Model Predictive Control

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19 papers in the last 28 days · 0.5% of indexed attention

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Period ending 2026-09-14

6 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Model Predictive Control.

Period ending 2026-09-07

10 new papers

A weekly snapshot of new work published in Model Predictive Control.

214 papers

Latest in Model Predictive Control

Sep 15, 2026cs.RO

Port-Hamiltonian Koopman Operator Synthesis for Mechanical Systems

Finite-dimensional Koopman models enable efficient linear prediction and control of nonlinear robotic systems. However, models learned purely from trajectory data may violate the energetic structure of the underlying mechanics, producing predictions that exhibit artificial energy growth and diverge under recursive propagation. This work presents a structure-preserving Koopman framework for Euler-Lagrange systems built on generalized-momentum coordinates. The momentum transformation exposes the mechanical actuation as a known, state-independent port, which is preserved explicitly in the lifted dynamics. A structure-constrained neural architecture is developed to jointly learn the lifting functions and a port-Hamiltonian Koopman generator, rendering the learned dynamics passive by construction rather than through penalty terms or post-hoc projection. A Cayley-midpoint discretization further preserves the corresponding storage-dissipation balance exactly in discrete time. These properties are established analytically by deriving the discrete storage balance and associated stability guarantees of the learned predictor. Simulation and experimental studies demonstrate improved prediction accuracy, data efficiency, and closed-loop tracking over Koopman baselines, with increasing gains for higher-dimensional systems.
Rajpal Singh, Aditya Singh, Jishnu Keshavan
Sep 14, 2026cs.RO

Multi-Objective Agent-Based Model Predictive Controller for Plug-and-Play Vehicle Control

Functional integration is a growing trend in vehicle control, often involving the coordination of multiple controllers to achieve various objectives simultaneously. The need for flexibility and reliability has led to a "plug-and-play" approach in control system design, which presents challenges for traditional integrated model predictive control (MPC). Agent-based model predictive control (AMPC) has recently emerged as a distributed solution that treats controllers as agents, creating a collaborative framework among them to reach a common goal. However, this approach struggles to manage distributed conflicting objectives when agents are coupled or interdependent. To address this, we propose a novel, practical distributed control scheme called multi-objective AMPC, which adapts the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) into a general control strategy that approximates global optimization while decoupling objectives. We systematically develop three formulations that maintain convergence while addressing control regularization and inequality constraints, applying them to complex vehicle control systems for the first time. The proposed method has been tested on two vehicle control scenarios with a multi-objective topology. Different formulations are compared through simulations, and the most computationally efficient one was implemented on an electric vehicle for real-world evaluations. The results demonstrate that the proposed multi-objective AMPC can converge approximately to the same global optimum as integrated MPC with greater flexibility and the potential to reduce computational costs.
Jiaming Zhong, Ladan Khoshnevisan, Shucheng Huang +3
Sep 14, 2026math.OC

Towards Sustainable Hydrogen Systems: Supply Chain Optimization with Model Predictive Control and Reinforcement Learning

Hydrogen supply chains are expected to play a central role in future low-carbon energy systems by enabling renewable energy integration, long-duration storage, and decarbonization of industrial and transportation sectors. However, their operation is challenged by renewable generation variability, electricity price fluctuations, uncertain hydrogen demand, and engineering constraints associated with electrolyzers, energy storage, and grid interaction. As hydrogen infrastructure expands toward commercial deployment, operational strategies must balance economic performance, reliability, and sustainability under dynamic and uncertain conditions. This paper investigates and compares four control approaches for a renewable-powered hydrogen supply chain: a rule-based controller (RBC), model predictive control (MPC), reinforcement learning without forecasts (RL-NF), and reinforcement learning with forecast-augmented observations (RL-F). All methods are evaluated within a unified, physically realistic framework incorporating electrolyzer minimum-load and ramp-rate constraints, battery and hydrogen storage dynamics, grid import limits, and consistent economic assumptions, enabling a fair comparison under identical operating conditions. Simulation results show that MPC achieves the highest economic performance by exploiting short-term forecasts to coordinate storage, reduce grid dependence, and improve efficiency. RL-NF demonstrates robust and competitive performance without future information, highlighting the capability of learning-based methods to discover effective policies from experience. RL-F does not consistently outperform its no-forecast counterpart, suggesting that forecast uncertainty and increased state complexity can limit forecast-augmented learning. The results provide guidance for selecting operational control strategies in future hydrogen energy systems.
Mahammad Valiyev
Sep 14, 2026cs.RO

Battery-Aware Predictive Trajectory Planning and Control for Multirotors Under Disturbances

This paper presents a battery-aware predictive trajectory-planning and control framework for multirotors operating under spatially localized disturbances. Candidate trajectories are evaluated through closed-loop vehicle--motor--battery propagation, allowing disturbance-induced control demand, electrical energy, battery evolution, and terminal-voltage-dependent actuator capability to enter the planning process. % A reduced-order battery model is numerically benchmarked against an independently implemented Simscape equivalent-circuit reference, with a power NRMSE of 0.64%0.64\% and a cumulative-energy discrepancy below 0.7%0.7\%. % In a 150150-s, 640640-m mission containing three disturbance regions, the selected trajectory reduces electrical energy consumption by 7.46%7.46\% and position-tracking RMSE by approximately 72%72\% relative to the disturbance-aware fixed-reference baseline. % Planner ablations show that battery-dependent terms are nonbinding at nominal SOC but alter the selected trajectory under a depleted-battery stress condition. % Execution with multiple feedback controllers further demonstrates that controller selection changes the tradeoff among tracking accuracy, energy consumption, and actuator utilization. % The results demonstrate the benefit of accounting for predicted closed-loop energetic and battery--actuator consequences during trajectory selection.
Krishna Bhavithavya Kidambi
Sep 14, 2026cs.RO

A Data-Driven Distributed Control Scheme: Learning Multi-Objective Agent-Based MPC for Path-Tracking

Agent-based model predictive control (AMPC) has recently been proposed for vehicle systems with various controllers, such as differential braking and torque vectoring, where controllers are regarded as distributed agents contributing to the same objective. However, this scheme is challenging in handling multiple conflicting objectives with coupled agents. A common approach for such tasks is the integrated MPC, where all objectives and agents are stacked together in one optimization. Nevertheless, as more agents and objectives are involved, the integrated MPC will face challenges like computational burdens and maintenance difficulties in practice. To this end, this paper proposes a learning multi-objective AMPC that can improve design flexibility and computing efficiency. First, under the assumption of information exchange, a multi-objective AMPC tailored from the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) is proposed to decouple the system and achieve the same performance as the integrated scheme iteratively. Second, a learning-based method for initializing iterations is proposed to accelerate convergence. In addition, a data management method is proposed for real-time efficiency, and an authentication module is designed for learning reliability. We compare the proposed scheme against the integrated scheme via a combined path-tracking simulation for autonomous vehicles with various controllers. The proposed scheme achieves the same control performance as the integrated one while reducing the computational time by 43.5%. Furthermore, the learning-based method saves 88.6% more computational time than without learning, making it suitable for real-time implementation.
Jiaming Zhong, Reza Valiollahi Mehrizi, Yash Vardhan Pant +1
Sep 14, 2026cs.RO

Driving Context-guided Model Predictive Planning and Control for Autonomous Car Racing at the Limit and Beyond

This paper presents a Model Predictive Control-based motion planning and control pipeline for autonomous car racing capable of adapting to different driving contexts, such as overtaking, nominal driving, and countersteering. A Cost Blending state machine manages the identification of different driving contexts and the selection of their predefined weights to be applied to the Model Predictive Planning (MPP) and Control (MPC) modules. The two optimization-based solutions share the same problem formulation and model, differing only in horizon length, rate, tuning, and in their open-loop versus closed-loop approach to maximize the effectiveness of their interaction. The work is validated on the fully autonomous open-wheel racecar Superformula EAV-25, with a lap time achieved that is within 2% of the best human driver reference. The results demonstrate the capability of the solution in driving at the limit of handling, smoothly executing overtaking maneuvers, and quickly reacting to high oversteering conditions to recover the vehicle stability.
Ayoub Raji, Federico Sacco, Nicola Musiu +1
Sep 11, 2026eess.SY

Very Exciting: Zero-Shot Model Predictive Control of Buildings via Excitation-Based Generalized Transfer Learning Models

The widespread adoption of data-driven, energy-efficient model predictive control (MPC) in buildings remains hindered by substantial effort to collect data and train models for individual buildings. Transfer learning (TL) has consequently gained increasing attention for target building modeling, as it reduces data requirements and modeling effort by reusing pretrained source models. However, these TL models are typically evaluated only on prediction accuracy in the target, without testing downstream control performance. To address this gap, we apply a state-of-the-art TL approach - pretraining a generalized model on multiple source buildings using standard operational data - within an MPC setup in a target building. We show that this approach is insufficient to achieve satisfactory control performance. As a solution, we introduce generalized models pretrained on excitation-based operational source data - purposefully probed inputs that explore the building's state-action space. For evaluation, we apply the generalized models via zero-shot (i.e., without fine-tuning) to 32 simulated target buildings and assess MPC performance. Our results show that excitation-based generalized models achieve the strongest control performance among all benchmarks, outperforming an online linear model-based MPC and a PI controller by 6.4% and 36.9%, respectively. By combining strong control performance with the ability to generalize across multiple buildings, without requiring any target-specific data, our approach reduces MPC setup cost and simplifies its widespread deployment in the building sector.
Fabian Raisch, Felix Koch, Zack Xuereb Conti +2
Sep 11, 2026cs.RO

Contact-Aware Incremental Model Predictive Control for an Underactuated Aerial Manipulator

We present a robust contact-aware control framework for aerial writing on an underactuated platform. The framework combines nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) for accurate end-effector position and normal-force tracking at small reference penetration depths, with consistent performance across controller tunings, with whole-body incremental nonlinear dynamic inversion (INDI) for robustness to frictional and aerodynamic disturbances during contact. The proposed controllers are validated on a quadrotor-based aerial manipulator with a rigid, single-link, one-degree-of-freedom (DoF) arm in simulation and real-world experiments. The aerial writing experiments span vertical and inclined surfaces, multiple reference forces, different friction conditions, and wind disturbances. The results demonstrate that robust simultaneous five-DoF end-effector pose and contact-force tracking is achievable on a standard underactuated quadrotor with a simple, rigid, single-link arm, without requiring a fully actuated platform, a complex arm, or dedicated force/torque sensing.
Darwin Liu, Tamas Keviczky, Sihao Sun
Sep 11, 2026cs.RO

Learning Agent-based Model Predictive Control for Holistic Vehicle Performance

Agent-based model predictive control (AMPC) has recently been proposed as a distributed scheme that collaborates with all agents to achieve optimal holistic performance. However, its optimality highly depends on the prediction accuracy that requires all agents or their contributions to be known, which is too idealistic for actual implementation. This research proposes a novel practical hybrid control scheme - learning agent-based MPC (LAMPC), combining the model-based AMPC approach and data-based learning methods to improve the holistic vehicle performance for multi-agent systems. The Gaussian process regression (GPR) enhanced by an online data management strategy serves as the learning core to predict unknown contributions. A novel multi-step prediction mechanism leverages the GPR learning potential along the horizon. The predicted mean, representing the learned unknown contributions, completes the system model in the MPC for more accurate control. Meanwhile, a stochastic framework is formulated to guarantee control safety and feasibility using soft chance constraints based on the prediction variance. Both simulations and experiments show that, with the learning capability, LAMPC outperforms the traditional AMPC. LAMPC can achieve higher tracking performance in well-learned scenarios and always guarantee constraint satisfaction even in less-learned scenarios. Moreover, the proposed hybrid control scheme is efficient for real-time implementation and is flexible to any control agent topology.
Jiaming Zhong, Reza Valiollahi Mehrizi, Mohammad Pirani +4
Sep 8, 2026cs.RO

AccelMPC: High-Rate, Low-Power FPGA-Accelerated Model Predictive Control for Tiny Drones

Unlocking the potential of tiny aerial robots requires order of magnitude improvements in the performance of embedded edge control. In particular, although recent cached model predictive control (MPC) solvers can handle the fast system dynamics and complex constraints required for agile drone flight, their computational demands remain prohibitive for resource-constrained robots, forcing prior implementations to operate at reduced control rates. AccelMPC overcomes this challenge through an end-to-end co-design approach that jointly optimizes the solver algorithm, numerical representation, hardware mapping, and physical integration. AccelMPC pairs a co-designed FPGA-accelerated alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM)-based MPC solver with a custom 6g PCB, providing high-bandwidth communication for deployment on a 35g Crazyflie. Hardware experiments demonstrate 1 kHz onboard constrained MPC with dynamic obstacles, up to 15.6x faster solve times and 195.4x improvement in energy-delay product over state-of-the-art embedded microcontroller-based solvers, all while scaling to optimization problems with over 20,000 optimization variables and a comparable number of constraints. We release our PCB design files, firmware, and FPGA solver code open source.
Andrea Grillo, Brian Plancher
Sep 8, 2026cs.RO

Online, Reachability-Aware, Sampling-Based Motion Planning

Sampling-Based Model-Predictive Control (MPC) algorithms are a flexible class of controllers used for navigation on a wide range of robotic systems. Historically, such approaches have lacked hard safety guarantees, a shortcoming which we remedy in this work by computing guaranteed reachable-set overapproximations online with a fast, interval-based pipeline. We show that our method achieves similar performance to a state-of-the-art reachability-based planner without the need for the expensive pre-computation step, and can be scaled to systems that are infeasible using existing approaches. Finally, we demonstrate that our technique reduces safety violations by over 99% in a racing simulation and successfully controls a model racecar on real hardware experiments without crashes.
Brendan Gould, Zhiyuan Zhang, Panagiotis Tsiotras +1
Sep 8, 2026cs.RO

Model Predictive Control of Tensegrity Robots via Contact-Aware Graph Neural Dynamics Model

Tensegrity robots offer lightweight, compliant mobility over challenging terrain but remain difficult to model and control due to complex contact-rich dynamics and partial observability. This work presents a model predictive path integral (MPPI) controller for a three-bar tensegrity robot driven by a learned graph neural network (GNN) dynamics model. This work first extends prior GNN-based models with a differentiable contact detection module. The extension allows the dynamics model to reason over non-horizontal planar terrains, obstacles, as well as self-collisions. Then, the learned dynamics model and the MPPI controller operate in a closed data-collection loop, iteratively improving model accuracy and control performance. This work further introduces a hybrid MPPI strategy that combines MPPI with turning motion primitives to improve maneuverability. Experiments are performed in MuJoCo across five navigation tasks, which include, wall obstacles, inclines, narrow corridors, low-clearance structures, and a composite 3D obstacle course. The experiments demonstrate that the hybrid MPPI controller operating over the learned GNN dynamics model improves predictive accuracy over a flat-ground baseline model and achieves superior navigation performance compared to AA^*-based re-planning and MPPI-only variants. Results show that the contact-aware learned dynamics combined with the sampling-based model predictive control enable robust tensegrity navigation in complex, contact-rich environments.
Nelson Chen, Patrick Meng, Charles Tang +5
Sep 7, 2026cs.RO

Anti-Gravity Walking by a Flying Humanoid Robot via Thrust-Rate Input Whole-Body Model Predictive Control

Flying humanoids are expected to perform tasks in diverse environments, while their existing locomotion is mainly limited to aerial flight and ground walking. The capability to move in complex three-dimensional space can greatly expand their application range. For such walking motion on ceilings and similar anti-gravity environments, whole-body MPC is effective. However, the discontinuous changes in dynamic structure accompanying contact switching during walking can induce thrust spikes, resulting in control instability. Therefore, in this work, we propose and implement a real-time whole-body MPC framework for anti-gravity bipedal walking. First, we formulate whole-body MPC using the time derivative of thrust, namely thrust-rate, as the control input. This formulation guarantees continuity of the thrust trajectory during contact switching while preserving the sparse structure of the optimal control problem for fast computation. Second, we address the lack of natural support forces in anti-gravity environments. We introduce lower bounds on the foot-normal component of the contact force, and smoothly transfer them during the doublesupport phase. Finally, we implement the proposed framework and demonstrate anti-gravity walking by a flying humanoid through simulation and a hardware experiment. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first demonstration of multi-contact whole-body MPC for a transformable aerial robot and walking by a flying humanoid beyond the ground.
Kazuki Sugihara, Kei Okada
Sep 3, 2026cs.RO

Predictive Zonotope Reduction: Precise Runtime Monitoring under Uncertainty

Robots operating in physical environments make control decisions based on uncertain sensor measurements, which can lead to unsafe or suboptimal actions. Runtime monitors that check their behavior against safety specifications must represent this uncertainty soundly. Zonotopes are a widely used representation, but continuously incorporating new measurements grows their order unboundedly, so monitors must periodically apply an over-approximating reduction. The choice of the reduction method substantially affects the zonotope's precision, yet existing approaches typically utilize a fixed method throughout the run, even though the optimal choice depends on the current state. This paper presents a Predictive Zonotope Reduction (PZR) approach, which frames reducer selection as an optimal control problem and solves it using beam-search model predictive control. Policy distillation into a small neural policy further provides substantially higher execution speed than model predictive control while maintaining improved performance, enabling uncertainty-aware runtime monitoring on resource-constrained real-time systems. We implement our approach in the RLola runtime monitoring framework and evaluate it on a 5-degree-of-freedom robotic arm simulated in MuJoCo, with sensor uncertainty modeled according to ISO 5725. Experiments on a Raspberry Pi 5 show that dynamic reduction significantly lowers false-positive rates in monitoring compared with static reduction strategies.
Vladimir Krsmanovic, Florian Kohn, Bernd Finkbeiner +1
Sep 3, 2026cs.LG

Latent Energy Action Planning with World Models

Latent world models support efficient model predictive control from high-dimensional observations, yet optimizing a single learned latent objective can favor action sequences whose decoder-predicted terminal descriptor does not match the goal descriptor. We introduce Latent Energy Action Planning (LEAP), which treats the complete action horizon as a differentiable variable and optimizes it through a frozen LeWorldModel (LeWM). LEAP couples terminal latent goal matching with a terminal-window state energy. Low energy requires the predicted terminal latent to agree with the goal latent and the decoder-predicted terminal descriptor to agree with the goal descriptor. A frozen goal-conditioned proposal initializes the search, a quasi-Newton solver refines actions through the autoregressive rollout, and post-optimization projection enforces the admissible action range. Across four control domains using the officially released LeWM checkpoints, the complete LEAP planning system raises mean success from 77.5% for LeWM planned with the cross-entropy method (LeWM+CEM) to 94.8% under a matched protocol, a 17.3-percentage-point improvement, while retaining the frozen LeWM representation and predictor.
Phu Pham, Aniket Bera
Sep 2, 2026cs.RO

Koopman-Based Robust Model Predictive Control for Nonlinear Systems with Stochastic Intermittent Measurements

Intermittent state measurements pose fundamental challenges to model predictive control of constrained nonlinear systems because prediction uncertainty grows during feedback outages and measurement-triggered resets disrupt nominal state propagation, potentially compromising closed-loop stability and recursive feasibility. This paper develops a Koopman-based stochastic MPC framework with probabilistically truncated soft constraints. Specifically, a Lipschitz-constrained deep Koopman model provides a linear latent predictor, enabling computationally efficient online optimization. The intermittent measurement process is modeled as a two-mode discrete-time Markov chain, yielding a unified Markov jump error model for open-loop propagation and measurement-triggered resets. Under numerically verifiable sufficient conditions, the prediction error is shown to be mean-square ultimately bounded, and an explicit uniform second-moment bound is obtained. A distribution-free probabilistic error radius is then constructed for a prescribed confidence level and used to truncate dropout-dependent constraint tightening. An exact-penalty soft-constraint mechanism accommodates reset-induced jumps and prolonged dropouts. Under the stated terminal compatibility and bounded-disturbance conditions, recursive feasibility and mean-square ultimate boundedness of the closed-loop regulation error are established. Numerical simulations on a visual-servoing tracking task corroborate these theoretical results and demonstrate effective tracking under stochastic measurement unavailability.
Guanhua Liu, Tong Wu, Lixian Zhang +2
Sep 2, 2026cs.RO

Real-Time Dynamics-Based Torque-Sampling MPPI for Compliant and Force Aware Manipulation

This study proposes a novel Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI)-based task-space control framework. The proposed framework explicitly solves rigid-body dynamics within a real-time MPC formulation and enforces safety constraints, enabling accurate motion and force control that yields compliant behaviors for safe and effective physical interaction of robotic manipulators in unstructured environments. By leveraging MPPI, the proposed framework efficiently handles nonlinear dynamics that are difficult to solve with conventional MPC approaches in real-time. Furthermore, we develop a torque-sampling-based control architecture that enables efficient exploitation of GPU-based parallelization, resulting in effective compliant and force-aware behaviors. As a result, the proposed framework achieves a solver update rate of over 166 Hz with a 0.18 s prediction horizon, and its performance is validated through real-world experiments on a 7-DoF manipulator.
Euncheol Im, Taehyun Kim, Yonghwan Oh +2
Sep 1, 2026cs.RO

Accelerating Reinforcement Learning via MPC Solver-Gradient Guidance for Weights-varying MPC

In Model Predictive Control (MPC), cost-function weights shape closed-loop behavior, yet changing conditions often make fixed parametrizations suboptimal and motivate context-dependent online adaptation. Learning such policies is difficult because behavior depends implicitly on numerical MPC solutions, producing nonlinear, potentially nonsmooth, long-horizon dependencies on policy parameters. This creates a bias-variance tradeoff: Reinforcement Learning (RL) optimizes realized closed-loop return from environment samples but is sample-inefficient, whereas Gradient-Based Policy Learning (GB-PL) uses low-variance solver gradients from differentiable MPC to optimize surrogate losses on predicted trajectories but can be biased under model mismatch. We propose Solver-Gradient Guided Reinforcement Learning (SG-RL), a solver-sensitivity augmentation for RL-based online MPC cost-weight adaptation. SG-RL keeps sampled closed-loop return as the objective and uses bounded solver-derived gradients as auxiliary guidance to improve stability and sample efficiency. We instantiate SG-RL in Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) with four modular algorithms that inject solver-gradient guidance into actor-update scaling, policy loss, advantage estimation, and value-function learning. On two full-scale autonomous racing platforms with intentional model mismatch, SG-RL reaches PPO's best closed-loop return with up to 70.6% fewer samples, outperforms GB-PL baselines by at least 54% in closed-loop return, and generalizes zero-shot to unseen environments.
Baha Zarrouki, Arslan Thobani, Jasper Hoffmann +6
Sep 1, 2026cs.RO

ProxPI: Proximal Prior Injection for Sampling-Based MPC under Learned-Prior Mismatch

Combining learned policies with model predictive control can leverage learned task priors while retaining online adaptation to new objectives and constraints, but performance degrades when the policy is out of distribution. In policy-guided model predictive path integral (MPPI) control, a policy-centered warm-start approach centers the sampling distribution on the policy output. When the prior is mismatched, centering the sampling distribution on the policy output restricts exploration around an unsuitable solution and prevents recovery toward the task optimum. We propose Proximal Prior Injection (ProxPI), which retains nominal-centered MPPI sampling and incorporates the policy through a soft proximity cost. This matches the in-distribution performance of existing prior-injection schemes while enabling the optimizer to escape an inaccurate policy and recover vanilla MPPI-level performance. We theoretically show that re-centering on the prior discards the optimizer's correction at every update, whereas nominal-centered sampling retains it and converges to a solution set by both the task cost and the prior, and that this failure is not removed by a larger rollout budget. Simulations and real-robot experiments demonstrate robust performance under both in-distribution and out-of-distribution tasks.
Euncheol Im, Myotaeg Lim, Yisoo Lee
Aug 31, 2026cs.RO

SUN: Persistent Programs For Language-Grounded Control-to-Learning-to-Real Policies

Bridging model-based control and learned policies in long-horizon manipulation has harbored a silent disagreement: control executes specified objectives, learning amortizes that behavior into a reactive policy, yet existing protocols discard task semantics, leaving rewards hand-crafted and behavior drifting from what control verified.We introduce Semantically UNified (SUN) Programs, typed executables where geometric and contact relations are defined once and compiled into aligned Model Predictive Control (MPC) costs, satisfaction predicates, RL rewards, transition guards, and diagnostics. Our system, Kuafu, driven by large vision language systems, automatically synthesizes SUN Programs from language and scene semantics, screens feasibility via MPC, and retains semantics while training stage-conditioned policies. Across nine tasks, Kuafu achieves 82.03% macro-success, outperforming sparse-reward (35.67%) and Stage-BC (24.75%) baselines. At 8192-way scale, it generates 10.57x the successful trajectory time per hour of human teleoperation. With 500 trajectories per task, Kuafu data trains DP3 policies to 46.0% simulation success (vs. 22.4% for alternatives) and 34.7% on physical Franka and Kinova robots. These results establish that simulation-screened task semantics can effectively amortize control into robust policies, without demonstrations or manual dense rewards, unifying symbolic planning and data-driven execution.
Weiqi Wang, Zhi Li, Yudong Lei +7
Aug 31, 2026math.OC

Provably Safe Decentralized Contingency MPC under State-Only Information and Limited Sensing for Nonlinear Multi-agent Systems

This paper considers decentralized contingency MPC for multi-agent control under a state-only information pattern, with particular focus on limited sensing and plug-and-play operation. The objective is to retain recursive feasibility, safety, and Lyapunov-type convergence while reducing conservatism in local interaction handling. The framework relies on agent-wise fallback regions (safe sets) in which a feasible contingency maneuver to a safe equilibrium is always available. A novel safe-set update mechanism is introduced that supports less conservative decentralized interaction while preserving the underlying guarantees. This, in turn, enables memory-free local interaction and finite sensing ranges without requiring agents to reconstruct the exact neighbor geometry. The resulting scheme remains fully decentralized and preserves the shared-first-input contingency MPC structure. Theoretical guarantees and simulation results illustrate the effectiveness of the approach in dense multi-agent scenarios.
Max Studt, Georg Schildbach
Aug 31, 2026cs.RO

A Hybrid PEM-GP Framework for Uncertainty-Aware System Identification of Quadcopters

Accurate dynamic models play a central role in achieving reliable control of quadcopters. Classical system identification methods remain widely used, mainly because of their interpretability. However, they often fail to capture important nonlinear effects, especially in small-scale aerial platforms where such effects become more pronounced. Data-driven approaches offer a different perspective. They can represent complex nonlinear dynamics more effectively, but this comes at the cost of reduced interpretability and the absence of well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. In this work, we propose a framework that combines physics-based modeling with data-driven learning, while explicitly accounting for uncertainty. A physics-based model is first identified using the Prediction Error Method (PEM), which captures the main structure of the system. The remaining dynamics are then modeled using a Gaussian Process (GP), allowing the residual behavior to be learned directly from data. This separation makes it possible to distinguish between known physical effects and unmodeled dynamics. The proposed framework is validated on a Duckiedrone-like experimental setup. The results show that the PEM-GP model achieves prediction accuracy comparable to that of a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network, while additionally providing calibrated uncertainty estimates. This combination improves model reliability and supports uncertainty-aware decision-making.
Abdallah Ghoul, Ismail Khalil Bousserhane, Kadri Boufeldja
Aug 31, 2026cs.CE

The PUR-1 Cyber-Physical Digital Twin

Digital twin technologies have the potential to improve operational flexibility and responsiveness capabilities of nuclear systems. To provide decision support, cyber event characterization, state estimation, predictive control, and real-time dynamic processing of operational data, however, an efficient digital twin needs to integrate multiple models (data-driven as well as physics-based) with explainability while at the same time maintain two-way synchronization with the physical facility at a time constant less than its operational cycle. In this work, we present the Purdue University Reactor One Digital Twin (PUR-1 DT), a cyber-physical digital twin with a complete high-fidelity physics-based and AI-driven virtual model stack (neutronics, thermal-hydraulics, point kinetics) which provides closed-loop explainable diagnostics, forecasting, predictive control, and action recommendation back to the reactor via two-way communications and a cyber-physical testbed. We demonstrate real-time synchronized state estimation and short-term forecasting over a full reactor operational cycle and conduct a series of benchmarking experiments to validate accuracy and latency. Our results show good agreement with experimental results and lay the groundwork for further development and experimental demonstration of DT-enabled functionalities in real-world facilities.
Vasileios Theos, Jonah Lau, Konstantinos Gkouliaras +7
Aug 27, 2026cs.AI

A Multi-Modal AI Framework for Real-Time Queue Prediction, Management and Optimisation in Intelligent Border Control Systems

In the present work an efficient border control management procedure is proposed. Compared to operational queue management systems, whose operations are based on mostly static data, the proposed work takes into account dynamic traffic conditions, thus enabling optimal performance, even in cases of uncertainty. To this end, we are proposing a multi-modal Artificial Intelligence (AI) framework, tailored to th needs of border control systems, which enables real-time queue prediction, management, and resource optimization. The novel proposed approach integrates heterogeneous data sources and presents them through a unified representation by employing Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks for queue forecasting. Furthermore, it leverages Model Predictive Control (MPC) and scheduling optimization to derive actionable control policies, which in turn can be presented to border control officers. The proposed work has been evaluated using synthetic data simulating realistic traffic. The evaluation results demonstrate that the proposed method reduces queue prediction error by up to 35% and average waiting time by 30%. Accordingly, the average throughput increases by nearly 20%, compared to ARIMA and rule-based methods. The abovementioned results show the effectiveness and efficiency of combining AI architectures with optimization techniques for proactive and adaptive border traffic management.
Varvara Mama, Eleni Veroni, Nikolaos Kapsalis +2
Aug 19, 2026cs.RO

Real-Time Control-Constrained DDP for Underactuated Balancing of Legged Robots

This paper presents a real-time control-constrained Differential Dynamic Programming (DDP) framework for underactuated legged robots. To address the limitation of classical DDP in handling control constraints, we propose an Accelerated Projected Gradient (APG)-based control-constrained DDP (ABC-DDP), which efficiently computes constrained solutions and identifies active sets without repeated Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) inversions. A virtual constraint is introduced to integrate control constraints within a feasibility-driven multiple-shooting framework, enabling stable optimization even from dynamically infeasible initializations. The proposed method supports real-time model predictive control (MPC) with short horizons under strong underactuation. Simulation results demonstrate static two-leg standing under external disturbances, along with diverse dynamic motions including slow catwalk, upright walking, and high-speed running within a unified MPC framework. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first demonstration of static two-leg standing of a quadruped robot achieved using real-time finite-horizon MPC.
SeongWon Nam, Hyunyong Lee, Hansol Kang +5
Aug 12, 2026cs.RO

Learning Loco-Manipulation From SMPC Demonstrations With Sparse Offline-to-Online RL

Integrating locomotion and manipulation is essential for robot autonomy, but scaling standard Reinforcement Learning (RL) to complex tasks is severely bottlenecked by the slow, manual process of dense reward shaping. To bypass this limitation, we leverage Sample-based Model Predictive Control (SMPC) entirely in simulation as an automated, rapidly tunable expert to generate massive offline datasets. Because this data solves the fundamental exploration problem, we can train an off-policy RL agent using purely sparse task rewards, drastically reducing the time required to learn new skills and eliminating the need for manual tuning. Integrating this high-level agent with a low-level dynamic stability controller yields more optimal behaviors that strictly align with true task objectives, ultimately allowing the learned policies to surpass the original optimal control teacher. We validate the robustness of this sim-to-real framework by successfully deploying complex loco-manipulation skills across different morphologies, including an arm-equipped Spot quadruped and a G1 humanoid.
Martin Schuck, Maks Sorokin, Simone Manni +5
Aug 11, 2026cs.RO

Dual Stress: Runtime Safety Monitoring for Safety-Constrained MPC Navigation

Runtime hazard monitors for autonomous naviga- tion are conventionally built from geometric quantities: predicted clearance, time to collision, and required deceleration. A model-predictive controller that enforces safety through explicit con- straints computes, as a by-product of every control step, a second information channel that such monitors ignore: the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker multipliers of its constrained optimization, which measure the marginal control effort spent to maintain safety against each obstacle. This paper evaluates whether a horizon-weighted sum of those multipliers, a dual stress signal, provides a hazard monitor complementary to the geometric warnings the same state already supports. We compare it against a battery of fifteen geometric detectors tuned to a matched false-alarm budget, on preregistered held-out crossing scenarios driven through a physics simulator. The stress alarm actionably flags 4.7 times as many collisions missed by the entire geometric battery as the geometric battery flags in return (85 versus 18); combined, the two channels warn of three quarters of the collisions for which braking remained feasible, against under half for the geometric battery alone.
Jamil Chahine, Wenqi Cai, John Abanes +1
Aug 11, 2026cs.RO

Nonlinear Model Predictive Control via Sequential Convex Programming for Drone-to-Drone Docking

Autonomous mid-air docking of multi-rotor vehicles under disturbance-driven target motion poses a constrained non-linear trajectory optimization challenge. This work formulates the docking task as a finite-horizon optimal control problem based on a reduced-order nonlinear model augmented with disturbance states. The resulting problem is solved using sequential convex programming within a receding-horizon framework to generate dynamically feasible docking trajectories. State estimation with noisy measurements is incorporated to enable robust relative motion prediction, while trajectory execution is validated in a high-fidelity rigid-body MuJoCo simulation environment. The proposed framework is evaluated for stationary and constant-velocity target motions, demonstrating reliable convergence to the docking interface while satisfying geometric capture constraints. Quantitatively, the method maintains negligible docking-cone violations and terminal state errors within prescribed tolerances, and achieves consistent, safe docking performance for cone half-angles as low as 10 degrees. Robust operation is observed for wind disturbance levels up to a standard deviation of 0.5, while preserving bounded approach velocities and stable control effort. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the SCP-based trajectory optimization framework for disturbance-robust aerial docking under estimation uncertainty.
Neeraj Balachandar, Shriram Hari, Vishnu R. Unni
Aug 11, 2026cs.RO

A Neural Network Based Teleoperation for Remote Controlled Vehicles

Direct teleoperation of vehicles faces critical technical bottlenecks: communication latency and the operator's inability to physically perceive unmodeled environmental disturbances (e.g., aerodynamic drag, bank angles) coupled with highly nonlinear tire-road dynamics. To address these challenges, we propose a tailored unilateral teleoperation framework. The system integrates the Wave Variable (WV) approach to passively guarantee stability under stochastic delays, and an adaptive Radial Basis Function Network (RBFN) to actively compensate for vehicle-specific uncertainties. Unlike existing WV-neural network architectures designed for bilateral robotic arms, our framework features decoupled adaptive laws specifically designed for vehicle longitudinal and lateral dynamics. Furthermore, compared to model-heavy predictive controllers, the model-free RBFN offers rapid online adaptation without heavy computational overhead. Building upon our preliminary theoretical formulation, this brief paper presents comprehensive comparative analyses and real-world hardware validations. Simulation benchmarks against PID, LQR, MPC, and NMPC demonstrate that the RBFN achieves superior robustness against unmodeled disturbances while requiring orders of magnitude less execution time than MPC and NMPC, making it ideal for resource-constrained vehicle edge computing. Finally, hardware-in-the-loop experiments using a 1/10th scale vehicle over a 4G network validate the system's practical feasibility, safety, and robust trajectory tracking under physical road uncertainties.
Ning Ding, Azim Eskandarian
Aug 11, 2026eess.SY

Topological Feasibility Guarantees for Differentiable Predictive Control

Differentiable predictive control (DPC), a self-supervised learning approach for approximating explicit model predictive control (MPC) policies, offers significant computational advantages over online optimization-based MPC. However, feasibility guarantees, a core requirement for safe control, are currently provided either probabilistically or via online safety filters. The lack of rigorous feasibility guarantees for offline policy optimization remains an open problem. This paper establishes deterministic feasibility guarantees for DPC using a novel topological analysis of the induced reachable safe set, without requiring online safety filters. By exploiting the inherent model-based nature of DPC, in which differentiable system dynamics are embedded directly into the computational graph, we analyze the properties of the learned control policies and the corresponding system states from topological and geometric perspectives. Inspired by our theoretical analysis, we propose a novel self-supervised offline policy learning strategy that utilizes a proxy loss with Control Barrier Functions (CBFs). Crucially, these properties not only significantly improve policy training but also enable the derivation of strict, deterministic feasibility guarantees from a finite number of training samples. Extensive closed-loop simulations validate our theoretical findings, demonstrating that the empirical constraint violations monotonically decrease to zero as the training sample size increases. Ultimately, this work illustrates that DPC policy optimization yields formal safety certificates that are structurally unattainable with conventional black-box methods, e.g., reinforcement learning (RL) or supervised learning-based approximate MPC, thereby providing a new perspective on feasibility guarantees in learning-based control.
Guangyu Wu, Ján Drgoňa
Aug 10, 2026cs.RO

Predictive safety filter enhanced curriculum learning control for efficient vehicle dynamics controller

Recent advances in learning-based control have enabled impressive achievements in solving complex control problems in various domains. However, since learning-based control may not be able to realize safety-guaranties, it is of great importance to enhance safety and robustness while maintaining good performances. Take vehicle motion & dynamics control as an example, in order to overcome the pain points of traditional methods such as heavy parameter calibration effort and learning-based control to bring better performance and efficiency in stability & agility over prior work for state-based vehicle control tasks, in this work, our method aims to develop a curriculum learning controller enhanced with physics-based predictive safety filter. The validation is conducted with the Python-CarSim platform, demonstrating better improvements and scalability under various maneuvers.
Baocong Zhang, Siliang Lu, Chenyang Li
Aug 10, 2026cs.RO

Nonlinear Model Predictive Control of a Robotic Soft Esophagus

Strictures caused by esophageal cancer can narrow down the esophageal lumen, leading to dysphagia. Palliation of dysphagia has driven the development of a Robotic Soft Esophagus (RoSE), which provides a novel in vitro platform for esophageal stent testing and food viscosity studies. In RoSE, peristaltic wave generation and control were done in an open-loop manner since the conduit lacked visibility and embedded sensing capability. Hence, in this work, RoSE version 2.0 (RoSEv2.0) is designed with embedded Time Of Flight (TOF) and pressure sensors to measure conduit displacement and air pressure, respectively, for modeling and control. Model Predictive Control (MPC) of RoSEv2.0 is implemented to govern the peristalsis and air pressure profile autonomously. The implemented MPC used Sparse Identification Nonlinear Dynamics with Control (SINDYC) models to estimate the future states of ROSEv2.0. The dynamic models are discovered from the TOF and pressure sensor data. Peristalsis waves of speed 20 mm/s, wavelength 75 mm, and amplitudes 5, 7.5, and 10 mm were successfully generated by the MPC. Additionally, RoSEv2.0 with the MPC was employed to perform stent migration testing with various food bolus consistencies. The major contribution claimed in this paper is the application of SINDYC-based MPC to solve the closed-loop control problem of RoSE for achieving desired peristaltic waves.
Dipankar Bhattacharya, Ryman Hashem, Leo K. Cheng +1
Aug 10, 2026cs.AI

Control-Oriented Scenario Tree Construction through Reinforcement Learning

Multistage stochastic model predictive control (MPC) handles uncertainty by optimizing over a scenario tree, a finite branching approximation of future outcomes constructed from sampled forecasts. To build such a tree, conventional methods focus on matching the underlying probability distribution---e.g., via Wasserstein-based scenario reduction---but improved distributional accuracy does not necessarily yield better control performance. We propose a control-oriented approach that learns scenario tree construction directly from its impact on downstream decisions. Fixing the tree topology, we formulate tree construction as a sequential assignment of sampled scenarios to leaves. This assignment is parameterized by an attention-based policy over the scenario set and trained using reinforcement learning, with closed-loop control profit as the objective. Training is stabilized by an asymmetric critic that leverages realized future trajectories. We evaluate the method on a risk-averse battery arbitrage problem. Across a range of forecast set sizes, the learned construction consistently achieves the highest profit, outperforming classical forward and backward reduction methods and certainty-equivalent (single-trajectory forecast) control. The learned policy also exhibits greater robustness on challenging instances, consistently demonstrating better tail-risk characteristics. Analysis of the resulting trees indicates that our method constructs compact, selectively branching structures that capture high-impact events while keeping most trajectories nearly deterministic. These findings highlight that the value of a scenario tree depends critically on the decisions it supports, and provide an effective framework to train scenario tree constructors merely based on the closed-loop control optimization signal.
Fabio Pavirani, Bert Claessens, Pierre Pinson +1
Aug 10, 2026eess.SY

Real-Time Nonlinear MPC via Sequential Quadratic Programming with Structure-Exploiting ADMM and Interior-Point Methods for Underactuated Double-Pendulum Swing-Up

The 4th "AI Olympics with RealAIGym" competition, to be held at IJCAI-ECAI 2026 in Bremen, challenges participants to develop a global control policy for swinging up and stabilizing an underactuated two-link system in its upright position. In contrast to previous editions, participants develop and evaluate their control strategies directly on remotely accessible CloudPendulum hardware, with limited interaction time and without prior knowledge of the system's model parameters. This paper presents an optimal-control-based approach employing real-time nonlinear model predictive control implemented using sequential quadratic programming. The results demonstrate that the proposed SQP-based MPC controller achieves reliable swing-up and stabilization performance, while maintaining robustness against disturbances.
Nick Karydakis, Konstantinos Chatzilygeroudis
Aug 7, 2026cs.RO

CoCoNav: Conformal Control for Safe Robot Navigation in Crowds

Safe and efficient robot navigation in crowds requires anticipating pedestrian motion despite uncertain and potentially shifting prediction errors. Existing reactive methods can produce oscillatory behavior, while predictive planners often treat forecasts as exact or rely on restrictive error models. Incorporating conservative uncertainty sets as hard constraints can also render model predictive control (MPC) infeasible. We propose \textit{CoCoNav}, a crowd-navigation framework that combines online conformal calibration with runtime-certified planning. A horizon-specific conformal proportional--integral controller adapts trajectory-error bounds to regulate long-run empirical coverage, enabling the framework to respond to changing prediction errors. A \textit{relax-then-verify} planner preserves solver feasibility by generating nominal trajectories with soft-constrained MPC and separately certifying them, together with contingency maneuvers, against the calibrated bounds before execution. Simulations and quadruped experiments show that CoCoNav achieves a favorable balance among collision avoidance, task success, and navigation efficiency relative to the evaluated baselines.
Cheng Guo, Mingzhe Ni, Zheng Liang +5
Aug 6, 2026cs.LG

Neuro-Symbolic Closed-Loop Control of Laser Powder Bed Fusion with an In-Loop Ontology

A geometry-conditioned, neuro-symbolic closed-loop architecture is proposed for laser powder bed fusion, in which a standards-aligned ontology operates inside the control loop and couples symbolic reasoning with statistical learning to set the targets of a constraint-aware predictive controller. The ontology links the process objectives and constraints to the signals a controller can observe, and a description-logic reasoner converts them into the references and bounds enforced on each scan. The demonstrated case is overhang dross, a quality limit on the melt pool depth, which governs quality yet cannot be measured during the build, is mapped through a geometry- and power-dependent depth-to-width ratio onto a bound on the observable width, with the ratio and its calibrated uncertainty supplied by a Gaussian process. The reasoner classifies each upcoming feature and selects the active constraints-adding a lack-of-fusion floor at overhangs, a monotone guard beyond the calibrated range, and an energy-density cap where a process window is declared while running only on changes of geometric context and otherwise leaving a single small quadratic program on the per-scan path. In an Eagar-Tsai surrogate calibrated to the NIST AM-Bench benchmark for IN625, the architecture eliminates the dross produced by a geometry-blind controller, holds dross at zero with only a small residual lack-of-fusion under dual scoring, degrades gracefully under deliberate plant mismatch, and retargets to new alloys and constraints by editing ontology data rather than code. The results establish architectural feasibility, experimental calibration of the ratio is the principal next step.
Gisuk Hong, Jaebong Cho, Hyunbo Cho
Aug 5, 2026cs.LG

Beyond Linear Dynamics: Neural Bilinear Dynamical Models for Time Series Forecasting

Time series in real-world applications are often generated by nonlinear dynamical systems, making accurate forecasting challenging. Existing approaches that explicitly model system dynamics typically rely on linear assumptions or Koopman-based linearizations, which may inadequately capture complex nonlinear behaviors and lead to error accumulation in long-horizon prediction. To address this limitation, we propose the Neural Bilinear Dynamical Model (NBDM), which models nonlinear system dynamics through a bilinear latent dynamical formulation. Specifically, NBDM leverages Koopman theory to lift the original nonlinear dynamics into a higher-dimensional latent space, where a bilinear dynamical model is constructed to characterize state evolution. To mitigate the approximation error introduced by bilinear representations, we further incorporate a parameterized error compensation term. Within this formulation, control inputs are explicitly integrated into the dynamics, using auxiliary variables when available and learned feedback signals otherwise. To handle scenarios with missing control inputs, we design a memory-enhanced controller that infers latent controls through multiplicative interactions between historical states and control signals. Experiments on five real-world datasets demonstrate that NBDM consistently outperforms competitive baselines in both given-control and missing-control settings, particularly for multi-step and long-horizon forecasting.
Mengzhou Gao, Huangqian Yu, Pengfei Jiao
Aug 4, 2026cs.RO

CUDA MPC: A GPU-Native Solver for Model Predictive Control

Model Predictive Control (MPC) delivers constraint-aware control, but its reliance on online optimization limits its use on systems with fast dynamics, high-dimensional models, or long horizons. Existing GPU implementations typically treat the device as a linear-algebra accelerator, leaving the optimization loop dependent on repeated kernel launches and high-latency memory transfers. This paper introduces CUDA MPC, a GPU-native MPC framework that co-designs the optimization algorithm, execution model, and memory architecture for CUDA hardware. CUDA MPC pairs a parallel-in-horizon alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM) splitting with a fused CUDA kernel that runs the entire iterative solve on the device. Intermediate optimization variables stay in low-latency, on-chip shared memory, and a localized atomic-flag protocol synchronizes only adjacent horizon blocks, minimizing host intervention, kernel-dispatch overhead, and global-memory traffic. Across six nonlinear robotics benchmarks spanning increasing state dimension and constraint density, CUDA MPC sustains real-time rates at horizons one to two orders of magnitude longer than CPU solvers: it solves an optimization-based collision-avoidance parking problem with 100 s of lookahead within a 0.1 s sampling interval, and is the only solver evaluated that achieves both real-time execution and collision-free coordination for a centralized 10-agent swarm, where acados and CasADi return no feasible solution and require 3.5 s and 4.5 s per solve. Against tensor-framework implementations of the same ADMM splitting, the fused kernel is up to 965×965\times faster.
Babak Akbari, Melissa Greeff
Aug 2, 2026math.OC

Rake-Compress Riccati Recursions for Parallel Scenario-Tree Model Predictive Control

Scenario-tree model predictive control (MPC) represents future information by a rooted tree and optimizes a nonanticipative policy over that tree. Numerical methods for solving the resulting nonlinear program typically compute their search directions through a sequence of branched linear-quadratic regulator (LQR) subproblems. The standard tree Riccati recursion requires linear work but has a dependency chain proportional to tree height. We present an algebraically exact parallel solver based on rake-compress tree contraction. After independent local control condensation, its two operations act on node and edge data that represent conditional quadratic functions. A rake eliminates a leaf and its parent edge, adding their reduced contribution to the parent-node data. A compress eliminates a unary node and replaces its two adjacent edges by one edge, using the same conditional-value composition as parallel Riccati methods on a chain. Together they contract an arbitrary rooted tree to its root; reversing the contraction recovers every Riccati coefficient, state, control, and multiplier. Given a reusable topology plan, a solve with NN nodes and fixed state and control dimensions has O(N)O(N) arithmetic work and storage and O(logN)O(\log N) span, independently of tree height, balance, and maximum out-degree. The formulation allows positive-semidefinite dual regularization, including the unregularized case, and an exact linear-size lifting covers the standard scenario-MPC convention of one control per information node. We prove the contraction identities and equivalence to the Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) system. Three MIT-licensed JAX packages implement the bidirectional contraction, the dual-regularized LQR solver, and a user-facing primal-dual interior-point solver for tree-structured optimal control.
João Sousa-Pinto
Aug 2, 2026math.OC

Learning-Based Stochastic Optimal Control with Infinite-Horizon Probabilistic Constraints

In this paper, we consider stochastic optimal control problems with infinite-horizon joint chance constraints. By means of an appropriate state augmentation, we reformulate the original problem as a constrained Markov decision process, in which both the cost and the constraint function exhibit an additive structure. We then prove that this formulation enjoys strong duality, thereby enabling us to reformulate the problem as an equivalent unconstrained one in the Lagrange dual framework. We propose a dual-ascent algorithm to solve the resulting problem and show that it converges to a deterministic Markov policy defined over the augmented state space that is both optimal and feasible. To accommodate continuous state-input spaces, we propose a dedicated learning algorithm to approximate the value function in an offline training setting, thereby significantly reducing the computational complexity of the online control phase. We then test our approach on a numerical example and demonstrate its effectiveness compared to online predictive control methods in terms of performance and computational complexity.
Francesco Cordiano, Kanghui He, Bart De Schutter
Jul 31, 2026cs.RO

Motion Planning for Mobile Manipulators Navigating Doorways via Model Predictive Control

Navigating doorways is a fundamental capability for mobile manipulators operating in human environments, requiring coordinated motion between the mobile base and manipulator arm. This paper presents a motion planning framework that generates dynamically feasible and collision-free trajectories for autonomously opening and traversing both push and pull doors. The proposed method formulates the robot and door as a coupled dynamical system within a nonlinear Model Predictive Control (MPC) optimization framework. Manipulation feasibility is enforced through a penalty-based constraint, avoiding explicit arm kinematic modeling in the planner. Simulations and a hardware experiment demonstrate that the approach successfully plans feasible trajectories for door traversal.
Kasra Sinaei, Kasun Weerakoon, Christopher Bradley +2
Jul 29, 2026cs.RO

Self-Adaptive Learning and Model Predictive Control for Tracking Unknown Dynamics with No Regret

We propose a self-adaptive online learning for control method for tracking unknown target dynamics. The target dynamics can exhibit switching behavior, particularly, a mixture of structured, random, and/or adversarial motion. Such challenging target tracking scenarios arise in applications of dynamic mapping, traffic control, and pursuit evasion, where robots need to track, pursue, or avoid collision with moving landmarks, objects, humans, etc., whose dynamics are unknown. Our method simultaneously learns multiple predictors from scratch, via self-supervised, one-shot, and computationally efficient learning, and adaptively selects the best one to match the observed target behavior. The method enjoys finite-time near-optimality guarantees in expectation, characterized as a function of the learning error of the target dynamics and the frequency that the target dynamics switch. In the absence of both error and switching, the method asymptotically matches the optimal non-causal control policy that knows a priori the target dynamics, i.e., the method enjoys no regret in expectation. In the presence of learning errors and switching, the method degrades gracefully, \eg when there are errors and no switching, the average regret is proportional to the average learning error and switching times. To prove these guarantees, a novel technical approach is required compared to the existing works that employ RFF-based online learning. We validate our method in Crazyflie simulations and hardware experiments, across target trajectories that vary from structured to random to adversarial, in comparison to non-stochastic, kernel-based, and neural-network-based methods for online learning.
Atharva Navsalkar, Hongyu Zhou, Vasileios Tzoumas
Jul 28, 2026cs.LG

MetaKoopman: Bayesian Meta-Learning of Koopman Operators for Modeling Structured Dynamics under Distribution Shifts

Modeling and forecasting nonlinear dynamics under distribution shifts is essential for robust decision-making in real-world systems. In this work, we propose MetaKoopman, a Bayesian meta-learning framework for modeling nonlinear dynamics through linear latent representations. MetaKoopman learns a Matrix Normal-Inverse Wishart (MNIW) prior over the Koopman operator, enabling closed-form Bayesian updates conditioned on recent trajectory segments. Moreover, it provides a closed-form posterior predictive distribution over future state trajectories, capturing both epistemic and aleatoric uncertainty in the learned dynamics. We evaluate MetaKoopman on a full-scale autonomous truck and trailer system across a wide range of adverse winter scenarios, including snow, ice, and mixed-friction conditions, as well as in simulated control tasks with diverse distribution shifts. MetaKoopman consistently outperforms prior approaches in multi-step prediction accuracy, uncertainty calibration, and robustness to distributional shifts. Field experiments further demonstrate its effectiveness in dynamically feasible motion planning, particularly during evasive maneuvers and operation at the limits of traction. Project website: https://mahmoud-selim.github.io/MetaKoopman/
Mahmoud Selim, Sriharsha Bhat, Karl H. Johansson
Jul 28, 2026cs.CL

Temporal-Distance JEPA: Plan-Aware Representation Learning for Latent World Model Predictive Control

Joint-Embedding Predictive Architectures (JEPAs) learn world models by predicting in representation space rather than reconstructing pixels, making them a natural backbone for latent model predictive control from offline demonstration logs. JEPA-style training optimizes short-horizon latent prediction, whereas planning requires a multi-step ranking of imagined futures by goal progress. Prior JEPA planners often inherit that ranking from embedding geometry, typically latent Euclidean distance, which arises as a byproduct of representation learning rather than as a progress cost mined from the logs. We propose Temporal-Distance-JEPA, which retains the LeWM encoder--predictor backbone and mines a directed temporal cost from reward-free trajectories: same-trajectory step order supplies positive targets, cross-trajectory pairs act as heuristic negatives, and a rollout-consistency term matches the planner horizon. The mined supervision serves two roles: as the deployed planning cost when progress is topological, and as a representation signal that improves Euclidean planning when contact geometry dominates. Under locked evaluation, deploying the mined cost raises Two-Room success to 100.0% versus LeWM's 97.4%, while shared Euclidean planning on the same temporally trained checkpoint raises OGB-Cube by 14.2 points over LeWM and improves Push-T. Against LeWM and the concurrent RC-aux baseline under locked evaluation, Temporal-Distance-JEPA matches or exceeds both methods on every environment. Ablations show that the directed head, cross-trajectory negatives, and rollout consistency each contribute. Temporal-Distance-JEPA narrows the train--plan gap for JEPA world-model planners by discovering temporal progress structure in offline logs and co-designing cost form with plan-time deployment. Code is available at https://github.com/HKBU-KnowComp/Temporal-Distance-JEPA.
Jiaxin Bai, Jiaxuan Xiong
Jul 27, 2026cs.RO

Amortising Trajectory Optimisation for Residual MPC via Implicit Contact Differentiation

Differentiable simulation can accelerate contact-rich trajectory optimisation by exposing local sensitivities of task outcomes to controls. Existing approaches either use finite differences, which are expensive and step-size sensitive; differentiate iterative contact solvers by unrolling automatic differentiation (AD), which stores a growing computation trace; or require intricate, solver-specific KKT sensitivity derivations. We introduce an AD-assisted implicit derivative for regularised smooth contacts and apply it to Mujoco MJX, based on the Implicit Function Theorem (IFT). The method differentiates the stationarity residual at the tolerance-converged solution, avoiding both solver unrolling and hand-assembled KKT systems. IFT keeps compiled temporary memory nearly constant with solver effort, changing by less than 4%\% from one to ten iterations versus 10.6×\times growth for unrolled AD. IFT memory grows slower with active contacts and model dimension, using 20×\times less memory at 256 contacts and 6×\times less at 16 contacts and 96 DoF. We further introduce optimiser distillation for residual MPC, amortising batched full-horizon iLQR into a policy that guides short-horizon residual iLQR. Across Finger, Franka, and Unitree, this raises six-step success by 28-98 percentage points over standard iLQR.
Daniel Layeghi, Thomas Corbères, Calum Arnott +4
Jul 27, 2026physics.flu-dyn

The balance between compactness and forecast accuracy of data-driven latent-space reduced-order models in controlled wake flows

Model-based active flow control requires predictive models that are accurate, stable, and fast enough for real-time optimisation. In controlled wake flows, this is often achieved through Reduced-Order Models (ROMs) that first compress high-dimensional velocity snapshots into a latent space and then learn a time- stepping predictor for the dynamics in the latent space. Here, we study how the choice of the spatial encoder affects the predictability of the resulting latent coordinates for wake flows under control inputs. Using two actuated 2D wake configurations, a simplified truck wake and the fluidic pinball, we compare Proper Orthogonal Decomposition (POD) against nonlinear Convolutional Autoencoders (CAEs) and two types of variational autoencoders for compression, and evaluate several temporal predictors based on Long Short-Term Memory networks. CAEs achieve higher compression efficiency and sharper short-term reconstructions, but they produce latent dynamics that are more irregular and with broadband spectral content. As a consequence, long-horizon forecasts degrade faster and show a higher probability of catastrophic divergence than POD-based models. POD yields smoother latent trajectories that are easier to learn and extrapolate, leading to more reliable predictions beyond the short- term regime. These results reveal a clear trade-off between compactness and forecast accuracy, and suggest that the stability of the latent dynamics prediction can outweigh maximal compression. This is particularly relevant for control strategies rooted in forecasts of the dynamics, such as model predictive control and reinforcement learning. The findings provide practical guidance for designing actuation-aware, hardware-feasible predictive ROMs for real-time flow control.
Alberto Solera-Rico, Patricia García-Caspueñas, Carlos Sanmiguel Vila +1
Jul 27, 2026cs.RO

Model Predictive Planner for UAV Navigation in Non-Convex Air Corridors

This work presents a motion planning framework for UAV navigation in non-convex urban air corridors. The planner is based on a mixed-integer tracking model predictive control formulation that enforces corridor feasibility and dynamic consistency within a single optimization problem. To guarantee convergence to the target and mitigate the occurrence of local minima induced by non-convex geometry, a shortest-path-based offset cost with feasibility constraints is embedded directly into the planning problem. Numerical simulations show that the proposed formulation generates dynamically valid trajectories that satisfy the corridor constraints and converge to the target without relying on external global planning stages.
Henrique Silva, Marcelo A. Santos, Guilherme V. Raffo
Jul 27, 2026cs.RO

Moving-Horizon Estimation and Nonlinear Model Predictive Control of Cable-Driven Soft Manipulators

Precise control of soft manipulators remains challenging due to the difficulty of developing accurate yet computationally tractable models for model-based estimation and control. Reduced Cosserat-rod models provide a physics-based and control-oriented description of soft-robot dynamics, offering an explicit alternative to purely data-driven input-output representations. In this paper, we propose a moving-horizon estimation (MHE) and nonlinear model predictive control (NMPC) framework for cable-driven soft manipulators based on reduced Cosserat dynamics. A smooth cable-length-driven modeling formulation is developed by approximating the complementarity relationship between cable tension and cable slackness, enabling cable-length control without direct tension sensing. Based on this formulation, an MHE method is introduced to estimate the reduced state and reconstruct the manipulator configuration from end-effector pose measurements and cable-length information. An NMPC controller is then formulated to achieve task-space control under cable-length and cable-rate constraints. The proposed framework is validated through numerical simulations and experiments. Simulation results demonstrate the effectiveness of the estimator and controller for pose and strain-related regulation on a multi-cable soft manipulator. Experimental results on a four-cable prototype further show that the proposed MHE-NMPC scheme can be implemented in real time and enables accurate end-effector position tracking through cable-length control.
Lingxiao Xun, Haihong Li, Gang Zheng
Jul 26, 2026cs.RO

BC-NMPC: Battery-Constrained NMPC with Propulsion Prediction and Replanning for High-Speed Flight

Trajectory tracking performance of Uncrewed Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) degrades during high-speed and agile flight due to the depletion of the battery and subsequent loss of maximum available thrust. In applications such as drone racing, the consequent trajectory tracking error leads to a collision with obstacles and a subsequent failure to complete the race. In this paper, we present a novel method for integrating battery and propulsion system models into a Nonlinear Model Predictive Controller (NMPC) framework to enable real-time prediction of the voltage, consumed current, power, and maximum available thrust of the platform. This enables our approach to account for the dynamic variations in the maximum available thrust of the UAV caused by battery discharge, allowing it to plan for the depleting thrust and improve trajectory tracking performance. A trajectory planning algorithm is implemented to replan the trajectory in-flight based on evolving thrust limits. The accuracy of the proposed model is verified in real-world flight experiments, while the effectiveness of the replanning algorithm is evaluated in simulation. Compared to an uncompensated flight, our novel approach demonstrates achieves a collision-free flight to achieve a 6-fold decrease in tracking Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), a 46 % increase in flight distance, and a 100 % increase in flight time in an obstacle-ridden environment.
Parakh M. Gupta, Matej Mihulka, Matej Novosad +2
Jul 24, 2026cs.RO

Safe Learning Predictive Control for Ego-World Robotic Systems

Safe autonomous navigation in shared environments requires the ability to anticipate and react to the latent behaviors of surrounding robots. In this paper, we propose SOWL-MPC, a safe learning-based predictive control strategy for a novel scenario, which we name ego-world robotic framework. In this setting, the control policy of the world robot is unknown and the ego exploits data to learn it and perform safe maneuvers. The proposed architecture combines an online learning mechanism based on Sparse Variational Gaussian Processes (SVGPs) with a receding-horizon control scheme. Relying solely on noisy state measurements, our approach infers a posterior distribution over the latent world policy, which is updated on streaming data via Online Variational Conditioning (OVC). The learned policy is propagated through the nonlinear world dynamics using an approximate moment propagation scheme, and fed to an uncertainty-aware Model Predictive Control (MPC), thus enabling safe maneuvering of the ego robot. The real-time feasibility and safety guarantees of SOWL-MPC are demonstrated through extensive Monte Carlo virtual experiments in ROS 2, and validated on real-world robotic hardware in an indoor arena.
Davide Valenti, Giuseppe Notarstefano
Jul 23, 2026cs.RO

Deep Reinforcement-Learning-Guided Model Predictive Control for Preventing Overtakes in Autonomous Racing

This paper addresses defensive blocking in autonomous racing, where a vehicle must prevent a faster opponent from overtaking while operating near its dynamic limits. Different from lap-time minimization, we formulate defense as a spatial occupancy regulation problem via a hierarchical reinforcement-learning guided model predictive control framework. A Soft Actor-Critic strategic layer operates in the Frenet domain to generate geometry-aware defensive references, which are embedded into the nonlinear model predictive control formulation as spatial regularization under friction constraints. Evaluated on the Thunderhill West circuit in simulation, the framework increases average overtake time from 8.8 s to 14.6 s while significantly reducing opponent progress. Meanwhile, it allows the vehicle to utilize 83.4% of available tire force. The framework achieves a 33.3 ms mean solve time (13.9 ms std), supporting real-time high-speed adversarial interaction.
Yufei Xi, Yijie Liao, Tulga Ersal
Jul 23, 2026eess.SY

Interaction Dynamics Modeling and Predictive Control for Safe Steerable Catheter--Tissue Interaction

Safe steerable catheter control is fundamentally a problem of interaction dynamics: the tip must follow a planned motion, remain compliant against moving tissue, reject friction and hysteresis, and respect a clinically meaningful never-exceed contact-force bound. We formulate catheter--tissue interaction dynamics in the scalar tip-normal coordinate of a single-segment single-tendon catheter. A partial-physics feedforward cancels only the reliable nominal bending dynamics, exposing a configuration-invariant linear interaction-dynamics model whose input gain varies through the scalar catheter inertia. A predictive optimizer then regulates this interaction state subject to hard contact-force, tendon-force, and curvature constraints. An augmented Kalman filter compresses contact, friction, and modeling error into one sensor-free disturbance state, giving nominal offset-free regulation in free space while leaving force safety to the explicit constraint. The unconstrained and disturbance-free limit recovers classical catheter impedance as a special realization of the same interaction dynamics, rather than as the main design object. In a MuJoCo distributed-compliance simulation of an eight-link tendon-driven catheter, disturbance augmentation cuts free-space approach error by 90%, and only the force-constrained predictive interaction-dynamics controller reconciles tracking with the 0.5,N bound: the unconstrained controller drives contact force to 0.60,N against a penetrating target, while the constrained one holds 0.47,N at identical tracking. These results show that offset-free motion regulation and contact-force safety are coupled interaction-dynamics objectives, and that the explicit predictive constraint resolves their tension under stiff tissue contact. The bound also holds under 0.50.5,mm, 1.21.2,Hz cardiac motion. Hardware validation is future work.
Yongyan Cao
Jul 22, 2026cs.RO

Distributed Motion Planning with Safety Guarantees for Self-Reconfiguring Robotic Boats

Aquatic self-reconfigurable robots must assemble into desired shapes while ensuring safe interactions among multiple agents. This paper proposes a hybrid framework that combines distributed Model Predictive Control (MPC) with Control Barrier Functions (CBFs) for multi-agent shape formation and reconfiguration. Given a desired shape and target assignment, a distributed MPC scheme, solved via the Alternating Direction Method of Multipliers (ADMM), computes coordinated trajectories through local optimization and information exchange. To ensure safety in real time, distributed CBF-based filters are applied to enforce inter-agent collision avoidance. The proposed approach leverages the predictive capabilities of MPC to mitigate local minima, while CBFs provide formal safety guarantees despite the nonconvexity of the underlying optimization problem. Simulation results with up to 25 agents and experimental validation with four physical robots demonstrate the effectiveness and scalability of the framework.
Alejandro Gonzalez-Garcia, Wei Wang, Wei Xiao +4
Jul 21, 2026cs.LG

Toward Goal-Agnostic Joint-Embedding Predictive Control of Partial Differential Equations

We present a goal-agnostic control framework for partial differential equations (PDEs) built around an end-to-end joint-embedding predictive architecture (JEPA). A lightweight 2D vision-transformer (ViT) and action-conditioned latent dynamics are trained offline without a reward or downstream goal, before being frozen and reused by a model-predictive path integral (MPPI) controller. We minimize a control objective in the latent space, initially expressed via the L2L^2 distance and additionally illustrate the benefit of recasting the control objective in terms of an explicit physical observable when available. By instead minimizing the tracking error for a learned linear kinetic-energy (KE) probe on the frozen latent-state rollouts, we demonstrate the ability to reproduce the control of held-out trajectories with R2=0.989R^2=0.989, while requiring no change to the underlying world model. For a controlled 2D Navier--Stokes benchmark, using a KE-probe within MPPI planning improves the mean native reward from 12.08±0.86-12.08\pm0.86 for latent-L2L^2 tracking to 10.90±0.91-10.90\pm0.91 (95% CI), all while lowering last-quarter velocity-field RMSE from 0.07650.0765 to 0.06920.0692. Across three intentionally withheld, dissimilar, aperiodic targets, KE planning lowers late field RMSE by 53%53\% relative to latent-L2L^2 planning (0.02200.0220 versus 0.04690.0469), winning across 30 paired comparisons. The same frozen model also supports stabilization around a steady-state configuration via direct regulation of KE, achieving 2.7%2.7\% mean relative error. While the latent probe proves brittle to measurement noise and missing pixels, our findings support the claim that latent dynamics can remain flexible and goal-agnostic, particularly when calibrated observables (granted they guarantee unique continuation) are a suitable objective for state control.
Jonathan Gallagher, Roberto Guglielmi
Jul 21, 2026cs.RO

Emergent Autonomous Drifting for Collision Avoidance in Real-World Winter Driving Scenarios

Real-world collision avoidance is a core motivation for studying the dynamics and control of high sideslip drifting in vehicles, yet the practical benefit of such maneuvers has so far primarily been tested in scenarios explicitly engineered to require drifting. In this work, we explore the question of if and when drifting may be optimal for safety in real-world winter driving conditions. We present a drift-capable nonlinear model predictive control (MPC) system designed to handle scenarios grounded in crash fatality data and deploy the controller in a high fidelity simulator across road departure and oncoming vehicle collision avoidance scenarios. The controller naturally initiates and sustains drifting maneuvers to stay on the road when hitting a patch of ice on the rear axle and to avoid an oncoming vehicle that has slid into its lane. Comparisons with a benchmark electronic stability control (ESC) system demonstrate how a drift-capable controller can trade off stability for controllability to precisely maneuver through dangerous winter driving scenarios. A Monte Carlo study over random ice patches further shows that the drift-capable controller achieves lower median lane error than ESC across several speeds, while revealing that drifting emerges predominantly at higher speeds.
Elliot Weiss, Michael Thompson, Thomas Lew +1
Jul 21, 2026cs.RO

Koopman DCM: Unstable Eigenfunctions as Data-driven Representations for Legged Balancing

In legged locomotion, divergent components of motion (DCMs) have emerged as characteristic states for balance control. They isolate the unstable mode of the dynamics but, in existing formulations, apply only to reduced models such as the linear inverted pendulum. In this study, we show how DCMs can be more generally formulated as Koopman eigenfunctions. Whereas Koopman analysis typically targets eigenvalues near zero, which capture conserved or slowly varying quantities, our investigation leads us to deliberately search for unstable eigenpairs with large eigenvalues. The resulting Koopman DCMs are data-driven observables trained using only real-robot data. On a real biped, DCMs learned from one hour of robot data improve tracking of reference walking patterns. We further show how learned DCMs provide state-based viability constraints when combined with model predictive control.
Stéphane Caron
Jul 20, 2026cs.LG

A Continual Validation, Updating, and Decision-Making Framework for Self-Adaptive Digital Twins via Robust Model Predictive Control: A Case Study in Additive Manufacturing

Digital Twins rely on surrogate models to mirror physical systems in real time, yet these models can degrade as operating conditions evolve, a phenomenon known as concept drift. Maintaining surrogate fidelity under drift, particularly when models must also capture aleatoric uncertainty, remains an open challenge. Existing adaptive frameworks lack principled mechanisms for detecting when updates are needed, for efficiently adapting models from limited streaming data, and for certifying that updates genuinely improve predictive performance. Here we present an adaptive Digital Twin framework that integrates a Fisher score--based multivariate drift detector, Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) for parameter-efficient continual learning, and a Mann--Whitney UU test for online statistical validation. The framework monitors surrogate-model confidence via Fisher score vectors, triggers targeted fine-tuning of fewer than 1% of model parameters upon drift detection, and statistically certifies predictive improvement before deploying the updated surrogate. Applied to a stochastic linear system and a directed energy deposition additive manufacturing process as case studies, the framework successfully detects distributional shifts with short delays and restores both predictive accuracy and uncertainty quantification under abrupt and incremental drift. These results establish a statistically rigorous and computationally tractable pathway for sustaining the trustworthiness of neural-network--based Digital Twins throughout their operational life cycle.
Yi-Ping Chen, Ying-Kuan Tsai, Vispi Karkaria +3
Jul 20, 2026cs.RO

Disturbance-Aware Flight for Aerial Robots in Narrow Space

Autonomous flight of aerial robots in narrow space remains challenging due to strong aerodynamic disturbances and limited flying space. Existing approaches mainly address aerodynamic disturbances at the control level, while motion planning typically relies on geometric constraints and fixed speed limits, leading to conservative or unsafe behaviors in confined environments. This paper presents a disturbance-aware planning and control framework (DAPCF) that integrates online disturbance estimation into the planning-control loop for quadrotor flight in narrow space. First, the dual-loop observers estimate 6-degree-of-freedom disturbance forces and torques in real time based on odometry and motor speed measurements. Then, a disturbance risk function is introduced that adaptively modulates the reference speed of the planner based on disturbance estimation, reducing velocity when disturbances exceed a threshold and restoring it under low-disturbance conditions. Finally, a motor-dynamics-based nonlinear model predictive controller (MDNMPC) with disturbance compensation is designed to ensure robust trajectory tracking under perturbed conditions. Experiments demonstrate that a quadrotor with a diagonal length of 0.39m can traverse straight, sloped, and curved tunnels as narrow as 0.6m, outperforming human pilots in both success rate and flight efficiency.
Lei Qiang, Tianyu He, Chenyang Sun +3
Jul 18, 2026cs.RO

ADMM-Based Safety-Critical Distributed NMPC for Cooperative Transportation by Quadrupedal Robots

This paper presents a safety-critical distributed nonlinear model predictive control (DNMPC) framework for cooperative payload transportation by teams of quadrupedal robots. The proposed approach models the robotic team and the shared payload as a dynamically coupled networked system with rigid holonomic coupling constraints arising from cooperative transportation. To enable distributed real-time optimization, the centralized finite-horizon optimal control problem is decomposed into parallel local NMPC subproblems coordinated through the alternating direction method of multipliers (ADMM). The resulting distributed framework enforces consensus over both payload-state and interaction-wrench trajectories while explicitly incorporating acceleration-level holonomic coupling constraints within the distributed predictive control formulation. Safety-critical obstacle avoidance constraints for both the robotic agents and payload are enforced using higher-order control barrier functions (HOCBFs). The framework is validated through numerical simulations with teams of two, three, and four quadrupedal robots transporting shared payloads in cluttered environments. Real-time experiments on two- and three-robot teams demonstrate safe and robust transportation under payload uncertainty and external disturbances. Compared with centralized NMPC, the proposed framework achieves up to 23% reduction in average NLP solve time while maintaining comparable closed-loop performance. Ablation studies further demonstrate robustness to communication delays and show that explicit payload-state consensus and holonomic constraints substantially improve payload tracking and distributed coordination over existing wrench-only consensus formulations.
Ruturaj S. Sambhus, Kapi Ketan Mehta, Yicheng Zeng +1
Jul 18, 2026cs.RO

AI-Augmented Model Predictive Control for Safe and Adaptive Rendezvous and Proximity Operations

Autonomous rendezvous and proximity operations (RPO) in adversarial orbital environments require guidance architectures balancing target pursuit, safety preservation, and real-time adaptability under dynamically evolving interaction conditions. Although learning-based approaches show promise, their application to safety-critical orbital robotics remains limited by concerns regarding interpretability, robustness, and constraint awareness. This work presents an adaptive Model Predictive Control (MPC) framework for autonomous spacecraft RPO in multi-agent adversarial scenarios. The proposed architecture combines a constrained receding-horizon MPC formulation with a data-driven supervisory tuning layer that adjusts controller parameters from offline closed-loop evaluation and online interaction geometry. Relative motion follows Clohessy-Wiltshire (CW) dynamics, enabling computationally efficient finite-horizon prediction and real-time quadratic optimization. The MPC formulation incorporates actuator limits, predictive keep-out-zone constraints, slack-variable feasibility handling, and optional Control Barrier Function (CBF) safety filtering. Rather than generating thrust commands directly, the adaptive layer modifies interpretable MPC parameters, including tracking weights, safety penalties, minimum-separation objectives, and keep-out-zone objectives. The framework was evaluated in the official Kerbal Space Program Differential Game (KSPDG) Capture-the-Satellite environment through Monte Carlo simulations. Results demonstrate improved closed-loop robustness, adaptive maneuvering behavior, and rendezvous performance compared with fixed-parameter MPC while preserving safety-aware operation and real-time feasibility, providing a modular, interpretable foundation for adaptive spacecraft RPO.
Luca Sportelli, Tyler Barr, Cagri Kilic +1