtime monitoring. We further formalize the approach as a requirements-based specification model in which maneuver primitives are associated with explicit preconditions, invariants, guard conditions, and postconditions governing admissibility, execution safety, and emergency handling. These requirements support runtime verification and future reactive synthesis approaches. We present an initial lab-based validation demonstrating that voice and GUI-based inputs can be reliably interpreted and safely executed as constrained maneuver requests.
Jul 10, 2026

Runtime Safety Filtering for Learned Small UAS Separation Policies under GNSS Degradation

Learning-based separation assurance for small Unmanned Aircraft Systems (sUAS) achieves near-zero collision rates in simulation, but assumes accurate position and velocity information from Global Navigation Satellite Systems (GNSS). This assumption fails in urban environments, where multipath propagation, signal blockage, and intentional interference degrade navigation integrity. This raises a fundamental architectural question for deploying learned separation policies under GNSS degradation: should runtime safety mechanisms filter the policy's actions or its observations? This work evaluates both approaches for multi-agent sUAS separation under adversarial GNSS degradation. Both architectures first estimate a worst-case traffic state consistent with bounded observation uncertainty, then diverge: action filtering constrains policy outputs via discrete-time control barrier functions evaluated at the worst-case state, while observation filtering presents the worst-case state directly to the policy as corrected input. Experimental results show that action filtering provides negligible safety improvement, while observation filtering reduces near mid-air collisions by 90% and remains robust to the barrier function's tradeoff between separation distance and closing rate. These results suggest that, for policies with learned safety behaviors, preserving the policy's decision authority outperforms overriding its actions with hand-designed constraints.
May 20, 2026

Mechanistic Interpretability for Learning Assurance of a Vision-Based Landing System

EASA's learning-assurance guidance requires data-driven aviation systems to build and monitor their own situation representation, yet for neural networks the technical means to provide such evidence remain an open problem. We address this gap for a vision-based aircraft landing system: we propose that a minimally assurable model must at least be shown to separate content from style in its own situation representation. Showing that the model's predictions then rely largely on the contentful representation components leads to a concrete assurance path. To demonstrate this assurance path on a concrete model we train a vision transformer model for runway keypoint regression on the LARDv2 dataset. The model, which acts as the subject for our assurance demonstration, produces per-patch embeddings that we decompose into interpretable atoms via K-SVD sparse dictionary learning. A qualitative visualization confirms that contentful atoms track task-relevant runway structure and stylistic atoms track domain-specific appearance, and the regression head is shown to place almost all of its linear weight on contentful atoms. We further build on the content/style separation and define out-of-model-scope (OOMS) detection, a novel runtime assurance approach directly monitoring the model's situation representation. OOMS monitoring is complementary to operational design domain and output-space out-of-distribution monitoring and addresses concrete requirements of the recent EASA guidance. By directly analyzing a model's situation representation both at test time and runtime, this work delivers the first concrete piece of the representation-level evidence that EASA learning-assurance guidance demands, and points to mechanistic interpretability as a practical building block of future aviation safety cases.
May 12, 2026

Towards Automated Air Traffic Safety Assessment Around Non-Towered Airports Using Large Language Models

We investigate frameworks for post-flight safety analysis at non-towered airports using large language models (LLMs). Non-towered airports rely on the Common Traffic Advisory Frequency (CTAF) for air traffic coordination and experience frequent near mid-air collisions due to the pilot self-announcement communication protocol. We propose a general vision-language model (VLM) approach to analyze the transcribed CTAF radio communications in natural language, METeorological Aerodrome Report (METAR) weather data, Automatic Dependent Surveillance-Broadcast (ADS-B) flight trajectories, and Visual Flight Rules sectional charts of the airfield. We provide a preliminary study at Half Moon Bay Airport, with a qualitative real world case study and a quantitative evaluation using a new synthetic dataset of communications and weather modalities. We qualitatively evaluate our framework on real flight data using Gemini 2.5 Pro, demonstrating accurate identification of a right-of-way violation. The synthetic dataset is derived from real examples and includes a 12-category hazard taxonomy, and is used to benchmark three open-source (Qwen 2.5-7B, Mistral-7B, Gemma-2-9B) and three closed-source (GPT-4o, GPT-5.4, Claude Sonnet 4.6) LLM models on the subset of inputs related to CTAF and METAR. Even limited to CTAF and METAR inputs and open source LLMs, instances of our framework typically achieve a macro F1 score above 0.85 on a binary nominal/danger classification task. Future work includes a quantitative evaluation across all modalities and a larger number of real world examples. Taken together, our results suggest that VLM analysis of safety at non-towered airports may be a valuable future capability.
Apr 27, 2026

An Automatic Ground Collision Avoidance System with Reinforcement Learning

This article evaluates an artificial intelligence (AI)-based Automatic Ground Collision Avoidance System (AGCAS) designed for advanced jet trainers to enhance operational effectiveness. In the continuously evolving field of aerospace engineering, the integration of AI is crucial for advancing operations with improved timing constraints and efficiency. Our study explores the design process of an AI-driven AGCAS, specifically tailored for advanced jet trainers, focusing on addressing the AGCAS problem within a limited observation space. The system utilizes line-of-sight queries on a terrain server to ensure precise and efficient collision avoidance. This approach aims to significantly improve the safety and operational capabilities of advanced jet trainers.
Apr 10, 2026

Building Trust in the Skies: A Knowledge-Grounded LLM-based Framework for Aviation Safety

The integration of Large Language Models (LLMs) into aviation safety decision-making represents a significant technological advancement, yet their standalone application poses critical risks due to inherent limitations such as factual inaccuracies, hallucination, and lack of verifiability. These challenges undermine the reliability required for safety-critical environments where errors can have catastrophic consequences. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a novel, end-to-end framework that synergistically combines LLMs and Knowledge Graphs (KGs) to enhance the trustworthiness of safety analytics. The framework introduces a dual-phase pipeline: it first employs LLMs to automate the construction and dynamic updating of an Aviation Safety Knowledge Graph (ASKG) from multimodal sources. It then leverages this curated KG within a Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) architecture to ground, validate, and explain LLM-generated responses. The implemented system demonstrates improved accuracy and traceability over LLM-only approaches, effectively supporting complex querying and mitigating hallucination. Results confirm the framework's capability to deliver context-aware, verifiable safety insights, addressing the stringent reliability requirements of the aviation industry. Future work will focus on enhancing relationship extraction and integrating hybrid retrieval mechanisms.
Mar 30, 2026

World2Rules: A Neuro-Symbolic Framework for Learning World-Governing Safety Rules for Aviation

Many real-world safety-critical systems are governed by explicit rules that define unsafe world configurations and constrain agent interactions. In practice, these rules are complex and context-dependent, making manual specification incomplete and error-prone. Learning such rules from real-world multimodal data is further challenged by noise, inconsistency, and sparse failure cases. Neural models can extract structure from text and visual data but lack formal guarantees, while symbolic methods provide verifiability yet are brittle when applied directly to imperfect observations. We present World2Rules, a neuro-symbolic framework for learning world-governing safety rules from real-world multimodal aviation data. World2Rules learns from both nominal operational data and aviation crash and incident reports, treating neural models as proposal mechanisms for candidate symbolic facts and inductive logic programming as a verification layer. The framework employs hierarchical reflective reasoning, enforcing consistency across examples, subsets, and rules to filter unreliable evidence, aggregate only mutually consistent components, and prune unsupported hypotheses. This design limits error propagation from noisy neural extractions and yields compact, interpretable first-order logic rules that characterize unsafe world configurations. We evaluate World2Rules on real-world aviation safety data and show that it learns rules that achieve 23.6% higher F1 score than purely neural and 43.2% higher F1 score than single-pass neuro-symbolic baseline, while remaining suitable for safety-critical reasoning and formal analysis.
Mar 29, 2026

Safety Guardrails in the Sky: Realizing Control Barrier Functions on the VISTA F-16 Jet

The advancement of autonomous systems -- from legged robots to self-driving vehicles and aircraft -- necessitates executing increasingly high-performance and dynamic motions without ever putting the system or its environment in harm's way. In this paper, we introduce Guardrails -- a novel runtime assurance mechanism that guarantees dynamic safety for autonomous systems, allowing them to safely evolve on the edge of their operational domains. Rooted in the theory of control barrier functions, Guardrails offers a control strategy that carefully blends commands from a human or AI operator with safe control actions to guarantee safe behavior. To demonstrate its capabilities, we implemented Guardrails on an F-16 fighter jet and conducted flight tests where Guardrails supervised a human pilot to enforce g-limits, altitude bounds, geofence constraints, and combinations thereof. Throughout extensive flight testing, Guardrails successfully ensured safety, keeping the pilot in control when safe to do so and minimally modifying unsafe pilot inputs otherwise.
Feb 16, 2026

A Retrieval-Augmented Language Assistant for Unmanned Aircraft Safety Assessment and Regulatory Compliance

This paper presents the design and validation of a retrieval-based assistant that supports safety assessment, certification activities, and regulatory compliance for unmanned aircraft systems. The work is motivated by the growing complexity of drone operations and the increasing effort required by applicants and aviation authorities to apply established assessment frameworks, including the Specific Operations Risk Assessment and the Pre-defined Risk Assessment, in a consistent and efficient manner. The proposed approach uses a controlled text-based architecture that relies exclusively on authoritative regulatory sources. To enable traceable and auditable outputs, the assistant grounds each response in retrieved passages and enforces citation-driven generation. System-level controls address common failure modes of generative models, including fabricated statements, unsupported inferences, and unclear provenance, by separating evidence storage from language generation and by adopting conservative behavior when supporting documentation is insufficient. The assistant is intentionally limited to decision support; it does not replace expert judgment and it does not make autonomous determinations. Instead, it accelerates context-specific information retrieval and synthesis to improve document preparation and review while preserving human responsibility for critical conclusions. The architecture is implemented using established open-source components, and key choices in retrieval strategy, interaction constraints, and response policies are evaluated for suitability in safety-sensitive regulatory environments. The paper provides technical and operational guidance for integrating retrieval-based assistants into aviation oversight workflows while maintaining accountability, traceability, and regulatory compliance.