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Scientific observations generate large quantities of unlabeled data which is laborious to hand-label, making unsupervised learning techniques valuable for processing datasets. Among these approaches, contrastive learning provides a convenient mechanism for extracting structural representations from unannotated datasets. For natural imagery, the general approach is to use a variety of data-space augmentation methods in order to generate synthetic samples; however, for scientific observations data-space perturbations can fundamentally alter the underlying data. Our proposed method is to generate contrastive samples by perturbing the network weights rather than the underlying data, thus more closely preserving the structure of the data. We demonstrate this technique using a SimCLR-based pipeline applied over radar observations of meteors, and show performance gains under matched protocols.

Current mobile health platforms are predominantly individual-centric and lack the support for coordinated, auditable multi-actor workflows. However, in many settings worldwide, health decisions are enacted through multi-actor coordination rather than individual users. We present JEEVHITAA, a cross-platform mobile system enabling role-aware sharing and verifiable information flows within permissioned care circles. JEEVHITAA ingests platform and device data, builds layered profiles from sensors and tiered onboarding, and enforces fine-grained, time-bounded access control across care graphs. Data stays secure both within the application and the cloud. Integrated retrieval-augmented Large Language Models produce structured, role-targeted summaries and action plans, offer evidence-grounded verification with provenance and confidence scores, and support advanced insights on reports. We describe the architecture, connector abstractions, and security primitives, and report robustness evaluations using synthetic, ontology-driven data and findings from a feasibility study with real-life care circles across 9-14 weeks. We outline plans for larger multi-site evaluations focusing on operational alignment, longitudinal trust & literacy impact, and relational friction & efforts to sink into the daily infrastructure.

Algorithmic trading systems on decentralised exchanges (DEXs) reject most candidate tokens they evaluate. The counterfactual outcome of rejected candidates (what would have happened had the system entered) is rarely measured. This paper introduces Post-Rejection Follow-up Sampling (PRFS). A separate tracking subsystem samples each rejected token's price and liquidity at a configurable cadence, over a horizon of up to twenty-four hours. PRFS produces the data needed to evaluate filter precision against actual market outcomes of rejected candidates, not against synthetic backtest reconstructions. The methodology, data architecture, and deposit format are described in Section III. The companion dataset contains 67,000 forward-outcome observation rows across 2,997 rejection events spanning 457 unique mints, collected over a continuous eight-day window (2026-04-10 to 2026-04-19, UTC). Approximately 55 percent of rejection events receive at least one forward observation; coverage at the mint level is complete. The principal binding constraint on downstream classification is per-event horizon density, not event-level coverage. PRFS is dataset-independent. It generalises to any algorithmic decision system in which rejections substantially outnumber executions.

Relational Foundation Models (RFMs) promise a single pre-trained predictor that, given any relational database, returns predictions in one forward pass via relational in-context learning (ICL). Yet a substantial gap separates open RFMs from their commercial counterparts, and the origin of this gap has not been systematically understood. We dissect a representative framework, the Relational Transformer (RT), from two perspectives. Model side: we show that RT performs relation-level ICL, and a kernel regression view shows it fails when sparse label-cell coverage yields an underdetermined regression. Data side: we ablate RT's pre-training source and find that existing synthetic-only pre-training and in-distribution pre-training drive the same architecture into different regimes, lazy vs. feature-learning. Probing this gap reveals that the missing ingredient is a support-identifiable relational latent in the label-generation process. These two diagnoses translate into (1) a dual-stage ICL architecture that combines the relational backbone with a batch-level ICL layer lifted from a pre-trained tabular foundation model to overcome relation-level label scarcity, and (2) a homophily-aware synthetic plus continual real-data pre-training mixture, augmented with a prototype-based regularization. These choices define OpenRFM, a simple yet effective RFM that improves average task performance by approximately 30% over the RT backbone and surpasses the commercial model KumoRFMv1 on a large set of evaluation tasks.

Closed-weight generative services are increasingly deployed through query-based APIs, where users can obtain generated outputs while model parameters remain inaccessible. However, such deployment does not prevent model stealing: an attacker can repeatedly query the service, collect large volumes of released synthetic images, and use them as training data for a private substitute model. This query-output-driven process enables unauthorized knowledge distillation and capability replication without direct access to the original weights. To mitigate this threat, a practical defense should preserve the visual fidelity of released images, provide explicit control over perturbation magnitude, and scale efficiently to large-volume output release. We present WaveGuard, a single-pass, generator-based protection framework that safeguards released synthetic images under a user-specified perturbation budget. WaveGuard employs a frequency-aware perturbation generator to inject structured, imperceptible perturbations that maintain perceptual utility for benign viewers while reducing the usefulness of protected images as training data for unauthorized student models. Extensive experiments under WikiArt-related synthetic-output distillation settings show that WaveGuard achieves a favorable efficacy--fidelity--efficiency trade-off, with explicit imperceptibility control and substantial gains in protection efficiency.

Dataset distillation compresses large training sets into compact synthetic datasets while preserving downstream performance. As modern systems increasingly operate on paired vision-language inputs, multimodal distillation must preserve representation quality and cross-modal alignment under tight compute and memory budgets, yet prior methods often require heavy computes and overlook their correlations. To address this, we present Multimodal Distribution Matching (MDM), a geometry-aware framework for efficient and generalizable multimodal distillation. Specifically, MDM integrates complementary components at the data, model, and loss levels. At the data level, it initializes synthetic image-text pairs by sampling from clusters in the joint embedding space. At the model level, it forms a mixed teacher by interpolating independently fine-tuned models in weight space according to their angular deviation from the pretrained anchor. At the loss level, it matches joint distributions on the unit hypersphere using a geometry-aware matching objective that exploits the joint features in the cross-modal agreement and discrepancy directions along with symmetric contrastive learning. Across image-text retrieval benchmarks with cross-architecture evaluation, MDM yields compact synthetic sets that preserve multimodal semantics, substantially reduce distillation cost, and remain robust across architectures.

Modeling high-dimensional dependencies while keeping likelihoods tractable remains challenging. Classical vine-copula pipelines are interpretable but can be expensive, while many neural estimators are flexible but less structured. In this work, we propose Vine Denoising Copula (VDC), an amortized vine-copula pipeline for continuous-data, simplified-vine dependence modeling. VDC trains a single bivariate denoising model and reuses it across all vine edges. For each edge, given pseudo-observations, the model predicts a piecewise-constant density grid. We then apply an IPFP/Sinkhorn projection that normalizes mass and drives the marginals to uniformity. This preserves the tractable vine-likelihood structure and the usual copula interpretation while replacing repeated per-edge optimization with GPU inference. Across synthetic and real-data benchmarks, VDC delivers strong bivariate density accuracy, competitive MI/TC estimation, and faster high-dimensional vine fitting. These gains make explicit information estimation and dependence decomposition feasible when repeated vine fitting would otherwise be costly, while conditional downstream tasks remain a limitation.

Event-based saliency prediction has gained attention recently, as combining event cameras with saliency estimation can act as an upstream stage that naturally improves the efficiency of downstream eventbased perception at the edge. However, current approaches are either neuromorphic, underperforming on event-based saliency benchmarks, or too heavy for resource-constrained edge applications due to their reliance on transformers or 3D convolutions. Drawing inspiration from efficient convolutional modules, SED and aiming to exploit the temporal information in event data, we propose a lightweight network, trained through knowledge distillation, built on a Depthwise Spatio-Temporal Block (DSTconv) -- a factorization of the 3D depthwise separable convolution. Relative to its teacher, our model reduces the model size from 180 MB to 0.32 MB (562x) and the parameter count from 45M to 81k (554x), while matching or outperforming it on the N-DHF1K and N-UCF Sports datasets. Moreover, it generalizes strongly beyond its training distribution, transferring from synthetic to real event data where a model trained from scratch fails.

A digital twin (DT) of a patient-specific heart offers significant potential in personalized medicine. However, its rapid and dynamic adaptation to an individual's live data and its predictive capability after adaptation remains central challenges. We examine this challenge from its two building blocks: DT formulation where mechanistic and data-driven models show competing merits and limitations, and DT optimization strategies that are largely driven by a reconstruction objective leading to un-identifiable models. We address both bottlenecks via HAPI -- an AI framework for building hybrid, adaptive, and predictive DTs with three key enablers. First, HAPI constructs a physics-integrated gray-box model in which an interpretable mechanistic backbone is augmented by a neural component that models its residual to the observed data. Second, rather than attempting to pre-encode all possible variations in a static hybrid model, HAPI enables rapid on-the-fly adaptation of the hybrid model to few-shot live data, achieved by feedforward meta-learners realizing amortized inference of both mechanistic and neural parameters of the hybrid model trained with predictive objectives. Finally, we show that this adaptivity corresponds to the construction of a conditional generative model (i.e., the hybrid DT) that endows it with theoretical identifiability and thus strong performance in predictive scenarios. We demonstrate the proof-of-concept of HAPI in cardiac electrophysiology using a hybrid monodomain model with mechanistic reaction kinetics and neural graph diffusion. Across synthetic and real-data studies, we show that HAPI's mechanistic-neural hybridization and predictive adaptation are critical for obtaining identifiable DTs with strong predictive and out-of-distribution capabilities.

Suppose we are given an ordered sequence of independent data whose distribution changes $K$ times at unknown locations, for some unknown $K \geq 0$. In this paper, we study the problem of performing distribution-free inference on $K$. First, we show an impossibility result: any distribution-free upper confidence bound on $K$ must be trivial and uninformative. Then, using conformal $p$-values, and under only the assumption that the data segments induced by the changepoints are exchangeable (within themselves) and mutually independent, we construct a finite-sample valid lower confidence bound on $K$, which we call the Conformal LOwer bound on Changepoint Count (CLOCC). We show that CLOCC is the only feasible way to provide a lower bound on $K$ under the stated assumptions, a property we refer to as its universality. We provide practical guidelines for choosing score functions that yield efficient and tight lower bounds. We evaluate CLOCC in several synthetic and real-data experiments, where it provides informative lower bounds on $K$, demonstrating its practical applicability.

Panel data, in which multiple units are repeatedly observed over time, arise throughout science and engineering. Quantifying predictive uncertainty in such settings is challenging because conformal prediction, while distribution-free and model-agnostic, classically relies on exchangeability assumptions that fail under temporal dependence and unit heterogeneity. We propose a simple online conformal framework for non-exchangeable panel data. The method exploits a key feature of online panel prediction: when a forecast is required for one unit, contemporaneous outcomes from related units may already be observed and can serve as a calibration panel. At each round, prediction sets are formed using currently observed calibration units together with two adaptive quantities: history-based similarity weights that emphasize calibration units resembling the target, and an adaptive miscoverage level that is updated whenever target feedback is revealed. This two-state design yields a stepwise coverage bound and a long-run coverage guarantee. Empirically, across synthetic and real panel data sets, the method improves coverage on the worst-covered target units through adaptive interval-width allocation rather than uniform inflation. The two states are complementary: similarity weights protect coverage when target feedback is sparse, while the adaptive level further improves coverage as feedback accumulates.

Accurate estimation of clinically meaningful gait parameters from monocular video is important for scalable mobility assessment, yet progress is limited by the small scale, restricted viewpoints, and limited visual diversity of existing datasets. We introduce SynthGait-19k, a physically grounded synthetic video dataset containing 19,272 walking videos derived from 6,427 MoCap sequences across 437 subjects, with paired SMPL motion and annotations for six gait parameters. To construct the dataset, we develop Gait2Vid, which unifies heterogeneous MoCap recordings through SMPL and synthesizes diverse RGB walking videos under controllable viewpoints and scene appearances. We assess the generated videos for consistency with their conditioning gait kinematics and validate extracted gait events against force-platform measurements. Using SynthGait-19K, we benchmark direct RGB, pose-based, biomechanical, and human-mesh-recovery approaches and analyze viewpoint, training-data scale, and synthetic-to-real domain shift. We also introduce GaitXFormer as a direct RGB reference model for estimating gait parameters. Synthetic supervision transfers effectively to real videos across both GaitXFormer and a pose-based architecture, demonstrating utility across different representations. We further find that spatial gait parameters are more sensitive to visual domain shift and that improved HMR reconstruction alone does not necessarily translate to improved downstream gait estimation.

High-speed off-road autonomy requires precise closed-loop control for a target vehicle while remaining robust across changing terrains. Recent forward kinodynamic (FKD) prediction foundation models suggest a promising path, starting from a generalist model and specializing it to the target platform. However, effective specialization remains challenging, as it often requires substantial real-world data, and models adapted to one setting can still overfit to specific terrains or driving regimes. We present OptCar (Optimized Car), a recipe for bridging the gap from generalist to specialist FKD models that preserves cross-terrain generalization while optimizing performance for a specific vehicle. $\texttt{OptCar}$ introduces a history-conditioned dynamics adaptation module that encodes recent state-action observations into a dynamics context token, and then fine-tunes the generalist model using limited real-world data together with targeted synthetic rollouts from environment-specific system identification. In closed-loop model predictive control (MPC) experiments across three terrains and an out-of-distribution cart-pulling task, the largest gains appear at 6m/s, the highest speed evaluated and the regime in which slip dominates tracking error. On vegetation and dirt, the most slip-diverse terrain, OptCar reduces 6m/s trajectory tracking error by roughly 55% relative to a fine-tuned AnyCar baseline, and remains the most accurate even when an unseen cart payload changes the dynamics. With only 5 minutes of real data per terrain, OptCar is competitive on road with a specialist trained on 30 minutes of road data, and substantially outperforms it once the terrain changes.

Modern applications of conformal inference to multiple testing problems, such as outlier detection and candidate selection, often involve selecting test samples whose conformal p-values fall below a threshold. The quality of such methods is often measured by the false discovery proportion (FDP), defined as the fraction of incorrect selections. Existing approaches typically control the expected value of the FDP, using methods such as the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. This approach fails to provide high-probability bounds on the realized false discovery proportion and invalidates statistical guarantees if the rejection threshold is selected after inspecting the data. This paper establishes finite-sample, distribution-free upper bounds on the FDP that hold simultaneously over all possible rejection thresholds, enabling arbitrary post hoc selection of the threshold. Simultaneous validity is achieved by constructing a high-probability envelope for the empirical distribution function of null conformal p-values by sampling from their joint distribution. Furthermore, our framework allows practitioners to modulate the envelope's shape, thereby producing tight bounds in rejection regions of primary interest. We use this flexible approach to derive simultaneous FDP upper bounds for both outlier detection and conformal selection. We demonstrate through synthetic and real-data experiments that the resulting bounds are both valid and substantially less conservative than those derived from existing approaches.

Atmospheric visibility is a critical variable for transportation safety and air quality management, however, accurate prediction remains challenging due to the complex interactions between meteorological conditions and air pollutants, as well as the rarity of low-visibility events. This study introduces a machine learning framework to nowcast visibility in six major South Korean cities. To handle the imbalance in the 2018-2020 training data, we applied the Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique with Nominal and Continuous (SMOTENC) and Conditional Tabular Generative Adversarial Network (CTGAN). An ensemble approach combining machine learning and deep learning models was then used and evaluated on a 2021 test dataset. The results revealed a marked decline in predictive performance in the test set compared to the cross-validation phase. This degradation was attributed to a distributional shift between training and testing periods, which was quantitatively confirmed by measuring the Wasserstein distance of the most influential feature identified by SHAP analysis. In general, this study presents a methodology that aims to simultaneously address the dual challenges of data imbalance and temporal distributional shifts, and emphasizes the necessity of accounting for evolving external environmental factors when implementing nowcasting models on time-series data.

Active learning reduces labeling cost by querying the most informative unlabeled samples, but standard coreset methods ignore known data symmetries and can waste budget on transformed versions of the same instance. We propose GRINCO, a group-invariant coreset framework that performs acquisition in the quotient space induced by a transformation group, so that selection operates on orbits rather than raw samples. The method uses either canonical representatives or learned orbit-separating invariant embeddings to define practical quotient metrics, and combines quotient-space k-center selection with invariant training through an orbit-averaged loss. We further derive a generalization bound that relates excess orbit-averaged risk to quotient-space coverage, label uncertainty, and intra-orbit variability. Experiments on synthetic scale-invariant data and image benchmarks with rotation-induced redundancy show that GRINCO improves orbit coverage and achieves stronger label efficiency than conventional coreset baselines, especially when group-induced redundancy is substantial.

Accurate state estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is fundamental to modern aerospace operations across air, sea, and space domains. Online tracking of adversarial unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is especially challenging due to agile nonlinear motion, noisy and sparse sensor measurements, and unknown control inputs; conditions that violate key assumptions of classical Kalman filter variants and degrade estimation performance. Neural networks (NNs) can learn complex nonlinear relationships from data, but lack principled uncertainty quantification, which is critical for state estimation tasks where confidence bounds drive downstream decisions. We address this with Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), which model uncertainty through distributions over network weights and produce predictive means and uncertainties via Monte Carlo sampling. Building on this, we propose the Bayesian Neural Kalman Filter (BNKF): a hybrid framework coupling a trained BNN with a Kalman correction step for robust online UAV state estimation. Unlike related neural Kalman approaches, BNKF produces full state predictions and incorporates Bayesian uncertainty directly into covariance propagation, improving robustness under high noise conditions. We evaluate BNKF under varying radar noise levels and sampling rates using synthetic nonlinear UAV flight data. Five fold cross validation demonstrates that BNKF outperforms Extended and Unscented Kalman Filters in accuracy, precision, and truth containment under degraded sensing. An ensemble variant (BNKFe) further improves precision in high-noise edge cases at a slight accuracy tradeoff. Runtime analysis confirms minimal inference overhead, supporting real-time deployment feasibility.

Networked AI systems increasingly rely on multiple agents that collaboratively learn and adapt models over communication networks. In such systems, bilevel formulations naturally arise in hyperparameter optimization, data cleaning, and meta-learning, but the repeated evaluation of gradients, Jacobians, and Hessians can impose a substantial computational burden on individual agents. To address this challenge, we propose Snapshot-SLDBO (S$^3$LDBO), an efficient single-loop decentralized bilevel optimization algorithm that enables agents to intermittently skip expensive derivative evaluations through a snapshot mechanism. This mechanism can be interpreted as an autonomous computation-adaptation strategy for networked AI, where agents selectively perform costly local updates while maintaining global collaborative learning. We establish the ergodic iteration complexity and the high probability nonergodic iteration complexity of the proposed algorithm within a deterministic setting. Experimental results on hyperparameter optimization with synthetic and MNIST datasets, data hyper-cleaning on Fashion-MNIST, and decentralized meta-learning on miniImageNet demonstrate that the proposed algorithm improves computational efficiency while maintaining competitive learning performance.

Large language models (LLMs) rely on static pretraining corpora, causing their knowledge to become outdated over time. Existing approaches for evaluating knowledge edits either suffer from rapid contamination or rely on counterfactual edits that conflict with rigid existing knowledge. In this work, we propose a synthetic, simulation-driven framework for studying knowledge insertion in LLMs. We introduce {\sc ParallelEvents}, a benchmark of fictional yet realistic future worlds that generates coherent event trajectories for controlled evaluation, avoiding contamination while preserving consistency. Building on this dataset, we develop {\sc Synapse}, a training framework that uses model-generated data to update model parameters via mid-training and instruction tuning. This synthetic pipeline enables scalable knowledge integration without costly human-curated data. Empirically, {\sc Synapse} outperforms existing methods by 14.23%, demonstrating that simulation-based synthetic training leads to robust and coherent knowledge insertions.

In many fairness and distribution robustness problems, one has access to labeled data from multiple source distributions yet the test data may come from an arbitrary member or a mixture of them. We study the problem of constructing a conformal prediction set that is uniformly valid across multiple, heterogeneous distributions, in the sense that no matter which distribution the test point is from, the coverage of the prediction set is guaranteed to exceed a pre-specified level. We first propose a max-p aggregation scheme that delivers finite-sample, multi-distribution coverage given any conformity scores associated with each distribution. Upon studying several efficiency optimization programs subject to uniform coverage, we prove the optimality and tightness of our aggregation scheme, and propose a general algorithm to learn conformity scores that lead to efficient prediction sets after the aggregation under standard conditions. We discuss how our framework relates to group-wise distributionally robust optimization, sub-population shift, fairness, and multi-source learning. In synthetic and real-data experiments, our method delivers valid worst-case coverage across multiple distributions while greatly reducing the set size compared with naively applying max-p aggregation to single-source conformity scores, and can be comparable in size to single-source prediction sets with popular, standard conformity scores.

Best-of-$N$ sampling is widely used to construct pairwise preference data: $N$ candidates are drawn from a base distribution, and the best is paired with a rejected response. Despite its widespread use, what Bradley--Terry (BT) reward learning extracts from such data, and how to choose $N$ and the base distribution, remain unclear. We specialize a recent analysis of preference data via its induced conditional distribution to Best-of-$N$. For independent-reference variants, we derive closed-form reward targets as explicit functions of $N$ and the base distribution, and show that they preserve the latent reward ranking. For the practical Best-vs-Random and Best-vs-Worst variants, chosen and rejected responses are coupled through the same candidate set, so exact BT representability generally fails; nevertheless, bounded-class minimizers approach the reference targets as $N$ grows. Although margin and connectivity are known to govern sample efficiency in pairwise preference learning, Best-of-$N$ couples them through $N$ in opposing directions: larger $N$ widens pairwise margins but reduces connectivity. This trade-off yields two design principles: use larger $N$ when preference labels are the bottleneck, smaller $N$ when generation is the bottleneck; and shape the base distribution to place mass between the responses whose comparison matters most at test time. Experiments on synthetic and real preference data support the predicted dependence on sample size and base-distribution shape.

Utilities increasingly rely on planning and operational tools to cope with the increased penetrations of distributed energy resources, yet the lack of realistic, openly available datasets remains a major barrier for benchmarking and comparison. Traditional test feeders, and recently proposed large-scale synthetic networks alleviate this issue but are typically based on heuristic rules and do not learn directly from data. This paper proposes a generative framework based on Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) to create power distribution network layouts using image-based representations. The model is trained on rasterised views of distribution systems and can operate in two modes: an unconditional configuration that learns layout patterns from the training dataset, and conditional configurations that incorporate geographical context such as street maps and the spatial distribution of consumers. The methodology includes dataset preparation from Geographic Information System (GIS) sources, GAN architecture design, and the analysis of training stability and image resolution. Results from three representative cases show that the proposed approach can reproduce the topologies of low (LV), medium (MV) and high voltage (HV) feeders and align generated layouts with underlying geographical structures. At the same time, the study reveals limitations related to training stability, resolution-dependent artefacts and limits, and the absence of explicit electrical constraints. The proposed framework constitutes a data-driven complement to existing synthetic network generation methods, and could be applied to propose distribution network layouts for the electrification of new areas. This would require future extensions towards power flow, electrically validated models.

We study policy representation learning from unlabeled multi-policy behavioral data. Each episode is generated by a fixed policy, but policy labels are unavailable. This setting appears in robotics play, demonstrations, games, racing, and other datasets where heterogeneous behaviors are mixed without annotations. We introduce \emph{Behavioral INR}, a self-supervised generative model that adapts implicit neural representations (INRs) from vision to behavior. Instead of mapping coordinates to RGB values, Behavioral INR represents a policy as a state-action function mapping states to subsequent actions. An episode-level latent modulates this function through FiLM layers, yielding a generative prior over policies and allowing policy identity to be inferred without supervision. Because INRs treat each datapoint as samples from an underlying function, the same model naturally accommodates variable episode lengths and different sampling granularities, as in vision INRs with different image resolutions. We also define policy-level out-of-distribution (OOD) shifts along state-distribution and action-distribution axes, which arise when policies overlap in states or actions but are not captured by standard behavioral OOD settings based only on new agents or environments. We evaluate on synthetic Gaussian random field data, MuJoCo demonstrations with controlled OOD splits, and real-world chess, Formula 1 racing, robotics, and Seek-Avoid datasets. Behavioral INR most consistently improves policy identifiability in the hardest continuous state-action settings, especially when longer episodes, more policies, and OOD splits reduce the usefulness of marginal shortcuts; amortized history encoders remain competitive when policy identity can be recovered from symbolic repetition or low-dimensional action statistics. We release code and checkpoints.

Survival analysis aims to estimate a time-to-event distribution from data with censored observations. Many existing methods either impose structural assumptions on the hazard function or discretize the time axis, which may limit flexibility and introduce approximation errors. We propose the Survival Diffusion Probabilistic Model (SDPM), a generative approach to continuous-time survival analysis. SDPM models the conditional distribution of the survival outcome, represented by the pair of observed time and censoring indicator, $\mathbb{P}(T,δ\mid \mathbf{x})$, using a denoising diffusion model. Under the assumption of conditionally independent censoring, conditional samples generated by the model can be transformed into survival function estimates using the Kaplan-Meier estimator. This formulation avoids parametric assumptions on the event-time distribution and does not require a discretization of the output time space. The model operates in a transformed target space, using standardized log-times and a continuous Gaussian-mixture representation of the censoring indicator. We evaluate SDPM on ten real survival datasets and compare it with five strong baselines, including tree-based, boosting-based, and neural survival models. Results show that SDPM achieves competitive predictive performance across C-index, integrated time-dependent AUC, and integrated Brier score. A study on synthetic Cox-Weibull data demonstrates that SDPM can recover the shape of an underlying continuous survival distribution more accurately than a strong nonparametric baseline when sufficiently many samples are generated. An ablation study confirms the importance of the proposed target-space transformations, which improve event-rate calibration, reduce invalid generated times, and provide consistent gains in predictive discrimination. Codes implementing the proposed model are publicly available.

Computed Tomography (CT) is a widely used imaging modality in medical and industrial applications. To limit radiation exposure and measurement time, there is a growing interest in sparse-view CT, where the number of projection views is significantly reduced. Deep neural networks have shown great promise in improving reconstruction quality in sparse-view CT, especially generative diffusion models. However, these methods struggle to scale to large 3D volumes due to several reasons: (i) the high memory and computational requirements of 3D models, (ii) the lack of large 3D training datasets, and (iii) the inconsistencies across slices when using 2D models independently on each slice. We overcome these limitations and scale diffusion-based sparse-view CT reconstruction to large 3D volumes by combining conditional diffusion with explicit data consistency. We propose Conditional Diffusion Posterior Alignment (CDPA) to enable scalable 3D sparse-view CT reconstruction. A 2D U-Net diffusion model is conditioned on an initial 3D reconstruction to improve inter-slice consistency, combined with data-consistency alignment to match measured projections. Experiments on synthetic and real Cone Beam CT (CBCT) data show state-of-the-art performance, with ablations that confirm the synergistic effects of the proposed pipeline. Finally, we show that the same principles also strengthen fast denoising U-Nets, yielding near-diffusion quality at a fraction of the computational cost.

Conventional forecasting methods are trained end-to-end on unimodal time series, which limits their ability to exploit textual information and undermines their generalization in data-scarce scenarios. Recently, large language models (LLMs) and time series foundation models (TSFMs) have demonstrated powerful capabilities in complex textual reasoning and zero-shot temporal modeling, respectively. Integrating these strengths to construct a multimodal time series foundation model that jointly leverages temporal and textual information for zero-shot future inference has emerged as a promising research direction. However, the scarcity of large-scale, high-quality multimodal datasets remains a fundamental obstacle. To address this challenge, we propose ChronoSteer, a decoupled agentic framework that learns cross-modal alignment from synthetic paired supervision. Specifically, a pretrained LLM first converts textual events into revision instructions that steer the initial unimodal prediction produced by a frozen TSFM. These revision instructions form an intermediate instruction space that bridges the semantic gap between text and time series while fully leveraging pretrained knowledge. Technically, the instructions are discretized into a compact codebook of instruction anchors, effectively mitigating semantic divergence while reducing the cost of dataset construction. Finally, we adopt a two-stage training strategy to recover the fine-grained magnitude information lost during discretization. Furthermore, we release a leakage-controlled multimodal benchmark constructed with temporal separation and textual context available before the prediction window. When paired with an LLM and trained on synthetic cross-modal alignment data, ChronoSteer achieves a 25.8% improvement in zero-shot prediction accuracy over its unimodal backbone, and outperforms prior state-of-the-art unimodal and multimodal ...

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have demonstrated remarkable progress in chart understanding, largely driven by supervised fine-tuning (SFT) on increasingly large synthetic datasets. However, scaling SFT data alone is inefficient and overlooks a key property of charts: charts are programmatically generated visual artifacts, where small, code-controlled visual changes can induce drastic shifts in semantics and correct answers. Learning this counterfactual sensitivity requires VLMs to discriminate fine-grained visual differences, yet standard SFT treats training instances independently and provides limited supervision to enforce this behavior. To address this, we introduce ChartCF, a data-efficient training framework designed to enhance counterfactual sensitivity. ChartCF consists of: (1) a counterfactual data synthesis pipeline via code modification, (2) a chart similarity-based data selection strategy that filters overly difficult samples for improved training efficiency, and (3) multimodal preference optimization across both textual and visual modalities. Experiments on five benchmarks show that ChartCF achieves superior or comparable performance to strong chart-specific VLMs while using significantly less training data.

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are powerful models for handling attributed graphs in tasks such as classification, link prediction, and community detection, as they enable the aggregation of information from both structural and semantic sources. However, progress in community detection is hindered by the lack of high-quality datasets, since ground-truth community labels are often unavailable and most algorithms proposed in recent literature rely on the same benchmark datasets for model training and evaluation. To address this issue, attributed random graph generators are commonly employed to create synthetic graphs for assessing the strengths and limitations of GNN-based models. Nevertheless, most existing generators rely heavily on power-law degree distributions, despite recent evidence indicating that scale-free networks are rare, particularly in social network contexts. Moreover, state-of-the-art attributed graph generators provide limited flexibility, as they do not allow users to construct communities with varying densities, degree distributions, and sub-community structures. To overcome these limitations, we introduce the Synthetic Community-Aware Attributed Graph Generator (SynCo), a graph generation algorithm that allows users to control the node degree distribution and sub-community structure. We evaluate SynCo across three different tasks: graph mimicking, hyperparameter evaluation, and node clustering tuning. The results show that our model outperforms state-of-the-art approaches in synthetic graph generation and data augmentation, while preserving the original distributions of duplicated and augmented datasets, as confirmed by statistical tests well know in literature. We also demonstrate the ability of SynCo to generate nodes in large scale, up to 2.1 million nodes.

Recurrent models provide a natural path to long-context modeling, yet models trained with backpropagation through time (BPTT) often fail beyond their training horizon. Classical analyses emphasize gradients that vanish or explode along temporal paths. However, dense per-token losses can still train a shared recurrent rule despite severe decay, showing that decay alone does not determine whether learning fails. We instead study state credit: the signal through which future losses reach earlier recurrent states before contributing to parameter updates. Accordingly, we intervene directly on state credit and propose Credit Stabilization through Time (CST). During backward propagation, CST locally rescales the state-credit signal to stabilize its norm without rotating the component being corrected, while leaving the forward computation unchanged. Because controlled synthetic tasks and real data exhibit different credit dynamics, we specialize CST to each regime. In both settings, CST improves performance beyond the training horizon, with gains observed at up to 128x the training length.

Ensuring the security of the power system is essential for stability and reliability, especially in the event of disruption. Effective classification of contingency in power systems enables proactive decision-making and mitigates large-scale breakdowns and failures. This study explores the use of machine learning algorithms to classify security levels of contingencies in power systems into safe, moderate or severe classes. For this approach, Newton-Raphson load flow method extracts system data from contingency scenarios, using Overall Performance Index (OPI) as safety measure. For data pre-processing, Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE) and Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is used to address class imbalance and reduce dimensionality, respectively. K-Nearest Neighbours (KNN), Random Forest (RF) and Support Vector Machines (SVM) is trained and evaluated on datasets generated through N-k contingency scenarios for k equal 1, 2, and 3 on IEEE-14 and IEEE-30 bus systems using four hybrid pre-processing configurations: normalized, SMOTE-balanced, PCA-transformed, and a combined SMOTE PCA-transformed. Performance is assessed by precision, recall and F1 score, with priority given to the severe contingency classes. The RF achieved the highest F1 scores of 0.97 in IEEE-30 and 0.86 in IEEE-14, SVM benefits significantly from PCA and improves the accuracy of the classification, while KNN is best suited for SMOTE and PCA conversion. The findings show that PCA contributes more than SMOTE to the overall performance of the model. However, SMOTE improves recall but can introduce false positives and is therefore a compromise of accuracy. This study highlights machine learning as a scalable and powerful alternative to traditional contingency analysis, which improves the assessment of security in real time.