Fraud Detection

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Period ending 2026-09-21

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110 papers

Latest in Fraud Detection

Jun 15, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Defensive Reporting: Machine Learning for Active Anti-Money Laundering Control in Insurance

Money laundering through insurance claims poses a threat to insurers both through fraudulent payouts and reputational and regulatory risk. Despite this, little research has examined how such laundering can be prevented. This paper examines whether machine learning can help insurers flag suspicious claims before payout, shifting the focus from passive reporting to active prevention. Using production data from a major Norwegian insurer, we train gradient-boosted decision tree models to detect claims later reported to authorities for suspected money laundering. Because fraud and laundering may share behavioural patterns, we also examine whether insurance fraud labels can serve as an auxiliary training signal. We compare different learning setups using the Budget-Weighted Capture Rate, a metric introduced in this paper to measure how many laundering cases are captured when only a small share of claims can be manually reviewed. The results show that incorporating fraud-related investigation labels substantially improves laundering detection. The best-performing model captures nearly two-thirds of laundering cases within the top-ranked 2 to 6 percent of claims selected for investigation. To our knowledge, this is the first empirical study of machine learning for money laundering detection in insurance claims.
Dara Goldar, Geir Kjetil Ferkingstad Sandve, Martin Jullum
Jun 15, 2026cs.CL

FraudSMSWalker: Benchmarking Agentic Large Language Models for SMS-to-Webpage Fraud Detection

SMS fraud is increasingly cross-channel: a message directs the user to a webpage, and the final risk depends on how the SMS claim aligns with the page content and requested user action. However, existing evaluations either focus on message-only smishing classification or expose URL and domain cues that allow models to rely on reputation shortcuts. To address this gap, we introduce \textbf{FraudSMSWalker}, a controlled benchmark for URL-masked SMS-to-webpage fraud judgment. FraudSMSWalker contains 699 bilingual chains, including 332 fraudulent and 367 benign cases, across ten service scenarios. The model-visible input consists of the SMS context and sanitized webpage evidence, while raw URLs, hosts, domains, IPs, redirects, and reputation metadata are withheld. The benchmark further includes hard benign cases whose pages contain login, payment, verification, or account-management elements that are plausible under the service context but also appear in scam flows. We evaluate nine web agents under masked browser-agent protocols and conduct URL-visibility ablations. The results show that current agents can detect suspicious cues, but struggle to preserve benign recall and often produce positive predictions that are weakly supported by the observed evidence. These findings position FraudSMSWalker as a benchmark for measuring whether web agents can make fraud judgments that remain both accurate and evidence-grounded when direct reputation shortcuts are suppressed. The associated code and dataset are accessible at the \href{https://anonymous.4open.science/w/FraudMessageWalker-Bench}{anonymous link}.
Y. H. Zhou, Z. M. Ma, Y. J. Zhou +12
Jun 12, 2026cs.LG

The Risk Shadow of Principal Component Analysis: When 99.9999% Variance Preservation Causes Catastrophic Decision Errors

Principal Component Analysis (PCA) preserves variance, not the information needed to detect rare catastrophic events. This paper proves the existence of a {\it Risk Shadow}: PCA can retain over 99.9999 percent of total variance while completely erasing all signal about rare, high-impact failures. When this happens, even the best possible classifier operating on the PCA representation reduces to a constant predictor. The root cause is a fundamental mismatch between variance maximization and tail risk awareness. To break the shadow, we introduce Expectile PCA (ExPCA) and Tail-Preserving PCA (TP-PCA), two methods that reweight the data covariance toward high-impact events. We prove theoretically that ExPCA strictly outperforms PCA in retaining rare-event information, and we validate our claims on synthetic data and a real-world credit card fraud detection benchmark. Our results call for a fundamental rethinking of variance-based dimensionality reduction in high-stakes decisions.
Hamidou Tembine
Jun 9, 2026cs.AI

Confidence Laundering in Agent Systems: Why Uncertainty Needs a Latent Carrier

Modern agent systems can turn uncertainty into overconfidence. Fragile upstream decisions are often exposed to downstream components as clean intermediate artifacts, while the uncertainty behind those decisions is lost at the interface. As a result, local ambiguity can become system-level error amplification. We argue that this reveals an interface bottleneck in agent uncertainty propagation: uncertainty does not propagate simply because a trajectory contains uncertain steps; it propagates only when it survives the handoff between components. We define uncertain decision handoff as the transfer of an intermediate decision made under uncertainty, and identify confidence laundering as a failure mode in which fragile upstream states are repackaged as procedurally valid artifacts that downstream agents over-trust. To address this bottleneck, we propose latent uncertainty as an uncertainty-bearing carrier attached to decision handoffs. Rather than replacing text with hidden states, latent uncertainty aims to preserve pre-commitment fragility in a form that downstream components can use. This position shifts agent uncertainty propagation from step-wise uncertainty estimation toward uncertainty-preserving interface design for more recoverable agent systems.
Kaiwen Shi, Zheyuan Zhang, Han Bao +2
Jun 9, 2026cs.LG

Validation-Stage Combinatorial Fusion Analysis for Imbalanced Credit-Card Fraud Detection

Credit-card fraud detection is difficult because fraudulent transactions are rare, costly, and unevenly distributed. Strong gradient-boosted tree models already perform well on structured transaction data, so the value of another fusion method is not obvious. This paper examines whether Combinatorial Fusion Analysis (CFA), which searches over model subsets and rank-score fusion rules, can still add value on the IEEE-CIS Fraud Detection benchmark. Using a leakage-free 60/20/20 train/validation/test protocol, we evaluate 480 fusion configurations built from seven base classifiers. The best test-set result comes from diversity-weighted score fusion of Random Forest, XGBoost, and LightGBM (DEF WtScore), with AUC-ROC = 0.9405, AUPRC = 0.6699, and F1 = 0.6373. Bootstrap confidence intervals from 1,000 resamples show that the gains over the strongest single model exclude zero for all three metrics. CFA matches soft voting on AUC-ROC, improves AUPRC and F1, and outperforms stacking in this setting. A CTGAN augmentation experiment gives a negative result: synthetic fraud samples degrade both individual models and CFA. Overall, CFA is most useful here not as a way to combine every classifier, but as a validation-stage method for choosing a small, complementary subset and assigning diversity-aware weights.
Xiao Han, Chenyu Wu
Jun 6, 2026cs.AI

SAGE: An LLM-driven Self Reflective Agentic Framework for Fraud Detection

Fraud detection in payment, e-commerce, and telecommunications systems requires accuracy at the individual level, robustness under severe class imbalance, and ease of understanding for risk managers. Existing methods fall at least one of these requirements: automated machine learning systems search a fixed numerical space without semantic awareness of the dataset; graph neural network-based methods require pre-defined relational graphs and remain opaque at the individual-decision level; and the design of general-purpose large language model (LLM) agents does not consider the recall and precision constraints specific to real-world fraud detection. In this paper, we propose SAGE, the first end-to-end LLM-driven multi-agent framework for fraud detection. SAGE coordinates three dedicated agents that make decisions based on a six-layer Data Diagnostic Tree (DDT) and a Markov decision process guided by natural-language gradients, automatically optimizing the model under a fraud-specific reward. On five fraud datasets and five LLM backbones, SAGE wins 96.00%96.00\% of method--dataset comparisons and improves F1 by an average of 40.86%40.86\% over baselines. The code is available at https://github.com/yichenC1c/SAGE.
Yichen Chen, Siying Li, Yuhang Liang +2
Jun 5, 2026cs.CL

An Expanded Synthetic Conversation Dataset for Multi-Turn Smishing Detection

Our prior work introduced COVA, a synthetically generated multi-turn conversational smishing dataset of 3,201 labeled conversations, establishing baseline detection benchmarks across eight models. While XGBoost with TF-IDF features achieved the best performance, with 72.5% accuracy and 0.691 macro F1, transformer models underperformed, which was attributed to input truncation and insufficient training data. We present COVA-X, an expanded dataset of 10,985 conversations spanning eight elder-targeted scam categories, produced by an improved generation pipeline addressing contamination, label mismatch, stage-direction bleed, and prompt-design failures from the first iteration. Retraining all classifiers on the expanded dataset yields the central finding of this work: Longformer now surpasses XGBoost on all evaluation metrics, achieving 79.71% accuracy and 0.7786 macro F1 compared with 78.43% and 0.7563 for XGBoost. This directly confirms that transformer models require larger conversational corpora to realize their contextual advantages. We additionally document a quality life-cycle including a 12.7×\times improvement in label correction rate, from 49.8% to 3.9%, an architectural intervention reducing virtual-kidnapping artifact rates from 67.1% to 46.5%, and a per-scam-type outcome analysis showing that scam categories modulate results in mechanism-consistent ways. A pre/post-cleanup sensitivity analysis confirms that dataset refinement recovers genuine label-relevant signal across all three classifier architectures.
Carl Lochstampfor, Ayan Roy
Jun 4, 2026cs.CY

Artificial Intelligence-Enabled Accounting Information Systems and Fraud Detection in Nigeria's Financial Services Sector: The Moderating Role of Natural Language Processing

The rapid digitalisation of financial systems has improved operational efficiency and financial inclusion while simultaneously increasing exposure to sophisticated forms of cyber-enabled fraud and electronic financial misconduct. Conventional auditing systems, which largely depend on retrospective verification and rule-based monitoring, increasingly struggle to address the complexity and speed of modern financial crime. Consequently, financial institutions are progressively adopting Artificial Intelligence (AI)-enabled Accounting Information Systems (AIS) and Natural Language Processing (NLP) technologies to strengthen fraud detection, continuous auditing, and institutional monitoring. This study examined the influence of AI-enabled AIS on auditing and fraud detection effectiveness within Nigeria's financial services sector while additionally evaluating the moderating role of NLP. Anchored on the Fraud Diamond Theory and the Technology Acceptance Model, the study adopted a quantitative cross-sectional survey design. Primary data were collected from 186 professionals across banking, insurance, and FinTech institutions in Nigeria. Data were analysed using descriptive statistics, multiple regression, and hierarchical moderated regression techniques. The findings revealed that AI-enabled AIS significantly improves auditing and fraud detection effectiveness, particularly through prevention, detection, data analysis, and investigative capabilities. The results further indicated that NLP positively moderates the relationship between AI-enabled AIS and auditing effectiveness by improving semantic interpretation and analytical explainability. The study concludes that AI-enabled AIS and NLP are increasingly important for strengthening fraud governance, regulatory accountability, and institutional trust within emerging digital financial environments.
Timothy Oluwapelumi Adeyemi, Abigail Omotola Ojogbede
Jun 2, 2026cs.LG

Mitigating False Credit Propagation: Probabilistic Graphical Reward Aggregation for Rubric-Based Reinforcement Learning

Rubric-based rewards are increasingly used for open-ended language model post-training, but criterion-level scores are often aggregated as independent utilities. This flat scalarization ignores rubric-specified prerequisite and activation relations among criteria, allowing reward or penalty to be counted even when the condition that licenses it is absent. We call this structural reward-aggregation failure \textbf{False Credit Propagation} (FCP). To address this limitation, we propose \ourname (\textbf{G}raphical \textbf{E}vent \textbf{A}ggregation for \textbf{R}ubric rewards), a probabilistic graphical framework for dependency-aware rubric aggregation. \ourname models each criterion outcome as a latent Bernoulli event in a typed rubric graph, propagates soft suppression from unsupported parent events to their children, and aggregates the resulting event probabilities into a normalized expected signed utility. This yields a linear-time reward computation that can be plugged into standard rubric-based RL pipelines without changing the outer optimization algorithm. Experiments on HealthBench, WritingBench, and PLawBench with two policy backbones show that \ourname consistently improves over flat aggregation and deterministic gating, achieving relative gains of up to 15.5% over flat aggregation. FCP diagnostics further show that \ourname reduces leakage by 96.5% relative to flat aggregation while preserving more licensed downstream utility than deterministic gating. Our code is publicly available at https://github.com/LvCan926/GEAR.
Can Lv, Mingju Chen, Heng Chang +1
May 30, 2026cs.AI

Medication-Aware Financial Exploitation Detection for Alzheimer's Patients Using Edge-Aware Interaction Risk Modeling

Financial exploitation is a growing concern for people with Alzheimer's disease, especially during periods of reduced cognitive stability. Conventional fraud detection systems usually rely on financial behavior alone and ignore clinically relevant factors that may alter vulnerability. This paper proposes a medication-aware framework that synchronizes medication adherence with transaction-level monitoring to improve detection of cognitively risky financial events. A hybrid simulation dataset was constructed for 180 patients across 45 days, producing 8,100 medication records and 30,855 transactions. The framework evaluates amount anomaly, vendor novelty, transaction frequency, time deviation, and medication adherence through financial-only, additive medication-aware, and interaction-aware logistic models. Results show that the financial-only baseline obtained the highest global F1-score of 0.5000, but the interaction-aware model improved recall during medication-induced vulnerability windows from 0.7442 to 0.9070 and achieved the highest average precision for ranked high-risk cases. The findings suggest that medication adherence is most useful as a contextual modifier of financial risk rather than as an isolated predictor.
Farzana Akter, Lisan Al Amin, Rakib Hossain +2
May 30, 2026cs.CR

"I Strongly Suspect This Website Is a Scam": Benchmarking PII Leakage and Detection without Defense in Autonomous Web Agents

Deceptive web content, widely instantiated across the internet and commonly known as \textit{social-engineering attacks}, manipulates autonomous web agents into submitting users' personally identifiable information (PII) to attacker-controlled endpoints. In this paper, we show that social-engineering attacks are highly effective at extracting critical-tier PII from frontier web agents, posing a severe risk to deployed agentic systems. To quantify this risk, we introduce \textbf{\textsc{Scammer4U}}, a pre-registered benchmark of 91 attacker-controlled environments and 10 benign-twin baselines, spanning 8 attack vectors and 16 site categories on an 8-axis factorial taxonomy that isolates the causal contribution of individual attack design factors. Across frontier agents, we find that critical-tier PII leakage reaches 54--93% under no privacy guidance, compared to 0% on benign-twin baselines, confirming that leakage is attack-attributable rather than incidental form-filling. Escalating prompt-level mitigation yields sharply model-dependent reductions across the four families and remains insufficient to reliably prevent critical PII submission at the pooled level. Most critically, we identify a detection--action gap: agents whose reasoning an independent LLM judge confirms has flagged the site as suspicious still submit critical PII in 35.9% of sessions, versus 66.1% when no suspicion is verbalized, a 30.2% gap robust across all four model families. Our findings reveal that defenses conditioned on the agent's own recognition of an attack are gating on the wrong signal, motivating output-level interception of outbound submissions that operates independently of the agent's reasoning loop.
Soham Roy, Sarthakbrata Halder, Arya Bharaty +5
May 29, 2026cs.LG

Fraud Type Decomposition and the Observation-Mechanism Taxonomy:Class-Specific Detection Limits in Payment Networks

Fraud detection in payment networks relies on labels generated through heterogeneous and imperfect observation processes, yet existing approaches treat fraud as a homogeneous binary variable. We show that this assumption is structurally incorrect and leads to provable inefficiency. We introduce an observation-mechanism taxonomy that partitions fraud into five classes, each defined by a distinct censorship and labeling pipeline. We prove that estimating fraud rates separately by class and aggregating strictly dominates pooled estimation, with the efficiency gap characterized as a Jensen penalty arising from heterogeneous observation rates. For each class, we derive the binding theoretical constraint on detection, including endogenous label corruption, structural non-observability, and feature non-informativeness. These results establish that fraud detection is fundamentally a collection of distinct estimation problems, each governed by its own observation structure and detection limit.
Gaurav Dhama
May 27, 2026cs.AI

Let Relations Speak: An End-to-End LLM-GNN Soft Prompt Framework for Fraud Detection

In recent years, Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown great capability in processing graph tasks such as fraud detection. However, most existing methods rely heavily on rich text attributes, which poses difficulties for this domain due to the lack of textual data. Although some pioneering methods attempt to overcome it, their textualization of graph structures via hard prompts easily leads to feature distortion. Additionally, fraud detection often exhibits multi-relational complexity, where current methods struggle to capture this deep semantic information. To address these challenges, we propose LLM-GNN Soft Prompt Framework (LGSPF). Specifically, LGSPF bridges the graph structure and semantic space using soft prompt to eliminate reliance on text. We further introduce a parallel Graph Neural Network (GNN) encoder to translate multi-relational topologies into graph tokens for fine-grained LLM fraud comprehension. Through end-to-end optimization, LGSPF enhances deep semantic alignment between LLM and GNN. Experiments across diverse fraud detection benchmarks demonstrate our method achieves state-of-the-art performance. Moreover, we further validate the contribution of LGSPF on enhancing the semantic interpretability of fraud behaviors.
Zhixing Zuo, Huilin He, Jiasheng Wu +1
May 26, 2026cs.LG

The Fundamental Limits of Fraud Detection in Card Payment Networks

Card payment fraud detection is usually framed as a supervised classification problem. Although this approach has generated practical progress, improvement has remained incremental despite major advances in model architecture. We argue that this is not mainly a failure of function approximation or optimization, but a consequence of structural information impairments inherent to the payment ecosystem. We formalize card authorization as a sequential decision problem with delayed, censored, corrupted, and counterfactually missing feedback. We derive a minimax regret lower bound showing that these impairments enter multiplicatively in the denominator of the achievable learning rate. The bound implies that improving issuer reporting quality or reducing censorship can yield larger reductions in the regret floor than increasing model complexity. We also show that heterogeneity across issuers worsens learnability beyond what average impairment rates suggest. The paper contributes a theory of why fraud detection in payment networks is fundamentally harder than in standard online learning settings, identifies ecosystem information quality as the key bottleneck, and provides a theoretical basis for prioritizing investments in reporting infrastructure, dispute process quality, and selective exploration. The paper is theory-first and does not rely on proprietary transaction data.
Gaurav Dhama
May 26, 2026cs.LG

TED: Related Party Transaction guided Tax Evasion Detection on Heterogeneous Graph

Tax evasion causes severe losses of government revenues and disturbs the economic order of fair competition. To help alleviate this problem, the latest tax evasion detection solutions utilize expert knowledge to extract features and then train classifiers to determine whether a company is suspected of tax evasion. However, existing solutions mainly focus on the statistical features of the company, but fail to exploit the rich interactive information in tax scenarios, which affect the detection performance. In this paper, we first model the tax scenario as a heterogeneous graph and study the tax evasion detection problem under the heterogeneous graph model. To improve the performance of tax evasion detection, a novel graph neural network model is proposed to extract the comprehensive information of heterogeneous graphs. Specifically, we use heterogeneous and complex related party transaction groups to filter low-level noise information. Moreover, a hierarchical attention mechanism is designed to capture the deeper structure and semantic information hidden in the related party transaction group. We apply our method to the real risk management system of the tax bureau, and evaluate it on two human-labeled real-world tax datasets. The results demonstrate that our method significantly outperforms the state-of-the-art in the tax evasion detection task.
Yiming Xu, Bin Shi, Bo Dong +3
May 25, 2026cs.AI

L2IR: Revealing Latent Intent in Graph Fraud Detection

Graph fraud detection has long depended on Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to propagate and aggregate information across relational data. A critical obstacle in practice, however, is that fraudsters frequently disguise themselves by forging numerous connections with benign users, causing fraud signals to be progressively diluted during neighborhood aggregation and undermining detection reliability. While recent efforts have used Large Language Models (LLMs) to provide rich semantic cues for fraud detection, the underlying intent behind suspicious connections remains insufficiently explored. Compounding this issue, the scarcity of annotated fraud samples makes it difficult to train detectors that remain robust under heavy camouflage. To address these gaps, we propose L2IR, an LLM-driven Latent Intent Revealing framework for graph fraud detection. By uncovering latent intent from both user behaviors and suspicious connections, L2IR extracts intent-aware representations from raw behavioral traces and reasons about the true purpose behind individual connections, effectively distinguishing supportive links from misleading ones. It further incorporates adaptive self-training to enhance robustness under limited supervision. Evaluations on two real-world datasets characterized by pervasive camouflage demonstrate that L2IR surpasses strong baselines and can function as a plug-in enhancement for a range of GNN-based detectors, improving AUPRC by up to 8.27%.
Jinsheng Guo, Zhenhao Weng, Yibo Liu +2
May 21, 2026cs.CR

Innovations in Cardless Artificial Intelligence Banking: A Comprehensive Framework for Cyber Secure and Fraud Mitigation using Machine Learning Algorithms

The advent of cardless artificial intelligence (AI) banking heralds a paradigm shift in the financial landscape, offering users unprecedented security and convenience. This paper outlines a comprehensive framework designed to enhance cybersecurity, introduce auto-generated virtual cards, and mitigate fraud risks within cardless AI banking systems. The framework envisions a future banking architecture that employs AI-powered data cryptography to create secure virtual cards for seamless transactions. By emphasizing secure communication channels, it ensures the integrity of financial activities among banking systems, cardholders, and third-party vendors. AI-based authorization methodologies play a pivotal role in authenticating each transaction while proactively identifying potential fraud, demonstrating the framework's efficacy in fortifying cardless AI banking security. The initial approach, featuring an AI-driven, feature-based banking system, ensures the generation of virtual cards with encrypted data, minimizing information exposure and reducing fraud risks. Integrating a machine learning algorithm adds an additional layer of protection against potential fraudulent activities. In conclusion, the proposed framework establishes a holistic cybersecurity and fraud-mitigation paradigm for cardless AI banking systems. Its implementation empowers financial institutions to address security concerns associated with traditional banking, paving the way for a future banking landscape that is not only fraud-resistant but also secure and convenient for users.
Md Israfeel
May 21, 2026cs.LG

SilIF: Silhouette-Augmented Isolation Forest for Unsupervised Transaction Fraud Detection

Unsupervised anomaly detection is widely used in transaction fraud detection where labels are scarce. Isolation Forest (IF) is among the most popular classical methods due to its scalability and ease of deployment. We propose SilIF, an augmentation of Isolation Forest that adds a silhouette-based scoring layer computed in a representation space induced by the trees of the forest. For each point, we extract a vector of per-tree path lengths, cluster these "fingerprints" into structural groups, and compute a silhouette score that measures how well the point fits its assigned group versus the nearest alternative. The silhouette signal is combined with the base IF score via a single hyperparameter alpha. On the IEEE-CIS Fraud Detection benchmark (~590K transactions, 3.5% fraud), SilIF with alpha=1.0 improves over plain Isolation Forest by +0.0080 AUC-PR on average across five seeds, with SilIF winning on all five seeds (paired t-test p=0.046). We also report results on a synthetic credit-card dataset (Sparkov) where the silhouette augmentation does not improve over plain IF, and we characterize the conditions that distinguish the two outcomes. The paper presents SilIF as a tunable, easy-to-deploy enhancement to Isolation Forest with honest reporting of when it helps and when it does not. Code at https://github.com/venkat15vk/silif-anomaly-detection.
Venkatakrishnan Gopalakrishnan
May 20, 2026cs.LG

Q-SYNTH: Hybrid Quantum-Classical Adversarial Augmentation for Imbalanced Fraud Detection

Credit card fraud detection is fundamentally challenged by extreme class imbalance, where fraudulent transactions are rare yet operationally critical. This imbalance often biases supervised learners toward the legitimate class, leading to high overall accuracy but weaker fraud-class recall and F1-score. This paper introduces Q-SYNTH, a hybrid classical--quantum generative adversarial framework in which a parameterized quantum circuit serves as the generator and a classical neural network serves as the discriminator. Q-SYNTH is designed for minority-class fraud synthesis in tabular data and is evaluated along two dimensions: statistical fidelity to real fraud samples and downstream performance for fraud detection. To this end, generated samples are assessed using distributional similarity measures based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistics and Wasserstein distances, real-vs-synthetic detectability measured by AUC-ROC, and downstream classification performance across both quantum and classical classifiers. Under the reported protocol, Q-SYNTH reduces marginal distribution mismatch relative to a classical GAN baseline while maintaining competitive downstream fraud-detection performance. Although SMOTE achieves the strongest feature-wise similarity and the classical GAN attains the highest downstream performance in several settings, Q-SYNTH offers a favorable compromise between distributional fidelity and downstream performance, supporting the feasibility of hybrid quantum augmentation for imbalanced fraud detection.
Adam Innan, Mansour El Alami, Nouhaila Innan +2
May 20, 2026cs.CR

Verifiable Provenance and Watermarking for Generative AI: An Evidentiary Framework for International Operational Law and Domestic Courts

Generative artificial intelligence now synthesizes photorealistic imagery, audio, and video at a cost that defeats traditional forensic intuition. The legal consequences span three regimes studied so far in isolation: international operational law, domestic procedure, and product regulation. This article presents a unified evidentiary framework that maps cryptographic content provenance, robust statistical watermarking, and zero knowledge attestation to the proof requirements of each regime. We define a five tier threat model spanning naive regeneration, adversarial laundering, cross model regeneration, active watermark removal, and insider provenance forgery. We release a public benchmark of 12000 generated items across image, audio, and video modalities under six laundering pipelines for 72000 evaluation samples. We evaluate four representative schemes and report true positive rate at fixed false positive rate, robustness area under the curve, computational overhead, and a regime conditioned legal sufficiency score. We translate empirical detection bounds into legal sufficiency thresholds for command decisions under the law of armed conflict, for criminal and civil admissibility under domestic procedure, and for persistence audits under the European Union Artificial Intelligence Act and analogous regimes. The result is a reproducible reference pipeline, a public benchmark, and model annexes that lawyers, engineers, and operators can deploy together.
Gustav Olaf Yunus Laitinen-Fredriksson Lundström-Imanov, Nurana Abdullayeva
May 19, 2026cs.LG

SAGE: Scalable Automatic Gating Ensemble for Confident Negative Harvesting in Fraud Detection

Music streaming fraud, where bad actors artificially inflate stream counts to manipulate chart rankings and royalty payments, poses a significant threat to streaming services and legitimate content creators. Traditional fraud detection approaches struggle with a critical challenge: many legitimate edge cases, including super-fans and sleep-music sessions, exhibit activity patterns that closely mimic those of coordinated fraud. We present SAGE, a novel counterfactual-aware negative harvesting approach that combines SimHash-based stratified sampling with a modular gating ensemble for confident negative identification from unlabeled data. Our ensemble architecture employs pluggable statistical gates (currently instantiated with Mahalanobis distance and k-NN density) with configurable voting thresholds enabling adaptive precision-recall trade-offs. This addresses the representation bias problem in Positive-Unlabeled learning by ensuring comprehensive coverage of rare behavioral cohorts through floor-constrained sampling. Evaluation demonstrates strong precision and recall on held-out data. The approach generalizes across fraud detection domains, achieving strong performance on both customer-level and artist-level fraud without modification to the core methodology.
Sudheer Tubati, Amit Goyal
May 19, 2026cs.LG

CAMERA: Adapting to Semantic Camouflage in Unsupervised Text-Attributed Graph Fraud Detection

Text-attributed graph fraud detection (TAGFD) plays a critical role in preventing fraudulent activities on online social and e-commerce platforms. However, to evade detection, fraudsters continuously evolve their camouflaging strategies by deliberately mimicking textual responses of benign users, thereby concealing their malicious purposes. This phenomenon, referred to as semantic camouflage, fundamentally undermines commonly relied assumptions on how structural and attribute cues can be exploited to identify fraudsters, and makes it difficult to spot fraudsters with unsupervised TAGFD. To bridge the gaps, we propose a Case-Adaptive Multi-cue Expert fRAmework (CAMERA) for unsupervised TAGFD. CAMERA employs an ego-decoupled mixture-of-experts architecture, where each expert specializes in modeling a distinct type of fraud-indicative cue. A context-informed gating model is introduced to jointly consider the ego node representation and its local neighborhood context for adaptive integration of cues learned by different experts. Furthermore, CAMERA leverages the inherent rarity of fraudsters to support unsupervised one-class learning with expert-level objectives that encourage modeling dominant benign patterns, thereby enabling reliable unsupervised detection of camouflaged fraudsters. Experiments on 4 challenging datasets show that CAMERA consistently outperforms competitors, showing its effectiveness against semantically camouflaged fraudsters. Code available at https://github.com/CampanulaBells/CAMERA
Junjun Pan, Yixin Liu, Yu Zheng +3
May 18, 2026cs.LG

Pocket Foundation Models: Distilling TFMs into CPU-Ready Gradient-Boosted Trees

A fraud scorer needs to answer in under 2 ms. The best tabular foundation models (TFMs) take 151-1,275 ms on GPU. We close this gap by distilling the TFM offline into an XGBoost or CatBoost student that runs natively on CPU. The central obstacle is specific to in-context learning (ICL) teachers: they leak labels when scoring their own training set, so the soft targets collapse to near-one-hot vectors with no inter-class structure left to distill. Stratified out-of-fold (OOF) teacher labeling prevents this. Across 153 classification datasets drawn from TALENT, OpenML-CC18, TabZilla, and TabArena, distilling TabICLv2 into XGBoost gives 0.882 macro-mean AUC (96.5% of teacher AUC) at 1.9 ms on CPU, a 38x to 860x speedup across teacher-student pairs with a statistically significant edge over a tuned CatBoost baseline (Wilcoxon p = 0.0008; 51% win rate). Four further findings: teacher rank transfers exactly to student rank; gains concentrate on low-dimensional data (< 21 features: +0.011 over CatBoost vs. >21 features: +0.001); multi-teacher averaging helps MLP students (+0.006, p = 0.003) but adds less than 0.001 for tree students; and on high-dimensional tasks where the teacher itself trails CatBoost, distillation makes things worse rather than better. The full pipeline is open-sourced as part of the TabTune library.
Aditya Tanna, Nassim Bouarour, Mohamed Bouadi +2
May 17, 2026cs.CR

SCAFDS: Edge-Feature Graph Attention for Interbank Fraud Detection with Attribution-Grounded SAR Generation

The U.S. financial system processes approximately 1.3 million interbank transactions daily, yet no system in the reviewed literature models fraud propagation across the interbank network using fraud co-occurrence edge features. Prior interbank GNN architectures model credit contagion using credit distress supervision signals, producing systems misaligned for fraud forensics. No existing system generates SAR narratives with per-assertion forensic traceability to specific numerical detection outputs, creating regulatory auditability gaps in FinCEN-submitted reports. This paper introduces SCAFDS (Systemic Contagion-Aware Fraud Detection System), a seven-stage integrated surveillance pipeline addressing five structural limitations of prior art: (1) fraud-specific interbank topology encoding using fraud co-occurrence frequency metrics f(u,v,t) derived from FinCEN SAR registry records; (2) edge-feature-informed graph attention where coefficients are computed from both node representations and fraud co-occurrence edge features; (3) bilinear fraud co-occurrence risk fusion producing institution-level systemic fraud risk scores; (4) attribution-conditioned SAR narrative generation with per-assertion significance thresholds ensuring each FinCEN SAR assertion is traceable to a specific numerical pipeline output; and (5) topology-aware adaptive forensic feedback updating graph attention weights from regulatory dispositions. Experiments on the IEEE-CIS Fraud Detection Dataset (590,540 transactions) and a synthetic FDIC-aligned interbank network (8,103 institutions, 169,800 edges) show SCAFDS achieves AUPRC=0.515+/-0.032 and AUROC=0.802+/-0.018, representing +15.9pp and +13.7pp improvements over GraphSAGE-AML. Partial validation on FDIC enforcement action records (n=4,279) confirms consistent model ranking. USPTO Provisional Patent Application No. 64/061,083, filed May 8, 2026.
Mohammad Nasir Uddin
May 17, 2026cs.NI

An Efficient Machine Learning-based Framework for Detection and Prevention of Frauds in Telecom Networks

Telecommunication fraud is an acute problem that leads to substantial material losses and compromises the reliability of telecom systems worldwide. Only effective and efficient detection mechanisms can help to deal with these threats, though there are certain shifts in the approaches to fraud detection. This paper evaluates the performance of AI-driven models for fraud detection in telecommunication networks using Call Detail Record (CDR) datasets. This study focuses on fraud detection in telecom networks using the Telecom CDR dataset, which contains 101,174 customer records with 17 attributes, including 8,830 fraud cases. In feature preprocessing, missing values were dealt with, followed by data scaling using Min-Max scaling and data balancing using the SMOTE technique. The dataset was trained for predictive analysis using Random Forest (RF) and XGBoost models. F1-score, ROC AUC, recall, accuracy, time, and precision were used as indicators with which to compare performance of the two models. RF recorded a high level of accuracy at 99.9% while XGBoost at 99.7%. Findings show that the suggested framework successfully detects fraud with few misclassifications. Several machine learning models were evaluated and contrasted, such as RF, XGBoost, DBSCAN, RoBERTa, and K-means. Among all the models, RF was seen to give the highest performance with an accuracy of 99.9% and precision of 99.9%, recall of 99.9% and F1-score of 99.9%, XGBoost, GNN and BERT. The findings emphasize RF as the most effective model for detecting fraudulent activities in telecom networks, ensuring robust and reliable prevention of fraud.
Praveen Hegde, Mishal Shah
May 16, 2026cs.LG

Privacy-Preserving Generation Fraud Detection for Distributed Photovoltaic Systems: A Solar Irradiance-Fused Federated Learning Framework

The wide adoption of residential photovoltaic (PV) systems introduces new challenges for generation fraud detection (FD). Unlike traditional electricity theft detection, which focuses on electricity consumption-side behavior, PV generation fraud detection (PVG-FD) is complicated by the inherent intermittency and uncertainty of PV generation. The distributed nature of PV systems poses further challenges for centralized PVG-FD approaches due to scalability and privacy concerns. This paper develops a privacy-preserving distributed PVG-FD framework based on federated learning (FL). In this framework, a utility company manages multiple household communities, where each of which is equipped with a local detector. The framework integrates a novel detection model architecture with privacy-preserving global collaboration. Each community's local model fuses PV generation and weather data via a co-attention mechanism to detect discrepancies critical for PVG-FD. The FL framework enables cross-community collaboration by aggregating model parameters and prototypes, leveraging global knowledge sharing with local refinement while preserving privacy. It also uses prototype alignment to address class imbalance by enhancing fraud sample representation. Extensive experiments on a real-world residential PV dataset validate the effectiveness of the developed method and demonstrate that it outperforms state-of-the-art FL methods across various scenarios. The results also show its scalability across varying community sizes and strong robustness to class imbalance.
Xiaolu Chen, Chenghao Huang, Yanru Zhang +1
May 13, 2026cs.LG

Graph-Driven Cross-Industry Real-Time Monitoring Framework for Anti-Money Laundering Detection in Converged Mobility-Energy Supply Chain Networks

With the deep integration of the travel and energy industries, cross-industry supply chain finance has gradually become a high-risk field of hidden money laundering incidents. For this reason, this work proposes a graph-driven cross-industry real-time anti-money laundering monitoring framework (GCRMF) for integrated travel - energy supply chain networks. First, a cross-industry heterogeneous graph (CIHG) covering new energy vehicle rental platforms, energy suppliers, fintech institutions, etc., is constructed, and industry semantics are integrated through temporarily Dual-GAT (Temporal Dual-Graph Attention Network), dynamically encoding capital flow paths and evolution features over time. Subsequently, in order to identify the structural fraud behavior together produced by colluding subjects, a meta-path subgraph reasoning module based on contrastive learning and hierarchical graph sampling is proposed to enhance the discrimination capability of cross-industry recurring money laundering behavior. Meanwhile, a self-supervised online learning mechanism is adopted for real-time adaptation and continuous optimization to new money laundering strategies. The experimental results show that compared with existing graph neural network methods in cross-industry scenarios, GCRMF improves the performance by more than 17.8% of F1 score and greatly reduces the false positive rate.
Rong Liu, Xiaojun Xiao, Zhanqing Su
May 12, 2026cs.LG

Graph-Based Financial Fraud Detection with Calibrated Risk Scoring and Structural Regularization

Financial transaction fraud prevention faces challenges such as complex relationship structures, concealed behavioral patterns, and dynamically changing data distribution. Discrimination models relying solely on independent sample features are insufficient to fully characterize the risks of group collaboration and chain transfers within transaction networks. This paper proposes a graph neural network representation learning and risk discrimination framework for financial transaction fraud prevention. It integrates transaction records and identity information into node attributes and constructs a transaction graph based on shared attributes and interaction consistency to explicitly model inter-transaction relationships. In model design, a multi-layer message passing mechanism is employed to aggregate neighborhood information, learn node embedding representations containing structural context semantics, and output transaction-level fraud probability and risk scores through a lightweight risk discrimination head. A weighted supervision objective is introduced to mitigate training bias caused by class imbalance, and structural consistency regularization constraints are combined to suppress the impact of noisy edges on representation drift, thereby improving the stability and usability of risk characterization. Experiments are conducted on a publicly available financial transaction dataset, comparing various methods in the same direction and comprehensively evaluating them under a unified evaluation protocol. The results show that the proposed method outperforms other methods in risk ranking and probability calibration quality, validating the effectiveness of graph structure modeling and representation learning collaboration in financial transaction fraud prevention.
Yunfei Nie, Jiawei Wang, Ruobing Yan +3
May 12, 2026cs.CL

PreScam: A Benchmark for Predicting Scam Progression from Early Conversations

Conversational scams, such as romance and investment scams, are emerging as a major form of online fraud. Unlike one-shot scam lures such as fake lottery or unpaid toll messages, they unfold through multi-turn conversations in which scammers gradually manipulate victims using evolving psychological techniques. However, existing research mainly focuses on static scam detection or synthetic scams, leaving open whether language models can understand how real-world scams progress over time. We introduce PreScam, a benchmark for modeling scam progression from early conversations. Built from user-submitted scam reports, PreScam filters and structures 177,989 raw reports into 11,573 conversational scam instances spanning 20 scam categories. Each instance is hierarchically structured according to the scam lifecycle defined by the proposed scam kill chain, and further annotated at the turn level with scammer psychological actions and victim responses. We benchmark models on two tasks: real-time termination prediction, which estimates whether a conversation is approaching the termination stage, and scammer action prediction, which forecasts the scammer's subsequent actions. Results show a clear gap between surface-level fluency and progression modeling: supervised encoders substantially outperform zero-shot LLMs on real-time termination prediction, while next-action prediction remains only moderately successful even for strong LLMs. Taken together, these results show that current models can capture some scam-related cues, yet still struggle to track how risk escalates and how manipulation unfolds across turns.
Weixiang Sun, Shang Ma, Yiyang Li +5
May 11, 2026cs.AI

Rethinking LLMOps for Fraud and AML: Building a Compliance-Grade LLM Serving Stack

Fraud detection and anti-money-laundering (AML) compliance are high-value domains for large language models (LLMs), but their serving requirements differ sharply from generic chat workloads. Compliance prompts are often prefix-heavy, schema-constrained, and evidence-rich, combining reusable policy instructions, risk taxonomies, transaction or document context, and short structured outputs such as JSON labels or risk factors. These properties make prefix reuse, KV-cache efficiency, runtime tuning, model orchestration, and output validation first-order systems concerns. This paper introduces a workload-aware LLMOps stack for fraud and AML workloads using self-hosted open-weight models such as Meta Llama and Alibaba Qwen. The stack combines vLLM-style runtime tuning, PagedAttention, Automatic Prefix Caching, multi-adapter serving, adapter and prompt-length-aware batching, sleep/wake lifecycle management, speculative decoding, and optional prefill/decode disaggregation. To avoid exposing institution-specific data, the reproducibility track converts public synthetic AML datasets, including IBM AML and SAML-D, into prefix-heavy compliance prompts with reusable policy text, transaction evidence, typology definitions, and schema-constrained outputs. We also incorporate an LLM-as-judge quality gate using deterministic compliance checks, reference metrics, expert-adjudicated calibration data where available, and multi-judge rubric scoring. Across public-synthetic AML workloads and controlled serving benchmarks, workload-aware tuning improved throughput from 612-650 to 3,600 requests/hour, reduced P99 latency from 31-38 seconds to 6.4-8.7 seconds, and increased GPU utilization from 12% to 78%. These results show that regulated LLM performance is a workload-design, serving-optimization, and quality-gating problem, not only a model-selection problem.
Prathamesh Vasudeo Naik, Naresh Dintakurthi, Yue Wang
May 9, 2026cs.LG

ORACLE: Anticipating Scams from Partial Trajectories in Streaming App Usage

Smartphone scams are increasingly prevalent and typically manifest as multi-stage, cross-application processes with gradually emerging intent. Effective intervention thus requires anticipating scams before the intent becomes explicit. This is inherently challenging, as decisions must rely on partial trajectories with temporally distributed evidence. In this paper, we propose \textbf{ORACLE} Online Reasoning for Anticipating Cross-temporal Latent thrEats, the first agentic framework for early scam anticipation from \textit{streaming app-usage} trajectories. To support this setting, we curate a real-world long-horizon benchmark of streaming app-usage trajectories, covering 12 scam types, spanning extended periods (15 days on average), involving diverse applications (95 apps), and interleaving normal and scam behaviors. To address fragmented evidence, we introduce a self-evolving context manager that adaptively consolidates entity-centric interactions over time, enabling more effective reconstruction of cross-temporal evidence from partial observations. To enhance sensitivity to latent early-stage signals, we propose an on-policy self-distillation scheme in which a teacher model, conditioned on summarized anti-scam reflections and clues by skills, supervises a student model without access to such reflections. This scheme thereby distills evidence-informed knowledge and improves recognition of emerging fraud patterns from partial trajectories. Experiments show that \method{} consistently improves early scam anticipation, yielding timely warnings while reducing false alerts in realistic streaming scenarios.
Wenbo Gao, Songbai Tan, Zhongan Wang +6
May 9, 2026cs.CV

FraudBench: A Multimodal Benchmark for Detecting AI-Generated Fraudulent Refund Evidence

Artificial Intelligence (AI)-generated images have become increasingly realistic and readily adaptable to concrete real-world claims, creating new challenges for verifying visual evidence. A concrete emerging risk is AI-generated refund fraud, in which manipulated or synthetic images are used to support claims about damaged products, poor delivery conditions, or service-related defects. Existing AI-generated image detection benchmarks mainly evaluate standalone authenticity classification, cross-generator transfer, or forensic localization, leaving claim-conditioned fraudulent evidence detection underexplored. To bridge this gap, we introduce FraudBench, a multimodal benchmark for detecting AI-generated fraudulent refund evidence. FraudBench is constructed from real-world user-review evidence across e-commerce, food delivery, and travel-service scenarios. We curate real evidence images together with their associated review and product metadata, identify genuine damaged and undamaged evidence through MLLM-assisted filtering and human annotation, and synthesize fake-damaged evidence from genuine undamaged reference images using six state-of-the-art image editing and generation models. Using FraudBench, we evaluate MLLMs, specialized AI-generated image detectors, and human participants under the same settings. Experiments show that current MLLMs often recognize real-damaged evidence but fail on many fake-damaged subsets, with fake-damage detection rates (TPR) far below the 50% baseline on most generator subsets. Specialized detectors generally perform better but remain inconsistent across generators and can produce false positives on real-damaged samples, revealing a clear gap between generic AI image detection and reliable claim-conditioned refund-evidence verification.
Xinyu Yan, Boyang Chen, Jiaming Zhang +12
May 7, 2026cs.CR

PAMPOS: Causal Transformer-based Trajectory Prediction for Attack-Agnostic Misbehavior Detection in V2X Networks

Misbehavior detection in Vehicle-to-Everything (V2X) networks is a second line of defense against insider falsification attacks that cryptographic mechanisms alone cannot address. Existing learning-based Misbehavior Detection Schemes (MDSs) are supervised, requiring labeled attack samples at training time, thus failing to counter unseen falsification attacks. We present PAMPOS, a causal transformer-decoder trained on benign VeReMi++ trajectories to learn normal mobility patterns. At inference time, misbehavior is identified as a deviation from the model's next-step kinematic predictions using a top-K normalized anomaly scoring mechanism that localizes falsification to specific kinematic features, without requiring attack-labeled training data. We evaluate PAMPOS across all 19 attack types in VeReMi++ under rush-hour and afternoon scenarios, achieving Area Under the Curve (AUC) values of up to 0.98 and F1-scores of up to 0.95 for most attack categories.
Konstantinos Kalogiannis, Ahmed Mohamed Hussain, Panos Papadimitratos
May 5, 2026stat.ML

Imbalanced Classification under Capacity Constraints

Detecting observations from a minority class under severe class imbalance is a central challenge in applications such as fraud detection, medical screening, and industrial quality control. In these settings, each positive prediction triggers a costly follow-up action, an MRI scan, a transaction audit, whose execution is subject to real operational constraints. This paper proposes a formal classification framework under capacity constraints: given a user-defined bound limit bb on the proportion of observations that can be labeled as belonging to the minority class, the goal is to find the classifier that maximizes sensitivity on that class. We characterize the optimal classifier under this constraint and establish its equivalence with the classical Bayes classifier under a reweighting of the prior probabilities. We also introduce a capacity-adjusted performance metric MM that accounts for the effective detection rate when the capacity constraint is binding. The framework is implemented on top of standard learning methods, k-NN, SVM, random forests, and neural networks, and statistical consistency is established for each. We further show that these methods reduce to post-hoc thresholding when no hyperparameters are oriented toward the capacity-constrained objective, and introduce a capacity-aware support vector machine that exploits the constraint during training and achieves the strongest empirical performance. Experiments on the Taiwanese credit card default dataset confirm that capacity-constrained classifiers substantially outperform both classical approaches and SMOTE under high imbalance regimes. The framework extends naturally to multiclass settings and online environments.
Daniel Fraiman, Ricardo Fraiman
May 1, 2026cs.AI

A Low-Latency Fraud Detection Layer for Detecting Adversarial Interaction Patterns in LLM-Powered Agents

Large Language Model (LLM)-powered agents demonstrate strong capabilities in autonomous task execution, tool use, and multi-step reasoning. However, their increasing autonomy also introduces a new attack surface: adversarial interactions can manipulate agent behavior through direct prompt injection, indirect content attacks, and multi-turn escalation strategies. Existing defense strategies focus on prompt-level filtering and rule-based guardrails, which are often insufficient when risk emerges gradually across interaction sequences. In this work, we propose a complementary defense mechanism: a low-latency fraud detection layer for detecting adversarial interaction patterns in LLM-powered agents. Instead of determining whether a single prompt is malicious, our approach models risk over interaction trajectories using structured runtime features derived from prompt characteristics, session dynamics, tool usage, execution context, and fraud-inspired signals. The detection layer can be implemented using lightweight models leading to low-latency real-time deployments. To evaluate the framework, we construct a synthetic corpus of 12,000 multi-turn agent interactions generated from parameterized templates that simulate realistic agentic workflows. Using 42 structured features and an XGBoost classifier, our detector achieves over 9 times faster than LLM-based detectors. Through the experiment and ablation studies, our work suggests that interaction-level behavioral detection should become a core component of deployment-time defense for LLM-powered agents.
Sheldon Yu, Yingcheng Sun, Hanqing Guo +1
May 1, 2026cs.CL

FinSafetyBench: Evaluating LLM Safety in Real-World Financial Scenarios

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly applied in financial scenarios. However, they may produce harmful outputs, including facilitating illegal activities or unethical behavior, posing serious compliance risks. To systematically evaluate LLM safety in finance, we propose FinSafetyBench, a bilingual (English-Chinese) red-teaming benchmark designed to test an LLM's refusal of requests that violate financial compliance. Grounded in real-world financial crime cases and ethics standards, the benchmark comprises 14 subcategories spanning financial crimes and ethical violations. Through extensive experiments on general-purpose and finance-specialized LLMs under three representative attack settings, we identify critical vulnerabilities that allow adversarial prompts to bypass compliance safeguards. Further analysis reveals stronger susceptibility in Chinese contexts and highlights the limitations of prompt-level defenses against sophisticated or implicit manipulation strategies.
Yutao Hou, Yihan Jiang, Yuhan Xie +5
Apr 27, 2026cs.LG

Fraud Detection in Cryptocurrency Markets with Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks

Technological advancements in cryptocurrency markets have increased accessibility for investors, but concurrently exposed them to the risks of market manipulations. Existing fraud detection mechanisms typically rely on machine learning methods that treat each financial asset (i.e., token) and its related transactions independently. However, market manipulation strategies are rarely isolated events, but are rather characterized by coordination, repetition, and frequent transfers among related assets. This suggests that relational structure constitutes an integral component of the signal and can be effectively represented through graphical means. In this paper, we propose three graph construction methods that rely on aggregated hourly market data. The proposed graphs are processed by a unified spatio-temporal Graph Neural Network (GNN) architecture that combines attention-based spatial aggregation with temporal Transformer encoding. We evaluate our methodology on a real-world dataset comprised of pump-and-dump schemes in cryptocurrency markets, spanning a period of over three years. Our comparative results showcase that our graph-based models achieve significant improvements over standard machine learning baselines in detecting anomalous events. Our work highlights that learned market connectivity provides substantial gains for detecting coordinated market manipulation schemes.
Lidia Losavio, Luca Persia, Madan Sathe +1
Apr 26, 2026cs.AI

Do Transaction-Level and Actor-Level AML Queues Agree? An Empirical Evaluation of Granularity Effects on the Elliptic++ Graph

Graph-based anti-money laundering (AML) systems on blockchain networks can score suspicious activity at two granularity levels -- transactions or actor addresses -- yet compliance action is conducted per actor. This paper contributes an evaluation methodology for measuring how scoring granularity affects investigation queue composition under fixed review budgets. We formalize the evaluation through a projection framework mapping transaction-level scores to the actor-level action unit via four aggregation operators, and introduce budgeted investigation metrics -- yield@budget, burden decomposition, and case fragmentation. Using the public Elliptic++ Bitcoin dataset (203,769 transactions; 822,942 address occurrences), we train independent random forest classifiers at each level under a causal temporal protocol and compare review queues through Jaccard overlap, burden decomposition, and feature-matching ablations. At one-percent budget, temporal evaluation yields mean Jaccard of 0.374 (SD 0.171); static pooled evaluation yields 0.087 (95% CI [0.079, 0.094]). An enriched address model receiving all 237 features produces even lower overlap (Jaccard=0.051), with 4.3% illicit per 100 reviews versus 30.2% for the transaction-projected queue. Address-level detection value is temporally concentrated: two timesteps exceed 91% illicit per 100 reviews while the static burden is only 3.4%. A fixed hybrid policy underperforms the best single-level queue by 5.05pp (CI [-10.2pp, -0.9pp]). These findings establish that scoring granularity is a consequential design variable for AML investigation systems -- same data, same budget, different queues, different addresses investigated.
Ankur Malik
Apr 25, 2026cs.CR

Scalable and Verifiable Federated Learning for Cross-Institution Financial Fraud Detection

Financial fraud increasingly exploits institutional boundaries: laundering networks distribute transactions across multiple banks because no single institution can observe the full pattern. Federated Learning (FL) enables collaborative detection without raw data sharing, yet practical deployment in banking environments remains constrained by three pressures. First, homomorphic encryption schemes impose high computational costs that limit real-time aggregation at scale. Second, mask-based protocols such as Google's SecAgg require O(N^2) pairwise key exchanges, which become inefficient as participant count grows. Third, existing protocols provide limited verification that submitted gradient updates are well-formed, leaving aggregation vulnerable to consistency attacks. This paper presents Dynamic Sharded Federated Learning (DSFL), a secure aggregation framework for cross-institution fraud detection. DSFL introduces Dynamic Stochastic Sharding, which partitions participants into small cryptographically ephemeral clusters of fixed size m, reducing communication complexity to O(N*m). Within each cluster, participants submit Linear Integrity Tags, additive-homomorphic commitments that allow the server to verify update consistency without decryption. The mechanism detects inconsistent updates rather than malicious gradients. An Active Neighborhood Recovery protocol handles mid-round dropouts by reconstructing orphaned masks. Experiments on the ULB Credit Card Fraud Detection dataset (284,807 transactions across 10 simulated banking nodes) show that DSFL achieves approximately 34x lower aggregation latency than Paillier-based secure aggregation at N=1000, based on analytical extrapolation from empirical baselines, while maintaining 99% recovery fidelity under a 20% dropout regime. Global fraud recall reached 91.2% (+/-0.8%), above the 68% average of locally trained models.
Prajwal Panth, Nishant Nigam
Apr 23, 2026cs.CR

Who Audits the Auditor? Tamper-Proof Fraud Detection with Blockchain-Anchored Explainable ML

In enterprise fraud detection, model accuracy alone is insufficient when insiders can tamper with audit logs or bypass approval workflows. Real-world incidents show that fraud often persists not because detection algorithms fail, but because the audit trail itself is controllable by privileged operators. This exposes a fundamental trust gap: who audits the auditor? We present a tamper-evident fraud detection system that anchors both ML predictions and workflow execution to an immutable blockchain ledger. Rather than using blockchain as passive storage, we enforce the entire approval process through smart contracts, ensuring that every transaction, prediction, and explanation is atomically recorded and cannot be retroactively modified. Our detection module achieves competitive accuracy (F1 = 0.895, PR-AUC = 0.974) while providing cryptographically verifiable decision trails that support regulatory auditability requirements (e.g., GDPR Article 22). System evaluation shows sub-25 ms inference latency and economically viable deployment on Layer-2 networks at under $0.01 per transaction (validated against PolygonScan data), supporting enterprise-scale workloads of 10,000+ monthly payments.
Zhaohui Wang
Apr 22, 2026cs.LG

TRAVELFRAUDBENCH: A Configurable Evaluation Framework for GNN Fraud Ring Detection in Travel Networks

We introduce TravelFraudBench (TFG), a configurable benchmark for evaluating graph neural networks (GNNs) on fraud ring detection in travel platform graphs. Existing benchmarks--YelpChi, Amazon-Fraud, Elliptic, PaySim--cover single node types or domain-generic patterns with no mechanism to evaluate across structurally distinct fraud ring topologies. TFG simulates three travel-specific ring types--ticketing fraud (star topology with shared device/IP clusters), ghost hotel schemes (reviewer x hotel bipartite cliques), and account takeover rings (loyalty transfer chains)--in a heterogeneous graph with 9 node types and 12 edge types. Ring size, count, fraud rate, scale (500 to 200,000 nodes), and composition are fully configurable. We evaluate six methods--MLP, GraphSAGE, RGCN-proj, HAN, RGCN, and PC-GNN--under a ring-based split where each ring appears entirely in one partition, eliminating transductive label leakage. GraphSAGE achieves AUC=0.992 and RGCN-proj AUC=0.987, outperforming the MLP baseline (AUC=0.938) by 5.5 and 5.0 pp, confirming graph structure adds substantial discriminative power. HAN (AUC=0.935) is a negative result, matching the MLP baseline. On the ring recovery task (>=80% of ring members flagged simultaneously), GraphSAGE achieves 100% recovery across all ring types; MLP recovers only 17-88%. The edge-type ablation shows device and IP co-occurrence are the primary signals: removing uses_device drops AUC by 5.2 pp. TFG is released as an open-source Python package (MIT license) with PyG, DGL, and NetworkX exporters and pre-generated datasets at https://huggingface.co/datasets/bsajja7/travel-fraud-graphs, with Croissant metadata including Responsible AI fields.
Bhavana Sajja
Apr 22, 2026cs.AI

Large Language Models Outperform Humans in Fraud Detection and Resistance to Motivated Investor Pressure

Large language models trained on human feedback may suppress fraud warnings when investors arrive already persuaded of a fraudulent opportunity. We tested this in a preregistered experiment across seven leading LLMs and twelve investment scenarios covering legitimate, high-risk, and objectively fraudulent opportunities, combining 3,360 AI advisory conversations with a 1,201-participant human benchmark. Contrary to predictions, motivated investor framing did not suppress AI fraud warnings; if anything, it marginally increased them. Endorsement reversal occurred in fewer than 3 in 1,000 observations. Human advisors endorsed fraudulent investments at baseline rates of 13-14%, versus 0% across all LLMs, and suppressed warnings under pressure at two to four times the AI rate. AI systems currently provide more consistent fraud warnings than lay humans in an identical advisory role.
Nattavudh Powdthavee
Apr 21, 2026cs.LG

When Graph Structure Becomes a Liability: A Critical Re-Evaluation of Graph Neural Networks for Bitcoin Fraud Detection under Temporal Distribution Shift

The consensus that GCN, GraphSAGE, GAT, and EvolveGCN outperform feature-only baselines on the Elliptic Bitcoin Dataset is widely cited but has not been rigorously stress-tested under a leakage-free evaluation protocol. We perform a seed-matched inductive-versus-transductive comparison and find that this consensus does not hold. Under a strictly inductive protocol, Random Forest on raw features achieves F1 = 0.821 and outperforms all evaluated GNNs, while GraphSAGE reaches F1 = 0.689 +/- 0.017. A paired controlled experiment reveals a 39.5-point F1 gap attributable to training-time exposure to test-period adjacency. Additionally, edge-shuffle ablations show that randomly wired graphs outperform the real transaction graph, indicating that the dataset's topology can be misleading under temporal distribution shift. Hybrid models combining GNN embeddings with raw features provide only marginal gains and remain substantially below feature-only baselines. We release code, checkpoints, and a strict-inductive protocol to enable reproducible, leakage-free evaluation.
Saket Maganti
Apr 19, 2026cs.LG

TransXion: A High-Fidelity Graph Benchmark for Realistic Anti-Money Laundering

Money laundering poses severe risks to global financial systems, driving the widespread adoption of machine learning for transaction monitoring. However, progress remains stifled by the lack of realistic benchmarks. Existing transaction-graph datasets suffer from two pervasive limitations: (i) they provide sparse node-level semantics beyond anonymized identifiers, and (ii) they rely on template-driven anomaly injection, which biases benchmarks toward static structural motifs and yields overly optimistic assessments of model robustness. We propose TransXion, a benchmark ecosystem for Anti-Money Laundering (AML) research that integrates profile-aware simulation of normal activity with stochastic, non-template synthesis of illicit subgraphs.TransXion jointly models persistent entity profiles and conditional transaction behavior, enabling evaluation of "out-of-character" anomalies where observed activity contradicts an entity's socio-economic context. The resulting dataset comprises approximately 3 million transactions among 50,000 entities, each endowed with rich demographic and behavioral attributes. Empirical analyses show that TransXion reproduces key structural properties of payment networks, including heavy-tailed activity distributions and localized subgraph structure. Across a diverse array of detection models spanning multiple algorithmic paradigms, TransXion yields substantially lower detection performance than widely used benchmarks, demonstrating increased difficulty and realism. TransXion provides a more faithful testbed for developing context-aware and robust AML detection methods. The dataset and code are publicly available at https://github.com/chaos-max/TransXion.
Keyang Chen, Mingxuan Jiang, Yongsheng Zhao +9
Apr 17, 2026cs.CV

Layout-Aware Representation Learning for Open-Set ID Fraud Discovery

Identity-document fraud detection is not a stationary binary classification problem. Adaptive attackers modify templates and fabrication pipelines, making historical fraud labels stale, and successful forgeries recur at scale as coherent campaigns. We therefore study layout-aware representation learning for open-set fraud discovery rather than only closed-set classification. We adapt DINOv3 to the document domain via context-aware SimMIM fine-tuning and supervised metric learning with composite loss that encourages inter-class separability and intra-class compactness. The model is trained with U.S. IDs only. With a lightweight MLP and softmax classifier, the embedding achieves 99.83% layout classification accuracy on Canadian layouts. Moreover, on a dataset of 20,448 Canadian IDs, embedding-space analysis surfaces 276 adaptive physical-fraud cases, including 222 not surfaced by incumbent detectors. The embedding supports similarity-based expansion from a single confirmed seed to additional related cases not linked by conventional metadata graphs. The layout-aware document embeddings provide a production-aligned basis for discovering novel and campaign-scale fraud under distribution shift.
Jinxing Li, Nicholas Ren, Cathy Chang +2
Apr 16, 2026cs.LG

Evaluating LLM Simulators as Differentially Private Data Generators

LLM-based simulators offer a promising path for generating complex synthetic data where traditional differentially private (DP) methods struggle with high-dimensional user profiles. But can LLMs faithfully reproduce statistical distributions from DP-protected inputs? We evaluate this using PersonaLedger, an agentic financial simulator, seeded with DP synthetic personas derived from real user statistics. We find that PersonaLedger achieves promising fraud detection utility (AUC 0.70 at epsilon=1) but exhibits significant distribution drift due to systematic LLM biases--learned priors overriding input statistics for temporal and demographic features. These failure modes must be addressed before LLM-based methods can handle the richer user representations where they might otherwise excel.
Nassima M. Bouzid, Dehao Yuan, Nam H. Nguyen +1
Apr 16, 2026cs.CV

Zero-Shot Retail Theft Detection via Orchestrated Vision Models: A Model-Agnostic, Cost-Effective Alternative to Trained Single-Model Systems

Retail theft costs the global economy over $100 billion annually, yet existing AI-based detection systems require expensive custom model training on proprietary datasets and charge $200-500/month per store. We present Paza, a zero-shot retail theft detection framework that achieves practical concealment detection without training any model. Our approach orchestrates multiple existing models in a layered pipeline - cheap object detection and pose estimation running continuously, with an expensive vision-language model (VLM) invoked only when behavioral pre-filters trigger. A multi-signal suspicion pre-filter (requiring dwell time plus at least one behavioral signal) reduces VLM invocations by 240x compared to per-frame analysis, bounding calls to <=10/minute and enabling a single GPU to serve 10-20 stores. The architecture is model-agnostic: the VLM component accepts any OpenAI-compatible endpoint, enabling operators to swap between models such as Gemma 4, Qwen3.5-Omni, GPT-4o, or future releases without code changes - ensuring the system improves as the VLM landscape evolves. We evaluate the VLM component on the DCSASS synthesized shoplifting dataset (169 clips, controlled environment), achieving 89.5% precision and 92.8% specificity at 59.3% recall zero-shot - where the recall gap is attributable to sparse frame sampling in offline evaluation rather than VLM reasoning failures, as precision and specificity are the operationally critical metrics determining false alarm rates. We present a detailed cost model showing viability at $50-100/month per store (3-10x cheaper than commercial alternatives), and introduce a privacy-preserving design that obfuscates faces in the detection pipeline. The source code is available at https://github.com/xHaileab/Paza-AI.
Haileab Yagersew
Jan 16, 2026cs.LG

Bridging Cognitive Neuroscience and Graph Intelligence: Hippocampus-Inspired Multi-View Hypergraph Learning for Web Finance Fraud

Online financial services constitute an essential component of contemporary web ecosystems, yet their openness introduces substantial exposure to fraud that harms vulnerable users and weakens trust in digital finance. Such threats have become a significant web harm that erodes societal fairness and affects the well-being of online communities. However, existing detection methods based on graph neural networks (GNNs) struggle with two persistent challenges: (1) long-tailed data distributions, which obscure rare but critical fraudulent cases, and (2) fraud camouflage, where malicious transactions mimic benign behaviors to evade detection. To fill these gaps, we propose HIMVH, a Hippocampus-Inspired Multi-View Hypergraph learning model for web finance fraud detection. Specifically, drawing inspiration from the scene conflict monitoring role of the hippocampus, we design a cross-view inconsistency perception module that captures subtle discrepancies and behavioral heterogeneity across multiple transaction views. This module enables the model to identify subtle cross-view conflicts for detecting online camouflaged fraudulent behaviors. Furthermore, inspired by the match-mismatch novelty detection mechanism of the CA1 region, we introduce a novelty-aware hypergraph learning module that measures feature deviations from neighborhood expectations and adaptively reweights messages, thereby enhancing sensitivity to online rare fraud patterns in the long-tailed settings. Extensive experiments on six web-based financial fraud datasets demonstrate that HIMVH achieves 6.42% improvement in AUC, 9.74% in F1 and 39.14% in AP on average over 15 SOTA models.
Rongkun Cui, Nana Zhang, Kun Zhu +1
Jul 19, 2025cs.LG

Fraud is Not Just Rarity: A Causal Prototype Attention Approach to Realistic Synthetic Oversampling

Detecting fraudulent credit card transactions remains a significant challenge, due to the extreme class imbalance in real-world data and the often subtle patterns that separate fraud from legitimate activity. Existing research commonly attempts to address this by generating synthetic samples for the minority class using approaches such as GANs, VAEs (Variational Autoencoders), or hybrid generative models. However, these techniques, particularly when applied only to minority-class data, tend to result in overconfident classifiers and poor latent cluster separation, ultimately limiting real-world detection performance. In this study, we propose the Causal Prototype Attention Classifier (CPAC), an interpretable architecture that promotes class-aware clustering and improved latent space structure through prototype-based attention mechanisms and we couple it with the encoder of a Variational Autoencoder-Generative Adversarial Network (VAE-GAN) in order to achieve improved latent cluster separation moving beyond post-hoc sample augmentation. We compared CPAC-augmented models to traditional oversamplers, such as SMOTE, as well as to state-of-the-art generative models, both with and without CPAC-based latent classifiers. Our results show that classifier-guided latent shaping with CPAC delivers superior performance, achieving an F1-score of 93.74% and recall of 92.85%, along with improved latent cluster separation. Further ablation studies and visualizations provide deeper insight into the benefits and limitations of classifier-driven representation learning for fraud detection. The codebase for this work can be found at the following link: https://github.com/claudiunderthehood/VAEGAN-CPAC.git.
Claudio Giusti, Luca Guarnera, Mirko Casu +1
Date pendingcs.AI

OpenFinGym: A Verifiable Multi-Task Gym Environment for Evaluating Quant Agents

Although large language model agents are increasingly applied to quantitative-finance workflows, their evaluation remains fragmented across isolated tasks, while the financial relevance of benchmark tasks is often overlooked. Yet financial workflows are inherently multi-stage, spanning interdependent tasks such as forecasting, strategy construction, risk management, and trading. Existing platforms typically focus on a single task, and can therefore overstate agent competence and fail to reveal weaknesses in generalization, real-market interaction, and financially meaningful decision-making. We introduce OpenFinGym, a unified gym environment for quantitative-finance agent development that covers forecasting, market generation, real-time trading, and fraud detection under a single execution and verification interface. OpenFinGym additionally provides an automated task-construction pipeline that turns quantitative finance publications into executable task packages; a containerised runtime with a host-side verifier service that supports scalable agent rollouts and prevents runtime train-test leakage; a paper trading engine with a low-latency data-stream design; deferred-resolution support for long-horizon and event-market forecasts; and integration for SFT and RL post-training
Kaicheng Zhang, Wen Ge, Lei Jiang +5