Search research

Evaluation of spatiotemporal point process (STPP) models relies heavily on opaque real-world datasets, where latent generative structure is unknown and model failures are difficult to attribute. We introduce HawkesNest, a generator-aligned benchmark for controlled spatiotemporal pattern complexity built on a multivariate Hawkes backbone. HawkesNest defines four complexity axes: space--time entanglement, background heterogeneity, cross-type interaction, and domain topology. Each axis is associated with a deterministic index computed from the latent data-generating mechanism. By varying these axes while holding global rate, stability, and simulation budget fixed, HawkesNest enables diagnostic stress tests of STPP models under known structural difficulty. We verify that the indices are monotone and nearly orthogonal under controlled sweeps. We illustrate its use by showing that Hawkes-family baselines degrade under joint heterogeneity--entanglement complexity, even though they are structurally aligned with the Hawkes data-generating backbone. We further show that HawkesNest exposes neural-model sensitivity: AutoSTPP remains vulnerable under isolated increases in space--time entanglement. Code. Available at https://github.com/YahyaAalaila/HawkesNest

General-purpose code embeddings power tools for code search, classification, and retrieval. Compact transformer encoders for code typically rely on either human-written docstrings (labor-intensive and inconsistent) or mined structural signals such as execution traces (setting-specific and costly to collect). We empirically study an alternative: contrastive pretraining of small encoders with synthetically generated natural-language descriptions emphasizing code functionality and intent, paired with code in a dual-encoder framework at training and discarded at inference. We benchmark this approach against pretraining-based baselines, generalist LLMs, and embedding-specific models on eight retrieval, classification, and generation tasks across C, C++, and Java. Synthetic semantic supervision yields statistically significant gains over pretraining baselines of the same inference-time size on five of eight tasks, with parity on two more; once fine-tuned, it matches or exceeds zero-shot models two orders of magnitude larger on classification, and it stays on par with execution-aware supervision at matched pretraining data, suggesting a scalable, effective alternative to existing code-representation paradigms.

Robotic data generation is a promising paradigm for scaling robot learning without collecting large-scale real-world data. However, generating geometrically diverse yet physically valid data for contact-rich tasks remains challenging, especially when success depends on precise geometric interfaces. Standard shape augmentation methods often distort task-critical interfaces, resulting in invalid contact relationships, e.g., fit mismatches or interpenetration, rendering downstream interactions infeasible. To address these limitations, we propose a function-preserving Real-to-Sim-to-Real framework that generates synthetic demonstrations from reconstructed assets without teleoperated source trajectories. Our method augments task-relevant object geometries through constraint-guided mesh deformation, together with physically consistent transfer of task poses and collision proxies. Visual domain randomization is further applied during simulation rollouts, enabling robust zero-shot policy deployment without real-world fine-tuning. Extensive experiments in both real-world and simulation settings demonstrate that our method enables robust generalization across unseen object geometries and diverse visual conditions in contact-rich and long-horizon tasks. Our method provides a practical path toward scalable robot learning for contact-rich tasks via shape deformation.

Interpreting clustering outcomes remains a fundamental challenge in data analysis, particularly in domains such as healthcare where meaningful patterns must be extracted from high-dimensional data. While numerous explainability techniques exist, they are primarily designed to assess feature importance or provide local instance-level explanations rather than to identify structured patterns present within clusters. This work presents a comparative evaluation of commonly used post-hoc analysis methods for pattern detection in clustering results. To enable controlled evaluation, we introduce a suite of synthetic datasets in which predefined patterns are systematically injected. Three widely used techniques are evaluated: a Random Forest surrogate model with permutation feature importance, LIME (Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations), and principal component analysis. Results demonstrate that although each method can successfully recover relevant features, none consistently detects all injected pattern types. These findings high- light a critical gap between existing explainability tools and the requirements of pattern-level cluster interpretation, motivating the development of dedicated pattern detection methodologies.

While data synthesis for large language models (LLMs) is prevalent, it primarily targets domains with verifiable answers, overlooking open-ended humanities and social sciences (HSS), where nuanced quality judgments matter more than objective correctness. This makes preference alignment a natural paradigm for broad HSS tasks. Yet existing methods are either costly or not tailored to broad HSS disciplines. We thus propose BridgeAlign, among the first preference-alignment pipelines for broad HSS disciplines, with three phases: i) Seed Curation: curating HSS seed documents from web corpora via heuristic/LLM-based filtering and text refinement; ii) Preference Data Synthesis: generating preference triplets via persona-based instruction inversion with Q&A consistency checks; iii) Preference Optimization: moving beyond naive human-vs-model heuristics by first grounding preferences in HSS quality rubric, then generating transitional responses via controlled quality degradation to form near-boundary preference pairs for finer-grained quality discrimination. Aligning over 210k synthetic preference samples, BridgeAlign enables Qwen3-8B to achieve the best average across 17 benchmarks against 11 strong baselines; importantly, leading on both human-preference and knowledge-based capabilities at once, with no trade-off between them, as supported by extensive experiments and contextualized by existing theories.

Prior-Data Fitted networks (PFNs) have been very successful in tabular contexts, handling prediction tasks in context. However, they are designed for single-task inference, meaning that predicting several target values within a context requires repeated forward calls and precludes inter-task information sharing. We propose TabPFN-MT, which is trained on an expanded multi-target synthetic prior to capture inter-task dependencies in context. This model uses an expanded $y$-encoder and a shared decoder head to enable multitask in-context learning and simultaneous inference. The model is uniquely specialized for small-to-medium datasets by relying on in-context learning rather than traditional gradient-based training. Within this regime (averaging fewer than 1,000 samples), extensive evaluations across 344 datasets demonstrate that TabPFN-MT establishes a new state-of-the-art for deep tabular multitask learning. Furthermore, despite the inherent compute asymmetry of joint optimization, our model remains highly competitive with the latest state-of-the-art single-task ensembles. Notably, on multitask datasets it achieves an overall Accuracy rank of 4.89, the highest average rank among all models tested. Crucially, TabPFN-MT delivers this highly competitive performance while reducing the inference cost for $T$ tasks from $O(T)$ to $O(1)$ forward passes, offering a massive computational efficiency improvement for multi-target tabular applications.

Synthetic hyperspectral image (HSI) generation is essential for large-scale simulation, algorithm development, and mission design, yet traditional radiative transfer models remain computationally expensive and proposed emulation methods are often limited to spectrum-level outputs. In this work, we propose a latent representation-based framework for hyperspectral emulation that learns a probabilistic latent representation of hyperspectral data. The proposed approach supports both spectrum-level and spatial-spectral emulation and can be trained either in a direct one-step formulation or in a two-step strategy that couples variational autoencoder (VAE) pretraining with parameter-to-latent mapping. Experiments on PROSAIL-simulated vegetation data and Sentinel-3 OLCI imagery demonstrate that the method outperforms classical regression-based emulators in reconstruction accuracy, spectral fidelity, and robustness to real-world spatial variability. We further show that emulated HSIs preserve performance in downstream biophysical parameter retrieval, highlighting the practical relevance of emulated data for remote sensing applications.

We study spectral graph neural networks built from Hermite polynomials and propose HermNet, a simple model that combines a nodewise predictor with normalized Hermite propagation. Its sparse recurrence requires neither eigendecomposition nor a learned basis. We distinguish the basic model from optional coordinate calibration, response normalization and Gaussian derivative regularization. Hermite and other complete polynomial bases span the same degree-bounded filter space, but their coordinates can produce different optimization behavior under limited training budgets. We analyze this behavior through spectral signal energy, label sampling, changes in learned features and the bias--variance trade-off of regularization. Controlled synthetic experiments identify a regime in which plain HermNet outperforms matched polynomial-basis alternatives, including with a jointly trained nonlinear predictor. Curvature regularization further improves HermNet when the same functional penalty is available to every comparator. Fixed-predictor controls support the advantage under short training budgets, but longer training removes the plain-model lead. Matched real-data comparisons show accuracy deficits, and architectural and numerical studies identify further limits. Together, the analysis and experiments clarify when Hermite propagation is useful and how calibration and regularization affect its performance.

Simultaneous assessment of medical imaging and patient records is often required in clinical diagnosis. However, standard machine learning algorithms cannot analyze these data types together. Meanwhile, compliance with HIPAA and GDPR can constrain centralized aggregation of sensitive patient data. This leaves a crucial void of secure fusion of visual and textual context across distant networks. Thus, we present OmniMed-FL, a controlled systems study of multimodal federated learning for five-class clinical condition classification (Normal, Pneumonia, COVID-19, Pleural Effusion, Cardiomegaly). Our proxy corpus pairs 3,000 public chest radiographs with 3,000 class-conditioned synthetic notes, matched by class, not by patient. The framework benchmarks eight fusion strategies, three initializations, four missing-text imputation rules, and matched federated baselines under non-IID Dirichlet partitioning across 3 to 20 hospital clients. As all notes are synthetic and pairing is not patient-level, these are descriptive proxy comparisons, not estimates of diagnostic performance or deployment readiness. Within those limits with clients ($K=5$) and severe skew ($α=0.1$), local-only training achieves a macro-F1 score of 0.297, FedAvg achieves $0.662\pm0.074$, FedProx $0.737\pm0.085$, a matched FedMME-style one-shot ensemble $0.647\pm0.080$, and our SCAFFOLD-AdamW adaptation $0.070\pm0.015$, the 0.075 FedProx-FedAvg gap falling inside the wider of the two two-seed standard deviations. Over a $4\times3$ grid, label skew costs up to 0.27 F1 whereas a near-sevenfold client increase costs at most 0.10, while bidirectional volume grows linearly to 183.5 GiB at $K=20$. Multimodal fusion leads on both corpora, scoring 0.956 against 0.934 for text and 0.664 for images on the synthetic corpus and 0.906 against 0.880 and 0.737 on the radiograph corpus, for $2.3\times$ the model state of text alone.

Energy Dispersive X-ray (EDX) tomography in Scanning Transmission Electron Microscopy (STEM) enables 3D compositional and elemental mapping at the nanoscale, but its use is limited by restricted tilt ranges and low-dose conditions required to avoid beam damage. Limited-angle acquisition introduces missing-wedge artefacts such as elongation and anisotropic resolution, while noisy low-dose data further degrade reconstruction quality and quantitative reliability. Here, we introduce an unsupervised deep learning framework based on Deep Image Prior with total variation regularization (DIP-TV) for limited-angle STEM-EDX tomography. We extend it to a multi-channel formulation (DIPm-TV) that jointly reconstructs multiple elemental maps by exploiting spatial correlations. Using a synthetic 3-channel phantom, we show that the method compensates for severe missing-wedge artefacts corresponding to approximately $100^\circ$ of missing angular range under moderate noise, outperforming simultaneous iterative reconstruction technique and compressed sensing approaches. We apply the method to 3D chemical analysis of Ge-Sb-Te (GST) memory devices in virgin (as-fabricated) and SET (crystalline) operational states. Samples were prepared as cross-sectional focused ion beam lamellae and acquired under a limited-angle tilt range from $-40^\circ$ to $+40^\circ$ with $5^\circ$ steps and a dose of $2.0\times10^5$ $e^-/Ang^2$. The multi-channel approach enables voxel-by-voxel elemental reconstruction using only EDX signals without external structural priors such as high-angle annular dark-field imaging. The reconstructed volumes show near-isotropic spatial resolution and reveal compositional heterogeneities associated with device operation. This approach enables 3D chemical characterization in experimentally accessible sample geometries where conventional methods fail due to severe angular limitations.

Deep generative models have emerged as state-of-the-art for solving inverse problems, but applying them to inverse problems for PDEs, like electrical impedance tomography (EIT) remains challenging. Because physical domains are naturally discretized as unstructured meshes rather than regular grids, standard convolutional architectures are often inadequate. In this paper, we propose a novel framework that extends diffusion posterior sampling (DPS) to graph-structured data. We develop an unconditional score-based diffusion model directly on a 2D triangular mesh to learn an accurate prior over the physical solution space. Furthermore, we introduce a regularized variant, RDPS, which incorporates explicit regularization terms, such as total variation and generalized Tikhonov, to complement the implicit diffusion prior and mitigate severe ill-posedness. Extensive experiments on synthetic and real 2D EIT datasets demonstrate that RDPS produces stable, physically plausible reconstructions. Our approach generalizes well to out-of-distribution inclusion geometries, is highly robust to measurement noise, and outperforms current state-of-the-art solvers (e.g., GPnP-BM3D, DP-SGS) in reconstruction accuracy and artifact reduction.

Large language model (LLM)-based web agents automate web navigation and data collection. However, live web data collection demands capabilities beyond task completion: agents must discover site-internal pages and retrieve text, image, and video artifacts in an accessible form within a fixed interaction budget. We formulate this setting as budget-constrained, site-level multimodal web data collection and propose Budget-constrained and Reliable Agent (BaRA). BaRA performs breadth-first search (BFS)-based link discovery with liveness verification to filter hallucinated and dead links, then validates extracted multimodal artifacts using rule-based provenance and accessibility checks. A history-based self-reflection module recovers from execution failures and incomplete outputs. On controlled synthetic and real-world websites, BaRA consistently improves valid-link discovery and download-valid multimodal extraction over existing agents. Our code is available at https://github.com/MLAI-Yonsei/BaRA-Agent.

Human assistance in robotics spans around several tasks such as navigation, object manipulation, and placement, where a key challenge is selecting target destinations that align with human intentions or preferences. We focus on this challenge in the context of Virtual Placement (VP), the task of identifying all plausible target locations given scene context and human-centric constraints. This differs from traditional placement tasks that typically focus on a single, predefined target location. The VP problem is complex, as it requires both global and local reasoning about the scene's geometry, semantics, and plausibility. To address this gap, we introduce {\bf Assistant Placement Aria}, the first benchmark to explore diverse aspects of VP, including global, local, and human-centric constraints. It contains both synthetic and real indoor scenes annotated for three tasks: (i)~2D Panel Placement, (ii)~Sitting Suggestion, and (iii)~TV Placement. Each scene includes 2D images, a 3D point cloud, and a textual description of the objects within the scene. By contributing this benchmark, we aim to encourage further research in this underexplored and challenging field that is critically dependent on relevant data. We also evaluate several foundation models for object detection and segmentation on our benchmark.

We introduce the Directional Kernel Mean Difference (DKMD), a signed statistic for univariate distribution comparison that preserves the direction of distributional shifts. Unlike the squared Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD), which discards directional information by squaring the RKHS distance, DKMD integrates the difference of kernel mean embeddings against a fixed odd weighting function. This construction yields three structural properties: antisymmetry, immunity to symmetric distributional differences, and directional monotonicity under stochastic dominance. We derive a data-driven Riemann estimator that ensures asymptotic consistency with the continuous formulation, strictly preserving the theoretical guarantees of the signed statistic in empirical evaluations. To overcome the quadratic computational cost of kernel methods, we develop an $O(N \log N)$ prefix--suffix scanning algorithm that exploits the total order of the real line while requiring only $O(N)$ memory. Experiments on synthetic benchmarks demonstrate that DKMD correctly isolates directional shifts from symmetric perturbations, remains robust to heavy-tailed outliers that can flip the sign of the mean difference, and scales to millions of samples in seconds.

Automated machine learning pipelines increasingly produce models whose predictions must be explained to end users, auditors, and downstream decision systems. The most widely used feature attribution methods (SHAP, Integrated Gradients, LIME) are typically chosen by convention rather than measured fidelity, because rigorous evaluation is impeded by the absence of ground-truth attribution on real data. We propose AGOP-IxG, a fast per-sample attribution method for tabular classifiers that pre-multiplies the per-sample gradient by a top-$K$ rank-truncated Average Gradient Outer Product matrix, and evaluate it against four widely-used baselines on a controlled tabular benchmark designed for AutoML practitioners. In Part 1, we construct three synthetic multi-class tabular tasks (linear, sparse nonlinear, interaction-based) where ground-truth attribution per sample is analytically or numerically derivable, and compare five methods: AGOP-IxG, SHAP (DeepExplainer), Integrated Gradients, InputXGradient, and LIME. AGOP-IxG leads on Spearman rank correlation and noise feature mass on all three synthetic datasets, and on top-$k$ precision on the interaction dataset. Across all settings, AGOP-IxG is approximately $350\times$ to $1{,}650\times$ faster than SHAP. In Part 2, we evaluate global faithfulness on Adult Income and Credit Card Default using the ROAR protocol; the methods cluster within $\sim 1.7\%$ relative AUC, consistent with AGOP-IxG being optimized for per-sample local attribution rather than global feature ranking.

Structural causal models for time series recover contemporaneous and lagged effects, but most methods require complete observation windows and become misspecified when samples are missing. We introduce ITSY, the first continuous-optimization method for causal discovery from irregular time series under a linear model. ITSY reformulates the structural equation so that prediction uses the nearest available history rather than the possibly missing current slice, and jointly imputes missing values while learning both graphs. A weighted reconstruction objective corrects the noise transformation induced by this reformulation. Across synthetic regimes varying missingness, scale, graph density, and noise, and on a real world benchmark, ITSY consistently improves graph recovery over representative SCM-based baselines, demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results establish a focused solution for irregular linear first-order dynamics and clarify the assumptions required for nonlinear or higher-order extensions.

Multi-task optimization (MTO) addresses a set of optimization tasks simultaneously, often suffering from inaccurate inter-task relationship estimation under limited evaluation budgets, leading to negative transfer. This paper introduces In-Context Guidance Multitask Optimization (ICG-MTO), a novel framework that leverages numerical foundational models to improve inter-task coupling estimation in few-shot scenarios. Unlike conventional methods that rely solely on scarce observed data, ICG-MTO employs a frozen foundational model to infer auxiliary guidance through in-context learning. The framework operates through three stages: constructing an algorithm-specific in-context query from evaluated solutions, using the foundational model to infer a guidance signal characterizing predictive relationships among tasks, and translating this signal into algorithm-specific guidance for maximum-a-posteriori coupling estimation. This approach provides regularization during the early, data-scarce stages of optimization and gradually relinquishes control as task-specific observations accumulate. We instantiate the framework in multitask Bayesian optimization as ICG-MTBO, using directional fitness-class queries to guide inter-task coupling estimation, and further instantiate it in MFEA-II using decision-space-overlap queries to guide random mating probability estimation. Experiments across synthetic benchmarks and a real-world robot arm control problem, together with evaluations under different acquisition functions and evolutionary multitasking, demonstrate the effectiveness and generality of ICG-MTO for few-shot multitask optimization.

The identification of optimal structures within vast arrays of interconnected data necessitates significant sampling- and computational effort. Learning and leveraging underlying signal dependencies can improve efficiency and predictive capabilities considerably, but the ubiquity of nonlinear statistical relations amplifies the complexity of such undertakings. In this paper, we develop novel generic and adaptive strategies equipped with routines for graph-based causal reward modeling, analytic reproducing kernel methods, and Taylor approximation of functional processes. We establish theoretical performance guarantees sublinear in time and linear in data volume over time. Our analyses cover robustness to a multitude of uncertainties arising from noise interference, gradual model convergence, and solution space mismatch. The framework's general appeal is substantiated by a minimalistic set of conditions or reliance on prior estimates, while various outlined modifications address specific or extended settings. To demonstrate practical effectiveness, we conduct numerical experiments using both benchmarked synthetic and real-world transportation datasets.

The multicut problem is an NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem with diverse applications in fields such as bioinformatics, data mining and computer vision. Graph neural networks have been defined for the multicut problem but can be adapted further to its specific objective function and constraints. In this article, we introduce such an adapted graph neural network architecture in which features are assigned only to edges, and the computation of messages is based on triangles in the underlying graph. Experiments with synthetic and real-world instances with up to 200 nodes show that our method outperforms state-of-the-art heuristic solvers in terms of solution quality while maintaining feasible runtimes. For some instances, our method finds optimal solutions in seconds whereas exact solvers need hours to find and certify optimal solutions.

We propose Skelebones, a Scaffold-Skin Rigging System built on three steps: (1) Bones compress temporally consistent Gaussian or mesh sequences into free-form bones with smooth skinning weights, approximating non-rigid deformations via linear blend skinning (LBS); (2) Skeleton extracts the Mean Curvature Skeleton (MCS) from the canonical shape and temporally refines its topology and kinematics into a compact skeletal structure; and (3) Binding connects the skeleton and bones through non-parametric Partwise Motion Matching (PartMM), which synthesizes novel bone motions by matching, retrieving, and blending existing ones. Together, these steps compress the dynamics of 4D shapes into compact skelebones that are simultaneously controllable and expressive. The resulting representation is category-agnostic, meaning template-free; motion-adaptive, with dynamic topology; and topology-correct, with a skeleton consistent with the surface geometry. PartMM requires no learning. We validate our method on both synthetic and real-world datasets, achieving substantial reanimation improvements on unseen poses: a 17.3 dB PSNR gain over LBS on DNA-Rendering and a 45.6 dB gain over Bag-of-Bones on ActorsHQ, while preserving high rendering fidelity for characters with complex non-rigid dynamics. PartMM generalizes robustly to both Gaussian and mesh representations, excelling in low-data regimes of approximately 1,000 frames, with a 48.4 RMSE improvement over LBS and improvements of more than 20 over GRU- and MLP-based methods. Code will be publicly released at https://cookmaker.cn/gaussianimate/.

The current state of the art in AI/ML rests on deep neural architectures, which, in general, suffer from a lack of interpretability. Interpretability is crucial to gleaning insights while analyzing experimental data, where quantitative predictions may not be adequate for a scientist. We present a three layer neural architecture, SAMPAT (Smooth Approximation via Multivariate Polynomials and Analytic Transformations), that can provably learn a continuous, everywhere differentiable function, that can approximate any smooth function arbitrarily closely. SAMPAT's approximant can be expressed as a closed and compact algebraic, analytic expression, providing complete interpretability. Experiments on synthetic and benchmark datasets indicate that SAMPAT yields competitive performance with simpler representations. For many tasks, a two layer SAMPAT suffices. By imposing restrictions on the connectivity between neurons, SAMPAT may be used to provide a range of approximants, including regular and trigonometric polynomials, rational expressions, Gaussians, mixtures of Gaussians, as well as arbitrary combinations of the same; without restrictions, it learns a suitable structure. SAMPAT may be used to factorize polynomials and model nonlinear systems. With the addition of skip connections, a 4 to 6 layer SAMPAT is adequate to represent a substantive range of methods widely used in AI/ML, allowing the choice of a model's family, not just its parameters, to also be optimized as part of the learning process.

Missing values undermine statistical inference and machine learning pipelines, yet most imputation methods rely on heuristics or restrictive parametric assumptions that ignore the joint data distribution. We recast imputation under missing completely at random (MCAR) as density estimation from masked observations: estimate a distribution whose observed marginals exactly match those in the data. Leveraging positive semi definite (PSD) kernel densities we obtain a convex empirical risk problem with closed form marginals, solvable by a Newton interior point method. The resulting PSD Impute model yields both single and multiple imputations from the same fitted density, enjoys statistical consistency with fast adaptive excess risk beating the curse of dimensionality for very regular probabilities. Preliminary experiments on one synthetic and eleven real world datasets already indicate competitive distributional accuracy compared with popular imputation baselines, suggesting strong practical promise.

Visual glitches in video games degrade player experience and perceived quality, yet manual quality assurance cannot keep pace with the growing test surface of modern game development. Prior automation efforts, particularly those using vision-language models (VLMs), largely operate on isolated frames without sufficient context to judge whether a glitch is present. We introduce RefGlitch-Bench, a benchmark for reference-based video game glitch detection with VLMs. The key idea is to formulate glitch detection as an explicit within-video comparison problem: given a test frame, a reference frame provides a visual baseline that helps the model distinguish true glitches from benign visual variation. RefGlitch-Bench includes a controlled synthetic dataset with five injected glitch types and manually annotated reference/test frame pairs, enabling an oracle-reference evaluation that isolates the potential benefit of reference guidance. We further establish four initial baselines for automatically selecting references from earlier frames in the same video, with LastCleanFrame performing best and transferring across VLMs. Finally, we evaluate automatic reference guidance on real-world gameplay data, where it improves frame-level glitch detection beyond the controlled setting while revealing reference reliability and error propagation as key challenges. Code and data are available at: https://github.com/PipiZong/RefGlitch-Bench.git.

Semi-supervised anomaly detection is based on the principle that any record that looks different from normal training data is a potential anomaly. However, in some cases we are specifically interested in anomalies that correspond to high attribute values (or low, but not both). For distance-based methods, we propose an asymmetrical distance measure that takes this monotonicity into account by incorporating the ramp function. For the Isolation Forest algorithm, we propose a modified path length algorithm. Through experiments on synthetic and real-life datasets, we show that these proposals increase anomaly detection performance on datasets with monotonic attributes.

Customer churn prediction is essential across data-driven industries such as insurance, digital banking, eCommerce, and subscription platforms, where retaining existing customers is typically more cost-effective than acquiring new ones. Predicting churn on structured datasets remains challenging due to class imbalance, nonlinear feature interactions, and heterogeneous feature types. Tree-based ensemble methods consistently demonstrate strong performance in these contexts, often outperforming conventional neural networks. This study introduces a validated hybrid architecture that integrates feature-tokenized transformers (FT-Transformer) with gradient-boosted trees through calibration-aware stacking. The proposed framework addresses persistent gaps in statistical validation, probability calibration, and reproducibility found in prior research. The FT-Transformer captures higher-order feature interactions using self-attention, while XGBoost captures gradient-boosted decision boundaries with complementary inductive biases. Class imbalance is handled using class-weighted loss functions, thereby avoiding synthetic oversampling and preserving minority-class distributions. The models are ensembled using out-of-fold (OOF) stacking with a logistic regression meta-learner, which recalibrates overconfident base model outputs and learns optimal combination weights. On a public bank churn dataset, the hybrid model achieves 62.10% F1, 0.861 AUC-ROC, and 0.647 PR-AUC, outperforming the Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) baseline by 3.37 F1 points and 0.027 AUC under 5x5 cross-validation with 95% confidence intervals reported. Ablation studies demonstrate that both the transformer component and stacking strategy contribute materially to performance. The proposed methodology offers a reproducible and extensible reference architecture for contemporary churn prediction on structured tabular data.

Conventional RGB cameras suffer from lighting artifacts such as flare, glare, flicker, and overexposure, leading to irrecoverable information loss that necessitates computational restoration. However, existing approaches treat these problems in isolation, failing to recover structural details completely obscured by complex spatially discrete image degradations. In this paper, we propose a novel cross-modal restoration paradigm and present DeLux, a modular proof-of-concept pipeline that leverages neuromorphic event streams as a structural prior to guide the targeted detection and inpainting of lighting artifacts in RGB video. Validation on synthetic benchmarks and real-world automotive footage demonstrates that DeLux effectively suppresses local artifacts and restores affected regions. The proposed approach outperforms existing RGB-only baselines and event-guided HDR models, achieving an average MS-SSIM of over 0.99 across all artifact types and demonstrating up to an 88% reduction in artifact severity in real-world automotive footage. The synthetic artifact generation tools and curated real-world evaluation datasets are made publicly available to foster future research on cross-modal restoration.

We present ARCANE-PedSynth, an open-source CARLA-based software framework for generating synthetic multi-pedestrian datasets with dense behavioural annotations for pedestrian crossing prediction in autonomous driving. The framework overcomes CARLA's native 9% crossing rate through a hybrid AI-manual pedestrian control architecture, enabling configurable target rates up to 75%. A 12-state behavioural finite state machine with five character archetypes produces diverse crossing behaviours. The framework generates synchronised RGB, LiDAR, and DVS data with per-frame crossing labels, behavioural states, and estimated 2D pose keypoints. We demonstrate ARCANE-PedSynth through PedSynth++, an example dataset generated with the framework, comprising 533 multi-pedestrian clips across 12 weather conditions with RGB, LiDAR, and DVS streams. ARCANE-PedSynth is fully reproducible via CLI parameterisation and Docker containerisation.

Density estimation underlies many unsupervised tasks on tabular data such as anomaly detection, out-of-distribution detection, and data augmentation. Although all these problems reduce to questions about where probability mass lies, they are typically solved individually by fitting a separate model to each dataset, with its own hyperparameters and tuning budget. We introduce ICED, an in-context, energy-based density estimator that removes this per-dataset cost. ICED is a transformer-based model pretrained once on a synthetic prior built specifically for density estimation under an objective that fits log-density where it is informative and preserves its ordering elsewhere. In the inference, it reads a dataset as context and returns an unnormalized log-density for any query point in a single forward pass, with no fitting, sampling, or hyperparameter selection. A single frozen ICED model then drives four tasks usually handled by four specialized pipelines: density estimation, out-of-distribution detection, unsupervised anomaly detection, and generative augmentation. Across all four, it is competitive with the strongest task-specific method, while being the only approach that needs no retraining, no tuning, and no labels to move between them. The code is available at https://github.com/gmum/iced.

Autonomous robot navigation requires rapid construction of obstacle-points-separated convex regions for trajectory planning. When obstacles are represented as point clouds from LiDAR or depth cameras, these regions must be constructed directly from finite obstacle samples while providing suitable constraints for downstream optimization. However, existing corridor-generation methods often struggle to meet real-time, sensor-rate computational requirements. To address this bottleneck, we introduce RISP, a randomized algorithm that constructs convex polytopes from finite point-cloud data, and PathCover, which chains these polytopes along a reference path to form an overlapping corridor. We prove finite termination, sequential intersection, and complete path coverage with respect to the supplied finite point set. Under a probabilistic elimination condition, the sampling-and-elimination stage of RISP has expected O(n) time and unconditional worst-case O(n^2) time. Extensive benchmarks on synthetic and real-world LiDAR datasets demonstrate an order-of-magnitude speedup over state-of-the-art methods in both corridor generation as well as trajectory optimization, while closed-loop quadrotor simulation and a physical quadruped traversal demonstrate integration with downstream motion planners. These results establish corridor separation from the supplied point-cloud representation and practical implementation feasibility. Source code of the entire pipeline is available at https://github.com/kunalnk123690/PathCover.

Structural causal models provide a unified semantics for interventions and counterfactuals, but most identifiability results rely on restrictive assumptions like global monotonicity, which are often violated in embodied interaction, where the same exogenous perturbation can induce opposite responses under different contact contexts. We ask what structure still suffices once global monotonicity is dropped. We introduce non-monotone triangular structural causal models (NM-TM-SCM), which retain triangular recursion but replace global monotonicity with mechanism-wise invertibility and context-independent inverse transport. We prove that these conditions are equivalent to exogenous isomorphism and imply complete counterfactual identifiability, and we give a counterexample showing that local invertibility alone is insufficient. We instantiate the theory in CausalInverter, with triangular invertible layers, orientation gates, and transport-stability regularization. On synthetic non-monotonic mechanisms, the structural bias yields systematic counterfactual gains as non-monotonicity increases. On MuJoCo Door, our model achieves perfect event-level counterfactual recovery, lowers continuous angle error relative to a Transformer baseline, and delivers substantially more stable recovery than Transformer and conditional-flow predictors. On MuJoCo Push, where non-monotonicity is weaker, the same low-data predictors remain competitive or better, consistent with a bias-variance boundary. These results identify a broader identifiable regime between globally monotone triangular models and unconstrained black-box world models.