Offshore Wind Turbine

This work proposes a physics-enhanced machine learning approach for the system identification of Linear Time-Varying (LTV) systems under time-varying operating conditions in terms of fast-varying natural frequencies and damping ratios by combining a long short-term memory network with an Extended Kalman Filter (EKF). The proposed approach uses vibration data (displacement and velocity measurements), domain knowledge of modal damping ratios, and a physics-based model that can yield an approximate natural frequencies time-dependency model. The approach is validated using synthetic data generated from a finite element model of a 2-blade offshore wind turbine under realistic environmental and operating conditions. This system displays fast time-varying frequencies due to operating conditions, whose identification is particularly challenging because of the wind and wave loading. The robustness of the proposed approach is assessed under assumed incorrect system information (e.g. damping ratio). The proposed approach is evaluated across different environmental and operating conditions to show its applicability to different operating regimes. The results show the approach can accurately identify the selected fast-varying natural frequency, 1st Fore-Aft (FA-1) mode, with a maximum root mean square error of 0.0012 Hz. The results demonstrate that the model trained on EKF estimates depends on accurate damping values, whereas the model trained on physics-based data exhibits robustness to incorrect damping assumptions. The approach is extended to damping ratio identification for the selected mode by estimating the root mean square error between models trained on EKF estimates and physics-based data. The results show that the approach can yield a good approximation of the FA-1 mode damping ratio using grid search, offering an improvement over covariance-driven stochastic subspace identification.

This paper addresses the wind farm power maximization problem in the presence of wind direction changes. Specifically, a model-free Modified Twin Delayed Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient with Behavior Cloning (MTD3-BC) algorithm is proposed to tackle this task through yaw control under varying wind direction conditions. MTD3-BC is an offline reinforcement learning (RL) algorithm that aims to infer good behavior from only a precollected offline dataset. Additionally, to ensure smooth and moderate yaw adjustments, a new action consistency term is introduced into the policy optimization objective. Unlike online RL methods, MTD3-BC does not require extensive interactions with a wind farm simulator during training, significantly reducing computational costs and training time. A wind tunnel experiment is conducted to validate the effectiveness of the algorithm under varying wind directions. The results demonstrate that MTD3-BC successfully mitigates wake effects, delivering farm-level power gains of approximately 10% over the baseline greedy strategy and performance on par with a data-calibrated model-based wake-steering benchmark, while requiring no wake model and only a small fraction of the training cost of online RL. To our knowledge, this is the first time an offline RL wind farm control policy has been validated and demonstrated experimentally.

The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence is transforming data centres into one of the world's fastest-growing sources of electricity demand. As AI systems scale in size and capability, the physical infrastructure supporting computation is approaching critical limits in energy availability, cooling capacity, land use, freshwater consumption, and carbon management. Conventional land-based data centres are increasingly constrained by urban land competition, grid congestion, environmental pressures, and lengthy permitting processes, raising fundamental questions about where future computing infrastructure can sustainably exist. This article examines floating and offshore data centres as an emerging alternative model for digital infrastructure. By relocating computation to marine environments, offshore systems can exploit the ocean's natural cooling capacity, reduce freshwater dependence, and enable direct integration with offshore renewable energy resources such as wind, wave, and tidal power. Early deployments have demonstrated the potential for significantly improved energy efficiency and operational reliability compared with conventional facilities, while also opening new possibilities for distributed and resilient computing architectures. The article explores how offshore computing may reshape the future relationship between electrification, renewable energy, and large-scale AI infrastructure. It analyses the opportunities and trade-offs associated with marine deployment, including environmental impacts, engineering design challenges, economic feasibility, and regulatory governance. Rather than treating offshore data centres as experimental novelties, the article presents them as part of a broader systems-level transition in how society may power, cool, and sustain the next generation of computational growth.

Normal behavior models have shown promise for reliable fault detection in wind turbines. However, these unsupervised anomaly detection models require sufficient fault-free training data to learn the normal operation behavior of turbines. Under data scarcity, for example in newly deployed wind turbines, these models may result in poor fault detection performance. In this work, we propose a multi-domain generative domain mapping approach based on Star Generative Adversarial Networks (StarGAN) to improve fault detection on data-scarce wind turbines. Our model maps SCADA measurements from a data-scarce turbine to resemble those of several data-rich turbines. By preserving the operational state during translation, faults occurring in a data-scarce domain can be mapped and detected by reliable pre-trained normal behavior models of data-rich domains. Highlighting the benefits of an ensemble fusion strategy, we show that under severe data scarcity our method can produce anomaly scores comparable to models trained on large representative datasets. Our approach can consistently outperform models trained on scarce data when less than 2 weeks of training data are available. With just 2 weeks of accumulated training data, we achieve an anomaly score similarity that is, on average, +16% higher than conventional fine-tuning, and +10% higher than single-source domain mapping. As a step towards unsupervised model selection, we propose a proxy metric that detects poor performance at training time, despite an absence of anomalies. Our study presents the potential and challenges of multi-domain mapping for wind turbine fault detection under unrepresentative training data.

Accurate gust forecasting under typhoon conditions remains challenging due to the highly non-stationary and multi-scale characteristics of extreme wind fluctuations. Existing deep learning models often struggle to simultaneously capture long-term trends and rapid local variations, resulting in degraded performance during extreme events. We propose WDANet, a frequency-aware forecasting framework that integrates stationary wavelet decomposition, a Feature-wise Linear Modulation (FiLM) strategy, and a dual-branch encoder-decoder architecture, enabling separate modeling of trend and fluctuation components. Taking the offshore regions of the Western Pacific in China as an example, we conduct fine-grid wind gust prediction research. The results demonstrate that WDANet shows advantages for short lead times under the experimental setting across a 24-h forecasting horizon and achieves higher prediction accuracy than ECMWF-HRES within the first 6 h. During extreme wind events, WDANet more accurately captures gust peaks and attains the best RMSE and MAE performance. These results highlight its potential for offshore wind power operation, disaster warning, and risk mitigation.

Energy feasibility under wind uncertainty is a critical safety issue for low-altitude air-ground delivery. In truck-UAV systems, UAVs complete assigned deliveries and safely return to a mobile truck or depot, while wind-induced propulsion costs vary online and are only partially observable. Existing routing methods often rely on static or deterministic energy models, which may underestimate headwind, crosswind, battery-voltage, and return-feasibility risks. This paper proposes Energy-Aware Wind-Resilient Routing (EWR), an online risk-sensitive planning framework for wind-aware and energy-safe UAV routing. The delivery environment is represented as a time-dependent directed energy graph whose edge costs are updated using delayed noisy wind estimates, payload states, and conservative uncertainty margins. Experiments using synthetic delivery graphs with replayed wind logs from a public truck-UAV delivery dataset show that EWR improves mission success rates and reduces wind-induced return failures.

Monitoring of offshore wind energy infrastructure life cycles, especially during the deployment phase, is an important contribution for stakeholders to make informed decisions in a phase of increasing deployment activities. ESA's Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) mission produces large data archives that enable the global monitoring of offshore wind infrastructure. Turning these high-volume archives into information requires algorithms that automatically extract single event labels from dense time series at a global scale. In this study, we present a structured comparison of ten deep learning model-training variants for the dense classification of Sentinel-1 based offshore wind infrastructure time series, aiming to advance rule-based event classification of this task. We trained LSTM, Transformer, and fully connected model variants with monotemporal, unidirectional, and bidirectional context awareness, each with and without self-supervised pretraining. Among these, the supervised BiLSTM performs best, raising the target AUC score from 0.7853 for the rule-based baseline to 0.8509, and the perfect match rate from 0.3508 to 0.5063. Combining the BiLSTM predictions with the existing baseline labels in a label-transition-minimising ensemble further improves agreement with the test data. Using these improved labels, we isolate the deployment phase of individual turbines at a global scale and conduct a regional and subregional analysis covering 2016-01-01 to 2025-03-31, reporting median deployment durations of 84 d (China), 242 d (EU), and 258 d (UK). Deployment-related drivers, including legal regulations such as subsidies, and environmental conditions, emerge clearly from the analysed results across multiple spatial scales.

Accurate intraday forecasts of offshore wind are becoming increasingly important for power system operation and the integration of growing shares of offshore wind energy. Operational forecasts rely predominantly on numerical weather prediction (NWP), which is not optimized for lead times of minutes to hours, where initial-condition accuracy dominates forecast skill. Although satellite scatterometer observations are routinely assimilated into NWP, they have not previously been used directly for forecasting. Here we present WindCastNet, the first satellite-based nowcasting framework for offshore wind speed and direction, introducing a new paradigm for intraday forecasting that learns from spatiotemporally irregular satellite observations. WindCastNet predicts offshore wind fields from observations acquired by satellite scatterometer constellations. WindCastNet employs a partial convolutional long short-term memory network that exploits microwave radar observations from the European, Chinese, and Indian scatterometers despite their irregular spatial coverage, asynchronous sampling, and variable revisit times. Spatial observation masks and inter-observation intervals are encoded, while a continuous temporal representation enables forecasts at arbitrary lead times. Evaluated over the North Sea, WindCastNet reduces the root-mean-square error by 23% and 7% relative to the HARMONIE MEPS model at lead times of 1 and 2 h, respectively, and outperforms persistence by 9-15% during the first three forecast hours. Forecast skill decreases under strong-wind conditions and spatially non-uniform flow. These results demonstrate that satellite scatterometer constellations can provide an independent and competitive source of short-term offshore wind forecasts, opening new opportunities for renewable energy forecasting but also broader marine weather applications, including tropical cyclone nowcasting.

We investigate lightweight raptor-species classification for real-time edge deployment in wind-turbine collision mitigation. Using DINOv2-L (304M parameters) as a teacher, we distilled three lightweight students (MobileNetV4, ViT-Small, and EfficientNet-B0). To reduce confusion between closely related species, we expanded the dataset to 12,519 images, including an increase in Steller's Sea Eagle images from 463 to 2,050 via video-frame extraction. Under a group split that separates samples at the video- and source-image level to mitigate source leakage at that granularity, the three-student ensemble achieved a macro recall of 0.935 +/- 0.004 over five distillation seeds (0.955 on a conventional image-level split, retaining 97.5% of the teacher's macro recall) with roughly one-eighth as many parameters. On a subset of 1,258 images disjoint from the former training images, White-tailed Eagle recall improved by up to 38.6 percentage points, while the rate at which it was misclassified as the Steller's Sea Eagle decreased from 61% to 15% of errors. TensorRT FP16 deployment of EfficientNet-B0 on an NVIDIA Jetson Orin Nano achieved 3.19 ms/image including host-device transfer (313 images/s), with 99.95% argmax agreement with FP32. In five-seed controlled comparisons, neither distillation (versus CE-only) nor the change from a DINOv2-L to a DINOv3-L teacher yielded a clear ensemble-level improvement; the primary gains stem from the dataset expansion and teacher re-fine-tuning.

The high proportion of wind power connected to the grid places higher demands on fine-grained knowledge of regional wind fields. Since the wind information directly obtainable in actual operations is mostly sparse, discrete, and irregularly distributed local observations, it is difficult to directly meet the needs of tasks such as wind power regulation, wind resource assessment, and low-altitude environmental perception of continuous regional wind fields. Therefore, we propose Zhinv, an end-to-end reconstruction framework that directly weaves sparse and irregular observations into a fine-grid wind field at hub-height. Experiments in Northeast China, Europe, and Southeast Asia demonstrate that Zhinv can accurately, robustly, and efficiently reconstruct fine-grid wind fields from sparse observations, reducing the error by about 66% compared with Kriging. With local wind-power observations as input, Zhinv enables wind power centers to bypass NWP and complex assimilation processes, supporting direct and real-time wind resource assessment from locally available data.

The wind energy industry relies on accurate power curve models to make power forecast, evaluate turbine performance, quantify upgrade, or support site-planning decisions. In this paper, we focus on site-planning power curves, i.e., we investigate how power curve models trained using turbine data on an operating wind farm can be transferred to a new, undeveloped farm. The traditional wisdom in the wind energy literature relies on distance, layout, or terrain characteristics for making cross-farm power curve transfer. Through the lens of domain adaptation, we propose a more reliable transfer learning approach for cross-farm power curve modeling. In the cross-farm applications, a domain is specified by the temporal environmental variates and spatial terrain variables. Domain adaptation is to find a capable similarity metric to adapt the domain on the new farm to that on the existing farm. Empirical results show that our domain adapted power curve consistently outperforms competing approaches by an appreciable margin for site-planning power predictions.

With rising global energy demand and growing awareness of climate change and its impacts, the share of renewable energies in the global energy mix continues to grow. Unlike conventional power generation, the output of renewable energy sources cannot be controlled as consistently due to their dependence on environmental conditions. Therefore, reliable prediction of current and future energy production is essential. In this paper, we report findings from two structured literature reviews on real-world renewable energy prediction tasks: wind turbine power curve modeling and photovoltaic power prediction. For the former, we conducted a comprehensive literature review ourselves, while for the latter, we synthesize the key findings regarding frequently selected input features based on an existing survey. Across both domains, our analysis reveals that despite the large number of available monitoring and environmental variables, only limited or unsystematic methods for feature selection exist. To address this gap, we propose Cluster-based Sequential Feature Selection (CSFS), a novel, model-agnostic, clustering-based wrapper method for automatic, efficient, and reliable feature selection in renewable energy prediction pipelines. To support reproducibility and reuse, we provide an open-source implementation of CSFS on GitHub. We empirically evaluate the proposed approach on both use cases and compare it with established feature selection techniques such as wrapper-based sequential feature selection (SFS), filter-based methods, and Random Forest's embedded feature importance. The results show that the wrapper-based methods overall provide better-performing selections of features. CSFS achieves a predictive performance comparable to SFS while reducing computational cost by an average of 21%.

During wind farm operation, Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) systems record numerous anomalies, transients, and specific operational modes, leading to large datasets. However, for a wide range of applications, only measurements corresponding to normal operation are required and, therefore, the SCADA data must be filtered. For this purpose, several methods have been proposed to automate and replace manual filtering conducted by experts via visual inspection of the data. In this paper, we compare the filtering accuracy of multiple clustering algorithms against manual filtering, introducing evaluation metrics that are suitable for unlabeled data and robust across potential applications. Based on the results, we provide recommendations for generalizing model calibration to different datasets and discuss potential use cases for each model. The models are applied to the SCADA data of three turbines of an existing offshore wind farm, using 10-minute statistics across multiple data channels. In addition to the anomalies and operational modes typically recorded, the dataset presents a large number of non-evident outliers due to several field tests. Overall, the results highlight the importance of extending the analysis beyond the power curve, both in feature selection and in the design of evaluation metrics. In most cases, cluster-based methods are able to detect both evident and subtle outliers, achieving higher accuracy than manual filtering. However, the accuracy and the amount of data retained vary considerably depending on the model, and expert involvement remains necessary, though to a reduced extent compared to manual filtering.

Reliable uncertainty quantification is essential for integrating solar and wind generation into modern power systems, where operators must weigh risk rather than act on point forecasts alone. Existing probabilistic methods, however, often either lack finite-sample validity or require per-site recalibration, so a single model rarely transfers across the diverse climates of a dispersed generation fleet. This paper proposes a heteroscedastic, asymmetric, group-conditional split-conformal framework built on a bootstrap-diverse XGBoost ensemble, producing prediction intervals that adapt in width to local difficulty while retaining distribution-free coverage guarantees. A single fixed specification, with no per-site or per-horizon tuning, is evaluated across four climatologically distinct sites spanning both hemispheres, at horizons of 1 to 12 hours, for both solar irradiance and wind speed. The framework holds near-nominal coverage on both targets and reduces the Interval Score by up to 35% relative to competitive baselines, with the calibration and sharpness of its intervals shown to be properties of the method rather than of site-specific tuning.

Accurate modeling of wind turbine power curves is crucial for optimal wind farm operation. Nearly all existing power curve models focus on temporal variables such as wind speed and temperature while overlooking the influence of terrain covariates, which governs inflow wind conditions and thus also affects wind power production. This paper proposes a nonparametric spatio-temporal Gaussian process model that integrates temporal environmental covariates with spatial terrain features. The model falls in the category of spatial-temporal Gaussian process models with data on a grid. The challenge to be addressed is that the spatio-temporal modeling require certain temporal alignment among the data, a property that the wind farm data does not have. Our solution strategy is to construct a shared representative temporal covariate set which not only aligns the temporal inputs but also has a size an order of magnitude smaller than the original data size. With this transformation, our resulting model is able to employ a separable kernel structure that captures both spatial and temporal dependencies. Empirical analysis on a real wind farm dataset shows that our method improves predictive accuracy over existing baselines and can be used to quantify the various impact of the terrain characteristics on turbine performance.

This paper studies Reinforcement Learning as an online controller for curtailment-aware workload shifting in wind-turbine-integrated high-performance computing (HPC) data centers. We introduce a reproducible fixed-day simulation framework with synthetic wind and price signals and delayed completion feedback, designed to be extensible toward more complex scenarios. As a controlled benchmarking basis, we then focus on the minimal case with one wind turbine and one co-located data center. In this setting, pure Reinforcement Learning exhibits a pronounced credit-assignment problem and tends to underuse free wind energy early in the day. We therefore evaluate two complementary countermeasures: optimization-based Imitation Learning and potential-based Reward Shaping. Across multi-seed training and a 200-day test set, Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and a Soft Actor-Critic (SAC) variant with an additional on-policy update routine achieve strong empirical performance among learned policies, and both Imitation Learning and Reward Shaping provide improvements in relevant configurations. A performance gap to the optimizer remains, which is expected: the optimizer plans offline with full-day foresight, whereas Reinforcement Learning must decide online from current observations without future realizations. The benchmark and ablation results provide a transparent basis for extending the approach toward richer multi-site and continuous-time scenarios.

Reliable structural health monitoring (SHM) of offshore wind turbine (OWT) support structures requires fast state estimation from sparse measurements. Repeated high fidelity finite element or aeroelastic analyses are difficult to use directly in online monitoring loops, while purely data-driven surrogates can require large training sets. This paper presents Digi Turbine, a synthetic reliability-aware Physics Informed Neural Network (PINN) benchmark for OWT monopile support structure monitoring. The workflow embeds a simplified Euler Bernoulli beam equation with Winkler soil foundation in the training objective, couples it with Bayesian-prior-informed inverse identification, and adds First Order Reliability Method (FORM) screening. All validation uses synthetic configurations with analytical or finite-difference ground truth motivated by the NREL 5MW reference turbine context.

Inspection of offshore wind turbine rotor blades is critical for predictive maintenance to maximise efficiency and extend operational lifetime. However, it remains a challenging task due to remote locations, large structural dimensions, and the limitations of current UAV-compatible sensor systems. While existing approaches can detect certain types of surface anomalies, reliable classification of defect types often remains a manual and error-prone process. This paper presents the design of a UAV-mounted multimodal sensor network combining an industrial RGB camera, a passive thermal infrared camera, and an in-house developed 3D scanner. All sensors are co-calibrated into a common coordinate frame, enabling spatial superimposition of geometric, colour, and thermal data. The system is designed to operate at close range, addressing three fundamental sensing challenges: platform motion, large field of view, and millimetre-level measurement accuracy. Preliminary laboratory results demonstrate synchronised multi-sensor acquisition and initial point cloud reconstructions, forming the basis for future airborne inspection trials.

Surface winds can vary substantially from one minute to the next, so there is scope for studying its variation on this fine time scale. Restricting to the month of June to minimize seasonality, this work develops a range of machine learning models for generating realistic time series of surface wind vectors at a site in Lamont, Oklahoma based on more than 30 years of high quality measurements at the minute time scale. Such a generator could be used as an input into models from a range of disciplines, notably for wind energy, but also wildfire spread and aviation, among others. The data show complex diurnal structures in both wind speed and direction that would be challenging to capture with standard time series models, so we consider a number of machine learning approaches to producing a stochastic wind generator based on time vector-quantized variational autoencoders. We consider generating a day's worth of data at a time and generating a day of wind vectors conditional on the previous day's winds. We also study methods for incorporating a discrete weather state variable in the generator. We evaluate the generators using a wide range of formal and informal methods. The best of these generators can capture many but not all of the complex features present in the observational data. In particular, the best of our approaches accurately mimic diurnal changes in wind volatility but struggle to match the observed distribution of extreme wind speeds.

Global wind power capacity, especially in China, is booming, with new farms spanning diverse terrains and climates. The industry urgently needs accurate wind power foundation models to shorten commissioning and accelerate grid connection. This is because site-specific time series models (TSMs) are not well suited to data-scarce scenarios and generalize poorly, while generic large time series models (LTSMs) are mostly limited to univariate inputs and cannot fully exploit static site attributes or the dependencies between power and meteorological covariates, leading to insufficient accuracy. To fill this gap, we propose \textbf{Tyan-WP}, the first wind power foundation model for ultra-short-term probabilistic forecasting. Pretrained on a large-scale wind power dataset covering more than 126,000 U.S. sites over seven years, Tyan-WP further improves zero-shot forecasting through two domain-specific module designs: static site embedding using coordinate, terrain, and ecoregion metadata, and a power-aware meteorological fusion (PAMF) module that models interactions between historical power and meteorological covariates. Under a unified evaluation protocol, Tyan-WP surpasses eight site-specific supervised TSMs on 10 in-domain sites and outperforms eleven generic LTSMs on 127 in-domain sites, reducing MAE by 19.9%, RMSE by 16.6%, CRPS by 22.2%, and AQL by 21.7%, while raising R^2 by 16.7%. It further demonstrates strong cross-geography generalization on six real U.K. sites. These results show that the wind power foundation model can achieve accurate zero-shot forecasting without target-site training, providing a practical pathway for rapid turbine onboarding and probabilistic risk management at new wind farms.

Machine learning-based predictive emissions monitoring systems offer a practical alternative to direct emissions measurement, but their deployment across gas turbine fleets is challenging when emissions labels are available for only a small subset of assets. In this work, a trust-aware probabilistic framework is proposed for fleet-level gas turbine NOx prediction under limited labelled supervision. The framework combines a multi-head recurrent prediction model with learned confidence estimation, ensemble-based uncertainty quantification, auxiliary feature prediction, feature-space distance analysis, and operating-range diagnostics. These signals are calibrated on labelled data to produce interpretable per-sample trust scores, providing indicators of prediction reliability on unlabelled turbines, supporting the identification of predictions that should be treated with greater caution during fleet-level deployment. Confidence-based filtering reduces MAE from 0.202 at full coverage to 0.070 for the highest-confidence 10% of predictions, demonstrating that confidence estimates are meaningfully related to prediction error. Unlabelled and out-of-distribution samples exhibit increased uncertainty and reduced confidence, indicating that the framework responds appropriately to distributional shift. The results show that the proposed trust framework provides actionable reliability information for emissions prediction on unlabelled turbines, supporting more transparent and trustworthy deployment of PEMS across industrial fleets.

With the increasing scale and number of wind farms, wind turbines' daily operation and maintenance costs are increasing. To reduce operation and maintenance costs and enhance the reliability of wind turbine and system operation data before reaching catastrophic failures, monitoring the operating status of the equipment and detecting failures at an early stage is crucial. It is of great practical significance to utilize the working condition data for abnormal assessment of the operating status of wind turbines to realize abnormal monitoring of the operating status of wind turbines. However, the existing anomaly detection methods can neither perform effective relational modeling in data filled with a large amount of redundant information nor reasonably utilize the valuable anomaly data. For this reason, this paper proposes an anomaly detection model that fuses a Transformer and a generative adversarial network. Firstly, it reduces the leakage detection rate of minor deviation anomalies by amplifying the reconstruction error. Secondly, it uses autoregressive inference to extract multimodal features to enhance the stability and generalization ability of training. Finally, the temporal feature extraction module is constructed to promote the interactive learning between features of different time scales and effectively reduce the time redundancy. The results of multiple sets of experiments conducted on real WTG datasets show that TransGAN-WT achieves an average F1 score of 96.10% across multiple wind turbine datasets, which is 5.84% and 2.89% higher than several other state-of-the-art baseline methods. It also realizes a false positive rate (FPR) of 0.06%, and is verified by the Wilcoxon signed-rank test to have achieved a statistically significant performance enhancement compared to the state-of-the-art baseline methods, effectively ensuring the stable operation of wind turbines.

Interval wind speed forecasting is essential for the efficient integration of wind energy into power systems, as it accounts for the inherent uncertainty of wind resources. This study presents a systematic literature review focused on hybrid approaches to interval forecasting of wind generation, exploring the combination of deep learning, modal decomposition, and statistical methods. To guide the paper selection, Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) was applied for topic modeling, enabling the identification of patterns and research trends. The findings emphasize that integrating hybrid models with decomposition techniques-such as Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) and Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD)-enhances forecast accuracy and reliability by narrowing prediction intervals without compromising coverage. Regarding interval construction, most studies adopt a dual-model strategy, independently forecasting the lower and upper bounds. Input data are commonly decomposed using techniques like EMD, EEMD, or VMD, which extract frequency-based components. These components serve as inputs to models such as LSTM or ELM, trained separately for each bound. This approach allows for targeted modeling of uncertainty, improving flexibility and precision, Interval quality is typically evaluated through metrics that balance coverage and interval width. The review also highlights challenges, including the lack of standardized evaluation metrics, computational complexity, and limited real-world validation. Overall, the study reinforces the value of interval forecasting for wind energy operations and offers insights for advancing model robustness and decision-making.

As wind turbine fleets age, data-driven reliability engineering is essential to optimise their operation and maintenance for service life extension and levelised cost of energy reduction. Failure event descriptions within historical maintenance logs are a source of valuable reliability intelligence. However, they typically appear as unstructured natural language entries, rendering them inaccessible for quantitative analysis. This paper presents a novel methodology leveraging a large language model (LLM) to systematically standardise and structure maintenance logs based on their free-text descriptors. Operating on a dataset of 16,316 maintenance logs from 280 turbines monitored over nine years, the developed model-agnostic framework autonomously corrected hierarchical system codes and extracted evidence-based taxonomies of maintenance actions and failure modes. The automated pipeline successfully structured over 70% of the dataset. It resolved pervasive misclassification issues, such as isolating previously unclassified pitch system faults and restoring missing system codes, and enriched the records by applying empirical taxonomies to label specific actions taken and failure modes addressed. By using system-based log batches to construct empirical dictionaries of failure modes, observable symptoms, dominant mechanisms, and candidate causes, this approach reduces the inherent subjectivity of manual failure modes and effects analysis (FMEA). Ultimately, the methodology provides a highly scalable, cost-effective blueprint for translating large sets of qualitative field observations into quantitative reliability metrics, laying the foundation for integrated root-cause analysis across the renewable energy sector, improved FMEA, and advanced predictive maintenance.

Quantization is an effective approach to reduce the memory footprint and inference cost of large language models (LLMs), yet maintaining performance in the ultra-low-bit regime remains challenging. Existing post-training methods often suffer from severe accuracy degradation, while quantization-aware training requires costly retraining and additional resources. Moreover, most mixed-precision strategies rely on coarse-grained or heuristic sensitivity analysis that overlooks fine-grained variations within weight matrices. We propose WINDQuant, a reinforcement-learning-based allocation controller for ultra-low-bit LLM quantization. Rather than introducing another low-level quantization operator, WINDQuant learns how to assign bit-widths and quantization treatments to fine-grained column chunks under a global storage budget. By operating at the column-chunk level, WINDQuant enables flexible and fine-grained precision assignment within layers under a global target bit-width. The implementation combines PPO with activation-aware calibration, lightweight per-unit quantizer fitting, and explicit effective-bit accounting of the learned mixed-precision plan. Experiments on LLaMA models demonstrate that WINDQuant achieves competitive performance in ultra-low-bit settings while reducing optimization overhead relative to retraining-based approaches, highlighting reinforcement learning as a practical controller for adaptive mixed-precision quantization.

Automated industrial inspection requires both precise defect localization and structured maintenance report generation; in current practice these tasks are handled separately, with linguistic interpretation left to human experts. This paper describes a decoupled, edge-deployable pipeline for wind turbine blade inspection built from three components that each handle a distinct sub-task. The Eyes a YOLO26-x-obb oriented bounding-box detector localizes defects at dataset-native resolution. The Bridge a deterministic, parameter-free encoding module maps each detected bounding box to grid-referenced spatial tokens embedded in a structured prompt. The Brain a 4-bit quantized Qwen-2.5-1.5B model adapted with Quantized Low-Rank Adaptation (QLoRA) on 947 synthetically generated maintenance reports generates a structured JSON report from that prompt. Retrieval-Augmented Fine-Tuning (RAFT) further grounds each recommendation in indexed maintenance procedures. Five ablation experiments, scored by BLEU-4, ROUGE-L, Hallucination Rate (HR), and an LLM-as-a-Judge rubric, compare the pipeline against a monolithic vision-language model (VLM) baseline and against partial configurations in which one component is removed. The complete system achieves BLEU-4 0.41, HR=4%, and Expert Score = 8.6/10 compared with 0.07, 65%, and 3.3/10 for the zero-shot VLM baseline. The QLoRA-adapted 1.5B model generates higher-quality reports than a 671B-parameter generalist API model given identical detection evidence, at 47 tokens per second on a single T4-class GPU. The results show that purpose-built decoupled architecture with a small domain-specific training corpus outperforms a generalist end-to-end model on this structured generation task.

Most of the world's offshore wind resource lies in waters too deep for fixed-bottom foundations, making floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) essential for deep-water deployment. As the industry scales toward $22$ MW class designs, tower fatigue becomes increasingly critical because larger structures amplify the coupled aero-hydro-servo-elastic loads induced by continuous wind and wave excitation. Accurate fatigue-damage prediction is therefore central to certification, design optimization, and cost reduction. Yet the field lacks a shared surrogate benchmark: studies report different simulations, splits, and metrics, making methods difficult to compare. We present FLOATBench, a public tabular benchmark with $582{,}120$ per-section fatigue-damage labels across three $22$ MW FOWT tower geometries, derived from $19{,}404$ high-fidelity OpenFAST simulations across the three towers ($6{,}468$ per tower: $1{,}078$ aligned wind/wave operating points $\times$ six turbulence seeds), labeled at $30$ cross-sections per tower. FLOATBench includes a regime-aware alpha-shape partition of the joint wind/wave operating envelope, stratifying test points into in-train, interpolation, and extrapolation regimes. It is paired with a reproducible evaluation harness covering three protocol levels: random validation (E1), within-tower regime-aware evaluation (E2), and cross-tower transfer (E3). The regime-aware protocol reveals rank shifts between global and extrapolation performance that random-split leaderboards cannot detect. To the authors' knowledge, FLOATBench is the first FOWT fatigue benchmark for tabular surrogate modeling, and offers an evaluation protocol that generalizes to engineering surrogates defined over physical operating envelopes. Dataset and code available at: https://github.com/Joao97ribeiro/FLOATBench.

Statistical downscaling is a crucial component of the weather modeling field, where high-resolution outputs must be reconstructed from coarse-resolution inputs with the full cost of dynamical refinement. In this work, we investigate a hybrid quantum-classical corrective diffusion model for probabilistic statistical downscaling of weather fields. The proposed model inserts variational quantum circuit layers into the most compressed bottleneck of the diffusion UNet while leaving the regression branch fully classical. This placement tests whether quantum circuits can act as compact nonlinear feature maps for latent-channel mixing. We evaluate intra-channel and cross-channel ansätze on 10m wind components. On the 2020 validation set, the hybrid models remain stable, preserve the large-scale spatial organization of the generated wind fields, and improve both MAE and CRPS relative to a classical corrective diffusion model in several configurations. Structural diagnostics further show that the hybrid variants preserve kinetic-energy spectra and windspeed distributions similar to its classical counterpart while producing controlled changes in tail behavior, extreme-windspeed localization, and joint wind field components structure. Backend studies on the 2020 validation set show negligible impact from simulated device noise at the tested circuit scale, whereas real-hardware deployment remains limited by qubit availability and execution fidelity. The 2021 out-of-distribution test shows that these in-distribution gains do not transfer uniformly under temporal shift, revealing a generalization gap that motivates future mitigation through stabilization and regularization. These results show that bottleneck-level quantum hybridization can make a nontrivial contribution to weather statistical downscaling, while also highlighting that circuit scale and hardware deployment remain key limiting factors.

AI power demand is growing at an unprecedented rate while power grids are often ailing and struggle to keep up. Grid expansion comes with high capital expenditure and long-distance transmission losses, yet there is abundant renewable energy at the source, just not matched to demand. This paper proposes a complementary AI infrastructure deployment model, AI Greenferencing, that brings modular AI compute to renewable energy sources, focusing on wind, allowing AI footprint expansion, generating local behind-the-meter demand for renewable sites, and helping ease the growing strain on power utilities. Our feasibility analysis shows that 890+ GW of wind capacity lies within 50 ms network round trip time of Azure data centers, and that site-wise right-sizing combined with spatial complementarity of wind energy keeps aggregate fleet utilization on par with traditional deployments. To serve inference requests under variable wind power, we build XWind, a lightweight, reactive, and workload-agnostic AI inference router that uses only real-time signals: inference latency, KV-cache utilization, and queue depth, to dynamically configure sites and distribute requests. Evaluated on a real 64-GPU A100 testbed emulating three wind-powered sites with Azure production traces, XWind reduces P99 end-to-end latency by up to 52% over the strongest contender (also our idea) and by up to 98% over baselines such as power-capping and GPU idling, with consistent gains across workload types, load levels, and GPU generations.

Close-proximity offshore wind turbine inspection requires strict clearance control around large cylindrical structures under wind and model mismatch. Nominal Nonlinear Model Predictive Control (NMPC) may violate safety constraints when mass, inertia, thrust effectiveness, drag, or wind conditions differ from nominal assumptions. We propose a sensitivity-based robust NMPC for a tilted multirotor that robustifies the tower-clearance constraint via online constraint tightening. First-order parametric state sensitivities provide a structured-uncertainty margin, while bounded gusts are handled by a stage-dependent additive margin. The formulation augments the nominal NMPC with sensitivity propagation and margin evaluation only, leaving the receding-horizon optimization structure unchanged. Monte-Carlo evaluation over 500 uncertainty realizations on a boundary-critical helical inspection trajectory shows that the proposed controller eliminates the clearance violations observed under nominal NMPC at the cost of a moderate increase in solve time.

The increasing flexibility of modern large wind turbine blades necessitates cost-efficient and reliable structural monitoring solutions. For this purpose, we propose to use aerodynamic pressure measurements obtained via Aerosense, a novel, non-intrusive and economical sensing system. In former work [Franz et al., 2025], we investigated the potential of aerodynamic pressure measurements for structural damage detection on elastic and aerodynamically loaded structures. An experimental campaign was conducted on a NACA 633418 airfoil mounted on a vertically vibrating cantilever beam within an open wind tunnel. Structural damage was introduced progressively through controlled saw cuts near the beam support. Aerodynamic pressure distributions were recorded under varying inflow conditions and structural states. Based on this data set, we developed a convolutional neural network to detect structural damage and classify its severity using only aerodynamic pressure signals. The results demonstrate that pressure measurements can effectively enable real-time detection and quantification of damage in elastic, beam-like structures subjected to mildly turbulent flow and varying operational conditions. Recognizing the limitations of pure black-box classification, in this study, we further incorporate physics-based insights and explainable machine learning methods to interpret how structural damage influences both the dynamic response and the aerodynamic pressure field. This leads to an enhanced damage detection pipeline, aiming to improve transparency, robustness, and physical consistency in data-driven monitoring of elastic, aerodynamically loaded structures.

Monitoring high-dimensional engineering structures in extreme environments is limited by non-stationary excitation, nonlinear structural kinematics, and stochastic forcing. Traditional model-based and black-box data-driven methods often struggle to resolve these dynamics in real time, particularly under sensor failure or partial observability. This paper introduces a rank-optimized digital twin framework based on Koopman operator theory, Hankel-matrix embeddings, and dynamic mode decomposition. By lifting operational data into a linear invariant subspace, the method enables autonomous, input-blind reconstruction of structural states without requiring a priori mass or stiffness matrices. The framework is validated on an NREL 5MW spar-buoy floating offshore wind turbine, representing a challenging coupled aero-hydro-servo-elastic system. Results show that the rank-optimized Koopman-Hankel manifold separates structural resonances from deterministic 3P rotor harmonics under colored noise, where standard subspace identification can be unreliable. A rolling-horizon virtual sensing strategy achieves high-fidelity reconstruction at critical structural hotspots, with coefficient of determination greater than 0.95 at 1 Hz data assimilation and accuracy exceeding 0.99 at higher sampling rates. By estimating a physical Lyapunov time of approximately 1.0 s, the study defines the predictability horizon associated with the system information barrier. The proposed framework provides a computationally efficient and resilient digital twin approach for real-time identification and virtual sensing of complex structural dynamics.

Multi-scale dynamic wake modeling and prediction are essential for the real-time control and optimization of floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs). In this study, wakes of FOWTs under coupled surge and pitch motions across a range of Strouhal numbers (St), which can induce wake meandering, are modeled via two novel deep-learning frameworks: physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) and Fourier neural operators (FNOs). The high-fidelity dataset is obtained from large-eddy simulations with the actuator line model (LES-AL). The results demonstrate that the dominant large-scale dynamic structures, such as meandering, can be well modeled by both frameworks; however, FNOs exhibit significant advantages over the PINN model in terms of efficiency (8-fold computational speedup and 40-fold faster convergence), long-term predictive capability, and multi-scale coherent structural fidelity. Furthermore, the wakes predicted by the PINN model exhibit a smoothing effect that limits the resolution of high-frequency coherent structures and underestimates turbulent fluctuations in both the wake center and half-width. Spectral analysis reveals that FNOs resolve the primary meandering frequency (where Stp denotes the frequency induced by the coupled surge and pitch motions), its corresponding higher-order harmonics (2Stp, 3Stp), and the energy cascade. In contrast, the energy cascade in the PINN predictions dissipates more rapidly in the high-frequency regime (St > 1.0). Additionally, the pre-multiplied power spectral density indicates that the energy contained in meandering and the corresponding harmonic frequencies modeled by PINNs is relatively low compared to that in CFD and FNOs. These findings suggest that FNOs are promising for the high-fidelity, real-time modeling of FOWT wakes.

Modern container ships face higher wind loads due to increased windage areas, making accurate predictions of wind loads essential for mooring design. Existing empirical models, largely developed for container ships with smaller windage areas and simpler geometrical configurations than those of modern large-scale vessels, often lack accuracy and do not account for the influence of nearby structures. This study proposes a multi-fidelity surrogate modelling framework for the prediction of wind-load coefficients, combining empirical correlations with simplified and detailed CFD models for ships in open-sea and harbor environments. The approach relies on recursive co-kriging to consistently fuse information across fidelity levels, enabling accurate predictions at a reduced computational cost. A sensitivity analysis is used to identify the most influential geometric parameters, and the resulting reduced parameter space is explored through sequential sampling to efficiently construct the training database. The surrogate models are validated over a wide range of loading configurations and for two distinct harbor environments. The results demonstrate that the multi-fidelity approach significantly improves prediction accuracy compared to single-fidelity models, while substantially reducing the reliance on high-fidelity simulations. In particular, the proposed framework captures the dependence of wind loads on key geometric parameters and consistently outperforms traditional empirical correlations, providing a robust and efficient tool for engineering applications.

The offshore wind energy sector is expanding rapidly, increasing the need for independent, high-temporal-resolution monitoring of infrastructure deployment and operation at global scale. While Earth Observation based offshore wind infrastructure mapping has matured for spatial localization, existing open datasets lack temporally dense and semantically fine-grained information on construction and operational dynamics. We introduce a global Sentinel-1 synthetic aperture radar (SAR) time series data corpus that resolves deployment and operational phases of offshore wind infrastructure from 2016Q1 to 2025Q1. Building on an updated object detection workflow, we compile 15,606 time series at detected infrastructure locations, with overall 14,840,637 events as analysis-ready 1D SAR backscatter profiles, one profile per Sentinel-1 acquisition and location. To enable direct use and benchmarking, we release (i) the analysis ready 1D SAR profiles, (ii) event-level baseline semantic labels generated by a rule-based classifier, and (iii) an expert-annotated benchmark dataset of 553 time series with 328,657 event labels. The baseline classifier achieves a macro F1 score of 0.84 in event-wise evaluation and an area under the collapsed edit similarity-quality threshold curve (AUC) of 0.785, indicating temporal coherence. We demonstrate that the resulting corpus supports global-scale analyses of deployment dynamics, the identification of differences in regional deployment patterns, vessel interactions, and operational events, and provides a reference for developing and comparing time series classification methods for offshore wind infrastructure monitoring.

Accurate production forecasts are essential for the integration of renewable energy sources into the power grid. This paper illustrates how to obtain probabilistic forecasts of wind power generation using gradient boosting trees and an ensemble of weather forecasts. To this end, we perform a comparative analysis across three state-of-the-art probabilistic prediction methods-conformalized quantile regression, natural gradient boosting and conditional diffusion models-all of which can be combined with tree-based machine learning. The methods are validated using four years of data for all Belgian offshore wind farms. We benchmark the models against the power curve and a calibrated wake model as well as a probabilistic method using stochastic variational Gaussian process regression. The tree-based models significantly reduce the mean absolute error in comparison to the deterministic baselines. Additionally, all three methods outperform the Gaussian process baseline in probabilistic skill, while two out of the three also improve point forecast accuracy. The conditional diffusion model attains the best performance, with improvements of 5% in mean absolute error and 12% in continuous rank probability score compared to the probabilistic baseline. Last, the results indicate an average improvement in point forecast accuracy of 17% by using an ensemble of weather forecasts instead of a single provider.