Decision Support

Many learned sequential decision systems map the current state directly to an action. That shortcut becomes brittle when candidate actions are numerous, geometrically structured, and rebuilt with the state. One-to-many mobile charging makes this setting concrete: with N=250 sensors, the initial state induces about 1,125 candidate charging-stop actions; each chosen stop simultaneously serves its in-range sensors, and the action universe changes as sensors die. LP-BTS is a learning-guided planning architecture: a graph proposal policy concentrates a small candidate support, a learned value critic evaluates leaves, and edge-budgeted PUCT compares short simulated futures before committing an action. Because the policy scores this set without a fixed output head, a single frozen checkpoint covers every evaluated setting, spanning action universes from 736 to 2,813 stops. Matched ablations reveal complementary effects: uniform sampling costs 8.8 survival percentage points, while, with targeted support fixed, PUCT jointly retains 1.4 points (about 3.5 of 250 sensors) and direct policy selection travels 23% farther. On a prospectively specified, sealed 30-scenario confirmatory bank evaluated once, LP-BTS attains the highest observed survival (0.4545) and alive-AUC (0.8031). Its estimated survival advantage over the strongest domain-engineered comparator is +0.0066 (95% CI [-0.0037, +0.0184]), an unresolved difference, while it exceeds a deadline heuristic and two source-derived direct-policy reconstructions on every paired scenario. Both learned rows are trained, source-derived reconstructions of variants reported by Gong et al. In this setting, the results provide controlled evidence about learning-guided planning in a large, dynamic action space.

Founders face two linked decisions: whether to pursue an idea before founding, and which operating actions and capital partners fit afterward. We present a public-data decision-support toolchain combining time-bounded proposal profiling, market and moat checks, and deterministic aggregation with auditable investor-company event chains for retrospective analysis. Pre-founding: (a) After threshold selection on 198 development companies, the frozen pipeline achieves F0.5=0.5357 [0.412, 0.655] on an independent, row-disjoint 198-company validation sample. On the combined 396 rows, the Full Pipeline scores 0.6301 versus 0.2734 for a paired Raw LLM baseline. Post-stratification of 1,027 completed cases in a separate scale cohort yields 0.6506 [0.598, 0.707]; the run remains incomplete. A 377-row composition-matched check yields 0.6573. (b) The AI-inference study identifies distribution-layer businesses as a replicable path to independent profitability with a limited revenue ceiling, and frontier-model ownership as a path to capital-market upside at exceptional capital cost. Post-founding: (a) Public sources support auditable event-chain analysis. (b) In the chip-company study, sustained product, customer, and supply-chain progress is associated with better observed outcomes; financing alone does not establish operating progress. (c) Financing comprises 79% of confirmed visible post-investment actions. Evidence tentatively favors acquisition-experienced strategic corporate investors for acquisition-oriented founders and financing-led institutional VCs with fewer observed control events for independence-oriented founders. Findings are developmental and observational, not causal guarantees or investment advice. We release shared ontology, provenance-bearing EventChain data, schemas, benchmarks, and executable skills for audit, reuse, and extension.

Existing emotional support conversation systems mainly focus on one-on-one seeker-supporter interactions and individual emotional states, leaving interpersonal relations in multi-party scenarios underexplored. In this work, we introduce relation-aware emotional support conversation, a new task that evaluates whether LLMs can capture and utilize the evolving dynamics of relationships to offer more effective emotional support. We construct RESCUE (Relation-aware Emotional Support Conversation Understanding and Evaluation Benchmark) from real couple and family interview conversations, containing 191 samples, 7,079 annotated turns, and 1,064.8 minutes of video. Based on rich annotations of socio-emotional and support-related dynamics, RESCUE defines six tasks that evaluate two core capabilities required for relation-aware emotional support: Relational Understanding and Relation-Sensitive Support. Experiments with ten LLMs show that current models perform relatively well on tasks relying on local emotional or intervention cues, but struggle with relation-intensive tasks such as relation pattern prediction, viewpoint prediction, and support strategy prediction. These findings reveal the limitations of current LLMs in modeling interpersonal relations and making relation-sensitive support decisions.

The rising prevalence of psychological disorders necessitates effective emotion monitoring, yet current methods relying on facial or physiological signals often suffer from intrusiveness and privacy issues. This paper proposes an intelligent decision support system and pervasive edge-computing framework that leverages smart glasses and a companion smartphone to infer emotional states from microscopic visual fixation patterns. Moving beyond traditional macroscopic gaze metrics, the proposed system extracts and decomposes three distinct neurophysiological micro-movements: microsaccades, ocular drifts, and ocular microtremors. We introduce an interpretable hybrid artificial intelligence pipeline combining a multi-head attention mechanism, extreme gradient boosting, and a support vector machine to extract deep temporal features, quantify their physiological importance, and perform efficient on-device classification. Through an extensive evaluation involving 60 volunteers, we rigorously validate the framework under a strict leave-one-subject-out cross-validation protocol across both controlled and naturalistic mobile scenarios. Ablation studies unequivocally demonstrate that these fixational micro-movements are substantially more discriminative for emotion inference than traditional macroscopic features. Furthermore, aligned with contemporary affective science, the system incorporates a few-shot personalization mechanism to bridge universal physiological baselines with individual emotional heterogeneity, achieving a highly robust personalized F1-score of 83.6%. This work establishes a physiologically interpretable, unobtrusive, and deployable paradigm for continuous real-time emotion monitoring.

Machine learning procedures are commonly evaluated in terms of predictive accuracy and computational efficiency. However, their achievable performance is fundamentally constrained by structural properties of the underlying data-generating process, which are formalized in terms of informational bounds. In this work we examine intrinsic limits of data-driven decision systems from an information-theoretic and interaction-based perspective. We analyze minimal achievable error in classification through Fano-type bounds and precision limits in parametric estimation via the Cramér-Rao inequality, emphasizing that such limits depend on the underlying model rather than on algorithmic sophistication alone. We further discuss how implicit assumptions, such as independence, ergodicity, and distributional stability, affect the validity of inferential procedures. Building on interaction-based modeling principles, we review typical frameworks such as Markov Random Fields and potential based representations for encoding dependence mechanisms. We also describe decision systems, including LLM-integrated agent architectures, as feedback-driven stochastic processes where state-dependent dynamics may induce emergent macroscopic behavior. This perspective highlights the importance of having adequate models for the data as a prerequi- site for expanding predictive capability, and situates algorithmic learning within the informational limits imposed by the models.

IT service management (ITSM) systems accumulate large volumes of heterogeneous ticket data that are difficult for sales and executive stakeholders to convert into actionable intelligence. This paper presents a sociotechnical AI pipeline, designed and evaluated following design science research principles, that transforms raw ITSM exports into a multilevel decision-support artifact. The pipeline combines LLM-based schema normalization, HDBSCAN sub-topic clustering, and hierarchical agglomerative clustering to generate executive-facing Main-topics and granular Sub-topics. A stakeholder evaluation across six artifacts and five raters from Sales Engineering and customer success roles shows that all four decision-support metrics, interpretability, actionability, trust, and likelihood of use, on average exceed 4.0 out of 5.0, with trust as the most consistent signal. The findings position ITSM analytics as an Information Systems (IS) problem of transformation, abstraction, and human-centered design.

This paper presents RobustDefect-LLM, an industrial surface-defect inspection framework integrating deep-learning classification, operator-facing visual evidence, confidence-aware decision support, controlled AI-assisted reporting, traceable storage, and mobile interaction in a unified quality-control workflow. Here, robustness-aware denotes explicit evaluation under controlled image degradation and confidence-aware review routing, not an intrinsic robustness guarantee. Four transfer-learning-based convolutional neural networks, ResNet50, EfficientNet-B0, DenseNet121, and MobileNetV3-Large, were evaluated on 1,799 images from the six-class NEU-DET dataset using fixed training, validation, and held-out in-domain test partitions. MobileNetV3-Large achieved the highest numerical test accuracy (99.26%) and macro F1-score (0.9926), with a bootstrap 95% accuracy CI of 0.9815-1.0000. An exact paired McNemar test found no significant difference from DenseNet121 (p = 1.000). The selected model averaged 0.060 s per CPU forward pass (16.66 FPS). Under combined synthetic degradation, accuracy fell to 87.78% at mild intensity and below 40% at stronger intensities, revealing sensitivity to severe image-quality deterioration. Grad-CAM supplied visual evidence, while predictions with confidence below 0.90 or a top-2 margin below 0.10 were routed to HUMAN REVIEW. This conservative policy provided 12.22% automatic coverage and 100% observed selective accuracy among 33 eligible cases (95% CI: 89.43%-100.00%), while routing both observed classification errors to review. Under nominal controlled conditions, all 100 generated reports passed deterministic consistency checks, with a mean latency of 1.66 s. Results support the feasibility of the integrated workflow while emphasizing the need for calibration, repeated evaluation, and real-world industrial validation.

Enterprise strategic decision support requires AI systems that are not only accurate, but also uncertainty-aware, risk-calibrated, explainable, and governance-compliant. This paper proposes TRUST-ESD, a risk-calibrated and governance-aware framework for enterprise decision support under uncertainty. TRUST-ESD evaluates feasible counterfactual strategies through predictive utility estimation, conformal uncertainty calibration, CVaR-based downside-risk scoring, risk-memory retrieval, policy-as-code governance, explainability, and human oversight. Unlike prediction-only methods that select actions by maximum expected utility, TRUST-ESD recommends strategies that balance value, reliability, risk exposure, and compliance. Experimental results show that TRUST-ESD improves risk-adjusted utility by 7.95%, reduces risk exposure by 23.22%, reduces CVaR by 23.78%, lowers calibration error by 13.89%, improves explanation fidelity by 10.90%, and increases governance compliance by 9.76% compared with strong uncertainty-aware baselines, while maintaining competitive predictive accuracy. Ablation and case-study analyses further confirm that uncertainty calibration, downside-risk scoring, risk memory, explainability, and governance validation jointly improve trustworthy enterprise decision-making.

Cyber-physical systems built on deterministic edge inference, such as on-vehicle flood detection for agricultural fields, produce structured decision logs that must be interpreted differently by heterogeneous stakeholders. Pairing such systems with large language models (LLMs) to generate stakeholder-specific reports introduces a tension: the generative layer is non-deterministic, while the edge plane must remain replayable and auditable. We propose an architectural pattern resting on two invariants: unidirectional consumption, in which the generative layer is a strict read-only consumer of the deterministic plane and never writes back, and persona-as-configuration, in which stakeholder adaptation is a versioned prompt-template artifact rather than runtime improvisation. We instantiate the pattern as a context-aware dashboard layer over the JSON decision logs of a previously published edge-based standing-water detection system, and analyse how the integration boundary admits standard generative-reliability mitigations as configuration- or middleware-level extension points. A structured expert review rated the pattern favourably across five ISO/IEC 25010-aligned quality dimensions, with strongest agreement on separation of concerns. End-user evaluation with agricultural stakeholders is planned for future work.

The rapid digitalisation of elite sport has created new opportunities for integrating artificial intelligence (AI), performance analytics, and decision-support systems into athlete development and competition management. However, existing solutions remain fragmented, typically addressing isolated tasks such as performance analysis, athlete monitoring, or referee support. This paper presents \textbf{FST$\cdot$ai2.5}, an explainable, uncertainty-aware, and secure AI framework for Olympic and Para-Taekwondo. \textbf{FST$\cdot$ai2.5} introduces a unified digital ecosystem integrating athlete intelligence, competition analytics, federation-scale data management, AI-assisted decision support, athlete and event digital twins, explainable performance indicators, and adaptive training recommendations. The framework supports World Taekwondo (WT), Member National Associations (MNAs), coaches, referees, analysts, and athletes through transparent, secure, and federation-aware governance. By combining multi-source competition data, athlete-performance information, and contextual evidence, \textbf{FST$\cdot$ai~2.5} provides tactical diagnostics, longitudinal athlete monitoring, performance forecasting, personalised development planning, and federation-wide benchmarking using explainable and uncertainty-aware AI. Prototype deployments demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed framework. Although developed for Olympic and Para-Taekwondo, the methodology is broadly applicable to explainable AI, digital twins, and trustworthy decision support in combat sports and other high-performance sporting environments.

Decision support systems (DSS) increasingly run retention what-if analysis on synthetic customer populations, because privacy constraints preclude unrestricted use of real data. Such a system is trustworthy only if the synthetic data lead managers to the same decisions as the real data would; yet prevailing criteria certify distributional similarity, not decision alignment, so a synthetic population can match every marginal distribution while still steering a marketing team toward the wrong campaigns. We close this decision-alignment gap with three contributions: strategy simulation fidelity (SSF), a criterion measuring how often the synthetic population yields the same go/no-go campaign decision as the real population; PolicySynth, a DSS framework whose generator is conditioned on the production churn scorer to align decision-relevant structure; and a three-axis reporting standard of decision alignment, membership-inference resistance, and novel-record rate as the minimum deployment quality gate. On a telecommunications churn corpus and a banking acquisition corpus, PolicySynth attains a mean SSF of 0.923 and 0.960, with seed-to-seed variance roughly ten times tighter than CTGAN on telecommunications and 2.5 times on banking. This stability is the deployable property: go/no-go recommendations shift by at most 1.2 percentage points between monthly retraining cycles, against 11.5 for CTGAN, a reversed recommendation on one campaign in nine. A bootstrap baseline matches PolicySynth on SSF yet copies real records verbatim and fails membership inference, evidence that no single axis suffices. PolicySynth reliably supports directional go/no-go screening; its ROI estimates diverge from real outcomes by 70 to 78% and require the volume correction we document.

The article investigates the fundamental problem of ensuring the stability of operator control and preserving goal-targeting in hybrid human-machine decision support systems (DSS) of a new generation. Based on a two-month continuous longitudinal experiment on the joint design of a monograph-format textual array, the latent phenomenon of semantic context drift in large language models of deep logical reasoning (Reasoning LLMs) is verified and described. A mathematical model of interaction in the human-machine interface is proposed, and an original metric is introduced - the operator control stability coefficient, which takes into account the non-linear contextual pressure of hidden reasoning chains. Within the paradigm of the cognitome theory, a critical point of control functions inversion is captured. Engineering recommendations are formulated for implementing dynamic relational arbitration loops based on a modified hierarchical similarity model.

Real time location data derived from mobile applications is a powerful tool for addressing various urban challenges, including tourism planning, parking management, bus route optimization, and resource allocation. Besides, it offers invaluable insights for shaping strategic decisions in commercial domains such as location based services, market share analysis, and behavioral profiling. In this expansive study, we aim to address all of the aforementioned challenges by investigating the behaviors and patterns of smartphone users within urban environments, particularly in the domains of tourism, transportation, and retail. Our approach encompasses the development of a sophisticated data platform from inception to implementation, which includes the formulation of use cases, architectural design, and implementation of modules. We employ state of the art techniques and technologies, including data anonymization, ETL pipelines, and utilizing Google BigQuery and Vertex AI for data processing and machine learning model development. A modular architecture based on reusable analytical building blocks was developed to generate data products that support multiple stakeholder driven use cases. Additionally, we apply interactive data visualization techniques via Power BI to facilitate the effective interpretation of analytical findings by stakeholders. The developed models address a wide range of mobility analytics tasks, including mobility profiling, frequent trajectory mining, area of influence analysis, traffic anomaly detection, and origin destination pattern analysis. The results demonstrate the framework's ability to capture user mobility dynamics at fine spatial and temporal resolutions, providing actionable insights for urban planning and strategic business decision making.

Mental health assessment commonly relies on isolated screening instruments or data-driven models that often lack interpretability and multi-dimensional integration. Existing approaches frequently focus on individual indicators such as depression or anxiety while providing limited support for comprehensive and explainable decision-making. To address this limitation, this study proposes PsyBridge, a hybrid intelligent decision-support framework designed for multi-dimensional mental health assessment through the integration of clinically validated screening tools, cognitive evaluation, and personality profiling within a unified architecture. The proposed framework incorporates PHQ-9 and GAD-7 assessments alongside cognitive and behavioural indicators using a modular design and a weighted aggregation mechanism to generate interpretable mental health risk classifications and recommendations. To evaluate the framework, a semi-synthetic dataset consisting of 500 patient profiles representing varying severity levels was constructed based on clinically grounded score distributions. Experimental results demonstrate that PsyBridge achieves an overall accuracy of 0.84, outperforming standalone PHQ-9 and GAD-7 assessments while improving precision, recall, and F1-score. Sensitivity analysis and ablation studies further indicate that integrating cognitive and personality components contributes to more stable classification performance and reduces inconsistencies in moderate-risk prediction. The findings suggest that PsyBridge provides a scalable and interpretable approach for AI-assisted mental health decision support, particularly within digital healthcare and telehealth environments.

Traditionally, decision support studies how humans use machine learning models to make better decisions. In modern agentic systems, this division of roles is increasingly reversed: AI agents act on behalf of users, while humans and tools becomes support mechanisms around them. This role reversal brings reliability concerns to the forefront, since agentic errors can be consequential and agent behavior must remain aligned with human goals and constraints. Departing from the classical view of decision support, we revisit its two basic principles, the cost--value tradeoff of seeking support and the role of uncertainty quantification, in a setting where AI agents are the central actors. We propose a framework for strategic decision support for AI agents through an optimization problem that minimizes support usage subject to controlling a counterfactual missed-support error: the probability that the agent acts alone on instances where support would have materially improved its output. At the population level, we show that the optimal policy is a threshold rule on the value of support. Building on this structure, we develop an online algorithm that adaptively thresholds such a score and uses randomized exploration to control missed-support error without distributional assumptions. We further introduce a calibration-on-the-fly method that reduces unnecessary support calls online. We instantiate this framework across diverse scenarios, including information gathering, human--AI collaboration, and tool use, showing how each can be modeled through the same strategic decision-support lens. Experiments across these settings show that our method reliably controls the target error while substantially reducing support usage in practice.

The adoption and integration of heterogeneous stacks in most of today's open-source based networks brings clear benefits like interoperability and availability of advanced features. Yet, on the other hand the increasing number of interconnecting components and moving parts requires maintaining an ever increasing base of interdisciplinary knowledge of different tools in different domains to ensure proper operation. To alleviate such efforts, this work proposes a Decision Support System (DSS) to guide infrastructure operators through the selection of security approaches (e.g. tools) to adopt in their environments. This framework easily captures the end-user high-level requirements on the security triad for different domains and runs inference on the designated models to provide the identified tools (security mechanisms) that better serve such needs. The presented DSS aims at delivering an understandable and extensible framework to accommodate varying requirements and Bayesian Network (BN) models. The architecture and modelling of the system are proposed, aligned with its theoretical framework. Its performance is evaluated in terms of time and prediction accuracy.

Radio frequency wireless power transfer (RF-WPT) is an enabling technology for supporting uninterrupted communications in future Internet of Things systems by reducing the need for battery replacement and mitigating battery-waste-related issues. For large-scale RF-WPT deployment, one of the main challenges is the scheduler-level resource allocation. Specifically, the transmitter must decide how much energy to deliver, when, and to whom, under limited charging resources, incomplete receiver-side information, and uncertain near-future charging conditions. This article positions generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) as a promising tool for this setting because it can foresee multiple plausible charging scenarios conditioned on coarse operational context and receiver-side information. We propose GenAI to act as an uncertainty-aware support layer for the RF-WPT scheduler rather than as a standalone forecasting or decision-making tool. To this end, we first revisit the main challenges of RF-WPT scheduling, and discuss how major GenAI families can support uncertainty-aware charging decisions by generating scenario-based inputs for downstream tasks. We then present a warehouse-style case study showing that preserving uncertainty through the sampling capability of generative models can improve robust charging decisions compared with deterministic prediction and simple non-learning baselines, especially under risk-sensitive objectives. Finally, we identify key open challenges and present some directions for future research.

Transportation systems management and operations (TSMO) increasingly depends on timely interpretation of heterogeneous data, from various sensor streams, incident reports, traveler feedback, and visual observations. Large language models (LLMs), including emerging multi-modal large language models (MM-LLMs), provide a new mechanism for integrating these structured and unstructured inputs into operator-facing decision support. This survey paper reviews LLM- and MM-LLM-based applications in TSMO across three domains: transportation operations & services (supply), mobility & fleet services (demand), and data, modeling & decision support. Using a PRISMA-guided screening process, we synthesize current studies while distinguishing operationally oriented applications from prototype and emerging concepts. We further identify recurring challenges in data heterogeneity, real-time inference, explainability, multi-modal fusion, and governance. Finally, we outline existing gaps and future directions in localized adaptation, edge deployment, benchmarking, and cross-agency collaboration. Overall, LLM-based systems appear most promising as a decision-support layer, with MM-LLMs offering particular value when heterogeneous text, visual, and sensor inputs must be integrated.

Managers in manufacturing settings rely on digital interfaces to interpret operational data for decision-making, but growing data volume and complexity can make relevant insights difficult to identify efficiently. While dashboards remain dominant in industrial contexts, Large Language Model (LLM)-based conversational agents (CAs), accessed through conversational user interfaces (CUIs), may provide more direct access to such data. However, their effectiveness may depend on the information-processing demands of the task. This study compares an LLM-based CA delivered through a CUI with a dashboard in a manufacturing decision-support scenario. In a mixed factorial experiment with a 2x3 design, 134 industrial decision-makers were assigned to one interface condition and completed three tasks of increasing complexity. We examined perceived Mental Workload (MWL), decision accuracy, completion time, and intended reliance, and tested self-reported data literacy as a moderator. Results showed that the CUI reduced perceived MWL overall and supported faster completion in less demanding tasks, but both advantages diminished as task complexity increased. Neither interface produced a consistent overall advantage in decision accuracy, and the CUI was not preferred as a sole basis for subsequent decisions. Furthermore, data literacy did not reliably moderate interface effects. These findings indicate that conversational interaction offers conditional rather than universal benefits for industrial decision support. LLM-based CAs may reduce information-access effort, whereas complex decisions continue to benefit from persistent, inspectable visual representations.

Key knowledge for steel-industry volatile organic compounds (VOCs) governance is scattered across unstructured scientific literature, making it difficult to integrate process, pollutant, and control-technology evidence and increasing the risk of hallucination when general large language models (LLMs) answer low-frequency industrial questions. Here we developed Chat-ISV, a knowledge graph (KG) enhanced multi-agent Q&A system that parses a curated steel-industry VOCs literature corpus, constructs a Neo4j KG with 27180 nodes and 81779 semantic edges, and combines prompt-constrained extraction, chunk-centered topology optimization, multi-agent routing, source-backtracking retrieval, local literature retrieval, open-domain knowledge access, and interactive subgraph visualization. Benchmark tests and 400 expert blind evaluations showed that topology optimization reduced isolated nodes from 57% to 4.08% and that Chat-ISV achieved high factual reliability, with 96.93% precision, 72.63% recall, an F1-score of 0.830, and a mean score of 1.69/2.00. By converting fragmented environmental-engineering literature into traceable, queryable, and decision-support-oriented knowledge, Chat-ISV establishes a scalable environmental-informatics paradigm for reliable LLM deployment and intelligent pollution-control decision support in specialized industrial domains.

Mediative Fuzzy Logic was conceived as a practical scheme for reconciling hesitant or conflicting assessments in fuzzy control and decision-making. However, its logical and semantic foundations remain underdeveloped, especially beyond operational type-1 settings. This article develops a unified account of the type-1 core together with interval type-2, granular type-3, and quantum extensions. We characterize the mediative operator as a convex aggregation controlled by hesitation and contradiction, model mediative truth values as independent truth-falsity pairs in a continuous bilattice-like structure, and introduce a propositional system extending a standard t-norm-based fuzzy logic with a mediative connective. We establish soundness, paraconsistency, and conservativity over the underlying fuzzy base for formulas without mediation, and formulate coherent semantic extensions to interval type-2 truth values, granule-indexed local evaluations, and effects and density operators on Hilbert spaces. An autonomous-braking sensor-fusion example illustrates how the framework supports transparent, conservative, and safety-first decisions under incomplete, heterogeneous, and mildly contradictory evidence. Under suitable assumptions, the higher-level formulations reduce to the type-1 case, clarifying coherence across levels and reliably supporting future work in intelligent decision systems.

India's Right to Information Act, 2005 gives every citizen the right to demand information from public authorities, yet in practice most people cannot make sense of the dense administrative language used in Central Information Commission (CIC) decisions, let alone predict whether an appeal is worth filing. This paper introduces RTI-Bench, a structured dataset of CIC decisions with outcome labels, exemption citations, IRAC-style reasoning components, and procedural timelines. To the best of our knowledge it is the first publicly released structured dataset for Indian RTI administrative decisions. The dataset draws from two sources: 1,218 cases from a publicly available instruction-response corpus (with structured fields added through rule-based extraction), and 298 CIC decision PDFs collected directly from the Commission portal, spanning five commissioners and three document format generations from 2023 to 2026. Label coverage reaches 89% on the instruction-response corpus. For the PDF subset of 239 primary decisions, coverage is 51% in this first release. A random sample of 50 labelled cases was manually reviewed, yielding a label precision of 95.3%. A zero-shot Mistral 7B baseline on 100 cases gives 57.3% accuracy and 37.0% macro-F1 on outcome prediction, well above the majority-class baseline of 14.3% macro-F1. RTI-Bench is available at https://huggingface.co/datasets/joyboseroy/rti-bench

Marketplace platforms routinely evaluate pricing and allocation policies using logged observational data, yet strong offline performance does not imply that a policy is safe to deploy. In real-time bidding (RTB) marketplaces, reserve-price and floor-policy changes affect not only revenue but also fill, advertiser value, budget pacing, and competition across auctions, creating feedback and interference. The central problem is therefore not to estimate whether a policy improves an offline metric, but to determine whether the available evidence justifies direct launch or only further validation. In this regard, we propose a support-aware decision-support system (DSS) that distinguishes promising from actionable evidence. The framework integrates replay, support-aware off-policy evaluation (OPE), conservative lower-bound ranking, multi-sided guardrails, out-of-time validation, sensitivity analysis, and interference-aware validation design into a claim-preserving pipeline that outputs a launch-readiness classification rather than a single performance estimate. Applying the framework to iPinYou-style RTB logs, we identify a margin-gated floor policy as the leading candidate, with a 47.7% replay yield lift, a 45.8% conservative lower-tail lift, and stable out-of-time performance. However, the framework does not recommend direct launch. A decision-rule ablation shows that simplified pipelines select the same policy but incorrectly recommend deployment, leaving key causal assumptions unresolved. In contrast, the proposed DSS selects the same policy but changes the action to online validation, reflecting missing evidence on propensities, bidder response, and interference. Overall, the contribution is a reproducible DSS protocol that prevents decision overclaim under partial identification and converts offline evaluation into an auditable, action-oriented recommendation.

Engineering managers increasingly must decide how to introduce generative artificial intelligence (AI), retrieval-augmented generation, and coding agents into high-risk operational functions without weakening accountability, privacy, cost discipline, or auditability. The central message of this study is that AI-assisted operational decision support should be managed as a governed engineering capability before it is scaled as automation. Security operations centers (SOCs) provide a suitable setting because they combine privileged telemetry, specialist expertise, software repositories, cloud services, and evidence-sensitive decisions. This study uses Kusto Query Language (KQL) and Microsoft Azure security capabilities as a bounded technical instantiation of that broader engineering management problem. KQL is read-only in ordinary query use, but read-only does not mean risk-free: AI-assisted queries can still create privacy, cost, performance, schema-validity, and decision-quality risks through broad scans, sensitive-field exposure, stale intelligence, and misleading interpretations. Using design science research, the study develops a governed AI query-broker artifact that separates AI planning from operational execution through schema-grounded retrieval, approved templates, policy validation, read-only adapters, normalized outputs, auditable agent traces, and engineering review board gates. The contribution is not a new KQL technique, security product, or detection algorithm. Rather, the study contributes a management framework for governing AI-assisted operational decision support in high-risk digital infrastructure by specifying design propositions, role accountability, maturity stages, quality gates, evaluation criteria, and evidence boundaries.

Public procurement is vulnerable to error, fraud, and corruption, particularly as high transaction volumes overwhelm oversight. While research often focuses on tender-stage anomalies, post-award payment monitoring remains underexplored. Since labelled datasets are rare and methods like Benford's Law face restrictive assumptions, there is a need for interpretable, unsupervised frameworks for high-volume procurement oversight and decision support. This paper introduces the Structural Heterogeneity Index (SHI), a composite statistic for one-dimensional samples, and its payment-specific instantiation, the Payment Heterogeneity Index (PHI), characterising payment structure and latent regimes. It incorporates Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM) parameters alongside non-parametric statistics, integrating four interpretable components: modality, asymmetry, tail behaviour, and structural dispersion. Uniquely, the tail-behaviour component captures both distributional heaviness and extreme-value concentration, while structural-dispersion combines the variability, prevalence, and separation of latent payment regimes. Applied to UK municipal procurement data, PHI identifies a financially significant cohort (0.6% of suppliers; 10.1% of high-volume vendors) with structurally distinct payment patterns. Statistical testing further supports these differences, and targeted human verification confirms the plausibility of prioritised cases. Comparative analysis shows PHI reveals regime separation obscured by the Coefficient of Variation ($ρ= 0.310$). PHI provides a transparent, decomposable, and computationally lightweight framework for procurement integrity oversight and targeted audit prioritisation.

This work presents a knowledge-driven decision-support system that integrates structured defect knowledge with LLM-based reasoning to provide explainable defect diagnosis and mitigation guidance in manufacturing, using LPBF as a representative, safety-critical case study. The proposed ontology-integrated LLM-based decision support system for LPBF defect analysis and mitigation guidance is built on a knowledge base containing 27 known LPBF defect types organized into hierarchical categories and causal relationships. The developed system supports fuzzy natural language queries for systematic knowledge retrieval, literature-supported explanation of defects, and guidance on defect causes and mitigation strategies derived from encoded process knowledge. Furthermore, a multimodal image-assessment module based on foundation models enables descriptor-guided interpretation of representative microscopic defect images through semantic alignment scoring. The proposed framework was evaluated through qualitative comparisons with general-purpose vision-language models, an ablation study, and an inter-rater reliability analysis. Evaluation on the literature-derived dataset showed that the fully integrated configuration outperformed the other three evaluated system configurations, achieving a macro-average F1 score of 0.808. Additionally, inter-rater reliability analysis using Cohen's kappa indicated substantial agreement between the model outputs and the literature-derived reference labels. These findings suggest that ontology-guided knowledge representation can improve the consistency, interpretability, and practical usefulness of LLM-assisted LPBF defect analysis.

Medical and public health experts must make real-time resource decisions, such as expanding hospital bed capacity, based on projected hospitalization trends during large-scale healthcare disruptions (e.g., operational failures or pandemics). Forecasting models can assist in this task by analyzing large volumes of resource-related data at the facility level, but they must be reliable for decision-making under real-world data conditions. Recent work shows that large language models (LLMs) can incorporate richer forms of context into numerical forecasting. Whereas traditional models rely primarily on temporal context (i.e., past observations), LLMs can also leverage non-temporal public health context such as demographic, geographic, and population-level features. However, it remains unclear how these models should be used to produce stable or decision-relevant predictions in real-world healthcare settings. To evaluate how LLMs can be effectively used in this setting, we evaluate three approaches across 60 counties with low-,mid-, and high-hospitalization intensities in the United States: direct LLM-based forecasting, classical time-series models, and a context-augmented hybrid pipeline (HybridARX) that incorporates LLM-derived signals into structured models. Because the goal is operational decision-making rather than error minimization alone, we evaluate performance with bias and lead-lag alignment in addition to standard forecasting metrics. Our results show that HybridARX improves over classical ARX by yielding more stable and better-calibrated forecasts, particularly when incorporating noisy contextual signals into structured time-series models. These findings suggest that, in non-stationary healthcare resource forecasting, LLMs are most useful when embedded within structured hybrid models.

Liver cirrhosis is a major global health problem causing millions of deaths annually, and timely detection with aggressive treatment can significantly improve patients' quality of life. Modelling complex diseases from biomedical data is computationally challenging due to high dimensionality, strong feature correlations, noise, and limited labelled samples. Conventional Machine Learning (ML) pipelines often struggle with robustness, interpretability, and generalisation under such conditions. In this study, we propose an ML-driven multi-stage decision framework for complex disease modelling and therapeutic exploration. The framework integrates single-cell transcriptomic profiling, high-dimensional network-based feature stabilisation, multi-model learning, deep representation construction, and post-hoc decision support. Specifically, single-cell sequencing data were analysed to identify key cellular subpopulations, followed by high-dimensional weighted gene co-expression network analysis (hdWGCNA) to stabilise gene modules under sparsity and noise. To enhance non-linear feature interaction modelling, tabular molecular features were restructured into two-dimensional disease maps and analysed using a CNN. Finally, molecular docking was incorporated as a decision-support module to evaluate candidate therapeutic compounds. Using liver cirrhosis as a representative case, the framework identified a disease-associated endothelial subpopulation and extracted seven robust signature genes (HSPB1, GADD45A, CLDN5, ATP1B3, C1QBP, ENPP2, and PARL). The CNN-based representation learning module outperformed conventional pipelines in classification. The framework is disease-agnostic and readily extends to other omics-driven biomedical applications involving uncertainty, heterogeneity, and limited samples.

Wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs) need digital-twin-style decision support tools that can simulate plant response under prescribed control plans, tolerate irregular and missing sensing, and remain informative over 12-36 h planning horizons. Meeting these requirements with full-scale plant data remains an open engineering-AI challenge. We present CCSS-RS, a controlled continuous-time state-space model that separates historical state inference from future control and exogenous rollout. The model combines typed context encoding, gain-weighted forcing of prescribed and forecast drivers, semigroup-consistent rollouts, and Student-t plus hurdle outputs for heavy-tailed and zero-inflated WWTP sensor data. On the public Avedøre full-scale benchmark, with 906,815 timesteps, 43% missingness, and 1-20 min irregular sampling, CCSS-RS achieves RMSE 0.696 and CRPS 0.349 at H=1000 across 10,000 test windows. This reduces RMSE by 40-46% relative to Neural CDE baselines and by 31-35% relative to simplified internal variants. Four case studies using a frozen checkpoint on test data demonstrate operational value: oxygen-setpoint perturbations shift predicted ammonium by -2.3 to +1.4 over horizons 300-1000; a smoothed setpoint plan ranks first in multi-criterion screening; context-only sensor outages raise monitored-variable RMSE by at most 10%; and ammonium, nitrate, and oxygen remain more accurate than persistence throughout the rollout. These results establish CCSS-RS as a practical learned simulator for offline scenario screening in industrial wastewater treatment, complementary to mechanistic models.

Prompt-induced cognitive biases are changes in a general-purpose AI (GPAI) system's decisions caused solely by biased wording in the input (e.g., framing, anchors), not task logic. In software engineering (SE) decision support (where problem statements and requirements are natural language) small phrasing shifts (e.g., popularity hints or outcome reveals) can push GPAI models toward suboptimal decisions. We study this with PROBE-SWE, a dynamic benchmark for SE that pairs biased and unbiased versions of the same SE dilemmas, controls for logic and difficulty, and targets eight SE-relevant biases (anchoring, availability, bandwagon, confirmation, framing, hindsight, hyperbolic discounting, overconfidence). We ask whether prompt engineering mitigates bias sensitivity in practice, focusing on actionable techniques that practitioners can apply off-the-shelf in real environments. Testing common strategies (e.g., chain-of-thought, self-debiasing) on cost-effective GPAI systems, we find no statistically significant reductions in bias sensitivity on a per-bias basis. We then adopt a Prolog-style view of the reasoning process: solving SE dilemmas requires making explicit any background axioms and inference assumptions (i.e., SE best practices) that are usually implicit in the prompt. So, we hypothesize that bias-inducing features short-circuit assumption elicitation, pushing GPAI models toward biased shortcuts. Building on this, we introduce an end-to-end method that elicits best practices and injects axiomatic reasoning cues into the prompt before answering, reducing overall bias sensitivity by 51% on average (p < .001). Finally, we report a thematic analysis that surfaces linguistic patterns associated with heightened bias sensitivity, clarifying when GPAI use is less advisable for SE decision support and where to focus future countermeasures.

In this work, we propose Oph-Guid-RAG, a multimodal visual RAG system for ophthalmology clinical question answering and decision support. We treat each guideline page as an independent evidence unit and directly retrieve page images, preserving tables, flowcharts, and layout information. We further design a controllable retrieval framework with routing and filtering, which selectively introduces external evidence and reduces noise. The system integrates query decomposition, query rewriting, retrieval, reranking, and multimodal reasoning, and provides traceable outputs with guideline page references. We evaluate our method on HealthBench using a doctor-based scoring protocol. On the hard subset, our approach improves the overall score from 0.2969 to 0.3861 (+0.0892, +30.0%) compared to GPT-5.2, and achieves higher accuracy, improving from 0.5956 to 0.6576 (+0.0620, +10.4%). Compared to GPT-5.4, our method achieves a larger accuracy gain of +0.1289 (+24.4%). These results show that our method is more effective on challenging cases that require precise, evidence-based reasoning. Ablation studies further show that reranking, routing, and retrieval design are critical for stable performance, especially under difficult settings. Overall, we show how combining visionbased retrieval with controllable reasoning can improve evidence grounding and robustness in clinical AI applications,while pointing out that further work is needed to be more complete.

Clinical language models often assign high confidence to incorrect predictions, particularly in high-severity and out-of-distribution cases. We present MedBayes-Lite, a retraining-free uncertainty governance layer for transformer-based clinical predictors. It combines Monte Carlo dropout, predictive calibration, and confidence-guided abstention to defer low-confidence predictions for human review, adding no trainable parameters. Evaluated on MedMCQA and MedQA-USMLE, MedBayes-Lite reduces expected calibration error by 0.23 to 0.33 and drives harmful overconfident errors (confident, incorrect, high-severity predictions) toward zero. Under domain shift from MedMCQA to MedQA-USMLE, it reduces confident high-severity errors from about 21% to near zero while roughly halving calibration drift. We also introduce the Clinical Uncertainty Score (CUS), which strongly correlates with harmful overconfidence (r approximately 0.88). Although the framework does not improve risk-coverage ranking, and temperature scaling or deep ensembles may provide advantages in calibration cost or risk ranking, MedBayes-Lite offers a practical calibration-and-abstention layer that reduces confident high-severity errors in clinical question-answering benchmarks.

Large language models (LLMs) promise to accelerate incident response in production systems, yet single-agent approaches generate vague, unusable recommendations. We present MyAntFarm.ai, a reproducible containerized framework demonstrating that multi-agent orchestration fundamentally transforms LLM-based incident response quality. Through 348 controlled trials comparing single-agent copilot versus multi-agent systems on identical incident scenarios, we find that multi-agent orchestration achieves 100% actionable recommendation rate versus 1.7% for single-agent approaches, an 80 times improvement in action specificity and 140 times improvement in solution correctness. Critically, multi-agent systems exhibit zero quality variance across all trials, enabling production SLA commitments impossible with inconsistent single-agent outputs. Both architectures achieve similar comprehension latency (approx.40s), establishing that the architectural value lies in deterministic quality, not speed. We introduce Decision Quality (DQ), a novel metric capturing validity, specificity, and correctness properties essential for operational deployment that existing LLM metrics do not address. These findings reframe multi-agent orchestration from a performance optimization to a production-readiness requirement for LLM-based incident response. All code, Docker configurations, and trial data are publicly available for reproduction.

The real-time process of directional changes while drilling, known as geosteering, is crucial for hydrocarbon extraction and emerging directional drilling applications such as geothermal energy, civil infrastructure, and CO2 storage. The geo-energy industry seeks an automatic geosteering workflow that continually updates subsurface uncertainties and captures the latest geological understanding, informed by real-time observations. We propose a real-time, AI-driven geosteering workflow that integrates Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) for geological parameterization, ensemble methods for model updating, and global discrete dynamic programming (DDP) optimization for complex decision-making during directional drilling operations. Our framework relies on offline training of a GAN model to reproduce relevant geology realizations and a Forward Neural Network (FNN) to model the response of Logging-While-Drilling (LWD) tools for a given geomodel. This paper introduces a first-of-its-kind workflow that progressively reduces GAN-geomodel uncertainty around and ahead of the drilling bit and adjusts the well plan accordingly. The workflow automatically integrates real-time around-bit LWD, which, through learned geological correlations, reduces uncertainty in predicted geology ahead of drilling. A DDP-based decision support system leverages probabilistic look-ahead predictions to suggest better steering strategies. We test the workflow prototype on a small yet challenging low-net-to-gross drilling scenario with several possible targets. The results show that the workflow produces meaningful steering recommendations and, through its probabilistic updates, automatically maps formation boundaries along the drilled well.

The decision-making process to rule R&D relies on information related to current trends in particular research areas. In this work, we investigated how one can use large language models (LLMs) to transfer the dataset and its annotation from one language to another. This is crucial since sharing knowledge between different languages could boost certain underresourced directions in the target language, saving lots of effort in data annotation or quick prototyping. We experiment with English and Russian pairs, translating the DEFT (Definition Extraction from Texts) corpus. This corpus contains three layers of annotation dedicated to term-definition pair mining, which is a rare annotation type for Russian. The presence of such a dataset is beneficial for the natural language processing methods of trend analysis in science since the terms and definitions are the basic blocks of any scientific field. We provide a pipeline for the annotation transfer using LLMs. In the end, we train the BERT-based models on the translated dataset to establish a baseline.