Power Systems

Momentum

20 papers in the last four weeks, up 122% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.

Jul 13Week of Sep 28

Latest papers 149

Jul 9, 2026cs.AI

SolarChain-Eval: A Physics-Constrained Benchmark for Trustworthy Economic Agents in Decentralized Energy Markets

As agentic AI systems are increasingly applied to cyber-physical environments, their evaluation requires assessment of both task performance and trustworthiness. In decentralized energy markets, autonomous agents may improve market utility, but may also exploit invalid physical data, create artificial liquidity, and produce unstable governance decisions. Therefore, we propose SolarChain-Eval, a physics-constrained benchmark for evaluating trustworthy economic agents. It formulates market governance as a Gymnasium-compatible Markov Decision Process, where agents make hourly decisions. SolarChain-Eval evaluates each policy across multiple dimensions, including market utility, physical safety, slippage, action smoothness, spatial fairness, and auditability. To support agentic evaluation, SolarChain-Eval incorporates an LLM-based Planner/Auditor layer. The Planner defines episode-level action bounds and audit rules, while the Auditor reviews and revises high-risk actions. All interventions are recorded through structured logs, including trigger signals, proposed actions, revised actions, and audit rationales. Experiments with static, random, myopic, RL, and RL+LLM policies reveal a clear utility-safety trade-off. RL agents improve market utility but can still produce unsafe behavior. When the physics penalty is removed, reward-maximizing agents exploit invalid generation and increase artificial liquidity. The LLM Planner/Auditor improves auditability and mitigates selected risks, but it cannot fully compensate for a misspecified reward function. These results indicate that trustworthy agentic AI evaluation requires both physical constraints and transparent intervention traces. We release data and code as open access on GitHub for replicability.
Jul 7, 2026cs.AI

Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning for Multi Objective Battery Management in Dairy Farms

The dairy industry in Ireland has a large potential for the integration of renewable energy and the reduction of carbon emissions. However, researchers of distributed generation control are mainly focused on residential and commercial applications. To contribute to the effective integration of renewable energy in the dairy sector, this paper presents a multi-objective optimisation control system based on differential evolution and multi agent Deep Reinforcement Learning. The proposed control is organised in two layers: the upper layer uses dynamic pricing, and the lower layer is based on multi-agent reinforcement learning for battery management. This paper also simulates the electrical response of the proposed control system in a rural distribution circuit. The simulation results show that the proposed control framework can improve profits from energy arbitrage up to 18% compared to using Rule-based models, increase the use of distributed generation without significantly increasing cost, and comply with the Irish grid code in terms of voltage variation.
Jul 7, 2026cs.LG

Decision-Focused Scenario Generation and Selection for Efficient and Robust Grid Dispatch

The increasing uncertainty from flexible demand and renewable generation has made distributionally robust optimization (DRO) an important tool for robust power system dispatch. DRO relies on forecast scenarios to construct ambiguity sets, but conventional scenario generation pipelines are often trained in an accuracy-oriented manner and may neglect spatial correlations among uncertainties. This mismatch can produce ambiguity sets that are statistically plausible but suboptimal for downstream operation. This work proposes a decision-focused generative framework for correlated scenario generation in DRO-based dispatch. Instead of training generative models solely to fit the historical uncertainty distribution, the proposed framework optimizes generated scenarios according to their induced downstream operational cost. The proposed framework is tailored to mainstream generative models, including variational autoencoders, generative adversarial networks, and diffusion models, while capturing the joint distribution of uncertainties across buses. To improve computational tractability, we further develop a differentiable scenario selector that selects decision-relevant scenarios from a generated pool and can be trained within the same decision-focused pipeline. Case studies demonstrate that the proposed framework effectively reduces 0.80%-2.02% operational cost across different generative models compared to accuracy-oriented methods.
Jul 6, 2026cs.LG

Federated Physics-Grounded Reinforcement Learning for Distributed Stability Control in Smart Grids

Transient stability control in smart grids requires rapid post-fault damping of generator frequency and rotor angle deviations to prevent cascading failures. This paper proposes FedPPO-PG, a Federated Multi-Agent Proximal Policy Optimization framework with Physics-Grounded neighborhoods, which reformulates transient stability control as a cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning problem optimized directly against closed-loop stability objectives. Each generator hosts an independent local actor augmented with the frequency deviations of its two most strongly coupled electrical neighbors, identified from the post-fault Kron-reduced susceptance matrix. A guided policy initialization phase warm-starts all actors from the classical decentralized controller, while a centralized critic guides advantage estimation under the centralized training--decentralized execution (CTDE) paradigm. Evaluated on a simulation of the IEEE 39-bus benchmark system across five training and three unseen fault contingencies, FedPPO-PG achieves 100% stabilization in all 24 trials, reduces mean stability time by 72.4%, and cuts the control power by 7-14 times compared to the centralized baseline. Each actor executes independently with no central coordinator at deployment, and the per-actor inference latency satisfies the IEEE/IEC 60255-118-1-2018 real-time reporting requirements.
Jul 3, 2026eess.SY

Hierarchical Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning for Carbon-Aware AI Data Centers in Power Distribution Systems

Eco-friendly energy management for artificial intelligence data centers (AIDCs) is crucial because of the significant increase in energy consumption-induced carbon emissions from AIDCs resulting from the rapid expansion of AI applications. This paper proposes a hierarchical carbon-aware multi-agent reinforcement learning (CA-MARL) framework for robust and efficient operations of AIDCs under uncertainties while ensuring low-carbon operation of power distribution systems. The framework comprises a workload manager (WM) agent and multiple local AIDC agents trained using a multi-agent transformer method, corresponding to a global AIDC aggregator and a local AIDC operator, respectively. Leveraging AIDC operation data along with nodal carbon intensity (NCI) calculated from the carbon emission flow-integrated distribution system operator problem, the WM agent spatially allocates AI training and inference jobs among all AIDCs. Based on the jobs allocated from the WM agent and NCI information, each AIDC agent schedules economical and eco-friendly operations of the AIDC by performing the following tasks: i) temporal shifting of training jobs, ii) spatial allocation of training graphics processing unit (GPU) blocks and inference GPUs within the AIDC, and iii) control of the supply air temperature of the cooling system. The effectiveness of the proposed framework was assessed using an IEEE 33-node power distribution system.
Jul 3, 2026cs.LG

Understanding electricity consumption behaviour through Inverse Reinforcement Learning

Understanding how households consume electricity in response to socioeconomic and climatic drivers is important for decision-makers designing energy policies in a changing climate and under geopolitical tensions. Consumers respond differently to thermal stress depending on income, consumption habits and the surrounding built environment, a nonlinear behaviour that most approaches oversimplify. In this study, households are treated as agents interacting with complex environments, and Inverse Reinforcement Learning is used to represent their consumption behaviour as model implied reward functions. Specifically, we observe how these reward functions change when households undergo socioeconomic and climatic shocks. The framework is tested on different clusters of electricity consumption profiles in Italy. Clusters' reward functions are retrieved and used to understand how cooling behaviour changes from summer 2021 to summer 2022 and 2023, before, during and after the energy crisis and a heatwave. We find that these shocks reshaped cooling behaviour heterogeneously across consumer groups, in directions conditioned by their prior habits and built environment. Across the 2021 to 2023 summers, we identify a spectrum of responses: transient adjustments that receded as the shocks eased, durable shifts persisting into 2023, and consumers exhibiting negligible change. At the intradaily scale, groups comparable in socioeconomic and environmental context but differing in their daily timing of consumption responded distinctly, identifying time of use as a separate dimension of behavioural heterogeneity. Energy policies and demand-response schemes should therefore account not only for who consumers are and where they live, but for when they consume and whether their response to a shock persists.
Jul 2, 2026cs.AI

Traceable Fault Diagnosis for Battery Energy Storage Systems via Retrieval-Augmented Multi-Agent O&M Assistant

Large-scale battery energy storage systems (BESSs) require O&M decisions that combine alarms, cell-level measurements, device topology, diagnostic tables, historical cases, and maintenance documents. Monitoring platforms can flag threshold violations, but they often cannot explain whether voltage inconsistency, resistance drift, short-circuit risk, capacity divergence, or thermal abnormality needs intervention. This digest presents a traceable BESS fault-diagnosis assistant that uses retrieval-augmented multi-agent reasoning to connect operational data, domain knowledge, visual evidence, and report generation. Reliability is improved through BESS-specific task routing, schema-constrained natural-language database access, hybrid text-image retrieval, and evidence-based answer synthesis. Preliminary internal evaluation is reported for routing, database access, and diagnostic reasoning.
Jun 30, 2026cs.AI

Smart charging of large fleets of Electric Vehicles: Independent Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning approaches

The electrification of transportation through electric vehicles introduces new challenges for power grid management, such as increased peak demand, voltage fluctuations, line overloads, and the integration of variable renewable energy sources. To enable efficient integration of EVs while minimizing costs for users and avoiding network overloads, implicit coordination between EVs is required. This work compares two independent multi-agent reinforcement learning approaches for optimizing such decentralized EV charging: contextual combinatorial bandits and policy gradient algorithms. Using a realistic simulation environment with autonomous agents making decisions based on local environmental information (including price signals, state-of-charge, and temporal constraints), we evaluate their performance across varying congestion levels, and mixed-strategy configurations with heterogeneous agent groups under dynamic electricity pricing derived from real photovoltaic production data.
Jun 30, 2026stat.AP

Spatio-Temporal Gaussian Process for Building Terrain-Incorporating Wind Power Curves

Accurate modeling of wind turbine power curves is crucial for optimal wind farm operation. Nearly all existing power curve models focus on temporal variables such as wind speed and temperature while overlooking the influence of terrain covariates, which governs inflow wind conditions and thus also affects wind power production. This paper proposes a nonparametric spatio-temporal Gaussian process model that integrates temporal environmental covariates with spatial terrain features. The model falls in the category of spatial-temporal Gaussian process models with data on a grid. The challenge to be addressed is that the spatio-temporal modeling require certain temporal alignment among the data, a property that the wind farm data does not have. Our solution strategy is to construct a shared representative temporal covariate set which not only aligns the temporal inputs but also has a size an order of magnitude smaller than the original data size. With this transformation, our resulting model is able to employ a separable kernel structure that captures both spatial and temporal dependencies. Empirical analysis on a real wind farm dataset shows that our method improves predictive accuracy over existing baselines and can be used to quantify the various impact of the terrain characteristics on turbine performance.
Jun 29, 2026eess.SY

Model Predictive Current Control with Harmonic Correction for Single-Phase AC-DC EV Charging

The increasing integration of Electric Vehicles (EVs) has imposed a growing harmonic challenge on the power grid. For AC/DC Power Factor Correction (PFC) in single-phase On-Board Chargers (OBCs), Model Predictive Current Control (MPCC) improves the current quality by predicting and tracking the inductor current. However, finite control set MPCC selects switching states, resulting in discrete control actions and a limited optimisation space. Moreover, the MPCC cost function based on instantaneous current tracking error has limited capability to compensate for low-order harmonic disturbances induced by dead time, control delay, and model parameter mismatch. This paper proposes a duty cycle predictive MPCC incorporating a real-time harmonic estimation reference. The proposed method dynamically estimates the low-order harmonic components of the input current and corrects the MPCC reference current, enabling continuous duty cycle control and targeted suppression of dominant low-order harmonics. Simulation results on a single-phase OBC demonstrate that the proposed duty cycle predictive MPCC reduces the steady-state current THD_i from 11.47% to 6.10% compared with the switching state predictive MPCC. With the harmonic reference, the THD_i is further reduced to 2.85%.
Jun 28, 2026eess.SY

An Integrated Two-Stage Deep-Learning Tool for Rapid Post-Hurricane Damage Identification and Repair Scheduling

Post-hurricane damage assessment and repair scheduling can require computationally intensive simulation and optimization. This paper presents an integrated two-stage deep-learning tool for rapid damaged-line identification and repair-schedule computation. An available offline synthetic dataset for the IEEE 9500-node test feeder contains 1,700 hurricane scenarios with exposure features, grid metadata, fragility parameters, OpenDSS outputs, damaged-line labels, and Adaptive Large Neighborhood Search reference schedules. Stage 1 benchmarks MLP, ResMLP, and GraphSAGE, while Stage 2 compares MLP, DeepSets, and Set Transformer. The selected ResMLP-Set Transformer pipeline propagates Stage 1 errors into Stage 2 and achieves a damaged-job F1-score of 0.920, pairwise order agreement of 0.854, and start- and end-time mean absolute errors of 4.349 min and 4.486 min, respectively. The tool provides rapid initial repair-log decision support for new hurricane cases.
Jun 26, 2026eess.SP

Distributed Air-Gap Flux and Rotor-Current Fusion for Operating-Regime Identification in a 10-MW Kaplan Hydrogenerator

Reliable monitoring of hydroelectric generators requires descriptors that capture both electrical loading and electromagnetic field behavior. This work investigates operating-regime identification in the Porjus U9 10-MW Kaplan hydrogenerator using synchronized measurements from ten stator-mounted Hall probes and six rotor-current channels. Seven steady guide-vane-opening settings are considered, and each 300s record is divided into 1s windows. The resulting windows are represented by spatial Fourier descriptors of the circumferential air-gap field, probe-wise temporal flux indicators, and channel-wise RMS rotor-current features. Correlation analysis and principal component analysis are used to examine how the feature groups vary with the operating point, and Random Forest, radial-basis-function support vector classification, and multilayer perceptron models are evaluated for supervised identification of the guide-vane-opening state. The analysis shows that RMS rotor-current features mainly track the loading axis, while the magnetic-flux features reveal complementary information associated with spatial imbalance, waveform distortion, and weak low-frequency modulation. Spatial descriptors alone provide limited separability, yielding test accuracies below 27%, whereas rotor-current features alone reach about 84-85%. Combining flux and current information gives the most discriminative representation; the SVC-RBF model achieves 99.5% test accuracy and macro-F1 score. The results indicate that distributed air-gap magnetic sensing, when fused with rotor-current measurements, can support accurate and interpretable data-driven monitoring of Kaplan hydrogenerator operating regimes.
Jun 25, 2026cs.LG

State Representation Matters in Deep Reinforcement Learning: Application to Energy Trading

Energy trading decisions depend not only on current market prices, but also on expected future market conditions, and operational constraints. This makes the state representation given to a reinforcement learning agent an important design choice. We study this in HydroDam, a pumped-storage arbitrage environment, using a fixed Double DQN agent. The environment, action space, reward function, network, and training protocol are kept fixed; only the market features are changed. We compare absolute price/calendar features, relative features that compare current prices with recent market history, forecast features, and all combinations of these three feature families. Policies are trained and selected using 2007--2011 Belgian day-ahead prices and evaluated on two test settings: a later same-market test set from 2012--2025 and 39 other ENTSO-E market zones. Absolute features only reaches 28.8% on the test set and a median 5.7% across zones. Relative-only and forecast-only states also stay below a rolling price-score heuristic in the cross-zone median. Combining feature families is much stronger: absolute + relative reaches 49.9% on the test set and a 39.8% cross-zone median, while absolute + relative + forecast reaches 55.6% and 47.5%. These results suggest that state representation is not a minor preprocessing choice in storage-trading RL, but a central part of the policy design: robust transfer requires combining price scale, recent relative price context, and short-horizon forecast information, rather than relying on any single feature family.
Jun 24, 2026cs.AI

When Agents Meet Electric Bus Fleet Operations: Pricing Behavior, Trade-offs, and Policy Implications in an Aggregator Framework

Agentic systems are changing how complex operational tasks are coordinated, introducing a new paradigm for connecting heterogeneous data sources and automating processes. Electric bus fleets provide a relevant test case. Their operation requires continuous coordination between service reliability, battery state-of-charge, charger availability, electricity prices, route-energy uncertainty, and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) opportunities. This paper proposes an agentic aggregator framework that streamlines this decision environment by coupling an optimization-based electric bus scheduling model with supervisory agents for disturbance detection, tariff adaptation, and schedule evaluation. The optimization core enforces physical feasibility across routes, chargers, batteries, and V2G exchanges, while the agentic layer interprets changing operating conditions, triggers real-time re-optimization when needed, and defines how flexibility value is allocated between the aggregator and the public transport operator (PTO). A realistic depot case study evaluates day-ahead and real-time operations under profit-based and operation-based coordination modes, considering service delays, route-energy deviations, electricity price shocks, and combined disturbances. The results show that agentic aggregation can support adaptive fleet-grid coordination by maintaining feasible schedules, activating re-optimization selectively, and improving the use of charging and V2G flexibility. However, they also reveal a critical trade-off: the same agentic capability that reduces operational complexity can extract value from the PTO when configured around profit-oriented pricing. These findings suggest that agentic aggregators can become useful for managing electric bus V2G operations, but their deployment in public-fleet contexts requires transparent coordination modes, auditable tariff-setting, and explicit value-sharing rules.
Jun 23, 2026cs.DC

Power-Flexible AI Data Centers: A New Paradigm for Grid-Responsive Compute

The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure is driving unprecedented growth in electricity demand from data centers. Traditional power-system planning treats large computing facilities as inflexible peak loads, leading to costly infrastructure upgrades and long delays in grid interconnection. Recent work has shown that AI clusters can reduce electricity consumption during peak demand through software-based workload orchestration. This article explores how modern GPU-based AI data centers can operate as grid-interactive assets that respond dynamically to power system conditions. We describe an architecture integrating grid signals, workload scheduling, and power telemetry for fine-grained cluster power control. Experimental results from a real-world deployment on a 130 kW GPU cluster demonstrate multiple forms of flexibility, including rapid load reduction, sustained curtailment, and carbon-aware operation while preserving service levels for priority jobs. We further demonstrate performance-aware load shifting across geographically distributed clusters, enabling workloads to migrate toward regions with lower grid stress. Together, these capabilities transform AI infrastructure from static electricity consumers into flexible resources that support grid reliability, accelerate interconnection, and improve computing sustainability.
Jun 23, 2026eess.SP

PROTECT-90: A Fault Dataset for Power System Protection

The increasing interest in data-driven methods for power system protection is accompanied by a lack of standardized, publicly available high-voltage waveform datasets that enable transparent and reproducible evaluation. To address this gap, this paper introduces the PROTECT-90 dataset, an open electromagnetic transient (EMT)-simulated reference benchmark for high-voltage fault studies with consistent digital-fault-recorder-like measurements, publicly released with this work. The dataset comprises 9,022 physically consistent short-circuit simulation episodes generated on a standardized 90 kV double-line topology with systematically documented domain randomization of grid operating points, line parameters, and fault conditions. For each episode, synchronized three-phase voltage and current waveforms are recorded at eight measurement locations and released together with structured, machine-readable metadata describing fault type, fault location, inception time, and operating conditions. All modeling assumptions, parameter ranges, and data-generation procedures are explicitly documented to ensure transparency and cross-study comparability. By combining physically grounded EMT simulation, balanced scenario coverage, and open accessibility, PROTECT-90 establishes a standardized foundation for reproducible benchmarking of protection-oriented signal processing and learning-based methods.
Jun 23, 2026cs.LG

Supervised Reinforcement Learning for the Coordination of Distributed Energy Resources

The increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) is crucial for power system decarbonization, yet unlocking DERs' flexibility is challenged by their inherent uncertainties and modelling complexity. As traditional optimization methods struggle with such uncertainty and complexity of DERs, reinforcement learning (RL) has emerged as a promising alternative for DER management. However, standard RL methods suffer from sample inefficiency and sub-optimality when trained from scratch. Inspired by the training paradigms in large language models, this paper proposes a Supervised Reinforcement Learning (SRL) framework for learning DER coordination policies. This framework first pre-trains a policy on demonstration data in a supervised-learning fashion, which is then further fine-tuned using RL. Furthermore, we propose a two-step fine-tuning process: offline fine-tuning for enhancing policy performance and online fine-tuning for adapting it to the real-world dynamics. Experiments demonstrate that RL implementations based on the proposed framework significantly outperform all benchmarks, achieving high cost efficiency even under low-quality demonstration data.
Jun 19, 2026cs.LG

Urban Power Grid Topology and Hierarchy Identification from Open Data

Understanding the complex topology and hierarchy of urban power grid is crucial for energy prognosis, power flow management, and system resilience analysis. However, detailed grid information remains largely proprietary. This creates significant barriers for research and innovation, especially when analyzing the last-mile distribution networks connecting individual buildings. This paper addresses this challenge by developing an open-data-driven framework for the complete identification of urban power grid topology, from high-voltage transmission down to individual building connections. Particularly, we fuse public infrastructure data (power-lines, substations, transformers, poles) to map the high and medium-voltage skeleton using graph-based algorithms. We then leverage geospatial machine learning on OpenStreetMap building data to group power demand clusters, and infer the physical topology of the final distribution lines linking the clustered buildings. We apply the developed framework to the district of Alna in Oslo, Norway, and we reconstruct the complete grid topology that connects 7,330 buildings and all major electricity infrastructure assets. With the research in this work, we provide a critical tool that facilitates power system analysis, e.g., power flow optimization, cascading failure simulation, and grid resilience against the penetration of distributed renewable generation.
Jun 18, 2026cs.AI

Power Systems Agent Benchmark: Executable Evaluation of AI Agents in Electric Power Engineering

Executable evaluation -- checking the consequences of an agent's actions with a program rather than grading its prose -- has become a prominent way to assess tool-using AI agents in software settings. Electric power engineering has not yet had an analogous benchmark: language-model use is still dominated by retrieval and text question answering, while agents acting on power-system artifacts remain mostly academic prototypes. We introduce the Power Systems Agent Benchmark, an executable benchmark for power-engineering agents. An agent receives a structured task and returns a structured solution; a deterministic evaluator recomputes the engineering quantities, checks operational constraints, and returns a feasibility flag, a normalized score, and explicit violations. The benchmark contains 41 task families across eight areas of power engineering, from power flow and protection to stability, microgrids, reliability, power quality, and forecasting. Each task is grounded in a citable source, standard, or documented engineering formulation. To resist contamination, held-out cases are synthesized on demand by per-family generators from private seeds: the construction is inspectable, but the instances remain private. In a reference evaluation with three command-line agents, the strongest score near the compact tier's ceiling, a smaller open model trails, and public and held-out performance are broadly consistent; a separate public-split grid with OpenCode and Aider probes harness effects. The reference evaluation doubles as quality control: unanimous failures flag candidate task or evaluator defects, and it exposed a latent evaluator bug missed by self-consistency checks. The evaluators are compact deterministic surrogates, but the task contract allows their internals to be upgraded to simulator-backed checks without changing how tasks are posed or solved.
Jun 17, 2026eess.SY

GDGU: A Gradient Difference-based Graph Unlearning Method for Cyberattack Localization in Electric Vehicle Charging Networks

Electric vehicle charging stations (EVCSs) can expose distribution feeders to cyberattacks. While machine learning methods, including graph neural networks, can localize which bus is compromised, significant challenges remain in data sharing and model training. For example, privacy regulations grant EVCS owners the right to delete their training data from a deployed model, yet retraining from scratch on every request is computationally prohibitive. To address this, we study graph unlearning (GU) for EVCS cyberattack localization, formulated as a feature-level unlearning problem on a graph-level multi-label classification task. Specifically, we propose gradient difference-based graph unlearning (GDGU), which removes the influence of the requested deletion data through a first-order parameter correction. The correction is computed from the gradient difference between the original training data and a modified dataset in which only the charging power features at the requested EVCS buses are unlearned. Then, a batch-normalization recalibration and a brief recovery fine-tuning step are applied to restore localization utility. We benchmark GDGU against two second-order GU baselines on the IEEE 34-bus, 123-bus, and 8500-node distribution networks across three graph neural network backbones and cumulative unlearning scenarios. GDGU matches the strongest baseline on localization utility and reaches forgetting fidelity close to full-retraining, while unlearning 10 to 12 times faster than retraining from scratch and using far less memory than the second-order GU baselines.
Jun 14, 2026eess.SP

Early Anomaly-Onset Detection based on Wigner--Ville Distribution Slice Spectra: A Transmission-Grid Test Case

Operational disturbance monitoring in power networks requires decisions to be made from waveform windows as they arrive, rather than from completed records after the event. This study evaluates full-vector Wigner--Ville Distribution Slice (WVDS) spectra for sequential anomaly-onset detection in high-voltage grid-voltage waveforms. The approach keeps the bilinear midpoint interaction structure of the Wigner--Ville distribution and represents each 128-sample voltage window by a 128-dimensional slice spectrum, avoiding manually selected fault-frequency markers. WVDS is used with a baseline-normalized deviation (BND) score and is compared against the BND of Fast Fourier Transform (FFT-BND), raw-window autoencoders, FFT autoencoders, and WVDS autoencoders under the same thresholding and three-window persistence rule. A synthetic autoencoder--clustering teacher is used to select RTE fault records that start from an initially normal region and then transition to anomalous behavior. On the filtered test set, FFT-BND achieves the highest sensitivity, whereas WVDS-BND provides the lowest false-alarm operating point, reducing record-level pre-onset false alarms to 0.69%. The autoencoder comparison follows the same selectivity pattern: WVDS reconstruction decreases false alarms relative to FFT reconstruction but misses more examples. The results indicate that preserved WVD cross-term information can form a selective representation for online grid-waveform anomaly monitoring when false alarms are costly.
Jun 12, 2026cs.LG

A Statistical and Machine Learning Framework for Operational Threshold Detection and Deployable Dispatch Controller Development in Hydrogen Multi-Energy Systems

This study presents a statistical and machine learning framework for characterizing a hydrogen-based multi-energy system (H-MES) using one year of high-resolution operational data. Statistical analysis revealed a binary operation driven by renewable surplus, with solar irradiance explaining 45.7% of rank-based variance in hydrogen production, a large effect by conventional standards. Only high-irradiance periods triggered meaningful electrolyzer engagement, while electricity demand exerted a weaker inverse suppression effect (ε2=0.126ε^2 = 0.126). Multiple regression confirmed electrolyzer power as the dominant linear predictor, with a synergistic solar-wind interaction. Notably, Random Forest analysis ranked wind output first in predictive importance despite its weak bivariate correlation (r = 0.167), revealing non-linear dynamics invisible to parametric methods. A sequence model exploited strong 24-hour autocorrelation (r = 0.845) for operational forecasting, while a reinforcement learning agent optimized hydrogen revenue dispatch. The core contribution is demonstrating that statistical and machine learning approaches are complementary for H-MES modeling and control.
Jun 12, 2026cs.NE

Genetic Algorithm Based Coordination and Optimization Model for Generation Grid Load Storage in Active Distribution Networks

Create an optimization framework that combines fuzzy logic and genetic algorithms for risk assessment and coordination of generation, grid connection, load, and energy storage facilities in active distribution networks. In order to capture the system uncertainties caused by weather factors and dynamic user demands, this project uses fuzzy set representation to model renewable energy generation, load curves, and market prices. In the evolutionary process, genetic algorithms introduce fuzzy elements into system management, adjusting thru penalty factors to improve stability and seeking better scheduling or power dispatch solutions. At the same time, by penalizing uncertainty and constraint violations, the fitness function of the hybrid model aims to optimize the expected operational costs; it can produce feasible and economical results under unknown parameter conditions. Under conditions with a large supply of renewable energy and installed energy storage systems, simulation results for the IEEE-69 power system indicate that the fuzzy genetic algorithm strategy effectively reduces technical constraints compared to deterministic optimization schemes. The total investment remains at a similar level. Other data indicate that thru fuzzy reasoning optimization, unreasonable choices or impossible situations are avoided during the network adaptation process. This framework-based technical approach helps to construct an effective computational scheme that is aware of uncertainty in its outputs. This will provide a scientific basis for the uncertainty assessment in distribution network planning.
Jun 12, 2026cs.AI

A Quantum-Assisted Agentic Distributed Artificial Intelligence Framework for Deadline-Bounded Orchestration of Hybrid Renewable Microgrids

The real-time orchestration of microgrids that combine fluctuating renewable sources, dispatchable units, storage and curtailable consumers requires the repeated solution of combinatorial dispatch and coalition formation problems under hard control deadlines. In this paper, a quantum-assisted agentic distributed artificial intelligence (DAI) framework is proposed in which the dispatch problem of each control slot is formulated as a quadratic unconstrained binary optimization (QUBO) problem by Belief-Desire-Intention extended (BDIx) agents and is solved by a portfolio of quantum, quantum-inspired and classical solvers. Solver selection is elevated to a first-class agentic deliberation action of the coordinator agent. Learned beliefs about solver latencies are maintained and the solver intention that is expected to satisfy the prevailing deliberation deadline is committed in each slot. In addition, a belief-shaped storage valuation mechanism is introduced through which the storage agent prices its energy at a discounted future-peak value, injecting intertemporal information into the otherwise myopic per-slot optimization. The framework is evaluated on a 24-hour simulation of a grid-connected microgrid with photovoltaic, wind, battery, genset and demand-response assets, with the Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) executed by statevector simulation and benchmarked per slot against tabu search, simulated annealing, binary particle swarm optimization, greedy descent and exhaustive enumeration. Zero deliberation deadlines are missed, the committed dispatch attains the exact optimum on every slot and the realized daily cost of 146.24 EUR equals the exact lower bound, with 97.83 percent renewable utilization and zero unserved energy. When the storage valuation mechanism is deactivated, the daily cost is increased to 152.75 EUR, a 4.5 percent increase.
Jun 11, 2026cs.AI

Optimizing Appliance Scheduling for Solar Energy Management Using Metaheuristic Algorithms

Renewable energy is essential for meeting future energy demands; however, solar energy generation, which occurs only during daylight hours often does not align with household consumption patterns. Appliances such as cookers, washing machines, and dryers are typically operated according to user preferred schedules rather than solar energy availability, creating a scheduling optimization problem. The objective is to determine optimal appliance start times to maximize renewable energy utilization while minimizing user inconvenience and adhering to system constraints. This paper presents a metaheuristic approach using Iterated Local Search (ILS) and Simulated Annealing (SA) to optimize appliance start times, while considering appliance operating durations, power consumption, inverter limit, battery state of charge constraints, and solar generation forecasts. Unlike most existing work, the scheduling is extended beyond a single day to accommodate unfinished tasks from previous days (spillover), ensuring operational continuity and enabling sequential operation across multiple days. Experimental results show that the sequential multi-day scheduling framework effectively manages system constraints while ensuring user convenience under exclusive solar generation. These findings also open opportunities for future research on multi-objective trade-offs between investment in equipment of various sizes, return on that investment, and user satisfaction.
Jun 11, 2026cs.LG

Navigating the Safety-Fidelity Trade-off: Massive-Variate Time Series Forecasting for Power Systems via Probabilistic Scenarios

Probabilistic forecasting models are increasingly deployed on multivariate systems with distinct channel physics and operational constraints, but existing benchmarks evaluate neither property at scale. Public canonical multivariate benchmarks cap out at 2,000 channels, while power-system benchmarks either lack temporal structure or probabilistic evaluation. We introduce PowerPhase, a probabilistic forecasting benchmark built on six transmission grids ranging from 2,000 to 36,964 jointly forecasted channels, more than an order of magnitude beyond popular canonical multivariate benchmarks. Each target trajectory is the output of an AC power-flow solve, and PowerPhase ships with constraint-aware metrics, including Safety_mBrier, NECV, and CVaR-alpha, that complement CRPS and Distortion. Across eight baselines and three seeds, distributional accuracy and constraint satisfaction rank models differently, a trade-off we term safety-fidelity. We further propose PowerForge, a scenario-based quantile forecaster with type-specific decoding heads and a causal bridge between variable groups, which achieves the best average rank on every grid.
Jun 11, 2026cs.AI

Multi-Modal Agents for Power Distribution Defect Detection: An Evaluation of Foundation Models

The power distribution network is critical to reliable electricity delivery, yet traditional inspection methods face limitations in semantic understanding, generalization, and closed-loop automation. To address these challenges, this paper proposes a Multi-Modal Agent framework specifically for power distribution defect detection. Central to this study is the systematic evaluation of multimodal foundation models as unified cognitive engines. We rigorously assess their integrated performance across three critical capabilities: (1) Perception, where the model must accurately identify equipment and generate expert-level descriptions of defects; (2) Reasoning, where the model interprets visual findings to diagnose causes, assess severity, and plan maintenance strategies based on domain knowledge; and (3) Tool Usage, where the model acts as an autonomous operator to execute actions -- such as querying knowledge bases or generating work orders -- to achieve closed-loop maintenance. To support this evaluation, a domain-specific evaluation dataset and a comprehensive benchmark are developed. Experimental results demonstrate the strengths and limitations of current foundation models in these three dimensions, providing empirical evidence for deploying autonomous agents in high-stakes industrial environments.
Jun 9, 2026cs.MA

LLM-Mediated Demand Response Coordination in Smart Microgrids

Effective demand response in smart microgrids requires prosumers to cooperate voluntarily under strategic self-interest, a coordination problem structurally equivalent to a repeated Prisoner's Dilemma on a social network. This paper presents a multi-agent simulation in which a Large Language Model (LLM) Influence Compiler issues structured demand-response directives to a population of heterogeneous prosumer agents, each governed by a hybrid decision architecture combining game-theoretic base probability (derived from payoff history, neighbour imitation, and exploitation memory) with LLM narrative evaluation of incoming coordination signals. The hybrid architecture resolves a key methodological challenge: LLMs aligned via Reinforcement Learning from Human Feedback (RLHF) exhibit strong cooperation bias when used as direct decision-makers, producing flat dynamics regardless of grid conditions. By separating strategic reasoning from grounded narrative evaluation, the model generates realistic prosumer behaviour across six personality archetypes, with baseline cooperation near 50% and clear differentiation under influence. Compiled structured directives achieve 33.3% demand-curtailment cooperation versus 27.0% for unstructured messaging and 28.0% for a no-intervention baseline (Δcomp=+0.063Δ_\mathrm{comp} = +0.063), with the advantage preserved across both grounded and idealized agent substrates (Δ=+0.083Δ= +0.083) and across all resistance levels (R=0.1R = 0.1 to 0.70.7). Hub-targeted dissemination via high-centrality network nodes outperforms peripheral or random targeting, confirming that grid topology provides mechanistic amplification independent of message content. These results suggest that structured LLM compilation, grounded agent reasoning, and network-aware targeting are complementary design principles for scalable, interpretable demand-response coordination in smart-city energy systems.
Jun 8, 2026math.OC

Powering the Future of AI: Navigating the Trade-offs for Europe's Energy Transition and Net-Zero Goals

The rapid expansion of AI globally has led to the proliferation of energy-intensive hyperscale data centres (DCs), making them as a structurally challenging component in power system planning and operation. Using a spatially explicit optimisation model of Europe across 21 AI growth scenarios, we systematically quantify additional demand, capacity requirements, emissions, and operational impacts of DCs. Results indicate that AI could drive 73-723 TWh of extra demand by 2050, risking cumulative emissions overshoots of 67-181 MtCO2 between 2030 and 2050. Our analysis indicates that after 2030, the geography of AI infrastructure will be shaped more by firm power and system flexibility than by the mere abundance of clean energy. In moderate scenarios, AI requires an additional of 200 hours of firm generation, which increases LCOE by 35 EUR/MWh in key hubs. We show that even under the pessimistic scenarios, existing infrastructure would require 70 GW additional capacity, while under managed growth pathways, this expansion could reach 226 GW. We further find DCs workload dynamics strongly shape energy dispatch, system flexibility, and emissions, while improved efficiency significantly reduces capacity needs, and system peaks. While our findings suggest that net-zero targets for 2050 may be achieved, critical emission risks may appear in the intermediate years, and the EU may compromise its carbon-neutral goals unless policies adapt to this accelerating digital transformation.
Jun 7, 2026cs.LG

Tyan-WP: A Wind Power Foundation Model for Ultra-Short-Term Probabilistic Forecasting

Global wind power capacity, especially in China, is booming, with new farms spanning diverse terrains and climates. The industry urgently needs accurate wind power foundation models to shorten commissioning and accelerate grid connection. This is because site-specific time series models (TSMs) are not well suited to data-scarce scenarios and generalize poorly, while generic large time series models (LTSMs) are mostly limited to univariate inputs and cannot fully exploit static site attributes or the dependencies between power and meteorological covariates, leading to insufficient accuracy. To fill this gap, we propose \textbf{Tyan-WP}, the first wind power foundation model for ultra-short-term probabilistic forecasting. Pretrained on a large-scale wind power dataset covering more than 126,000 U.S. sites over seven years, Tyan-WP further improves zero-shot forecasting through two domain-specific module designs: static site embedding using coordinate, terrain, and ecoregion metadata, and a power-aware meteorological fusion (PAMF) module that models interactions between historical power and meteorological covariates. Under a unified evaluation protocol, Tyan-WP surpasses eight site-specific supervised TSMs on 10 in-domain sites and outperforms eleven generic LTSMs on 127 in-domain sites, reducing MAE by 19.9%, RMSE by 16.6%, CRPS by 22.2%, and AQL by 21.7%, while raising R^2 by 16.7%. It further demonstrates strong cross-geography generalization on six real U.K. sites. These results show that the wind power foundation model can achieve accurate zero-shot forecasting without target-site training, providing a practical pathway for rapid turbine onboarding and probabilistic risk management at new wind farms.