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Airborne surveillance from low Earth orbit is hindered by two interconnected bottlenecks: nanosatellites have a limited downlink budget, yet the conventional approach still transmits terabytes of raw imagery to the ground for processing, and open satellite datasets for aircraft are scarce and severely class-imbalanced. These limitations either delay timely decision-making or prevent standard detectors from learning robust representations of rare aircraft classes. In this paper, a workflow that combines on-board inference with generative data augmentation is proposed to address both limitations jointly. Inference is executed on a 6U CubeSat equipped with a low-power edge tensor accelerator, while a diffusion model fine-tuned through low-rank adaptation generates synthetic minority-class imagery. This synthetic output is automatically annotated, pseudo-labelled, by an intermediate detector and merged with classically augmented samples. The results show that the balanced dataset increases global mean average precision from 77.9% to 82.2%, with the minority class rising from F1=0.683 to F1=0.811, and that the quantised detector fits the on-chip memory and projects 25-30 frames per second on orbit. This approach contrasts with the conventional bent-pipe architecture, in which the satellite acts as a passive data collector. Therefore, the computational tests support the proposed workflow as a decision-support tool for real-time, autonomous airborne surveillance from nanosatellites.

Evaluating embodied robot foundation models remains a critical bottleneck; unlike large language models efficiently assessed via digital benchmarks, robotic policies require slow, costly real-world rollouts limited by hardware and human supervision, which has driven interest in world models as surrogate policy evaluators, yet the key properties that make a world model reliable for policy assessment remain poorly understood. This work presents a systematic study of world models for robotic policy evaluation and introduces WMBench, a benchmark constructed from real-robot teleoperation data and matched policy rollouts covering diverse manipulation tasks to enable controlled comparisons across model families, action encodings, rollout horizons, and evaluation metrics. Using WMBench, we analyze 7 video world models, 4 action representation schemes, and over 324,000 simulated policy rollouts paired with real robot executions, further enriching our analysis with large-scale community submissions from the CVPR 2026 GigaBrain Challenge, curated synthetic trajectories, and a training videos spanning more than 12,000 hours. Our experiments deliver three core insights: evaluator quality is dominated by long-horizon, action-faithful rollout consistency rather than short-term visual realism; pretraining gains stem not only from data scale but from balancing general world knowledge with robot-specific controllability; and architectural choices including action encoding, memory design, and evaluator-focused post-training strongly determine alignment with real-world robot behavior. Drawing on these results, we derive a practical design roadmap and realize it in \textit{GigaWorld-1}, a world model specially optimized for policy evaluation, and we fully release our code, models, datasets, and toolkits to advance scalable evaluation research for embodied foundation models.

We present GoLongRL, a fully open-source, capability-oriented post-training recipe for long-context reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR). Existing long-context RL methods often treat data construction as a matter of designing increasingly complex retrieval paths, leading to homogeneous task coverage and reward formulations that inadequately reflect practical long-context requirements. Our work offers two contributions. (1) Capability-oriented data construction with full open release. We openly release a dataset of 23K RLVR samples, the complete construction pipeline, and all training code. Guided by a taxonomy of long-context capabilities, the dataset spans 9 task types, each paired with its natural evaluation metric. It comprises curated open-source samples from established corpora and synthetic samples whose QA pairs are generated from real source documents such as books, academic papers, and multi-turn dialogues. Under the same vanilla GRPO setup, our dataset alone outperforms the closed-source QwenLong-L1.5 dataset. Moreover, our Qwen3-30B-A3B model trained on this data delivers long-context performance comparable to DeepSeek-R1-0528 and Qwen3-235B-A22B-Thinking-2507, suggesting that broader coverage and greater reward diversity substantially benefit long-context capability improvement. (2) TMN-Reweight for heterogeneous multitask optimization. To address optimization challenges from heterogeneous rewards, we propose TMN-Reweight, which combines task-level mean normalization for cross-task reward scale alignment with difficulty-adaptive weighting for more reliable advantage estimation. TMN-Reweight further improves average performance over vanilla GRPO, with general capabilities preserved or improved across reported evaluations.

We propose Ambient Dataloops, an iterative framework for refining datasets that makes it easier for diffusion models to learn the underlying data distribution. Modern datasets contain samples of highly varying quality, and training directly on such heterogeneous data often yields suboptimal models. We propose a dataset-model co-evolution process; at each iteration of our method, the dataset becomes progressively higher quality, and the model improves accordingly. To avoid destructive self-consuming loops, at each generation, we treat the synthetically improved samples as noisy, but at a slightly lower noisy level than the previous iteration, and we use Ambient Diffusion techniques for learning under corruption. Empirically, Ambient Dataloops achieve state-of-the-art performance in unconditional and text-conditional image generation and de novo protein design. We further provide a theoretical justification for the proposed framework that captures the benefits of the data looping procedure.

One of the most challenging problems in graph machine learning is generalizing across graphs with diverse properties. Graph neural networks (GNNs) face a fundamental limitation: they require separate training for each new graph, preventing universal generalization across diverse graph datasets. A critical challenge facing GNNs lies in their reliance on labeled training data for each individual graph, a requirement that hinders the capacity for universal node classification due to the heterogeneity inherent in graphs -- differences in homophily levels, community structures, and feature distributions across datasets. Inspired by the success of large language models (LLMs) that achieve in-context learning through massive-scale pre-training on diverse datasets, we introduce NodePFN. This universal node classification method generalizes to arbitrary graphs without graph-specific training. NodePFN learns posterior predictive distributions (PPDs) by training only on thousands of synthetic graphs generated from carefully designed priors. Our synthetic graph generation covers real-world graphs through the use of random networks with controllable homophily levels and structural causal models for complex feature-label relationships. We develop a dual-branch architecture combining context-query attention mechanisms with local message passing to enable graph-aware in-context learning. Extensive evaluation on 23 benchmarks demonstrates that a single pre-trained NodePFN achieves 71.27 average accuracy. These results validate that universal graph learning patterns can be effectively learned from synthetic priors, establishing a new paradigm for generalization in node classification.

Bayesian model calibration is central to digital twins and computer experiments, as it aligns model outputs with field observations by estimating calibration parameters and correcting systematic model bias. Classical Bayesian calibration introduces latent parameters and a discrepancy function to model bias, but suffers from parameter--discrepancy confounding and is typically formulated as an offline procedure under a stationary data-generating assumption. These limitations are restrictive in modern digital twin applications, where systems evolve over time and may exhibit gradual drift and abrupt regime shifts. While data assimilation methods enable sequential updates, they generally do not explicitly model systematic bias and are less effective under abrupt changes. We propose Bayesian Recursive Projected Calibration (BRPC), an online Bayesian calibration framework for streaming data under simulator mismatch and nonstationarity. BRPC extends projected calibration to the online setting by separating a discrepancy-free particle update for calibration parameters from a conditional Gaussian process update for discrepancy, preserving identifiability while enabling bias-aware adaptation under gradual system evolution. To handle abrupt changes, BRPC is integrated with restart mechanisms that detect regime shifts and reset the calibration process. We establish theoretical guarantees for both components, including tracking performance under gradual evolution and false-alarm and detection behavior for restart mechanisms. Empirical studies on synthetic and plant-simulation benchmarks show that BRPC improves calibration accuracy under gradual changes, while restart-augmented BRPC further improves robustness and predictive performance under abrupt regime shifts compared to sliding-window Bayesian calibration and data assimilation baselines.

Engineers often measure many quantities-speed, pressure, temperature, length-expressed in different physical units. The Buckingham Pi-grec theorem states that these variables can always be combined into a smaller set of dimensionless numbers whose values fully determine the system's behaviour. Identifying the appropriate dimensionless groups has traditionally required expert knowledge and physical insight. This paper shows that they can instead be discovered automatically from data, without prior knowledge of the governing physics. The key observation is that, after logarithmic transformation, measurements collected under different scalings of the same system lie on a low-dimensional manifold whose geometry is determined by the underlying dimensionless groups. Singular value decomposition (SVD) identifies this manifold directly from data. A subsequent search over integer-exponent combinations recovers candidate dimensionless quantities, while a repeating-variable filter retains only those constructed from the machine's characteristic scales. This procedure recovers familiar engineering groups, including the flow coefficient, head coefficient, and Mach number, while excluding equivalent but less interpretable alternatives. The method is demonstrated on a synthetic compressor dataset containing 16,000 measurements. Starting from raw dimensional variables and no physics input, it recovers the correct dimensionless groups to numerical precision and reproduces the compressor performance map with an error below 0.01%. More broadly, the work reveals a close connection between classical dimensional analysis and modern data-driven learning. Both rely on the same underlying algebraic structure, suggesting new approaches for building physical models that are simultaneously interpretable, scalable, and data-efficient.

Providing a practical and hadron-level definition of multiple jet flavors has been a long-standing challenge in collider physics. Previous work has introduced a data-driven, operational definition of quark and gluon jets, but no robust generalization beyond two jet categories presently exists. To address this, we introduce a machine-learning framework called "simplex demixing'' to extract $T$ jet flavors (or topics in the statistics literature) from $M$ data samples (or mixtures) with minimal constraints. Intuitively, our procedure identifies the maximally separable categories in the data, translating a multi-category classifier on the $M$ mixtures into a bounded geometric object with $T$ vertices. We first demonstrate our procedure on a toy problem to infer the truth-level fractions of down-quark, up-quark, and gluon jets from synthetic mixtures of the three pure samples. We then propose a tag-and-probe strategy to extract multiple light-flavor categories in a more realistic collider setting involving dijet production. As expected, the identifiability of jet flavors depends on their relative abundance in the samples and the hadron-level information available to the classifier architecture. Our work opens the door to data-driven extractions of multiple jet flavor properties at the Large Hadron Collider.

Libraries and archives manage large collections with limited staff and computing budgets, yet common benchmarks do not systematically test their bibliographic work. They need to know which methods work for their tasks and what those methods require to run. SHELF, the Synthetic Harness for Evaluating LLM Fitness, addresses this gap. It is a Python system that turns labelled taxonomies, writing specifications, and a generation budget into controlled benchmark data and evaluation tasks. This first release contains 62,899 model-written documents based on Library of Congress vocabularies, with tasks for classification, clustering, retrieval, pair classification, and instruction retrieval. We compare TF, TF-IDF, BM25, popular encoders, and, on subject classification only, zero-shot decoders; each method appears only on tasks that support it. Subject classification reaches 0.8887, while genre-form classification reaches only 0.2605, and several pair and clustering tasks remain near chance. Sparse methods remain competitive on classification, while TF-IDF is the fastest measured arm in the subject timing experiment. SHELF also varies bibliographic facets independently and can generate new, verifiably unseen documents after a model's training cutoff. Comparisons with LCSHBench and Project Gutenberg show that model rankings transfer more reliably than absolute scores, but SHELF scores do not estimate accuracy on production catalogue data. We release all source code and data under permissive licenses on GitHub and Hugging Face.

Whole-slide survival models commonly provide risk rankings without calibrated statements about individual event times. We evaluate fixed-cutoff drcosarc, a post-hoc conformal wrapper for discrete-time multiple-instance learning survival heads using frozen UNI2-h representations, in an internal 18-configuration sweep across five TCGA cohorts and an external five-configuration evaluation across three CPTAC cohorts. We distinguish configuration--fold--split summaries of the inverse-probability-of-censoring-weighted (IPCW) estimate and median lower predictive bound (LPB) from a hierarchy-aware patient-ensemble estimand of the mean drcosarc--naive LPB difference. At $α=0.1$, the drcosarc IPCW estimate was nearest 0.90 in KIRC, LUAD, and STAD. Patient-ensemble drcosarc--naive intervals excluded zero in KIRC, KIRP, STAD, UCEC, and CPTAC-CCRCC, but included zero in internal LUAD, CPTAC-LUAD, CPTAC-UCEC, and the internal LUSC extension. In a 20-replicate low-censoring semi-synthetic setting with known event times, drcosarc empirical coverage was 0.9129 [0.9053, 0.9207]. An exploratory analysis supported a head-error-by-censoring interaction within that data-generating process. In a two-cohort ABMIL sensitivity analysis, increasing the hazard grid to $K=16$ raised localized marginal IPCW estimates above the prespecified 0.87 threshold and yielded positive paired LPB differences, although worst-group estimates remained below 0.87. Overall, performance was cohort dependent, and its interpretation changed with the patient-level unit, estimand, and censoring assumptions.

Enhancing videos under extreme low-light conditions remains challenging due to the difficulty of balancing restoration quality and computational efficiency in resource-constrained settings. This paper introduces EeveeDark, a low-light video enhancement framework that combines the spatial richness of sensor-level RAW data with the temporal precision of event streams. Central to our model is a Binary Neural Network (BNN) architecture that reduces computational overhead by quantizing weights and activations while preserving detail. EeveeDark incorporates (i) modality-specific binary encoders for processing RAW frames and event data, (ii) a lightweight fusion block for integrating spatial and temporal cues, and (iii) an event-guided skip gating mechanism for dynamic spatiotemporal refinement. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets show that EeveeDark outperforms prior BNN-based methods and offers a favorable performance-efficiency trade-off compared to full-precision models. The project page is available at https://cyberiada.github.io/EeveeDark.

Rapid and accurate flood prediction is essential for disaster response and mitigation planning. Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) sensors in satellites are well-suited for this purpose because they operate independently of weather and daylight conditions. Although SAR-based data enable all-weather flood monitoring, distinguishing flooded land from permanent water remains a significant challenge, particularly when flooding is defined strictly as inundated land. This study provides a comprehensive comparison of convolutional neural network (CNN) and vision transformer architectures for multi-class flood segmentation using Sentinel-1 SAR imagery, specifically trained to separate flooded land from permanent water bodies and land. Three state-of-the-art (SOTA)CNN-based models, U-Net, U-Net++, and DeepLabV3 with ResNet-34 backbone, and three SegFormer variants (b0,b1,b2) were evaluated in two benchmark datasets, the ETCI NASA dataset and SenFloods11, using scene-based data splits to ensure a realistic assessment of spatial generalization. The results demonstrate that SegFormer-b2 significantly outperforms the U-Net baseline on the ETCI dataset (higher flood IoU across all 7 test scenes in the Wilcoxon signed-rank test), while after fine-tuning on Sen1Floods11, the advantage narrows to within the range of scene variability and is concentrated in spatially fragmented flood events. The study includes both qualitative and quantitative explainability techniques to visually comprehend model decisions and systematically assess prediction reliability. Qualitative analysis reveals that SegFormer-b2 produces more spatially coherent Grad-CAM activations focused on flood-relevant features, while U-Net generates more informative uncertainty estimates along flood boundaries.

Large-scale text corpora have become a quiet bottleneck in modern NLP, not just in storage, but in the accumulated cost of training, fine-tuning, and continual learning. We propose a text dataset distillation framework that reduces corpora to as little as 0.1% of their original size while preserving downstream task fidelity. We approach distillation through the lens of influence functions, which quantify each sample's contribution to the downstream objective, a natural and principled basis for selection. We introduce Trajectory-Aware Knowledge Estimation (TAKE), which convolves the knowledge-based influence along the training trajectory into a single per-sample knowledge score, capturing informative samples. These scores serve as sample weights within a discrete Optimal Transport objective, guiding prototype selection from a synthetically generated candidate pool. We evaluate TAKE on downstream accuracy across text classification and natural language inference tasks at extreme compression (0.1% or 20 samples/class), showing that data efficiency is achievable without sacrificing task fidelity. The approach is theoretically grounded, with broader implications for coreset construction and data-centric AI. We release our source code at https://github.com/votrinhan88/take.

World models represent a paradigm shift in generative AI, pursuing predictive understanding and controllable simulation of environments in a structured and generalizable way. We present World Machine, a generative world-modeling architecture for time series. It is a transformer-based architecture with latent states that enables adaptation to different amounts of observed data and contexts. This shows an improvement over traditional transformers, which have a computational and memory cost that scales quadratically with the context. Experiments on a proposed synthetic dataset, Toy1D, validate the approach's feasibility, demonstrate capabilities not found in conventional transformers, and highlight the contributions of each component of the training protocol.

We study contextual bandits with nonlinear and path-dependent rewards through a novel signature-transform-based approach. Leveraging the universal nonlinearity property of signatures, we approximate continuous path-dependent reward functionals by linear functionals in the signature space. This representation enables the use of efficient linear contextual bandit methods while preserving expressive sequential structure. Building on this framework, we propose \texttt{DisSigUCB}, a signature-based disjoint upper confidence bound (UCB) algorithm. Under boundedness and non-degeneracy assumptions, we prove a high-probability data-dependent sublinear regret bound of order $\tilde{\mathcal O}(\sqrt{(d+m)KT})$ where $d$ is the context dimension and $m$ is the signature feature dimension. Synthetic experiments and numerical applications on temperature sensor monitoring, sleep-stage classification, and hospital nurse staffing demonstrate that \texttt{DisSigUCB} consistently outperforms classical linear and kernelized contextual bandit baselines in nonlinear and path-dependent settings.

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) are widely used for short-term forecasting in dynamic physical systems such as traffic and weather. However, the prevailing evaluation practice uses real world benchmark data sets in a single domain with a single fixed holdout splits, making it difficult to compare architectures across different dynamical regimes. We introduce ChaosNetBench (CNB), a synthetic benchmark dataset and evaluation framework for studying STGNN performance under controlled multidimensional chaotic dynamics. CNB is built on a lattice of coupled standard maps with independently tunable local chaos ($K$), coupling strength ($\varepsilon$), and system size ($N$), providing known topology and known dynamics across 96 system instances and 9{,}600 trajectories. We introduce chaos indicators, evaluation metrics and a protocol to analyze and compare the capacity of STGNN architectures to deal with different levels of local and global chaos. We illustrate the usage of the framework by analyzing 13 architectures (5 STGNNs and 8 non-graph baselines). The results reveal a regime dependent transition in which non-graph baselines (TCN, N-BEATS, iTransformer) remain competitive when there is low local chaos, while STGNNs (e.g., Graph WaveNet, D2STGNN, STAEformer) are generally more resilient to higher levels of local and global chaos. CNB provides a practical, reusable testbed for systematically comparing and analyzing the capacity of STGNN architectures to handle different levels of local and global chaos.

We propose a post-hoc adaptive conformal anomaly detection method for monitoring time series that leverages predictions from pre-trained foundation models without requiring additional fine-tuning. Our method yields an interpretable anomaly score directly interpretable as a false alarm rate (p-value), facilitating transparent and actionable decision-making. It employs weighted quantile conformal prediction bounds and adaptively learns optimal weighting parameters from past predictions, enabling calibration under distribution shifts and stable false alarm control, while preserving out-of-sample guarantees. As a model-agnostic solution, it integrates seamlessly with foundation models and supports rapid deployment in resource-constrained environments. This approach addresses key industrial challenges such as limited data availability, lack of training expertise, and the need for immediate inference, while taking advantage of the growing accessibility of time series foundation models. Experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets show that the proposed approach delivers strong performance, combining simplicity, interpretability, robustness, and adaptivity.

TRACE (Math & Lienhart, arXiv:2602.01135) reads causal graphs over event types out of a pretrained autoregressive sequence model by thresholding a per-position conditional-mutual-information estimate at a fixed tau. We independently replicate its headline synthetic result: with tau selected on a validation split, mean per-sequence F1 against exact interventional truth reaches 0.90-0.91 at vocabulary size 1000 (paper: 0.91) and 0.86-0.91 from 100 to 2000. First, the optimal threshold is pinned to the truth margin, not to any constant: at every size the errors at tau* straddle the delta = 0.05 margin defining ground truth (missed true edges lie just above it, accepted false ones just below), and the blind optimum lands near delta/2 times the estimator's calibration, confirmed out of sample at 5000. Second, at a single global threshold TRACE mostly recovers a direct, adjacent-influence graph: lag-1 true edges are recalled at 0.97-0.99, while true edges at lag 2 or more read orders of magnitude lower---the reading-scale price of randomizing mediating positions, which an exact test of direct causal effect requires when the truth is unknown. A per-lag threshold family recovers a third to a half of lag-2 truth; on lag-uniform data one validated threshold recalls every lag at 0.40-0.87, 8-26 pp below an atomic-intervention control at lags 3-6. Third, the default lag decay of the paper's synthetic benchmark concentrates about 85% of interventional truth at lag 1 and pushes the rest below the estimator's noise floor, so headline F1 there certifies lag-1 recovery only and conflates the benchmark's skew with the algorithm's own limit; a flatter decay separates the two. Fourth, F1 saturates from N = 2 particles at the selected threshold---a property of the threshold's margin over the noise floor, not of the estimator, which converges as N^(-1/2). We distill five practitioner rules.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is beginning to reshape actuarial practice, particularly in domains that require reasoning over unstructured documents, heterogeneous data sources, and regulated decision workflows. Actuaries now face a design space that ranges from traditional rule-based automation to large language models (LLMs), retrieval-augmented generation (RAG), and multi-agent agentic'' systems that plan, retrieve, call tools, and reflect. This paper examines how these emerging architectures can support actuarial priorities such as transparency, auditability, and human-in-the-loop governance, with a focus on straight-through decision processes. To make these ideas concrete, we develop and analyze an agentic AI framework for straight-through underwriting of small commercial Business Owner Policies (BOPs). We construct a synthetic but realistic experimental environment and compare three underwriting pipelines: (i) a single-LLM baseline, (ii) a naive RAG system, and (iii) a multi-agent Agentic RAG'' pipeline that combines targeted retrieval, third-party data checks, and explicit multi-step rule evaluation. The agentic system performs best overall, with the largest gains in multi-step and missing-information scenarios, where structured retrieval and reflection help the model avoid unsupported straight-through decisions.

Sonar is often the only modality suitable for high-resolution imaging underwater due to light attenuation and turbidity. Forward-looking imaging sonar provides measurements over range and horizontal angle but collapses vertical structure into a flat image, creating ambiguities that make 3D recovery challenging. A common use case for imaging sonar is underwater terrain mapping (bathymetry), yet current methods require many views, expensive multi-sensor setups, or significant training data, which limits use and adaptability to new environments. We present a training-free method that recovers bathymetry from a single sonar image in under 30 seconds via differentiable rendering, conditioned on a known seafloor tilt. To our knowledge, this is the first differentiable rendering approach for single-view height recovery in sonar. Our method implements differentiable sonar ray tracing and optimizes an explicit height field to reproduce the target image. On synthetic datasets, our approach outperforms a supervised CNN under distribution shift and remains close on rough terrain, while the CNN wins in-distribution. By modeling physically grounded priors of the sonar process, our method adapts across sensor configurations and environments without training data.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used as synthetic users, stand-ins for human respondents whose simulated answers feed product, policy, and market decisions. We ask when this substitution is valid and when it fails, and package the answer as an evaluation framework for intelligent synthetic-user systems. A single protocol, run across four models spanning two families and an 8B-to-frontier capability range, is applied to two independent domains of real human-response data: U.S. general social attitudes (General Social Survey) and cross-cultural values (World Values Survey). Every model is benchmarked against a suite of non-LLM baselines fit on held-out human data. Under demographic prompting and the survey-simulation protocols we test, two failures replicate across both domains, all four models, and both families. First, at the individual level no LLM beats even the strongest baseline; on cross-cultural values every model falls well below it, and the gap survives distance-aware and proper scoring. Second, models systematically over-determine demographics, treating identity as far more predictive of attitudes than it is among real people, a distortion present for nearly every question-group combination and robust to a coding-invariant measure. Neither failure is remedied by a larger, more capable model. A decision-impact analysis shows why this matters in practice: on a segment-targeting task the models inflate between-segment gaps two to fourfold, would direct a team to the wrong segment in half of U.S. and most cross-cultural cases, and manufacture segment splits that do not exist in real people. We make the cross-domain benchmark and the evaluation framework available on request, so that teams can determine in advance when synthetic-user evidence is safe for decision support and when it is not.

Developing robust artificial intelligence models for 4D (3D + time) medical imaging is constrained by limited annotated data, inter-device domain shifts, and privacy restrictions. To address this, we propose a 4D controllable generative framework for anatomically consistent data augmentation. A semi-supervised variational autoencoder learns a compact latent representation of anatomical volumes while jointly predicting aligned segmentation masks in a unified framework. Anatomical structure is then disentangled from temporal dynamics through a cascaded latent diffusion model (LDM). A static LDM generates subject-specific anatomy conditioned on clinical priors (diagnosis and volumes measures) and a subsequent motion LDM estimates residual latent motions, ensuring strict temporal coherence across the 4D sequence. The proposed approach was evaluated on cine cardiac MRI as a representative 4D imaging application. Experiments across multiple datasets demonstrate high controllability of static anatomy (Pearson r > 0.8) and strong temporal coherence (FVD = 288.08). In cross-vendor generalization experiments, augmenting training sets with synthetic 4D sequences significantly improves downstream segmentation performance. Using nnU-Net, the proposed augmentation strategy improves the average Dice score by 1.4% and reduces the Hausdorff Distance by 3.0mm compared to training on real data alone, for the left ventricle, Dice improves by 2.8% with a 5.4mm reduction in boundary error. Overall, this framework provides a scalable and controllable solution for 4D medical image synthesis, supporting the development of more robust models with limited annotations and cross-vendor variability. Code available on https://github.com/cyiheng/4DCardiacMRISynthesis.

Inverse decision modeling infers latent properties of decision processes from observed behavior, but existing formulations rely primarily on action trajectories. In verbalized cognitive tasks, task execution also produces response dynamics that action-only formulations leave unmodeled, such as verbal production, interaction, and hesitation. We propose a factorized inverse decision model (FIDM) that decomposes each individual's task-execution likelihood into an action factor and an effort factor, governed by separate individual-specific parameters. From raw verbal transcripts, a language model produces structured task-execution traces for factorized inference. On data from 400 older adults performing a grocery-shopping dialog task for cognitive screening, controlled recovery shows selective estimation of the intended factors, while matched semi-synthetic conditions show that FIDM preserves action-execution distinctions even when aggregate behavioral summaries are matched. Action evidence further localizes task-defined deviations across participants. In cognitive-status classification, FIDM provides information complementary to clinical scores, trajectory summaries, and frozen language representations, with consistent gains across all evaluated baselines in the binary setting.

Synthetic Aperture Sonar (SAS) is core for wide-area detection of small underwater targets. However, large-scale, high-quality SAS datasets are scarce, hindering data-driven recognition. Existing benchmarks are small and limited to single scenarios, failing to reproduce complex acoustic scattering, diverse seabeds, and multi-pose imaging in real detection. To fill this gap, we introduce SCTD 3.0 - a large-scale real-measured dataset for Sonar Common Target Detection in the Wild in natural waters. It contains over 10,000 high-quality real SAS image snippets from multi-frequency systems (240 kHz, 450 kHz, and others), covering ten typical target categories across varied seabed geomorphologies, with multiple observation angles, detection ranges, and frequency bands. We establish a rigorous hierarchical annotation protocol that decouples labeling of intrinsic physical properties, deployment characteristics, and scattering phenomena - covering material, geometry, internal structure, burial state, shadow integrity, specular highlights, edge diffraction, and resonance effects. This enables fine-grained target characterization. We also construct a multi-task benchmark for object detection, fine-grained classification, and attribute prediction, evaluating mainstream deep learning models under cross-domain, cross-scene, cross-frequency, and cross-view generalization. SCTD 3.0 is expected to provide a critical data cornerstone for robust underwater target perception in open-water environments. SCTD 3.0 is available at https://github.com/automlresearch/SCTD-3.0.

Vision Language Models (VLMs) and Artificial Intelligence (AI) agents have revolutionized how engineers approach complex problems in real-world applications. Their adoption in video games is on the other hand limited by the extreme variability of the synthetic scenarios and their poor compliance with real-world physics. Here we investigate the use of VLMs for annotating video game frame sequences with reward signals, a task with several potential applications including, among others, conditioned training and offline reinforcement learning. We show that VLMs often struggle to answer basic questions on racing video games (although we observed a similar behavior on other game genres) and discuss countermeasures such as VLM output mixing and prompt optimization. We also show how input sequence length, resolution, and question batching affect the annotation quality and its token consumption.

Recognizing the temporal order of overlapping sounds is an underexplored challenge in human-robot interaction (HRI), with direct relevance to applications such as first responder detection systems. This paper presents a deep learning framework for real-time sound order recognition using recordable buzzers that emit distinct non-verbal sounds (cat meows, dog barks, helicopter noises). A multi-branch convolutional neural network (CNN) processes Mel spectrograms, Mel-frequency cepstral coefficients (MFCCs), and short-time Fourier transform (STFT) features, with an attention-based fusion mechanism to emphasize critical temporal cues. Experiments were conducted under same-amplitude, varied-amplitude, and unseen sound conditions. The proposed system achieved 99% accuracy in balanced overlaps, 91% under amplitude variation, and 74% on unseen test data with normalization. These results demonstrate that deep learning can reliably recognize sound order in overlapping conditions, supporting practical HRI scenarios. While experiments were conducted on carefully controlled synthetic overlaps, we additionally report latency benchmarks demonstrating real-time feasibility and provide an extended discussion on generalization, ecological validity, and deployment challenges in real-room environments.

In this paper, we study Single-Domain Generalized Object Detection (Single-DGOD), which aims to transfer a detector trained on a single source domain to multiple unseen domains. Existing methods mainly rely on simulation-driven strategies, such as data augmentation or textual prompts, to enlarge the training distribution. However, finite simulations can hardly cover the dynamic variations of real-world scenarios, often causing overfitting to synthetic styles and limited robustness to complex structural degradations. Inspired by the manifold hypothesis, we argue that semantic features, despite diverse visual changes, should lie on a compact and stable low-dimensional manifold. Therefore, robust generalization requires rectifying deviant samples back to this semantic manifold, rather than exhaustively simulating external perturbations. To this end, we propose Manifold Regression with Visual-Text Dual Chain-of-Thought (MR-DCoT), which formulates unknown-domain generalization as a manifold regression problem. MR-DCoT first uses a Visual-Text Dual Chain-of-Thought module to combine VLM-guided semantic evolution with diffusion-based structural perturbation, generating structured off-manifold hard examples. It then introduces Class-Specific Prototype Anchoring to learn a rectification operator that projects deviant features toward the source semantic manifold. By integrating outlier generation and semantic correction into a closed loop, MR-DCoT effectively narrows the distribution gap and improves robustness under unseen shifts. Extensive experiments on three complementary benchmarks, including adverse-weather detection, real-to-art generalization, and zero-shot semantic segmentation, demonstrate the effectiveness and versatility of our method.

Reliably quantifying predictive uncertainty is difficult for complex, high-dimensional, or misspecified models. Both fully Bayesian and bootstrap resampling methods provide principled uncertainty estimates but are often too expensive for modern machine-learning models because they require posterior sampling or repeated model refitting. We introduce Ribbon, a scalable approximation to Dirichlet-reweighted bootstrap uncertainty. Ribbon replaces repeated refitting with an influence-function linearization around a single fitted model, preserving the first-order data-reweighting structure of the Bayesian bootstrap while requiring only post-hoc linear algebra. Ribbon approximates the Bayesian-bootstrap or weighted-likelihood-bootstrap refitting target. With a general concentration parameter, Ribbon gives a calibrated Dirichlet-reweighting family whose uncertainty scale can be tuned on validation data. We show that Ribbon is asymptotically equivalent to a flat-prior Laplace approximation under correct likelihood specification and recovers the robust sandwich covariance under misspecification. Across synthetic regression, MNIST classification, and California Housing benchmarks, Ribbon provides competitive predictive performance and improved calibration in several settings while avoiding repeated model retraining.

We introduce TabPFN-CFM, a causal foundation model that can handle multiple causal problems. TabPFN-CFM predicts both causal structure and outcomes from observational data, supports queries on all three levels of Pearl's Causal Hierarchy and uses known graph structure when available to improve predictions. TabPFN-CFM is trained on synthetic datasets, and generalises to real datasets, demonstrating improved performance over both structural and outcome prediction baselines.

Optimizers play an important role in both pretraining and finetuning stages when training large language models (LLMs). In this paper, we present an observation that full finetuning with the same optimizer as in pretraining achieves a better learning-forgetting tradeoff, i.e., forgetting less while achieving the same or better performance on the new task, than other optimizers and, possibly surprisingly, LoRA, during the supervised finetuning (SFT) stage. We term this phenomenon optimizer-model consistency. To better understand it, through controlled experiments and theoretical analysis, we show that: 1) optimizers can shape the models by having regularization effects on the activations, leading to different landscapes around the pretrained checkpoints; 2) in response to this regularization effect, the weight update in SFT should follow some specific structures to lower forgetting of the knowledge learned in pretraining, which can be obtained by using the same optimizer. Moreover, we specifically compare Muon and AdamW when they are employed throughout the pretraining and SFT stages and find that Muon performs worse when finetuned for reasoning tasks. With a synthetic language modeling experiment, we demonstrate that this can come from Muon's strong tendency towards rote memorization, which may hurt pattern acquisition with a small amount of data, as for SFT.