Uncertainty Quantification

Also known as UQ

Latest papers 431

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  1. Physically Constrained Ensemble Gaussian Process Modelling for Expensive Quantum Systems with Heteroskedastic Noise

    May 29, 2026Arpan Biswas, Sutirtha Paul, Joseph Agada +2Surrogate ModelingUncertainty Quantification

  2. The Dynamic-Probabilistic Consistency Gap in Chaotic Surrogate Modeling

    May 29, 2026Andre Herz, Matthijs Pals, Daniel Durstewitz +1Dynamical SystemsSurrogate Modeling

  3. Bifurcated Remaining Useful Life Prediction: A Hybrid Approach for Realistic Uncertainty Characterization

    May 29, 2026Xabier Belaunzaran, Antonio Nappa, Arkaitz Artetxe +1Uncertainty QuantificationRUL Estimation

  4. Scalable Bayesian Inference for Nonlinear Conservation Laws

    May 29, 2026Tim Weiland, Philipp HennigUncertainty QuantificationBayesian Inverse Problems

  5. Conformal Reliability: A New Evaluation Metric for Conditional Generation

    May 29, 2026Yachen Gao, Xinwei Sun, Yikai Wang +4Uncertainty QuantificationConformal Prediction

  6. Is the Last Layer Sufficient for Uncertainty Quantification?

    May 29, 2026Joseph Wilson, Chris van der Heide, Liam Hodgkinson +1Uncertainty QuantificationBayesian Inference

  7. Benchmarking Machine Learning Uncertainty Quantification Methodologies for Predicting Turbine Gas Temperature Degradation

    May 28, 2026Jostein Barry-Straume, Changmin Son, Adrian Sandu +4Uncertainty QuantificationPredictive Maintenance

  8. Uncertainty-aware Multi-fidelity Closure via Conditional Normalizing Flows

    May 27, 2026Jice Zeng, Shady E. Ahmed, David Barajas-Solano +1Uncertainty QuantificationMultifidelity Modeling

  9. Conf-Gen: Conformal Uncertainty Quantification for Generative Models

    May 27, 2026Gabriel Loaiza-Ganem, Kevin Zhang, Wei Cui +2Uncertainty QuantificationConformal Prediction

  10. Random Process Flow Matching: Generative Implicit Representations of Multivariate Random Fields

    May 27, 2026Julien Lalanne, David Picard, Lionel Boillot +3Flow MatchingUncertainty Quantification

  11. High Performance, Low Reliability: Uncertainty Benchmarking for Tabular Foundation Models

    May 27, 2026José Lucas De Melo Costa, Fabrice Popineau, Arpad Rimmel +1Tabular Foundation ModelsUncertainty Quantification

  12. Provably Guaranteed Polytopic Uncertainty Quantification for SLAM

    May 27, 2026Guangyang Zeng, Yulong Gao, Yuan Shen +4Simultaneous Localization and MappingUncertainty Quantification

  13. Localizing Input Uncertainty Quantification for Large Language Models via Shapley Values

    May 27, 2026Seongjun Lee, Suwan Yoon, Changhee LeeUncertainty QuantificationShapley Value Attribution

  14. Multi-Teacher Knowledge Distillation via Teacher-Informed Mixture Priors

    May 27, 2026Luyang Fang, Yongkai Chen, Jiazhang Cai +2Uncertainty QuantificationUncertainty-Aware Knowledge Distillation

  15. Con-DSO: Learning Short-Horizon Consistency Priors for RGB-D Direct Sparse Odometry

    May 27, 2026Haolan Zhang, Thanh Nguyen Canh, Chenghao Li +3Multi-View ConsistencyUncertainty Quantification

  16. Quantifying Uncertainty in Space Debris Capture with Active Tether-Net Systems Caused by Noisy Observations

    May 26, 2026Feng Liu, Achira Boonrath, Eleonora M. Botta +1Uncertainty QuantificationSensitivity Analysis

  17. Measuring Prediction Uncertainty in Neural Cellular Automata

    May 26, 2026Ario Sadafi, Michael Deutges, Nassir Navab +1Neural Cellular AutomataImage Segmentation

  18. Variational Inference for Evidential Deep Learning

    May 26, 2026Jiawei Tang, Xinyan Du, Hui Liu +2Evidential Deep LearningUncertainty Quantification

  19. Neuronal Stochastic Attention Circuit (NSAC) for Probabilistic Representation Learning

    May 25, 2026Waleed Razzaq, Yun-Bo ZhaoRepresentation LearningUncertainty Quantification

  20. Statistical Inference for Stochastic Gradient Descent Beyond Finite Variance

    May 25, 2026Jose Blanchet, Peter Glynn, Wenhao YangStochastic OptimizationConfidence Region Estimation

  21. Fuzzy PyTorch: Rapid Numerical Variability Evaluation for Deep Learning Models

    May 25, 2026Inés Gonzalez-Pepe, Hiba Akhaddar, Tristan Glatard +1Uncertainty Quantification

  22. Conformalised imprecise inference for robust extrapolation under limited data

    May 25, 2026Yu Chen, Scott FersonDistribution Shift RobustnessUncertainty Quantification

  23. Courtroom Analogy: New Perspective on Uncertainty-Aware Classification

    May 25, 2026Taeseong Yoon, Heeyoung KimUncertainty QuantificationInterpretable ML

  24. Generalized Evidential Deep Learning: From a Bayesian Perspective

    May 25, 2026Yuanye Liu, Yibo Gao, Yuanyang Chen +1Evidential Deep LearningUncertainty Quantification

  25. A Geometric Gaussian Mixture Representation of Plane Curves

    May 24, 2026Ali Darijani, Benedikt Stratmann, Jürgen BeyererUncertainty QuantificationGaussian Mixture Models

  26. Metropolis-Scale Resilient and Trustworthy Traffic Flow Inference Using Multi-Source Data

    May 24, 2026Qishen Zhou, Yifan Zhang, Michail A. Makridis +3Uncertainty QuantificationNeural Processes

  27. Uncertainty Decomposition via Cyclical SG-MCMC and Soft-label Learning for Subjective NLP

    May 23, 2026Keito Inoshita, Takato UenoSoft-Label LearningBayesian Neural Networks