Overview

Latent dynamics modeling studies how to represent a changing system with hidden states and learn how those states evolve from observations such as video, sensor streams, or sparse measurements. Common approaches include autoencoders with state-space models, neural ODEs and SDEs for continuous-time or stochastic change, Koopman operators for approximately linear evolution, and JEPA-style world models for action-conditioned prediction. These models support forecasting and control in robotics and physical simulation, as well as analysis of biological, clinical, and neural time series. A central challenge is that good one-step prediction or reconstruction does not guarantee reliable long-horizon rollouts, useful control, or recovery of meaningful physical mechanisms; work therefore explores stability, identifiability, and physics-based structure while balancing these constraints against model flexibility.

Latest papers

254 papers48 papers in the last four weeks, up 92% on the four weeks before. 0.3% of all new papers.

May 15, 2026

From Observed Viability to Internal Predictive Approximation: A Single-Subject Latent-Space Analysis of Gait Dynamics Under Occlusal Constraint

Understanding adaptive biomechanical systems requires distinguishing observable performance, static multivariate representation, longitudinal displacement, and internal approximation of observed change. This study introduces Level 5, which examines whether the M1-M2 transformation observed in a single-subject gait dataset can be approximated within a selected PCA representation. Gait was recorded with instrumented insoles in a participant with Parkinson's disease under six occlusal observational probes during two sessions eleven weeks apart. A simplified feed-forward neural network was trained to approximate M2 PC1-PC2 coordinates from M1 coordinates, occlusal-probe descriptors, and the longitudinal-transition indicator. In the core analysis aligned with Level 4, the model preserved the Euclidean centroid-displacement hierarchy dOC3 < dONL < dOC2.5. In the extended six-probe analysis, it preserved the broad structure of the exploratory ordering. Held-out M2 and leave-condition-out analyses provided internal tests beyond the full-dataset fit, while a within-session analysis described probe positions relative to ONL. The term predictive is used only in a restricted methodological sense. The model does not provide prospective clinical prediction, patient-level forecasting, or generalization to unseen individuals. Occlusal conditions are treated as observational probes applied during measurement, not as continuous causal drivers of longitudinal evolution. The findings are exploratory, retrospective, representation dependent, and non causal. They do not establish causal occlusal effects, validated viability thresholds, therapeutic superiority, distinct physiological states, or generalizable predictive validity.
May 14, 2026

Toward World Modeling of Physiological Signals with Chaos-Theoretic Balancing and Latent Dynamics

Physiological time series signals reflect complex, multi-scale dynamical processes of the human body. Existing modeling studies focus on static tasks such as classification, event forecasting, or short-horizon next step prediction, while long-horizon signal-level forecasting and predictive nature of physiological signals remain underexplored. We introduce NormWear-2, a world model that encodes both multivariate physiological signals and clinical intervention variables into a shared latent space and models their joint temporal evolution as a dynamical system. Our approach combines inference from prior pre-trained knowledge (intuition) with instant non-parametric latent state transition adaptation (insight), enabling coherent forecasting across multiple temporal scales, conditioned on heterogeneous clinical interventions. During the pretraining phase, we find that chaos-theoretic balancing of dynamical regime diversity yields more robust representations, with a smaller balanced corpus outperforming one twice its size and capturing bifurcation regimes. We evaluate the world model performance across diverse real-world physiological datasets spanning heterogeneous temporal resolutions and intervention regimes, covering daily life, point-of-care, and clinical settings, including fitness planning, hemodialysis, diabetes management, and surgical monitoring. These evaluation datasets comprise records from 8,026 subjects, spanning study durations from 3.2 hours for high-resolution signal data to 2.3 years for longitudinal clinical biomarker tracking. NormWear-2 achieves the best overall forecasting performance across time, frequency, and latent representation domains, with significant improvements over state-of-the-art time series foundation models, while maintaining competitive downstream representation quality, providing a step toward general-purpose world models for physiological signals.
May 14, 2026

Learning Cross-Coupled and Regime Dependent Dynamics for Aerial Manipulation

Accurate dynamics modeling of aerial manipulators is challenging because platform--manipulator coupling, history-dependent interactions, and changing payload or manipulator configurations produce cross-coupled, temporal, and nonstationary residual dynamics. We propose a structured encoder--decoder framework in which a nonlinear history encoder captures temporal and cross-variable dependencies, while a lightweight linear latent decoder supports efficient deployment-time adaptation. Its linear-in-parameter structure enables closed-form Bayesian updates with consistency-driven covariance inflation and integration with real-time model predictive control (MPC). Experiments on a real aerial-manipulation platform demonstrate improved residual-prediction accuracy, rapid adaptation following dynamics changes, and lower MPC tracking error under changing payload conditions. The results show that combining structured history-dependent representation learning with lightweight online adaptation provides an effective predictive model for aerial manipulation under coupled and nonstationary dynamics.
May 14, 2026

DRL-STAF: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for State-Aware Forecasting of Complex Multivariate Hidden Markov Processes

Forecasting multivariate hidden Markov processes is challenging due to nonlinear and nonstationary observations, latent state transitions, and cross-sequence dependencies. While deep learning methods achieve strong predictive accuracy, they typically lack explicit state modeling, whereas Hidden Markov Models (HMMs) provide interpretable latent states but struggle with complex nonlinear emissions and scalability. To address these limitations, we propose DRL-STAF, a Deep Reinforcement Learning based STate-Aware Forecasting framework that jointly predicts next-step observations and estimates the corresponding hidden states for complex multivariate hidden Markov processes. Specifically, DRL-STAF models complex nonlinear emissions using deep neural networks and estimates discrete hidden states using reinforcement learning, reducing the reliance on predefined transition structures and enabling flexible adaptation to diverse temporal dynamics. In particular, DRL-STAF mitigates the state-space explosion encountered by typical multivariate HMM-based methods. Extensive experiments demonstrate that DRL-STAF outperforms HMM variants, standalone deep learning models, and existing DL-HMM hybrids in most cases, while also providing reliable hidden-state estimates.
May 14, 2026

Wavelet-Based Observables for Koopman Analysis: An Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition Framework

We present an in-depth analysis of the Koopman semigroup via wavelet transform. Towards this goal, we start by introducing the wavelet-based observables and show that they are eigenfunctions of the Koopman semigroup when this semigroup is considered over the Banach space of continuous functions on a compact forward-invariant set endowed with the supremum norm. We then construct closed-form expressions of the action of the Koopman semigroup and its resolvent in terms of these observables. To approximate the action of Koopman semigroup numerically, we combine Extended Dynamic Mode Decomposition (EDMD) with the proposed wavelet-based observables leading to the Wavelet Dynamic Mode Decomposition via Continuous Wavelet Transform (cWDMD) algorithm. We validate our theoretical results on two numerical examples.
May 13, 2026

Why We Need World Models for AGI: Where LLMs Fail and How World Models May Outperform

Large language models achieve strong performance in language generation and knowledge-intensive tasks, yet remain limited in settings requiring causal reasoning, persistent state tracking, and long-horizon planning. We argue that these limitations may arise from an objective-level mismatch between sequence prediction and reasoning over latent environment dynamics. To formalize this distinction, we introduce Latent Dynamics Inference (LDI), a conceptual perspective that interprets language and multimodal observations as partial evidence of underlying transition dynamics. To empirically investigate this perspective, we introduce Flux, a sequential reasoning environment specified entirely through natural-language rules. As a proof-of-concept case study, the rules are first compiled into an explicit state-transition simulator, illustrating that structured latent transition dynamics can, in some cases, be operationally extracted from textual rule descriptions. This enables a controlled comparison between the LLMs operating purely over textual observations and reinforcement-learning agents trained directly within the extracted latent state space. Within this case study, agents operating with explicit access to the latent state space exhibit substantially more stable behavior in long-horizon gameplay, achieving an aggregate win rate of approximately 79% versus 11% for LLMs. Qualitative analysis further reveals failure modes consistent with unstable persistent state tracking, including invalid actions, state-tracking errors, and short-horizon reasoning failures. The complete implementation of the Flux environment available at https://github.com/FeisalAlaswad/FLUX-RL-Agent Within the evaluated setting, these results suggest that strong sequence prediction alone may struggle to support robust long-horizon dynamic reasoning without mechanisms for persistent state tracking and transition modeling
May 12, 2026

Support-Safe Variational Hybrid Filtering for Contact-Mode and Sparse-Law Recovery

Contact-rich robot dynamics are hybrid: a single observation can match several latent states and contact regimes (free, impact, stick--slip). A standard amortized filter that places no probability on a feasible contact transition will permanently lose the branch the robot actually follows. We introduce VHYDRO, a variational hybrid dynamics learner that prevents this branch loss. At each step, VHYDRO mixes the learned proposal with a feasible transition law before sampling and importance weighting, ensuring that every transition retained by the model-feasible carrier remains covered. VHYDRO jointly infers a continuous latent state and a discrete contact mode, and fits a sparse port-Hamiltonian law to each recovered regime. On top of this, three guarantees connect: support coverage stabilizes filtering, the stabilized filter concentrates the discrete contact posterior on coherent regimes, and mode-pure segments admit sparse port-Hamiltonian recovery. The recovery error separates cleanly into filtering, derivative, mode-impurity, and physics-residual parts. Three empirical findings track the same mechanism. Under heavy occlusion the support-safe filter stays usable while a non-defensive proposal collapses. On ManiSkill demonstrations and on four Sawyer/BridgeData task families the discrete state forms temporally coherent contact-regime segments that the discrete state yields a stronger joint profile across ARI, change-point F1, and segment purity than post-hoc and mode-free baselines. On hybrid systems with known equations the mode-conditioned sparse fit recovers the active physical terms; purely predictive baselines do not.
May 11, 2026

Stable Long-Horizon PDE Forecasting via Latent Structured Spectral Propagators

Long-horizon forecasting of time-dependent partial differential equations (PDEs) is critical for characterizing the sustained evolution of physical systems. While neural operators have emerged as efficient surrogates, they typically learn implicit finite-time transitions from discrete observations. When deployed autoregressively, such propagators often suffer from rapid error accumulation and dynamic drift. To address this, we propose a neural forecasting framework that reformulates PDE rollout as learning a Structured Spectral Propagator (SSP) in a propagation-oriented latent space. Following an analysis-propagation-synthesis design, our framework: (i) maps physical states into a shared, time-consistent spatial representation; (ii) projects this space into a compact propagation state to isolate recurrent dynamics from fine-grained spatial details, thereby decoupling reconstruction fidelity from rollout regularity; and (iii) evolves retained spectral modes using a frequency-conditioned linear backbone complemented by a nonlinear spectral closure to account for truncated interactions. This explicit structuring endows the propagator with a strong inductive bias for coherent modal evolution. Extensive experiments demonstrate that SSP significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines, reducing relative L2L_2 errors by up to 48.9% and exhibiting improved stability in temporal extrapolation beyond the supervised horizon.
May 9, 2026

Event Fields: Learning Latent Event Structure for Waveform Foundation Models

We propose a new class of waveform foundation models that departs from conventional sequence based representations by modeling physiological time series as realizations of latent event processes. Rather than treating signals as collections of local tokens or patches, our approach assumes that clinically meaningful structure arises from temporally extended, interacting events whose boundaries and dynamics are not directly observed. To capture this structure, we introduce a self supervised learning framework that enforces consistency across stochastic segmentations and time frequency projections of the same waveform, encouraging representations that are invariant to signal level perturbations while preserving event level organization. The resulting model combines a segmentation aware encoder with a latent interaction operator that captures dependencies among inferred events, and naturally extends to multimodal settings by aligning modalities through shared event representations. Across a range of physiological benchmarks, including arrhythmia classification, hemodynamic prediction, and waveform retrieval, the proposed method improves performance, robustness, and label efficiency relative to strong sequence based baselines. These results suggest that shifting from signal centric to event centric representations provides a more appropriate inductive bias for modeling physiological dynamics and offers a complementary path to scaling foundation models in healthcare.
May 9, 2026

FLUX: Geometry-Aware Longitudinal Flow Matching with Mixture of Experts

Many biological systems evolve through continuous local dynamics while switching between latent regimes defined by learning, stimulus context, internal state, or developmental stage. These processes are often observed only as unpaired longitudinal snapshots: the same cells, neurons, or animals are not tracked as matched trajectories, even though population states are sampled across successive stages. This creates two coupled challenges. First, trajectories must respect curved low-dimensional manifolds embedded in high-dimensional biological measurements. Second, the model must identify when the transport mechanism itself changes. We introduce FLUX (FLow matching for Unpaired longitudinal data with miXture-of-experts), a geometry-aware longitudinal flow-matching framework for joint transport modeling and unsupervised regime discovery. FLUX learns a data-dependent metric from pooled labeled and unlabeled observations, uses that metric to construct geometry-aware conditional paths between adjacent marginals, and decomposes the resulting velocity field into sparse expert vector fields selected by a Straight-Through Gumbel-Softmax router. Across manifold controls, a regime-switching Lorenz system, widefield cortical calcium imaging during associative learning, and embryoid body single-cell differentiation, FLUX reconstructs longitudinal transport while recovering interpretable regime structure. Ablations show that mixture-of-experts routing alone is insufficient: FLUX without geometric learning can fit local transport but fails or weakens regime discovery when regimes are encoded in local dynamics. These results suggest that geometry-aware velocity decomposition provides a general strategy for discovering latent biological state transitions from unpaired longitudinal snapshots.
May 7, 2026

End-to-End Identifiable and Consistent Recurrent Switching Dynamical Systems

Learning identifiable representations in deep generative models remains a fundamental challenge, particularly for sequential data with regime-switching dynamics. Existing approaches establish identifiability under restrictive assumptions, such as stationarity or limited emission models, and typically rely on variational autoencoder (VAE) estimators, which introduce approximation gaps that limit the recovery of the latent structure. In this work, we address both the theoretical and practical limitations of this setting. First, we establish identifiability of a broad class of recurrent nonlinear switching dynamical systems under flexible assumptions, significantly extending prior results. Second, we introduce ΩΩSDS, a flow-based estimator that enables exact likelihood optimization using expectation-maximisation. Through empirical validation on both synthetic and real-world data, our results demonstrate that ΩΩSDS achieves improved disentanglement compared to VAE-based estimators and more accurate forecasting of underlying dynamics.
May 7, 2026

Structure-Preserving Gaussian Processes Via Discrete Euler-Lagrange Equations

In this paper, we propose Lagrangian Gaussian Processes (LGPs) for probabilistic and data-efficient learning of dynamics via discrete forced Euler-Lagrange equations. Importantly, the geometric structure of the Lagrange-d'Alembert principle, which governs the motion of dynamical systems, is preserved by construction in the absence of external forces. This allows learning physically consistent models that overcome erroneous drift in the system's energy, thereby providing stable long-term predictions. At the core of our approach lie linear operators for Gaussian process conditioning, constructed from discrete forced Euler-Lagrange equations and variational discretization schemes. Thereby and unlike prior work, the method enables learning dynamics from discrete position snapshots, i.e., without access to a system's velocities or momenta. This is particularly relevant for a large class of practical scenarios where only position measurements are available, for instance, in motion capture or visual servoing applications. We demonstrate the data-efficiency and generalization capabilities of the LGPs in various synthetic and real-world case studies, including a real-world soft robot with hysteresis. The experimental results underscore that the LGPs learn physically consistent dynamics with uncertainty quantification solely from sparse positional data and enable stable long-term predictions.
May 7, 2026

HaM-World: Soft-Hamiltonian World Models with Selective Memory for Planning

World models enable model-based planning through learned latent dynamics, but imagined rollouts become unstable as the planning horizon grows or the dynamics distribution shifts. We argue that this instability reflects two missing structures in planner-facing latents: history-conditioned memory for approximate Markov completeness, and geometric organization that separates configuration, momentum, and task semantics. We propose HaM-World (HMW), a structured world model that decomposes the latent state into a canonical (q, p) subspace and a context subspace c, while using Mamba selective state-space memory as the history-conditioned input to the same latent dynamics. Within this interface, (q, p) evolves through an energy-derived Hamiltonian vector field plus learnable residual/control dynamics, while c captures semantic, dissipative, and non-conservative factors. This gives the planner a single latent state shared by dynamics prediction, reward/value estimation, imagined rollouts, and CEM action search. On four DeepMind Control Suite tasks, HaM-World reaches the highest Avg. AUC (117.9, +9.5%), reduces long-horizon rollout error to 45% of a strong baseline model, and wins 11/12 k in {3,5,7} MSE cells. Under 12 OOD perturbations spanning dynamics shifts, action delay, and observation masking, HaM-World achieves the highest return in every condition, with average OOD-return gains of 10.2% on Finger Spin and 13.6% on Reacher Easy. Mechanism diagnostics further show bounded action-free Hamiltonian-energy drift, structured energy variation under policy rollouts, and coherent control-induced energy transfer, supporting the intended Soft-Hamiltonian dynamics design.
May 4, 2026

Online Generalised Predictive Coding

This paper introduces an extension of generalised filtering for online applications. Generalised filtering refers to data assimilation schemes that jointly infer latent states, learn unknown model parameters, and estimate uncertainty in an integrated framework -- e.g., estimate state and observation noise -- at the same time (i.e., triple estimation). This framework appears across disciplines under different names, including variational Kalman-Bucy filtering in engineering, generalised predictive coding in neuroscience, and Dynamic Expectation Maximisation (DEM) in time-series analysis. Here, we specialise DEM for ``online'' data assimilation, through a separation of temporal scales. We describe the variational principles and procedures that allow one to assimilate data in a way that allows for a slow updating of parameters and precisions, which contextualise fast Bayesian belief updating about the dynamic hidden states. Using numerical studies, we demonstrate the validity of online DEM (ODEM) using a non-linear -- and potentially chaotic -- generative model, to show that the ODEM scheme can track the latent states of the generative process, even when its functional form differs fundamentally from the dynamics of the generative model. Framed from a neuro-mimetic predictive coding perspective, ODEM offers a biologically inspired solution to online inference, learning, and uncertainty estimation in dynamic environments.
May 4, 2026

Closed-Loop CO2 Storage Control With History-Based Reinforcement Learning and Latent Model-Based Adaptation

Closed-loop management of geological CO2 storage requires control policies that adapt to uncertain reservoir behavior while relying on observations that are realistically available during operation. This work formulates CO2 injection and brine-production control as a partially observable sequential decision problem and studies deployable deep reinforcement-learning controllers trained with high-fidelity reservoir simulation. We first compare privileged-state, well-only, history-conditioned, masking-curriculum, and asymmetric teacher-student model-free policies in order to quantify the value of temporal well-response information and training-time privileged simulator states. We then evaluate a latent model-based adaptation pipeline that reuses nominal latent dynamics and retunes controllers under known injector failure, leakage-induced dynamics and reward shift, and compartmentalized reservoir connectivity. The results show that history-conditioned policies recover nearly all of the privileged-state performance while using only deployable well-level information, and that latent model-based retuning outperforms direct model-free retuning under the same scenario-specific real-simulator budget in the abnormal operating cases. The proposed framework therefore provides a simulator-budget-aware alternative to repeated online history matching and re-optimization for closed-loop CO2 storage control.
May 1, 2026

A Universal Space of Brain Dynamics for Unveiling Cognitive Transitions and Individual Differences

Representing dynamical systems through data-driven universal spaces has proven effective; however, achieving this universality for human brain activity remains a significant challenge, further aggravated by diverse cognitive states and individual subjects. Recognizing that spatial properties reflect physical wiring while temporal properties reflect brain function, we develop Universal Brain Dynamics (UBD) to construct a universal space tailored to brain activity and quantify corresponding dynamics using a model-derived Jacobian matrix. Crucially, we validate UBD's universality by accurately predicting functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) signals (Pearson's r > 0.9) across eight states and 963 subjects in the Human Connectome Project (HCP). Through evaluating resting-state fMRI represented within UBD, we gain insight into how infra-slow fluctuation (ISF) underpins brain activity. Furthermore, we reveal a new perspective on structure-function coupling (SFC) by analyzing the temporal sequence of brain dynamics. Extending UBD to task-evoked states, we derive brain dynamics across various cognitive conditions, elucidating the neural mechanisms driving cognitive transitions at a finer granularity. For individual differences, we compare brain dynamics across subjects to identify the neural underpinnings of these variations. Our findings suggest that synergistically integrating spatial and temporal properties of brain activity establishes a universal space for its unfolding, enabling the precise numerical analysis of underlying neural mechanisms across varying conditions.
May 1, 2026

Physically Native World Models: A Hamiltonian Perspective on Generative World Modeling

World models have recently re-emerged as a central paradigm for embodied intelligence, robotics, autonomous driving, and model-based reinforcement learning. However, current world model research is often dominated by three partially separated routes: 2D video-generative models that emphasize visual future synthesis, 3D scene-centric models that emphasize spatial reconstruction, and JEPA-like latent models that emphasize abstract predictive representations. While each route has made important progress, they still struggle to provide physically reliable, action-controllable, and long-horizon stable predictions for embodied decision making. In this paper, we argue that the bottleneck of world models is no longer only whether they can generate realistic futures, but whether those futures are physically meaningful and useful for action. We propose Hamiltonian World Models as a physically grounded perspective on world modeling. The key idea is to encode observations into a structured latent phase space, evolve the latent state through Hamiltonian-inspired dynamics with control, dissipation, and residual terms, decode the predicted trajectory into future observations, and use the resulting rollouts for planning. We discuss how Hamiltonian structure may improve interpretability, data efficiency, and long-horizon stability, while also noting practical challenges in real-world robotic scenes involving friction, contact, non-conservative forces, and deformable objects.
Apr 30, 2026

RopeDreamer: A Kinematic Recurrent State Space Model for Dynamics of Flexible Deformable Linear Objects

The robotic manipulation of Deformable Linear Objects (DLOs) is a fundamental challenge due to the high-dimensional, non-linear dynamics of flexible structures and the complexity of maintaining topological integrity during contact-rich tasks. While recent data-driven methods have utilized Recurrent and Graph Neural Networks for dynamics modeling, they often struggle with self-intersections and non-physical deformations, such as tangling and link stretching. In this paper, we propose a latent dynamics framework that combines a Recurrent State Space Model with a Quaternionic Kinematic Chain representation to enable robust, long-term forecasting of DLO states. By encoding the DLO as a sequence of relative rotations (quaternions) rather than independent Cartesian positions, we inherently constrain the model to a physically valid manifold that preserves link-length constancy. Furthermore, we introduce a dual-decoder architecture that decouples state reconstruction from future-state prediction, forcing the latent space to capture the underlying physics of deformation. We evaluate our approach on a large-scale simulated dataset of complex pick-and-place trajectories involving self-intersections. Our results demonstrate that the proposed model achieves a 40.52% reduction in open-loop prediction error over 50-step horizons compared to the state-of-the-art baseline, while reducing inference time by 31.17%. Our model further maintains superior topological consistency in scenarios with multiple crossings, proving its efficacy as a compositional primitive for long-horizon manipulation planning.
Apr 28, 2026

Biased Dreams: Limitations to Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification in Latent Space Models

Model-Based Reinforcement Learning distinguishes between physical dynamics models operating on proprioceptive inputs and latent dynamics models operating on high-dimensional image observations. A prominent latent approach is the Recurrent State Space Model used in the Dreamer family. While epistemic uncertainty quantification to inform exploration and mitigate model exploitation is well established for physical dynamics models, its transfer to latent dynamics models has received limited scrutiny. We empirically demonstrate that latent transitions are biased toward well-represented regions of latent space, exhibiting an attractor behavior that can deviate from true environment dynamics. As a result, discrepancies in environment dynamics may not manifest in latent space, undermining the reliability of epistemic uncertainty estimates. Because these attractors often lie in high-reward regions, latent rollouts systematically overestimate predicted rewards. Our findings highlight key limitations of epistemic uncertainty estimation in latent dynamics models and motivate more critical evaluation of this method.
Apr 26, 2026

Integrative neurocybernetic modeling in the era of large-scale neuroscience

Large-scale neuroscience is generating rich datasets across animals, brain areas, and behavioral contexts, yet our modeling efforts remain fragmented across isolated experiments. We argue that understanding behavior requires integrative neurocybernetic models: understandable dynamical models that capture the closed-loop coupling of brain, body, and environment, treat the brain as a controller pursuing latent objectives, represent structured variation across scales, and scale to heterogeneous datasets. Such models shift the goal from predicting neural recordings in isolation to inferring the organizing principles that govern neural and behavioral dynamics. We outline a practical route toward this goal by combining nonlinear state-space models and meta-dynamical extensions with scalable inference, knowledge distillation, and mixed open- and closed-loop training. By pooling complementary constraints from recordings, behavior, perturbations, and anatomy, integrative neurocybernetic models can provide statistical amplification, few-shot generalization, and mechanistic insight into shared dynamical structure, individual variation, and the control objectives that govern behavior. This agenda offers a model-centric path from fragmented data to a mechanistic science of how brains produce behavior.
Apr 24, 2026

Beyond Patient Invariance: Learning Cardiac Dynamics via Action-Conditioned JEPAs

Self-supervised learning in healthcare has largely relied on invariance-based objectives, which maximize similarity between different views of the same patient. While effective for static anatomy, this paradigm is fundamentally misaligned with clinical diagnosis, as it mathematically compels the model to suppress the transient pathological changes it is intended to detect. We propose a shift towards Action-Conditioned World Models that learn to simulate the dynamics of disease progression, or Event-Conditioned. Adapting the LeJEPA framework to physiological time-series, we define pathology not as a static label, but as a transition vector acting on a patient's latent state. By predicting the future electrophysiological state of the heart given a disease onset, our model explicitly disentangles stable anatomical features from dynamic pathological forces. Evaluated on the MIMIC-IV-ECG dataset, our approach outperforms fully supervised baselines on the critical triage task. Crucially, we demonstrate superior sample efficiency: in low-resource regimes, our world model outperforms supervised learning by over 0.05 AUROC. These results suggest that modeling biological dynamics provides a dense supervision signal that is far more robust than static classification. Source code is available at https://github.com/cljosegfer/lesaude-dynamics
Apr 22, 2026

Early Detection of Latent Microstructure Regimes in Limit Order Books

Limit order books can transition rapidly from stable to stressed conditions, yet standard early-warning signals such as order flow imbalance and short-term volatility are inherently reactive. We formalise this limitation via a three-regime causal data-generating process (stable →\to latent build-up →\to stress) in which a latent deterioration phase creates a prediction window prior to observable stress. Under mild assumptions on temporal drift and regime persistence, we establish identifiability of the latent build-up regime and derive guarantees for strictly positive expected lead-time and non-trivial probability of early detection. We propose a trigger-based detector combining MAX aggregation of complementary signal channels, a rising-edge condition, and adaptive thresholding. Across 200 simulations, the method achieves mean lead-time +18.6±3.2+18.6 \pm 3.2 timesteps with perfect precision and moderate coverage, outperforming classical change-point and microstructure baselines. A preliminary application to one week of BTC/USDT order book data shows consistent positive lead-times while baselines remain reactive. Results degrade in low signal-to-noise and short build-up regimes, consistent with theory.
Apr 20, 2026

AC-SINDy: Compositional Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics

We present AC-SINDy, a compositional extension of the Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics (SINDy) framework that replaces explicit feature libraries with a structured representation based on arithmetic circuits. Rather than enumerating candidate basis functions, the proposed approach constructs nonlinear features through compositions of linear functions and multiplicative interactions, yielding a compact and scalable parameterization and enabling sparsity to be enforced directly over the computational graph. We also introduce a formulation that separates state estimation from dynamics identification by combining latent state inference with shared dynamics and multi-step supervision, improving robustness to noise while preserving interpretability. Experiments on nonlinear and chaotic systems demonstrate that the method recovers accurate and interpretable governing equations while scaling more favorably than standard SINDy.
Apr 20, 2026

HALO: Hybrid Auto-encoded Locomotion with Learned Latent Dynamics, Poincaré Maps, and Regions of Attraction

Reduced-order models are powerful for analyzing and controlling high-dimensional dynamical systems. Yet constructing these models for complex hybrid systems such as legged robots remains challenging. Classical approaches rely on hand-designed template models (e.g., LIP, SLIP), which, though insightful, only approximate the underlying dynamics. In contrast, data-driven methods can extract more accurate low-dimensional representations, but it remains unclear when stability and safety properties observed in the latent space meaningfully transfer back to the full-order system. To bridge this gap, we introduce HALO (Hybrid Auto-encoded Locomotion), a framework for learning latent reduced-order models of periodic hybrid dynamics directly from trajectory data. HALO employs an autoencoder to identify a low-dimensional latent state together with a learned latent Poincaré map that captures step-to-step locomotion dynamics. This enables Lyapunov analysis and the construction of an associated region of attraction in the latent space, both of which can be lifted back to the full-order state space through the decoder. Experiments on a simulated hopping robot and full-body humanoid locomotion demonstrate that HALO yields low-dimensional models that retain meaningful stability structure and predict full-order region-of-attraction boundaries.
Apr 17, 2026

Geometric regularization of autoencoders via observed stochastic dynamics

Stochastic dynamical systems with slow or metastable behavior evolve, on long time scales, on an unknown low-dimensional manifold in high-dimensional ambient space. Building a reduced simulator from short-burst ambient ensembles is a long-standing problem: local-chart methods like ATLAS suffer from exponential landmark scaling and per-step reprojection, while autoencoder alternatives leave tangent-bundle geometry poorly constrained, and the errors propagate into the learned drift and diffusion. We observe that the ambient covariance~ΛΛ already encodes coordinate-invariant tangent-space information, its range spanning the tangent bundle. Using this, we construct a tangent-bundle penalty and an inverse-consistency penalty for a three-stage pipeline (chart learning, latent drift, latent diffusion) that learns a single nonlinear chart and the latent SDE. The penalties induce a function-space metric, the ρρ-metric, strictly weaker than the Sobolev H1H^1 norm yet achieving the same chart-quality generalization rate up to logarithmic factors. For the drift, we derive an encoder-pullback target via Itô's formula on the learned encoder and prove a bias decomposition showing the standard decoder-side formula carries systematic error for any imperfect chart. Under a W2,∞W^{2,\infty} chart-convergence assumption, chart-level error propagates controllably to weak convergence of the ambient dynamics and to convergence of radial mean first-passage times. Experiments on four surfaces embedded in up to 201201 ambient dimensions reduce radial MFPT error by 5050--70%70\% under rotation dynamics and achieve the lowest inter-well MFPT error on most surface--transition pairs under metastable Müller--Brown Langevin dynamics, while reducing end-to-end ambient coefficient errors by up to an order of magnitude relative to an unregularized autoencoder.
Apr 14, 2026

Interpretable Relational Inference with LLM-Guided Symbolic Dynamics Modeling

Inferring latent interaction structures from observed dynamics is a fundamental inverse problem in many-body interacting systems. Most neural approaches rely on black-box surrogates over trainable graphs, achieving accuracy at the expense of mechanistic interpretability. Symbolic regression offers explicit dynamical equations and stronger inductive biases, but typically assumes known topology and a fixed function library. We propose COSINE (Co-Optimization of Symbolic Interactions and Network Edges), a differentiable framework that jointly discovers interaction graphs and sparse symbolic dynamics. To overcome the limitations of fixed symbolic libraries, COSINE further incorporates an outer-loop large language model that adaptively prunes and expands the hypothesis space using feedback from the inner optimization loop. Experiments on synthetic systems and large-scale real-world epidemic data demonstrate robust structural recovery and compact, mechanism-aligned dynamical expressions. Code: https://anonymous.4open.science/r/COSINE-6D43.
Apr 10, 2026

Stability Enhanced Gaussian Process Variational Autoencoders

A novel stability-enhanced Gaussian process variational autoencoder (SEGP-VAE) is proposed for indirectly training a low-dimensional linear time invariant (LTI) system, using high-dimensional video data. The mean and covariance function of the novel SEGP prior are derived from the definition of an LTI system, enabling the SEGP to capture the indirectly observed latent process using a combined probabilistic and interpretable physical model. The search space of LTI parameters is restricted to the set of semi-contracting systems via a complete and unconstrained parametrisation. As a result, the SEGP-VAE can be trained using unconstrained optimisation algorithms. Furthermore, this parametrisation prevents numerical issues caused by the presence of a non-Hurwitz state matrix. A case study applies SEGP-VAE to a dataset containing videos of spiralling particles. This highlights the benefits of the approach and the application-specific design choices that enabled accurate latent state predictions.
Apr 7, 2026

A deep learning framework for jointly solving transient Fokker-Planck equations with arbitrary parameters and initial distributions

Efficiently solving the Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) is central to analyzing complex parameterized stochastic systems. However, current numerical methods lack parallel computation capabilities across varying conditions, severely limiting comprehensive parameter exploration and transient analysis. This paper introduces a deep learning-based pseudo-analytical probability solution (PAPS) that, via a single training process, simultaneously resolves transient FPE solutions for arbitrary multi-modal initial distributions, system parameters, and time points. The core idea is to unify initial, transient, and stationary distributions via Gaussian mixture distributions (GMDs) and develop a constraint-preserving autoencoder that bijectively maps constrained GMD parameters to unconstrained, low-dimensional latent representations. In this representation space, the panoramic transient dynamics across varying initial conditions and system parameters can be modeled by a single evolution network. Extensive experiments on paradigmatic systems demonstrate that the proposed PAPS maintains high accuracy while achieving inference speeds four orders of magnitude faster than GPU-accelerated Monte Carlo simulations. This efficiency leap enables previously intractable real-time parameter sweeps and systematic investigations of stochastic bifurcations. By decoupling representation learning from physics-informed transient dynamics, our work establishes a scalable paradigm for probabilistic modeling of multi-dimensional, parameterized stochastic systems.
Apr 6, 2026

A Robust SINDy Autoencoder for Noisy Dynamical System Identification

Sparse identification of nonlinear dynamics (SINDy) has been widely used to discover the governing equations of a dynamical system from data. It uses sparse regression techniques to identify parsimonious models of unknown systems from a library of candidate functions. Therefore, it relies on the assumption that the dynamics are sparsely represented in the coordinate system used. To address this limitation, one seeks a coordinate transformation that provides reduced coordinates capable of reconstructing the original system. Recently, SINDy autoencoders have extended this idea by combining sparse model discovery with autoencoder architectures to learn simplified latent coordinates together with parsimonious governing equations. A central challenge in this framework is robustness to measurement error. Inspired by noise-separating neural network structures, we incorporate a noise-separation module into the SINDy autoencoder architecture, thereby improving robustness and enabling more reliable identification of noisy dynamical systems. Numerical experiments on the Lorenz system show that the proposed method recovers interpretable latent dynamics and accurately estimates the measurement noise from noisy observations.
Apr 3, 2026

On Data-Driven Koopman Representations of Nonlinear Delay Differential Equations

This work establishes a rigorous bridge between infinite-dimensional delay dynamics and finite-dimensional Koopman learning, with explicit and interpretable error guarantees. While Koopman analysis is well-developed for ordinary differential equations (ODEs) and partially for partial differential equations (PDEs), its extension to delay differential equations (DDEs) remains limited due to the infinite-dimensional phase space of DDEs. We propose a finite-dimensional Koopman approximation framework based on history discretization and a suitable reconstruction operator, enabling a tractable representation of the Koopman operator via kernel-based extended dynamic mode decomposition (kEDMD). Deterministic error bounds are derived for the learned predictor, decomposing the total error into contributions from history discretization, kernel interpolation, and data-driven regression. Additionally, we develop a kernel-based reconstruction method to recover discretized states from lifted Koopman coordinates, with provable guarantees. Numerical results demonstrate reliable prediction of nonlinear delay systems, with potential relevance to future control applications.