Lower Bounds

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Period ending 2026-09-14

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Period ending 2026-09-07

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51 papers

Latest in Lower Bounds

Sep 12, 2026cs.AI

Probabilistic Focal Search: Accelerating Bounded-Suboptimal Search via Lower-Bound Advancement

Bounded-suboptimal search seeks a solution within a factor ww of optimal while reducing search effort. Focal Search (FS) uses heuristic guidance within FOCAL, the frontier nodes eligible under the threshold wfminw f_{\min}, but its deterministic policy may leave fminf_{\min} unchanged for many expansions. We introduce Probabilistic Focal Search (PFS), which follows the FS guided choice with probability pp and expands a minimum-ff OPEN node with probability 1p1-p. The latter branch encourages the lower bound to advance, enlarging FOCAL and admitting nodes that may lead to feasible solutions. By balancing guidance and lower-bound advancement, this mechanism can reduce time to a bounded solution when progress is limited by delayed FOCAL admission. As a secondary transfer experiment, we apply the same scheduler to Dynamic Potential Search, yielding Probabilistic Dynamic Potential Search (PDPS). We benchmark PFS against FS on N-Puzzle, Pancake Sorting, and the Traveling Salesperson Problem (TSP), and evaluate its anytime extension on the Generalized Covering TSP (GCTSP), using multiple ww and pp values. Across these benchmarks, the largest gains occur when long fminf_{\min} plateaus delay useful FOCAL admissions; in such settings, the probabilistic factor may reduce node expansions by about 90% or more (e.g., on N-Puzzle and TSP). For the anytime algorithm family, Anytime Probabilistic Focal Search (APFS) outperforms all tested algorithms in evaluating anytime methods on GCTSP. We also observe that the benefit is smaller when the deterministic search already advances efficiently (e.g., Pancake Sorting), indicating that the probabilistic factor is most useful when FOCAL admission is a search bottleneck. The PDPS transfer shows that the mechanism also transfers to potential guidance, although its common-success effects remain domain- and bound-dependent.
Minh Vu Duc, Trung Le Huu, Hà Minh Hoàng +3
Sep 11, 2026cs.LG

Certifying Lower Bounds for Risk-Sensitive Reinforcement Learning under Adversarial State Perturbations

Reinforcement learning (RL) agents deployed in real-world environments are often vulnerable to adversarial perturbations in state observations, creating risks in safety-critical applications. Certification methods can improve robustness against adversarial perturbations by providing lower bounds on expected cumulative rewards. Existing certification methods, however, mainly focus on risk-neutral objectives. In this paper, we extend certification methods to risk-sensitive objectives by establishing lower bounds on the exponential utility of cumulative rewards under lpl_{p}-norm-bounded state adversarial perturbations (1p<1\leq p <\infty). By introducing a ϕ\phi-divergence relaxation of the perturbation set, we formulate the risk-sensitive certification problem as a convex optimization and derive its dual to obtain a tractable approximation of the certified lower bound. We further propose an empirical method that improves certified lower bounds by selecting the training risk-aversion parameter β\beta independently of the risk level used during evaluation. Experiments on both OpenAI Gym environments and a machine replacement problem show that, compared to risk-neutral training, risk-averse training generally yields policies with higher certified lower bounds, particularly under larger perturbation budgets. Moreover, under both risk-neutral and risk-averse evaluation settings, increasing risk aversion during training leads to non-monotonic certification performance, where certified lower bounds initially improve but eventually decrease due to overly conservative policies.
Tong Li, Saunak Kumar Panda, Yisha Xiang
Sep 8, 2026stat.ML

Distribution-free inference on the number of changepoints

Suppose we are given an ordered sequence of independent data whose distribution changes KK times at unknown locations, for some unknown K0K \geq 0. In this paper, we study the problem of performing distribution-free inference on KK. First, we show an impossibility result: any distribution-free upper confidence bound on KK must be trivial and uninformative. Then, using conformal pp-values, and under only the assumption that the data segments induced by the changepoints are exchangeable (within themselves) and mutually independent, we construct a finite-sample valid lower confidence bound on KK, which we call the Conformal LOwer bound on Changepoint Count (CLOCC). We show that CLOCC is the only feasible way to provide a lower bound on KK under the stated assumptions, a property we refer to as its universality. We provide practical guidelines for choosing score functions that yield efficient and tight lower bounds. We evaluate CLOCC in several synthetic and real-data experiments, where it provides informative lower bounds on KK, demonstrating its practical applicability.
Rohan Hore, Aaditya Ramdas
Aug 31, 2026cs.IT

Minimax bounds for watermarked and masked recursive discrete distribution estimation

Watermarking has been proposed as a way to identify synthetic samples in estimation settings where no metadata is available to distinguish them from real samples, but its precise effects remain unexplored. In the absence of a distinguishing mechanism, it has been shown that adding synthetic samples significantly reduces the marginal efficacy of new real samples. In this work, we study the minimax loss of such recursive discrete distribution estimation in the presence of watermarks in contrast to the unassisted and oracle-assisted losses. When the fraction of real samples vanishes asymptotically, we provide a lower bound that shows that it is impossible to improve performance by adding watermarks unless the false negative rate of detection also vanishes. Additionally, we show that in most regimes, the worst-case losses of a sequence of simple deterministic estimators match the corresponding lower bounds up to constants. Finally, we propose masking, a randomization procedure that narrows the gap in the remaining regimes to a Jensen gap. We conjecture that a tighter lower bound argument can close this gap.
Millen Kanabar, Michael Gastpar
Aug 18, 2026stat.ML

Feature Priming in Online Linear Regression: Sparse-Regret Lower Bounds and Tight Coordinatewise Rates

In high-dimensional online prediction, sparse comparators motivate regret bounds that depend on sparsity rather than ambient dimension. Feature priming seeks such adaptation by reweighting features using past data and refitting a minimum-norm predictor. At COLT 2023, Warmuth and Amid posed the open problem of whether the univariate, Pearson, or multivariate priming rules admit competitive online regret guarantees. Under the natural past-only Moore--Penrose protocol, we establish sparse-regret lower bounds that refute the corresponding sparse-logarithmic guarantee. The key obstruction is cheap nuisance interpolation, which permits exact interpolation of the history while assigning insufficient weight to the truly predictive coordinate. An exact target-mass identity and a two-sign argument convert this obstruction into clipped prediction loss. Hadamard constructions yield Ω(min{T,d})Ω(\min\{T,\sqrt d\}) clipped regret for each of the three unit-power rules against a zero-loss one-sparse comparator. For every fixed power α1α\ge1, one shared paired construction further yields linear regret simultaneously for all three powered rules and selectors among them in sufficiently high dimension. A rank upper bound is tight for powered univariate priming, even with Euclidean-unit inputs, and for unit-power Pearson priming with coordinatewise bounded inputs and target-preserving totalization. A separate algebraic construction gives Ω(min{T,d1/4})Ω(\min\{T,d^{1/4}\}) regret for unit-power multivariate priming under Euclidean-unit inputs. The univariate lower bound persists under any nonnegative second-stage ridge schedule, while a paired ridge construction yields linear lower bounds for all three powered rules. Exploratory diagnostics on frozen language-model activations are consistent with the same qualitative mechanism. The exact multivariate frontier remains open.
Huibo Xu, Shi Fu, Qixin Zhang +1
Aug 12, 2026cs.LG

Chain-of-Thought Shows the Path to a Tree: Realizing Branching Complexity

Chain of Thought (CoT) lifts the expressive ceiling of bounded-depth Transformers, with characterizations tying the number of CoT steps to circuit complexity classes. What remains largely missing are concrete instantiations with explicit, depth-bounded constructions, and the traversal procedures such characterizations presuppose. We close this gap for branching complexity. We give CoT realizations of depth-first search (DFS) and of Dijkstra algorithm, the latter subsuming breadth-first search, by unique hard-attention decoders of at most two layers, and use them as a shared computational substrate: reusing the DFS decoder yields the Strahler number of an nn-vertex tree in 2n12n-1 steps with four layers, and reusing the Dijkstra decoder yields its width in n1n-1 steps with three. Since computing the Strahler number of a binary tree given as a term is \textsf{NC\textsuperscript{1}}-complete, and our constructions handle arbitrary nn-ary trees without layer normalization or positional encodings, this is a non-trivial witness for the linear-step regime of the CoT hierarchy. Exploiting the classical bijection between ordered trees and Dyck paths, itself realized by our DFS construction, which emits the path as it traverses, we give independent constructions for both measures on the path representation.
Debanjan Dutta, Anish Chakrabarty, Swagatam Das
Aug 11, 2026math.OC

A lower bound for stepsize-based acceleration of gradient descent

Recent work has shown that, for smooth convex optimization, plain gradient descent can be accelerated from its textbook convergence rate of O(T1)O(T^{-1}) (where TT denotes the number of iterations) to O(Tlog2(1+2))O\big(T^{-\log_2(1+\sqrt{2})}\big) using carefully designed stepsize schedules alone, without resorting to momentum or other algorithmic modifications. Despite this progress, however, little was known about lower bounds for such methods beyond the classical Ω(T2)Ω(T^{-2}) benchmark for general first-order methods. In this work, we present a new lower bound of Ω(T1.9319)Ω(T^{-1.9319}) for the last-iterate convergence rate of gradient descent with predetermined nonnegative stepsize schedules. This result provides rigorous evidence that stepsize schedules alone cannot accelerate plain GD to the optimal O(T2)O(T^{-2}) convergence rate. The proof was developed by GPT-5.6 Sol Pro under the authors' guidance.
Jianhao Ma, Yuxin Chen
Aug 10, 2026math.OC

A Tight Lower Bound for Smooth Nonconvex Stochastic Optimization with Bounded Gradient Noise

We prove a sharp lower bound for smooth nonconvex stochastic optimization with uniformly bounded gradient noise. In the K=1K=1 fresh-sample model, every randomized adaptive algorithm requires Ω(ΔLε2+ΔLσ2ε4)Ω\left( \frac{ΔL}{ε^2} + \frac{ΔLσ^2}{ε^4} \right) queries to find a point with expected gradient norm at most εε. This matches the standard upper bound and, to the best of our knowledge, resolves the question raised by [Arjevani et al. 2023] of whether almost-surely bounded oracle error permits a better rate than bounded variance. The proof was independently generated with GPT-5.6 Sol in Codex's Ultra mode during a two-hour session. The human author supplied the prompt and was responsible only forchecking the proof and revising and polishing the manuscript.
Jikai Jin
Aug 9, 2026cs.LG

The Cost of Adaptivity: Matching Lower Bounds Across Learning Problems

Adaptive procedures must work without nuisance information an oracle may use, such as a gradient scale or smoothness index, and robust procedures may have to answer queries whose coordinate and inspection time are chosen only after the data are seen. Such comparisons are meaningful only when the oracle advantage and validity contract are stated explicitly. We formalize nuisance adaptation via a slice-normalized minimax ratio retaining the worst-case instance within each nuisance slice, and separately define the robustness cost of expanding from one preannounced Gaussian query to arbitrary post-hoc inspection. Our main result is a finite-horizon composition law for Gaussian certification: from M independent coordinates, a familywise certifier protecting every coordinate and time up to T pays optimal normalized squared half-width of order log(eM) + log log(e^eT), within the sample-mean-centered rectangular class. Epoch stitching gives the upper bound; independent Gaussian block increments across coordinates and geometric time scales give a matching lower bound, already holding on a geometric checkpoint grid, forcing quantiles of the realized maximum width so selection and stopping taxes add. Two benchmark regimes complete the picture: unknown gradient scale in online convex optimization has constant cost, while pointwise adaptation over nested Holder classes costs order (log n / log log n)^(s1/(2s1+1)). Cast as model monitoring, the law lets an analyst inspect any of M slice metrics at any data-dependent time: the naive fixed-query band's selected coverage degrades sharply, to 0.30 at M=1 and to zero for M>=10, while the epoch-stitched certifier holds familywise coverage at an additive iterated-logarithm width cost. Experiments put both sharp predictions at risk of refutation; both survive.
Ibne Farabi Shihab, Adria Binte Habib
Aug 9, 2026cs.LG

Exact Rank and Convex Calibration Dimension Lower Bounds for the Multi-Label F1 Loss

The instance-wise F1F_1 measure is a central performance measure for multi-label classification. For a problem with ss labels, it defines a 2s×2s2^s\times 2^s loss matrix. Previous work exhibited s2+1s^2+1-coordinate affine and shifted low-rank representations and used them to construct quadratic-dimensional convex calibrated surrogates. We determine the exact rank. Under the convention F1(,)=1F_1(\varnothing,\varnothing)=1, the F1F_1 score matrix, the shifted loss matrix, and the unshifted loss matrix all have rank s2s+2s^2-s+2, while the column-affine dimension of the loss is s2s+1s^2-s+1. The proof factors the nonempty score matrix through subset-incidence matrices and a positive-definite Cauchy matrix. Exact rank does not, by itself, lower-bound the dimension of an arbitrary convex calibrated surrogate. We therefore analyze the Bayes geometry of F1F_1 directly. We construct a distribution for which precisely all supersets of a fixed core label set are Bayes optimal, and show that the corresponding active loss columns, restricted to the witness support, have affine dimension hnhn, where n=ss/3n=s-\lfloor s/3\rfloor and h=(ss/3)1/21h=\lceil(s\lfloor s/3\rfloor)^{1/2}\rceil-1. Applying the feasible-subspace lower bound for convex calibration dimension gives CCdim(LF1)(233o(1))s2.\operatorname{CCdim}(L^{F_1}) \ge \left(\frac{2}{3\sqrt{3}}-o(1)\right)s^2. Together with the quadratic upper bound, this establishes CCdim(LF1)=Θ(s2)\operatorname{CCdim}(L^{F_1})=Θ(s^2).
Mingyuan Zhang
Aug 2, 2026cs.DS

Dense Language Generation Made Simple: Deterministic, Randomized, and Multi-Order Algorithms

Language generation in the limit is a theoretical framework for studying how a generator can learn to produce new valid strings from a stream of positive examples. In this model, an adversary chooses an unknown language from a countable family and enumerates its elements in an arbitrary order, while the generator must eventually output only elements of the language that have not yet appeared in the enumeration. Reliable generation is thus formalized through two eventual guarantees: validity and novelty relative to the observed data. To further quantify the breadth of the generator's outputs, Kleinberg and Wei (FOCS 2025, STOC 2026) introduced lower density as a measure of output coverage. Given an order representing the importance or relevance of possible outputs, lower density is the asymptotic lower bound, as nn grows, on the fraction of the first nn elements of the target language that the generator outputs before they appear in the data. Kleinberg and Wei showed that 1/21/2 is the optimal lower-density guarantee for deterministic algorithms. We develop a simple and unified framework for obtaining optimal lower-density guarantees. We first give a deterministic algorithm that recovers the optimal guarantee of 1/21/2 with a significantly simpler analysis than prior work. We then demonstrate the flexibility of our framework through two extensions. First, against an oblivious adversary, randomization raises the optimal guarantee to 11/e1-1/e. Second, for any finite collection of orders, the optimal deterministic and randomized guarantees can be achieved simultaneously with respect to every order, so accommodating multiple notions of importance or relevance entails no loss in the optimal guarantee.
Ziyi Cai, Shuangping Li, Yiheng Shen +2
Aug 2, 2026cs.DS

Active Regression for Single-Index Models with Unknown Link Functions

This paper studies active regression for single-index models under general p\ell_p-loss with an unknown 11-Lipschitz link function ff, formulated as minf,xf(Ax)bpp\min_{f,x} \|f(Ax)-b\|_p^p with full access to AA but coordinate-query access to bb. Prior work established upper bounds for known link functions for all p1p\geq 1 and for unknown link functions only in the p=2p=2 case, together with lower bounds for p2p\leq 2. This work addresses the more challenging setting of unknown link functions and general p1p \geq 1. A non-adaptive sampling algorithm is presented that achieves a (1+ε)(1+ε)-approximation using O(dp/21/εp2polylog(n/ε))O(d^{p/2\vee 1}/ε^{p\vee 2}\operatorname{poly}\log(n/ε)) queries. Nearly tight lower bounds are also established for p>2p>2. These results close much of the remaining gap in active p\ell_p-regression for single-index models.
Chansophea Wathanak In, Yi Li, Wai Ming Tai +1
Aug 2, 2026cs.DB

Using Lower-Bound Representations for Trajectory Similarity Learning

Trajectory similarity learning is fundamental to efficient trajectory retrieval under complex distance measures. Existing learning-based methods typically rely on embeddings trained to approximate trajectory distances or rankings, but they often lack guarantees with respect to the original distances, exhibit unstable performance across distance measures, and incur substantial training costs. We revisit trajectory similarity learning from a lower-bound representation perspective and propose LB-TrajRep, a unified lower-bound representation framework independent of deep neural embeddings. This framework constructs single-vector representations from a set of lower-bound components, enabling admissible and interpretable lower bounds for multiple classical trajectory distances, including Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), Hausdorff distance, and Discrete Fréchet Distance (DFD). Within this framework, we instantiate point-pivot components, which naturally support both metric and non-metric distances and remain compatible with standard vector-based retrieval pipelines. To improve ranking quality, we develop two data-driven pivot selection strategies that explicitly optimize lower-bound tightness and prioritize hard near-neighbor trajectory pairs, respectively. Extensive experiments on real-world trajectory datasets show that the proposed lower-bound representations are able to consistently outperform state-of-the-art neural trajectory embeddings across diverse distance measures, improving top-kk ranking accuracy by up to 20%--60% on the Hausdorff distance and DFD and by 15%--40% on DTW.
Liwei Deng, Haotian Meng, Yupu Zhang +4
Aug 1, 2026cs.LG

Fairness Auditing: Lower Bounds on Company Manipulation

Fairness audits are increasingly mandated in high-stakes applications such as hiring, lending, and automated decision-making. Recent work has established fundamental impossibility results for black-box fairness auditing, showing that sufficiently expressive models can evade any auditing strategy. We complement these results by quantifying the extent of unavoidable post-audit manipulation under finite audit resources. We formulate fairness auditing as a min-max optimization between a computationally unbounded company and a budget-constrained auditor. We study two auditing regimes: (i) a budgeted auditor that certifies fairness using a fixed-size audit set, and (ii) a budgeted α-tolerant auditor that additionally requires the audit set to estimate the fairness of the certified model within an α approximation. For both settings, we derive explicit lower bounds on the worst-case post-audit demographic parity deviation as functions of the audit budget, group imbalance, and fairness tolerance. Finally, we empirically illustrate these theoretical limits using simple audit-set construction heuristics with linear and neural network classifiers. Our results demonstrate that increasing audit resources reduces, but does not eliminate, the scope for post-audit manipulation, highlighting fundamental limitations of finite-budget fairness certification.
Rachit Verma, Padala Manisha, Sujit Gujar
Jul 27, 2026stat.ML

Minimax Lower Bounds of Kernel Discrepancy Estimation: MMD, HSIC, KSD

Over the past 20 years, kernel discrepancies have been leveraged as a highly powerful tool for quantifying the disagreement of distributions, with numerous successful applications in two-sample, goodness-of-fit, and independence testing, among others. Their fastest estimators are known to converge at a parametric rate---n1/2n^{-1/2}---under mild conditions. While this rate is known to be minimax optimal on Rd\mathbb R^d under strict assumptions with bounded kernels, little is known about its optimality beyond the finite-dimensional Euclidean setting with unbounded kernels. In this work, we prove that the minimax lower bound of estimation of the most popular kernel discrepancies (maximum mean discrepancy, Hilbert-Schmidt independence criterion and kernel Stein discrepancy; MMD, HSIC, KSD) is n1/2n^{-1/2} on general topological spaces, and under mild assumptions on the kernel; the same rates are shown (as corollaries) to hold for the estimation of the mean embedding and the centered cross-covariance operator. Our results settle the question of optimal estimation of these kernel discrepancies.
Jose Cribeiro-Ramallo, Florian Kalinke, Zoltán Szabó
Jul 25, 2026math.CO

An Explicit Counterexample to Stanley's Rankwise Lower-Bound Conjecture for Differential Posets

In Problem 6 of his 1988 paper on differential posets, Stanley asked for the least possible cardinality of a fixed rank of an rr-differential poset and suggested that the minimum should be attained by YrY^r, the rr-fold Cartesian power of Young's lattice. We disprove the resulting universal coefficientwise lower bound. For every r3r\geq 3, we construct an infinite rr-differential poset P(r)P^{(r)} satisfying P4(r)=(Yr)4r/3\lvert P^{(r)}_4\rvert=\lvert (Y^r)_4\rvert-\lfloor r/3\rfloor. For r=3r=3, the construction replaces thirteen rank-four lower-cover blocks of Y3Y^3 by twelve blocks with the same point and pair incidence multiplicities, producing the initial rank sequence 1,3,9,22,501,3,9,22,50 instead of 1,3,9,22,511,3,9,22,51. A reflection extension then yields an infinite differential poset. The construction does not address the cases r=1r=1 and r=2r=2.
Xinan Dai, Wenhao Deng, Yingdong Shi +2
Jul 23, 2026cs.IT

Improved lower bounds for the Shannon capacity of odd cycles

The Shannon capacity Θ(G)Θ(G) of a graph GG quantifies the maximum rate at which information can be transmitted with zero error over a noisy channel. It is lower bounded by α(Gd)1/dα(G^d)^{1/d} for any dd, where α(Gd)α(G^d) is the independence number of the dd-th strong product of GG. We construct independent sets of size 134753134753 in C710C_7^{10}, 2190921909 in C116C_{11}^{6}, 6253062530 in C136C_{13}^{6}, and 80769748076974 in C158C_{15}^{8}, improving the best known lower bounds for the Shannon capacity of these graphs to Θ(C7)1347531/10>3.258020Θ(C_7)\geq 134753^{1/10}>3.258020, Θ(C11)219091/6>5.289773Θ(C_{11})\geq 21909^{1/6}>5.289773, Θ(C13)625301/6>6.300109Θ(C_{13})\geq 62530^{1/6}>6.300109, and Θ(C15)80769741/8>7.301399Θ(C_{15})\geq 8076974^{1/8}>7.301399. We also improve the best known lower bounds on the independence numbers of several individual strong products of odd cycles that do not improve the Shannon capacity lower bound. The constructions were discovered through iterative interactions with a Large Language Model (LLM), illustrating the potential of LLMs for finding explicit combinatorial constructions.
Nathaniel Itty, Christopher D. Rosin, Chase Carstensen +1
Jul 22, 2026cs.CL

Sound Probabilistic Safety Bounds for Large Language Models

We propose a novel framework for computing rigorous bounds on the probability that a large language model (LLM) generates harmful output to a given prompt. We study a new application of the Clopper-Pearson confidence intervals to obtain probably approximately correct (PAC) bounds for this problem. As our main technical contribution, we propose an algorithm that leverages features in the latent space to prioritize exploring branches in the auto-regressive generation tree that are more likely to produce harmful outputs. Our approach in particular enables the efficient computation of useful lower bounds, even in scenarios where the true harm probability is extremely small, and crucially, the obtained lower bounds are sound, i.e., formally proven to be less than the actual harmfulness probability: our experimental results demonstrate the effectiveness of our method by computing non-trivial lower bounds on state-of-the-art LLMs. This study newly enables the evaluation and statistical certification of LLMs.
Mahdi Nazeri, Anne-Kathrin Schmuck, Sadegh Soudjani +1
Jul 21, 2026stat.ML

The Price of Hidden Curvature: An Ω~(d5/4T)\widetildeΩ (d^{5/4} \sqrt{T}) Lower Bound for Bandit Convex Optimization

We establish a Ω~(d5/4T)\widetildeΩ(d^{5/4}\sqrt T) lower bound on the minimax expected regret of stochastic bandit convex optimization of 11-Lipschitz functions on the Euclidean ball. This presents the first nontrivial regret lower bound that grows faster than dTd\sqrt{T} for this problem, establishing that stochastic bandit convex optimization is fundamentally harder than linear bandits. The hard class of convex functions we construct takes the following form in dimension 2d2d: for an action a=(a1,a2)B22da = (a^1,a^2) \in \mathbb{B}^{2d}_2, each function is the scaled soft maximum of a "tube", r1Wa1r8εa22r^{-1} \| W^\star a^1 - \frac{r}{8\varepsilon} a^2 \|_2 (hyperparameterized by ε,r\varepsilon,r), and a squared distance function, 12a1u2212u22\frac12 \| a^1 - u^\star \|_2^2 - \frac12 \| u^\star \|_2^2. Here, WRd×dW^\star \in \mathbb{R}^{d \times d} is an unknown linear transformation, and uRdu^\star \in \mathbb{R}^{d} is an unknown vector which must be learned to minimize the function. Observations are informative about uu^\star only when the learner's action lies near the tube determined by WW^\star, satisfying a28εrWa1a^2 \approx \frac{8\varepsilon}{r} W^\star a^1: thus the learner must either find this tube without knowing WW^\star, or spend observations learning useful directions of WW^\star. Formally, our regret analysis exploits this tradeoff by bounding the posterior spread of Fisher information matrices obtained under an adaptive sequence of actions. Together, these ingredients give a sample complexity lower bound of Ω~(d5/2/ε2)\widetildeΩ(d^{5/2}/\varepsilon^2) to find an ε\varepsilon-optimal action, which translates to an Ω~(d5/4T)\widetildeΩ (d^{5/4} \sqrt{T}) regret lower bound. We also extend this lower bound to the unconstrained setting where the action space is Rd\mathbb{R}^d.
Nived Rajaraman
Jul 21, 2026cs.DS

Stronger Memory-Query Tradeoffs for Convex Optimization: The Limitations of Subquadratic Memory

We prove two lower bounds for the first order oracle complexity of minimizing a dd-dimensional 11-Lipschitz convex function over the unit ball with mm bits of memory. We first show that any such (possibly randomized) algorithm must make Ω~(d2m)\tildeΩ(\frac{d^2}{\sqrt{m}}) oracle queries. For deterministic optimization algorithms, we show that Ω~(min{d1.6,d8/3m2/3})\tildeΩ(\min\{d^{1.6},\frac{d^{8/3}}{m^{2/3}}\}) queries are required. For all memory regimes of interest, these improves upon the previous best known lower bounds of Ω~(max{d8/3m4/3,d4/3m1/6})\tildeΩ(\max\{\frac{d^{8/3}}{m^{4/3}},\frac{d^{4/3}}{m^{1/6}}\}) and Ω~(d5/3m1/3)\tildeΩ(\frac{d^{5/3}}{m^{1/3}}) for randomized and deterministic algorithms respectively. Notably, due to existing upper bounds, our lower bound for deterministic algorithms is the first to show a sharp oracle complexity phase transition around md2m\approx d^2, where a polylogarithmic change in memory leads to a poly(d)\mathsf{poly}(d) change in the number of required oracle calls. Further, when the suboptimality is polynomially small in dd, our lower bound randomized algorithms is the first to show that Ω~(d2)\tildeΩ(d^2) memory is necessary to nearly match the optimal query complexity among algorithms without memory constraints. Previously, such a result was only known for the regime where the suboptimality is quasipolynomially small in dd.
Michael Menart, Aleksandar Nikolov, Ohad Shamir
Jul 12, 2026cs.LG

Lower Bound on the Cumulative Constrained Violation for the OGD+Projection algorithm for Constrained Online Convex Optimization (COCO)

The problem of constrained online convex optimization is considered, where at each round, once a learner commits to an action xtXRdx_t \in \mathcal{X} \subset \mathbb{R}^d, a convex loss function ftf_t and a convex constraint function gtg_t that drives the constraint gt(x)0g_t(x)\le 0 are revealed. The objective is to simultaneously minimize the static regret and cumulative constraint violation (CCV) compared to the benchmark that knows the loss functions and constraint functions ftf_t and gtg_t for all tt ahead of time, and chooses a static optimal action that is feasible with respect to all gt(x)0g_t(x)\le 0. Currently, the best known algorithm is OGD+Projection algorithm of [Vaze and Sinha, 2025] that has simultaneous regret of O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) and CCV of O(T1/3)O(T^{1/3}) for d=2d=2 [Balasundaram et al., 2026], and simultaneous regret of O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) and CCV of O(T)O(\sqrt{T}) for any dd [Sarkar and Sinha, 2026]. In this paper, we show that the CCV of the OGD+Projection algorithm is Ω(Td12d)Ω(T^{\frac{d-1}{2d}}). This is the first such lower bound result.
Haricharan Balasundaram, Karthick Krishna Mahendran, Rahul Vaze
Jul 2, 2026cs.DS

Tight Lower Bounds for the Multi-Secretary Problem via Bellman Certificates

This paper studies additive regret in the multi-secretary problem, defined as the gap between the expected offline prophet reward and the reward of the best online policy. Prior work established O(logT)O(\log T) regret for bounded-density distributions with connected support and O((logT)2)O((\log T)^2) upper bounds for bounded-density distributions with support gaps. It was unknown whether the extra logarithmic factor is necessary even in the one-resource model. We prove that it is necessary. For a mixture of two separated uniform distributions at the critical capacity, the optimal regret grows at least on the order of (logT)2(\log T)^2. Thus the existing O((logT)2)O((\log T)^2) upper bounds for bounded-density gapped instances, including those implied by network revenue management models with continuous rewards, are tight in this simplest specialization. The same framework also yields a matching lower bound for gapped distributions whose gap-facing densities vanish near the support edges; this companion result is given in the appendix. The proofs use Bellman certificates: feasible solutions to a relaxation of the exact Bellman recursion. This framework converts lower bounds into explicit certificate constructions and identifies why support gaps permit larger regret.
Jiawei Zhang
Jun 22, 2026cs.LG

Minimax Quantile Lower Bounds for Interactive Statistical Decision Making with Privacy

Minimax risk and regret are expectation-based criteria and do not capture rare but consequential failures. To address this concern, we develop a δδ-explicit minimax-quantile theory for interactive statistical decision making (ISDM). We first provide structural relations between minimax quantiles, lower minimax quantiles, and minimax risk. This includes a quantile-to-expectation conversion and an equivalence between strict and lower minimax quantiles outside a countable set of confidence levels. We then derive two converse tools for ISDM: a high-probability interactive Fano's method and a high-probability interactive Le Cam's method. Then, we show that mutual-information (MI) privacy can be handled in the same framework by restricting the admissible decision class. For coordinatewise Gaussian privatization, we derive a two-point template that isolates the privacy-induced variance inflation. We instantiate this template for Gaussian mean estimation, and use the same two-point strategy directly for two-armed Gaussian bandits. We then derive a minimax quantile lower bound for the KK-armed Gaussian bandit problem, showing that the interactive Fano method captures the exploration cost over multiple possible best arms. The resulting lower bounds are explicit in the confidence level δδ and in the privacy budget for the private problems. They yield log(1/δ)/n\log(1/δ)/n scaling for squared-error Gaussian mean estimation, Tlog(1/δ)\sqrt{T\log(1/δ)} scaling for two-armed bounded-mean Gaussian bandits, and KTlog(1/δ)\sqrt{KT\log(1/δ)}-type scaling for the KK-armed bandits, with privacy appearing through a Gaussian variance-inflation factor for the private problems.
Raghav Bongole, Amirreza Zamani, Tobias J. Oechtering +1
Jun 16, 2026cs.LG

Sign-Rank, Index, and List Replicability: Connections and Separations

In learning theory, the sign rank of a binary concept class captures the smallest dimension in which it can be represented by points and halfspaces. Despite tremendous interest, lower bounds on sign rank are notoriously difficult to come by. Two recent approaches to the problem establish lower bounds on sign rank by measures that are easier to analyze: the Z2\mathbb{Z}_2-index and the list replicability number. We order these measures, showing that the Z2\mathbb{Z}_2-index is upper-bounded by a linear function of the list replicability number. As a main consequence, we obtain a strong separation between sign rank and Z2\mathbb{Z}_2-index, thereby resolving a question of Frick, Hosseini, and Vasileuski. This motivates a thorough study of list replicability, the stronger of the two lower-bounding measures. We establish upper bounds on the list replicability number by two combinatorial measures: height and minimum star number. We also prove a fundamental composition result, showing that the product of two concept classes has list replicability number bounded by the sum of the list replicability numbers of the two classes.
Ari Blondal, Hamed Hatami, Pooya Hatami +2
Jun 5, 2026cs.AI

Bridging Multi-Valued Heuristics and Dimensionality Reduction in Multi-Objective Search

Multi-objective shortest-path (MOSP) algorithms traditionally rely on single-valued heuristics (SVHs), which associate each state with a single admissible cost vector. While SVHs provide safe lower bounds, they fail to capture the trade-off structure of the Pareto frontier and often yield weak search guidance. Multi-valued heuristics (MVHs) address this limitation by mapping states to sets of cost estimates, enabling a richer approximation of possible trade-offs. Modern MOSP algorithms are highly dependent on dimensionality reduction (DR) techniques to efficiently perform dominance checks. However, integrating MVHs with DR introduces subtle correctness challenges. We show that naively combining DR with MVHs destroys the ordering invariants required for DR, leading to unsound and incomplete search. To address this issue, we develop the first theoretical frameworks for safely integrating MVHs with DR. First, we introduce NAMOAdr-mvh\text{NAMOA}^*{\text{dr}\text{-}\text{mvh}}, a theoretical baseline that restores search correctness by enforcing heuristic consistency. Recognizing the practical limitations of this approach, we then introduce our primary contribution, L-NAMOAdr-mvh\text{L}\text{-}\text{NAMOA}^*{\text{dr}\text{-}\text{mvh}}. This algorithm employs a "lazy," optimistic approach to DR, preserving exact correctness with only an admissible MVH by dynamically detecting and repairing local ordering violations. Across a range of benchmarks, L-NAMOAdr-mvh\text{L}\text{-}\text{NAMOA}^*{\text{dr}\text{-}\text{mvh}} matches or improves over state-of-the-art MOSP algorithms, and achieves speedups of over 10x in instances where the additional guidance provided by the MVH translates into stronger pruning.
Maya Wolff, Ariel Felner, Oren Salzman
Jun 3, 2026cs.LG

Sharp First-Order Lower Bounds for Higher-Order Smooth Nonconvex Optimization

We study the deterministic first-order oracle complexity of finding εε-stationary points in smooth nonconvex optimization when the objective satisfies higher-order smoothness assumptions. While the classical ε2ε^{-2} rate is optimal under only Lipschitz gradients, higher-order smoothness leads to accelerated first-order upper bounds, most notably the ε7/4ε^{-7/4} rate under Lipschitz Hessians and the ε5/3ε^{-5/3} rate under Lipschitz third derivatives. The matching lower bounds, however, have remained open. We resolve this gap by proving a new dimension-free first-order lower bound for higher-order smooth nonconvex functions, valid for every finite smoothness order. In particular, our construction gives a matching Ω(ε7/4)Ω(ε^{-7/4}) lower bound in the Hessian-Lipschitz case and a matching Ω(ε5/3)Ω(ε^{-5/3}) lower bound in the third-order-smooth regime. The hard instance is based on a \emph{block-chain} mechanism that enforces blockwise oracle revelation while preserving the smoothness structure needed for the scalar hard instance. The lower-bound construction was discovered with the assistance of ChatGPT 5.5 Pro and subsequently verified by the authors.
Dongruo Zhou
Jun 1, 2026cs.RO

Direct Informed Sampling on Riemannian Manifolds via Loewner Order Lower Bounds

Informed sampling techniques accelerate sampling-based motion planners by focusing the search on promising regions of the state space, yet most existing methods rely on Euclidean heuristics that become inadmissible under configuration-dependent Riemannian metrics. While scalar eigenvalue bounds restore admissibility by uniformly scaling the Euclidean distance, they discard the directional structure of the metric, producing overly conservative informed sets. We propose a matrix-valued admissible heuristic that exploits the Loewner order on symmetric positive definite matrices to compute the tightest constant lower bound on the metric tensor while preserving its full directional structure. The Cholesky factorization of this bound defines a linear map to an isotropic Euclidean space in which the Riemannian informed set reduces to a standard prolate hyperspheroid, enabling direct, rejection-free sampling using existing algorithms. Experiments on manipulation tasks with a 6-DoF UR5, 7-DoF Franka, and 14-DoF PR2 under three distinct Riemannian metrics show that our heuristic produces consistently tighter informed sets than both the Euclidean and scalar eigenvalue bounds, accelerating convergence across multiple state-of-the-art asymptotically optimal planners.
Phone Thiha Kyaw, Jonathan Kelly
May 29, 2026cs.LG

Auditing Near-Optimal Policies Can Be Exponentially Hard: Conditional Query Lower Bounds via Occupancy Rashomon Capacity

When many reinforcement-learning policies achieve near-optimal return, a post-hoc auditor may have to distinguish among many behaviorally distinct but return-equivalent policies. We formalize this phenomenon through an occupancy-measure analogue of Rashomon capacity: the metric entropy of the near-optimal occupancy region, computed relative to an audited deployment class. Because occupancy measures identify behavior only up to occupancy equivalence, we formulate auditing at the occupancy-class level and distinguish exact local-query oracles from noisy sample-query oracles. Our main exact-query result is conditional: if the audited class contains a 2/H2/H-separated near-optimal packing whose local signatures are bb-sparse, then exact local-query auditing requires Ω(M/b)Ω(M/b) queries; when the packing realizes deployment-class capacity and b=O(1)b=O(1), this becomes Ω(2\Hopt\cF(\eps))Ω(2^{\Hopt^\cF(\eps)}). We give a finite discounted hidden-branch MDP attaining this bound and show the exact Bayes success law. For noisy hidden-trigger testing, we prove a mixture lower bound of order M/βM/β, where ββ is the per-sample KL signal, yielding Ω(2\Hopt\cF(\eps)/(ρ2Δ2))Ω(2^{\Hopt^\cF(\eps)}/(ρ^2Δ^2)) for capacity-order packings with β=O(ρ2Δ2)β=O(ρ^2Δ^2). We also provide a static target-recognition information lower bound, a transcript-compatible oracle-cover verification upper bound, and a canonical occupancy regularizer whose regularized audited capacity collapses when a trusted reference occupancy is available. Controlled benchmarks distinguish positive sparse-signature instances from high-capacity negative controls where exact auditing is easy, and map the noisy-trigger law to post-processed continuous-control and visual-RL auditing regimes.
Ibne Farabi Shihab, Sanjeda Akter, Anuj Sharma
May 28, 2026cs.LG

GDSD: Reinforcement Learning as Guided Denoiser Self-Distillation for Diffusion Language Models

Reinforcement learning (RL) can be used to improve the policy (denoiser) of diffusion large language models (dLLMs), while being hindered by the intractability of the policy likelihood. A dominant and efficient family of methods replaces the likelihood in standard RL with its evidence lower bound (ELBO), estimated from randomly masked sequences. Despite being well aligned with pre-training, these approaches introduce bias through training--inference mismatch by using the ELBO as a likelihood surrogate, which can degrade performance. In this work, we propose Guided Denoiser Self-Distillation (GDSD) to directly distill the denoiser of dLLMs from an advantage-guided self-teacher, derived from the closed-form optimum of reverse-KL regularized RL. GDSD matches the dLLM's denoiser logits to the teacher's via a normalization-free objective, which reduces RL to likelihood-free self-distillation and thus bypasses the TIM biases. Recent ELBO-based methods emerge as instances of applying different distillation divergences, but with diagnosable pathologies that GDSD avoids. On planning, math, and coding benchmarks with LLaDA-8B and Dream-7B, GDSD consistently outperforms prior state-of-the-art ELBO-based methods with a more stable training reward dynamics, achieving test-accuracy improvements of up to +19.6%+19.6\%. These results suggest that direct denoiser self-distillation, without relying on an ELBO likelihood surrogate, can provide a more stable and effective RL procedure for dLLMs. Code is available at https://github.com/GaryBall/GDSD.
Xiaohang Tang, Keyue Jiang, Che Liu +4
May 26, 2026stat.ML

Iterative Causal Discovery: Per-Edge Impossibility Certificates, Tier-Aware Oracle Queries, and the 1+K1+K Lower Bound

Causal-discovery algorithms return a directed graph, yet provide no principled means of distinguishing edge directions identified by the data from those assigned without an identifying assumption. Under the standard Markov and faithfulness conditions, the observational distribution identifies only a Markov equivalence class; orientations within that class are not determined by the joint distribution and cannot be recovered from additional samples alone, but require either a functional restriction or an intervention. We introduce a protocol for observational causal discovery on continuous data that attaches to each candidate edge a discrete impossibility certificate: a RESOLVED code records the identifiability theorem under which the direction was committed, while an IMPOSSIBLE code records the failure mode together with the specific question a domain expert must answer to resolve it. The bivariate cascade is extended with five gated identifiability tiers LSNM, IGCI, Stein, MDL, and PEIT that abstain when their precondition test rejects. Two oracle primitives, the meta-hub query and the node-children query, jointly establish an upper bound of 1+K1+K expert interactions sufficient to recover any DAG, where KK denotes the number of non-leaf vertices. Under an ideal-oracle assumption, the bound is met exactly on the asia, sachs, child, and alarm benchmarks.
Eichi Uehara
May 26, 2026cs.LG

Variational Inference for Evidential Deep Learning

While Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) achieve remarkable performance, their tendency to produce overconfident predictions. Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) mitigates this by formulating predictions as a Dirichlet distribution over class probabilities to explicitly quantify epistemic uncertainty. However, we found that the conventional EDL suffers from two fundamental limitations: a Kullback-Leibler (KL) penalty that only suppresses the evidence of negative classes, producing excessively high evidence therefore decreasing the model's ability to quantify uncertainty, and an absence in theoretical guarantee of setting Dirichlet parameter α=e+1α=e+1. In this paper, we propose a mathematically principled framework, Variational Inference Evidential Deep Learning (VI-EDL). By reformulating evidential learning through the lens of variational inference, we derive an Evidence Lower Bound (ELBO), which prevents the evidence from growing excessively. Theoretically, we rigorously establish a generalization bound and reveal how the predicted uncertainty, feature and network complexity affect this bound, and why setting α=e+1\boldsymbolα = \mathbf{e} + \mathbf{1} can minimize it. Extensive experiments on standard visual and medical datasets demonstrate that VI-EDL achieves state-of-the-art performance, showing excellent performance in out-of-distribution detection, noise detection and autonomous driving scenario. The code is available in https://github.com/seutjw/VI-EDL.
Jiawei Tang, Xinyan Du, Hui Liu +2
May 20, 2026math.AP

Lower Bounds for Advection-Diffusion Equations: An Exploration with AI-Generated Proofs

We establish explicit lower bounds for advection-diffusion equations in three settings: a polynomial H˙1\dot H^{-1} bound for inviscid shears with uLtWy1,1u\in L^\infty_t W^{1,1}_y, a uniform positive lower bound on the mixing scale for diffusive shears, and an exponential L2L^2 bound for rapidly oscillating time-periodic flows. All constants are explicit in the data. The proofs were generated entirely by a multi-agent math proving system, QED, without expert human intervention, serving as a test of AI's capability to produce rigorous mathematics.
Chenyang An, Xiaoqian Xu
May 19, 2026cs.LG

A Van Trees Lower Bound for Fully Interactive Differentially Private Federated Learning

Federated differentially private protocols can communicate over many adaptive rounds and reuse each client's local samples. Existing lower bound arguments for federated DP are often restricted to noninteractive protocols or fresh batch decompositions, so the fundamental information-theoretic limit of estimation under fully interactive protocols remains unknown. We establish a federated van Trees inequality for parameter estimation under squared \ell_2 loss from any complete public transcript satisfying a clientwise zCDP constraint at the sample level. A scalar trace form covers homogeneous experiments, while a matrix form preserves directional Fisher geometry in heterogeneous experiments where different clients are informative in different subspaces. Together with existing upper bounds for the corresponding problems, these results identify the minimax rates for various statistical problems including mean estimation, linear regression, nonparametric regression, and functional mean estimation over the full class of interactive public-transcript protocols. For these problems, arbitrary public interaction and repeated sample reuse do not improve the rate over simpler restricted protocols. The key technical ingredient in our paper is a contraction inequality for the Fisher information in the transcript: each client's contribution is bounded both by the Fisher information in its local experiment and by its total privacy budget.
T. Tony Cai, Yicheng Li
May 16, 2026stat.ML

Multi-task Linear Regression without Eigenvalue Lower Bounds: Adaptivity, Robustness, and Safety

We study the multi-task linear regression problem in the presence of contaminated tasks. We address the setting where the unknown parameters of a majority of tasks are close in the 2\ell_2-norm, while a fraction of tasks are arbitrary outliers. Existing theoretical frameworks for this problem rely heavily on the assumption that the empirical second moment of each task has a minimum eigenvalue bounded away from zero (order Ω(1)Ω(1)). Crucially, this assumption fails in many high-dimensional scenarios, rendering prior guarantees vacuous. To overcome this limitation, we propose an estimator based on matrix-weighted norm regularization. We also introduce a relative balancedness condition, quantified by a balancedness constant, that compares each task's second moment with the average inlier geometry and relaxes the need for taskwise second-moment lower bounds. In favorable regimes with moderate balancedness, our prediction MSE bounds match the rate of Duan and Wang (2023) under substantially weaker spectral assumptions; the resulting task-overall MSE is minimax optimal up to logarithmic factors. Furthermore, we demonstrate that our estimator enjoys a safety guarantee: when the relevant balancedness constant is large or infinite, or when tasks are unrelated, the method performs no worse than independent task learning.
Seok-Jin Kim
May 15, 2026cs.AI

Petri Net Induced Heuristic Search for Resource Constrained Scheduling

We formulate the Resource-Constrained Project Scheduling Problem (RCPSP) as optimal search over the reachability graph of a Timed Transition Petri Net with Resources, using relative-delay tokens so that scheduling decisions correspond to transition firings in the induced state space. We solve the resulting problem with AA^* guided by a heuristic that combines Critical Path and resource-based lower bounds, and prove that it is consistent under our token-based time semantics. Experiments on the PSPLIB benchmarks show that the approach outperforms strong exact Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MIP) baselines (SCIP, CBC) in both success rate and solve time. Per-instance analysis shows that heuristic search and MIP degrade along independent axes, resource tightness for AA^* and formulation size for MIP, with resource strength mediating which solver benefits from scale.
Ido Lublin, Dor Atzmon, Izack Cohen
May 12, 2026cs.LG

Autoregressive Learning in Joint KL: Sharp Oracle Bounds and Lower Bounds

We study the fundamental and timely problem of learning long sequences in autoregressive modeling and next-token prediction under model misspecification, measured by the joint Kullback--Leibler (KL) divergence. Our goal is to characterize how the sequence horizon HH affects both approximation and estimation errors in this joint-distribution, sequence-level regime. By establishing matching upper and lower bounds, we provide, to our knowledge, the first complete characterization of long-horizon error behavior under the natural joint KL objective, with improved rates and optimality justification relative to existing work. On the approximation side, we show that joint KL admits a horizon-free approximation factor, in sharp contrast to Hellinger-based analyses that exhibit an Ω(H)Ω(H) dependence for computationally efficient methods; this isolates the choice of divergence as the source of approximation amplification. On the estimation side, we prove a fundamental information-theoretic lower bound of order Ω(H)Ω(H) that holds for both decomposable policy classes and fully shared policies, matching the O~(H)\widetilde O(H) upper bounds achieved by computationally efficient algorithms. Our analysis clarifies the landscape of recent autoregressive learning results by aligning the log-loss training objective, the sequence-level evaluation metric, and the approximation metric {\color{black}through a sharp joint-KL oracle theory}. We further show that these joint-KL guarantees imply policy learning regret bounds at rates matching prior imitation learning literature.
Yunbei Xu, Yuzhe Yuan, Ruohan Zhan
May 12, 2026cs.LG

Lower bounds for one-layer transformers that compute parity

This note shows that no self-attention layer post-processed by a rational function can sign-represent the parity function unless the product of the number of heads and the degree of the post-processing function grows linearly with the input length. Combining this lower bound with rational approximation of ReLU networks yields a margin-dependent extension for self-attention layers post-processed by ReLU networks.
Daniel Hsu
May 8, 2026cs.LG

Direct Bethe Free Energy Minimization for Bayesian Neural Networks

Bayesian neural networks are typically trained against the evidence lower bound (ELBO), whose Jensen gap closes only when the variational posterior is exact. We instead train by local consistency: gradient descent on the Bethe free energy, driving the belief at every factor toward agreement with its neighbours rather than placing a loss on the output. The resulting objective scores each observation by its own predictive density: a strictly proper rule whose optimum is the true conditional, for any likelihood with a tractable predictive convolution. Instantiated with a Gaussian last layer over a deterministic backbone, exact inference appears as one known corner: the neural-linear marginal likelihood. That corner is evidence-optimal; the shared-cavity, free-routed interior is predictive-optimal, improving NLL and calibration over it. This instance, SCROLL (Shared-Cavity fRee-rOuting Last-Layer), is a single-pass Bayesian neural network: batchable, any-likelihood, and implicitly empirical-Bayes-prior precision, observation noise, covariance, and backbone fit in one gradient pass. Prior work enters the interior only through the ELBO and its Jensen gap, even in this conjugate setting. At a single training run and forward pass per architecture-where the validation-tuned conventional references cross-validate λλ and ensembles pay 55-50×50\times at inference-a fixed SCROLL variant is best-or-tied on NLL and calibration on 7/8 UCI regression benchmarks, and best on 4/5 across three large tabular datasets (up to 515k examples) and two frozen text/vision embeddings.
Pavel Prochazka
May 8, 2026cs.LG

Embedding Dimension Lower Bounds for Universality of Deep Sets and Janossy Pooling

In many practical applications it is important to build symmetries into neural network architectures. Consider the important case of permutation symmetry on point clouds consisting of nn points in dd dimensions. In this case the network learns a function on a set of nn points in Rd\mathbb{R}^d, and a natural paradigm for constructing invariant networks is Janossy pooling, which generalizes the popular Deep Sets architecture. We study the universality of this approach, in particular the important question of how large the embedding dimension must be to guarantee universality of this architecture. Specifically, using a novel technique, we prove new lower bounds on the required size of this embedding dimension. For Deep Sets, this gives the correct minimal dimension up to a constant factor for all d>1d > 1. For kk-ary Janossy pooling, we prove the first non-trivial lower bound on the required embedding dimension when k>1k > 1.
Ali Syed, Aditya Nambiar, Jonathan W. Siegel
May 8, 2026cs.LG

Approximation Error Upper and Lower Bounds for Hölder Class with Transformers

We explore the expressive power of Transformers by establishing precise approximation error upper and lower bounds for Hölder class. Specifically, a new approximation upper bound is derived for the standard Transformer architecture equipped with Softmax operators, ReLU activation functions, and residual connections. We prove that a Transformer network composed of at most O(εd0/α)\mathcal{O}(\varepsilon^{-{d_{0}}/α}) blocks can approximate any bounded Hölder function with d0d_{0}-dimensional input and smoothness α(0,1]α\in(0,1] under any accuracy ε>0\varepsilon>0. In the case of approximation lower bounds, leveraging the VC-dimension upper bound, we are the first to rigorously prove that Transformers demand for at least Ω(εd0/(4α))Ω(\varepsilon^{-{d_{0}}/({4α})}) blocks to achieve the ε\varepsilon approximation accuracy. As a final step, we extend the derived results for standard Transformers to a general regression task and establish the corresponding excess risk rates demonstrating Transformers' empirical effectiveness in real-world settings.
Xin He, Yuling Jiao, Xiliang Lu +1
May 7, 2026cs.LG

When and Why SignSGD Outperforms SGD: A Theoretical Study Based on 1\ell_1-norm Lower Bounds

Sign-based optimization algorithms, such as SignSGD and Muon, have garnered significant attention for their remarkable performance in training large foundation models. Despite this empirical success, we still lack a theoretical understanding of when and why these sign-based methods outperform vanilla SGD. The core obstacle is that under standard smoothness and finite variance conditions, SGD is known to be minimax optimal for finding stationary points measured by 2\ell_2-norms, thereby fundamentally precluding any complexity gains for sign-based methods in standard settings. To overcome this barrier, we analyze sign-based optimizers leveraging 1\ell_1-norm stationarity, \ell_\infty-smoothness, and a separable noise model, which can better capture the coordinate-wise nature of signed updates. Under this distinct problem geometry, we derive matched upper and lower bounds for SignSGD and explicitly characterize the problem class in which SignSGD provably dominates SGD. Specifically, we compare the \emph{upper bound of SignSGD} with the \emph{lower bound of SGD}, illustrating that SignSGD effectively reduces the complexity by a factor of dd under \emph{sparse noise}, where dd is the problem dimension. Furthermore, we elevate this framework to the matrix domain, providing an equivalent optimal lower bound for the Muon optimizer, proving that extending the sign operator to matrices preserves this optimal scaling with dimensionality. Finally, we bridge our theoretical bounds to practice, demonstrating that the theoretical superiority of SignSGD accurately predicts its faster convergence during the pretraining of a 124M parameter GPT-2 model.
Hongyi Tao, Dingzhi Yu, Lijun Zhang
May 7, 2026cs.LG

Trade-off Functions for DP-SGD with Subsampling based on Random Shuffling: Tight Upper and Lower Bounds

We derive a tight analysis of the trade-off function for Differentially Private Stochastic Gradient Descent (DP-SGD) with subsampling based on random shuffling within the ff-DP framework. Our analysis covers the regime σ3/lnMσ\geq \sqrt{3/\ln M}, where σσ is the noise multiplier and MM is the number of rounds within a single epoch. Unlike ff-DP analyses for Poisson subsampling, which yield non-closed implicit formulas that can be machine computed but are non-transparent, random shuffling admits a tight analysis yielding transparent and interpretable closed-form bounds. Our concrete bounds, derived via the Berry-Esseen theorem, are tight up to constant factors within the proof framework. We demonstrate worked parameter settings for a single epoch (E=1E=1) with a corresponding trade-off function 1aδ\geq 1-a-δ, that is, only δδ below the ideal random guessing diagonal 1a1-a: For δ=1/100δ= 1/100 and σ=1σ= 1, roughly M1.14×106M \approx 1.14\times 10^6 rounds and N1.14×107N \approx 1.14\times 10^7 training samples suffice to achieve meaningful differential privacy. This is in contrast to recent negative results for the regime σ1/2lnMσ\leq 1/\sqrt{2 \ln M}. Our concrete bounds can be composed over multiple epochs leading to δδ having a linear in EE dependency, which restricts E=O(M)E=O(\sqrt{M}). To go beyond Berry--Esseen, we introduce a new proof technique based on a generalization of the law of large numbers that yields an asymptotic random guessing diagonal-limit result: if E=cM2ME=c_M^2M with cM0c_M\to 0, then the EE-fold composed trade-off function satisfies fE(a)1af^{\otimes E}(a)\to 1-a uniformly in a[0,1]a\in[0,1] with δδ having only an O(E)O(\sqrt{E}) dependency. We compare this asymptotic regime with the corresponding Poisson subsampling asymptotic, and highlight the characterization of explicit convergence rates as an open question.
Marten van Dijk, Murat Bilgehan Ertan
May 3, 2026cs.LG

How Label Imbalance Shapes Geometry: A General Spectral Analysis of Multi-Label Neural Collapse

This work investigates the phenomenon of Neural Collapse (NC) in multi-label classification, extending its conceptual framework from multi-class learning to general correlated and imbalanced multi-label settings. Although recent studies have identified a ''tag-wise averaging'' structure for multi-label features, this view relies on implicit assumptions of label balance and combinatorial symmetry. Consequently, it fails to account for the geometrical distortions caused by intrinsic label correlations and data imbalance, which are common in practice. We resolve the multiplicity-one imbalance conjecture raised by Li et al. (2024), showing that higher-multiplicity prototypes obey a class-frequency-weighted synthesis rule rather than uniform averaging. To address this, we propose a rigorous spectral-control framework to analyze the terminal phase of multi-label learning under general imbalanced conditions. We introduce the label covariance spectrum κmκ_m, a scalar controlling the distribution-dependent lower-bound geometry, derived from the second-order moment matrix of the label distribution. Contrary to the averaging perspective, our analysis reveals that the centered label covariance spectrum controls the stability of terminal geometry by quantifying the weakest centered inter-class contrast directions. We prove that the classical Tag-wise Averaging emerges only as a special case under perfect orthogonality. Numerical experiments on synthetic distributions validate our theoretical bounds. This work resolves the scaled-average aspect of the imbalance conjecture and establishes a unifying theoretical framework that extends Neural Collapse to complex, imbalanced multi-label settings.
Xiaoxuan Ma, Yixuan Yang, Song Li +1
Apr 28, 2026stat.ML

Occam's Razor is Only as Sharp as Your ELBO

The marginal likelihood, also known as the evidence, is regarded as a mathematical embodiment of Occam's razor, enabling model selection that avoids overfitting. The evidence lower bound (ELBO) objective from variational inference has also been used for similar purposes. Prior work has shown that restricting the approximate posterior family via a mean-field approximation can lead the ELBO to underfit. In this paper, we show how ELBO-based hyperparameter learning in a simple over-parameterized regression model can also produce overfitting, depending on the assumed rank of the covariance matrix in a Gaussian approximate posterior. Surprisingly, among only the underfit and overfit options, Bayesian model selection via the evidence itself sometimes prefers the overfit version, while the ELBO does not. Bayesian practitioners hoping to scale to large models should be cautious about how reduced-rank assumptions needed for tractability may impact the potential for model selection.
Ethan Harvey, Michael C. Hughes
Apr 24, 2026cs.CC

How Hard Is Continuous Clustering? Lower Bounds from the Existential Theory of the Reals

This paper studies the computational difficulty of clustering problems that are defined directly on a continuous probability density. Rather than working with finite samples, we assume the density is given as a polynomial and ask whether it contains certain cluster structures. Four natural questions are examined. First, do there exist several points with high density that are far apart from each other. Second, do two high density points have a midpoint with low density, creating a valley between them. Third, does the region where the density is above a threshold have at least a given number of separate connected pieces. Fourth, does that same region contain a hole, meaning a loop that cannot be shrunk to a point. We prove that the first two problems, separated points and valley detection, are exactly as hard as the existential theory of the reals, a complexity class that contains NP and is believed to be strictly larger. In contrast, the topological problems of counting connected pieces and detecting holes are at least as hard as the existential theory of the reals, but their exact complexity remains open. Placing them inside that class would need a major advance in real algebraic geometry. These results give the first rigorous classification of exact continuous clustering inside the real polynomial hierarchy. They also show that even basic clustering criteria are not NP complete unless unexpected collapses occur.
Angshul Majumdar
Apr 17, 2026cs.LG

Lower Bounds and Proximally Anchored SGD for Non-Convex Minimization Under Unbounded Variance

Analysis of Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) and its variants typically relies on the assumption of uniformly bounded variance, a condition that frequently fails in practical non-convex settings, such as neural network training, as well as in several elementary optimization settings. While several relaxations are explored in the literature, the Blum-Gladyshev (BG-0) condition, which permits the variance to grow quadratically with distance has recently been shown to be the weakest condition. However, the study of the oracle complexity of stochastic first-order non-convex optimization under BG-0 has remained underexplored. In this paper, we address this gap and establish information-theoretic lower bounds, proving that finding an εε-stationary point requires Ω(ε6)Ω(ε^{-6}) stochastic BG-0 oracle queries for smooth functions and Ω(ε4)Ω(ε^{-4}) queries under mean-square smoothness. These limits demonstrate an unavoidable degradation from classical bounded-variance complexities, i.e., Ω(ε4)Ω(ε^{-4}) and Ω(ε3)Ω(ε^{-3}) for smooth and mean-square smooth cases, respectively. To match these lower bounds, we consider Proximally Anchored STochastic Approximation (PASTA), a unified algorithmic framework that couples Halpern anchoring with Tikhonov regularization to dynamically mitigate the extra variance explosion term permitted by the BG-0 oracle. We prove that PASTA achieves minimax optimal complexities across numerous non-convex regimes, including standard smooth, mean-square smooth, weakly convex, star-convex, and Polyak-Lojasiewicz functions, entirely under an unbounded domain and unbounded stochastic gradients.
Arda Fazla, Ege C. Kaya, Antesh Upadhyay +1
Apr 16, 2026cs.DS

Tight Bounds for Learning Polyhedra with a Margin

We give an algorithm for PAC learning intersections of kk halfspaces with a ρρ margin to within error ε\varepsilon that runs in time poly(k,ε1,ρ1)exp(O(nlog(1/ρ)logk))\textsf{poly}(k, \varepsilon^{-1}, ρ^{-1}) \cdot \exp \left(O(\sqrt{n \log(1/ρ) \log k})\right). Notably, this improves on prior work which had an exponential dependence on either kk or ρ1ρ^{-1} and matches known cryptographic and Statistical Query lower bounds up to the logarithmic factors in kk and ρρ in the exponent. Our learning algorithm extends to the more general setting when we are only promised that most points have distance at least ρρ from the boundary of the polyhedron, making it applicable to continuous distributions as well.
Shyamal Patel, Santosh Vempala
Apr 14, 2026cs.LG

A Residual-Shell-Based Lower Bound for Ollivier-Ricci Curvature

Ollivier-Ricci curvature (ORC), defined via the Wasserstein distance that captures rich geometric information, has received growing attention in both theory and applications. However, the high computational cost of Wasserstein distance evaluation has significantly limited the broader practical use of ORC. To alleviate this issue, previous work introduced a computationally efficient lower bound as a proxy for ORC based on 1-hop random walks, but this approach empirically exhibits large gaps from the exact ORC. In this paper, we establish a substantially tighter lower bound for ORC than the existing lower bound, while retaining much lower computational cost than exact ORC computation, with practical speedups of tens of times. Moreover, our bound is not restricted to 1-hop random walks, but also applies to k-hop random walks (k > 1). Experiments on several fundamental graph structures demonstrate the effectiveness of our bound in terms of both approximation accuracy and computational efficiency.
Xiang Gu, Huichun Zhang, Jian Sun
Feb 6, 2026cs.AI

Improved Upper Bounds for Slicing the Hypercube

A collection of hyperplanes H\mathcal{H} slices all edges of the nn-dimensional hypercube QnQ_n with vertex set {1,1}n\{-1,1\}^n if, for every edge ee in the hypercube, there exists a hyperplane in H\mathcal{H} intersecting ee in its interior. Let S(n)S(n) be the minimum number of hyperplanes needed to slice QnQ_n. We prove that S(n)4n5S(n) \leq \lceil \frac{4n}{5} \rceil, except when nn is an odd multiple of 55, in which case S(n)4n5+1S(n) \leq \frac{4n}{5} +1. This improves upon the previously known upper bound of S(n)5n6S(n) \leq \lceil\frac{5n}{6} \rceil due to Paterson reported in 1971. We also obtain new lower bounds on the maximum number of edges in QnQ_n that can be sliced using k<nk<n hyperplanes. We prove the improved upper bound on S(n)S(n) by constructing 88 hyperplanes slicing Q10Q_{10} aided by the recently introduced CPro1: an automatic tool that uses reasoning LLMs coupled with automated hyperparameter tuning to create search algorithms for the discovery of mathematical constructions.
Duncan Soiffer, Nathaniel Itty, Christopher D. Rosin +5
Nov 27, 2025math.OC

On the Condition Number Dependency in Bilevel Optimization

Bilevel optimization minimizes an objective function, defined by an upper-level problem whose feasible region is the solution of a lower-level problem. We study the oracle complexity of finding an εε-stationary point with first-order methods when the upper-level problem is nonconvex, and the lower-level problem is strongly convex. Recent works (Ji et al., ICML 2021; Arbel and Mairal, ICLR 2022; Chen et al., JMLR 2025) achieve a O~(κˉy4ε2)\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\bar κ_y^4 ε^{-2}) upper bound that is near-optimal in εε, which can be reduced to O~(κˉy7/2ε2)\tilde{\mathcal{O}}(\bar κ_y^{7/2} ε^{-2}) by a naive application of Nesterov acceleration in the inner loop, where κˉy\bar κ_y is the global condition number. However, the optimal dependency on the condition number is unknown. In this work, we establish a new Ω(κy5/2ε2)Ω(κ_y^{5/2} ε^{-2}) lower bound, where κy<κˉyκ_y < \bar κ_y is the lower-level condition number that is of the same order as κˉy\bar κ_y when the smoothness constants are O(1)\mathcal{O}(1). Our lower bound establishes the first provable gap in terms of condition number dependency between bilevel problems and minimax problems in this setup. Our lower bounds can be extended to various settings, including high-order smooth functions, stochastic oracles, and convex hyper-objectives: (1) For second-order and arbitrarily smooth problems, we show lower bounds of Ω(κy31/14ε12/7)Ω({κ_y^{31/14}} ε^{-12/7}) and Ω(κy21/10ε8/5)Ω(κ_y^{21/10} ε^{-8/5}), respectively. (2) For convex-strongly-convex problems, we improve the previously best lower bound (Ji and Liang, JMLR 2022) from Ω(κy/ε)Ω(κ_y /\sqrtε) to Ω(κy3/2/ε)Ω(κ_y^{3/2} / \sqrtε). (3) For smooth stochastic problems, we also show a lower bound of Ω(κy4ε4)Ω(κ_y^4 ε^{-4}).
Lesi Chen, Jingzhao Zhang
Oct 5, 2025math.NA

Configuration-Dependent Lower Bounds for Approximation by Shallow ReLUk^k Networks on the Sphere

We establish two related but logically distinct results for shallow ReLUk^k neural networks on the unit sphere \SSd\SS^d. First, for an arbitrary set of inner neural-network parameters, the best L2(\SSd)\mathcal{L}^2(\SS^d) approximation of a fixed target function with smoothness r>d+2k+12r>\tfrac{d+2k+1}{2} admits an asymptotic lower bound given by a constant multiple of n1/2hk+1/2n^{-1/2}\underline{h}^{k+1/2}, where h\underline{h} denotes the antipodal separation distance of the normalized inner-parameter set. This lower bound depends explicitly on the parameter configuration through h\underline{h} and applies without additional assumptions on the parameters. Second, for antipodally quasi-uniform parameters, hn1/d\underline{h}\simeq n^{-1/d}, and the lower bound establishes the exact saturation order nd+2k+12dn^{-\frac{d+2k+1}{2d}} for such parameter families: a target function with regularity greater than d+2k+12\frac{d+2k+1}{2} and satisfying the required parity condition can be approximated at this rate, whereas approximation at any strictly faster rate forces the target function to be zero. Our results therefore place linearized neural-network approximation within the classical saturation framework and show that, although ReLUk^k network spaces can outperform finite elements of the same degree, this advantage is intrinsically limited.
Tong Mao, Jinchao Xu