Sri Lanka

Artificial intelligence (AI) is increasingly integrated into healthcare systems worldwide, yet its successful clinical adoption depends critically on workforce readiness, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where infrastructural and training gaps persist. This cross-sectional study evaluated awareness, attitudes, preparedness, and barriers to AI adoption among 761 healthcare professionals across multiple disciplines and practice settings in Nigeria. Data were collected between December 2025 and March 2026 using a structured, validated questionnaire. Overall awareness of AI in healthcare was high (92.6%); however, objective knowledge and self-reported preparedness remained limited, with 40.9% reporting low or very low knowledge and only 63.0% feeling adequately prepared. Willingness to adopt AI was high: 92.5% expressed interest in training, and 78.7% supported inclusion of AI education in undergraduate curricula. Key barriers included lack of training (84.7%), poor infrastructure (71.1%), high cost of AI tools (61.0%), fear of job displacement (60.6%), ethical concerns (52.9%), and data privacy concerns (52.7%). Significant differences in preparedness were observed across geopolitical zones (chi-square (5) = 24.28, p < 0.001), and awareness differed across professional groups (chi-square (6) = 68.38, p < 0.001). Attitudes toward AI differed significantly across professional groups (F = 3.32, p = 0.003), with professionals who felt prepared demonstrating more positive attitudes (mean = 3.74) compared to those who did not (mean = 3.46). These findings reveal a critical disconnect between high awareness and actual readiness, underscoring the need for targeted training, infrastructure investment, and clear implementation frameworks to bridge the gap between AI technological potential and clinical reality in resource-constrained settings.

Progress in inclusive household surveys has strengthened socioeconomic evidence for forcibly displaced populations, providing indispensable benchmarks on living conditions and welfare. However, these surveys remain resource-intensive and periodic, while conditions can change between rounds, particularly in settings affected by fragility, conflict, and violence. More frequently updated, spatially granular complementary evidence is therefore needed to identify where socioeconomic conditions may be changing between survey rounds and to inform operational prioritization. Earth observation and machine learning offer a scalable source of spatially explicit socioeconomic information. However, tools developed for general populations have not been systematically adapted and evaluated in forced displacement settings, where living conditions, settlement patterns, and displacement impacts may differ substantially. We address this gap by adapting a multimodal spatiotemporal vision transformer, pretrained on Demographic and Health Survey data from approximately 1.2 million households across 36 African countries, to forced displacement and host community settings in South Sudan, Cameroon, and Zambia. We develop and evaluate the updated, adapted model using socioeconomic indices derived from UNHCR FDS and RMS data. Our results show that satellite-derived geospatial covariates explain up to 66% of the variation in socioeconomic outcomes in camp-intersecting grids, with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.37 index points, and 41% in non-camp-intersecting areas, with an MAE of 5.41. The framework complements and adds value to periodic household surveys by filling critical spatial and temporal data gaps with regularly updated, model-based socioeconomic estimates. These estimates sustain insight between survey rounds and support timely humanitarian prioritization and field verification.

Using food package images to monitor sodium and salt content against South Africa's R214 sodium limits is challenging when screening decisions require product identity, nutrition facts panel evidence, reporting basis, and category-specific thresholds. This study presents a conservative image-based workflow that combines region detection, optical character recognition (OCR), product identity and sodium evidence extraction, R214 category assignment, deterministic threshold comparison, and independent vision language model comparison. The evaluation used 442 packaged food products and 3 929 full package images from a real-world South African food packaging dataset. A YOLO26s small detector generated 4 195 region crops, and strict post-processing produced one sodium evidence row per product. The integrated workflow produced 290 OUTSIDE R214 SCOPE, 139 REVIEW, seven SCREEN-PASS, and six SCREEN-FAIL outcomes. The independent Qwen2.5-VL 7B vision language model workflow produced 387 OUTSIDE R214 SCOPE, 31 REVIEW, twenty SCREEN-PASS, and four SCREEN-FAIL outcomes. The workflows agreed on exact R214 category assignment for 415 of 442 products (93.9%) and on whether the assigned category was within R214 scope for 416 of 442 products (94.1%). Final screening outcome agreement was 307 out of 442 products, or 69.5%. Manual verification on 60 products showed lower strict outcome agreement than regulated status agreement, while all manual INSUFFICIENT DATA cases were kept out of SCREEN-PASS and SCREEN-FAIL by both automated workflows. The findings show that conservative image-based screening can organise package evidence, identify clear cases, and assign uncertain cases to REVIEW rather than forcing SCREEN-PASS or SCREEN-FAIL decisions.

Mental health disorders are a leading cause of disability worldwide, yet Natural Language Processing (NLP) research for mental healthcare has remained concentrated in high-income, English-language settings. North Africa, and Algeria in particular, is largely absent from this literature despite its unique linguistic, historical, and healthcare context. We present the first conceptual framework examining the potential role of NLP within Algeria's mental healthcare system. Drawing on narrative synthesis of global NLP mental health research, Algerian healthcare literature, and low-resource NLP methodologies, we identify four structural barriers to mental healthcare: the language-of-care gap, geographic inequities in access, stigma-related barriers to help-seeking, and the absence of research and digital infrastructure. We then map existing NLP capabilities to each barrier, outlining their potential applications, implementation constraints, and the technical, institutional, and governance requirements necessary for deployment. Based on this analysis, we propose a research and policy roadmap that prioritizes data resources, multilingual language technologies, evaluation frameworks, and regulatory capacity. Although grounded in the Algerian context, the framework addresses challenges common to many multilingual, low-resource, and post-colonial settings. This work provides a foundation for future research on culturally and linguistically appropriate NLP for mental healthcare and offers a practical roadmap for developing responsible AI-enabled mental health systems in underrepresented regions.

The use of e-commerce mobile applications is expanding in Nigeria, creating both opportunities and risks, including fraud and reduced user control over digital technologies, raising concerns about digital sovereignty. This research examines how Artificial Intelligence (AI) in Nigerian mobile applications affects digital sovereignty, examined through platform transparency as a key indicator of user awareness and control. Using an interpretive approach, the research combines the forensic analysis of selected Android applications with contextual document analysis to identify AI features and evaluate disclosure practices. The findings show that AI is widely implemented in the applications, yet transparency about its use remains limited. A socio-economic analysis of Nigeria further shows an increasing dependence on consumer digital platforms, moderate AI awareness, and uneven patterns of interaction. By providing empirical evidence on AI transparency and platform practices, this study advances understanding of individual digital sovereignty and highlights challenges for protecting user control in AI-driven digital environments.

The beekeeping sector holds significant potential for livelihood diversification among the agropastoral communities in Kenya. Melliferous tree species play a critical role by providing essential nectar sources for bees. However, limited knowledge of their precise spatial distributions constrains the full development of beekeeping. One-class classification (OCC) offers a practical solution for detecting single target species without requiring extensive labeled data from other classes. Although existing OCC methods perform well in trained domains, the generalization capability to unseen domains remains limited due to domain shift. To address these challenges, this study proposes a hyperspectral unsupervised domain adaptation OCC framework (HyUDA-One) for tree species mapping using airborne hyperspectral imagery and laser scanning data. The spatial-spectral regularized pseudo-positive learning was designed to mitigate domain shift and improve model generalizability. The effectiveness of HyUDA-One was demonstrated by mapping three key melliferous tree species in two savanna landscapes in southern Kenya. The results show that HyUDA-One significantly improves performance in unlabeled domains. The F1-scores of 0.788, 0.845, and 0.768 were achieved for Senegalia mellifera, Vachellia tortilis, and Commiphora africana in the trained domain, respectively. In the untrained domain, the F1-scores of Senegalia mellifera and Vachellia tortilis were 0.756 and 0.884, respectively. The distribution maps revealed the spatial patterns of these melliferous tree species and the nectar source availability, offering an important reference for sustainable beekeeping development in savanna landscapes. Furthermore, the proposed framework can potentially be extended to other mapping applications, such as invasive species detection.

World models have attracted significant attention for their ability to capture and predict the structure and dynamics of the physical world. In this emerging landscape, Joint Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPA) offer a particularly compelling direction. We study a largely unexplored regime: populous, crowded, and chaotic Global South urban environments, which we call DENSEWORLD. Unlike the lower-density, lane-structured settings that dominate existing evaluations, these scenes exhibit soft spatial boundaries, extreme agent heterogeneity, persistent occlusion, and rapid social negotiation under mixed traffic. We introduce the first large-scale dataset for this regime: 1,000 hours of drive-through, walk-through, and aerial video across 22 cities. Existing JEPA formulations struggle to preserve dense interaction dynamics under heterogeneity and partial observability. We introduce FactorJEPA, which makes world structure a first-class predictive primitive. Rather than encoding the future in a monolithic latent, it composes layout, entities, and interactions, using a visibility gate and separated subspaces to preserve partially observed agents and discourage cross-factor shortcuts. FactorJEPA improves (i) future-latent accuracy (Future-frame L1), (ii) intervention-sensitive prediction (Causal L1), and (iii) robustness to reduced visual evidence (Mask-ratio slope), while exposing (iv) a reproducible motion-information trade-off (Motion cosine). Method rankings replicate across 2B and 1B V-JEPA 2.1 backbones, with rho = 0.895 to 0.978. We publicly release the DENSEWORLD-115k dataset (https://huggingface.co/datasets/anonymousML123/denseworld-115k) and the surgery-trained FactorJEPA checkpoints (https://huggingface.co/datasets/anonymousML123/factorjepa-outputs/tree/main/outputs/full/vjepa_2_1_vitg_1B/train/m09c_surgery_3stage_DI_diheavy_encoder).

This study concentrates on predicting stock prices in the Egyptian market, focusing on the EGX30, an influential financial hub in the Middle East. While most research focuses on global stocks, there's a growing need to understand stock trends in developing countries like Egypt. The study compares different machine learning models for forecasting EGX30 trends, covering short and long-term predictions. Using historical EGX30 data, including metrics like root mean squared error, Mean Absolute Percentage Error, and coefficient of determination, models like K-Nearest Neighbours, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, long short-term memory networks, and gated recurrent unit networks were evaluated. The goal is to determine the most effective models for EGX30 prediction, considering Egypt's unique market dynamics. Insights from this study aid investors in making informed decisions. Results show that the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) outperformed the other models in the one-week, one-month, and two-months while the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model outperformed others in the one-day predictions, highlighting their usefulness in predictive analysis for financial markets. The study also showed the importance of using the ensemble techniques, especially in the long-term predictions which proved better results reaching 5 times the GRU in the two-month predictions. Additionally, the study notes the surprisingly good performance of K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN) on long-term predictions, suggesting its enduring relevance and potential for future applications in the fintech domains.

Accurate cocoa mapping is increasingly important for deforestation monitoring, supply-chain transparency, and regulatory applications. Spatial aggregation in conventional medium-resolution Earth observation (EO) imagery may limit cocoa detection in heterogeneous smallholder landscapes. In Cote d'Ivoire, we therefore evaluated how mapping performance varies across landscape conditions, whether very high resolution (VHR) imagery provides a meaningful advantage, and whether foundation-model embeddings improve decametric cocoa mapping. We developed models using 0.5 m Pleiades VHR imagery, a 10 m Sentinel-2 annual composite, and embeddings from TESSERA and AlphaEarth Foundations (AEF), and additionally assessed four publicly available cocoa mapping products. Performance was evaluated through a landscape-stratified accuracy assessment using 2,821 independently interpreted reference points distributed across gradients of tree cover density and landscape fragmentation. The VHR model achieved the highest performance (F1 = 0.92) and maintained F1-scores above 0.90 across all strata. Among the decametric inputs, TESSERA performed best (F1 = 0.86), followed by AEF (F1 = 0.82) and Sentinel-2 (F1 = 0.76). Of the existing cocoa products, the Kalischek product performed best (F1 = 0.83), comparable to the internally trained AEF model. Performance differences between VHR and decametric approaches increased with fragmentation and under low and high tree cover density conditions. Targeted VHR acquisition may therefore be particularly beneficial in complex cocoa landscapes, while foundation-model embeddings offer a scalable alternative for large-area mapping.

Accurate mapping of informal settlements remains a major challenge in Sub-Saharan African (SSA) cities because optical imagery often fails to distinguish Informal Settlements (defined here as LCZ 7) from spectrally similar formal Compact Low-Rise areas (LCZ 3). This study presents a context-aware, reproducible Optical-SAR framework that improves informal settlement delineation using Sentinel-2 spectral features and Sentinel-1 structural information within an adapted Local Climate Zone (LCZ) taxonomy. We implement a three-tier SAR integration strategy: calibrated backscatter, GLCM textures, and a physics-guided feature engineered to capture the high structural disorder and weak radar return characteristic of SSA informal settlements. Using reference data across Nairobi and Eldoret (Kenya), we evaluate performance via a stratified hold-out protocol and a season-aware ablation study. Results show that SAR textures provide the dominant performance gain for LCZ 7 detection. The Optical-SAR model achieves overall accuracy of 0.816 (dry) and 0.807 (wet), significantly outperforming the WUDAPT baseline (OA 0.704) and reducing the critical LCZ 3 - LCZ 7 confusion to 7%. Seasonal analysis indicates that while optical-only separability varies with phenology, SAR-derived textures stabilize informal settlement mapping across seasons. These findings demonstrate that the incorporation of SAR-derived features yields consistent improvements for urban morphology mapping in data-scarce environments across seasons and across the evaluated source cities, while cross-city transfer remains limited without local adaptation strategies.

Sri Lanka has experienced a decade of progressive forest degradation and rising atmospheric pollution, yet district-level respiratory admissions have paradoxically declined, pointing to the confounding role of healthcare access. This study addresses that gap by constructing an 11-year (2014-2024) panel dataset across all 25 administrative districts, integrating satellite-derived vegetation indices, fire radiative power, pollutant concentrations (particulate matter (PM2.5), nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulfur dioxide (SO2)), carbon flux metrics and population-normalized respiratory admission rates. Two temporally validated XGBoost models were created for annual district-level respiratory rate (R^2 = 0.937) and monthly PM2.5 concentration (R^2 = 0.976) with generalization validated in 21 out of 25 districts (Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) <= 20%). Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) analysis established that cumulative air quality burden is the overwhelming driver of respiratory rate variance (80.1%), ahead of forest degradation (15.6%) and fire activity (4.3%). The Forest-Air-Health (FAH) Risk Index used these SHAP-derived weights to find the districts with the highest risk: Colombo (FAH = 0.802), Gampaha (0.708), and Kalutara (0.682). These findings present the inaugural evidence-based, district-level framework correlating environmental degradation with respiratory health in Sri Lanka, establishing a quantitative basis for focused public health and environmental policy.

This study presents a comprehensive analysis of bird diversity across Sri Lanka by integrating spatial, temporal, and environmental data. Bird observation records were combined with environmental variables, including weather conditions, air pollution, the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), land cover, elevation, and Artificial Light At Night (ALAN), and rigorously preprocessed to ensure data quality. Spatial analyses were conducted on multiple grid scales (2 km, 5 km, 10 km) to evaluate patterns in species richness while minimizing sampling bias through spatial thinning. Temporal trends were assessed using effort-corrected metrics including rarefied richness and occupancy rates to account for variations in observation effort over time. Environmental drivers of bird diversity were examined using multivariate statistical models, including Poisson Generalized Linear Models (GLMs) and correlation analyses, to identify key associations between ecological factors and species richness. Additionally, community structure, dominance patterns, and beta diversity were analyzed to understand variations in species composition across regions and time. The study found that land-cover type is a stronger predictor of bird diversity than individual continuous variables such as NDVI or temperature alone. Urbanization, measured by ALAN, exhibits nuanced scale-dependent effects, supporting high abundances of a few generalist species while reducing overall richness. The findings provide actionable insights into the patterns and drivers of avian diversity in Sri Lanka, offering a scalable and reproducible framework for biodiversity research and conservation planning.

Timely intensive care dictates survival, yet emergency infrastructure remains unevenly distributed across Sri Lanka. While pre-hospital services have expanded, the transition to definitive care remains a critical bottleneck. This study evaluates national emergency resilience by quantifying the gap between clinical demand and the availability of specialized resources across all 25 districts. Using the latest national epidemiological data and terrain-aware H3 hexagonal modeling, we analyzed accessibility for seven critical conditions based on spatial gaps, clinical need-gaps, lethality, coverage, and resource availability. Based on these metrics, unsupervised K-Means clustering was applied to categorize districts into four policy-actionable archetypes: Critical Structural Exclusion, Institutional Mirages, Operational Capacity Strain, and High-Resilience Benchmarks. Our study suggests that severe service deficits exist in the Northern and Eastern provinces, where spatial gaps exceed 70%, rendering the Golden Hour operationally impossible. Notably, specialist scarcity drives systemic pressure more than bed capacity; underserved regions effectively function as institutional mirages. This study suggests that improving accessibility by 25% in high-priority clusters would reduce the national need-gap by 9.65%, providing a roadmap for the strategic redistribution of specialists to ensure healthcare equity.

Vegetable prices in Sri Lanka are highly volatile because the market is largely import-isolated, so supply disruptions quickly drive prices up. This study develops a machine learning framework to forecast such volatility by incorporating supply-chain-aware features and explicitly modelling the country's two cultivation seasons, Maha (October-April) and Yala (May-September). An integrated dataset was constructed by combining retail and farmer-gate prices with origin-aligned weather variables, diesel costs, and exchange rates across 12 vegetable varieties and 14 market centres from 2013 to 2019. A gradient-boosted ensemble model (XGBoost and LightGBM) was trained and optimised using Optuna, and unified and season-specific configurations were compared. Results show that season-specific models improve within-season fit, with the Yala-specific model achieving the highest R2 of 0.9420 (95% CI [0.690, 1.000]), while the unified model delivers the best overall predictive accuracy of 90.84% (95% CI [88.34%, 91.52%]) and an R2 of 0.9281 (95% CI [0.760, 1.000]). Notably, the unified model maintains 85.96% accuracy on a completely unseen 2024 hyperinflationary period without retraining, successfully tracking major price surges. These findings suggest that agricultural price movements in import-constrained markets are meaningfully predictable when models capture supply-chain dynamics, offering practical value for early warning and decision making by farmers, traders, and policymakers. Existing studies on Sri Lankan vegetable prices are confined to Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) applied to single markets, with no supply-chain features, seasonal segmentation, or cross-regime validation.

This study analyzes Sri Lankan migration and remittances over 32 years (1994-2025). Using a 384-month harmonized dataset, we apply exploratory data analysis, stationarity corrected time-series modeling (ADF, Johansen, VAR/VECM), and supervised learning. Results reveal remittance inflows are primarily driven by external macroeconomic variables, specifically exchange rate dynamics and global oil prices, rather than domestic indicators. Impulse response analysis confirms the asymmetric impact of currency depreciation and oil price shocks. Predictively, multivariate machine learning models outperform traditional univariate approaches; Ridge Regression achieves a 73.8% accuracy improvement over SARIMA (Annualized RMSE: USD 494.8 Mn). The optimized framework projects 2026 remittances at USD 9,001 million under stable conditions. These findings highlight the structural dependence of remittances on global economies, emphasizing the need for robust exchange rate policies, skilled migration, and formal financial channels to enhance long-term economic resilience.

Artificial intelligence depends on large-scale compute resources and their supporting infrastructure. However, AI governance debates treat compute primarily as a technical input rather than as an outcome of investment, ownership, and financial control. This paper examines AI infrastructure investment flows across Africa through a systematic analysis of 46 publicly announced projects totalling USD $12.7 billion between 2019 and 2025. Using a value chain framework, we analyze who invests in AI-relevant infrastructure and where investments concentrate. Our findings reveal a highly concentrated landscape dominated by global data center operators, hyperscale technology firms, and development finance institutions, clustering in South Africa, Kenya, Nigeria, and Egypt. We introduce asymmetrical interdependence to describe a structural condition in which capital and physical infrastructure account for 73% of total funding while control remains concentrated in the compute layer among a small number of global technology firms. We argue that compute governance must account for capital flows, ownership, and control, not only geographic access, because these dynamics shape AI compute equity. Infrastructure presence is necessary but insufficient for meaningful governance capacity.

Terrestrial water storage (TWS) integrates snow, soil moisture, surface water, and groundwater and is a key indicator of how climate variability and human activity reshape the global water cycle. The GRACE and GRACE-FO satellite missions provide the only direct, globally consistent observations of TWS change, but their record only begins in 2002 which is too short for many climate-scale analyses. We present a deep learning application that reconstructs monthly GRACE-like TWS anomalies (TWSA) back to 1940 by learning the relationship between daily ERA5 meteorological forcing (precipitation, evapotranspiration, runoff) and monthly GRACE observations. In contrast to prior reconstruction approaches based on grid-cell-wise regression, CNNs, or LSTMs, we adapt a multi-variate time series graph neural network (MTGNN) architecture, which was originally developed for mobility and traffic forecasting on urban sensor networks to this satellite-geodesy task. Spatial dependencies are encoded in a static, interpretable hybrid adjacency matrix that combines geodesic proximity with lagged correlations of climatic time series, capturing both local hydrological coupling and large-scale teleconnections. The reconstruction achieves a grid-cell Pearson correlation of 0.69, a basin-mean correlation of 0.94, and a near-zero bias, and it reproduces the spatial fingerprints of the 2015/16 El Niño and 2020/21 La Niña events. A systematic comparison with established reconstruction approaches (GTWS-MLrec, RM-REC, GRAiCE) shows that the graph-based model is statistically competitive at basin scale, reaching a correlation within 0.025 of the best baseline while using only roughly half to a tenth of the predictors the other models require and revealing characteristic weaknesses in arid regions in all models. The complete implementation is publicly available at github.com/hcu-cml/MTGNN-TWS-Reconstruction-GRACE

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has the potential to be transformative for development, but Africa is currently facing a fragmented and challenging "AI divide". This paper provides an empirical analysis of the current state of the AI landscape and how it compares with Africa's technological preparedness for the future. In our analysis, we approach the "AI Divide" from three angles: infrastructure, accessibility, and human capacity. First, we look at the physical constraints that prevent Africa from integrating digitally. We then evaluate the human-centred factors that limit the development of AI technology on the continent. Finally, we examine the human capacity to develop AI systems on the continent and provide three focused case studies. Our investigation shows that the physical infrastructure needed to build an AI economy on the continent is lagging, with only 38% internet penetration, poor broadband coverage and less than 1% of all data centres globally. Other constraints include high data costs relative to income, gender-based digital divides, and the need to build more representative NLP models that can understand Africa's native languages. However, there are positive trends towards the emergence of local initiatives and grassroots movements, such as startups and universities, contributing to AI development on the continent. Based on these findings, we provide concrete recommendations to policymakers to help develop a more comprehensive and equitable AI ecosystem on the African continent.

Sierra Leone's agriculture operates with almost no data-driven decision support, and no published machine learning study has examined the country's crop yields. We ask whether rice yield can be forecast from data Sierra Leone currently has. Using 25 years of FAOSTAT production data (2000-2024) for nine major crops, we train XGBoost, Gradient Boosting, and Random Forest under a strict anti-leakage protocol with expanding-window walk-forward evaluation across seven held-out years, benchmarked against naive persistence. No model trained on crop statistics alone outperforms persistence. Augmenting with free satellite climate data (CHIRPS rainfall, NASA POWER temperature) reverses this result: a climate-only XGBoost reduces forecast error by one third (RMSE 284 vs 428 kg/ha), a gain that holds for a linear model and is robust to excluding the anomalous 2018 season. Early-season (May-June) rainfall is the dominant predictor, implying seasonal yield risk is observable months before harvest. No model anticipated the 2018 collapse, whose origins were institutional rather than climatic. We translate the findings into policy recommendations for Sierra Leone's Feed Salone Strategy, with a fully open-source pipeline.

The fertility trend in developing countries has experienced a significant decline in the last few decades; at the same time, the role of women in the workplace has improved. To have a better insight of the causality of the rate of women participation in the labor market on the total fertility rate in developing world, this paper divides the dataset of 115 developing countries in the period of 1991-2018 into four continents group (Africa, North/South America, Asia/Pacific, Europe) and then applies a data-driven panel data econometric procedure to mitigate omitted bias. The results suggest that the fertility behaviors of women in the North/South America continents are influenced by their career choice; meanwhile in society of other regions, other factors might be more important to women when thinking of having children. In conclusion, policymakers can reference to the paper and formulate policies to have more incentives in making reproductive decisions and further research in the field needs to consider family policies and patrilocality of developing countries as important data.

The rapid digitalisation of financial systems has improved operational efficiency and financial inclusion while simultaneously increasing exposure to sophisticated forms of cyber-enabled fraud and electronic financial misconduct. Conventional auditing systems, which largely depend on retrospective verification and rule-based monitoring, increasingly struggle to address the complexity and speed of modern financial crime. Consequently, financial institutions are progressively adopting Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled Accounting Information Systems (AIS) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) technologies to strengthen fraud detection, continuous auditing, and institutional monitoring. This study examined the influence of AI-enabled AIS on auditing and fraud detection effectiveness within Nigeria's financial services sector while additionally evaluating the moderating role of NLP. Anchored on the Fraud Diamond Theory and the Technology Acceptance Model, the study adopted a quantitative cross-sectional survey design. Primary data were collected from 186 professionals across banking, insurance, and FinTech institutions in Nigeria. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics, multiple regression, and hierarchical moderated regression techniques. The findings revealed that AI-enabled AIS significantly improves auditing and fraud detection effectiveness, particularly through prevention, detection, data analysis, and investigative capabilities. The results further indicated that NLP positively moderates the relationship between AI-enabled AIS and auditing effectiveness by improving semantic interpretation and analytical explainability. The study concludes that AI-enabled AIS and NLP are increasingly important for strengthening fraud governance, regulatory accountability, and institutional trust within emerging digital financial environments.

The rapid spread of fake news on social media has become a major challenge, particularly in multilingual and under-resourced contexts such as North Africa. In this paper, we introduce BOUTEF, a large-scale multilingual corpus designed to study the propagation, characteristics, and impact of fake news in Algeria and Tunisia. The corpus integrates three complementary components: fake narratives, genuine narratives, and associated user-generated comments, along with verified debunking information. It covers a wide range of languages and linguistic varieties, including MSA, Algerian and Tunisian dialects, Arabizi, French, English, and code-switched language. Building on this resource, we conduct a comprehensive empirical analysis combining quantitative and qualitative approaches. We examine thematic distributions, linguistic and rhetorical strategies, sentiment patterns, and social engagement dynamics. Statistical analyses reveal significant associations between thematic categories and message veracity, as well as strong correlations between user engagement and the visibility of fake content. Our findings show that fake news relies heavily on emotionally charged narratives, sensational framing, and hybrid linguistic practices that enhance virality and audience engagement. In contrast, debunking content adopts a more factual and verification-oriented style. Furthermore, a comparative analysis between Algeria and Tunisia highlights both shared dynamics and country-specific characteristics shaped by sociopolitical contexts. The results emphasize the role of informal language practices in the diffusion and reception of misinformation. By providing a rich, annotated, and publicly available dataset, this work contributes to advancing research on fake news detection, low-resource language processing, and the understanding of information disorders in complex linguistic environments.

User Experience Research (UXR) in a legal and regulatory contexts presents unique challenges that require specialised approaches to protect vulnerable populations whilst generating actionable insights. Digital consultation, appointment booking, and medication delivery platforms show promise for extending care access; however, their real-world effectiveness is curtailed by an absence of theoretically grounded user experience research (UXR) methodologies that adequately account for the psychosocial conditions of these populations. This paper introduces a Generative AI-augmented UXR methodology, grounded in the UXR Point of View (PoV) Playbook, to guide the design of psychologically safe, low-cognitive-load digital health interventions for MSM and transgender individuals living with HIV/AIDS in Nigeria. Drawing from empirical research involving co-design workshops, thematic analysis, and requirements engineering, the methodology is operationalised through a four-stage UXR process encompassing AI-supported hypothesis generation, foundational planning, insight generation via Building Blocks, and the construction of stakeholder-specific PoV narratives. This process results in ten theory-informed UXR Play Cards that translate psychological mechanisms and empirical findings into actionable design guidance. Each play contains actionable tasks, AI-augmented approaches, and ethical guardrails tailored for research with marginalised populations. The output is a set of ten theory-informed UXR Play Cards translating psychological insight and empirical evidence into actionable design guidance. The core contribution is a replicable, stigma-aware, and privacy-centred framework for responsible GenAI use in UXR practice, advancing human-centred digital health design for marginalised communities.

The dominance of colonial languages in African education and scientific communication limits how hundreds of millions of speakers of African languages access and produce scientific knowledge. A core obstacle is the lack of established scientific terminology in these languages. We introduce AfriScience-MT, a parallel corpus covering six African languages (Amharic, Hausa, Luganda, Northern Sotho, Yorùbá, and isiZulu) across 11 scientific domains. Professional translators, working with expert science communicators, translated plain-language summaries of scientific papers into each target language and created new terms where none existed. We benchmark machine translation systems and large language models in zero-shot, few-shot, and fine-tuned settings. Our results show that closed-source models outperform all open-source models at both the sentence and document levels: GPT-5.4 and Gemini-3.1-Flash-Lite lead with average sentence-level COMET scores of 68.3 and 68.0, respectively, and tie at an average document-level COMET of 48.3. Among open systems, fine-tuned NLLB-1.3B reaches 67.3 at the sentence level, and TranslateGemma-12B reaches 44.0 at the document level with 1-shot in-context learning. We release AfriScience-MT to support benchmarking and document-level scientific MT for African languages.

\begin{quote} The biases in Large Language Models' (LLMs) outputs remain inadequately theorised, particularly from the perspective of the Global South. This article reports on a small-scale exploratory study in which identical prompts were submitted to four major LLMs (ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and Copilot), firstly, prompting for stories using names suggestive of specific racial and gender communities, and secondly asking questions about `development'. Drawing on critical AI scholarship and postcolonial theory, we argue that LLM outputs are patterned in ways that reproduce racial hierarchies, gender asymmetries, and Western-centric epistemic frameworks. We argue that these biases are insidious: they operate below the threshold of both obvious error and overt prejudice, and instead are subtly embedded in narrative structure and emotional template. Simply put, women, in LLM narratives have rich interior lives, while men make plans. Black people face hardships while white people navigate the world with agency. And explanations as to the economic world order fail to consider Southern explanations. The models perform plausibility while reproducing dominance. We conclude that universities require structural critique of these technologies rather than unreflective adoption, and that critical AI literacy must engage seriously with questions of whose knowledge systems are reproduced and legitimated, or marginalised and undermined.

Diabetes is a chronic metabolic disease that can lead to serious health problems if not diagnosed and managed early. Big Data Analytics (BDA) and machine learning offer practical tools for analyzing large health datasets and supporting early detection and better treatment decisions. However, their use in routine clinical practice is still limited. This study examines the readiness of Rwanda's healthcare system to adopt big data analytics for diabetes management. As the country continues to expand its use of electronic medical records and health information systems, new opportunities arise for improving prediction, monitoring, and clinical decision-making. A five-day workshop involving 25 key stakeholders, including clinicians, data managers, policymakers, medical researchers, nutritionists, and technology providers, was conducted to assess preparedness and identify existing gaps. The findings highlight both the potential and the main challenges of BDA implementation. Based on these results, the paper proposes a practical BDA framework to support diabetes management strategies using explainable machine learning models.

Investor sentiment shapes financial markets, yet modeling sentiment in Arabic financial contexts remains challenging due to linguistic complexity and limited resources. We present an Arabic NLP framework for large-scale financial sentiment analysis tailored to the Saudi market, integrating official financial news and social media to capture institutional and public investor sentiment. The framework constructs a large Arabic financial corpus through a multi-stage pipeline encompassing data collection, cleaning, deduplication, entity linking, and sentiment annotation. Transformer-based NER combined with a curated company lexicon links textual mentions to canonical company identifiers, with sentiment labels assigned using a five-class scheme. The resulting dataset of 84K samples supports company-level sentiment aggregation and analysis of sentiment dynamics relative to stock market behavior on the Saudi Exchange. Experimental results demonstrate reliable and scalable Arabic financial sentiment analysis.

Despite the global deployment of text-to-image (T2I) models, their safety frameworks are largely calibrated to a Western-centric default, creating significant vulnerabilities for the rest of the world. To embrace cultural pluralism and bring historically under-represented perspectives in T2I safety, we conduct localised community-centered red teaming studies in the Global South. Our two-fold approach prioritizes localization and participation, by focusing on secondary urban centers in these regions, and conducting community engagement and training workshops to contextualize local norms. As a result, we present PLACES, a dataset comprising over 26,000 examples of T2I model failures collected in partnership with universities in Ghana, Nigeria, and two regions of India (Karnataka and Punjab). Analysis of prompts collected reveals a wide-ranging diversity in socio-cultural and linguistic attributes, when compared to existing geography-agnostic crowdsourced red-teaming data. We observe unique adversarial patterns enabled by local cultural and linguistic nuances, and distinct clusters within region around specific themes, such as religion in India. Moreover, we uncover structural contextual gaps in existing safety frameworks by identifying novel harms showing normative dissonance (e.g., violating religious norms, ignoring local customs, and ominous symbolism). This work argues that expanding T2I safety requires moving beyond mere scale to incorporate deeply localised, participatory methodologies for data collection and contextualization. Content warning: This paper includes examples containing potentially harmful or offensive content.

Agricultural landscape segmentation in the Global South is challenging as it is characterized by fragmented plots, high intra-class variance, and a scarcity of labeled training data. Recent advances in segmentation have been made by Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs). However, current approaches encounter critical context length bottlenecks and a domain alignment gap in understanding satellite features. We address these limitations through MAgSeg, a novel, decoder-free MLLM segmentation approach. MAgSeg is an architecturally efficient approach that enables standard MLLMs to perform segmentation of complex smallholder agricultural landscapes from high-resolution satellite imagery, without requiring auxiliary vision decoders. We introduce a novel instruction tuning data format designed to enable scalable fine-tuning and post-training on high resolution satellite imagery, which enables MAgSeg to learn from the global context of the image while generating text tokens for only a patch within the image. Extensive evaluations on datasets spanning three countries in the Global South demonstrate that MAgSeg significantly outperforms state-of-the-art MLLM baselines, offering a scalable solution to map smallholder agricultural environments.

Recent advances in generative AI have shown their potential to be leveraged for legal education. Yet, work on the development and deployment of such systems for legal education in the Global South is limited. In this work, we developed Eskwai for Students, a generative AI assistant to help law students with their legal education. Eskwai for Students is a retrieval augmented generation (RAG) system that provides answers to a wide range of legal questions for law students grounded in a curated database of over 12K case laws and 1.4K legislation in Ghana. We deployed Eskwai for Students in a longitudinal study of 30 months (2.5 years) used by 3.1K law students in Ghana who made 32K queries. We evaluated the helpfulness of our AI, and provided insight into the kinds of queries law students submit to this generative AI tool, which raises some ethical concerns. This work contributes to an understanding of how law students in the Global South are using generative AI for their studies and the ways it could be leveraged responsibly to advance legal education.

Sub-Saharan Africa faces persistently high student-teacher ratios and shortages of qualified teachers, limiting students' access to personalized learning support and formative assessment. To address this challenge, we present Adesua, a WhatsApp-based AI Teaching Assistant for science education that extends the Kwame for Science platform. Adesua leverages WhatsApp's widespread adoption in Africa to provide accessible, curriculum-aligned learning support for Junior High School (JHS) and Senior High School (SHS) students across West Africa. The system integrates curated textbooks and 33 years of national examination questions with generative AI to enable conversational question answering and automated assessment with feedback via a WhatsApp bot. Students can ask science questions, take timed or untimed multiple-choice tests by topic or exam year, and receive instant grading and detailed explanations of correct and incorrect responses. A 6-month feasibility deployment in 2025 had 56 active users in Ghana, including students and parents. Quantitative evaluation showed a high perceived usefulness, with a helpfulness score of 93.75% for AI-generated answers, albeit with a small number of ratings (n=16). These preliminary results provide a basis for more extensive future evaluation of a WhatsApp-based AI assistant to assess its potential to offer scalable, low-cost personalized learning support and formative assessment in resource-constrained educational contexts.

Large-scale restoration in drylands is widely promoted to address land degradation and biodiversity loss, yet many efforts rely on long-term irrigation, limiting sustainability in water-scarce regions. A key challenge is identifying locations where native vegetation can persist without intensive management while minimizing costly field campaigns. A scalable pre-screening framework is presented that integrates climate and remote sensing data to enable cost-efficient site selection in arid environments using Saudi Arabia as a case study. A Climate Suitability Score (CSS), derived from machine learning models trained on expert-curated reference sites, captures complex climatic dependencies on vegetation persistence. Using multi-year ERA5-Land data for Saudi Arabia, national-scale prediction maps are generated and combined with vegetation indices to identify areas where climate is favorable, but vegetation remains underdeveloped. Multi-criteria screening reduces candidates to thirteen priority locations. Climatically analogous intact ecosystems provide benchmarks for restoration targets and indicate that an average 2.5 fold increase in vegetation coverage is a realistic target for restoration efforts. Overall, this approach narrows the search space, reduces costs, and supports resilient ecosystem recovery planning in water-limited regions.

As LLMs enter conflict monitoring, understanding systematic distortions in their outputs is critical for humanitarian accountability. We evaluate four vanilla open-weight models Gemma 3 4B, Llama 3.2 3B, Mistral 7B, and OLMo 2 7B and two domain-adapted models, AfroConfliBERT and AfroConfliLLAMA, on Nigeria and Cameroon conflict-event classification against ACLED, a gold-standard dataset with multi-stage verification. We find a bifurcated divergence in normative directionality. Open-weight models exhibit statistically significant False Illegitimation bias: Gemma misclassifies to 18.29% of legitimate battles as civilian-targeted violence while making zero False Legitimation errors. By contrast, AfroConfliBERT and AfroConfliLLAMA achieve near-directional neutrality, with Legitimization Bias differences indistinguishable from zero. Yet domain adaptation does not eliminate actor-based selection bias. Both adapted models show statistically significant actor bias comparable to vanilla LLMs; in Nigeria, state actors are legitimized 36.5% more often than non-state actors in identical tactical contexts. Open-weight outputs are also fragile to geography-specific lexical framing: delegitimizing phrases produce flip rates up to 66.7% in Cameroon and 34.2% in Nigeria, while perturbations salient in one context may not matter in another. Error trace profiling shows models mask normative bias through unfaithful rationale confabulations. In contrast, AfroConfliBERT and AfroConfliLLAMA are largely robust, with near-zero flip rates across perturbation categories. Overall, current models are not ready for unsupervised deployment in conflict monitoring. We call for fairness-aware fine-tuning to reduce actor-based selection bias, mandatory adversarial robustness evaluation against lexical manipulation, and context-specific human-in-the-loop oversight calibrated to regional difficulty.

Managing municipal solid waste in rapidly urbanizing Sub-Saharan Africa remains challenging due to dispersed informal dumping and limited high-resolution datasets for spatial monitoring. We present an open-access deep learning model for automated detection of openly dumped dispersed solid waste via crowdsourced UAV imagery, trained and evaluated across 29 regions in 10 countries, encompassing diverse environmental contexts. A deep learning model trained on manually annotated image tiles achieved excellent performance in detecting openly dumped dispersed solid waste across all study regions. Predicted distributions reveal heterogeneous accumulation patterns, ranging from localized hotspots - often along waterways, where waste can exacerbate flood and public health risks - to more dispersed litter across urban areas. Waste accumulation is most strongly associated with population density and indicators of lack of local infrastructure access, whereas its relationship with broader measures of regional development is weaker, highlighting the importance of fine-scale data for understanding localized waste dynamics. By releasing the model, this study provides a ready-to-use tool for UAV imagery collected by municipalities and local mapping communities, enabling openly dumped dispersed solid waste monitoring without extensive technical expertise. This approach empowers local practitioners to convert UAV imagery into actionable insights, supporting targeted interventions and improved municipal solid waste management across Sub-Saharan Africa.

Pakistan experienced an unusually severe flood season between June and December 2025, with cascading impacts on population, infrastructure, and agriculture. Existing operational flood products (e.g., UNOSAT) provide valuable episode-level snapshots but rarely deliver spatially and temporally continuous inundation maps at near-real-time latency within the country. We present a multi-sensor, ensemble-based remote-sensing framework for continuous flood nowcasting in Pakistan that integrates Sentinel-1 SAR, Harmonized Landsat-Sentinel (HLS L30 and S30), MODIS, and VIIRS observations on a harmonized grid in Google Earth Engine. The framework employs a tiered nowcasting ensemble that prioritizes higher-resolution sensors (Sentinel-1 and HLS) and falls back to MODIS and VIIRS when necessary, preserving daily continuity of flood extent at each sensor's native resolution. Applied to the 2025 monsoon period, the system generates near-real-time, spatially consistent inundation maps across Pakistan. As a nowcasting case study, we track the super-flood of 26 August-7 September 2025 day by day, demonstrating the framework's ability to capture the evolving flood footprint in near real time and extend beyond the temporal limits of episodic mapping products. Validation against GloFAS discharge anomalies and precipitation datasets (CHIRPS v3.0, MSWEP) shows strong agreement with observed hydrometeorological conditions. By integrating nowcast outputs with exposure layers (WorldPop, ESA WorldCover, Giga-HOTOSM), the framework enables rapid estimation of affected populations, cropland, and critical infrastructure, supporting timely disaster response and resilience planning in South Asia.

Accurate predictions of smallholder maize yields across national boundaries are critical for food security planning in sub-Saharan Africa, yet most published benchmarks report within-country performance that overstates true generalisability. This paper evaluates whether geospatial foundation model embeddings, specifically Prithvi-EO-1.0-100M and ViT-Base, outperform traditional Sentinel-2 spectral features under a Leave-One-Country-Out cross-validation scheme on 6,404 maize field observations from five African countries. The results show a clear generalisability gap: within-country random cross-validation yields moderate R^2 values, but all feature sets perform poorly under cross-country testing, with universally negative R^2. Frozen Prithvi-EO embeddings provide no meaningful advantage over engineered spectral features for cross-country prediction in this setting. The paper argues that the main limitation is a shift in yield distribution between countries rather than representation quality and releases a reproducible negative benchmark for future work.

Reliable agricultural data is essential for food security, land-use planning, and economic resilience, yet in Palestine, such data remains difficult to collect at scale because of fragmented landscapes, limited field access, and restrictions on aerial monitoring. This paper presents ResAF-Net, a satellite-based tree detection framework designed for large-scale agricultural monitoring in resource-constrained settings. The proposed architecture combines a ResNet-50 encoder, Atrous Spatial Pyramid Pooling (ASPP), a feature-fusion stage, a multi-head self-attention refinement module, and an anchor-free FCOS detection head to improve tree localization in dense and heterogeneous scenes. Trained on the MillionTrees benchmark, the model achieved 82% Recall, 63.03% mAP@0.50, and 35.47% mAP@0.50:0.95 on the validation split, indicating strong sensitivity to tree presence while maintaining competitive localization quality. Beyond benchmark evaluation, we implemented the model within a web-based GIS application integrated with Palestinian cadastral data from GeoMolg, enabling tree analysis at scene, parcel, and community levels. This deployment demonstrates the practical feasibility of AI-assisted agricultural inventorying in Palestine. It provides a foundation for data-driven monitoring, reporting, and future species-level analysis of Mediterranean tree crops.

Poverty statistics guide social policy, but in many low- and middle-income countries, censuses and household surveys that collect these data are costly, infrequent, quickly outdated, and sometimes error-prone. Satellite imagery offers global coverage and the possibility of predicting economic livelihoods at scale, yet existing approaches to predicting livelihoods with imagery or other non-traditional data often fail to reliably identify local-level variation and, as we show, degrade under temporal shift. Here we introduce Tempov, a satellite foundation model pretrained by self-supervision on three million bi-temporal Landsat pairs and adapted with parameter-efficient fine-tuning to sparse survey labels. The model enables large-scale, high-resolution wealth mapping and dynamic measurement, including zero-shot nowcasting up to a decade after observed labels, retrospective hindcasting, and decadal change tracking, while outperforming existing neural network and geospatial foundation-model baselines. In low-label regimes, Tempov achieves competitive accuracy with only 10% of survey samples, indicating substantially reduced dependence on expensive label collection. The model further generalizes across populous countries within and outside Africa, and scales to a unified Africa-wide model with strong continent-level performance ($R^2=0.63$, $r^2=0.68$), from which we generate high-resolution decadal maps of wealth and wealth changes for the African continent. Analysis of these maps shows large variation in recent economic performance both within and across countries. Our open-source approach provides a pathway to timely, scalable, low-cost monitoring of wealth and poverty from routinely collected satellite data.

Where and how language models (LMs) are deployed determines who can benefit from them. However, there are several challenges that prevent effective deployment of LMs in non-English-speaking and hardware constrained communities in the Global South. We call this challenge the last mile: the intersection of multilinguality and edge deployment, where the goals are aligned but the technical requirements often compete. Studying these two fields together is both a need, as linguistically diverse communities often face the most severe infrastructure constraints, and an opportunity, as edge and multilingual NLP research remain largely siloed. To understand the state of the art and the challenges of combining the two areas, we survey 232 papers that tackle this problem across the language modelling pipeline, from data collection to development and deployment. We also discuss open questions and provide actionable recommendations for different stakeholders in the NLP ecosystem. Finally, we hope that this work contributes to the development of inclusive and equitable language technologies.

Urban flooding is a growing climate change-related hazard in rapidly expanding African cities, where inadequate waste management often blocks drainage systems and amplifies flood risks. This study introduces an AI-powered urban waste mapping workflow that leverages openly available aerial and street-view imagery to detect municipal solid waste at high resolution. Applied in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, our approach reveals spatial waste patterns linked to informal settlements and socio-economic factors. Waste accumulation in waterways was found to be up to three times higher than in adjacent urban areas, highlighting critical hotspots for climate-exacerbated flooding. Unlike traditional manual mapping methods, this scalable AI approach allows city-wide monitoring and prioritization of interventions. Crucially, our collaboration with local partners ensured culturally and contextually relevant data labeling, reflecting real-world reuse practices for solid waste. The results offer actionable insights for urban planning, climate adaptation, and sustainable waste management in flood-prone urban areas.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly multilingual, yet open models continue to underperform relative to proprietary systems, with the gap most pronounced for African languages. Continued pre-training (CPT) offers a practical route to language adaptation, but improvements on demanding capabilities such as mathematical reasoning often remain limited. This limitation is driven in part by the uneven domain coverage and missing task-relevant knowledge that characterize many low-resource language corpora. We present \texttt{AfriqueLLM}, a suite of open LLMs adapted to 20 African languages through CPT on 26B tokens. We perform a comprehensive empirical study across five base models spanning sizes and architectures, including Llama 3.1, Gemma 3, and Qwen 3, and systematically analyze how CPT data composition shapes downstream performance. In particular, we vary mixtures that include math, code, and synthetic translated data, and evaluate the resulting models on a range of multilingual benchmarks. Our results identify data composition as the primary driver of CPT gains. Adding math, code, and synthetic translated data yields consistent improvements, including on reasoning-oriented evaluations. Within a fixed architecture, larger models typically improve performance, but architectural choices dominate scale when comparing across model families. Moreover, strong multilingual performance in the base model does not reliably predict post-CPT outcomes; robust architectures coupled with task-aligned data provide a more dependable recipe. Finally, our best models improve long-context performance, including document-level translation. Models and code have been released on Huggingface and Github.

We present a collection of open, machine-readable document datasets covering parliamentary proceedings, legal judgments, government publications, news, and tourism statistics from Sri Lanka. The collection currently comprises of 278,621 documents (80.7 GB) across 26 datasets in Sinhala, Tamil, and English. The datasets are updated daily and mirrored on GitHub and Hugging Face. These resources aim to support research in computational linguistics, legal analytics, socio-political studies, and multilingual natural language processing. We describe the data sources, collection pipeline, formats, and potential use cases, while discussing licensing and ethical considerations. This manuscript is at version v2026-07-02-0940.