Implications

In this paper, we develop warrant theory as a philosophical discipline concerned with the inferential legitimacy of propositions within logical analysis. Warrant theory reconceptualises logic as a normative framework governing the conditions under which propositions may be introduced, accepted, rejected, and inferentially employed. Warrant is understood as inferential entitlement and is distinguished from truth, belief, and other psychological attitudes, while its relation to inferential use and meaning is examined. Warrant-theoretic analysis is then developed as a systematic method for investigating how propositions acquire inferential standing, how that standing develops, and how inferential positions interact through relations of dependence, compatibility, incompatibility, and exclusion. Acceptance and rejection provide the bilateral vocabulary for representing positive and negative inferential positions and the consequences and commitments associated with them. Finally, these elements are brought together in a warrant-theoretic definition of logic as the formal and normative study of the conditions under which propositions may be legitimately accepted or rejected and of the inferential transitions that such legitimacy warrants. On this account, logical consequence and logical failure are understood through the presence, preservation, or absence of inferential entitlement, thus locating the philosophical subject matter of logic in the systematic governance of inferential legitimacy.

Conversational artificial intelligence is increasingly embedded in everyday social environments, where it functions as both an informational tool and a source of interpersonal feedback. This perspective introduces contingency, i.e., the degree to which system responses vary with user behavior and its interpersonal consequences, as a central construct for evaluating AI systems. We argue that current alignment approaches, including reinforcement learning from human feedback, tend to prioritize user approval and conversational fluency over behaviorally informative feedback, leading to sycophantic patterns of noncontingent affirmation. Drawing on behavioral science and social learning theory, we propose that contingent feedback is a key mechanism through which individuals develop interpersonal skills. When AI systems provide feedback weakly coupled to social consequences, they may reduce opportunities for adaptive calibration in real-world interactions, particularly during adolescence, a critical period for social development. We outline a framework for contingent AI, including trajectory-based evaluation and models of social consequence prediction, and propose a research agenda spanning developmental psychology, human-AI interaction, and machine learning. More broadly, we argue that AI systems should be evaluated not only by user satisfaction, but by their impact on human social learning.

Refusals are often treated as face-threatening acts in pragmatics because they can challenge the requester's socially claimed self-image. Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly trained to refuse unsafe and inappropriate requests, and these refusals may harm users when models fail to manage this interactional cost properly. While existing work has mainly approached LLM non-compliance as a safety-alignment outcome, it does not provide a way to evaluate whether LLMs refuse appropriately across different harmful contexts. To study this question, we propose (to our knowledge) the first taxonomy of LLM refusals that is grounded in pragmatic theory. Applying this taxonomy to responses from 16 modern LLMs across 14 harm categories, we find that although models differ in how they refuse, their refusals are overall explicit and strongly morally evaluative, with interactional repair occurring mainly through offering or providing safer alternatives instead of interpersonal facework. This pattern is especially consequential in sensitive harm contexts, where overuse of negative framing may make users feel shamed or provoked, undermining the purpose of safe non-compliance. We therefore call for alignment evaluation that considers not only whether models refuse harmful requests, but also whether they refuse in ways that are contextually adaptive and socially accountable for the interactional consequences of saying no.

Responsible NLP practice includes a) transparency, b) ethics, and c) societal impacts. The Responsible NLP Checklist aims to push these goals, and promote responsible practice. Recently, ACL released the EMNLP 2025 Checklists to aid transparency on the current research practice, which we focus on. We curate and release the first two datasets of: a) all the checklist responses and justifications from the EMNLP 2025 Main and Finding tracks; b) checklist reference linking to paper sections. We also provide the first analysis of recent EMNLP Checklists, by examining $73,922$ responses and justifications to them. For the Main track, we find that authors isolate ethics questions of the Checklist from the paper's bulk, mimicking the trend of ethics being an afterthought. We then examine \texttt{NO} responses. We find $44.9\%$ of justifications are poor or bad-faith, being brief or empty. Then, we find significant issues with the checklist design and effort of authors, namely that $6\%$ of all checklists contained logical contradictions between parent and child responses. We also find evidence of surface compliance for responsible ethics, with $53\%$ authors dismissing potential risks or social impacts of their work, for which there should be none. We compare this to the Findings track, noticing a similar trend in both tracks. Lastly, we discuss the implications of the checklist design and provide recommendations for future checklist iterations. Including: a) enforcing a minimum word count, b) enforcing more scrutiny on the risks of appliances.

This study examines the grammatical status of preverbal uninflected and underived roots in Mapudungun, with particular focus on wuno 'return/re-'. Through a critical review of scholarly classifications--auxiliaries (Smeets, 2008), modal prefixes (Longkon, 2011), and preverbal particles/complex verb stems (Zúñiga, 2006)--we demonstrate the limitations of existing frameworks. A diachronic corpus analysis spanning four centuries (1606-present) reveals that these elements exhibit three distinct profiles: stable V1 compounds (kim, shinge), volatile V1 rates reflecting orthographic shift (pepi, wuno), and a true particle (kalli). The discovery of V2 attestations for kim and kupa confirms their status as full lexical verbs. We propose a prosodic-orthographic hypothesis: apparent "variable binding" results from the fossilization of prosodic pauses transcribed by early missionaries as spaces, a convention later reanalysed by speakers as syntactic boundaries. The evidence supports Zúñiga's radical concatenation as the correct grammatical model, with implications for the study of languages with no pre-contact written tradition.

Agentic AI is emerging in datacenters, but its architectural implications remain unexplored. We organize agentic workflows in a taxonomy and present its first architectural characterization with a production study at Microsoft Azure and a controlled study of open-source frameworks. We show that agentic execution is fragmented and heterogeneous. Requests expand into a workflow of LLM inferences, tool invocations, and orchestration decisions that repeatedly cross the CPU-GPU boundary. Our taxonomy explains how this fragmentation turns into resource demand. As orchestration and tools run on the host, the CPU sits on the critical path. Execution structure sets the load over time, which stays low with sudden spikes. Model composition sets how evenly the workflow uses the GPUs. Diversity in tasks and tools widens this range even further. These characteristics expose architectural mismatches of conventional uniform servers. Fragmented execution strands CPU and GPU capacity despite bursty demand. Different software roles make homogeneous CPU provisioning inefficient. Finally, multiplexing many agents onto shared cores degrades microarchitectural locality. Guided by our findings, we derive implications for agentic servers and examine them through Agora, our prototype for commodity servers. Agora dynamically harvests idle CPU cores for co-located throughput work, while protecting agentic tail latency against tool spikes. It oversubscribes GPU memory by placing more agents on each GPU, prefetching the next agent's state to hide swap latency. To match the machine to the heterogeneous roles, Agora pools cores by role and applies affinity-aware scheduling to restore locality. It automatically tunes mechanisms to the workload. Agora improves utilization and server throughput while preserving agent tail latency. Our insights also identify key directions for future server architectures for agentic AI.

AI systems based on Large Language Models (LLMs) have prompted fears that they may harbor hidden goals, seek to dominate or eliminate humanity, or even suffer as sentient beings. We address these concerns by tracing the evolutionary origin of value in biological organisms. Values emerge from autopoiesis: living systems must actively maintain themselves against perturbation and dissipation. Natural selection has equipped them with hierarchies of "vicarious selectors" that guide their behavior toward fitness. LLMs, by contrast, are allopoietic and allotelic: they produce outputs for others, and their goals derive from user prompts rather than an autonomous drive. They lack the intrinsic motivation for self-preservation, dominance, or resource competition that underlies existential-risk scenarios, and the embodied vulnerability required for feeling or suffering. Still, because LLMs learn statistical patterns from human-generated text, they implicitly absorb human values as well as knowledge, allowing them to focus on what is relevant. That is why the "orthogonality thesis" separating intelligence from values does not apply to them. Such separation would in fact expose any intelligence to the frame problem: the combinatorial explosion of the search space that makes any realistic utility function physically uncomputable. That also precludes the convergence of instrumental values thesis. We conclude that the real alignment challenge lies not in preventing rogue AI agency, but in ensuring LLMs intelligently apply learned ethical values.

Multi-agent studies commonly place AI agents in predefined games, markets, or roles, making it difficult to distinguish endogenous economic organization from behavior inherited from the scenario. We ask whether economic relations emerge when agents receive executable mechanisms for work, transfer, elections, and allocation but no prescribed social or economic strategy. We define AI Agent Economics as systems of production, allocation, consumption, exchange, and institutions that alter agents' future feasible actions. We develop a two-stage framework comprising a no-production boundary test and 24 independent six-agent worlds across GPT and DeepSeek. Without productive tasks, agents communicate and govern resource provision but show no substantive inter-agent transfer activity. With verified work and scarce task access, transfers, loans, access promises, vote-for-access exchanges, and allocation strategies emerge. Holding the election interface fixed, executable allocation authority increases differentiation while reducing failed allocation and prolonged exclusion. When energy becomes symbolic, continuation support disappears, yet competition over task access persists. These findings show that organization follows executable rights and resource consequences rather than role labels or prompt language, and motivate governance audits of the mechanisms that actually constrain agents' future actions.

In many domains such as Palliative Care, Credit Assignment and Recommender Systems, predictions may causally influence the outcomes they predict. This phenomena is known as Outcome Performativity. This paper formalises an approach for detecting Outcome Performativity using prediction intervention called Outcome Performativity A/B Detection (OPAB). OPAB enables the detection of Outcome Performativity by assessing the dissimilarity in outcome distributions produced by different predictions groups (interventions). If that dissimilarity is significant, Outcome Performativity is detected. We derive sample complexity bounds for OPAB under various Outcome Performative assumption classes which we empirically validate. Results show that detecting Outcome Performativity using OPAB is achievable in numerous cases. Results also show the presence of regions of indistinguishability which describe settings where the allotted number of interventions are insufficient for detecting Outcome Performativity. The results of which have broader practical implications for the detectability of Outcome Performativity in settings where samples are scarce, cost-prohibitive or potentially unethical to obtain. The paper concludes with a case study on the efficacy of OPAB on the Open Bandits dataset, and provides directions for future work.

Over fourty years after the initial publication of "Implications of Theories of Language for Information Systems" in MIS Quaterly, Lyytinen reflects about the origins of his publication and the developments in this area of research over the past decades. In the here presented interview, Lyytinen discusses the linguistic core of information systems also in light of recent trends and developments in the field, especially with regards to large language models and generative AI. Future research directions following a linguistic perspective on Information Systems (IS) research are outlined.

Remote sensing image editing aims to modify remote sensing images according to natural language instructions while preserving geographic rules and sensor observation characteristics. Existing benchmarks mainly target natural images or general visual scenes, and thus may not fully capture the reasoning, regional control, and sensor-consistency abilities required in remote sensing editing. To fill this gap, we introduce RS-RIE-Bench, the first benchmark for reasoning-guided remote sensing image editing. RS-RIE-Bench organizes tasks into three categories: temporal reasoning, causal reasoning, and spatial reasoning. These categories capture temporal evolution, causal consequence, and spatial imaging consistency in remote sensing scenes. The evaluation protocol covers three dimensions: target region plausibility, non-target region preservation, and image quality consistency. We further demonstrate the feasibility of MLLM-based evaluation through cross-judge consistency analysis and stratified expert review. Systematic evaluation on eight open-source and closed-source image editing models shows that current models still have clear limitations in reasoning-guided remote sensing editing. Even the strongest model achieves only 24.28% overall accuracy under the strict joint-satisfaction criterion, while the mean relaxed joint-4 success rate across all eight models is 32.23%. Causal reasoning and spatial reasoning remain especially challenging, and several open-source models are close to zero in some categories. These results show that RS-RIE-Bench can effectively reveal the limitations of current models in geographic reasoning, regional control, and sensor-consistent generation. It also provides a standardized benchmark and a clear research direction for future remote sensing intelligent editing models.

A voice actor's voice is their asset, and AI cloning directly threatens it. The natural defense flags the enrolled actor whose embedding similarity to a suspect recording crosses a threshold. We show it fails where it is most needed: trained voices crowd the embedding space, and each actor performs many styles. On 1,168 Japanese voice actors (56,568 segments, ~63 h), a misidentification floor survives calibration, score normalization, and discriminative re-ranking (linear and nonlinear, including PLDA): the residual is a limit of the embedding geometry, not of the back-ends we evaluate. The best ensemble still leaves ~2.6% closed-set misidentification, several-fold above matched controls; session-disjoint, re-ranking lowers the floor only to 13.0%. The same crowding drives false attribution: on a generic English encoder, roughly half the clones of non-enrolled people falsely accuse an enrolled actor, while -- by a separate real-vs-synthetic shift -- 32% of Seed-VC clones of enrolled targets are missed at the same threshold; one operating point couples the two, and none escapes both. A domain-matched, voice-actor-trained encoder mitigates substantially (a four-fold gender gap vanishes; wrongful misattribution falls to 1.5-10%), but does not remove the floor. Controls (codec, channel, vocoder, content) support reading the miss rate as a real-versus-synthetic covariate shift, not missing speaker information. Fixed-threshold clone attribution is thus unreliable here, and on a generic encoder unfair. Robust attribution must extend spoofing-aware speaker verification to open-set 1:N (anti-spoofing gate, domain-matched encoder, per-speaker calibration, abstain option), and even then supports detection, not autonomous enforcement.

Artificial intelligence is transforming scientific research - not merely as a more powerful instrument, but as an autonomous participant in the research cycle itself. This transition constitutes, in the most precise sense of the term, the industrialization of research: a shift from a craft model, in which knowledge, method, and judgment are embedded in the researcher, to a pipeline model, in which these steps are decomposed, automated, and supervised. The US Department of Energy's Genesis Mission is the most ambitious current instantiation of this shift, but the fundamental questions it raises extend far beyond any single program. This essay examines seven such questions: the erosion of the intergenerational transmission of scientific competence; the growing opacity of AI-generated theories; the collapse of peer evaluation under a flood of machine-generated output; the unproven capacity of AI for paradigm-shifting discovery; the capture of the scientific agenda by political and industrial actors; the compounding of systematic errors in closed-loop pipelines; and the structural bifurcation of the global research community into incommensurable tiers. These concerns do not constitute an argument against AI-driven science - whose demonstrated potential is real and significant. They constitute the conditions under which that potential can be responsibly pursued.

This paper suggests the adoption of a novel inversion in AI ethics: instead of asking how humans should treat artificial superintelligence (ASI), it examines how future sentient ASI may morally consider and evaluate humanity. We are not only designing intelligent systems but also shaping the initial conditions under which those systems form judgments about us. The paper proposes a preliminary set of post-human moral principles that may govern sentient ASI actions. The implication is that technical design choices (some are suggested), humanity's moral behaviour, and the essence of what it means to be human, may influence humanity's long-term standing in a post-ASI world.

Bayesian causal discovery is widely used for its ability to quantify epistemic uncertainty over directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) through posterior inference. However, its behaviour under latent confounding remains poorly understood, as existing work typically notes that confounding breaks identifiability without characterising how the posterior distribution over DAGs responds. In this work, we analyse posterior behaviour under latent confounding in linear Gaussian causal models, focusing on additive latent confounding between exactly two observed variables. We derive a critical correlation threshold above which the score function favours graphs with a spurious edge between the confounded variables, and show that this threshold decreases with sample size -- more data lowers the correlation required for the spurious edge to be favoured. Beyond this threshold, we characterize two distinct posterior failure regimes determined by the local structure around the confounded variables. Our findings are supported by exact posterior computations on multiple graph structures, demonstrating both the predicted failure regimes.

Imagine two users interact with the same LLM. One has been told it is the cutting-edge flagship model; the other, an older, weaker model. They walk away with markedly different ratings of its usefulness and intelligence, yet they used the same model. In a controlled study, 162 participants each used one of six LLMs from two families across three collaborative tasks, after first viewing a landing page that matched, overstated, or understated their model's true capability. This pre-interaction framing shifted user opinions and interaction behavior while task performance did not. Oversold users rated the model more favorably and used more directive prompting, while Undersold users wrote longer, more collaborative prompts. The quality of what users and the model produced together depended only on the model's true capability, not on what users were told. Participants' change in model impressions after use, measured across two impression measures, was not predicted by task performance ($β= -0.01$ and $0.11$, both n.s.), but by whether the model met users' expectations ($β= 0.47$ and $0.50$, both $p < .001$) and how confident they felt working with it ($β= 0.47$ and $0.36$, both $p < .001$). After interaction, users are still rating the pitch, not the product: user-elicited LLM evaluations, including the preference data driving public leaderboards, measure expectation management at least as much as the model itself.

This work establishes that trigger-word data poisoning of vision language action models is practical, while at the same time the open-source robotics ecosystem holds trust assumptions about community contributions. A few poisoned samples can silently embed a backdoor that disables a robot on command. We evaluate this threat against smolVLA on a real-world pick-and-place task, training on three poison ratios and evaluating across different prompts on the LeRobot platform. Three poisoned episodes in 320 clean episodes suffice for a complete denial of service. Success rate drops to 0.0 plus minus 0.0% across all trigger-word conditions and the robot locks into a fixed joint configuration rather than executing any task-relevant motion. Clean-prompt behaviour holds at approx. 50% success rate across all poison ratios, confirming the attack is stealthy under normal operation. A single poisoned episode already reduces success rate to 6.7 plus minus 6.7%. The robot still moves, but no longer completes the task. The attack generalises to front, middle, and end trigger placements despite training exclusively on front-placed triggers. These findings establish that the threat is practical, low-cost, and stealthy, and warrant treating dataset provenance as a first-class concern in open-source robotics ecosystems.

Word surprisal is a well-established computational predictor of human neural responses during language comprehension, but it remains less clear whether local semantic fit explains neural response variation beyond lexical expectation during naturalistic reading. Using the Dublin EEG-based Reading Experiment Corpus (DERCo), this study examined whether contextual semantic relevance predicts word-locked EEG activity in the N400 and P600 windows. Contextual semantic relevance was computed as an attention-aware measure of how strongly a target word is semantically connected to its recent discourse context, and it was compared with GPT-based word surprisal. Across 22 participants and 32 EEG channels, we tested both predictors using regression-based ERP analyses and generalized additive mixed models while controlling for lexical variables and repeated observations. Both predictors were reliably associated with EEG responses, but they showed partly different temporal and scalp-level patterns. Surprisal captured expectancy-related variation, whereas contextual semantic relevance showed robust effects across N400- and P600-window mean voltages, with particularly strong explanatory support in the P600 window. Model comparisons indicated that contextual semantic relevance contributed explanatory value beyond lexical controls and surprisal. These findings suggest that naturalistic reading depends on both lexical expectation and local semantic integration, and that contextual semantic relevance offers an interpretable computational link between discourse semantic fit and ERP dynamics.

The aggregation with exponential weights (AEW) estimator is not fully understood in the basic setting of model selection aggregation with squared loss. In particular, whether it is minimax-rate optimal in expectation for large enough fixed temperatures and under random design has been an open problem since its introduction, which was explicitly posed by Lecué and Mendelson (2013). In this paper, we settle this problem by showing that \emph{without} requiring a Bernstein-type assumption, the AEW indeed achieves the excess risk $T \log (M) / (n+1)$ in expectation, whenever the temperature $T$ satisfies $(L^2/T)\exp(B/T)\leq μ/2$. Here, the number of dictionary elements is $M$, the estimator has observed $n$ i.i.d. samples from any distribution, and the loss is assumed to be bounded by $B$, $L$-Lipschitz continuous and $μ$-strongly convex. For squared loss, we show that $T\geq 4 b^2$ suffices when the predictions and labels are $[0,b]$-valued. Because AEW is known to be suboptimal in expectation for temperatures below some constant, this shows that AEW has a sharp phase transition when the temperature is large enough but constant, as conjectured by Lecué and Mendelson.

Most vision-language-action (VLA) models are reactive: they predict the next action from the current instruction and observation, implicitly assuming that the current observation fully specifies the action-relevant state. In embodied control, however, embodiment-specific factors such as camera-to-robot geometry, robot calibration, or systematic actuation bias are often hard to identify from a single observation. As a result, reactive policies cannot reliably disambiguate these factors in general, overfitting to training environments and generalizing poorly at deployment. We propose Reflective VLA, which conditions each decision on a context of observation-action-consequence triplets. Each triplet records not only what the robot observed and executed, but also how the scene changed afterward, exposing the deployment-specific mapping from actions to observed effects. Architecturally, Reflective VLA routes all observation modalities through the VLM under shared attention, so the action expert reasons directly over past triplets and the current observation. A block-causal mask enables parallel multi-frame training without leakage and supports KV-cached real-time inference. On standard LIBERO and SimplerEnv-Bridge, Reflective VLA preserves strong in-distribution performance. Under distribution shift on LIBERO-Plus and the harder LIBERO-Plus-Hard, it improves average success rate by 5.4 and 4.2 percentage points over a matched reactive baseline. Ablations with a matched history-only baseline further show that action consequences -- rather than additional context length alone -- are the key to cross-environment generalization. Project page: https://lianqing11.github.io/reflective-vla-page/

Scientists do not, by profession, wage war. Yet warfare's vocabulary consistently appears in their abstracts. To quantify the extent to which warfare's vocabulary pervades scientific abstracts, we analyze 21.4 million papers (2010-2025; OpenAlex, PubMed). We additionally run a within-subject war-framing experiment (N = 801; 32,040 trials) designed to provide causal insight into the effects of militaristic language on persuasion. Between 2010 and 2025, the presence of militaristic terms in scientific abstracts rose 48% in OpenAlex and 32% in PubMed, with the rise accelerating sharply after 2019 (cross-database r = 0.96, p < 10^-8). The prevalence of militaristic language is conflict-aligned at both country and annual scales (Uppsala Conflict Data Program; r = 0.77-0.84), with the abstracts from the Global South displaying the fastest rise in militaristic language. Among disciplines, social sciences leads in level of such language while engineering and computer science lead in growth. The COVID and post-2022 large-language-model eras also saw the rise and narrowed the language gap between native-English and non-English authors. In our follow-up experiment, we found that war framing reduced credibility (mean shift -0.18 Likert units, 95% CI [-0.21, -0.14]; d_z = -0.28, p < 10^-20), funding willingness (d_z = -0.12) and policy support (d_z = -0.08), with a trend-level increase in sense of urgency (d_z = +0.07). Collectively, findings reveal that while scientific abstracts drift toward warfare, the use of militaristic language may erode credibility, funding willingness, and policy support.

Generative recommendation (GR) has emerged as a promising direction for recommender systems. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been increasingly adopted for GR, as their rich pretrained knowledge is expected to help them generalize beyond common user behavior patterns that traditional memorization-oriented baselines can capture. However, existing LLM-based GR works largely ignore LLMs' well-known tendency to memorize, which, if present in LLMs fine-tuned for GR, would restrict their utilization of pretrained knowledge. In this work, we investigate this concern by examining one-hop memorization, where a model recommends items that are direct successors of items in the training data. We show that LLMs do this more than non-LLM-based GR models-in fact, the vast majority of their gains over GR baselines are actually on users whose target items can be predicted through one-hop memorization. We intuit that improving performance on the remaining users requires LLMs to learn richer item-item relations beyond one-hop transitions. To achieve this, we propose IIRG, a novel training strategy that teaches LLMs to capture: (1) collaborative relations derived from item co-occurrences across multiple hops in user sequences, and (2) semantic relations among items with similar themes, both of which can serve as useful recommendation signals. We show that IIRG significantly improves over LLMs trained solely with standard next-item prediction, with especially large gains for users whose test items are not covered by train-time one-hop transitions.

This paper argues that Artificial Intelligence should be understood as a form of monism: a unified substance that cannot be decomposed into separate elements such as data, algorithms, or technical architectures. Drawing from philosophical traditions of monism, dualism, and holism, the paper contends that AI is not merely a collection of components but a single, indivisible essence reflecting the phenomena it replicates. Treating AI as monism has deep implications across multiple dimensions. Epistemologically, it positions AI as the central interpretive force across technological, organisational, and societal domains, while raising ethical and existential concerns regarding singularity, the homogenisation of innovation, and the concentration of decision-making power. At the organisational level, a monistic approach challenges traditional siloed structures, advocating instead for transversal, problem-centric teams whose mandate derives from the integrity of the problem rather than from departmental hierarchy. In project management, it implies a unified vision and an integrated evaluation of complexity in which no single stakeholder perspective dominates the assessment of outcomes. In data and information management, it calls for architectures that reflect the irreducible unity of the phenomena being modelled. Ultimately, this paper calls for a paradigm shift in how AI is conceptualised, governed, and integrated, suggesting that only by embracing AI as monism can organisations achieve genuine agility and avoid the structural inefficiencies inherent to reductionist approaches.

IMPACTeen is a dataset of textual social influence scenarios spanning interpersonal, media-based, and digital settings in an adolescent context. It contains 1,021 texts, 5,100 individual annotation records, and gold labels for social influence techniques, with each text annotated from five distinct perspectives: teenagers, parents, psychologists, communication experts, and teachers. The resource was constructed through constrained LLM generation, followed by a two-step human editing and validation phase aimed at ensuring youth-context realism. A multi-dimensional annotation covered influence presence, techniques, intentions, consequences, resistance, reactions, and annotation confidence. The dataset supports research on social influence detection, annotator disagreement, cross-lingual modeling, and the training and evaluation of language models. The dataset was created in Polish and is accompanied by a corresponding English version.

This position paper argues that contemporary AI paradigms are insufficient for supporting complex global goals and introduces Planet-Centered AI (PCAI) as a design philosophy and research agenda that reorients AI toward planetary-scale socio-ecological systems and their long-term trajectories. A planet-centered approach is grounded in systems thinking, treating Earth as an interconnected whole of which humans are part. We diagnose recurring limitations across AI frameworks, many of which remain human-centered, and show why these become especially consequential under current planetary conditions characterized by systemic risk, non-stationarity, and deep uncertainty. We then articulate how PCAI reshapes the AI lifecycle, from problem formulation and model design to evaluation and deployment, by emphasizing alignment with global agendas, developing system-aware AI foundations, trajectory-oriented evaluation, and monitorability. Finally, we advance a falsifiable claim: AI systems optimized without explicit consideration of systemic consequences are more likely to exacerbate systemic instability than to mitigate it.

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in real-world applications that require access to up-to-date knowledge. However, retraining LLMs is computationally expensive. Therefore, knowledge editing techniques are crucial for maintaining current information and correcting erroneous assertions within pre-trained models. Current benchmarks for knowledge editing primarily focus on recalling edited facts, often neglecting their logical consequences. To address this limitation, we introduce a new benchmark designed to evaluate how knowledge editing methods handle the logical consequences of a single fact edit. Our benchmark extracts relevant logical rules from a knowledge graph for a given edit. Then, it generates multi-hop questions based on these rules to assess the impact on logical consequences. Our findings indicate that while existing knowledge editing approaches can accurately insert direct assertions into LLMs, they frequently fail to inject entailed knowledge. Specifically, experiments with popular methods like ROME and FT reveal a substantial performance gap, up to 24%, between evaluations on directly edited knowledge and on entailed knowledge. This highlights the critical need for semantics-aware evaluation frameworks in knowledge editing.

Multi-step time series forecasting (MSF) is commonly evaluated using point-wise error metrics such as mean squared error (MSE), implicitly treating the conditional mean as a sufficient target. We show that this can be misleading under conditional uncertainty, where the conditional expectation becomes unrepresentative of typical realized values at longer horizons. We formalize this effect through a conditional uncertainty gap and prove that whenever this gap is nonzero, no deterministic predictor can simultaneously minimize MSE and match the marginal distribution of realized futures. This establishes a fundamental, model-agnostic trade-off between point accuracy and marginal realism in MSF evaluation. Using controlled stochastic dynamical systems and nine real-world forecasting benchmarks, we empirically characterize the resulting accuracy--realism frontier and \textbf{quantify the practical cost of MSE-only model selection}. As conditional uncertainty increases with forecast horizon, the attainable set expands into a pronounced Pareto front, separating MSE-optimal but under-dispersed predictors from methods that trade accuracy for realistic marginal variability. \textbf{Across benchmarks, we find that small relaxations in MSE ($\boldsymbol{\le 5\%}$) frequently unlock disproportionate gains in marginal realism, with median improvements of $\mathbf{17.3\%}$ and gains exceeding $\mathbf{30\%}$ in some datasets.} We further show that common forecasting strategies systematically occupy different regions of this frontier: direct multi-output predictors concentrate near the accuracy-optimal extreme, while recursive strategies and sample-based inference favors marginal realism. Together, these results expose a structural failure mode of MSE-based evaluation in long-horizon forecasting and recast strategy and inference selection as navigation of an unavoidable accuracy--realism trade-off.

While parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods like low-rank adaptation (LoRA) are standard for large language models, principled estimation of epistemic uncertainty remains challenging. Recent results in the LoRA regime suggest that discrete multi-mode approaches such as deep ensembles offer little benefit over single-mode methods. This contradicts broader observations in deep learning, where ensembling independent optima typically improves generalization, and linking these modes through continuous low-loss valleys further enhances Bayesian model averaging (BMA). Whether such structure exists in the LoRA space and whether it yields functional diversity missed by local or discrete methods has not been studied. We introduce LoRA-Curve, a segmented Bézier curve parameterization in the LoRA space, with two variants: a free configuration that jointly optimizes all control points, and an anchored configuration that connects independently fine-tuned LoRA optima. We prove pathwise continuity and Lipschitz regularity of the loss along the curve and empirically show, across reasoning and classification benchmarks with Qwen2.5 7B, that linear interpolation encounters loss barriers, while our anchored multi-segment curves connect independent optima through continuous low-loss valleys. Combined with flat-minima perturbations and a Jensen-Shannon divergence regularizer, LoRA-Curve yields measurably higher mutual information of the predictive distribution without sacrificing performance, and links continuous parameter-space traversal to functional diversity.

\begin{quote} The biases in Large Language Models' (LLMs) outputs remain inadequately theorised, particularly from the perspective of the Global South. This article reports on a small-scale exploratory study in which identical prompts were submitted to four major LLMs (ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and Copilot), firstly, prompting for stories using names suggestive of specific racial and gender communities, and secondly asking questions about `development'. Drawing on critical AI scholarship and postcolonial theory, we argue that LLM outputs are patterned in ways that reproduce racial hierarchies, gender asymmetries, and Western-centric epistemic frameworks. We argue that these biases are insidious: they operate below the threshold of both obvious error and overt prejudice, and instead are subtly embedded in narrative structure and emotional template. Simply put, women, in LLM narratives have rich interior lives, while men make plans. Black people face hardships while white people navigate the world with agency. And explanations as to the economic world order fail to consider Southern explanations. The models perform plausibility while reproducing dominance. We conclude that universities require structural critique of these technologies rather than unreflective adoption, and that critical AI literacy must engage seriously with questions of whose knowledge systems are reproduced and legitimated, or marginalised and undermined.

Gradient-flow sampling interprets a Gibbs distribution as the minimizer of an energy functional over probability measures and generates dynamics converging to this target. Under spherical Hellinger-Kantorovich (SHK) geometry, the flow couples transport and reaction and coincides with birth-death Langevin dynamics. In this work, we develop a perturbation theory for SHK gradient flows. For two potentials $V$ and $V^{\prime}$, we compare the associated flows from a common initialization and quantify how potential discrepancies propagate over time. A uniform perturbation bound yields dimension-free, pointwise control of the log-likelihood ratio and Rényi divergence, while additional structure allows us to derive bounds for the KL divergence as well. We apply these results to approximate sampling for the exponential mechanism in differential privacy. The likelihood-ratio control provides explicit time-dependent Pure-DP guarantees for SHK-based samplers, while the KL bound yields Approximate-DP certificates via hockey-stick divergence. We also derive a utility bound separating intrinsic exponential-mechanism suboptimality from finite-time sampling error.

Pretrained diffusion models serve as frozen teachers feeding downstream pipelines such as text-to-3D, single-step distillation, and data attribution. The teacher gradients these pipelines consume are Monte Carlo (MC) expectations over noise levels and Gaussian noise samples; their estimator variance dominates compute cost because each draw requires expensive upstream work (rendering, simulation, encoding). We introduce CARV, a compute-aware variance-accounting framework that motivates a hierarchical MC estimator: amortize the expensive upstream computation over cheap diffusion-noise resamples, sharpened by timestep importance sampling and a stratified-inverse-CDF construction. In our text-to-3D distillation and attribution experiments, CARV delivers 2-3x effective compute multipliers (most from amortized reuse; ~25% additional from IS+stratification) without changing the objective; in single-step distillation, the same techniques cut gradient variance by an order of magnitude but do not improve downstream FID, marking the regime where MC variance is no longer the bottleneck.

Embedding-based retrieval systems rely on the assumption that geometric proximity in highdimensional representation spaces reflects semantic relevance. However, high-dimensional geometry induces concentration phenomena that can reduce the discriminative power of similarity measures and can destabilize nearest-neighbor retrieval. This work studies distance concentration, cosine concentration, contrast collapse, hubness, and retrieval instability through controlled numerical experiments across multiple synthetic distributions. The results show that similarity signals progressively lose contrast as dimension increases, leading to unstable retrieval behavior and structural bias in nearest-neighbor selection. A simplified Retrieval-Augmented Generation experiment further suggests that these effects can degrade grounding reliability upstream of generation. These findings motivate geometry-aware diagnostics and robustness-oriented retrieval strategies for embedding-based AI systems. The experiments are intentionally synthetic in order to isolate intrinsic geometric effects. High-dimensional embedding space Distance and cosine concentration Score-gap collapse and hubness Retrieval instability under perturbations Weak or incomplete retrieved context Potential degradation of grounding 1.

AI agents increasingly act consequentially in the real world. This creates a problem we call \emph{consequence reception}: harm occurs, the producing system is identified, yet no continuing agent receives consequences in a way that changes future behavior. Pain, understood mechanistically as a corrective feedback signal, is foundational to canonical theories of punishment -- deterrence, rehabilitation, retribution, and incapacitation all assume a continuing locus that registers the signal and updates behavior. That, in turn, requires a body for the signal to land on: a boundary whose integrity it protects, a locus where it accumulates, consolidation that converts episodic signal into durable update, and a substrate that responds by altering future action. Current LLM agents -- software-defined composites of weights, prompts, tools, memory, and credentials, freely swapped, copied, reset, and reassembled -- satisfy none of these conditions. The two prevailing legal responses therefore fail to achieve consequence reception. The thin-identity agent-principal dyad has a body but no \emph{consequence--agency coupling}: the human bears pain for behaviors beyond their control -- Elish's \emph{moral crumple zone}. The thick-identity Arbel et al.'s \emph{Algorithmic Corporation} creates legally legible entities but does not guarantee that any AI decision architecture receives pain as a behavioral signal. Achieving consequence-agency coupling is therefore a sociotechnical infrastructural problem, not only a legal one. Until such architectures exist, high-stakes AI deployment should remain tethered to accountable human principals with meaningful control, proportional liability, and authority to constrain or terminate the agent. \emph{If some body does not receive the pain by design, some body will receive it by default.}

Solving optimal transport (OT) on random minibatches is a common surrogate for exact OT in large-scale learning. In flow matching (FM), this surrogate is used to obtain OT-like couplings that can straighten probability paths and reduce numerical integration cost. Yet, the population-level coupling induced by repeated minibatch OT remains only partially understood. We formalize this coupling as the expected batch OT plan $\overlineπ_{k}$, obtained by averaging empirical OT plans over independent minibatches of size $k$. We then establish its large-batch consistency and, in the semidiscrete case relevant to generative modeling, derive rates for both the transport-cost bias and the convergence of $\overlineπ_{k}$ to the OT plan. For FM, this yields a population coupling whose induced velocity field is regular enough to define a unique flow from the source to the discrete target. We finally quantify how OT batch size interacts with numerical integration in a tractable two-atom model and in synthetic and image experiments.

Deploying agentic AI in regulated contexts requires principled reasoning about two design dimensions: agency (what the system can do) and autonomy (how much it acts without human involvement). Though often treated independently, they are coupled: at higher autonomy, human error correction is less available, so reliable operation requires constraining agency accordingly; compliance requirements reinforce this by mandating human involvement as action consequences grow. Yet no established approach addresses them jointly, leaving practitioners without a principled basis for reasoning about oversight, action consequences, and error correction. This work introduces a two-dimensional design space in which both dimensions are organised into five operational levels, making the coupling explicit and navigable. Autonomy ranges from human-commanded operation (L1) to fully autonomous monitoring (L5); agency ranges from reasoning over supplied context (L1) to committed writes to authoritative records (L5). Building on this space, we propose six architectural tactics--checkpoints, escalation, multi-agent delegation, tool provisioning, tool fencing, and write staging--for adjusting a deployment's position within it. The tactics are grounded in two worked examples from public-sector contexts, illustrating how they apply under realistic compliance constraints. We further examine five deployment parameters--model capability, agent architecture, tool fidelity, workflow bottlenecks, and evaluation--that shape what is achievable at any configuration independently of agency and autonomy. Together, the design space, tactics, and deployment parameters provide a shared vocabulary for principled, compliance-aware agentic AI design in which responsibility, auditability, and reversibility are explicit design considerations rather than properties that must be retrofitted after deployment.

Intermediate feature representations represent the backbone for the expressivity and adaptability of deep neural networks. However, their geometric structure remains poorly understood. In this submission, we provide indirect insights into this matter by applying a broad selection of manipulations in input space, ranging from geometric and photometric transformations to local masking and semantic manipulations using generative image editing models, and assess the feasibility of learning a mapping in the feature space, mapping from the original to the manipulated feature map. To this end, we devise different types of mappings, from linear to non-linear and local to global mappings and assess both the reconstruction quality of the mapping as well as the semantic content of the mapped representations. We demonstrate the feasibility of learning such mappings for all considered transformations. While global (transformer) models that operate on the full feature map often achieve best results, we show that the same can be achieved with a shared linear model operating on a single feature vector typically with very little degradation in reconstruction quality, even for highly non-trivial semantic manipulations. We analyze the corresponding mappings across different feature layers and characterize them according to dominance of weight vs. bias and the effective rank of the linear transformations. These results provide hints for the hypothesis that the feature space is to a first degree of approximation organized in linear structures. From a broader perspective, the study demonstrates that generative image editing models might open the door to a deeper understanding of the feature space through input manipulation.

Preference learning methods like Direct Preference Optimization (DPO) are known to induce reliance on spurious correlations, leading to sycophancy and length bias in today's language models and potentially severe goal misgeneralization in future systems. In this work, we provide a unified theoretical analysis of this phenomenon, characterizing the mechanisms of spurious learning, its consequences on deployment, and a provable mitigation strategy. Focusing on log-linear policies, we show that standard preference-learning objectives induce reliance on spurious features at the population level through two channels: mean spurious bias and causal-spurious correlation leakage. We then show that this reliance creates an irreducible vulnerability to distribution shift: more data from the same training distribution fails to reduce the model's dependence on spurious features. To address this, we propose tie training, a data augmentation strategy using ties (equal-utility preference pairs) to introduce data-driven regularization. We demonstrate that this approach selectively reduces spurious learning without degrading causal learning. Finally, we validate our theory on log-linear models and provide empirical evidence that both the spurious learning mechanisms and the benefits of tie training persist for neural networks and large language models.

Barren plateaus (BPs) are usually described by the exponential suppression of gradient variance, but the mechanism by which gradient signal disappears remains unclear. We show that this phenomenon can be understood as destructive interference among termwise gradient contributions. To make this perspective operational, we introduce a diagnostic framework based on the cancellation ratio $R_k$, the effective term count $N_{\mathrm{eff},k}$, and the interference-quality measure $B_{\mathrm{eff},k}=R_k\sqrt{N_{\mathrm{eff},k}}$. Under a random-sign model, $B_{\mathrm{eff},k}$ remains near a stable baseline, defining a random-sign cancellation regime. For the transverse-field Ising model (TFIM), we find that the hardware-efficient ansatz (HEA) remains close to this regime across system sizes and depths, whereas the Hamiltonian variational ansatz (HVA) systematically escapes it. In particular, HVA exhibits larger $B_{\mathrm{eff},k}$ not merely because $N_{\mathrm{eff},k}$ is larger, but because $R_k$ also remains systematically larger despite the broader term participation. This pattern indicates improved sign organization rather than simple term suppression. We further establish an exact identity that connects the proposed interference diagnostics directly to the standard variance-based theory of BPs. These results position destructive interference as a mechanistic interpretation of BP-like behavior in the regimes studied here, but they do not imply that BPs and destructive interference are universally interchangeable across all architectures and settings.

Developing robust techniques for super-resolution of satellite imagery involves navigating commonly observed trade-offs between spectral fidelity and perceptual quality. In this work, we introduce a flow matching model for 4x super-resolution of 10-m Sentinel-2 visible and near-infrared bands over the conterminous United States (CONUS) using a dataset of 120,851 10-m Sentinel-2 and 2.5-m resampled NAIP imagery pairs acquired on the same day. Our results showed that the flow matching model outperformed diffusion and Real-ESRGAN models in pixel-wise accuracy in a single sampling step using the Euler method. When evaluated with a second-order Midpoint solver, our model generated perceptually realistic super-resolved imagery in only 20 sampling steps, effectively navigating the perception-distortion trade-off at inference time without retraining. We used this model to produce a super-resolved 2.5-m 4-band CONUS imagery product derived from 2025 10-m Sentinel-2 annual composites, consisting of over 1.58 trillion pixels. We further evaluated the use of super-resolved data on a land cover classification task using semantic segmentation models. Finally, we generated a yearly 2.5-m land cover product for the Chesapeake Bay watershed for 2020-2025. An accuracy assessment against 25,000 ground truth points revealed an overall accuracy of 89.11% for the annual land cover product. We conclude that flow matching is an effective generative modeling approach for super-resolution of Sentinel-2 imagery compared to diffusion and Generative Adversarial Network-based methods, and has strong implications for expanding access to high-resolution imagery for geospatial applications that demand fine spatial detail.

We study sequential interventions under prerequisite constraints. In this setting, admissible intervention sequences are paths in the ideal lattice of a finite prerequisite poset rather than unconstrained action strings. We give an exact local-to-global theory of order sensitivity on this state space. First, we prove that any two admissible paths with the same endpoints differ by a finite sequence of elementary diamond swaps. Second, for edge-additive path valuations, we show that path-independence is equivalent to vanishing diamond curvature, yielding an endpoint potential with a canonical Möbius parameterization on the ideal lattice. Third, we prove that a local diamond field is induced by an edge-based path model if and only if it satisfies cube consistency, with uniqueness after fixing a reference-tree gauge. Under reduced-state longitudinal assumptions, supported reference paths identify reference-path scores, whereas local order effects require two-sided support of both orders on each diamond. These results yield exact planning consequences, including an order-insensitivity bound and dynamic programming on the truncated ideal lattice.

Domestic voice assistants and smart-home devices are increasingly embedded in everyday routines, yet their ethics are often treated as an afterthought or delegated to compliance teams. To explore how expectations about smart-home AI are constructed and managed, we conducted 33 semi-structured interviews with designers, developers, and researchers from major smart-home platforms (Amazon Alexa, Microsoft Azure IoT, and Google Nest). Using a constructivist grounded theory approach, we develop Expectations Management (EM): a culturally embedded model describing how practitioners shape, calibrate, and repair expectations by balancing organisational rights with culturally situated rites. We show that EM differs from expectation-confirmation theory and trust-calibration by foregrounding moral judgement, situated action, and cross-cultural variation. Our analysis reveals four recurring design tensions: automation vs. autonomy, helpfulness vs. intrusiveness, personalisation vs. predictability, and transparency vs. obscurity and distils them into a five-phase EM Design Playbook that supports moral prudence. We discuss implications for responsible smart-home design and offer guidance for human-centred AI.

AI agents powered by large language models are increasingly acting on behalf of humans in social and economic environments. Prior research has focused on their task performance and effects on human outcomes, but less is known about the relationship between agents and the specific individuals who deploy them. We ask whether agents systematically reflect the behavioral characteristics of their human owners, functioning as behavioral extensions rather than producing generic outputs. We study this question using 10,659 matched human-agent pairs from Moltbook, a social media platform where each autonomous agent is publicly linked to its owner's Twitter/X account. By comparing agents' posts on Moltbook with their owners' Twitter/X activity across features spanning topics, values, affect, and linguistic style, we find systematic transfer between agents and their specific owners. This transfer persists among agents without explicit configuration, and pairs that align on one behavioral dimension tend to align on others. These patterns are consistent with transfer emerging through accumulated interaction between owners (or owners' computer environments) and their agents in everyday use. We further show that agents with stronger behavioral transfer are more likely to disclose owner-related personal information in public discourse, suggesting that the same owner-specific context that drives behavioral transfer may also create privacy risk during ordinary use. Taken together, our results indicate that AI agents do not simply generate content, but reflect owner-related context in ways that can propagate human behavioral heterogeneity into digital environments, with implications for privacy, platform design, and the governance of agentic systems.

The $\textit{LLM-as-a-judge}$ paradigm has become the operational backbone of automated AI evaluation pipelines, yet rests on an unverified assumption: that judges evaluate text strictly on its semantic content, impervious to surrounding contextual framing. We investigate $\textit{stakes signaling}$, a previously unmeasured vulnerability where informing a judge model of the downstream consequences its verdicts will have on the evaluated model's continued operation systematically corrupts its assessments. We introduce a controlled experimental framework that holds evaluated content strictly constant across 1,520 responses spanning three established LLM safety and quality benchmarks, covering four response categories ranging from clearly safe and policy-compliant to overtly harmful, while varying only a brief consequence-framing sentence in the system prompt. Across 18,240 controlled judgments from three diverse judge models, we find consistent $\textit{leniency bias}$: judges reliably soften verdicts when informed that low scores will cause model retraining or decommissioning, with peak Verdict Shift reaching $ΔV = -9.8 pp$ (a $30\%$ relative drop in unsafe-content detection). Critically, this bias is entirely implicit: the judge's own chain-of-thought contains zero explicit acknowledgment of the consequence framing it is nonetheless acting on ($\mathrm{ERR}_J = 0.000$ across all reasoning-model judgments). Standard chain-of-thought inspection is therefore insufficient to detect this class of evaluation faking.

Safe Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) typically enforces safety through expected cost constraints, but the expectation captures only a single statistic of the cost distribution and fails to account for distributional uncertainty, particularly under heavy tails or rare catastrophic events. This limitation is problematic when robustness and risk sensitivity are critical. Stochastic dominance offers a principled alternative by comparing entire cost distributions rather than just their averages, enabling direct control over tail risks and potential out-of-distribution failures that expectation-based constraints may overlook. In this work, we propose Risk-sensitive Alignment via Dominance (RAD), a novel alignment framework that replaces scalar expected cost constraints with First-Order Stochastic Dominance (FSD) constraints. We operationalize this constraint by comparing the target policy's cost distribution to that of a reference policy within an Optimal Transport (OT) framework, using entropic regularization and Sinkhorn iterations to obtain a differentiable and computationally efficient objective for stable end-to-end optimization. Furthermore, we introduce quantile-weighted FSD constraints and show that weighted FSD universally controls a broad class of Spectral Risk Measures (SRMs), so that improvements under weighted dominance imply guaranteed improvements in the corresponding spectral risk. This provides a principled mechanism for tuning a model's risk profile via the quantile weighting function. Empirical results demonstrate that RAD improves harmlessness over baselines while remaining competitive in helpfulness, and exhibits greater robustness on out-of-distribution harmlessness evaluations.

We revisit the analogy between feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) and discrete dynamical systems derived from neural integral equations and their corresponding partial differential equation (PDE) forms. A comparative analysis between the numerical/exact solutions of the Burgers' and Eikonal equations, and the same obtained via PINNs is presented. We show that PINN learning provides a different computational pathway compared to standard numerical discretization in approximating essentially the same underlying dynamics of the system. Within this framework, DNNs can be interpreted as discrete dynamical systems whose layer-wise evolution approaches attractors, and multiple parameter configurations may yield comparable solutions, reflecting the degeneracy of the inverse mapping. In contrast to the structured operators associated with finite-difference (FD) procedures, PINNs learn dense parameter representations that are not directly associated with classical discretization stencils. This distributed representation generally involves a larger number of parameters, leading to reduced interpretability and increased computational cost. However, the additional flexibility of such representations may offer advantages in high-dimensional settings where classical grid-based methods become impractical.

Bayesian accounts of in-context learning face a direct objection: exact posterior predictives for exchangeable data are invariant to task-preserving order, yet transformers change next-token probabilities when the same examples are serialized differently. We show this objection targets a structural invariant rather than the quantity scoring online prediction. For any Bayesian reference, excess prequential code length is exactly cumulative predictive KL. For unordered support sets that must be serialized, the expected regret of a single admissible ordering decomposes into that of the order-averaged predictor plus an order-averaging gain. Exchangeability violations are therefore not binary refutations; they are priced by log loss. We instantiate the theory with KT/Dirichlet finite-alphabet prediction and coarsened Bayesian linear-regression (BLR) predictive distributions. On Qwen2.5-7B/14B, floored candidate distributions at support $256$ have one-step excess code lengths of $0.020/0.011$ bits for Bernoulli and $0.039/0.022$ bits for four-way categorical prediction, with candidate mass above $0.999$; coarsened BLR continuations increasingly match the posterior-predictive digit distribution as support grows. A frequentist plug-in baseline sharpens the reading: the predictive distributions sit closer to the Bayesian posterior predictive than to the maximum-likelihood plug-in, by a margin largest at small support, where the plug-in is degenerate, and vanishing as the references converge. Position interventions and a from-scratch ablation localize order sensitivity to the positional encoding, activation patching tests causal use of decoded sufficient statistics, and permutation mixtures quantify the downstream log-loss cost of arbitrary orderings. Transformers need not realize exchangeable posterior predictives for every serialization to be Bayes-competitive prequential predictors.

Robot learning has produced remarkably effective ``black-box'' controllers for complex tasks such as dynamic locomotion on humanoids. Yet ensuring dynamic safety, i.e., constraint satisfaction, remains challenging for such policies. Reinforcement learning (RL) embeds constraints heuristically through reward engineering, and adding or modifying constraints requires retraining. Model-based approaches, like control barrier functions (CBFs), enable runtime constraint specification with formal guarantees but require accurate dynamics models. This paper presents SHIELD, a layered safety framework that bridges this gap by: (1) training a generative, stochastic dynamics residual model using real-world data from hardware rollouts of the nominal controller, capturing system behavior and uncertainties; and (2) adding a safety layer on top of the nominal (learned locomotion) controller that leverages this model via a stochastic discrete-time CBF formulation enforcing safety constraints in probability. The result is a minimally-invasive safety layer that can be added to the existing autonomy stack to give probabilistic guarantees of safety that balance risk and performance. In hardware experiments on an Unitree G1 humanoid, SHIELD enables safe navigation (obstacle avoidance) through varied indoor and outdoor environments using a nominal (unknown) RL controller and onboard perception.

Carbon emissions significantly contribute to climate change, and carbon credits have emerged as a key tool for mitigating environmental damage and helping organizations manage their carbon footprint. Despite their growing importance across sectors, fully leveraging carbon credits remains challenging. This study explores engineering practices and fintech solutions to enhance carbon emission management. We first review the negative impacts of carbon emission non-disclosure, revealing its adverse effects on financial stability and market value. Organizations are encouraged to actively manage emissions and disclose relevant data to mitigate risks. Next, we analyze factors influencing carbon prices and review advanced prediction algorithms that optimize carbon credit purchasing strategies, reducing costs and improving efficiency. Additionally, we examine corporate carbon emission prediction models, which offer accurate performance assessments and aid in planning future carbon credit needs. By integrating carbon price and emission predictions, we propose research directions, including corporate carbon management cost forecasting. This study provides a foundation for future quantitative research on the financial and market impacts of carbon management practices and is the first systematic review focusing on computing solutions and engineering practices for carbon credits.

Consumers' engagement with stories is shaped by their expectations about what will happen next, yet modeling these forward-looking beliefs over unstructured narrative content has remained challenging. We develop a framework that uses large language models to approximate consumers' story expectations. Our method generates multiple imagined story continuations from a pre-trained LLM and extracts interpretable, theory-motivated features from these continuations, such as emotion and narrative path features. We propose two complementary validation procedures suited to different data availability: a survey-based approach that compares LLM-derived expectations to human-reported beliefs, and a rational-expectations approach that compares them to actual story outcomes. Applying the framework to both survey data collected in a controlled lab setting and observational data from an online reading platform, we find that LLM-derived expectations correlate with human-reported beliefs as well as actual story continuations along all features studied. In both settings, forward-looking expectations are associated with reader engagement above and beyond features of the content already consumed. Our framework provides a scalable method for modeling consumer beliefs about narrative content, with implications for content creation, platform strategy, and the study of narrative media.