Synthetic Data

Tabular language models can generate synthetic tables by modeling rows as token sequences, but they are typically trained once with supervised fine-tuning and then used as static synthesizers. This is limiting because next-token likelihood does not directly optimize the distributional, utility, and indistinguishability properties used to evaluate synthetic data. We study iterative reward-guided post-training for tabular language models through a generate--score--align protocol, where a generator samples synthetic rows, a task-specified reward ranks them, and the model is updated relative to a fixed supervised reference. Within this protocol, we propose \textbf{TabGRAA} (\textbf{Tab}ular \textbf{G}roup-\textbf{R}elative \textbf{A}dvantage \textbf{A}lignment), a group-relative alignment method that compares high- and low-reward generated groups using group-averaged policy/reference log-ratios rather than one-to-one preference pairs. Across five mixed-type benchmarks, TabGRAA improves a GReaT backbone beyond additional supervised fine-tuning and achieves the strongest average trade-off among adapted DPO, KTO, and NPO baselines on fidelity and downstream utility, while maintaining empirical privacy diagnostics near the supervised baseline. Ablations show that the gains depend on meaningful reward ranking and stable group-level updates rather than extra training alone. Reward-substitution and scorer-separation studies further show that the post-training loop can use both classifier-based and classifier-free rewards, and that proper scorer separation is important for preserving the fidelity--utility--privacy trade-off. These results position TabGRAA as a self-improving post-training method for tabular language-model generators, complementary to strong static tabular synthesizers.

Baseline estimation is critical to Demand Response (DR) settlement in electricity markets, yet existing machine learning methods remain limited in predictive performance, while methodologies from causal inference and counterfactual prediction are still underutilized in this domain. We introduce a Generalized Synthetic Control Method that builds on the classical Synthetic Control Method (SCM) from econometrics. While SCM provides a powerful framework for counterfactual estimation, classical SCM remains a static estimator: it fits the treated unit as a combination of contemporaneous donor units and therefore ignores predictable temporal structure in the residual error. We develop a generalized SCM framework that transforms baseline estimation into a dynamic counterfactual prediction problem by augmenting the donor representation with exogenous features, lagged treated load, and selected lagged donor signals. This enriched representation allows the estimator to capture autoregressive dependence, delayed donor-response patterns, and error-correction effects beyond the scope of standard SCM. The framework further accommodates nonlinear predictors when linear weighting is inadequate, with the greatest benefit arising in limited-data settings. Experiments on the Ausgrid smart-meter dataset show consistent improvements over classical SCM and strong benchmark methods, with the dominant performance gains driven by dynamic augmentation.

State-of-the-art Differentially Private (DP) synthetic data generators such as MST and AIM are widely used, yet tightly auditing their privacy guarantees remains challenging. We introduce a Gaussian Differential Privacy (GDP)-based auditing framework that measures privacy via the full false-positive/false-negative tradeoff. Applied to MST and AIM under worst-case settings, our method provides the first tight audits in the strong-privacy regime. For $(ε,δ)=(1,10^{-2})$, we obtain $μ_{emp}\approx0.43$ vs. implied $μ=0.45$, showing a small theory-practice gap. Our code is publicly available: https://github.com/sassoftware/dpmm.

Identifying anomalous instances in tabular data is essential for improving data reliability and maintaining system stability. Due to the scarcity of ground-truth anomaly labels, existing methods mainly rely on unsupervised anomaly detection models, or exploit a small number of labeled anomalies to facilitate detection via sample generation or contrastive learning. However, unsupervised methods lack sufficient anomaly awareness, while current generation and contrastive approaches tend to compute anomalies globally, overlooking the localized anomaly patterns of tabular features, resulting in suboptimal detection performance. To address these limitations, we propose PLAG, a pseudo-label-guided anomaly generation method designed to enhance tabular anomaly detection. Specifically, by utilizing pseudo-anomalies as guidance signals and decoupling the overall anomaly quantification of a sample into an accumulation of feature-level abnormalities, PLAG not only effectively obviates the need for scarce ground-truth labels but also provides a novel perspective for the model to comprehend localized anomalous signals at a fine-grained level. Furthermore, a two-stage data selection strategy is proposed, integrating format verification and uncertainty estimation to rigorously filter candidate samples, thereby ensuring the fidelity and diversity of the synthetic anomalies. Ultimately, these filtered synthetic anomalies serve as robust discriminative guidance, empowering the model to better separate normal and anomalous instances. Extensive experiments demonstrate that PLAG achieves state-of-the-art performance against eight representative baselines. Moreover, as a flexible framework, it integrates seamlessly with existing unsupervised detectors, consistently boosting F1-scores by 0.08 to 0.21.

Diffusion-based image synthesis has emerged as a promising source of synthetic training data for AI-based object detection and classification. In this work, we investigate whether images generated with diffusion can improve military vehicle detection under low-data conditions. We fine-tuned the text-to-image diffusion model FLUX.1 [dev] using LoRA with only 8 or 24 real images per class across 15 vehicle categories, resulting in class-specific diffusion models, which were used to generate new samples from automatically generated text prompts. The same real images were used to fine-tune the RF-DETR detector for a 15-class object detection task. Synthetic datasets generated by the diffusion models were then used to further improve detector performance. Importantly, no additional real data was required, as the generative models leveraged the same limited training samples. FLUX-generated images improved detection performance, particularly in the low-data regime (up to +8.0% mAP$_{50}$ with 8 real samples). To address the limited geometric control of text prompt-based diffusion, we additionally generated structurally guided synthetic data using ControlNet with Canny edge-map conditioning, yielding a FLUX-ControlNet (FLUX-CN) dataset with explicit control over viewpoint and pose. Structural guidance further enhanced performance when data is scarce (+4.1% mAP$_{50}$ with 8 real samples), but no additional benefit was observed when more real data is available. This study demonstrates that object-specific diffusion models are effective for improving military object detection in a low-data domain, and that structural guidance is most beneficial when real data is highly limited. These results highlight generative image data as an alternative to traditional simulation pipelines for the training of military AI systems.

Large Language Models (LLMs) exhibit a puzzling disparity in their formal linguistic competence: while they learn some linguistic phenomena with near-perfect mastery, they often perform below chance on others, even after training on trillions of tokens. In this work, we investigate whether these failures stem from inherent architectural limitations or simply the scarcity of these specific grammatical constructions in web-scale corpora. We pre-train simple GPT-2 Small (124M) models on a 100M-token random sample of the FineWeb corpus and intervene by injecting a minimal amount (1%) of synthetic data targeting specific linguistic phenomena. We find that this targeted intervention substantially improves model performance in 8 out of the 9 worst-performing BLiMP paradigms - notably the accuracy on a specific paradigm, only_npi_scope, surges from 20.9% to 69.4%. Furthermore, we observe that these interventions generally preserve or slightly improve aggregate performance. However, while we also identify a resistant phenomenon, principle_A_c_command, whose performance remains below chance even after our data augmentation, our findings do serve as an optimistic existence proof that even small language models can substantially improve on those linguistic phenomena on which models typically perform poorly, provided the pre-training data contains sufficient exposure to them. This suggests that efforts towards human-scale language modeling may benefit greatly by focusing on data composition. The code to reproduce our results is open-sourced at https://github.com/kowndinya-renduchintala/heterogeneity-in-formal-linguistic-competence.

Simulation frameworks such as Isaac Sim have enabled scalable robot learning for locomotion and rigid-body manipulation; however, contact-rich simulation remains a major bottleneck for deformable object manipulation. The continuously changing geometry of soft materials, together with large numbers of vertices and contact constraints, makes it difficult to achieve high accuracy, speed, and stability required for large-scale interactive learning. We present FLASH, a GPU-native simulation framework for contact-rich deformable manipulation, built on an accurate NCP-based solver that enforces strict contact and deformation constraints while being explicitly designed for fine-grained GPU parallelism. Rather than porting conventional single-instruction-multiple-data (SIMD) solvers to GPUs, FLASH redesigns the physics engine from the ground up to leverage modern GPU architectures, including optimized collision handling and memory layouts. As a result, FLASH scales to over 3 million degrees of freedom at 30 FPS on a single RTX 5090, while accurately simulating physical interactions. Policies trained solely on FLASH-generated synthetic data in minutes achieve robust zero-shot sim-to-real transfer, which we validate on physical robots performing challenging deformable manipulation tasks such as towel folding and garment folding, without any real-world demonstration, providing a practical alternative to labor-intensive real-world data collection.

We present a methodological framework to discover linguistic and discursive patterns associated to different social groups through contrastive synthetic text generation and statistical analysis. In contrast with previous approaches, we aim to characterize subtle expressions of bias, instead of diagnosing bias through a pre-determined list of words or expressions. We are also working with contextualized data instead of isolated words or sentences. Our methodology applies to textual productions in any genre, encompassing narrative, task-oriented or dialogic. Contextualized data are generated using controlled combinations of situational scenarios and group markers, creating minimal pairs of texts that differ only in the referenced group while maintaining comparable narrative conditions. To facilitate robust analysis, linguistic forms are generalized and associations between linguistic abstractions and groups are quantified using a variant of pointwise mutual information to detect expressions that appear disproportionately across groups. A fragment-ranking strategy then prioritizes text segments with a high concentration of biased linguistic signals, which allows for experts to assess the harmful potential of linguistic expressions in context, bridging quantitative analysis and qualitative interpretation.

Imbalanced data are commonly present in real-world applications. While data synthesis can effectively mitigate data scarcity for rare classes, and LLMs have revolutionized text generation, the application of LLMs to the synthesis of relational/structured tabular data remains underexplored. Moreover, existing approaches lack an effective feedback mechanism to guide LLMs in continuously optimizing the quality of the generated data throughout the synthesis process. In this work, we propose RDDG, Relational Data generator with Dynamic Guidance, which is a unified in-context learning framework that employs progressive chain-of-thought (CoT) steps to generate tabular data for enhancing downstream imbalanced classification performance. RDDG first uses core set selection to identify representative samples from the original data, then utilizes in-context learning to discover the inherent patterns and correlations among attributes within the core set, and subsequently generates tabular data while preserving the aforementioned constraints. More importantly, it incorporates a self-reinforcing feedback mechanism that provides automatic assessments of the quality of the generated data, enabling continuous quality optimization throughout the generation process. Experimental results on multiple real and synthetic datasets demonstrate that RDDG outperforms existing approaches in both data fidelity and downstream imbalanced classification performance. We make our code available at https://github.com/cszhangLMU/RDDG.

Optimization problems are central to decision-making in manufacturing, logistics, scheduling, and other industrial settings. Translating complicated descriptions of these problems into solver-ready formulations requires specialized operations research (OR) expertise, making it hard to scale. We present AutoOR, a scalable synthetic data generation and reinforcement learning pipeline that trains LLMs to autoformalize optimization problems specified in natural language across linear, mixed-integer, and non-linear categories. AutoOR generates verified training data from standard optimization forms and uses solver execution feedback as the reward signal for RL post-training. AutoOR applied to an 8B model achieves state-of-the-art or competitive results across six established OR benchmarks, matching significantly larger frontier models. For a non-linear problem class involving physical dynamics, where frontier models score near 0%, we introduce a curriculum RL strategy that bootstraps from limited initial training data to make this class tractable for post-training. We believe that methods such as AutoOR can significantly accelerate industrial decision-making with AI.

Data plays a fundamental role in consolidating markets, services, and products in the digital financial ecosystem. However, the use of real data, especially in the financial context, can lead to privacy risks and access restrictions, affecting institutions, research, and modeling processes. Although not all financial datasets present such limitations, this work proposes the use of deep learning techniques for generating synthetic data applied to cryptocurrency price time series. The approach is based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CGANs), combining an LSTM-type recurrent generator and an MLP discriminator to produce statistically consistent synthetic data. The experiments consider different crypto-assets and demonstrate that the model is capable of reproducing relevant temporal patterns, preserving market trends and dynamics. The generation of synthetic series through GANs is an efficient alternative for simulating financial data, showing potential for applications such as market behavior analysis and anomaly detection, with lower computational cost compared to more complex generative approaches.

There is no consensus in the field of synthetic data on concise metrics for quality evaluations or benchmarks on large health datasets, such as historical epidemiological data. This study presents an evaluation of seven recent models from major machine learning families. The models were evaluated using four different datasets, each with a distinct scale. To ensure a fair comparison, we systematically tuned the hyperparameters of each model for each dataset. We propose a methodology for evaluating the fidelity of synthesized joint distributions, aligning metrics with visualization on a single plot. This method is applicable to any dataset and is complemented by a domain-specific analysis of the German Cancer Registries' epidemiological dataset. The analysis reveals the challenges models face in strictly adhering to the medical domain. We hope this approach will serve as a foundational framework for guiding the selection of synthesizers and remain accessible to all stakeholders involved in releasing synthetic datasets.

LLM-based simulators offer a promising path for generating complex synthetic data where traditional differentially private (DP) methods struggle with high-dimensional user profiles. But can LLMs faithfully reproduce statistical distributions from DP-protected inputs? We evaluate this using PersonaLedger, an agentic financial simulator, seeded with DP synthetic personas derived from real user statistics. We find that PersonaLedger achieves promising fraud detection utility (AUC 0.70 at epsilon=1) but exhibits significant distribution drift due to systematic LLM biases--learned priors overriding input statistics for temporal and demographic features. These failure modes must be addressed before LLM-based methods can handle the richer user representations where they might otherwise excel.

In data-sensitive domains such as healthcare, cross-silo federated learning (CFL) allows organizations to collaboratively train AI models without sharing raw data. However, practical CFL deployments are inherently coopetitive, in which organizations cooperate during model training while competing in downstream markets. In such settings, training contributions, including data volume, quality, and diversity, can improve the global model yet inadvertently strengthen rivals. This dilemma is amplified by non-IID data, which leads to asymmetric learning gains and undermines sustained participation. While existing competition-aware CFL and incentive-design approaches reward organizations based on marginal training contributions, they fail to account for the costs of strengthening competitors. In this paper, we introduce CoCoGen+, a coopetition-compatible data generation and incentivization framework that jointly models non-IID data and inter-organizational competition while endogenizing GenAI-based synthetic data generation as a strategic decision. Specifically, CoCoGen+ formulates each training round as a weighted potential game, where organizations strategically decide how much synthetic data to generate by balancing learning performance gains against computational costs and competition-caused utility losses. We then provide a tractable equilibrium characterization and derive implementable generation strategies to maximize social welfare. To promote long-term collaboration, we integrate a payoff redistribution-based incentive mechanism to compensate organizations for their contributions and competition-caused utility degradation. Experiments on varying learning tasks validate the feasibility of CoCoGen+. The results show how non-IID data, competition intensity, and incentives shape organizational strategies and social welfare, while CoCoGen+ outperforms baselines in efficiency.

Objective. Standard Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) reconstruction pipelines discard phase information captured during acquisition, despite evidence that it encodes tissue properties relevant to tumor diagnosis. Current machine learning approaches inherit this limitation by operating exclusively on reconstructed magnitude images. The aim of this study is to build a generative framework which is capable of jointly modeling magnitude and phase information of complex-valued MRI scans. Approach. The proposed generative framework combines a conditional variational autoencoder, which compresses complex-valued MRI scans into compact latent representations while preserving phase coherence, with a flow-matching-based generative model. Synthetic sample quality is assessed via a real-versus-synthetic classifier and by training downstream classifiers on synthetic data for abnormal tissue detection. Main results. The autoencoder preserves phase coherence above 0.997. Real-versus-synthetic classification yields low AUROC values between 0.50 and 0.66 across all acquisition sequences, indicating generated samples are nearly indistinguishable from real data. In downstream normal-versus-abnormal classification, classifiers trained entirely on synthetic data achieve an AUROC of 0.880, surpassing the real-data baseline of 0.842 on a publicly available dataset (fastMRI). This advantage persists on an independent external test set from a different institution with biopsy-confirmed labels. Significance. The proposed framework demonstrates the feasibility of jointly modeling magnitude and phase information for normal and abnormal complex-valued brain MRI data. Beyond synthetic data generation, it establishes a foundation for the usage of complete brain MRI information in future diagnostic applications and enables systematic investigation of how magnitude and phase jointly encode pathology-specific features.

Synthetic augmentation is increasingly used to mitigate data scarcity in financial machine learning, yet its statistical role remains poorly understood. We formalize synthetic augmentation as a modification of the effective training distribution and show that it induces a structural bias--variance trade-off: while additional samples may reduce estimation error, they may also shift the population objective whenever the synthetic distribution deviates from regions relevant under evaluation. To isolate informational gains from mechanical sample-size effects, we introduce a size-matched null augmentation and a finite-sample, non-parametric block permutation test that remains valid under weak temporal dependence. We evaluate this framework in both controlled Markov-switching environments and real financial datasets, including high-frequency option trade data and a daily equity panel. Across generators spanning bootstrap, copula-based models, variational autoencoders, diffusion models, and TimeGAN, we vary augmentation ratio, model capacity, task type, regime rarity, and signal-to-noise. We show that synthetic augmentation is beneficial only in variance-dominant regimes, such as persistent volatility forecasting-while it deteriorates performance in bias-dominant settings, including near-efficient directional prediction. Rare-regime targeting can improve domain-specific metrics but may conflict with unconditional permutation inference. Our results provide a structural perspective on when synthetic data improves financial learning performance and when it induces persistent distributional distortion.

Financial institutions face tension between maximizing data utility and mitigating the re-identification risks inherent in traditional anonymization methods. This paper explores Differentially Private (DP) synthetic data as a robust "Privacy by Design" framework to resolve this conflict, ensuring output privacy while satisfying stringent regulatory obligations. We examine two distinct generative paradigms: Direct Tabular Synthesis, which reconstructs high-fidelity joint distributions from raw data, and DP-Seeded Agent-Based Modeling (ABM), which uses DP-protected aggregates to parameterize complex, stateful simulations. While tabular synthesis excels at reflecting static historical correlations for QA testing and business analytics, the DP-Seeded ABM offers a forward-looking "counterfactual laboratory" capable of modeling dynamic market behaviors and black swan events. By decoupling individual identities from data utility, these methodologies eliminate traditional data-clearing bottlenecks, enabling seamless cross-institutional research and compliant decision-making in an evolving regulatory landscape.

The use of synthetic data in machine learning applications and research offers many benefits, including performance improvements through data augmentation and privacy preservation of original samples. This work proposes an efficient synthetic data generation method based on a fully connected neural network that transforms a high-dimensional random Gaussian distribution to approximate a target real-world dataset. The proposed solution combines data preprocessing designed for tabular data with distribution modeling and PCA dimensionality reduction to further enhance data privacy. The work also defines two dedicated randomized loss functions based on Wasserstein distance combined with feature Covariance and a randomized pairwise error reduction loss function. The experiments conducted on 25 diverse tabular real-world datasets confirm that the proposed solution obtains similarity and privacy scores relative to the state-of-the-art generative methods and achieves reference MMD scores orders of magnitude faster than modern deep learning solutions. The experiments involved analyzing distributional similarity, privacy protection, and the utility of synthetic data in classification tasks.

Large language models (LLMs) have emerged as a powerful tool for synthetic data generation. A particularly important use case is producing synthetic replicas of private text, which requires carefully balancing privacy and utility. We propose Realistic and Privacy-Preserving Synthetic Data Generation (RPSG), which uses private seeds and integrates privacy-preserving strategies, including a formal differential privacy (DP) mechanism in the candidate selection, to generate realistic synthetic data. Comprehensive experiments against state-of-the-art private synthetic data generation methods demonstrate that RPSG achieves high fidelity to private data while providing strong privacy protection.

Generating procedural synthetic data for multi-view stereo (MVS) usually requires writing complex rules to match the realism of curated datasets. We demonstrate that we can generate effective training data using SimpleProc: a new, fully procedural generator driven by a very small set of rules based on Non-Uniform Rational Basis Splines (NURBS), as well as simple displacement and texture patterns. At a modest scale of 8,000 images, our approach achieves superior results compared to manually curated images at the same scale sourced from games and real-world objects. When scaled to 352,000 images, our approach achieves similar, and in some benchmarks, even better results than the current state-of-the-art trained on over 692,000 manually curated images. The source code and the data are available at https://github.com/princeton-vl/SimpleProc.

Acquiring labeled datasets for 3D human mesh estimation is challenging due to depth ambiguities and the inherent difficulty of annotating 3D geometry from monocular images. Existing datasets are either real, with manually annotated 3D geometry and limited scale, or synthetic, rendered from 3D engines that provide precise labels but suffer from limited photorealism, low diversity, and high production costs. In this work, we explore a third path: generated data. We introduce PoseDreamer, a novel pipeline that leverages diffusion models to generate large-scale synthetic datasets with 3D mesh annotations. Our approach combines controllable image generation with Direct Preference Optimization for control alignment, curriculum-based hard sample mining, and multi-stage quality filtering. Together, these components naturally maintain correspondence between 3D labels and generated images, while prioritizing challenging samples to maximize dataset utility. Using PoseDreamer, we generate more than 500,000 high-quality synthetic samples, achieving a 76% improvement in image-quality metrics compared to rendering-based datasets. Models trained on PoseDreamer achieve performance comparable to or superior to those trained on real-world and traditional synthetic datasets. In addition, combining PoseDreamer with synthetic datasets results in better performance than combining real-world and synthetic datasets, demonstrating the complementary nature of our dataset. We will release the full dataset and generation code.

Learning a generalist control policy for robotic manipulation typically relies on large-scale datasets. Given the high cost of real-world data collection, a practical alternative is to generate synthetic data through simulation. However, the resulting synthetic data often exhibits a significant gap from real-world distributions. While many prior studies have proposed algorithms to bridge the Sim-to-Real discrepancy, there remains a lack of principled research that grounds these methods in real-world manipulation tasks, particularly their performance on generalist policies such as Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models. In this study, we empirically examine the primary determinants of Sim-to-Real generalization across four dimensions: multi-level domain randomization, photorealistic rendering, physics-realistic modeling, and reinforcement learning updates. To support this study, we design a comprehensive evaluation protocol to quantify the real-world performance of manipulation tasks. The protocol accounts for key variations in background, lighting, distractors, object types, and spatial features. Through experiments involving over 10k real-world trials, we derive critical insights into Sim-to-Real transfer. To inform and advance future studies, we release both the robotic platforms and the evaluation protocol for public access to facilitate independent verification, thereby establishing a realistic and standardized benchmark for robotic manipulation policies.

Material classification has emerged as a critical task in computer vision and graphics, supporting the assignment of accurate material properties to a wide range of digital and real-world applications. While traditionally framed as an image classification task, this domain faces significant challenges due to the scarcity of annotated data, limiting the accuracy and generalizability of trained models. Recent advances in vision-language foundation models (VLMs) offer promising avenues to address these issues, yet existing solutions leveraging these models still exhibit unsatisfying results in material recognition tasks. In this work, we propose a novel framework that effectively harnesses foundation models to overcome data limitations and enhance classification accuracy. Our method integrates two key innovations: (a) a robust image generation and auto-labeling pipeline that creates a diverse and high-quality training dataset with material-centric images, and automatically assigns labels by fusing object semantics and material attributes in text prompts; (b) a prior incorporation strategy to distill information from VLMs, combined with a joint fine-tuning method that optimizes a pre-trained vision foundation model alongside VLM-derived priors, preserving broad generalizability while adapting to material-specific features. Extensive experiments demonstrate significant improvements on multiple datasets. We show that our synthetic dataset effectively captures the characteristics of real world materials, and the integration of priors from vision-language models significantly enhances the final performance. The source code and dataset will be released.

Many disciplines need quantitative models that synthesize experimental data across multiple instances of the same general system. For example, neuroscientists must combine data from the brains of many individual animals to understand the species' brain in general. However, typical machine learning models treat one system instance at a time. Here we introduce a machine learning framework, deep probabilistic model synthesis (DPMS), that leverages system properties auxiliary to the model to combine data across system instances. DPMS specifically uses variational inference to learn a conditional prior distribution and instance-specific posterior distributions over model parameters that respectively tie together the system instances and capture their unique structure. DPMS can synthesize a wide variety of model classes, such as those for regression, classification, and dimensionality reduction, and we demonstrate its ability to improve upon single-instance models on synthetic data and whole-brain neural activity data from larval zebrafish.

Synthetic data has become essential for training code generation models, yet it introduces significant noise and hallucinations that are difficult to detect with current metrics. Existing data selection methods like Instruction-Following Difficulty (IFD) typically assess how hard a model generates an answer given a query ($A|Q$). However, this metric is ambiguous on noisy synthetic data, where low probability can distinguish between intrinsic task complexity and model-generated hallucinations. Here, we propose QAQ, a novel data selection framework that evaluates data quality from the reverse direction: how well can the answer predict the query ($Q|A$)? We define Reverse Mutual Information (RMI) to quantify the information gain about the query conditioned on the answer. Our analyses reveal that both extremes of RMI signal quality issues: low RMI indicates semantic misalignment, while excessively high RMI may contain defect patterns that LLMs easily recognize. Furthermore, we introduce a selection strategy based on the disagreement between strong and weak models to identify samples that are valid yet challenging. Experiments across three datasets spanning code generation (WarriorCoder, Magpie-Qwen2.5-Coder-Pro-300K) and math reasoning (OpenR1-Math-220k) demonstrate that selecting just 25% of data using stratified RMI matches full-data performance while being consistently competitive with or better than existing data selection methods. Our approach highlights the importance of bidirectional semantic coherence in synthetic data curation, offering a scalable pathway to reduce computational costs without sacrificing model capability. Code is available at https://github.com/XXSg559/QAQ.

Synthetic tabular data generation addresses data scarcity and privacy constraints in a variety of domains. Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Network (TabPFN), a recent foundation model for tabular data, has been shown capable of generating high-quality synthetic tabular data. However, TabPFN is autoregressive: features are generated sequentially by conditioning on the previous ones, depending on the order in which they appear in the input data. We demonstrate that when the feature order conflicts with causal structure, the model produces spurious correlations that impair its ability to generate synthetic data and preserve causal effects. We address this limitation by integrating causal structure into TabPFN's generation process through two complementary approaches: Directed Acyclic Graph (DAG)-aware conditioning, which samples each variable given its causal parents, and a partially directed acyclic graph (PDAG)-based strategy for scenarios with partial causal knowledge. We evaluate these approaches on controlled benchmarks and six CSuite datasets, assessing structural fidelity, distributional quality, and Average Treatment Effect (ATE) preservation. Across most settings, DAG-aware conditioning improves the quality and stability of synthetic data relative to vanilla TabPFN. Under partial causal knowledge, the oracle partially directed acyclic graph (oracle-PDAG), which orients only the edges into the colliders, shows moderate gains, while the benefit of a Completed Partially Directed Acyclic Graph (CPDAG) discovered from data depends on how well the causal structure is recovered. These results indicate that reliable causal structure, even partial, can be injected into TabPFN at inference time, without parameter updates, to improve synthetic data quality.

Differentially private (DP) fine-tuning of large language models (LLMs) requires massive compute and full model access, which rules out state-of-the-art proprietary APIs for general users. Generating DP synthetic data offers a practical workaround. This approach also allows for transparent exploratory data analysis and arbitrary reuse across downstream tasks, sidestepping the rigid constraints of a model's parameter space. Private Evolution (PE) provides a promising API-based framework for generating this data, but its success relies heavily on initialization. If the private data distribution falls too far outside the foundation model's pre-training priors -- a common issue in highly specialized domain -- PE struggles to align with the target data. This misalignment causes poor convergence, degraded utility, and wasted API calls. To solve this initialization bottleneck, we introduce Metadata Augmented Private Language Evolution (MAPLE). MAPLE extracts DP tabular metadata and uses in-context learning to firmly ground the initial synthetic distribution in the target domain. Our evaluations on domain-specific text generation tasks show that MAPLE yields a strictly better privacy-utility trade-off, converges significantly faster, and sharply reduces API costs compared to baseline PE methods.

Improving Sparse Autoencoders (SAEs) requires benchmarks that can precisely validate architectural innovations. Current LLM-based SAE benchmarks are too noisy to differentiate architectural improvements, while commonly used synthetic-data experiments are too small-scale, unstandardized, and unrealistic to be meaningful. We introduce SynthSAEBench, a benchmark and toolkit for evaluating SAEs against large-scale synthetic data with realistic feature characteristics including correlation, hierarchy, and superposition, while providing ground-truth features and firings. SynthSAEBench acts as a controlled lower-bound test: SAE architectures that fail when the Linear Representation Hypothesis holds by construction have little hope on real LLMs. The benchmark reproduces known LLM SAE phenomena including the disconnect between reconstruction and latent quality, poor SAE probing, and a precision-recall trade-off mediated by L0, demonstrating that SynthSAEBench findings reproduce results on LLM SAEs. We further identify a novel failure mode: Matching Pursuit SAEs exploit superposition noise to improve reconstruction without learning ground-truth features, suggesting more expressive encoding procedures can easily overfit. SynthSAEBench complements LLM benchmarks with ground-truth features and controlled ablations for diagnosing SAE failure modes, while providing a clear target for SAE architecture work.

Contemporary studies in mechanistic interpretability have uncovered many puzzling phenomena in the neural information processing of Transformer-based language models, such as induction heads, function vectors, and the Hydra effect. Some of these individual phenomena have been independently tied to different data distributional properties, while some have been loosely associated with model architecture and how Transformers process information. However, a unified understanding of the relationship between data, model architecture, and optimization remains lacking, failing to answer the fundamental question: why do these three phenomena appear universally across different model families and scales, despite their seeming disconnect? In this work, we answer this question by unifying these three phenomena as consequences of hierarchical latent structures in the data generation process, coupled with decorrelated gradients across additive model components and directional concavity in the representation geometry. We validate our theoretical results in a toy model regime and in a large-scale synthetic data regime, comparing them with language models trained on natural language data.

Relational Foundation Models (RFMs) facilitate data-driven decision-making by learning from complex multi-table databases. However, the diverse relational databases needed to train such models are rarely public due to privacy constraints. While there are methods to generate synthetic tabular data of arbitrary size, incorporating schema structure and primary-foreign key connectivity for multi-table generation remains challenging. Here we introduce PLUREL, a framework to synthesize multi-tabular relational databases from scratch. In a step-by-step fashion, PLUREL models (1) schemas with directed graphs, (2) inter-table primary-foreign key connectivity with bipartite graphs, and, (3) feature distributions in tables via conditional causal mechanisms. The design space across these stages supports the synthesis of a wide range of diverse databases, while being computationally lightweight. Using PLUREL, we observe for the first time that (1) RFM pretraining loss exhibits power-law scaling with the number of synthetic databases and total pretraining tokens, (2) scaling the number of synthetic databases improves generalization to real databases, and (3) synthetic pretraining yields strong base models for continued pretraining on real databases. Overall, our framework and results position synthetic data scaling as a promising paradigm for RFMs.

Competitive programming remains challenging for code LLMs. Despite recent progress, many training pipelines still depend on scarce real-world data, raising concerns about scalability and near-duplicate benchmark contamination. In this paper, we examine whether synthetic training artifacts can support the complete SFT-to-RL cycle for competitive programming: no real-world tasks, solutions, or test cases are directly used for post-training. To this end, we synthesize tasks, verified solutions, and reliable test cases that serve as reward signals for reinforcement learning. To improve reward reliability, we introduce a dual-verification strategy that reduces noise in both selected solutions and test outputs. Using this high-quality data, we train the X-Coder model series. X-Coder-14B achieves 67.5% avg@8 on LiveCodeBench v5 and 63.4% on v6, outperforming its base model by over 40 points. Further analysis provides practical insights into synthetic post-training, highlighting the value of diverse tasks, verified long-CoT supervision, and code-centric reinforcement. Our data and models are released at https://github.com/JieWu02/X-Coder

The development of robust and generalizable robot learning models is critically contingent upon the availability of large-scale, diverse training data and reliable evaluation benchmarks. Collecting data in the physical world poses prohibitive costs and scalability challenges, and prevailing simulation benchmarks frequently suffer from fragmentation, narrow scope, or insufficient fidelity to enable effective sim-to-real transfer. To address these challenges, we introduce Genie Sim 3.0, a unified simulation platform for robotic manipulation. We present Genie Sim Generator, a large language model (LLM)-powered tool that constructs high-fidelity scenes from natural language instructions. Its principal strength resides in rapid and multi-dimensional generalization, facilitating the synthesis of diverse environments to support scalable data collection and robust policy evaluation. We introduce the first benchmark that pioneers the application of LLM for automated evaluation. It leverages LLM to mass-generate evaluation scenarios and employs Vision-Language Model (VLM) to establish an automated assessment pipeline. We also release an open-source dataset comprising more than 10,000 hours of synthetic data across over 200 tasks. Through systematic experimentation, we validate the robust zero-shot sim-to-real transfer capability of our open-source dataset, demonstrating that synthetic data can server as an effective substitute for real-world data under controlled conditions for scalable policy training. For code and dataset details, please refer to: https://github.com/AgibotTech/genie_sim.

Efficient sampling from Boltzmann distributions over discrete variables is a fundamental operation in a wide range of applications. While fast non-MCMC samplers have recently emerged as promising alternatives to conventional MCMC methods, their practical use for probabilistic learning remains hindered by the difficulty of estimating the effective temperature of the generated samples. In this work, we begin by introducing Langevin simulated bifurcation (LSB), a Boltzmann sampler that enables fast and parallel sampling with accuracy comparable to sequential MCMC methods. To address the challenge of unknown effective temperature, we propose conditional expectation matching (CEM), an efficient estimation method applicable to energy-based models (EBMs) with exploitable conditional independence structures. Building on these components, we further develop a learning framework, termed sampler adaptive learning (SAL), which adaptively adjusts the model temperature to match that of the distribution induced by fast non-MCMC sampling. We demonstrate the effectiveness of LSB, CEM, and SAL on semi-restricted Boltzmann machines (SRBMs), a class of EBMs that are difficult to train using conventional approaches. LSB achieves orders-of-magnitude acceleration over Gibbs sampling while maintaining comparable or higher accuracy, and CEM enables accurate temperature estimation of the resulting distribution with negligible computational overhead. As a consequence, SAL enables efficient training of SRBMs and outperforms conventional Boltzmann machine learning methods on synthetic spin-glass datasets. In addition, the trained models achieve strong performance across multiple tasks. These results establish LSB as a fast and accurate Boltzmann sampler and provide key insights that enable practical applications of fast non-MCMC sampling methods via efficient temperature estimation with CEM.

Specialized attention heads dubbed induction heads (IHs) have been argued to underlie the remarkable in-context learning capabilities of modern language models; yet, a precise characterization of their emergence, especially in the context of language modeling, remains wanting. In this study, we investigate the relationship between statistical properties of the training data and IH formation in both natural and synthetic training data settings. We show that: (1) a simple equation combining batch size and context size predicts the point at which IHs form and that this emergence point is agnostic to model size; (2) surface bigram repetition frequency and reliability strongly affect the formation of IHs, and we find an effective decision boundary in terms of these two values; (3) local dependency with high bigram repetition frequency and reliability is sufficient for IH formation, but categoriality and the shape of the marginal distribution appear to modulate IH formation near the decision boundary.

In differentially private (DP) tabular data synthesis, the consensus is that statistical models are better than neural network (NN)-based methods. However, we argue that this conclusion is incomplete and overlooks the challenge of densely correlated datasets, where intricate dependencies can overwhelm statistical models. In such complex scenarios, neural networks are more suitable due to their capacity to fit complex distributions by learning directly from samples. Despite this potential, existing NN-based algorithms still suffer from significant limitations. We therefore propose MargNet, incorporating successful algorithmic designs of statistical models into neural networks. MargNet applies an adaptive marginal selection strategy and trains the neural networks to generate data that conforms to the selected marginals. On sparsely correlated datasets, our approach achieves utility close to the best statistical method while offering an average 7$\times$ speedup over it. More importantly, on densely correlated datasets, MargNet establishes a new state-of-the-art, reducing fidelity error by up to 26% compared to the previous best. We release our code on GitHub.\footnote{https://github.com/KaiChen9909/margnet}

Synthetic data has been increasingly used to train frontier generative models. However, recent studies raise key concerns that iteratively retraining a generative model on its self-generated synthetic data may keep deteriorating model performance, a phenomenon often coined model collapse. In this paper, we investigate ways to modify the synthetic retraining process to avoid model collapse, and even possibly help reverse the trend from collapse to improvement. Our key finding is that by injecting information through an external synthetic data verifier, whether a human or a better model, synthetic retraining will not cause model collapse. Specifically, we situate our theoretical analysis in the fundamental linear regression setting, showing that verifier-guided retraining can yield near-term improvements, but ultimately drives the parameter estimate to the verifier's "knowledge center" in the long run. Our theory further predicts that, unless the verifier is perfectly reliable, these early gains will plateau and may even reverse. Indeed, our experiments across linear regression, Variational Autoencoders (VAEs) trained on MNIST, and fining-tuning SmolLM2-135M on the XSUM task confirm these theoretical insights.

Visual navigation policy is widely regarded as a promising direction, as it mimics humans by using egocentric visual observations for navigation. However, optical information of visual observations is difficult to be explicitly modeled like LiDAR point clouds or depth maps, which subsequently requires intelligent models and large-scale data. To this end, we propose to leverage the intelligence of the Vision-Language-Action (VLA) model to learn diverse navigation capabilities from synthetic expert data in a teacher-student manner. Specifically, we implement the VLA model, MM-Nav, as a multi-view VLA (with 360 observations) based on pretrained large language models and visual foundation models. For large-scale navigation data, we collect expert data from three reinforcement learning (RL) experts trained with privileged depth information in three challenging tailor-made environments for different navigation capabilities: reaching, squeezing, and avoiding. We iteratively train our VLA model using data collected online from RL experts, where the training ratio is dynamically balanced based on performance on individual capabilities. Through extensive experiments in synthetic environments, we demonstrate that our model achieves strong generalization capability. Moreover, we find that our student VLA model outperforms the RL teachers, demonstrating the synergistic effect of integrating multiple capabilities. Extensive real-world experiments further confirm the effectiveness of our method.

In the classic point location problem, one is given an arbitrary dataset $X \subset \mathbb{R}^d$ of $n$ points with query access to an unknown halfspace $f : \mathbb{R}^d \to \{0,1\}$, and the goal is to learn the label of every point in $X$. This problem is extremely well-studied and a nearly-optimal $\widetilde{O}(d \log n)$ query algorithm is known due to Hopkins-Kane-Lovett-Mahajan (FOCS 2020). However, their algorithm is granted the power to query arbitrary points outside of $X$ (point synthesis), and in fact without this power there is an $Ω(n)$ query lower bound due to Dasgupta (NeurIPS 2004). In this work our goal is to design efficient algorithms for learning halfspaces without point synthesis. To circumvent the $Ω(n)$ lower bound, we consider learning halfspaces whose normal vectors come from a set of size $D$, and show tight bounds of $Θ(D + \log n)$. As a corollary, we obtain an optimal $O(d + \log n)$ query deterministic learner for axis-aligned halfspaces, closing a previous gap of $O(d \log n)$ vs. $Ω(d + \log n)$. In fact, our algorithm solves the more general problem of learning a Boolean function $f$ over $n$ elements which is monotone under at least one of $D$ provided orderings. Our technical insight is to exploit the structure in these orderings to perform a binary search in parallel rather than considering each ordering sequentially, and we believe our approach may be of broader interest. Furthermore, we use our exact learning algorithm to obtain nearly optimal algorithms for PAC-learning. We show that $O(\min(D + \log(1/\varepsilon), 1/\varepsilon) \cdot \log D)$ queries suffice to learn $f$ within error $\varepsilon$, even in a setting when $f$ can be adversarially corrupted on a $c\varepsilon$-fraction of points, for a sufficiently small constant $c$. This bound is optimal up to a $\log D$ factor, including in the realizable setting.

In high-stakes domains such as healthcare, privacy concerns severely limit the use of real-world training data. Differentially private (DP) synthetic data offers a promising alternative with formal privacy guarantees, but achieving strong utility remains challenging for clinical note generation due to domain specificity and long-form text complexity. We present Term2Note, a method for synthesising full-length clinical notes under DP constraints. By structurally separating content and form, Term2Note generates section-wise note content conditioned on medical terms, with terms and notes privatised under separate DP constraints, and applies a DP quality maximiser to improve outputs. Experiments demonstrate that Term2Note produces synthetic notes with statistical properties closely aligned with real clinical notes, and that downstream models trained on these notes achieve performance comparable to those trained on real clinical data. Compared to existing DP text generation baselines, Term2Note substantially improves both fidelity and utility, without relying on label distribution assumptions, highlighting its effectiveness as a practical privacy-preserving alternative to real clinical notes.

Given a dataset of finitely many elements $\mathcal{T} = \{\mathbf{x}_i\}_{i = 1}^N$, the goal of dataset condensation (DC) is to construct a synthetic dataset $\mathcal{S} = \{\tilde{\mathbf{x}}_j\}_{j = 1}^M$ which is significantly smaller ($M \ll N$) such that a model trained from scratch on $\mathcal{S}$ achieves comparable or even superior generalization performance to a model trained on $\mathcal{T}$. Recent advances in DC reveal a close connection to the problem of approximating the data distribution represented by $\mathcal{T}$ with a reduced set of points. In this work, we present a unified framework that encompasses existing DC methods and extend the task-specific notion of DC to a more general and formal definition using notions of discrepancy, which quantify the distance between probability distribution in different regimes. Our framework broadens the objective of DC beyond generalization, accommodating additional objectives such as robustness, privacy, and other desirable properties.

Synthetic tabular data generation is increasingly essential in machine learning, supporting downstream applications when real-world, high-quality tabular data is insufficient. Existing tabular generation approaches, such as generative adversarial networks (GANs) and fine-tuned Large Language Models (LLMs), typically require sufficient reference data, limiting their effectiveness in domain-specific datasets with scarce records. While prompt-based LLMs offer flexibility without parameter tuning, they often generate distributionally drifted data with localized redundancy, leading to degradation in downstream task performance. To overcome these issues, we propose ReFine, a framework that (i) extracts symbolic if-then rules from interpretable models and embeds them into prompts to explicitly guide the generation process toward the domain-specific distribution, and (ii) applies dual-granularity filtering that mitigates over-sampling patterns while preserving rare but informative samples to reduce localized redundancy. Extensive experiments on diverse benchmarks demonstrate that ReFine provides robust downstream utility, achieving a top-tier average rank across datasets and data regimes, with an average relative improvement of 7.48% in extreme low-data regimes.

The tabular form constitutes the standard way of representing data in relational database systems and spreadsheets. But, similarly to other forms, tabular data suffers from class imbalance, a problem that causes serious performance degradation in a wide variety of machine learning tasks. One of the most effective solutions dictates the usage of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) in order to synthesize artificial data instances for the under-represented classes. Despite their good performance, most of the proposed GAN models do not take into account the vector subspaces of the input samples in the real data space, leading to data generation in arbitrary locations. In addition, the class labels are handled in the same manner as the other categorical variables, so conditional sampling by class is rendered less effective. To overcome these problems, this study presents ctdGAN, a conditional GAN for alleviating class imbalance in tabular datasets. Initially, ctdGAN executes a space partitioning step to assign cluster labels to the input samples. Subsequently, it utilizes these labels to synthesize samples via a novel probabilistic sampling strategy and a new loss function that penalizes both cluster and class mis-predictions. In this way, ctdGAN generates samples in subspaces that resemble those of the original data distribution. We also introduce several other improvements, including a simple, yet effective cluster-wise scaling technique that captures multiple feature modes without affecting data dimensionality. The evaluation of ctdGAN with 14 imbalanced datasets demonstrated its strong ability in generating high fidelity samples and improving classification accuracy.

Offline reinforcement learning (RL) learns policies from fixed datasets, thereby avoiding costly or unsafe environment interactions. However, its reliance on finite static datasets inherently restricts the ability to generalize beyond the training distribution. Prior solutions based on synthetic data augmentation often fail to generalize to unseen scenarios in the (augmented) dataset. To address these challenges, we propose Retrieval High-quAlity Demonstrations (RAD) for decision-making, which innovatively introduces a retrieval mechanism into offline RL. Specifically, RAD retrieves high-return and reachable states from the offline dataset as target states, and leverages a generative model to generate sub-trajectories conditioned on these targets for planning. Since the targets are high-return states, once the agent reaches such a target, it can continue to obtain high returns by following the associated high-return actions, thereby improving policy generalization. Extensive experiments confirm that RAD achieves competitive or superior performance compared to baselines across diverse benchmarks, validating its effectiveness. Our code is available at https://anonymous.4open.science/r/RAD_0925_1-690E.

Synthetic data generation is increasingly used in machine learning for training and data augmentation. Yet, current strategies often rely on external foundation models or datasets, whose usage is restricted in many scenarios due to policy or legal constraints. We propose ScoreMix, a self-contained synthetic generation method to produce hard synthetic samples for recognition tasks by leveraging the score compositionality of diffusion models. The approach mixes class-conditioned scores along reverse diffusion trajectories, yielding domain-specific data augmentation without external resources. We systematically study class-selection strategies and find that mixing classes distant in the discriminator's embedding space yields larger gains, providing up to 3% additional average improvement, compared to selection based on proximity. Interestingly, we observe that condition and embedding spaces are largely uncorrelated under standard alignment metrics, and the generator's condition space has a negligible effect on downstream performance. Across 8 public face recognition benchmarks, ScoreMix improves accuracy by up to 7 percentage points, without hyperparameter search, highlighting both robustness and practicality. Our method provides a simple yet effective way to maximize discriminator performance using only the available dataset, without reliance on third-party resources. Paper website: https://parsa-ra.github.io/scoremix/.

Vision-Language Models (VLMs) have demonstrated exceptional performance in various multi-modal tasks. Recently, there has been an increasing interest in improving the personalization capabilities of VLMs. To better integrate user-provided concepts into VLMs, many methods use positive and negative samples to fine-tune these models. However, the scarcity of user-provided positive samples and the low quality of retrieved negative samples pose challenges for existing techniques. To reveal the relationship between sample and model performance, we systematically investigate the amount and diversity impact of positive and negative samples (easy and hard) on VLM personalization tasks. Based on the detailed analysis, we introduce Concept-as-Tree (CaT), which represents a concept as a tree structure, thereby enabling the data generation of positive and negative samples with varying difficulty and diversity, and can be easily extended to multi-concept scenarios. With a well-designed data filtering strategy, our CaT framework can ensure the quality of generated data, constituting a powerful pipeline. We perform thorough experiments with various VLM personalization baselines to assess the effectiveness of the pipeline, alleviating the lack of positive samples and the low quality of negative samples. Our results demonstrate that CaT equipped with the proposed data filter significantly enhances the capabilities of VLMs across personalization benchmarks. To the best of our knowledge, this work is the first controllable synthetic data pipeline for VLM personalization.

Automatic visual inspection using machine learning plays a key role in achieving zero-defect policies in industry. Research on anomaly detection is constrained by the availability of datasets that capture complex defect appearances and imperfect imaging conditions, which are typical of production processes. Recent benchmarks indicate that most publicly available datasets are biased towards optimal imaging conditions, leading to an overestimation of their applicability in real-world industrial scenarios. To address this gap, we introduce the Industrial Screen Printing Anomaly Detection Dataset (ISP-AD). It presents challenging small and weakly contrasted surface defects embedded within structured patterns exhibiting high permitted design variability. To the best of our knowledge, it is the largest publicly available industrial dataset to date, including both synthetic and real defects collected directly from the factory floor. Beyond benchmarking recent unsupervised anomaly detection methods, experiments on a mixed supervised training strategy, incorporating both synthesized and real defects, were conducted. Experiments show that even a small amount of injected, weakly labeled real defects improves generalization. Furthermore, starting from training on purely synthetic defects, emerging real defective samples can be efficiently integrated into subsequent scalable training. Overall, our findings indicate that model-free synthetic defects can provide a cold-start baseline, whereas a small number of injected real defects refine the decision boundary for previously unseen defect characteristics. The presented unsupervised and supervised dataset splits are designed to emphasize research on unsupervised, self-supervised, and supervised approaches, enhancing their applicability to industrial settings.

Recent studies identified an intriguing phenomenon in recursive generative model training known as model collapse, where models trained on data generated by previous models exhibit severe performance degradation. Addressing this issue and developing more effective training strategies have become central challenges in generative model research. In this paper, we investigate this phenomenon within a novel framework, where generative models are iteratively trained on a combination of newly collected real data and synthetic data from the previous training step. To develop an optimal training strategy for integrating real and synthetic data, we evaluate the performance of a weighted training scheme in various scenarios, including Gaussian distribution estimation, generalized linear models, and nonparametric estimation. We theoretically characterize the impact of the mixing proportion and weighting scheme of synthetic data on the final model's performance. Our key finding is that, across different settings, the optimal weighting scheme under different proportions of synthetic data asymptotically follows a unified expression, revealing a fundamental trade-off between leveraging synthetic data and model performance. In some cases, the optimal weight assigned to real data corresponds to the reciprocal of the golden ratio. Finally, we validate our theoretical results on extensive simulated datasets and a real tabular dataset.

While foundation models have revolutionized various domains, their application to time series classification remains rather under-explored, with existing literature predominantly focused on forecasting. To bridge this gap, we introduce \textbf{Mantis}, a transformer-based foundation model pre-trained exclusively on synthetic data via self-supervised contrastive learning. We demonstrate that effective tokenization is critical to unlocking the full potential of transformers, proposing a novel token generator unit. Furthermore, we introduce an enhanced test-time methodology that bridges the performance gap between Mantis and strong specialized approaches by leveraging intermediate-layer representations, self-ensembling, and cross-model embedding fusion. Extensive experiments demonstrate that Mantis establishes a new state-of-the-art, outperforming existing foundation models across four diverse dataset collections covering various application domains.

Unlike many other texts, literary works are often translated multiple times. We investigate strategies for leveraging these multi-reference datasets to improve literary machine translation. We propose a filtering framework based on semantic similarity to identify source texts whose references display meaningful variation while remaining faithful. We find that fine-tuning with medium to high semantic similarity data substantially outperforms low semantic similarity data. Moreover, using medium and high semantic similarity data achieves comparable or better performance than using the full unfiltered data. Synthetic translations generated by LLMs are economical and convenient alternatives to human expert translations; however, we find fine-tuning on human expert translations outperforms fine-tuning on synthetically augmented data in automatic metrics and human evaluations, demonstrating the indispensable value of human expert translations for fine-tuning literary machine translation models.

Fetal brain tissue segmentation from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is crucial for studying neurodevelopment, but remains challenging due to data heterogeneity and limited annotations. Domain randomization (DR) has recently emerged as a promising strategy for single-source domain generalization by synthesizing training images with randomized artifacts, contrast, and resolution. In this work, we investigate how to maximize the out-of-domain (OOD) generalization of DR-based methods. We evaluate several synthetic data generation strategies for DR, with a particular focus on our recently proposed framework, FetalSynthSeg. We show that simple Gaussian mixture-based intensity modeling outperforms more complex physics-based simulations, and that intensity clustering (subdividing tissue classes based on intensity) improves OOD robustness. Evaluated on 348 fetal subjects from four sites spanning 0.55-3T and both T1w and T2w contrasts, FetalSynthSeg reaches state-of-the-art performance on several FeTA 2024 testing datasets (80-85 Dice score) and, for the first time, offers robust segmentation on modalities other than T2w for fetal brain segmentation (80 Dice on dHCP-T1w dataset). Compared with state-of-the-art methods such as BOUNTI, nnU-Net ensemble, and the FeTA 2024 winner, FetalSynthSeg delivers comparable or superior accuracy while maintaining strong robustness across domain shifts. Our code, model weights, and Docker image ready for easy inference are available at https://hub.docker.com/r/vzalevskyi/fetalsynthseg.

Existing evaluations of tabular synthesis models rely primarily on low-order statistics and downstream task performance, leaving multivariate causal relationships that go beyond pairwise correlations largely unmeasured. We argue that a systematic evaluation on high-order structural information is a crucial first step in addressing this issue in tabular data synthesis. In this paper, we present high-order structural causal information as a natural form of prior knowledge and introduce a benchmark framework to evaluate tabular synthesis models. This framework allows us to generate benchmark datasets through a flexible range of data generation processes, allowing for the training of tabular synthesis models using these datasets for further evaluation. We propose multiple benchmark tasks, high-order metrics, and causal inference tasks as downstream tasks for evaluating the quality of synthetic data generated by the trained models. Our experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of the benchmark framework in evaluating the model's ability to capture high-order structural causal information. Furthermore, our benchmarking results provide an initial assessment of state-of-the-art tabular synthesis models. These results reveal significant gaps between ideal and actual performance and highlight how baseline methods differ. We position the framework as a controlled diagnostic benchmark for causal fidelity, complementing existing low-order and downstream evaluations. We open source the benchmark framework, including both code and data along with documentation, to support further research in this area.

Is it possible to understand the intricacies of a dynamical system not solely from its input/output pattern, but also by observing the behavior of other systems within the same class? This central question drives the study presented in this paper. In response to this query, we introduce a novel paradigm for system identification, addressing two primary tasks: one-step-ahead prediction and multi-step simulation. Unlike conventional methods, we do not directly estimate a model for the specific system. Instead, we learn a meta model that represents a class of dynamical systems. This meta model is trained on a potentially infinite stream of synthetic data, generated by simulators whose settings are randomly extracted from a probability distribution. When provided with a context from a new system-specifically, an input/output sequence-the meta model implicitly discerns its dynamics, enabling predictions of its behavior. The proposed approach harnesses the power of Transformers, renowned for their \emph{in-context learning} capabilities. For one-step prediction, a GPT-like decoder-only architecture is utilized, whereas the simulation problem employs an encoder-decoder structure. Initial experimental results affirmatively answer our foundational question, opening doors to fresh research avenues in system identification.

We propose a generalization of the synthetic control methods to the setting with dynamic treatment effects, in which each unit receives multiple treatments sequentially, according to an adaptive policy that depends on a latent, endogenously time-varying confounding state. Under a low-rank latent factor model assumption, which admits linear time-varying and time-invariant dynamic triangular systems as special cases, we develop an identification strategy for any unit-specific mean outcome under any sequence of interventions. Our method, which we term synthetic blips, is a backward induction process in which the blip effect of a treatment at each period for a target unit is recursively expressed as a linear combination of the blip effects of other units that received the designated treatment, avoiding the combinatorial donor requirements of naive synthetic control extensions. We provide easy-to-implement estimation algorithms that yield consistent estimators. Using unique Korean firm-level panel data, we estimate individualized dynamic treatment effects and optimal allocation rules in the context of financial support for exporting firms.

Most endangered languages lack the parallel data required for machine translation, despite the existence of descriptive grammar books. We introduce a pipeline that uses large language models to extract grammatical rules, example sentences, and lexicons from grammar books and generate synthetic parallel corpora for fine-tuning-rather than feeding grammar content into prompts at inference time, as in prior work. Validated on three typologically diverse low-resource languages-Kalamang (Papuan), Tuatschin (Romance), and Mandan (Siouan)-we show that fine-tuning on synthetic data improves over seed-data baselines in 75% of configurations for Kalamang and 59% for Tuatschin, with best-case ChrF++ gains of +8.8, +5.3, and +3.3 respectively. Through a systematic factorial study across 96 configurations varying target part-of-speech, retrieval granularity, and sample volume, we identify which factor combinations drive gains and where they break down. Our results demonstrate that static linguistic documentation can be repurposed for machine translation fine-tuning, offering a practical path towards translation tools for severely under-resourced languages.

Assessing the spatial fairness of predictive models involves establishing whether they are statistically penalizing (favoring) individuals associated with certain geographical locations. Literature on this topic makes the fundamental assumption that each individual is assigned to a single geographical location (e.g., place of residence). However, fairness with respect to the set of regions where one regularly spends time, i.e., the individual's activity space, also matters when fairness is considered. Consequently, we argue that it is necessary to generalize the notion of spatial fairness to also account for such activity-space patterns, leading to the novel problem of assessing predictive models for fairness relative to the movements of individuals. To deal with this problem, we propose an approach that first associates individuals with geographic regions relevant to their activity spaces, considering multiple spatial partitions with different resolutions and alignments, and then employs a suitable spatial scan statistic to assess whether a predictive model is fair based on activity-space patterns. In the experimental evaluation, we study the performance of our approach over thousands of synthetic unfair datasets, showing that it is effective at detecting this new type of unfairness and at retrieving the set of objects treated unfairly, while localization performance exhibits a consistent multi-resolution trade-off.

Speaker embeddings, or x-vectors, are widely used to represent speaker identity and speaker-related attributes, but existing embedding extractors are typically descriptive rather than generative: they map an observed speech segment to an x-vector, which is then used for downstream applications. We introduce ProPS, Prompted Profile Synthesis, a framework for generating distributions of speaker embeddings conditioned on natural language prompts such as "a thirties male speaker with an Indian accent". ProPS converts human-written profile descriptions into sentence embeddings and uses a mixture density network trained on a large-scale dataset to predict a Gaussian mixture model in the x-vector space. The model is trained by maximizing the likelihood that real speaker embeddings match the requested profile, and its generated distributions are evaluated by negative log-likelihood on held-out x-vectors and by attribute classification accuracies on sampled synthetic x-vectors. Experiments show that ProPS produces profile-conditioned distributions and generates x-vectors that preserve requested speaker attributes such as age, gender, accent, and prosodic characteristics. This design enables controllable speaker-profile synthesis for speech generation systems like Text-To-Speech (TTS) or Voice Conversion (VC) while anchoring generated distributions in observed speaker-embedding structure.