Explainable Artificial Intelligence

Also known as XAI

Overview

Explainable artificial intelligence studies how to show why models make particular predictions or take actions, so people can assess errors, bias, uncertainty, and appropriate use. Common approaches include post-hoc feature attribution such as SHAP and LIME, saliency maps for images, counterfactual examples, and models designed around interpretable rules or concepts; newer systems also turn evidence and execution traces into interactive or natural-language explanations. Researchers test whether explanations reflect model behavior and remain stable, but increasingly also measure whether people can understand them and make better decisions in settings such as healthcare, finance, cybersecurity, and autonomous systems. A central tension is that explanations that are faithful to complex models may be difficult to use, while fluent or persuasive explanations can encourage misplaced trust without improving understanding or decisions.

Latest papers

327 papers26 papers in the last four weeks, down 21% on the four weeks before. 0.2% of all new papers.

Jun 10, 2026

Finding Multiple Interpretations in Datasets

In this paper, we propose an approach to finding sets of similar-performing models (in terms of loss/accuracy measurements) with highly different context-aware characteristics. Through experiments on the METABRIC dataset, we show that the proposed method finds multiple models with highly different gene expressions than those found by the control methodology without performance penalties. We argue that the proposed methodology is important whenever one aims to analyze any global characteristic of a model to extract insight into the underlying phenomenon being studied.
Jun 10, 2026

Can News Predict the Market? Limits of Zero-Shot Financial NLP and the Role of Explainable AI

Can financial news reliably predict short-term stock movements? Despite advances in large language models, this question remains unresolved. We revisit this problem using a zero-shot natural language processing framework, investigating whether models can extract actionable signals from financial news without domain-specific training. We design a structured pipeline that combines zero-shot natural language inference with temporal aggregation, explicitly modelling recency and event-dependent impact horizons when integrating information across articles. To address the need for transparency in high-stakes settings, we introduce a multi-layered explainability framework that links predictions to token-level, article-level, and aggregate evidence, and produces grounded natural language rationales. Across multiple models and prediction horizons, we find that zero-shot approaches consistently fail to outperform simple baselines, with particularly weak performance on negative movements, suggesting deeper structural limitations in mapping news sentiment to short-term price dynamics. However, explainability signals reliably distinguish between trustworthy and unreliable predictions, offering practical value even when accuracy is limited. These findings highlight the limits of zero-shot financial NLP and motivate a shift toward decision-support systems that prioritise transparency and uncertainty awareness. Code: https://github.com/alimert05/zero-shot-stock-xai
Jun 9, 2026

Generative Explainability for Next-Generation Networks: LLM-Augmented XAI with Mutual Feature Interactions

As artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) models become integral to network operations, their lack of transparency poses a significant barrier to operator trust. Existing explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) techniques often fail to bridge this gap for non-specialists, producing technical outputs that are difficult to translate into actionable insights. This paper presents a framework specifically designed to address this shortcoming. It leverages a moderately sized large language model (LLM) and extends beyond the standard use of SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) feature influence values. The framework employs a structured prompt enriched with mutual feature interaction data to generate human-understandable natural language explanations. To validate our framework, we performed an empirical evaluation on an optical quality of transmission (QoT) estimation use case with human evaluators. We collected independent performance evaluations from specialists, which showed a high inter-evaluator agreement. Compared to a state-of-the-art baseline that uses only SHAP feature influence values in a straightforward prompt, our approach improves the explanation usefulness and scope by 12.2% and 6.2%, while achieving 97.5% correctness.
Jun 9, 2026

Beyond Explaining Predictions: Logic-Based Explanations for Confidence in Machine Learning Models

Machine learning is increasingly used in critical domains, where both predictions and their associated confidence levels influence important decisions. To enhance transparency in such scenarios, it is important to understand why a model is confident or uncertain about its predictions. Recent logic-based approaches provide abductive explanations, minimal subsets of features sufficient to preserve the predicted class, with correctness guarantees. However, these methods focus solely on classification behavior and may produce explanations that cover instances with low predictive confidence. In this work, we introduce the concept of Minimum Confidence Threshold (MCT), which quantifies the weakest confidence guarantee provided by an abductive explanation. Building upon this concept, we propose confidence-aware abductive explanations, which preserve not only the predicted class but also a user-specified confidence guarantee. We formulate MCT computation as an optimization problem and introduce an algorithm for generating minimal explanations that satisfy a desired confidence threshold. We evaluate the proposed framework on boosted trees for binary classification, although the approach is applicable to other machine learning models that provide confidence scores. Experimental results show that traditional abductive explanations often provide substantially weaker confidence guarantees than the confidence associated with the explained instance itself. In contrast, confidence-aware explanations consistently improve the minimum confidence guaranteed by an explanation while requiring only a modest increase in explanation length. These properties make the proposed approach particularly suitable for applications where both predictive correctness and confidence are essential for trustworthy decision making.
Jun 8, 2026

Self-Explainability in Self-Adaptive and Self-Organising Systems: Status and Research Directions

The growing complexity of self-adaptive and self-organising systems, fuelled by advances in Artificial Intelligence (AI), has made them increasingly difficult to understand and trust. While Explainable AI aims to provide insight into AI decision-making, a more advanced goal is for systems to explain themselves - an ability referred to as Self-Explainability (SX). This article presents a systematic literature review on SX, analysing existing approaches, including their domains, targets, and evaluation methods. The review develops a unified definition and taxonomy of SX and introduces Levels of Self-Explainability, providing a framework for positioning current and future research. Our results show that most SX approaches remain conceptual, with few practical implementations. Moreover, there is currently no formal or de facto standard for evaluating SX, highlighting a major research gap. This work thus establishes a foundation and roadmap for advancing Self-Explainability in complex systems.
Jun 7, 2026

Sample-Efficient LLM-Based Detection of Malicious Web Server Logs with Forensically Explainable Reasoning

Forensic analysis of web server logs demands both accurate detection and human-readable explanations that can satisfy legal requirements. We present CEF-Log, a context-enhanced few-shot chain-of-thought prompting strategy for Large Language Models that addresses this dual requirement. CEF-Log embeds expert investigative methodology through a structured five-step reasoning template, enabling the model to learn how to analyze logs rather than what patterns to memorize. Experimental evaluation demonstrates that CEF-Log achieves an F1-score of 0.99 on the CSIC 2010 dataset using only four examples while providing a 10×10\times improvement in sample efficiency compared to other prompting-based methods. We also introduce ForenWebLog, a new dataset that incorporates real-world attacks and multi-step attack sequences for comprehensive evaluation. Qualitative analysis confirms that CEF-Log generates traceable, accurate explanations suitable for forensic documentation, addressing the critical "black-box" limitation of traditional machine learning approaches.
Jun 5, 2026

An Abstract Architecture for Explainable Autonomy in Hazardous Environments

Autonomous robotic systems are being proposed for use in hazardous environments, often to reduce the risks to human workers. In the immediate future, it is likely that human workers will continue to use and direct these autonomous robots, much like other computerised tools but with more sophisticated decision-making. Therefore, one important area on which to focus engineering effort is ensuring that these users trust the system. Recent literature suggests that explainability is closely related to how trustworthy a system is. Like safety and security properties, explainability should be designed into a system, instead of being added afterwards. This paper presents an abstract architecture that supports an autonomous system explaining its behaviour (explainable autonomy), providing a design template for implementing explainable autonomous systems. We present a worked example of how our architecture could be applied in the civil nuclear industry, where both workers and regulators need to trust the system's decision-making capabilities.
Jun 5, 2026

OPTIMUS-Prime: Minimal and Sufficient Concept Explanations for Deep Vision Models

The growing demand for transparency in automated decision-making has propelled eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) to the forefront of machine learning research. In computer vision, however, existing explanation methods often prioritize end-user accessibility at the expense of formal guarantees, leaving a critical gap between practical utility and theoretical rigor. In this paper, we address this gap by introducing OPTIMUS, a novel framework for generating concept-based visual explanations for deep classification models. OPTIMUS explanations take the form of visual heatmaps that not only remain interpretable to end users, but are grounded in the well-established theory of prime implicants, providing formal guarantees that have been largely absent from existing saliency-based methods. Specifically, OPTIMUS explanations satisfy two desirable properties: sufficiency, ensuring that the highlighted concepts provably guarantee the classifier's prediction, and minimality, ensuring that no strict subset of those concepts retains this guarantee. Together, these properties yield explanations that are both logically tight and visually coherent. We validate our approach on a visual classification benchmark, demonstrating that OPTIMUS heatmaps naturally and faithfully surface the decision-relevant concepts underlying model predictions.
Jun 5, 2026

Beyond Post-hoc Explanation: Toward Glassbox AI via Probabilistic Mediation

Large language models are rapidly becoming infrastructural components in high-stakes institutional settings, including public administration, legal reasoning, and healthcare, where opacity is not merely inconvenient but institutionally and legally untenable. Existing approaches to explainability are predominantly post-hoc, offering unstable, non-contestable accounts that have no formal relationship to the reasoning process that produced the output. We argue that the problem is not the absence of explanation but the absence of structured reasoning in the first place. This paper makes the case for a fundamentally different architecture, which we call the Glassbox Framework, in which Bayesian networks serve as transparent, ante-hoc mediation layers for generative models. Bayesian networks encode domain knowledge, causal assumptions, and probabilistic dependencies before inference occurs, enabling auditable reasoning traces, uncertainty quantification, and contestable outputs. We characterise the architecture of this framework and ground it in a benefit eligibility scenario, identifying the foundational challenges spanning semantic alignment, dynamic model construction, probabilistic grounding, and human governance that must be solved to realise it at scale. By shifting from post-hoc explanation to ante-hoc probabilistic mediation, this work outlines a principled path toward AI systems that are not only powerful but fundamentally accountable.
Jun 4, 2026

Explainable Runtime Dependency Tracking for AI-RAN Conflict Monitoring

Future AI-integrated Radio Access Networks (AI-RAN) will combine open programmability with learning-enabled xApps, rApps, and control functions that act on shared parameters and key performance indicators (KPIs). For conflict monitoring, it is not enough to know which applications are deployed; the system must also know whether the parameter--KPI dependencies assumed by runtime diagnosis remain valid under the current operating regime. This paper studies a lightweight monitoring primitive for that purpose: tracking an interpretable dependency representation from streaming telemetry events. We represent active dependencies by a Boolean matrix and use Boolean matrix multiplication to check whether recent parameter-activity and KPI-response events are consistent with the current estimate. We propose a sliding-window inference procedure that reuses the estimate when it remains consistent and recomputes it when recent observations indicate structural change. The tracker is intended as an explainable signal for conflict diagnosis and slow-loop model refresh, not as an autonomous mitigation mechanism. Experiments on controlled Boolean event streams show efficient and accurate tracking under dependency changes and Boolean observation noise.
Jun 4, 2026

Fix the Mind, Not the Move: Interpretable AI Assistance via Knowledge-Gap Localization

AI assistants in human-AI collaboration often correct suboptimal human actions through behavioral feedback (e.g., alerts or steering-wheel nudges in assistive driving). Such interventions can mitigate immediate errors, but long-term improvement requires addressing the underlying misconceptions that cause repeated mistakes. We introduce SENSEI, a framework that infers user misconceptions from interaction behavior and provides targeted, minimal yet sufficient suggestions to correct them. Our approach departs from action- or trajectory-level interventions by operating over a structured knowledge representation to localize and correct the sources of erroneous behavior. Across three long-horizon tasks with diverse misconceptions and corresponding behaviors, SENSEI demonstrates zero-shot compositional generalization, disentangling multiple overlapping misconceptions despite training only on single-misconception cases. A user study further shows that our method identifies real human misconceptions and provides effective guidance that improves long-horizon task performance, successfully correcting 90%90\% of student misconceptions. Code and project page are available at https://misoshiruseijin.github.io/SENSEI/.
Jun 2, 2026

Explainable Forecasting of Scientific Breakthroughs from Concept Network Dynamics

We introduce an explainable machine-learning approach that forecasts the structural precursors of scientific breakthroughs -- the emergence and intensification of links between research concepts -- by modelling how OpenAlex concept networks evolve over time. Using 59 semantic and topological features, a two-stage LightGBM model jointly predicts the formation and the future weight of concept pairs, adding a regression stage that quantifies expected intensity to prior link-existence forecasts. Relative to the state of the art, the approach improves accuracy and explainability at once: comparative validation across four technology and biomedical domains yields ROC-AUC in [0.954, 0.967] at all horizons without re-tuning, exceeding the roughly 0.90 of prior models, while every forecast rests on structural, auditable features rather than opaque embeddings. Classification performance is high (AUC about 0.95) and regression remains stable (RMSLE 0.45 to 0.6 over one to five years). Feature attribution shows that structural factors -- particularly Adamic-Adar similarity and degree-based Hadamard measures -- consistently drive accuracy, suggesting that breakthrough-relevant recombinations emerge in tightly connected sub-networks. Two expert-anchored cases, quantum annealing and AI-enabled quantum architectures, show the model surfacing technological convergence consistent with expert expectations. We then outline a three-layer decision architecture -- detection, expert translation, institutional integration -- that turns these forecasts into evidence-based research strategy and policy, anchored in open data and explainable features.
Jun 2, 2026

An LLM-Explainable DRL Framework for Passenger-Directed Autonomous Driving

Autonomous vehicles offer the potential for safer and more efficient mobility, yet public trust remains limited due to the lack of transparency in their decision-making. This work addresses this issue by combining deep reinforcement learning (DRL) for adaptive driving control with large language model (LLM)-based explainability modules designed to communicate agent behavior to passengers. DRL agents were trained in simulation using a Dueling Double Deep Q-Network to follow distinct driving requests: fast, comfort, and stop. They demonstrated stable learning, safe compliance with traffic rules, and reliable switching between modes within a single trip. In parallel, LLM modules were introduced to interpret passenger requests, determine when explanations were needed, and generate concise, safety-oriented justifications. Results show that this framework, serving as a proof of concept for integrating RL decision-making and LLMs, balances safety, adaptability, and explainability, and is most effective when requests are delayed or overridden due to safety constraints.
May 28, 2026

ExDBSCAN: Explaining DBSCAN with Counterfactual Reasoning -- Additional Material

Clustering is an unsupervised technique for grouping data points by similarity. While explainability methods exist for supervised machine learning, they are not directly applicable to clustering, making it challenging to understand cluster assignments. This interpretability gap is particularly evident in the popular density-based method DBSCAN, which assigns points as inliers (cluster members in dense regions) or outliers (noise points in sparse regions). DBSCAN does not provide insight into why a particular point receives its assignment or whether its assignment is robust to small changes in the data. To address the lack of explainability, we introduce ExDBSCAN, a density-aware, post-hoc explanation method. ExDBSCAN offers actionable counterfactual explanations, with theoretical guarantees for validity. It generates multiple counterfactuals using a density connected weighted graph, adopting a physics-inspired model that repels counterfactual candidates from one another (diversity), while pulling them toward the instance to explain (proximity). Empirical evaluation on 30 tabular datasets comparing against four baselines shows that ExDBSCAN outperforms all baselines while attaining perfect validity and retrieving diverse, proximal counterfactuals.
May 28, 2026

Surfacing Isolated Learners with Outcome-Independent Mediation of Feedback between Teachers and Students Using AI

AI-augmented classrooms generate rich teacher and student feedback before graded outcomes become available, yet these signals can be difficult to translate into timely instructional decisions. We propose an interpretable decision layer: a transparent mechanism that ranks course topics requiring attention without using grades or post-hoc outcome labels. The approach combines three signals: student learning difficulty prevalence, disagreement between learner self-reports and observed difficulties, and unresolved teacher concerns. The output is a ranked set of topic priorities with per-topic decision records explaining each ranking. In one graduate CS course offering (n=5n=5 instructor interviews; n=279n=279 survey responses), prioritized topics aligned with instructor concerns (top-5 overlap 3/5; Spearman ρ=0.80ρ=0.80) and student-reported topic difficulty (ρ=0.46ρ=0.46, p=.048p=.048). Multi-signal integration also surfaced learners not identified through individual signal sources alone (AUC =0.96=0.96 vs. 0.910.91 for gap prevalence alone). Reflective thinking, help-seeking, and self-efficacy provided additional evidence that student behavioral signals align with learning-related constructs. While preliminary, these findings suggest that transparent coordination mechanisms may help support human-AI co-agency when feedback is incomplete.
May 27, 2026

Performance and Explainability Requirements of Evolutionary Algorithms in Real-World Physics-Informed Optimization

Evolutionary computation offers a variety of tools to solve complex real-world optimization problems. However, research often focuses on smaller, simplified problems and optimization algorithms that sometimes miss expectations in real-world scenarios. Additionally, trust in the applied algorithm and the solutions it provides is often essential in such settings, but requires an understanding of the search process itself. This leads to evolutionary computation often not being seriously considered by practitioners in many application contexts, among them physics-based modeling. In this article, techniques from evolutionary computation are detailed that can alleviate these problems. First, five real-world physics-based optimization problems are introduced and described by domain experts. For each of these, the requirements for the evolutionary algorithm regarding performance and explainability to increase trust and usability are presented. We found that all domain experts expect fast convergence to a good solution and want some explanations for how the results were formed, while other requirements strongly depend on the respective problem. Finally, we present existing approaches that can be leveraged to improve those aspects of evolutionary algorithms but have to our knowledge never been employed in complex real-world scenarios. This implies a gap between both domains that needs to be closed to exploit the full potential of evolutionary computation.
May 27, 2026

Show, Don't TELL: Explainable AI-Generated Text Detection

Research on AI-generated text detection has presented a number of approaches to discern human from AI prose, some of which achieving high in-distribution performance. However, real-world applicability has stalled because their outputs are misaligned with the needs of users, such as professors, who are presented with a numeric score that has no attached explanation. We tackle this issue with a novel architecture, TELL, that bakes explainability from the ground-up. While our system still offers a numerical score like other detectors for comparability, TELL takes a fundamentally different approach where we aim to show the user the "tells" by which the model believes a text is AI or human-written, to empower the user to decide who wrote a text using their own judgment and understanding of the context of the writing and its alleged author. We train TELL on a custom SFT dataset of domain-specific authorship annotations, and further refine the system using GRPO with curriculum learning to improve performance. We achieve competitive performance with state-of-the-art detectors (AUROC 0.927) while natively providing annotations that explain the basis for the detector's decision. We further evaluate the quality of our explanations using a dataset of human annotations and report a high (mean 72.3%) win-rate on annotation concreteness, falsifiability, coherence, plausibility and grounding, allowing users to critically think and decide for themselves. Our work thus reframes the problem of AI-generated text detection in a human-centric perspective and paves the way for a new family of detectors that focus on native explainability.
May 27, 2026

Towards Faithful Agentic XAI: A Verification Method and an Open-World Benchmark for Better Model Faithfulness

Explainable AI (XAI) helps users interpret model behavior and identify potential faults. Agentic XAI systems use Large Language Models (LLMs) to make explanations more accessible through natural-language interaction, but they can also produce plausible yet unfaithful explanations. This risk arises because unreliable XAI outputs for complex models can be amplified by LLMs and mislead users. We propose Faithful Agentic XAI (FAX), a framework that improves explanation faithfulness through explicit verification. FAX decomposes draft explanations into claims and cross-checks them against inherently faithful tools, filtering unsupported or contradictory claims before final generation. We also introduce CRAFTER-XAI-Bench, an open-world reinforcement learning benchmark with complex policies, diverse goals, and challenging scenarios for assessing model-specific faithfulness. On CRAFTER-XAI-Bench, FAX improves simulation faithfulness from 0.20 for the strongest baseline to 0.46 while maintaining high informativeness, relevance, and fluency. On three tabular benchmarks, FAX performs competitively with prior Agentic XAI baselines, but our analysis shows that these settings can conflate task accuracy with model-specific faithfulness. These findings show that explicit verification is essential for faithful Agentic XAI and that that faithfulness benchmarks must be designed to test explanations against the behavior of the target model itself.
May 26, 2026

Evaluating Local Explainability Metrics for Machine Learning Models on Tabular Data

Despite the wide use of explainability techniques to attempt to understand the behavior of Artificial Intelligence (AI), the generated explanations may not always be reliable. An explanation can appear plausible to humans but fail to capture the internal reasoning of a model, particularly when dealing with complex tabular data. This paper studies the trustworthiness of local explainability techniques when applied to complex tabular classification tasks, considering evaluated metrics for three main properties: faithfulness to the model's predictions, robustness to input data variations, and complexity of the explanation itself. A benchmark was performed for Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME), Kernel SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), and Feature Ablation techniques, across 32 datasets and different types of machine learning models. Model performance ranges were analyzed to identify two groups: consensus-correct, which are samples that all models predicted correctly, and consensus-wrong, samples that all models predicted incorrectly. The obtained results demonstrate that that the explanations are not always correlated with a model's predictive performance. Instead, dataset complexity and feature distributions seem to be the main factors affecting explanation quality and reliability.
May 26, 2026

ExTax: Explainable Disinformation Detection via Persuasion, Emotion, and Narrative Role Taxonomies

The democratization of LLMs has accelerated the generation and circulation of highly fluent disinformation, making traditional syntax-semantic verification increasingly insufficient. Such deception rarely relies solely on surface-level falsity; instead, it often combines persuasive rhetoric, emotional manipulation, and narrative role construction to influence readers' interpretations through multiple cognitive pathways. However, existing detectors typically emphasize isolated signals -- such as syntax, external knowledge, persuasion, or affective cues -- and therefore struggle to capture the multi-faceted manipulative intents underlying disinformation or provide human-auditable explanations. To address this gap, we present ExTax, a taxonomy-aligned framework for explainable disinformation detection. ExTax unifies persuasive rhetoric, emotional manipulation, and narrative roles into a 17-dimensional taxonomic space, covering 6 persuasive-rhetoric strategies, 5 emotional-manipulation methods, and 6 narrative-role categories. It elicits attributes from multiple frontier LLMs, reconciles their disagreements through Entropy-driven Dynamic Label Smoothing, and fuses the resulting taxonomic representations with contextual encodings via Heterogeneous Multi-Head Attention, grounding each prediction in an interpretable manipulation profile. Across five cross-domain and cross-genre benchmarks, ExTax achieves an overall Macro F1F_1 of 0.84560.8456, outperforming state-of-the-art deep learning and LLM-based baselines. It also remains robust under severe genre imbalance, where the strongest deep baseline degrades from 0.94540.9454 to 0.61940.6194.
May 26, 2026

Quality Without Usefulness: LLM-Generated XAI Narratives as Trust Heuristics Rather Than Decision Aids

Prior work shows that Large Language Models (LLMs) can transform Explainable AI (XAI) outputs into Natural Language Explanations (NLEs) that score highly on quality metrics such as plausibility, coherence, and comprehensibility. But does explanation quality translate to practical usefulness? We investigate this question in a time-series energy forecasting domain through five controlled experiments (2,730 judgments across 60 test instances), each operationalising a distinct facet of usefulness studied in the XAI literature. Holding NLE quality constant at the high levels established by a prior factorial study, we find that NLEs do not improve task accuracy on any of the five tasks, while inflating self-reported confidence. A placebic control shows that this confidence boost is driven by text presence rather than content. In an out-of-distribution detection task, NLEs reduce the LLM judge's ability to flag unreliable predictions, providing false reassurance that masks model failure. We characterise these findings as the Quality-Usefulness Gap and argue that evaluation of the XAI-to-NLE pipeline must extend beyond text-quality metrics to downstream task performance.
May 23, 2026

Fundamental Limitation in Explaining AI

While large-scale models such as LLMs and diffusion models have achieved practical success, public institutions have emphasized the importance of explainability in AI. Existing methods for explaining AI, however, are not designed to provide completely faithful explanations of the behavior of large-scale AI systems. Although a completely faithful and interpretable explanation of the behavior of an AI system might be useful for AI governance, it has not been known whether providing such an explanation is theoretically possible. In this paper, we mathematically prove a fundamental quadrilemma in explaining AI, stating that AI and its explanation cannot satisfy the following four conditions simultaneously: 1) the complexity of the operation environment, 2) the goodness of the AI's performance, 3) the interpretability of the AI's explanation, and 4) the complete faithfulness of the AI's explanation. This quadrilemma suggests that, in most applications where we cannot change the environment or sacrifice good AI performance and an interpretable explanation, we should give up complete faithfulness of explanations and should instead aim to explain only the parts that are important for applications. As a consequence, the quadrilemma implies that AI governance should be designed on the premise that the faithfulness of AI explanations is always incomplete.
May 22, 2026

Human Decision-Making with Persuasive and Narrative LLM Explanations

Large language models (LLMs) have the potential to aid and improve human decision-making in classification tasks, not only by providing fairly accurate predictions, but also in their ability to generate cogent narrative explanations of those predictions. Prior work has demonstrated that people generally find AI narrative explanations to be understandable, trustworthy, and convincing for changing beliefs and opinions; however, less is known about the impact of narrative explanations on objective human decision-making performance. Here we conduct a large-scale human behavioral experiment to evaluate decision-making performance with LLM-generated narrative explanations of varying persuasiveness. We found the degree of persuasiveness, or lack thereof, for LLM-based explanations did not meaningfully impact decision accuracy over a simple AI prediction alone, in agreement with typical results with explainable AI based on feature importance. We found evidence that narratives increased reliance on AI, but both when the AI prediction was correct and incorrect. Exploratory analyses also indicated that the more persuasive narratives may have had a detrimental effect on decision response times and the ability to discriminate between a correct and incorrect AI prediction. Overall, this work indicates that including narrative explanations with AI predictions may involve tradeoffs for decision-making performance, and more work is needed to determine how and when narrative explanations impact human decision-making.
May 22, 2026

A Multi-Layer AI Framework for Information Landscape Analysis

This paper proposes a multi-layer AI framework for information landscape analysis in the context of information disorder. Rather than treating misinformation detection as a binary fact-checking task, the framework analyzes political and media content across multiple dimensions, including source reliability, factual structure, framing, bias, emotional activation, manipulation patterns, and propagation dynamics. The goal is to move beyond isolated claim verification toward a structured representation of the informational environment surrounding an event, entity, or narrative. We argue that AI systems for media analysis should support epistemic mapping: a transparent, multi-dimensional account of how facts, interpretations, actors, and narratives interact over time. The paper presents the conceptual architecture, analytical layers, and methodological rationale of the framework, with the aim of supporting more nuanced, explainable, and critically useful tools for information disorder research.
May 22, 2026

ExpOS: Explainable Open-Surgery Skills Assessment Using 3D Hand Reconstruction

Timely and transparent feedback is essential for effective surgical training, yet current assessment remains dependent on expert observation, limiting scalability and opportunities for autonomous practice. We present ExpOS, an explainable framework for data-driven assessment of open-surgery skills designed to enable automatic, feedback-oriented evaluation. Rather than relying on expert-defined metrics, ExpOS learns discriminative temporal patterns directly from motion data and identifies the segments and behaviors most predictive of skill level. We trained and evaluated the method on 221 videos of medical students performing three open-surgery tasks. Hand poses and tool detections were extracted from each frame to derive kinematic descriptors and global motion statistics. Spatiotemporal hand-tool dynamics were modeled using a temporal convolutional backbone with attention-based pooling to generate frame-level importance maps. These representations were fused with global motion statistics to predict skill level and to provide interpretable feedback. ExpOS provides multi-level explainability by identifying when informative events occur through attention weights and which motion characteristics most influence predictions through global feature analysis. Across tasks, the framework achieved strong correlation with expert ratings, with best performance on fascial closure (r = 0.778, R2 = 0.74). These results demonstrate that combining weakly-supervised temporal importance learning with interpretable motion statistics enables scalable and actionable surgical skill assessment.
May 21, 2026

Explainable AI for Data-Driven Design of High-Dimensional Predictive Studies

Predictive modelling is important for health data analysis and data-driven clinical decision-making. However, predictive studies are challenging to design optimally by hand when tens or even hundreds of features require selection, transformation, or interaction modelling. While complex machine learning models offer high performance, their "black-box" nature limits the clinical trust, transparency, and interpretability required for decision-making. We developed and evaluated an Exploratory AI Recommender that provides data-driven recommendations to improve predictive performance of existing interpretable statistical models. The developed framework uses flexible AI modelling to capture complex data patterns and explainable AI techniques to translate the patterns into three recommendation types: feature exclusion, non-linear terms, and feature interactions. We evaluated the framework by comparing predictive performance of a baseline (i.e., no interactions or non-linear terms) Cox Proportional Hazards (CPH) model against an augmented CPH incorporating recommendations suggested by our method. The primary analysis predicts the time to the first occurrence of a fall or related injury in 245,614 patients. Our method recommended excluding 23 features, including non-linear terms for two features, and including 221 suggested feature interactions. The C-index improved from 0.805 (95% CI 0.798-0.812) to 0.815 (95% CI 0.809-0.822), and so did calibration (intercept: -0.006 to 0.003; slope: 1.063 to 0.950). All recommendations were supported by existing literature. The method also proved effective on two additional public datasets, demonstrating wider applicability. The proposed Exploratory AI Recommender demonstrates the potential of explainable AI and data-driven study design to improve the process of developing, and the performance of high-dimensional transparent predictive models.
May 20, 2026

A Causal Argumentation Method for Explainability of Machine Learning Models

Explainable AI (XAI) methods identify which features are relevant to a model's predictions but often fail to clarify why certain decisions are made. In this work, we present a novel method that integrates causality with argument-based reasoning to explain why models may be making predictions. Our approach first identifies causal relationships among variables using causal discovery methods and then translates these into a Bipolar Argumentation Framework (BAF) to represent supportive and opposing interactions among features. By using semi-stable semantics, we find extensions of features that explain why certain outcomes may have been chosen. We demonstrate our method on two benchmark datasets and compare its results against standard post-hoc explainability approaches.
May 20, 2026

SAM-Sode: Towards Faithful Explanations for Tiny Bacteria Detection

Interpretability in object detection provides crucial confidence support for clinical auxiliary diagnosis. However, in tiny bacteria detection, traditional explanation methods often suffer from blurred foreground boundaries and diffuse feature attribution due to the extreme sparsity of target morphological features and severe interference from complex backgrounds. Such limitations hinder the provision of logically coherent morphological evidence. To bridge this gap, we propose a novel eXplainable AI (XAI) framework, SAM-Sode. The framework innovatively transforms initial feature attribution maps into geometry-aware prompts, leveraging the prior knowledge of the foundation model (SAM3) to achieve spatial refinement and morphological reconstruction of the explanatory mappings. Furthermore, we introduce a dual-constraint mechanism based on physical significance and geometric alignment to perform instance-level denoising, generating coherent explanations that better align with human expert intuition. Experimental results on our self-constructed bacteria dataset with complex circuit backgrounds (containing 2,524 images) and other public datasets demonstrate that the proposed method effectively suppresses background redundancy and significantly enhances the decision-making transparency of tiny object detection.
May 20, 2026

A Unified Framework for Uncertainty-Aware Explainable Artificial Intelligence: A Case Study in Power Quality Disturbance Classification

Post-hoc explainable AI (XAI) methods typically produce deterministic attribution maps, whereas Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) induce a distribution over explanations. Capturing the variability of this distribution is important for uncertainty-aware decision-making. This paper formalises the explanation distribution as the push-forward measure of the BNN posterior through any Lipschitz-continuous attribution operator. It further proposes the uncertainty-aware relevance attribution operator (UA-RAO), a general family of operators that summarises the explanation distribution using the mean, variance, coefficient of variation, quantiles, and set-theoretic aggregation measures. Theoretical support is provided through Monte Carlo accessibility and Wasserstein approximation bounds. The framework is evaluated on a 15-class power quality disturbance (PQD) classification benchmark, comparing three BNN approximations paired with three attribution operators using relevance mass accuracy and intersection-over-union as localisation metrics. Results show that deep ensembles with the mean UA-RAO improve localisation over the deterministic baseline, while other UA-RAO summaries reveal uncertainty patterns absent from point-estimate attributions. Qualitative results on measured signals further suggest that these patterns generalise beyond the synthetic training distribution. The framework is domain-agnostic and can be applied to any BNN paired with a Lipschitz-continuous attribution operator.
May 19, 2026

Can Conversational XAI Improve User Performance? An Experimental Study

Explainable AI (XAI) techniques aim to provide insights into predictive models and enhance user performance, yet they often fall short of these expectations. Conversational XAI assistants promise to overcome such limitations, but empirical evidence on their impact on objective performance measures remains limited. We propose an experimental design for evaluating explanation assistance through prediction accuracy, model understanding, and error identification. Using an explainable-by-design prediction model, we create conditions where users can outperform the model by identifying and compensating for systematic errors. We compare conversational assistance against Q&A-based assistance to assess which better supports users in working with model explanations. Preliminary results from testing our experimental design show that participants (N=42) in both treatments significantly outperformed the model but reveal no performance differences between assistance types and modest engagement overall. These findings inform refinements for our planned full study, including enhanced engagement interventions and investigation of the mechanisms driving improved predictions.