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2,191–2,220 of 2,587

Papers

May 21, 2026cs.LG

Toward Understanding Adversarial Distillation: Why Robust Teachers Fail

Adversarial Distillation aims to enhance student robustness by guiding the student with a robust teacher's soft labels within the min-max adversarial training framework, yet its success is notoriously inconsistent: a more robust teacher often fails to improve, or even harms, the student's robust generalization. In this paper, we identify a key mechanism of this teacher dependency: the misalignment between the teacher's supervisory confidence and the student's representational limitations on a consistent subset of training data -- the Robustly Unlearnable Set. We present a theoretical framework analyzing the feature learning dynamics of a two-layer neural network, demonstrating that this mismatch creates a dichotomy in distillation outcomes. We prove that when a teacher provides confident supervision on unlearnable samples, it compels the student to memorize spurious noise patterns that eventually overpower the learned robust signal, thereby driving robust overfitting. Conversely, a teacher that exhibits high uncertainty on these samples effectively suppresses noise memorization, allowing the student to rely solely on the learnable signal for robust generalization. We empirically validate our theory across both synthetic simulations and real-image classification datasets, confirming that robust overfitting is driven by the teacher's interaction with unlearnable samples. Finally, we demonstrate that a teacher's predictive entropy on unlearnable samples serves as a strong indicator of student robustness, validating our theoretical framework and offering a principled guideline for robust teacher selection.
Hongsin Lee, Hye Won Chung
Apr 16, 2026cs.CL

PeerPrism: Peer Evaluation Expertise vs Review-writing AI

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly used in scientific peer review, assisting with drafting, rewriting, expansion, and refinement. However, existing peer-review LLM detection methods largely treat authorship as a binary problem-human vs. AI-without accounting for the hybrid nature of modern review workflows. In practice, evaluative ideas and surface realization may originate from different sources, creating a spectrum of human-AI collaboration. In this work, we introduce PeerPrism, a large-scale benchmark of 20,690 peer reviews explicitly designed to disentangle idea provenance from text provenance. We construct controlled generation regimes spanning fully human, fully synthetic, and multiple hybrid transformations. This design enables systematic evaluation of whether detectors identify the origin of the surface text or the origin of the evaluative reasoning. We benchmark state-of-the-art LLM text detection methods on PeerPrism. While several methods achieve high accuracy on the standard binary task (human vs. fully synthetic), their predictions diverge sharply under hybrid regimes. In particular, when ideas originate from humans but the surface text is AI-generated, detectors frequently disagree and produce contradictory classifications. Accompanied by stylometric and semantic analyses, our results show that current detection methods conflate surface realization with intellectual contribution. Overall, we demonstrate that LLM detection in peer review cannot be reduced to a binary attribution problem. Instead, authorship must be modeled as a multidimensional construct spanning semantic reasoning and stylistic realization. PeerPrism is the first benchmark evaluating human-AI collaboration in these settings. We release all code, data, prompts, and evaluation scripts to facilitate reproducible research at https://github.com/Reviewerly-Inc/PeerPrism.
Soroush Sadeghian, Alireza Daqiq, Radin Cheraghi +3
Jul 27, 2026cs.AI

Inferring Missing Trajectory Data with Temporal Convolutional Networks

Trajectory data collected in real-world settings is frequently incomplete due to sensor failure, communication loss, or occlusion. We address the task of \emph{trajectory inpainting}: reconstructing contiguous missing segments from observed context. We propose a Temporal Convolutional Network (TCN) with symmetric dilation that relaxes the standard causality constraint, allowing each time step to draw on both past and future observations, a property that is essential for inpainting, but absent from forecasting-oriented architectures. The model is trained with a composite loss that combines weighted mean squared error, boundary--continuity penalties, and a smoothness regularizer. Trained on a synthetic dataset of 1,0001,000 (train), 200200 (validation), and 300300 (test) two-dimensional trajectories with randomly placed 20% masked segments, the model achieves good R2^{2}, MSE and MAE metrics.
Ilinca Tiriblecea, Gabriel Turinici
Jul 18, 2026stat.ML

Semi-Supervised Conditional Diffusion via Label Augmentation

Conditional diffusion models have become a powerful and flexible framework for learning complex conditional distributions from labeled data. In practice, however, acquiring high-quality labels is costly and time-consuming, leaving large volumes of unlabeled data unused. To address this, we introduce label-augmented conditional diffusion (LACD), a simple and effective approach that incorporates unlabeled examples by assigning them a designated trivial label and performing joint denoising score matching over the augmented dataset. We provide sufficient conditions guaranteeing population-level identifiability of the target conditional distribution under this scheme. Moreover, we establish rigorous statistical guarantees: when sufficiently many unlabeled samples are available, the sampling distribution produced by LACD converges strictly faster than the purely supervised estimator in total variation distance, and at least as fast in Wasserstein-1 distance. Extensive experiments on synthetic, image, and tabular benchmarks corroborate our theory and show substantial gains in sample efficiency and generative performance compared with the purely supervised estimator.
Jin Su, Yuan Gao, Yong Zhou +1
Jun 29, 2026cs.LG

KnowsTFM: Knowledge-Informed Fine-Tuning of Small Tabular Foundation Models

Tabular foundation models have advanced deep learning for tabular data by delivering strong default performance across many small and medium tasks. Yet in niche domains, where data is scarce, high-dimensional, and shifted from the pretraining distribution, they may still fail to outperform carefully designed domain-specific methods. Many such domains also provide curated relational knowledge in the form of knowledge graphs and knowledge banks, but how to use this knowledge to improve and steer \textit{small} specialist tabular foundation models remains unclear. We address this problem through \textbf{Know}ledge-informed fine-tuning of \textbf{s}mall \textbf{T}abular \textbf{F}oundation \textbf{M}odels (\modelname). Specifically, we study nanoscale TabPFN- and TabICL-style variants, pretrained under controlled synthetic prior families and adapted using two complementary mechanisms: structural attention priors derived from knowledge graphs and parameter-efficient low-rank updates. We show that injecting domain-specific structural knowledge during fine-tuning yields meaningful gains over vanilla variants in specialist settings, whereas gains on general-domain tasks are marginal. We further observe that continual fine-tuning of frontier models can trigger collapse of pretrained knowledge and mechanisms.
Boshko Koloski, Xiangjian Jiang, Senja Pollak +3
Aug 12, 2026cs.AI

AgenticTwin: An Agentic LLM Framework Integrated with Digital Twin for Anomaly Detection

Digital twins are increasingly used to monitor and simulate the behavior of cyber-physical systems. Even with skilled operators, interpreting anomalies detected within digital twin pipelines is challenging, as the sheer complexity and volume of raw sensor data make thorough analysis difficult. Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) offer promising capabilities for reasoning and explanation, yet their integration into digital twin-driven anomaly analysis remains underexplored. In this work, we propose AgenticTwin, an agentic framework that integrates LLM-driven reasoning with a digital twin-based anomaly detection pipeline. The framework grounds LLM-generated explanations in outputs from a digital twin-driven anomaly classifier and enables human operators to ask relevant natural-language questions about the system. Beyond the framework itself, we introduce a benchmark-oriented evaluation pipeline constructed over synthetic anomalies injected into a real-world weather sensor dataset, enabling controlled generation of operator queries over anomaly events. We further evaluate the feasibility of deploying lightweight, open-source LLMs for practical cyber-physical environments. Experimental results demonstrate that structured agent collaboration and knowledge-grounded reasoning improve diagnosis quality, contextual retrieval, and mitigation quality across diverse possible anomaly scenarios.
Touseef Hasan, Mounika Ghanta, Souvika Sarkar +1
May 10, 2026cs.LG

Simpson's Paradox in Behavioral Curves: How Aggregation Distorts Parametric Models of User Dynamics

Behavioral curve modeling -- fitting parametric functions to engagement-versus-exposure data -- is standard practice in recommendation, advertising, and clinical dosing. We show that aggregation introduces a systematic distortion: Simpson's paradox in behavioral curves. On Goodreads (3.3M users, 9 genres), individual users peak at n* approximately 11 exposures while the aggregate peaks at n* approximately 34 -- a 3x gap driven by survival bias. Amazon Electronics (18M reviews) shows a 5.3x distortion. MovieLens-25M (D approximately 1) serves as a negative control, confirming that survival bias -- not aggregation per se -- is the operative mechanism. The distortion is robust to category granularity, engagement operationalization, and classifier calibration. We develop Synthetic Null Calibration to address a 32% false positive rate in per-user classification. Our findings apply wherever individual behavioral parameters are estimated from aggregate curves under differential attrition.
Chao Zhou
Aug 3, 2026cs.CY

No One Wins in Nuclear War: A Social Simulation of Military Decision-making

WOPR is a social-simulation environment for studying how organizations make high-stakes decisions, built on a deterministic, replay-validated rules engine and using wargames as the vehicle. We instantiate it first with the published card game Nuclear War, traced against its published rules. We start with military decision-making because of its safety implications and because it needs further study, but the design is not specific to it: the decision-point contract that exposes the engine to agents is reusable across verifiable rule systems. Existing social-simulation work emphasizes persona fidelity and synthetic opinion, but lacks a verifiable rules engine with replay-checkable mechanics and private-channel negotiation. WOPR supplies that engine, and its contract makes every strategic choice an explicit agent decision. The method is agnostic to social-simulation frameworks; we adopt Concordia as the default harness for driving the game. On the same engine, WOPR layers a four-rung press ladder from silence to private single-recipient channels with structured commitments, and instantiates each faction as a collective command-and-control system rather than a single agent. We make all code, example configurations, and replay data publicly available at https://github.com/eilab-gt/wopr.
Glenn Matlin, Isaac Song, Anthony Wen-Ming Zang +1
Jun 2, 2026cs.CL

Conditional Hypothesis Generation for LLM-Based Text Analysis with Researcher-Specified Covariates

A core goal of computational social science is to discover interpretable differences in how language varies across outcomes of interest, such as political affiliation or instructional quality. Recent LLM-based hypothesis generation methods describe such differences in natural language, but select for globally discriminative patterns without accounting for covariates that shape the data based on researchers' domain knowledge. When covariates are ignored, selected patterns can reflect confounds rather than differences of substantive interest. We introduce conditional hypothesis generation, a framework that incorporates researcher-specified covariates to steer hypothesis discovery toward differences that hold within relevant subgroups. Two challenges arise: the target subgroup may be underrepresented (stratum imbalance), and the direction of a difference may reverse across subgroups (sign reversal). We propose two econometrics-inspired methods: one introduces feature--covariate interactions to detect sign reversals, and the other applies within-stratum demeaning and inverse-frequency reweighting to equalize underrepresented strata. Synthetic experiments show each method outperforms global baselines in its targeted setting, and expert evaluation on two real-world datasets confirms that covariate-aware generation surfaces more useful hypotheses within relevant subgroups.
Paiheng Xu, Jing Liu, Wei Ai
May 18, 2026cs.LG

TabH2O: A Unified Foundation Model for Tabular Prediction

We present TabH2O, a foundation model for tabular data that performs classification and regression in a single forward pass via in-context learning. TabH2O builds on the TabICL architecture with several key modifications: (1) unified training, a single model handles both classification and regression via a dual-head architecture, eliminating the need for separate models and reducing total pretraining cost; (2) single-stage pretraining, training stability improvements (bounded scalable softmax, inter-stage normalization, learnable residual scaling, logit soft-capping) eliminate the need for multi-stage curriculum learning, enabling training with full-length sequences from the start; and (3) noise-aware pretraining, synthetic datasets include explicit noise dimensions to teach the model robustness to irrelevant features. We evaluate TabH2O v1 (29.2M parameters) on the TALENT benchmark (300 datasets), where it achieves an average rank of 2.55 out of 6 evaluated methods, outperforming tuned CatBoost (4.07), H2O AutoML (4.18), and LightGBM (5.08), competitive with TabPFN v2.6 (2.74), and behind TabICL v2 (2.12), while placing in the top-3 on 81% of the testing datasets across classification and regression tasks.
Pascal Pfeiffer, Dmitry Gordeev, Mathias Müller +6
Sep 7, 2026cs.CR

Privacy Leakage from a Thousand Words: Millipixel Location Recovery from Dot Maps

Dot maps, which visualize individual data points as dots over a geographic region, are widely used across diverse domains to represent spatial patterns in sensitive data. However, the understanding of the privacy risks associated with dot maps remains limited, particularly for maps covering large geographic areas. In this paper, we systematically analyze these risks and present AutoLocate, an automated framework for high-precision location recovery. At its core, AutoLocate exploits anti-aliasing artifacts introduced during map rendering, which inadvertently encode sub-pixel information about dot locations. AutoLocate formulates location recovery as a black-box optimization problem, iteratively refining estimated coordinates by minimizing perceptual discrepancies over these artifacts between the target map and rendered candidate maps. Extensive experiments on both real-world and synthetic datasets, across different attack scenarios and a broad range of map configurations (e.g., map scale, background, resolution), demonstrate the effectiveness of AutoLocate. In particular, it achieves average recovery errors as low as 1 meter (approximately 0.0002 pixel precision) on small-scale maps of the United States, over 200x more accurate than existing approaches. We also propose mitigation strategies and introduce a privacy risk assessment tool to help practitioners evaluate and reduce privacy leakage when publishing dot maps.
Yuntao Du, Tanishq Pauskar, Hao Wang +2
Aug 31, 2026cs.CV

ChessQueries: Toward Better Chess Board Recognition

Chess board recognition is the task of mapping the image of a chess board to the information of which piece is on which square. So far this task has two established benchmarks: ChessCog is synthetic, and ChessReD comes from smartphone pictures of a single chess board setup. We introduce ChessQueries, a new method combining a ViT encoder with a DETR-style decoder, which outperforms existing methods. On the ChessReD benchmark, we improve the state of the art from 15.3% to 99.2%, and demonstrate strong capabilities on out-of-distribution datasets. Our method saturates the task on the two datasets, with an average 0.01 wrong squares per board (vs. SotA: 3.4 / 0.15 respectively). We also share a new, harder public dataset, parsed from broadcasted top-level chess tournaments. Code, model weights and the SLCC data will be released.
Joël Seytre
Jul 17, 2026cs.LG

Understanding Reasoning from Pretraining to Post-Training

Reinforcement learning (RL) has become central to improving large language models (LLMs) on complex reasoning tasks, yet RL post-training is largely studied in isolation from the pretraining that precedes it. As a result, two basic questions remain open: (1) how do pretraining choices (model size, data) shape the returns to RL compute, and (2) what does RL actually do to the model? These questions are difficult to study in the standard LLM setting: pretraining corpora are vast and uncontrolled, making it hard to attribute behaviors to pretraining versus RL, and systematic compute sweeps across both stages are prohibitively expensive. To address these challenges, we use chess as a controlled testbed for studying reasoning across the full pretraining-to-post-training pipeline. We follow the standard LLM training pipeline by pretraining language models from 5M to 1B parameters on human chess games, supervised fine-tuning on synthetic reasoning traces, and running RL on chess puzzles with verifiable rewards. Using this framework, we find that the post-RL performance at given RL compute level is well-predicted from the pretraining loss, and slope of the RL reward curves improves approximately linearly with the pretraining tokens. Beyond scaling, we find that RL does not simply sharpen the SFT policy: on easy puzzles it amplifies correct moves the SFT policy already preferred, while on hard puzzles it surfaces correct moves that were nearly absent under SFT. We further test whether our findings transfer beyond chess by training a 1B language model on math-domain text, where the same predictive pattern emerges: longer-pretrained checkpoints reach higher post-RL performance and improve faster under RL. In sum, we provide a quantitative account of the pretraining-to-RL interface and a controlled testbed for studying the science of reasoning across the full pretraining-to-post-training pipeline.
Jingyan Shen, Ang Li, Salman Rahman +4
May 29, 2026cond-mat.soft

Discovering Thermodynamically Admissible Dissipation Potentials via Grammar-Based Symbolic Regression

Constitutive laws for inelastic materials must satisfy strict thermodynamic admissibility requirements, yet current data-driven approaches sacrifice interpretability, even when formal guarantees are provided by physics-encoded architectures. We propose a symbolic regression framework for the data-driven discovery of dissipation potentials governing the evolution of internal variables within the Generalized Standard Materials (GSM) formalism. Starting from the Clausius--Duhem inequality, we enforce the thermodynamic requirements, convexity and non-negativity, that the dual dissipation potential must satisfy to guarantee non-negative mechanical dissipation. These requirements are formulated in the general subdifferential setting, encompassing rate-dependent (viscoelastic) and viscoplastic dissipative mechanisms, including potentials with genuine elastic domains, within a unified framework. Candidate potentials are generated by a composition-extended convexity-preserving grammar that guarantees thermodynamic admissibility \emph{by construction}. The framework is validated on synthetic datasets spanning Newtonian, power-law, and Bingham viscoplastic ground truths under process and measurement noise, and on experimental oscillatory shear measurements of a synthetic elastomer across multiple strain amplitudes and frequencies, where the discovered potentials reproduce the amplitude-dependent softening of the dynamic moduli and outperform a calibrated linear Zener baseline.
Federico Califano, Jacopo Ciambella
Jun 14, 2026cs.LG

IBAD: Interpretable Behavioral Anomaly Detection on Human Mobility Data

Human mobility appears highly diverse, yet much of a person's daily mobility can be explained by a small set of recurring behavioral templates, such as commuting, school-centered activities, caregiving, nightlife, or errand patterns. We present \texttt{IBAD} (\underline{I}nterpretable \underline{B}ehavioral \underline{A}nomaly \underline{D}etection), a framework that learns interpretable daily mobility templates and represents each individual as a distribution over mixtures of these templates. Rather than focusing on specific locations, IBAD characterizes activities that individuals perform across locations. This approach first discovers global behavioral templates using Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA), then employs a hierarchical self-supervised model to learn normal behavior of individuals from their soft behavioral templates. We also introduce a \emph{splicing benchmark} that creates controlled behavioral mismatches between an individual's historical profile and injected mobility patterns. Experiments on real-world and synthetic datasets show that daily behavior can be effectively decomposed into a small number of interpretable templates. Crucially, we show that the learned behavioral archetypes \emph{transfer} across distinct geographic and demographic contexts. Furthermore, IBAD maintains a robust competitive performance across all settings. For reproducibility purposes, the code is accessible at ~\href{https://github.com/USC-InfoLab/IBAD}{https://github.com/USC-InfoLab/IBAD}.
Bita Azarijoo, John Krumm, Cyrus Shahabi
Jul 7, 2026stat.ML

The Regularization Parameter: Sparse Precision Matrix Estimation

Sparse precision matrix estimation provides an interpretable and computationally efficient framework for modeling conditional dependencies in high-dimensional, low-sample-size data. A recurring challenge is appropriately selecting the regularization parameter that controls estimator sparsity and strikes a balance between underfitting and overfitting. We propose a closed-form, matrix-valued regularization parameter derived from the sampling distribution of the first-order optimality conditions of the ℓ1\ell_1-regularized Gaussian maximum-likelihood estimator. By prescribing the probability that each nonzero entry of the estimator satisfies its optimality condition under resampling, we eliminate the need for cross-validation. The resulting regularization parameter is shown to attain asymptotic scaling properties that, under standard conditions, provide consistency and sparsistency of the estimator. On synthetic Gaussian and non-Gaussian datasets, as well as real-world gene microarray and neuroimaging applications, the proposed approach achieves estimation accuracy comparable to cross-validation, delivers superior support recovery, and reduces runtime by several orders of magnitude.
Aryan Eftekhari, Daniel Sergio Vega, Ernst-Jan Camiel Wit +1
Jul 6, 2026physics.geo-ph

Joint Velocity Slope Diffusion Prior for Structurally Constrained Velocity Model Building

High-resolution velocity models are crucial for reservoir characterization and subsurface delineation. However, the band limited nature of our surface recorded data limits resolution. Utilizing well measurements to enhance the resolution of our subsurface models is an important objective. To this end, we present a diffusion-guided framework for structurally preconditioned velocity-model reconstruction from sparse well-log information. The proposed approach combines plane-wave PDE regularization, structurally preconditioned inversion, and measurement-guided diffusion posterior sampling within a unified formulation. Local structural slopes estimated through plane-wave destruction are used both to propagate well information along geological dip directions and to guide the diffusion sampling process through a joint velocity--slope generative prior. Numerical experiments on the Volve synthetic model and the Viking Graben field dataset demonstrate that the proposed framework improves structural continuity, lateral consistency, and geological realism compared with conventional structurally preconditioned inversion approaches while maintaining computationally practical inference through DDIM sampling.
Francesco Brandolin, Tariq Alkhalifah
Aug 9, 2026cs.AI

Depth-Aware Implicit Neural Representation Priors for 3D Gravity Inversion

Gravimetry images subsurface density contrasts associated with geological structures, geothermal systems, and intrusive bodies. Recovering a three-dimensional density model from gravity observations is highly ill-posed because of its non-uniqueness, limited data coverage, and the attenuation of the gravity field with depth. Classical inversion methods rely on explicit regularization and parameter tuning, whereas supervised deep-learning approaches require representative gravity--density pairs that are rarely available. This paper proposes an unsupervised depth-aware implicit neural representation for 3D gravity inversion. The density volume is represented by multiple coordinate-based neural networks assigned to overlapping depth slabs and optimized directly from the observed gravity measurements through the sensitivity matrix. Slab-specific Fourier features, physics-based depth gains, and scheduled regularization provide structural priors without requiring labeled density models. Experiments on four synthetic scenarios show that the proposed method provides better overall performance in terms of RMSE, PSNR, and SSIM than the evaluated conventional and neural baselines. It also recovers more compact and spatially coherent density bodies, improves the separation of nearby anomalies, preserves internal structures, and reconstructs their vertical extent better. These results indicate that the proposed depth-aware formulation helps to mitigate the depth ambiguity inherent in gravity inversion. In the field experiment, where no ground-truth density model was available, the method produced compact, separated, and vertically coherent anomalies consistent with the observed gravity pattern.
León Suarez-Rodriguez, Paul Goyes-Peñafiel, Javier Torres-Quintero +1
Jul 8, 2026cs.LG

Intrinsic Green's Learning: Supervised Learning on Manifolds via Inverse PDE

We introduce Intrinsic Green's Learning (IGL), a framework that models a target function on a manifold as the solution to a linear PDE whose source term is learned from data. Rather than approximating the target directly, IGL learns a source and integrates it against a Green's kernel. An encoder discovers a low-dimensional coordinate chart on the manifold where both the source and the kernel decompose as low-rank tensors, collapsing a high-dimensional integral into independent one-dimensional integrals with cost linear in the intrinsic dimension. A two-stage algorithm separates coordinate discovery from source fitting, a near-convex linear solve, preventing the dimensional collapse of joint training. Learnable gates on each coordinate automatically discover the intrinsic dimension of the manifold. We validate IGL on synthetic manifolds and on MNIST, where it simultaneously achieves near-optimal classification and automatic recovery of the intrinsic dimension.
Alexandre Quemy
Jul 6, 2026cs.DB

Identifiability of Relational Queries in Multi-View Pretraining

When data sources are integrated through a shared interface, a downstream query may or may not be determined by what the interface exposes: two globally consistent worlds can agree on every shared attribute yet disagree on the query answer. This ambiguity is structural -- a property of the interface design, not the data volume -- and cannot be resolved by collecting more records or training a larger model. We formalize query identifiability for data integration under interface laws (functional dependencies that hold uniformly across all legal worlds rather than within a single instance) and prove three results. (i) A polynomial-time certificate (CheckCert) decides identifiability via attribute closure, and is exact on instances that expose any residual ambiguity (closure-separable). (ii) Non-identifiable queries face an irreducible 1/2 minimax error floor for any estimator using only interface evidence, bounding multi-view pretraining systems from below. (iii) A minimum-augmentation algorithm (Greedy-MinAug) finds the smallest set of interface additions to certify a query, reducing to Set Cover (logarithmic approximation). Experiments on synthetic benchmarks, real integration datasets spanning three domains (scholarly, product, restaurant), and schemas up to 10^3 attributes confirm CheckCert is exact, both algorithms run in single-digit milliseconds, and ML classifiers exhibit the predicted error floor and abrupt capability gains.
Ratan Bahadur Thapa, Daniel Hernández
May 12, 2026stat.ML

Online Learning-to-Defer with Varying Experts

Learning-to-Defer (L2D) methods route each query either to a predictive model or to external experts. While existing work studies this problem in batch settings, real-world deployments require handling streaming data, changing expert availability, and shifting expert distribution. We introduce the first online L2D algorithm for multiclass classification with bandit feedback and a dynamically varying pool of experts. Our method achieves regret guarantees of O((n+ne)T2/3)O((n+n_e)T^{2/3}) in general and O((n+ne)T)O((n+n_e)\sqrt{T}) under a low-noise condition, where TT is the time horizon, nn is the number of labels, and nen_e is the number of distinct experts observed across rounds. The analysis builds on novel H\mathcal{H}-consistency bounds for the online framework, combined with first-order methods for online convex optimization. Experiments on synthetic and real-world datasets demonstrate that our approach effectively extends standard Learning-to-Defer to settings with varying expert availability and reliability.
Dang Hoang Duy, Yannis Montreuil, Maxime Meyer +3
Aug 5, 2025cs.LG

Calibrating Biophysical Models for Grape Phenology Prediction via Multi-Task Learning

Accurate prediction of grape phenology is essential for timely vineyard management decisions, such as scheduling irrigation and fertilization, to maximize crop yield and quality. While traditional biophysical models calibrated on historical field data can be used for season-long predictions, they lack the precision required for fine-grained vineyard management. Deep learning methods are a compelling alternative but their performance is hindered by sparse phenology datasets, particularly at the cultivar level. We propose a hybrid modeling approach that combines multi-task learning with a recurrent neural network to parameterize a differentiable biophysical model. By using multi-task learning to predict the parameters of the biophysical model, our approach enables shared learning across cultivars while preserving biological structure, thereby improving the robustness and accuracy of predictions. Empirical evaluation using real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrates that our method significantly outperforms both conventional biophysical models and baseline deep learning approaches in predicting phenological stages, as well as other crop state variables such as cold-hardiness and wheat yield.
William Solow, Sandhya Saisubramanian
Sep 22, 2026stat.ML

Scalable Minimum-Volume Simplex Estimation with Non-asymptotic Analysis

We study the estimation of a KK-dimensional simplex from NN i.i.d.\ points sampled uniformly from its interior; the observations are convex combinations of K+1K+1 unknown prototypes. Existing polynomial-time estimators need cubic per-sample work or O(NK)O(NK) storage and are impractical at N∼106N\sim 10^6--10810^8. We propose DeepMVSA, which re-expresses the minimum-volume principle in neural implicit form: a lightweight coordinate network generates the mixing weights and a triangular LU-type parameterization the dual simplex matrix, reducing the trainable-state memory to O(K2)O(K^2), independent of NN, and the cost per data pass to O(NK2)O(NK^2). We prove a non-asymptotic sample-complexity bound of the polynomial-time benchmark order for a localized surrogate estimator; an oracle inequality for every global minimizer of the neural objective, with volume-inflation control and an explicit shrinkage bias; a conditional end-to-end error budget separating statistical, approximation, optimization, and enclosure-residual terms on an explicit envelope event; and two-point lower bounds: at any noise level σ>0σ>0 fixed independently of NN, the N−1/2N^{-1/2} scaling is unimprovable in its NN-exponent. Experiments with up to N=108N=10^8 synthetic observations are consistent with the predicted accuracy and scaling, and feasibility on real scenes of ∼107\sim 10^7 pixels is demonstrated.
Jun LI, Yanlong Guo, Zhaozhao Zeng
Sep 14, 2026cs.AI

Empirical Evaluation of Open-Source Large Language Models for Retrieval-Augmented Generation in ESG Domain

Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) reporting is critical for corporate accountability, with Large Language Models (LLMs) and Retrieval-Augmented Generation (RAG) offering strong potential to automate KPI extraction. However, open-source LLM performance in domain-specific ESG tasks remains insufficiently understood. This paper evaluates open-source LLMs in ESG contexts using a structured framework and evaluation resource based on 498 real-world ESG reports from EU-listed companies (2010-2024). We evaluate seven open-source models (2B to 30B parameters) -- glm-4.7-flash, nemotron-3-nano:4b, qwen3:4b-instruct, gemma3:4b, gemma4:e4b, gemma4:e2b, and ministral-3:8b -- using 100 persona-based synthetic QA pairs covering ESG information needs. System performance is assessed via RAGAS metrics, including contextual recall, precision, relevance, faithfulness, answer relevancy, and factual correctness. Results show notable performance variations across architectures. Retrieval performance is strong across models (context recall around 0.58-0.61, context precision around 0.78-0.81, context relevance 0.965-0.985). Generation diverges most on faithfulness (0.607-0.822) and least on answer relevancy (0.760-0.881): glm-4.7-flash leads in faithfulness (0.822), qwen3 in factual correctness (0.449), and ministral-3 in answer relevancy (0.881). Low overall factual correctness (0.387-0.449) highlights the need for domain-specific fine-tuning. This work provides data-driven guidance for deploying open-source models in ESG reporting.
Motaz Saad, Anna Borrelli, Ivan Gentile +3
Aug 10, 2026physics.comp-ph

Coordinate-Residual Physics-Driven Neural Network for Inverse Scattering Imaging

Electromagnetic inverse scattering is a nonlinear and ill-posed computational imaging problem, where accurate reconstruction is challenging due to measurement limitations, noise, and high computational costs, especially for 3-D imaging. Although physics-driven neural networks (PDNNs) reduce the dependence on labeled training data, existing accelerated PDNN frameworks often rely on preliminary reconstruction-based region selection, which may introduce instability when the selected region is inaccurate. In this paper, a coordinate-residual physics-driven neural network (CRPDNN) is proposed for 3-D electromagnetic inverse scattering. CRPDNN represents the unknown complex contrast distribution using normalized spatial coordinates and a residual convolutional network, whose parameters are optimized by enforcing consistency between the measured and model-predicted scattered fields. Unlike existing subregion-accelerated PDNN approaches, CRPDNN does not require a preliminary reconstruction, thereby avoiding dependence on its accuracy. For the reported noise-free 3-D synthetic cases, CRPDNN achieves an average relative error of 2.10%, compared with 7.97% for CSI and 3.99% for L2/3L_{2/3}-FBE-WCIE, while providing approximately 5.5- and 12.1-fold speedups over the two baselines, respectively. Additional 2-D comparisons further demonstrate its stability and computational efficiency relative to existing PDNN frameworks. CRPDNN also maintains reliable reconstruction performance under noisy measurements, and the 3-D Fresnel experiments further indicate its potential for practical imaging applications.
Yutong Du, Zicheng Liu, Bo Qi +2
Jun 17, 2026cs.LG

Seed-Guided Semi-Supervised Clustering by A-Contrario Anomaly Detection

This paper introduces a semi-supervised clustering framework grounded in the statistical duality between grouping principles and anomaly detection. We address the challenge of robust cluster definition in noisy environments -- a task where partitioning algorithms often over-assign outliers and density-based methods remain sensitive to heuristic global parameters. Drawing on \textit{a-contrario} statistical reasoning and Gestalt proximity principles, we define a cluster as a maximal subset of data points containing no anomalies relative to a null hypothesis of uniform randomness. Central to this approach is the Perception algorithm, which utilises a principled expectation-based threshold (E<1\mathbb{E} < 1) to identify outliers without manual parameter tuning. By treating clustering as the dual of anomaly detection, we employ an iterative ``clustering-by-exclusion'' mechanism. The algorithm is seed-guided, leveraging minimal user-provided labels to initialise robust cluster medians and form initial groups, which are subsequently expanded by admitting non-anomalous points. This approach naturally isolates fringe points, isolated noise, and emerging unknown clusters. We evaluate the method on synthetic and real-world benchmarks, including image and text datasets represented through raw, linear-reduced, and neighbourhood-preserving embeddings. Results demonstrate that with as few as 10--30 seeds per cluster, the proposed method achieves competitive and often very strong performance under a practical low-tuning benchmarking protocol, while maintaining linear scalability with respect to both observations and dimensionality for a fixed number of seeded clusters and iterations.
Nassir Mohammad
May 6, 2026cs.LG

Joint Treatment Effect Estimation from Incomplete Healthcare Data: Temporal Causal Normalizing Flows with LLM-driven Evolutionary MNAR Imputation

Target trial emulation (TTE) enables causal questions to be studied with observational data when randomized controlled trials (RCTs) are infeasible. Yet treatment-effect methods often address causal estimation, missingness, and temporal structure separately, limiting their robustness in electronic health records (EHRs), where time-varying confounding and missing-not-at-random (MNAR) biomarkers can reach 50%--80%. We propose a two-stage pipeline for treatment effect estimation from incomplete longitudinal EHRs. First, CausalFlow-T, a directed acyclic graph (DAG)-constrained normalizing flow with long short-term memory (LSTM)-encoded patient history, performs exact invertible counterfactual inference, avoiding approximation errors from variational inference and separating confounding through explicit causal structure. Ablations on four synthetic and one semi-synthetic benchmark with known counterfactuals show that DAG constraints and exact inference address distinct failure modes: neither compensates for the other. Second, because CausalFlow-T requires completed inputs, we introduce an LLM-driven evolutionary imputer that proposes executable imputation operators rather than individual entries, and evaluate it with three large language model (LLM) backends, including two open-source models. Across 30%--80% MNAR missingness, this imputer achieves the best pooled rank over biomarker and causal metrics, leading in point-wise accuracy and temporal extrapolation while preserving average treatment effect (ATE) recovery as statistical baselines degrade. On Swiss primary-care EHRs from adults with type 2 diabetes initiating a GLP-1 receptor agonist or SGLT-2 inhibitor, the pipeline estimates a per-protocol weight-loss difference of -0.98 kg [95% CI -1.01, -0.96] favoring GLP-1 receptor agonists, consistent with randomized evidence and obtained from realistically incomplete real-world EHRs.
Olivia Jullian Parra, Sara Zoccheddu, David Catalan Cerezo +7
Mar 18, 2026cs.CV

FMMC: Harnessing the Power of Foundation Models for Accurate Material Classification

Material classification has emerged as a critical task in computer vision and graphics, supporting the assignment of accurate material properties to a wide range of digital and real-world applications. While traditionally framed as an image classification task, this domain faces significant challenges due to the scarcity of annotated data, limiting the accuracy and generalizability of trained models. Recent advances in vision-language foundation models (VLMs) offer promising avenues to address these issues, yet existing solutions leveraging these models still exhibit unsatisfying results in material recognition tasks. In this work, we propose a novel framework that effectively harnesses foundation models to overcome data limitations and enhance classification accuracy. Our method integrates two key innovations: (a) a robust image generation and auto-labeling pipeline that creates a diverse and high-quality training dataset with material-centric images, and automatically assigns labels by fusing object semantics and material attributes in text prompts; (b) a prior incorporation strategy to distill information from VLMs, combined with a joint fine-tuning method that optimizes a pre-trained vision foundation model alongside VLM-derived priors, preserving broad generalizability while adapting to material-specific features. Extensive experiments demonstrate significant improvements on multiple datasets. We show that our synthetic dataset effectively captures the characteristics of real world materials, and the integration of priors from vision-language models significantly enhances the final performance. The source code and dataset will be released.
Qingran Lin, Fengwei Yang, Chaolun Zhu
Jul 3, 2026cs.SE

Anchored Self-Play for Code Repair

Code repair is an important capability for language models (LMs): given a buggy program and unit tests, an LM must produce a fixed program that passes the tests. Because code repair data is limited, we aim to scale supervision by using an LM to generate bug--fix tasks. We propose generator--fixer self-play, in which a single model is trained with reinforcement learning to generate bugs and fix them. As the fixer improves, the generator adapts to produce more difficult bugs, yielding an automatic curriculum. To test whether this curriculum generalizes, we introduce BugSourceBench, a repair benchmark spanning realistic bug sources: bugs in human-written code, LM-generated code, and human-edited LM-generated code. On BugSourceBench, we find that self-play drifts toward difficult but unrealistic bugs, improving on synthetic bugs but degrading on human-authored ones. We propose Anchored Self-Play (ASP), which anchors self-play with a small reference set by adding a code-embedding similarity reward for generation and mixing reference bugs into fixer training. Across bug sources, ASP achieves the best fix rates, improving average fix rate over standard self-play by +24%+24\% relative / +7.0+7.0 pp absolute, with gains on bugs from both LMs and humans.
Caroline Choi, Zeyneb Kaya, Shirley Wu +3
Jul 1, 2026physics.app-ph

How Much Do RF Drone Benchmarks Overstate? A Controlled Study and Theory of Data Leakage in UAV Signal Identification

Radio-frequency (RF) sensing is a central modality for counter-unmanned-aerial-system (counter-UAS) defence because it exploits the control, telemetry, and video links between a drone and its operator. Reported accuracies for RF-based drone detection and identification are often very high, but many are obtained using cross-validation that splits a small number of continuous recordings into short segments. This can place near-duplicate slices of the same recording in both training and test partitions, creating data leakage. We study this leakage problem through theory and measurement. We formalise the optimism of segment-level cross-validation and show, using Cover's function-counting theorem, that a classifier can exactly memorise the recording-to-label map when the number of independent recordings, R, is small relative to the feature dimension, d. In particular, this can occur when 2R is less than or approximately equal to d. Under these conditions, naive accuracy approaches 1, and the inflation gap approaches 1 - ACC*, where ACC* is the Bayes accuracy. The inflation eases only once R grows beyond this separability threshold. A controlled synthetic experiment with 10 seeds confirms the predicted curves: naive balanced accuracy rises from the Bayes level toward 1.0 as recording-specific nuisance variation grows, while honest recording-grouped evaluation declines to chance, with a gap reaching about 0.5. On the public DroneRF dataset, pooled leave-one-recording-out cross-validation shows drone type identification, AR versus Bebop, collapsing from a naive macro-F1 of 0.74 to 0.46, the two-class chance level. A leakage-pathway ablation attributes essentially all of the inflation to segment-level leakage.
David Shulman