Anticipate
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2 papers in the last four weeks, against 1 the four weeks before. 0.0% of all new papers.
Latest papers 27
We often plan ambitiously yet act habitually and wonder, in retrospect, whether we would have planned differently had we known what we would actually do. Hindsight offers a valuable perspective on past decisions, although we often wish we could have simulated hindsight at the moment of choosing. If a system could generate plausible trajectories from one's personal history, such previews might help people formulate more realistic plans and make better informed decisions. We introduce NextMe-800, an approximately 800-hour first-person dataset from one volunteer over 126 days with 1 Hz images, gaze, and audio, captioned at five hierarchical abstraction levels from atomic actions to major activities. We formulate personalized action anticipation as open-vocabulary K-step sequence prediction and construct NextAct, a 1,500-point benchmark combining NextMe-800 with the multi-person EgoLife dataset. Using an embedding-based soft edit distance as the metric, we evaluate how well different models can anticipate personal behavior across abstraction levels and prediction horizons. NextMe-800 and NextAct provide a months-long resource and evaluation framework for studying how far ahead personal behavior can be anticipated from egocentric observation.
Visual Tripwires: Anticipating Failure in Deep Vision Systems
Deep vision systems remain vulnerable to corruption, occlusion, and distribution shift despite strong benchmark performance. Existing reliability methods typically evaluate uncertainty at individual time steps and do not explicitly model how a system progresses toward failure. We introduce Visual Tripwires, a predictive reliability framework that uses temporal instability in model behaviour to anticipate impending failure. Our central hypothesis is that predictive degradation develops progressively through measurable changes in latent representations, prediction trajectories, and attention structure. Visual Tripwires captures these changes using representation drift, prediction oscillation, trajectory curvature, and attention entropy. A lightweight tripwire predictor aggregates these signals over a temporal window to estimate the probability of failure within a future prediction horizon. Experiments across multiple datasets, architectures, and progressive perturbation settings show that the proposed instability signals emerge before predictive degradation and provide earlier and more accurate failure warnings than conventional uncertainty estimation methods. These results demonstrate that temporal instability contains useful information about future model reliability and provides a practical basis for early warning in deep vision systems.
Social Intuition vs. Machine Reasoning: Anticipating Human-Robot Interaction from multiple modalities
Anticipating whether a person will interact from one's own perspective is a highly intuitive task for humans, that relies on a combination of cues. We investigate how humans perform at predicting a person's intention to interact from a service robot's point of view, using pose-only or full video input, then benchmark different lightweight pose-based models and state-of-the-art vision-language models. We conducted our benchmark on the HUI360 dataset on a fixed pilot subset of 100 test tracks (25 positive, 75 negative). We found that with pose-only input, human annotators outperform lightweight trained pose models but not by large margins (+0.08 in F1-Score). But when given full egocentric video with a target bounding box, human annotators perform substantially better and largely outperform the Vision-Language Models (+0.2 in F1-Score). We also compared VLMs of different size and under different input conditions, and found that the best results do not correlate with model size. Our result confirms that predicting interactions is a challenging task for social robots and that reasoning-capable models are necessary but their actual reasoning capabilities alone do not suffice to match the social intuition of humans.
Action-grounded tissue affordance enables anticipatory auto-framing that lowers surgeon cognitive workload during laparoscopic surgery
Computational attention models could help surgeons manage the visual demands of laparoscopy, but they require dense spatial labels that are difficult to obtain because surgical intent is highly specialized and tacit. Here, we introduce DiffeoAfford, an action-grounded tissue affordance framework that retrospectively derives visual attention supervision from completed surgical procedures. By combining diffeomorphism-constrained tissue tracking with instrument trajectory analysis, DiffeoAfford generates affordance hotspot labels without manual per-frame annotation. A real-time prediction model trained on these labels anticipates relevant surgical regions and enables AffordView, an assistive auto-framing system for laparoscopic visualization. The proposed framework aligns with expert annotations and intraoperative surgeon gaze, and reduces surgeon cognitive workload during real-world evaluations using subjective, physiological, and behavioral measures.
Anticipatory Risk-Guided Reinforcement Learning for Safe Flight Through Dynamic Clutter
Safe quadrotor navigation in cluttered and dynamic environments depends not only on instantaneous geometric perception, but more critically on anticipating collision risks induced by relative motion. Conventional modular pipelines frequently suffer from perception latency, while end-to-end learning methods relying on implicit scalar rewards often struggle to extract reliable spatio-temporal features without physics-grounded supervision. To address this, we propose an anticipatory risk-guided reinforcement learning framework. Leveraging privileged simulator states, we construct a directionally aligned future collision risk map based on the Closest Point of Approach (CPA). Through an asymmetric actor-critic architecture, the network is trained to self-predict this structured risk, which explicitly guides the visual policy during deployment. A lightweight spatio-temporal encoder extracts motion cues directly from onboard depth sequences, bypassing explicit object tracking or optical flow estimation. Extensive simulated and real-world experiments demonstrate that our method effectively improves safety margins and flight efficiency in dense dynamic clutters compared to existing baselines. Furthermore, the learned policy achieves robust zero-shot Sim-to-Real transfer on a physical quadrotor, relying purely on abstracted spatio-temporal depth sequences and its self-predicted risk priors, validating the effectiveness of our approach and its robust generalization from simulation to reality.
Courteous Anticipation: Improving Long-Lived Task Planning in Persistent Shared Environments
We consider a task planning scenario in which robots sharing a persistent environment are assigned tasks one at a time from a held-out sequence. Standard task planners, lacking foresight of future tasks and inconsiderate of others' constraints, solve each task in isolation, leaving terminal states that increase future cost for all, side effects that compound over lengthy task sequences. To reduce cost over the sequence, a robot must anticipate how its actions now may impact performance on future tasks for all robots sharing the environment. Therefore, we present courteous anticipatory planning, wherein a model-based planner proposes candidate plans and selects the one that jointly minimizes immediate cost and aggregated expected future cost across all robots, estimated via independent per-robot learned estimators. This factored formulation avoids combinatorial joint rollouts and supports modular deployment: adding a robot requires only training its own estimator. We evaluate in two persistent PDDL domains, a home environment with robots that have similar capabilities but different responsibilities, and a restaurant environment where robots' distinct capabilities create states that other robots lack the capability to resolve. During lengthy task sequences, our planner reduces total cost by 10.43% versus myopic and 4.03% versus selfish anticipatory planning in a two-robot home environment and by 17.41% and 13.24%, respectively, in a three-robot restaurant.
Anticipate Before Acting: Future-State-Conditioned Vision-Language Navigation
End-to-end vision-language navigation (VLN) with causal vision-language models maps instructions and egocentric observations directly to actions, but standard behavior cloning supervises only the next action and does not explicitly encourage the policy state to be predictive of future visual outcomes, limiting long-horizon decision making. A privileged-input diagnostic shows that access to an expert-trajectory future image can substantially improve navigation, indicating that future observations contain rich, actionable cues, though such inputs are unavailable at deployment. Motivated by this signal, we propose Future-State-Conditioned VLN (FSC-VLN), a deployable model that augments a causal policy with a future-query token and uses training-only future-state supervision to distill information from future observations into the policy state. Concretely, during training we align the future-query representation to a frozen visual embedding steps ahead, while inference requires only past and current observations. This design preserves the baseline inference pattern and adds only two learned prefix tokens, implying minimal overhead. On R2R val-unseen, FSC-VLN improves SR/OSR/SPL over a StreamVLN-style baseline under two training-data regimes, with larger gains on long-horizon episodes; ablations further support the dual-query design that separates future and action queries.
Anticipatory Reinforcement Learning for Trajectory Tracking
Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) in industrial control often suffers from lag and overshoot due to purely reactive control based on the current tracking error. To achieve anticipatory control without high computational overhead, we introduce a predictive formulation that augments the DRL state space with target velocities and future reference horizons. Evaluating eight configurations using proximal policy optimization (PPO) on a 1-degree-of-freedom (1-DoF) helicopter testbed, simulation results showed a 9-fold error reduction, lowering the mean absolute deviation from 2.73° to 0.31°. However, zero-shot transfer to physical hardware revealed a sim-to-real gap. Interestingly, a simpler configuration using a single, further look-ahead horizon matched the real-world top performance of the most complex model (1.11°). Overall, evaluating various combinations of prediction horizons and target velocities demonstrated that highly granular predictive data is not necessarily required for physical transfer.
Would You Marry Superintelligence?
Emotional bonds between humans and AI companions are growing, and the question of whether a person may marry an AI system will soon move from speculative fiction into law. This chapter examines whether the autonomy-centered logic that has expanded marital choice among human beings can justify extending marital status to superintelligent companions. Following a scenario-envisioning exercise informed by anticipatory ethics, I argue that granting such status leads to socially unjust outcomes, even under the generous assumption of reliable superintelligence. Marriage as a socio-legal institution does more than ratify private agreement; it creates networks of mutual obligation, joins families, and makes each partner vulnerable to the other. A relationship sustained by corporate policy and continued payments is a subscription rather than a bond tested by time. Discussing wholesale marital status is therefore the wrong frame. Law should carve out targeted rights and protections for pressing needs arising from intimate human-AI relationships.
PriorEye: Geospatial Visual Priors for End-to-End Autonomous Driving
Most end-to-end autonomous driving methods rely solely on instantaneous sensor observations, limiting them to reactive behavior without the anticipatory foresight human drivers employ through prior experience. We introduce geospatial visual priors, street-level visual context anchored to the intended driving route, providing visual-spatial foresight independent of real-time sensors. We propose a memory augmentation module featuring a dual-memory architecture and an adaptive memory gate, which can be easily integrated into existing end-to-end approaches. This design pairs a contextual memory for retrieved priors with a persistent fallback memory, and dynamically regulates the influence of memories based on current state compatibility. Evaluated on the NAVSIM-v2 benchmark, our approach consistently improves performance across diverse end-to-end baselines. Furthermore, because these priors are independent of onboard sensors, our method inherently improves robustness against sensor corruption, while the dual-memory design ensures safe fallback when the retrieved priors themselves become unreliable. Our project page is available at https://ori-mrg.github.io/PriorEye.
Forget, Anticipate and Adapt: Test Time Training for Long Videos
Test Time Training (TTT) is a mechanism in which a model adapts to an incoming test-sample by performing some self-supervised (SSL) task and updating its weights even during inference. This procedure does not require labels at test-time. This paper focuses on TTT for long-videos. A major concern with existing approaches is: 1) they perform TTT updates using a sliding window containing frames in the past, whose compute increases linearly with the size of window. This becomes computationally intractable when the videos are hours long. 2) TTT is performed even when temporally close frames look similar, thereby consuming a lot of compute. We present the Frame Forgetting Network (FFN) that: 1) operates on only three frames within the sliding window, namely the frame that exits, the current frame and the frame after that. The model still manages to retain temporal context and work for hours long-videos; 2) mathematically define a surprise metric: how much new information the incoming frame contains with respect to the past seen frame. This facilitates determining how to modify the effective window size during TTT and constitutes the core mechanism of an adaptive windowing algorithm. Additionally, we curate a dataset EpicTours containing up to 3 hour long videos of walking city-tours, whereas earlier datasets on this problem were only 5 min long. We demonstrate FFNs empirical effectiveness on dense-segmentation, video classification tasks, generalization to depth-estimation, and multi-hour long videos.
T-Mem: Memory That Anticipates, Not Archives
Long-term memory is essential for conversational agents to remain coherent across extended dialogues, follow through on commitments made many sessions earlier, and adapt their behaviour to each user. Current LLM-backed long-term conversational memory, however, is reachability-bounded by the similarity between a query and stored content, both lexical and dense-vector. The approach is effective when query and memory share surface features such as wording or named entities (we call this descriptive). But it misses another, equally valuable class of cases, where query and memory do not share surface features and are tied only by a latent semantic arc (associative). On this regime prevailing long-term memory systems collectively fail. Covering this other half is what allows an assistant, for the first time, to actively draw on past dialogue as a semantic asset. On the memory side, this is the engineering counterpart of what cognitive science calls episodic future thinking: rehearsing past experience for the future contexts under which it will need to be found. We call these write-time rehearsals triggers. We propose T-Mem, the first long-term conversational memory architecture that covers both descriptive and associative recall. At each of two evidence granularities, single facts and full exchanges, T-Mem instantiates one descriptive trigger family and one associative trigger family, so that every memory remains reachable from both surface-similar and relevance-bound queries. As empirical validation, T-Mem reaches state-of-the-art on both LoCoMo and LoCoMo-Plus.
Physics of anticipatory active matter, with application to crowd dynamics
Statistical Physics has traditionally dealt with entities that interact merely based on the present, and possibly past, configurations. This reactive framework is inefficient in many situations involving living beings, such as predators chasing a prey, pedestrians, or even robots. This paper introduces a statistical physical framework for the dynamics of anticipatory agents, whose present-time dynamics depend on the prospective system state that they anticipate. We clarify how these dynamics can be expressed in terms of a cost function constructed based on observations and we show that the dynamics of an anticipatory agent in d dimensions can be mapped onto the dynamics of a (non-anticipatory) chain in d + 1 dimensions, with fluctuations acting transversely on the chain to account for the uncertainty about the future state. Insights from polymer Physics help us characterize the dynamics of these chains and delineate an anticipation horizon beyond which the blurry future can be handled in a mean-field way. The foregoing framework is successfully applied to pedestrian dynamics, leading to a seamless integration of operational and tactical levels in an agent-based model. Even with a minimal expression of the cost, the model succeeds in reproducing various experimental scenarios which are challenging for state-of-the-art models, such as crossing cluttered environments or alighting from a crowded train. The transparent and flexible basis of the model allows the straightforward incorporation of additional mechanisms.
Endpoint Anticipation for Low-Latency Spoken Dialogue
While low-latency interaction is critical for spoken dialogue, cascaded architectures are often bottlenecked by reactive turn-completion detection. We propose Endpoint Anticipation, shifting from reactive detection to proactive forecasting of end-of-turn signals. Our speech-based model anticipates endpoints upto 2.56 seconds in advance, enabling speculative execution of LLM and TTS pipelines on partial context. We introduce metrics to quantify the trade-off between realized latency reduction and computational redundancy. Evaluation across conversational and task-oriented datasets shows our model consistently outperforms competitive VAP-based baselines. Integration with the Unmute framework demonstrates a 505 ms average latency reduction with a 28.4% increase in speculative computation, effectively masking sequential bottlenecks to enable complex reasoning in real-time speech-to-speech interaction.
Seeing Before Colliding: Anticipatory Safe RL with Frozen Vision-Language Models
The cost signal that constrained-RL algorithms optimize against is almost always reactive: the simulator emits a non-zero cost only after a collision has begun, and the Lagrange multiplier of PPO-Lagrangian grows only after the episode budget has been exceeded. At race speeds, where collisions are instantaneous and irreversible, any safety mechanism that waits for cost to accumulate is structurally too late. We present VLM-Safe-RL, a framework that integrates a frozen vision-language model into the CMDP Lagrangian update as an anticipatory cost term. The framework comprises four contributions: (i) Decoupled Dual-Path CLIP, independent reward/cost paths that respect the CMDP's factorization; (ii) VLM-Lagrange, an augmented multiplier update that incorporates a per-step VLM cost as an anticipatory term; (iii) Confidence Gating, a Bayes-optimal weight derived from a logistic noise model on the CLIP margin; and (iv) VLMPPOLag, the composed algorithm. On Safety-Gymnasium FormulaOne L2, our principal evaluation ( seeds, steps, budget ) VLMPPOLagConf is the only configuration in our default budget comparison that simultaneously retains substantive return () and holds cost within budget on a majority of seeds; the five constraint-aware baselines (PPOLag, CPO, CPPOPID, CPO-CLG, PPOLag-RND) each fail at least one requirement. The mechanism generalizes to held-out MetaDrive Medium (catastrophe rate , 95% bootstrap CI ,pp) and shows directionally consistent transfer to Bullet Safety-Gym; we report honestly where it does not (MetaDrive Easy/Hard, Qwen2-VL backbone) and trace the Hard failure to a Lagrangian-regulation pathology rather than the VLM signal itself. To our knowledge, this is the first work to use frozen VLM signals as an anticipatory cost term inside the CMDP Lagrangian update.
Anticipate and Learn: Unleashing Idle-Time Compute in Proactive Agents
While AI agents demonstrate remarkable capabilities in reasoning and tool use, they remain fundamentally reactive: they compute responses only after explicit user prompts. This paradigm ignores a critical opportunity: the idle time between interactions is largely wasted, leaving agents unable to prepare for future user needs. To bridge this gap, we introduce ProAct, a proactive agent architecture that leverages idle-time compute to anticipate and fulfill likely upcoming user needs. By analyzing evolving dialogue history together with persistent memory, ProAct predicts upcoming needs and iteratively acquires information, allowing the agent to resolve knowledge gaps and prepare evidence before the user initiates a query. To rigorously evaluate proactive capabilities, we also introduce ProActEval, a comprehensive benchmark comprising 200 scenarios across 40 domains, featuring predictable need chains and diverse user cognitive profiles. Empirical results demonstrate significant advantages over reactive baselines. ProAct accelerates task completion by reducing required turns by 14.8%, decreases user effort by 11.7%, and cuts hallucination rates by 28.1% on ProActEval. Furthermore, MemBench evaluations confirm that ProAct achieves state-of-the-art reflective accuracy, underscoring its sustained and robust performance.
TRAFA: Anticipating User Actions to Reduce Errors in Procedural Tasks with Predictive Feedback
Interactive assistance systems typically provide feedback after an action has been completed, supporting error recovery but not preventing the error itself. We present TRAFA, a real-time predictive feedback system for procedural tasks that intervenes before errors are committed. TRAFA operationalizes predictive feedback through a Track-Forecast-Act framework that tracks hand and object state, forecasts user motion conditioned on scene context, and triggers feedback when a predicted action is likely to violate task constraints. We instantiate this pipeline in a sequential assembly setting and evaluate it through both technical benchmarking and a controlled user study against conventional reactive feedback. Our results show that predictive feedback improves task accuracy and efficiency while maintaining a comparable number of feedback events. These findings position feedback timing as a key dimension in system design and show how real-time anticipation can be integrated into interactive systems to prevent errors before they occur.
Distill to Think, Foresee to Act: Cognitive-Physical Reinforcement Learning for Autonomous Driving
Current end-to-end autonomous driving models are fundamentally constrained by the behavioral cloning ceiling of imitation learning. While reinforcement learning offers a path to smarter autonomy, it demands two missing pieces of infrastructure: (1) a cognitive foundation that understands traffic semantics and driving intent, and (2) a foresighted physical environment that can anticipate the consequences of candidate actions. To this end, we propose CoPhy, a CognitivePhysical reinforcement learning framework for autonomous driving. To distill to think, we distill VLM knowledge into the BEV encoder and then discard the VLM entirely, retaining cognitive ability at zero inference cost while releasing the cognitive channel as a pluggable interface for optional human language commands. To foresee to act, we build an auto-regressive BEV world model that explicitly predicts future semantic maps conditioned on candidate actions, serving as an interpretable physical sandbox from which safety metrics are directly derived. Built upon this dual infrastructure, we optimize the driving policy via GRPO with a novel dual-reward mechanism: a physical reward derived from BEV rollouts enforces hard safety constraints, while a cognitive reward from a language-aligned scorer ensures intent compliance. Extensive experiments demonstrate that CoPhy not only achieves state-of-the-art results on NAVSIM v1 and v2 benchmarks, but also enables safer driving via cognitively informed scene compliance and flexible intent control through user-defined language instructions.
Monitoring Data-aware Temporal Properties (Extended Version)
Dynamic systems in AI are often complex and heterogeneous, so that an internal specification is not accessible and verification techniques such as model checking are not applicable. Monitoring is in such cases an attractive alternative, as it evaluates desirable properties along traces generated by an unknown dynamic system. In this work, we consider anticipatory monitoring of linear-time properties enriched with an arbitrary SMT theory over finite traces (LTLfMT). Anticipatory monitoring in this setting is highly challenging, as the monitoring state depends on both the trace prefix seen so far and all its possible finite continuations. Under reasonable assumptions on the background theory, we present and formally prove the correctness of a novel foundational framework for monitoring properties in an expressive fragment of LTLfMT. The framework combines automata-theoretic methods to handle the temporal aspects of the logic, with automated reasoning techniques to address the first-order dimension. Moreover, we identify for the first time decidable fragments of this monitoring problem that are practically relevant as they combine linear arithmetic with uninterpreted functions, which covers e.g. data-aware business processes and dynamic systems operating over a read-only database. Feasibility is witnessed by a prototype implementation and preliminary evaluation.
Let Robots Feel Your Touch: Visuo-Tactile Cortical Alignment for Embodied Mirror Resonance
Observing touch on another's body can elicit corresponding tactile sensations in the observer, a phenomenon termed mirror touch that supports empathy and social perception. This visuo-tactile resonance is thought to rely on structural correspondence between visual and somatosensory cortices, yet robotic systems lack computational frameworks that instantiate this principle. Here we demonstrate that cortical correspondence can be operationalized to endow robots with mirror touch. We introduce Mirror Touch Net, which imposes semantic, distributional and geometric alignment between visual and tactile representations through multi-level constraints, enabling prediction of millimetre-scale tactile signals across 1,140 taxels on a robotic hand from RGB images. Manifold analysis reveals that these constraints reshape visual representations into geometry consistent with the tactile manifold, reducing the complexity of cross-modal mapping. Extending this alignment framework to cross-domain observations of human hands enables tactile prediction and reflexive responses to observed human touch. Our results link a neural principle of visuo-tactile resonance to robotic perception, providing an explainable route towards anticipatory touch and empathic human-robot interaction. Code is available at https://github.com/fun0515/Mirror-Touch-Net.
Before the Body Moves: Learning Anticipatory Joint Intent for Language-Conditioned Humanoid Control
Natural language is an intuitive interface for humanoid robots, yet streaming whole-body control requires control representations that are executable now and anticipatory of future physical transitions. Existing language-conditioned humanoid systems typically generate kinematic references that a low-level tracker must repair reactively, or use latent/action policies whose outputs do not explicitly encode upcoming contact changes, support transfers, and balance preparation. We propose \textbf{DAJI} (\emph{Dynamics-Aligned Joint Intent}), a hierarchical framework that learns an anticipatory joint-intent interface between language generation and closed-loop control. DAJI-Act distills a future-aware teacher into a deployable diffusion action policy through student-driven rollouts, while DAJI-Flow autoregressively generates future intent chunks from language and intent history. Experiments show that DAJI achieves strong results in anticipatory latent learning, single-instruction generation, and streaming instruction following, reaching 94.42% rollout success on HumanML3D-style generation and 0.152 subsequence FID on BABEL.
Learning to Foresee: Unveiling the Unlocking Efficiency of On-Policy Distillation
On-policy distillation (OPD) has emerged as an efficient post-training paradigm for large language models. However, existing studies largely attribute this advantage to denser and more stable supervision, while the parameter-level mechanisms underlying OPD's efficiency remain poorly understood. In this work, we argue that OPD's efficiency stems from a form of ``foresight'': it establishes a stable update trajectory toward the final model early in training. This foresight manifests in two aspects. First, at the \textbf{Module-Allocation Level}, OPD identifies regions with low marginal utility and concentrates updates on modules that are more critical to reasoning. Second, at the \textbf{Update-Direction Level}, OPD exhibits stronger low-rank concentration, with its dominant subspaces aligning closely with the final update subspace early in training. Building on these findings, we propose \textbf{EffOPD}, a plug-and-play acceleration method that speeds up OPD by adaptively selecting an extrapolation step size and moving along the current update direction. EffOPD requires no additional trainable modules or complex hyperparameter tuning, and achieves an average training acceleration of while maintaining comparable final performance. Overall, our findings provide a parameter-dynamics perspective for understanding the efficiency of OPD and offer practical insights for designing more efficient post-training methods for large language models.
TAVIS: A Benchmark for Egocentric Active Vision and Anticipatory Gaze in Imitation Learning
Active vision -- where a policy controls its own gaze during manipulation -- has emerged as a key capability for imitation learning, with multiple independent systems demonstrating its benefits in the past year. Yet there is no shared benchmark to compare approaches or quantify what active vision contributes, on which task types, and under what conditions. We introduce TAVIS, evaluation infrastructure for active-vision imitation learning, with two complementary task suites -- TAVIS-Head (5 tasks, global search via pan/tilt necks) and TAVIS-Hands (3 tasks, local occlusion via wrist cameras) -- on two humanoid torso embodiments (GR1T2, Reachy2), built on IsaacLab. TAVIS provides three evaluation primitives: a paired headcam-vs-fixedcam protocol on identical demonstrations; GALT (Gaze-Action Lead Time), a novel metric grounded in cognitive science and HRI that quantifies anticipatory gaze in learned policies; and procedural ID/OOD splits. Baseline experiments with Diffusion Policy and reveal that (i) active-vision generally helps, but benefits are task-conditional rather than uniform; (ii) multi-task policies degrade sharply under controlled distribution shifts on both suites; and (iii) imitation alone yields anticipatory gaze, with median lead times comparable to the human teleoperator reference. Code, evaluation scripts, demonstrations (LeRobot v3.0; ~2200 episodes) and trained baselines are released at https://github.com/spiglerg/tavis and https://huggingface.co/tavis-benchmark.
Anticipating Innovation Using Large Language Models
Forecasting innovation, intended as the emergence of new technological combinations, is a fundamental challenge for science and policy. We show that forthcoming combinations leave an early trace in the collective language of patents, with predictive signals detectable even decades in advance. We show that signal is not attributable to any single inventor, but emerges as a collective shift in how technologies are described across thousands of patents. To this end, we introduce TechToken, a transformer-based model that treats technologies, classified by International Patent Classification codes, as words in its vocabulary, learning the language of technologies by embedding these codes during fine-tuning. We define context similarity between code embeddings as a measure of linguistic convergence and show that it accurately predicts first technological combinations. TechToken also improves general representation quality, outperforming state-of-the-art models across different patent-related tasks.
Anticipation-VLA: Solving Long-Horizon Embodied Tasks via Anticipation-based Subgoal Generation
Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models have emerged as a powerful paradigm for embodied intelligence, enabling robots to perform tasks based on natural language instructions and current visual input. However, existing VLA models struggle with long-horizon tasks due to compounding errors. Prior methods decompose tasks into subtasks of fixed granularity, which cannot adapt to the varying complexity of execution states, limiting their robustness in long-horizon tasks. To overcome this, we introduce Anticipation Model, which adaptively and recursively generates future subgoals. This model continuously adapts as the task unfolds, adjusting future subgoals in response to evolving dynamics, facilitating more reliable planning paths. Building on this concept, we propose Anticipation-VLA, a hierarchical VLA model that leverages the anticipation model to generate actionable subgoals that guide VLA policy execution. We implement Anticipation-VLA with finetuning a Unified Multimodal Model (UMM) for high-level subgoal generation and a goal-conditioned VLA policy for low-level action execution. Experiments in both simulated and real-world robotic tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of Anticipation-VLA, highlighting the importance of adaptive and recursive subgoal generation for robust policy execution.
Modeling Clinical Concern Trajectories in Language Model Agents
Large language model (LLM) agents deployed in clinical settings often exhibit abrupt, threshold-driven behavior, offering little visibility into accumulating risk prior to escalation. In real-world care, however, clinicians act on gradually rising concern rather than instantaneous triggers. We study whether explicit state dynamics can expose such pre-escalation signals without delegating clinical authority to the agent. We introduce a lightweight agent architecture in which a memoryless clinical risk encoder is integrated over time using first- and second-order dynamics to produce a continuous escalation pressure signal. Across synthetic ward scenarios, stateless agents exhibit sharp escalation cliffs, while second-order dynamics produce smooth, anticipatory concern trajectories despite similar escalation timing. These trajectories surface sustained unease prior to escalation, enabling human-in-the-loop monitoring and more informed intervention. Our results suggest that explicit state dynamics can make LLM agents more clinically legible by revealing how long concern has been rising, not just when thresholds are crossed.
OFlow: Injecting Object-Aware Temporal Flow Matching for Robust Robotic Manipulation
Robust robotic manipulation requires not only predicting how the scene evolves over time, but also recognizing task-relevant objects in complex scenes. However, existing VLA models face two limitations. They typically act only on the current frame, while future prediction and object-aware reasoning are often learned in separate latent spaces. We propose OFlow (injecting Object-Aware Temporal Flow Matching into VLAs), a framework that addresses both limitations by unifying temporal foresight and object-aware reasoning in a shared semantic latent space. Our method forecasts future latents with temporal flow matching, factorizes them into object-aware representations that emphasize physically relevant cues while filtering task-irrelevant variation, and conditions continuous action generation on these predictions. By integrating OFlow into VLA pipelines, our method enables more reliable control under distribution shifts. Extensive experiments across LIBERO, LIBERO-Plus, MetaWorld, and SimplerEnv benchmarks and real-world tasks demonstrate that object-aware foresight consistently enhances robustness and success.