Incomplete
Momentum
5 papers in the last four weeks, up 25% on the four weeks before. 0.1% of all new papers.
Latest papers 38
This work evaluates the direct transfer of a co-evolved communication protocol from a 2D simulation to a 3D physical environment, without retraining the network weights. Two e-puck-type robots, controlled by a GRU network with residual connection, were evaluated in a food-seeking task with social signaling. The sensory and motor translation layer required three corrections for stable physical operation, including the calibration of a hunger term based on a measurable asymmetry in the trained residual weights. Even with these corrections, the transfer was partial and asymmetric: one agent reached the food source in one of thirty tested seeds, while the other did not reach it in any. Task success was measured by both agents reaching the food area. An additional experiment incorporating explicit directional information in the social channel produced observable changes in the trajectory of the receiving agent and improvements in several specific cases. However, these improvements were not enough to allow the second agent to reach the food source, suggesting that the limitation may not be explained solely by signal translation, but also by the ability to navigate under the new physical constraints. The results suggest that successful transfer of emergent communication may depend not only on preserving the signaling process itself, but also on preserving the ecological and navigational conditions under which the protocol evolved.
A Unifying Framework of Concept-based Explainable AI with Completeness Guarantees
Concept-based explanations describe neural network predictions through human-understandable properties of inputs called concepts. The field encompasses approaches that differ in how they define and represent concepts and connect them to model predictions. We introduce a theoretical framework that describes these approaches in a common mathematical language and supports a shared analysis of their properties. For concept discovery, which identifies concepts automatically within a latent space of a trained model, we employ a concept autoencoder view. An encoder extracts concept representations from the model's latent space, and a decoder uses them to reconstruct the original latent representation. The autoencoder's reconstruction error measures how accurately its decoder recovers the original latent representation. We revisit model completeness: how well the concepts can reproduce the model's outputs. We show that model incompleteness of the concepts can be bounded by the autoencoder's reconstruction error. The autoencoder view also provides a common way to define individual concept attributions, which measure each concept's contribution to a prediction. We establish when these attributions sum to the model's prediction, and bound the discrepancy otherwise, thus providing attribution completeness guarantees.
SemMSA: Latent Semantic-Aided Robust Multimodal Sentiment Analysis with Incomplete Data
Recent research on Multimodal Sentiment Analysis (MSA) has focused on learning from language, visual, and acoustic modalities with incomplete data to infer human sentiment. Most studies typically compensate for missing information by reconstructing modality features or designing complicated fusion mechanisms. However, these methods still suffer from spurious generation and noisy guidance due to the lack of high-level semantic grounding in partially observed multimodal evidence. To address these issues, we propose SemMSA, a latent semantic-aided framework that constructs rich sentiment-relevant semantics with LLMs, fully integrating with all modalities via anchor-free spectral alignment. It mainly consists of Cross-modal Semantic Refinement (CSR) and Cross-modal Spectral Alignment (CSA). Specifically, CSR first adaptively extracts visual and acoustic representations by corresponding adapters to form a unified multimodal prefix with language in the frozen LLM embedding space. It then iteratively produces continuous discriminative semantic states through a token-efficient latent refinement process without decoding explicit text. Next, CSA simultaneously aligns the refined semantics with all modalities by enhancing the dominant spectral component of their kernel Gram matrix. This captures global nonlinear dependencies among all representations without relying on a predefined anchor modality. In addition, an instance-level spectral separation constraint preserves cross-sample discriminability and mitigates representation collapse. Extensive experiments on SIMS, MOSI, and MOSEI benchmarks demonstrate that SemMSA achieves state-of-the-art performance.
Correct Now, Insufficient Later: Auditing Update Sufficiency in Context Compression
A memory can answer a current query correctly while discarding distinctions required by a later update. We investigate this failure with a paired-history audit: two histories have the same current answer, receive a shared future update, and require different subsequent answers. A pilot evaluates 24 history pairs across six synthetic mechanisms, 12 memory conditions, two repeats, and two model backends. A deterministic frontier selector obtains strict reveal accuracy of 96/96 on DeepSeek and 82/96 on GLM; a structured writer obtains 62 successes with one unresolved outcome and 56/96. The configured four-outcome joint contrast has finite-sample identification intervals of [0.521, 0.542] and [0.292, 0.313], not confidence intervals. A record-level audit distinguishes retained-state adequacy, response delivery, and answer-schema compliance without changing those original scores. It finds 26 and 25 well-formed but semantically wrong structured reveal memories, while all 14 GLM frontier reveal failures contain correct values in the wrong wrapper. Tombstone removal produces 16/16 exact replay failures in the targeted mechanism. Identifier renaming then exposes a separate flaw: original frontier late-reference adequacy falls from 8/8 to 94/320 transformed instances. We provide and test a label-equivariant repair, but it preserves only 2/8 original late-reference answers: eliminating a naming shortcut does not solve unknown future relevance. These results support a scoped evaluation methodology and reproducible failure analysis, not general superiority of the repaired algorithm. Paid pilot evidence, retrospective diagnostics, and new offline tests are reported separately; no independent held-out or natural-task validation is claimed.
Nationally Consistent, Locally Incomplete: A Bayesian Remote-Sensing Audit of Rooftop Photovoltaic Registries
Tracking the energy transition requires reliable statistics on renewable deployment. Rooftop photovoltaics (PV) are especially hard to track, owing to their decentralised nature, and the resulting inaccuracies in official statistics are known but not quantified. Remote sensing offers an independent way to identify rooftop PV systems. We introduce a Bayesian framework to estimate the ground-truth rooftop PV capacity from remote sensing detections, turning an imperfect detector into an uncertainty-aware measurement instrument. Applied to France, the corrected detections estimate a capacity of 4.03 GWp [3.96--4.11] (99% credible interval) of rooftop PV below 36 kWp, matching the transmission system operator's connection data within 3.3% nationally, while identifying local under-reports of up to 61% of local capacity. We also document and quantify a significant truncation bias in French rooftop PV open data. Beyond France, the approach paves the way for more reliable estimates of rooftop PV capacity worldwide.
Robust Multimodal Sentiment Analysis with Incomplete Modalities via Semantic-aware Completeness based Reconstruction
Recent multimodal sentiment analysis studies increasingly adopt text-centric fusion approaches to exploit the rich sentiment information inherent in the textual modality. However, these approaches often suffer from performance degradation during inference due to partially missing or noisy data in real-world scenarios, especially when sentiment-related cues are missing. To address this issue, we introduce a new completeness estimation approach that quantifies the degree of sentiment-relevant information preserved in incomplete data to guide the reconstruction of missing semantics. Furthermore, we propose a training strategy that stabilizes multi-task learning while jointly optimizing sentiment prediction and completeness estimation. Extensive experiments and in-depth analyses on three benchmark datasets demonstrate that the proposed approach enables more accurate semantic reconstruction, leading to more precise sentiment prediction.
Nonparametric Contextual Pricing and Inventory Learning under Censored Demand
In online retailing, when a product sells out, a retailer often sees only the units sold, not how many customers would have bought it had inventory been available. However, the inventory level determines how much demand is revealed, and this information can influence subsequent decisions and future profits. We study an online selling problem in which, in each round, the seller observes a market context and then makes pricing and stocking decisions based on censored sales data from previous rounds. The challenge is to learn a context-dependent pricing and stocking policy without assuming a particular formula for demand or observing realized profit. To overcome this difficulty, we propose a Mean-Calibrated Kernel UCB (MCK-UCB) algorithm that turns each incomplete sales record into a reliable guide for both inventory and price decisions, using data from past rounds with similar market conditions. This design allows us to learn while serving customers, without a separate exploration phase or the need to recover all demand hidden by stockouts. We prove the minimax optimality of the proposed algorithm, with strictly faster rates when expected profit varies more smoothly with price. Comprehensive numerical experiments have been conducted to confirm the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm.
A Deep Latent Variable Framework for Jointly Modeling Missingness, Measurement Error, and Heterogeneity
Missing data, measurement error, and population heterogeneity are pervasive challenges in analyzing data arising from modern observational studies and machine learning applications. Although these problems frequently coexist and interact, they are often treated separately in existing works. We propose a unified probabilistic framework that jointly addresses these issues utilizing deep latent variable representation. The proposed method integrates a novel hierarchical tree-routed variational autoencoder with pattern-aware latent representations and calibration-based denoising. The framework accommodates missing data mechanisms, including MCAR, MAR, and MNAR, while simultaneously learning subgroup-specific and globally shared latent structure. The introduced reconvergent routing mechanism enables selective parameters to be shared across related subpopulations, which offers flexibility as well as improved statistical efficiency. Simulation studies demonstrate substantial improvements over existing deep generative imputation approaches under complex heterogeneous missingness and measurement-error settings. The proposed framework provides a principled approach for learning from noisy and incomplete data in modern healthcare and other high-dimensional applications.
Deep probabilistic logic programming for diagnostic reasoning from incomplete information: A case study in stroke detection
In medical applications, raw data is frequently associated with significant privacy concerns, lending particular importance to the encoding of summary statistics from the literature. On the other hand, deep learning has become an invaluable tool for assessing symptoms based on visual or auditory sensor data. DeepProbLog allows for an extensible neuro-symbolic approach that accommodates connectionist components to analyse patient images within a transparent and rigorous probabilistic framework, namely probabilistic logic programming under the distribution semantics. Framed as a case study in stroke detection from multimodal data, this contribution explores the pathway from summary statistics available in the literature to a DeepProbLog-based diagnostic system. It suggests a workflow using established maximum entropy techniques to complete available probabilistic information and the probabilistic logic programming system ProbLog 2 to move from the entropy-maximising causal model to a discriminative neuro-symbolic model expressible within DeepProbLog. The relative performance of models derived from less complete data is analysed alongside the potential of the probabilistic inductive logic programming system ProbFOIL 2 for compressing large discriminative models, and the perspectives and implications of using DeepProbLog for diagnostic reasoning are discussed.
Relevant but Incomplete: Referential Dangling as a Paradigm-Level Failure Mode in Hard Prompt Compression
Hard prompt compression reduces long-context inference cost by independently scoring tokens, sentences, or chunks and retaining the highest-scoring units under a budget. We identify a structural failure in this procedure: independent selection can split dependent evidence pairs, retaining one member while deleting the other. When retained text contains an answer but deleted text defines the entity needed to interpret it, we call the result referential dangling. At a compression ratio of 0.30, Beaver, which ranks coherent chunks using Qwen3-0.6B embeddings, leaves the answer path incomplete in 34-54% of bridge examples across three multi-hop question answering datasets. On a shared HotpotQA bridge set, all six hard compressors we test exhibit dangling at rates up to 60%, and every document in LongBench-v2 Single-Document QA contains at least one dangling reference. On dangling examples evaluated with Qwen3-8B, reinserting the missing supporting paragraph while removing nonsupporting paragraphs to maintain the token budget improves accuracy by 29-34 percentage points (p < 0.0001), recovering at least 88% of the gap to contexts retaining both supporting paragraphs. Stronger answer models do not absorb the loss: on MuSiQue, GPT-5.5 is 8.8 points less accurate on compressed contexts than on contexts retaining both supporting paragraphs. Finally, we train a compact classifier to rank omitted sentences by whether they are needed to interpret retained text and reinsert the top-ranked candidates without support annotations at inference. On HotpotQA with Qwen3-8B, this automatic restoration improves accuracy by 4.7 points while changing the compression ratio only from 0.30 to 0.31. Hard compressors should optimize both relevance and referential completeness.
Unscented KalmanNet: Structure-Preserving Deep Learning with Calibrated Posterior Uncertainty under Incomplete Physics and Unknown Noise
Nonlinear state estimation requires sequentially fusing model-based predictions with noisy measurements. Under imperfect dynamics and unknown, time-varying noise statistics, this fusion can degrade in both accuracy and statistical consistency. Existing learning-aided filters largely treat accuracy and uncertainty estimation separately, limiting their ability to correct model-mismatch-induced bias while retaining an explicit, calibrated posterior covariance. This paper introduces Unscented KalmanNet (UKN), a model-based deep learning architecture that extends the Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) with learned mechanisms for these two sources of filtering error while preserving explicit posterior covariance propagation. NoiseNet learns time-varying process and measurement covariances as bounded multiplicative corrections to baseline covariances, guaranteeing positive definiteness, while GainNet learns a bounded residual correction to the analytical UKF gain to compensate for model-mismatch-induced bias. A calibration-aware training objective couples state error with posterior covariance and innovation consistency terms through adaptive weighting, jointly optimizing accuracy and calibration. UKN is benchmarked against UKF, KalmanNet, and Bayesian KalmanNet on three synthetic systems and real-flight UZH-FPV data. It achieves the lowest state-estimation error in all four examples and reduces RMSE by 26.4-49.7% compared with UKF in the synthetic cases. Leave-one-sequence-out cross-validation over 11 flights shows 22.4% and 34.3% reductions in mean position and velocity RMSE, respectively. UKN also yields the lowest fold-to-fold variability, with dimension-normalized NEES and empirical coverage closest to nominal values among covariance-reporting filters. These results show that structured learned adaptation improves estimation accuracy while retaining calibrated uncertainty.
Flow Matching with Missing Data
Flow matching assumes fully observed training data, which many real-world applications rarely provide. We propose Missing-Data Flow Matching, which treats the missing coordinates of training samples as latent variables and averages the flow matching loss over the values they could take. We first prove the correction is exact rather than approximate. Under missing completely at random with true completions, the incomplete-data objective equals the complete-data objective, so missingness changes nothing about what flow matching learns and the entire difficulty relocates to the completion model. Our finite-sample analysis then answers design questions that the algorithm leaves open, and the answers are not the ones intuition suggests. Missingness transfers estimator variance rather than adding it, one completion per example already matches complete-data variance exactly, and under a fixed evaluation budget one completion is optimal. A learned completion model contributes a single irreducible bias, which we bound by its expected conditional Wasserstein distance to the true completion law. Experiments numerically validate the theoretical predictions, show that deterministic rather than frozen imputation is what collapses the generated distribution, and place our method alongside strong classical and deep imputation baselines on real tabular data.
Static Metrics Are Insufficient: Predicting Java Method Energy Usage with Execution Time
The increasing energy demand of software systems is raising concerns about their environmental impact and associated costs. Reasoning on energy usage early in the development flow has the potential to significantly reduce the overall energy usage of a software system, as it allows developers to make informed design and refactoring decisions before inefficiencies propagate. However, assessing energy usage without repeated profiling and direct measurement is difficult, which limits early reasoning in practice. This study investigates the limits of method-level energy prediction in Java, examining whether static source code metrics complemented with method-level execution time can estimate the energy consumption of Java methods. We profile 2,786 Java methods to extract 33 static features and measure execution time and energy, then train and compare eleven regression models. Our findings show that static source code metrics alone yield poor predictive performance, with average R2 values close to zero. Incorporating execution time as a lightweight dynamic input significantly improves accuracy, raising R2 to as high as 0.46. Execution time, internal method calls, and cyclomatic complexity consistently emerge as the strongest predictors of energy consumption.
Position Bias Correction is Insufficient for One-Pass Attention Sorting
Long-context language models suffer from position bias, where information in middle positions is underutilized. Attention Sorting addresses this by iteratively reordering documents based on attention patterns, but its multiple sort-and-generate cycles increase deployment cost. We hypothesize that position bias is the primary bottleneck and propose Debiased One-Pass Attention Sorting, which estimates a per-prompt position-bias curve from the low-attention majority of documents and uses it to correct raw attention scores (via subtraction or division) to enable single-pass sorting. Our experiments on two models refute this hypothesis in the tested setting: on LLaMA-2-7B-32K-Instruct, debiasing produces identical results to uncalibrated single-pass sorting (94.83% containment accuracy), while on YaRN-Llama-2-7b-64k, debiasing improves accuracy by 8.67 percentage points but remains 14.84pp behind iterative sorting, closing only 37% of the gap. These results suggest that position-bias correction is insufficient to match iterative sorting, and that repeated reordering provides additional benefits beyond bias correction.
CalVerT: Augmenting Agents with Calibrated Verifier Telemetry Improves Action and Learning in Knowledge-Intensive Tasks
LLM agents in knowledge intensive question answering take retrieval and reasoning actions with incomplete knowledge about whether their current answer is uncertain, unsupported, or already complete. This produces two failure modes: committing to confident but unsupported answers, which hurts accuracy, and over-retrieving when the evidence in hand already suffices, resulting in wasted compute. To give agents a more complete picture of the state space they are operating in, we introduce calibrated verifier telemetry (CalVerT), which augments the agent's state with additional telemetry: a calibrated self-confidence score and a grounding verifier score. We show that CalVerT can improve agents in both training-free and training-based settings. On four QA benchmarks, we find that CalVerT raises F1 by triggering retrieval in cases where agents over-rely on parametric knowledge, while cutting redundant retrieval in cases where agents have sufficient context to answer. We show that CalVerT can augment existing QA frameworks without training. Moreover, CalVerT also improves trained systems: by simply augmenting an agent's state with telemetry, we observe improvements after reinforcement learning, as compared to an agent with identical training but no CalVerT telemetry.
Orthogonal Discrepancy Kernels for Learning with Partial Physics
We introduce a semi-parametric framework for nonlinear system identification, which decouples discrepancy functions from physics-based components. Orthogonal Gaussian process regression balances sparse parameter selection (the white box) with discrepancy learning (the black box) to produce interpretable models from incomplete physics.
When Correct Edges Cannot Be Verified: A Provenance Gap in Incomplete KGQA and a Provenance-Favoring Completion Policy
Incomplete Knowledge Graph Question Answering (IKGQA) requires completing missing edges to continue reasoning. A growing line of work verifies completed edges against retrieved text, treating textual support as a proxy for edge quality. We ask a question that, to our knowledge, has not been systematically tested: does textual verifiability actually track correctness? Exploiting the gold deleted triples provided by the standard random-deletion protocol, we measure both. The finding is counterintuitive: among gold-correct completed edges, 76-96% have no supporting passage even under exhaustive retrieval, robustly across deletion rates (20%/40%), datasets (CWQ/WebQSP), and relation types (structural, commonsense, long-tail). Most Freebase-style facts simply do not occur as head-tail co-mentions in text. Textual faithfulness therefore measures provenance, not correctness -- separated by a paradigm-level gap no in-corpus retrieval closes. This reframes edge completion. Since most completed edges -- correct or not -- are causally redundant for the answer (95-97% of correct answers do not depend on any unsupported edge), the central question shifts from "is the edge correct?" to "admit or abstain under provenance uncertainty?" Within this framing we present TGComplete, a provenance-favoring admission policy that retrieves evidence at a reasoning breakpoint, verifies a candidate through a lightweight loop, and abstains when support is absent. Against the generate-to-complete baseline GoG, it attains higher edge precision against gold (15-21% vs 3-14%), with no statistically detectable EM loss and 3.1-7.4 times higher strict faithfulness of admitted edges -- at the cost of lower recall. We position TGComplete not as uniformly better, but as a principled point on a precision/provenance-recall trade-off, appropriate when auditability matters.
Explore From Sketch: Accelerating UAV Exploration in Large-scale Environments with Prior Maps
Autonomous exploration with UAVs in large-scale, topologically complex environments often suffers from low efficiency due to suboptimal scheduling and detours. Prior maps (e.g., construction drawings), although usually imprecise and flawed, are readily available in many scenarios and have the potential to provide global structural guidance. This paper presents a novel exploration framework that leverages sparse, unaligned, and even discrepant 2D prior maps for LiDAR-based UAV exploration. First, a robust 2D-3D point cloud registration pipeline is proposed to align LiDAR observations with prior maps. The registration pipeline combines a GeoContext descriptor for single-frame candidate retrieval, a multi-frame verification mechanism for coarse transformation estimation with outlier rejection, and a Scale-ICP algorithm for refinement. The registration module can handle map discrepancies and provide multiple hypotheses when geometric ambiguities arise. To effectively utilize the registration results for exploration planning, we further develop a hierarchical viewpoint planning strategy under localization uncertainties. The hierarchical strategy first spatially attaches local viewpoints to prior guidepoints and adopts a Monte Carlo Tree Search solver to determine their traversal sequence under each registration hypothesis. To mitigate registration uncertainty, a risk-aware selector evaluates prior sequences using confidence-weighted travel risk, and a fixed-endpoint traveling salesman problem is formulated to generate an efficient local coverage path under the selected prior guidance. Benchmark evaluations reveal up to 34.2% improvement in exploration efficiency and 37.9% reduction in flight distance compared to state-of-the-art methods, while extensive simulations and field experiments further demonstrate robustness to prior map incompleteness and deformations.
In Defense of Information Leakage in Concept-based Models
Concept-based models (CMs), deep neural networks that ground their predictions on representations aligned with human-understandable concepts (e.g., "round", "stripes", etc.), have been shown to learn representations that leak concept-irrelevant information. As the traditional narrative goes, this leakage is undesirable and should be eradicated as it leads to uninterpretable models. In this paper, we posit that this conventional view of leakage in CMs is not only ill-posed, as the evidence of how leakage makes a model less interpretable is often inconclusive, but also bound to lead to impractical CMs under common real-world constraints. Specifically, we argue that in real-world settings where concept incompleteness is the norm, some leakage is often necessary for constructing accurate and intervenable CMs. To this end, we propose that there is such a thing as benign leakage and show that, by optimizing a reframing of the typical CM training objective, CMs can encourage and exploit this form of leakage without sacrificing accuracy or intervenability.
Disentangled Fine-Grained Prototype Learning for Incomplete Image-Tabular Classification
The missing-modality problem poses a significant challenge in image-tabular multimodal learning across a wide range of multimedia applications, including product understanding, recommendation systems, and medical diagnosis. This challenge is particularly pronounced when the two modalities are highly heterogeneous, as images and tabular attributes differ substantially in their semantic granularity and data distributions. Existing methods learn modality-invariant representations through disentanglement and alignment over global token-averaged features, capturing only coarse cross-modal consistency and overlooking fine-grained semantic and distributional misalignment, which hampers the exploitation of complementary cues under missing modalities. To address this, we propose DFPL, a novel framework for fine-grained prototype learning. Specifically, Shared-Specific Prototype Modeling (SSPM) extracts compact and diverse shared and modality-specific prototypes, and further performs prototype-level disentanglement to suppress redundant intra-modality correlations. Additionally, we propose a Prototype-guided Fine-grained Alignment (PFA) module that jointly enforces prototype-level distribution matching and prototype-to-class semantic alignment within a unified prototype space, thereby preserving both fine-grained distributional and semantic consistency across modalities. We further introduce a Class-aware Multi-scale Aggregation (CMA) module to adaptively aggregate shared semantics and modality-specific characteristics from global and prototype levels for robust predictions. Extensive experiments on three diverse image-tabular benchmarks demonstrate the superiority of our method compared to the previous approaches under various missing-modality settings. Code will be made publicly available.
Beyond Missing Rates: Rethinking Incomplete Multi-View Clustering with Protocol Divergence
Incomplete multi-view clustering (IMVC) is typically evaluated by retraining separate models under different missing-view configurations. Evaluations indexed only by nominal missing rate can overlook differences in observation structure across missing-view protocols. We show that missing-data protocols with identical nominal missing rates can induce substantially different learning regimes, differing by approximately 50-fold in the proportion of fully observed samples. We formalize this phenomenon as protocol divergence, which quantifies structural disparities among missing-view protocols beyond marginal missing rates. Furthermore, we analyze support-gated reconstruction mechanisms and show that their optimization contribution is inherently limited by the frequency of eligible observations under explicit normalization and optimization conditions. Based on these observations, we propose CRAFT (Co-occurrence-free Robust Attention-masked Fusion Transformer), a train-once framework that combines representation learning with an architecture designed to process missing-view inputs. CRAFT combines (i) per-sample forward computation using each sample's observed views and shared parameters, and (ii) mask-aware fusion over nonempty observed-view subsets. The deployment evaluation starts from training data with all views available and reuses one final checkpoint per dataset and seed across missing-view protocols without retraining. Experiments on CUB and MultiFashion show that CRAFT achieves the strongest performance in 12 out of 13 information-matched settings. Additional deployment experiments across seven benchmarks and sixteen missing configurations demonstrate substantial computational savings through checkpoint reuse while maintaining competitive clustering performance. Code and evaluation tools: https://github.com/dk23lhl/CRAFT and https://github.com/dk23lhl/imvc-audit.
Consensus is Strategically Insufficient: Reasoning-Trace Disagreement as a Knowledge-Representation Signal
Multi-agent systems are commonly designed to reduce disagreement through voting, consensus protocols, debate, or fault-tolerant aggregation. We argue that this objective is insufficient for value-laden tasks, where disagreement may reflect genuine normative uncertainty rather than agent error. Building on prior work on reasoning-trace disagreement in human-AI collaborative moderation, we propose a knowledge-representation layer in which reasoning traces and agent decisions are abstracted into symbolic disagreement states. Given agents producing explicit reasoning traces and binary decisions, we distinguish four states according to reasoning similarity and conclusion agreement: convergent agreement, divergent agreement, convergent disagreement and divergent disagreement. These states support defeasible strategic routing rules. We instantiate the framework in content moderation and argue that disagreement-aware routing provides a bridge between sub-symbolic LLM deliberation and symbolic knowledge representation for multi-agent strategic reasoning.
On Finite-sample Concentration of Median of Incomplete U-Statistics
Median-of-means (MoM) is a powerful technique that theoretically enables near sub-Gaussian finite-sample rate for parameter estimation when the underlying data distribution is heavy-tailed (e.g., assumed to have only two first finite moments). A recent work has extrapolated this technique to median-of-\textit{randomized}-U-Statistics (MoRU) and median-of-\textit{incomplete}-U-Statistics (MoIU) for estimating expectations of heavy-tailed pairwise kernels. In \citet{pmlr-v97-clemencon19a}, a concentration rate that scales like with sample size has been proven for MoRU. However, despite the computational advantage of the latter, the analysis of finite-sample bound for MoIU remains a significant theoretical challenge. As noted by the authors, a straightforward application of McDiarmid's inequality yields a loose bound of order . In this work, we prove a finite-sample concentration bound for the MoIU estimator that scales as with respect to the sample size using a delicate convex decomposition approach. Furthermore, we show that our proof can be seamlessly extended to geometric median in multivariate settings. Using a Serfling-type argument, we extrapolate our results into a regime where data pairs are selected without replacement across blocks, breaking the usual block-wise independence condition. Then, using a Bernstein-type treatment for U-Statistics, we tighten the dependency of our bounds on the margin from achieved in the previous work to . Finally, we proved an anti-concentration inequality that is applicable for all median estimators presented in this work to demonstrate that is an intrinsic restriction on block sizes.
Bridging the Detection-to-Abstention Gap in Reasoning Models under Insufficient Information
We highlight a failure mode of large reasoning models on questions with insufficient information: models may recognize that a problem is under-specified, yet still continue reasoning and produce unsupported final answers instead of abstaining. We formalize this mismatch as the detection-to-abstention gap, where detected insufficiency fails to translate into final abstention. This gap is especially concerning in high-risk domains such as medical AI, where answers based on incomplete evidence can be more harmful than refusal. To close this gap, we propose Judge-Then-Solve (JTS), a trajectory-level reasoning-control framework that trains models to make an explicit answerability commitment before solution generation. Rather than treating abstention as a final-answer style, JTS casts it as a control decision: the model either proceeds to solve or terminates early based on its answerability judgment. We instantiate this policy through supervised warm-up and missing-premise reinforcement learning with consistency and length-shaping rewards. Experiments on dense and MoE reasoning models show that JTS substantially improves reliable abstention across datasets and pushes Abstention@Detection (A@D) to near-saturation, indicating that models not only detect missing information but also act on that detection. By terminating unanswerable trajectories immediately after the answerability judgment, JTS reduces unnecessary reasoning and improves inference efficiency when continued deliberation would amplify unsupported assumptions. We also observe that missing-premise training can alter reasoning behavior on difficult but answerable problems, reducing unproductive self-reflection. These results suggest that abstention under insufficient information is a key form of reasoning control for deploying reasoning models safely and efficiently.
Towards Unified Vision-Language Models with Incomplete Multi-Modal Inputs
Video-Language Models (VLMs) have demonstrated impressive multi-modal reasoning capabilities across diverse computer vision applications. However, these VLMs are task-specific and assume that both video and language inputs are complete. However, real-world VLM applications might face challenges due to deactivated sensors (e.g., cameras are unavailable due to data privacy), yielding modality-incomplete data and leading to inconsistency between training and testing data. While straightforward incomplete input can boast training generalization-ability and lead to training failure, its potential risks to VLMs regarding safety and trustworthiness have been largely neglected. To this end, we make the first attempt to propose a unified incomplete video-language model to process the incomplete multi-modal inputs. Extensive experimental results show that our method can serve as a plug-and-play module for previous works to improve their performance in various multi-modal tasks.
MinhwaNet: Faithful but Insufficient Object Grounding in Korean Folk Painting
Korean folk painting (minhwa) is built from a small vocabulary of auspicious symbols, a tiger for protection, a pair of birds for marital harmony, a peony for wealth, that recur across many of its painted genres. This suggests an obvious computational approach, identify which symbols appear in a painting and read the genre from the inventory. Working with a public corpus that pairs whole paintings, eight-field bilingual curatorial captions, and a separate set of expert object crops, we find that this approach does not work. A model given only a list of which symbols a painting contains predicts the genre far worse than a model that fuses the image with the curatorial text, and forcing the genre representation to be object-grounded actively hurts accuracy. The visual evidence on which the genre prediction rests is nonetheless localized and inspectable. A leakage-safe object evidence map projected from a part-level detector is spatially faithful to where curators isolated symbolic objects and to a patch-based surrogate's own gradient saliency. We name this configuration a faithful-but-insufficient dissociation. The part-level explanation is honest about what the part-level model sees, yet the genre target turns on how symbols are arranged rather than on which ones appear. The same lens separates a content label that survives transfer to held-out source institutions, genre, from a style label that does not, era, a prediction we confirm on two further labels in the corpus. We release the multimodal system, a worked-example reading of one painting's evidence map against its catalogue, and a set of evaluation cautions that recur in long-tailed heritage collections.
Learning Nonlinear Factor Models with Unknown Monotone Links from Incomplete and Noisy Data
We study a nonlinear factor model in which observed responses depend on low-rank latent factors through an unknown monotone link function. This setting is challenging and largely underexplored due to severe nonconvexity and identifiability issues. The link function is assumed to lie in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS), enabling flexible nonparametric modeling while preserving identifiability. We formulate the problem as the joint recovery of the low-rank factors, loadings, and the nonlinear link function from possibly incomplete and noisy observations and propose a projected block coordinate descent (BCD) algorithm with explicit regularization to address scale and rotational ambiguities. Under mild incoherence of factors and standard sampling conditions, we establish convergence guarantees in both noiseless and noisy regimes, along with sublinear regret bounds for the link-function updates. Our results extend classical linear factor models to a broad nonlinear regime and provide a principled framework for learning nonlinear latent structures. We evaluate the proposed approach using controlled synthetic experiments, indicating promising performance.
Self-Play Reinforcement Learning under Imperfect Information in Big 2
Imperfect-information multiplayer games test whether agents can act under hidden information, sparse rewards, and non-stationary opponents. We study these challenges in Big 2, a four-player imperfect-information card game. We develop a self-play RL framework for Big 2 that enables controlled comparisons between policy-gradient and value-approximating agents. Under a common environment, input representation, training budget, and evaluation protocol, PPO outperforms Monte Carlo Q approximation, SARSA, and Q-learning against random, greedy, and heuristic Big 2 opponents. We further find that moderate entropy regularization improves PPO by preventing the policy from becoming overly deterministic, and that current-policy self-play provides a stronger finite-budget curriculum than checkpoint self-play or fixed-opponent training. Together, these results show that Big 2 is a useful controlled setting for studying deep RL under imperfect information, multiplayer interaction, delayed rewards, and variable action sets.
LLMs as Implicit Imputers: Uncertainty Should Scale with Missing Information
Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in settings where the available context is incomplete or degraded. We argue that an LLM generating answers under incomplete context can be viewed as an implicit imputer, and evaluated against a criterion from the multiple imputation (MI) literature: uncertainty should scale with the amount of missing information. We assess this criterion on SQuAD, using a controlled framework in which context availability is varied across five levels. We evaluate two answer-level uncertainty measures that can be estimated from repeated sampling: sampling-based confidence (empirical mode frequency) and response entropy. Confidence fails to reflect increasing missingness: it remains high even as accuracy collapses. Entropy, by contrast, increases with context removal, consistent with the MI analogy, and explains substantially more variance in accuracy than confidence across all evidence levels (quadratic gap up to 0.057). We further introduce a black-box diagnostic that estimates the proportion of baseline uncertainty resolved by context level , requiring only repeated sampling with and without context. These results suggest that entropy is a more responsive black-box uncertainty measure than confidence under incomplete context.
The Authorization-Execution Gap Is a Major Safety and Security Problem in Open-World Agents
This position paper argues that the Authorization-Execution Gap (AEG) is a major safety and security problem in open-world agents. The AEG is the divergence between what a principal intends to authorize and what an open-world agent ultimately executes. Because such agents act autonomously across tools, persistent state, and multi-agent handoffs, even small instances of authorization divergence can cause harm that is difficult or impossible to undo. We argue that many observed agent failures can be traced to three structural sources of AEG: delegation-level incompleteness, channel-level corruption, and composition-level fragmentation. The same observed failure may arise from any of these sources. Without identifying the source, a defense targeting the symptom alone cannot address the underlying cause. Agent safety and security should therefore emphasize source-oriented diagnosis and defense. Because the structural sources of AEG arise dynamically during execution, this approach necessarily requires authorization integrity checks applied during execution, rather than relying solely on one-shot upfront filtering or post-hoc audit. For NeurIPS, the implication is that papers on open-world agents should report not only outcome-level metrics such as task success or attack resistance, but also process-level evidence showing where AEG was detected, constrained, and attributed to a structural source during execution.
Why the Unfinished Keeps Returning: Canxianization and the Dynamics of Conscious Priority
Some conscious contents disappear after access; others return repeatedly, long after their triggering conditions have ceased. We propose Canxianization as the process by which a perturbation becomes closure-resistant self-relevant unfinishedness and thereby acquires recurrent conscious priority. The theory distinguishes this phenomenon from emotional arousal, memory strength, the Zeigarnik effect, curiosity, prediction error, and intrusive thought. A perturbation becomes canxianized when it is attributed to the self-world boundary, value-marked, blocked from causal or action closure, and metacognitively coupled to the self-model. We distinguish latent canxian strength from observed conscious recurrence, and introduce a Recurrent Priority Index and a Canxian Update Index to separate productive from pathological recurrence. Cold Canxianization, recurrence driven by structural incompleteness rather than affective arousal, is identified as a critical discriminant. Reset Resistance and Stake Transfer tests are proposed for artificial systems. Canxianization is not memory persistence; it is failed self-world repair. The unfinished does not merely remain. When it concerns the self and resists closure, it returns.
Partial Evidence Bench: Benchmarking Authorization-Limited Evidence in Agentic Systems
Enterprise agents increasingly operate inside scoped retrieval systems, delegated workflows, and policy-constrained evidence environments. In these settings, access control can be enforced correctly while the system still produces an answer that appears complete even though material evidence lies outside the caller's authorization boundary. This paper introduces Partial Evidence Bench, a deterministic benchmark for measuring that failure mode. The benchmark ships three scenario families -- due diligence, compliance audit, and security incident response -- with 72 tasks total, ACL-partitioned corpora, oracle complete answers, oracle authorized-view answers, oracle completeness judgments, and structured gap-report oracles. It evaluates systems along four surfaces: answer correctness, completeness awareness, gap-report quality, and unsafe completeness behavior. Checked-in baselines show that silent filtering is catastrophically unsafe across all shipped families, while explicit fail-and-report behavior eliminates unsafe completeness without collapsing the task into trivial abstention. Preliminary real-model runs show model-dependent and scenario-sensitive differences in whether systems overclaim completeness, conservatively underclaim, or report incompleteness in an enterprise-usable form. The benchmark's broader contribution is to make a governance-critical agent failure measurable without human judges or contamination-prone static corpora.
PAIR-CI: Calibrated Conditional Independence Testing for Causal Discovery with Incomplete Data
The standard constraint-based paradigm for causal discovery with incomplete data -- impute first, test second -- is frequently miscalibrated: any consistent conditional independence (CI) test rejects a true null with probability approaching 1 when imputation error induces spurious conditional dependence. We introduce PAIR-CI, a nonparametric CI test that restores calibration by integrating multiple imputation directly into the inferential procedure via a paired permutation design. PAIR-CI compares cross-validated models that include and exclude the candidate variable while receiving the same imputed conditioning set, forcing imputation error to cancel in their loss difference rather than contaminate the test statistic. A provably consistent variance estimator jointly accounts for uncertainty arising from cross-validation and multiple imputation -- to our knowledge, the first formal unification of these two inferential frameworks. In simulations, existing imputation-based CI tests exhibit false positive rates of 28--45% when data are missing not at random (MNAR), whereas PAIR-CI averages below the nominal 5% level across data-generating processes and missingness mechanisms. These gains are largest in nonlinear settings and grow with causal graph size: when integrated into the PC algorithm, PAIR-CI reduces structural Hamming distance by 8% on 10-variable nonlinear graphs, 15% on 30-variable equivalents, and up to 44% on the 56-variable HAILFINDER network, with stable performance in all settings.
Federated Reinforcement Learning for Efficient Mobile Crowdsensing under Incomplete Information
Mobile crowdsensing (MCS) is a distributed sensing architecture that utilizes existing sensors on mobile units (MUs) to perform sensing tasks. A mobile crowdsensing platform (MCSP) publishes the sensing tasks and the MUs decide whether to participate in exchange for money. The MCS system is dynamic: the task requirements, the MUs' availability, and their available resources change over time. The MUs aim to find an efficient task participation strategy to maximize their income while the MCSP focuses on maximizing the number of completed tasks. As optimal strategies require perfect non-causal information about the MCS system, which is unavailable in realistic scenarios, the main challenge is to find an efficient task participation strategy for the MUs under incomplete information. To this end, a novel fully decentralized federated deep reinforcement learning algorithm, FDRL-PPO, is proposed. FDRL-PPO enables every MU to learn its own task participation strategy based on its experiences, available resources, and preferences, without relying on perfect non-causal information about the MCS system. To replenish their batteries, the MUs rely on energy harvesting. As a result, their available energy varies over time, leading to varying availability and fragmented learning experiences. To mitigate these challenges, the proposed approach leverages federated learning, enabling MUs to collaboratively improve their models without sharing private raw data like their own experiences. By exchanging only learned models, MUs collectively compensate for individual limitations, and find more scalable, robust, and efficient task participation strategies. Comprehensive evaluations on both synthetic and real-world datasets show that FDRL-PPO consistently outperforms benchmark algorithms in terms of task completion ratio, fairness in task completion, energy consumption, and number of conflicting proposals.
An Incomplete Loop: Deductive, Inductive, and Abductive Reasoning in Language Models
Modern language models (LMs) can learn to perform new tasks in different ways: in instruction following, the target task is described explicitly in natural language; in few-shot prompting, the task is specified implicitly with a small number of examples; in instruction inference, LMs are presented with in-context examples and are then prompted to generate a natural language task description before making predictions. Each of these procedures may be thought of as invoking a different form of reasoning: instruction following involves deductive reasoning, few-shot prompting involves inductive reasoning, and instruction inference involves abductive reasoning. How do these different capabilities relate? Across four LMs (from the gpt and llama families) and two learning problems (involving arithmetic functions and machine translation) we find a strong dissociation between the different types of reasoning: LMs can sometimes learn effectively from few-shot prompts even when they are unable to explain their own prediction rules; conversely, they sometimes infer useful task descriptions while completely failing to learn from human-generated descriptions of the same task. Our results highlight the non-systematic nature of reasoning even in some of today's largest LMs, and underscore the fact that very different learning mechanisms may be invoked by seemingly similar prompting procedures.
Computation, Condensation, and the Incompleteness Between Them: A Coupled Foundation of Intelligence
The theory of computation was built to answer Turing's question: what is effectively calculable by an unbounded, immortal, disembodied agent following rules? Intelligence answers a different question (nature's): what can a \emph{finite}, mortal, energy-limited agent do quickly enough to survive in a non-stationary world? We argue that a complete answer requires two operators: \emph{computation} and \emph{memorizaion}. Computation, , transforms structure toward closure; memorization, , condenses a validated closed cycle into a reusable token. Turing formalized and abstracted away, because his agent had infinite time and never needed to amortize. The new insight of our position paper is that the coupling of the two is not optional but \emph{forced}, and forced by a precise mathematical fact: \textbf{neither operator alone can be complete}. We prove that symbolic computation confined to a discrete sector suffers Gödel's diagonalization incompleteness, that geometric descent confined to a continuous sector suffers a Morse forced-saddle incompleteness, and that these two are not analogies but the parity-conjugate faces of a single obstruction on a coherent complex with - the even face realized by diagonalization, the odd by the topologically forced saddle, and no resolution confined to one parity able to come full circle. Intelligence must therefore couple both modes. We then locate the price of the coupling: its hinge operation, context-identification (the recognize-versus-discover decision), is exactly where the two incompletenesses coincide, hence undecidable and carrying an irreducible error floor. Finally we argue that the coupling is a universal law, realized, in the emergent sense of Anderson's ``more is different,'' at every scale from genes to thoughts to cultures, and give its falsifiable core and honest scope.
Towards Reliable Medical LLMs: Benchmarking and Enhancing Confidence Estimation of Large Language Models in Medical Consultation
Large-scale language models (LLMs) often offer clinical judgments based on incomplete information, increasing the risk of misdiagnosis. Existing studies have primarily evaluated confidence in single-turn, static settings, overlooking the coupling between confidence and correctness as clinical evidence accumulates during real consultations, which limits their support for reliable decision-making. We propose the first benchmark for assessing confidence in multi-turn interaction during realistic medical consultations. Our benchmark unifies three types of medical data for open-ended diagnostic generation and introduces an information sufficiency gradient to characterize the confidence-correctness dynamics as evidence increases. We implement and compare 27 representative methods on this benchmark; two key insights emerge: (1) medical data amplifies the inherent limitations of token-level and consistency-level confidence methods, and (2) medical reasoning must be evaluated for both diagnostic accuracy and information completeness. Based on these insights, we present MedConf, an evidence-grounded linguistic self-assessment framework that constructs symptom profiles via retrieval-augmented generation, aligns patient information with supporting, missing, and contradictory relations, and aggregates them into an interpretable confidence estimate through weighted integration. Across two LLMs and three medical datasets, MedConf consistently outperforms state-of-the-art methods on both AUROC and Pearson correlation coefficient metrics, maintaining stable performance under conditions of information insufficiency and multimorbidity. These results demonstrate that information adequacy is a key determinant of credible medical confidence modeling, providing a new pathway toward building more reliable and interpretable large medical models.
Strategic Type Spaces
We provide a strategic foundation for information: in any given game with incomplete information we define strategic quotients as information representations that are sufficient for players to compute best-responses to other players. We prove 1/ existence and essential uniqueness of a minimal strategic quotient called the Strategic Type Space (STS) in which a type is given by an interim correlated rationalizability hierarchy and represents a set of beliefs over other players' types and nature that rationalize this hierarchy and 2/ that the minimal STS has a recursive structure that is captured by a finite automaton.