Multi-Stream Temporal Fusion

Dynamic simulations are an entrenched way of gaining insight into the evolution of system dynamics. Their computational cost however is often prohibitively high, especially in cases of stochastic frameworks. Machine learning algorithms are especially suited as simulation surrogates. Nevertheless, they face some very distinct limitations. Firstly, the sheer dimensionality of these systems, however, precludes the use of traditional time series models who struggle with high dimensional feature spaces. Additionally, traditional time series focus exclusively on either long or short range effects, causing local or global drift given enough time. In this paper, we propose a framework that addresses those limitations. Our framework combines a Variational Autoencoder, with a convolutional or graph basis that reduces the dimensionality of the system. This latent vector is propagated in time using a Temporal Fusion Transformer model, which includes both long range and short range effect encoding, as well as static covariate support. We test our framework on three distinct cases, to prove its robustness and in all three we have achieved practically identical to the simulation results at a fraction of the time. Further, our framework is flexible enough to be adapted to any new system and provides an inbuilt uncertainty quantification for targeted experiment design.

We propose a new spiking neural network (SNN) design to process static images and event streams using time-to-first-spike (TTFS) latencies. Our key research question is which architectural choices best accommodate local and online learning in multi-layer convolutional SNNs. This question is addressed via an original framework combining residual-like connections with multi-depth feature aggregation and consensus. The full SNN pipeline features an early-vision front end, to convert raw visual data into sparse spike latencies, a four-layer convolutional backbone trained layerwise with unsupervised spike-timing-dependent plasticity (STDP), a deterministic Multi-Depth Temporal Fusion (MDTF) and a final classifier trained with reward-modulated spike-timing-dependent plasticity (R-STDP). Rather than replacing early features in deeper layers, the proposed MDTF preserves early temporal evidence, adding sparse residual events from intermediate layers, and incorporating deeper features only when they agree in time with earlier representations. The resulting architecture is experimentally validated across MNIST, Fashion-MNIST, CIFAR-10, and N-MNIST, delivering strong classification performance under a fully local learning regime. Selective multi-depth fusion significantly outperforms traditional STDP/R-STDP baselines on higher-variability visual tasks (achieving +18.2 pp on Fashion-MNIST and +29.2 pp on CIFAR-10). Furthermore, activity-budget analyses show that the network retains high accuracy even when removing a large fraction of late or weak spike events, confirming its high data efficiency and reduced event-processing requirements. The codebase is publicly available at github.com/aidinattar/multi-depth-temporal-fusion-snn.

LiDAR relocalization aims to estimate the global 6-DoF pose of a sensor in the environment. However, existing regression-based approaches often encounter limitations in dynamic or ambiguous scenarios, as they typically prioritize single-frame inference, leaving the potential of spatio-temporal consistency across scans not fully explored. In this paper, we propose a Temporal-aware Localization framework (TempLoc) designed to enhance the robustness of outdoor localization by effectively modeling sequential consistency. Specifically, a Global Coordinate Estimation module is first introduced to predict point-wise global coordinates and associated uncertainties for each LiDAR scan. A Prior Coordinate Generation module is then presented to estimate inter-frame point correspondences by the attention mechanism. Lastly, an Uncertainty-Guided Coordinate Fusion module is deployed to integrate both predictions of point correspondence in an end-to-end fashion, yielding a more temporally consistent and accurate global 6-DoF pose. Experimental results on the NCLT and Oxford RobotCar benchmarks show that our TempLoc outperforms state-of-the-art methods by a large margin, demonstrating the effectiveness of temporal-aware correspondence modeling in LiDAR relocalization.

Video compression aims to minimize reconstruction distor tion under a constrained bit rate. Existing video implicit neural representations (INRs) often decode frames independently, leaving intermediate features unconditioned on previous reconstructions and content embeddings without explicit temporal prediction. We propose TCNeRV, which exploits reconstructed context in both feature and embedding domains. Its multi-scale temporal-context fusion (MTCF) module injects gated historical features at multiple decoder scales, while temporal embedding-residual coding (TERC) predicts each content embedding and codes only its residual. With approximately 3M parameters, TCNeRV achieves an average PSNR of 36.08 dB on the UVG dataset, outperforming HNeRV-Boost by 2.20 dB. It reduces BD-rate by 22.06%, 66.73%, and 29.85% relative to HM, DCVC, and HiNeRV, respectively, demonstrating competitive rate-distortion performance with limited model capacity.

Multi-modal spatio-temporal forecasting (MM-STF) supports weather nowcasting, traffic prediction, and earth-system modeling by combining heterogeneous sources such as physical fields, satellite imagery, and in-situ sensors. Three obstacles persist: (i) modalities have different spatio-temporal sampling rates, forcing lossy interpolation onto a unified grid; (ii) modalities are frequently missing at deployment due to sensor outages or revisit gaps, while most methods train with full availability; and (iii) autoregressive decoders accumulate errors over long horizons, amplified by multi-modal conditioning. We propose AsyncCouple-Flow to address these issues jointly. A Modality-Aware Token Sparsification (MATS) module performs scale-aware tokenization and uses a shared importance scorer to select top-k tokens per timestep, producing equal-length sequences. An Asynchronous Cross-Modal Coupling Graph (ACCG) replaces fixed cross-attention with a learnable graph whose edges encode time offsets, semantic similarity, and modality-specific physical priors, enabling fusion under arbitrary asynchrony and missingness. A Flow-Matching Forecasting Head models multi-step prediction as a conditional ODE, trained with stochastic modality dropout and integrated jointly to avoid autoregressive drift. Experiments on ERA5+GOES+ISD weather forecasting and PEMS-BAY traffic prediction with multi-source side information show that AsyncCouple-Flow outperforms state-of-the-art baselines and remains robust with up to two missing modalities. The code will be released upon acceptance.

Stock price prediction remains challenging due to the non-stationary and noisy nature of financial time series. Existing deep learning models often rely on rigid decision-level fusion, ad hoc hyperparameter tuning, and compressed final-layer outputs, causing information loss, overfitting, and limited cross-market generalization. We propose VertiFuseX, a hybrid LSTM architecture using penultimate-layer vertical fusion of multi-scale temporal representations. VertiFuseX stacks and reweights penultimate features from LSTM, Bi-LSTM, and St-LSTM branches, integrates a parallel DNN stream, and jointly optimizes all components via backpropagation under a fixed hyperparameter configuration. This preserves richer intermediate temporal information across scales. Evaluated on 15 years (2010-2024) of closing prices from 10 global equity indices using strict chronological out-of-sample testing with the final 365 trading days held out, VertiFuseX achieves 30-54% MAPE reductions and over 40% improvements in MAE and RMSE versus LSTM-based baselines, and outperforms seven state-of-the-art models across 33 metric-dataset comparisons. Ablation studies confirm penultimate-layer fusion drives these gains over final-layer fusion and decision-level ensembling. Gradient-based saliency analysis shows consistent emphasis on mid-range dependencies at lags 9-15 days. Economic validation via algorithmic trading simulation under extreme market regimes shows reduced maximum drawdowns and superior risk-adjusted returns. With 675k parameters, a 2.6 MB memory footprint, and 1.5 ms/sample inference latency, VertiFuseX offers a lightweight, interpretable, deployment-ready framework for robust financial forecasting.

Traffic flow prediction is a core supporting technology for intelligent transportation systems. It uses historical data to infer future traffic dynamics in specific areas, thereby helping to alleviate congestion and improve resource allocation efficiency. Traditional neural networks struggle to break through accuracy limits due to their reliance on singular feature modeling, while large language models (LLMs) suffer from insufficient capture of spatial topological information and mining spatiotemporal correlation. This study proposes a Dynamic Fusion Large Language Model (DF-LLM) for traffic flow prediction. The model incorporates three core components: spatiotemporal embedding module, spatiotemporal fusion module, and LLM backbone. The spatiotemporal embedding module enables synergistic representation of multi-scale spatiotemporal features. The spatiotemporal fusion module integrates spatial topology and dynamic dependencies via graph convolution. The LLM backbone adopts a differentiated parameter adaptation strategy to balance training efficiency and traffic data adaptability. Additionally, it introduces a context aggregation attention module to strengthens global dependencies. More importantly, the LLM backbone takes the residual connections to mitigate the gradient vanishing in deep networks. Experiments show that DF-LLM has achieved better performance by comparing the metrics on all the four datasets.

Long-horizon predictive maintenance requires models to distinguish slowly evolving degradation from normal operating-regime variation over planning windows measured in days rather than hours. This paper evaluates whether an explicit conditional-quantile representation provides an informative classifier interface for this problem. The proposed TQRNN30d framework combines a dual-stage quantile regression neural network (QRNN) feature extractor with a multi-stream temporal fusion classifier. Each hourly word of 81-channel machine behaviour is mapped to a 324-dimensional quantile-state representation, and 720 ordered hourly words form the 30-day document supplied to the long-horizon model. The classifier fuses quantile states with dynamic covariates, channel-level static metadata, and a 168-hour latent-history stream using gated residual processing, causal recurrent encoding, and metadata-conditioned cross-modal attention. A bounded instability-aware signal derived from sustained one-word-ahead prediction-error divergence provides auxiliary memory modulation at the longest horizon. Evaluation uses a machine-disjoint 43/14/15 train/validation/test allocation across 72 machines in nine manufacturing facilities. At 30 days, TQRNN30d achieves 79.97% F1, 80.18% recall, 81.82% precision, 82.39% accuracy, and 0.820 ROC-AUC. It leads all 18 evaluated baselines at the 7-, 14-, and 30-day fixed-threshold comparisons, with the largest F1 advantage at 14 days. The results support held-out-machine performance within the observed homogeneous nine-facility fleet, but do not establish unseen-site, cross-equipment, or cross-sector generalisation.

Constructing reliable online HD maps remains challenging in dynamic urban environments due to moving objects and occlusions. While recent works employ feature-level temporal fusion to address this, they rely solely on per-frame ground truth supervision. Consequently, they lack an explicit objective to directly penalize the geometric noise and temporal jitter between consecutive online HD maps. To address this, we propose MapTCL, an auxiliary training strategy that formulates temporal consistency loss between current and past frames via bidirectional alignment. Specifically, Bidirectional Vector Consistency Learning (BVCL) models the geometric and semantic discrepancies between associated past and current vector instances as an auxiliary loss. We also employ Raster map Consistency Learning (RCL) as an additional loss to stabilize dense BEV features. By jointly training with these dual losses, MapTCL improves the temporal stability of generated HD maps. Extensive experiments on two standard benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. As a versatile plug-and-play module, MapTCL consistently enhances existing baseline models, achieving gains of +3.7 mAP & +2.8 C-mAP on nuScenes and +3.1 mAP & +2.5 C-mAP on Argoverse 2 without additional inference overhead.

Checkpoint staffing requires accurate forecasts of when screening demand will occur, yet flight schedules record departure times rather than passenger arrival times at security checkpoints. This study develops a framework that converts known flight schedules into temporally aligned signals for forecasting hourly checkpoint throughput. Using 2023-2024 Transportation Security Administration throughput data and Cirium Diio flight schedules for Hartsfield-Jackson Atlanta International Airport, domestic and international seat capacity was distributed across pre-departure hours using truncated Poisson kernels. A Temporal Fusion Transformer then combined these schedule-derived arrival-intensity signals with historical throughput, scheduled activity, and temporal variables. Models were trained chronologically, with July-December 2024 reserved for testing, and evaluated against recurrent neural network and long short-term memory models across five random seeds. For direct six-hour forecasts, the proposed model achieved a weighted mean absolute percentage error of 9.33%, compared with 12.16% for the recurrent neural network and 11.37% for long short-term memory, while also producing the lowest errors during peak periods. With six-hour recursive updates, errors remained between 10.60% and 11.04% across 24-96 hour horizons, although longer horizons contained fewer valid forecast origins. By transforming scheduled departures into interpretable pre-departure screening-load signals without requiring passenger-flight matching, the framework supports advance staffing, lane-opening, and multiday checkpoint planning. Because observed throughput reflects realized processing rather than unconstrained arrivals, the forecasts should be interpreted together with local staffing, capacity, queue, and wait-time information.

Large-scale multivariate time series from heterogeneous IoT sensors demand accurate long-term forecasting for resource scheduling and predictive maintenance. While recent time series foundation models exhibit strong generalization, they rely on static parametric knowledge and lack dynamic access to external historical patterns during inference. Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) offers a potential remedy, yet its application to time series forecasting is challenged by magnitude variations across heterogeneous sources and the mismatch between historical similarity and future consistency. We propose CrossRAG, a retrieval-augmented forecasting framework that integrates Shape-Aware Memory (SAM) with RevIN normalization for magnitude-robust shape-level retrieval, Future-Consistent Contrastive (FCC) learning to distinguish informative references from hard negatives with similar history but divergent futures, and Cross-Attention Temporal Fusion (CATF) to fuse retrieved historical--future reference pairs into the backbone's representations at the representation level. Experiments on seven public benchmarks show that CrossRAG consistently outperforms both parametric-only baselines and existing retrieval-augmented forecasting methods.

Temporal heterogeneous graphs offer a natural abstraction for dynamic relational systems in which diverse node and relation types co-exist and evolve over time. Learning on such graphs requires jointly modeling cross-type structural heterogeneity and the temporal dynamics of interactions, yet existing methods still struggle to reconcile parameter-efficient cross-type transfer with relation-aware specialization, and typically inject time only as additive features outside the attention kernel. We propose \textbf{THGFM}, a web-scale temporal heterogeneous graph fusion model that addresses both limitations within a unified dual-path architecture. THGFM couples a \textit{Shared-Space Temporal Attention} branch for parameter-efficient cross-type transfer with a \textit{Relational Type-Partitioned Temporal Attention} branch for relation-aware specialization, and integrates them through \textit{Dual-Path Relational--Shared Fusion}, instantiated with \textit{Type-Conditioned Non-Competitive Gated Sum Fusion}: a adaptive mechanism that assigns independent, type-conditioned feature-wise gates to the shared and specialized branches, allowing both to be amplified or suppressed without zero-sum competition. To directly incorporate relative time into the attention score, THGFM further introduces \textit{Rotary Temporal Attention}, which rotates queries and keys by half-phases of relative time before matching. THGFM consistently outperforms baseline graph transformer models on academic graphs benchmarks, delivering a $+3.25\%$ six-task mean gain, with peak relative gains of $+12.37\%$ on OAG-CS PV, $+4.87\%$ on PF-$L_2$, and $+1.18\%$ on PF-$L_1$, and $+4.24\%$, $+3.73\%$, and $+4.61\%$ on OGBN-MAG, HTAG-ArXiv, and HTAG-DBLP, respectively.

Many time-series forecasts depend not only on prior observations but also on actions specified during the forecast period. In intensive care units (ICUs), future vital signs and laboratory values are influenced by treatments such as vasopressors. However, models that predict the full future sequence all at once make little use of these treatments, whereas autoregressive models can accumulate errors. We introduce DRIFT, a hybrid framework in which a direct model produces the primary forecast and a recursive, action-conditioned model contributes constrained corrections. We evaluate DRIFT on 6,046 admissions from MIMIC-IV and 8,345 admissions from eICU-CRD. Averaged across the 8-, 24-, and 48-hour forecast endpoints, DRIFT reduces mean absolute error for mean arterial pressure (MAP) by 0.673% relative to an action-conditioned Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT-action) on MIMIC-IV and achieves the lowest corresponding error among the compared models on eICU-CRD. Although the overall accuracy improvement is modest, a MIMIC-IV audit restricted to windows in which the supplied treatment sequence was altered showed that DRIFT achieved lower observed-target MAP error than TFT-action at 8 and 24 hours. Treatment-sequence alteration increased DRIFT's MAP error by 0.21-0.26 mmHg more than it increased TFT-action's error, with prediction changes occurring primarily after the supplied paths diverged. In a separate robustness experiment, the MAP advantage persisted under three shared checkpoint-selection rules emphasizing overall endpoint error, MAP error, or both equally.

In many real-world applications, such as retail sales, energy usage, and supply chain planning, forecasting is performed across hierarchical structures. These structures often represent aggregations (e.g., products to categories to regions), where forecasts must not only be accurate but also coherent, meaning that lower-level predictions sum correctly to higher-level forecasts. Traditional statistical methods, such as Bottom-Up and MinT, enforce coherence through post-processing but fail to model complex nonlinear temporal dependencies and covariate interactions. We propose Hierarchical Temporal Fusion (HTF), a novel extension of the Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) that integrates structured hierarchical embeddings with a coherence-aware loss function to ensure consistent forecasts across all levels of a hierarchy. Rather than applying reconciliation after forecasting, HTF embeds coherence directly into the training objective. The coherence loss penalizes the difference between aggregated child forecasts and their corresponding parent forecasts during training, enabling the model to learn both temporal dynamics and structural consistency simultaneously. We evaluate HTF on two publicly available benchmark datasets: the M5 Walmart forecasting dataset and a publicly available hierarchical energy consumption dataset. Results demonstrate that HTF substantially reduces forecast incoherence while improving forecasting accuracy compared with classical reconciliation methods and deep learning baselines. In addition, attention visualization and embedding analysis provide insight into how temporal and structural information contribute to hierarchical forecasting performance.

Micro-expression recognition is challenging due to subtle and short-lived facial muscle movements. Existing methods rely heavily on apex-onset frames, overlook fine-grained inter-frame dynamics, and separately model spatial and temporal information, limiting generalization across datasets. To address these challenges, we propose STAG, a dynamic ROI-AU-coupled spatial-temporal network that jointly models motion flow and adaptive facial connectivity. The framework extracts optical flow from discriminative frames using magnitude-based selection and temporal attention. A dual-branch architecture combines an enhanced graph attention network for structured spatial reasoning with a transformer encoder for temporal modeling. A bidirectional cross-attention module enables mutual refinement of spatial and temporal features, while AU-guided dynamic connectivity adapts facial region interactions according to muscle activation patterns. The transformer captures subtle temporal dynamics beyond apex-based approaches, improving semantic consistency and interpretability for explainable micro-expression recognition. The fused representation is optimized using focal loss and evaluated on CASME II, 4DME, DFME, NaME, SAMM, and SMIC-HS. Extensive experiments demonstrate improved robustness, generalization, interpretability, and computational efficiency, confirming the effectiveness of adaptive relational reasoning, AU-guided dynamic connectivity, and deep spatial-temporal feature fusion for accurate cross-dataset micro-expression recognition.

Temporal variation poses a unique challenge for named entity recognition (NER) in historical texts, where entities drift in surface form and salience across time. While language models (LMs) have made progress in various NLP tasks, their ability to reason about temporality, especially in diachronic contexts, remains limited or at least, questionable. In this paper, we systematically study how temporal metadata can be structurally embedded into NER models using a range of lightweight fusion strategies. We experiment with both absolute and relative temporal representations, injected into Transformer-based architectures via early or late fusion mechanisms such as cross-attention, adapters, and concatenation. Our evaluations on French and German historical datasets reveal that late fusion strategies yield more robust and temporally generalisable performance, particularly in early and noisy periods.

Financial fraud detection in digital banking requires reasoning over multiple heterogeneous event streams -- transactions, login sessions, risk signals -- that individually appear benign but collectively reveal fraudulent patterns. We propose the Multi-Stream Fraud Transformer (MSFT), a unified architecture that encodes each event stream with independent Transformer encoders and fuses their representations through configurable mechanisms. We conduct a systematic ablation study comparing five fusion strategies: concatenation, gated fusion, time-aware positional encoding, cross-stream attention, and a full combination. On a large-scale dataset (10M users, 1.5% fraud rate) with 85M parameter models, we demonstrate that (1) sequence models significantly outperform gradient-boosted trees operating on aggregated features (0.74 vs. 0.99 AUROC), (2) per-stream encoding is essential -- a single-stream Transformer baseline with matched parameter budget reaches only 0.82 AUROC, an 18-point gap that confirms the multi-stream inductive bias is necessary, (3) time-aware positional encoding achieves the highest discrimination (0.9961 AUROC), (4) gated fusion yields the best precision (0.989) suitable for production deployment, and (5) the risk event stream provides the strongest individual signal contribution. We further validate on proprietary production data from a digital banking platform, showing over 22% relative AUROC improvement over the XGBoost baseline.

Accurately forecasting the impact of salient financial events on markets is critical for investors and policymakers. However, existing multimodal time-series models typically fuse text and prices symmetrically, without an explicit way to decide when event text is truly predictive, and thus struggle to exploit the directional event-to-price structure and the heterogeneous roles of textual and price signals. In this work, we propose GS-Fuse, a multimodal event-based forecasting framework that employs (i) a Granger-supervised, causal-aware gated fusion module, which learns to open toward event text only when it provides incremental predictive value beyond historical prices, and (ii) a multi-granularity alignment mechanism that jointly aligns high-level event representations and fine-grained textual cues with future market trajectories. Built as a flexible, plug-and-play adapter on top of off-the-shelf large language models and time-series foundation models, GS-Fuse can be instantiated across diverse backbones and market settings. Extensive experiments on real-world financial datasets show that GS-Fuse consistently outperforms state-of-the-art time-series and multimodal baselines across multiple assets and forecasting horizons.

Infrared and visible video fusion is essential for achieving comprehensive perception in dynamic scenes. However, maintaining temporal consistency remains a formidable challenge. Conventional methods relying on optical flow often suffer from geometric rigidity and ghosting artifacts. Moreover, standard diffusion-based fusion models typically operate in a frame-by-frame manner; when extended to autoregressive settings, they lack intrinsic temporal constraints and are prone to severe error accumulation and drifting, where minor artifacts amplify over time. To address these limitations, we propose a drift-resilient video fusion method that reformulates the task as history-conditioned motion generation. We introduce Stabilized History Guidance and Soft Temporal Anchoring to reframe temporal consistency as spectral filtering, implicitly aggregating motion dynamics without rigid alignment. Furthermore, our Decoupled Structure-Motion Adaptation strategy bridges pre-trained priors and structural constraints via two-stage training and latent refinement. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method achieves state-of-the-art performance in both fusion quality and temporal stability.

Diagnosing Major Depressive Disorder (MDD) from functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) using functional connectivity (FC) analysis requires large amounts of labeled data that are scarce in clinical settings. Existing augmentation methods synthesize FC matrices, which compress fMRI recordings into static pairwise summaries and discard temporal information. We propose fMRI-Diffusion, a framework that synthesizes region-of-interest (ROI)-level fMRI time series rather than FC matrices. A Temporal Transformer serves as the denoising network within a denoising diffusion probabilistic model, treating each time point as a token to capture temporal dependencies through self-attention. A supervised pretraining strategy initializes the Transformer with task-relevant representations before diffusion training, and FC matrices are derived from the synthesized time series for classification. Experiments on the REST-meta-MDD dataset show that augmenting training data with synthetic time series consistently improves diagnostic accuracy across ten classifiers, six parcellation atlases, and three acquisition sites. The method outperforms five recent FC-based synthesis approaches, with accuracy gains of up to 3.7 percentage points over the strongest baseline. Ablation studies confirm the contributions of both the Transformer-based denoiser and the pretraining strategy. Distributional fidelity metrics remain below 0.06 across all conditions, indicating close agreement between real and synthetic distributions. These findings suggest that synthesizing fMRI time series before FC computation preserves temporal information lost in matrix-level augmentation and provides a practical strategy for MDD diagnosis under limited data.

This work explores a dynamics-informed Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT) as a data-driven surrogate for computationally intensive Earth system simulations. Focusing on multivariate time series describing global ocean transport, we demonstrate the surrogate's ability to forecast tip events across thousands of time steps. The data involve up to 21 non-stationary time series in addition to static covariates describing free parameters and initial conditions. Modifications to the architecture and objective function yield a surrogate that anticipates the timing of Atlantic and Pacific collapses to high fidelity and captures the stochastic uncertainty in transition timing across ensemble predictions. The learned surrogate achieves a 465x computational speedup over the numerical simulator while maintaining differentiability with respect to parameters and initial conditions.

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) are biologically inspired energy-efficient models that use sparse binary spike-based communication between neurons, making them attractive for resource-constrained edge devices. Federated learning enables such devices to train collaboratively without sharing raw data. In time-series applications, edge devices often collect data at different time resolutions due to hardware and energy constraints. This temporal heterogeneity poses a fundamental challenge for federated learning: parameters learned at one temporal resolution do not necessarily transfer directly to another, which might result in the naive federated averaging being ineffective. Targeting SNNs and, more broadly, deep networks with stateful neurons, we propose a federated learning framework that addresses this temporal resolution mismatch. We investigate how neuron parameters learned from data at different temporal resolutions and model aggregation should be integrated. We evaluate the proposed framework across two SNN-native benchmark datasets (SHD and DVS-Gesture) under a range of resolution heterogeneity scenarios. Our results show that the proposed adaptation methods can substantially recover accuracy lost due to temporal mismatch, hence enabling each client to train at their local temporal resolution while remaining compatible with the global model.

Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) temperature forecasts, spanning several weeks to a few months, are critically needed in agriculture practice, energy planning, and extreme-weather induced risk management, yet their reliability varies substantially across seasons and regions. Forecast skill is often attributed primarily to lead time, but this perspective does not fully explain the spatiotemporal patterns of predictability. Here we show that S2S predictability is organized across interacting temporal components, spatial heterogeneity, and large-scale pattern coherence, and that this structure can be explicitly characterized and exploited. We develop a dual-scale learning framework that separates calendar-aligned historical climate context from lead-time matched recent weather evolution, combining them through spatially adaptive fusion to enable stable temperature forecasts across the 30 to 90-day window. The learned fusion weights reveal that the balance between these two temporal scales shifts systematically with season and geography: during winter, interannual context dominates over high latitudes and complex terrain where forecast is the most difficult, while summer predictions reflect a more balanced temporal contribution across the domain. This spatially explicit reorganization of predictability, rather than simple lead-time decay, emerges as the primary determinant of forecast skill within the subseasonal window. Topology-aware structural constraints further improve spatial coherence of predicted temperature fields, stabilizing large-scale pattern organization particularly over complex terrain. These results reframe S2S predictability as a structured, multi-scale phenomenon, providing a more interpretable foundation for improving forecast systems and informing their use in practice.

Recent advances in multimodal learning have motivated the integration of auxiliary modalities such as text or vision into time series (TS) forecasting. However, most existing methods provide limited gains, often improving performance only in specific datasets or relying on architecture-specific designs that limit generalization. In this paper, we show that multimodal models with naive fusion strategies (e.g., simple addition or concatenation) often underperform unimodal TS models, which we attribute to the uncontrolled integration of auxiliary modalities which may introduce irrelevant information. Motivated by this observation, we explore various constrained fusion methods designed to control such integration and find that they consistently outperform naive fusion methods. Furthermore, we propose Controlled Fusion Adapter (CFA), a simple plug-in method that enables controlled cross-modal interactions without modifying the TS backbone, integrating only relevant textual information aligned with TS dynamics. CFA employs low rank adapters to filter irrelevant textual information before fusing it into temporal representations. We conduct over 20K experiments across various datasets and TS/text models, demonstrating the effectiveness of the constrained fusion methods. Code is available at: https://github.com/seunghan96/cfa.

Early lane-change intention prediction is essential for autonomous driving and ADAS, but it remains challenging because lane-changing behavior depends on evolving traffic risk, surrounding-vehicle interactions, and target-lane feasibility rather than only instantaneous vehicle states. This study proposes an evolutionary physics-informed temporal fusion framework for three-class lane-change intention prediction, including left lane change, right lane change, and no lane change. Instead of using static physics-informed variables alone, the proposed method derives temporal descriptors from conventional traffic signals, including risk evolution, gap persistence, counterfactual lane utility, interaction pressure gradient, maneuver feasibility, and intent consistency. These descriptors are fused with temporal embeddings learned from raw trajectory sequences through a sequence encoder, and the fused representation is used for final classification. Experiments are conducted on the highD and exiD datasets under 1,s, 2,s, and 3,s prediction horizons. The proposed model achieves Macro F1-scores of 0.9514, 0.9256, and 0.8872 on highD, and 0.9386, 0.9070, and 0.8531 on exiD, respectively. The improvement is especially pronounced in exiD ramp-adjacent scenarios, indicating that temporal physical evolution is particularly useful in interaction-rich environments. These results demonstrate that combining evolutionary physics-informed descriptors with learned temporal representations provides a more dynamic and interpretable solution for early lane-change intention prediction.

Rainfall is an important environmental driver of water-quality variations through processes such as runoff, pollutant transport, dilution, and resuspension. Traditional mechanistic models can explicitly describe these processes but often require substantial process specification and site-specific calibration, limiting their flexibility under changing hydrological conditions. In this work, we explore a data-driven alternative by proposing RaiNet to jointly model multiscale water-quality dynamics and station-specific rainfall effects across relative lags and temporal scales. RaiNet employs LocTrend to capture irregular water-quality dynamics, constructs station-oriented rainfall events from gridded precipitation, and introduces XGateFusion for conditional lag-aware fusion across scales. We further release three real-world multimodal datasets comprising over 150,000 temporally aligned water quality observations and gridded precipitation raster images. Experiments show that RaiNet outperforms general time-series, water quality, diffusion-based, and spatiotemporal models by over 20%, while component-wise analyses confirm the distinct contribution of each module.