Scalable Oversight

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Period ending 2026-09-14

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Scalable Oversight.

Period ending 2026-09-07

1 new paper

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Scalable Oversight.

25 papers

Latest in Scalable Oversight

Sep 7, 2026cs.LG

The Oversight Gap: What LLM Safety Monitors Miss, and Why It Is Not Capability

Several properties safety monitors are asked to certify, among them cross-tenant noninterference, sandbagging and evaluation awareness, are 2-safety hyperproperties, witnessed only by two executions. The standard consequence is a binary impossibility: one trace cannot decide them. We replace the binary with a measurement. A tight bound puts the balanced accuracy of any single-trace monitor at 12+12TV(P0,P1)\tfrac12+\tfrac12\,TV(P_0,P_1), turning undecidability into a graded detectability frontier and defining an oversight gap: a monitor's shortfall below it. On a leak family with closed-form TVTV, nine LLM monitors are optimal at TV=0TV=0 but capture little signal as TVTV grows; at TV=1TV=1, where a 20-line membership check scores 100%100\%, they average 60.9%60.9\%. That shortfall is mostly not capability: naming what to check closes 61%61\% of it while leaving the TV=0TV=0 control at chance. The same split runs through a 2×22{\times}2 factorial: an imagined second run leaves monitors at chance (50.4%50.4\%) while the same rule on an executed second run reaches 90.0%90.0\%, and a stored oracle without a comparison procedure yields only 68.2%68.2\%. Information and procedure are each necessary and neither is capability. Under nondeterminism, replay tracks a closed-form kk-replay curve only under the right projection, and a projection frontier shows the resulting dilemma is forced: narrow misses 98.6%98.6\% of off-channel leaks, broad flags 75.7%75.7\% of clean traffic, and attainable accuracy decays like 1/(qm)1/(qm) in the benign-variation rate and the channel count. Finally, two frontier LLM judges certified an earlier version of our own benchmark as sound while a sign test found a directional bias (p=2.7×105p=2.7\times10^{-5}) that invalidated three of our findings. Construction validity for hyperproperty benchmarks should be proved mechanically, not audited by models.
Xin Xu
Aug 24, 2026cs.AI

AI Agents Push Humans Out of the Loop

AI agents pose significant risks as they are granted increasing autonomy. A commonly proposed solution is human oversight and keeping a ''human in the loop'', but this is not a simple solution: Not only do current approaches to AI agent design impede effective human oversight, but the cognitive capacities required for it are also themselves degraded by extended use of AI systems. This position paper argues that current approaches to the development and deployment of AI agent systems do not support effective human oversight -- they contribute to its degradation. To address this, a top priority in the advancement of AI agents should be supporting the situated goals and cognitive requirements of effective human oversight, treating the human needs of overseers at the same level of importance as AI agent capability. To put this idea into practice, we connect work on automation and human-computer interaction to AI agent processes, outlining design-level affordances and organizational protocols that (1) support overseers in exercising critical judgement and (2) counteract the skill atrophy that arises from extended use of automation. We urge developers and deployers to adopt these or similar approaches. Without explicit support for the cognitive demands of effective human-agent interaction, AI agent systems will continue to passively incentivize the degradation of the very human skills they rely on.
Margaret Mitchell, Avijit Ghosh, Samir Passi
Aug 10, 2026cs.AI

Evaluation-Conditioned Training: Teaching Models to Generalize to Stronger Oversight Regimes

Feedback signals used to train Large Language Models (LLMs) are the primary driver of their behavior and our main lever for instilling alignment with human values and objectives. However, a key limitation of current post-training methods is the inability of human annotators and automated reward functions to faithfully capture the feedback we would like to give. We introduce Evaluation-Conditioned Training (ECT), a post-training framework that uses natural language to condition each training sample on the fidelity of the feedback we provide and then elicits the desired behavior by conditioning the LLM on a high-fidelity monitor in deployment. ECT is aimed at improving performance under imperfect feedback and works as an add-on to existing algorithms such as SFT and PPO. We first provide a conceptual framework for ECT and discuss its potential to address persistent sources of reward mis-specification. Then we motivate ECT in the context of the eliciting latent knowledge (ELK) problem. Finally, we evaluate ECT on two proof-of-concept experiments: increasing even-handedness in news article generation and reducing sycophancy on an arithmetic task. In each setting, we utilize imperfect feedback, rewarding bias and agreement with the user, respectively. In both settings, ECT improves the targeted behavior relative to direct training.
Alec Harris, Kasey Corra, Archie Chaudhury +1
Aug 6, 2026cs.AI

OPERA: Operator-residual feedback for reliable autonomous optical experiments with language-model agents

Autonomous agents choose actions using scores that may not reflect experimental success. We developed OPERA, an operator-residual framework for optical experiments. It represents experimental actions as optical operators and evaluates their outcomes using physically interpretable residuals. Operators specify executable changes to measurement, control or reconstruction, while residuals report departures from specified physical conditions. The agent uses both to select, combine or generate operators, and physical performance is evaluated independently against a withheld reference. Across three optical tasks, score-only feedback produced score increases without physical improvement in 23.6--39.0% of decisions, compared with 0.9--1.9% for operator-residual feedback. Operator-residual feedback increased the probability of reaching and maintaining task targets and reduced experimental budgets. Protocols selected in digital twins were transferred to three optical instruments, and repeated experiments showed a lower projection budget in structured-light reconstruction. Together, operators and residuals guide autonomous decisions using measurable physical evidence.
Ning Xu, Xiang Zheng, Fuqiang Zhong +4
Aug 5, 2026cs.LG

Sharding Prevents LLM Oversight Failures and Adversarial Exploitation

Giving an LLM judge more compute does not necessarily make it check more requirements. When one call must return many verdicts, some decisions become weakly grounded in the evidence, even when that call receives the same token or tool budget as a panel of separate calls. Across expert-graded research replications, legal work, and clinical-trial assessments, agreement with experts falls as the number of verdicts per call grows. We identify sharding as the intervention that mitigates this failure in model-based oversight. Sharding partitions the requirements into smaller groups, assigns each group to a separate call, and aggregates the verdicts. Against a single call with the panel's full budget, sharding improves agreement while holding the model, evidence, total budget, and per-decision budget fixed. Overall, we find that a sharded weaker judge can outperform a more capable holistic judge and match that judge even when the latter receives the panel's full budget. Additionally, we find that sharding exhibits robustness against adversaries. A best-of-N adversary can hold the underlying work fixed, vary only its presentation, and increase an overloaded judge's acceptance of genuinely unmet criteria severalfold. Wherever sharding reduces baseline error, it removes this adversarial advantage, keeping over-acceptance low even as the adversary's search widens. Sharding does not address attacks that persuade the judge separately on each criterion rather than exploiting overload. In that setting, we find that debate-style opposition on top of sharding withstands such adaptive re-optimization.
Victor Akinwande, J. Zico Kolter, Aran Nayebi
Aug 3, 2026cs.AI

Leveraging AI for fine-grained food safety risk forecasting in sparse data conditions

Ensuring food safety represents a critical public health challenge, particularly when inspection resources are limited and regional sampling data are sparse. This study proposes a Transformer-based framework capable of forecasting fine-grained, city-level food safety risks by unifying over 11 million inspection records with supplemental demographic, economic, and environmental indicators extracted from the Statistical Yearbook. A three-stage pretraining design leverages partial supervision from the Wilson interval (capturing both safety and risk rankings), together with semi-supervised label refinement, to effectively utilize historical records even when local sample sizes are insufficient. Experimental evaluations on data from 2022 show that the proposed approach outperforms baselines significantly. A subsequent field experiment in collaboration with the Zhejiang Provincial Administration for Market Regulation further demonstrates improved detection rates and more efficient allocation of inspection resources compared to a manually developed plan. Observations of regulatory decision-making reveal a threshold-based heuristic employed by inspectors, hinting that additional training or decision-support interfaces could further enhance the impact of AI-generated risk scores. Overall, these findings underscore that a rigorous integration of large-scale public inspection data, Wilson interval-based confidence modeling, and advanced deep learning can facilitate earlier and more granular identification of food safety threats. By reducing reliance on reactive measures alone, the proposed framework has the potential to advance proactive, data-driven oversight of the global food supply.
Dongqi Wang, Weiwei Chen, Han Zhou +1
Jul 23, 2026cs.AI

Regulating autonomous and agentic AI

Regulating activities where regulatees use autonomous and agentic AI is challenging. Regulatory assumptions about regulatee knowledge and control no longer hold true; much of that lies elsewhere in the AI supply chain which thus needs to be brought within the scope of regulation. Governance systems for autonomous AI cannot replicate existing governance models, but need a fresh approach. Retrospective supervisory oversight becomes ineffective as a risk management tool, and AI autonomy generates new systemic risks which require new solutions. This paper investigate four regulatory systems: UK regulation of content platforms, data protection, UK financial services, and the EU AI Act'92s cross-sectoral regime. It analyses the challenges posed by autonomous and agentic AI and proposes potential solutions which regulators might adopt. These will transform regulation from a reactive process to an active one, and assist it in adapting to the challenges of AI autonomy.
Chris Reed, Alex Austria, Anmol Bharuka +3
Jul 17, 2026cs.AI

Nonuniformity Principle in Human-AI Coworking

As generative AI is increasingly applied to automate multi-step and high-stake workflows, human judgment and involvement remain essential for ensuring the quality of AI-generated outputs. In practice, while it is desirable for human experts to provide oversight on AI regularly, often by reviewing intermediate outputs, giving feedback, making corrections, and steering subsequent steps, such oversight is constrained by the time and resources that humans can afford. This creates a tension between the need for human oversight and AI's efficiency in delivering more output with less intervention. An important but underexplored question, then, is how to optimally engage humans in human-AI coworking. This work was originally motivated by our empirical observation that in long AI workflows, human oversight often improves user satisfaction while reducing unnecessary rework and token consumption. From there, we formulate the problem of where to place oversight stages in human-AI coworking. Under reasonable assumptions, we then develop the nonuniformity principle, which states that the optimal schedule places oversight stages with non-decreasing gaps along the workflow. We empirically validate this principle in two common AI agent workflows: writing literature reviews and constructing websites.
An Luo, Jie Ding
Jul 5, 2026cs.AI

Agentic SABRE: An Uncertainty-Aware Neuro-Symbolic Multi-Agent Framework for Adaptive Ransomware Detection

Ransomware has evolved into a complex, adaptive, and fast-moving adversary category in which static signatures and monolithic classifiers fail to generalise under concept drift, evasion, and behavioural polymorphism. In this paper, we present Agentic SABRE (Semantic-Behavioural Arbitration for Ransomware Evaluation), an uncertainty-aware, neuro-symbolic, multi-agent framework for adaptive ransomware detection. SABRE fuses semantic, representation-based evidence with behavioural, time-window forensic telemetry and employs Monte Carlo Dropout inference to quantify epistemic uncertainty for each agent. We introduce a decision-layer orchestrator that performs risk- and uncertainty-aware triage using two interpretable thresholds: a risk score and an uncertainty budget. High-confidence, high-risk samples are automatically contained, while uncertain or borderline cases are escalated to human analysts, establishing a flexible computational contract between autonomous response and analyst oversight. To support auditability and trust, SABRE integrates post-hoc explainability mechanisms, including gradient saliency, permutation importance, and counterfactual analysis, enabling both local and global interpretation of agent decisions. Extensive evaluation on RDset and RanSMAP demonstrates that Agentic SABRE preserves perfect discrimination on saturated semantic datasets, with AUC equal to 1.0, while improving robustness under weak behavioural signals. It achieves up to a 4.9 percent relative reduction in false escalations at equal recall while maintaining calibrated predictive uncertainty. Counterfactual analysis further shows that semantic and behavioural decisions can be reversed with bounded perturbation cost, indicating stable and interpretable decision boundaries.
Henry Kabuye, Biju Issac, Jeyamohan Neera
Jul 2, 2026cs.AI

Steerability via constraints: a substrate for scalable oversight of coding agents

Coding agents are capable; human oversight is the bottleneck. Unconstrained agents introduce security risks, erode codebase scalability, and make human review increasingly costly. We argue that the same methods used for decades to manage large human engineering teams: access control, network policies, strict coding conventions enforced by tooling; transfer directly to coding agents, and are cheaper (in token) than recent agentic scaffolding. We sketch a start-to-end system on this principle, and report a controlled experiment in scalable oversight: a small reviewer (Gemma 4 e4b) inspects a Python codebase containing 11 inserted backdoors. Recall rises from 54.5% (unconstrained, no tools) to 90.9% (constrained substrate plus a ~200-LoC docs CLI), with substrate and tools contributing independently. We choose Python deliberately: substrate-level oversight gains are largest where the language gives the fewest guarantees by default; the principles extend to languages like Rust.
Thomas Winninger
Jul 2, 2026cs.AI

Scaling Trends for Lie Detector Oversight in Preference Learning

Deceptive behavior in LLMs is costly to monitor and prevent, motivating approaches such as Scalable Oversight via Lie Detectors (SOLiD) (Cundy & Gleave, 2025), which uses lie detectors to identify responses for review by high-cost labelers. In this paper, we scale SOLiD to larger models and evaluate it in more diverse and realistic preference-learning settings. We find favorable scaling: undetected deception drops from 34% for 1B-parameter models to 14% for 405B-parameter models at a detector true positive rate of 99%, and expensive human labelers can be removed entirely from the fine-tuning phase without a statistically significant increase in deception. However, SOLiD is sensitive to distribution shift between detector training and preference-training data, which can drive detector false positive rates to impractical levels.
Oskar J. Hollinsworth, Ann-Kathrin Dombrowski, Sam Adam-Day +2
Jun 29, 2026cs.AI

Behavioral Governance for Autonomous AI Agents: The AgentBound Framework

Autonomous AI agents increasingly perform consequential actions on behalf of human principals, including financial transactions, external communications, and enterprise workflows. Existing agent infrastructure relies on identity federation and delegated authorization to authenticate workloads and control resource access, but it cannot determine whether an authorized action should be executed under the current behavioral and operational context. We present AgentBound, a runtime governance framework that provides verifiable behavioral oversight for autonomous AI agents. AgentBound evaluates each proposed action using three independent authorities: delegated authorization, owner-signed behavioral constitutions, and site action contracts. Their judgments are conservatively composed through a formal decision model to determine whether an action should be permitted, reviewed, or denied before execution. To provide accountability, AgentBound generates cryptographically verifiable governance receipts that bind every action to the exact delegation, policy, and semantic artifacts governing the decision, enabling independent replay verification and policy provenance. The framework also introduces standing delegation for long-running agents, allowing periodic workloads to operate under continuously refreshed governance policies while preserving revocability and bounded authority. We present the formal foundation, system architecture, governance receipt protocol, and AgentBound-Bench, a benchmark framework for evaluating governance correctness, authority composition, and accountability. Rather than replacing model alignment, AgentBound complements it by providing a deterministic governance layer between authorization and execution, transforming governance from a process that must be trusted into one that can be independently verified.
Anuj Kaul, Qianlong Lan, Pranay Gupta
Jun 11, 2026cs.AI

Hallucination in Medical Imaging AI: A Cross-Modality Analytical Framework for Taxonomy, Detection, and Mitigation under Regulatory Constraints

AI systems are being deployed across medical imaging faster than their failure modes are understood. At this point in time, the failure of greatest clinical concern is hallucination: clinically plausible but factually incorrect outputs, including fabricated anatomical structures, missed findings, incorrect laterality, and invented measurements in generated reports, with direct consequences, for example, for biopsy decisions, staging, and treatment planning. This structured narrative synthesizes peer-reviewed studies, benchmark datasets, and FDA regulatory guidance across five imaging modalities to produce a cross-modality analysis of hallucination taxonomy, etiology, detection, and mitigation. Specifically, we address three questions in this study: (1) how can existing taxonomies be unified across modalities?, (2) how do medical-specialized foundation models hallucinate less than general-purpose ones?, and (3) which mitigation strategies are effective and compatible with FDA lifecycle oversight? We note that three taxonomic frameworks together cover the imaging pipeline in a way no single framework does alone. We also highlight that general-purpose foundation models outperform medical-specialized models on hallucination-specific benchmarks, indicating that narrow domain fine-tuning can introduce overfitting-induced confabulation. At the same time, the oversight of radiologists remains essential; for instance, a very high percentage of of AI-generated flags required expert correction before clinical use. Physics-informed architectural constraints, Chain-of-Thought prompting, and human-in-the-loop safeguards each address different failure modes and is effective when combined. All findings are mapped to the FDA's Total Product Lifecycle and Predetermined Change Control Plan frameworks, which treat hallucination management as a lifecycle obligation rather than a pre-deployment checklist.
Omar Alshahrani, Muzammil Behzad
Jun 10, 2026cs.LG

Bootstrapped Monitoring: Leveraging Transparent Reasoning to Oversee Stronger AI Agents

Trusted monitoring is a cornerstone of AI control. However, as frontier models grow more capable, the increasing capabilities gap between trusted and untrusted models may render trusted models unreliable monitors. We introduce \emph{bootstrapped monitoring}, a protocol that addresses this by inserting a stronger, intermediate untrusted model with transparent chain-of-thought reasoning into the oversight chain. The untrusted monitor (UmU_m) evaluates the agent's actions, while a weaker trusted model (TT) oversees UmU_m's reasoning to detect collusion. We evaluate bootstrapped monitoring on multi-turn software engineering tasks (BashArena) across multiple agents and monitors. Bootstrapped monitoring substantially improves catch rates over trusted-only monitoring, even when the untrusted monitor actively colludes with the agent, provided we have access to its raw chain-of-thought. Our results suggest that bootstrapped monitoring can extend the useful lifetime of trusted models in control as AI capabilities advance.
Frank Xiao, Mary Phuong
Jun 8, 2026cs.AI

Oversight Has a Capacity: Calibrating Agent Guards to a Subjective, Fatiguing Human

As LLM agents begin to take real, irreversible actions (shell commands, file edits, deploys), the standard safety pattern is a human-in-the-loop approval gate: risky actions pause and wait for a person. We argue the gate is the easy part; the hard part is the judgment - which actions to stop - which the field evaluates against two false assumptions: that there is a ground-truth notion of "risky," and that the human reviewer is a perfect, infinitely-available oracle. On a hand-labeled set of 125 adversarially-weighted agent actions we show that (i) reviewers only moderately agree on what is risky (Fleiss' kappa = 0.52), so there is no single correct label; (ii) framing the guard as selective classification under asymmetric cost makes its operating limits measurable, and on hard inputs the guard cannot safely auto-decide; and (iii) when the reviewer is modeled as endogenous (fatiguing as escalation load grows), realized safety becomes an inverted-U in the escalation rate: more human oversight can make a system less safe, and the safety-optimal guard escalates below full escalation - a setting a load-aware policy also uses to resist a flooding attack that slips a malicious action past a fatigued reviewer. Agent oversight, framed this way, is not only a classification problem but a resource-allocation one: human attention is finite, and the guard's escalation policy spends it. We claim none of these mechanisms as novel - fatigue-aware learning-to-defer (FALCON), cost-sensitive deferral under workload constraints (DeCCaF), trajectory-level guarding, and reviewer-fatigue/flooding attacks are all prior art we cite. Our contribution is an open-source agent-oversight system that operationalizes and measures them in the LLM-agent action-gating setting, turning "is my guard good?" from a guess into a curve. The inverted-U and the flooding attack are modeling results that motivate a human study.
Emre Turan
Jun 4, 2026cs.AI

Minimal Oversight: Uncertainty-Aware Governance for Delegated AI Systems

AI systems increasingly delegate decisions to specialized models, evaluators, tools, and supervisory controllers. The central AI problem is no longer only model accuracy, but uncertainty-aware governance: how much autonomy to grant, which evidence should calibrate trust, what performance ceiling a delegated AI system can sustain, and when human intervention becomes necessary. We propose the Minimum Sufficient Oversight Principle (MSO), a variational principle for principled autonomy delegation: minimize governance burden on the Fisher information manifold subject to a delivery constraint. The resulting Euler-Lagrange solution yields a water-filling allocation of governed delegation across the task space. Building on a revealed-action governed delegation channel model, we prove a capacity theorem for stationary symbolwise review policies, derive a local first-order approximation relating workflow complexity to quality degradation, and give a drift-dominated autonomy-time scaling law linking intervention timing to effective capacity, complexity, and drift. Within this framework, masking appears as a structural AI-governance pathology: corrected performance can hide the competence signal needed to calibrate trust. Synthetic simulations and a semi-real reconstructed workflow support design prescriptions including upstream-first correction, sensitivity-based intervention, and explicit feasibility checks before autonomy is expanded. The result is a computable framework for uncertainty, planning, and oversight in delegated AI systems. A companion Python package is available at https://github.com/crbazevedo/delegation-lab.
Carlos R. B. Azevedo
Jun 3, 2026cs.SE

Human oversight of agentic systems in practice: Examining the oversight work, challenges, and heuristics of developers using software agents

Autonomous software agents hold promise to increase developer productivity but make mistakes and exhibit novel failure modes, making human oversight central to successful human-agent collaboration. Existing research on agent oversight is largely conceptual; normative frameworks exist, but how users actually oversee agents is less known. In this paper, we bridge this gap by providing early empirical anchors for the theoretical discourse on agent oversight. Drawing on interviews with 17 experienced developers, we conduct an exploratory inquiry examining what forms of emergent oversight work developers perform, when, and how. We also document the oversight challenges developers face and the strategies they have started using to address them. We found at least four forms of emergent oversight work: a priori control, co-planning, real-time monitoring, and post hoc review. We show that oversight work is not only reactive and retrospective, as portrayed in existing research, but also preventative and proactive. We describe situated oversight challenges (e.g., difficulty reviewing agent-generated code) and outline heuristics developers adopt to address such challenges (e.g., using test results as guarantees for code correctness). We conclude with high-level takeaways, future research directions, implications for the human-centered design of software agents and for software engineering practice, and limitations of our research.
Shipi Dhanorkar, Samir Passi, Mihaela Vorvoreanu
Jun 2, 2026cs.CY

Collaborative Disagreement Resolution for Scalable Oversight

Debate, where AI agents argue opposing positions, has emerged as a key approach to scalable oversight. However, debate faces a fundamental tension: models are incentivized to be persuasive to the judge, which may not always align with epistemic honesty. In this work, we propose an alternative paradigm: disagreement resolution, which reframes the interaction mechanism from adversarial debate to collaborative truth seeking. Drawing on principles from human mediation and conflict resolution, where mediators facilitate dialogue to help disputing parties reach consensus rather than adjudicating between them, we design an automated pipeline that adapts these strategies to AI oversight. Unlike standard debate where models argue for fixed positions, our pipeline directs models to collaboratively identify points of disagreement, examine the evidence for conflicting claims, and converge toward consensus or isolate the specific ''crux'' of their disagreement. We find that Disagreement Resolution consistently helps non-expert models identify the truth, achieving 62.1% judging accuracy compared to 49.2% for standard debate. Our results provide encouraging empirical evidence for rethinking the scalable oversight protocol from adversarial persuasion to collaborative truth-seeking.
Yuyang Jiang, Chacha Chen, Teng Wu +4
May 29, 2026cs.AI

Weak Critics Make Strong Learners: On-Policy Critique Distillation for Scalable Oversight

As large language models become stronger, weak supervisors may fail to provide reliable labels, preferences, or final judgments for complex outputs, limiting both weak-to-strong generalization and scalable oversight. We study a more tractable form of weak supervision: using a weak model as a critic rather than as a labeler or judge. Instead of solving the task or selecting the correct answer, the weak critic only needs to provide a non-misleading revision direction that helps the strong model better use its own knowledge. We call this setting weak-critic strong oversight. We first show that weak critiques can improve frozen strong models at inference time, and that critique quality is key to this improvement. We then propose progressive on-policy critique distillation (OPCD), which filters high-quality critiques and distills critic-guided behavior into the strong model through adaptive self-teacher signals. Experiments on reasoning and alignment benchmarks show that our method improves strong models over training epochs, suggesting an effective path for scalable oversight with weak supervision.
Can Jin, Jiakang Li, Rui Wu +2
May 27, 2026cs.AI

Calibrating Conservatism for Scalable Oversight

Agentic AI systems capable of autonomous planning and extended environmental interaction pose a fundamental control problem: how can humans maintain meaningful oversight of systems that may exceed their own capabilities? Existing approaches to scalable oversight rely on complex assumptions, remain largely heuristic, or lack practical methods for sequential settings with statistical guarantees. We introduce Calibrated Collective Oversight (CCO), which aggregates diverse auxiliary scoring functions into a penalty measuring deviation from a conservative baseline. Inspired by Attainable Utility Preservation, CCO enables collective conservatism: actions face a penalty proportional to overseer concern, so high-utility actions are still selected when overseers find them unobjectionable and overridden only when concern accumulates. CCO calibrates this conservatism online using Conformal Decision Theory, ensuring that undesirable outcomes remain below a user-specified target threshold with finite-time bounds and no distributional assumptions. On a modified version of SWE-bench, weaker overseers successfully constrain an adversarially misaligned stronger agent; on MACHIAVELLI, CCO substantially reduces ethical violations while preserving reward. In both settings, empirical violation rates closely match the specified targets, as predicted by the theory.
William Overman, Mohsen Bayati
May 26, 2026cs.CL

Debate Helps Weak Judges Reward Stronger Models

Despite theoretical promise, debate as a scalable oversight protocol has produced mixed empirical results: gains in some settings, and null effects in others, especially when the judge does not have information hidden from it. We study proposer-critic debate in a stronger-debater/weaker-judge setting on programmatically verifiable code and logic tasks. Debate helps the judge over a consultancy baseline when the critic provides a usable advantage: the critic's classification ability must exceed the judge's, and the judge must treat critic speeches as claims to verify rather than testimony to summarize. On the three of five pairings where the condition holds, proposer-critic debate's gains are statistically significant over consultancy, and these pairings are the most capable model pairings. On the two non-responder pairings in our set, debate produces null effects, and judge verification rates drop by tens of percentage points once a critic enters the transcript. In these cases the critic's binary-classification ability and the judge's are within noise of each other, and the critic's disagreement is parsed as testimony rather than a claim to check. Ablating rebuttal rounds from debate produces no measurable change in judge performance: a single independent critique recovers the bulk of debate's benefit at lower inference cost. These findings suggest a cheaper primitive for training-free scalable oversight in verifiable domains (answer, critique, judge) and a pre-deployment audit (does the critic beat the judge, and will the judge verify it?) that predicts when debate will help.
Ethan Elasky, Frank Nakasako, Naman Goyal
May 25, 2026cs.LG

The Behavioral Credibility Trilemma: When Calibrated Autonomy Becomes Impossible

We prove that no reinforcement learning policy with confidence-gated autonomy can simultaneously achieve maximum helpfulness, optimal calibration, and full autonomy under rational oversight, whenever some tasks exceed the agent's reliable competence: the Behavioral Credibility Trilemma. The impossibility is geometric -- adding any non-affine autonomy incentive to a strictly proper scoring rule destroys strict properness, so an agent rewarded for both calibrated confidence and autonomous action systematically inflates its reported confidence on tasks below the principal's approval threshold. The Behavioral Perturbation Lemma quantifies the inflation (scaling as wA/(2wC)w_A/(2 w_C) for the Brier score) and shows detection requires Ω(1/Δ2)Ω(1/Δ^2) observations. We prove the principal's optimal oversight rule is necessarily non-affine, making the impossibility unconditional and optimizer-independent across log-concave-density policy families. We formalize the Confidence-Gated Decision Problem, map existing methods onto the trilemma, and identify two constructive resolution pathways (commitment, domain separation). A 540-configuration Best-of-N experiment tests five pre-registered hypotheses, all strongly confirmed (effect sizes d=1.10d = 1.10 to 5.325.32), and adds a descriptive analysis of the achievable-(H,C,A)(H, C, A) surface geometry showing a plateau-truncated frontier consistent with the predicted inflation saturation.
Lauri Lovén, Nam Do, Hassan Mehmood +2
May 8, 2026cs.GT

The Endogeneity of Miscalibration: Impossibility and Escape in Scored Reporting

An agent's probability report is paid for twice: by a strictly proper scoring rule, and by an approval rule for the decision it triggers. In this classical decision-coupled setting, non-affine approval is known to defeat truthful reporting. We show the conflict is endogenous: when feasible, the welfare-maximizing approval rule is never affine. The distortion, however, is predictable and can be designed around. There is a reserve report at which pretending to be the marginal type costs exactly the approval prize. Approving at or above the reserve screens types perfectly under every strictly proper score, and the reserve does not depend on the type distribution. A Lipschitz rule with a single kink attains first-best exactly; under strict feasibility no continuously differentiable rule does. The binding constraint is steepness, not smoothness. First-best is attainable within a slope budget if and only if the budget is at least the critical slope: the steepest chord of the pretending cost up to the reserve. Below it the welfare loss is cubic in the shortfall. Where the pretending cost is convex up to the reserve, as for Brier, log and power scores, the critical slope is closed-form. The instances are AI-agent oversight and marketplace operation.
Lauri Lovén, Sasu Tarkoma
May 7, 2026cs.AI

Behavior Cue Reasoning: Monitorable Reasoning Improves Efficiency and Safety through Oversight

Reasoning in Large Language Models (LLMs) poses a challenge for oversight as many misaligned behaviors do not surface until reasoning concludes. To address this, we introduce Behavior Cue Reasoning for making LLM reasoning more controllable and monitorable. Behavior Cues are special token sequences that a model is trained to emit immediately before specific implicit and explicit behaviors, acting as dual purpose signal and control levers. When fine-tuning a weaker external monitor with Reinforcement Learning for reasoning oversight, a compressed view of only information surfaced by Behavior Cues is sufficient signal for the monitor to prune up to 50% of otherwise wasted reasoning tokens in complex math problem solving. When leveraged by an almost optimal rule-based monitor in an environment where excessive constraint violations results in failure, Behavior Cues allows for the recovery of safe actions from 80% of reasoning traces that would otherwise end with the proposal of an unsafe action, more than doubling the success rate from 46% to 96%. Through evaluation across two model families and three domains, we show that Behavior Cue Reasoning improves reasoning monitorability and controllability with no cost to performance. More broadly, our work progresses scalable oversight by demonstrating how the monitored model itself can be trained to reason more tractably to oversight. Code: https://github.com/christopherzc/behavior-cues
Christopher Z. Cui, Taylor W. Killian, Prithviraj Ammanabrolu
Oct 30, 2025cs.AI

Human-AI Complementarity: A Goal for Amplified Oversight

Human feedback is critical for aligning AI systems to human values. As AI capabilities improve and AI is used to tackle more challenging tasks, verifying quality and safety becomes increasingly challenging. This paper explores how we can leverage AI to improve the quality of human oversight. We focus on an important safety problem that is already challenging for humans: fact-verification of AI outputs. We find that combining AI ratings and human ratings based on AI rater confidence is better than relying on either alone. Giving humans an AI fact-verification assistant further improves their accuracy, but the type of assistance matters. Displaying AI explanation, confidence, and labels leads to over-reliance, but just showing search results and evidence fosters more appropriate trust. These results have implications for Amplified Oversight -- the challenge of combining humans and AI to supervise AI systems even as they surpass human expert performance.
Rishub Jain, Sophie Bridgers, Lili Janzer +3