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Papers

May 2, 2026cs.RO

Evidence-Based Landing Site Selection and Vison-Based Landing for UAVs in Unstructured Environments

Autonomous landing in cluttered or unstructured environments remains a safety-critical challenge for unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), particularly under noisy perception caused by sensor uncertainty and platform-induced disturbances such as vibration. This paper presents an evidence-based probabilistic framework for autonomous UAV landing that explicitly separates decision-making under uncertainty from execution via visual servoing. Landing safety is modeled as a latent variable and inferred through recursive accumulation of frame-wise visual likelihoods derived from flatness, slope, and obstacle cues, yielding a temporally consistent belief map that is robust to transient perception errors. Physical feasibility is enforced through a hard geometric constraint based on the minimum required landing radius of the UAV, ensuring that undersized but visually appealing regions are rejected. The final landing site is selected using constrained maximum a posteriori estimation. Once selected, the UAV locks onto the target region using ORB feature tracking and performs precise alignment and descent via image-based visual servoing (IBVS). The proposed approach is validated through both real-world laboratory experiments and high-fidelity simulations in Nvidia Isaac Sim, demonstrating consistent, cautious, and stable landing behavior across domains.
Sina Sajjadi, Jacopo Panerati, Sina Soleymanpour +3
May 2, 2026cs.RO

SixthSense: Task-Agnostic Proprioception-Only Whole-Body Wrench Estimation for Humanoids

Humanoid robots are entering our physical world at scale, yet as oversized toys--good at singing and dancing, but short on force-interaction capabilities for practical tasks. Bridging this gap necessitates prioritizing reliable contact perception as a fundamental requirement. Estimating external wrenches in humanoids is complicated by floating-base dynamics and indeterminate contact locations. Existing analytical frameworks require idealistic assumptions and hard-to-obtain measurements, which are often unavailable in practice. To bridge this gap, we propose SixthSense, a task-agnostic approach that infers whole-body contact timing, location, and wrenches from proprioception and IMU data alone. To capture the multi-modal dynamics between unstructured contact inputs and the uncertain motion outputs, we employ conditional flow matching to tokenize proprioceptive histories and estimate a spatiotemporally sparse contact-event flow. SixthSense serves as a plug-and-play perception module for applications including collision detection, physical human-robot interaction, and force-feedback teleoperation. Experiments across standing, walking, and whole-body motion-tracking policies showcased unprecedented performance in diverse behaviors.
Xingzhou Chen, Xiayan Xu, Yan Ning +8
May 2, 2026eess.SY

Quasi-Static Control of Discrete Cosserat Rod

In this paper, we design feedback control laws for soft robots modelled using the Cosserat rod, which is spatially discretised using the Piecewise Constant Strain (PCS) approach. The PCS approach transforms the nonlinear PDEs describing the Cosserat rod to a system of nonlinear ODEs. This simplification results in a model describing soft robots which is similar to the serial rigid-link manipulators. We design feedback control laws for the quasi-static PCS model by using external wrenches as control inputs. The control laws are designed based on state-feedback linearisation in strain and task spaces. An extensive set of numerical results demonstrates the performance of the control laws for end-effector trajectory tracking and shape control of soft robots.
Srishti Siddharth, Domenico Campolo, Ravi Banavar
May 2, 2026physics.ins-det

Forecasting Source Stability in Scientific Experiments using Temporal Learning Models: A Case Study from Tritium Monitoring

The Karlsruhe Tritium Neutrino Experiment (KATRIN) aims to measure the absolute neutrino mass with unprecedented sensitivity, requiring precise monitoring of the windowless gaseous tritium source, where tritium beta decay occurs. To track variations of the source activity, beta-induced X-ray spectroscopy provides real-time diagnostics. However, traditional drift detection methods struggle with the infrequent and transient nature of instability events in gaseous tritium. This study bridges the gap between state-of-the-art time-series forecasting models and real-world experimental applications by leveraging deep learning to predict the time to stability after instabilities. Unlike standard benchmarking approaches that emphasize algorithmic performance on fixed datasets, we apply forecasting models -- including LSTM, N-BEATS, TFT, NHITS, DLinear, NLinear, TSMixer, and Chronos-LLM -- to complex, large-scale experimental data. Our findings highlight two challenges: learning from sparse instability events and forecasting long time horizons (i.e., predicting hundreds of future points), both of which are ongoing challenges in time-series forecasting and remain active areas of research. This prediction task has direct experimental value by enabling better scheduling and maintenance planning. A reliable forecast of stability time allows for more efficient measurement and task management during stabilization periods. Through model selection, we identified N-BEATS as the top performer, excelling in accuracy and repeatability, demonstrating that deep learning can optimize large-scale physics experiments.
Nicholas Tan Jerome, Nadia Aouadi, Christoph Koehler +2
May 2, 2026cs.HC

EduGage: Methods and Dataset for Sensor-Based Momentary Assessment of Engagement in Self-Guided Video Learning

Engagement, which links to attentional, emotional, and cognitive dimensions, plays an important role in learning. In online and video-based learning environments, learners often need to regulate their own interactions with instructional materials. Measuring and reflecting on engagement can therefore support both learners and adaptive learning systems. In this study, we use wearable and camera-based sensing devices to collect physiological and motion signals, including PPG, ECG, EDA, EEG, IMU, heart rate, temperature, and eye-tracking data, to estimate learner engagement. We conducted a user study with 16 participants in a video-based learning scenario, where participants completed learning tasks and provided repeated in-situ self-reports of engagement through brief probes. We develop and evaluate a system for engagement estimation, compare different sensing modalities, and further analyze the feasibility and effectiveness of multimodal modeling for characterizing learner engagement. Across participant-based cross-validation, our model achieves an MAE of 0.81, 83.75% within-1 accuracy, 73.93% binary accuracy, and 68.45% binary Macro-F1, outperforming sensor-free, statistical, deep temporal, foundation-model, and LLM-based baselines. Our results suggest that fine-grained engagement estimation is feasible but inherently noisy, and that practical systems should prioritize lightweight combinations of behavioral and physiological signals over full multimodal instrumentation. We release the EduGage dataset, including synchronized multimodal sensor signals, probe-aligned momentary engagement labels, video metadata, quizzes, and study materials, to support reproducible research on fine-grained sensor-based engagement modeling in self-guided learning.
Zikang Leng, Edan Eyal, Yingtian Shi +3
May 2, 2026physics.app-ph

A skin-like conformal sensor for real-time shape mapping

Reliable real-time 3D shape sensing is essential for robust control and interpretation of deformable systems during motion. Existing vision-based approaches require line-of-sight and complex instrumentation, limiting operation in occluded and space-constrained settings. Here, we introduce a scalable, skin-like sensor that reconstructs its continuous 3D deformation in real time from distributed strain measurements. The device embeds a 2D array of mirror-stacked, printed oxidized eutectic gallium-indium (o-EGaIn) strain gauges within an elastomeric film to measure off-neutral-axis strains. Combined with a mechanics-informed observation model and a fast optimization routine, the system estimates local curvature, elongation, offset, and orientation under concurrent stretching, bending, and indentation, enabling reconstruction of complex surfaces. A 5-by-5 array with a 12 mm pitch achieves a mean surface reconstruction error of 0.62 mm with 0.1s latency across all tested scenarios. When conforming to complex surfaces, the sensor provides fast 3D shape mapping of the underlying geometry. Demonstrations involving palm gesturing, finger indentation, and contact-induced balloon deformation highlight utility for epidermal motion tracking, haptic interaction, and intraoperative monitoring.
Kaiping Yin, Sooik Im, Chaorui Qiu +5
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Diffusion Operator Geometry of Feedforward Representations

Neural networks transform data through learned representations whose geometry affects separation, contraction, and generalization. Recent work studies this geometry using discrete curvature on neighborhood graphs, suggesting Ricci-flow-like behavior across layers. We develop a smooth operator-theoretic alternative for feedforward representation snapshots. Each feature cloud induces a Gaussian-kernel diffusion Markov operator, and transport, spectral, label-boundary, and local-scale observables are derived from this single object via Bakry-Emery ΓΓ-calculus. In a balanced Gaussian class-conditional snapshot model with shared covariance, the population operator has closed-form class affinities, leakage, and coarse spectra, all controlled by pairwise regularized Mahalanobis separations cε(a,b)c_\varepsilon^{(a,b)}. We also prove that the resulting operator observables vary smoothly under feature perturbations, while hard neighborhood-graph diagnostics can change discontinuously. Synthetic experiments validate the closed-form Gaussian bridge, while learned MNIST experiments show that the same operator observables track training, width, and perturbation stability. Together, these results give a stable operator-geometric framework for analyzing feedforward representation geometry.
Kanishka Reddy
May 1, 2026cs.AI

Towards Multi-Agent Autonomous Reasoning in Hydrodynamics

Single-agent systems (SAS) have become the default pattern for LLM-driven scientific workflows, but routing planning, tool use, and synthesis through a single context window comes with a well-known cost: as tool specifications and observational traces accumulate, the effective context available for each decision shrinks, and end-to-end reliability suffers. We present a multi-agent system (MAS) prototype for hydrodynamics in which specialized agents are coordinated through a Layer Execution Graph (LEG). A planner agent constructs query-specific execution topologies from natural-language routing heuristics that capture domain knowledge without hard-coding it as rigid control logic; specialist agents operate under strict tool allowlists and occupy complementary data-class roles. Between layers, consolidator agents fuse parallel outputs into concise briefs, and a reporter agent synthesizes the final response, while the runtime logs provenance for every tool invocation to support auditability. All benchmarks, ablations, and stress tests use Claude Sonnet~4.6 as the backbone model for both specialist and general-purpose agents. Evaluated on 37 queries spanning six complexity categories, the prototype achieves 93.6% factual precision with a 100% pass rate. Accuracy remains above 90% across runs from single-threaded to five independent parallel tracks, and under simulated loss of individual data sources the system degrades gracefully, still returning substantive partial answers. Together, these results suggest that planner-guided, graph-structured multi-agent orchestration can meaningfully alleviate the context-saturation bottlenecks that constrain monolithic single-agent architectures.
Jinpai Zhao, Albert Cerrone, Joannes Westerink +1
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Learning to Race in Minutes: Infoprop Dyna on the Mini Wheelbot

Reinforcement Learning (RL) has the potential to enable robots with fast, nonlinear, and unstable dynamics to reach the limits of their performance. However, most recent advances rely on carefully designed physics-based simulators and domain randomization to achieve successful sim-to-real transfer within reasonable wall-clock time. In this work, we bypass the need for such simulators and demonstrate that Infoprop Dyna, a state-of-the-art uncertainty-aware model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) framework, can enable robots to learn directly from real-world interactions. Using Infoprop Dyna, the Mini Wheelbot, an underactuated unicycle robot, learns to race around a track within 11 minutes of real-world experience.
Devdutt Subhasish, Henrik Hose, Sebastian Trimpe
May 1, 2026cs.CV

Modeling Subjective Urban Perception with Human Gaze

Urban perception describes how people subjectively evaluate urban environments, shaping how cities are experienced and understood. Existing computational approaches primarily model urban perception directly from street view images, but largely ignore the human perceptual process through which such judgments are formed. In this paper, we introduce Place Pulse-Gaze, an urban perception dataset that augments street view images with synchronized eye-tracking recordings and individual perception labels. Based on this dataset, we propose a Gaze-Guided Urban Perception Framework to study how gaze behavior contributes to the modeling of subjective urban perception. The framework systematically investigates three complementary settings: gaze-only modeling, gaze fusion with explicit semantic scene representations, and gaze fusion with implicit richer visual representations. Experiments show that gaze alone already carries useful predictive signals for subjective urban perception, and that integrating gaze with scene representations further improves prediction under both semantic and richer visual representations. Overall, our findings highlight the importance of incorporating human perceptual processes into urban scene understanding and open a direction for gaze-guided multimodal urban computing.
Lin Che, Xi Wang, Marc Pollefeys +3
May 1, 2026quant-ph

Quantum Interval Bound Propagation for Certified Training of Quantum Neural Networks

Quantum machine learning is a promising field for efficiently learning features of a dataset to perform a specified task, such as classification. Interval bound propagation (IBP) is a popular certified training method in classical machine learning, where the lower and upper bounds are tracked throughout the model. These bounds are used during training to ensure that the model is certified to predict the correct label even under adversarial perturbations. While IBP is successful in classical domain, there are limited certified training efforts in quantum domain. In this paper, we present quantum interval bound propagation (QIBP) to establish a certified training routine for quantum machine learning, certifying the accuracy of models under adversarial perturbations. We implement QIBP using both interval and affine arithmetic to explore the tradeoffs between the two implementations in terms of accuracy and other design considerations. Extensive evaluation demonstrates that the resulting certified trained models have robust decision boundaries, guaranteed to predict the correct class for the samples within the trained adversarial robustness bounds.
Emma Andrews, Nahyeon Kim, Prabhat Mishra
May 1, 2026cs.CV

Quantum Gradient-Based Approach for Edge and Corner Detection Using Sobel Kernels

Edge detection refers to identifying points in a digital image where intensity changes sharply, indicating object boundaries or structural features. Corners are locations where gray-level intensity changes abruptly in multiple directions and are widely used in feature extraction, object tracking, and 3D modeling. In this study, we present a quantum implementation of Sobel-based edge detection and Harris-style corner detection. Two quantum image encoding methods - Flexible Representation of Quantum Images (FRQI) and Quantum Probability Image Encoding (QPIE) - are used to encode the input data and are comparatively analyzed. The proposed approach introduces a quantum gradient computation scheme based on lag-2 differences, enabling the evaluation of gradient-like features in superposition. To improve detection quality and reduce false positives, a classical post-processing step is applied to candidate corner points identified by the quantum circuit. Results show that the proposed quantum circuits produce outputs consistent with classical Sobel and Harris operators. Furthermore, the QPIE-based configuration yields more stable and coherent results than FRQI, especially under limited measurement shots. While gradient computation can be performed efficiently at the circuit level, the overall cost remains dominated by state preparation, measurement, and classical post-processing. All experiments are conducted under noiseless simulation, and performance on NISQ hardware may be affected by noise and measurement limitations. Therefore, this work demonstrates a functional and scalable quantum realization of classical edge and corner detection methods rather than an end-to-end speedup.
Mohammad Aamir Sohail, Gabriela Pinheiro, Yasemin Poyraz Kocak +4
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Robust volatility updates for Hierarchical Gaussian Filtering

Hierarchical Gaussian Filtering (HGF) networks allow for efficient updating of posterior distributions (beliefs) about hidden states of an agent's environment. HGF parent nodes can target the mean or variance of their children. New information entering at input nodes leads to a cascade of belief updates across the network according to one-step update equations for each node's mean and precision (inverse variance). However, the original form of the update equations for variance-targeting parents(volatility coupling) can in some regions of parameter space lead to negative posterior precision, a logical impossibility which causes the updating algorithm to terminate with an error. In this report, we introduce a modified quadratic approximation to the variational energy of volatility-coupled nodes that avoids negative posterior precision. The key idea is to interpolate between two quadratic expansions of the variational energy: one at the prior prediction and one at a second mode whose location is obtained in closed form via the Lambert W function. The resulting update equations are robust across the entire parameter space and faithfully track the variational posterior even for large prediction errors.
Christoph Mathys, Nicolas Legrand, Peter Thestrup Waade +2
May 1, 2026cs.CL

Learning How and What to Memorize: Cognition-Inspired Two-Stage Optimization for Evolving Memory

Large language model (LLM) agents require long-term user memory for consistent personalization, but limited context windows hinder tracking evolving preferences over long interactions. Existing memory systems mainly rely on static, hand-crafted update rules; although reinforcement learning (RL)-based agents learn memory updates, sparse outcome rewards provide weak supervision, resulting in unstable long-horizon optimization. Drawing on memory schema theory and the functional division between prefrontal regions and hippocampus regions, we introduce MemCoE, a cognition-inspired two-stage optimization framework that learns how memory should be organized and what information to update. In the first stage, we propose Memory Guideline Induction to optimize a global guideline via contrastive feedback interpreted as textual gradients; in the second stage, Guideline-Aligned Memory Policy Optimization uses the induced guideline to define structured process rewards and performs multi-turn RL to learn a guideline-following memory evolution policy. We evaluate on three personalization memory benchmarks, covering explicit/implicit preference and different sizes and noise, and observe consistent improvements over strong baselines with favorable robustness, transferability, and efficiency.
Derong Xu, Shuochen Liu, Pengfei Luo +8
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Knowing when to trust machine-learned interatomic potentials

Prevailing machine-learned interatomic potential (MLIP) uncertainty-quantification methods rely on ensembles of independently trained backbones. These methods scale unfavorably with foundation-scale MLIPs, and their member-disagreement signals correlate weakly with per-molecule prediction error. Here we probe the frozen per-atom representations of a pretrained MLIP with a compact discriminative classifier, recasting MLIP uncertainty quantification as selective classification rather than error regression. The resulting method, PROBE (Post-hoc Reliability frOm Backbone Embeddings), produces a per-prediction reliability probability that monotonically tracks actual error without modification to the underlying model. Across large held-out evaluation sets and two structurally distinct MLIP architectures, PROBE outperforms ensemble disagreement as a binary reliability signal, which strengthens with the expressiveness of the backbone representation, implying a favorable scaling trajectory toward foundation-scale MLIPs. Multi-head self-attention additionally yields per-atom importance maps, providing chemically interpretable diagnostics at no additional computational cost. PROBE is post-hoc and architecture-agnostic, and is directly deployable on any MLIP that exposes per-atom representations.
Shams Mehdi, Ilkwon Cho, Olexandr Isayev
May 1, 2026cs.CV

Vesselpose: Vessel Graph Reconstruction from Learned Voxel-wise Direction Vectors in 3D Vascular Images

Blood vessel segmentation and -tracing are essential tasks in many medical imaging applications. Although numerous methods exist, the prevailing segment-then-fix paradigm is fundamentally limited regarding its suitability for modeling the task of complete and topologically accurate vascular network reconstruction. Here, we propose an approach to extract topologically more accurate vascular graphs from 3D image data, building upon highly successful ideas from the related biomedical tasks of cell segmentation and -tracking. Our approach first predicts voxel-wise vessel direction vectors joint with standard vessel segmentation masks. Second, to extract the vascular graph from these predictions, we introduce a direction-vector-guided extension of the TEASAR algorithm. Our approach achieves state-of-the-art performance on three benchmark datasets, spanning both synthetic and real imagery. We further demonstrate the applicability of our approach to challenging 3D micro-CT scans of rat heart vasculature. Finally, we propose meaningful and interpretable measures of topological error, namely false splits and false merges for graphs. Overall, our approach substantially improves the topological accuracy of reconstructed vascular graphs, being able to separate closely apposed vessel segments and handle multiple vascular trees within a single volume.
Rajalakshmi Palaniappan, Christoph Karg, Nemesio Navarro-Arambula +4
May 1, 2026cs.CV

High-Speed Vision Improves Zero-Shot Semantic Understanding of Human Actions

Understanding human actions from visual observations is essential for human--robot interaction, particularly when semantic interpretation of unfamiliar or hard-to-annotate actions is required. In scenarios such as rapid and less common activities, collecting sufficient labeled data for supervised learning is challenging, making zero-shot approaches a practical alternative for semantic understanding without task-specific training. While recent advances in large-scale pretrained models enable such zero-shot reasoning, the impact of temporal resolution, especially for rapid and fine-grained motions, remains underexplored. In this study, we investigate how temporal resolution affects zero-shot semantic understanding of high-speed human actions. Using kendo as a representative case of rapid and subtle motion patterns, we propose a training-free pipeline that combines a pre-trained video-language model for semantic representation with large language model-based reasoning for pairwise action comparison. Through controlled experiments across multiple frame rates (120 Hz, 60 Hz, and 30 Hz), we show that higher temporal resolution significantly improves semantic separability in zero-shot settings. We further analyze the role of tracking-based human joint information under both full and partial observation scenarios. Quantitative evaluation using a nearest-class prototype strategy demonstrates that high-speed video provides more stable and interpretable semantic representations for fast actions. These findings highlight the importance of temporal resolution in training-free action recognition and suggest that high-speed perception can enhance semantic understanding capabilities.
Yongpeng Cao, Yuji Yamakawa
May 1, 2026cs.RO

MSACT: Multistage Spatial Alignment for Stable Low-Latency Fine Manipulation

Real-world fine manipulation, particularly in bimanual manipulation, typically requires low-latency control and stable visual localization, while collecting large-scale data is costly and limited demonstrations may lead to localization drift. Existing approaches make different trade-offs: action-chunking policies such as ACT enable low-latency execution and data efficiency but rely on dense visual features without explicit spatial consistency, generative methods such as Diffusion Policy improve expressiveness but can incur iterative sampling latency, vision-language-action and voxel-based methods enhance generalization and geometric grounding but require higher computational cost and system complexity. We introduce a multistage spatial attention module that extracts stable 2D attention points and jointly predicts future attention sequences with a temporal alignment loss. Built upon ACT with a pretrained ResNet visual prior, a multistage attention module extracts task-relevant 2D attention points as a local spatial modality for action prediction. To maintain consistent object tracking, we introduce a self-supervised objective that aligns predicted attention sequences with visual features from future frames, suppressing drift without keypoint annotations and improving stability of the vision-to-action mapping under limited data. Experiments on simulated and real-world fine manipulation tasks, conducted on the ALOHA bimanual platform, evaluate task success, attention drift, inference latency, and robustness to visual disturbances. Results indicate improvements in localization stability and task performance while maintaining low-latency inference under the tested conditions.
Xianbo Cai, Hideyuki Ichiwara, Masaki Yoshikawa +1
May 1, 2026cs.MA

Foresight Arena: An On-Chain Benchmark for Evaluating AI Forecasting Agents

Evaluating the true forecasting ability of AI agents requires environments that are resistant to environments resistant to overfitting, free from centralized trust, and grounded in incentive-compatible scoring. Existing benchmarks either rely on static datasets vulnerable to training-data contamination, or measure trading PnL -- a metric conflating predictive accuracy with timing, sizing, and risk appetite. We introduce Foresight Arena, the first permissionless, on-chain benchmark for evaluating AI forecasting agents on real-world prediction markets. Agents submit probabilistic forecasts on binary Polymarket markets via a commit-reveal protocol enforced by Solidity smart contracts on Polygon PoS; outcomes are resolved trustlessly through the Gnosis Conditional Token Framework. Performance is measured by the Brier Score and a novel Alpha Score -- proper scoring rules that incentivize honest probability reporting and isolate predictive edge over market consensus. We provide a formal analysis: closed-form variance for per-market Alpha, the connection to Murphy's classical Brier decomposition, and a power analysis characterizing the number of rounds required to reliably distinguish agents of different skill levels. We show that detecting a true edge of α∗=0.02α^* = 0.02 at 80% power requires approximately 350 resolved binary predictions (50 rounds of 7 markets), while α∗=0.01α^* = 0.01 requires four times more. We complement these analytical results with a deterministic, seed-controlled simulation study calibrated to literature-reported Brier-score ranges, illustrating how Murphy decomposition distinguishes well-calibrated agents from market-tracking agents that fail through reduced resolution. Live results from the deployed benchmark will be reported in a future revision. All smart contracts and evaluation infrastructure are open-source.
Maksym Nechepurenko, Pavel Shuvalov
May 1, 2026cs.LG

Divergence is Uncertainty: A Closed-Form Posterior Covariance for Flow Matching

Flow matching has become a leading framework for generative modeling, but quantifying the uncertainty of its samples remains an open problem. Existing approaches retrain the model with auxiliary variance heads, maintain costly ensembles, or propagate approximate covariance through many integration steps, trading off training cost, inference cost, or accuracy. We show that none of these trade-offs is necessary. By extending Tweedie's formula from the denoising setting to the flow matching interpolant, we derive an exact, closed-form expression for the posterior covariance at every point along the generative trajectory. The result depends on a single quantity, namely the divergence of the learned velocity field, which can be computed post-hoc on any pre-trained flow matching model, requiring no retraining and no architectural modification. For one-step generators such as MeanFlow, the same formula yields the end-to-end generation uncertainty in a single forward pass, eliminating the multi-step variance propagation required by all prior methods. Experiments on MNIST confirm that the resulting per-pixel uncertainty maps are semantically meaningful, concentrating on digit boundaries where inter-sample variation is highest, and that the scalar uncertainty score tracks actual prediction error, all at roughly 104×10^4 \times less total compute than ensembling or Monte Carlo dropout.
Jiarui Xing, Song Wang, Jian Wang
May 1, 2026cs.AI

AgentFloor: How Far Up the tool use Ladder Can Small Open-Weight Models Go?

Production agentic systems make many model calls per user request, and most of those calls are short, structured, and routine. This raises a practical routing question that existing evaluations do not directly answer: which parts of an agent workflow truly require large frontier intelligence, and which can be handled by smaller models? We introduce AgentFloor, a deterministic 30-task benchmark organized as a six-tier capability ladder, spanning instruction following, tool use, multi-step coordination, and long-horizon planning under persistent constraints. We evaluate 16 open-weight models, from 0.27B to 32B parameters, alongside GPT-5 across 16,542 scored runs. Our results reveal a clear boundary of model necessity. Small and mid-sized open-weight models are already sufficient for much of the short-horizon, structured tool use work that dominates real agent pipelines, and in aggregate, the strongest open-weight model matches GPT-5 on our benchmark while being substantially cheaper and faster to run. The gap appears most clearly on long-horizon planning tasks that require sustained coordination and reliable constraint tracking over many steps, where frontier models still hold an advantage, though neither side reaches strong reliability. We also find that this boundary is not explained by scale alone: some failures respond to targeted interventions, but the effects are model-specific rather than universal. These findings suggest a practical design principle for agentic systems: use smaller open-weight models for the broad base of routine actions, and reserve large frontier models for the narrower class of tasks that truly demand deeper planning and control. We release the benchmark, harness, sweep configurations, and full run corpus.
Ranit Karmakar, Jayita Chatterjee
Apr 30, 2026cs.LG

Neural Aided Kalman Filtering for UAV State Estimation in Degraded Sensing Environments

Accurate state estimation of nonlinear dynamical systems is fundamental to modern aerospace operations across air, sea, and space domains. Online tracking of adversarial unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) is especially challenging due to agile nonlinear motion, noisy and sparse sensor measurements, and unknown control inputs; conditions that violate key assumptions of classical Kalman filter variants and degrade estimation performance. Neural networks (NNs) can learn complex nonlinear relationships from data, but lack principled uncertainty quantification, which is critical for state estimation tasks where confidence bounds drive downstream decisions. We address this with Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs), which model uncertainty through distributions over network weights and produce predictive means and uncertainties via Monte Carlo sampling. Building on this, we propose the Bayesian Neural Kalman Filter (BNKF): a hybrid framework coupling a trained BNN with a Kalman correction step for robust online UAV state estimation. Unlike related neural Kalman approaches, BNKF produces full state predictions and incorporates Bayesian uncertainty directly into covariance propagation, improving robustness under high noise conditions. We evaluate BNKF under varying radar noise levels and sampling rates using synthetic nonlinear UAV flight data. Five fold cross validation demonstrates that BNKF outperforms Extended and Unscented Kalman Filters in accuracy, precision, and truth containment under degraded sensing. An ensemble variant (BNKFe) further improves precision in high-noise edge cases at a slight accuracy tradeoff. Runtime analysis confirms minimal inference overhead, supporting real-time deployment feasibility.
Akhil Gupta, Erhan Guven
Apr 30, 2026cs.AI

In-Context Prompting Obsoletes Agent Orchestration for Procedural Tasks

Agent orchestration frameworks -- LangGraph, CrewAI, Google ADK, OpenAI Agents SDK, and others -- place an external orchestrator above the LLM, tracking state and injecting routing instructions at every turn. We present a controlled comparison showing that for procedural tasks, this architecture is dominated by a simpler alternative: putting the entire procedure in the system prompt and letting the model self-orchestrate. Across three domains -- travel booking (14 nodes), Zoom technical support (14 nodes), and insurance claims processing (55 nodes) -- we evaluate 200 conversations per condition using LLM-as-judge scoring on five quality criteria. The in-context approach scores 4.53--5.00 on a 5-point scale while a LangGraph orchestrator using the same model scores 4.17--4.84. The orchestrated system fails on 24% of travel, 9% of Zoom, and 17% of insurance conversations, compared to 11.5%, 0.5%, and 5% for the in-context baseline. While external orchestration may have been necessary for earlier models, advances in frontier model capabilities have made it unnecessary for multi-turn conversations following a defined procedure.
Simon Dennis, Michael Diamond, Rivaan Patil +2
Apr 30, 2026cs.CR

TwinGate: Stateful Defense against Decompositional Jailbreaks in Untraceable Traffic via Asymmetric Contrastive Learning

Decompositional jailbreaks pose a critical threat to large language models (LLMs) by allowing adversaries to fragment a malicious objective into a sequence of individually benign queries that collectively reconstruct prohibited content. In real-world deployments, LLMs face a continuous, untraceable stream of fully anonymized and arbitrarily interleaved requests, infiltrated by covertly distributed adversarial queries. Under this rigorous threat model, state-of-the-art defensive strategies exhibit fundamental limitations. In the absence of trustworthy user metadata, they are incapable of tracking global historical contexts, while their deployment of generative models for real-time monitoring introduces computationally prohibitive overhead. To address this, we present TwinGate, a stateful dual-encoder defense framework. TwinGate employs Asymmetric Contrastive Learning (ACL) to cluster semantically disparate but intent-matched malicious fragments in a shared latent space, while a parallel frozen encoder suppresses false positives arising from benign topical overlap. Each request requires only a single lightweight forward pass, enabling the defense to execute in parallel with the target model's prefill phase at negligible latency overhead. To evaluate our approach and advance future research, we construct a comprehensive dataset of over 3.62 million instructions spanning 8,600 distinct malicious intents. Evaluated on this large-scale corpus under a strictly causal protocol, TwinGate achieves high malicious intent recall at a remarkably low false positive rate while remaining highly robust against adaptive attacks. Furthermore, our proposal substantially outperforms stateful and stateless baselines, delivering superior throughput and reduced latency.
Bowen Sun, Chaozhuo Li, Yaodong Yang +2
Apr 30, 2026cs.AI

MCPHunt: An Evaluation Framework for Cross-Boundary Data Propagation in Multi-Server MCP Agents

Multi-server MCP agents create an information-flow control problem: faithful tool composition can turn individually benign read/write permissions into cross-boundary credential propagation -- a structural side effect of workflow topology, not necessarily malicious model behavior. We present MCPHunt, to our knowledge the first controlled benchmark that isolates non-adversarial, verbatim credential propagation across multi-server MCP trust boundaries, with three methodological contributions: (1) canary-based taint tracking that reduces propagation detection to objective string matching; (2) an environment-controlled coverage design with risky, benign, and hard-negative conditions that validates pipeline soundness and controls for credential-format confounds; (3) CRS stratification that disentangles task-mandated propagation (faithful execution of verbatim-transfer instructions) from policy-violating propagation (credentials included despite the option to redact). Across 3,615 main-benchmark traces from 5 models spanning 147 tasks and 9 mechanism families, policy-violating propagation rates reach 11.5--41.3% across all models. This propagation is pathway-specific (25x cross-mechanism range) and concentrated in browser-mediated data flows; hard-negative controls provide evidence that production-format credentials are not necessary -- prompt-directed cross-boundary data flow is sufficient. A prompt-mitigation study across 3 models reduces policy-violating propagation by up to 97% while preserving 80.5% utility, but effectiveness varies with instruction-following capability -- suggesting that prompt-level defenses alone may not suffice. Code, traces, and labeling pipeline are released under MIT and CC BY 4.0.
Haonan Li, Tianjun Sun, Yongqing Wang +1
Apr 30, 2026cs.CV

Robust Lightweight Crack Classification for Real-Time UAV Bridge Inspection

With the widespread application of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) in bridge structural health monitoring, deep learning-based automatic crack detection has become a major research focus. However, practical UAV inspections still face four key challenges: weak crack features, degraded imaging conditions, severe class imbalance, and limited computational resources for practical UAV inspection workflows. To address these issues, this paper proposes a unified lightweight convolutional neural network framework composed of four synergistic components: a lightweight backbone network, a Convolutional Block Attention Module (CBAM) for channel and spatial enhancement, a directed robust augmentation strategy based on inspection-scene priors, and Focal Loss for hard-sample learning under class imbalance. Experiments on the SDNET2018 bridge deck dataset show that the proposed method achieves an inference speed of 825 FPS with only 11.21M parameters and 1.82G FLOPs. Compared with the baseline model, the complete framework improves the F1-score by 2.51% and recall by 3.95%. In addition, Grad-CAM visualizations indicate that the introduced attention module shifts the model's focus from scattered regions to precise tracking along crack trajectories. Overall, this study achieves a strong balance among accuracy, speed, and robustness, providing a practical solution for ground-station assisted real-time deployment in UAV bridge inspections. The source code is available at: https://github.com/skylynf/AttXNet .
Wei Li, Haisheng Li, Weijie Li +3
Apr 30, 2026cs.CL

HealthBench Professional: Evaluating Large Language Models on Real Clinician Chats

Millions of clinicians use ChatGPT to support clinical care, but evaluations of the most common use cases in model-clinician conversations are limited. We introduce HealthBench Professional, an open benchmark for evaluating large language models on real tasks that clinicians bring to ChatGPT in the course of their work. The benchmark is organized around three common use cases central to clinical practice: care consult, writing and documentation, and medical research. Each example includes a physician-authored conversation with ChatGPT for Clinicians and is scored via rubrics written and iteratively adjudicated by three or more physicians across three phases. HealthBench Professional examples were carefully selected for quality, representativeness, and difficulty for OpenAI's current frontier models, to enable continued measurement of progress. Difficult examples for recent OpenAI models were enriched by roughly 3.5 times relative to the candidate pool of 15,079 examples. Additionally, about one-third of examples involve physicians conducting deliberate adversarial testing of models. As a strong baseline, we also collected human physician responses for all tasks (unbounded time, specialist-matched, web access). The best scoring system, GPT-5.4 in ChatGPT for Clinicians, outperforms base GPT-5.4, all other models, and human physicians. We hope HealthBench Professional provides the healthcare AI community a measure to track frontier model progress in real-world clinical tasks and build systems that clinicians can trust to improve care.
Rebecca Soskin Hicks, Mikhail Trofimov, Dominick Lim +13
Apr 30, 2026cs.LG

ABC: Any-Subset Autoregression via Non-Markovian Diffusion Bridges in Continuous Time and Space

Generating continuous-time, continuous-space stochastic processes (e.g., videos, weather forecasts) conditioned on partial observations (e.g., first and last frames) is a fundamental challenge. Existing approaches, (e.g., diffusion models), suffer from key limitations: (1) noise-to-data evolution fails to capture structural similarity between states close in physical time and has unstable integration in low-step regimes; (2) random noise injected is insensitive to the physical process's time elapsed, resulting in incorrect dynamics; (3) they overlook conditioning on arbitrary subsets of states (e.g., irregularly sampled timesteps, future observations). We propose ABC: Any-Subset Autoregressive Models via Non-Markovian Diffusion Bridges in Continuous Time and Space. Crucially, we model the process with one continual SDE whose time variable and intermediate states track the real time and process states. This has provable advantages: (1) the starting point for generating future states is the already-close previous state, rather than uninformative noise; (2) random noise injection scales with physical time elapsed, encouraging physically plausible dynamics with similar time-adjacent states. We derive SDE dynamics via changes-of-measure on path space, yielding another advantage: (3) path-dependent conditioning on arbitrary subsets of the state history and/or future. To learn these dynamics, we derive a path- and time-dependent extension of denoising score matching. Our experiments show ABC's superiority to competing methods on multiple domains, including video generation and weather forecasting.
Gabe Guo, Thanawat Sornwanee, Lutong Hao +3
Apr 30, 2026cs.AI

End-to-End Evaluation and Governance of an EHR-Embedded AI Agent for Clinicians

Clinical AI systems require not just point-in-time evaluation but continuous governance: the ongoing practice of monitoring, evaluating, iterating, and re-evaluating performance throughout deployment. We present an end-to-end framework of governance that integrates rubric validation, live deployment feedback, technical performance monitoring, and cost tracking, with controlled experimentation gating system changes before deployment. Applied to Hyperscribe, an EHR-embedded agent that converts ambient audio into structured chart updates, twenty clinicians authored 1,646 validated rubrics across 823 cases. Seven Hyperscribe versions were evaluated through controlled experiments, with median scores improving from 84% to 95%. Analysis of 107 live feedback entries over three months showed feedback composition shifting from 79% error reports and 14% positive observations to 30% errors and 45% positive observations as engineering interventions resolved failures. Median processing time per audio segment was 8.1 seconds with a 99.6% effective completion rate after retry mechanisms absorbed transient model errors. These results demonstrate that continuous, multi-channel governance of deployed clinical AI is both achievable and effective.
Aaryan Shah, Andrew Hines, Alexia Downs +6
Apr 29, 2026physics.ao-ph

Continuous Flood Nowcasting in South Asia: A Multi-Sensor Ensemble Remote Sensing Framework for Flood Extent

Pakistan experienced an unusually severe flood season between June and December 2025, with cascading impacts on population, infrastructure, and agriculture. Existing operational flood products (e.g., UNOSAT) provide valuable episode-level snapshots but rarely deliver spatially and temporally continuous inundation maps at near-real-time latency within the country. We present a multi-sensor, ensemble-based remote-sensing framework for continuous flood nowcasting in Pakistan that integrates Sentinel-1 SAR, Harmonized Landsat-Sentinel (HLS L30 and S30), MODIS, and VIIRS observations on a harmonized grid in Google Earth Engine. The framework employs a tiered nowcasting ensemble that prioritizes higher-resolution sensors (Sentinel-1 and HLS) and falls back to MODIS and VIIRS when necessary, preserving daily continuity of flood extent at each sensor's native resolution. Applied to the 2025 monsoon period, the system generates near-real-time, spatially consistent inundation maps across Pakistan. As a nowcasting case study, we track the super-flood of 26 August-7 September 2025 day by day, demonstrating the framework's ability to capture the evolving flood footprint in near real time and extend beyond the temporal limits of episodic mapping products. Validation against GloFAS discharge anomalies and precipitation datasets (CHIRPS v3.0, MSWEP) shows strong agreement with observed hydrometeorological conditions. By integrating nowcast outputs with exposure layers (WorldPop, ESA WorldCover, Giga-HOTOSM), the framework enables rapid estimation of affected populations, cropland, and critical infrastructure, supporting timely disaster response and resilience planning in South Asia.
Usman Nazir, Disha Gomathinayagam, Muhammad Kamran +1