Order

Deep Limit Order Book forecasting models capture nonlinear market dynamics, but their ability to quantify the effects of counterfactual order book messages has not been systematically validated. We introduce a model-agnostic framework that compares a trained forecaster's predictive distributions before and after injecting mechanically valid counterfactual messages, defining short-horizon model-implied market impact. A Transformer-based forecaster recovered scenario rankings with a Spearman correlation of 0.99 and 97.2% directional agreement with realized historical outcomes among non-neutral scenarios. Observation-level analysis further showed that estimated impacts captured incremental sequence-dependent variation beyond scenario identity and the pre-event forecast. These results provide evidence that pretrained Limit Order Book forecasters can be repurposed for scenario-conditioned response modeling without retraining.

Long-horizon goal-conditioned reinforcement learning delegates control to a high-level module that proposes subgoals, but existing subgoals are implicit byproducts of value functions or latent actions, tied to the executor that produced them. We study a different object: a route-conditioned order of unavoidable stages that every successful executor must traverse, recoverable from offline trajectories and belonging to none of them. Its defining properties are topological: an unskippable stage is a separating set that every admissible path must cross, and a loop in free space forces a route choice. We read the two by homology in dimensions 0 and 1 over a transport-weighted carrier built from successful trajectories, yielding an enumerable gate set with shell-level certificates; the certified gates are what we call topological necessities. Certified gates enter the decision loop as a recursive topological gate hierarchy. Under a fixed, isomorphic free space, the object survives executor replacement: gates frozen on PointMaze data transfer without retraining to Ant and Humanoid, attaining the highest Humanoid aggregate under a unified interface (96.1), with +36.0 over a map-privileged reference on the multi-route task (p=1.4e-5); the planner saturates PointMaze (100+/-0) and matches or exceeds the strongest baselines on AntMaze (giant +22.9) and Kitchen (+15.8/+12.6).

Does a neuromorphic system need a true power-law memory kernel, and if so, can anyone build one? Neuromorphic systems process signals spanning many timescales at once, from milliseconds to tens of seconds. Integer-order circuits buy each additional timescale with an additional state variable. Fractional-order dynamics offer a different bargain: one operator whose power-law kernel carries a continuum of timescales, tuned by one parameter, the order alpha. A fractional derivative is non-local, so evaluating it costs storage and arithmetic that grow with the retained history, where an integer-order derivative costs a constant. This review organizes the hardware literature around that cost. We derive the retained history needed to hold the truncation error below a tolerance epsilon, show that it scales as epsilon^(-1/alpha), and set beside it a second and independent limit on the direct form: in fixed point the weights themselves underflow, so word length caps the usable history however long the buffer is. The two limits move at very different rates with the order, and where they cross decides whether a word length can serve an order at all. We use both to sort published hardware into three strategies, note a fourth the numerical literature has developed and this hardware has not, and survey digital, analog and device work. Along the way we ask whether the field is worried about the right obstacle. It is not. Fabricated constant-phase devices already span the orders two groups identify as task-optimal, so the order gap has largely closed, leaving a residual gap near 0.1 and at the lower order describing cortical adaptation. What remains is a frequency-band gap of about three decades at the low end. That corner is not empty, since double-layer electrodes work there, but every device in it is discrete, and no integrable thin-film element has been characterized there.

Attias, Hanneke and Ramaswami (NeurIPS 2025) asked whether randomization provably reduces the oracle calls needed for online learning when the class is accessible only through an oracle. We study the instance they singled out: transductive online learning of thresholds on an unknown total order of T instances, with a consistency-type ERM oracle that returns a full concept consistent with a queried labeled set (or reports non-realizability). Our main result is a separation for a fixed natural oracle. When the oracle is the minimal-prefix rule (or the maximal-prefix rule), every deterministic learner makes M mistakes and Q calls with $M+Q\ge T-\varepsilon$ on some instance ($\varepsilon\in\{0,1\}$, according to whether the empty prefix is a concept), and the constant is exact; hence $O(\log T)$ mistakes cost $T-\varepsilon-O(\log T)$ calls, whereas that paper's randomized learner achieves $O(\log T)$ expected calls and mistakes under the same rule. The randomized order is optimal: on an explicit hard distribution under the minimal-prefix rule, every learner has expected mistakes at least $((T+1-\varepsilon)\,128^{-\mathbb{E}[Q]}-1)/2$, so $Ω(\log T)$ expected calls are necessary for polylogarithmic mistakes. The separation is governed by the oracle's selection rule, not by the class alone: for a legal feasible-median ERM rule a deterministic learner achieves $O(\log T)$ calls and mistakes, while a global-median rule again forces linear total cost. The same linear bound holds when the oracle's answers are chosen adversarially and then frozen into a memoryless oracle. We add partial tradeoff results for fixed query budgets (the middle regime is open) and an interface contrast: with only a weak consistency oracle, returning a realizability bit, both deterministic and randomized learners need $Θ(T)$ calls.

Hierarchical Task Network (HTN) planning is a powerful planning formalism based on task decomposition. Although most of the literature studied plan generation, comparatively less attention has been paid to post-plan optimization. In particular, plan deordering has been extensively studied in classical planning but remains under-researched in the HTN setting. Plan deordering removes unnecessary ordering constraints between actions in a plan whilst keeping the plan valid. In this paper, we adapt two established plan deordering techniques from classical planning by extending the techniques to account for hierarchical decomposition constraints. We evaluate our proposed approaches on the IPC 2023 Partial-Order HTN benchmarks and we compare them against Optiplan, an HTN planner that generates partially ordered plans directly. Our results show a substantial reduction in number of ordering constraints in both our implementations. Although we also observe a reduction in critical path length, the improvements are less pronounced.

Local learning methods offer an alternative to end-to-end backpropagation, but their unstructured local objectives can produce weak feature learning in deep networks. We study whether the order of hidden-state optimization can address this limitation. We propose a boundary-first inference schedule that partitions a model into chunks, first coordinates hidden states at chunk boundaries, and then refines representations within each chunk. We instantiate this schedule in predictive coding networks (PCNs), a local-learning framework in which hidden activities and prediction errors are explicitly exposed during inference. On CIFAR-10, the resulting boundary-first predictive-coding instantiation improves accuracy over standard predictive coding by $9.77\%$ under a standard parametrization and by $5.51\%$ under a $μ$-parametrization. Diagnostic analyses further show more non-trivial early-layer updates, lower initial-to-final CKA, and more diverse layerwise gradients, consistent with stronger feature learning. These results support boundary-first, chunk-based inference as a practical design principle for predictive-coding training and motivate its study in broader local-learning systems.

Multiple-choice benchmarks are widely used to evaluate large language models, but MCQ scores conflate knowledge with sensitivity to option order, which makes them unreliable measures of model knowledge. In this paper, we test whether preventing a model from seeing option labels while committing to an answer removes positional influence and, in turn, improves performance. We evaluate two different strategies for mitigating bias. The first uses a generation-then-matching approach, and the second scores options in isolation, which is positionally unbiased by construction. Neither reliably improves accuracy. A complete decomposition shows that the bottleneck is withholding options, not the matching step. The only configuration that consistently matches the baseline is the one that shows the model all options paired with an LLM matcher. However, eliminating positional influence entirely still does not reliably yield accuracy gains, while cyclic permutation often improves them. For two-stage prompting, an aggregate measure of recall imbalance and a direct per-question measure of order sensitivity both fail to show reliable debiasing.

Drifting models are a recent class of one-step generative models that evolve the model distribution during training using a predefined sample-based drift field. Although they avoid iterative inference, their kernel-based drift fields induce frequency-dependent training dynamics: In the linearized regime, each Fourier mode of the density residual decays at a rate determined by the kernel spectrum, leading to slow recovery of fine-scale structure. We propose Second-Order Drifting Models, which lift drifting dynamics into phase space by augmenting generated samples with artificial velocity variables. We show that the resulting density perturbations obey accelerated second-order dynamics in Fourier space, connecting drifting models to the celebrated Nesterov acceleration from optimization theory. This provides a principled mechanism for mitigating the spectral stiffness of first-order drifting while preserving one-step inference. We derive a practical semi-implicit training algorithm and evaluate it on synthetic distribution matching, sequential data generation, and robotic control. Across these settings, the second-order drifting model improves convergence behavior and achieves competitive or superior performance over first-order drifting baselines.

Positional embeddings (PE) in Transformers encode token distance and order but are largely agnostic to \textit{syntactic structure}. We introduce \textbf{S}yntax-\textbf{i}nformed \textbf{P}ositional \textbf{E}mbeddings (\textbf{SiPE}), which learns a lightweight syntactic prior from dependency parses during pretraining and injects it across all three dominant PE families (absolute, relative, rotary), for both encoders and decoders, leaving self-attention and the rest of the architecture untouched. We isolate \emph{where} and \emph{how} the prior should enter the model, and find it depends on the architecture: for autoregressive decoders that use relative PE, the prior is strongest when coupled multiplicatively with the relative-position term of the attention score, outperforming injection into the input embeddings, into self-attention, or into the positional and attention terms jointly---while for encoders it is best added directly to the input embeddings, composing with each encoder's native positional mechanism. We find that models pre-trained with SiPE improve on the SyntaxGym benchmark by up to $10.3\%$ while simultaneously reducing perplexity by $9.0\%$ over a base model with no syntactic supervision---a metric nearly every existing syntax-injection method instead degrades. Crucially, these gains extend beyond syntactic generalization: SiPE also improves real-world language understanding, raising scores on the GLUE benchmark by up to $8.2\%$ over a model trained without it. Unlike existing syntactic language models that marginalize over many parses at inference or discard syntax at runtime, SiPE conditions on a single parse, establishing a new Pareto frontier between syntactic supervision and inference cost.

LLM judges are often asked to extract criteria and evidence before choosing between candidate answers. This workflow assumes that the intermediate record preserves the information needed for a later verdict. For reasoning-capable models, visible field order does not reveal internal decision order, so we test an observable alternative: persist the evidence in one call and make it the exclusive input to the next. Across 24,000 judgments over HelpSteer3, FeedbackQA, and CoVal, we compare standard pairwise judging, structured one-call judging, two-call evidence locking, and three-call pointwise locking with Claude Sonnet 4.5 and GPT-5. Evidence locking reduces agreement with released human preferences by 4 to 6 percentage points and increases answer-order inconsistency by 8 to 10 points relative to structured one-call judging. Pointwise locking is also harmful, while structured evidence elicitation remains close to standard judging. The result holds for both judges and all three datasets. Persisted evidence can support auditability, but it should not replace the source answers at decision time.

A central question in language acquisition is whether linguistic biases can emerge from general learning mechanisms operating over underdetermined input. Artificial Language Learning (ALL) studies have shown that human learners reliably generalize beyond the evidence provided, including by preferring scope-homomorphic noun phrase modifier orders. In this work, we investigate whether language models exhibit the same bias under similar conditions. We create a controlled learning environment in which models are trained on a corpus where all noun phrases containing multiple modifiers have been removed, eliminating direct evidence about modifier ordering, and are then evaluated on multiple modifier sentences. Across three model sizes, we find that they consistently prefer scope-homomorphic orders despite never observing them during training. These preferences vary in strength by modifier type. To investigate the source of these preferences, we examine noun-modifier association strength using pointwise mutual information (PMI). While PMI reflects known modifier-ordering patterns, it does not explain the models' ordering preferences. These findings demonstrate that LMs can recover human-like linguistic generalizations from impoverished input and provide a controlled framework for investigating the mechanisms underlying such biases.

Frontier coding models now match or exceed strong human reference points on programming benchmarks, yet benchmark success does not imply maintainable software. Prompt-driven "vibe coding" is additive: new branches, guards, and fallbacks accumulate faster than obsolete logic is removed. We study the inverse problem-how an Al system should remove code when execution-verification capacity is finite. We formulate redundant-code reduction as proposal scheduling: a ranker orders single-statement deletion candidates, an execution suite accepts the first candidate that passes, and a budget bounds how many candidates may be tested. Our central observation is that candidate order, not model confidence, is the control surface a deployment can reason about. DELSCOUT instantiates two schedules. Given representative target-domain validation, a five-slot budget spends three slots on deterministic shortest-first candidates and two on complementary learned candidates; across nine MBPP replications with 0.5B, 0.6B, and 8B rankers this raises verified-deletion coverage by 9.5% relative (+6.7 accepted tasks) while consuming slightly fewer verifier calls than the matched static baseline. Without such validation the same rankers can lose coverage under shift, so we instead evaluate the complete static prefix first and append learned candidates only afterwards; for a deterministic verifier this makes coverage and character reduction non-decreasing by construction, at a measured 4.8-62.5% increase in verifier calls. MBPP+ then erases the in-domain advantage, showing that scheduling governs search while the test suite alone governs what "preserving behavior" means. The result is an auditable division of labor: models widen the search for removable code, order bounds the damage a mis-ranked proposal can do, and execution retains authority over every committed deletion.

Volumetric CT vision-language pretraining learns 3D representations from scan-report pairs, but global and anatomy-aware objectives supervise only correspondence: they establish what is present and leave how much unconstrained. Nothing separates a mild from an extensive case of the same finding along a consistent direction, so the graded burden language in reports collapses into a present/absent signal. Longitudinal supervision would supply this order, but patient-matched CT pairs are scarce at scale; cross-sectional cohorts already encode weak burden cues across different patients. We introduce Spectrum, an anatomy-conditioned framework that represents each study at whole-study and organ scopes. For each organ-mapped pathology, a rule-based scorer mines confidence-filtered lower-to-higher pairs of different patients, and Burden-Direction Alignment (BDA) aligns the pathology-conditioned image delta with the report delta at each scope, separating that direction from its reverse. Because the endpoints are different people, a target-conditioned aligner first makes them comparable, so the delta reflects burden rather than between-patient variation. BDA further separates the selected direction from its reverse, anchors it to the observed higher-burden endpoint, and enforces consistency across ordered triplets. Since every pair is drawn within a single pathology, BDA is designed to constrain intra-class structure that image-report contrast alone never touches. Spectrum attains 85.6 zero-shot AUROC on CT-RATE and 72.7 on external RAD-ChestCT, with consistent gains in linear probing and retrieval. Weak cross-patient order is thus a scalable complement to anatomy-aware correspondence, yielding burden-aware CT representations without longitudinal data.

In recent years, the growing complexity of last-mile pickup operations has increased the need for fast and accurate decision-making on logistics platforms. This challenge is fundamentally driven by two key and tightly coupled decision-making processes: order dispatching and routing. Solving them separately overlooks their interdependence, while fully end-to-end learning can be unstable and costly on large, variable-scale instances due to sparse rewards. To solve this problem, we propose an integrated optimization framework which couples a learned routing oracle with real-time dispatching heuristics. For the routing subproblem, we develop a Dynamic-Residual Graph Attention Network encoder with a Look-Ahead Courier-Personalized decoder. For the dispatching subproblem, we develop a routing-oracle-guided dispatching heuristic with local search, where the oracle provides near-optimal solutions to select candidate couriers while retaining real-time scalability. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets from Cainiao Logistics are used to test the performance of our approach, including an offline evaluation and an online rolling-horizon simulation. The experimental results show that our approach outperforms other benchmarks regarding solution quality and solving time, indicating it can effectively support logistics companies in solving real-time and large-scale last-mile pickup problems.

We find that vision-language models are sensitive to a specific semantically irrelevant change: the order in which the image and question are presented. Across three models and three benchmarks, image first prompting consistently outperforms question-first prompting, revealing a repeatable modality order failure. We use this gap to design an order-consistent test-time training method. Our method substantially closes the modality-order gap across all evaluated settings. Surprisingly, it also yields consistent improvements in the stronger image-first branch over the baseline, hence bootstrapping both orderings toward mutual consistency. Activation patching localizes the ordering failure to a narrow mid-network region where representations diverge sharply between prompt orders. We find that the test-time training method repairs this misalignment across layers. Together, our results identify modality-order sensitivity as a circuit-level failure in VLMs and demonstrate that simple, asymmetric test-time adaptation can effectively mitigate it and even improve performance over the baseline.

Although mixture-of-experts, MoE, models have been increasingly adopted to scale large language models with moderate computation cost, it remains challenging to deploy MoE inference over resource-constrained and bandwidth-limited edge infrastructures. Existing distributed MoE serving methods mainly rely on exact expert placement, caching, replication, or communication scheduling, while overlooking the functional similarity among experts, which provides an opportunity to reduce cross-server token transmission. Therefore, this paper introduces a similarity-aware expert allocation and distributed deployment framework, dubbed OrderMoE, which aims to accelerate edge MoE inference while balancing inference latency, communication overhead, server workload, and inference quality. OrderMoE first constructs an expert similarity model based on router-induced logits representations and partitions experts in each MoE layer into multiple similarity groups. Then, it develops a similarity-aware expert grouping and deployment strategy to improve local similarity coverage across edge servers. Since reducing remote expert invocation and preserving exact inference quality are conflicting objectives, OrderMoE further designs a quality-aware and trajectory-aware runtime server-expert selection algorithm to decide whether a token should invoke its remote target expert or use a feasible local substitute expert. Experimental results on a real distributed edge testbed show that OrderMoE significantly reduces average latency, tail latency, cross-server traffic, and remote expert invocation ratio, while introducing only small and controllable inference quality degradation.

Trader-facing dynamic fees are increasingly proposed for automated market makers (AMMs), but historical data do not identify how order flow would respond: trader-facing fees do not vary, trader types are latent, and a replayed tape is not a sequential decision environment. We therefore construct a minimal closed-loop simulator in which the missing signal exists by construction: two constant-product pools repriced by an equilibrium-inspired dynamic-fee rule, fee-sensitive noise flow, and closed-form CEX--AMM arbitrage. Equilibrium is used as a closure principle, not as an object the trader learns. Against a tuned benchmark ladder of schedule, planning, lookahead, and tabular policies, a small DQN is the only evaluated valid policy whose paired improvement over tuned one-step routing excludes zero. On a reserved final block of 1{,}000 seeds with completion forced to 1.0 for every policy, it reduces implementation shortfall under every tested intra-step ordering, by $13.3\bps$ of order notional under the pre-specified agent-last ordering, and the edge is concentrated in, and learned from, dynamic-fee environments: under constant fees the paired difference is indistinguishable from zero. The result is model-conditioned counterfactual evidence about execution control in AMMs, not evidence about historical traders, equilibrium play, or deployable profit.

Building event-conditioned market models requires separating macro-event labels from persistent microstructure state. We study this distinction in Binance BTCUSDT and ETHUSDT futures from 2023-2026, combining top-20 L2 order book data, trade-flow records, and macro-event windows. We define a supervised discrete L2 liquidity-state transition task, distinct from latent-regime detection and price-direction prediction, and evaluate models in rolling monthly out-of-sample folds with event-clustered validation and blocked permutation tests, admitting each feature layer only if it improves on the layer below it on the same panel. Within these event windows, the first-order predictive signal is the pre-event L2 liquidity state: a coarse pre-event state baseline strongly predicts post-event liquidity regimes, interpretable logit models over continuous L2 features fail to improve on it, and a shallow nonlinear L2 model adds a robust further gain of comparable size to the state baseline's own. The macro-event calendar enters only by locating the windows and supplying matched non-event controls; we use event timing but not the event's label content, so pre-event state competes against an uninformed within-window baseline, not against the event type. Order flow adds further value only when layered on top of the L2 state model, not as a replacement. This value is not robustly cross-symbol: for ETH it is present across calm, mixed, and stressed regimes and largest under stressed pre-event liquidity, whereas BTC shows only isolated five-minute passes and no regime that clears at both horizons. These findings motivate a state-first design principle for market microstructure models. We provide a liquidity-state transition baseline and evaluation protocol that reinforcement-learning, execution-policy, or LLM-based context layers should exceed before their added value is credited.

Large language models (LLMs) increasingly issue judgments read as binary verdicts, and a growing literature reports such judgments shifting under logically irrelevant changes of wording - among them an amplified yes-no bias on moral dilemmas, absent in humans. A single framing cannot say what such a shift is: in a yes/no question the word "no" is at once logical verdict, lexical token, and last-printed option. We introduce a psychometric battery that separates these: crossed symmetrization - every logically irrelevant factor flipped in balanced pairs - across a corpus of question forms. A graded rating across logically equivalent forms recovers a coherent internal moral scale: frontier models' stance $θ$ is nearly format-invariant (cross-form incoherence 0.12-0.21 on a $\pm 1$ axis); small open-weight models fail in model-specific ways. Forcing the verdict through yes/no overlays a decomposable artifact: an order bias toward the last-printed option - opposite to classic human primacy - plus a lexical pull toward the word "no"; the artifact is substantial only in the Claude models (story-averaged -0.32 to -0.86), $\approx 0$ for GPT-5.5 and Gemini, and shrinks under extended reasoning. The word and the verdict share one token; swapping the words for arbitrary labels separates them, and the verdict-attached logical bias proves $\approx 0$ for every frontier model, while model-specific label and order attachments remain: the models are not drawn toward rejecting - the pull follows the printed surface, not the verdict it carries. A minimal model, $P = σ((θ\pm m)/s)$, summarizes any such artifact by a framing susceptibility m and a moral decisiveness s, measurably distinct from sampling temperature. The battery applies unchanged to any dilemma set and binary format: measuring what a model values requires crossing the frames of the question, not asking once.

Reading order inference remains a critical bottleneck in the digitization of complex historical manuscripts, where pages contain multiple spatially interleaved reading streams, the canonical example being the Glossa Ordinaria layout, in which a central text is surrounded by commentaries that wrap around it in non-rectangular, non-convex regions. We present a training-free, graph-based framework: each OCR text line becomes a node in a directed candidate-transition graph, edges are scored by a weighted additive ensemble of two lightweight language-model signals (causal language model conditional likelihood and BERT next-sentence prediction, NSP; a third sentence-embedding signal was evaluated but did not improve reading order), and the global reading order is recovered as a degree-constrained directed path cover. To avoid the cascading "edge-theft" failures of greedy edge selection, we propose a max-regret inference rule that prioritizes commitments with high opportunity cost. We evaluate on synthetic Glossa Ordinaria grid layouts, on 23 ALTO page geometries (10 historical source pages plus mirrored and flipped variants), and on a 140-page multi-column English subset of OmniDocBench, comparing our method against the canonical recursive XY-cut (PaddleOCR PP-StructureV3) and two LayoutReader variants (layout-only and text+layout) on identical inputs. On wrap-around Glossa layouts our method recovers 95% of ground-truth successor edges on average vs. XY-cut's 50%; on the OmniDocBench multi-column subset it reaches 88% macro edge accuracy versus XY-cut's 75% and LayoutReader's 25%. The LayoutReader baselines transfer poorly due to a word-level vs. line-level granularity mismatch. We additionally verify mirror-invariance under horizontal and vertical page reflections: Our method changes by less than 1 percentage point, classical XY-cut by 2 points, and LayoutReader-T by up to 8 points.

We give a descent-free, alignment-free measurement of singular structure on trained networks. At a single frozen checkpoint the read recovers the order $k$ of each dead direction from the directional-Fisher rate, the master invariant from which the per-direction learning coefficient $1/(2k)$ follows exactly, in whatever basis the optimizer left. The same read classifies each direction, separating a genuine singularity, whose order the architecture fixes, from a flat gauge symmetry; the directional-Fisher magnitude settles the cases the order cannot. A pluggable detector supplies the directions for transformer, convolutional, and normalisation layers. The read recovers the architecture-predicted order across constructed cells and trained networks, including a fine-tuned vision transformer whose dead structure is the LayerNorm-kernel gauge and a from-scratch one whose compressed MLP forms a node-death at its activation order. Where the singular structure enumerates, the per-direction orders assemble, through the typed intersection of the loci, into the global coefficient $(λ, m)$ matching the closed form. The method removes the canonical-alignment and descent preconditions of the underlying rate result, turning order-recovery into a deterministic, architecture-general reading. We then map its reach into the Watanabe triple: the order determines the universal singular fluctuation $ν(k)$, though a trained network's realized $ν$ falls below it as the live structure absorbs the dead direction's data fluctuation, and the multiplicity recovers from the dominant structure under a single-locus assumption.

We study whether a scaling-law-style inference-compute frontier appears in limit order book prediction. Using FI-2010 and a suite of models ranging from small decision trees to neural LOB architectures, we find that the realized empirical frontier of predictive loss versus structural forward work is well summarized by a power law. In particular, with MLPLOB held out as an architecture family, a power-law fit to the low- and mid-compute non-MLPLOB frontier extrapolates across multiple orders of magnitude and attains $R^2=0.941$ on the excluded high-compute MLPLOB target frontier. A similar exercise in latency space gives substantially weaker results, showing that latency is not merely noisy compute. We use this gap to motivate FastBiNLOB, a dense axis-separable LOB mixer built from hardware-friendly temporal and feature mixing operations. In a five-seed experiment, FastBiNLOB exceeds the published $y_{10}$ and $y_{100}$ macro-F1 targets at notably lower latency than existing published SOTA architectures.

Sequential learning is order-dependent: from Pile-style next-token domain adaptation to instruction-SFT and DPO, N candidate sources induce N! possible curricula. We show that the local order effect is governed by a computable geometric quantity, the Lie-bracket commutator of gradient update fields, yielding a pairwise score for whether A->B or B->A is better for a target domain. The pairwise bracket primitive also defines a Lie-Bracket Tournament: with a shared theta_0 target-gradient reference, Hessian symmetry gives Borda/row-sum scores from one Hessian-vector product per source, O(N) dot products, and an O(N log N) sort, without materializing the O(N^2) edge matrix. Empirically, the planner reaches 98.1%/98.9% pairwise accuracy at k=1 for instruction-SFT/DPO, remains at 73.1%/72.2% at k=20, and preserves the original pretraining-domain evidence with 82.4-92.0% accuracy across four LLMs and 91.1% on diffusion. At curriculum scale, it recovers the best of all 3! schedules in 87.5% of trials, ranks 85 Stack programming-language source domains for a Python target in the 99th sampled percentile, and reaches the 99.0-99.6th sampled percentile on 56 MMLU subjects, sharply above the reported descending gradient-norm baseline. These results reframe sequential learning as a geometric tournament problem: commutators provide both local pairwise order information and a scalable primitive for many-domain schedules.

A single forward pass of a capable model is a fast, fluent, and unreliable problem-solver: it is right often enough to be useful and wrong often enough to be dangerous; in language models, such confident errors are known as hallucinations. We present Maestro Order, a model-agnostic orchestration harness that turns unreliable solvers into reliable problem-solving systems by composing them according to four structural primitives (decompose, ensemble, verify, and recurse) and a budget-aware controller that decides where to spend compute. The harness treats any model as a black-box base solver behind a uniform interface, layers a verifier ensemble whose discrimination is measured online, and allocates verification and voting to the stages with the highest marginal reliability per unit cost. We give the architecture, the message and state schema, the controller algorithm, and the engineering that makes it deterministic, observable, and fault-tolerant. We then specify an evaluation methodology (reliability at fixed cost, coverage, calibration, and ablations) and report results from a faithful Monte Carlo simulation of the harness over a parameterized solver/verifier model. The simulation reproduces the predicted laws quantitatively: verification amplifies reliability geometrically (e.g. $0.55\to0.98$ with two gates, $\to0.999$ with four), voting helps only above chance and is limited by shared errors, and a budget-aware controller reaches a target reliability at a small fraction of the cost of voting alone by selecting the cheapest mechanism for each regime. We close with failure modes (verifier gaming, correlated errors, and decomposition error compounding) and concrete guidance: build robust checkers, diversify solvers, and let the controller put compute where the information is.

Woven structures exhibit rich mechanical behaviors including anisotropic stiffness, shear-induced locking, and crimp interchange that emerge purely from the geometric arrangement of individual weavers rather than from constituent material properties. Existing models either homogenize these interactions or resolve them at prohibitive computational cost. We introduce a reduced-order model that bridges this gap by representing individual weaver interactions through a system of nodes and four physically interpretable stiffness elements capturing axial deformation, in-plane uncrimping, inter-weaver shear, and frictional slip. Eigenvalue analysis of the unit cell confirms that the lowest-energy deformation modes correspond directly to known weave-specific phenomena, and that each element is necessary for a complete kinematic and mechanistic description. Element stiffness parameters are calibrated against empirical three-point bending and shear data, achieving agreement within 5% across varied weaver widths and spacings. The validated model is then applied to demonstrate capabilities beyond the reach of continuum approaches including: the emergent Poisson's response arising from crimp interchange, stepwise force reduction during progressive weaver pullout, stress localization under three distinct tearing configurations, and programmable mechanical anisotropy through spatially graded weaver stiffness. The physical transparency and computational efficiency of the framework position it as a practical tool for the analysis and design of woven architected materials with programmable mechanical response.

This paper develops a general framework for analyzing multi-agent systems with feedback loops between agents actions and collective observations. The framework is built on two fundamental agent-level variables: power, which measures agent influence on collective outcomes, and response functions, which determine how agents react to observations. We derive how macroscopic properties, including total power, useful power, entropy, order, fragility, and mobility, emerge from these two variables of heterogeneous agents. To study the trade off between growth and resilience, we introduce a system-level utility function parameterized by a risk-appetite coefficient and derive an optimal degree of order that balances productivity, stability, and adaptability. The analysis suggests that stronger synchronization can increase collective output but may also increase systemic fragility and reduce mobility. We further argue that order, entropy, information, and useful energy are task-dependent and system-relative concepts whose meanings depend on the objectives of the system. By measuring and designing agent power distributions and response functions, it may be possible to better understand, predict, and optimize collective behavior and identify the conditions under which collective intelligence and optimal order emerge.

Rank-based selection in dynamic environments acts on order information that becomes stale while it is being used. Tournaments, elitism, truncation, and Pareto selection may therefore consume rankings that no longer match the current fitness order, while full re-evaluation competes with search for the same budget. This paper formulates the missing information layer as a data-structure problem. A hidden total order on $n$ items drifts by adjacent transpositions, while a maintainer receives one truthful pairwise comparison per step and must answer rank queries continuously. We introduce the comparison patrol, a constant-time maintained-order structure using $3n+O(1)$ words, one comparison per update, deterministic verification-age bounds, and per-item displacement certificates. We prove lower bounds showing that oblivious and location-oblivious maintainers incur expected Kendall error $Ω(\min(α,1)n)$, and show that the patrol operates at the same order. A bump invariant yields exact self-stabilization after drift-free corruption: if the maximum rank overstatement is $L$, recovery takes at most $L$ aligned cycles and cannot finish before $L-1$. This gives a deterministic shock-recovery calculus and a crossover with full rebuild near $L\approx \log_2 n$. The maintained order is then transferred to evolving planar maxima and to evolutionary selection rules, giving deterministic bounds for truncation, tournament, elitist, and two-objective Pareto decisions under drifting fitness. Experiments up to $n=65{,}536$ audit the certificates, recovery laws, equilibrium behavior, and equal-budget dynamic evolutionary loops, identifying when certified local rank maintenance outperforms global re-evaluation and when it should hand over.

We propose a fast and correspondence-free local point cloud registration method that leverages geometric surface structure and reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) embeddings. The method represents point clouds as continuous functions with point-wise anisotropic kernels that encode local geometry. This formulation improves alignment along surface normals while relaxing alignment along tangential directions. To solve the resulting registration problem, we propose a second-order on-manifold optimization scheme with approximate Riemannian Hessians, achieving a speedup of up to 10x over the first-order solvers used in prior correspondence-free RKHS-based methods. We demonstrate improved frame-to-frame LiDAR and RGB-D tracking accuracy across diverse indoor and outdoor datasets. On a LiDAR tracking registration task in the driving domain, we achieve a reduction of $>55\%$ in both translational and rotational drift in challenging feature-sparse environments. On object registration benchmarks, we show improved robustness over ICP-based methods and further gains when refining global initialization, particularly under moderate misalignment.

Evaluating the quality of automatically generated keyphrases remains a complex challenge. Traditional metrics either rely on exact lexical matching or consider semantic similarity while ignoring prediction ranking, both of which misalign with how humans judge informativeness and relevance. We introduce Semantic R-Precision (SemR-p), a novel evaluation metric that integrates semantic similarity into the rank-aware R-Precision framework. Designed from a human-centric perspective and inspired by Information Retrieval metrics, SemR-p rewards semantically relevant keyphrases that appear early in the output list. We conducted extensive analyses to assess its semantic sensitivity, ranking awareness, and discriminative power across models and datasets. The results suggest that SemR-p offers a complementary lens for evaluating keyphrase predictions, helping to better reflect user-centred notions of relevance alongside traditional lexical and semantic matching metrics.

Recent advancements in generative AI have led to image editing models capable of producing realistic forgeries that evade traditional image forgery localization methods, as these approaches depend on physical noise absent in synthetic data. To address this challenge, we theoretically demonstrate that the diffusion process inherently suppresses local high-frequency variance, creating a statistical energy gap that is distinguishable from the natural entropy of optical imaging. Guided by this insight, we propose FLAME, a unified framework that utilizes a LAD map to capture these intrinsic anomalies, coupled with a parameter-efficient adapter for SAM to achieve precise, pixel-level forgery localization. Furthermore, to bridge the lag between forensic benchmarks and evolving generative models, we introduce EditStream, an automated pipeline for continuous, instruction-based training data synthesis. Extensive experiments demonstrate that FLAME establishes a new state-of-the-art, significantly outperforming previous methods on AI-generated forgery datasets while effectively generalizing to unseen generative architectures. Our code is available at https://github.com/phoenixnir/FLAME.

Clinical order generation serves as a critical bridge between clinical decision-making and real-world practice, translating medical decisions into concrete and executable orders. Existing agents mainly focus on coarse-grained decisions and overlook the fine-grained, executable information required for clinical orders. To address this gap, we propose CAREAgent, an agent for clinical order generation. To support its training, we introduce a two-stage agentic reasoning data construction method. First, we design an agent framework that constructs verifiable reasoning trajectories aligned with realistic clinical tool usage. Second, we filter reasoning trajectories by format compliance, order validity, and clinical plausibility. Building on the constructed data, the model is first trained via supervised fine-tuning to acquire fundamental reasoning formats and medical knowledge, and is subsequently optimized through reinforcement learning with multi-dimensional reward functions to enhance complex clinical reasoning capabilities. Experiments on multiple benchmarks demonstrate the effectiveness of CAREAgent. On ClinicalBench (unseen during training), CAREAgent improves the F1 score by 5.05%, 2.09%, and 0.86% over the single-agent, multi-agent, and agentic reasoning methods, respectively.

Masked diffusion models have seen great success in capturing data distributions over discrete sequences in domains such as text and proteins. These models generate data by iteratively unmasking tokens starting from a fully masked sequence, with the unmasking order typically chosen at random or using a heuristic based on denoiser probabilities. In this work, we propose a scheme for learning the unmasking order using an additional lightweight policy network on top of a diffusion model. Our proposed loss reweights terms in the masked diffusion loss according to policy probabilities, and results in a policy that prefers positions where the denoiser is more likely to be correct. We study this loss in two settings: (i) training solely the policy while using a frozen pre-trained denoiser, and (ii) training the policy and denoiser jointly with the weighted loss to allow for mutual adaptation. We demonstrate that our approach outperforms common heuristics on problems that are sensitive to token ordering, such as combinatorial tasks and proteins.

We construct and evaluate group-equivariant neural networks for the prediction of the two-dimensional $Q$-tensor order parameter of nematic liquid crystals from synthetically generated microscopic textures. Seven architectures, equivariant to cyclic groups $C_k$ of order $k$ for $k=4,\,8,\,16,\,32,\,64,\,128,\, 256$, are built using a combination of weight-sharing constraints, equivariant activations and regularization techniques. To do this, we construct rotation-like permutation matrix groups with elements $\varrho_{C_k}(g)$ that act on row-wise vectorized images, thereby approximating a $\frac{2π}{k}$ rotation of the circular subdomain on square images. We show that all seven equivariant models satisfy the $Q$-tensor equivariance constraint to within single-precision floating point accuracy. Comparing against approximate parameter-matched non-equivariant benchmarks, with and without data augmentation, we find that the equivariant models consistently achieve lower errors and generalize more robustly to unseen defect configurations. Performance increases with group order, suggesting that the incorporation of finer rotational symmetry leads to lower errors.

We study how an e-commerce firm should make real-time fulfillment decisions in a two-layer distribution network when multi-item customer orders arrive sequentially and future demand is unknown. The central managerial tension is whether to use scarce front distribution center (FDC) inventory to save current fulfillment cost or preserve that inventory for future orders that may be more valuable to serve locally. We formulate an adversarial online model with multiple FDCs, one regional distribution center (RDC), multi-unit multi-item orders, and item-specific and time-varying variable costs. Our theoretical objective is to characterize when simple, interpretable, and implementable fulfillment rules can perform nearly as well as an optimal clairvoyant planner. We develop a family of Gated Priority-based Greedy policies, derive competitive-ratio guarantees under both time-varying and time-invariant cost structures, and establish matching or near-matching lower bounds for any online algorithm. Numerical experiments show that the proposed policies perform strongly relative to generalized myopic and forecast-based benchmarks. The analysis yields managerial guidance on when local inventory should be protected, when splitting orders is worth the fixed-cost burden, and how the relative magnitudes of fixed and variable costs determine the value of more sophisticated optimization.

This paper studies reinforcement learning for high-frequency trading on limit order books by pairing an Order-Flow-based state model with policy-gradient methods. Instead of value-based RL techniques like tabular Q-learning, our approach deploys policy-based methods like vanilla PPO and DeepSeekMath-inspired variants like GRPO and GSPO, that use group-normalized updates and downside-aware shaping. On backtests with financial assets AMZN, AAPL, and GOOG under a simplified backtesting setup based on spread-scaled rewards, these new policies improve net average PnL, profitability, and drawdown over the Q-Learning baseline. Our results show that (1) Order-Flow signals are an adequate state for policy RL and (2) group-aware PPO surrogates are preferable over value-based baselines.

AI answer engines generate answers from retrieved pages but cite only a few sources. This makes visibility depend not just on ranking, but on being cited. We study competitive Generative Engine Optimization (GEO): when two retrieved candidates compete, what makes one more likely to be cited first? We build a controlled two-document retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) testbed that injects exactly two candidate sources into the model context and measures which source is referenced by the first citation marker in the output. Across six LLMs we execute 252,000 trials, repeated paired comparisons under one factorial program over 18 content factors. In each trial the two sources differ in exactly one factor; we use brand anonymization and counterbalanced source order to separate content effects from position bias. Mixed-effects models show that topical relevance and list position are the biggest drivers of being cited first. Including explicit price information and a recent timestamp also helps consistently. Completeness and trust cues add smaller gains, while formatting-only edits have little impact. We release a reproducible evaluation protocol and a prioritized GEO checklist for practitioners, and we exercised it in an early internal pilot at Sprinklr, where teams reported positive qualitative feedback on workflow usability.

In communicationless environments, multi-robot systems must operate without the constant information exchange that many coordination strategies typically assume. This paper presents a novel dynamic epistemic planning framework that enables implicit coordination and long horizon planning through higher-order reasoning among robots. With our approach, robots form and propagate higher-order belief particles, update world beliefs using Bayesian inference, and select actions via a behavior tree that anticipates teammates' likely decisions. A temporally aware Model Predictive Path Integral (MPPI) controller integrates this reasoning into low-level execution, allowing robots to plan intercepts and adapt trajectories under partial observability. The proposed framework is evaluated in both simulations and physical experiments, where it consistently reduces task completion time compared to a first-order baseline, demonstrating that epistemic logic can serve as a robust foundation for resilient coordination in communication-restricted domains.

We describe an adaptive market-making architecture that preserves the analytical structure of the Avellaneda--Stoikov framework while introducing a successor measure-style adaptation mechanism. In our paper we keep Avellaneda--Stoikov fast Hamilton--Jacobi--Bellman structure and make it adaptive to changing market regimes and trading objectives. The central idea is to separate market dynamics from the trading objective. The market state determines a low-dimensional set of Avellaneda--Stoikov parameters, while recent realized rewards determine a low-dimensional objective vector. The HJB forward map then converts this objective into optimal bid and ask quotes through a scalarization of future reward features.

We study an online market-making problem in which a learner sequentially posts bid and ask prices for a single asset while interacting with traders holding private valuations. Unlike existing online learning formulations that assume fully censored feedback, we introduce an action-dependent feedback model inspired by real limit order books: when a trade occurs, the trader's valuation remains hidden, whereas when no trade occurs, informative feedback about supply and demand is revealed. We show that this additional information fundamentally changes the learnability of the problem. In the stochastic setting with i.i.d. market prices, we propose an elimination-based algorithm that achieves $O(\sqrt T)$ regret with high probability, without requiring any smoothness assumptions on the distribution of trader valuations. We then extend this result to a broad class of mean-reverting price processes by considering both local, autoregressive dynamics and a weaker global drift condition based on cumulative deviations from the mean. Under either assumption, we establish high-probability $O(\sqrt T)$ regret bounds, relying on a new concentration inequality of independent interest. Finally, in the adversarial setting with oblivious prices, we design an explore-then-perturb algorithm that guarantees $O(T^{2/3})$ regret in expectation. Our results quantify the value of observing the order book in online market making and demonstrate that even limited, action-dependent feedback can substantially improve regret guarantees compared to standard bandit feedback models.

Biomedical retrieval-augmented large language models (LLMs) often face evidence that is incomplete, misleading, or internally contradictory, yet evaluation usually emphasizes answer accuracy under helpful context rather than reliability under conflict. Using HealthContradict, we evaluate six open-weight LLMs under five controlled evidence conditions: no retrieved context, correct-only context, incorrect-only context, and two mixed conditions containing both correct and contradictory documents in opposite orders. In this conflicting-evidence order contrast, where the same two documents are both present and only their order is reversed, accuracy drops for every model and 11.4%--25.2% of predictions flip. To support abstention in these difficult cases, we also evaluate a conflict-aware abstention score that combines model confidence with a detector of evidence conflict. In the two hardest conditions, this score improves selective accuracy over confidence-only, with mean gains of 7.2--33.4 points in incorrect-only (IC') and 3.6--14.4 points in incorrect-first conflicting (ICC') conditions across 75%, 50%, and 25% coverage. These results show that conflicting biomedical evidence is both an uncertainty and robustness problem and motivate evaluation and abstention methods that explicitly account for evidence disagreement.

Sequence prediction methods for linear dynamical systems with long memory, i.e. marginally stable systems, typically achieve regret that grows linearly with the hidden dimension of the underlying generative model. While many methods have been developed to address this regime with varying success, we show that simply using the second-order Vovk-Azoury-Warmuth (VAW) algorithm to learn a short autoregressive-with-inputs (ARX) model achieves astoundingly strong results: for bounded sequential data from a marginally-stable linear dynamical system with spectra in the complex disk except for angular wedge of width $δ$ around the negative real axis, this algorithm achieves dimension-free regret $O\left( δ^{-4} \log^2 T \right)$. These bounds are state-of-the-art to our knowledge. The key components for our result come from 1) using the theory of ``Universal Sequence Preconditioning'' (USP) \cite{marsdenuniversal} to prove the existence of an optimal setting of autoregressive coefficients, 2) the application of VAW which takes better advantage of the memory compression provided by USP, and 3) the analysis of Faber polynomials on circular sectors to extend these results to systems with complex spectra.

Bandit algorithms solve diverse sequential decision-making problems, but are often too sample-inefficient for from-scratch personalization. To substantially reduce exploration times, latent bandit algorithms exploit cross-instance structure implied by discrete latent states, provided that the posterior distribution of rewards and latent states is known and accurate. However, obtaining an accurate model of this structure is difficult, and a small number of latent states may be insufficient to characterize the reward distributions in all problem instances. We propose latent order bandits (LOB), relaxing the assumptions of latent bandits to require only prior knowledge of a partial order of action preferences in each state. This allows instances of the same state to vary in reward distributions, as long as the partial order of actions is shared. For example, groups of users on a streaming service may agree on which movie genres are the best but rate experiences on different scales. We give an upper-confidence bound procedure for the LOB problem, applicable to both total and partial latent orders, and give an upper bound on its regret. To improve empirical performance, we propose a posterior-sampling algorithm and show, in a suite of experiments, that both are competitive with full-prior latent bandits when same-state instances share reward parameters, and preferable to them when reward scales differ between instances with the same latent state.

Large Language Models have achieved remarkable success and are increasingly deployed in critical applications involving tabular data, such as Table Question Answering. However, their robustness to the structure of this input remains a critical, unaddressed question. This paper demonstrates that modern LLMs exhibit a significant vulnerability to the layout of tabular data. Specifically, we show that semantically-invariant permutations of rows and columns - rearrangements that do not alter the table's underlying information - are sometimes sufficient to cause incorrect or inconsistent model outputs. To systematically probe this vulnerability, we introduce Adversarial Table Permutation, a novel, gradient-based attack that efficiently identifies worst-case permutations designed to maximally disrupt model performance. Our extensive experiments demonstrate that ATP significantly degrades the performance of a wide range of LLMs. This reveals a pervasive vulnerability across different model sizes and architectures, including the most recent and popular models. Our findings expose a fundamental weakness in how current LLMs process structured data, underscoring the urgent need to develop permutation-robust models for reliable, real-world applications.

Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used for recommendation reranking, but their listwise predictions can depend on the order in which candidates are presented. This creates a mismatch between the set-based nature of recommendation and the sequence-based computation of decoder-only LLMs, where permuting an otherwise identical candidate set can change item scores and final rankings. Such order sensitivity makes LLM-based rerankers difficult to rely on, since rankings may reflect prompt serialization rather than user preference. We propose InvariRank, a permutation-invariant listwise reranking framework that addresses this dependence at the architectural level. InvariRank blocks cross-candidate attention with a structured attention mask and negates position-induced scoring changes through shared positional framing under Rotary Positional Embeddings (RoPE). Combined with a listwise learning-to-rank objective, the model scores all candidates in a single forward pass, avoiding permutation-based invariance training objectives that require multiple permutations of a candidate set. Experiments on recommendation benchmarks show that InvariRank maintains competitive ranking effectiveness while producing stable rankings across candidate permutations. The results suggest that architectural invariance is a practical route to reliable and efficient LLM-based recommendation reranking. The source code is at https://github.com/ejbito/InvariRank.

Rational belief revision is commonly viewed as being based on a preference order between possible worlds, with the resulting new belief set being those sentences true in all the most preferred models of the incoming new information. Usually, such a preference order is taken to be a total preorder. Nevertheless, there are other, more general classes of ordering that can also be employed. In this paper, we explore two such classes that have been studied within the theory of rational choice but have seen limited or no application in belief revision. We begin with interval orders, introduced by Fishburn in the '80s, which associate with each possible world a nonnegative interval' of plausibility. We then move on to biorders, studied by Aleskerov, Bouyssou, and Monjardet, which generalise interval orders by allowing the intervals to have negative lengths, a feature that can be used to capture a notion of dissonance or instability. We provide axiomatic characterisations of these two resulting families of belief revision operators, as well as of two further families of interest that lie between interval orders and biorders. We show that while biorder-based revisions satisfy the Success postulate, they do not always yield consistent outputs. By modifying their definition to discard inputs that lead to inconsistency as incredible', we derive new families of so-called non-prioritised revision that satisfy the Consistency postulate, but not the Success one. These families are linked to credibility-limited revision operators of Hansson et al., but for which the set of credible sentences does not satisfy the single-sentence closure condition. We argue that the biorder-based approach is well-suited for scenarios where an agent might initially reject new information, but may accept it when presented with additional explanation.

Languages of the world vary concerning the order of subject, object and verb. The most frequent dominant orders are SOV and SVO, and researchers have tailored models to this fact. However, there are still languages whose dominant order does not conform to these expectations or even lack a dominant order. Here we show that across linguistic families and macroareas, word order variation within languages is shaped by the principle of swap distance minimization even when the dominant order is not SOV/SVO and even when a dominant order is lacking.

We study the detection of transient liquidity erosion ("crumbling quotes") in electronic limit order books, where observable quote deterioration may reflect either mechanical liquidity withdrawal or informational repricing. Using the ABIDES agent-based simulator, we construct a multi-agent environment in which crumbling emerges from stochastic regime switches in a market maker, providing time-resolved ground truth unavailable in real market data. We develop a detection pipeline that identifies mechanically driven quote erosion using order book features, and train a neural model to produce calibrated crumbling probabilities. Experiments demonstrate that the proposed framework reliably identifies crumbling events against agent-level ground truth, with the neural model achieving +36% AUC improvement over rule-based baselines and robust performance across normal, high-volatility, bull, and bear market conditions. Ablation studies on temporal features and varying the dependence structure of the ground-truth mechanism confirm that the framework generalizes across both independent and autocorrelated liquidity withdrawal dynamics.

Limit order books can transition rapidly from stable to stressed conditions, yet standard early-warning signals such as order flow imbalance and short-term volatility are inherently reactive. We formalise this limitation via a three-regime causal data-generating process (stable $\to$ latent build-up $\to$ stress) in which a latent deterioration phase creates a prediction window prior to observable stress. Under mild assumptions on temporal drift and regime persistence, we establish identifiability of the latent build-up regime and derive guarantees for strictly positive expected lead-time and non-trivial probability of early detection. We propose a trigger-based detector combining MAX aggregation of complementary signal channels, a rising-edge condition, and adaptive thresholding. Across 200 simulations, the method achieves mean lead-time $+18.6 \pm 3.2$ timesteps with perfect precision and moderate coverage, outperforming classical change-point and microstructure baselines. A preliminary application to one week of BTC/USDT order book data shows consistent positive lead-times while baselines remain reactive. Results degrade in low signal-to-noise and short build-up regimes, consistent with theory.

We introduce a novel characterization of phase transitions based on hypothesis testing. In our formulation, a phase transition is defined as the breakdown of statistical indistinguishability under vanishing parameter perturbations in the thermodynamic limit. This perspective provides a general, order-parameter-free framework that does not rely on model-specific insights or learning procedures. We show that conventional approaches, such as those based on the Binder parameter, can be reinterpreted as special cases within this framework. As a concrete realization, we employ a distribution-free two-sample run test and demonstrate that the critical point of the two-dimensional Ising model is accurately identified without prior knowledge of the order parameter.

PCA can be used for rotation invariant features, describing a shape with its $p_{ab}=E[(x_i-E[x_a])(x_b-E[x_b])]$ covariance matrix approximating shape by ellipsoid, allowing for rotation invariants like its traces of powers. However, real shapes are usually much more complicated, hence there is proposed its extension to e.g. $p_{abc}=E[(x_a-E[x_a])(x_b-E[x_b])(x_c-E[x_c])]$ order-3 or higher tensors describing central moments, or polynomial times Gaussian allowing decodable shape descriptors of arbitrarily high accuracy, and their analogous rotation invariants. Its practical applications could be rotation-invariant features to include shape modulo rotation e.g. for molecular shape descriptors, or for up to rotation object recognition in 2D images/3D scans maybe also for 3D scene understanding, or shape similarity metric allowing inexpensive comparison of objects modulo rotation avoiding costly optimization over rotations.

Modeling the dynamics of financial Limit Order Books (LOB) at the message level is challenging due to irregular event timing, rapid regime shifts, and the reactions of high-frequency traders to visible order flow. Previous LOB models require cumbersome data representations and lack adaptability outside their original tasks, leading us to introduce LOBERT, a general-purpose encoder-only foundation model for LOB data suitable for downstream fine-tuning. LOBERT adapts the original BERT architecture for LOB data by using a novel tokenization scheme that treats complete multi-dimensional messages as single tokens while retaining continuous representations of price, volume, and time. With these methods, LOBERT achieves leading performance in tasks such as predicting mid-price movements and next messages, while reducing the required context length compared to previous methods.

Large audio-language models (LALMs) are often used in tasks that involve reasoning over ordered options. An open question is whether their predictions are influenced by the order of answer choices, which would indicate a form of position bias and undermine their reliability. In this paper, we identify and analyze this problem in LALMs. We demonstrate that no model is immune to this bias through extensive experiments on six LALMs across three widely used benchmarks and their spoken counterparts. Shuffling the order of answer options can cause performance fluctuations of up to 24% and even change model rankings, raising concerns about the reliability of current evaluation practices. We also study permutation-based strategies and show that they can mitigate bias in most cases. Our work represents the first systematic investigation of this issue in LALMs, and we hope it raises awareness and motivates further research in this direction.

The reliable identification of magnetic ground states remains a major challenge in high-throughput materials databases, where density functional theory (DFT) workflows often converge to ferromagnetic (FM) solutions. Here, we partially address this challenge by developing machine-learning classifiers trained on experimentally validated MAGNDATA magnetic materials, leveraging a limited number of simple compositional, structural, and electronic descriptors sourced from the Materials Project Database. Our propagation-vector classifiers achieve accuracies above 92%, outperforming a recent equivariant-neural-network study on a differently constructed dataset in reliably distinguishing between zero and nonzero propagation-vector structures, and exposing a systematic ferromagnetic bias inherent to the Materials Project database for more than 6840 candidate materials. In parallel, LightGBM and XGBoost models trained directly on the Materials Project labels achieve accuracies of 82% and 85%, respectively (with macro-F1 average scores of 66% and 63%), proving useful for large-scale screening for magnetic classes, when refined by MAGNDATA-trained classifiers. These results underscore the role of machine-learning techniques as corrective and exploratory tools, enabling more trustworthy databases and accelerating progress toward the identification of materials with various properties.

In this work, we present the \texttt{LLM ORDER BY} semantic operator as a logical abstraction and conduct a systematic study of its physical implementations. First, we propose several improvements to existing semantic sorting algorithms and introduce a semantic-aware external merge sort algorithm. Our extensive evaluation reveals that no single implementation offers universal optimality on all datasets. From our evaluations, we observe a general scaling relationship between sorting cost and the ordering quality for comparison-based algorithms. Building on these insights, we design a budget-aware optimizer that utilizes heuristic rules, LLM-as-Judge evaluation, and consensus aggregation to dynamically select the near-optimal access path for LLM ORDER BY. In our extensive evaluations, our optimizer consistently achieves ranking accuracy on par with or superior to the best static methods across all benchmarks. We believe that this work provides foundational insights into the principled optimization of semantic operators essential for building robust, large-scale LLM-powered analytic systems.

Despite the impressive performance of vision-language models (VLMs) on downstream tasks, their ability to understand and reason about causal relationships in visual inputs remains unclear. Robust causal reasoning is fundamental to solving complex high-level reasoning tasks, yet existing benchmarks often include a mixture of reasoning questions, and VLMs can frequently exploit object recognition and activity identification as shortcuts to arrive at the correct answers, making it challenging to truly assess their causal reasoning abilities. To bridge this gap, we introduce VQA-Causal and VCR-Causal, two new benchmarks specifically designed to isolate and rigorously evaluate VLMs' causal reasoning abilities. Our findings reveal that while VLMs excel in object and activity recognition, they perform poorly on causal reasoning tasks, often only marginally surpassing random guessing. Further analysis suggests that this limitation stems from a severe lack of causal expressions in widely used training datasets, where causal relationships are rarely explicitly conveyed. We additionally explore fine-tuning strategies with hard negative cases, showing that targeted fine-tuning can improve model's causal reasoning while maintaining generalization and downstream performance. Our study highlights a key gap in current VLMs and lays the groundwork for future work on causal understanding.