Latent Dynamics Modeling

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35 papers in the last four weeks, up 483% on the four weeks before. 0.3% of all new papers.

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Latest papers 172

Jun 20, 2026cs.AI

Interpreting Latent CoT Reasoning as Dynamical Systems

Recent latent reasoning methods, such as CODI and COCONUT, face a fundamental interpretability problem: they maintain multiple superimposed candidate traces in the hidden space at each step, unlike explicit- CoT, which follows a single transparent reasoning trace. Existing mechanistic methods show compression, shortcuts, and superposition without explaining how reasoning evolves across latent steps. To address this gap, we model latent token sequences as trajectories in representation space and apply dynamical systems analysis to characterize the evolution of reasoning. Using quantitative measures, such as step-to-step change, direction consistency, and Lyapunov sensitivity, alongside qualitative projections, such as UMAP and DMD/PHATE, we show that latent CoT exhibits structured, non-random dynamics with two distinct stability classes. CODI behaves as a stable attractor, while COCONUT behaves as an unstable expanding system, and SIM-CoT supervision tightens both behaviors without changing the underlying dynamics. This framework advances the interpretability of latent CoT reasoning dynamics and provides actionable insights for improving latent reasoning performance. Code1 and Project page2 available online.

Sabari Iyyappan Duraipandian, Shreya Sanjay Boyane, Manju Nagesh +3

1San Jose State University. · 2Worcester Polytechnic Institute. · 3George Mason University. +1

Latent Dynamics Modeling LLM Interpretability Mechanistic Interpretability Latent CoT Reasoning Reasoning Trace Analysis

Jun 19, 2026cs.LG

Beyond the Next Step: Variable-Length Latent World Models for Long-Horizon Planning

Recently, world models have emerged as a promising paradigm for building intelligent agents by learning predictive models that estimate future environment states conditioned on observations and actions. In particular, JEPA-style latent world models provide an efficient alternative to pixel space prediction by learning action-conditioned dynamics in compact representation spaces. However, existing latent world models typically rely on one-step prediction and must be recursively rolled out for long-horizon planning, which leads to compounding errors and a mismatch between training objectives and downstream planning tasks. To address this limitation, we propose Variable-length Latent World Models (VLWMs), a framework that learns to predict future latent states conditioned on action sequences of variable lengths. Instead of training only on one-step transitions, VLWMs directly model temporally extended dynamics, allowing the same predictor to evaluate action plans over different horizons. We further introduce a curriculum training strategy that progressively expands the action horizon, stabilizing optimization from short-range dynamics to long-range prediction. At test time, we design planning methods tailored to VLWMs to better exploit their variable-length predictive capabilities. Experiments on long-horizon control tasks show that VLWMs significantly improve latent space world models, achieving 13% average improvement over the state-of-the-art LeWM across different datasets, with especially large gains on tasks requiring extended planning. These results suggest that VLWM provides a simple yet effective paradigm for improving long-horizon prediction and planning in latent world models.

Tianqi Du, Qi Zhang, Yifei Wang +1

State Key Lab of General Artificial Intelligence, School of Intelligence Science and Technology, Peking University · Amazon AGI SF Lab · Institute for Artificial Intelligence, Peking University

Latent Dynamics Modeling World Models World Model-Based Planning Action-Conditioned World Models Long-Horizon Planning Model-Based Planning+1

Jun 19, 2026stat.ML

Diffusion-Driven State Space Models

In many domains, practitioners seek models that produce accurate forecasts while faithfully capturing latent system dynamics. Existing approaches typically sacrifice one of these goals: deep state space models often assume Gaussian latent transitions, limiting fit and forecasting, while diffusion models are highly expressive but lack principled inference for the underlying dynamics. To combine the strengths of both, we introduce the Diffusion-Driven State Space Model (DDSSM), which replaces the conventional Gaussian transition distribution with a diffusion model. Our DDSSM resolves the open problem of how to jointly train an autoencoder and a diffusion model on sequential data, thereby extending the literature on latent diffusion models for time series. Moreover, we find that the DDSSM empirically outperforms a state-of-the-art deep SSM at fitting and forecasting a simulated time series with multimodal transitions.

Jack Ruder, Michael Wojnowicz

1Montana State University

Latent Dynamics Modeling Latent Diffusion Models Time Series Forecasting State Space Models

Jun 17, 2026cs.LG

Anomaly Detection for Sparse and Irregular Multivariate Time Series with Latent SDEs

Multivariate time series anomaly detection (MTSAD) is critical for a wide range of application areas, such as industrial monitoring, cybersecurity, or healthcare. Real-world data is often sparse, irregularly sampled or partially observed, yet existing methods assume uniformly sampled time series. We propose a generative approach based on Latent SDEs that projects the observed time series on a continuous-time stochastic dynamical system, directly being able to handle missing observations and irregular sampling, while also naturally capturing possible cyclic behavior that many real-world use cases inherently possess. Experiments on six anomaly benchmark datasets show that our proposed method ranks first among state-of-the-art baselines. We further demonstrate that our method remains robust under severe data sparsity, while performance significantly degrades for the tested baseline methods. These results highlight latent SDEs as a natural inductive bias for anomaly detection in multivariate time series, especially in presence of real-world irregularities.

Martin Uray, Dominik Geng, Florian Graf +2

Josef Ressel Centre for Intelligent and Secure Industrial Automation, University of Applied Sciences, Salzburg, Austria · University of Salzburg, Austria

Irregular Time-Series Modeling Latent Dynamics Modeling Time-Series Anomaly Detection

Jun 16, 2026cs.LG

Ghost Attractor Networks: Basin-Structured Dynamical Decoders for Closed-Loop Sequential Generation

Sequential output generation with large-scale Transformer and diffusion decoders pays a memory cost that grows with sequence length, plus iterative per-step computation. Replacing them with small feed-forward decoders restores efficiency but produces unstructured latent representations that limit closed-loop control: phase-conditioned action generation and cross-step latent carry-over both require a latent geometry with stable basins. This article proposes Ghost Attractor Networks, a theoretically derived dynamical decoder whose latent evolves under a learned potential with drift and produces a basin-attractor structure by construction. Three desiderata (multi-modality, decoder-level single-pass switching, and constant memory) motivate the potential-drift form, and mode transitions arise as saddle-node bifurcations with ghost-attractor escape. A hierarchical phase-space decomposition separates first-order basin convergence from second-order proprioceptive refinement. Empirically, a Ghost trained end-to-end with a behavioral-cloning and contrastive objective exhibits the predicted gradient-flow contraction in its potential, with the gradient norm decaying by 67 percent across five integration steps on 1430 held-out samples. Ghost is evaluated as a robotic action decoder. A 2.3-million-parameter Ghost matches the offline accuracy of a 1.07-billion-parameter Diffusion Transformer at 462 times fewer parameters and 32 times lower latency, and beats five alternative 2M-parameter decoders (MLP, Neural ODE, CVAE, Transformer, 1-step Diffusion) on offline mean squared error by 5.9 to 29 percent. On the LIBERO-10 closed-loop benchmark, phase conditioning on Ghost's basin-structured latent yields a 13.5 percentage-point success-rate gain over a feed-forward MLP baseline, and persistent-latent ensembling reaches a 95.7 percent final success rate.

Tianyu Wang, Ying Wang, Zhihao Liu +2

Department of Production Engineering, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden · Department of Decision and Control Systems, KTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden

Latent Dynamics Modeling Robot Motion Generation

Jun 16, 2026cs.LG

When Dynamics Models Read the Wrong Time Steps: Label-Free Event Credit Re-Anchoring for Robust Global Readouts

Learned dynamics models often answer global physical questions, such as fault severity or impact stiffness, by pooling a per-step feature sequence into one readout vector. This sequence-to-global interface creates an under-studied temporal credit problem: with only trajectory-level supervision, a model can predict accurately in training conditions while reading from abundant smooth correlates rather than the brief physical events that determine the target. We call this failure temporal credit dilution. It is not exposed by the training loss and is not removed by standard physics-informed residuals, because the error lies in where the global readout assigns functional credit. We introduce Credit-in-Event, an interface-level probe for measuring how much pooled credit lands on event steps, and prove in closed form that a pooled linear reader routes credit to a spurious background channel as the event fraction shrinks. We then propose CREST, a training-free and label-free readout that estimates a transient event core from learned features and re-anchors the pooled representation through event-versus-rest contrast. Across simulated gear and impact systems, recurrent and attention encoders, and public bearing vibration data, CREST reduces out-of-distribution error while restoring event credit. Ablations show that stable-step selection and receptive-field shrinking fail, confirming that the gain comes from event-core credit re-anchoring rather than a generic locality or stability prior.

Yifan Wang

Department of Mechanical Engineering, McGill University Montréal, QC H3A 2T7, Canada

Latent Dynamics Modeling OOD Generalization Temporal Credit Assignment Fault Diagnosis

Jun 15, 2026stat.ML

Closing the Approximation Gap in Simulation-free Latent SDEs

Recovering dynamical systems from noisy observations is a recurring challenge across scientific domains, including neuroscience and physics. Latent stochastic differential equations (SDEs) address this by modeling the system as an unobserved state that evolves according to a learnable SDE and generates the observations. Variational inference (VI) provides a tractable objective for fitting latent SDEs. Traditional VI algorithms evaluate this objective by numerical simulation over a time discretization, trading fidelity for computational cost. A recent class of algorithms, simulation-free VI, sidesteps this tradeoff by parameterizing the posterior through its instantaneous marginals rather than its drift. In this work, we show that the efficiency of existing simulation-free VI algorithms comes at a price: their parameterizations restrict the approximate posterior to a subset of the SDEs available to simulation-based methods, degrading posterior inference and parameter learning. We propose Helmholtz-SDE, a simulation-free VI algorithm that closes this gap by optimizing over path laws compatible with a prescribed collection of marginals. Helmholtz-SDE recovers dynamics more faithfully than prior simulation-free methods, with the largest gains under high posterior uncertainty. It further matches the performance of simulation-based VI at a fraction of the runtime. Code is available at https://github.com/lindermanlab/helmholtz-sde .

Henry D. Smith, Brian L. Trippe, Scott W. Linderman

Stanford University

Parameter Estimation Stochastic Differential Equations Latent Dynamics Modeling System Identification Variational Inference

Jun 15, 2026cs.LG

Phys-JEPA: Physics-Informed Latent World Models for Multivariate Time-Series Forecasting

Multivariate forecasting in physical systems requires models that predict coupled temporal variables while preserving meaningful state evolution. Deep forecasters can fit temporal correlations, and physics-informed models can regularize predictions with scientific constraints, but these directions are often connected only at the decoded-output level. As a result, the hidden predictive state that generates future trajectories may remain statistically useful but physically unstructured. We introduce Phys-JEPA, a physics-informed joint-embedding predictive architecture for multivariate time-series forecasting. Phys-JEPA learns a latent world model in which predictive states are decomposed into physical and residual components, and physical consistency is imposed directly on latent states and latent transitions rather than only on decoded forecasts. This formulation uses known physical variables to organize the representation space while retaining residual capacity for unresolved dynamics. On Jena Climate 2009--2016, Phys-JEPA reduces aggregate MSE from 0.12482 to 0.12273 and temperature MSE from 0.01892 to 0.01831 at H=24. On Traffic, full Phys-JEPA improves aggregate MSE over the supervised baseline across all tested horizons, reducing H=192 MSE from 0.800784 to 0.773873. On Electricity, the best variant depends on horizon: static latent consistency is strongest at H=24 and H=48, while full Phys-JEPA gives the best aggregate and target-variable MSE at H=192. These initial results suggest that moving physics-informed learning from output space to latent predictive state space is a promising direction for interpretable temporal world models.

Weizhi Nie, Weichao Liu, Honglin Guo +1

Tianjin University

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Latent Dynamics Modeling Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture Physics-Informed ML

Jun 13, 2026cs.LG

Physics-conforming Latent Twins

Surrogate models are central to scientific machine learning, where they enable fast prediction, simulation, inference, and control for complex physical systems. For time-dependent problems, however, accurate interpolation of training trajectories is not sufficient: reliable surrogates should also respect the conservation laws, invariants, admissibility conditions, and dissipative structures that give those trajectories physical meaning. We introduce Physics-conforming Latent Twins, a framework for learning latent surrogate solution operators whose dynamics satisfy selected physical principles by design. The method builds on the Latent Twin formulation by jointly learning an encoder, a decoder, and a latent flow map between arbitrary time-indexed states, while constraining the latent dynamics to preserve or dissipate prescribed structural quantities. We develop a constraint-transfer viewpoint that connects physical structure in the original state space with compatible constraints in latent space, and prove structure-preservation bounds showing how latent enforcement improves control of physical defects after decoding. We also derive algebraic conditions for latent flow maps that preserve linear and quadratic invariants or enforce dissipative inequalities. Numerical experiments on representative ODE and PDE benchmarks demonstrate improved constraint satisfaction, structural fidelity, and qualitative long-time behavior while maintaining accurate surrogate prediction.

Matthias Chung, Yutong Bu, Deepanshu Verma

Department of Mathematics, Emory University, 400 Dowman Drive, Atlanta, 30322, GA, USA · School of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, Clemson University, 220 Parkway Drive, Clemson, 29634, SC, USA

Neural Surrogate Modeling Surrogate Modeling Latent Dynamics Modeling PDE Surrogate Modeling Physics-Informed ML

Jun 12, 2026cs.RO

Sensitivity Shaping for Latent Modeling

Generative dynamics models enable planning in challenging systems, but safe deployment requires detecting policy-induced out-of-distribution (OOD) transitions. Existing methods typically treat learned dynamics as fixed and rely on post hoc support surrogates for OOD detection. This overlooks a critical failure mode: learned dynamics that are insensitive to control changes can map unsupported controls to latent predictions resembling demonstrated transitions, suppressing OOD signals despite large prediction errors. We introduce support-conditioned control-sensitivity regularization to preserve control-induced variation by promoting local responsiveness in well-supported training regions. Experiments in vision-based obstacle avoidance, manipulation, and real-robot navigation demonstrate improved OOD detection and safer closed-loop planning.

Hongzhan Yu, Chenghao Li, Ruipeng Zhang +2

University of California San Diego

Robotic Control Latent Dynamics Modeling OOD Detection

Jun 12, 2026cs.LG

Deep Spectral Learning of Embedded Latent Transfer Operators for Stochastic Dynamical Systems

We propose a spectral learning method for stochastic nonlinear dynamical systems represented with embedded latent transfer operators in deep feature spaces. We instantiate the method as Deep Spectral Encoder (DSE), an operator-based latent state-space model in which a time-invariant neural encoder implements learnable nonlinear feature maps from observations, and these features define Markovian latent states whose temporal evolution and observation mapping are described by the transfer and observation operators, respectively. Functional canonical correlation analysis in a learnable Galerkin-projected feature space provides state coordinates from past and future observations, and the two linear operators are estimated on the state coordinates as ridge-regularized closed-form solutions that coincide with Galerkin projections of the associated covariance operators. On this representation, we generalize sequential Bayesian filtering and Koopman spectral mode decomposition in feature space. Experiments on several scenarios show stable and superior performance with sequential Bayesian filtering and dynamic mode decomposition baselines even under noise and partial observability.

Ryogo Tanaka, Yoshinobu Kawahara

Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, The University of Osaka, Osaka, Japan · Center for Advanced Intelligence Project, RIKEN, Tokyo, Japan

Dynamical Systems Stochastic Linear Dynamical Systems Koopman Operator Learning Latent Dynamics Modeling Operator Learning

Jun 11, 2026cs.LG

Extracting Governing Equations from Latent Dynamics via Multi-View Contrastive Learning

Identifying latent dynamical systems from noisy, high-dimensional measurements is a central problem at the intersection of representation learning, system identification, and scientific discovery. We present DYSCO, a multi-view temporal contrastive learning algorithm that jointly recovers latent trajectories and the governing dynamics from such observations, by leveraging multiple independent noisy views of the same underlying process to disentangle signal from noise. By parameterizing the dynamics in a structured functional basis, our framework further enables symbolic recovery of the governing equations within an affine gauge. We offer theoretical guarantees for strong identification up to an affine indeterminacy, extending prior identifiability results to the realistic setting of noisy nonlinear observations. Empirically, we demonstrate accurate recovery of both latent trajectories and flow fields across a diverse set of dynamical regimes (e.g., chaotic, oscillatory, and metastable) under both Gaussian and Poisson observation noise, the latter being particularly relevant for neural recordings.

Paolo Muratore, Mackenzie Weygandt Mathis

EPFL

Contrastive Learning Parameter Identifiability Latent Dynamics Modeling Nonlinear System Identification Autonomous Scientific Discovery

Jun 9, 2026cs.LG

Embedding Hybrid Systems into Continuous Latent Vector Fields

This work proves that an

n

-dimensional hybrid system can be embedded into an

m

-dimensional Euclidean space equipped with a continuous vector field on its embedded image whenever

m>2n

. This result suggests that an intrinsically discontinuous hybrid system generically admits a continuous extrinsic representation that is well-posed for differentiable optimization. Building on this existence theorem, we show that a latent Neural ODE with consistency loss in both the latent and state space can accurately recover the flow of hybrid systems. Extensive experiments suggest the proposed method outperforms the existing method in learning hybrid systems with varying geometries from only time series data.

Sangli Teng, Hang Liu, Koushil Sreenath

University of California, Berkeley, CA, USA · University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA

Latent Dynamics Modeling System Identification Neural ODEs

Jun 9, 2026cs.LG

Machine Learning Methods for Studying Latent Neural Activity Dynamics

Recent developments in brain recording are driving a demand for machine learning tools capable of decoding the latent structure of large populations of neurons. In this paper, we provide a comprehensive survey that outlines the trajectory of Latent Variable Models (LVMs) from early state-space models to more recent deep generative models. We organize the literature into three closely related domains: (1) Single-Region Latent Dynamics, which includes models such as linear dynamical systems to more complex dynamics represented by Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) and Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs); (2) Multi-Region Communication, which employs probabilistic as well as subspace methods to study how information is transferred across different brain areas considering synaptic propagation delays and network connectivity; and (3) Behavior-Aligned Modeling, which seeks to disentangle neural activity related to task performance from other internal states via supervised or contrastive learning. This survey also includes large-scale neural foundation models, such as Transformers and diffusion models, that rely on large-scale pre-training for optimal performance across subjects. Finally, we conclude and discuss benchmarks, evaluation criteria, and open challenges, such as the ability to identify causal links or directionality of communication, to facilitate future research for bridging interpretable brain dynamics with reliable neural decoding.

Shufeng Kong, Fumei Deng, Xinyi Dong +7

School of Software Engineering, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, China · School of Computer Science and Artificial Intelligence, Foshan University, Foshan, China · Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, USA +2

Dynamical Systems Latent Variable Models Latent Dynamics Modeling Neural Processes Neural Decoding

Jun 8, 2026cs.LG

Mechanical Field Networks: Structured Neural Dynamics for Multivariate Systems

Many multivariate dynamical systems are observed only through trajectories, leaving the mechanisms governing their joint dynamics hidden. Existing approaches can impose interpretable dynamics or learn flexible state transitions, yet the resulting interaction structure is typically either specified in advance or left implicit within the learned dynamics. We introduce MF-Net, a recurrent dynamical model that represents all variables in a shared field state and updates this state through a learned relation law. Each variable carries a field component, and these components evolve jointly through a learnable mechanical transition. Here, mechanical refers to the relation-to-motion organization of the transition, where learned relations shape state-dependent flows, field responses, and motion tendencies that move the field state forward. The resulting structure is part of the rollout itself: learned relations influence how the field moves, and the same internal quantities support both forecasting and structural readout. Across known-law interaction systems, chaotic benchmarks, real neural recordings, and ecological time series, MF-Net achieves competitive short- and medium-horizon forecasting while retaining inspectable structural readout. On the 40-dimensional Lorenz--96 testbed, MF-Net achieves an eight-step

R^2

of

0.798\pm0.018

; across five seeds, its learned relation matrix recovers the local coupling support with a local/nonlocal strength ratio of

19.80\pm1.00

and Precision@

K

of

1.000\pm0.000

. MF-Net provides a structure-readable dynamical modeling framework in which learned relations are trained through forward evolution and, on real data, interpreted as functional predictive couplings under appropriate observational limits.

Xingji Cui

Xi’an Jiaotong University, China

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Dynamical Systems Latent Dynamics Modeling Nonlinear System Identification Recurrent Neural Networks

Jun 8, 2026cs.LG

Graph Mamba Operator: A Latent Simulator for Interacting Particle Systems

Modeling interacting dynamical systems requires capturing spatial interactions alongside long-range temporal dependencies. Graph neural networks (GNNs) provide a natural representation but typically rely on autoregressive rollouts and treat spatial and temporal dynamics separately, leading to error accumulation over long horizons. Existing approaches also focus on local interactions and short temporal contexts, limiting their ability to capture multi-hop dependencies and global structure. We introduce the Graph Mamba Operator (GraMO), a latent-space simulator that integrates state-space models with graph-based interaction learning. In contrast to prior work that sequences nodes or applies spatial and temporal updates in separate stages, GraMO couples graph-based interactions and temporal state updates within a single recurrence. The update is linear in the latent state, with input-dependent coefficients that adapt across regimes. We evaluate GraMO on N-body systems, motion capture, and robotics datasets, achieving the lowest error across benchmarks and the largest gains in long-horizon prediction.

Karn Tiwari, Niladri Dutta, N M Anoop Krishnan +1

Department of Electrical Communication Engineering Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore Bengaluru, 560012, India · Department of Computer Science and Automation Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore Bengaluru, 560012, India · Yardi School of Artificial Intelligence Indian Institute of Technology, Delhi New Delhi, 110016, India

Latent Dynamics Modeling Spatiotemporal GNNs State Space Models

Jun 8, 2026cs.CV

Temporally Consistent and Controllable Video Generation of 2D Cine CMR via Latent Space Motion Modeling

Cine cardiac magnetic resonance is the gold standard for assessing cardiac function, but the scarcity of public datasets limits the development of advanced data-driven models. To address this limitation, we propose a generative method for synthesizing temporally coherent and anatomically consistent cardiac sequences. Our text-to-video framework decouples cardiac spatial structure from temporal motion. First, a fine-tuned diffusion model synthesizes an initial frame from a clinical text prompt, controlling anatomical features. Then, a latent flow model conditioned on a cardiac phase embedding generates the complete cardiac motion, ensuring spatial consistency and temporal control. Our model generates anatomically and pathologically diverse sequences with high temporal coherence and strong fidelity to input prompts, achieving a FID of 31.68 for image realism and a CLIP score of 31.04 for text-image alignment. These experimental results highlight its potential to produce high-fidelity, on-demand medical data, offering a scalable solution to data scarcity.

Yiheng Cao, Gustavo Andrade-Miranda, Jiatian Zhang +2

SyCoIA - IMT Mines Alès · Suzhou Institute of Biomedical Engineering and Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Suzhou, China · SyCoIA, IMT Mines Ales, Ales, France

Latent Dynamics Modeling Text-to-Video Generation Medical Image Synthesis Controllable Video Generation Cardiac MRI Temporal Consistency in Video Generation

Jun 4, 2026cs.HC

EEGDancer: Dynamic Emotion Latent Space Masked Modeling with Reinforcement Learning for EEG Continuous Emotion Prediction

Continuous electroencephalography (EEG) emotion prediction aims to model the temporal evolution of human emotional states from EEG signals. Unlike conventional discrete emotion recognition, continuous prediction requires capturing long-range temporal dependencies and coherent emotional dynamics. However, existing methods mainly rely on point-wise regression and directly model noisy high-dimensional EEG features, limiting their ability to characterize continuous emotional evolution.To address these challenges, we propose EEGDancer, a dynamic emotional latent space learning framework for continuous EEG emotion prediction. The framework integrates vector-quantized representation learning, masked temporal modeling, and reinforcement learning-based trajectory optimization into a unified architecture.Specifically, a causal spatiotemporal Vector-Quantization Variational Autoencoder (VQ-VAE) is designed to learn structured emotional prototypes and construct a discrete-continuous emotional latent space from EEG signals. Based on the learned latent representations, a Transformer-based masked dynamic modeling strategy captures long-range emotional dependencies and temporal evolution patterns. Furthermore, continuous emotion prediction is formulated as a sequential decision-making problem, and a Soft Actor-Critic (SAC) framework is introduced to optimize emotional prediction trajectories at the sequence level instead of frame-wise local fitting.Extensive experiments on the SEED, SEED-IV, and Long-Term Naturalistic Emotion datasets demonstrate that EEGDancer consistently outperforms existing machine learning and deep learning methods. Ablation studies further verify the effectiveness of the proposed latent space and reinforcement learning-based trajectory optimization for modeling continuous EEG emotional dynamics.

Zhihao Zhou, Weishan Ye, Li Zhang +2

The School of Biomedical Engineering, Medical School, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China · The Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Biomedical Measurements and Ultrasound2026 Imaging, Shenzhen, China

Latent Dynamics Modeling EEG Emotion Recognition Sequence Modeling Emotion Recognition

Jun 3, 2026cs.LG

Deep Embedded Multiplicative DMD for Algebra-Preserving Koopman Learning

Koopman theory turns nonlinear dynamics into a linear spectral problem. In computation, however, everything depends on a hard finite-dimensional choice: the observables must be expressive, nearly invariant under the dynamics, and, ideally, compatible with composition. Deep Koopman methods learn flexible coordinates, whereas structure-preserving methods enforce operator identities on fixed dictionaries. We combine these ideas by introducing Deep Embedded Multiplicative Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DeepMDMD), a method that learns a latent space and a partition of it, while enforcing the Koopman product rule as an exact algebraic constraint. Training alternates between an exact multiplicative operator update and a differentiable latent-clustering step that promotes Koopman closure. The result is a finite transition map on learned latent cells. Its nonzero spectrum lies on the unit circle, its dictionary is shaped by the dynamics rather than by ambient geometry, and forecasts are made in latent coordinates before being decoded to physical space. Across Hamiltonian, chaotic, and fluid examples, DeepMDMD learns dictionaries that are far more compact and dynamically coherent than those produced by geometric MDMD partitions. It reduces spectral pollution, reveals richer continuous-spectrum structure, and gives stable forecasts under severe noise. In high-dimensional flows, including a 158,624-dimensional cylinder wake and a noisy

Re=20,000

lid-driven cavity, it preserves coherent structures and long-time spectral statistics where state-space MDMD fails. These results suggest a practical rule for Koopman learning: learn the coordinates, constrain the algebra.

Kelan Gray, Finlay Brown, Nicolas Boullé +1

Department of Mathematics, Imperial College London, London, SW7 2AZ, UK. · Department of Applied Mathematics and Theoretical Physics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB3 0WA, UK.

Koopman Operator Learning Latent Dynamics Modeling Dynamic Mode Decomposition

Jun 1, 2026cs.RO

Dynamics Are Learned, Not Told: Semi-Supervised Discovery of Latent Dynamics Geometries For Zero-Shot Policy Adaptation

Real-world dynamics shifts pose a critical challenge for reinforcement learning in robotics, as policies tightly coupled to nominal environments often fail catastrophically when physical conditions change. Most existing methods rely on encoding explicitly identified physical parameters into a latent context, a parameter-centric paradigm that depends on pre-specified axes of variation and becomes brittle under unmodeled or compound dynamics changes. We revisit dynamics adaptation from an outcome-centric perspective: rather than telling policies what the dynamics are, we enable them to learn how dynamics affect interaction outcomes. Theoretically, this is grounded in a monotonic relationship between target-domain regret and the Lipschitz constant of a trajectory dynamics encoder. Practically, this constant can be upper-bounded through contrastive learning, yielding a smooth, task-relevant latent topology without privileged dynamics information. On MuJoCo benchmarks, our method consistently outperforms parameter-centric baselines under severe dynamics shifts, including unmodeled and time-varying parameters, while also improving in-distribution stability and latent interpretability. Overall, these results validate that controlling latent geometry is a principled mechanism for robust adaptation.

Zhiming Xu, Weitao Zhou, Xianghui Pan +4

School of Computer Science and Engineering, Tongji University, Shanghai, China · School of Vehicle and Mobility, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China · Simple AI, Beijing, China +1

Robot Policy Adaptation Latent Dynamics Modeling Robot Dynamics Learning Robotic RL Robust RL

Jun 1, 2026stat.ML

State-Coupled Volatility in Latent Dynamical Systems: Recovery Under Partial Observation

Latent state-space models are widely used to study partially observed dynamical systems, yet most formulations assume that process variability is independent of latent-state position. In many biological, behavioral, and physiological systems, however, variability may depend systematically on the underlying dynamical state, producing structured stochasticity that is not captured by constant-variance models. We introduce a state-coupled stochastic volatility framework in which latent process variance depends on displacement from a latent equilibrium. To estimate this relationship under partial observation, we develop a particle expectation-maximization procedure combining bootstrap particle filtering and backward trajectory smoothing. The model includes a coupling parameter,

γ

, that quantifies the strength of association between latent-state position and process variability. A large-scale simulation benchmark evaluated recovery and detection performance across varying coupling strengths, observation noise levels, trajectory lengths, and persistence regimes. The proposed framework consistently reduced recovery bias relative to an observed-state heteroskedastic proxy, with the largest improvements occurring under strong coupling. Recovery performance improved with increasing latent persistence, while detection performance remained competitive across a broad range of conditions and became increasingly advantageous as observation noise increased. Taken together, the results demonstrate that state-coupled volatility can be identified and estimated under partial observation when latent-state structure is explicitly modeled. The framework provides a practical methodological foundation for studying state-dependent variability and evaluating whether structured stochasticity contributes information about system dynamics beyond that contained in mean-state trajectories alone.

Imani Beckett

The Herbert Wertheim School of Public Health and Human Longevity Science University of California San Diego

Particle Filtering Latent Dynamics Modeling State Space Models

Jun 1, 2026cs.AI

Physically-Constrained Mamba-SDE for Remaining Useful Life Prediction under Irregular Observations

Accurate Remaining Useful Life prediction is critical for industrial predictive maintenance. However, real-world deployment is challenging due to the irregular nature of sensor observations, characterized by asynchronous sampling, burst missingness, and temporal jitter. Compounding this issue, purely data-driven models often generate physically implausible degradation trajectories that violate the irreversible nature of damage accumulation. To address this, we propose PC-MambaSDE, a unified continuous-time framework for robust RUL prediction under irregular observations. Specifically, we design a Mask-Aware Continuous Mamba Encoder that explicitly leverages observation masks to extract context-rich control signals. Furthermore, we introduce a Physics-Guided Latent SDE with parametrically rectified hybrid drift, superimposing a global physical bias to enforce monotonic degradation even amid severe observation gaps. Additionally, we formulate RUL prediction as a boundary value problem via a Terminal Degradation Penalty, which decouples a Health Index dimension and applies a penalty loss to guide trajectories toward the failure state. Theoretically, we prove that our variational objective is mathematically equivalent to minimizing the KL divergence via Girsanov's theorem, and we guarantee the global asymptotic stability of the learned dynamics through Lyapunov analysis. To enable rigorous evaluation, we develop a Hybrid Irregularity Generation Scheme that simulates realistic industrial imperfections. Extensive experiments on public benchmarks demonstrate that PC-MambaSDE significantly outperforms state-of-the-art methods, particularly under extreme observation scarcity, validating the efficacy of embedding physical priors into continuous-time latent dynamics.

Deyu Zhuang, Peiliang Gong, Yang Shao +4

Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Nanjing, China · Nanyang Technological University Singapore · Singapore University of Technology and Design Singapore

Irregular Time-Series Modeling Stochastic Differential Equations Selective SSMs Latent Dynamics Modeling RUL Estimation Physics-Informed ML

May 31, 2026stat.ML

Computation-Aware Kalman Filtering with Model Selection for Neural Dynamics

Due to their explicit priors and ability to model uncertainty, Bayesian methods have played a major role in dynamical latent variable modeling of single-cell neural recordings. However, modern-sized datasets have made overparameterized deep networks the preferred methods of choice due to their predictive power and favorable computational scaling. While many posterior approximations exist, all incur approximation errors. Recent work accounts for this error in the form of computational uncertainty but comes at the cost of quadratic complexity and assumes fixed model hyperparameters. Here we extend this development to model selection, including a novel training loss and optimization scheme, which yields tractable inference in large state-spaces. We introduce a framework, the Computation-Aware State-Space Model (CASSM), specifically designed for the scale-imbalanced regime, where the number of trials is significantly lower than the number of recorded neurons. In this regime, for both synthetic and real data, we show that our method is competitive with data-hungry deep networks, with significantly improved uncertainty calibration over previous attempts to scale Bayesian methods. Our experiments provide a roadmap to neuroscience researchers in choosing from a host of potential dynamical latent variable models given key dataset properties and constraints.

JR Huml, Jonathan Wenger, John P. Cunningham

Department of Statistics, Columbia University; Zyphra Technologies · Department of Statistics, Columbia University; Zuckerman Institute

Dynamical Systems Bayesian Filtering Uncertainty Quantification Latent Dynamics Modeling State Space Models

May 29, 2026cs.LG

GlucoFM: A Dual-Stream Foundation Model for Continuous Glucose Monitoring

Continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) provides a dense view of daily metabolic physiology, yet existing generic time-series and CGM-specific foundation models often encode glucose traces as entangled single-stream sequences, leaving the distinct temporal structure of glycemic dynamics only implicitly modeled. We present GlucoFM, a lightweight CGM foundation model that aligns irregular recordings to a 24-hour chronological grid, preserves observation masks, and decomposes glucose dynamics into slow physiological state and transient event streams, capturing low-frequency glycemic baselines and short-term deviations that may reflect acute physiological responses or sensor artifacts. GlucoFM is pretrained on 109,066 hours of unlabeled CGM recordings from 477 subjects with two complementary objectives: masked contextual latent prediction over fused daily representations and temporal dynamics prediction over state and event streams. Across four diverse cohorts and seven clinical prediction tasks, GlucoFM achieves the strongest subject-disjoint linear-probing performance among evaluated baselines, improving average PR-AUC by 4.1 points over the best CGM-specific foundation model. Its gains are most pronounced on core metabolic outcomes, leading PR-AUC on all diabetes-risk and

β

-cell dysfunction tasks and on 3 of 4 insulin-resistance tasks. GlucoFM also achieves the best overall cross-dataset transfer performance and strong few-shot adaptation among evaluated methods, and consistent gains when aggregating multiple days for subject-level prediction, highlighting physiology-aware decomposition as an effective inductive bias for transferable CGM representation learning.

Zechen Li, Keerthana Natarajan, Weizhi Zhang +11

Google Research · Work done during an internship at Google · University of New South Wales, Sydney

Irregular Time-Series Modeling Latent Dynamics Modeling Clinical Outcome Prediction Wearable Health Monitoring Time-Series Foundation Models

May 29, 2026cs.LG

Learning Permutation-invariant Macroscopic Dynamics

Accurately modeling the macroscopic dynamics of high-dimensional microscopic systems is of broad interest across the sciences. Many data-driven approaches learn a low-dimensional latent state through an autoencoder trained for pointwise input reconstruction. These methods typically assume a fixed ordering of microscopic degrees of freedom in the input. However, in many settings, such as particle systems, the microscopic state is inherently unordered. This motivates an autoencoder framework that learns permutation-invariant latent representations. To this end, we adopt a permutation-invariant encoder and design the decoder to reconstruct the mass distribution centered at the observed points rather than per-sample reconstruction. We then jointly learn the macroscopic dynamics of the observables together with the latent states. We demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method across a range of microscopic settings, including learning the energy dynamics in interacting particle systems, predicting mixing dynamics in Lennard-Jones fluids, and modeling the stretching dynamics from video data of polymers moving in an elongational force field.

Zhichao Han, Mengyi Chen, Qianxiao Li

Institute for Functional Intelligent Materials, National University of Singapore · Department of Mathematics, National University of Singapore

Dynamical Systems Latent Dynamics Modeling Autoencoders Permutation-Invariant Learning Invariant Representation Learning

May 27, 2026cs.CV

Physics from Video: Identifiability of Time-Invariant Second-Order ODEs under Minimal Trajectory Conditions

Bridging the gap between visual realism and physical understanding is a core challenge for video-based world models. We study the structural identifiability of continuous-time physical laws from raw pixels, focusing on whether an encoder-only pipeline can uniquely recover the parameters of second-order linear ODEs. We prove that a level-set slope-coverage condition ensures the learned latent space is locally affine to the true physical state, enabling exact parameter recovery. Our theory provides the first characterization of minimal data requirements across damping regimes, establishing that underdamped systems are identifiable from a single video clip, whereas other regimes require three diverse trajectories. We further introduce a variance-floor regularizer to stabilize the decoder-free objective and prevent latent collapse. Validated on synthetic and real-world data, our approach demonstrates that interpretable physical constants can be reliably estimated from video without the need for compute-intensive pixel reconstruction, ensuring both physical correctness and transparency. Code is available at https://github.com/wenjiewang3/PhysicsFromVideo.

Yuanyuan Wang, Wenjie Wang, Kun Zhang +1

Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence, Abu Dhabi, UAE · University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia · Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, USA

Parameter Identifiability Latent Dynamics Modeling System Identification Physical Reasoning in Video ODE Discovery

May 27, 2026cs.LG

Chreode: A Cell World Model for One-Step Temporal Dynamics and Perturbation Prediction

Predicting how a cell will change its transcriptional state under a developmental signal or a genetic perturbation is the computational core of in-silico biology and the AI Virtual Cell program. Existing approaches either fit static control-to-treated maps that discard time, or solve multi-step ODE / Schrödinger-bridge problems on each dataset independently. We introduce Chreode, a one-step cell world model that predicts action-conditioned cell-state transitions through a structured residual transition operator. It shifts distributional evolution from inference time to training time, enabling single-pass generation while preserving a Waddington-inspired decomposition into downhill landscape flow, rotational in-tangent dynamics, and stochastic spread. The model is pretrained with a shared scVI encoder and a DiT-based dynamics backbone on a 2.4M-cell mouse embryonic atlas spanning 7 datasets. As a fine-tuning initialization, Chreode improves per-target Sinkhorn distance on Weinreb hematopoiesis and Veres islet differentiation over matched scratch models, PI-SDE, and PRESCIENT. As a transferable gene-state embedding for GEARS, the pretrained dynamics representation reduces shared-vocabulary DE20 mean squared error on Norman Perturb-seq from 0.2121 to 0.1858, a 12.4% relative improvement, without changing the GEARS training procedure. We interpret this transfer to perturbation prediction as evidence that pretrained developmental-trajectory dynamics encode differentiation primitives transferable to CRISPR-induced state shifts, since both involve cell-state transitions in a shared latent geometry. The pretrained backbone additionally produces zero-shot clonal fate scores on Weinreb that are competitive with strong dynamic-OT baselines.

Mufan Qiu, Genhui Zheng, Yinuo Xu +4

University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · The University of Texas at Austin · University of Pennsylvania

World Model Learning Latent Dynamics Modeling Single-Cell Perturbation Modeling One-Step Generative Modeling Single-Cell Transcriptomics

May 26, 2026cs.LG

Stabilizing Recurrent Dynamics for Test-Time Scalable Latent Reasoning in Looped Language Models

Looped Language Models (LoopLMs) enable efficient latent reasoning through depth recurrence, yet exhibit unreliable test-time scaling behavior: performance often peaks at a certain iteration depth and then collapses with further recurrence. Through latent dynamics analysis, we find an inherent trade-off between stability and effectiveness in existing architectures and strategies. By conceptualizing reasoning as uncertainty reduction, we propose that convergence toward stable fixed points while preserving effectiveness represents a promising way. To this end, we propose STARS (STAbility-driven Recurrent Scaling), a training framework that constrains latent states to approach asymptotically stable fixed points. This is realized via efficient Jacobian Spectral Radius Regularization with random loop sampling, enabling STARS to maximize effectiveness while ensuring rigorous stability. Experiments on arithmetic tasks show that STARS achieves reliable test-time scaling, and on complex mathematical reasoning it substantially mitigates performance degradation as recurrence depth increases while also improving peak performance.

Xiao-Wen Yang, Ziyu Han, Xi-Hua Zhang +4

State Key Laboratory of Novel Software Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China · School of Artificial Intelligence, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China · School of Intelligence Science and Technology, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China

Latent Dynamics Modeling Test-Time Scaling Recurrent Transformers Language Modeling Latent Reasoning Recursive Language Models

May 25, 2026stat.ML

When Does LeJEPA Learn a World Model?

A representation that scrambles the true degrees of freedom of the world cannot support reliable planning or compositional generalization. We prove that LeJEPA (alignment plus Gaussian regularization) linearly recovers the world's latent variables from nonlinear observations, a property known as linear identifiability, in a broad class of worlds where latents evolve under stationary, additive-noise transitions. Our main result is that among all such worlds, the Gaussian is the unique latent distribution for which this guarantee holds. The forward direction rests on a spectral decomposition in which each degree of nonlinearity is strictly penalized by alignment, making the linear map the optimum; the converse rules out every non-Gaussian alternative. We further prove an approximate identifiability result where the guarantee degrades gracefully, and show that linear, orthogonal identifiability enables optimal latent-space planning. We validate the theory with experiments ranging from 2D examples to 1024-dimensional latents, including distributional ablations and pixel-based robotic control. Our theory turns an empirically successful recipe into a mathematical guarantee, providing the foundation for building World Models that provably recover the structure of the world.

David Klindt, Yann LeCun, Randall Balestriero

Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory · New York University · Brown University

World Model Learning Representation Identifiability Parameter Identifiability Latent Dynamics Modeling Joint-Embedding Predictive Architecture Model-Based Planning

May 25, 2026cs.LG

Learning Latent Dynamical Causal Processes for Single-Cell Perturbation Prediction

Single-cell perturbation prediction aims to infer how cells respond to unseen interventions and to achieve out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization, providing a computational route to understanding how perturbations reshape cellular programs over time. Existing machine learning methods have made important progress, but typically capture only one side of the response. Latent causal approaches seek mechanisms that support generalization and interpretation, yet often treat perturbation effects as static outcomes. Temporal models describe how gene expression changes across time, but usually do not explicitly recover the latent causal generative mechanisms driving these changes. In practice, perturbation effects are both latent and dynamical: interventions act through unobserved cellular programs, whose states evolve over time and give rise to observed expression profiles. Motivated by this view, we propose a latent dynamical causal generative model for single-cell perturbation data that jointly captures latent cellular programs, perturbation-conditioned mechanisms, and temporal evolution. We further provide an identifiability analysis showing that, under suitable conditions, the latent causal variables are recoverable up to standard equivalence classes. Guided by this analysis, we develop CITE-VAE, a learning framework for recovering latent cellular programs and their perturbation-driven dynamics from single-cell sequencing data. Experiments on Causal-3DIdent validate the theoretical results and the effectiveness of the proposed method in controlled settings. Additional experiments on real-world CRISPR-based single-cell perturbation data show improved generalization to unseen perturbations compared with state-of-the-art baselines, highlighting the practical robustness of our approach.

Wenkang Jiang, Yuhang Liu, Erdun Gao +3

Causal Representation Learning Latent Dynamics Modeling Single-Cell Perturbation Modeling Causal Identifiability Single-Cell RNA Sequencing