Tabular Data

Tabular foundation models learn to predict cell values in context, whereas world-model self-supervision asks for prediction in representation space (LeCun, 2022; Assran et al., 2023). On a tabular foundation-model prior, the latent term of a joint-embedding predictive architecture (JEPA) collapsed in our earlier runs and took the encoder with it to a constant map. We report a recipe under which the latent term survives to convergence beside the value objective: the value head reads the encoder field rather than the predictor, and the target is an exponential moving average (EMA) difference. To bound its cost against the value-only arm, both arms train until a plateau rule stops them, with no fixed step budget. A fixed horizon had confounded a slowdown with a ceiling, since the value-only arm was still improving well past the usual budget. At convergence, in one run per arm, the JEPA arm trails the value-only arm across 147 real datasets, 32:70 wins to losses on classification (29:63 with one entry per dataset name) and 8:24 on regression, the margin small on classification and wider on regression, and the count leans the same way in each stratum and each benchmark. The JEPA arm (jepa) needs 1.42 times as many steps as the value-only arm (ds), and 1.66 times its wall-clock, to reach its plateau.

Electricity forecasting often involves spatially related signals observed over regions, substations, and feeders, and Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) provide a natural way to represent these relations. Building a complete GNN forecasting experiment is nonetheless laborious, because graph construction, model selection, training, aggregation, and interpretation sit in incompatible tools. We present GraphToolbox, an open-source Python framework that unifies these stages in one configurationdriven pipeline built on PyTorch Geometric. It offers data-driven graph construction, an adapter that instantiates and trains 51 of the 65 PyTorch Geometric convolutions together with the recurrent cells of PyTorch Geometric Temporal, online expert aggregation, forecasting interpretability, and significance testing on cached forecasts. We evaluate the pipeline in two case studies. On French regional load, the 48 convolutions included in the complete forecasting sweep fall in a band from 1.14% to 1.60% error, online aggregation lowers this to 0.98%, and the graph models improve on classical additive and boosting baselines. On net-load, direct graph models are less accurate than a classical additive model, while forecasting each physical component separately improves them without closing that gap. Both comparisons use the same experimental interface, illustrating the role of GraphToolbox in systematic architectural evaluation.

In high-dimensional tabular learning, feature screening provides a lightweight, model-agnostic way to remove irrelevant features before model fitting. However, scoring raw values directly can miss nonlinear or distributional structure. We introduce PACE (Plug-and-Play Contextual Embedding), which inserts a frozen tabular foundation model (TFM) column encoder before an existing feature-scoring rule, expanding each feature into a higher-dimensional contextual representation. Across controlled studies, PACE improves raw-space screening of complex nonlinear dependence with only modest additional encoding cost. These gains translate to downstream prediction on TALENT datasets: PACE-DC improves binary AUC by 0.077 and multiclass macro-AUC by 0.064, with a median normalized RMSE improvement of 0.063 across ten learners. Matched random-weight and random-feature controls show that PACE gains from pretrained structure beyond generic dimensional expansion. PACE further achieves favorable performance--time trade-offs against task-fitted selectors and attribution-based methods, positioning pretrained column geometry as a reusable upstream primitive for tabular learning.

Relational table learning has gained increasing attention with the widespread use of relational databases. Existing methods typically rely on deep GNN or HGNN stacks, leading to high computational costs and limited performance on large real-world databases. We propose MetaRTL, a two-stage framework for scalable and expressive relational table learning. In the first stage, MetaRTL obtains initial table embeddings via lightweight pre-training. In the second stage, it performs non-parametric message passing to derive meta-path features, which are then aggregated by an attention module, MetaAttn. By shifting computation from deep message passing to efficient meta-path aggregation, MetaRTL captures rich relational semantics while maintaining high efficiency. Experiments on 10 real-world datasets across 24 tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Small clinical tabular datasets require interpretable machine learning because deep learning is often impractical and ensemble models can be difficult to inspect. A key pitfall is that statistical significance does not necessarily imply predictive utility. Using data from the Panama Aging Research Initiative--Health Disparities (PARI-HD) cohort (n=165), we implemented a leakage-safe threshold-likelihood Bernoulli/Categorical Naive Bayes (BNB/CNB) classifier. Within every training fold, each continuous predictor was reduced to a supervised chi-square-derived state, while income entered the model through a categorical likelihood. All data-dependent steps were performed within repeated stratified 10-fold cross-validation with 30 repeats. The demographic baseline achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.630 +/- 0.017. I-309 (CCL1) was the dominant incremental feature, increasing AUC by 0.110, with paired DeLong tests yielding p<0.05 in 100% of repeats. In the pre-specified primary analysis, I-309 produced a fixed-partition DeLong p=0.0018, with robustness assessed across 200 random partitions, where the median p-value was 0.0011. Within the exploratory family of 18 candidate markers, I-309 achieved a Benjamini-Hochberg-adjusted q=0.032 on the frozen partition and satisfied q<0.05 in 85% of random partitions, whereas no other marker demonstrated reliable incremental predictive value. Because the fitted model is an inspectable table of thresholds and class-conditional probabilities, these results identify I-309/CCL1 as an interpretable candidate feature for tabular prediction of cognitive impairment, pending external validation.

Dexterous in-hand manipulation requires policies that coordinate high-DoF hand joints through intermittent, contact-rich interaction. Beyond target-orientation tracking, such policies must discover finger gaits that preserve object stability while adapting to geometry, anisotropy, pose, contact, and sensing changes. We propose \method, a tactile-conditioned behavior prior model for dexterous reorientation. \method distills multi-scale sphere specialists into a latent controller and lets downstream policies reuse the fixed tactile prior through residual latent actions, reducing renewed exploration from raw joint commands. The prior conditions on tactile-proprioceptive history so latent behavior reflects the current hand-object interaction. We evaluate arbitrary-pose transfer across anisotropic objects, commanded-axis rotation, and an arm-hand Grasp-to-AnyPose task in which the robot must grasp, lift, transport, and reach goal poses for novel tool geometries and generalized placements. Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed method accelerates training and enables stable policies where matched raw-action PPO remains near failure, with successful sim-to-real transfer in in-hand and arm-hand tasks.

Surrogate-assisted evolutionary algorithms (SAEAs) are effective methods for solving expensive optimization problems (EOPs), where surrogate models replace most expensive evaluations and critically influence the final optimization results. In recent years, tabular foundation models have advanced rapidly, and the Tabular Prior-data Fitted Network (TabPFN) has been adopted as a surrogate model for EOPs due to its strong predictive capability, demonstrating promising performance. Motivated by its potential as a surrogate model in SAEAs, this work conducts a comprehensive study that combines extensive experiments with in-depth theoretical analysis to investigate the effectiveness of TabPFN. Specifically, we perform experiments across both offline and online SAEA settings, covering diverse problem scenarios such as single-objective, multi-objective, constrained, combinatorial, mixed-variable, and engineering optimization problems. In addition, we further analyze the advantages and limitations of TabPFN within SAEAs and provide practical guidelines for its application in different optimization settings. Results show that the effectiveness of TabPFN is highly problem dependent, and it cannot replace conventional surrogates universally. Overall, TabPFN should be adopted selectively according to data availability, landscape complexity, search space characteristics, and its role within the algorithm. Customized model management strategies and role-specific algorithm design are necessary to fully exploit its advantages and avoid its pitfalls.

We introduce TabPFN-3.5, our new flagship Tabular Foundation Model. It significantly outperforms its predecessor, TabPFN-3, and all existing baselines across a broad range of tabular problems. TabPFN-3.5 sets a new state of the art on standard tabular prediction in TabArena, and extends it to the data practitioners encounter in practice: non-i.i.d. data with temporal or grouped splits, tables with strings, text and images, high-cardinality categorical features, and wide tables with many features. These gains carry over to our task-specific harnesses: state of the art on relational data and stronger time-series forecasting. For faster inference, our variant TabPFN-3.5-Fast runs up to 3x faster than TabPFN-3 while keeping most of the accuracy gains. In addition, we upgrade TabPFN-3.5-Plus, expanding our multimodal capabilities with advanced text and date handling alongside proprietary inference optimizations. Finally, we release a new version of our Thinking mode, TabPFN-3.5-Thinking, which scales inference-time computation to push the state of the art further. It benefits from our stronger base model and from inference-time improvements that make it up to 12x faster than TabPFN-3-Thinking.

Table understanding is a core task in document intelligence, encompassing two key subtasks: table reconstruction and table visual question answering (TabVQA). While recent approaches predominantly rely on vision- language models (VLMs) operating on table images, we propose a more scalable and effective alternative based on structured textual representations. These representations are easier to process, align more naturally with LLMs, and eliminate the need for language-specific visual encoders, making them particularly suitable for multilingual documents. We present DELTA, which separates physical structure recognition, logical structure recognition, and OCR to extract both layout and content accurately. DELTA outputs tables in Optimised Table Structure Language (OTSL), a compact and unified format that encodes cell arrangements and textual content. On table structure recognition (TSR), DELTA achieves TEDS- Structure scores comparable with state-of-the-art methods across FinTabNet, PubTabNet, and PubTables-1M. We further establish its robustness on non-English tables through our curated Hindi benchmark, TORQUE. Building on this, we introduce TARQA, an LLM fine-tuned on OTSL sequences. Our approach yields gains of 9.3 p.p. on WTQ (TabQA) and 9.2 p.p. on FinTabNetQA (TabVQA), respectively. On TORQUE, our method ranks second among all VLMs and DELTA + LLM variants. We release our code, models, and benchmark at: https://github.com/Tihiitborg/Tables-Decoded

Despite the rapid progress of LLM-based agents for planning, code generation, and debugging, their practical value for tabular machine learning remains underexplored. In this paper, we investigate a concrete use case: whether state-of-the-art agentic AI systems can design extended HPO search spaces for established tabular models that outperform the standard search spaces provided by the model authors. Specifically, we represent each tabular model as a modular pipeline covering preprocessing, embeddings, architecture, training, and inference. We then task the agent to propose candidate code implementations for each module and use a classical HPO algorithm to jointly optimize over these candidates and the model's default hyperparameters. Compared with the base HPO spaces, the expanded search spaces improve the performance of nearly every model family across a suite of 45 datasets, with average relative gains of 0.6%, rising to 2.0% on small-to-medium regression datasets. Notably, these gains come at no extra tuning cost: the enlarged spaces outperform the base under the same tuning and ensembling budgets. The gains transfer to the recent TabArena benchmark, where the agentic spaces improve the official Elo scores of four of the five model families and the two strongest agentic ensembles surpass the best AutoGluon ensemble of conventional models. Overall, our study suggests that LLM agents can provide practical value for tabular ML by expanding the design space.

Tabular foundation models deliver strong zero-training predictive performance via in-context learning, but their high inference latency makes them impractical as hot-path decision backends in interactive agentic loops. We distill a TabPFN teacher into a compact feed-forward student across a business-decision simulation on UCI Adult and five OpenML benchmarks: the classification head compresses 53.2M parameters to 8,546 (6,220x); the deployed two-head loan pipeline compresses 111.4M parameters to 17,059 (6,532x). The student retains 95.4-100.5% accuracy and 96.8-100.0% AUC, with the lowest accuracy retention on credit-g at 95.4%; an alpha = 0 hard-label control shows that the teacher's soft targets provide a 2.1-7.0 AUC point gain.

Table extraction from texts is an important task for information systems, and recent approaches that prompt large language models (LLMs) with instructions have drawn great attention for their strong performance. Existing works have assumed the input texts to be table descriptions or specialized documents. However, these efforts have largely overlooked another prevalent category of texts, commonly found in news reports and social media: naturally occurring texts. Extracting tabular information from such texts poses two distinct challenges. First, high variability and the absence of explicit structural cues make fixed heuristic LLM prompts limited in precisely delineating extraction boundaries. Second, manually predefined schemas cannot capture open-ended, unseen attributes in naturally occurring text. In this paper, we propose a framework, TEAR, to address these challenges. It comprises two synergistic workflows: a Table Extraction Workflow that dynamically adapts instructions to overcome the limitation of heuristic instructions, and an Attribute Recommendation Workflow that discovers new attributes from texts to complement the heuristic schema. To our knowledge, TEAR is the first framework that supports automated text-driven attribute recommendation, enabling exploratory schema design for table extraction. To evaluate TEAR, we establish the benchmark for table extraction and attribute recommendation on naturally occurring texts, including two real-world datasets, manual annotations, appropriate metrics, and baseline comparisons. Experiments show that TEAR achieves state-of-the-art performance on both tasks, and the recommended attributes effectively enhance extraction performance in exploratory scenarios.

Prequential adaptation of frozen tabular foundation models under temporal drift, with each label revealed only after prediction, helps some deployments and harms others, yet current practice does not predict which. We study the sources and limits of these gains. A diagnostic anatomy attributes gains to four recurring mechanisms under a streaming protocol that removes three optimistic biases and quantifies a fourth. Within an agnostic total-variation drift class, the target conditional is only partially identified: its identified-set diameter, the \emph{wall}, is irreducible from unlabeled data uniformly in sample size. A second, orthogonal $L^2$ projection wall quantifies what the frozen representation cannot express. Two canonical mechanism priors collapse the first wall. Under stated nuisance-rate conditions, the wall can be estimated from labeled historical windows at a $\sqrt N$ rate above the margin threshold $\gamma^\star=d_0/(2\alpha_s)$. At $\gamma=0$, the conditional lower-bound program depends on an open affinity estimate; the positive-margin lower branch also remains open. Semi-synthetic data illustrate the finite-sample mechanism with calibrated exponents. Stream-level proxies on eight industrial streams fall on the difficult side under a stated roughness bound, while the equality case $\gamma=\gamma^\star$ remains unresolved.

With the recent rise and adoption of tabular foundation models, optimizing their inference performance becomes an emerging field for efficiency research. While the models are architecturally similar to transformer-based large language models (LLMs), the size and serving patterns differ significantly. We show that the focus should be on the attention calculation and less on weight or KV cache quantization, which are more popular in LLMs. We develop a quantization strategy for queries, keys, and values to FP8 and use explicit FP8 matrix multiplication instructions to speed up the attention calculation. We find that it is crucial to align the quantization error in the test rows with the quantization error in the training rows, as otherwise the accuracy drops drastically. Our Triton kernel achieves a speedup up to 1.7x over regular 16-bit kernels, and we show that on TabPFN-v3 and TabICLv2 there is no relevant accuracy loss across TabArena and BeyondArena.

Relational table learning has recently emerged as an important research direction for modeling multiple tables connected through primary key-foreign key (PK-FK) relationships. Despite recent advances, a principled modeling framework tailored to this task remains underexplored. In this paper, we propose Intra-Inter Relational Table Learning (InRTL), a unified framework that explicitly models dependencies both within and across relational tables. Specifically, InRTL formalizes two complementary interaction patterns: intra-table interactions, describing associations among rows within the same table, and inter-table interactions, describing dependencies between rows across PK-FK-linked tables. To model these dependencies, we develop a column-aware table encoder to generate initial row representations, followed by Transformer-based self-attention and cross-attention modules for intra-table and inter-table learning, respectively. To further improve scalability, InRTL incorporates linearized attention and heterogeneous graph neural networks to simplify the self-attention and cross-attention operations. Extensive experiments on ten datasets covering 24 real-world tasks demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. Code is available at https://github.com/W1nterFloW/InRTL.

Cardiovascular screening models trained on national health surveys routinely report areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) near 0.89. We asked whether that accuracy reflects learning or target leakage, whether tabular foundation models change the answer, and whether the properties deployment requires survive joint examination. We benchmarked ten classifiers spanning linear, tree-ensemble, neural, glass-box, and tabular foundation classes for prevalent myocardial infarction in 442,067 respondents of the 2022 Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System across five feature tiers of decreasing leakage risk. Each was audited for discrimination, calibration, fairness at an explicit screening threshold, conformal coverage, explanation faithfulness, and inference cost, then applied -- models and thresholds frozen -- to 430,755 respondents of 2023. Removing two post-diagnostic features cost every model 0.049-0.051 AUROC, collapsing the field into a 0.0045-wide band. The glass-box explainable boosting machine was non-inferior to every alternative within a pre-specified 0.005 margin while scoring the cohort roughly 104 times faster than the strongest foundation model. One threshold detected 75.4% of women's infarctions against 89.0% of men's; editing the model's shape functions reduced the gap to 0.010. Marginal conformal prediction gave 0.86 coverage to men and 0.82 to adults over 60; Mondrian calibration repaired every stratum. Frozen models transported within 0.002 AUROC. Reported headroom in this literature is a property of the feature set, not the learner. Transparency cost nothing measurable and made fairness repair and uncertainty conditioning directly auditable. Evaluation practice, not model capacity, is the binding constraint.

Feature transformation improves predictive performance on tabular data by constructing informative abstractions from raw features. Recent generative approaches encode transformation knowledge into continuous embedding spaces for efficient exploration of candidate strategies, but face three key limitations: (1) overlooking hierarchical relationships between low-level features, operations, and high-level abstractions; (2) enforcing order-sensitive embeddings on inherently permutation-invariant transformation sequences, thereby introducing systematic bias; and (3) relying on gradient-based search, which is ill-suited to non-convex transformation spaces. We propose a framework with two complementary components. First, a permutation-invariant hierarchical module captures interactions across features, operations, and abstraction levels, with a self-attention pooling mechanism that maps semantically equivalent structures to consistent embeddings aligned with downstream performance. Second, a policy-guided multi-objective reinforcement learning strategy initializes the search from empirically strong seeds and jointly optimizes predictive accuracy and transformation efficiency. Extensive experiments on diverse tabular benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of our framework against strong baselines. Our code and data are publicly available at: https://github.com/RayLiu1103/PHER.

Machine learning-based credit scoring is increasingly central to Peer-to-Peer (P2P) lending, yet its resilience to adversarial manipulation, where applicants strategically alter self-reported inputs to secure favourable decisions, remains poorly understood. Most adversarial-robustness evidence comes from image and text domains and evaluates a single attack against a matching defence, offering little guidance on how defences generalise across attack types in tabular credit data. We address this with a systematic train-test robustness benchmark on a large Lending Club subset, spanning three model families (logistic regression, a feed-forward neural network, and a transformer for tabular data) and four attacks confined to applicant-mutable features: Fast Gradient Sign Method (FGSM), Projected Gradient Descent (PGD), Salt-and-Pepper (S&P) noise, and DeepFool, plus a mixed-attack regime. Across a full grid evaluated with stratified cross-validation, adversarial training sharply improves robustness against the attack it is trained on and transfers well within the gradient-based family, but transfers weakly to non-gradient corruption, so single-attack defences overstate real-world resilience. Mixed training delivers the most balanced robustness across heterogeneous attacks while preserving clean-test performance, supporting multi-attack stress testing in credit-model governance.

Table Structure Recognition (TSR) aims to extract the bounding boxes of cells and table structure (e.g., HTML) from table images. Although current approaches have made significant progress, the latest image-to-sequence methods overlook the explicit utilization of the bounding box information when predicting HTML sequences, leading to error predictions in complex scenes. In this paper, we introduce a novel framework BGTR (Bounding Box-Guided Table Recognizer). To more effectively utilize bounding box information, we first predict the bounding boxes of cells and then use this information to guide the generation of HTML sequences. While utilizing bounding box information can enhance the accuracy of HTML sequences, for natural scene tables, the data volume is too small to allow for sufficient training of bbox-guided HTML generation. In response, we adopt a progressive training method for natural scene tables and introduce SNSTab, a synthetically generated natural scene table dataset. Our experiments on five benchmark datasets demonstrate SOTA performance.

Table detection is a core task in document analysis, supporting downstream applications such as information retrieval, document reconstruction, and visual question answering. While existing deep learning models perform well on English and Chinese documents, they struggle with multilingual, multi-script documents due to script diversity and the limited availability of labeled data. To address this challenge, we introduce MANDALA (Multi-script Annotated Documents for Table Detection), a manually curated dataset of 2,323 table-containing pages spanning 18 languages and 15 scripts across diverse domains. We also propose EMBLEM, a masking-based paradigm for Multi-script Table Detection (MTD). EMBLEM generates masked images that conceal script- and font-specific details, enabling models pre-trained on abundant English documents to focus on script-agnostic page layout. Experiments across three table detection architectures show that EMBLEM consistently outperforms strong baselines on MANDALA while remaining competitive on five standard English-dominant benchmarks. Using only English masked images for fine-tuning, with no multi-script training data, EMBLEM achieves an absolute F1-score gain of 20.8% on MANDALA. We release MANDALA along with the accompanying code and models at https://github.com/IITB-LEAP-OCR/EMBLEM.git.

Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) have recently demonstrated strong predictive performance through in-context learning, but their deployment in high-throughput data streams remains challenging due to communication overhead and latency. We propose \textit{HINT}, a hierarchical inference framework that combines edge-based retrieval with cloud-based TFM inference. A graph-based approximate nearest neighbor memory maintained over a sliding window provides local predictions and uncertainty estimates, allowing confident samples to be processed locally while uncertain instances are selectively offloaded, together with their retrieved context, to a cloud-hosted TFM. The framework exposes an offloading threshold and a neighborhood retrieval policy that can be varied to balance predictive performance and communication cost. Experiments show \textit{HINT} consistently identifies favorable trade-offs.

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated strong performance in table understanding. However, they typically process table content and headers as linearized token sequences. This representation weakens the two-dimensional and hierarchical structural relationships encoded by multi-level row and column headers. Existing parameter-efficient fine-tuning methods incorporate basic row and column information but do not explicitly capture the rich structural dependencies induced by hierarchical table headers. We propose DeepTable, a structure-aware approach for table understanding with LLMs. DeepTable comprises two complementary components. Structural Attention Bias (SAB) introduces learnable biases into the attention logits to explicitly represent whether pairs of table tokens share the same row or column. Tree Path Encoding (TPE) represents each table token using the ancestor paths of its row and column headers, preserving its position within the multi-level table structure. We integrate DeepTable with TableLoRA (He et al., 2025) to inject structural information into parameter-efficient adaptation. Across three LLM backbones, DeepTable consistently improves the corresponding TableLoRA baselines on three table question answering benchmarks, achieving average gains of 7.42 points on HiTab, 3.23 points on WikiTQ, and 2.01 BLEU points on FeTaQA. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed structural biases across different LLM backbones.

Democratizing access to the knowledge held in large corpora of tables such as data lakes is emerging as a central research challenge. Research in this space is advancing and broadening in scope, increasingly supplying the components to satisfy a person's insight need end-to-end. Yet these efforts remain fragmented across communities that frame the problem under their own conventions, such as table question answering, text-to-SQL, and data analysis agents, with works six times as likely to cite within the same task label as across labels. To bring these communities onto common ground, we establish a holistic framework for this pursuit, which we refer to as Open Tabular Insight Extraction (OpenTI). We formalize OpenTI from first principles around the analytical knowledge a person needs, the procedure for deriving it from a corpus of tables, and how well a result serves the person who sought it. In doing so we consolidate frameworks and terminology across information retrieval, natural language processing, machine learning, databases, and human-computer interaction, and apply this grounding in a systematic review and analysis of systems and benchmarks that work towards OpenTI. We find that current systems do not cover the end-to-end scope of OpenTI, mainly focusing on the analysis itself, and that benchmarks are largely unfit for evaluations in an open setting as inputs presuppose knowledge of tables, and validation mechanisms do not match the setup. Finally, we distill a research agenda towards OpenTI systems, evaluation, and interaction paradigms that surface the insights users need. An interactive companion to our paper is available at https://open-tabular-insight-extraction.github.io.

Biomedical tables often combine thousands of measured variables with only tens or hundreds of labelled samples, a regime that is poorly represented in general-purpose tabular benchmarks. We introduce TabBench-Bio, a living and interactive benchmark of 43 biomedical datasets spanning multiple domains. Under a shared cross-validation protocol, we compare classical estimators, neural networks, and tabular foundation models across 28 feature-by-sample operating points. At the reference cell of 10,000 features and 100 training samples, RealTabPFN v2.5 has the highest point estimate, followed by Logistic Regression and TabDPT, whose point estimates are nearly identical. A paired bootstrap over the target pool separates RealTabPFN v2.5 from Logistic Regression by 145 Elo (95% interval [59, 232]). Tabular foundation models generally occupy the leading ranks, while the strongest configuration depends on the operating point and biomedical modality. The AutoML framework AutoGluon, using its one-hour "extreme" preset, is configured as a separate resource-intensive reference and is reported here at the reference cell. Fold-level predictions, run status, and deterministic aggregations make every reported result reproducible and reusable. We invite the community to contribute: TabBench-Bio is designed to grow, and we welcome submissions of new biomedical tabular datasets, particularly from underrepresented assays and clinical endpoints, for inclusion in future releases. The interactive leaderboard is available at: https://tabbench-bio.eu

We introduce Xiaomi-TabLDM, a tabular large data foundation model for classification and regression via in-context learning, which delivers superior prediction accuracy without requiring task-specific fine-tuning. Pretrained exclusively on synthetic data generated from structural causal models (SCMs), our model enables more flexible context utilization and more efficient capacity scaling. i) A new performance standard. Strong regression performance across benchmarks: Xiaomi-TabLDM ranks 1st on OpenML-CTR23 and 2nd on regression across TALENT, TabArena, and BCCO, demonstrating consistently strong regression performance across four complementary benchmark suites. Favorable performance--efficiency trade-off: Xiaomi-TabLDM combines strong predictive performance with substantially lower computational cost. For example, on TabArena regression, it achieves the second-highest Elo while using 82% less training time and 68% less prediction time than the top-ranked TabFM. ii) Large-scale synthetic pretraining. Xiaomi-TabLDM expands the coverage and diversity of synthetic tabular data used for pretraining. We also adopt a three-stage training strategy together with dual-stream feature grouping, lightweight Attention Residual, and sparse Mixture-of-Experts, enabling Xiaomi-TabLDM to learn richer feature interactions and expert specialization across diverse tabular tasks. iii) Test-time scaling. Xiaomi-TabLDM further extends tabular prediction through test-time compute scaling, where allocating additional computation at inference time consistently improves predictive performance over the base model.

Large Language Models (LLMs) have shown strong performance on table question answering, yet their accuracy often degrades as table size increases. We find that this degradation is not uniform across question types. Localization-sensitive questions are particularly affected by irrelevant table content, while questions requiring broader evidence may still benefit from full-table reasoning. Based on this observation, we propose a question-adaptive framework that dynamically selects between localized and full-table reasoning. The framework constructs question-specific sub-tables through operation-aware table decomposition and uses the predicted question type to determine the appropriate reasoning mode. We further introduce silver reference sub-tables for evaluating evidence selection and construct SLQA, a benchmark based on real-world long tables. Experiments on WikiTQ and SLQA show that localization is particularly effective for lookup and local reasoning questions, while adaptive selection between localized and full-table reasoning achieves the best overall performance. These results highlight that long-table QA requires deciding not only how to localize, but also when to localize. Our code and datasets will be made available upon publication of the paper.

Scaling laws in modern deep learning describe how held-out loss improves as model capacity, training data, and compute increase, often following power-law trends. We investigate whether analogous scaling regularities arise in actuarial ratemaking, where data are tabular, heterogeneous, and noisy, and where classical models such as GLMs remain strong baselines. Using a real-world motor insurance portfolio, we train models from different families across increasing fractions of the training data and multiple random seeds, evaluating out-of-sample Poisson deviance, a likelihood-based loss for Poisson count predictions in which lower values indicate better held-out fit. We find that all model families improve with additional data, but scaling exponents differ substantially: TabM exhibits markedly stronger data scaling than purely supervised tabular Transformers and standard MLP baselines. Transformer variants show weak parameter scaling unless augmented with additional inductive biases (TabM-style adaptation or self-supervision). These results provide quantitative guidance on model selection by data regime and suggest that effective scaling on actuarial tabular tasks depends on architecture and loss function objective design, with simple increases in Transformer size providing limited gains.

Tabular deep learning (TDL) leverages neural networks (NN) to extract patterns from tabular data. Traditional TDL methods follow a supervised learning paradigm, where a target feature is explicitly given. In this work, however, we explore a different approach by employing deep NNs to learn relationships among individual columns within a given table. We investigate whether NNs can predict the values of arbitrarily selected columns in a given table based on the remaining known columns. We call this problem In-Table Prediction (ITB), which is slightly different from table imputation methods and the pretraining task of TDL. Three potential usage scenarios are identified, which, to our best knowledge, have not been extensively studied in the literature. A self-supervised learning approach is applied to address this problem by randomly selecting columns to be masked out and used as learning targets. This work focuses on tabular datasets containing only continuous features. To handle missing values in continuous features, a novel neural layer is proposed to embed both numerical and empty values. Synthetic data is generated based on predefined column relationships, with empty values inserted using two distinct mechanisms. Additionally, an adapted masking strategy is employed to create test data. Performances of three NN architectures, namely MLP, Resnet and Transformer, are evaluated using the generated synthetic data. We conclude that, the attention-based structure outperforms the other two networks, when a sufficiently large number of training examples is available and a relatively large embedding length is chosen. We stress that these findings are obtained under controlled, synthetic conditions with a small number of columns and it should therefore be regarded as an initial, narrowly-scoped investigation rather than a general characterization of ITP on real-world tabular data.

Angle-encoded quantum kernels on tabular data collapse when the feature map is wider than the intrinsic dimension of the data. We propose the correlation fractal dimension D2 as an a priori qubit budget: encode D2 coordinates chosen by FD-ASE instead of the PCA-95% width or all E attributes. On nine data sets and a statevector simulator (n= 32), a one-layer ZZ fidelity kernel at q=D2 stays geometrically alive while the same kernel at the PCA-95% width has already collapsed. The budget is map-dependent: product-state and IQP maps overshoot it; a second ZZ layer undershoots it. Packed dense-angle and re-uploading encodings still live at the fractal q, but not when PCA-95% features are stacked onto those qubits. Shrinking the angle bandwidth moves the ZZ knee later; stretching it kills the kernel earlier. On IBM Quantum (ibm_fez, 256 shots, n=8) the one-layer ZZ kernel at the fractal width matches the exact kernel (MAE 0.021); past that width both hardware and simulator have collapsed. The ceiling is a property of the map-data pair at a stated bandwidth, not of the classical table alone.

Recent Relational Deep Learning architectures have been proposed as foundation models for multi-table relational data, yet they impose constrained neighborhood budgets that force row truncation when an entity has many related records. We introduce Animus, a synthetic financial dataset in which predicting customer income requires aggregating up to tens of thousands of transactions. On the raw representation, three recently proposed models (RT, Griffin, RelGT) achieve $R^2 \le 0.18$; a single, routine, temporal pre-aggregation step recovers $R^2$ up to $0.65$. This questions whether current relational foundation models are ready for high-cardinality real-world data.

Designing models that generalize effectively in low- to medium-data regimes remains a primary challenge in medical machine learning, particularly for physiological time-series classification. While tabular foundation models such as TabPFN offer an attractive alternative to conventional fine-tuning through in-context learning, they are not designed to capture the temporal dependencies inherent to physiological signals. ~In this paper, we introduce TSPFN, a foundation model that redesigns TabPFN's architecture for time series data. TSPFN integrates structured temporal representations and positional embeddings to capture intra-sample temporal and channel dependencies. To fully leverage its spatio-temporal design, the model is pretrained on 140,000 real-world physiological time series across multiple medical domains. This yields a unified, generalizable framework capable of learning the specificities of medical time series. Experiments across diverse physiological benchmarks demonstrate that TSPFN consistently outperforms standard tabular baselines and TabPFN, and achieves superior cross-domain generalization compared to specialized deep time-series models. All our experiments, ablation studies, and pre-processing scheme are publicly available at https://github.com/Jeremstym/TSPFN

Foundation models promise accurate forecasts with little or no task-specific training, but whether they can replace models designed specifically for electricity price forecasting remains unclear. We compare nine variants from five foundation model families, evaluated in zero-shot mode, with two state-of-the-art electricity price forecasting benchmarks in Germany, Poland, and Spain over 2021-2025. Their performance is assessed in terms of point and probabilistic forecasting accuracy, as well as economic value in battery energy storage arbitrage. Only the TabPFN models consistently and significantly outperform the benchmarks across all three markets and all statistical measures. However, this statistical dominance does not translate directly into economic dominance: TabPFN performs best under unlimited bids and riskier quantile-based strategies, whereas the Distributional Deep Neural Network benchmark is more profitable when risk tolerance is lower. Thus, foundation models cannot universally replace market-specific models, and their value depends on both model architecture and the decision problem.

Antimicrobial peptides (AMPs) often act against multiple pathogen classes, making multi-label activity prediction a more realistic screening target than binary antimicrobial classification. The ESCAPE benchmark formalizes this setting, but leading approaches typically rely on multimodal, structure-conditioned deep models that are costly to train and tune. We show that a simple, sequence-only pipeline can match and surpass these methods by combining 330 interpretable sequence descriptors with TabPFN, a tabular foundation model that performs in-context prediction in a single forward pass without gradient-based training or hyperparameter search. On ESCAPE (82,359 peptides; five labels), a label-powerset TabPFN model achieves mAP-5 = 77.8%, improving on the previously best reported 72.1%. A probabilistic classifier chain is the first method to match or exceed the best published average precision on each of the five labels simultaneously. The gains persist under the prior state-of-the-art single-fold training protocol, indicating they are not a training-set-size artefact, and are largest for remote homologues (+11.2 points below 30% sequence identity). Ablations further show that predicted structure is unnecessary at inference and that performance is not driven by any single descriptor family: ten global physicochemical scalars recover 91% of full-feature performance. Finally, explicitly modelling label dependence yields targeted benefits for scarce activities and supports ranking which activity to assay next from partial positive evidence.

Sharing tabular data in high-stakes domains is constrained by privacy regulations. Synthetic data offer a promising alternative, but deep generative models are costly to train and difficult to audit, while LLM-based methods often serialize records as text, obscuring tabular structure and exposing sensitive data. We introduce Tabular Synthesis Strategy Designer (TabSSD), which uses an LLM to design synthesis procedures rather than directly generate records. TabSSD provides the LLM with tree-derived summaries of variable dependence rather than raw records, which produces Python programs for local execution and evaluation. Across twelve datasets, TabSSD strikes a favourable balance among statistical fidelity, predictive utility, and empirical privacy risk, achieving the best average rank across six metrics among ten methods. Moreover, it substantially reduces local computation and token consumption relative to the compared methods. By enabling human-guided refinement and eliminating user-side model tuning, TabSSD lowers the expertise and infrastructure barriers to transparent tabular data synthesis.

Explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) increasingly calls for actionable counterfactual recourse, yet current methodologies face challenges related to causal invalidity, excessive cognitive burden, and predictive failure. Exhaustive causal search algorithms often require modifications to multiple attributes, whereas additive attribution-guided methods, such as SHAP, ignore higher-order feature synergies, leading to suboptimal predictive momentum and diffuse intervention effort in complex nonlinear models, such as XGBoost. To bridge this gap, we introduce actionable case-based feature importance (A-CBFI), a diagnosis-prescription integrated framework for tabular machine learning. Grounded in structural causal models (SCMs), A-CBFI isolates synergistic interaction bottlenecks and releases suppressive structural locks, translating them into targeted interventions. By mathematically separating the active user intervention space (L_{\mathrm{active}}) from downstream effects and concentrating over 98.3% of the intervention effort on diagnosed root causes, A-CBFI enables highly targeted interventions. Empirical evaluations across the financial and healthcare domains demonstrate that A-CBFI reduces the active human intervention burden by 77.0% while maintaining comparable global recourse cost to exhaustive causal baselines. By prioritizing the diagnosed causal bottlenecks, A-CBFI provides targeted and actionable recourse while maintaining causal validity and achieving full relative convergence across all causally feasible instances.

This first release of Prior Labs in relational learning shows our continued commitment to open science. We open-source three pieces of software that we expect to accelerate research in the field towards meaningful real-world impact. We aim to steer further development based on feedback from, and in collaboration with, the community. Given the early stage of development, our $α$-release targets researchers and early-adopting practitioners. Over the past years, a variety of datasets and tasks for relational learning have emerged, but the community has not converged on a reliable, reproducible way to compare different methods on these tasks. Our $α$-release, RelArena-$α$, provides a unified framework for running and comparing baselines on RelBench v1 by standardizing data loading, evaluation protocols, tuning regimes, and support for systems with custom tuning, inspired by established tabular benchmarks such as TabArena. We plan to work with the research community to further develop RelArena-$α$ into a catalyst for progress in the relational learning community. We release the initial version of TabPFN-Rel, a purpose-built relational harness for TabPFN-3. Currently ranked first among models on RelArena-$α$, TabPFN-Rel makes key improvements upon RDBLearn. Beyond its ranking, TabPFN-Rel serves as a strong baseline, adding to the growing evidence that flattening a relational database into a single table remains competitive with specialized relational architectures on real-world tasks. To facilitate adoption of relational learning methods in research and industry, we release an initial $α$-version of our Relational Predictive Interface, RPI, an open-source, model-agnostic interface that enables early adopters to easily define problems on new databases and apply any model implemented in RelArena-$α$, including TabPFN-Rel, to these problems.

Tabular-to-image methods have emerged as novel approaches to leverage the high predictive performance of convolutional neural networks and vision transformers. They convert tabular data into image representations, mapping each feature at a fixed pixel location derived from a dimensionality-reduction method (e.g., t-SNE, UMAP, PCA). However, they encode only the marginal value of each feature and discard information about feature relationships. We propose TabSOM, a tabular-to-image encoding built on the Self-Organizing Map (SOM), which provides: (i) a spatial layout in which every input feature occupies a fixed canvas position derived from its component plane via collision-free Hungarian assignment; and (ii) a graph that captures pairwise feature relationships derived from the SOM component planes. The resulting image stacks two multi-scale node channels: one encodes feature values at fixed scales, while the other encodes pairwise feature interactions as spatial connections between related features. Two SOM-derived interpretability approaches are introduced: a prototype-inspired partial dependence plot and a class--separation importance score. Benchmarked against twelve existing tabular-to-image methods across public binary-classification datasets, TabSOM ranks first or second on every dataset and achieves the lowest variance of any method evaluated. Interpretability obtained with TabSOM was validated against Random Forest, XGBoost, and SHAP, the class-separation score shows reasonable agreement with established baselines on the top-ranked features while capturing complementary structural information from input data. These results demonstrate that TabSOM provides an effective and interpretable approach for applying deep learning architectures to tabular data, bridging the performance--interpretability gap in this domain.

Pretrained tabular foundation models have demonstrated strong predictive capability; however, their application to large-scale datasets remains constrained by the limited inference context. This paper introduces Balanced Adaptive Prototype Selection (BAPS), a framework for constructing compact, information-preserving contexts for scalable TabPFN inference. Without modifying or retraining the pretrained model, BAPS jointly preserves representative structure, informative decision boundaries, local density, class balance, and feature-space diversity. Experiments on the million-row HIGGS and SUSY datasets show that 512 prototypes retain strong predictive performance and reliable calibration, corresponding to an approximately 1,953-fold context compression. All experiments were conducted on an Intel Core i7 CPU with 16 GB RAM and no GPU acceleration. These findings establish effective context construction as a practical mechanism for extending pretrained tabular foundation models to million-scale datasets.

Graph learning presupposes a graph, and tables and relational databases do not come with one. Applying a GNN to them requires deciding which entities become nodes, which of them to connect, and through which relations---a decision made by hand, by schema heuristics, or by training a model on every candidate graph and keeping the best. We give a criterion that requires no trained graph model. In the minimal table-to-graph abstraction each row is a node, so a message-passing GNN, bounded by 1-WL, sees a construction only as a partition of the rows into colour-refinement classes: a construction is good for a task when that partition separates rows with different labels and does not split rows that share one. AutoGrable turns this criterion into a construction procedure. For incidence constructions the partition is fixed by the selected columns, so building a graph reduces to choosing them, and we score a candidate subset by a label-alignment risk: the held-out risk of the best predictor constant on its blocks, penalised by an occupancy term measuring how thinly the blocks are populated. The score materialises no graph and trains no GNN, so AutoGrable can search the space of subsets greedily and cheaply, and returns the resulting grable for single tables and for foreign-key schemas alike. Our experiments show that over a space of candidate graphs the score discards a large fraction while retaining the best; that AutoGrable recovers the columns that generate the label on controlled tasks and outperforms fixed, random, and task-aware constructors on real tasks under a fixed predictor; and that it is the only method compared that can decline to build a graph when none helps.

The strong performance of foundation models for tabular tasks comes at substantial inference costs. Distilling models into task-specific architectures reduces model size and computational demands but also sacrifices in-context adaptability. Here we introduce TACTICL, an automated task-aware compression framework for tabular in-context learning models that jointly prunes transformer layers and replaces them with lightweight adapters trained on downstream tasks, thus blending in-context with in-weight learning. We study TACTICL on 47 benchmark datasets and show that we can substitute up to 85% of layers without substantial performance drop on a given downstream task. We further show that TACTICL maintains robustness to data shifts, leaving its in-context ability intact. Overall, TACTICL provides a robust framework for exploiting the depth-wise redundancy of tabular foundation models by combining task-specific adaptation and structured compression. We provide the code at: https://github.com/Hebog/tfm_compression

While vision-language models dominate medical representation learning, unstructured text lacks the dense, quantitative diagnostic phenotypes inherent in structured clinical tables. However, existing multimodal pre-training methods underutilize this potential due to semantic-agnostic designs that treat tabular inputs as flat vectors and employ unstable continuous regression objectives. To overcome this, we propose a novel semantic-aware framework explicitly modeling the intrinsic two-dimensional structure of tabular data. First, addressing the inter-feature hierarchy of varying diagnostic importance, we introduce Importance-Aware Adaptive Masking to construct a label-free curriculum prioritizing salient features. Second, addressing the intra-feature continuity-discreteness duality, we propose a Soft-Label Discretized Module that replaces unstable numerical regression with stable distribution matching, thereby mathematically preserving ordinal relationships. Extensive experiments across large-scale dermatology (SLICE-3D, HOP) and ophthalmology (EyePACS) datasets establish a new state-of-the-art (SOTA), demonstrating exceptional robustness and cross-domain generalizability.

Transforming table-form documents into machine-processable records requires recovering not only their visible content but also the multilevel structure that organizes it. However, existing benchmarks evaluate either holistic document outputs or conventional table grids, and their aggregate scores provide little insight into where structural failures occur. We introduce FormStruct-Bench, a hierarchical and diagnostic benchmark that evaluates table-form document structure recognition at both the document level and progressively finer component levels, allowing aggregate performance to be traced back to specific structural failure modes. To construct auditable ground truth at scale, we annotate 70 reusable templates and expand them into 7,000 verified instances through a provenance-preserving Director--Artist--Verifier pipeline; all 1,100 instances in the template-disjoint test set additionally receive human review. Our evaluation protocol uses five primary metrics and three structure-specific diagnostics across page, schema, and component levels, together with slices over difficulty, structural constraints, and visual degradation. Across 14 API-hosted and locally deployable systems plus two SFT variants, the best document-level score reaches 83.85%, whereas the best reported fine-grained structural score remains below 18%. These results reveal a pronounced gap between reading document content and recovering the hierarchy and regional organization required for reliable table-form understanding.

Recent document parsers achieve table TEDS scores above 93 on OmniDocBench v1.6, yet community feedback and our audit reveal persistent failures on complex real-world tables. To quantify this gap, we introduce TableParseMap, a diagnostic benchmark of 916 real-world tables organized into five challenging scenarios and nine failure types. The strongest evaluated parser achieves only 85.03 TEDS, showing that aggregate benchmark scores conceal substantial weaknesses. Our analysis attributes these failures to three complementary limitations: large tables exceed the reliable processing scale of a single pass, weak or ambiguous visual cues hinder structure perception, and the reconstructed table may remain visually inconsistent with the image. We therefore propose DEC (Decompose--Enhance--Correct), a visual-consistency-guided agentic framework that improves frozen table parsers without retraining. DEC uses a general VLM as the controller: Decompose partitions large tables along structure-aware boundaries, Enhance exposes weak visual evidence and reparses transformed views, and Correct diagnoses and repairs residual errors. A Visual Consistency Gate (VC-Gate) selectively triggers intervention, while a Visual Consistency Ranker (VC-Ranker) verifies candidate updates and supports rollback without ground-truth HTML at inference time. We further derive a 1,977-table Consensus-Hard Set from 4,556 candidates through offline metrics and cross-model consensus. Across three frozen parsers, DEC improves TEDS by 1.57 points on average; on TableParseMap, gains reach 1.89 points overall, 2.62 on structural errors, and 5.66 on large tables.

Density estimation underlies many unsupervised tasks on tabular data such as anomaly detection, out-of-distribution detection, and data augmentation. Although all these problems reduce to questions about where probability mass lies, they are typically solved individually by fitting a separate model to each dataset, with its own hyperparameters and tuning budget. We introduce ICED, an in-context, energy-based density estimator that removes this per-dataset cost. ICED is a transformer-based model pretrained once on a synthetic prior built specifically for density estimation under an objective that fits log-density where it is informative and preserves its ordering elsewhere. In the inference, it reads a dataset as context and returns an unnormalized log-density for any query point in a single forward pass, with no fitting, sampling, or hyperparameter selection. A single frozen ICED model then drives four tasks usually handled by four specialized pipelines: density estimation, out-of-distribution detection, unsupervised anomaly detection, and generative augmentation. Across all four, it is competitive with the strongest task-specific method, while being the only approach that needs no retraining, no tuning, and no labels to move between them. The code is available at https://github.com/gmum/iced.

Tabular data presents unique challenges for deep learning due to its heterogeneous nature, where numeric features exhibit diverse distributions, scales, and statistical properties. Although recent advances have improved how models learn from tabular data, how numeric data are transformed into model-friendly representations remains comparatively underexplored. We introduce the stretch transformation framework, which formulates numeric feature preprocessing as an optimization problem to make the target function smoother and thus more learnable. Our framework has two variants: (1) unsupervised stretch, which uniformly redistributes feature density via minimax optimization, and (2) supervised stretch, which optimizes target-aware numeric feature transformations from the perspective of target-function smoothness by minimizing the target function's Dirichlet energy in the transformed space. Our theoretical analysis further connects this framework to several popular transformations: unsupervised stretch is closely related to Piecewise Linear Encoding through a shared piecewise-linear geometry and approaches the empirical CDF transformation as the number of bins grows, while supervised stretch becomes closely related to target encoding in the fine-binning limit. Comprehensive experiments on 38 datasets from the TALENT benchmark demonstrate that supervised stretch consistently outperforms all baselines. These results show that explicitly optimizing for target function smoothness is a powerful and underexplored strategy for tabular deep learning.

Open lakehouse table formats accumulate small data files over time, which degrades query performance. Deciding when compaction is worthwhile remains threshold-driven, but which metadata features actually determine compaction utility is not well understood. We present an open simulation framework that generates 2,376 Apache Iceberg tables spanning three orders of magnitude in file size, extracts 17 metadata features from manifest files without reading data, and trains XGBoost to predict the continuous file-reduction ratio (R2 = 0.998, RMSE= 0.013). The binary compaction decision turns out to be trivially separable by a single partition-level threshold max_files_per_partition> 4, requiring no learned model. Cross-schema validation on 96 TPC-H tables confirms generalisation without retraining (R2 = 0.976). A query benchmark reveals that compaction benefits metadata-heavy queries but can slow full-scan aggregations by reducing task parallelism. All code and data are publicly available.

Practical AI systems increasingly need to turn long, heterogeneous documents into queryable relational databases, not isolated spreadsheets. In domains such as finance, healthcare, education, transportation, and enterprise operations, downstream workflows rely on normalized schemas, entity identities, keys, cross-table relationships, and integrity constraints for analytics, compliance, auditing, and SQL-backed decision making. Existing Document-to-Table benchmarks are insufficient for this setting: flattening evidence into single tables can duplicate entities, obscure many-to-many relationships, create sparse records, and avoid testing whether extracted facts form a valid database instance. This creates an urgent need to evaluate document understanding as database construction rather than field extraction. We introduce Doc2DB-Bench, a benchmark for Document-to-Database construction, containing 203 long-document instances across 42 schemas and seven domain groups, with 117 entity tables, 132 relationship tables, 7,341 rows, and 41,935 cells. Built through a controllable DB-to-Doc synthesis pipeline and organized by a taxonomy of intra-table extraction and inter-table reasoning, the generated documents undergo authenticity verification, proving indistinguishable from real-world references. Doc2DB-Bench thus provides a testbed for reliable, auditable, and relationally faithful LLM-based data systems. The benchmark is publicly available at https://github.com/SetonLiang/Doc2DB-Bench.

Interval prediction aims to achieve a target coverage level while producing intervals that are as short as possible. Many conformal regression pipelines first predict an uncertainty surrogate and then convert it into an interval through calibration or selection. This separation supports coverage calibration, but post hoc rules largely determine the final interval and do not fully use the learned output distribution. We observe that the resulting intervals have inherently hierarchical geometry: an interval can be recursively refined into nested subintervals, and binary trees naturally represent this structure. We formulate this hierarchy as next-interval prediction and propose PATH, which learns how probability mass flows from each interval to its next nested subintervals. PATH predicts a base leaf distribution and uses an autoregressive decoder to refine branch probabilities. Matching the distribution to the interval hierarchy aligns learning with extraction: PATH accumulates probability over adjacent output intervals and returns the shortest contiguous range reaching a selected mass. We compare PATH with 24 baselines for interval prediction on PATHBench, comprising 56 OpenML regression datasets. PATH substantially shortens the resulting intervals, achieving the lowest mean normalized length, 0.1473, while maintaining mean coverage of 0.9144. These results establish hierarchical output modeling as an effective approach for compact interval prediction on tabular data. Code is publicly available at https://github.com/pxcai/PATH.

Time series forecasting (TSF) plays an important role in a wide range of real-world applications. Recently, time series foundation models (TSFMs), pretrained on large-scale datasets, have demonstrated strong generalization capabilities and emerged as an important paradigm for TSF. Reinforcement learning (RL) post-training has consequently attracted growing attention as a means of further improving their performance on downstream tasks. However, we find that, in certain forecast regions, RL post-training may gradually shift the output distributions of TSFMs away from the ground truth, thereby limiting their performance. We refer to this phenomenon as \textbf{suboptimal collapse}. Our analysis suggests that difficulty in initially sampling high-quality trajectories near the ground truth is an important contributing factor to suboptimal collapse. To address this issue, we propose Ground-Truth Neighborhood Regularization (GTN-R) for RL post-training of TSFMs. GTN-R uses the ground truth as a reference for locating high-quality regions and guides the model's probability mass toward the ground-truth neighborhood. This increases the probability of sampling high-quality trajectories, mitigates suboptimal collapse, and improves performance. Moreover, GTN-R can be flexibly integrated into various RL methods for TSFMs. Extensive experiments show its effectiveness.

Clustering mixed tabular data requires a unified metric space to bridge the inherent heterogeneity between continuous numerical measurements and discrete categorical symbols. Traditionally, algorithms rely entirely on dataset-internal statistics to estimate categorical relationships, which confines the learned metric to empirical co-occurrences and ignores conceptually obvious yet statistically unobserved affinities. Although LLMs offer external world knowledge, applying their text-centric reasoning to highly abstract tabular concepts presents significant challenges. Bridging this modality gap to construct a semantically complete metric typically requires embedding LLMs into iterative metric learning loops to dynamically optimize cross-modality representations. This incurs intractable computational overhead, forcing a compromise between semantic enrichment and scalability. Therefore, we propose GRACE, an LLM-grounded framework for scalable mixed-data clustering. GRACE shifts semantic acquisition to the attribute-value level via a multi-perspective LLM querying strategy, mapping heterogeneous values into knowledge-informed descriptions. Crucially, this one-shot grounding extracts general-purpose semantic representations that embed heterogeneous attributes into a unified space, decoupling expensive LLM invocation from iterative optimization. Furthermore, GRACE cross-validates these external semantics against dataset-internal statistical evidence to ensure alignment with the dataset-specific cluster structure. Ultimately, GRACE matches the scalability of conventional statistics-driven baselines while achieving superior clustering accuracy and conceptual interpretability over 11 competing methods. The source code is available at https://github.com/develop-yang/GRACE-GRACE-A

Contextual bandits offer a natural framework for sample-efficient personalization, but practical deployment remains difficult under sparse, biased interaction data, unreliable uncertainty estimates, and severe cold starts. We study whether pre-trained tabular foundation models with in-context learning can be turned into randomized policies for online decision making. We propose BC-ICL (Bootstrap-conditioned action selection using ICL), which at each round draws a bootstrap resample of the interaction history, conditions a frozen pre-trained ICL model on that resample, scores all actions, and selects the action with the highest sampled score. We further introduce an arm-context conditioning architecture that promotes shared statistical strength across actions and helps avoid common bootstrap failure modes of isolated-arm bandits. Empirically, this policy delivers strong early-round regret and regret performance on standard contextual bandit suites, outperforming established baselines under a strict online protocol.

Tabular data are ubiquitous in real-world applications and are crucial for data-driven prediction and decision-making across science, industry, finance, healthcare, and public services. Tabular foundation models (TFMs) have emerged as a promising paradigm for general-purpose tabular learning, offering reusable predictors across diverse datasets and substantially reducing the need for task-specific training, tuning, and model development. However, their practical deployment remains constrained by distribution shifts, heterogeneous feature semantics, and task-specific patterns that are difficult to capture without costly fine-tuning or additional labeled data. To this end, we propose SkillTFM, a training-free system that shifts TFM adaptation from parameter updates to the gated evolution of agentic skills. The core of SkillTFM is a verifiable and extensible skill bank that couples boundary evidence identification with gated skill evolution: the former characterizes task structure and base-model failure patterns, whereas the latter retrieves and extends reusable skills subject to explicit validation. Across simulated boundary settings and real-world electricity-price forecasting, SkillTFM improves AUC by 0.128--0.142, raises nonlinear-boundary AUC from 0.699 to 0.898. Furthermore, experiments across TFM backbones demonstrate the effectiveness and generality of SkillTFM.

Tabular Foundation Models (TFMs) are currently the best approach to tabular prediction problems. They are constructed as transformers that approximate the Bayesian posterior predictive distribution based on a pre-training prior. These univariate predictors can be converted into multivariate ones autoregressively by sampling one target and adding it to the features. However, the faithfulness of the resulting joint has not been investigated. Furthermore, TFMs cannot be evaluated against the posterior itself, at least not on real-world datasets, because the ground-truth distribution is unknown. We therefore propose asking a different question: could a model's predictions result from any joint distribution? To answer this question, we pose two requirements that any such model must satisfy. The first is marginalization consistency, which demands that marginalized conditionals are equal to directly predicted marginals. The second is factorization consistency, which demands that different factorization orders result in equal joint distributions. Every TFM that we evaluate violates both of these requirements for both classification and regression across all datasets.

Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas. However, identifying reliable machine learning models is complicated by overlapping debris-flow and non-debris-flow events in feature space, the need for model interpretability, and limited training data. This paper addresses these challenges through a systematic evaluation of machine learning models in terms of predictive performance, feature importance, and synthetic data augmentation. Using basin-scale observations of post-wildfire debris-flow events across the western United States, we compare 15 models, including the Tabular Prior-Data Fitted Network (TabPFN). Repeated stratified cross-validation shows that TabPFN achieves the highest unaugmented performance with a threat score of 0.637, closely followed by the best tree-based models. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) are used to identify the features driving predictions, revealing that short-duration rainfall intensity and storm accumulation consistently rank highest, while burn severity and terrain features contribute less. We further evaluate synthetic data augmentation using TabPFN-generated samples to address the scarcity of debris-flow observations. Synthetic augmentation improves the performance of all models except CNN, with the largest mean threat score increase of +0.041 among the deep learning models. By combining rigorous model benchmarking, interpretable feature analysis, and synthetic data augmentation, this work provides a comprehensive framework for improving post-wildfire debris-flow prediction.

Large language models (LLMs) perform table-centric prediction through in-context learning, making demonstration selection critical to performance. Existing retrieval methods prioritize similarity to the query, but similar demonstrations often reinforce the model's likely prediction rather than reveal the distinctions needed for difficult decisions. We propose EdgeLM, a retrieval framework that instead selects edge evidence, demonstrations that are both relevant to the query and informative about the decision boundary. EdgeLM retrieves two complementary forms of edge evidence by selecting data edges, nearby examples with different ground-truth labels, and model edges, similar examples previously misclassified by the deployed model. EdgeLM requires neither model retraining nor task-specific engineering. Across five data wrangling tasks, fifteen datasets, and five open-weight and proprietary LLMs, EdgeLM consistently achieves the best or near-best performance in every setting, while ablations show that the two forms of edge evidence provide complementary benefits. Our code and datasets are publicly available at https://github.com/soroushomidvar/EdgeLM.

Multimodal learning of images and tabular data is often impaired by ineffective representations, resulting in redundancy, dispersion, and generalization problems. To tackle this challenge, we introduce Graph-Enhanced Descriptor Sequencing (GEDS), a structured feature sequencing algorithm grounded in principles from the Column Permutation Problem (CPP). GEDS refines statistical descriptors of the features through similarity graph-based computations, systematically determining an effective feature sequencing. We incorporate GEDS within an order-aware efficient transformer framework, utilizing order-aware memory tokens that explicitly adhere to the derived feature sequencing via a dedicated loss function. Experimental results across multimodal benchmarks demonstrate that iStructTab effectively minimizes feature dispersion, improving predictive performance and robustness, and highlighting the significance of structured feature sequencing in multimodal learning.

Time series data are ubiquitous in practical applications, where classification (TSC) and extrinsic regression (TSER) have emerged as essential tasks for obtaining value from temporal sequences. While the literature has seen significant progress through feature-based and deep learning models, existing methods often focus either on the quality of feature extraction or on the intrinsic predictive power of complex architectures applied to raw data. This division creates a gap between the control offered by feature engineering and the automated performance of end-to-end models. This paper proposes TS2TabPFN, a framework that bridges this gap by integrating explicit feature extraction with TabPFN 2.5, a cutting-edge foundation model for tabular data, to leverage its predictive capabilities. Our extensive experimental evaluation demonstrates that TS2TabPFN significantly outperforms state-of-the-art models in TSER tasks with statistical significance, providing a robust and efficient alternative for TSC and surpassing most of the currently best-performing algorithms. These results suggest that combining foundation models with structured features overcomes single-paradigm limitations, establishing a new time series state-of-the-art.

Automatically generating professional multimodal reports comprising both textual analysis and visual charts from structured tabular data is a critical challenge in data intelligence. Existing methods suffer from fixed linear pipelines and isolated subtask processing, which hinder joint optimization of factual accuracy, visual quality, and narrative coherence. To address these issues, this paper proposes MCTS-Report, a Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS)-driven framework that formulates multimodal table-to-report generation as a progressive construction process over a structured search space. The core idea is to decompose report generation into atomic actions, including chapter planning, visualization task identification, chart generation, insight organization, and narrative refinement, each executed by an LLM based on dynamic reasoning conditioned on the current report state. We use an LLM to generate step-by-step reasoning and actions during MCTS, storing the reasoning trajectory in each node for context-aware, coherent report construction. To guide the search, we design a multi-dimensional reward function that jointly evaluates numerical fact consistency (via SQL), chart quality, chart-text alignment, and structural completeness, while incorporating a diversity penalty to suppress repeated charts and a precondition check to prune invalid actions. We also construct MMRBench, a comprehensive benchmark comprising real-world tables from six domains, paired with expert-refined reference report structures and verifiable key insights. Experiments on MMRBench demonstrate that MCTS-Report significantly outperforms strong baselines across structural completeness, numerical accuracy, chart-text alignment, and insight novelty, achieving a 77.9 overall score.

While modern tabular learners excel at capturing statistical patterns, they frequently operate in a semantic vacuum, treating textual features as discrete symbols, ignoring the rich semantics inherent in feature names or cell entries. We propose CASE (Context-Aware Semantic Embeddings), a novel framework that bridges the gap between the semantic understanding of Large Language Models (LLMs) and the statistical capabilities of tabular learners. Unlike existing methods that embed rows in isolation, CASE utilizes a contextualization strategy: we pre-fill the KV cache of a custom-trained Gemma 3-based Tabular Language Model with a representative sample of rows to establish a persistent anchor of the dataset's semantics. This ensures that generated row embeddings are dynamically contextualized, resolving semantic ambiguities and anchoring representations in domain-specific context. Our experiments across several benchmarks (CARTE, TextTab, and TabArena) demonstrate that CASE substantially improves the performance of tabular learners on semantically rich datasets, particularly in low-data regimes.

Tabular model performance degrades when feature distributions change over time or the relationship between features and outcome variables change over time, known as data drift and concept drift, respectively. These issues are challenging to mitigate in real time because labeled data may not be immediately available, or re-training a model could be impractical. While tools exist to reduce drift, they are typically bespoke to neural network architectures and adapt how models are trained. In this paper, we offer an alternative post-hoc method to reduce concept drift, which is applicable to a variety of models, from trees to neural networks to tabular foundation models. This new tool is especially useful when constraints, such as high model accuracy, bounded inference time, or model size requires users to choose between different models for their specific use-cases. Our algorithm fits the base model separately on each labeled training period, measures how its parameters evolve against a single anchor model pooled over all of those periods, compresses those changes with a low-rank factorization, and extrapolates each latent factor forward with a damped, regularized forecast. On the 18-dataset Drift-Resilient TabPFN benchmark, evaluated under that benchmark's own protocol and metric, the extrapolation improves every base family it is applied to, and achieves performance competitive with the state-of-the-art Drift-Resilient TabPFN with seconds of training. In contrast, Drift-Resilient TabPFN requires pre-training on millions of synthetic datasets over approximately 1,300 GPU-hours, and is orders of magnitude slower in inference (depending on the model). In the discussion, we explore the promise and challenges of extending this tool to other modalities.